Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-08-17 | Predators v. Penguins -155 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 10* NHL GAME OF WEEK. The home team is 4-0 in the series, winning each game by a multiple goal margin. I expect home ice to again prove the difference. The Pens, 7-3 (+3.3) the last 10 times that they were tied in a series, are 39-13 at home. The Preds are just 22-29 on the road. While the Preds are 32-53 (-36!) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals, the Pens are 49-30 after allowing four or more goals, 23-11 (+9.4) their last 34 in that situation. Pens bounce back. |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/Nashville to finish UNDER the total, 10* MAIN EVENT. After Game 2 finished with five goals, Game 3 finished with six. If that game had finished with five or fewer goals, as it very well could have, we might now be seeing an O/U line of five instead of 5.5. (If you recall the Game 3 score was still at 1-1 about midway through the game.) Either way, while I did lose with the total (won side) of Game 3, I still believe that a line of 5.5 in the Stanley Cup Finals, with these teams, is providing us with excellent value. The last time that the Pens allowed five goals (5/17) they bounced back and allowed just two goals their next two games combined. The UNDER remains a healthy 14-6-2 the Pens last 22 games in the Finals. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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06-03-17 | Penguins v. Predators -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 58 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE, 10* MAIN EVENT. I'm not counting out the Preds quite yet. At least, not for this game. Not with their backs against the wall and the series shifting to Nashville. While the Preds are only 22-29 on the road, they're 31-18 here at home. While the Pens are 39-13 at home, they're only 25-26 on the road. The Preds are 36-19 (+15) the last 55 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, 13-7 their last 20 in that situation. Expect them to bounce back. |
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06-03-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 58 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on the UNDER in Game 3 of the finals, 10* TOTAL OF MONTH. With Game 2 falling below the number, the Penguins have now seen the UNDER go 14-5-2 their last 21 games in the Stanley Cup Finals, 6-2 dating back to last year. The Pens' last four games on the road have averaged only four combined goals, three of those falling below the total. The Pens' last four games here at Nashville have also averaged only four combined goals, three of those also falling below the total.The last time (4/1) that the Preds played a home game, after losing their previous two games, they responded with a 3-0 victory. Expect a much better defensive effort from them once again, the final combined score staying below the number. |
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05-31-17 | Predators +1.5 v. Penguins | 1-4 | Loss | -230 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing NASHVILLE on the puck-line (+1.5 goals, 5* WINNER.) The last time that the Preds had a bad defensive game like (also a 5-3 loss) they did in Game 1 was on 5/14, at Anaheim. They responded with a much better effort the next time out, a 2-1 victory. Including that result, they're 14-8 (+3) vs. the money-line on the season, off a loss by two or more goals. Down a game, I expect them to bounce back with a huge effort tonight. Even after they fell behind 3-0 in the opener, the Preds showed the type of determination and resiliency that got them here, battling all the way back to tie the game at three. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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05-31-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nashville/Pitt to finish UNDER the total, 10* BEST BET. After Game 1 turned high-scoring, I expect a lower-scoring second game. The Pred have still seen their playoff games average just 4.9 combined goals. The UNDER is 12-9-1 when they were off a loss by two or more goals. The last time that the Preds had a bad defensive game like (also a 5-3 loss) that was on 5/14, at Anaheim. They responded with a much better effort the next time out, a 2-1 final. More of the same here. |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -132 | 80 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/Nashville to finish UNDER the total 10* MAIN EVENT. I thought we'd see an O/U line of five for this game. Instead, while we do have to lay some extra juice to get it, we're being given a line of a 5.5. In what figures to be a low-scoring game, I feel that getting that extra half goal makes this well worth the cost of admission. The Pens are allowing 2.3 goals per game in the playoffs. They've allowed two or fewer goals in four straight games and seven of their last eight. Over that 8-game span, they've allowed only 13 combined goals. Not surprisingly, six of those eight games produced five or fewer combined goals. The Preds have been every bit as stingy. They're allowing an average of just 1.8 goals per game through the playoffs. Fourteen of the Preds' last 17 games have produced five or fewer combined goals. More of the same expected here. |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins -160 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 32 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 10* GAME 1 WINNER. With all due respect to the Predators, who have played remarkably well throughout the playoffs, getting the Penguins at this price is a bargain. The Pens have been here before. They've won here before. The Preds have not. In my opinion, that "finals experience" is indeed helpful, in a pressure-filled Game 1 situation. The Pens are 37-13 in this building. The Preds are 22-27 on the road. When these teams met here in the regular season, the Pens won 4-2. When they played here last season, the Pens won 5-2. I like the fact that the Pens have had three day's off in between games, as compared to the six days off that the Preds have had. After a tough series with the Sens, three days is just about perfect. However, six days is often too much, particularly for a team which had been in a groove like the Preds. Of course, I should add that Nashville is 3-6 when playing with three or more day's rest while Pittsburgh is 6-2 when doing so. Go Pens. |
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05-25-17 | Senators +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing OTTAWA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals, 8* MAIN EVENT) With the Pens favored by so much on the money-line, we're able to get the Sens at a relatively reasonable price on the puck-line. Given how many OT (and 1-goal) games we've seen throughout the playoffs, I believe that's where the value lies. Four of six games in the series, including two of three here at Pittsburgh, have been decided by a single goal. More of the same here. |
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05-23-17 | Penguins -140 v. Senators | 1-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 8* MAIN EVENT. The Pens have taken control of the series. With the Preds already having advanced, I expect the Pens to do the same tonight. The Pens didn't just win last time out, they dominated. A demoralizing 7-0 beatdown. Obviously, the Sens are going to come out hard. However, I think they're simply overmatched in too many areas. Looks like its Pens vs. Preds in the finals. |
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05-22-17 | Ducks +1.5 v. Predators | 3-6 | Loss | -241 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line. While the Preds won by two last game, the games in this series have been very close. Both of them here at Nashville were decided by a single goal. Going back further finds that the Preds have now seen 11 straight games decided by two goals or less, seven of those decided by a goal. I don't see the Ducks going down without a fight and am comfortable laying the wood to get the extra +1.5 goals. |
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05-21-17 | Senators v. Penguins -180 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 5* MAIN EVENT. While the Penguins are heavy favorites, I believe that the line could easily be even higher. The Sens are 27-22 on the road, where they get outscored by a 2.7 to 2.6 average score. The Pens are 35-12 at home, outscoring teams by a 3.6 to 2.6 average score. In a critical game, expect home ice and superior talent to ultimately make the difference. |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators -143 | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8* WINNER. The Ducks have been resilient but one can't ignore the Preds' dominance in their own building. While the Ducks are now 21-26 on the road, the Preds are 30-17 at home. The Preds are allowing 1.7 goals per game in these playoffs, the Ducks are allowing 2.9. Here at home, the Preds are a perfect 6-0, allowing a grand total of seven goals. While the price has come down slightly from its opener, it easily could have gone the other way. |
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05-16-17 | Ducks +1.5 v. Predators | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM at +1.5 goals 5*. The Ducks, who bring some positive momentum to the rink off their comeback win in Game 2, have been at their best in Game 3 situations. They went on the road for Game 3 in each of the first two rounds and in each case they won "outright." While I like their chances of an upset tonight, the Preds are tough here and I could easily see this one coming down to the wife. Both the first two games of this series have been extremely close. The Preds won the first by a single goal. The Ducks bagged an empty-netter in Game 2, otherwise that one also would have been decided by a single goal. I'm laying the wood and grabbing grabbing the extra 1.5. |
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05-15-17 | Senators v. Penguins -190 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 5* MAIN EVENT. Like the Ducks last night, the Pens are in a situation where they can't afford to drop both games at home to start the series. Like the Ducks, I don't believe that they will. The Pens, 4-2 (+2.8) when trailing in a series the past 2+ seasons, are 9-4 (+4.8) their last 13, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. They've had their "wake up call" and they're going to be "all business" this evening. This is still a Pens team which is 34-13 at home and I'm not counting them out yet. Lay the wood and expect them to even up the series. |
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05-14-17 | Predators v. Ducks -114 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 10* MAIN EVENT. At close to a pick'em price, playing at home in what is essentially a "must win" game, I believe that the Ducks are providing us with excellent value. After dropping Game 1, the Ducks know that they can ill afford another loss here. That formula might have worked against Edmonton, but its not something they want to repeat. Not against a Predators team which is very tough in its own building. While the Preds are 29-17 at home, they're a mere 21-26 on the road. Compare that to Anaheim's 33-15 home record and this price could easily be higher. |
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05-13-17 | Senators +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing OTTAWA on the puck-line 8* PUCK-LINE WINNER. (+1.5 goals.) Time and time again, these playoffs have shown us the value of getting an extra +1.5 goals. Last night was another 1-goal game, Nashville knocking off the Ducks by a 3-2 margin. The last meeting between these teams? Also, a 1-goal game. Both teams saw the opening game of their last series decided by a single goal; the Pens won 3-2 at Washington, the Sens won 2-1 vs. the Rangers. The Sens' opening game vs. the Bruins was also decided by a single goal. This one also has an excellent shot at "coming down to the wire" and I'm willing to laying the reasonable price for the the extra +1.5 goals. |
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05-13-17 | Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ottawa/Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. While these teams did play a high-scoring game against each other here back in December, both 2017 regular season meetings between these teams were relatively low-scoring. Those games had final scores of 2-1 and 4-1. With both teams off a stingy performance last time out, I'm expecting another tight game to start the series. The Sens shut down the Caps to get here, a 2-0 victory in Game 7. The Sens also stepped up their defense last game, limiting the Rangers to just two goals. Ottawa, which has seen its games average 5.2 goals overall, has seen the UNDER go 4-2 the last six times it played with three or more day's rest in between games. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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05-10-17 | Oilers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Edmonton/Anahieim UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. Its been a high-scoring series but I expect things to tighten up tonight. The Oilers have seen the UNDER go 16-9-4 after a win by two or more goals. The UNDER is also 15-7-6 when they were off a game in which they scored four or more goals. Additionally, the Oilers have seen the UNDER go 8-3-1 when playing with two day's rest in between games. As for the Ducks, they've seen the UNDER go 39-20 the past 2+ seasons when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. That includes an 11-5 UNDER mark this season. Needless to say, after the Game 6 debacle, they're going to be emphasizing an improved defensive effort. The Ducks only allow 2.1 goals per game at home, games here averaging 5.1 goals overall. Expect this one to finish at five or less. |
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05-10-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -180 | 2-0 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5* ANNIHILATOR. It didn't look good for the Capitals. However, they showed their resolve, dug deep and have forced a Game 7. Back home, the momentum on their side, I expect them to finally take the next step. The Caps are 35-12 in this building. The Pens are 23-24 on the road. Look for the Caps to move to 30-10 their last 40, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. |
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05-10-17 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. With everything on the line, I'm expecting things to tighten up and for a low-scoring affair. The last game was high-scoring but that score was deceiving, as it was 3-0 into the third period. The Caps have seen the UNDER go 5-2-1 the last eight times they were tied in a series, 15-8-5 their last 28. Games here are still averaging just 5.0 goals on the season. I expect this one to finish at, or below, that mark. |
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05-09-17 | Senators v. Rangers -165 | 4-2 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY 8* MAIN EVENT. Home ice hasn't made a difference for some of the other teams in these playoffs. However, its been a big deal in this series and I expect it to prove significant again this evening. The Sens, who are just 7-12 (-5.6) when playing with two day's rest (20-30 their L50) in between games, have lost both games here. The Rangers, 9-4 (+5.6) their last 13 when trailing in a series, won those two games here by identical 4-1 scores. Don't count them out yet. |
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05-08-17 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. While two of three games at Washington finished above the total, both games here at Pittsburgh stayed below the number. Each finished with five goals. I believe tonight's game also has an excellent chance of finishing with five or fewer goals. Even with the last game sneaking over, the UNDER still remains a profitable 10-5-3 in the Caps' second round playoff games, the past 2+ seasons. While the Pens have only seen the UNDER go 5-4-2 in second round games, during the same stretch, keep in mind that those 'pushes' were both games which landed on five. Last year's playoff series between these teams saw four of six games finish with five or fewer goals. Three of the first five games in this series have produced five or less. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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05-07-17 | Blues v. Predators -161 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASVHILLE 8* ANNIHILATOR. While they're 1-2 at St. Louis, the Preds have taken both meetings here at Nashville. Playing at home with a chance to close out the series, I expect them to have the advantage this afternoon. While the Preds outscore teams by an average of 3.2 to 2.4 here, the Blues only outscore teams by a 2.7 to 2.5 margin on the road. The Preds are 35-19 (+14) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, 12-7 their last 19 in that situation. Expect them to punch their ticket to the Western Conf. Finals. |
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05-06-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -170 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* VIOLATOR. While their backs are against the wall, I'm not ready to count out the Capitals quite yet. Yes, they lost their last game here by a score of 6-2. However, that score is deceiving. The Caps had a 36-23 edge in shots in that game and were all over the Pens to begin the game. They're still a commanding 34-12 at home. The Caps, who appear likely to be without Crosby, are still just 23-23 on the road. The Caps are 73-39 (+22.7) their last 100+ against a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. Expect their best effort and for them to extend the series. |
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05-06-17 | Rangers v. Senators UNDER 5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY and Ottawa to finish UNDER the total 10* MAIN EVENT. Since a 2-1 opener, each game has produced a minimum of five goals. The Rangers off a 4-1 win and the series now tied, I'm expect a low-scoring affair this afternoon. The UNDER is 28-12-4 the past 44 times that the Sens attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Games here with an O/U line of five have seen the UNDER go 12-7-3. Excluding pushes the UNDER is 19-6 the last 25 times the Rangers were tied in a playoff series. More of the same here. |
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05-05-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 8* PERS FAV. The Ducks have stolen the momentum in this series and regained home ice advantage. Back on home ice, I expect them to take care of business tonight. Even with the Oilers having won those here to begin the series, the Ducks are still a dominating 31-14 here. That includes an 11-5 mark when the O/U line was 5.5. The Oilers, on the other hand, are a mediocre 26-20 away from Edmonton, 14-13 when the O/U line was 5.5. With the Ducks at 60-34 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, look for home ice to (finally) make the difference. |
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05-05-17 | Oilers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on Anaheim/Edmonton to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. I lost with the Under 5.5 in the last game. However, I still believe that a line of 5.5, in this series, is providing us with value. The Ducks have seen the UNDER go 14-8-6 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. (Keep in mind that those six 'pushes' were games which finished with five goals.) For the season, the UNDER is 11-5 in games here when the O/U line was 5.5. Games here average exactly five goals. The most recent game here had a score of 2-1. With the series tied, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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05-04-17 | Senators v. Rangers -160 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY 8* MAIN EVENT. The Rangers delivered a dominant effort in Game 3, showing that they were a long way from being done in this series. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. While the Sens are now 23-24 the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5, the Rangers are 55-33 (+5.2) when playing a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. During that span, they're now 8-4 (+4.6) when trailing in a series. Expect them to improve on those stats here, knotting up the series at two a piece. |
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05-03-17 | Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 55 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on Anaheim/Edmonton to finish UNDER the total 10* TOTAL OF MONTH. Tonight's other series (Washington/Pittsburgh) had an O/U line of 5.5 for its first few games. However, that line has now come down to five for tonight's game. This series, on the other hand, has gone the other way. The first few games had O/U lines of five. Tonight, we're able to play at 5.5. If you don't watch much hockey, the difference between five and 5.5 may not sound like much. However, those who follow the sport know the difference is indeed significant, due to the high percentage of games which finish with exactly five combined goals. Note that the UNDER was 16-8 when the Oilers played a game here with an O/U line of 5.5. Meanwhile, the Ducks saw the UNDER go 8-5 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. After a high-scoring Game 3, the teams have had a couple of days off in between games. That's noteworthy as the UNDER is 8-2-1 when the Oilers have played with two day's rest in between games and 6-3-6 when the Ducks played with two day's rest. (Keep in mind all those "pushes" were games which finished with exactly five goals.) While the Ducks exploded for six goals last time out, note that the UNDER is 14-7-6 after they scored four or more goals in their previous game. Meanwhile, Edmonton has seen the UNDER go 21-13-6 its last 40 in the "revenge" role. Dating back to 4/20, the Oilers have been in pattern of one high-scoring game, followed by one low-scoring game. Off a high-scoring game, expect that "pattern" to continue for another night, tonight's final score proving lower than many will be expecting. *GOM |
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05-02-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 33 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ottawa/NY to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. Last game was high-scoring. However, with the series shifting to MSG, I look for things to change here. Even factoring in Saturday's high-scoring result, the Rangers have still seen the UNDER go a lucrative 26-11-7 their last 44 second round playoff games. That includes a 6-2-1 UNDER mark in the second round the past 2+ seasons. The Rangers only allowed four or more goals once in these playoffs, prior to Saturday. Their next game stayed below the total, a 3-1 final. The last time that the Sens allowed four or more goals, their next game had a score of 2-1. With the UNDER at 26-12-3 in Ottawa's last 41 visits to MSG, expect a low-scoring affair on Tuesday. |
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05-01-17 | Capitals +1.5 v. Penguins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing WASHINGTON on the puckline. (+1.5 goals, 5*) *Subscriber Only.* The price might seem steep but thats only because getting an extra +1.5 goals is worth so much. In this particular case/situation, I believe that the puck-line is the way to go. One wouldn't know it by the final score but the Caps dominated for large stretches of Game 2. The opener was decided by a single goal. Including that result, the Caps have seen seven of their last eight games decided by a single goal. The Pens have seen three of five decided by a single goal. Washington's last five visits here to Pittsburgh have ALL been decided by a single goal, too. The Pens won all five of those games. That said, while I like the Caps' chances of winning "outright," I'm laying the wood for the extra +1.5 goals. |
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04-30-17 | Blues v. Predators -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8* ANNIHILATOR. I was on the Blues at St. Louis last game. However, with the series shifting to Nashville, I'm backing the Preds. Nashville has had success against the Blues in this building. In fact, the Preds have won the last three meetings against the Blues here by a combined score of 14-4. This season, the Blues allowed 2.5 goals per game on the road while the Preds also allowed 2.5 goals per game at home. However, while the Blues averaged 2.7 goals per game themselves, the Preds averaged 3.2. Expect home ice to be the difference. |
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04-29-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -143 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -143 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* GAME OF WEEK. After dropping Game 1, I expect an extremely motivated effort from the Caps in Game 2. The Caps, already 1-0 in these playoffs when trailing in a series, are 71-38 (+23.4) the past 2+ seasons, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. They're 30-16 (+12.4) during that time when playing with "home revenge." Even with the Game 1 result, the Pens are still 22-23 (-6.8) on the road; the Caps are still 34-11 (+11.9) at home. I'm not couting them out yet. |
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04-28-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 10* MAIN EVENT. Off a loss in Game 1, the Ducks know they can ill afford another one tonight. The Ducks are 12-2 off a loss by two or more goals and they're also 15-3 after allowing four or more goals. Additionally, they're 10-4 the last 14 times that they faced an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. Expect them to even the series. |
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04-28-17 | Predators v. Blues -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. 8* FRIDAY FEAST. The Blues fought hard to get back in Game 1. A late bad bounce/goal led to Nashville winnings. Getting the Blues at roughly a pick'em price, at home, in what is essentially must-win game, is providing excellent value. The Preds are an awful 31-51 (-35) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals. That includes a 12-19 (-10.6) mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the Blues are 42-29 (+7.1) after allowing four or more. I like their chances of bouncing back. *Subscriber Only* |
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04-27-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 73 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* PERS FAV. The fact that the Pens appeared to have an easier time in the first round has provided us with value on the Capitals. The Pens proved to have a big edge on Columbus while the Leafs gave the Caps all they could handle. That doesn't give the Pens any added advantage here though. Matchups are entirely different. If anything, those hard fought close OT wins figure to provide the Caps with an edge, in my opinion. They've had time off to recover and those were the type of victories that tend to build character and to serve a team well down the line. The Pens' extra long gap in between games - Washington last played on 4/23, Pitt last played on 4/20 - figures to favor the Caps, too. Washington is 34-10 at home. Pittsburgh is 21-23 on the road. Caps hold serve in Game 1. |
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04-26-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -128 | 5-3 | Loss | -128 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 8* ANNIHILATOR. By beating the Sharks, the young Oilers have already accomplished a lot. However, I expect them to have their hands full on the road this evening. While the Oilers are a respectable 24-20 on the road, the Ducks are a dominant 31-12 at home. The Ducks won 4-3 the last meeting with the Oilers here. While they've had a long gap in between games, the Ducks are 5-1 this season, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. They're 14-7 (+3.8) in that situtation the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Oilers are 7-9 when playing with three or more day's rest. Expect home ice to make the difference tonight. |
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04-26-17 | Predators v. Blues -117 | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 8* CONF WINNER. The Blues aren't getting much respect here. At roughly a pick'em price, playing at home, I feel they're offering us very fair value. While the Preds won at Chicago, they're still 19-24 away from Nashville. On the other hand, the Blues are 24-18 at home. While the Blues last played on 4/22, the Preds last played on 4/20. That's a fairly long gap in between games for a team which doesn't typically perform particularly well, after a break. In fact, the Preds are only 1-6 on the season, when playing with three or more day's rest. The 4/13 win at Chicago was their first of the season, when playing with a gap of three or more day's in between games. Including a 4-1 win here on 4/2, the Blues are 6-2 the last eight as a host in the series. I like their chances of improving on those stats here. |
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04-23-17 | Capitals -141 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* GAME OF WEEK. Every game has obviously been extremely close. However, I believe the Caps have slowly begun to exert their will. Up 3-2, I expect them to smell the blood in the water and look for them to close the series. The Leafs had their chance. If they could have won either of the last two games, they'd be in great shape. As it is, I expect the results of the last two games to be a bit deflating for them, while the Caps are coming in on a high. The Leafs are already heroes in Toronto, as this is a city used to losing hockey teams. The Caps, on the other hand, are on a mission. Expect them to take the next step here. *GOW |
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04-22-17 | Blues v. Wild -178 | 4-3 | Loss | -178 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 5* ANNIHILATOR. Don't count out the Wild. A 2-0 win last game has given them life. Having already been written off, they're playing with little pressure. Back home, where they are still a healthy 27-16, I expect them to extend the series once again. While the Blues are now just 3-7 (-4.4) their last 10 when leading in a playoff series, the Wild are 14-8 (+3.6) their last 22, off a shutout win. Expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon. |
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04-21-17 | Bruins v. Senators UNDER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Ottawa to finish UNDER the total. These teams combined for a single goal last game, a 1-0 Ottawa victory. I expect that style of play to carry over to this game and for goals to again be at a premium. The UNDER is now 21-9-5 the past 35 times that the Sens were leading in a playoff series. The UNDER is also 11-6-2 when the Sens played a home game when the O/U line was less than 5.5. More of the same here. |
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04-21-17 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -202 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5* ANNIHILATOR. Down 1-2 and playing on the road, the Capitals didn't blink. Instead, they responded with their best effort. They jumped all over the Leafs and never looked back. Off that performance and now back home for this pivotal game, I fully expect the Caps to follow it up with another victory on Friday. The Caps have now taken five of six meetings against the Leafs here the past couple of seasons. They're 33-10 at home, compared to the Leafs' 21-23 mark away from Toronto. With the Caps also 27-10 (+10.8) off a game in which they scored four or more goals, look for them to seize control of the series with. |
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04-20-17 | Sharks v. Oilers -129 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON 8* ANNIHILATOR. I successfully backed the Sharks in the last game of this series. However, nobody expected the lopsided 7-0 score. Off that embarrassing beatdown and now returning home to their own building, I expect the talented Oilers to respond with a huge effort. The Sharks are only 21-22 away from San Jose. The Oilers are 26-17 here at Edmonton. The Sharks get outscored by a 2.7 to 2.6 average margin on the road. The Oilers outscore team by a 2.9 to 2.4 average margin here at Edmonton. The Oilers, who hadn't allowed a single goal in the previous two games, are 14-7 (+6.6) on the season, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back. |
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04-20-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 10* MAIN EVENT. Visiting teams had their way in last night's games, going 4-0. I expect home ice to make the difference in this evening's game at Montreal though. The Habs, who won in OT the last game here at Montreal, were at their best the last (only) time this series was tied, a 3-1 win at MSG. Including that result, the Rangers are just 2-6 (-5.2) the last eight times that they were tied in a playoff series. Now 9-4 their last 13 against the Rangers, expect the Canadiens to rise to the occasion and seize control of the series. |
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04-19-17 | Senators v. Bruins UNDER 5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ottawa/Boston to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. With the Sens leading in the series for the first time, note that Ottawa has seen the UNDER go 20-9, excluding pushes, the last 29 times that it was leading in a playoff series. This season, even after the high-scoring Game 3, the UNDER is still 12-8 after the Sens had scored four or more goals in their previous game. Prior to the last two games, the Bruins had allowed three or fewer goals in nine straight games, two or less in eight of those. Expect them to return to their stingy ways, the final combined score staying below the total. |
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04-19-17 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/Toronto to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. Even with Game 3 finishing above the number, the UNDER remains a profitable 20-14 the past 34 times that the Leafs played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Prior to the last two games, the Caps had allowed two or fewer goals in six straight games. During that 6-game span, they allowed a total of just eight combined goals. Expect them to return to their stingy ways here, the final combined score staying beneath the number. |
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04-19-17 | Capitals -138 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* PERS FAV. In what is essentially a must-win game for the Capitals, I'm backing what I believe to be the superior team. Even with the Game 2 loss, the Caps are still 70-37 their last 107, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. While they're getting very excited in Toronto, don't count out the Caps yet. They were the superior team all season and I expect their very best effort here. |
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04-18-17 | Oilers v. Sharks -118 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE 10* BEST BET. After dropping the first game, the Oilers responded with back-to-back victories. Now, I believe it'll be the Sharks who respond with a victory. The young Oilers clearly have a lot of talent. However, this is new territory for them. They haven't held the lead in a playoff series for many years now. For the verteran Sharks, 39-27 (+7.5) the past few seasons when attempting to avenge a home loss, they've been here before. Given the situation and the fact that the Sharks' 26-16 home record is still superior to the Oilers' 23-19 road mark, I feel that this price could easily be higher. Don't count out the Sharks yet. |
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04-17-17 | Capitals -153 v. Maple Leafs | 3-4 | Loss | -153 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Give the Leafs credit for playing well and earning the split at Washington. However, I still believe that the Caps are the superior team, regardless of venue. They're 21-9 (+8.4) the last 30 times that they faced a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. Going back further finds them at a highly profitable 70-36 (+25.2) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to take care of business in this pivotal game. |
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04-17-17 | Senators v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Ottawa to finish UNDER the total 8*. After a low-scoring (2-1) opener, these teams combined for seven goals last game. With the venue shifting to Boston and the series tied, I'm expecting a low-scoring Game 3. Excluding 'pushes,' the Sens have seen the UNDER go 47-27 in the first round of the playoffs, over the years. That includes a 13-8 UNDER mark when tied in a series. More recently, we find the UNDER at 12-7-1 the last 20 times that they were off a game in which they scored four or more goals. Ottawa's last visit here was a little less than two weeks ago, a 2-1 final score. Including that result, the Sens have seen four of their last six finish with less than five goals. More of the same here. |
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04-17-17 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington/Toronto to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. With the high percentage of games landing on the number five, if its available, I'm opting to lay the extra juice to play at 5.5, turning the potential push into a win. However, if that 5.5 line is unavavailable to you, I absolutely still like getting the "plus money" and playing at five instead. Prior to Game 2, when they allowed four, the Caps had allowed two or fewer goals in six straight games. The UNDER remains a healthy 10-4-1 their last 15 first round playoff games, 46-25-7 if we go back further. The Caps last visit here, which came on 4/4, finished below the total. With the series tied and the venue shifting, I expect goals to be at a premium and for this one to do the same. |
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04-16-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/NYR to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CIP. Game 2 may have been high-scoring. However, these teams are still backed by two of the best goalies in the game and I'm expecting a much lower-scoring affair in Game 3. The Rangers have seen the UNDER go 6-1 the last seven times that they were tied in a playoff series. Going back further finds the UNDER at 18-6-3 the past 27 times that the Rangers were tied in a playoff series. Look for the goals to be at a premium, the final combined score again falling below the total. |
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04-15-17 | Predators v. Blackhawks -165 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -165 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO 10* GAME OF WEEK. With their backs to the wall, I fully expect the Hawks to respond wtih a huge effort this evening. This battle-tested team is 7-1 (+5.5) the past eight times it was trailing in a playoff series. Going back further finds the Hawks at 27-15 (+13.2) their last 42 in that situation. While the Preds shutout in the opener may have been impressive, it should be noted that they're 0-4 on the season, when off a shutout win. They lost those four games by a combined score of 13-4, too. I'm going with the Hawks. *GOW |
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04-14-17 | Sharks v. Oilers -146 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON 8*. The Sharks stole Game 1. With their backs to the wall, I expect a desperate Edmonton team to even the series. The Sharks are the older and more experienced team. While I didn't play the game, I wasn't at all shocked to see them take the opener. Obviously they want more but they've now accomplished their goal of splitting these first two games. While the Oilers are young, they're also extremely talented. They've now had a taste of what its going to take to win in the playoffs and I expect them to elevate their game accordingly. The Sharks are still only a modest 21-21 on the road while the Oilers are 25-17 at home. Look for McDavid and co. to improve on those stats here. |
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04-14-17 | Blues v. Wild -195 | 2-1 | Loss | -195 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 5*. After dropping Game 1, the Wild need to win this one. I expect them to bounce back with their very best effort. While the Blues are now 12-13 (-1.1) when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5, the Wild are 18-6 (+6.7) at home, when the O/U line was less than 5.5. While I backed the Blues in Game 1, its worth noting that they are only 1-6 the last seven times that they were leading in a playoff series. Of course, those numbers weren't from this year's team. All the same, its going to be hard to improve on them against a determined and talented Wild team which has its back against the wall. Expect Minnesota to be a little more "desperate" and for that to ultimately be the difference. |
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04-14-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens -145 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 8*. After dropping Game 1, the Canadiens need to win this one. I expect them to bounce back with their very best effort. Even with the Game 1 result, the Habs are still 7-3 their last 10 against the Rangers. The last time that the Canadiens were off a shutout loss, they answered with a 4-1 win in their next game. Prior to that, off their previous shutout loss, they bounced back with a 3-2 victory. On the season, the Habs are 13-4 (+9.7) off a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to respond accordingly once again. |
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04-14-17 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Penguins | 1-4 | Loss | -210 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLUMBUS on the PUCK-LINE 5* (+1.5 GOALS). With the Pens listed at fairly heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals, with what should be a desperate Columbus team, for a relatively reasonable price. That may sound funny to some, as we're still having to lay fairly heavy juice to get the +1.5. However, I use the word "relatively" to indicate that its a reasonable price, relative to the high value of the extra +1.5 goals. As we've seen, goals are at a premium in the playoffs. Last night's three games were ALL decided by a single goal. Six of eight games overall have been decided by a single goal, all eight were decided by two or less. The Jackets are 23-12 (10.6) vs. the moneyline their last 35, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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04-13-17 | Flames v. Ducks -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 8* ANNHILATOR. While the road teams held a 4-1 edge last night, I expect the home teams to settle the score this evening. The Flames are a modest 21-20 on the road. The Ducks are a dominant 29-12 at home. Calgary gets outscored by an average margin of 2.7 to 2.3 on the road. Anaheim outscores teams by a 3.0 to 2.0 margin at home. The Ducks have absolutely owned the Flames here over the years and all signs point to more of the same here. |
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04-13-17 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Chicago/Nashville to finish UNDER the total 8* WEST CONF O/U BEST BET. While there will still be the occasional high-scoring game, goals tend to become less frequent come playoff time. We saw evidence of that last night. None of the five games produced more than five goals. They had scores of 2-0, 3-1, 2-1, 3-2 and 2-1. Thats an average of only 3.4 goals per game. While every night and matchup is different, getting 5.5 goals to work with is generous. The Hawks have seen four of their last five games produce five or fewer combined goals. The Preds have seen nine of their last 11 produce five or less. The UNDER is 40-22 the past 2+ seasons in games played here, when the O/U line was 5.5. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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04-13-17 | Predators v. Blackhawks -163 | 1-0 | Loss | -163 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I’m playing on CHICAGO 8* PERS FAV. This is an extremely well-coached and playoff battle-tested Chicago team, one which knows how to take care of business come playoff-time. Though they enter the playoffs in a bit of a slump, I fully expect to see a different team tonight. A home game vs. the Preds figures to be just what the doctor ordered. The Hawks are 9-1 the last 10 as a host vs. Nashville. The Preds were 17-24 on the road this season, the Hawks were 26-15 at home. With the Preds at 0-6 when playing with three or more day's rest, I'm backing the home team. |
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04-13-17 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Toronto/Washington to finish UNDER the total 8* EAST CONF O/U BEST BET. While there will still be the occasional high-scoring game, goals tend to become less frequent come playoff time. We saw evidence of that last night. None of the five games produced more than five goals. They had scores of 2-0, 3-1, 2-1, 3-2 and 2-1. Thats an average of only 3.4 goals per game. While every night and matchup is different, getting 5.5 goals to work with is generous. On the season, the Caps allowed an average of only 1.7 goals per game here. Over their past five games overall, they've allowed an average of just 1.2 goals. None of those games saw more than five combined goals scored. The Leafs have seen three of their last four produce five or fewer combined goals. One of those was a 4-1 loss vs. these same Capitals. While that one was at Toronto, the Caps have also seen the UNDER go 7-3 on the season when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I'm expecting those stats to improve here. |
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04-13-17 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -222 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5 BM BEATDOWN. The Capitals are the biggest favorite for good reason. While the Leafs were below .500 on the road, the Caps were 32-9 at home. They've dominated the Leafs here over the years and again this season. The Leafs, just 40-42 overall, were 12-19 (-8.4) against teams with a winning record this season. The Caps, on the other hand, were 27-13 (2.8) against teams with a losing record. The Caps have been extremely stingy here all season and I expect them to be all business again tonight. |
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04-12-17 | Blues +1.5 v. Wild | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing ST. LOUIS on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Getting an extra +1.5 goals with the Blues at this "reasonable" price (relative to the value of the extra +1.5 goals) is providing us with value. The Blues won 2-1 the last time the teams met here. They've been red hot for weeks. They enter the playoffs off three straight wins, two of those by a single goal. They're now 15-4 SU their last 19 games. A closer look at the four losses shows that three of them came by a single goal. In other words, they'd be 18-1 their last 19, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each. Thats good enough for me. |
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04-12-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 51 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Columbus/Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total 8* BEST BET. This is the only total of 5.5 on the opening night board. The rest are listed at five. In what figures to be a fairly tight low-scoring opener, that extra 1/2 goal could well come in handy. The last two meetings between these teams had scores of 2-1 and 4-1. The Jackets have seen the UNDER go 8-4-2 their last 14 against winning teams. During that stretch, the Pens have seen the UNDER go 7-4-1 against winning teams. Both teams saw their final regular season game produce five combined goals and I think this one has an excellent shot at also finishing with five or less. |
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04-09-17 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLUMBUS on the puck-line 5* PREDATOR. (+1.5 goals) The Jackets should want this one a little more than the Leafs. While Toronto is off an emotional win, one which clinched a playoff spot, the Jackets lost again and have now dropped six straight. They badly want to get a small amount of positive momentum, heading into the playoffs. Note that the Jackets, who lost at home the last time they faced the Leafs, are 11-4 their last 15 when attempting to avenge a home loss. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 36-24 (+21.7) their last 60 in that situation. Meanwhile, the Leafs are just 6-11 (-5.3) this season, when playing the second of b2b games, 18-33 (-10.1) in that situation, the past few seasons. Why take at +1.5? While the Jackets may be only 2-7 their last nine vs. the money-line, they'd have been 6-3 in those games, if getting +1.5 in each. Expect the Jackets to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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04-09-17 | Devils v. Red Wings -163 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT 10* GAME OF MONTH. Both teams have had disappointing seasons. Both lost again yesterday. However, this one figures to mean a lot more to the Red Wings. Not only is it their home finale, its also their last game ever at Jou Louis Arena. While the Devils did win here back in late January, the Wings are still 12-3 their last 15 as a host in the series. Its true that the Wings only score 2.5 goals per game at home. Thats still better than the 2.2 gpg that the Devils average on the road though. Also, while the Wings allow 2.7 goals per game at home, the Devils allow 3.0 g.p.g on the road. While the stats do favor the Wings, I'm taking them because I expect them to have the "emotional edge." Look for them to close out 37 (mostly successful) years here with a big win. *GOM |
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04-08-17 | Oilers v. Canucks +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing VANCOUVER on the puck-line (+1.5 goals, 8* ANNIHILATOR) This is the front end of a home-and-home series; these teams will conclude their regular seasons against each other, at Edmonton, tomorrow night. With that being the case and this being the Canucks' final home game of the season, I expect a highly motivated effort from the home team. The last four meetings between these teams have all been decided by two goals or less, two of those being decided by a single goal. The Oilers are 4-1 their last five. However, only one of those games resulted in a win by more than a goal. Look for the Canucks, who are off a 1-goal loss, to show some pride, fighting hard the entire way and earning AT LEAST the "puck-line cover." |
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04-08-17 | Flames v. Sharks -138 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ 10* PERS FAV. While both have qualified for the playoffs, these teams would both like a win here. Playing at home and with recent revenge from a loss at Calgary, I expect the Sharks to have the advantage. While the Flames are a modest 21-19 at home, the Sharks are a solid 25-15 at home. The Sharks, who had to witness Calgary clinch a playoff spot in their 5-2 loss on Calgary on 3/31, are 73-50 (+8.9) the past couple of seasons, when playing with revenge. During that span, they're also 39-23 (+12) when off a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to bounce back and close out the reg. season with a victory. |
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04-06-17 | Oilers v. Sharks -124 | 4-2 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE 8* DOMINATOR. The Oilers recently beat the Sharks, at Edmonton. That should provide the Sharks, who are 73-49 (+10.2) the past few seasons when playing with 'revenge,' some added motivation. The Sharks are 2-0 this month, now 13-5 in April the past couple of seasons. Edmonton, on the other hand, are off a loss and are now 3-8 (-4.3) in April the past 2+ seasons. During that stretch, they're also 27-49 (-13.8) off a loss by two or more goals. I'm backing the Sharks. |
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04-06-17 | Jets v. Blue Jackets -172 | 5-4 | Loss | -172 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS 5* PERS FAV. Off four straight losses and playing their regular season home finale, I expect a highly motivated effort from the Blue Jackets here. While the Jackets are 28-13 at home, the Jets are 17-23 away from Winnipeg. The Jets get outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.8 on the road. The Jackets outscore teams by an average margin of 3.1 to 2.0 here at Columbus. The Jackets are 28-14 (+9.8) against teams with a losing record and they're 10-4 (+6.5) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Look for them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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04-06-17 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -128 | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA 8* ANNIHILATOR. The Canes have taken three of four meetings this season and I expect them to have the advantage again this evening. While Carolina did get eliminated from postseason contention last game, I still expect a motivated effort. Coach Peters had this to say: “We've done it right for a long period of time here recently. We want to finish on a positive note with our effort and our attention to detail." Jeff Skinner added: "We have to regroup and finish out hard." The Isles are 17-22 on the road, the Canes are 23-16 at home. With the Isles at 0-5 the last five times that they'd won three in a row and 11-22 (-17.4) in that situation the past 2+ seasons, I'm backing the home team. |
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04-04-17 | Islanders v. Predators -180 | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8* PERS FAV. Some might feel the Isles will want this one a little more. After all, they're still fighting for the playoffs while the Preds have now wrapped up a playoff spot. However, the Preds are off a loss and have dropped three of four. They don't want to back their way into the playoffs and I expect a highly motivated effort. Having lost captain Tavares to injury a couple of games ago, the Isles know their chances of an extended playoff run are slim, even if they did manage to make their way in. They're still just 16-22 on the road, the Preds are still 24-16 at home. Playing their regular season home finale, look for the Preds to bounce back and improve to 14-7 their last 21, after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game. |
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04-04-17 | Hurricanes v. Wild -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 8* NON-CONF ANNIHILATOR. The Wild play their regular season home finale. They'll be motivated for a win here and to settle a score against a Carolina team which beat them at Raleigh. While the Canes are 12-27 on the road, the Wild are 28-12 at home. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. |
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04-04-17 | Jets v. Blues -167 | 5-2 | Loss | -167 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST LOUIS *8 REVENGE CRUSHER. The Jets have had their way with the Blues this season but I expect that to change this evening. The Blues are 22-16 at home. The Jets are 16-23 on the road. The Jets get outscored by an an average of 3.3 to 2.8 goals on the road. The Blues outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.8 average at home. While the Jets are 7-11 their last 18 against winning teams, the Blues are 13-6 (+5.4) their last 19 against losing teams. Payback time. |
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04-04-17 | Red Wings v. Senators -155 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA 8* ANNIHILATOR. These teams faced each other last night, at Detroit. The Wings won 5-0. With this evening's rematch being played at Ottawa, I expect the Sens to get their revenge. While the Wings are 16-24 on the road, the Sens are 20-19 at home. The Wings are 11-22 (-10.9) after allowing four or more goals. The Sens are 14-10 (+6.5) after allowing four or more. Going back further finds them at 45-34 (+13.8) in that situation. Payback time. |
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04-02-17 | Flyers v. Rangers -149 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. While they've already clinched a playoff spot, the Rangers should be very hungry to snap their losing streak. They particularly want to win a home game before the playoffs start - and after this game, their only remaining home game comes against the Pens. Facing a Flyers team, which is playing the second of b2b games, should provide them with the perfect opportunity. The Flyers are just 14-25 away from Philly. Look for a motivated Rangers team, 11-3 its last 14 when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss, to deliver a fatal blow to their playoff hopes here. |
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04-02-17 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -184 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Canes saw a winning streak come to an end yesterday, losing 3-0 against Dallas. The Pens, who had yesterday off, snapped a losing streak by beating the Rangers in their last game. They'll be the team which brings some positive momentum into today's game and they should also be the ones with fresher legs. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Canes will be playing their fifth game in the past seven days. Look for it to catch up with them against a Pens team which has had their number this season. |
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04-02-17 | Islanders v. Sabres -123 | 4-2 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. I won with the Islanders in their last game. However, that was against a terrible NJ team which has seemingly packed it in for more than a month now. The Sabres aren't going to the playoffs either. However, they're playing a lot harder than the Devils. While Isles were at home against the Devils, now they're on the road to face the Sabres. Perhaps worst, in their last game, they lost captain John Tavares to a leg injury, a crushing blow. While the Isles are 15-22 on the road, the Sabres are 19-19 at home. They should be motivated to do some "spoiling" and to climb above .500 here. While the Isles may have had yesterday off, they're still playing their third game in four days, a situation that hasn't been kind to them. Buffalo, on the other hand, is well-rested. The home team has won both meetings and I'm expecting more of the same here. |
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04-01-17 | Devils v. Flyers -193 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA 8* PERS FAV. The Devils are terrible right now and they've been terrible for weeks. They lost again last night. Here, they'll be facing a revenge-minded Flyers team which had last night off and which comes in with a score to settle. Off three straight wins, the Flyers have won more games within the last week than the Devils won in the entire month of March. They'll be happy to take advantage of a tired NJ team which has had their number all season. Payback time. |
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03-31-17 | Devils v. Islanders -190 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS 5* PERS FAV. Off three straight losses and with their chances of a playoff spot fading by the day, the Isles desperately need to stop the bleeding with a win. The Devils should provide them the perfect opportunity, as they've been terrible for weeks. Off four straight losses and playing out the string, NJ is now 2-12 for the month of March. The home team has won both meetings. Not surprising, on the season, the Devils are just 12-26 on the road. That includes an 0-5 mark when the O/U line was 5.5. Look for the Isles to bounce back. |
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03-30-17 | Senators v. Wild -155 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 10* PERS FAV. Both these teams have struggled recentlhy. Both are going to be hungry for a victory. Playing at home, I expect the Wild to have the advantage. The Sens score 2.7 goals per game on the road, while also allowing 2.7. The Wild, on the other hand, outscore teams by a commanding 3.3 to 2.3 margin here at home. The Wild already beat the Sens (at Ottawa) and this time they're catcing the Sens right in the middle of a road trip. Look for them to bounce back and improve to 14-9, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. |
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03-30-17 | Stars v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Dallas/Boston to finish UNDER the total. Given the fact that games here at Boston average 5.5 goals, this O/U line probably should be listed at 5.5. Instead, we're getting an extra half goal to work with. I feel that's providing us with solid value. The UNDER is 13-6-3 when the Bruins were off a win by two or more goals. The UNDER is also 18-10 when the Stars were off a game where they allowed four or more goals. Additionally, the UNDER is 5-2 when the Stars played a game where the O/U line was greater than 5.5. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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03-30-17 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Lightning | 3-5 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing DETROIT on the puck-line 8*. With the Lightning fairly heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Wings at a relatively reasonable price. As I'm expecting a fairly close low-scoring game, that extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. These teams met a week ago and the final score was 2-1. That makes it two of the past three meetings that were decided by a single goal. For the Wings, they've now seen five of their past six games decided by only one goal. While they lost 4-1 last time out, that was the first time in their past eight games that they lost by more than a goal. They're 10-10 (+2.8) vs. the moneyline when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss and I expect them to bounce back with at least a 'cover.' |
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03-30-17 | Red Wings v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB/DETROIT to finish UNDER the total 8*. These teams played to a 2-1 final last week. The Lightning have won three straight games. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is a perfect 5-0 this season when the Lightning had won their previous three games. Those games had scores of 4-0, 3-1, 3-0 2-1 and 5-0. Thats an average of less than four goals per game. With the UNDER at 4-1-1 the Wings' last six games, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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03-29-17 | Blues v. Coyotes +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -190 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing ARIZONA on the puck-line 5* ANNIHILATOR. (+1.5 goals) These teams just met, at St. Louis, a couple of days ago. The Blues won that one by a 4-1 score. They also beat the Coyotes by a 3-0 score here less than two weeks ago. With this evening's rematch being played in the desert, I expect a much better effort from the revenge-minded Coyotes. With the Blues farily heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Coyotes for a relatively reasonable price. In a game that could easily "come down to the wire," that extra +1.5 goals could well prove significant. The Blues only score 2.6 goals per game on the road, while allowing 2.5. That makes winning by more than a goal difficult. The Blues are only 9-12 on the road, when the O/U line with less than 5.5. They're also only 10-14 (vs the moneyline) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Look for the Coyotes to give them all they can handle with a solid shot at the outright upset. |
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03-28-17 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -227 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS 5* BM BEATDOWN. Not only are the Jackets the much better team, they've also got the venue and schedule in their favor. While the Sabres played yesterday, the Jackets have had the past couple days off. The Sabres are 5-13 after scoring four or more goals, 6-10 when playing the second of b2b games. The Jackets, meanwhile, are 12-3 (+9.2) when playing with two day's worth of rest in between games. While the Sabres are 13-25 on the road, the Jackets are 27-11 at home. All things considered, the price could easily be even higher. |
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03-28-17 | Jets v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 349 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Winnipeg and NJ to finish UNDER the total 8*. The Devils don't score many goals at the best of times. For the season, they're averaging only 2.2 goals per game, both at home and on the road. Lately, they haven't even scored that many. Over their past six games, they're averaging only 1.33 goals. They were blanked completely in three of those games, too. The UNDER is 6-3-4 when the Devils played with three or more day's rest in between games. The UNDER is also 17-10-7 when the Devils attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Going back further finds the UNDER at a lucrative 64-40-26 the past few seasons, when the Devils were in the revenge role. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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03-27-17 | Blackhawks -117 v. Lightning | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Off an embarrassing 7-0 loss last time out, the Hawks are going to be in an angry mood. The fact that the Lightning beat them, at Chicago, the last time that these teams met figures to only add to their anger. The Hawks are 12-5 the last 17 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. They're also 38-23 the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During that time, they're also 31-18 (+4.5) off a loss by two or more goals. While the Lightning are 19-17 at home, the Hawks are 23-13 (+10.8) on the road. While the Lightning are 10-16 (-11.9) against teams from the West, the Hawks are 18-10 (+6.3) against teams from the East. Payback time. |
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03-27-17 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Detroit/Carolina to finish UNDER the total 8*. Carolina home games usually have an O/U line of five. When it does climb up to 5.5, the final score tends to stay below that number. In fact, the UNDER is a lucrative 31-12 the last 43 times that the Canes played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5, 12-5 this season.With the Wings off four straight games which have produced five or fewer combined goals, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair this evening. |
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03-27-17 | Panthers v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -127 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Florida/Buffalo to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. These teams have met twice so far this season. Those games averaged five combined goals, including a 3-0 game here at Buffalo. Both previous meetings had O/U lines of five, as did last season's games. However, we're getting an extra half goal to work with here. While we do have to lay some extra juice to get that 5.5 line, I feel thats providing us with excellent value. The UNDER is 23-9 the past 32 times that Florida played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During that span, the Sabres have seen the UNDER go 30-20 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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03-26-17 | Canucks v. Jets -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Off back-to-back losses and looking to get back to 500 at home, the Jets should be highly motivated. While the Jets had yesterday off, the Canucks are off an upset win at Minnesota. They're still only 12-25 on the road though. This will mark the final leg of a 5-game road trip. The Jets are a perfect 3-0 as a host in the series the past couple of seasons. They won those games by a combined score of 11-5. Expect another victory on Sunday. |
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03-26-17 | Flyers v. Penguins -215 | 6-2 | Loss | -215 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 5* BM BEATDOWN. While this line is high, it could easily be higher. The Pens are 28-8 (+12.3) at home. The Flyers are 13-24 (-9.2) on the road. While the Flyers are 12-19 against winning teams, the Pens are 30-14 against losing teams. Off back-to-back losses, the Pens are going to be motivated to get back on track, particularly as the Flyers beat them 4-0 the last time that these teams met. They're 19-4 (+13.6) after allowing four or more goals. With the venue and schedule in their favor, expect the Pens to improve on those stats on Sunday. |
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03-25-17 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -165 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS 5* ANNIHILATOR. Off back-to-back losses, the Jackets are going to be highly motivated this afternoon. This marks the seventh time this season that the Jackets have lost two in a row. In all six previous cases, they won their next games. While the Flyers are 12-19 (-6.2) against teams with a winning record, the Jackets are 26-13 (+8.8) against losing teams. Including a 2-0 mark against Philadelphia, the Jackets are 17-8 (+8) against divisional opponents. On the other hand, the Flyers are 8-14 (-6.7) against divisional foes. The Flyers are 13-24 (-9.2) on the road. The Jackets are 26-11 (+9.5) at home. All things considered, the price could easily be even higher. |
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03-25-17 | Canucks v. Wild -249 | 4-2 | Loss | -249 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 5* BM BEATDOWN. These teams have split a pair or meetings at Vancouver. With this afternoon's game being played at Minnesota, I expect the Wild to have a significant advantage. The last time that the Wild hosted the Canucks, they won 6-2. This season, the Wild are 24-12 at home. On the other hand, the Canucks are just 11-25 on the road. With the Canucks just 9-21 against teams with a winning record, I'm laying the wood with the Wild. Look for Minnesota to bounce back and to improve to 7-3 its last 10 off a loss by two or more goals. |
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03-24-17 | Lightning v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/TB to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. The Lightning are off a high-scoring game against the Bruins yesterday. However, this one should be considerably lower-scoring. Yesterday notwithstanding, on the season, TB road games have been lower-scoring than TB home games. Conversely, Detroit home games have been lower-scoring than Detroit road games. Games here are averaging 5.2 goals per game. The Wings have seen the UNDER go 13-8 this season, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The last two Detroit games had identical scores of 2-1. Speaking of 2-1 final scores, the last time that the Lightning played the second of b2b games, they won 2-1 at Ottawa. Including that result, the UNDER is 10-3 when TB played the second of b2b games. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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03-23-17 | Jets v. Kings -156 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA 8* PERS FAV. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. The Jets won 3-2 at Winnipeg. The Kings returned the favor with a 3-2 win here at LA, in mid-January. LA was laying -205 for that game. Now, a couple months later, we're getting the Kings at a considerably lower price. I believe thats providing us with very fair value. While the Jets are 15-21 on the road, the Kings are 20-15 at home. LA outscores teams by a 2.8 to 2.5 average score here. Winnipeg gets outscored by a 3.2 to 2.8 margin on the road. With the Kings 11-2 their last 13 at home, when the O/U line was 5.5, look for home ice to again prove the difference. |
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03-23-17 | Flyers v. Wild -196 | 3-1 | Loss | -196 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 5* BM BEATDOWN. Off 5-straight losses, the Wild got back on track with a much needed victory last time out. The last thing they want to do is to follow it up with another loss. Rather, I expect them to build positive momentum from the win. The Flyers did win when these teams met at Philly. However, with this game at Minnesota, the revenge-minded Wild should have a signifcant advantage. While the Wild are 24-11 at home, the Flyers are 12-24 on the road. Minnesota outscores teams by an average score of 3.3 to 2.1 here. Philly gets outscored by a 3.4 to 2.3 margin on the road. In addition to beating them earlier this season, the Flyers also swept the Wild last year. Payback time on Thursday evening. |
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03-23-17 | Canucks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver and St. Louis to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. The earlier meetings both had O/U lines of five. This one probably should too. The Canucks, who average only 2.3 goals per game, have seen the UNDER go 8-1 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. They figure to have trouble scoring against a stingy St Louis team. The Blues are allowing an average of only 1.2 goals, their past five games. None of those five opponents scored more than two goals. Three of the last four meetings in this series have fallen below the total. Going back further finds that 10 of the last 13 meetings between these teams have produced five or fewer combined goals. I'm expecting another low-scoring affair. |
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03-23-17 | Coyotes v. Panthers -190 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA 5* ANNIHILATOR. The Panthers check in off b2b losses. After this game, they host Chicago. After that, they hit the road for four games. In other words, this is by far the most winnable game they're going to have. I expect them to take advantage. The Coyotes beat the Panthers at Arizona but they're a terrible 11-25 on the road, even off a rare road win. While the Coyotes are 20-33 (-6.7) the past 2+ seasons after scoring four or more goals, the Panthers are 39-30 (+9.7) after allowing four or more. They've dominated the Coyotes here in recent seasons and I expect them to bounce back with a win tonight. |