Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-24-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. After losing a close one in the opener, the Leafs bounced back and hammered the Habs in Game 2. I backed them in that 5-1 win and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Canadiens are now 0-5 their last five, with one day's rest in between games. They're also 0-4 the past four times that they had scored two goals or less in their previous game. Meanwhile, Toronto is 6-1 its last seven against a team which scored two goals or less. The Leafs are also 20-6 the past 26 times that they allowed two goals or less in their previous game. As I mentioned in Game 2, " ... While Game 1 reminded everyone that the playoffs are entirely different beast, we can't ignore the fact that the Leafs were the best team in the division the entire season while the Canadiens had just the 18th most points in the league ... " Look for the favorite to move to 25-9 the last 34 in this rivalry. |
|||||||
05-23-21 | Oilers -127 v. Jets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Obviously, this isn't what the Oilers had hoped for. I'm not ready to write them off yet though. They've still got arguably the best player in the world playing for them and they're not about to go down without a fight. The reality is that this series could easily be tied or even 2-0 in favor of the Oilers. Its been that close. As Edmonton's Leon Draisait noted: "It's tight. It really could go either way. The bounces haven’t really been in our favour. That's the way it goes. That's playoff hockey. Eventually they're going to go our way." That said, I expect the Oilers to work harder than ever to "earn" those bounces. Coach Tippett commented: "You earn your breaks. We're not sitting here crying that we're not getting breaks. They’ve scored two goals off of deflections — one of them deflected off (Adam) Larsson. They’ve got those goals. We haven’t. We still have to work to get those goals. We're not sitting here thinking, 'Everything is all right. We’re just not getting breaks.' There are things we can do to help earn those breaks." The road team is now 5-0 the last five in this series. Oilers bounce back. |
|||||||
05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -220 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing WASHINGTON on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) The Capitals have dug themselves a hole and it won't be easy to climb out of it. That said, I don't expect them to go down without a fight. None of yesterday's games were close but we've already seen numerous examples of the value of getting an extra +1.5 goals in the playoffs. In fact, the first three meetings of this series all went to OT. The Bruins have seen six of their past seven decided by a single goal. The Caps have seen five of their past six decided by a single goal. The home team has had success recently when these teams meet. Season on the line, expect the desperate Caps to bounce back with at least a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -162 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Canadiens drew first blood in this Original Six showdown, scoring a 2-1 upset victory. The Leafs lost more than the game. Losing Tavares is, of course, a blow. However, the Leafs have more than enough left to bounce back against their oldest rival. Toronto is still 8-3 the past 11 meetings here. Overall, the favorite has won 23 of the past 32. The Habs are 1-6 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. They're also 0-4 their last four, when playing with one day's rest in between games. While Game 1 reminded everyone that the playoffs are entirely different beast, we can't ignore the fact that the Leafs were the best team in the division the entire season while the Canadiens had just the 18th most points in the league. I say Toronto bounces back. |
|||||||
05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 33 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Off a loss in the opener, we're going to see the best from the Oilers in Game 2. Even with that loss, the Oilers are still 6-1 their last seven against the Jets. The Oilers won those previous six games by a dominating 21-8 margin. As for the Jets, they're just 1-6 the last seven times that they played with one day's rest in between games. Keep in mind that the Oilers had a 33-20 edge in shots in Game 1. So, they didn't play as poorly as the score makes it sound. Captain McDavid commented: "I actually didn't mind our game. I thought we did a lot of good things. I thought we had the puck a lot of the night, played in their zone, put a lot of pucks there. Just didn't find a way to get one. That's the way it goes. They get a tip (Dominic Toninato's tiebreaking third-period goal), we don't. That's playoff hockey." Also, note that the favorite has won five of the past seven meetings. The Oilers were the better team down the stretch and they haven't dropped three straight for many weeks. After getting held pointless in the opener, look for McDavid to lead his team to victory in this one. |
|||||||
05-20-21 | Panthers +1.5 v. Lightning | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing FLORIDA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Needless to say, the Panthers have dug themselves a big hole. It'll be tough to dig themselves out of it, against the defending champs. That doesn't mean that they won't go down without a fight though. This is a talented team which has a great year. The first game was right there, either team could have won. In the second game, the Panthers were arguably the better team for the final 40 minutes; it just wasn't enough to overcome an early deficit. Prior to that 3-1 loss, the Panthers had won three of the five previous meetings and the two TB wins both came by a single goal. Even with the Game 2 loss, the Panthers are still a healthy 15-8 (+7.6) vs. the moneyline in the revenge role. In these playoffs, we've already seen numerous examples of how important getting an extra +1.5 goals is. Expect a desperate Florida team to leave it all on the ice, en route to AT LEAST the "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
05-19-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nashville/Carolina UNDER the total. The opener was high-scoring (5-2 Carolina) but I'm expecting a much lower-scoring Game 2. Even off the Game 1 result, the UNDER remains a healthy 4-1 the past five times that the Predators were listed as road underdogs. Its also worth noting that the UNDER is 4-0-1 the past five times that the Preds were off a loss of three or more goals. As for the Canes, they've seen the UNDER go 5-1 the past six times that they scored five or more goals in their previous game. The UNDER is also 5-1 the past six times that they played with one day's rest in between games. Prior to Game 1, the previous four meetings between these teams all finished with five or fewer combined goals. Expect this one to do the same. |
|||||||
05-18-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights have had trouble against the Wild over the years. So, it wasn't surprising that Minnesota gave them all that they can handle in Game 1. That said, the Knights still played well and it took a heroic effort from Cam Talbot for the Wild to score the upset. Down a game, we're going to see the best of the Knights in Game 2. This is a very strong Vegas team, one which has consistently responded to poor offensive efforts. Considering that they're a perfect 6-0 the past six times that they scored two goals or less in their previous game, I'm expecting them to solve Talbot in this one. Remember, the Knights had a +67 goal differential this season, best in the entire NHL. Expect them to bounce back. |
|||||||
05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -132 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down a game, we'll get the best of Crosby and co. tonight. The Pens are a dominant 17-4 (+12.2) their last 21 in the revenge role, 5-1 their last six when attempting to avenge a home loss. Though it didn't mean much in Game 1, home ice has been extremely significant for both teams during the regular season. The Isles were a dominant 21-7 at home but just 11-17 on the road. Likewise, the Pens were a mediocre 15-13 on the road but a dominant 22-6 here at home. The Isles obviously want more but they've already accomplished their mission by earning at least a split in these games. That's all they're going to get, too. Pens bounce back and even the series. |
|||||||
05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY/Pittsburgh UNDER the total. While the first game was high-scoring, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring Game 2. Yes, we have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, however, I feel that price is well worth it. Keep in mind that the UNDER is 12-7 the past 19 times that the Pens played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5 and a profitable 18-7 the past 25 times that the Isles played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Overall, Islander road games are averaging a mere 4.6 combined goals. Prior to Game 1, two of the previous three meetings had finished with three or fewer combined goals. Throw in the fact the UNDER is a perfect 5-0 the past five times that the Pens were trailing in a playoff series and I'm expecting goals to be few and far between. |
|||||||
05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -178 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Home ice hasn't meant a great deal in these playoffs yet. However, it tends to be significant when these teams play each other and I expect that to be the case on Monday night. The Canes recently lost a pair of games at Nashville (3-1 on 5/8 and 5-0 on 5/10) and they're 8-11 their last 19 there. However, they're 4-0 the last four meetings here at Carolina, 7-1 the past eight and 10-2 the past 12. This season, the Canes were a dominant 20-8 (20-3-5) on home ice; the Preds were 13-15 on the road. Despite winning their division, the Canes are flying under the radar, a little. They very nearly led the league in points and they had fewer regulation losses than any team in hockey. Expect them to draw first blood, moving to a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they faced an opponent which scored five or more goals in its previous game. |
|||||||
05-17-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 4-3 | Win | 120 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Washington OVER the total. Though I won with the 'under' in the opening game, I felt a little fortunate to do so. The Caps have questions in goal and the Bruins are surely going to be hungry to bounce back. The Caps aren't likely to be held down completely though; they've scored at least two goals in six straight games and they're averaging 3.4 goals per game on the season. In other words, if Boston wants to win, its very likely going to need to score more than two goals. The OVER is 9-4-1 the past 14 times that the Caps had seen their previous three games finish below the number. Expect those stats to improve tonight. |
|||||||
05-16-21 | Flames v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Calgary/Vancouver OVER the total. With the playoffs having started, its going to be hard for these teams to bring much intensity. I expect the game to have an All Star type feel (minus the All Stars) to it and for that to lead to a relatively high-scoring affair. The OVER is 18-12 when the Canucks have played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Calgary's last visit here saw the teams combine for seven goals. Expect more of the same tonight. |
|||||||
05-16-21 | Wild +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing MINNESOTA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Yesterday's playoff opener between the Bruins and Capitals went to OT, demonstrating the value of having an extra +1.5 goal to work with. This should be another close one. Indeed, the last five meetings between these teams were all decided by a single goal. The Knights won the most recent, 3-2 in OT. However, the Wild won the previous five meetings, the last four of those wins coming by a single goal. It goes back further, too. The Wild have dominated them since the Knights came into the league. The Knights are a really good team but beating their nemesis will not be easy. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" for the Wild in this one. |
|||||||
05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on Bos/Washington UNDER the total. If this one proves low-scoring, as I expect, totals in this series could easily be five, going forward. For now, however, we're getting to work with an O/U line of 5.5. I feel that's providing excellent value and its an entirely possible that extra half goal proves the difference. Note that the UNDER is 16-10 when Boston played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. With only 2.4 goals allowed (both at home and on the road) per game, the Bruins are one of the stingiest teams in the league. Only the Islanders and Vegas allow fewer goals. Boston road games average 5.1 goals. Three of the past five meetings have finished with five or fewer combined goals. Expect this one to do the same. |
|||||||
05-13-21 | Canucks v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Vancouver OVER the total. The OVER is a profitable 20-8-5 over the years when the Canucks have visited here. With neither team going to the playoffs, there's little reason for much defense in this one either. After getting blanked last time out, the Canucks will be anxious to light the lamp. The OVER is 3-0-2 the past five times that they were off a game where they scored two goals or less. The Flames scored six themselves last game and they'll be licking their chops at the chance to pad their stats against a Vancouver team which just gave up five. The last two meetings had six and seven combined goals. Expect another high-scoring affair. |
|||||||
05-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line. (-1.5 goals) The Avs have played a number of close ones recently, including a pair of 1-goal games against these same Kings. I say they put it all together for a more "lopsided" victory this evening though. The Kings are off an OT loss (2-1) in their home finale. That was against a St. Louis team locked into fourth. Tonight, however, they'll face a Colorado team with much to play for. Note that LA is a dismal 1-12 its last 13, after allowing two or fewer goals in its previous game. The Avs have fought hard to put themselves in this position. They're 6-1 their past seven, when playing the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight, picking up the "puck-line cover" along the way. |
|||||||
05-11-21 | Canucks v. Jets -173 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. After having lost to these same Canucks last night, the Jets will be all business here. The last thing they want to do is be on a losing streak before they start the playoffs. The Canucks will still play some meaningless games after this - so, this isn't their final kick at the can. While the Jets are a modest 4-3 when playing the second of b2b games, the Canucks are an ugly 1-7 in that situation. Due to having missed all the time from Covid, the Canucks have been playing a lot of games. This will be their 13th game since 4/20. During that span, the Jets have played 10. Expect all those minutes to catch up to the Canucks in the b2b spot, the Jets closing out their season with a "W." |
|||||||
05-11-21 | Bruins v. Capitals -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. This is essentially a meaningless game as these teams are locked into a first round matchup against each other. Still, the situation favors the Capitals. Boston is off a hard-fought OT win last night and there's little reason to go hard again tonight. Note that the Bruins are just 3-6 (-8) when playing the second of b2b games. Going back further finds them at a money-buring 17-19 (-13.2) in that situation. The Caps, on the other hand, are well-rested. They had the past couple of nights off. With Boston having pounded them the last meeting (after Washington did the same to Boston the previous game) expect the Caps to take this one, moving to 15-8 (+6.9) in the 'revenge' role. |
|||||||
05-10-21 | Canucks v. Jets -169 | 3-1 | Loss | -169 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Jets are looking to build momentum for the playoffs, the Canucks are playing out the string. Due to all their games missed from Covid, even when other teams, like the Jets, are playing meaningful games, they'll still be playing meaningless ones. I expect that reality to start setting in and for them to have trouble matching the Jets' intensity tonight. The Jets are 20-12 their last 32 against losing teams and they'll be hungry to bounce back, after a loss to the Sens. They've dominated the Canucks the past few meetings, winning by a combined score of 14-3. All signs point to another Jets win this evening. |
|||||||
05-10-21 | Stars -130 v. Blackhawks | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. These teams are strictly playing for pride. Dallas had higher expectations this season and had just saw its postseason chances officially killed over the weekend. So, its not that surprising that the Stars were a little flat yesterday. They still have a talent edge in this matchup though and yesterday's loss will provide some added motivation today. The Hawks are dealing with a ton of injuries and all those absences will be felt tonight, when playing their second game in two days. The last time Chicago played the second of b2b games, it allowed six goals. Stars bounce back. |
|||||||
05-10-21 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY/Boston UNDER the total. These teams have long played low-scoring games against each other and the last two meetings between these teams had scores of 3-0 and 4-1. Along with Vegas and Carolina, these are two of the four stingiest teams in the league. Boston allows 2.4 goals per game. The Islanders allow 2.3. (Vegas allows 2.3 and Carolina allows 2.4.) While we have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, note that the UNDER is a profitable 18-6 when NY played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Going back further finds the UNDER at 44-18 in Islander road games, with an O/U line of 5.5. The UNDER is also 10-4 when Boston allowed four or more goals in its previous game. Going back further finds the UNDER at 41-22-3 the last few years, when Boston had allowed four or more goals. Expect another low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames -190 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Senators have really been a thorn in the side of the Flames this season. Me too, lately. This evening, however, Calgary gets a final chance for some payback. Schedule and venue in their favor, I fully expect the Flames to make the most of that chance. While the Flames are well-rested, the Sens are off a game at Winnipeg last night. They're 0-9 when playing the second of b2b games, 8-30 (-16.4) their last 38 in that situation. I actually played against Calgary in its last game, a 4-0 loss. The Flames are 11-5 their last 16, after allowing four or more goals though. Going back further finds them at a profitable 45-24 (+17.2) in that situation. Calgary rolls. |
|||||||
05-08-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Wings took yesterday's game. Playing with immediate revenge and playing their home finale, I expect the Jackets to respond. Keep in mind that Detroit is just 3-9 its past 12, after scoring four or more. Going back further finds the Wings at 9-25 their last 34, when playing the second of b2b games. In a game like this, with nothing except pride at stake, usually, the team which wants it more is the team which finishes on top. The Jackets have certainly been the bigger underachievers. Tonight, however, look for them to be the team which wants it more. Jackets "dig deep" and get the "W." |
|||||||
05-08-21 | Devils v. Islanders -222 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. The Devils are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Isles are playing their reg. season finale and they're off three straight losses, the most recent coming against these same Devils. They are NOT going to want to lose again. Keep in mind that the Isles are a dominant 20-7 here on the season. While the Devils are 9-21 their last 30 against winning teams, the Isles are 15-6 their last 21 againt losing teams. Expect them to be all business in this one. |
|||||||
05-08-21 | Senators v. Jets -170 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I lost with the Jets when these teams met recently, at Ottawa. The Jets thoroughly outplayed the Sens but couldn't beat a hot goalie. Winnipeg, however, would follow up that disappointing loss by thumping Calgary in its last game. The losing streak in the rearview mirror and with a chance to get some payback against the pesky Sens, I fully expect another victory this evening. Both teams play with two day's rest in between games. However, while the Sens are 11-25 (-9.2) their last 36, when playing with two day's rest, the Jets are 19-11 (+5.8) when doing so, during the same stretch. The Sens have been dismal on the road and give up more than four (4.1) goals per game away from Ottawa. The Jets are a lucrative 47-39 (+10.9) in the revenge role the past few seaons, 13-8 (+6.7) their last 21. Payback time. |
|||||||
05-07-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets OVER 5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/Columbus OVER the total. Recent Red Wing games have been low-scoring including a 1-0 game the last time these teams met. Those results have worked in our favor by keeping this O/U line nice and low. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that 16 of the past 17 meetings have had O/U lines of 5.5 or higher. The Wings give up 3.0 goals per game while the Jackets give up 3.3. After facing stingier teams (Columbus played Nashville, while Detroit faced Tampa) both offenses should welcome the chance to face another non-playoff team which allows more scoring chances. Columbus scored four goals last time out, a 4-2 win over the Predators. In their previous game, the Jackets allowed four, a 4-3 loss. The OVER is 9-2 the last 11 times that the Jackets played with one day's rest in between games and 7-1 the Jackets' last eight home games. While there's always a chance of a push, when playing with an O/U line of five, I feel that this one has a greater chance at producing more than five goals than it does less than five. |
|||||||
05-05-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Kings won 3-2 here a couple of nights ago. Tonight, I expect the revenge-minded Coyotes to return the favor. While Monday's loss effectively killed any remaining hope the Coyotes had of making the playoffs, they still have plenty to play for. For starters, they're still mathematically alive, as they're within five points of the Blues with three games remaining. While catching them isn't realistic, they'll give everything they've got tonight. Added motivation stems from the fact that this is their home finale. It may not be a normal season but they still want to close things out at home with a "W." With the Kings just 12-25 (-9.9) their last 37, when playing their previous three on the road, look for the Coyotes to take this one. |
|||||||
05-05-21 | Jets +109 v. Flames | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets cost me last game. However, it certainly wasn't from lack of effort. Really, they played quite well. They just ran into a very hot goalie, which will happen in hockey sometimes. That said, a similar effort will generally lead to a victory. They're going to be extremely motivated to snap their skid tonight, as they can't afford to keep losing right before the playoffs. While the Flames are 10-17 (-7.2) their last 27 against teams with a winning record, the Jets are 19-11 (+6) their last 30 against teams with a losing record. The Jets, who got Lowry back last game, are also 27-19 (+8) their last 46, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and score the minor upset this evening. |
|||||||
05-04-21 | Islanders v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY/Buffalo UNDER 5.5 goals. Last night's game snuck over the number with six goals, a 4-2 upset win for the Sabres. Don't expect it to happen again. Even counting that result, the UNDER is still a lucrative 18-5 the past 23 times that the Isles played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Prior to last night, they'd seen just eight combined goals scored in their previous three games. Scores of 1-0, 4-0 and 3-0. The UNDER is a profitable 9-1 the past 10 times that the Isles were off a loss by two or more goals. While the Isles have seen the UNDER go 5-2 when playing the second of b2b games, the Sabres have seen the UNDER go 8-4-1 when doing so. Look for a low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
05-03-21 | Jets -152 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -152 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. On the surface, this might appear like two teams heading in opposite directions. The Senators, to their credit, have continued to fight hard, despite the fact that they won't be going to the playoffs. In fact, they're 5-2 their last seven games and they picked up a point in one of those two losses. The Jets, on the other hand, have gone through the motions recently and they're 0-6 their last six games. Yes, they're already locked into a spot but I expect the Jets to play with a sense or urgency tonight. They absolutely can't afford to enter the playoffs like this and this is a perfect chance to pick up a win. Sure, the Sens have won two of three. However, those two wins came against a Vancouver team which was also essentially playing out the string and which had recently dealt with the NHL's worst bout of Covid. In their last game against Montreal, the Sens were catching an exhausted Montreal team. Yet, as that game got into the third period, the Habs dominated. Indeed, the Sens are still a bad team and when a superior opponent plays with its top intensity, the Sens are unable to match them. Thats what I expect to be the case tonight. Winnipeg hopes to have Lowry back in the lineup tonight, after he's missed the past four games. He'd be a huge boost but with or without him, Winnipeg is coming to play. The Jets have won four of their last five visits here and they're 8-2 the last 10 meetings in the series overall. The Jets, who have been better on the road than at home this season, are also 3-0 the past three times that they played with two day's rest in between games and 19-10 (+7.5) against teams with a losing record. They stop the bleeding tonight. |
|||||||
05-02-21 | Lightning -1.5 v. Red Wings | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing TAMPA on the puck-line (-1.5 goals.) Having just lost to the Wings yesterday and having also been beaten 5-1 by them in the previous matchup, the Lightning will be all business this afternoon. They won't let this one get past regulation. Yesterday's win notwithstanding, the Wings are not a good team. Even factoriing in yesterday's loss, the Lightning are still 12-3 their past 15, when playing with revenge. Remarkably, they're also 27-4 the past 31 times that they had scored one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats, while picking up the "puck-line cover" along the way. |
|||||||
05-01-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver/Toronto OVER the total. The majority of recent O/U lines between these teams have been set at 6.5. We're working with a lower number here. Given that I'm expecting a high-scoring affair, I feel that's providing us with excellent line value. The Canucks aren't going to the playoffs. Any hope of that was killed by the bout with Covid. Now that they can stop pretending, the pressure is off. That should lead to a relatively loosely played game. While the Canucks have allowed 10 goals in their last two games alone, the Leafs have scored four or more goals in four straight games. Expect the Leafs to get at least four once again but this time, pressure off, look for the revenge-minded Canucks to score more than one themselves. |
|||||||
04-30-21 | Sharks v. Avalanche -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) The Sharks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 5-2 setback at Vegas, their third straight loss, the Avs are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they'd won five straight, prior to the three games skid. Four of those five wins came by multiple goals. The Sharks have won b2b games. However, prior to that "win streak," they'd lost eight straight. Six of those eight losses came by multiple goals. Speaking of lopsided results, games between these teams haven't been too close. Four 2021 meetings have had scores of 7-3, 3-0, 6-2 and 4-0. The Sharks won the 4-2 game, the Avs won the other three. I see an angry Avs team pulling away for another multiple goal victory tonight. |
|||||||
04-29-21 | Blues v. Wild -144 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. After blowing a lead and losing last night to these same Blues, the Wild are going to be in an angry mood tonight. I expect them to get some immediate revenge. While both teams are obviously playing their second game in two days, the Blues are also playing their third game in the past four. That's not the case for the Wild. Prior to last night, they had three days off. So, fatigue may not be quite as much a factor for them. Also, keep in mind that the Wild are an excellent 6-2 (+3.8) when playing the second of b2b games. The Blues are just 4-5 when doing so. With the Wild also 5-1 the last six times that they attempted to avenge a home loss, I see them bouncing right back and improving on those stats this evening. |
|||||||
04-28-21 | Oilers v. Jets +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -228 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing WINNIPEG on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While I absolutely like the Jets to win this game "outright," I'm also expecting a tightly contested game. The Oilers have had their number and they just hammered them a couple of nights ago. The Jets are going to be extremely motivated to get back on track and to get some payback but the Oilers aren't likely to go down without a fight. While the Jets have tomorrow off, the Oilers will host their archrival tomorrow night; the Flames beat them 5-0 the last meeting. If there's ever a team to look ahead to, that's the one for them. They lost 4-0 to Montreal the last time they played a game, prior to "hosting" the Flames. The Jets have been excellent on the "puck-line" all season and these teams have already played four 1-goal games against each other in 2021 alone. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line" cover from the revenge-minded Jets in this one. |
|||||||
04-27-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -136 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Blue Jackets have had a very tough stretch of games. Not only were their last six on the road but they came against Tampa, Florida and Dallas. Prior to that, they'd had two competitive games against Chicago but those were preceded by more games against the Lightning and Panthers. Needless to say, they were outmatched in those games. Tonight, however, they take a big step down in class to host the Red Wings. I believe that they still match up well against this team and I expect them to be very hungry to snap their skid. Note that the Jackets score 3.0 goals per game at home while the Wings score just 2.2 gpg on the road. The home team has won the past four meetings; the Jackets won 4-1 the last time that the teams played here. Jackets stop the bleeding. |
|||||||
04-26-21 | Oilers v. Jets -106 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I really like how this one sets up for the home team. Off a 4-1 loss to the Leafs on Saturday, the Jets have dropped three straight. They're going to be extremely hungry. Added motivation comes from the fact that the Oilers have beaten them in four straight meetings. Note that the Jets are 7-2 (+6.6) the past nine times that they'd dropped their previous three games. During that span, they're also 27-16 (+11.2) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. They're also 13-6 (+8.8) their last 19 in the 'revenge' role. The Oilers haven't played since 4/21. Note that they're just 3-11 (-9.4) the past 14 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. It all adds up to a win for Winnipeg. |
|||||||
04-24-21 | Canadiens v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/Calgary UNDER the total. These teams played last night. The game started out quickly, as it was 2-2 by the end of the first period. However, it slowed right down after that. Only two more goals were scored and one of them came with eight seconds left, on the empty net. In this, the second of three consecutive games between these teams, I expect them to pick up where they left off - with the same lower-scoring pace we saw in the second and third periods. Note that the UNDER is 7-3-1 the past 11 times that Calgary scored four or more goals in its previous game. Montreal, meanwhile, has seen the UNDER go 10-4-1 the past 15 times that it allowed four or more goals, in their previous game. Even with last night's game finishing above the total, the UNDER is still 10-2-1 the last 13 meetings. In what should feel like a playoff like atmosphere, minus the fans, expect another relatively low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
04-23-21 | Canadiens v. Flames -108 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. This is the first of three straight meetings between these teams. They'll play tomorrow and again on Monday. They just split a pair of games last week, too. Off b2b losses and looking up at the Canadiens in the standings, I expect to see a very determined Calgary team tonight. Indeed, this is desperation time for the Flames. They need to sweep this series to keep their faint playoff chances alive. While the sweep is obviously a tall order, I do expect the very best from the Flames tonight. Calgary's Chris Tanev commented: "I think for most guys, everyone's tuned in to what's going on and exactly what needs to happen." The Canadiens, who are off a 4-3 win, are just 30-42 (-17.9) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals. The Flames, who are off a 4-2 loss, are 44-23 (+17.4) during the same span, after allowing four or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
|||||||
04-22-21 | Maple Leafs -128 v. Jets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. After dropping both games at Vancouver, the Leafs have now lost five straight. Enough's enough. The losing stops this evening. A trip to Winnipeg figures to be just what the doctor ordered. The Leafs have won their last five games here, outscoring the Jets by a combined score of 22-9 in those games. The Jets did beat the Leafs in the most recent meeting, which was at Toronto. That's noteworthy as the Leafs are 9-1 the past 10 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. While the Jets are well-rested, having last playe on 4/17, they're just 5-10 the past 15 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, 1-3 their last four. Expect the highly motivated Leafs to continue their success here. |
|||||||
04-21-21 | Canadiens v. Oilers -132 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams just played a couple of nights ago. Edmonton won 4-1. Montreal led that game 1-0 midway through the third period though and had previously dominated the Oilers. I like the way that Edmonton rallied late and "got the monkey off their back" by beating the pesky Habs. I feel thats the type of victory that will build positive momentum. Edmonton's Ethan Bear had this to say on McDavid's third period goal: "We held the line, didn't let them get in. We came back as five,. There was a turnover, and Connor just does his thing. That's what makes us dangerous." The fact is that the Oilers have been much better than the Habs, who are without Price, on the season. Edmonton scores more goals and allows less. The line could easily be higher and it should be. Oilers win, again. |
|||||||
04-20-21 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Canucks | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing TORONTO on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) After getting hammered worse than any other team by Covid, the Canucks returned and scored the upset against the Leafs. Don't expect it to happen again. Many of the Canucks did indeed feel the virus more than other teams, perhaps the Brazil variant being to blame. They're still extremely short-handed and beating the top team in the division twice in a row like that is highly unlikely. Of course, thats why the Leafs are such heavy favorites on the moneyline. Still, we get them at a very fair price on the puck-line and I don't see this one being all that close. The Leafs, 13-3 their last 16 when playing with revenge, should jump all over their outmatched hosts right out of the gate. Expect the effects of all the off-time to catch up with the Canucks here, the Leafs bouncing back and winning by multiple goals. |
|||||||
04-19-21 | Senators v. Flames -205 | 4-2 | Loss | -205 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Sens have actually beaten the Flames the past few meetings. There is no way that Calgary can afford to let it happen again. Two of those three wins were at Ottawa. The Sens are worse on the road and the Flames are better at home. Calgary has still won three of the past four meetings here and 11 of the past 14. The Sens, who are off a 4-0 upset win, are 0-6 the past six times that they were off a win by two or more goals, an ugly 8-32 their last 40 in that situation. Meanwhile, the Flames are 3-0 when playing with two day's rest in between games. Calgary gets some payback and a much-needed two points. |
|||||||
04-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators -136 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off b2b losses against a tough Carolina team, the Preds will be happy to step down in class to take on Chicago. Indeed, they've dominated the Black Hawks. They're a perfect 5-0 this season and 6-1 the last seven meetings, here at Nashville. Beating teams like Chicago and losing against teams like Carolina has been the norm for Nashville this season. While they've consistently struggled against winning teams, they've consistently beaten losing teams. In fact, they're 19-4 against teams with a losing record. I feel that the price could easily be higher and I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
|||||||
04-19-21 | Blue Jackets v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on Columbus/Florida OVER the total. The Panthers can score goals in bunches and the Blue Jackets can give them up in bunches. The Panthers scored five goals themselves last time out. Note that the OVER is a profitable 50-34-3 the past few seasons, when they were off a game where they scored four or more goals. The Jackets have given up four or more goals in five straight games now, an average of 4.6 per game during that stretch. Three of the last four meetings have produced a minimum of six combined goals. I expect this one to get there, too. |
|||||||
04-17-21 | Devils +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-6 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing NJ on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Rangers heavy favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Devils for a very reasonable price. In a game that should be tight, that extra +1.5 goals could well prove invaluable. These rivals will meet for the third straight time. Having dropped the first two of those games, the Devils should be motivated to avoid getting "swept." Note that the Devils are actually 3-1 here at MSG, since March of 2020. The Rangers are just 21-33 (-9.5 vs. ml) the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During that span, the Devils were a profitable 21-19 (+10.6 vs. ml) when off three or more consec. losses. Look for them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
04-17-21 | Capitals v. Flyers +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -199 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puckline (+1.5 goals) The Flyers have a score to settle in this one. Not only have the Capitals beaten them four straight times, but the Caps also embarrassed them by a 6-1 score in the most recent meeting. Since that 4/13 beating, the Flyers responded with a 2-1 shootout win over Pittsburgh, the type of win they can build some momentum from. The Caps, on the other hand, check in off an upset loss to lowly Buffalo. While that 5-2 loss marked their third staight "lopsided" result, the Caps had seen four of their previous five decided by a single goal. The Flyers have seen five of their last eight decided by a single goal. I'm expecting another tight one, the revenge minded Flyers bringing their best effort and earning AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
04-16-21 | Sharks v. Wild UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ/Minnesota UNDER the total. While the Wild have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, a date with the Sharks should change that. San Jose has scored just three goals in its last three goals combined. Recent meetings have been relatively high-scoring. However, three of the last four have been at San Jose. Games between these teams at Minnesota tend to be lower-scoring. In fact, the UNDER is 7-1-1 the past nine meetings here. While the UNDER is 4-1 the Sharks' past five as a road underdog, the UNDER is also 7-1 in Minnesota's last eight as a home favorite. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
04-15-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -118 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Islanders have had their number so far this season, as the Bruins are just 0-3-2 (0-5 vs. the ml) in five meetings. Only one of those came here at Boston though and that one went to OT. That's noteworthy as the Islanders are much better at home than they are on the road. Indeed, they're 18-2-2 (18-4) at home but 9-9-2 (9-11) on the road. In fact, they only average 2.2 goals per road game, while giving up 2.5. The Bruins, meanwhile, outscored teams by an average of 2.9 to 2.7, here at Boston. Enough's enough, the Bruins need to beat this team. Venue in their favor and Rask back between the pipes, I expect them to do so tonight. |
|||||||
04-14-21 | Ducks v. Sharks -173 | 4-1 | Loss | -173 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. The Ducks blanked the Sharks 4-0 on Monday. Don't expect it to happen again. While the Sharks are 7-3 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, the Ducks are 0-3, after shutting out their opponent. They're 2-6 their last eight in that situation. The Sharks have been far more competitive overall than the Ducks this season. Importantly, they're much healthier than Anaheim at the moment, as the Ducks are dealing with numerous injuries. Anaheim's goalie Anthony Stolarz "stood on his head" on Monday, as he made 46 saves in earning the shutout. (SJ had a 46-21 edge in shots.) Gibson is expected to be between the pipes tonight though and they won't be able to count on a similar performance. Payback time. |
|||||||
04-14-21 | Jets -165 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Sens beat the Jets 4-2 on Monday. Don't expect it to happen again. Ottawa is 0-5 off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds the Sens at a dismal 8-31 their last 39 in that situation. The Jets, meanwhile, are 6-2 (+4.6) off a loss of two or more goals. They're also 8-3 (+6.2) after allowing four or more in their previous game. Additionally, they're 11-4 (+8.3) in the revenge role. Note that the Sens are an ugly 18-45 (-20.4) during that span, after scoring four or more. The Jets can't afford another loss to the Sens. Not with the Leafs waiting for them tomorrow. Expect them to bounce back and get some payback. |
|||||||
04-13-21 | Sabres v. Bruins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing BOSTON on the puck-line (-1.5 goals) Since snapping their marathon losing streak, the Sabres have been playing a bit better. Tonight, however, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. When I say a "bit better," the Sabres really had only one way to go. So, a bit really means "a little bit." They're still not a good team. Tonight, they'll,step up in class to take on a Bruins team which is determined to lay the hurt on someone, after getting embarrassed last game. Note that the Bruins are 5-1 the past six times that they had scored one goal or less in their prevoius game. While they had last night off, the Sabres are still playing their fourth game in the past six days. They're 2-12 the past 14 times that they played the fourth leg of a 4-in-6 situation. The Bruins have beaten the Sabres seven straight times. Tonight, they make it eight straight, picking up the "puck-line cover" along the way. |
|||||||
04-12-21 | Maple Leafs v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing MONTREAL on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) The Leafs are on a roll. However, each of their last two victories - the first of which came against these same Canadiens - came by a single goal. I expect a hungry Habs team to give them all they can handle again tonight. Each of the last six meetings between these teams was decided by two or less, four of those were decided by a single goal. Both teams had yesterday off. However, while the Canadiens also have tomorow off, the Leafs play Calgary tomorrow. The Habs are the 5-1 the past six times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, a profitable 27-15 (+10.6) vs. the moneyline in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" in this one. |
|||||||
04-11-21 | Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/NJ UNDER the total. I had a nice day on Friday, going 5-1. The one play I lost was the 'under' in the Pens/Devils game. I'm willing to give it another shot though, as I believe that I was just a game too early. While they did had yesterday off, the Pens will still be playing their fourth game in the past six days. That's noteworthy as the UNDER is a perfect 5-0 the past five times that the Pens played their fourth game in six days. Prior to Friday's game, five of six meetings between these teams, including three straight, had fallen below the total. The three previous 2021 games had scores of 3-2, 3-1 and 2-1. Look for things to return to "normal," as this one proves lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
|||||||
04-10-21 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets +100 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Jackets aren't getting much respect these days. However, they're taking a significant step down in class here. I believe that they match up well against the Hawks and I'm expecting their best effort. Keep in mind that four of Columbus' last six games came against Tampa, the defending Stanley Cup champion. The Lightning are 27-11-1. The other two games came against Florida, a team with a 26-11-2 record. At 18-18-3 (18-21 vs. the ml) Chicago is far less formidable. The Hawks have dropped five straight on the road, losing by a combined score of 21-8. They've managed just one goal their last two road games. The Jackets arguably played better than the final 6-4 score indicated last time out. Coach Tortorella noted: "We developed a ton of offense. I liked our puck plays. We developed a lot of offense. I like what I saw in a lot of our guys as far as the effort. I watched our guys continue to try and concentrate on our team concept." While the Jackets' playoff hopes are slipping away, they're not completely gone yet. This is essentially a must win game if they want to keep it that way though. Expect them to respond with their best effort en route to a much needed victory. |
|||||||
04-09-21 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -220 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Coyotes are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After beating the Blues 6-1 on 4/5, the Knights turned around and lost 3-1 to those same Blues on 4/7. Off that loss, their fourth setback in five games, the Knights will be all business tonight. They're a profitable 32-19 (+9.2) the past 51 times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. When counting OT losses as losses, as they are when betting on the moneyline, the Coyotes are 19-21 on the season. The Knights, on the other hand, are 25-13 (+7.8). Thats noteworthy as the Coyotes are 9-15 against teams with a winning record while the Knights are 15-5 agianst sub-500 teams. Vegas scores more and allows less. At home and motivated, this should be a mismatch. |
|||||||
04-09-21 | Avalanche v. Ducks UNDER 6 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Colorado/Anaheim UNDER the total. After giving up eight goals last time out, the Avs will absolutely be looking to improve defensively this evening. Keep in mind that this is still a stingy team. The Avs' 2.4 goals allowed per game is among the best in the league. Only the Isles and Vegas, who both allow 2.3 gpg, give up fewer goals. While the Ducks aren't as strong defensively as Colorado, they allowed only a single goal last time out. Off that result, note that the UNDER is a lucrative 21-9-1 the past couple of seasons, when the Ducks were off a win of two or more goals. Recent meetings had an O/U line of 5.5 but we're able to get a six here. I believe that's providing excellent value, as I'm expecting a low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
04-09-21 | Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -124 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/NJ UNDER the total. These teams were both involved in high-scoring games last night. However, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring affair this evening. The Pens have played two games in two nights on five previous occasions this season. The UNDER was 4-0-1 in the second of those games. Their last three in that situation saw scores of 4-0, 2-1 and 2-1. In fact, one of those games came against these same Devils, a 2-1 NJ win on 3/21. That's three straight meetings between these teams with five or fewer combined goals, 2-1, 3-1 and 3-2. That 3/21 game was also the second of b2b games for the Devils. They've seen the UNDER go 5-2 in that situation. More of the same tonight. |
|||||||
04-08-21 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Florida/Carolina UNDER the total. These teams met here a couple of nights ago. I also played the 'under' in that one and ended up losing, as it was a 5-2 final. Really, for most of the way, that game played out exactly the way I expected. It was "tight and relatively low-scoring." Here's an excerpt of what I had said prior to Tuesday: "Games between these teaams, here at Raleigh, tend to be low-scoring. Going back all the way to March of 2013, only two of Florida's 19 visits here finished with more than six combined goals. Four games, including the most recent, finished with exactly six goals. However, a whopping 13 (of 19) finished with five or less. Given the current form of both teams and the fact that they'll meet again Thursday, I'm expecting another relatively tight-low-scoring affair. Florida comes off a 3-0 win and Carolina comes off a 1-0 win. The UNDER is 11-6-1 the past couple of seasons, when the Canes were off a shutout win ... " It wasn't meant to be though, as the Canes would score four third period goals, the last of which came on the empty net. Again, it was 2-1 going into the third. I absolutely don't expect the Panthers to give up four in the third again. That said, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. |
|||||||
04-06-21 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Florida/Carolina UNDER the total. Games between these teaams, here at Raleigh, tend to be low-scoring. Going back all the way to March of 2013, only two of Florida's 19 visits here finished with more than six combined goals. Four games, including the most recent, finished with exactly six goals. However, a whopping 13 (of 19) finished with five or less. Given the current form of both teams and the fact that they'll meet again Thursday, I'm expecting another relatively tight-low-scoring affair. Florida comes off a 3-0 win and Carolina comes off a 1-0 win. The UNDER is 11-6-1 the past couple of seasons, when the Canes were off a shutout win. I'm expecting those stats to improve this evening. |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Coyotes v. Kings -124 | 5-2 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. The Kings have struggled lately and they've cost me a couple of times. This is a great spot for them to bounce back with a much-needed win though. While LA had yesterday off, the Coyotes are off an OT win against the Ducks. They're 12-17 their last 29 when playing the second of b2b games. The Kings know that they'll host these same Coyotes again Wednesday and they also now that they won't enjoy the same scheduling advantage for that one. Look for them to go all out to take advantage of tonight's favorable setup, dropping the Coyotes to 2-6 after playing their previous three on the road. |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Maple Leafs v. Flames +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -172 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing CALGARY on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Leafs favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the revenge-minded and desperate Flames. While I like their chances of the outright win, in what should be a close game, the extra +1.5 goals could easily prove invaluable. While the Flames are a modest 13-14 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games, the Leafs are an ugly 12-20 (-17.7). Now, they're being asked to win by multipled goals, which is asking a lot. Leafs are 1-4 their last five, after playing their previous three on the road. Flames are 3-1 after losing their previous three and 7-4 when off a loss by two or more. They're also 9-3 (+6.6) after allowing four or more goals. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
04-05-21 | Senators v. Jets -199 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Jets will be in an angry mood. They're 26-15 (+11.2) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Jets also haven't forgotten that Ottawa actually beat them in the last meeting here. That game notwithstanding, the Sens are terrible on the road. They give up a whopping 4.6 goals per game, when playing away from home, while scoring just 2.5. The Jets are 6-1 (+5.2) their last seven, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. |
|||||||
04-04-21 | Stars v. Hurricanes -162 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Stars took yesterday's game. With a chance for immediate revenge, the Canes should bounce right back this evening. While Carolina is a modest 3-2 when playing the second of b2b games, Dallas is an ugly 1-5 when doing so. Going back further finds that Dallas is 14-19 (-5.6) in b2b games while Carolina is an excellent 24-12 (+10.4). The Stars, who are playing the fourth game of a 6-game road trip, are 0-4 when playing their previous three on the road. Yesterday notwithstanding, the Canes have been outstanding at home. They outscore teams by an average of 3.6 to 2.3 here. Expect them to bounce back and move to 11-4 their last 15, when playing with 'revenge.' |
|||||||
04-03-21 | Sharks v. Kings -117 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Sharks won last night but I expect the Kings to bounce back this evening. Its tough to go on the road and beat a team two nights in a row. The Kings are going to be extremely motivated to avoid another loss. I expect their very best effort. While the Kings are a modest 2-2 (+1) in b2b spots, the Sharks are a poor 1-4 (-3.2). Going back further finds SJ at just 11-19 (-9.9) its last 30, when playing the second of b2b games. The Kings are +5.5 net units vs. the moneyline, during the same span. LA still outscores teams 2.9 to 2.7 here while SJ still gets outscored 3.3 to 2.9 on the road. Look for the Kings to bounce back and move to 6-4 their last 10 in the revenge role. |
|||||||
04-03-21 | Penguins v. Bruins -112 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Everyone is really down on the Bruins right now. Its true that they haven't played as well of late as they were at the beginning of the season. That said, that sentiment and their recent sub-par results are working in our favor to provide us with excellent line value here. We get them in a immediate revenge spot, desperate for a victory, at a pick'em price. While many have written them off, I still respect the Bruins. They're 22-11 (+6.9) their last 33, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats this afternoon. |
|||||||
04-02-21 | Sharks v. Kings -120 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. These teams recently played a pair of games, at San Jose. The Sharks won both. Playing at home, I expect the Kings to exact some revenge. While their road numbers aren't that good, the Kings quietly outscore teams by an average score of 3.1 to 2.6 in games played here. On the other hand, the Sharks are outscored by a 3.5 to 2.8 average score on the road. Both teams won their last game, each by identical 4-2 scores. While the Kings are a modest 5-4 (+3.4) after a win by two or more goals, the Sharks are just 1-4 (-3.1) in that situation. They're 4-9 after scoring four or more goals. The Kings won 6-2 the last time that the teams played here. Expect them to finish on top, once again. |
|||||||
04-01-21 | Penguins v. Bruins -129 | 4-1 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. I really liked what I saw from the Bruins last game. Down and out, they rallied late to force overtime. Once they got there, the Bruins had to kill off a penalty, which is often tough in OT. Yet, they perservered and won in the shootout. That's the type of a win that a team can absolutely build positive momentum from - especially a good team like Boston which had previously struggled in OT and which had previously struggled against the Devils. Momentum on their side from the big comeback, I expect the Bruins to come out flying tonight. Home ice tends to be important when these teams meet and the Bruins have absolutely owned the Pens here at Boston. Expect them to continue their home ice dominance against the Pens tonight. |
|||||||
03-31-21 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Jets | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Jets are playing their first game back home off a 7-game road trip. While the trip was successful and was closed out with a 5-1 win, the first game back home from a long trip can often be tough. Its a lot tougher when the best team in the division is motivated and waiting for them. Note that the Jets are just 7-10 (-3.3) after scoring five or more goals. Speaking of "five goals," the Leafs haven't forgotten that the Jets dropped five on them in the last meeting, a 5-2 Winnipeg win at Toronto on 3/13. The Leafs are 12-2 (+8.6) their last 14, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. That includes an 8-1 record when attempting to avenge a home loss. Payback time. |
|||||||
03-30-21 | Red Wings v. Panthers -215 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Red Wings have won back-to-back games but they're outclassed in this one. Detroit still has an ugly -36 goal differential on the season, worst in the division. The Panthers, on the other hand, are +17 in that department. While they've remained competitive at home, the Red Wings are brutal on the road. They're 3-13 on the road this season, an awful 8-43 their last 51. Give the Panthers a day between games and they're tough to beat. They're 7-2 the last nine, when playing with one day's worth of rest in between games. They're also 10-2 the last 12 meetings in the series. One of those losses came the last time the teams met and the Panthers will be certain to make sure it doesn't happen again. Florida rolls. |
|||||||
03-30-21 | Devils v. Bruins -178 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins remain banged-up. However, they've still got more than enough left to avenge Sunday's 1-0 loss to these same Devils. Keep in mind that the Bruins had 40 shots in Sunday's game. That's not usually going to result in zero goals. In fact, in a way, it didn't. In the final 70 seconds of the game, the Bruins had a goal waved off and another no-goal call upheld. As Boston coach Bruce Cassidy commented: "Not a lot of puck luck for us." Needless to say, the Bruins are going to be itching for some payback. The Bruins don't score that many goals at the best of times, as they average just 2.7 goals per game. However, thats still considerably better than the Devils, as they average just 2.4 goals per game. On the defensive side of the puck, the Bruins' advantage is bigger. Boston allows a mere 2.4 goals per game. NJ, on the other hand, concedes 3.1 gpg. Boston allows 26.5 shots per game at home. NJ allows 34.6 spg on the road. Payback time. |
|||||||
03-29-21 | Ducks v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line. (-1.5 goals) The Ducks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Avs are going to be angry, off an OT loss against Vegas on Saturday. They don't lose often and when they do, they've been excellent at immediately boucing back. Off their most recent loss, the Avs responded with a 5-1 blowout victory. The Ducks played the Avs fairly tough through this season's first four meetings. However, Colorado's obvious edge in talent was evident in the last meeting, as the Avs pulled away for an 8-4 win. With the schedule and venue in their favor, I'm expecting another multi-goal win in this one. While the Avs had Sunday off, the Ducks are off a game against the Blues. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Ducks will also be playing their third game in the past four days. The Ducks have really struggled against top tier teams. Look for the Avs to be the fresher team, as they take care of business with a multi-goal win. |
|||||||
03-28-21 | Blue Jackets -150 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams played yesterday and Detroit won 3-1. The Wings are NOT a good team though and Columbus can't afford to lose to them again. They won't. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Wings are playing their fourth game in the past six days. (That's not the case for the Jackets, as they had 3/23 off, while Detroit was playing.) That's noteworthy as the Wings are an ugly 3-14 the past 17 times that they played the fourth game of a four-games-in-six-days situation. The favorite is still a healthy 39-14 the last 53 meetings. Jackets bounce back. |
|||||||
03-28-21 | Rangers v. Capitals -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Rangers beat the Capitals on 3/20. Washington hasn't lost since. This afternoon, the Caps have both the venue and the schedule working in their favor. While the Rangers are off a hard-fought 2-1 loss to the Flyers yesterday, the Caps had the day off. The Caps are a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they played with one day's rest in between games, too. The favorite is 37-16 the past 53 times that these rivals met. Payback time. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Jets v. Flames -112 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Jets jumped all over them last night and the Flames couldn't claw their way back. We're going to see a desperate Calgary team tonight though. The season is slipping away and the Flames can't afford another loss. Sure, the Jets have won three straight. However, they're also a money-burning 7-15 (-11.8) the last 22 times that they had won their previous three. Enough's enough. The Flames are still outscoring teams by a 3.2 to 2.9 margin here at home. The price is very fair and they'll bounce back tonight. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Jets v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/Calgary OVER the total. These teams got off to a slow start last night. It was 1-0 after the first and 2-0 after the second. The offense finally got going in the third period though, as three goals were scored. I expect that scoring to carry over into tonight's game. The Jets have scored 12 goals in their past three games alone. So, the Flames know they're going to need to score in order to win. The Jets average 3.2 gpg on the road. The Flames average 3.2 gpg at home. The last time that the Flames played a home game, after playing the previous day, the final score was 4-3. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. |
|||||||
03-27-21 | Rangers v. Flyers +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Rangers favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals on the Flyers on the puckline. I may, in fact, play both the ML and the PL, as I expect the Flyers to win "outright" and "absolutely" expect them to earn the "puck-line cover." As you probably recall, the Rangers have hammered the Flyers the last two meeetings, embarrassing blowout losses. I simply can't see it happening again. The Flyers are a perfect 7-0 the past seven times that they were coming off a home loss of three or more goals. They responded to the previous beating by the Rangers by winning 4-3 over the Isles the next day. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" once again. |
|||||||
03-26-21 | Jets v. Flames -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Off three straight losses, the Flames arguably need this game more than the Jets. I expect them to be an extremely hungry team. Keep in mind that Calgary is already 2-0 this season, after dropping its previous three games. In fact, the Flames didn't even allow a goal in either of the previous two instances, winning by scores of 2-0 and 3-0. Wednesday's 3-1 loss to Ottawa definitely hurt. However, the Flames are back home now and they're 7-2 (+5) off a loss by two or more goals. The Jets are off a 5-1 win over Vancouver, after beating the same Canucks by a score of 4-0 in their previous game. However, the Canucks were very banged-up and are already essentially now playing out the string. The Jets are still just 6-10 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. As for the Flames, they're a dominant 12-2 the past 14 times that they faced a team which scored five or more, in its previous game. Calgary bounces back. |
|||||||
03-25-21 | Rangers v. Flyers -105 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. To say that the Flyers have had this one circled would be an understatement. In case you missed it, the Rangers handed them a 9-0 beating a week ago. Thats not a misprint. The score was actually 9-0. Those aren't the type of losses a team just forgets about. Its highly important that the Flyers "make things right" and avenge that loss tonight. Sure, the Rangers scored five goals last time out. However, that was against the Sabres, the worst team in hockey. Also, the last time that they scored five or more goals (the 9-0 game vs. Philly) the Rangers followed it up by scoring just one goal in their next game. In fact, including that 2-1 loss, the Rangers are just 1-6 the past seven times that they scored five or more goals in their previous game. Philadelphia captain Claude Giroux had this to say: "We have a lot of confidence in our group. I still think we're going to make the playoffs. We need to be a little more consistent in our game, and it starts with me ... " Look for the captain to lead by example, the Flyers bouncing back and avenging last week's embarrassment. |
|||||||
03-24-21 | Flames -170 v. Senators | 1-3 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames simply can't afford to lose two in a row to the Senators. This is an Ottawa team which gives up 3.9 goals per game (Calgary gives up three) and which has essentially been out of the playoff race since Day 1. It should be noted that Calgary outshot the Sens by a 36-23 margin on Monday; the Ottawa goalie (Gustavsson) essentially stole one. The Flames are a respectable 10-7 (+2.2) in the revenge role and a similar effort here should result in a win. They started this 4-game road trip off with a victory at Toronto but have since proceeded to drop the next two. Expect them to play with a sense of urgency in this one, as they dig deep and close the trip with an important "W." |
|||||||
03-23-21 | Panthers v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Night after night, we continue to see the value of an extra +1.5 goals. Last night alone, four games finished with final scores of 2-1. Tonight, with Florida favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with what I expect to be a desperate Chicago team. After a tough road trip, the Hawks are going to be happy to be home. Adam Boqvist noted: "We needed a lot more points than we got. It was a long road trip, but I think overall we played pretty decent. But against these good teams, you've got to find a way to win every battle, forecheck hard and just put pucks in the net. That's how you're going to win games. Obviously, it's going to be good to go home." Indeed, the Hawks are much better at home. They've outscored visiting teams by a 3.8 to 3.2 average score here and they're 4-1 (+4.2) vs. the moneyline in home games with an O/U line of six or greater. They've faced the Panthers four times this season - all losses - but all were at Florida. Finally catching them at home, expect the revenge-minded Hawks to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
03-23-21 | Devils v. Flyers -157 | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Devils are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Flyers are the stronger of these two clubs and they're going to be in an angry mood tonight. They could easily be a bigger favorite than they are. However, we're getting them at a more reasonable price, due to the fact that they played yesterday. That's not a bad thing for this team though. In fact, its been a positive. The Flyers are 4-1 in five tries, when playing the second of b2b games. They're also 5-1 (+4.2) after scoring one goal or less, in their previous game. The Flyers already beat the Devils in both previous meetings, 5-3 and 3-1, back in January. Look for them to bounce back and take care of business again tonight, improving to 10-4 when facing a team with a losing record. |
|||||||
03-22-21 | Kings v. Sharks -123 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. This one sets up nicely for the Sharks. The Kings are off an upset win over Vegas yesterday. Now, in addition to playing the second of b2b games, they're playing their third game in four days. The last time (2/27) that they played a road game, after having played the previous day, the Kings lost. Off four staight losses, the Sharks are going to be playing with a sense of urgency. They know they'll host these same Kings again in two days but that tonight, with LA playing the second of b2b games, is the night they need to go all out. Expect them to stop the bleeding, moving to 6-4 in 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
|||||||
03-21-21 | Predators v. Stars -170 | 4-3 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Both teams are off games yesterday. The Stars shutout the Wings while the Preds were blanked by the Panthers. To be fair, Nashville was playing a tougher opponent. That said, I like what I saw from the Stars a lot more. The Stars always seem to score multiple goals per game and they've got 29 goals over their last nine games. The Preds have just 22 over their last nine games, only two their last two. The Preds earned a shootout win here two weeks ago. However, the Stars had a big edge in shots in that game and they also had handled the Preds in both previous meetings. They're better on the powerplay and better at killing penalties. Expect a Dallas victory. |
|||||||
03-20-21 | Canucks v. Canadiens -175 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canucks earned an important win here last night. Don't expect it to happen again. The Canucks are 1-4 when playing the second of b2b games and 1-5 when having played their previous three on the road. This has already been a highly successful road trip, regardless of what happens tonight, and they may already be looking forward to getting home. The Habs, on the other hand, are going to be fully focused, having dropped two in a row and four of five. They know that they can't afford to get "swept" in this 2-game series. They won't. |
|||||||
03-20-21 | Stars -186 v. Red Wings | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Wings upset the Stars a couple of nights ago. Don't expect it to happen again. The last time that the Wings had won two in a row, they proceeded to get hammered 7-2 in their next game. Even factoring in Thursday's result, the Wings still get outscored by an average of 3.3 to 2.3 this season. The Stars, on the other hand, have outscored teams by a 3.0 to 2.8 average margin. If the Stars want any hope of digging out of their hole, they can't afford to drop both these games to the lowly Wings. Expect them to bounce back with a big effort en route to an important win. |
|||||||
03-20-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Flames beat the Leafs last night, handing them their third straight loss. Don't expect it to happen again. The Leafs are 7-3 (+4.1) their last 10, when off three or more consec. losses. During that span, they're an excellent 50-31 in the revenge role. That includes a 10-2 (+6.6) mark their last 12, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, a 7-1 record when attempting to avenge a home loss. With the Flames just 1-6 their last seven, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, expect the revenge-minded Leafs to deliver some payback. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -156 | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Flames are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b games against their provincial rival, the Flames aren't going to be ready for a rested and angry Toronto team. The Leafs, 9-3 (+4.8) the last dozen times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, are off b2b losses and have now dropped five of six. Clearly, the mini break (haven't played since 3/14) came at exactly the right time. The Flames are 6-10 on the road and just 5-10 (-5.5) against teams with winning records. While Calgary is outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.3 on the road, Toronto outscores teams by a 3.4 to 2.7 margin here at home. Leafs roll. |
|||||||
03-18-21 | Stars -183 v. Red Wings | 2-3 | Loss | -183 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars dug themselves an early hole and are now trying to dig out. They've been playing better hockey of late and now step down in class. They need to take advantage of a game against a relatively weak Detroit team. While the Wings are off a 4-2 win, they're still an ugly 9-21 on the season, getting outscored by a 3.3 to 2.3 average score. They're -31 goal differential is the worst in the division and among the worst in the league. (Dallas is +4.) Also, note that the Wings are just 1-5 after a win by two or more goals. These teams met twice back in January and they'll face each other again Saturday. The Stars won both meetings, a combined score of 9-4. I expect more of the same tonight. |
|||||||
03-16-21 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing DALLAS on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) I like how this one sets up for the Stars. They had yesterday off while Tampa was outplayed in losing to Nashville. That's two losses in three games for Tampa. Its also worth noting that two of Tampa's last four wins have come by a single goal. Indeed, the champs are finally being challenged a lot more than they were early on. They'll get another tough test tonight as the Stars finally won a shootout game last time (they'd lost on every previous occasion) and will be carrying the momentum into tonight's game. Note that they got Radulov back last game and that he provided an immediate boost, scoring in the shootout for the win. Coach Bowness noted: "You see his value to the team in a lot of ways." A look at the Stars' last seven games shows that they're just 3-4 SU. However, three of those four losses came by a single goal. So, they'd be 6-1 their last seven, if getting an extra +1.5 goals to work with. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" for the revenge-minded home team. |
|||||||
03-15-21 | Canucks -170 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks absolutely dominated the Senators in the three meetings in January. They won by a combined score of 16-3! Tonight, they catch the Sens off a rare upset win over rival Toronto last night. That was Ottawa's third win in March. In both previous cases, the Sens went out and lost the very next night. The Canucks have quietly been playing their best hockey of the season and have crept within striking distance of the playoffs. Schedule in their favor, facing a weak team which they previously dominated, they can't afford to squander this opportunity. Note that Vancouver is 7-1 the last eight in the series. Last night, the Sens caught the Leafs playing their second game in two nights. Shoe on the other foot, expect them to stumble tonight. |
|||||||
03-15-21 | Flyers -109 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While they split a pair of meetings in February, the Flyers have dominated the Rangers in recent seasons. Off back-to-back losses to Washington, most recently a 5-4 setback on Saturday, Philadelphia will be in foul mood for this one. Note that the Flyers are 11-1 the past 12 times that they allowed five or more goals in their previous game. While they upset Boston on Saturday, the Rangers had lost their previous three. The Flyers are 4-0 their last four visits here. Expect them to play with desperation tonight, en route to making it five straight wins here. |
|||||||
03-14-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Wild | 1-4 | Loss | -152 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing ARIZONA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Wild fairly heavy favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get the Coyotes at a very fair price on the puckline. Though, I like their chances of winning outright, in what should be a close game, that extra +1.5 goals could easily come in handy. These teams just met two days ago and the Wild pulled away for a 4-0 win. Note that prior to that game, the Wild were off a 1-goal game while the Coyotes were off b2b 1-goal games. Also, keep in mind that these teams also played b2b games against each other earlier this month. As they did on Friday, the Wild won big (5-1) in the first of the two games. However, in the rematch, the Coyotes responded with a far better effort, en route to a 5-2 win of their own. Expect the revenge-minded visitors to deliver a far better effort once again, bouncing back and earning us AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
|||||||
03-13-21 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -157 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Hawks have played pretty well this season but they're up against a superior opponent this evening. Off a 5-4 win, the Panthers have won four of five, the lone loss coming at Carolina. Note that they're 7-1 their last eight, after scoring four or more goals. The Hawks also scored four (4-2 win) last time out, bouncing back from a 6-1 loss in their previous game. However, they're just 2-5 after a win by two or more goals. The Panthers already beat Chicago in both this season's meetings, scoring 10 combined goals. They're better, they're healthier and they're playing at home. Expect another victory. |
|||||||
03-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche -220 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs got MacKinnon back last game and promptly returned to their winning ways. I fully expect them to string together consecutive "W's" here. The Kings won the last meeting and Colorado is 8-1 its last nine, when playing with revenge. While the Kings have had success against the Avs in recent years, the Avs are the far more talented team this season. The Arizona game was the type that they can build positive momentum from. The Avs had an absolutely dominant 46-14 edge in shots but found themselves in OT. If they lost that game, it would have been tough. They didn't though, instead pulling off the 2-1 win. Now, look for them to carry that strong play into tonight's game, en route to a victory against a Kings team which has long been a thorn in their side. |
|||||||
03-11-21 | Penguins v. Sabres +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -137 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Pens fairly heavy favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get Buffalo at a fair price on the puck-line. The Sabres are going to be extremely motivated to snap their losing streak and I expect their very best effort here. The Sabres did just rally for a point in their last game, a 5-4 shootout loss against a tough Philadelphia team. As for the Pens, they haven't won a road game by more than a goal this entire season. They're 11-2 at home but just 4-8 on the road. ALL four of those road wins came by a goal, too. In fact, dating back to last August, they're 4-10 on the road and they'd be 0-14 in those games, if asked to win by more than a goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the home team. |
|||||||
03-11-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -174 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. Jets are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Leafs have been the dominant team in the division and they're not going to let the Jets beat them in back-to-back games to creep closer. (The teams meet again Saturday.) Note that the Leafs are 6-1 their last seven, when attempting to avenge a home loss. The favorite is still a healthy 17-8 in this series. This is the first time that the Leafs have lost three straight all season and they're going to be extremely determined to right the ship. They're 6-3 the past couple of seasons, after losing their previous three. Payback time. |
|||||||
03-11-21 | Rangers v. Bruins -176 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Bruins are going to be in an angry mood. Recent struggles notwithstanding, they're still a very strong team. They've dominated the Rangers, winning seven of the last eight meetings. Going back further finds that the favorite is 20-8 the last 28 meetings between these longtime Original Six rivals. Obviously, the Rangers also want to snap their skid. They're not as talented as Boston though and, as mentioned, they've really struggled in series. Its also worth mentioning that the Rangers are 0-6 the past six times that they played the fourth game of a four games in six days situation. Bruins roll. |
|||||||
03-10-21 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -195 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. While the Avs are still banged-up, they hope to have superstar MacKinnon back in the lineup. One of the top players in the world, he's a difference maker and absolutely makes the Avs much stronger. Having lost back-to-back games, most recently falling 3-2 to these same Coyotes, the Avs are going to be all business. Note that they're 10-2 the past 12 times that they scored two or fewer goals in their previous game. Even with Monday's loss, the Avs are still 6-1 the past seven times that they hosted the Coyotes. Expect the revenge-minded Avs to bounce back and get some payback tonight. |