Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-23-16 | Flyers v. Hurricanes -135 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Hurricanes come in with a score to settle. They've faced the Flyers three times this season and they've lost in OT all three times. Enough is enough. Its time for some payback. While they admittedly haven't been great here, the Canes have been better at home this season than the Flyers have been on the road. Carolina scores 2.6 gpg here and also allows 2.6. The Flyers also score 2.6 gpg on the road. However, they allow a much higher 3.0. The Canes outshoot teams by a solid 31 to 25.7 margin here. Conversely, the Flyers get outshot by a 32.1 to 28.3 margin away from Philly. The Canes lost last time out but they've responded well to losses lately. In fact, they haven't lost consecutive games in regulation since the first few days of December. On the season, they're 10-4 (+7.2) off a loss by two or more goals. Eric Staal noted: "Guys are playing hard. This team wants to be in the mix, and you need to respond after losses." I look for Staal and co. to do just that. 10* Personal Fav. |
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02-21-16 | Avalanche v. Canucks -115 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vancouver. Enough is enough! The Canucks are mired in an extended losing streak but they've got the schedule in their favor here. I expect their best effort. While the Avs were busy beating Edmonton last night, the Canucks had the day off. Valarmov will start for Colorado, after Pickard went last night. That's good news for the Canucks, as they've had some recent success against him. They beat him 3-1 last month and 5-2 in the meeting before that. He's got a poor 3.74 GAA his last three against Vancouver. The Canucks aren't ready to roll over and die yet. They haven't lost seven straight here in nearly a decade and I look for them to step up and stop the bleeding tonight. 9* personal fav |
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02-20-16 | Bruins v. Stars -142 | 7-3 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. I successfully played against the Bruins (2-0 loss at Nashville) in their last game and I believe that this will be another good spot to do so. While the Bruins have admittedly been strong on the road, their success has come largely against teams from their own conference. The Bruins, now 7-13 (-10.6) against teams from the West, are just 1-5 (-5.2) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Stars, 16-8 (+4.4) against teams from the East, are a profitable 10-1 (+9.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Stars are very tough to beat here at Dallas. They're 20-7 here, outscoring teams by a 3.3 to 2.4 margin. I feel the price is reasonable and I look for them to come away with the two points. 9* Personal Favorite |
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02-20-16 | Lightning v. Penguins -117 | 4-2 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Penguins have dropped both games to the Lightning this season and I believe that revenge factor will help motivate them here. Having slept in their own beds last night, I also believe that the early start time will work in their favor. After managing only three combined goals in their previous two games, the Lightning exploded for six against the Jets in their last game. They're only 6-12 (-8.4) the last 18 times they scored four or more goals in their previous game. Both this season's losses were at Tampa. Playing in their own rink, where they've dominated TB for years, the Pens get some payback this afternoon. 9* Breakfast Club |
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02-19-16 | Flyers v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal and Philadelphia to finish UNDER the total. These teams have met twice already in 2016 and both games had an O/U line of five. Tonight's game has an O/U line of 5.5. While we do have to pay a little juice to get that line, I believe it'll prove to be worth it. The Flyers average 2.4 goals per game. Their games average 5.1 overall. The Canadiens' games have been higher-scoring overall, as they're averaging 5.5 combined goals. However, that only tells part of the story, as road games have been far higher-scoring than home games. In fact, games here at Montreal are averaging only 4.8 goals per game on the season. Both this season's meetings did finish above the total. They were both at Philly though and I just mentioned how much lower-scoring games here at Montreal have been. (The Flyers' last visit here resulted in a 2-1 final score and two of the last three meetings here have fallen below the total.) The Flyers have seen the UNDER go 8-2 the last 10 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5 and I expect those stats to improve tonight. 10* Blue Chip |
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02-19-16 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -138 | 4-0 | Loss | -138 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams have a number of similarities. Both are off a 2-1 loss last time out. Both had won their previous two games. Both will miss the postseason, both are playing out the string. Both teams continue to play hard though and both should be looking to pick up the "W" here. Playing at home and looking to avenge an earlier loss, I expect the Jackets to have the advantage. The Jackets have actually won six of nine, dating back to 1/25. The Sabres are 4-6 during the same stretch. The Jackets average 2.8 goals per game at home while the Sabres average 2.5 gpg on the road. The Sabres won the first meeting back in October. That was the third game of the season for both teams and they were both looking for their first win. Columbus would go on to start the season at 0-8 and could really point to that Buffalo loss as the one that allowed things to spiral out of control. Payback time on Friday night! 9* Personal Favorite |
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02-18-16 | Bruins v. Predators -126 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nashville. While the Bruins check in as the hotter team, I like the Predators to come away with the two points tonight. Nasvhille played well last time out but a bad change was costly in OT. I felt that the Bruins, on the other hand, were somewhat fortunate to win their last game. Even Loui Erickson acknowledged: ''I felt like it wasn't the best game ... we made so many mistakes, even on the power play. We made some mistakes. They got some breakaways ... " While the Bruins' success on the road is well-documented, its largely come against Eastern Conference opponents. They're only 7-12 (-9.6) overall against teams from the West. The Preds have fared well against the Bruins in recent seasons and Rinne is 3-0-1 (2.32 GAA) against them. I expect their best effort here. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-17-16 | Canadiens v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal and Colorado to finish UNDER the total. Neither of these teams was happy with its defensive effort last time out. I expect an emphasis from both teams on improvement in that area this evening. Scrivens is expected to be back between the pipes for the Canadiens. He got pulled in the Buffalo game. However, prior to that, he'd allowed just four goals in his previous three starts, stopping 94 of 98 shots. His lone start here at Colorado came last season, when he was the goalie for the Oilers. Scrivens was sharp in that one, making 27 saves while allowing only a single regulation goal. The Oilers would lose 2-1 in a shootout. Vlarmov, the goalie that opposed Scrivens in that 2-1 game last year, also got pulled against Buffalo in his last start. Like Scrivens, he'd been playing pretty well before that though. The UNDER is 6-2 the last eight times that the Avs faced a team with a losing record and 11-4-1 when they were coming off a loss by multiple goals. I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. 10* Blue Chip |
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02-16-16 | Stars v. Blues -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The home team has won all three meetings this season. With the schedule in their favor, I expect the Blues to continue that trend this evening. While the Blues had yesterday off, the banged-up Stars are off an OT win at Nashville. They're 13-20 (-4.2) their past 33, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, they're 9-17 when off a win streak of three or more games. This will be the Stars' fourth game in the past six days. The Blues, who are looking up at the Stars in the standings, are starting to play well. St Louis coach Hitchcock, a longtime Dallas coach, said this of the Blues: "It looks like we found some rhythm. We're starting to really play well and we have to keep playing well." They're 55-34 (Dallas is 34-43) against divisional opponents the past few seasons and I look for them to get it done again tonight. 8* Annihilator |
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02-16-16 | Sabres v. Senators -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Senators could badly use a victory and Buffalo should represent the perfect opponent. Sure, the Sabres are a little better than they used to be. They're still not a "good" team though and remain very inconsistent. The Sabres came in here and beat the Sens a few weeks ago, former Senator Robin Lehner getting the win for Buffalo. That should provide the Sens with some added motivation (not that they should need any) here. The Sabres have won two straight for the sixth time since mid-November. They've followed up the previous 2-game winning streaks by losing the next game, all five times. They were outscored by a combined 16-8 in those five games. Look for that third win to again prove elusive, as the Sens get back on track with a much-needed two points. 9* Personal Fav |
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02-15-16 | Canadiens v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal and Arizona to finish UNDER the total. The Canadiens fell apart defensively last time out, losing 6-4 at Buffalo. They'd only allowed four goals in their previous three games combined though and I expect them to emphasize an improved defensive effort here. Note that the UNDER is a profitable 40-24-11 the last 75 times that the Habs allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Condon is expected to be back between the pipes (instead of Scrivens) and he'll be motivated to make the most of his opportunity. Price isn't coming back anytime soon and Condon knows that he could win the job if he plays well here. Arizona figures to be an excellent opponent for him to make a good impression against as the Coyotes have seen each of their last three games produce five or fewer combined goals, all three staying below the total. They managed only one goal in two of those games. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams, including each of the last three, have produced five or fewer combined goals. Montreal's last visit here finished with a final score of 2-0. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. 10* Blue Chip |
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02-15-16 | Maple Leafs v. Blackhawks -250 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. I don't make many friends by taking a large favorite like this, as many people are bothered by it. Thankfully, I'm not trying to win any popularity contests. I'm only interested in winning and finding value. In this case, I felt the line should be greater than -300. Its come down from that and I believe the current price is fair. While anything can obviously happen in any game, the Hawks are better in all facets of the game than the Leafs. They've also got the venue in their favor and they're catching Toronto off at the end of a 5-game trip which took them all through Western Canada. The Leafs best hope would normally be that the Hawks would overlook them. However, off three straight losses, that's not going to happen. The only previous time that the Hawks dropped three straight this season, they responded with a 3-1 win. They're 9-3 (+4.8) the last 12 times they were off three or more losses. The Hawks hammered the Leafs 4-0 in the last meeting here. No reason to expect any different here. 5* |
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02-15-16 | Stars v. Predators -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off three straight wins, the Stars are playing well right now. They're pretty banged-up at the moment though and I expect it to catch up with them here. The Stars are already without Spezza, one of their top players and its possible that they'll be without Seguin. He's currently questionable, the reason the game was OTB overnight. With or without him, I expect the Stars to stumble this evening. Three game winning streaks haven't been kind to the Stars. They just followed up a 3-game streak with a 5-1 loss earlier this month. That dropped them to 8-17 (-15.9) the last 25 times that they had won their previous three or more games. The Preds got back on track in a big way last time out, a much-needed 5-0 blanking of the Panthers. They've struggled against the Stars at Dallas but have had success here at Nashville, taking four of the last five meetings and six of eight. I look for them to build off that win here. 10* Div. Personal Favorite |
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02-15-16 | Penguins v. Panthers -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. When these teams met on 2/6, the Panthers were rolling, having won five straight. They jumped all over the Pens in that game and appeared en route to their sixth consecutive victory. The Penguins rallied to beat them though, erasing a 2-0 third period deficit, scoring the tying goal late in regulation (with the goalie pulled) and winning in OT. Florida had dominated the game but ran into a hot goalie as Pens backup Zatkoff "stood on his head," stopping 42 shots. Since that loss, the Panthers have struggled, causing Florida coach Gerard Gallant to say this of his team's recent effort: "Our team has been pathetic the last couple of games.". They'll be highly motivated to right the ship and I look for their best effort here. The comeback on 2/6 marked the second time that the Pens had beaten the Panthers in OT this season, both times winning by a score of 3-2. Note that Melkin, who scored the OT winner in the first game, is now out for the Pens. He'd been really starting to get going before his injury and I look for his absence to finally catch up with the Pens here. The Panthers are a profitable 32-23 (+18.2) last 55 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, 12-3 (+11) their last 15 in that situation. Payback time. 10* GOW |
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02-15-16 | Red Wings v. Islanders -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. I won with the Wings yesterday but this is a tough spot for them. Off yesterday's wild game, they now play an early game against a talented and revenge-minded Isles team. The Isles, who lost 6-3 vs. Carolina on Saturday, are 12-7 against winning teams and 8-4 off a loss by two or more goals. Last game notwithstanding, they've started to play well recently, winning three of four. With the Wings at 4-7 when playing the second of b2b games and the Isles playing with double-revenge, I'm going with the home team. 8* B.M. |
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02-14-16 | Bruins v. Red Wings -144 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. Boston won both earlier meetings but this should be a good spot for the Wings to get some payback. While the Bruins played yesterday and will be playing their third game in four days, the Wings had yesterday off. The last time that the Bruins played the second of b2b games, they lost by a 6-2 score. While that was at home, they're also 0-2 since Christmas, when playing on the road after playing the previous day. The Wings were struggling when these teams met earlier in the season. With three wins in their last four and points in all four of those games, they're starting to play better now. They should have won the last game against the Bruins here (blew lead in final 2 mins then lost in OT, despite dominating) and they haven't forgotten. Payback time this afternoon. 9* Afternoon Annihilator |
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02-13-16 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -130 | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Rarely do you find the Hawks at a better price at home than we find them here. While the Ducks are indeed a talented team, I believe that the low price is providing plenty of value with what should be a highly motivated Chicago team. The Hawks have dropped two straight. This is such a talented and well-coached team that they rarely experience extended losing streaks. This is just the third time since early December that the Hawks have dropped two in a row. In each previous case, they responded by winning the third game. Yes, the Ducks have played very well in recent weeks. Yes, they'll want to avenge this season's losses, as well as getting some payback against the team which knocked them out of the playoffs last season. That said, I don't think we can just ignore the fact that Anaheim is 10-15 on the road while Chicago is 21-8 at home. The Hawks are 4-0 the last four in the series and they've beaten the Ducks three straight here at Chicago. I look for them to continue that recent series dominance for another day. 9* personal favorite |
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02-13-16 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks -164 | 5-2 | Loss | -164 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While the Leafs have yet to win since trading away their captain, the Canucks have gotten back on track with back-to-back victories. Fighting for the playoffs, the Canucks know they can't afford to squander opportunities like this one. Vancouver defenseman Alex Biega had this to say of the Canucks' mentality: "Every game is do or die for us. Every point really matters. For the most part, that's playoff-type of hockey." The Leafs have given up nine goals in two games since trading away their captain and they haven't won here in Vancouver in more than a decade. Speaking of things that haven't happened in a long time, the Canucks will be wearing their black flying skate sweaters, ones they haven't worn in roughly 20 years. They'll have a number of former stars on hand, who should provide some inspiration. Further motivation stems from the fact that they lost at Toronto earlier. Payback time tonight. 8* B.M. |
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02-12-16 | Flames v. Coyotes -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Coyotes are badly in need of a victory. Facing a team they've had success against and with the schedule in their favor, I look for them to get one. While Arizona had the day off, the Flames were involved in a wild game last night. They got up big on the Sharks, only to blow a 3-goal lead, lose their starting goalie and then hang on to win in a shootout. Off that dramatic affair, I won't be surprised to see them struggle here. Note that Calgary is 3-5 when playing the second of b2b games, 1-3 its last four. Last night notwithstanding, the Flames haven't been good on the road, or in divisional games. The Coyotes remain a respectable 11-7 (+8.1) against divisional opponents and they're 10-5 (+6.1) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. They won both this season's earlier meetings and I like their chances again tonight. 9* Personal Favorite |
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02-12-16 | Flames v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Calgary/Arizona UNDER the total. The Flames were involved in a high-scoring affair last night, winning 6-5 at San Jose. However, I don't even expect to see half that many tonight. While it wasn't enough to earn them a victory, the Coyotes improved defensively last time out, losing 2-1 vs Vancouver. The UNDER is now 5-2-2 when they were off three or more consecutive losses and 5-3-1 after they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Prior to last night, the Flames had allowed three or fewer goals in six straight games, two or less in five of those. The UNDER is 46-29 the last 75 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5, including a 12-7 mark this season. Both this season's earlier meetings finished with a final score of 2-1, bringing the UNDER to 4-0 the last four series meetings, 7-2 the last nine. I'm expecting more of the same here. 9* best bet |
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02-11-16 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Both these teams have followed up 2-game winning streaks with a losing streak. Both lost their last game by a goal and both suffered blowout losses in the game before that. Playing at home, I expect the Oilers to be the team which bounces back tonight. Its not a coincidence that Edmonton's last three losses have all come on the road, as the Oilers are terrible (7-23) away from Edmonton. One of those losses came at Toronto. They're above 500 here at home though and they won their only post-All Star game here by a score of 5-1. They're 9-4 when playing a home game w/ an O/U line of 5.5. While the Oilers outscore teams by a 2.9 to 2.6 average here, the Leafs get outscored by an average of 2.9 to 2.2 on the road. The Oilers, who happen to be 8-3 (+6) after losing three or more consecutive games, are a young team which feels its on the rise. The Leafs are a team which just traded its captain away, a move which may help down the road but won't help them tonight. Oilers ge it done. 8* Annihilator |
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02-11-16 | Stars v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Dallas and Chicago to finish UNDER the total. These teams just played at Dallas on 2/6, the Hawks winning by a score of 5-1. Including that result, the Stars have seen four straight games top the total. I expect that streak to come to an end here though. The Hawks' road games have been much higher-scoring than games here at Chicago. Games at Chicago are averaging a mere 4.5 goals, the UNDER going 17-6-5. When the O/U line is 5.5 here, the Hawks have seen the UNDER go 7-1. That's been a profitable situation for years here, as the UNDER is now 48-24 here the past few seasons, when the O/U line was 5.5. The Hawks, who are getting fantastic goaltending, have seen the UNDER go 9-4-1 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I'm expecting another defensive affair. 9* best bet |
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02-11-16 | Sabres v. Flyers -150 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Both these teams have dropped three straight. Playing at home, I expect the revenge-minded Flyers to be the team which snaps its skid here. These played twice earlier in the season. The Sabres won both those meetings. That should provide the Flyers with some added motivation. No team wants to get dominated by Buffalo. The Sabres are just 17-49 (-17.6) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. During that time, they're also a dismal 23-64 (-24.2) after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game. Philadelphia had a bad 6-game losing streak at the beginning of the season and both previous games against Buffalo came during that stretch. Since then, this is the fourth time that the Flyers have lost three straight games. Each previous time they snapped the skid before it got to four games. I look for the Flyers to bounce back again here, improving to 9-6 (+4.2) the last 15 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. 9* Personal Favorite |
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02-10-16 | Senators v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit and Ottawa to finish UNDER the total. These teams met three times back in the fall. Both meetings at Ottawa finished above the number. However, the game here at Detroit finished with a score of 3-1. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair here. After back-to-back poor defensive showings, the Sens have responded by allowing just a single goal in each of their last two games. The Wings have been even stingier. In their last two games combined, they've allowed a single goal. Detroit goalie Mrazek has a sparkling 1.18 GAA his last 11 games. Between the pipes for Ottawa, streaky Craig Anderson has stopped an impressive 57 of the last 59 shots he's faced. Note that Ottawa just bolstered its defense with the addition of Dion Phaneuf. He'll play tonight and should immediately make the Sens better in their own end. Red Wing games are averaging five goals this season and their division games are averaging 4.9. With the UNDER at 32-18 the last 50 games here, when the O/U line was 5.5, there's only one way to go. 10* T.O.W. |
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02-09-16 | Maple Leafs v. Flames -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The home team won both meetings last season. The Leafs won 4-1 at Toronto while the Flames won 6-3 here at Calgary. I expect the home team to have the edge again this evening. The Leafs are 11-17 on the road. They get outscored by an average of 2.8 to 2.1. The Flames are a little disappointed with their 15-11 home record but they're still much better here than the Leafs are away from Toronto. Calgary has outscored teams by an average of 3.0 to 2.8 in games here. After a couple of rare wins, the Leafs fell back to earth in a big way last time out, a 6-1 loss at Ottawa. Note that they're a dismal 19-44 (-25.4) the L63 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, 3-14 in that situation this season. While the Leafs are already playing out the string, the Flames still have playoff aspirations and are desperate for points. They know they can ill afford to squander opportunities like this one, particularly after they lost to Columbus in their last game here and as they hit the road after this one. They were laying -190 for last year's game here and I believe tonight's far more reasonable price is providing excellent value. 9* Personal Favorite |
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02-09-16 | Sharks v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ and Chicago to finish UNDER the total. These teams were involved in a couple of high-scoring games earlier in the season. However, those games were quite some time ago now, both in 2015. Into the second half and with every game taking on added significance, I'm expecting a lower-scoring contest this evening. The Hawks allowed one goal last time out, the second time in the past three games they have done so. While they are indeed a talented offensive team, some might be surprised to learn that games here are averaging only 4.6 goals this season. That's because the Hawks have been extremely stingy, permitting just 1.6 per game here. The Sharks got lit up for six goals at Nashville last time out. They'd allowed three or less in six staight before that though, one or less in three of those. They should be motivated for an improved defensive effort here. Off three straight wins, note that the UNDER is 8-2-2 the last dozen times that the Hawks were on a win streak of three or more games. During that stretch, the UNDER is also 6-1 when they played at home when the O/U line was 5.5. Going back further and we find the UNDER with a profitable 47-24 (nearly 2 of every 3) record, when the Hawks played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I'm expecting more of the same here. 9* best bet |
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02-09-16 | Islanders -125 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS. The Jackets are coming off a rare successful West Coast road trip. This is their first game back though, which can be difficult to begin with and they'll be taking on a talented team which is coming off a breakout game. I expect a reality check. Recent wins notwithstanding, the Jackets are still a bad team. They're now tied for the fewest points in the league. They won't be making the playoffs. On the other hand, the Isles are a good team which is fighting for its playoff lives. An 8-1 destruction of Edmonton last time out should have them full of confidence here, as will the fact that they've dominated the Jackets this season. Having dropped two straight, prior to the big win, the Isles know they can't afford to get complacent. They've outscored the Jackets by a 12-4 margin this season and I expect them to finish on top once again. 9* Annihilator |
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02-08-16 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -131 | 27 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Ottawa and TB to finish UNDER the total. While we have to lay a little extra juice to play at "Under 5.5," I believe it'll be worthwhile to do so. The Sens have seen the UNDER go 12-8 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Lightning have seen the UNDER go 4-1 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. That's a combined 16-9, a solid 64%. We tend to think of TB as a high-scoring team. That hasn't been the case this season though. Lightning games are averaging 5.1 gpp, while their road games are averaging exactly five goals. Excluding "pushes," the Lightning have seen the UNDER go 10-6 in division games; the Sens have seen the UNDER go 10-7 in their division games. Tampa's last visit here resulted in a 2-1 final. Another low-scoring affair won't surprise. 9* best bet |
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02-07-16 | Oilers v. Islanders -165 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS. After winning with the Oilers a couple of games ago, I played against them yesterday. They lost 5-1 at Montreal. The Isles are also off a 5-1 loss yesterday. Playing at home, I like their chances of being the team which bounces back. The Isles have dominated teams from the Western Conference, going 13-6 (+5.9). They're a respectable 16-11 at home, outscoring teams by an average score of 3.1 to 2.5. On the other hand, the Oilers dropped to a dismal 7-21 on the road, with yesterday's loss. Yesterday notwithstanding, the Oilers have been respectable against "losing teams." They can't compete against top tier teams though. Indeed, they're a terrible 31-80 (-32.8) the past couple of seasons against teams with winning records. While the Oilers have been out of the playoff race for some time, the Isles are desperate for points. They know that they can't afford to drop games like this one and I look for their very best effort. 6* |
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02-06-16 | Flames v. Canucks OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on the Over in the Calgary/Vancouver game. We have to lay some extra juice to play at five. However, with both teams determined to get their offenses going, I believe it'll prove worthwhile. Calgry road games average 5.5 goals. Vancouver home games average 5.8. These teams have played twice so far this season. Both of those meetings had O/U lines of 5.5, instead of five. The games produced five and six goals, respectively. Note that there were plenty of chances in those games and they could have easily been higher-scoring. The two games had 68 and 74 shots, considerably more than either of these teams sees in an average game. The Canucks have seen the OVER go 6-2-1 off three or more consecutive losses and 11-6-5 when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, 5-1-1 when attempting to avenge a home loss. As for the Flames, they've seen the OVER go 4-1-1 when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5 and 19-11-8 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Don't be surprised when the offenses to come to life tonight. 10* Blue Chip |
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02-06-16 | Maple Leafs v. Senators -120 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Leafs come in as the hotter team. However, I believe the Sens are still the better team and I look for them to have the advantage this evening. Sure, the Leafs have won two in a row. However, three game winning streaks have been few and are between for this team the past few decades, as have victories against divisional opponents. This season, Toronto is a terrible 1-13 (1-7-6) against divisional opponents. The Leafs have managed an average of just 1.9 goals in those 14 games, giving up an avg of 3.4. Yikes. Yes, the Sens have dropped three straight. They're a solid 14-9 (+5.5) the past 2+ seasons, off three or more consecutive losses though. During that stretch, they're also a profitable 32-23 (+13) after dropping their previous game by two or more goals. I believe the price is very fair and I expect them to bounce back here. 10* Personal Fav. |
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02-06-16 | Oilers v. Canadiens -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. I won with the Oilers a couple of games ago. However, I expect them to have their hands full this afternoon. The Canadiens, who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss at Edmonton, figure to be desperate to stop the bleeding. Facing an Oilers team that is a terrible 7-20 away from Edmonton figures to be the perfect tonic for their problems. I rarely pay attention to how well a team performs on a certain day, as that's generally random coincidence. However, Saturday hockey games are still a big deal in Montreal and afternoon ones don't come around that often. Note that the Oilers are 9-29 (-19.6) on Saturdays the past couple of years. During the same stretch, the Habs are 42-22 (+14). The bleeding stops this afternoon, at least for now. 9* Annihilator |
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02-05-16 | Blue Jackets v. Flames -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. This price is slightly higher than I'd normally go for a "big" play. However, I really like how it sets up and believe the price could easily be higher. I won with the Flames a couple of nights ago. While I'm aware that they're short-handed on the blue line, I expect that 4-1 win to provide them with some confidence and momentum. The Flames still have aspirations of making the playoffs and they know that if they want any shot of that becoming reality that these are the games that they absolutely need to take advantage of. Opponents like the Blue Jackets don't come around regularly. Yes, Columbus won at Vancouver last night. The Jackets likely benefitted from the fact that they were catching the Canucks off an extra long break. That was also an emotional game for them, as their coach was returning to face his old team. So, despite the fact that they're essentially already playing out the string, the team had reason to "get up" for that one. I believe a letdown is entirely possible here. The Flames handled them at Columbus recently and with the schedule in their favor, I expect more of the same here. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-04-16 | Flyers v. Predators -155 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators dropped their first game back from the break, losing 1-0. They'd really started to roll before that though and I look for them to get back on track this evening. While the Flyers have been scoring some goals recently, they still only average 2.4 per game, 2.3 on the road. By comparison, the Preds score 2.8 per game at home, outshooting teams by a 31.2 to 25.8 margin here. Its on the defensive side of things (and in net) where Nashville has the real advantage though. The Preds have allowed only five goals over their past five games and have given up one or less in six of seven. That spells trouble for the Flyers as they've allowed two or more goals in five straight (avg of 3) and in seven of their past eight. For the season, the Flyers allow 2.9 per game on the road, the Preds 2.2 at home. The Preds are a profitable 32-22 (+9.9) the past 2+ seasons after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I expect them to improve on those stats here, avenging a November loss at Philly in the process. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-03-16 | Hurricanes v. Flames -116 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. These teams met at Carolina prior to the break. The Canes won by a score of 5-2. With this evening's rematch being played at Calgary, I expect the Flames to return the favor. The Flames have long dominated the Canes here at Calgary. The most recent meeting saw them win by a score of 5-0. While the Flames are a somewhat respectable 14-10 at home, the Canes are just 11-14 away from Raleigh. The Canes closed out the first half with an impressive 5-0 win over Chicago. Note that they're just 58-84 (-31.2) over the years, when playing with three or more day's rest. During that stretch, they're also a dismal 29-52 (-30.6) when they were off a shutout win. Off this season's two shutout wins, they've been outscored by a combined 7-1 margin in their next game. Looking at some more stats, the Canes are just 16-42 (-23.2) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. During that period, the Flames are 24-11 (+14.2) when playing a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. I like their chances of improving on those stats here. 10* GOW |
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02-03-16 | Sabres v. Canadiens -138 | 4-2 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens destroyed the Sabres by a 7-2 score when the teams met earlier in the season. That game was at Buffalo but the Canadiens were more expensive than they are here. I expect the Canadiens to play with desperation and feel tonight's price is a relative bargain. Montreal can't afford to keep losing and knows this is the type of team it needs to beat. Nathan Beaulieu had this to say on the team's mindset: "I mean, we're not going to give up on each other... We've got to really look at ourselves in the mirror right now." Sure, the Sabres would love to avenge the earlier 7-2 loss. That's easier said than done for them though; they're just 19-49 (-18.2) the last 68 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. True, the Canadiens played last night, losing against the Flyers while the Sabres had last night off. Normally, that situation might favor the Sabres. However, given that both teams were just coming off the break, I expect it to favor the Habs. Montreal got its legs back last night and shouldn't be overly tired, due to having had plenty of rest before yesterday. The Sabres, on the other hand, may be a little rusty from the layoff. They're 7-13 the last 20 times they played the second of b2b games. The Canadiens were laying in the -400 range the last time they hosted the Sabres. This is by far the best price they've had for a game here against the Sabres in recent seasons. I look for them to step up and stop the bleeding. 8* Annihilator |
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02-02-16 | Blue Jackets v. Oilers -130 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. One might assume that these teams would prefer to lose, in order to improve their chances of drafting Auston Matthews, the top prospect in this year's draft. I think its much too early for that though and that both teams will be playing to win. That said, I expect the Oilers to be a little hungrier. The break came at the right time for the Oilers, as they'd dropped three straight. Now, they've had a chance to regroup and the extra time off has allowed Connor McDavid (last year's #1 overall pick) a chance to fully recover. He's expected back on the ice tonight for the first time since early November. McDavid noted: ''I'm excited. It feels like my first game all over again." In addition to anything he can contribute on the ice, he should bring some life to the crowd and a boost to the team overall. The Jackets are 10-17 on the road. They get outscored by an average of 3.1 to 2.4 away from Columbus. The Oilers also have trouble on the road. However, they're a somewhat respectable 13-11 here at Edmonton. They've beaten the Jackets six of the last seven meetings here and 19 of 25. I expect their best effort here. 9* personal favorite |
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01-27-16 | Predators v. Flames -110 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Predators won their third straight road game last night. They haven't won four straight away from Nashville for 5+ years though and I don't expect it to happen tonight. Recent win streak notwithstanding, the Preds are not the same team away from Nashville. They're still 10-16 (-8.2) on the road. On the other hand, Calgary is 14-9 (+4.6) at home. It should be noted that the Preds are an ugly 9-23 (-13.6) when playing the second of b2b games the past few seasons, including 0-6 this season. They were dominated in those games too, getting outscored by a combined 24-8 margin. Five of six losses came by multiple goals. Part of the reason, perhaps, for the Preds' problems in b2b spots is a tendency to give #1 goalie Rinne the night off. (He's only played b2b games once this season.) Backup Carter Hutton did earn a shutout in his last start, so he's capable. However, it should be noted that game was at home and that he's allowed eight combined goals in losing his last two on the road. (*Even if Rinne were to get the call, note that he's just 1-5 in nine starts at Calgary.) After finally making the playoffs last season, the Flames were supposed to be a team on the rise this year. They're currently out of a playoff spot though which should make them very hungry to enter the break with a win. Captain Mark Giordano noted: "We got to start from the get-go next game. We have one more before the break that we have to have ... " This is the third time that the Flames have lost b2b games already in 2016. They've responded to the first two 2-game losing streaks by winning 4-2 on the road and 6-0 here at Calgary. I believe the price is very fair and I expect their best effort again tonight. 10* GOM |
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01-27-16 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -206 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. No reason to expect anything but a win for the home team here. The Lightning have beaten the Leafs three straight times here. They come in off a loss against Florida and are looking to bounce back before the break. Prior to that, they'd won seven straight. The Leafs also lost against Florida in their last game. However, that's become normal for them. Limping towards the break, they've now dropped eight of their last nine. |
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01-26-16 | Avalanche v. Sharks -158 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Both these teams have started to play well of late. The Avs have won four straight and five of six. The Sharks lost their last game but have still won seven of nine. Playing at home and looking to avenge a late December loss here, I feel that it'll be the Sharks who have the advantage this evening. |
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01-26-16 | Coyotes v. Jets -155 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The home team has won both meetings in the season series. I expect another victory for the home team here. |
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01-26-16 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens -172 | 5-2 | Loss | -172 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. These teams just met last night at Columbus, the Jackets winning by a 5-2 margin. With the venue switching to Montreal, I expect the Habs to have the advantage tonight. |
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01-26-16 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Montreal and Columbus to finish UNDER the total. Last night's game at Columbus was high-scoring. I expect a much different result tonight though. |
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01-26-16 | Devils v. Penguins -169 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Both these teams have started to play well of late. The Devils have won four straight. The Penguins have won two in a row and three of four. Playing at home and looking to avenge an earlier 4-0 loss at NJ, I feel that it'll be the Pens who keep their streak in tact. |
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01-25-16 | Flames v. Stars -198 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. While this price seems steep, I expect a highly motivated effort from a revenge-minded Stars team on Monday. These teams met twice in December. Calgary won both meetings. There's no way that Dallas wants to drop another one to this team. Additional motivation stems from the fact that the Stars have dropped five of their last six overall. |
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01-25-16 | Coyotes v. Wild -169 | 2-1 | Loss | -169 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild badly need to get back on track and this should be the perfect opponent to do so against. They're 8-1-1 the last 10 meetings in the series. |
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01-24-16 | Blues v. Blackhawks -154 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. With all due respect to the Blues, this line could easily be higher. While they've played well recently, the Blues are still a modest 12-12 on the road, where they get outshot and outscored. The Hawks, on the other hand, are 20-6 (+9.8) at home, outscoring teams by a commanding 3.1 to 1.6 margin. They're perfect here in 2016, outscoring teams by a combined 23-9 margin. In their last game, the Blues squandered the lead in the final minute and lost in a shootout. Those losses can be tough to bounce back from. The Hawks lost 4-0 though, getting thoroughly outworked. They're not happy about it and have vowed to deliver a better effort here. Chicago coach Quenneville was the coach of the Blues for many years; he always makes sure that the Hawks are up for games against his former club. While they've already avenged that loss with a win at St. Louis, the Hawks still haven't forgotten that the Blues beat them here earlier in the season. Off their huge winning streak, the Hawks have dropped two in a row. They'll be highly motivated to stop the bleeding and I like their chances of bouncing back. 8* Annihilator |
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01-23-16 | Predators v. Oilers OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on Edmonton and Nashville to finish OVER the total. While we have to lay some extra juice to play at five, I believe this number should have been 5.5. The Predators have seen their road games average 5.4 goals. Excluding "pushes," the OVER is 28-22 the last 50 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Oilers have seen their home games average 5.6 goals. The OVER is 6-3-2 when they've played a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. While the Preds have scored three or more goals in three of their last four games, the Oilers have seen their last three games average a whopping seven goals. Another high-scoring affair won't surprise. 10* Blue Chip |
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01-23-16 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -205 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Some people may shudder at the thought of laying such a high number. However, I personally believe that this number could easily be considerably higher. Therefore, to me, the Bruins are in fact providing fair value. Keep in mind that the Bruins were asked to lay -290 against a much better Columbus team last year. |
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01-23-16 | Devils v. Jets -130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Devils come in on a little roll while the Jets have struggled recently. Throw in the fact that Winnipeg is dealing with some injuries and many will be looking to back New Jersey. However, the Jets have dominated the Devils and I feel we're going to get a highly motivated effort from them this evening. |
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01-23-16 | Canucks v. Penguins -180 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This is a difficult scheduling spot for the Canucks. Not only are they thousands of miles from home, they're playing the final leg of an East Coast road trip while doing so at a very early (9:35am West Coast time) starting time. Off a 4-2 win over Boston last time out, note that they're 1-6 off a win by two goals or more. The Pens are playing better under coach Mike Sullivan and got the monkey off their backs by beating the Flyers last time out. Sullivan figures to want this one a little more than most as the Canucks previously fired him from an assistant coaching position. Malkin noted: "Now we're starting to believe that we can win every game. We've got a great team ... " I like their chances here. 6* breakfast club |
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01-22-16 | Red Wings -127 v. Sabres | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The Wings have dominated the Sabres here over the years. A 4-3 win on 1/2 brought them to 6-0-1 their last seven visits here. Off b2b losses, the Wings should be fairly desperate for a win here. Prior to that, the Wings had won five of six to start the year. |
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01-21-16 | Flyers v. Penguins -147 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Penguins should be extremely motivated for this one. Not only do they badly need points but they've also lost eight straight against their hated instate rivals. |
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01-20-16 | Sabres v. Avalanche -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Sabres have played some of their better hockey recently and have actually won four of five. However, they've still got a lot of weaknesses and I expect them be exposed this evening. |
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01-20-16 | Sabres v. Avalanche OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on Buffalo and Colorado to finish OVER the total. Whenever we play an O/U line of five, there's always a reasonable chance of finishing with a 'push.' If that doesn't bother you, I believe that tonight's game in Denver has a far greater chance of finishing with more than five goals than it does of finishing with less than five. |
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01-19-16 | Stars v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
I am playing on the UNDER. Although there is more than one reason I like this play, certainly the biggest one is Kings goaltender Jonathan Quick. |
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01-19-16 | Oilers v. Lightning -220 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
I am playing on the LIGHTNING. Tampa Bay is lucky not to be laying far more chalk in this game in a spot where they catch the Oilers with no gas left in the tank. |
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01-18-16 | Sabres v. Coyotes -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Arizona Coyotes as my 10* Game of the Week. |
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01-17-16 | Flyers v. Red Wings -155 | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Detroit Red Wings as a 7*. |
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01-17-16 | Panthers v. Lightning -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Tampa Bay Lightning as a 7*. Tampa Bay is burning up the schedule, riding a red-hot four-game winning streak into Sunday’s Sunshine State showdown with the rival Florida Panthers. The Lightning have discovered their offensive touch, netting a total of 15 goals in those four game. The Panthers, on the other hand, are coming down from their extended winning streak, losing two in a row since boasting a 12-game run. Things got especially messy in a 6-0 loss to Calgary last time out. We are getting great value on one team rising against another one falling. Tampa Bay has done well against Florida at home in recent meetings, winning four of its last five versus the Panthers inside Amalie Arena. I’m playing on Tampa Bay as a 7* Sunday. |
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01-17-16 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -160 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Pittsburgh Penguins as a 7*. |
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01-16-16 | Stars v. Sharks -116 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks as my 9* Best Bet. |
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01-15-16 | Jets v. Wild -151 | 1-0 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild as my 9* Personal Favorite. |
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01-14-16 | Oilers v. Sharks -175 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks as my 6* Blue Marlin. |
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01-14-16 | Hurricanes v. Blues -164 | 4-1 | Loss | -164 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the St. Louis Blues as my 6* Annihilator. |
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01-13-16 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Under in Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs as my 9* Best Bet. |
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01-12-16 | Sabres v. Wild -196 | 3-2 | Loss | -196 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
I am playing on the WILD. Buffalo hasn't won back to back games in a month and I don't think the Sabres will end that streak Tuesday in Minnesota. |
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01-12-16 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders -191 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
I am playing on the ISLANDERS. The Isles could really use a game against the worst team in the NHL and I think they'll take advantage by skating to a home win here Tuesday night. |
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01-12-16 | Penguins -111 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on the PENGUINS. Injuries have hit the Carolina lineup lately and the Canes also face a nightmare mismatch on special teams, which is why I like Pittsburgh here. |
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01-11-16 | Bruins v. Rangers -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
I am playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Rangers have to be dying to get back on the ice after the way their last game went down and I think Boston is going to be on the losing end of their frustrations on Monday. |
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01-10-16 | Devils v. Wild -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild as my 8* Personal Favorite. |
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01-09-16 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks -140 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
I am playing on the SAN JOSE SHARKS. The Sharks couldn't be catching the Leafs at a better time in this Saturday night clash and I'm surprised they're not laying more chalk. |
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01-08-16 | Blues v. Ducks -118 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Anaheim Ducks as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
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01-08-16 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -220 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Chicago Blackhawks as my 6* Blue Marlin. |
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01-07-16 | Maple Leafs v. Kings -219 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the LA KINGS. Off last night's upset in Anaheim, the Leafs have won three straight. With the schedule working against them, I expect their streak to come to an end tonight. While the Leafs will be playing the second of b2b games, the Kings have had the past two nights off. The Kings were blanked 5-0 at Toronto the week before Christmas and they'll have payback on their minds tonight. They're 14-5 their last 19 in the revenge role and I expect them to be at their best tonight. Lay the wood. 6* |
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01-07-16 | Coyotes v. Flames -153 | 2-1 | Loss | -153 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. While they lost at Arizona earlier this season, the Flames have dominated the Coyotes here at Calgary. They're 5-0 the last five meetings here. Calgary comes in playing well, winning its last two games by a combined score of 7-1. Though improved from recent years, the Coyotes still get outscored by a 3.3 to 2.5 margin on the road. That spells trouble against a Flames team which has a 13-7 record here, more home wins than any other team in the Pacific. 8* |
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01-07-16 | Jets v. Stars -183 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Off an ugly 6-2 loss last time out and now having dropped three straight, the Stars will be highly motivated tonight. They've been great at bouncing back from bad losses, going 7-0 the last seven times that they lost by two or more goals in their previous game. While the Jets get outscored by a 3.2-2.4 margin away from Winnipeg, the Stars outscore teams by an average of 3.8 to 2.3 here at Dallas. The three recent losses came on the road. The Stars are back home now and I expect them to continue their strong play here. 6* |
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01-06-16 | Maple Leafs v. Ducks -171 | 4-0 | Loss | -171 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks haven't played since earning a 4-1 victory on 1/3. That's noteworthy for a few reasons. For starters, they've now won four of five and are finally starting to play up to their potential. They've allowed an average of just 1.0 goals per game during that 5-game stretch. Still desperate for points, the Ducks know they can't afford to let up against the lowly Leafs. Its also worth noting that the Ducks are a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they played with exactly two day's rest in between games, going a profitable 31-19 their last 50 in that situation. During the same span, they're a highly lucrative 55-22 (+28.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. While the Leafs are well-rested, last playing on 1/2, they're only 5-11 the last couple of seasons, when playing with three or more day's of rest in between games. 6* Annihilator |
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01-06-16 | Hurricanes v. Canucks -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. Off a loss and having split four of the first seven on their current homestand, the Canucks should be highly motivated to pick up two points here. Home games against lower tier non-conference teams are opportunities they can't afford to squander. The Hurricanes, who are a dismal 13-40 (-24.4) the past 2+ seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5, certainly fall into that category. The Canucks have absolutely owned the Hurricanes, when the teams have met here at Vancouver. Indeed, the Canes have lost seven straight here. Their last victory in Vancouver came back in 1999. I expect the motivated home team to continue that domination tonight. 10* |
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01-05-16 | Jets v. Predators -160 | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. |
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01-04-16 | Coyotes v. Canucks -150 | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. |
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01-04-16 | Hurricanes v. Oilers -121 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. |
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01-03-16 | Jets v. Ducks -153 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. |
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01-03-16 | Jets v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on the OVER in the Ducks/Jets game. |
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01-02-16 | Jets v. Sharks -135 | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. |
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01-02-16 | Coyotes v. Oilers -128 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. |
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01-01-16 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on the Canucks and Ducks to finish OVER the total. |
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12-31-15 | Penguins v. Red Wings -145 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. |
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12-30-15 | Flyers v. Sharks -156 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. |
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12-29-15 | Hurricanes v. Devils -132 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. |
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12-28-15 | Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on the Sharks and Avs to finish UNDER the total. |
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12-28-15 | Red Wings v. Wild -130 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. |
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12-27-15 | Flyers v. Ducks -147 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
I am playing on ANAHEIM (vs Philadelphia) as my *9 Annihilator on Sunday @ 8:05 PM ET - First game for each of these clubs since the Christmas break and I look for the Ducks to roll on home ice. There is something about Sunday games with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-0 this season (and 28-8 the last 3 seasons combined) in Sunday games. When playing with three or more days of rest the Ducks are 11-6 the past three seasons. In a home game with the total set at 5 goals or less, Anaheim is 28-14. In games played in the month of December, the Ducks are on a 24-11 run. Even though the Ducks have had a tough start to the season, the Flyers are 5-11 this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Also, Philadelphia is off of a 4-3 win against St Louis on Monday and the Flyers are 4-9 this season when off of a non-conference game. Anaheim has taken both meetings from the Flyers each of the past two seasons and I look for the Ducks to improve to 5-0 in their last 5 against Philadelphia as they catch the Flyers beginning one of the dreaded West Coast road trips. |
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12-26-15 | Oilers v. Canucks -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
I am playing on VANCOUVER (vs Edmonton) as a *10 Blue Marlin on Saturday @ 10:05 PM ET - The Oilers went into the Christmas Break on a winning note as they defeated Winnipeg in a 3-1 win on Monday. That game was at home for Edmonton but, on the road, the Oilers have lost 3 straight games by a combined score of 13 to 3. Facing the Canucks in Vancouver is likely to add to the Oilers road woes. Vancouver lost at home to the Oilers back in October and that was a rare loss for the Canucks against Edmonton as Vancouver has dominated this series for years including having won 8 of the 10 meetings prior to the October loss. The Canucks, like the Oilers, went into the Christmas break on a winning note. Vancouver won 2 of 3 before the break and those games were on the road, At home, the Canucks have won each of their two prior games by a combined score of 7 to 3. The Oilers are on a 2-8 run when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Edmonton also is 16-50 in divisional games and on a 7-27 run in Saturday games. Big goalie edge here with Miller over Talbot as the latter is 2-7 in road starts this season. Whether the Oilers go with Tablot or Nilsson (3-7 in road starts) it's a big edge to the Canucks between the pipes. The reasonable price here on Vancouver on home ice has me going to my top play rating. |
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12-22-15 | Jets v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
I am playing on the UNDER in Calgary (vs Winnipeg) as my *10 Blue Chip Super Total on Tuesday @ 9:05 PM ET - The Flames gave up 4 goals at Detroit on Sunday and that allowed that game to get over the total. However, none of Calgary's three prior games went over. The Flames had allowed a total of just 5 goals in their three prior games and Calgary has been held to just 2 goals of their own in three of the last four games. The Jets are in a tough scheduling spot as they lost 3-1 at Edmonton last night. 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 road games have stayed under the total and the Jets have scored a total of just 2 goals in their last 3 road games. The Flames and Jets first meeting this season totaled just 4 goals and I look for a similar result tonight. Calgary often turns to their defense when they are off of a bad loss. The Flames have gone over just 20 times in the last 54 games when they are off of a loss by a margin of two goals or more. The Flames are seeking revenge for the loss at Winnipeg in October and the expectation is a tight, hard-checking game in Calgary tonight with an emphasis on clogging up the neutral zone and reduced chances in the offensive zone. It sets up well to be an under. |
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12-22-15 | Ducks v. Rangers -142 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
I am playing on the NY RANGERS (vs Anaheim) as my *9 Blue Marlin on Tuesday @ 7:05 PM ET - Tough scheduling spot for the Ducks who lost 5-2 yesterday to the Islanders and now face the Rangers in the 2nd night of a back to back. The Ducks have been held to 2 goals or less in 9 of their last 10 games. The Rangers are averaging 3.33 goals per game in their last 6 games. Anaheim is 4-8 this season in road games with a total set at 5 goals or less. The Rangers are 11-4 this season in road games with a total set at 5 goals or less. The Rangers enter this game on a losing streak of 3 games. But this is normally as far as a losing streak goes for them. The Rangers are 3-0 this season and 10-1 the last three seasons when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. Perfect scheduling spot and perfect situation for the Rangers to take down the Ducks Tuesday. |
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12-21-15 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -145 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
I am playing on PITTSBURGH (vs Columbus) as a *9 Annihilator Special on Monday @ 7:05 PM ET - The Penguins have lost 9 of their last 11 games. This is the Pens final game before Christmas. You can bet that Pittsburgh is fired up about getting a big win on home ice before heading into their "Christmas Break" and they may be facing the right opponent to get back on track. Columbus is off of back to back wins but they allowed 5 goals in their win over Arizona and they were fortunate to beat the Flyers in a long shootout that went 8 rounds. The Blue Jackets are without their #1 goalie right now and the Jackets had lost 8 of their last 9 games before rare, back to back victories. Columbus is 2-8 when they are off of a divisional game this season. The Penguins are playing this game with "triple revenge" as they have lost each of the first two match-ups this season with Columbus by a 2-1 count each time and the Pens lost the final match-up of last seasons' series in April. The Blue Jackets have had the Penguins number but that adds even more fuel to the fire for a highly motivated Pens team seeking their first win since the coaching change. Look for Pittsburgh to get back on track before heading into their break. |
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12-21-15 | Ducks v. Islanders -137 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on the NY ISLANDERS (vs Anaheim) as a *10 Personal Favorite on Monday @ 7:05 PM ET - The Islanders wrapped up a recent homestand with a bad loss to Florida so they are looking to make amends for that today. They are happy to be back home after a two game road trip where they struggled and lost both games. Overall, the Isles have now scored a total of just two goals in three games. Prior to this the Islanders won 7 of their last 8 games and this was during a time they had a home-heavy schedule so certainly the Isles are happy to be back home and ready to get a big win on home ice before the Christmas break. The Islanders are hosting a Ducks team that is off of a 2-1 win at New Jersey but that previously had lost 5 of their past 8 games. Anaheim is playing this game with revenge from a 4-1 loss in November but the Ducks are 2-6 this season when playing with home loss revenge. The Islanders are a sparkling 10-5 this season in non-conference games and are catching the Ducks in the front end of a back to back on the road. It's a tough stretch for Anaheim that is seeing them play four games in six nights. |
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12-20-15 | Flames v. Red Wings -160 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
I am playing on DETROIT (vs Calgary) as my 8* NHL Blue Marlin on Sunday @ 7:05 PM ET - Off of back to back home losses, the Red Wings might be catching the Flames at the perfect time to get back on track. Calgary is playing the last game of a 4 game road trip and the travel seems to be catching up with them as the Flames are off of a loss at St Louis yesterday. Calgary has been solid at home this season but on the road they have lost 12 of 17 games. The Flames have lost 9 of 14 road games when the total is set at 5.5 goals. Calgary has gone 5-11 on Sundays the past three seasons and this is a tough back to back spot for them after battling hard with the Blues in the loss yesterday in St Louis. The Red Wings are playing this game with double revenge too so there will be no shortage of motivation. Detroit lost at Calgary in October and the Red Wings also lost to the Flames at Joe Louis Arena in March. Double revenge and off of back to back losses on home ice heading into this one...look for the Red Wings to play one of their best games of the season on Sunday evening. |
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12-19-15 | Canadiens v. Stars -166 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
I am playing on DALLAS (vs Montreal) as my *7 Blue Marlin on Saturday @ 7:05 PM ET - Montreal started this season absolutely on fire but things have cooled off considerably for the Canadiens of late. The Habs enter this match-up at Dallas having lost 6 of their last 7 games. Carey Price's injury situation seems to have taken a mental toll on Montreal as, even though they have still been getting decent goaltending for the most part. The Canadiens just seem flat and they've been held to 2 goals or less in 8 of their last 9 games. Montreal won't find the going any easier against a Stars team that had won 6 of their last 9 games before a home loss to Calgary on Thursday. Dallas is fired up to bounce back after that 3-1 defeat on home ice. The Stars are seeking revenge tonight as they lost their last game against the Canadiens, a defeat in Montreal in January. The last time Dallas hosted the Habs it was a 4-1 victory for the Stars. I am expecting a similar result tonight as Montreal's struggles continue. Dallas is 8-1 this season in their games against teams with a winning record. The Stars are also a perfect 5-0 this season when they are off of a game they lost by margin of two goals or more. "Look to the Stars" as Dallas gets their revenge tonight. |