Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-20-19 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings -112 | 5-4 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Red Wings. Chicago started the season horribly, but the Blackhawks come in having won nine of their last 11. The Wings are the much “hungrier” side here though and I believe that’s going to make the difference in this one (Detroit has lost five of its last seven.) However, despite its recent “up-tick” in play, Chicago averages 3.2 goals and concedes 3.6 overall this season. The Wings average 2.8 goals and they allow 3.2. Chicago though is just 1-3 (-2.3 units) in its last four after playing three straight home games. I like the “hungrier” home side to end Chicago’s recent run of success as I look for it come out flat to open this road trip. |
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02-19-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Edmonton Oilers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Neither of these teams instills much confidence, but after Arizona’s listless 5-2 loss in Calgary just last night, I believe the visitors come out flat here as well vs. the hungry home side. The Oilers most recently fell 5-2 in Long Island on Saturday. These teams have split two meetings this year, with each winning in the others arena. The Oilers play with revenge here though after they lost most recently here 3-2 to the Coyotes on January 12th. Arizona averages 2.59 goals and it allows 2.86, while the Oilers average 2.76 goals and they allow 3.36. Arizona though is still just 10-12 (-1.2 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Edmonton is 18-14 (+5.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. No more excuses for Edmonton, as this essentially becomes a “must win” for the franchise. Lay it, Oilers roll. |
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02-18-19 | Bruins v. Sharks -141 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -141 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks (3* VIOLATOR). After five straight wins, I think the Bruins finally have a letdown here in the final game of their Western swing. Most recently Boston got the better of the Kings in LA 4-2 on Saturday. But knocking off the lowly Kings is one thing and getting the better of San Jose in the Shark Tank is quite another though. San Jose is tied atop the Pacific Division with Calgary and it won’t be taking this home contest for granted, as the Sharks will hit the road for a tough four-game Eastern road swing after this. San Jose is 7-1 in its last eight home games as the favorite, while Boston is just 6-14 in its last 20 as a road underdog. Look for San Jose to leave everything on the ice and to find a way to get the job done. Lay the price, Sharks roll. |
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02-17-19 | Canadiens v. Panthers -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (9* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Montreal comes in “dog tired” here after its game in Tampa Bay just last night. Florida comes in rested and with momentum after its 3-2 home win over Calgary. The Panthers also play with double revenge after dropping both previous games to the Habs. Florida has been playing better of late overall as well, having gone 6-4 in its last ten. It’s now or never and do or die for the home side in this one. No more excuses, as this one sets up great for the Panthers to avenge the two earlier losses. A great price as well. Lay it, Florida rolls. |
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02-17-19 | Blues v. Wild -120 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* ANNIHILATOR). St. Louis comes to town off a 3-0 road win in Colorado, but I think it’ll stumble here finally in this difficult road arena. The Wild on the other hand come in as the “hungrier” team after its 5-4 loss at home to New Jersey. St. Louis has gone 15-12 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and allowing 2.37 in those games. All good things have to come to an end eventually and after nine straight victories, I think St. Louis will in fact finally suffer a letdown here. The Wild don’t have that luxury. In fact Minnesota comes in desperate to break a three-game slide. The Wild are only 13-16 at home, averaging and conceding 2.97 goals in those contests. Note though that Minnesota is 9-3 in its last 12 after allowing five or more goals in its previous contest, while St. Louis is just 3-10 in its last 13 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. St. Louis is 0-5 in its last five in this series and I think all of the above strong trends continue here. Lay the price, Wild roll. |
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02-17-19 | Rangers v. Penguins -201 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Pittsburgh Penguins (6* MEMBER ONLY). New York comes to town content after a 6-2 road win in Buffalo. Pittsburgh has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency this season, but after a 5-4 home loss to Calgary, I believe the home side comes in as the much “hungrier” team. Despite the win the Rangers are still just 5-5 in their last ten. New York is 10-17 on the road, averaging 2.70 goals and allowing 3.96 in those games. As mentioned above, the Penguins have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they’ve been at their best at home by going 16-12 overall, averaging 3.48 goals and conceding 3.21 in those contests. The Rangers are just 8-22 in their last 30 on the road vs. teams with a winning home record and I expect them to once again stumble here vs. this now razor focused home side. Lay the price, Penguins roll. |
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02-16-19 | Oilers +1.5 v. Islanders | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -160 | 26 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Edmonton Oilers PUCK LINE (10* PL GAME OF WEEK). I came up short with my play on the Oilers on the puck line last night, but Edmonton comes to Long Island as a desperate team and I believe it’ll keep this one close until the final moments. The Oilers are beyond hungry for a victory here after losing ten of their last 11. The Isles on the other hand get caught looking past their opponent after winning five of their last seven. New York also gets caught looking ahead to three whole nights off before going on a big West Coast Canadian road swing. I expect Edmonton to lay everything on the line here and to come away with a comfortable “cover” at the very least. Play on the Oilers puck line. |
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02-16-19 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Flyers | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Red Wings on the puck line (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Red Wings won’t be in the playoffs this year, but they come in playing decent hockey and I think they can keep this one competitive as well. Detroit enters off two straight victories after besting Ottawa 3-2 on Thursday. In all six players posted points and goaltender Jimmy Howard stopped 40 shots. The Flyers have been playing exceptionally as well of late, but a letdown looks imminent after their 5-4 road win on Tuesday over the Wild. Goaltender Anthony Stolarz would give up four goals on 39 shots. I’m expecting the Wings to come in “under the radar.” Play on Detroit on the puck line. |
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02-16-19 | Flames +1.5 v. Penguins | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
5* play on the Flames PUCK-LINE (MEMBER ONLY). Obviously the juice is steep, but in a tight game which I think will be decided late (or even in extra time,) I’m going to lay the larger price for the extra “insurance.” The Flames will be desperate to break a three-game slide, most recently falling 3-2 in a SO to Florida. The Penguins have been alternating good starts with bad and they come in off a 3-1 win over the lowly Oilers. Up until recently, the Flames’ strength this season had been their play on the road. Expect that trend to start up again and lay the price for the 1.5 goals. |
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02-15-19 | Oilers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 1-3 | Loss | -169 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Edmonton Oilers puck line (8* VIOLATOR). The Oilers are clearly the “hungrier” team here. Much was expected from this Oilers team this season, but Edmonton has for the most part been a disaster to this point. But after dropping eight of nine, including a 3-1 loss in Pittsburgh last time out, the Oilers won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. The Hurricanes have won seven of ten and return home after a 4-1 road win over Ottawa on Tuesday. But after three whole nights off and facing a lowly non-conference opponent, Carolina is poised for a classic “letdown” here in my opinion (note that the Canes are 17-25, -12.5 units in their last 42 when playing with two days rest). No such luxury for the Oilers though, who are also out to atone for a loss at home to Carolina earlier in the year (Edmonton is 10-6, +6.1 units this year revenging a home loss vs. an opponent.) I’m going to lay what I feel to be a very reasonable price for the puck line on the desperate visiting side. |
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02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres -150 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -150 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Buffalo Sabres (10* PERS FAV). Off a tough 4-3 road loss in Winnipeg on Tuesday, I think the Rangers will have difficulty here as well vs. their upstate rival. At 24-24-8 (56 points), New York is second to last in the Metropolitan. The Sabres come in on the other end of the spectrum after a quality 3-1 win over the dangerous Islanders on Tuesday. At 28-21-7 (63 points), the Sabres remain in the hunt at fifth in the Atlantic. Rangers’ goalie Henrik Lundqvist is 16-15-8 with a 3.02 GAA, while Sabres’ net minder Linus Ullmark is 13-5-4 with a 2.89 GAA. New York’s achilles heel is its play on the road, as it’s lost 36 of its last 51 away from friendly confines. The home team is 4-0 the last four in this series and I look for all of these trends to carry over here. Lay the price, Sabres roll. |
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02-14-19 | Canadiens v. Predators -158 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Nashville Predators (10* BEST OF BEST) Montreal has been much better this season than last, but I still think it’s going to stumble in this difficult road arena. The Habs come in off a loss to Toronto. The Predators are behind the Jets in the Central division, but after two straight home losses, Nashville comes in razor focused to this one in my opinion. And a closer look at the numbers definitely points to the home side having the advantage today, as Montreal averages 3.00 GPG and allows 2.9, while Nashville averages 3.1 goals and allows only 2.6. Additionally note that Montreal is a poor 22-35 (-14 units) in its last 57 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent (Nashville won North of the border earlier in the year), while the Predators are still 17-6 (+9.2 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Preds roll. |
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02-13-19 | Canucks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I’m playing on the under Canucks/Ducks (10* BLUE CHIP). Vancouver is out to atone for an atrocious 7-2 home loss to San Jose. Anaheim can empathize as it looks to atone for a poor 6-2 loss in Philadelphia in its latest action. With both teams putting an added emphasis on the defensive side of things this evening, I do indeed expect this one to sneak under once it’s all said and done. Note that Vancouver goalie Jacob Markstrom comes in with a 3-3, 2.45 GAA record lifetime vs. the Ducks. Anaheim enters having lost seven straight. Ducks’ net minder John Gibson is expected to get the start tonight and he’s 7-3 with a 1.70 GAA lifetime vs. the Canucks. Vancouver has seen the total go “under” in 11 of its last 16 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while Anaheim has seen the total dip under in eight of 12 vs. the division this season. This number is high, play the under. |
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02-12-19 | Flyers v. Wild -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers have been hot of late. Philadelphia though enters off a 4-1 loss at home to Pittsburgh just last night and I think it’s going to have a hell of a time “getting up” for this difficult road contest just 24 hours later. Despite their recent win streak, Philadelphia is still averaging only 2.8 GPG, while allowing 3.3. The Wild won’t be “looking past” their opponent today, as they’ve lost five of their last six. Minnesota averages 2.8 goals and it allows 2.9. Philadelphia though is a terrible 2-5 in its last seven when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Minnesota is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. I think the more rested, more focused and more determined home side offers great value in this spot. Lay the price, Wild roll. |
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02-12-19 | Blackhawks v. Bruins -190 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Boston Bruins (6* BM BLOWOUT). I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Hawks come to town off a 5-2 home win over Detroit, while the Bruins needed OT to pull away for a 2-1 win over the Avs in their latest action. The Hawks are back in the playoff hunt after seven straight wins, but I think they’ll come up short here in this difficult road arena. Chicago is still just 11-17 on the road this season, averaging 3.29 goals, but allowing 3.82 in those contests. The Bruins have been at their best at home this season, going 20-10, averaging 3.40 goals and allowing only 2.43. The Bruins have been money in the bank for bettors in this spot as well by going 26-10 in their last 36 as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The Hawks though are only 7-15 in their last 22 when playing on one days rest. Lay this price and expected a lop-sided outcome. Bruins roll. |
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02-11-19 | Sharks v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
I’m playing on the under Sharks/Canucks (10* BLUE CHIP). The Sharks are coming off a 5-2 road win over the Oilers, while the Canucks enter off a 4-3 shootout win over the Flames at home. While each side played to a higher-scoring affair last time out, I think tonight’s contest will be more of a classic defensive battle. San Jose is one of the hottest teams in the league with five straight wins. The Sharks have to be feeling confident they can keep that momentum rolling facing the Canucks and having Martin Jones in net, as he’s 7-2 with a tiny 1.66 GAA lifetime vs. Vancouver. The Canucks won’t be going down without a fight though as they remain in the playoff hunt still as well. Vancouver net minder Jacob Markstrom has been at his best at home this year as well with a 12-9, 2.68 GAA thus far. I expect these competent goaltenders to “steal the show.” Play the under. |
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02-10-19 | Jets -131 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
I’m playing on Winnipeg (10* VIOLATOR). Winnipeg will be eager to get back on track after a 5-2 road loss in Ottawa. The Sabres on the other hand look ready for a letdown here after their 3-1 home win over the Wings. Winnipeg comes in desperate here after three straight losses. Despite the slide, the Jets still have a one-point lead over Nashville in the Central, but clearly they’ll be risking everything today to get back to their winning form. At one point this season the Sabres won ten in a row, but since they’ve gone just 10-19. The Sabres are also only 1-4 in their last five home games following a home win by two goals or more. The Jets have resounded well in this spot by going 12-2 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Lay this reasonable price, Winnipeg rolls. |
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02-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -156 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Golden Knights (10* GAME OF WEEK). Columbus has been poor on the road this year and I think that trend carries over in this difficult road arena. This is a revenge game for the home side as well after falling 1-0 in Columbus earlier in the season. Columbus comes in having won two straight on the road, but a letdown is imminent here in my opinion against a Knights team which is just 4-6 in its last ten and which has dropped two straight at home. Vegas is still 14-6 in its last 20 at home and it’s been extremely competitive against the Eastern Conference, going 7-1 in its last eight home meetings. Off two straight home losses and with revenge on their mind, look for the Knights to finally put it together on Saturday night. Lay the price, Vegas rolls. |
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02-07-19 | Sharks v. Flames -128 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -128 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Calgary Flames (10* PERS FAV) This is a battle between two of the top teams in the Pacific. I think the Calgary will find a way to protect home ice in the end though. Calgary beat SJ 7-6 in its most recent win in the series, but this time around I’m expecting a more decisive win. San Jose averages 3.57 goals and it allows 3.11. Calgary averages 3.72 GPG and it allows just 2.83. Note that the Sharks are still a terrible 48-56 (-17.9 units) in their last 104 vs. teams with winning records, while the Flames are 14-7 (+8 units) vs. teams with winning records. I think this line could/should easily be much larger. Lay the price, Flames roll. |
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02-05-19 | Golden Knights v. Lightning -171 | 3-2 | Loss | -171 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Tampa Bay LIGHTNING (6* BLUE MARLIN) Two of the top teams in their respective divisions collides, but I think that the home side takes advantage of familiar surroundings and finds a way to get the job done in the end. The Knights’ win streak though is firmly in the rear view mirror after four straight losses. That includes two straight on the road. With a much more “winnable” contest in Detroit on Thursday to conclude their four game trip, I think the visitors get caught “looking ahead.” The Lightning come in off back-to-back wins and have had two whole nights off to rest and prepare. And with the lowly Blues coming to town next, the home side can focus on this favorable matchup. The Lighting are well worth the price of admission in this one. Lay the price, Tampa rolls. |
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02-04-19 | Canucks v. Flyers -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia Flyers (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this one. Vancouver enters off a 5-1 road win over Colorado, while Philly held on for a 5-4 OT victory at home over Edmonton most recently. Despite their most recent win though, the Nucks are still just 12-15 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals and allowing 3.19 in those contests. At some point the Flyers are going to have a “letdown,” but after seven straight victories, I think that Philadelphia will keep the momentum rolling for at least one more game. Philly is now 12-13 at home, averaging 2.99 goals and allowing 3.20. The Canucks are also a terrible 20-39 (-13.2 units) in their last 59 after scoring four goals or more in their previous contest, while Philadelphia is 21-10 (+11.6 units) following a three game unbeaten streak. Lay the price, Flyers roll. |
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02-03-19 | Bruins v. Capitals -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
8* VIOLATOR on Washington Capitals. I had a play on Washington in its 4-3 home win over the Flames. It was the Capitals first game back from the All Star break and they managed the victory without offensive star Alexander Ovechkin. The win snapped a seven-game slide. The defending champs are expected to have Ovi back in the line-up today and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done here as well. Boston comes in off a poor 3-2 OT loss at home to Philadelphia. Here’s a shocking stat: note that Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is just 1-16 with a 3.30 GAA lifetime vs. the Capitals. Boston is just 10-14 on the road, averaging 2.29 goals and allowing 2.79. Washington on the other hand is averaging 3.35 goals and allowing 2.88 at home. A great price and a great overall situation for the home side here. Lay the price, Capitals roll. |
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02-02-19 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -104 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH on the Florida Panthers. The Knights will be entering this one with “heavy legs” off a game in Carolina on Friday night and I think the home side takes advantage. Florida is in action as well on Friday vs. Predators at home, making the “home ice advantage” that much more important in this situation. With a game at league leading Tampa up next as well, I think the Knights get caught looking ahead to that more high profile match-up. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of Florida tonight. A great price too! All of these factors collide to make this one my GAME OF THE MONTH. |
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02-01-19 | Flames v. Capitals -102 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the CAPITALS (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) Calgary is no joke at 33-18. The Capitals have some ground to make up as they come out of the break at 27-23. Calgary comes in off a 3-2 OT home win over Carolina, while Washington enters off a 6-3 loss in Toronto. Calgary has been admittedly fantastic on the road this year (16-9 away from friendly confines), but Washington has been at its best at home, averaging 3.32 goals and allowing 2.88. It would be easy to pick the Flames here, who have won seven of their last ten. But now that the second half of the season is here, I look for Washington to dip deep here as it desperately tries to break a seven-game slide. Great line value on the hungry home side. Caps roll. |
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01-29-19 | Flyers v. Rangers -127 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -127 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY (10* PERS FAV). While the Flyers knocked off the Jets last night, they're just 3-8 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals and 2-5 (-3.1) when playing the second of b2b games. They're also now on the road; they're a poor 6-15, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, 9-16 on the road overall. The Rangers don't get much respect but they've remained competitive at home. Look for them to return from the break refreshed and expect them to avenge an earlier pair of losses. |
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01-29-19 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -166 | 5-4 | Loss | -166 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jackets have had plenty of time off to let their anger over b2b losses grow. They're 14-4 (+10.1) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same span, the Sabres were 7-11 (-4.2) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The Jackets have dominated the Sabres here. Expect that to continue this evening. |
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01-23-19 | Wild v. Avalanche -119 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams met twice back in October. In each case, the home team won. I expect home ice to prove significant once again. While I won with the Wild in their last game, that came at Vegas. Teams often don't fare that well, in the game following a win at Vegas. A look at the last three meetings here shows that the Avs have gone 3-0 while outscoring the Wild by a commanding 18-4 margin. Expect them to finish on top once again. |
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01-22-19 | Hurricanes v. Flames -176 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). These teams have both been playing well. They will soon meet again in Raleigh. The Canes might take that one but I fully expect the well-rested Flames to hold serve at home tonight. The Flames are 5-2 when playing with two day's rest, 20-11 in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Look for home ice to prove significant. While the Canes are 10-13 on the road, the Flames are 16-9 at home. With the Flames now 9-2 since New Year's, I'm laying the wood. |
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01-22-19 | Red Wings v. Oilers -143 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). If the Oilers, desperate for a win, can't beat a poor Detroit team, they truly do have serious problems. I personally feel that they should also give Hitchcock, the coach, the GM job, at least for the rest of the year. Either way, the Oilers know that this is basically must win time. I expect them to respond accordingly. This is a team that they know they can beat, they've arguably got a big edge in talent. The Oilers already won at Detroit. Catching the Wings on the road, where they're just 8-16, expect them to do so again. |
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01-22-19 | Islanders v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line (6*, 1.5 goals.) While I like the Hawks to win this one 'outright,' the extra +1.5 goals is obviously huge. Chicago got back on track in a big way last time out, scoring eight goals. That should help provide the Hawks with momentum and confidence here. While its true that the Hawks are still 2-6 their last eight, they'd be 7-1 in those same eight games if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each. The Isles won by a single goal (3-2) when these teams met a few weeks ago. Expect AT LEAST another 'puck-line cover' by the Hawks here. |
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01-21-19 | Wild +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing MINNESOTA on the puck-line (8* VIOLATOR, +1.5 goals) Getting an extra +1.5 goals is often extremely significant. The Wild are off a 2-1 win, their second 1-goal game in their last three. While the Knights are 5-2 their last seven, three of those wins came by a single goal. In other words, they'd be 2-5, if asked to lay -1.5 in each of those games. This season's earlier meeting? A 1-goal game. Vegas won that one 2-1. The Wild won 4-2 the last time that they played here. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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01-20-19 | Red Wings v. Canucks -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While the Wings are off a 6-4 loss at Calgary, the Canucks come in with some positive momentum. They defeated the Sabres last time out, their second win in the past three games, all at home. The Canucks like their home-cooking. They're now 6-3 (+4.3) after playing their previous three or more on the road. With a chance for a rare 'winning streak,' look for them to get some payback from an earlier loss at Detroit. |
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01-20-19 | Red Wings v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing Vancouver/Detroit UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL). Given the way these teams typically play each other, this O/U line is generously high. The last five meetings between these teams, and seven of the past eight, have all finished with five or fewer combined goals. The Canucks have already seen the UNDER go 13-8-1 against teams from the East. Meanwhile, the UNDER is also 30-21-4 the past 55 times that the Wings, who are off a 6-4 loss, had scored four or more in their previous game. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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01-19-19 | Sharks v. Lightning -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH). Stanley Cup preview? You never know! Either way, this evening, playing on home ice, I expect the Lightning to have edge. The Sharks won 5-2 when these teams met at SJ a couple of weeks ago. However, the Lightning won by the same score when the teams last played here at Tampa. Even factoring in the earlier result at SJ, the Sharks are just 9-10 against teams with a winning record. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 17-7 (+8.1) against winning teams. Off a 4-2 loss at Toronto, note that Tampa is also 6-1 after a loss by two or more goals and 13-2 after allowing four or more. Payback time. |
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01-18-19 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers +1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing FLORIDA on the puck-line. (10* PERS FAV, +1.5 goals.) The Leafs are off a big win at Tampa less than 24 hours ago. Off that victory, I expect them to have their hands full against a determined Panther team tonight. These teams have already met twice this season. The home team won both meetings, the game here finishing with a 4-3 final score. Speaking of close games, six of the past seven meetings between these teams, including each of the past three here at Florida, have been decided by a single goal. The Panthers are 4-0 the last four times that they hosted the Leafs. Since the start of 2014, they'd be 10-1 in 11 meetings here against the Leafs, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each. Schedule in their favor, expect AT LEAST a puck-line cover. |
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01-17-19 | Jets v. Predators -145 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* VIOLATOR). Huge game between the top two teams in the West. I expect home ice to prove significant. I respect the Jets and won with them in their last game, an emotional 'payback' victory against Vegas. That was at Winnipeg, where they're very tough to beat. They're still solid on the road (12-8) but far more beatable. The Predators, meanwhile, are a dominant 16-7 here at Nashville. The win over Vegas marked the Jets' third straight victory, all of those coming at Winnipeg. Note that they're just 16-18 (-8.3) the past couple of seasons, off three or more consecutive wins. The Jets' last road game resulted in a loss, at Minnesota. Prior to that, they lost 4-0, at Pittsburgh. The Preds typically up their game when facing other top opponents. With a chance to gain ground in the standings, expect the Preds to do so here, improve to 16-4 their last 20 against teams with a winning record. |
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01-16-19 | Sabres +1.5 v. Flames | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line. (10* PERS FAV, +1.5 goals) With the Flames listed as heavy money-line favorites, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the visitors for a relatively reasonable price. While I like Buffalo's chances of an outright win, the value of that extra +1.5 goals is huge. I successfully played against the Sabres last time out. They were blown out 7-2, at Edmonton. Off that loss, their third third straight, I expect the Sabres to respond with a much better effort on Wednesday. Buffalo's Evan Rodrigues had this to say of the loss at Edmonton: "... this is one of those games that gives you a little bit of an eyeopener." Its true that the Sabres are just 3-8 their last 11. However, four of those eight losses came by a single goal. In other words, they'd be 7-4 if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each of those. As for the Flames, they won in a blowout last time out. However, each of their previous three wins had all come by a single goal. Speaking of 1-goal games, this season's earlier meeting, at Buffalo, resulted in a 2-1 final. Additionally, the Sabres' most recent visit here at Calgary, which came last January, also finished with a 2-1 final. Expect another close one, the Sabres earning AT LEAST the "puck-line cover." |
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01-15-19 | Penguins v. Sharks -140 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* VIOLATOR). These teams split a pair of games last January, the home team winning each. I expect home ice to again prove significant. While the Pens are 12-10 on the road, the Sharks are 16-8 at home. The Pens are off a loss at LA, the Sharks are a perfect 6-0 since the calendar flipped to 2019. Playing their best hockey of the season and catching their guests right in the middle of a road trip, expect the Sharks to keep on rolling for another day. |
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01-15-19 | Golden Knights v. Jets -127 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* GAME OF WEEK). Needless to say, the Jets have had this one circled. After winning the first game of last May's playoff series, the Jets appeared to be in good shape. The Knights shocked the Jets by winning the next four straight. While a win tonight won't make up for those losses, it's still very important to the Jets and their fans. Winnipeg's Andrew Copp said: "...there's definitely a little bit of revenge factor. We owe them ..." Both teams are off 4-3 victories. Thats noteworthy as the Knights are 8-10 after scoring four or more goals while the Jets are 15-8, after doing so. While the Knights are 13-13 on the road, the Jets are 17-8 at home. All things considered, the line could easily be higher. Payback time. |
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01-14-19 | Sabres v. Oilers -118 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). When the Oilers hosted the Sabres last season, they were laying -245. True, the Sabres are improved since then. But not so much to justify that massive a change in line from one season to another. The fact that they hammered the Oilers in that game (5-0) should provide ensure the home team doesn't get caught sleeping tonight. A "streaky" team all season, Buffalo is off b2b losses. Its also worth mentioning that the Sabres are also an ugly 3-13 the last 16 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Time is running out for the Oilers. Expect them to play with desperation en route to an important two points. |
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01-14-19 | Canadiens v. Bruins -170 | 3-2 | Loss | -170 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). These longtime rivals met once in October, once in November and once in December. The Canadiens won the first. The Bruins have won each of the last two. In all three cases, the road team finished on top. I expect things to change and home ice to prove significant this evening. The Habs are 12-11 on the road, the Bruins are 16-6 at home. Its also worth mentioning that the Canadiens are an ugly 44-72 (-31.9) the past few seasons, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. The Habs are 7-9 within the division, the Bruins are 12-7. Lay the wood. |
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01-14-19 | Blackhawks v. Devils -140 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ (8* VIOLATOR). The Devils got back on track last time out, snapping a 3-game skid. The same cannot be said for the Hawks, who have now dropped three in a row themselves. All three losses came by identical 4-3 margins. Note that the Hawks are now an ugly 29-48 (-19.3) the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the same span, they're also a money-burning 10-25 (-16.8) after three or more consec. losses. While the Hawks are terrible on the road, the Devils are solid at home. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. Devils roll. |
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01-13-19 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nashville/Carolina UNDER the total (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams have faced each other 17 times, since the start of 2008. A look at those games reveals that ALL 17 of them had O/U lines of 5.5 or less. Here, though we have to lay some extra juice to get it, we're able to get a six. For an early Sunday game, I believe that'll prove to be too high. The Preds have seen the UNDER go 48-31 over the years, excluding pushes, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During that span, the UNDER is 93-78 when the Canes played a home game, a 19-9 UNDER mark their last 28 in that situation. We successfully played against the Preds in their last game, a 4-3 loss at Columbus. Off that loss, they're going to be determined to improve defensively. The last time, prior to the Columbus game, that the Preds allowed four or more goals, they immediately bounced back by allowing one (4-1 win) in their next game. Including that result, the UNDER is 7-4 on the season and 41-28 the past 2+ seasons, when the Preds had allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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01-12-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). I won with the Oilers in their last game and I feel that they're providing us excellent value once again on Saturday. The Oilers are going to be happy to see the Coyotes. Edmonton has beaten the Coyotes each of the last two meetings, winning seven of the last eight. They've beaten the Coyotes four straight times, at Edmonton. I've previously mentioned that the Oilers are better than their record indicates and that they still have hopes to turn things around. The same cannot be said for the Coyotes, who are just 5-13 the past 18 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Both teams had Friday off. The Oilers also have Sunday off. The Coyotes, on the other hand, are playing the front end of back-to-back road games, as they face Calgary tomorrow. While the Coyotes average 2.6 goals per game on the road, the Oilers average more than three per game at home. Expect them to continue their recent dominance in the series. |
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01-10-19 | Panthers v. Oilers -118 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8*). The Oilers are going to be hungry. The Panthers beat them at Florida earlier this season and also beat them here at Edmonton, scoring seven goals in the process, last season. Speaking of seven goals, the Oilers, 15-11 (+5.6) in the revenge role, gave up seven last time out, adding additional motivation. January hasn't been good to the Panthers. They've lost three straight to start 2019 and are now a money-burning 9-17 (-8.9) in January the past few seasons. Expect the Oilers to be the team which bounces back. |
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01-10-19 | Predators v. Blue Jackets -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8*). The Jackets have the schedule in their favor. While they had yesterday off, the Preds are off a hard-fought game, at Chicago. Not only are they playing the second of b2b games and third game in four days, but the Preds are also playing their fifth game in seven days. Thats about as tough a stretch as you'll see in the NHL. In addition to having yesterday off, the Jackets had two days off, prior to Tuesday's game. Expect them to have the fresher legs. While the Preds are very tough at home, they're far more beatable on the road. Even with yesterday's win, they're still a mediocre 12-11 away from Nashville. The Jackets are 34-19 (+12.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals, 9-3 their last 12 in that situation. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-10-19 | Capitals v. Bruins -136 | 4-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). As a handicapping tool, 'revenge' can often be over-rated. Hockey teams play a lot of games and they all lose their fair share of them. Each of those losses don't cause teams to "get up" more than normal for a game. That said, some of them do. I believe that this will be one of those cases. When these teams met earlier, the Capitals embarrassed the Bruins by a 7-0 margin, celebrating their Stanley Cup win at the same time. Thats not just any loss, thats a destruction. (Some of you will recall that we won with Washington in that one.) The type that will cause the revenge factor to actually mean something. Of course, having lost 13 straight times to the Caps will also add plenty of motivation for Boston. Off five straight wins, the Bruins are among the hottest teams in the league. They're a dominant 16-5. Expect them to finally beat the Caps. |
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01-09-19 | Avalanche v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on Colorado/Calgary UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). Both teams have seen some of their recent finish above the total. Those results have helped in providing us with a generously high O/U number for tonight's game. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. After giving up seven at Winnipeg last night, the Avs are going to be extremely motivated to clean up defensively. The last time that they allowed six or more goals, they followed it up with a 2-1 game their next time out, the start of three straight which produced five or fewer combined goals. They've still seen six of 10 finish with five or fewer combined goals. The Flames haven't been home for a bit but they've seen two of their last three at home finish with five or less. While the last meeting between these teams was high-scoring, the previous six had all produced seven or fewer combined goals, five of those finishing with six or less. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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01-08-19 | Devils v. Sabres -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* NHL GAME OF MONTH. This will mark the Sabres' second home game of 2019. They won their first and I expect another highly motivated effort here. Over the past few seasons, the Devils have made themselves at home here at Buffalo. Times have changed.The Sabres are an excellent 13-8 (13-5-3) here at Buffalo. The Devils, on the other hand, are a dismal 5-17 (5-14-3) on the road. They're coming off a trip to Vegas, which can be difficult on teams. Either way, the Sabres are going to be determined to show the Devils that a trip to Buffalo can no longer be pencilled in as a guaranteed two points. They also know that six of their next seven come on the road, with the lone home game coming against Tampa. In other words, the Sabres know that they need to take advantage of a NJ team which has been terrible on the road and which remains without Taylor Hall, its top offensive player. Expect them to do just that. |
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01-06-19 | Stars v. Jets -148 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* PERS FAV). The Stars are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 4-0 loss and having now dropped three of their last four, the Jets are going to be angry. Note that they're 7-2 when off a loss by two or more goals. Further motivation stems from the fact that the Stars already beat them 5-1 in this season's earlier meeting, at Dallas. Note that the Jets are a lucrative 56-42 (+11) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. While Dallas is 8-13 on the road, the Jets are 13-8 at home. They beat the Stars 4-2 here last season and I expect another victory today. |
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01-06-19 | Rangers v. Coyotes -124 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* ANNIHILATOR). The road has not been kind to the Rangers. They're 6-13 away from MSG. With an upcoming trip to Sin City on deck, it should be easy for them to look past the Coyotes. Arizona played hard but lost in a shootout last time out. The Coyotes match up well against the Rangers and already beat them at NY. They're already a profitable 4-2 (+3.3) on the season, when off three or more consecutive losses. Knowing that they're going to hit the road for their next few games, look for a determined Coyote team to stop the bleeding and close out the homestand with a victory. |
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01-05-19 | Islanders v. Blues -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* VIOLATOR). Admittedly, the Isles have been hot. They've certainly fared better than most expected, after losing Tavares to Toronto in the offseason. I believe that they're over-achieving a bit though and I expect some current injuries, including ones to Filppula and Eberle, to catch up with them here. Note that the Isles are a money-burning 47-80 (-44.1) over the years, when on a winning streak of three or more games. The Blues got back on track with a convincing 5-2 win over the defending champs last time out. They're now 45-29 (+11.5) their last 74 against Eastern Conference opponents. Expect the Blues to build positive momentum from the Capital win and improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-04-19 | Devils v. Coyotes -118 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* GAME OF WEEK). In recent seasons, home ice has been extremely significant when these teams have met. In 2016, the Devils won 5-3 at home. The Coyotes returned the favor with a 5-4 win, here in the desert. Last season, the Devils again won by a single goal (4-3) at home. However, the Coyotes hammered them 5-0 in the rematch here at Phoenix. Home ice means more to this season's Devils than it does to most teams. When playing at home, the Devils are a respectable 11-4-4, or 11-8 vs. the money-line. However, when playing on the road, they're an ugly 4-16 vs. the money-line. On Friday, playing without their best player (Taylor Hall) and points leader, they'll be facing a hungry Arizona team, determined to get back on track. It should be easy for the Devils to look ahead to their upcoming trip to Vegas. Coyotes roll. |
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01-03-19 | Canucks v. Canadiens -170 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8* VIOLATOR). While the Canadiens had the past couple of days off, the Canucks played Ottawa yesterday, winning by a 4-3 score. The Canucks are just 11-19 the past 30 times that they played the second of b2b games though; don't expect another victory. Over the past couple of seasons, Vancouver is a dismal 19-37, after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. Including a November win at Vancouver, the Canadiens have beaten the Canucks six straight times. They've won the past two meetings here at Montreal by a combined score of 8-2. Schedule in their favor, expect them to continue that series dominance this evening. |
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01-02-19 | Flames v. Red Wings +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing DETROIT on the puck-line (8*, +1.5 goals). With the Flames listed as significant favorites on the money-line, we're able to get the Wings at a relatively reasonable price on the puck-line. (Relative to the immense value of getting an extra +1.5 goals, that is.) A quick look at the the Wings' last eight games, dating back to mid-December, shows that they're just 1-7. A slightly deeper look reveals that only two of those games resulted in losses of greater than a goal - and those were road games at Pittsburgh and Dallas. In other words, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in all eight of those games, the Wings would have been 6-2. Big difference. Their last game? You guessed it. A 1-goal loss. As for the Flames, even off a win, they're just 2-4 their last six. Having beaten the Sharks and with a big showdown at Boston on deck tomorrow, this figures to be a tough spot. The Wings are going to be highly motivated to start 2019 the right way. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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01-01-19 | Bruins v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing Boston/Chicago UNDER the total (10* TOTAL MAIN EVENT). This year's game is being played at Notre Dame Stadium. AccuWeather Meteorologist Matt Greene reported that "Temperatures will be in the low 30s in the morning and only rebound to the mid-30s for the afternoon hours. North-northwest winds will add some chill to the air with AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures in the mid-20s. There can be some flurries around before and during the game." Likely not exactly ideal goal-scoring conditions. Both teams are off a 3-2 game. The last two times that the Hawks were listed as the home team against the Bruins, the scores were 3-1 and 3-2. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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12-31-18 | Kings v. Avalanche -174 | 3-2 | Loss | -174 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Avs are going to be extremely motivated and focused to get back on track and close the year strong. The Kings were just in Vegas and they return their immediately after this. It should be easy for them to focus on New Year's. While the Kings are 6-12 on the road, the Avs can get to 500 at home (and overall) with a win. Lay the wood. |
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12-31-18 | Lightning v. Ducks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line (6* BEST BET, +1.5 goals) With the Bolts listed as fairly big favorites on the money-line, we're able to get the Ducks at a relatively reasonable price on the puck-line. That extra +1.5 goals is absolutely significant. The Ducks last lost was by a single goal. The Lightning are off b2b 1-goal wins and four of their last six have been decided by a single goal. A look at the last five meetings between these teams shows that none of those resulted in a TB victory of more than a goal. (The Ducks won three of those five and both TB wins came by a goal.) Expect AT LEAST a puck-line cover from the determined Ducks. |
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12-31-18 | Rangers v. Blues -160 | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (6*). Off a 6-1 loss to the Penguins, the Blues are going to be fired up to bounce back. The last time that they allowed more than four goals they immediately responded with b2b victories. While the Rangers may have managed an unlikely win at Nashville last time out, they're still a dismal 5-12 on the road overall. The Blues, who were laying -215 for the game here, took both last season's meetings. Expect them to finish on top once again. |
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12-31-18 | Penguins v. Wild -118 | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Given the venue, this line could easily be higher. While the Penguins, who are a mediocre 9-9 on the road, have won the last two meetings at Pittsburgh, the Wild have beaten them the last two meetings here at Minnesota. The Wild got back on track with an important win at Winnipeg last time out. Knowing that this is their last home game for some time, expect them to carry the positive momentum into this one, home ice again proving the difference. |
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12-31-18 | Islanders v. Sabres -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Isles have been on a nice roll. Off an impressive 4-0 win against (former Islander) Tavares and the Leafs, they've now won three straight and six of seven. I expect a hungry Buffalo team to bring them back down to earth this evening. The Sabres have made great strides this year. Off b2b losses, they're going to be extremely motivtated to get back on track and to close the year a winner. The Isles are already 0-2 this season off a shutout win. Looking back a bit further finds them at 6-11 the past 2+ seasons, when having won three or more consecutive games. The Sabres are 12-7 on home ice. The last time that they were off b2b losses, they responded with a 3-0 shutout win. Expect them to bounce back once again. |
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12-31-18 | Canucks v. Devils -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The early start time should favor the Devils as opposed to their West Coast based guests. The Devils are going to be highly motivated to close out the year with a win for the home fans, particularly knowing that their next four games will come on the road. They're a respectable 10-8 at home compared to an ugly 4-15 on the road. The Devils swept the Canucks again last season, after also doing so the previous year. Expect more of the same this afternoon. |
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12-28-18 | Canadiens v. Panthers -143 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -143 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* GAME OF MONTH). Price won't be between the pipes for the Habs, as he didn't make the trip. That leaves Niemi, who has a poor 4.14 GAA and 0.876 save percentage expected to get the call. Either way, the Canadiens were going to be in tough. The last three meetings between these teams have seen the Panthers go 3-0 and win by a combined score of 9-0. Thats right, the Habs haven't managed a single goal. They had Price in for one of those and it didn't help; Niemi was in for another. Luongo recorded two of those three shutouts for Florida and he's expected to be in there tonight. Advantage Florida. In addition to having a likely advantage in goal, the Panthers also have a scoring advantage. They average 3.6 goals per game at home, compared to Montreal's 2.83 g.p.g. average on the road. This is the first game back (from Christmas) for both teams and that also figures to favor Florida. The Panthers are 9-5 (+3.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same span, the Canadiens are 6-12 (-8.2) when playing with three day's rest. With four wins in their past five, the Panthers are playing some of their best hockey of the season. Expect them to keep on rolling for at least another night. |
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12-27-18 | Ducks v. Sharks -166 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8*). Both teams have dropped three in a row. Both are going to be hungry to return from the break with a victory. Playing at home, I expect the Sharks to be the team which gets one. While the Sharks are only a modest 11-8 at home, the Ducks are below 500 on the road. The Ducks are 6-9 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5; the Sharks are 5-1 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats Thursday. |
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12-27-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -160 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). The Canucks won when these teams met 11 days ago. However, that was at Vancouver and tonight's game will be played at Edmonton. The Oilers are 10-7 at home. The Canucks are 8-12 on the road. Note that the Oilers are 14-8 (+7.8) their last 22 in the 'revenge' role. Even factoring in their 12/16 win, the Canucks are an ugly 24-44 (-11.7) in divisional games the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Oilers are 47-33 (+11.5) against divisional foes. The break came at a good time for the Oilers as they'd lost three straight. They've still got big plans for the season and I expect them to return refreshed and ready to go. |
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12-27-18 | Stars v. Predators -165 | 2-0 | Loss | -165 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8*). The Christmas break came at the right time for the Predators, who'd been on a 4-game slide. Note that all four losses were on the road. Now, the Preds play at home, where they're an outstanding 14-5. Meanwhile, Dallas is an ugly 7-13 on the road. While the Stars would surely love to avenge an earlier loss at Dallas, they're just 15-27 (-13.7) the past couple of seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. During that stretch, the Preds are 18-8 after playing three or more in a row on the road and 7-2 (+5.9) after losing three or more in a row. Expect them to improve on those stats Thursday. |
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12-22-18 | Stars v. Wild -158 | 2-1 | Loss | -158 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* PERS FAV). The Wild badly need a victory and a victory from slumping Dallas figures to be just what the doctor ordered. True, long-time Minnesota hockey fans still love taking down the Stars when they come to town. (The Dallas Stars were originally founded as the Minnesota North Stars and Minnesota was without a team for years after the Stars relocated to Dallas.) While the Wild are a modest 10-8 at home, the Stars are an ugly 6-13 on the road. The Wild are 6-3 the past couple of years, after losing three or more consecutive games, 1-0 in that situation this season. While the Stars would surely love to avenge an earlier (3-1) loss at Dallas, they're just 14-27 (-15.1) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. In other words, if they can't beat a team at Dallas, they rarely can do so on the road. Wild roll. |
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12-21-18 | Sabres +1.5 v. Capitals | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (8*, PUCK-LINE +1.5 goals.) While I like the Sabres' chances of winning this one outright, I also feel that there is a high likelihood of a 1-goal game. This season's previous meeting resulted in a 1-goal game, a 4-3 win for the Caps. Speaking of close games, the Caps are off three straight games which were decided by a single goal. A 2-1 loss was preceded by a 4-3 win and a 6-5 win. While neither of the Sabres' last two games were that close (5-2 loss, 4-2 win) it should be mentioned that eight of their prevous 10 games were also decided by a single goal. Overall, the Sabres have won three of five. They're a much improved team from year's past and they're going to be hungry to avenge the earlier loss. They're 15-8 (+10.9) vs. the money-line, their last 23, when playing with 'revenge.' Expect their best effort to lead to AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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12-20-18 | Ducks v. Bruins -154 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). Given the venue, this line could easily be higher. The Bruins, 11-4 at home, are also 22-11 (+5.9) when playing with two day's rest. Anaheim figures to be getting a little road weary. The Ducks lost their last game and will be playing the fourth leg of an extended road trip. With Boston off a convincing 4-0 victory over Montreal, note that the Bruins are 7-3 after scoring four or more goals. The Bruins are also 11-4 (+7.5) off a divisional game. The Bruins know that they'll have to face these same Ducks at the Honda Center in February and they haven't forgotten that the Ducks swept them last season. Expect their best effort to lead to another victory. |
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12-19-18 | Canadiens v. Avalanche -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (8*). The home team won both meetings last season. The Habs won 4-2 at Montreal but the Avs took the game here at Colorado, winning by a 2-0 score. Including that result, the Avs are 3-0 the past three times that they hosted the Canadiens, 5-1 the past six. They're going to be hungry tonight and I expect them to continue their home ice domination in the series. While Montreal plays again tomorrow, the Avs have tomorrow off. They're going to be fully focused on the task at hand, getting back on track. The Avs 41-40 (+9.1) record against the East the past couple of seasons (10-7 this season) may not seem like much. However, when compared to the Canadiens are 30-39 (-14.1) mark against the West, it starts looking much better. With an O/U line of 6o30, note that the Canadiens are an ugly 6-14 (-6.4) the past 20 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During the same span, the Avs were 23-13 (+7.8) at home with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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12-18-18 | Red Wings v. Flyers -163 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are struggling at the moment. Both could badly use a victory. I believe that the Flyers, in addition to playing in their own building, have some edges on the ice though. I also expect the recent coaching shake-up to provide an immediate spark. The Flyers have only played one home game in December, prior to this one. After this, they host Nashville and Columbus, a pair of teams better than Detroit, before taking to the road again. Knowing this to be the case, it makes taking care of business on home ice all the more important. They've absolutely dominated Detroit, here at Philly, this entire millennium. Expect more of the same Tuesday. |
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12-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets -141 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The home team won both meetings last season. The Knights won 6-3 at Vegas, the Jackets returned the favor with a 4-1 win here at Columbus. Schedule in their favor, I expect the Jackets to again defeat the visiting Knights. While Columbus had yesterday off, the Knights are off an afternoon game at MSG. Though they won that game, the Knights are still just 9-12 on the road. This marks the 5th leg of whats been a disappointing 6-game homestand for the Jackets; they've only won one of the first four. They can still salvage the split by winning tonight and beating the Devils here on Wednesday and they're going to be extremely motivated to do just that. Expect them to improve to 14-4 (+10.1) their past 18, after playing their previous three or more games at home. |
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12-16-18 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -170 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* VIOLATOR). The Coyotes knocked off the Canes at Phoenix, back in early November. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. While the Coyotes have arguably over-achieved, given their talent, I believe the Canes are better than their record indicates. Off three straight losses, they're going to be extremely motivated. They know that they can ill afford to lose another - not to a team like Arizona. The Coyotes, at the end of a road trip, may be looking forward to getting home for the holidays. Look for them to fall to 4-14 their last 18 road games, with an O/U line of six or greater. |
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12-15-18 | Flames v. Wild -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams recently met at Calgary. The Wild, who aren't as strong away from Minnesota, were playing the front end of back-to-back road games. They were also in the midst of a stretch which saw them drop five of six. They're back home now though, where they're a solid 10-6 on the season. The return home has resulted in a dramatic improvement in play. The recent slide is now in the past; the Wild have won their last two games by a combined score of 12-2. Momentum back in their corner, expect the revenge-minded Wild to get some payback, improving to 8-4 their last 12 as a host in this series. |
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12-14-18 | Senators v. Red Wings -145 | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT (8* PERS FAV). The Sens won when these teams met at Ottawa. With tonight's rematch being played at Detroit, I expect the revenge-minded Red Wings to return the favor. True, the Wings are only 8-10 at home. However, that record looks a lot better when compared to Ottawa's 3-11 mark on the road. Even factoring in last month's loss at Ottawa, the Wings are still a solid 6-3 against sub-500 teams. The Wings have beaten the Sens five straight times here at Detroit, the Sens managing one goal or less in four of those five games. Catching the Sens potentially looking ahead to tomorrow's game against rival Montreal, a team which has already beaten them them twice this month, expect the Wings to continue their home ice dominance in the series. |
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12-13-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* PERS FAV). The streaky Sabres followed up their extended winning streak with a string of losses. They rallied to get back on track last game though. Momentum back in their corner and facing an inferior opponent, I expect the Sabres to continue "streaking" in a winning direction. Like their hosts, the Coyotes have been a 'streaky' team of late. They're streaking in the wrong direction though. They lost four straight, then won four in a row and now have now lost three straight again. With a couple more road games left on the current trip, their current skid may continue for awhile. At least for tonight, anyway. Sabres roll. |
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12-12-18 | Flyers +1.5 v. Flames | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puck-line. (8* VIOLATOR, +1.5 goals.) While I like the Flyers' chances of winning this one outright, getting an extra +1.5 goals for this price is providing very fair value. Off an ugly loss at Winnipeg, the Flyers are going to be determined to bounce back with a much better effort. Prior to that debacle, they'd won two of their previous four games and both losses had come by a single goal. The Flames saw their winning streak snapped last game, losing 1-0. They're 1-3 on the season, after scoring one goal or less, that win coming against the Coyotes. Last season's two meetings saw the Flyers win one (5-2) and lose the other (5-4) by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" by the highly motivated Flyers here. |
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12-11-18 | Canadiens v. Wild -165 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). The Wild badly need a victory and a visit from the Canadiens should be just what the doctor ordered. Admittedly, the Habs have been playing pretty well of late. However, the Wild have beaten Montreal seven straight times and this is still a tough place to play. On the season, the Wild are 8-4-2 here. Last season, they were 27-6-8 here. The Wild, who have had plenty of time off since allowing seven goals at Edmonton, are 6-1 the last seven times that they'd allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to be the hungrier team here and that to lead to an important victory. |
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12-11-18 | Coyotes v. Bruins -175 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* VIOLATOR). This line could easily be higher. The Bruins are 5-0 the last five meetings, winning by a combined score of 22-6. The Coyotes managed more than one goal only once and that came in a 6-2 loss. The last meeting here at Boston resulted in a 6-1 Bruin win; Boston was laying -230 for that one. Including that result, the Coyotes are a money-burning 31-62 (-13.7) the past 2+ seasons against winning teams while the Bruins are a dominating 59-31 (+12.1) against losing teams. Lay the wood and expect them to take care of business once again. |
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12-11-18 | Kings v. Sabres -180 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (6*). Their historic winning run now ancient history, the streaky Sabres have suddenly lost five straight. Here's a great opportunity to get back on track. Not only are the Kings really bad this season, but they're also playing the second of b2b games. Venue and schedule in their favor, Sabres take advantage and stop the bleeding. |
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12-10-18 | Devils v. Sharks -178 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* ANNIHILATOR). The price has come down a bit from its opener but it easily could have gone the other way. With three wins in their last four, the Sharks are starting to play up to their potential. Make no mistake. This is an elite team. They're rested and playing with revenge from an earlier loss at NJ. The Devils, on the other hand, lost in shootout last night. They're 0-4 when playing the second of b2b games. The Sharks are 63-37 their last 100 against sub-500 teams. Expect them to get some payback. |
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12-08-18 | Rangers v. Panthers -175 | 5-4 | Loss | -175 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8* VIOLATOR). The Panthers have been alternating wins and losses for some time. On 11/24, they lost against Chicago. That was followed by a win against New Jersey and then by a loss against Anaheim. Next, came a victory against Buffalo, a loss against Tampa, a win against Boston. Most recently, they lost against Colorado. Off that setback and playing with 'double-revenge,' I expect the 'pattern' to continue and for the Panthers to bounce back with another victory. While the Rangers have won both this season's meetings, both of those were at MSG. Thats significant as NY is 10-4 at home but 3-8 on the road. The last meeting here was last March and the Panthers won 4-3. More of the same Saturday. |
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12-07-18 | Hurricanes -110 v. Ducks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* BEST BET). I successfully played against the Hurricanes in their last game, a 5-1 loss, at SJ. However, the Sharks are arguably a much tougher opponent and I really like how this one sets up for the Canes. First, they're going to be hungry to snap their 3-game skid and to salvage some points from the trip. Also, the Ducks just beat them, at Raleigh. So, the Canes also are playing with recent revenge on their minds. Prior to giving up five at SJ, the Canes had allowed two goals or less in six of their previous seven. Expect their best effort as they bounce back and improve to 6-3, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-06-18 | Predators v. Canucks +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing VANCOUVER on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals.) Close (1-goal) games can be contagious. Since a 4-2 win against LA on 11/24, the Canucks have dropped four straight. All four losses came by a single goal. Needless to say, they're going to be hungry to snap their streak. While I respect the Preds and won with them in their last game, that victory came by only a single goal and they're missing some key players, including Forsberg and Subban, right now. The last meeting between these teams? You guessed it. A 1-goal (4-3) game. Expect an inspired effort by the Canucks to lead to AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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12-05-18 | Hurricanes v. Sharks -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Sharks managed to close out an otherwise disappointing road trip with a victory. This is their lone home game before hitting the road for a couple more games. They know that they need to take advantage and Carolina figures to be the perfect opponent to do so against. With their loss at LA, the Canes are now 22-35 (-10.6) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Canes beat the Sharks in a shootout, at PNC Arena in Raleigh. Now, its payback time! |
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12-04-18 | Senators v. Canadiens -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8* ANNIHILATOR). I won with the Habs two games ago and then successfully played against them in their last game. Tonight, I'm coming right back with them. While the Sens may have won three in a row, this is still a team with problems. They're also just 5-12 (-8.6) the past couple of seasons, after winning their previous three. Expect the Habs, playing with revenge from an October loss, to bounce back and improve to 5-0 the past five times that they'd scored one goal or less in their previous game. |
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12-03-18 | Sabres v. Predators -171 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have finally come back down to earth and now they're visiting one of the toughest venues in the league. Even without a couple of key players, this is a very dangerous Predator team, one which tends to "get up" when facing the league's other better teams. Indeed, the Preds are 83-44 (+33.5) against teams with a winning record the past few seasons, 10-1 their last 11. The Preds have the next two days off, their full attention will be on tonight's game. The Sabres, on the other hand, could already be thinking about getting back home to Buffalo, where they'll face the Leafs, a division rival, tomorrow. While the price may seem a little steep, consider that Nashville was laying -325 the last time these teams met here. Expect the Preds to finish on top. |
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12-02-18 | Sharks -145 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. While I won with the Habs yesterday, the Sharks are a much tougher opponent than the Rangers. True, they've under-achieved of late but this is still one of the stronger teams in the league. The Canadiens know that first hand, as San Jose as absolutely owned this series for years. Since 2011, the Sharks are 10-1 against Montreal, a perfect 6-0 since December of 2015. Off an embarrassing loss at Ottawa and desperate to avoid a winless road trip, expect the Sharks to bounce back and continue their domination in the series. |
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12-01-18 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vegas/Edmonton OVER the total (8*). These teams just combined for nine goals here, a couple of weeks ago. The previous meeting here saw them combine for seven. The Knights have scored a whopping 18 goals in their last three games. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair. |
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12-01-18 | Rangers v. Canadiens -165 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). Desperate for a win and looking to avenge last month's loss at MSG, expect an extremely motivated effort from the Habs tonight. The Canadiens have taken 7 of the last 10 meetings here, including each of the past two. The Rangers are 10-4 at home but 3-7 on the road. Lay the wood. |
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12-01-18 | Stars v. Canucks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing VANCOUVER on the puck-line (6* ANNIHILATOR). While I expect the Canucks to win this one outright, this one could very well be decided by a single goal. Laying the extra wood for the extra +1.5 goals gives this a very high percentage chance of winning. A look at the Stars last five road games reveals that they only one one of those and that was by a single goal. Four of the five overall were decided by a single goal. With the Canucks off b2b 1-goal losses of their own, grab the extra +1.5 and expect a highly motivated effort. |
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11-30-18 | Ducks v. Hurricanes -180 | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are playing well right now. However, the Canes are favored for good reason. Not only are they playing at home but they're much healthier. Off a somewhat unlikely "Florida sweep," I believe the Ducks, still 5-7 away from home, may be both ready for a "letdown" while also getting a little "road-weary." Expect the Canes, 7-4 here at Raleigh, to take advantage. |
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11-30-18 | Sabres v. Panthers -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). The Sabres are off a hard-fought loss at Tampa yesterday. That loss snapped their 10-game winning streak. Many will likely want to back them to bounce right back. However, its hard to do so. A team is riding an emotional high, when on an extended winning streak like that. When it finally comes to an end, there's a natural letdown. That aside, the Panthers have both the schedule and venue in their favor. They're going to be hungry and I expect them to come away with the victory. |
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11-29-18 | Sabres v. Lightning -170 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have been rolling but the Lightning remain favored for good reason. The Lightning rank #1 in the goals per game and also #1 on the power-play. They average 3.7 goals per game, compared to Buffalo's 3.2. (Both teams allow nearly the same, 2.7 and 2.8 g.p.g. respectively.) The Lightning know that everyone's talking about the Sabres' winning streak right now. Expect them to stop the streak, making a statement that they're still at the top of the heap. |
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11-29-18 | Islanders v. Bruins -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* NHL SPECIAL). Given the venue, this line could easily be considerably higher on the road. The Isles are mediocre on the road, getting outscored by a 3.1 to 2.9 average margin. The Bruins, on the other hand, are dominant at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 3.9 to 2.1 margin here. They're already a perfect 6-0 here when the O/U line was six or greater, going 8-2 here overall. The Bruins swept the Isles last season, winning 5-1, 5-2 and 3-1. Well-rested and in an angry mood from a Monday loss at Toronto, expect the Bruins to improve to 22-9 the past 31 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. |
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11-28-18 | Ducks v. Panthers -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). Off an inspired comeback win on Monday, I expect the Panthers to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Ducks are off an upset win at Tampa. While Florida averages a healthy 3.7 g.p.g. here at home, the Ducks are still just 4-7 away from Anaheim, averaging a paltry 2.0 goals. Speaking of "health," the Panthers' injury list remains much smaller than Anaheim's. A look at last season reveals that the Ducks won 3-2 at Anaheim but that the Panthers hammered them here at Florida, winning in an 8-3 blowout. Schedule in their favor, expect the Panthers to finish on top once again. |
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11-27-18 | Sharks -110 v. Sabres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* BEAST). What a difference a month makes. When these teams met in October, the Sharks were -240 favorites. True, that was at SJ. However, the change of venue wasn't worth this big a difference in price. Rather, its been Buffalo's current hot streak. While the Sabres are indeed a much improved team, I expect an arguably more talented and more motivated San Jose team, one with Stanley Cup aspirations, to cool them off tonight. Perhaps the combination of the holiday weekend and Sin City was too much for them but the Sharks got pounded 6-0, at Vegas, last time out. They've only been shutout two previous times this season and they bounced back to win those games by a combined score of 11-3. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, going 31-15 (+12.5) in that situation the past couple of seasons. They swept the Sabres last season and I expect them to do so again. |
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11-26-18 | Devils v. Panthers -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8*). Off three straight losses, expect a determined Panther team to bounce back against a NJ team which lost at Tampa yesterday. The Devils are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing by a combined score of 9-4. Given that they're just 2-9 on the road overall, this line could easily be higher. |
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11-26-18 | Senators v. Rangers -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will face each other again, at Ottawa, on Thursday. Knowing that they are a much better team here at MSG, the Rangers know that they better take care of business and that this is an opponent which they need to beat here. While they're only 3-8 on the road, the Rangers are an excellent 9-4 at home. While the Rangers have dropped four of their last five visits to Ottawa, they're 4-1 the last five times that they were a host in the series, including a 3-0 shuton win over the Sens here last November. Given that the Sens are only 2-8 away from Ottawa this season, look for the Rangers to continue their success at home for another day. |
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11-24-18 | Canucks v. Kings -175 | 4-2 | Loss | -175 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* SITUATIONAL ANNIHILATOR). With an odd number (31) of teams in the league, every club can't be in action on the same day. Every team, except one, played Friday. The Kings were the one team which had the day off. The Canucks, who played at San Jose Friday, are already 0-2 this season, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost 4-1 against the Coyotes and 5-2 against the Islanders. They're 9-19 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Schedule and venue in their favor and knowing that they'll face these same Kings, at Vancouver in a few days, expect the Kings to "hold serve" on home ice. |