Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks are off an extremely hard fought series against the Knights, rallying from a 3-1 series deficit and taking Game 7 in OT. That may cause some to stay off them here and has helped provide us with a very fair price. However, I believe it gives them a ton of momentum. They've just dug themselves out of a huge hole and are feel that they can take on anyone. While the Vegas series was indeed tough, they've had two full days off and there was no travel, as Game 7 was here in San Jose. That's just about perfect, in my opinion. Note that they're 12-6 on the season, when on a 3-game winning streak. The Avs, on the other hand, haven't played since 4/19. Thats a long gap in between games and its going to be tough early for them to get to the intensity level of the Sharks. Note that you'd be a perfect 7-0 this season, if playing against the Avs when they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Sharks have beaten the Avs four straight times, most recently a 5-2 win here three weeks ago. They were laying -165 for that one. While the Avs are 19-25 on the road, the Sharks are 28-17 at home. Sharks draw first blood. |
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04-26-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/NYI UNDER the total. While the Canes are off a few high-scoring games against Washington, I expect this series to be considerably lower-scoring. Note that the UNDER is 14-8-1 the past 23 times that Carolina was off three or more consec. games which finished above the total. Three of this season's four meetings finished with five or fewer combined goals. The Isles have seen the UNDER go 11-3-1 when on a winning streak of three or more games. The UNDER is also 21-8-2 when the Isles were off a win by two or more goals as well as 28-9-4 when they faced a team with a winning record. In fact, the UNDER is 16-3-2 the past 21 times that NY faced a team with a winning record. Expect goals to be at a premium, once again. |
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04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues -149 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. While both these teams were strong in the first round, I expect the Blues to have a solid advantage in Game 1 of this second round series. The Blues were 24-15-2 at home this reg. season. The Stars were 19-18-4 on the road. The Stars are a respectable 27-21 their last 48. However, during the same span, the Blues were a dominant 34-17. The Stars are just 7-10 (-4) when playing with two or more day's rest in between games. On the other hand, the Blues were 6-3 (+3.5) when playing with three or more day's rest. Even after knocking off the Preds, the Stars are still just 12-11 their last 23 against winning teams. Conversely, the Blues are 16-6 (+11.1) their last 22 against teams with a winning record. Expect the Blues to draw first blood. |
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04-24-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on Carolina/Washington UNDER the total. While the last two games have found their way above the number, I'm expecting goals to be at a premium for Game 7. Even factoring in the last two games, the UNDER is 22-11-1 when the Canes faced a divisional opponent while the Caps have seen the UNDER go 20-14 in their divisional games. Prior to the last two, the scores were 2-1 and 5-0. The last six times that the Caps were in a Game 7, every one of them finished with five or fewer combined goals. The scores were 4-0, 2-0, 2-1, 5-0, 2-1 and 2-1. We have to go back much further (2009 Conf. semis) to find that the last time that the Canes played a Game 7. That one also finished below 5.5, a final score of 3-2, in OT. Look for more of the same Wednesday night. |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -116 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 37 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've successfully played on the Sharks in all three of their wins in this series, while staying off of them in all three of their losses. They battled so hard to keep the series going and now get to play at home with everything on the line. At a pick'em price, I feel that they're offering outstanding value. While the Knights are 20-24 on the road, the Sharks are 27-17 at home. The Sharks dominated the last game here, jumping all over the Knights out of the gate and eventually winning 5-2. The Sharks still haven't forgotten that it was the Knights who knocked them out of the playoffs last season. On Tuesday, they finally settle the score. |
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04-21-19 | Sharks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing SJ on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) I've played on the Sharks in both their victories but stayed off them in all three of their losses. None of those first five games were decided by a single goal. Thats not normal though, as we've seen so many close games in the rest of the first round matchups. I'm expecting Game 6 to be the closest one yet and wouldn't be at all surprised to see it go to OT. The Sharks played great in Game 5 and they're going to be every bit as determined in this one. Note that they're 52-36 (+5.6) vs. the money-line the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals, 18-11 in that situation this season. Desperate to avoid another disappointing playoff performance, expect the Sharks to rise to the occasion, en route to AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 50 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ/Vegas UNDER the total. While its been a mostly high-scoring series, I expect goals to be much harder to come by in this one. Thus far, there have been a lot of very early goals - ones within the first 90 seconds of the game. Those early goals have led to high-scoring games overall. That's not likely to continue though; I expect that first goal to take a lot longer here. Even with Game 5, finishing above the total, the Knights have still seen the UNDER go 8-2-1 when leading in a playoff series. Its also worth mentioning that the UNDER is 10-4 when Vegas played with two day's rest in between games. If we look back to last year's playoff series between these teams, Game 5 also finished above the total. However, Game 6 saw only three combined goals scored, a 3-0 final. That game had an O/U line of 5.5. Here, we're working with a 6.5, which is a significant difference. Expect a low-scoring affair. |
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04-20-19 | Stars v. Predators -144 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -144 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on NASHVILLE. Off b2b losses, we're going to see a determined Nashville team on Saturday afternoon. While the Stars are 20-23 on the road, the Preds are 26-17 at home. The Stars are just 6-10 when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also only 12-14 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals. Meanwhile, Nashville is 13-6 (+3.1) off a loss by two or more. Going back further finds the Preds at 39-23 (+8.4) in that situation. During the same span, the Preds are also 32-19 after scoring one goal or less. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Preds bouncing back and regaining control of the series. |
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04-19-19 | Avalanche v. Flames -170 | 5-1 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Clearly, anything can happen in the NHL playoffs. Just ask fans of the Tampa Bay Lightning. That said, I don't expect the #1 seed in the West to go quietly. Facing elimination, I expect them to come out desperate from the opening whistle and to play the type of hockey that led to a 27-16 record here. (The Avs are 18-25 on the road.) An overall record which was 17 points better than Colorado. The Flames could easily be tied in this series, despite getting very little production from their top line. Look for Gaudreau and co. to finally get going, the Flames rallying to force a Game 6. |
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04-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -118 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks took Game 1. Since then, the Knights have won three straight. I'm not counting San Jose out though. The Sharks are 26-17 at home, the Knights are 20-23 on the road. While Vegas was dominant in winning 5-0 last game, the Sharks are 6-1 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at a profitable 27-13 (+10.9) their last 40 in that situation. On the other hand, the Knights are just 14-16 (-9.1) after scoring four or more goals. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out last year. They're not going to let it happen on home ice. Not tonight, at least. Expect them to play with desperation right from the opening whistle and look for them to extend the series. |
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04-16-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ/Vegas UNDER the total. While the first three games have finished above the total, I don't expect it to continue here. The Knights are now leading in the series for the first time. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 7-1-1 when the Knights were leading in a series. During the same span, the UNDER is 35-25-4 when the Sharks were off a loss by two or more goals. It should be noted that this O/U line is higher than it was for Game 1 and higher than any of the regular season meetings. Its rare to see four straight high-scoring games in a playoff series. Don't expect it to happen here. Instead, expect goals to be at a premium, the goalie/s moving to center stage. |
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04-16-19 | Islanders v. Penguins -162 | 3-1 | Loss | -162 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Its going to be hard for the Pens to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Pens remain a healthy 43-23 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. Crosby has had a forgettable series. He's been one of the best in the game for a long time though and I don't expect him to just go away quietly. Expect a determined Penguin team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. |
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04-16-19 | Lightning -133 v. Blue Jackets | 3-7 | Loss | -133 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Its going to be hard for the Lightning to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Lightning, who were absolutely dominant in the regular season, get Kucherov back. The Lightning remain a healthy 4021 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. During that span, Tampa is also a lucrative 9-2, after losing three straight. Expect a determined Lightning team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes are down 0-2. They've been right in both games though. Saturday's game went to OT. Back home, in front of their loving fans, I expect them to bounce back with a badly needed victory. Since Christmas, the Canes are 16-6 here, including a 4-1 mark their last five. The Caps were only 19-21 (-7.4) after scoring four or more goals this season. While I'm not surprised that the Caps held serve at home, I'm not counting out the Canes, quite yet. |
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04-14-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing SJ/Vegas UNDER the total. The two games at SJ were both high-scoring. With the series shifting to Vegas, I expect a change in tempo and a much lower combined final score. The Sharks have played here seven times. None of those games had an O/U line this high. Their last two visits here both finished with less than 6.5 goals. The Knights have seen the UNDER go 10-6 when off three or more consecutive 'overs.' During the same span, the UNDER is 14-9 when the Sharks were off three or more consecutive 'overs.' The UNDER is also 46-32, excluding pushes, when the Sharks had allowed four or more goals, in their previous game. Look for goals to be much harder to come by in this one. |
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04-14-19 | Islanders v. Penguins -191 | 4-1 | Loss | -191 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 0-2, we're going to see the best from the Penguins in this one. This is still an elite team, one with plenty of postseason experience. The Isles had the support of their home crowd in the first two games. This is all new to them though and they're going to find the going far more difficult here at Pittsburgh. Don't write off the Pens yet, they'll take this one and be right back in the series. Play Pittsburgh. |
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04-13-19 | Avalanche +1.5 v. Flames | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) The Avs hung around for awhile in Game 1 but the Flames eventually pulled away for a 4-0 win. I expect this evening's game to be much closer. While we have to go back some years, the Flames are a dismal 5-15 the last 20 times that they were leading in a playoff series. This year's team doesn't have experience in this position. Two of the three regular season meetings were decided by a single goal, the other by two goals. Look for the Avs to play with desperation, en route to earning us AT LEAST a 'puck-line cover.' |
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04-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -137 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. After the Leafs took Game 1, we're going to get a desperate Bruins team tonight. The Bruins are 8-2 (+4.9) the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds them at 26-14 (+8.3) their last 40 in that situation. The Leafs are just 8-15 over the years, when leading in a playoff series. The Bruins remain a dominant 29-13 at home. That includes a 17-8 mark when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. They badly need this game and I expect them to get it. |
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04-13-19 | Stars v. Predators -138 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. I stayed off the opener. While I leaned to Nashville, I didn't like the fact that the Stars were a perfect 6-0 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. I've also always found that winning Game 1 at home often isn't easy. Backs to the wall, however, I expect the Preds to be all business in Game 2. Even factoring in the Game 1 result, the Stars are still below 500 (20-22) away from Dallas while the Preds are still a much better 25-17 here at home. The Preds are still 19-9 their last 28 in the month of April, including 8-3 their last 11 first round playoff games. Expect them to bounce back and even the series. |
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04-13-19 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Capitals | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing CAROLINA on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) Off their loss in Game 1, I expect the Hurricanes to be at their best this afternoon. The Canes have been playing great for weeks. Even factoring in the Game 1 loss, they're still 30-15 (+10.3) their last 45. While the Caps did manage four goals in the opener, they're just 18-21 (-8.4) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Canes had a big edge in shots on goals in Game 1 and rallied from a 3-0 deficit to pull within a goal. The Caps final goal came on an empty-netter. The Canes are 5-1 after their last six losses and the lone loss came by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another 'puck-line cover' this afternoon. |
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04-12-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -112 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ/Vegas UNDER the total. Game 1 of this series worked out exactly the way I wanted. Not only did the Sharks win comfortably for me, but the high-scoring (5-2) result has helped in providing us with a generously high O/U number for Game 2. (It was 6 for Game 1 and is now 6.5 for Game 2.) I feel that it'll prove to be too high. In last season's playoff series, the first game at SJ also produced seven combined goals. However, the next two finished with scores of 4-0 and 3-0. Note that all the games for that series had O/U lines of 5.5. Speaking of the playoffs, a look at Vegas' first round playoff scores from last year reveals final scores of 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 and 1-0. Three of SJ's four first round matchups also finished with three or fewer combined goals. Look for a low-scoring affair. |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets -113 | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets lost a close one in Game 1. That puts them in practically a must-win spot for Game 2. I expect them to respond with a huge effort. The Jets have their entire city in their corner. Fans in Winnipeg love this team and are extra loud when they come to the rink. Though the Blues did steal the opener, winning here is not easy. The Blues are still 22-20 on the road, the Jets are 25-17 at home. The Jets have been here before; even with Wednesday's loss, they're still a dominant 15-5 (+10.9) their last 20 games in the month of April. Look for them to bounce back and even the series, improving to 12-6 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. |
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04-11-19 | Avalanche +1.5 v. Flames | 0-4 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) I won with the Sharks last night. They won by a comfortable 5-2 margin. However, a look at last night's other four games reveals that all four of them were decided by a single goal. Thats not unusual for playoff hockey and I'm expecting another close one here. While the Flames had a great regular season, the playoffs are a different animal. They didn't even make the playoffs last season and they're going to be feeling considerable pressure tonight. Note that Calgary lost its final two reg. season games. Also, the Flames got swept 4-0 the last time that they were in the playoffs. The Avs are 8-3 their last 11 and two of the three losses came by a single goal. In other words, they'd be 10-1 their last 11, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each. Two of this season's three meetings were decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another 'puck-line cover' for the visitors in this one. |
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04-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -110 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 77 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. As you may remember, these teams met in the playoffs last year, the Knights scoring the upset. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten. They're coming in on a mission and I expect them to take this game and this series. The Knights weren't as good this year and I don't expect them to be able to just turn it on now that the playoffs are here. Home ice figures to be significant. The Knights were just 19-22 on the road. The Sharks, on other hand, are 25-16 in San Jose. The Sharks are 14-5 the last 19 times that they played with three day's rest. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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04-06-19 | Jets -118 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Coyotes may like to reward the fans with a win, they only just got officially eliminated Thursday, despite winning, and its going to be hard for them to get up for this one. On the other hand, the Jets have positioning to play for and they're going to be highly motivated to head into the postseason on a winning note. Catching the Coyotes off the trip to Vegas and already thinking about the golf course, look for the Jets, who are 14-4 (+11.1) their last 18 in the month of April, to take this one. |
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04-04-19 | Senators v. Sabres -180 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sens beat me last night but its not happening again here. While Ottawa is off a rare road win yesterday, the Sabres had the day off. Note that the Sens are just 4-11 when playing the second of b2b games. After a solid start to the season, the Sabres eventually faded. This is their final home game of the season though and its the perfect opportunity to snap their losing streak and reward the faithful with a final victory. The Sens won this season's two meetings at Ottawa by a combined score of 8-2. However, the Sabres won 9-2 in the game here at Buffalo. Schedule in their favor, the motivated Sabres take care of business on home ice once again. |
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04-04-19 | Canadiens v. Capitals -133 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. These teams split a pair of meetings, back in November. Both were at Montreal. Tonight, they'll face each other at Washington. Note that the Habs are below .500 on the road. Its true that the Canadiens have been playing well of late and that they need to keep winning. The Caps need this game too though and I feel that they're providing us excellent value this evening. The Habs are 29-40 (-16) the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Caps were 35-24 (+5.9) off a loss by two or more goals. Also, during that period, Montreal was 21-41 (-20.2) when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. Washington, on the other hand, was 52-34 (+18) when facing a team with a winning record, during the second half of the season. With the Caps also a lucrative 30-14 (+12.8) the past 44 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, I'm backing the home team in this one. |
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04-03-19 | Senators v. Rangers -165 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. While I played against them in their last game, I'm coming right back with the Rangers in this one. While both teams have long since been eliminated from playoff contention, the Rangers bring more to the table, in my opinion. Playing at home has always been important in this series - the home team won both meetings this season and has won 14 of 16 in the series - and should provide the Rangers with an edge in motivation. The Sens have been respectable at home but they're a dismal 10-27-2 on the road. Its been the same story for the Rangers. They know this is their best chance at one final home win for the faithful (Columbus visits next) and I expect them to take advantage of the opportunity. |
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04-02-19 | Flyers +1.5 v. Stars | 2-6 | Loss | -170 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) With the Stars looking to wrap up a playoff spot and the Flyers playing for pride, the moneyline on Dallas has gotten pretty steep. Thats allowed us to get an extra 1.5 goals with the Flyers for a relatively reasonable price. Relatively reasonable given the high number of games decided by a single goal and the fact that Dallas actually only needs one point. (Just getting to OT would be enough.) Philadelphia's Carter Hart commented: "...we still have to play for pride and the logo on the front of our jersey. We need to finish strong so we can carry it into next season." The Stars, who are playing their first game back home from a road trip (often, a tough spot) have seen three straight games decided by a single goal. They've only won two of their last nine games by more than a goal. This season's earlier meeting was decided by a single goal. So were both of last season's games. I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 goals. |
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04-01-19 | Rangers v. Devils -117 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. It was 25 years ago that Mark Messier made his famous guarantee. Down 3-2 in the series, Messier guaranteed that the Rangers would win. As some of you will recall, Messier got a hat trick in that Game 6 and the Rangers would go on to win Game 7 in double-OT. (They'd then go on to win the Cup.) Needless to say, the stakes aren't nearly as high for this evening's game. Both teams are playing out the string. That said, playing with triple revenge, the Devils should be the more motivated team for this one. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to get some payback. While the Rangers are off a road win at Philly yesterday afternoon, the Devils had the day off. A 5-2 loss on 3/16 dropped the Rangers to an ugly 1-8 (-6.5) when playing the second of b2b games. Devils get some payback. |
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03-31-19 | Blue Jackets v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Both teams played yesterday. I expect that to favor the home team in this one. Note that the Sabres beat the Blues, the last time that they played a home game, after playing the previous day. Six of their last 13, when playing the second of b2b games, have been decided by a single goal. Also, note that Columbus is just 5-9 when playing the second of b2b games. That includes a 2-4 mark their last six in that situation, three of those decided by a single goal. Speaking of 1-goal games, both of this season's meetings have been decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the home team in this one. |
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03-31-19 | Rangers v. Flyers -161 | 3-0 | Loss | -161 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Rangers are a team that the Flyers have dominated. In fact, Philly has won the past six meetings. Playing at home, expect them to continue that dominance this afternoon. Sure, the Flyers played yesterday. However, they'd had the previous two days off - and they had two days off before that. So, this is not one of your more difficult b2b situations. Of course, they get tomorrow off which is not the case for the Rangers, who will take on the Devils. The Rangers are off a 4-2 win over the Blues. They've had real trouble stringing together victories though and they're also just 3-9 (-6.1) when off a win by two or more goals. While the Rangers would like the snap their skid in the series, they're just 5-17 the last 22 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. With the Flyers an outstanding 11-2 their last 13 against losing teams, this one goes to the home team. |
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03-30-19 | Ducks v. Oilers -150 | 5-1 | Loss | -150 | 28 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers' hopes of making the playoffs are extremely remote. However, they are at least mathematically still alive. Thats more than can be said for the Ducks, who have been playing out the string for some time. While the Oilers had yesterday off, the Ducks were busy getting beaten up (6-1) by the Flames. With last Saturday's loss at LA, the Ducks are 4-7 when playing the second of b2b games. The Oilers have taken two of the three meetings this season, including a win in the lone game here at Edmonton. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to finish on top once again. |
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03-30-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -140 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. On an extended losing streak, the Sharks are going to be a desperate team tonight. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect that desperation to lead to a victory. The Sharks' recent skid has seen the Knights close the gap on them and means that they need to win tonight to make sure that they'd have home ice advantage in the event these teams meet in the playoffs. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights are off a hard-fought loss against Minnesota. Note, however, that they still clinched a playoff spot last night, with Arizona losing. The Knights handed the Sharks the worst loss (7-3) in the Sharks' current losing streak. Tonight, San Jose gets some payback. |
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03-30-19 | Canadiens v. Jets -144 | 3-1 | Loss | -144 | 25 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Habs won 5-2 when these teams met at Montreal last month. Playing at home, I expect the Jets to return the favor this evening. Off its loss against Columbus, a game in which they were over-matched and over-powered as the game went on, the Canadiens are now just 18-21 on the road. The Jets, meanwhile, are 25-15 at home. Its true that Montreal is desperate to win this game. However, the game also has playoff implications for the Jets and they're also going to be hungry. This is the Jets' reg. season home opener. Off b2b losses, they're really going to want to close out the homestand with a win. They're 9-4 after playing their previous three at home and I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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03-28-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -220 | 5-4 | Loss | -220 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Sharks have lost six straight and are desperate to right the ship. While the Hawks may not be mathematically eliminated, reality has set in and they know they won't be making the playoffs. The Hawks are 16-22 on the road, the Sharks are 23-14 at home. While the Hawks are 12-21 against winning teams this year, the Sharks are also a dominating 41-19 their last 60, when facing a losing team in the second half of the season. San Jose rolls. |
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03-28-19 | Kings v. Canucks -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. Off three straight home losses, the Canucks are going to be highly motivated to win this one. Victories have been hard to come by for them recently and they know that this is an opportunity they shouldn't squander. Note that the Canucks are 9-6 (+5.2) after playing their previous three on the road. Though the visiting team has won all three meetings this season, I expect home ice to prove the difference here. While the Canucks have fallen to 17-21 at Vancouver, the Kings are an ugly 13-25 on the road. Canucks rise to the occasion and provide the home faithful with a victory. |
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03-28-19 | Islanders v. Jets -147 | 5-4 | Loss | -147 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Islanders are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Since losing 5-2 against Dallas, the Jets have had a couple of day's off. Thats noteworthy as they're 26-14 (+9.4) their last 40, when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also 13-7 (+3.4) their last 20, when off a loss by two or more goals. The Isles have been great against sub-500 teams. However, they're just 14-20, when facing a team with a winning record. They're now 44-67 (-11.2) against winning teams, the past 2+ seasons. The Jets, won won 3-1 on the road, when these teams met earlier, are 25-14 at home. Expect them to complete the season series sweep. |
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03-28-19 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets -153 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams are off a big win on Tuesday. The Habs won 6-1 while the Jackets won 4-0. The Jackets tend to follow up a big win a lot better than the Canadiens do though. Columbus is 40-34 the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. During the same span, the Habs are an ugly 28-39 (-16) when off a win by two or more. Note that Montreal is also an ugly 19-40 (-21.4) the last 2+ years, when facing a winning team in the second half of the season. The Jackets are 47-30 the past couple of years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. They've won their last two by a combined score of 9-0 and I look for them to make it three in a row here. |
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03-28-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. This is the back-end of a home-and-home as these teams just met, at Washington. The Caps won 4-1. Playing this evening's rematch at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. The Canes are 13-8 (+4.4) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Caps, meanwhile, are just 17-20 (-8.5) after scoring four or more in their previous game. In addition to the 'recent revenge,' this is a triple-revenge game for the Canes, as the Caps have won all three of this season's meetings. Expect a highly motivated effort, the revenge-minded home team getting some payback. |
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03-28-19 | Red Wings v. Sabres -140 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* PERS FAV). Off four straight losses, the Sabres are going to be a determined team this evening. Having already defeated them twice, the Sabres know that they can take the Wings. Buffalo's last three losses all came on the road. Tonight, they're back home where they are a much better team. Note that the Sabres are 20-17 at home. Not great but a whole lot better than Detroit's 14-25 record on the road. Catching the Wings at the end of a road trip that started on the West Coast, expect the Sabres to improve to 7-3, after playing their previous three on the road. |
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03-27-19 | Stars v. Flames -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Stars have taken both meetings thus far. Playing at home, expect the revenge-minded Flames to finish on top tonight. While the Stars are 17-20 away from Dallas, the Flames are an oustanding 25-13 here at Calgary. Note that Calgary is also 21-12 (+6.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Flames have been playing around with different lineups in practice and may have a new look tonight. They know that there's a chance that they'll face these same Stars in the playoffs and they'll be looking to make a statement this evening. Off the 3-0 loss to LA last time out, expect the Flames to be at their best, bouncing back and picking up the two points. |
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03-26-19 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -125 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Huge game for both teams. The Coyotes had a nice run but have now dropped five straight. I expect their very best effort tonight and look for that to lead to a much-needed victory. Though they did win their next two games, the Coyotes could easily point to a 7-1 loss, at Chicago, on 3/11 as the start of their downfall. The Coyotes played well last time out but came up short. Coach Rick Tocchet noted: "That was a tough one. We played hard. I thought we played a good game today..." Arizona defenseman Jason Demers added: "I thought we played our hearts out in this game. We battled. Obviously back-to-back (games) on the road is always tough, but I thought we weathered the storm in the first, and I thought in the second and the third we kind of took over the game. Their goalie made some big saves ... but our guys didn't quit until the end. That's what we've got to take from that game. We've just got to dust ourselves off and get back at it." Expect Demers and co. to do exactly that, "dusting themselves off" and bouncing back with a critical win. |
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03-26-19 | Ducks v. Canucks -140 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While I successfully played against the Canucks in each of their last two games, I'm backing them tonight. The home team has won all three meetings this season. The Ducks took the two in Southern California by a combined 5-3 margin. However, the Canucks won 4-0 when the teams played here at Vancouver. Note that the Canucks are 9-5 (+6.6) after playing their previous three at home. They're also a lucrative 11-10 (+6.6) when coming off a loss by two or more goals. After struggling against teams fighthing for the playoffs, or playoff positioning, these next two games are both winnable for the Canucks. Look for them to take advantage, starting tonight. (10* PERS FAV) |
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03-26-19 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Columbus. I successfully backed the Blue Jackets on Saturday. Playing the fourth and final game of a four-game road trip, they responded with a much needed 5-0 victory. Back home, still in need of wins, I expect another big game from them this evening. Not that the Jackets should require any further motivation but they're also playing with 'triple revenge' in this one, having lost all three of this season's meetings with the Isles. The Jackets, now 4-1 after playing their previous three on the road, absolutely cannot afford another loss here. Look for them to rise to the occasion, improving to 47-30 their past 77, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. |
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03-25-19 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -201 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (7* BEATDOWN). The Panthers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off an upset loss, their fifth setback in the past seven, the Leafs are going to be highly motivated to get back on track here. The Panthers have disappointed this season, due largely to their inability to win on the road. They're 14-24 on the road. The Leafs, meanwhile, are 22-16 at home. While the Panthers are 21-30 the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, the Leafs are 48-29 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Not surprisingly, the home team has won all three meetings on the season. The Panthers won 4-3 and 3-1 at Florida. However, the Leafs won 6-1 in the game here at Toronto. While the Panthers play again tomorrow, the Leafs have tomorrow off. Fully focused on the task at hand, Toronto takes care of business tonight. |
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03-24-19 | Blue Jackets -145 v. Canucks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Winless (0-3) on their current 4-game road trip, the Blue Jackets come in as an absolutely desperate team. They've fallen out of playoff position and time is running out fast. Sunday, the well-rested Jackets catch the Canucks off a big division game vs. Calgary on Saturday. The Jackets, who lost 4-1 at Edmonton on Thursday, are 16-7 off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 43-21 (+14.3) in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, the Jackets are also 38-21 (+9.2) when playing with 2-day's rest. Not that the Jackets need any extra motivation but they also haven't forgotten that the Canucks upset them, at Columbus already this season and swept them last season. Desperate for a win, schedule in their favor, expect the Jackets get some payback. |
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03-24-19 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams split a pair of meetings, at Montreal. The Canes have home ice advantage now though which is important as the Canadiens aren't nearly as strong on the road. Both teams played yesterday, each earning a crucial victory. However, while the Habs played at Montreal, the Canes did so right here, at Raleigh. Sleeping in their own beds and not having to travel figures to help them this evening. Note that the Canadiens lost 8-2 (at Anaheim) the last time that they played the second of b2b games, falling to 5-8 in that situation. Expect home ice to prove the difference. |
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03-23-19 | Flames -169 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Sure the Canucks may have won three straight. However, they've haven't won four in a row this entire season. Every 3-game win streak has been followed by a loss. Its also worth noting that the Canucks are a dismal 20-44 (-19) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Flames are 15-4 their last 19 against sub-500 teams. In fact, they're now a dominant 40-19 when facing a losing team in the 2nd half of the season. Playing with revenge from two straight losses to Vancouver, expect the Flames to be all business this evening. |
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03-23-19 | Coyotes v. Devils +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing NJ on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While I like the Devils' chances of winning this one outright, the extra +1.5 goals could easily come in handy. Both teams are struggling, each has lost three straight. Note that the Coyotes are 19-35 (-5.2) vs. the money-line, its last 54 when off three straight losses. During the same span, the Coyotes are also just 32-50, after a loss by two or more goals. This season's earlier meeting resulted in a 1-goal game, a 3-2 (shootout) win for the Devils. In fact, three of the last four between these teams were decided by a single goal. As of this writing, Schneider is projected to start for the Devils. Thats noteworthy as he's 9-1-1 with a dominant 1.57 GAA in his career, vs. Arizona. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" for the home team. |
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03-21-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens OVER 5 | 0-4 | Loss | -123 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
I’m playing on NY/Montreal OVER the total. Last season's three games all had O/U lines of 6. This season's two meetings had O/U lines of 5.5. This evening, due to some recent low-scoring results, we're working with an even lower number. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Over the years, excluding pushes, the Isles have seen the OVER go a profitable 93-65, when playing a road game where the O/U line was less than 5.5. That includes a 5-3 mark the past couple of seasons. While last week's game was low-scoring, the previous two meetings between these teams had produced seven and nine goals. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. : |
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03-21-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens -135 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* ANNIHILATOR). These teams recently met. Playing at home, the Isles won. With this evening's rematch at Montreal, I expect the Canadiens to return the favor. While the Habs are off a 3-1 win, the Isles are off a 5-0 loss. Note that NY is just 4-7 its last 11, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Habs are one point behind Columbus for the second and final Wildcard spot in the East. In other words, they desperately need this one. Expect them to be at their very best, en route to earning a critical victory. |
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03-20-19 | Senators +1.5 v. Canucks | 4-7 | Loss | -175 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing OTTAWA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) The Sens are off b2b wins, 2-0 and 6-2. Those victories came against fairly good teams, (Leafs and Blues) too. While they're still only 3-4 their past seven, only one of those seven games resulted in a loss by more than a goal. The Canucks are off b2b 1-goal wins. A look at their last 10 games reveals that they've only won one of those by more than a goal. Speaking of 1-goal games, this season's earlier meeting, at Ottawa, saw Vancouver win by a 4-3 margin. Ottawa has won its past two visits here and three of the past four meetings overall have been decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the Sens tonight. |
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03-19-19 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on Colorado/Minnesota UNDER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). Critical game for both teams and I expect that to lead to a low-scoring affair. Two of this season's three meetings produced fewer than 5.5 goals. Including those results, the Avs have seen the UNDER go 13-7 in 20 divisional games. Not to be outdone, the Wild have seen the UNDER go 13-6-2 in their divisional games. This marks the final game of a 5-game homestand for Minnesota, three of the first four finishing with fewer than 5.5 goals. Including a 3-2 loss to the Isles last time out, the UNDER is 6-1-2 when they'd played their previous three at home. With the UNDER also a profitable 14-4 in Wild home games, when the O/U line was 5.5, expect goals to be at a premium, once again. |
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03-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -160 | 7-3 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sharks split a pair of earlier meetings, at Vegas. Venue and schedule now in their favor, I expect them to have the advantage here. While the Sharks had yesterday off, the Knights were busy hosting Edmonton. The last time that the Knights played the second of b2b games, they lost by a 6-3 margin. Including that result, they're just 4-7 (-4.5), when playing their second game in two days. The Sharks are off b2b losses for the first time since January. They're going to be highly motivated to stop the bleeding right there and begin a new winning streak. Additional motivation stems from the fact that they haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out of the playoffs last season. The Sharks are a lucrative 37-21 (+9.4) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-17-19 | Blues v. Sabres +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (6* VIOLATOR, +1.5 goals.) Both teams played on the road yesterday. However, the Sabres were able to sleep in their own beds. While the Blues are 8-10 when playing on the road, with an O/U line of 5.5, the Sabres are 8-2 when playing at home, with an O/U line of 5.5. While the Blues did win at Pittsburgh yesterday, they haven't been at their best for some time now. Prior to yesterday's win, they'd dropped three straight and five of seven in March. Only one of those previous two March victories came by more than a goal. Speaking of 1-goal games, three of the past four meetings between these teams, including each of the last two here at Buffalo, were decided by a single goal. Expect the revenge-minded Sabres to deliver AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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03-16-19 | Rangers v. Wild -208 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (6*). Off three straight losses, this is an excellent spot for the Wild to get back on track. While Minnesota had yesterday off, the Rangers were busy battling the Flames, at Calgary. Not only have the Rangers have been dismal on the road all season but they're also an ugly 1-7 when playing the second of b2b games. While the Rangers would like to avenge an earlier 4-1 loss at MSG, they're a brutal 5-15 the last 20 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, entering Friday's action. The Wild swept last season's series. Expect them to complete the season sweep once again here. |
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03-16-19 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8*). While the Hawks would surely like to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, they're an ugly 5-15 when playing with revenge, from an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat a team at home, they rarely do so on the road. Overall, they're 15-20 on the road while the Habs are 20-15 at home. Off a 2-1 loss last time out, the Canadiens are going to be hungry. They're 11-4 (+7.5) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game and I expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-16-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -155 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). While the Jackets were busy taking care of the Hurricanes last night, the Bruins had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Jackets are just 5-8 (-5), when playing the second of b2b games. The Bruins, who play with revenge from an earlier loss at Columbus, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their 3-game skid. They're 11-4 (+6.9) the past 15 times that they'd lost their previous three games, a perfect 3-0 in that situation this season. Sechedule and venue in their favor, expect them to rise to the occasion with an important victory. |
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03-16-19 | Flames v. Jets -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8*). While the Flames were busy taking care of the Rangers last night, the Jets had the day off. Thats noteworthy as the Flames are just 14-17 the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, Calgary is also an ugly 16-34 when facing a winning team, in the second half of the season. The Jets, 23-13 at home, play with double-revenge, having lost a pair of earlier meetings. They're 61-47 (+9.1) in the revenge role in recent seasons and I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-15-19 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -178 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* VIOLATOR). The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, most recently a 5-4 loss to the Hawks, who they spotted a 5-0 lead, the Leafs are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're a lucrative 16-5 (+8.4) on the season, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Leafs had yesterday off, the Flyers are off a loss vs. Washington. The last time that the Flyers played the second of b2b games, they were blown out 6-1. Speaking of "blowouts," this season's earlier meeting saw the Leafs win 6-0. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect another decisive victory. |
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03-14-19 | Ducks v. Coyotes -136 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* PERS FAV). The Coyotes are a much better team than the one we've gotten used to in recent season. Arguably, the opposite is true of the Ducks. The Coyotes bounced back from their embarrassing 7-1 loss to Chicago by beating the Blues (3-1) the very next day. They've now won three of four and nine of their last 11. Speaking of nine of 11, note that the Coyotes are also 9-2 their last 11 against teams with a losing record. Expect the desert dogs to keep on rolling for another day, improving to 13-7 when off a win by two or more goals. |
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03-14-19 | Stars v. Wild -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Hockey fans in Minnesota have never quite forgiven Dallas for stealing their team (the North Stars) all those years ago. The fans and team tend to "get up" for visits from the Stars. The Wild are 4-1 their last five as a host in the series. While the Stars are off a 2-0 win, they're an awful 23-39 (-25.8) the past 2+ seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. With an O/U line of just five, note that the Wild are a dominating 21-8 the past 29 times that they played a home game with an O/U line which was less than 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-14-19 | Penguins v. Sabres +1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -156 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (8*, +1.5 goals) With the Pens heavily favored on the money-line, we're able to get the Sabres at a very fair price on the puck-line. While I like their chances of an outright win, I also feel that the extra +1.5 goals could very well come in handy. Note that both this season's meetings were decided by a single goal; the Sabres winning each of them. Some might be surprised to learn the the Sabres' home record (19-15) is better than the Pens' 17-18 mark away from Pittsburgh. The Sabres are 9-7 (+2.4) vs. the money-line after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a 'puck-line cover' this evening. |
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03-13-19 | Rangers v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver/NYR OVER the total (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). When these teams met at MSG earlier in the season, the O/U line was six. Same deal for last season's game here at Vancouver. Tonight, however, we're working with a 5.5, which I feel is providing us excellent line value. Speaking of last year's visit by the Rangers, that game saw 11 goals scored. The year before? Nine goals scored. Overall, four of the past five meetings have produced seven or more combined goals. The Rangers have been a profitable 'over' team on the road this season and they've also seen the OVER go 11-7-2 the past 20 times that they were off three or more consec. games which fell below the total. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair. |
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03-12-19 | Sharks v. Jets -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* PERS FAV). The Sharks are on a roll and I've got a lot of respect for them. However, the Jets are also a powerful team and they've got both the venue and schedule working in their favor here. While the Sharks did win 3-0 at Minnesota last night, they're still a mediocre 19-17 away form San Jose. Meanwhile, the Jets are 22-12 at home. While the Sharks were battling the Wild, the Jets were resting. Off a 3-1 loss to the Capitals on Sunday, note that Winnipeg is 9-4 after scoring one goal or less in its previous game and 12-6 when coming off a loss by two or more goals. Though the road team has taken both meetings so far this season, expect home ice to prove the difference this evening. |
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03-12-19 | Stars v. Sabres +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -229 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) I think that the Sabres have an excellent shot at the outright win. However, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could really come in handy. The Stars have seen two of their last three decided by a single goal. Dating back to Valentine's Day, they've only won three of their 12 games by more than a goal. The Sabres have won two of their last three at home and the lone loss came by a single goal. The wins came against a pair of quality teams, (Pitt and Wash) too. This season's earlier meeting resulted in a 1-0 Dallas win. Expect the Sabres to deliver AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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03-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Flames -130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. (10* Western Conf GOW) The Knights looked pretty dominant at Vancouver last night. They scored five first period goals and coasted to a 6-2 win. Expect them to find things MUCH more difficult against a strong Calgary team. While the Knights were playing, the Flames were resting for the past two days. Note that Vegas is just 4-6 (-3.5) in 10 tries, when playing the second of b2b games. The Knights are also a poor 4-7 (-5.4) their last 11 against teams with a winning record. Additionally, we find them at 10-14 (-8.4) after scoring four or more goals. The Flames, 19-12 (+4.5) in the revenge role, are going to be extremely motivated to snap their skid and to avenge a pair of losses at Vegas. They won 7-2 the last time the teams played here in Calgary and I expect another big win this evening. |
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03-09-19 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line (8* ANNIHILATOR, +1.5 goals) The Oilers are playing their best hockey of the season. They've won four straight, the last two coming by a single goal. A look at their last nine games shows that only one of those resulted in a loss by more than a goal. That happened to be at Toronto; they're going to be anxious for some payback this evening. Note that they're a profitable 20-16 (+6) vs. the money-line when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Leafs are off a loss at Vancouver and are just 1-4 their last five on the road. Expect the Oilers to come through with AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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03-09-19 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* GAME OF MONTH). This is the backend of a home-and-home series with these two teams. The Penguins won 3-0 at Pittsburgh, on Thursday. Playing at home, I fully expect the revenge-minded Blue Jackets to return the favor. Columbus truly has a score to settle. Not only did Pittsburgh win Thursday's game but the Pens are already 3-0 in the season series, after also sweeping all four games last season. The Jackets know that this is a monkey that they need to get off their back. I expect them to do just that. The Pens are far more beatable (17-17-7) on the road. There's more than revenge on the line. There are serious playoff implications also at stake. The Jackets have fallen to 9th place in the conference. This is an absolutely critical game for them. Look for them to rise to the occasion, bringing their best effort en route to a very important victory. |
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03-08-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing WINNIPEG on the puck-line. (8* VIOLATOR, +1.5 goals) While I believe the Jets have a real shot at the upset, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. The Jets won this season's earlier meeting by a 3-1 score. The previous two meetings between these teams were both decided by a single goal, each finishing with identical 2-1 scores. Speaking of 1-goal games, the Canes' last two games both had 4-3 scores. Off a 5-2 loss vs. Tampa on Tuesday, the Jets are going to be hungry to get back on track. They're 11-6 vs. the money-line this season, when off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 25-14 (+7.9) when playing with two day's rest. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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03-07-19 | Canadiens v. Sharks -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canadiens couldn't beat the Sharks when they hosted them earlier in the season, the Sharks winning 3-1. While the Habs would love to avenge that loss and pick up an important two points, winning here is NOT easy. Indeed, the Sharks are a dominant 21-5-5 at home. It should be noted that Montreal is an ugly 50-79 (-33.4!) in the 'revenge' role the past 2+ seasons, including 24-38 (-15.5) when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Off a 3-1 win at LA, its also worth mentioning that the Habs are a poor 26-36 (-15) the past 2+ seasons when off a win by two or more goals. The Sharks are well rested and that typically serves them well. They're 3-0 this season, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games and 13-5 (+6.7) their last 18 in that situation. Expect them to take care of business once again. |
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03-07-19 | Canucks v. Oilers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver/Edmonton OVER the total (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Two of this season's three meetings, including the lone one here at Edmonton, produced six combined goals. Both of those games had O/U lines of six. This evening's O/U line has opened at 5.5 instead. In what should be a high-scoring affair, I feel thats providing us with excellent value. The Oiler offense is finally clicking; they've scored four goals in three straight games. Overall, Edmonton has seen three of its last four games reach at least six combined goals. The Canucks are off a big win against Toronto yesterday. The last couple of times that they played the second of b2b games, the final combined score was seven goals. Expect another "up tempo affair," the final combined score finishing above the relatively low number. |
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03-06-19 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER on the puck-line .(8* VIOLATOR, +1.5 goals) While I believe the Canucks have a real shot at the upset, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Note that nine of the Canucks' past 14 games have been decided by a single goal. Seven of those 14 were 1-goal losses. The Leafs' last two visits here were both decided by a single goal, the Canucks winning each. Going back further finds that the Canucks always seem to get up for a visit from the Leafs. In fact, the Canucks have won nine of the last 10 meetings here. With time quickly running out on their season, look for them to again "get up" for a visit from Toronto, en route to AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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03-05-19 | Ducks +1.5 v. Coyotes | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM on the puck-line .(6*, +1.5 goals) While I believe the Ducks have a real shot at the upset, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. The Coyotes are indeed playing well right now. However, lets keep in mind that they're just 8-15 (vs. the money-line) the last 23 times that they'd won their previous three games. Note that three of Arizona's last six were 1-goal wins. The Ducks snapped a 5-game skid last time out, with a 1-goal win. Four of their last six have been deciced by a single goal. All three of this season's meetings were decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" here. |
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03-05-19 | Panthers +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA on the puck-line .(+1.5 goals) While I believe the Panthers have a real shot at the upset, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Florida's last five games have all been decided by a single goal, the last four of those were all 1-goal losses. That skid will have them extremely hungry to get back on track. The Pens are a medicore 4-4 their past eight games and five of those eight were decided by a single goal. Since the start of the 2017 season, these teams have met five times. Four of those were also decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" here. |
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03-05-19 | Blue Jackets v. Devils +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ on the puck-line .(8*, +1.5 goals) While I believe the Devils have a real shot at the upset, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Playing with 'triple revenge,' while also looking to snap a 3-game skid, the Devils are going to be highly motivated. Note that Columbus has dropped three of its last four and that the lone win came by a single goal. The Devils are 8-3 (+7) vs. the money-line after losing their previous three. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" here. |
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03-04-19 | Oilers v. Sabres -122 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* VIOLATOR). When these teams met at Edmonton earlier, the Oilers scored three goals on their first five shots. That led to a convincing 7-2 victory. Playing at home, expect the Sabres to exact some revenge Monday. While the Sabres are a poor 11-18-4 on the road, they're a much better 19-9-4 in their own building. The Oilers, meanwhile, remain below 500 (14-15-5) when playing away from Edmonton. With Friday's home win over Pittsburgh, the Sabres moved to 11-8 (+4.7) when off a loss by two or more goals. Off a 5-2 loss at Toronto on Saturday, expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Monday. |
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03-03-19 | Flyers v. Islanders -148 | 4-1 | Loss | -148 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (8* ANNIHILATOR). While the Flyers are 14-18 on the road, the Isles are 19-13 at home. Off a 3-1 loss to the Caps, note that the Isles are also a solid 8-4 (+5.8) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Flyers beat up on the Devils last time out. However, they're an ugly 4-11 when off a win by two or more goals. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles bouncing back with a big win. |
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03-02-19 | Wild +1.5 v. Flames | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing MINNESOTA on the puck-line (8* ANNIHILATOR, +1.5 goals.) These teams typically play close games when they get together and I'm expecting another tight one this evening. The last meeting was a 2-1 final, the Flames winning at Minnesota, and that makes it three of the past four which have been decided by a single goal. (The other was decided by two.) Currently, the Wild have seen three straight decided by a single goal. As for the Flames, they're off a 2-1 win, their third 1-goal victory in their last four. While a Wild victory is certainly possible, in a game which could well again come down to the final whistle, I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 goals. |
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03-01-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -162 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* PERS FAV). While I won with the Avs in their last game, this is a MUCH tougher venue and I fully expect them to stumble. The Sharks have been on a pattern of alternating wins and losses. Off a loss, expect them to bounce back big here. Not only are the Sharks 36-20 the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, they're also 26-13 (+9.9) after scoring one goal or less and a dominating 47-27 (+14) after allowing four or more goals. While the Avs would love to avenge an earlier January loss, they're only 60-80 their L140 in the 'revenge' role. Price has come down considerably from its opener, providing value. Sharks roll. |
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02-28-19 | Canucks v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the over Canucks/Coyotes (10* TOTAL OF MONTH). Two teams from the Pacific division hungry for a win collide on Thursday night and in my opinion, offense isn’t going to be an issue. The Canucks have several injured players, but they come in well rested after being off since Saturday (3-2 setback to San Jose.) The Coyotes come in with momentum though after a 3-2 victory over the Oilers on Tuesday. But the Canucks have the added incentive of the “double revenge” factor here, having dropped both previous meetings with Arizona (the Coyotes won 4-3 in OT in Vancouver in January.) Both teams are currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, but if either can catch a spark, then a playoff spot is a very real possibility. With each of these teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later. |
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02-28-19 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -174 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Blue Jackets (6* VIOLATOR). The Flyers come in off a satisfying 5-2 win at home over Buffalo on Tuesday, their third straight win. Columbus comes in as the much hungrier side after its 5-2 loss to Pittsburgh. These teams are evenly matched as far as their seasonal numbers are concerned, as note that Philly averages 2.95 goals and it allows 3.33, while Columbus averages 2.78 and it concedes 2.97. But a little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered for the Blue Jackets to get back on track here as they’ve won 19 of the last 26 in this series overall, including 12 of the last 13 vs. the Flyers on home ice (note that the home team has won 20 of the last 29 in the series.) Look for the hungry home side to post a convincing victory here. |
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02-27-19 | Canucks v. Avalanche -172 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Colorado Avalanche (8*). Vancouver ended a losing skid its last time out at the expense of the putrid Ducks, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. The Avs come in on top form though having won four of their last five. Colorado though won’t be lacking for motivation or focus here after falling to the Panthers in OT last time out. The Canucks beat Anaheim 4-1, but it was the first time in four games that they scored over two goals. I think the Canucks take a predictable step back in this difficult road arena. Lay the price, Avs roll. |
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02-27-19 | Flames v. Devils +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Devils on the puck line (8*). Calgary won 3-1 at Long Island just last night and while it’s also won three straight in this series, I think that the Flames finally come up short here vs. this hungry home side. New Jersey can’t take anything for granted here after such a terrible start to the season. But the Devils do come in with momentum/confidence after having won two of their last three games. In a contest which looks like it’ll be decided late (or even in extra time), I’m going to lay the price for the extra goal-and-a-half. Play on the Devils on the puck line. |
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02-27-19 | Oilers +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 2-6 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Oilers on the puck line (8*). Edmonton has been a disaster all year, but it’s still trying to remain competitive and win games. Last time out it fell 3-2 to the Predators in a fourth round shootout on Monday. The Leafs enter having won two straight, most recently a 5-3 victory over the Sabres. Clearly Toronto is the “better” team, but I think the home side does indeed get caught “looking past” its lowly non-conference opponent tonight to its game at the Islanders tomorrow night. I’m laying the reasonable price for the extra goal-and-a-half. Play on the Oilers on the puck line. |
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02-26-19 | Stars v. Golden Knights -165 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 18 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (8* PERSONAL FAVORITE). The Stars acquired Mats Zuccarello from the Rangers on Saturday and he’d set up the game-opening goal for Dallas vs. Chicago on Sunday, before then breaking his arm shortly after trying to block a shot. The Golden Knights shipped some young talent to Ottawa to receive Mark Stone, who was considered by many to be the best two-way player available at the dead-line (Stone averaged more than a point per game with the Senators.) Whether Stone plays in this one or not, I still like the hungry home side here, as it comes in desperate after three straight losses. The Knights go with veteran Marc Andre Fleury in net and while he’s struggled of late, he’s gone 9-5-0 with a 2.28 GAA lifetime vs. the Stars. I’m banking on the hungry home side getting back on the winning track in this favorable matchup. Lay the price, Knights roll. |
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02-26-19 | Sabres +1.5 v. Flyers | 2-5 | Loss | -176 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Sabres on the puck line (8* VIOLATOR). I had a play on the Sabres on the “puck line” last night and while that one came up short in a 5-3 loss in Toronto, I think the hungry visitors on the puck line again tonight is the correct call. Philadelphia enters off an improbable 4-3 OT win over Pittsburgh at home. The Sabres are going with Linus Ullmark in net tonight and he’s been decent on the road this year by going 6-6 with a respectable 2.70 GAA. And note that despite the Flyers somehow beating the Pens last time out, they’re still only 16-16 at home this year, averaging 3.00 goals and allowing 3.19. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success. In a game which I think will be decided late or in extra time, I’m laying the price for the extra goal-and-a-half. |
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02-25-19 | Ducks v. Canucks -135 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Vancouver Canucks. Vancouver still has a mathematical shot at the playoffs, so a visit vs. the hapless Ducks is a golden opportunity to pick up two points. Anaheim is just 5-22 in its last 27. Anaheim comes in off back-to-back deflating 2-1 road losses, most recently in Edmonton. Note that it was the tenth time in 13 games that Anaheim has been held to two or fewer goals (the Ducks own a league-worst 136 total goals scored.) Vancouver draws the line in the sane here after going 1-4-1 over its last six. That includes a poor 1-0 loss to these very Ducks. The Canucks will be especially motivated here after falling 4-0 at home to the Islanders, a game which they had a respectable 36 shots in. I’ll point out as well that Vancouver is 8-4 in its last 12 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. Lay the price, Canucks roll. |
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02-25-19 | Panthers v. Avalanche -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Colorado Avalanche. No upsets here in my opinion, as I think the Avs will take care of business in their own building. Both teams come in on top form, making the “home ice advantage” even more critical in my opinion. The Panthers are 4-1 in their last five, most recently dispatching the lowly Kings. The Avs enter having won four straight over Vegas, Winnipeg, Chicago and Nashville. “We kind of looked ourselves in the mirror,” leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon assessed. “We had to make a decision if we wanted to push for the playoffs or be a lottery team. We haven’t achieved our goal yet. Obviously we have 20 games left, but we’re on the right track so it feels good.” Despite its recent “up-tick” in play of late, I’ll point out that Florida is still just 2-6 in its last eight on the road. I’m expecting the red hot Avs to roll to another victory at home tonight. Lay it. |
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02-25-19 | Sabres +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 3-5 | Loss | -125 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Sabres on the puck-line. In what I expect to be a very tight battle, decided late or even in extra time, I’m going to lay the price here for the extra goal-and-a-half. Buffalo enters off a quality 5-2 home win over Washington, while the Leafs come in off a 6-3 home victory over Montreal. I think it’s definitely significant to note that Sabres’ net minder Carter Hutton is 3-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. Toronto. Frederik Anderson of the Leafs has enjoyed plenty of success against Buffalo throughout his career, but I’ll point out that Toronto is still just 4-6 (-7.2 units) in its last ten vs. teams with losing records. Play on the Sabres on the puck-line. |
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02-24-19 | Blues v. Wild -109 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* BEST BET). St. Louis won 11 straight before suffering a loss to 5-2 loss at Dallas. The Blues got back on track yesterday with a tough 2-1 shootout win over the Bruins, ending Boston’s seven game winning streak. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the visiting side comes into this one with “heavy legs.” These teams plays just last week and the Wild fell 4-0. After losing five straight, the Wild enter having won two straight on the road at the Rangers and Wings. With a night off before two tough ones in Winnipeg and Calgary, I think the home side leaves everything on the ice at it attempts to avenge the earlier loss. All things considered, a great price. Wild roll. |
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02-24-19 | Sharks v. Red Wings +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -180 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Detroit Red Wings puck line (8* VIOLATOR). The Sharks have been on a roll since the All Star game, but the wheels came off the bus in a blowout loss in Columbus Saturday afternoon. I think San Jose will struggle in the second game of the back to back and in the finale of its tough Eastern road swing. Detroit won’t be lacking for motivation here after a 3-2 home loss to Minnesota. Note that San Jose is going with backup goaltender Aaron Dell today and he’s just 4-7 with a 3.66 GAA (note as well that the Sharks are only 17-16 on the road, averaging 3.55 goals and allowing 3.52 in those games.) Detroit is only 12-20 at home, averaging 2.78 goals and allowing 2.97, but the home side catches a break here facing this “dog tired” Sharks side in my opinion. I’m going to lay the price for the extra goal-and-a-half. Play on the wings on the puck line. |
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02-23-19 | Kings v. Panthers -169 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (8* VIOLATOR). Neither team instills much confidence, but I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done vs. its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Panthers come off a loss to Carolina, but they’ll look to bounce back here with Roberto Luongo in net, as he’s 7-4-1 with a 2.42 GAA in 12 starts at home this year. A date vs. the hapless Kings is just what the doctor ordered for Florida as well as they’ve lost six straight. Kings’ goaltender Jon Quick has been a disaster all year and he’s struggled even more since the All Star break. I’m giving Luongo the clear “nod” in this matchup and for me, that’s the difference maker here. Lay the price, Panthers roll. |
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02-22-19 | Jets v. Golden Knights -142 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -142 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Both teams have been a complete disaster of late. Each team desperately needs a victory to start to turn things around. But this “means more” to the Knights in my opinion. Despite their recent three-game slide, the Jets are still No. 1 in the Central. Winnipeg has been dealing with a flu bug, which has likely contributed to its shoddy play of late. Regardless, the Jets have indeed struggled of late, especially on the offensive by averaging only 2.25 GPG over their last eight. Note that Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 1-2 with a 4.40 GAA lifetime vs. the Knights. Las Vegas net-minder Marc Andre Fleury is 21-6 with a 2.32 GAA lifetime vs. the Jets. Las Vegas still has an eight point lead over ninth place Chicago, but it won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing nine of its last 12. Note that the Jets are just 3-8 in their last 11 a road dog, while Vegas is 24-6 in its last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. All things consider, this line could/should be a lot larger in my opinion. Lay it, Vegas rolls. |
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02-21-19 | Coyotes v. Canucks -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
I’m playing on (10*) on the Vancouver Canucks. I think that Arizona has a letdown here after its 3-2 shootout road win in Edmonton Tuesday. The Canucks will look to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to bounce back from a tough 3-2 road loss in San Jose on Saturday night. This is an in-season double revenge scenario for the Canucks as well, having dropped both previous meetings to the Coyotes so far, including a 4-3 OT home loss in the most recent on January 10th. Additionally note that Arizona is still only 7-12 (-4 units) this year following a division game. I think the Canucks bounce back from their latest loss and take advantage of a few extra days rest. All things considered, a great price. Lay it, Canucks roll. |
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02-21-19 | Senators v. Devils -136 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the New Jersey Devils. Neither side instills much confidence, but the Senators come to town off an exhausting/deflating 8-7 loss to the Blackhawks on Monday and I fully expect a predictable letdown here. Sens’ net minder Anders Nilsson gave up four goals on 12 shots, before getting replaced by Craig Anderson, who allowed four goals on 30 shots. The Devils’ two game win streak ended with a 4-3 loss to the Penguins last time out. New Jersey though is 7-2 in its last nine home games after allowing four goals or more, while Ottawa is just 3-7 (-2.5 units) this year when playing with two days of rest. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the price, Devils roll. |
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02-21-19 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs -160 | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto stumbled down the stretch of its Western swing, losing its final two, including an OT loss in St. Louis on Tuesday. Perhaps the Leafs were getting caught looking ahead to this one. The favorite is 20-7 the last 27 in this series and I expect that strong trend to continue here as I believe a little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered for the Leafs. Washington has been on a roll of late, but it’s still only 2-5 in its last seven on the road and just 1-5 in its last six following a victory. I’m banking on Toronto coming into this one focused. Lay the price, Leafs roll. |
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02-20-19 | Bruins v. Golden Knights -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
I’m playing on (10*) the Las Vegas Golden Knights. After winning six straight, including a controversial OT victory in San Jose last time out, I believe the Bruins will finally falter here. The Knights lost in Boston 4-1 earlier in the year and they’ll be desperate to avenge that setback, but more to get back on the winning track after losing eight of their last 11. Clearly this isn’t the “same” Golden Knights team as last year’s club, but the overall situation is overwhelmingly in favor of the home side in my opinion (additionally note that Vegas is 9-2, +7.4 units this season after scoring 1 goals or less in its previous contest.) Lay the price, Knights roll. |
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02-20-19 | Islanders v. Flames -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Calgary Flames. Both teams have been a “surprise” this year. The Islanders more so as they hit the West Coast as No. 1 in the Metropolitan. The Isles are off a 5-2 win in Edmonton, but I believe they’ll have their hands full here finally vs. the red hot Flames, who most recently routed Arizona at home 5-2 on Monday. With much more “winnable” games on the horizon (Vancouver), I believe the visitors come out flat here. It’s interesting to note as well that the Isles are already just 1-4 (-3.1 units) this season when playing with three or more days of rest. The Flames on the other hand are 15-7 (+8.8 units) in their last 22 vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Calgary rolls. |