Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-03-18 | Predators +1.5 v. Jets | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing NASHVILLE on the PUCK-LINE, at +1.5 goals (6*). The Preds got up early in Game 3 and then stopped playing. The Jets roared back for a 7-4 win. In a tighter, lower-scoring affair, I expect a complete 60-minute effort from the Preds this evening. With their Game 2 win, the Preds are 7-3 the last 10 times that they were trailing in a playoff series. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a 'puck-line cover.' |
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05-03-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -155 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* MAIN EVENT). After dropping the last two games, the Pens are going to be desperate tonight. They've been outstanding on home ice all season and I expect them to bounce back with a huge effort tonight. Look for them to bring their A-Game and for that to lead to them evening the series. |
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05-02-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -129 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. After dropping Game 1, the Sharks dug deep and won Game 2. After dropping Game 3, I expect the Sharks to again respond with their best effort. Including the Game 2 win, the Sharks are 50-28 the past 78 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game, 20-9 their last 29 in that situation. With their backs agains the wall, expect them to improve on those stats Wednesday. |
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04-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ/Vegas to finish UNDER the total (8*). Both games at Vegas finished above the number. With the series shifting to SJ for tonight's pivotal game, I expect a lower score. The Sharks are stingy here at home, allowing just 2.5 goals per game. (On the road, they allow three per game.) Meanwhile, Vegas doesn't score as frequently on the road. While the Knights figure to have trouble scoring tonight, they should at least be better defensively. Prior to allowing four goals last game out, the Knights had allowed only three goals in their previous five games combined. Look for goals to be at a premium. |
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04-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -124 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -124 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* MAIN EVENT). After getting embarrassed in the opener, the Sharks dug deep and evened up the series. Playing without a key player Kane, who was out with a 1-game suspension, the Sharks outshot Vegas by a commanding 47-29 margin, Now back home and with Kane back in the lineup, I expect them to seize control of the series. While dominant at home all season, the Knights were far more beatable on the road. The last time that these teams met here, the Sharks finished on top by a 2-1 score. The Sharks are now 26-9 in divisional games. They're also 20-10 (+8.5) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats Monday. |
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04-30-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA (8*). After dropping the opener, I expect the Lightning to be all business on Monday. The Lightning are 13-6 (+6.4) their last 19, off a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at 43-25 (+12.4) in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. The Lightning are also 21-10 (+6.2) their last 31, after allowing four or more goals. During the same stretch, they're 22-9 when playing with 'revenge.' Additionally, they're 22-10 (+14.7) over the years, when trailing in a playoff series. Expect them to bounce back and even up the series. |
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04-29-18 | Jets v. Predators -165 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8*). The Jets pulled off the upset in Game 1. Don't expect it to happen again. As you know, both teams have been much stronger on home ice all season. The Preds are also 34-21 (+10.3) their past 55 times that they were off a game in which they scored one goal or less. They're also 23-12 (+8.4) their last 35 in the 'revenge' role. Expect them to improve on those stats, evening up the series on Sunday evening. |
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04-29-18 | Penguins v. Capitals -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8*). After squandering Game 1, the Caps are going to be in desperation mode this afternoon. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Caps are 67-34 (+21.2) in the revenge role the past few seasons, 24-11 their last 35 in that role. Look for them to improve on those stats here. |
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04-29-18 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/Washington to finish UNDER the total (8*). Game 1 produced just five goals, three of them in the third. Yet, we're still getting an O/U line of six to work with. I believe thats generously high. Note that the UNDER is 9-2-1 the past dozen times that the Caps played a home game with an O/U line greater than 5.5. Expect those stats to improve here, the final combined score again proving lower than many will be expecting. |
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04-28-18 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -139 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ/Vegas UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). While we have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, this line is generous. Note that SJ's previous five games had O/U lines of five. Vegas' previous four games also had O/U lines of five. The Knights have only allowed three combined goals in their past five games. Meanwhile, the Sharks are going to be determined to clean up their number of goals allowed. Note that the UNDER is 18-9-1 the past 28 times that SJ had allowed four or more goals in its previous game. In what should be a tiight one, look for the UNDER to improve to 25-15 the past 40 times that SJ played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. |
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04-28-18 | Sharks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing SAN JOSE on the puck-line (10* PUCK-LINE GAME OF YEAR, +1.5 goals.) I really like the Sharks' chances of winning this one 'outright.' After a 7-0 loss in Game 1, they're going to be EXTREMELY motivated. However, in a game which figures to be MUCH closer than the opener, getting an extra +1.5 goals at this price is too good a bargain to pass up. While that may sound funny, given that we still have to lay a fairly high price, its all relative to what it should really be. (A line history of Pinnacle shows that the Sharks +1.5 was as low as -204 and as high as -244 on gameday for Game 1.) The Sharks are 49-28 (+16.4) vs. the money-line the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During that stretch, they're also 42-22 (+15.8) vs. the money-line after a loss by two more goals. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a 'puck-line cover.' |
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04-28-18 | Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -146 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON/TB UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). With all due respect to the offenses, this line is generously high. Consider that the UNDER is 10-3-1 the past 14 times that the Bruins played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. The last meeting was here a few weeks ago. It ended with a final score of 4-0. The four previous games had scores of 4-2, 3-0, 3-2 and 4-0, none producing more than six goals. The Lightning, who have seen the UNDER go 5-3 the past eight times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, closed out the Devils with consecutive 3-1 victories. A similar result this afternoon won't surprise. |
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04-27-18 | Jets v. Predators -145 | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8* ANNIHILATOR). Home ice means a great deal to both these teams. While the Jets are tough to beat in their own building, they're only 21-22 on the road. Meanwhile, the Preds are a dominating 30-14 here at home. While the Jets get outscored and outshot on the road, the Preds outscore teams by a 3.5 to 2.6 margin here at home. The Preds won 3-1 when they last hosted the Jets. They were laying -205 for that 3/13 game. While the Jets are admittedly red hot at the moment, the Preds could still easily be favored by more. |
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04-26-18 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh/Washington to finish UNDER the total (10* BEST BET). While I naturally respect both offenses, I feel that an O/U line of six is generously high. Excluding a game that landed right on the number, note that the UNDER is 8-2 the last 10 times that the Caps played a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Note that last season's playoff games (between these teams) all had O/U lines of 5.5. The first game of that series finished with a final score of 3-2. Overall, dating back to that 4/27/17 game, seven of the last 11 meetings have finished with less than six combined goals, one game producing exactly six. Don't be surprised when this one also finishes with a lower combined score than many will be exoecting. |
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04-23-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Washington/Columbus to finish UNDER the total (8* O/U ANNIHILATOR). Off three straight losses, backs against the wall, I expect the Jackets to resort to trying to play their best defensive brand of hockey. The last time that they lost three in row was way back in mid-February. They responded to that setback with a 2-1 win, bringing the UNDER to 5-2 the last seven times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. Overall, the UNDER is 22-13 in games here, when the O/U line was set at 5.5. Going back further finds the UNDER at 59-41 the past 100 times the O/U line was 5.5 here. Leading for the first time in the series, note that the Caps have seen the UNDER go 5-2 the past seven times that they were leading in the playoffs. |
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04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston and Toronto to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). Three of the last four games have had O/U lines of 5.5. However, we're getting a six to work with on Monday. In a game where goals figure to be at a premium, I feel that high line is providing us with plenty of value. Both teams have seen three of their last six games finish with exactly six combined goals. Off a 4-3 loss, note that the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 17-7-2 the past 26 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Also, note that the UNDER is 9-3-1 the past 13 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect those stats to improve Monday, the final combined score finishing lower than most will be expecting. |
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04-22-18 | Penguins -147 v. Flyers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* NHL MAIN EVENT). Give the Flyers credit for a 4-2 win in Game 5. Down 3-1, it would have been easy for them to roll over. Don't expect a repeat performance, however. The Pens know the importance of avoiding a Game 7. They're 16-2 their last 18, off a loss by two or more goals. Going back futher finds them at 49-14 (+33.1) their last 63, off a loss by two mor goals. During that stretch, they're also 65-25 after allowing four or more goals. They dominated the earlier games here and I expect them to finish on top once again. |
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04-21-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -160 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). While the road team has won all four games in this series so far, I expect home ice to finally make a difference tonight. Even factoring in the results from this series, the Jackets are still 21-22 on the road, while the Caps are 27-15 at home. After dropping the first two games at home, things didn't look good. However, the Caps dug deep and won both. The momentum back in their corner and their swagger regained, I expect them to seize control of the series on Saturday. Off their 4-1 win, note that the Caps are a lucrative 68-42 (+11) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. They've been in this situation before, while the Jackets have not. Experience + home ice + superior talent all add up to make the difference. |
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04-18-18 | Ducks +1.5 v. Sharks | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line (6*, +1.5 goals) The Ducks laid an egg in Game 3 (8-1 loss) and are now facing elimination. The pressure now essentially off, due to everyone writing them off, I expect the Ducks to leave everything on the ice this evening. Note that they're 14-6 (+8.6) their last 20 vs. the money-line, when off three or more consec. losses. While I feel the Ducks have a solid shot at extending the series, the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy; last night's Kings/Knights series was a 3-0 situation and we saw how close (1-0 final) that one was. Prior to last game, 12 of the previous 14 meetings between these teams were decided by a single goal. Grab the +1.5 goals with the 'desperate' Ducks. |
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04-18-18 | Lightning v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB/NJ UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). The first three games have all finished above the total, causing this O/U number to climb. As I'm expecting this to be the lowest-scoring contest yet, I feel that the big number is generously high. Note that the last two times that the Lightning had allowed four or more goals, they responded with 3-2 and 4-0 victories. The Devils have seen the UNDER go 41-26, excluding pushes, over the years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or more. During that span, the UNDER is also a lucrative 72-44, when NJ was off three or more consecutive games which finished above the total. That includes a 7-3 UNDER mark their last 10 in that situation. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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04-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -130 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 36 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. Down 0-3, everyone is writing off the Kings. However, I'm not counting them out quite yet. Lets not forget that this LA team rallied from a 3-0 deficit to beat the Sharks in 2014. While repeating that history will obviously be tough, certainly, I expect them to be at their best on Tuesday. Indeed, the last thing they want to see is 'an expansion team' celebrating having ended their season by sweeping them in their own building. Expect them to dig deep and to extend the series. |
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04-17-18 | Capitals v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Washington/Columbus to finish UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). These teams have been involved in a pair of high-scoring games to start the playoffs. However, the Game 3 change of venue often brings about an entirely different style/tempo of game. I expect that to be the case this evening. Columbus home game games have been lower-scoring than Columbus road games all season. The UNDER is 58-41 here the past 2+ seasons, when the O/U line was 5.5. That includes a 21-13 UNDER mark in that situation this season. Expect things to tighten up and for goals to be at a premium. |
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04-15-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8*). The Knights were very tough to beat at home all season. That has continued to be the case so far in the playoffs, as the Knights took the first two games at Vegas. They're not nearly as formidable on the road, however. With the series shifting to LA and the Kings in desperation mode, I expect LA to finish on top. Expect the Kings to improve to 16-6 the last 22 times that they lost their previous three or more games. |
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04-15-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -150 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -150 | 50 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). Down 0-1 the Caps can obviously ill afford to lose another one. I expect them to respond with their best effort. This is a team which hasn't lost two in a row in more than a month. Game 1 notwithstanding, the Caps have been much better at home than the Jackets have been on the road. Expect them to dig deep and for them to even up the series. |
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04-15-18 | Jets v. Wild -101 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Wild sure aren't getting much respect here. Sure, the Jets have been extremely hot. However, lets keep in mind that the Wild are 27-14 at home while the Jets are still 20-21 on the road. Expect the home team to play with desperation and to ultimately finish on top. |
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04-14-18 | Sharks v. Ducks -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (10* PERS FAV). After dropping Game 1, the Ducks obviously cant afford to also lose Game 2. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Ducks are 27-14 (+13.3) when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. They're also 6-3 their last nine, when trailing in a playoff series. Game 1 notwithstanding, they've been much better at home than the Sharks have been on the road. Look for them to dig deep and even up the series. |
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04-12-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Columbus/Washington to finish UNDER the total (8* O/U SPECIAL). At the start of the NHL playoffs, as is the case this evening, we typically see O/U lines of 5.5 and six. Often, after a few low-scoring games, those O/U lines are replaced by fives. Prior to last night's 1-0 game, I mentioned that could be the case in the Kings/Knights series. We could also easily see that in this series. Over the years, the Caps have seen the UNDER go a lucrative 48-27-7 in the first round of the playoffs. With two very capable goalies, expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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04-12-18 | Devils v. Lightning -210 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA (6* BIG JUICE BEATDOWN). While this price may initially appear steep, it could easily be even higher. The Devils were a modest 21-20 on the road this season, getting outscored by an average of 3.2 to 3.0. On the other hand, the Lightning were a commanding 29-12 at home, outscoring teams by a 3.7 to 2.9 average margin. Expect the Lightning to make a statement; this could be their year. |
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04-12-18 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). We saw the importance of home ice last night, all three home teams finishing on top. The home/road records of these teams can't be ignored either. The Bruins are 28-13 at home, outscoring teams by a commanding 3.6 to 2.5 margin here. Toronto is 20-21 on the road. The Bruins are 7-3 their last 10 home games when the O/U line was set at six or greater. While they're off a 4-2 loss against Florida in their regular season finale, the Bruins are a lucrative 11-5, when off a loss of two or more goals. They're the superior defensive team and I expect them to draw first blood. |
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04-11-18 | Kings v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA/Vegas to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL). At the start of the NHL playoffs, as is the case this evening, we typically see O/U lines of 5.5 and six. Often, after a few low-scoring games, those O/U lines are replaced by fives. We could well see that in this series. The last three meetings between these teams ALL finished with less than 5.5 combined goals. With a pair of experienced and proven playoff goalies (Quick vs. Fleury) going head-to-head, I expect goals to again be at a premium. |
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04-11-18 | Wild +1.5 v. Jets | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing MINNESOTA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) Admittedly, home ice means a lot to both of these teams. That said, there's a lot of pressure on the home team in the opening game of the first series. In this case, the Jets are new to the playoffs and will aboslutely be feeling that pressure. While the Jets are an impressive 9-1 their last 10 games, a closer look reveals that SEVEN of those nine victories came by a single goal. The Wild are 5-1 vs. the money-line, their last six, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. Expect them to give the Jets all they can handle here, taking this game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the outright upset. |
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04-07-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -185 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8* VIOLATOR). Not only are the Oilers a superior team, they're going to want this one more. The Canucks recently beat the Oilers at Vancouver, giving Edmonton some 'recent revenge.' More importantly, this is the final game of the season and that Oilers want to reward their home fans with a victory. The Canucks already had their 'storybook ending' at Vancouver on Thursday. This time, its the Oilers' turn. Lay the wood and expect a victory by the home team. |
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04-07-18 | Islanders v. Red Wings -131 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -131 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* MISMATCH). Playing their final game of the season, in front of their home fans, I expect the Wings to want this one more than the Isles. This is still a proud franchise and the local fans treat their hockey seriously. The players are going to want to reward their loyalty with one final victory. The Isles have already rewarded their own fans by knocking off the Rangers last time out. The Wings are 3-1 the last four times that they hosted the Isles. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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04-06-18 | Blues -133 v. Blackhawks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* PERS FAV). The Blues have been self-destructing of late. Four straight losses, including one against these same Hawks on Wednesday, has them in desperation mode. They'll close out the season with a 'winner-take all showdown' against Colorado tomorrow night. (The Sharks did them a huge favor by beating the Avs last night; if Colorado had won that game, the Blues would be eliminated.) While some might expect them to get caught looking ahead and/or not care about this game, I dont expect that to be the case. Rather, I look for the Blues to go all out to stop the bleeding so that they can enter that pivotal game on a high. The Hawks have struggled all season long and they're quite banged-up at the moment, particularly between the pipes. Expect the Blues to bounce back. |
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04-05-18 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -133 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT (10* GAME OF WEEK). Even off a loss last time out, the Wings have still won three of their last four. The Habs, on the other hand, have dropped three in a row. They're now 2-8 their last 10. Playing at home and playing with 'triple revenge,' I expect the Wings to want this one more than their guests. The Wings still haven't forgotten that Montreal beat them 10-1 earlier this season. While the Wings have admittedly been poor at home this season, they're still much better here than the Habs are on the road. Expect a big effort, the home fans leaving happy. |
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04-03-18 | Coyotes v. Flames -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* PERS FAV). Both these teams are 'playing out the string.' Playing at home, I expect the Flames to be the hungrier team. Both teams have had the past couple of days off. That also figures to work to the Flames' advantage. Arizona is an awful 1-12 the past 13 times that it played with exactly two day's rest in between games. They're 9-20 (-9.2) in that situation the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Flames are 24-20 (+6.7) when playing with two day's rest. A victory over the Oilers last time out snapped a long skid for the Flames. Expect them to build off that with another victory today. |
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04-02-18 | Capitals v. Blues -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Blues are going to want this one more than their guests. Last night, the Caps defeated the Penguins and clinched the Metropolitan title. Off that victory, playing their third game in the past four days, we can expect them to have a letdown here. The Blues, on the other hand, are going to be hungry. The Blues had yesterday off, after losing 6-0 to Arizona the previous day. They're 42-29 (+11) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. Expect the Blues to be both more motivated and fresher and for them to bounce back with a big win. |
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04-01-18 | Devils v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing MONTREAL on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals.) Both teams played yesterday. The Habs lost at Pittsburgh. The Devils won (a 1-goal game) against the Islanders. Off that victory and with the Rangers on deck, it should be easy for them to look past the Canadiens. However, the Habs are going to be hungry to provide the home fans with an Easter Sunday victory. Note that Montreal had several days off, prior to yesterday's game. (So, the b2b situation isn't that bad.) On the other hand, the Devils will be playing their third game in the past four days. The Habs are 6-2 the last eight in the series, 3-1 the last four meetings in Montreal. With two of the last three meetings being decided by a single goal, I'm laying the extra wood to get the extra +1.5 goals. |
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03-31-18 | Panthers v. Bruins -160 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams will meet again, in less than a week, at Florida. Armed with this knowledge and looking to avenge an earlier 3-0 loss, the Bruins are going to be 'all business' this afternoon. With the Panthers at 16-23 on the road (outscored by avg of 3.1 to 2.7) and the Bruins at 26-12 at home, outscoring teams by a 3.6 to 2.6 average, this line could easily be higher. |
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03-30-18 | Blues +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing ST LOUIS on the puck-line (8*, +1.5 goals) While I really like the Blues' chances of winning this one "outright," I feel that this game has a high probability of being "close." Both this season's meetings have been decided by a single goal. The Knights won 3-2 here at Vegas, the Blues won 2-1 at St. Louis. The Blues are off six straight wins and five of those were by a single goal. The Knights are only 1-3 their last four and three of those were decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" by the visitors. |
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03-29-18 | Panthers v. Senators +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing OTTAWA on the puck-line. (8* SPECIAL+1.5 goals) I successfully played against the Panthers last night and I feel this is another good spot to do so. While the Sens had last night off, the Panthers will now be playing their third game in the past four days. Both teams saw their last game decided by a single goal. Also, three of the past five meetings between these teams were decided by a single goal. Motivated to snap their skid, expect the Sens to come through with AT LEAST a puck-line cover. |
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03-28-18 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -150 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* PERS FAV). These teams have met three times this season. In each case, the home team finished on top. The Panthers won 2-1 at Florida, back in November. The Leafs won 1-0, here at Toronto, on 2.20. A week later, back at Florida, the Panthers won by a 3-2 margin. With Wednesday's game being played at Toronto, I expect the Leafs to have the advantage. While the Panthers are 16-21 on the road, the Leafs are a dominating 26-11 here at Toronto. The Panthers get outscored by an average of 3.1 to 2.7 on the road; the Leafs outscore teams by an average score of 3.5 to 2.7 here at home. All things considered, the price could easily be higher. Leafs roll. |
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03-27-18 | Flyers v. Stars -129 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* PERS FAV). Enough is enough! The Stars are desperate for a win and I believe that they're going to get one. Since going winless on their extended road trip, the Stars have gone 0-2 at home. With their next game on the road, they know they need to take advantage of being at home this evening. Even with their recent losses, the Stars are still a solid 24-15 at home. They're also still a lucrative 15-8 the last 23 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. While the Stars allow just 2.5 goals per game at home, the Flyers allow a full three goals per game on the road. Stars bounce back big. |
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03-26-18 | Senators v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Carolina/Ottawa to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). These teams just met, at Ottawa, on Saturday. While that game finished with a 5-2 final score, it easily could have been lower-scoring. In fact, the score was still 2-1 nearly halfway through the third period. The final goal was an empty-netter. Prior to that game, recent meetings between these teams have been low-scoring. The three previous meetings had scores of 3-0, 2-1 and 2-1. Going back further finds the UNDER at 26-10, excluding pushes, the past 36 times that Ottawa played here. Even factoring in Saturday's result, the Sens have still seen the UNDER Go 17-8 their last 25 against sub-500 teams. Expect those stats to improve on Monday. |
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03-23-18 | Canadiens v. Sabres +101 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* SHOCKER). Neither Montreal or Buffalo has much to play for. However, given the fact that they are playing at home and also playing with 'triple-revenge,' I expect the Sabres to be the more motivated team. While the Canadiens have been somewhat more respectable at home, they're just 9-28 on the road. They've been outscored by a 16-6 margin in going 0-4 their last four games. Don't be 'shocked' when the revenge-minded Sabres finish on top. |
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03-23-18 | Devils v. Penguins -188 | 4-3 | Loss | -188 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (6* VIOLATOR). The Pens are going to be in an angry mood, as New Jersey is 2-0 against them. That spells trouble for the Devils as the Pens are 28-15 (+11) in the revenge role, the past few seasons. With the Devils, 1-8 after three or more road games, at the end of a 6-game road trip, expect nothing less than victory for the home team. |
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03-22-18 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -170 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* VIOLATOR). After the Oilers embarrassed them here on Tuesday, their fourth loss in five games, the Hurricanes should be in an angry mood. The fact that they lost at Arizona earlier in the season, which was their fourth straight loss at the time, should only add to their anger. They catch the Coyotes playing the second of back-to-back road games. While they won last time they were in that situation (home game vs. Vancouver) the Coyotes are still a dismal 2-9 when playing the second of b2b games. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 12-27 the past few seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Lay the wood with the angry, rested, home team. |
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03-20-18 | Oilers v. Hurricanes -148 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* PERS FAV). Both teams are well below 500. Each has had a disappointing season. Playing at home, I expect the Hurricanes to be a little hungrier. The Oilers fought hard at Tampa but came up short. That may well have a deflating effect on them here. On the other hand, the Canes are off a momentum-building victory. While the Oilers are 11-16 against sub-500 teams, the Canes are 15-11 against sub-500 teams. The Canes have had recent success against the Oilers. They beat them here last season and they won at Edmonton earlier. Expect them to come away with the victory. |
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03-19-18 | Panthers v. Canadiens +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -222 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing MONTREAL at +1.5 goals (6* VIOLATOR). Though they didn't play well at Toronto on Saturday night, the Habs have remained mostly competive against divisional opponents. They're 37-27 vs. the money-line in divisional games the past 2+ seasons. This season, the home team has won all three meetings between these teams. The Canadiens droppend both games at Florida but won 5-1 here at Montreal. While I like the Habs' chances of another victory, in this case, the extra +1.5 goals could very easily come in handy. Florida has been pretty good vs. the 'moneyline' lately while Montreal has been pretty bad. However, a look at the 'puck-line' tells a different story. If they'd been asked to win by -1.5 goals, the Panthers would be just 4-10 their past 14. Meanwhile, Montreal would be 9-5 their past 14, if getting +1.5 goals in each. I'm laying the extra juice for the valuable extra +1.5 goals. |
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03-18-18 | Devils v. Ducks -157 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (10* PERS FAV). The Ducks have a lot going for them here. They're better at home, than the Devils are on the road. They're looking to avenge an earlier loss at NJ. (Ducks are 69-49/+11 the past few seasons, when playing with revenge.) The Ducks had yesterday off, while the Devils are off an upset of the Kings. The Ducks are playing the fourth leg of a 4-game homestand. Thats noteworthy as this team likes its home cooking - the Ducks are 10-2, after playing their previous three on the road. On the other hand, the Devils are playing the fourth leg of a 6-game trip. Thats also noteworthy as NJ is just 1-6, after playing three straight on the road. It all adds up to a victory for the home team. |
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03-18-18 | Oilers v. Lightning -210 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB (6* BM BEATDOWN). Both teams played yesterday. The Oilers won while the Lightning lost. That should help tp make Tampa the hungrier team today. While the Oilers are 3-12 off a win by two or more goals, the Lightning are 9-4 off a loss by two or more. Going back further finds them at 39-24 (+9.4) in that situation the past few seasons. The fact that the Oilers beat them 6-2 at Edmonton last month, should also help. Note that TB is 17-7 when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. |
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03-17-18 | Rangers v. Blues -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (6* BLUE MARLIN). Off a loss last time out, the Blue are going to be hungry. They're still a dominant 24-9 their last 33 in March. The Blues really tend to get the job done against the league's weaker teams; they're 17-8 against sub-500 teams this season, 6-1 their last seven. On the other hand, the Rangers are 4-13 their last 17 against teams with a winning record. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. |
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03-17-18 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -225 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (6* BIG JUICE BLOWOUT). The Sens may have won (in OT) yesterday but don't expect it to happen again here. The Jackets, who beat the Sens here by a 5-2 score earlier, are rolling. They had Friday off, after winning their sixth straight on Thursday. While the Sens are 13-24 on the road, the Jackets are 23-13 at home. Expect them to have the fresher legs and look for them to keep rolling for another day. While the price may seem steep, in my opinion, it could easily be higher. Lay it. |
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03-17-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -150 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). The Bruins beat the Lightning at Boston earlier and they've been more than respectable on the road. They're 19-14 away from Boston. However, this isn't just isn't venue; the Lightning are a dominant 25-9 here. The Lightning have had a few days off, since a 7-4 loss snapped their 5-game winning streak. Note that they're 28-10 (+11.2) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. They're also 18-6, after allowing four or more. Want more? They're 16-6 their last 22, when playing with three or more day's rest and 17-6 their last 23, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Expect the revenge-minded Lightning to come ready to play, improving on those stats with another big win. |
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03-17-18 | Devils v. Kings -138 | 3-0 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Devils hammered the Kings when the teams met at NJ earlier. This afternoon, I expect the revenge-minded Kings to return the favor. LA knows that it embarks on a tough 4-game road trip after this. That makes taking care of business this afternoon that much more imperative. The Devils are off a big win at Vegas and they've had a couple days off since then. That could easily spell trouble, particularly playing an early game today. Even with the earlier loss at NJ, the Kings are still a healthy 21-10 against teams from the Eastern Conference. Payback time here. |
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03-17-18 | Oilers v. Panthers -152 | 4-2 | Loss | -152 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8* VIOLATOR). The Panthers are 22-13 at home. The Oilers are 14-20 on the road. The Panthers have much to play for. The Oilers are playing out the string. The Panthers have tomorrow off, before heading out on a road trip. The Oilers play tomorrow, at Tampa. The Panthers have really taken care of busines against the teams which they are supposed to beat. They're 9-1 their last 10 against sub-500 teams. All things considered, this line could easily be considerably higher. |
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03-16-18 | Stars -140 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Stars come in with "payback" on their minds. They were -230 favorites when they hosted the Sens less than two weeks ago. Yet, Ottawa upset them. With that result fresh in their heads and determined to snap a 3-game skid, we're going to get a determined effort from the Stars tonight. The Stars are a dominant 15-3 the past 18 times that they were off three or more consec. losses, a perfect 3-0 in that situation this season. They won those three games by scores of 6-3, 2-1 and 4-0, a combined 12-4 margin. With the Sens just 12-20 in their own building, expect the revenge-minded Stars to bounce back big. |
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03-15-18 | Maple Leafs v. Sabres +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -210 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) I successfully played against the Leafs, on the puck-line, in yesterday's game against Dallas. As is so often the case, getting the extra 1.5 goals proved to be extremely important, as the Leafs won 6-5, in Overtime. Off that hard-fought comeback win, the Leafs now take on a well-rested Sabre team. Note that Toronto is an ugly 16-30 (-10.2) vs. the money-line, the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Buffalo has been respectable over the years, when playing with three or more day's rest. (108-91/+8 compared to 721-782/-94.4!) With five wins in its last nine games, Buffalo has been decent of late. While I like the Sabres' chances of winning this one "outright," its worth noting that their last two games were both decided by a single goal. |
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03-14-18 | Stars +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing DALLAS on the puck-line. (6* SPECIAL, +1.5 goals) With the price on the Leafs rising on the money-line, the price on the Stars has come down on the puck-line. In a game that will likely be a close one, I feel thats providing us with very fair value. Note that while the Leafs are 5-5 their last 10 overall, only one of those wins came by more than a single goal. While that "big win" (5-2 over Pitt) did come in their last game, note that the Leafs are just 28-33 (-7.9) the past 2+ seasons, vs. the money-line, off a win by two or more goals. During the same stretch, the Stars are a lucrative 48-24, vs. the money-line, when off a loss by two or more goals. The Stars dont usually mind playing the second of b2b games and they're going to be hungry off last night's loss. Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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03-13-18 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on Colorado/Minnesota to finish UNDER the total (10* O/U BEST BET). The last two meetings, both at Colorado, were each high-scoring. The Avs won each in 'blowout fashion.' This season's lone game here at Minnesota, however, was lower-scoring. The Wild won that one by a score of 3-2. That game had an O/U line of 5.5. In fact, if we look at Colorado's last 20 visits here, we find that five of them had O/U lines of 5.5 and the other 15 had O/U lines of five. Tonight, though we have to lay a little extra juice to get it, we're getting to work with an O/U line of six. Given the situation, I feel that's providing us with excellent value. The Wild have only had a couple of home games with O/U lines of six in recent seasons. Both went Under. Going back further finds the UNDER at 12-6-6 the past 24 times that they played a home game with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. With the Wild allowing an average of only 2.2 goals per game here, expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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03-12-18 | Canucks v. Kings -215 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (6* BLUE MARLIN). The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. For starters, the Canucks are off a late game at Arizona last night, while the Kings had yesterday off. Also, the Kings have a score to settle, as the Canucks beat them 6-2 the last time that the team's faced each other. Additionally, the Kings are off an embarrassing 7-2 loss last time out. In other words, they're going to be in an angry mood. With the schedule and venue in their favor, lay the wood with the Kings and expect them to take out their anger on their road-weary guests. |
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03-12-18 | Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/NY to finish UNDER the total (8* BEST BET). The Canes haven't played since a 3-2 win on 3/8. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 15-4-1 the past 20 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. With NY's last three home games all producing five or fewer combined goals, I believe that an O/U line of six - something Carolina doesn't often see - is generously high. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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03-12-18 | Jets v. Capitals -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* PERS FAV). With all due respect to the Jets, getting the Caps at this price, at home, is a bargain. While the Jets are 17-18 on the road, the Caps are 22-11 at home. The Caps are healthier and they should be hungry, as the Jets defeated them, at Winnipeg, last month. Off a 2-0 win against the Sharks last time out, note that the Caps are a commanding 13-4 their last 17, when coming off a shutout victory. During that stretch, the Caps are also 59-31 (+17.4) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. |
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03-11-18 | Stars +1.5 v. Penguins | 1-3 | Loss | -220 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing DALLAS on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals) While I absolutely respect the Pens, in this case, I believe the value and significance of an extra +1.5 goals is massive. While the Pens are off a loss at Toronto last night, the Stars come in well rested. Note that the Pens are only 6-8 vs. the money-line when playing the second of b2b games, a money-burning 20-26 in that situation the past few seasons. Off a 2-1 win last time out, the Stars have played nine straight games which were decided by two goals or less. Four of their last five have been decided by a single goal. The last two meetings between these teams have also been decided by just one goal. Additionally, Pittsburgh's last three home games were all decided by a single goal. Don't be surprised to see more of the same on Sunday. |
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03-11-18 | Bruins v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chicago/Boston to finish UNDER the total (10* O/U BREAKFAST CLUB). Yesterday's game was high-scoring but I'm expecting goals to be harder to come by in this afternoon's rematch. Importantly, yesterday's game had an O/U line of 5.5, at most shops. Today, we're getting a six to work with. The Bruins have played lower-scoring games on the road than at home this season. The opposite is true of the Hawks, as their home games have been lower-scoring. Boston's last visit here had a final score of 3-2. The Bruins have seen the UNDER go 11-7 after allowing four or more goals. The Hawks have seen the UNDER go 14-8 after allowing four or more. I expect those stats to improve here. |
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03-10-18 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -167 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off three straight losses and with back-to-back fairly difficult road games (Minnesota, St. Louis) on deck, followed by a game against red hot Nashville, this is an opportunity which the Avs absolutely can't afford to squander. The Coyotes are 12-22 on the road; the Avs are 23-9 at home. Expect a highly motivated effort from the home team, en route to an important two points. |
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03-09-18 | Ducks v. Stars -144 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* FEAST). The Stars have dominated the Ducks here at Dallas over the years. They're 3-0 the past three meetings here and 42-19 the past 61. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to continue that domination this evening. While the Stars had yesterday off, the Ducks are off a 4-2 loss at Nashville. (They're 15-19 the past few seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Most recently, they gave up six goals in a loss against Edmonton.) Off back-to-back losses, most recently a 2-0 loss on 3/6, the Stars are going to be hungry. They're 47-23 (+24.5) the past 70 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, 13-7 their last 20 in that situation. Expect the Stars to have the fresher legs and to be the more determined team. Dallas wins. |
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03-08-18 | Canadiens v. Panthers -190 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (6* ROAST). The home team has won both meetings. I expect the home fans to again go home happy. Florida has done an excellent job at taking care of business against the league's weaker teams. Indeed, the Panthers are 6-0 their past six against teams with a losing record. They're also 10-4 on the season, when playing a home game with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-07-18 | Flames v. Sabres +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -222 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals). The Flames are surely going to be a popular pick, on both the money-line and the puck-line. That popularity has brought the price on Buffalo +1.5 goals down into a relatively reasonable range - relative to the extreme importance of that extra 1.5 goals. While they may be desperate for a win, the Flames haven't played well for weeks. Since 1/20, they're just 7-15. Three of those seven wins came on the road. However, two of them came by a single goal. In other words, "big wins" on the road have been few and far between. The Sabres have won three of their last four, the wins coming against the likes of Toronto, Tampa and Boston. Nobody has beaten them here at Buffalo, by more than a goal, for more than two weeks. This season's earlier meeting was a 2-1 win for the Sabres and last season's game here was a 4-2 win for the Sabres. Expect the Sabres to give their guests all they can handle, once again. |
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03-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets +102 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* BEST BET). Arguably, this game means more to the Jackets than it does to the Knights. The Knights snapped their 3-game slide last time out. They obviously want another victory but they're comfortably on top of the Pacific Division. The Jackets, on the other hand, figure to be fighting for their playoff lives the rest of the season. If the season ended today, the Jackets would have the #8 seed in the East and a first round matchup vs. the Lightning. However, the Panthers are only a point behind them and they have three games in hand. The Canes are only a point behind Florida. In other words, every point is hugely important to them right now. Added motivation, not that they should need any, stems from the fact that the Jackets lost 6-3 when they visited Vegas earlier. Expect an inspired effort, the revenge-minded Jackets coming away with an important two points. |
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03-05-18 | Coyotes v. Oilers -149 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). While I won with the Coyotes in their last game, I expect them to come back down to earth here. These teams will be facing each other for the fourth time this season. The Oilers took two of those three meetings, including the lone game here at Edmonton. Note that Oilers were -205 favorites for that 11/28 game. We're getting them at a far more palatable price here and I feel thats providing us with excellent value. The Oilers may only be a modest 35-31 the past couple of seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. However, during the same stretch, the Coyotes are a dismal 22-54 (-17) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. While the Coyotes are 4-15 against division opponents, the Oilers are 12-8. Off three straight losses, the Oilers are going to be hungry. They're 23-15 (+7.8) the past 2+ seasons, off three or more consecutive losses and I expect them to improve on those stats on Monday evening. |
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03-04-18 | Red Wings v. Wild -190 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (6* BLUE MARLIN). The Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 7-1 loss last time out, their second straight setback, the Wild are going to be in an angry mood. Note that while the Wings are below .500 on the road, the Wild are 22-11 at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 3.3 to 2.2 average margin. If this price seems expensive, consider that the Wild are actually -300 the last time that they last hosted the Wings. They won that Feb 2017 game by a score of 6-3. Expect another convincing victory here, the Wild bouncing back and improving to 8-2 the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. |
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03-03-18 | Senators v. Coyotes -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Don't look now but the Coyotes are actually playing pretty well right now. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to keep on rolling for at least another day. While the Coyotes had Friday off, the Sens are off a late game at Vegas. They entered that game off five straight losses. Off a win over Minnesota last time out, they've quietly started to play well. They're now 7-3 their past 10. One might imagine that the Sens would like to avenge an earlier 3-2 loss at Ottawa. However, revenge is hardly a motivator for them. The Sens are just 4-15 the past 19 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. All things considered, the line could easily be higher. |
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03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -120 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (10* GAME OF MONTH). These teams just faced each other Wednesday, at Montreal. The Habs won that one by a score of 3-1. Playing this evening's rematch in their own building, I expect the revenge-minded Islanders to return the favor. While they're now 13-20 on the road, the Isles are a far more respectable 16-15 at home. Likewise, while Montreal is 16-18 at home, the Habs are just 8-21 on the road. It should be noted that, as of this writing, the line has come down from its opener. Given the setup and venue, I feel the current price is providing us with excellent value. With the Isles at a lucrative 36-26 (+11.5) the last couple of seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals, "its payback time." |
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03-01-18 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -150 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* VIOLATOR). The Hawks simply aren't the team that they once were. Saturday's 3-2 loss at Columbus dropped them to 12-19 on the road. They've been off since. One might think that the break would do them some good. However, that typically isnt the case for this team. Even in better times. They're just 8-17 (-14.6) the past 25 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Sharks should be fully focused here, particularly as they just lost at Chicago less than a week ago. Tuesday's 5-2 win over Edmonton snapped a 3-game skid and provides some positive momentum. Expect the Sharks, who won 3-1 here against the Hawks in January, to build off Tuesday's victory, improving to 13-7 the past 20 times that they scored four or more goals in their previous game. |
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02-28-18 | Flames v. Avalanche -115 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* PERS FAV). I successfully played against the Flames, at Dallas, last night. Off that 2-0 loss, I'm coming right back against them tonight. Note that the Flames are just 12-20 (-5.7) the past 32 times that they played the second of back-to-back games. The last time (02/09 at MSG) that they did so, they lost 4-3 against the Rangers. Unlike their guests, the Avs had last night off. They come in with "payback" on their minds. Not only did the Flames beat them here back in November but the Flames also just beat them, at Calgary, a few days ago. With an O/U line of six, note that the Avs are a profitable 12-3 (+9.6) the past 15 times that they played a home game with an O/U line greater than 5.5. Given the setup and the fact that the Avs are 21-8 at home, outscoring teams by a dominating 3.5 to 2.3 average margin here, this price could easily be considerably higher. With the schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Avs to avenge the earlier losses tonight. |
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02-28-18 | Red Wings v. Blues -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* VIOLATOR). The Blues hit rock bottom last night, an ugly 8-3 loss at Minnesota. That marked their seventh straight defeat. Despite that skid, they're still favored tonight. That's for good reason, too. In this season's earlier meeting, the Blues hammered the Wings by a 6-1 score. That was at Detroit and the Blues are typically much stronger in their own buidling. While the Wings get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.8 on the road, the Blues outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.5 average score, here at St. Louis. While they've had some trouble against top tier opponents of late, the Blues typically take care of inferior opposition. They're still 4-1 their past five against sub-500 teams. Going back further finds them at outstanding 31-13 (+12.4) their past 44, when facing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. As for playing the second of back-to-back games, that doesn't usually bother the Blues. In fact, they've thrived in that situation. With an impressive 5-2 win at Winnipeg on 2/9, the last time that they played their second game in two days, the Blues are 25-10 (+16.2) the past 35 times that they played the second of b2b games. Expect them to bounce back with a highly motivated effort, en route to a much needed victory. |
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02-27-18 | Flames v. Stars -145 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* VIOLATOR). These teams met twice earlier in the season. The Stars won both of those games. Playing at home, I expect them to have the advantage once again. While the Stars have tomorrow off, the Flames play at Colorado. Even with a 5-3 loss last time out, the Stars are still a healthy 21-11 here at Dallas. They're also 13-7 the past 20 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Additionally, during that span, the Stars are 12-7 after a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds the Stars at an outstanding 46-23 (+23.8) after a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats here. |
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02-27-18 | Hurricanes +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing CAROLINA on the puck-line. (8*, +1.5 goals) With the Bruins listed as heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Canes at a very reasonable price. As I'm expecting Carolina to "come ready to play," I believe thats offering us excellent value. The Bruins embarrassed the Canes the last time these teams met. Carolina hasn't forgotten that 7-1 debacle on 1/6 and the memory should provide some added incentive here. Prior to that game, five straight meetings between these teams had been decided by a single goal. A look at Boston's last five games shows a 4-1 loss in the last game, a 6-1 loss to start that 5-game stretch and a trio of 1-goal games (2 W, 1 L) in the middle. In other words, NONE of the Bruins' last five games has resulted in a victory of more than a goal. While an "outright upset," won't surprise, I'm expecting AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the revenge-minded visitors. |
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02-26-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will meet again, at Vegas, tomorrow. While still solid on the road, the Knights have been much tougher to beat in their own building. Knowing that to be the case and knowing that the Knights are already 2-0 against them this season, the Kings should be "all business" this evening. Add in the fact that LA has dropped two in a row and we should be ensured of a highly motivated effort. In terms of line value, note that the Kings were laying -140 when they hosted the Knights earlier. Expect home ice to be the difference, the revenge-minded Kings bouncing back with an important victory. |
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02-26-18 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -169 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY (8* ANNIHILATOR). Playing without Matthews, the Leafs managed a win against Boston. However, his absence is significant and it figures to catch up with them here. The teams have split a pair of meetings at Toronto but this will be the first of the season at Tampa. While the Leafs are a respectable 17-15 away from Toronto, the Lightning are a dominant 20-7 here at Tampa. The Lightning have beaten the Leafs seven of the past 10 meetings here. Expect them to finish on top. |
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02-25-18 | Oilers v. Ducks -167 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -167 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (10* PERS FAV). Both teams played yesterday. The Ducks lost, seeing their winning streak snapped. The Oilers won for the second time in a row, a 4-3 upset at LA. While I do believe that the Oilers are better than their record indicates, its tough to trust them to win three in a row. Not at this venue. The Oilers have only won three straight once in 2018 and the third of those three games came at home, against a weak Vancouver team. Now, the Oilers are on the road against a tough Anaheim team, at a venue where they've lost three straight. The Oilers, 13-18 on the road, are an ugly 4-14 their last 18 after scoring four or more goals. The Ducks are 29-21 (+6.2) their past 50, after a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-24-18 | Sabres v. Capitals -190 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* ANNIHILATOR). These teams just faced each other on 2/19, the second meeting at Buffalo this season. The Sabres won the first of those while the Caps won last week's game. Since that time, Washington has proceeded to lose back-to-back games. Thats bad news for the Sabres here, as the Caps are going to be "all business." Still 20-11 at home, the Caps are already 2-0 this month, when coming off back-to-back losses. Even off Thursday's win at Detroit, the Sabres are 10-22 on the road. This is a mismatch and the price could easily be even higher. |
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02-24-18 | Jets v. Stars -150 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* PERS FAV). While the Stars had yesterday off, the Jets were busy beating St. Louis. Note that they're 21-42 (-13.9) their past 63, when playing the second of b2b games. Even with yesterday's victory, the Jets are still 13-17 on the road. Meanwhile, the Stars are 21-10 at home. While the Stars outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.4 margin here at Dallas, the Jets still get outscored (2.9 to 2.8) on the road. Having lost both this season's meetings with the Jets, the Stars are going to be hungry. Expect them to come ready to play, improving to 5-2 the past seven times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. |
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02-23-18 | Jets v. Blues -120 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off four straight losses, we're going to get a highly motivated effort from the Blues here. They've already taken two of three from the Jets this season, including a 2-0 win in the lone meeting here at St. Louis. Thats not surprising as the Jets aren't nearly as good on the road. (While they're 23-8 at home, they're just 12-17 when playing away from Winnipeg!) The Blues also already beat the Jets, at Winnipeg, in the most recent meeting. While some teams tend to "up their game" when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss, the Jets aren't one of them. Basically, if they can't beat a team at Winnipeg, they usually don't do so on the road, either. Indeed, they're 0-9 the last nine times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, 16-33 (-15) in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, the Blues are 33-19 (+9.5) when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to bounce back with a much needed win. |
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02-22-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). This will be the third meeting this month. While the visiting team took each of the first two meetings, I expect the fans to go home happy this evening. Even off a win at Vancouver, the Avs are still just 12-19 on the road. By comparison, they're 20-8 when playing at Colorado. The Avs are banged-up right now, particularly on defense. Look for the Oilers to take advantage. |
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02-21-18 | Senators v. Blackhawks -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8* PERS FAV). Admittedly, the Hawks have gone through a very tough stretch. However, a visit from the Senators should be just what the doctor ordered for them to "get healthy." Not only did the Hawks hammer the Sens by an 8-2 score in this season's earlier meeting (at Ottawa) but they've also beaten them seven of the past eight meetings here at Chicago. With Monday's loss at Nashville, the Sens are now a dismal 9-21 on the road. As bad as things have been, the Hawks still bring considerably more to the table than the Sens. Expect them to continue their dominance in the series. |
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02-20-18 | Kings +1.5 v. Jets | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing LA on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals.) With the Kings off a Monday win at Chicago, the Jets are fairly heavy favorites on the money-line. That being the case, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Kings at a relatively reasonable price. Given their recent history, when playing the second of back-to-back games, that extra +1.5 goals could very well come in handy. This will mark the fifth time, dating back to mid-December, that the Kings have played two games in two days. In ALL four of the previous instances, the second of those b2b games was decided by a single goal. Going back further finds that the Kings have been involved in 1-goal games eight of the last 10 times that they played the second of b2b games. This season's earlier meeting resulted in a 2-1 win for the Jets. While the Kings are just 2-3 SU the past five meetings, all three of the Jets' wins have come by a single goal. I'm expecting AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the revenge-minded Kings. |
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02-20-18 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Flyers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing MONTREAL on the puck-line. (6*, +1.5 goals.) Off five straight losses, the first of which came here at Philadelphia, the Canadiens figure to be a fairly hungry team. With six wins in their past seven, the Flyers could start to become a little complacent. A closer look at the Flyers' recent games shows that six of their last nine have been decided by a single goal. A 7-4 win last time out marked the first time in 16 games that the Flyers had won by more than two goals. Eight straight meetings between these teams have been decided by two goals or less, four of those decided by a single goal. I'm expecting AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the revenge-minded Canadiens. |
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02-19-18 | Ducks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line (6*, +1.5 goals.) When the Ducks visited here earlier, the final score was 4-3 in favor of Vegas. The Knights also won both meetings at Anaheim. Playing with "triple-revenge," we should get a highly motivated effort from Anaheim here. Note that the Ducks are a solid 65-48 (+7.8) vs. the moneyline the past few seasons, when in the 'revenge' role. Off back-to-back road wins, the Ducks come in with some momentum. They're 29-19 (+10.7) their past 48, after playing their previous three on the road. I expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" this evening. |
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02-19-18 | Senators v. Predators -205 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (6*). The Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off back-to-back home losses, most recently a 3-1 setback vs. Detroit, the Predators are going to be in an angry mood. The fact that the Preds lost at Ottawa a couple of weeks ago should only add fuel to the fire. Note that they're 31-20 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. While the Sens check in off a 6-3 victory, they're just 6-13 (-7) after scoring four or more goals. Even with the recent losses, the Preds are still 19-10 at home. Meanwhile, the Sens are still 9-20 on the road. Payback time. |
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02-19-18 | Capitals v. Sabres +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (6*, +1.5 goals) While they often don't win outright, the Sabres have been playing competitive hockey for weeks. A look at their last dozen games shows that NONE of them have resulted in a loss by more than two goals. They were 5-7 overall but all seven losses were "close." In fact, four of their past five losses have come by a single goal. That means that they'd be 7-1 their past eight games, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each. Catching the Caps off a 7-1 loss and with a 3-5 mark in February overall, expect the Sabres to earn AT LEAST another puck-line cover this afternoon. |
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02-18-18 | Panthers v. Jets -185 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (6* ANNIHILATOR). The Jets are tough to beat in this building. Friday's 6-1 victory brought them to 22-7 here on the season. While the Jets had yesterday off, the Panthers are off a victory at Calgary. Even with that victory, they're still 13-17 away from Florida. While the Panthers are winless on Sundays, the Jets are 6-1. The Jets have also gone 15-8 their last 23 against teams with a winning record. With the Jets attempting to avenge an earlier loss at Florida, expect Winnipeg's venue/scheduling advantage to prove the difference. |
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02-18-18 | Devils v. Hurricanes -161 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -161 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). This one sets up nicely for the home team. Off back-to-back losses, the first of which came at NJ against these same Devils, the Canes are going to be "hungry." They had yesterday off and come in fully recharged and ready to go. Off three straight victories, including an uspet of Tampa yesterday, the Devils may be a little complacent. Consider that they're just 6-11 (-6.1) the past 17 times that the were off three or more consecutive victories. With the Devils also at 0-3 the past three times that they played the second of back-to-back games, expect the revenge-minded Canes to come away with the two points. |
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02-17-18 | Bruins v. Canucks +1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing VANCOUVER on the puck-line (6*, +1.5 goals.) The Canucks desperately need a victory. I expect them to give it everything they've got to try and get one. That makes getting an extra +1.5 goals, at home, an attractive proposition. Note that Vancouver's last game here was a 1-goal loss. They're 2-1-1 their last four here, the lone loss by more than a goal (4-2) came against Tampa. Also, note that two of Boston's last four road games have resulted in 1-goal Bruin victories. Don't be surprised to see this one also "come down to the final whistle." |
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02-17-18 | Oilers -109 v. Coyotes | 0-1 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Coyotes come in as the hotter team. They've won three straight. The Oilers have lost four in a row. That doesn't mean that its time to jump on Arizona though. Indeed, the Coyotes are 1-11 the past 12 times that they'd won three straight. Meanwhile, the Oilers are 22-14 (+7.9) the past 2+ seasons, after having lost three or more in a row. While the Coyotes are 2-13 (-10.9) against divisional opponents, the Oilers are 10-6. That includes a 2-0 mark against the Coyotes. The Oilers were laying -145 for last month's 4-2 victory here. We're getting them at a far better price this afternoon and I feel thats providing us with very fair value. |
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02-17-18 | Kings -140 v. Sabres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Off three straight road losses, the Kings are going to be hungry. If this game was at LA, the Kings would be laying a much greater price. They were -200 back in October and -220 last season. However, because the game is at Buffalo, we're getting the Kings at a far more reasonable price. Thats normal. But, in thise case, home ice doesn't mean much. Indeed, when a team needs a road win, a visit to Buffalo is a pretty good place to start. The Sabres are 8-19 in their own building. They get outscored by an average score of 3.3 to 2.3 here. The Kings, on the other hand, are still 16-15 on the road, where they outscore teams by a 2.8 to 2.6 margin. The Kings are 14-6 (+6.7) the last 20 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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02-17-18 | Kings v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA/Buffalo to finish UNDER the total (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Kings, who are playing the 5th leg of a 7-game road trip, check in off a 3-1 loss. The Sabres check in off a 3-2 loss. Note that the UNDER is now 25-11-7 the past 2+ seasons, when LA had played its previous three or more games on the road. During the same stretch, the UNDER is also 12-4-4 when the Kings had lost three or more consecutive games. The UNDER has long been profitable when the Kings played road games when the O/U line was 5.5. Expect that to continue to be the case this afternoon. |
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02-16-18 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -131 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The Jackets were laying -170 when they hosted the Flyers just before Christmas. (They won that one by a 2-1 score.) We're getting them at a considerably lower price this evening and I feel thats providing us with very fair value. While the Flyers are a .500 team (14-14) on the road, the Jackets are a solid 17-11 at home. While they lost 6-3 last time out, the Jackets are an impressive 13-5 (+6.4) their last 18, when coming off a loss by two or more goals. The last time that they were off a loss by more than a goal, they responded with a 6-1 victory. Expect them to bounce back big again here. |
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02-15-18 | Oilers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-4 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals, 8*) With the Knights listed as heavy money-line favorites, we're able to get an extra 1.5 goals with the Oilers at a fairly reasonable price. I feel thats where the value lies in this matchup. The Oilers are going to be highly motivated, having dropped four straight. They can't afford to keep losing. Having already beaten the Knights twice, they're going to be confident in their ability to do so again. Note that the Oilers are a healthy 22-13 (+8.9) vs. the moneyline the past few seasons, after having lost their previous three or more games. The Knights did pull away for a 5-2 victory last time out. However, they've still only won two of their last seven, by more than a goal. Expect the Oilers to give them all they can handle again tonight. |