Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens -186 | 4-1 | Loss | -186 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 8* ANNIHILATOR. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. I expect home ice to again prove significant. Even off a win at Florida on Tuesday, the Canes are still a dismal 10-26 on the road. That includes a 2-14 mark when the O/U line was less than 5.5. The Canadiens, on the other hand, are 21-15 at home. Montreal outscores teams by a 2.9 to 2.1 margin here. Carolina gets outscored by a 3.2 to 2.5 mark on the road. The Habs are 4-0 as a host in this series the past couple of seasons. Expect them to continue that home ice series dominance here. |
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03-23-17 | Penguins v. Senators +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing OTTAWA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals, 5*) With the Pens favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Sens at a "relatively" reasonable price. While I like their chances of winning "outright," given that four of the Sens' last five games have been decided by a single goal, that extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. The home team has won both meetings so far. The Pens won at Pittsburgh but the Sens returned the favor with a win here at Ottawa. Some might be surprised to learn that the Sens' home record (19-19) is actually (slightly) better than the Pens' 18-19 road record. Look for the Sens to earn at least the "cover." |
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03-22-17 | Islanders v. Rangers -125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS 10* PERS FAV. The fact that the Rangers played yesterday is helping to keep this line lower than it otherwise would have been. However, given that the Rangers are 10-3 (+8.2) when playing the second of b2b games, I'm not too worried about the b2b spot. Going back further finds them at 29-15/+12.4 their last 44 in that situation. Note that the Rangers are also 24-14 when facing a team with a losing record. That's much better than the Isles' 13-20 mark, when playing a team with a winning record. The Rangers won this season's first meeting between these teams, here at MSG. However, the Isles have won both games since. Look for the Rangers to avenge those losses here, improving to 22-8 their last 30, when playing with "revenge." |
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03-21-17 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -139 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -139 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA 10* PERS FAV. While the Panthers may only be 16-19 at home, thats much better than Carolina's 9-26 mark on the road. Not surprisingly, the home team has won both meetings so far. The Canes won 3-2 at Raleigh. The Panthers returned the favor with a 3-2 win here at Florida. Both teams lost on Sunday, each allowing four goals. Thats noteworthy as the Canes are 30-44 (-17.5) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the same stretch, the Panthers are 39-29 (+11) after allowing four or more goals. Even with this season's split so far, the Panthers are still 7-1 the last eight meetings in this series, a perfect 4-0 here at home. Look for home ice to prove the difference, the Panthers bouncing back with a big win. |
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03-21-17 | Flames v. Capitals -172 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 6* ANNHILATOR. While the Flames are indeed hot right now, this is an extremely difficult venue. The Caps are 28-8 on home ice, outscoring opponents by an average score of 3.4 to 1.7 here. The Flames, on the other hand, get outscored by an average score of 2.7 to 2.4 on the road. The Caps, who are off a 5-3 win on Saturday, are 9-3 (+5.2) when playing with two day's rest and 22-9 (+9) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Look for Caps to extinguish the Flames' winning streak. |
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03-21-17 | Penguins -178 v. Sabres | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 7* BLOWOUT. While the Pens had yesterday off, the Sabres are off a hard-fought win over the Red Wings. The Pens tend to take care of business against teams like Buffalo. They're 29-13 (+7.2) against teams with a losing record this season, 15-7 their last 22. Look for the Pens, 22-13 their last 35 after scoring four or more goals, to have the fresher legs and be the team which picks up the two points. |
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03-20-17 | Coyotes v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Arizona/Nashville to finish UNDER the total (8*(. These teams have seen their last four meetings all produce five or fewer combined goals. This season's two meetings had scores of 4-1 and 3-2. The final two meetings last season had scores of 3-2 and 4-0. The Coyotes have seen three of their last four games overall finish with five or fewer goals. The Preds have seen three of their last five finish with five or less. The last time that the Preds allowed four goals in their previous game, they followed it up with a 2-1 victory. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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03-20-17 | Sabres v. Red Wings -140 | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. While the Wings admittedly haven't been very good at home this season, they've still been better here than Buffalo has been on the road. The Wings average 2.5 goals per game at home. The Sabres average 2.4 gpg on the road. The Wings allow 2.7 goals per game at home. The Sabres allow 3.1 gpg on the road. The Wings are off back-to-back victories, scoring five goals in each of those wins. Having lost the last two meetings with the Sabres, they should be highly motivated to make it three in a row. Catching the Sabres, who are a dismal 3-16 their last 19 after playing three or more in a row away from Buffalo, at the end of a road trip, look for the revenge-minded Wings to make in three in a row. |
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03-20-17 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing Boston/Toronto to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. While I'm aware that these teams played a very high-scoring (6-5) game against each other at Boston last month, I still feel that six is a generously high total. This season's previous two meetings, one of them here at Toronto, both had identical scores of 4-1. Going back further finds that six of the last nine meetings, including each of the last two at Toronto, have finished with five or fewer combined goals. After a poor defensive effort on Saturday, the Bruins will be looking for improvement in that area here. They've seen the UNDER go 9-6-1 when off a loss by two or more goals. Meanwhile, the Leafs are off back-to-back low-scoring affairs. I'm expecting "more of the same" this evening, the final combined score staying below the high number. |
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03-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Flyers UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina and Philadelphia to finish UNDER the total 8* SPECIAL. When these teams met here earlier in the season, the O/U line was five. Here, we're getting an extra half a goal to work with. For a game which I'm expecting to be low-scoring, I believe that extra half goal is providing us with excellent value. The Canes average just 2.4 goals per road game. The Flyers average only 2.2 goals per division game. The Flyers blanked the Penguins 4-0 in their last game here but followed it up with a 6-2 loss at NJ the next night. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 12-7-4, when the Flyers were off a loss by two or more goals. Considering that those four "pushes" were games that finished with exactly five goals, that makes it 16 of 23 instances that finished below the 5.5 mark. Look for the UNDER to improve to 12-7 when the Canes played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. |
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03-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA 10* GAME OF WEEK. While the Flyers have had the past couple of days off, the Canes are off a win last night against the Predators. The last time that they played the second of b2b games, the Canes lost 3-2 vs. the Islanders. This is worse than a typical b2b spot though; the Canes will also be playing their fifth game in the past seven days. They've played two more games in March than the Flyers have. The Flyers hit the road for four games after this one. That should add to their urgency here, as they'd really like to pick up a couple more points before they leave. While the Flyers are a modest 25-20 here, the Canes are a dismal 9-25 on the road. Look for the Flyers to have the fresher legs and for them to finish with the "W." |
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03-19-17 | Blue Jackets v. Devils +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -210 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing NJ on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals, 5*) With Columbus heavily favored on the money-line, we're able to get the Devils at a relatively reasonable price on the puck-line. That extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy, too. The Jackets won by a single goal yesterday, in OT. That marked their second straight game in which they won by a goal. They've won just one of their past five games by more than a goal. The last time that they played the second of b2b games, they lost at Buffalo. While the Jackets went to OT yesterday, the Devils had the day off. Look for them to have the fresher legs and for that to lead to AT LEAST a "cover." |
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03-18-17 | Canucks v. Oilers OVER 5 | 0-2 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vancouver and Edmonton to finish OVER the total 8* SPECIAL. This line probably should have been 5.5. Edmonton home games are averaging 5.6 goals on the season. Vancouver road games are averaging 5.4 goals on the season. Over their past five games, the Canucks have allowed an average of 3.8 goals per game. Their last two games produced nine goals and six goals. Recent Oiler games have been even higher-scoring. In fact, the Oilers have scored seven or more goals (themselves) in back-to-back games. Those games produced eight and 11 combined goals. Six straight Oiler games have finished with at least five goals. Excluding 'pushes,' the OVER is 14-7 when the Canucks played a road game when the O/U line was less than 5.5. Expect those stats to improve on Saturday night. |
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03-18-17 | Avalanche v. Red Wings -180 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The Avs just upset the Wings a few days ago, at Colorado. With this afternoon's game being played at Detroit, expect the revenge-minded Wings to have the advantage. Admittedly, the Wings have only been marginally better at home than on the road. However, the Avs are a dismal 9-25 when playing away from Colorado. Its been more than a month (last one came 2/17) since the Avs won a road game. Prior to that, their previous road win came before Christmas, way back on 12/23. Payback time. |
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03-16-17 | Predators v. Capitals -160 | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 8* PERS FAV. I won with both these teams in their last game. However, this one should favor the Capitals. The Preds won when these teams met a few weeks ago. That was at Nashville though, where they are a much better team. Now, they're on the road, where they're just 14-20. They'll take on a Capital team which is a terrific 28-7 at home and which outscores teams by an average of 3.5 to 1.7 here. The Caps have long been outstanding in the revenge role. They're 69-35 (+26.1) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. During that span, the Preds are a dismal 27-50 (-38.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Caps beat them 4-1 in last season's meeting here and I'm expecting a similar result here. |
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03-14-17 | Sabres v. Sharks -220 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ 5* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR. This line could easily be higher. The Sharks are 22-12 at home. They won their last game here by a score of 5-1. The Sabres, on the other hand, lost their last road game by a 4-3 margin. That dropped them to 11-23 away from Buffalo on the season. The fact that the Sharks lost at Buffalo last month will prevent them from taking the Sabres for granted. This is a case of a far superior team with more to play for. Playing on their home ice, the Sharks are healthier and they should be also be hungrier. While the Sabres have had surprising success in this series over the years, that stops tonight. |
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03-14-17 | Wild v. Capitals -149 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* PERS FAV. Off four straight losses, the last three of which came on the road, the Caps are going to be in a foul mood. While the Wild have been solid on the road, the Caps are an outstanding 27-7 here at home. They're also a profitable 19-7 (+7.6) after playing three or more consecutive games on the road, a perfect 6-0 their last six in that situation. The Caps are laying -215 when they hosted the Wild last year, a 3-2 win. With that victory, they're 7-2 their last nine as a host in this series. They're every bit as good this year as they were last; I feel this price could easily also be higher. Look for the Caps to bounce back with a big effort and an important two points. |
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03-13-17 | Jets v. Predators -155 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The home team is 2-0 in the season series. Each victory was convincing. The Jets won 3-0 at Winnipeg. The Preds won 5-1 here at Nashville. With that victory, the Preds are 8-3 the last 11 times that they hosted the Jets/Thrashers. Overall, the Jets are 14-20 on the road and the Preds at 19-15 at home. The Jets get outscored by a 3.2 to 2.7 average margin on the road; the Preds outscore teams by an average of 3.2 to 2.6 here at home. While the Preds got back on track with a solid 3-1 win at SJ last time out, the Jets are 0-3 their last three, getting outscored by a 13-6 margin. Look for home ice to again prove the difference. |
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03-12-17 | Canadiens v. Oilers OVER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Edmonton/Montreal to finish OVER the total. Games here at Edmonton are averaging 5.4 goals. Montreal road games are averaging 5.4 goals. The OVER is 6-1-1 the last eight times that the Habs played their previous three or more on the road, 18-10-4 to the OVER in that situation the past 2+ seasons. The Habs' last visit here produced seven goals. Don't be surprised if this one also proves higher-scoring than expected. |
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03-12-17 | Rangers v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit/NY to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. These teams have met twice this season. The Wings won 2-1 at MSG. The Rangers returned the favor with a 1-0 win here at Detroit. In fact, each of the last seven meetings between these teams has produced five or fewer combined goals. While the Wings are off a 4-2 win at Chicago on Friday, the UNDER is 6-2-2 when they were off a win by two or more goals and 9-3-3 when they were off a game in which they scored four or more. Including the 1-0 game in the Rangers earlier visit, the UNDER is 32-18 the last 50 times that the Wings played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Games here are averaging only 5.2 goals per game on the season. With four of the Rangers' last six games producing five or fewer combined goals, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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03-12-17 | Wild v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
(BREAKFAST CLUB) I’m playing on Chicago and Minnesota to finish UNDER the total. Both this season's meetings at Minnesota were high-scoring. However, the game here at Chicago finished with a final score of 3-2. That one had an O/U line of five. This afternoon, however, we're getting an extra half goal to work with. While that may not sound like much, its a significant difference, given the high perecentage of games which finish with exactly five goals. The UNDER is 19-13 in Wild road games the past 2+ seasons, when the O/U line was 5.5. During that span, the UNDER was also a lucrative 38-20 when the Hawks played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. With the UNDER also at 6-3-4 this season when the Hawks had given up four or more goals in their previous game, 10 of those 13 games producing five or fewer combined goals, I'm going with the UNDER 5.5. |
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03-12-17 | Wild v. Blackhawks -130 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO 8* PERS FAV. The Hawks are off a 4-2 loss, their second straight. The Wild are off a 7-4 win. When playing at home and coming off back-to-back losses, the well-coached Hawks are typically very tough to beat. While the Wild are 30-31 the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals, the Hawks are 36-23 when doing so. The Wild are 17-15 during that span, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Hawks, meanwhile, are 39-19 when playing at home with an O/U line of 5.5. While the Wild give up 2.7 g.p.g. on the road, the Hawks permit just 2.3 g.p.g here at home. All things considered, the price could easily be higher. While home ice admittedly hasn't meant much in this series of late, I look for it to make the difference this afternoon. |
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03-11-17 | Islanders v. Blues -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. We're getting the Blues at a much cheaper price than we normally would due to the fact that they're playing the second of back-to-back games. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Yes, the Blues played yesterday. However, they did so here at home. So, there was no travel. Also, they had the previous two days off. So, they aren't playing in a 3-in-4 situation. Additionally, this will be just their fifth game in March and only their seventh game sinc 2/21. So, even though we're getting a greatly reduced price, due to the b2b spot, its not really that taxing a situation. I'd argue that the Isles are in a much worse scheduling spot. Sure, they had yesterday off. Howver, they played way out in Vancouver the previous night, a 4-3 OT win. This will mark the final leg of a never-ending 9-game road trip that took them all over the continent. It should be easy for them to get caught looking ahead to the return trip home. While the Blues are above .500 at home, the Isles are just 12-20 on the road. The Blues have taken four of the last five meetings against the Isles, here at St. Louis. They were laying a minimum of -137 for each of those games, a couple of the lines exceeding the -200 mark. Look for them to take advantage of their road weary guests in this one. *GOW |
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03-11-17 | Flyers v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Philly and Boston to finish UNDER the total. This season's previous meetings both had an O/U line of five. This afternoon, we're getting an extra half goal to work with. While that may not sound like much, its a significant difference, given the high perecentage of games which finish with exactly five goals. Speaking of games which finish with five goals, three of the past four meetings have finished with identical 3-2 final scores. Both teams are allowing an average of only 2.0 goals their past five games. While they're off a big 6-1 win, the Bruins have seen the UNDER go 12-4-2 after having won by two or more goals. With the UNDER also at 15-8-3 the last 27 times that the Flyers faced a winning team, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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03-10-17 | Penguins v. Oilers OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Pittsburgh and Edmonton to finish OVER the total 8* O/U ANNIHILATOR. The Pens have seen their last three games finish above the total. Those games, all of them Pittsburgh victories, had scores of 7-4, 4-3 and 5-2, all of them extremely high-scoring. When the Pens get rolling, they tend to play high-scoring games. The OVER is 19-5 when they're off a win by two or more goals, 9-4 when they're on a winning streak of three or more games. While they've alternated between low-scoring and high-scoring efforts the past few weeks, the Oilers can also put the puck in the net. Since scoring 14 goals in a 3-game span from 2.14-2.18, they've gone from scoring 1 or 2 goals in one game to 4 in their next, to 1, to 4. That pattern has continued for seven games now. After scoring just one last time out, I expect the pattern to continue for another day and the Oilers to bounce back with a better offensive effort. Last season's lone meeting produced seven goals. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair. |
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03-10-17 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -241 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams are playing very differently right now. The Jackets, 24-10 at home, haven't allowed a single goal over their past two games. Three of their last four games have resulted in shutout wins. On the other hand, the Sabres, 11-22 on the road, have given up 10 goals in their past two games alone. They've given up at least two goals in nine straight games. Knowing they play these same Sabres at Buffalo tomorrow, look for the Jackets to "hold serve" at home here. |
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03-09-17 | Islanders v. Canucks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER at +1.5 goals 5* PUCK LINE PREDATOR. With the Isles favored on the ML, we're able to get the Canucks at a "relatively" reasonable price on the puck-line, at +1.5 goals. The Isles may have won at Edmonton last time out but they're still 11-20 vs. the money-line on the road. They still get outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.6 on the road. Asking them to win by more than a goal, is asking an awful lot, particularly when the Canucks have a winning record (18-15) at home. While I do like the Canucks to win the game "outright," in this case, with the Canucks off three consecutive 1-goal games, I'm just a little more comfortable with that extra +1.5 goals. |
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03-09-17 | Islanders v. Canucks OVER 5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vancouver/NYI to finish OVER the total 8* O/U BEST BET. While Canuck games are only averaging 5.1 goals this season, the Isles have seen their road games average a much higher 5.8 goals per game. This season's earlier meeting produced six combined goals. The Isles, who aren't exactly "stingy," have seen the OVER go 8-4-1 their last 13 against sub-500 teams. While a 'push' is also certainly a possibility, I think those stats have an excellent shot at improving tonight. |
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03-09-17 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO 8* PERS FAV. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. The Leafs won 6-3 here at Toronto. The Flyers won 2-1 at Philadelphia. Not surprising, given that both teams are much better in their own building. Going back further reveals that the Leafs have taken won four of the last six in the series. While the Flyers have more wins, the Leafs are arguably statistically superior. Both teams allow 3.0 goals per game. However, while the Flyers average 2.6 themselves, the Leafs average 3.0. With the Leafs having gotten back on track last game, I expect the home team to have the advantage again this evening. |
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03-08-17 | Red Wings v. Bruins -250 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins are 15-8 against divisional opponents. With last night's loss, the Wings are just 6-15. The Bruins allow just 2.3 goals per game vs divisional opponents while the Wings allow more than three. While they were pretty good for a long time, the Red Wings have currently fallen on hard times. Lay the wood with the rested and superior home team. |
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03-08-17 | Red Wings v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit and Boston to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. After this season's first meeting finished with a 1-0 score, the last two meetings between these teams were both high-scoring. I don't expect to see too many goals here though. The Bruins allow only 2.4 goals per game at home and just 25.3 shots per game here. They've held divisional opponents to 2.3 goals per game. Thats exactly (2.3) how many goals that the Wings are averaging in divisional games. The Bruins allowed four goals last time out. It was just the second time over (nearly) the past month that they allowed more than three goals. After the previous instance, when they allowed five goals to the Ducks on 2/22, they responded by limiting the Kings to a single goal in their next game. They've allowed two or fewer goals in six of their last nine. I expect them to bounce back with a strong defensive effort, leading to the final combined score staying below the number. |
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03-07-17 | Canadiens -161 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 8* VIOLATOR. While the Canucks have won a couple in a row, they haven't won three straight since the first week of January. Here, they'll face a red hot Montreal team which has won five straight and which has allowed just two goals in its past three games combined. While the Canucks, 9-19 against teams from the East, are 8-16 against teams with a winning record, the Habs are 19-12 against losing teams. Look for them to stay hot and take care of business against an inferior opponent. |
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03-07-17 | Flyers v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Philadelphia and Buffalo to finish UNDER the total. While we have to lay considerable juice to play at 5.5, thats because this line should have been five in the first place. When these teams met here in January, the O/U line was 5.5. The game finished with exactly five goals. Including that result, the UNDER is 39-25 the past few seasons when the Flyers have played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5 and 30-18 when the Sabres have played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5, a combined 69-43 record. While the Sabres average 2.5 goals at home, the Flyers average only 2.3 gpg on the road. The Flyers' last three games all produced four or fewer combined goals and five of their last six finished with five or less. Buffalo's last game here resulted in a 2-1 score. Expect another low-scoring affair. |
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03-07-17 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs -175 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO 8* BM BEATDOWN. It might seem strange to see the Leafs favored by this much over the Wings. Detroit has been the better team for decades and the Leafs are currently struggling. I believe that the Leafs are heavy favorites for good reason though. They're well-rested and playing at home, where they still outscore teams by a modest 3.0 to 2.9 margin. The Wings, who haven't played a home game since 2/21, get outscored by a 3.2 to 2.6 margin on the road. The Leafs have played well against the Wings. Desperate to stop the bleeding, expect them to bounce back and improve to 12-8 their last 20, after allowing four or more goals. |
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03-07-17 | Rangers v. Panthers -118 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA 10* PERS FAV. Off back-to-back losses, the Panthers should be highly motivated to get back on track. I like their chances of doing so. I respect the Rangers and I'm aware that they've been good on the road this season and also when playing the second of b2b games. That said, they've only scored five combined goals over their past four games. Last night, they couldn't find the back of the net until OT. The Panthers blanked the Rangers (3-0) the last time that the teams played here. While that was with Luongo in net, they also beat them (3-2) at MSG this season, in a game where Reimer, tonight's projected starting goalie, was between the pipes. Look for the well-rested Panthers to bounce back, improving to 10-5 the last 15 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. |
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03-06-17 | Rangers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB and NYR to finish UNDER the total. The Lightning got back on track defensively last time out, recording a 2-1 victory. They'll face a Rangers team which has scored two or fewer goals in eight of its last nine and which has seen three straight games produce five or fewer combined goals. While they've been decent offensively most of the season, the Rangers have managed a mere six goals their past four games combined. New York's recent visits here to Tampa have had O/U lines of five. Given the Rangers' current offensive woes, I believe that the extra half goal is providing us with excellent value. The UNDER is 37-27 here the past few seasons, when the O/U line has been listed at 5.5. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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03-06-17 | Stars v. Capitals -240 | 4-2 | Loss | -240 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5*. While this line is admittedly a little steep, it could easily be higher. The Caps are 27-6 at home, the Stars are 8-22 on the road. Dallas gets outscored by an average of 3.6 to 2.4 on the road. Washington outscores teams by a commanding 3.5 to 1.6 margin here at home. While the Stars are 7-19 against winning teams, the Caps are 24-8 against losing teams. Starts are 9-16 against the East, Caps are 14-3 against the West. I'm laying the wood. |
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03-06-17 | Bruins v. Senators OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Boston/Ottawa to finish OVER the total 8*. Both teams scored three goals in their last game. For the Bruins, they've now scored three or more goals in five of their last six games. Over that stretch, they averaged a healthy 3.5 goals. For the season, their divisional games are average 5.3 goals. As for the Sens, their divisional games are averagiing 5.8 goals. With the OVER at 55-32, excluding pushes, the past few seasons, when the Bruins faced a team with a winning record, don't be surprised if this one proves a little higher-scoring that many will be expecting. |
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03-05-17 | Hurricanes v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing Carolina/Arizona to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. These teams just met, at Carolina, a couple of days ago. The Coyotes scored a 4-2 upset in that one but I'm expecting a lower-scoring rematch. While the Canes have seen the UNDER go 10-6 when playing a road game with a total of 5.5, the Coyotes have seen the UNDER go 14-4 here in the desert, when the O/U line was 5.5. Overall, the Canes average only 2.5 goals (2.3 on the road) per game while the Coyotes average even less, at 2.4 per game. Both teams rank in the bottom 10 in the league for goals per game, the Coyotes in the bottom 5. The Coyotes, at least, typically play much better defense at home, than they do on the road. Look for goals to be scarce. |
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03-04-17 | Red Wings v. Oilers OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit and Edmonton to finish OVER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. While we have to lay a little extra juice to play at five, this O/U line should have proably been set at 5.5. Detroit road games are averaging a whopping 5.8 goals. (Edmonton home games are averaging 5.3.) The Over is a modest 14-11 the last 25 times that the Oilers played a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. However, the OVER is a profitable 9-4 this season when the Wings played a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Wings, which played last night, will be playing the second of b2b games for the third time in the past few weeks. The previous two instances resulted in scores of 5-2 and 6-3, both those games also coming on the road. The Oilers are well rested. The last time that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, they allowed five goals, a 5-1 loss here vs. Chicago. Don't be surprised when this one proves higher-scoring than expected. |
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03-04-17 | Stars v. Panthers -146 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA 10* GAME OF WEEK. Given the home/away records of these teams, I feel that the Panthers are providing very fair value at this price. Florida hasn't been great at home but can still get back to .500 here (against the ml) with a win tonight. On the other hand, the Stars are a dismal 7-22 away from Dallas this season. They give up a whopping 3.7 goals per game on the road, scoring only 2.4 themselves. The Stars, who are off a 5-4 loss, are 4-13 (-10.5) after scoring four or more goals. On the other hand, the Panthers, who are off a 2-1 loss, are 9-4 (+3.8) after scoring one goal or less. I feel that the price could be higher and I'm going with the home team. *GOW |
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03-03-17 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -220 | 4-2 | Loss | -220 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA 5*. These teams will meet again on Sunday, at Arizona. With the schedule in their favor, I expect the Canes to 'hold serve' at home tonight. Both teams are much better at home. Carolina is 7-24 on the road but 18-11 at home. The Coyotes are 14-17 at home but 8-24 on the road. While Carolina had last night off, the Coyotes were busy losing a hard-fought game at Buffalo Given that they're 12-26 the past few seasons (2-8 L10) when playing the second of b2b games, I'm laying the wood with the rested home team. |
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03-03-17 | Lightning v. Penguins -173 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 8* PERS FAV. While I successfully played on them in their last game, a 4-3 comeback win over Carolina, I believe that the Lightning are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Pens are off back-to-back losses, most recently a 4-1 setback at Chicago on Wednesday. The last time that they were off b2b losses, they responded with a 3-1 win. The previous time they were off b2b losses, they snapped the skid with a 4-2 win. The last time that the Pens gave up more than three goals, prior to Wednesday, was against Detroit on 2/19. They answered with a victory, at Carolina. Including that result, they're an impressive and profitable 15-3 (+10.8) the last 18 times that they had allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Tampa, on the other hand, is 8-15 (-10.5) during the same stretch, after scoring four or more goals. With the Lightning at 12-20 on the road, the Pens at 24-7 at home and given the Pens have won four straight in the series, I'm expecting a victory for the home team and am "laying the wood." |
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03-02-17 | Coyotes v. Sabres -163 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO 10* GAME OF MONTH. These teams just faced each other, at Arizona, on Sunday. The Sabres, who aren't very good on the road at the best of times, were playing the second of back-to-back road games. The Coyotes took advantage, winning by a 3-2 margin. With the venue for this evening's rematch shifting to Buffalo, I expect the Sabres to return the favor. Both teams are "respectable" at home and both are "terrible" on the road. The Sabres are 11-21 on the road but can climb back to .500 at home with a win tonight. The Coyotes are 14-17 at home but just 8-23 on the road. While the Sabres allow 2.6 goals per game at home, the Coyotes allow 3.6 gpg on the road. While the Coyotes are 6-17 (-6.8) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5, the Sabres are 10-5 (+5.9) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Sabres limited the Coyotes to just 20 shots in last year's game here, winning by a 5-2 score. This one may not be quite that "easy" but I expect the end result to be the same. |
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03-01-17 | Hurricanes v. Lightning -165 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. The Canes won 1-0 at Raleigh on Dec 4. Three weeks later, on New Year's Eve, the Lightning returned the favor with a 3-1 win. Playing at home, with the schedule in their favor, I expect the Lightning to again have the advantage. While TB had last nght off, the Canes were busy battling the Panthers. This will mark their third game in four days. Bolts take advantage. |
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02-28-17 | Oilers v. Blues -128 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 10* PERS FAV. The Blues have lost three straight games. Its just the third time this season that they've lost three in a row. After each of the previous two instances, they responded with a victory. They won those two games convincingly, too. (They won by a combined score of 7-1.) While the Oilers are certainly improved from recent seasons, they're still just 14-26 the last 40 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. Playing with 'revenge' from a pair of earlier losses, look for the Blues to bounce back with a big win. |
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02-28-17 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA 10* ANNIHILATOR. After an outstanding 5-0 road trip, the Panthers have returned home to a 3-game losing streak. I believe they're going to be extremely hungry to get back on track tonight and I expect them to do exactly that. While the Panthers may be "nothing special" at home, the Hurricanes are downright horrible (9-22) on the road. Both teams managed only one goal last time out, the Panthers lost 2-1 while the Canes lost 3-1. Carolina is only 7-11 after scoring one goal or less though while Florida is 8-4 after doing so. Looking to avenge a loss from earlier in the season and playing on home ice, look for the Panthers to be the team which bounces back. |
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02-28-17 | Avalanche v. Flyers -201 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA *5 BM BEATDOWN. The Flyers badly need a win and the Avs figure to be the perfect opponent. While the Flyers are only a modest 17-14 at home, the Avs are a dismal 9-21 on the road. The Flyers average 2.8 goals in this building. The Avs average just 1.8 goals per road game. While the Avs managed a 5-3 win against Buffalo last time out, they're just 1-5 off a win by two or more goals. Flyers bounce back. |
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02-27-17 | Senators v. Lightning -155 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB 10* PERS FAV. The road team has won both meetings this season. However, this one sets up nicely for the home team. While the Lightning are well-rested, the Sens are off a hard-fought victory at Florida yesterday afternoon. This will mark their third road game in the past four days. Its also the final leg of a 4-game trip. The last time that Ottawa played two games in two days was a week ago, vs. Winnipeg. After winning at Toronto the previous day, the Sens fell 6-3 to the Jets. Including that result, they're 15-20 the past few seasons, when playing the second of back-to-back games. During that span, the Lightning are a lucrative 18-8 (+7.2) when playing with three or more day's rest. I expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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02-26-17 | Flames v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary and Carolina to finish UNDER the total 10* ANNIHILATOR. While we have to lay some extra juice to play at 5.5, I feel that it will be worthwhile to do so. The Flames have seen the UNDER go 52-28 the past 80 times that the played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same stretch, the UNDER is a profitable 28-9 when the Hurricanes played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. This season, Calgary road games average 5.1 combined goals while Carolina home games average 5.3 combined goals. The Canes are playing the final leg of a 5-game home-stand. The first four games have ALL produced four or fewer combined goals. Those games had scores of 2-1, 4-0, 3-1 and 3-0. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair. |
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02-25-17 | Sharks v. Canucks +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -175 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing VANCOUVER on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) 8* PREDATOR. With the Sharks healthy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get what should be a desperate Vancouver team at a relatively reasonable price, relative to the value of an extra +1.5 goals, on the puck-line. Both teams have been off for some time. In fact, neither has played since 2.19. That may benefit Vancouver, given that SJ is only 6-11 vs. the money-line its past 17, when playing with three or more day's rest. This season, they've played just one road game, after having three or more day's rest. That one (at Anaheim on 12/27) resulted in a 1-goal victory. So, they would be 0-1, if asked to lay -1.5 goals in road games, when playing with three or more days rest. While the Sharks have seen three of their last five overall decided by a single goal, the Canucks are off three straight 1-goal games. I'm grabbing the extra +1.5 goals. |
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02-25-17 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets -144 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS 10* GAME OF WEEK. The Isles have won three in a row. History, recent or long-term, suggests that they won't make it four in a row. The Isles have had four previous 3-game winning streaks this season. In each instance, they lost the next game. Note that they gave up 18 combined goals in those four games, too. Going back further finds them at 11-21 (-16.4) the past few seasons, off three or more consecutive wins. Going back still further finds them at a money-burning 40-76 (-45.3) in that situation. The well-rested Jackets will be motivated by the fact that they're off a loss last time out and by the fact that the Isles beat them earlier. They're 6-0 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games and 17-9 when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. With the Isles still 9-17 on the road and the Jackets still 21-10 at home, this line could easily be higher. Payback time. |
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02-24-17 | Coyotes v. Stars UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Arizona and Dallas to finish UNDER the total. This O/U line has gone all the way up to six and I believe thats providing us with excellent value. Arizona, which averages 2.3 goals per road game, has seen the UNDER go 6-3 when playing the second of b2b games. The UNDER is also 14-8-3 the last 25 times that the Coyotes played a team with a losing record. Three straight meetings between these teams have produced five or fewer combined goals. I expect more of the same here. |
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02-24-17 | Flames v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Florida to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. Just a little more than a month ago, these teams met at Calary. The O/U line was five instead of 5.5. That extra half goal may well come in handy. The Flames have seen the UNDER go 14-7 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. They've also seen the UNDER go 7-2-1 when playing the second of b2b games. With Calgary averaging only 2.3 gpg on the road and Florida averaging 2.5 gpg at home, expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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02-24-17 | Oilers v. Capitals -200 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5*. The Oilers beat the Caps at Edmonton earlier in the season. Don't expect them to win here though. Not when the Caps are 24-6 at home. Not when the Caps outscore teams by an average of 3.7 to 1.7. When we consider that the Caps are 18-7 (+8.4) the last 25 times that they played with 'revenge' and 67-34 (+25.2) in the revenge role the past few seasons, this line could easily be higher. |
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02-23-17 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chicago/Arizona to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. When these teams met (at Phoenix) a few weeks ago, the O/U line was five. Tonight, we're getting an extra half goal to work with and I feel that's providing us with excellent value. The Coyotes only average 26 shots per road game, averaging just 2.3 goals. The Hawks won 4-0 in this season's earlier meeting here. Including that result, the UNDER is 44-33 the last 77 times that the Coyotes played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5 and 35-18 the last 53 times that the Hawks played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. I'm expecting the Coyotes to again struggle to score, resulting in a similar combined final score. |
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02-23-17 | Islanders v. Canadiens -147 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -147 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 10* PERS FAV. The Isles scored the 'upset' when they hosted the Habs last month. Don't expect it to happen again. Despite playing at home, where they are a much stronger team, the Canadiens aren't all that much more expensive than they were for the 1/26 game. (They were -135 for that one.) While the Canadiens are 18-12 at home, the Isles are just 8-17 on the road. The Habs outscore teams by an average score of 3.2 to 2.2 in this building, which is pretty dominating. The Isles, on the other hand, get outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.6 on the road. The Canadiens have dominated the Isles here over the years. They're 24-12 the last 36 as a host in the series, 3-0 the past few seasons. Payback time. |
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02-23-17 | Flames v. Lightning -141 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB 10* ANNIHILATOR. The Lightning won at Calgary in December and they also won 3-1 when these teams met here last season. They were laying -175 for that game. Given this season's home/road stats, they could easily be laying a higher price again here. TB outscores teams by a 3.1 to 2.9 average here at home. Calgary, on the other hand, gets outscored by a 2.8 to 2.3 margin on the road. While the Flames have allowed 22 goals their last seven games, the Lightning have allowed 12. Look for the Lightning to continue their dominance in this series. |
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02-22-17 | Capitals v. Flyers OVER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Washington and Philadelphia to finish OVER the total 8* ANNIHILATOR. In my opinion, this line should have been 5.5 instead of five. Excluding 'pushes,' the Caps have seen the OVER go 9-3 when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. Meanwhile, also excluding pushes, the Flyers have seen the OVER go 16-9 the last 25 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. Games here this season are averaging 5.6 goals. Also, Washington road games are averaging 5.6 goals. While there's, of course, a real shot at a push, I think this one has a considerably greater likelihood of producing more than five goals than it does of finishing with less than five. Go Over. |
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02-22-17 | Capitals -150 v. Flyers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 10* PERS FAV. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. However, I expect that to change this evening. This will be the Flyers' first game back home, off a trip to the West Coast. That can be a difficult situation, at the best of times. Making matters worse, they'll face an angry Washington team which is coming off a back-to-back losses. The Caps have only had b2b losses two other times since early December. In each previous instance, they responded with a decisive victory, snapping the skid right there. In fact, they won those two games by a combined score of 10-2. |
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02-22-17 | Oilers v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on Edmonton and Florida to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. The Panthers return home off a rather remarkable road trip. They'd finish at 5-0, costing me a few times in the process. While the trip started out with some high-scoring games, it progressively got lower-scoring. The Panthers' last three games all finished with five or fewer combined goals, most recently a 2-1 win - Florida scoring the winner in the dying seconds - against the Blues. That's been the Panthers M.O. over the years. Excluding 'pushes,' the UNDER is a lucrative 63-33 the last 96 times that they were on a winning streak of three or more games, 12-7 the past 2+ seasons. Note the the Panthers average only 2.5 goals per game at home, less than they now average on the road. The Oilers have also been involved in some relatively low-scoring games of late, following up a 3-1 win with a 4-1 loss. Last month's meeting had a total of five. Now, we're getting an extra 0.5 goal to work with, in what figures to be a lower-scoring game. The UNDER is already 5-3 this season in Florida home games when the O/U line is 5.5 and I expect those stats to improve here. |
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02-21-17 | Flames v. Predators -152 | 6-5 | Loss | -152 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8*. The Flames have had some "recent" success here at Nasvhille, winning their last few visits. They haven't played here since December of 2015 though and I expect them to receive a rude welcome back tonight. The Preds are off a win last time out, beating a good Columbus team. The Flames are off a loss last time out, losing against a bad Vancouver team. Preds are 16-13 at home, Flames are 14-16 on the road. Preds already won at Calgary and they should complete the season sweep here. |
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02-21-17 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -138 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO 8*. The Leafs got back on track in a big way last time out, a 4-0 win over Carolina on Sunday. I expect them to build some positive momentum from that victory and for them to make it two in a row here. Off their first shutout win of the season, a 6-0 win at Colorado, the Leafs won their next game by a 4-1 score. Off their next shutout win, a 4-0 victory against Calgary, they followed it up with another 4-0 victory. While they were unable to subsequently follow up that one with a victory, they're still 2-1 off a shutout win, outscoring teams by a combined 9-3 margin. While the Jets are off back-to-back road wins, they're still only 14-19 on the road. Dealing with some injury issues and playing their third road game in four days (and fourth in six) I expect it to catch up with them here. The Jets have enjoyed some success in this series in recent seasons and they beat the Leafs, at Winnipeg, back in October. Some of you may recall that I successfully backed the Jets in that game. I say the Leafs get some payback tonight. |
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02-21-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY and Montreal to finish UNDER the total 10*. These teams played a high-scoring game against each other at Montreal last month. However, eight of the Canadiens last nine visits to MSG have produced five or fewer combined goals and this one figures to be low-scoring. The Canadiens returned to the rink on the weekend and lost 3-1. They've only scored one goal the past 10 days. In fact, they've only scored more than two goals in a game once in the entire month of February. (That was at Arizona, against a weak Coyotes team.) The Rangers are off a 2-1 win last time out. They've scored just two goals in back-to-back games while allowing two or less in three of their last four. More of the same here. |
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02-20-17 | Panthers v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Florida and St. Louis to finish UNDER the total 8* TOTAL. While the Panthers had some high-scoring games earlier on the trip, they've seen two of their last three produce five or fewer combined goals. They'll face a Blues team still capable of being very stingy, one which has allowed just nine goals in its last seven games combined. Nine of Florida's last 13 visits here have fallen below the total, last year's game producing four combined goals. With the Panthers at the end of a trip, look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-20-17 | Panthers v. Blues -138 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -138 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 10* NON-CONF GAME OF YEAR. While they were a little lucky to win their last one, the Panthers have had a great road trip. However, this is the final leg of it and I expect their good fortune to finally run out. While they lost last time out, the Blues had previously won six straight. So, they too have been hot. While the Blues are 12-5 (+4.9) when playing a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5, the Panthers are just 9-15 (-5.7) when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5 Look for the trip to catch up to the Panthers, the Blues bouncing back and improving to 30-12 their last 42, when facing a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. |
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02-19-17 | Devils v. Islanders -165 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK 8* PERS FAV. These teams just met at NJ yesterday. The Devils won 3-2. Playing at home and with immediate 'revenge,' I expec the Isles to return the favor here. While the Devils are 12-18 on the road, the Isles are 19-14 at home. NJ gets outscored by a 2.8 to 2.3 margin on the road, NYI outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average score here. The Isles beat the Devils, on this exact day (2/19/16) last year. History repeats iself, the revenge-minded Isles bouncing back and moving to 8-2 (5-0 at home) the last 10 in the series. |
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02-18-17 | Panthers v. Kings -149 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -149 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA 10* PERS FAV. The Panthers have cost me recently but their luck runs out here. While the Kings had last night off, the Panthers were busy beating Anaheim. In addition to playing their second game in two nights, this will mark their third game in the past four days, all of them thousands of miles away from home. The Panthers, 4-6 when playing the second of b2b games, are also 4-6 off a win by two or more goals. On the other hand, the Kings are 10-5, when off a loss by two or more goals. The Kings have dominated the Panthers here over the years. Last year, laying -185, they outshot them by a 35-19 margin and won 4-1. Catching them in a tough scheduling spot, I'm expecting a similar result. |
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02-18-17 | Sharks -174 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ 10* VIOLATOR. The Coyotes beat them back on 2/4 and the Sharks haven't been right ever since. This evening, they can make things right by avenging that loss. With a lucrative 69-41 (+16) record in the 'revenge' role the past few seasons, I expect the Sharks to do exacty that. The Sharks were laying nearly -300 for the last two meetings, both at SJ. However, with the game at Arizona, we can get them at a far more palatable price. Given that the Sharks are very capable on the road and the Coyotes have no home ice advantage, that suits me just fine. The Sharks outscore teams by a 2.9 to 2.6 average on the road, the Coyotes get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.6 average here at Phoenix. Payback time. |
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02-18-17 | Jets v. Canadiens -168 | 3-1 | Loss | -168 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL 8* ANNIHILATOR. The Canadiens are off an extended break. It probably came at exactly the right time for them, too. Prior to their time off, the Habs had lost back-to-back games and six of their previous seven. The break allowed them a chance to get healthy and regroup. They're going to be highly motivated to return with a victory; the last thing that they want to do is to start losing again. Recent problems notwithstanding, there are still plenty of positives for the Habs. They've still got the most points in the Atlantic Division. They're still 18-11 at home. The Jets, 12-19 away from Winnipeg, and 5th in the Central, would love to be in a similar position. While the Canadiens are 17-10 (+4) against sub-500 teams, the Jets are 8-14 (-4.5) against teams with a winning record. Look for the refreshed Canadiens, who already handled the Jets by a 7-4 margin at Winnipeg and who have won 21 of the past 29 meetings with the Jets here at Montreal, to bounce back with an important win. |
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02-17-17 | Panthers v. Ducks -141 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -141 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 10* PERS FAV. Given the situation and venue, this price could easily be higher. The Panthers beat the Ducks exactly two weeks ago, at Florida. However, tonight's rematch is at Anaheim. That makes a significant difference as the Panthers are just 11-17 away from Florida while the Ducks are 17-9 here at Anaheim. The game at Florida marked the start of a road trip for the Ducks and they haven't played here since. I think the Ducks are going to be a extra hungry to start the homestand with a win. The Panthers, who are off a 6-5 victory, are 3-8 (-4.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. On the other hand, the Ducks, who are off a 1-0 win at Minnesota, are 9-3 (+5.9) after scoring one or less. Expect the revenge-minded Ducks to get some payback, returning home and improving to 30-14 the last 44 times that they played their previous three (or more) on the road. |
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02-16-17 | Avalanche +1.5 v. Sabres | 0-2 | Loss | -195 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO +1.5. 5* PREDATOR. With the Sabres listed as large favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get the Avs at a relatively reasonable (given the value of an extra +1.5 goals) price on the puck-line. The extra +1.5 goals could easily come into play, too. While the Avs are off a 1-goal loss, the Sabres are off a 1-goal win. While the Sabres are 7-6 since 1/20, they'd be just 2-11 if asked to lay -1.5 goals in each of those games; five of the seven wins came by a single goal. The Avs know this is their best shot at a win on this road trip. Expect them to give their best effort and for that to lead to (at least) a "cover." |
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02-15-17 | Panthers v. Sharks -173 | 6-5 | Loss | -173 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks, 34-19 (+10.5) the past 2+ seasons when playing with two day's rest in between games, got back on track with a solid 4-1 win at NJ on Sunday. Back home, they should have a solid advantage tonight. The Panthers, who won 7-4 last time out, are just 2-8 (-5.9) the past 10 times that they scored four or more goals in their previous game. For the season, the Panthers are 10-17 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 2.8 to 2.4. On the other hand, the Sharks are 18-9 here at home, outscoring teams by an average score of 2.6 to 2.1. The Sharks outshoot teams by a commanding 31.3 to 25.9 average here. They swept the Panthers last season, including a 5-2 win here. They already beat them at Florida this season and I expect more of the same tonight. |
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02-14-17 | Sabres v. Senators -143 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA 10* GAME OF WEEK. These teams met at Buffalo 10 days ago. The Sabres won that one by a score of 4-0, triggering a 2-game slide which saw Ottawa get outscored by a combined 10-0 score. The Sens have since turned it around, however, and are off back-to-back solid wins. Last time out, they blanked the Isles by a 3-0 score. They'll have payback on their minds here. Note that they're a profitable 62-47 (+21.2) the past few seasons, when playing with "revenge." While the Sens are a modest 16-14 at home, the Sabres are just 10-19 on the road. Look for the Sens to get some payback, moving to 12-8 (+5.8) the last 20 times that they were coming off a shutout win. |
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02-13-17 | Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary and Arizona to finish UNDER the total 10* BEST BET. Off back-to-back games against Eastern Conference opponents, both of which score a lot more goals per game than Calgary, the Coyotes should be happy to face a fellow Western Conference opponent which is nearly as offensively-challenged as they are. The Coyotes average 2.3 goals per game, the Flames average 2.7. While the Flames are simply "below average" offensively, the Coyotes score the second fewest goals in the league. Only the Avs score less. Arizona division games are averaging just 4.5 goals, the UNDER going 13-4-4. Expect those stats to improve. |
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02-12-17 | Stars v. Predators -160 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8* PERS FAV. While the Preds are a modest 15-13 at home, the Stars are a dismal 7-19 on the road. The Preds outscore teams by an average of 2.9 to 2.4 here at home. The Stars get outscored by an ugly 3.7 to 2.4 average margin on the road. Not surprisingly, the home team has won the last two meetings, the Stars winning 5-2 at Dallas the Preds winning 5-2 here at Nashville. Both teams played yesterday. The fact that the Preds lost while the Stars won figures to provide Nashville with some extra motivation. With the Stars 1-10 (-10.6!) off a win by two or more goals and the Preds 9-5 (+2.2) off a loss by two or more, I'm laying the price with the home team. |
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02-12-17 | Red Wings v. Wild -240 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 5* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR. The Wild are obviously pretty heavy favorites here. A little higher than I'd normally prefer to go. That said, given the schedule and venue, I believe this is a matchup that they win eight times out of 10. While the Wings are 11-16 away from Detroit, the Wild are 18-7 at home. The Wings get outscored by a 3.2 to 2.5 average margin on the road. The Wild outscore teams by a dominant 3.4 to 2.0 average here at Minnesota. The Wings, who are playing their second game in two days, are just 6-13 in the second half of the season overall. The Wild, who had yesterday off and who are 14-6 against Eastern Conf. teams, are 13-5 in the second half. The home team won both meetings last season, the Wild winning 3-1 here at Minnesota. While anything can certainly happen in a hockey game, I see little reason not to expect another win for the home team here. |
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02-11-17 | Canucks v. Bruins -201 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON 5* BREAKFAST CLUB. The Bruins, who can climb back above the .500 mark here at home with a win, outshoot teams by a commanding 35.2 to 25.6 average margin in this building. By comparison, the Canucks get outshot by a 32.5 to 29.4 mark on the road. While they did score an upset last time out, they're still just 7-19 away from Vancouver. The early start time figures to favor the home team, too, against their West-Coast based visitors. With the Canucks at 5-16 on the road, when the O/U line was less than 5.5, and the Bruins at 11-5 at home, when the O/U line was less than 5.5, I'm laying the wood with the home team. |
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02-10-17 | Lightning v. Wild -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA 8*. Given the home/road records of these teams, this line could easily be higher. Tampa is 10-18 on the road. Minnesota is 17-7 at home. The home team won both meetings last season, the Wild taking the game here by a 1-0 score. Including that result, that Wild are 8-2 their last 10 as a host in the series. With TB at 5-11 off a win by two or more goals and Minnesota at 8-4 after allowing four or more, I'm laying the price with the home team. |
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02-10-17 | Lightning v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB and Minnesota to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. The last time that the Lightning played here, the final score was 1-0. This one figures to result in another relatively low-scoring affair. The Lightning are off a shutout win in their last game, their first since way back on 11/19. Note that one was followed by another low-scoring (3-1) game. While they've had some defensive lapses of late, the Wild still allow only 2.1 goals per game here at home. The Lightning, who average just 2.5 g.p.g. on the road, should provide the perfect opportunity to get back to their normally stingy play on home ice. |
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02-09-17 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets -210 | 3-0 | Loss | -210 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS 5* BEATDOWN. While the line may initially appear steep, it could actually easily be even higher. The Blue Jackets continue to dominate Western Conference opponents. They're 46-33 (+22.6) against teams from the west the past 2+ seasons and that includes a commanding 16-7 (+9.7) mark this season. Conversely, the Canucks are just 7-15 against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Jackets haven't been at their very best of late but they are off a win last time out and they're still 18-7 at home. The Canucks, on the other hand, have dropped four straight overall and are 6-19 on the road. The Canucks, who average only 2.2 goals per road game, have been outscored by a 17-6 margin in losing their last four. Facing a Columbus team which outscores teams by a 3.5 to 2.2 average here, that spells trouble. |
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02-08-17 | Blackhawks v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chicago and Minnesota to finish UNDER the total 10* O/U BEST BET. Recent meetings between these teams have all had O/U lines of five. Tonight, however, we're getting an extra half a goal to work with. While that may not seem like much, the difference is indeed significant. That's particularly the case when we consider that the last three meetings between these teams have finished with EXACTLY five goals. True, both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games recently. However, the Wild still allow only 2.0 goals per game at home while the Hawks still score just 2.4 gpg on the road. With only seven of Chicago's 25 road games having produced more than five combined goals, I'm going with the UNDER. |
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02-07-17 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on Columbus and Detroit to finish UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. The Wings got a shutout (1-0 win vs. Nashville) from goalie Petr Mrazek last time out, his first of the season. Goaltenders tend to be streaky and Mrazek is showing signs of going on a hot streak. Detroit captain Zetterberg noted this of Mrazek's performance against Nashville: "He made some unbelievable saves. He was comfortable in net, he played the puck well, and we're glad he got rewarded with a shutout. It's a lot easier to win games if you don't have to score that many goals. We always knew he's a good goalie. We've seen that and we believe in him." Detroit coach Blashill said this of his #1 goalie: "I think for a good number, I'd say well over a month, he's worked hard at his game. I think it's showed at times. I think he looks a lot of times like the Petr that we've seen here that's been an elite goalie in this league. We need a goalie to get hot and go on a run and certainly Petr's extremely capable of that." While its true that the Jackets have been a high-scoring team, they've also been losing of late. I expect them to emphasize cleaning up their number of goals allowed. Note that the UNDER is 7-4 when they've played with two day's rest. This season's earlier meeting had an O/U line of 5 and finished with exactly five goals. With the UNDER at 29-17 the past 2+ seasons, when the Wings played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5, I'm calling for a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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02-07-17 | Sharks -140 v. Sabres | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ 10* ANNIHILATOR. Not only are the Sharks the superior team but they've also got the schedule in their favor. While the Sharks are well-rested, the Sabres are off a tough 2-1 loss at NJ last night. This will mark their third game in the past four days. The Sharks, who will be motivated to start their road trip off on the right foot and to bounce back from an upset loss against Arizona, have thrived on the road in recent seasons. They won here last year and they're better on the road than the Sabres are at home once again this season. The Sharks are 34-18 (+12.1) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with 2-day's rest in between games. This season, they're 16.6 (+7.4) against teams from the Eastern Conference. With the Sabres only 3-9 (22-41 L2+ seasons!) when playing at home with an O/U line of less than 5.5, I'm backing the visitors. |
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02-06-17 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders -105 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK 8* BEST BET. The Islanders closed out January by winning six of their last seven games. Off that winning run, arguably their best stretch of the season, they've started out February with a pair of losses. Those losses combined with the fact that their next two games are on the road - and that they'll play these same Leafs, at Toronto, on Valentine's Day, should provide us with a motivated Islander team tonight. While they've really struggled on the road, the Isles are respectable here at home. They're better here than the Leafs are on the road, at least. The Isles won 5-1 when the teams met here early in the season. At a pick'em price, I like their chances of a repeat performance here. |
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02-05-17 | Flames v. Rangers -156 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NYR 8* PERS FAV. While neither of these teams has been particularly strong on home ice, I expect the home team to have the advantage this afternoon. The Flames get outscored by an average of 2.8 to 2.6 on the season. On the other hand, the Rangers outscore teams by an average of 3.4 to 2.7. That's a pretty significant difference and it says a lot about the talent gap between these teams. While they've struggled here at MSG, the Rangers are determined to improve here. Coach Vigneault noted: "We're aware of our home record ... in all the games, we've had some stretches, we've had some pushes where we've played really well and it'd just a matter of putting everything together." NY forward J.T. Miller added: "Your building is supposed to be hard to come in and play there. We've got to get back to that ... " Look for the Rangers, who are both big and fast, as well as a dominant 15-5 against teams from the West, to do just that. |
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02-04-17 | Jets v. Avalanche +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line. 6* PUCK LINE ANNIHILATOR (+1.5 goals) While the Avs are certainly struggling, three of their last six losses have come by a goal. Two of three meetings this season, including both here at Colorado, have been decided by a single goal. The Jets won by a goal last time out, their sixth straight game decided by two goals or less. I'm backing the Avs on the puck-line and I expect them to give their guests all they can handle. |
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02-03-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 10* SIDE OF THE YEAR. The Blue Jackets put together an extremely impressive run before the break. In the middle of their 16-game winning streak, the Jackets won a game by a score of 7-1, their most lopsided victory of that winning streak. That game happened to come against the Penguins. Needless to say, Crosby and co. haven't forgotten. Since their streak ended, the Jackets have been merely mediocre. While they won last time out, they're 6-7 their last 13 games. On the other hand, off a win last time out, the Pens have won five of their last seven. As seen in the loss at Columbus, they've had trouble on the road this season. In fact, the Pens are just 10-13 away from Pittsburgh. However, they're a different team here on home ice. Indeed, they've got a dominant 21-5 (21-3-2) record here, which is the best home ice record in the entire league. The highest scoring team in the league, the Pens average better than four goals (4.1) per game here. Remarkable offensive numbers. Both teams are well-rested and both have thrived when playing with 2-days rest. I believe the revenge-minded Pens are going to be a little hungrier tonight though, Crosby leading them to a 12-5 mark the last 17 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. *GOY |
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02-02-17 | Maple Leafs v. Blues -120 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 8*. These teams will meet in exactly one week, at Toronto. While the Leafs could easily take that one, I like the Blues to hold serve at home tonight. The Leafs are 12-14 away from Toronto, the Blues are 15-12 here at home. Neither team was happy with its defensive effort last time out; the Leafs lost 6-3, the Blues lost 5-3. The Leafs are just 32-46 (-9.1) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the same stretch, the Blues were 38-28 (+4.3) after allowing four or more. Given the venue, the Blues could easily command a higher price. |
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02-02-17 | Blackhawks -150 v. Coyotes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO 10*. The Hawks in this matchup. If these teams were meeting at Chicago the Hawks, who are the much stronger team, would be too expensive to play on. However, with the game being played at Arizona, we can get them at a relatively reasonable price. The Hawks have no trouble playing here though as they're 3-0 here the past couple of seasons. While the Hawks are above .500 on the road, the Coyotes are only 11-14 here. With the Hawks off three straight losses, the Coyotes are going to get their full attention tonight, too. The well-coached Hawks are a profitable 7-2 (+4.2) the past 2+ seasons, when off three or more consecutive losses. They won at Nashville, a much tougher venue than this one, the only previous time this season that they lost three straight. While the Hawks are 19-10 against losing teams, the Coyotes are 4-15 against winning teams. I'm laying the wood |
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02-02-17 | Jets v. Stars -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS 8*. These teams have met three times, all three games coming early in the season. In all three cases, the home team won. Playing here at Dallas, the Stars won the first meeting. The Jets responded by taking each of the next two, both at Winnipeg. The most recent meeting resulted in an 8-2 win for the Jets and that one figures to to have stuck in the Stars' memories. They'll be hungry to get some payback against a team which embarrassed them. Off b2b wins, the Stars have climbed over the .500 mark at home. With the Jets at just 11-17 away from Winnipeg, I expect the Stars to avenge the earlier loss, moving to 21-10 (+11.8) the past 2+ seasons, after playing three or more consecutive home games. |
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01-31-17 | Jets v. Blues -138 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -138 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 10* PERS FAV. The Blues will have payback on their minds as they recently lost at Winnipeg. In fact, the Jets also beat them here at St. Louis back in early December. Given the home/road records of each team, I don't see it happening again. While the Jets are a somewhat respectable 13-12 at home, they're only 10-17 on the road. Meanwhile, the Blues are just 9-14 on the road but 15-11 here at St. Louis. Even with the December loss, the Blues are still 6-2 the last eight times that they hosted the Jets. I expect them to improve on those stats here, returning from the break with an important victory. |
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01-31-17 | Devils v. Red Wings -124 | 4-3 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. While both these teams have certainly struggled, I still believe that the Wings bring a little more to the table. Getting them, at home, at this price is a bargain. The Wings already beat the Devils, at NJ. The Devils, 0-3 when playing with three or more day's rest, are just 18-38 (-12.8) their last 56, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Look for the Wings to benefit more from the break, bouncing back and improving to 15-11 their past 26, after losing three or more in a row. |
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01-26-17 | Jets v. Blackhawks -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO 8* ANNIHILATOR. The Hawks are going to be highly motivated for this one. Not only are they off a loss but they've also dropped all three of this season's games against Winnipeg. This is too strong - and well-coached - a team to lose four in a row to a team like the Jets. While the Hawks are 18-10 at home, the Jets are 9-17 on the road. I say its "payback time." |
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01-26-17 | Sabres v. Stars -143 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS 10* PERS FAV. Off three straight losses and having dropped five of six, one of those losses coming at Buffalo, the Stars are going to be extremely motivated here. This marks the fifth time this season that Dallas has lost three consecutive games. In ALL four of the previous instances, they won their next game. Each victory came by multiple goals, too. After dropping three straight at the end of October, the Stars responded with a 6-2 victory. Off three straight losses in early November, they answered with a 4-2 win. Next, came three straight losses to close November and open December. Once again, Dallas delivered. This time, it was a 3-0 victory. Most recently, the Stars suffered three straight setbacks to begin 2017. As per usual, they stopped the skid right there, a 4-2 win at LA. Add it up and the Stars are a perfect 4-0 off three straight losses, winning by a combined 17-6 margin. That's an average score of 4.25 to 1.5. As for the Sabres, they're off three consecutive wins for just the second time this season. The only previous time that they won three in row, they followed it up with a 2-1 loss. With the Sabres at only 9-16 on the road, look for the revenge-minded and motivated Stars to bounce back, snapping their skid and climbing back to .500 here at home. |
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01-26-17 | Blues +1.5 v. Wild | 1-5 | Loss | -210 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing ST LOUIS on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals, 5* PUCK LINE PREDATOR.) The Blues got back on track last time out, knocking off the Pens by a 3-0 score. They'll be motivated to keep the positive momentum going here, particularly with the Wild sitting on top of the division. Tonight, they'll face a Minnesota team which has seen seven of its past 10 games decided by a single goal. Speaking of close games, two of this season's three meetings have also been decided by a single goal. Don't be surprised when this one also comes "down to the wire." |
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01-25-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -138 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -138 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM 10* PERS FAV. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far. In each case, the home team finished on top. I expect home ice to again prove the difference. While the Ducks are only 11-15 on the road, they're an outstanding 16-8 at home. They hold visiting teams to just 2.0 goals per game here, scoring 2.8 themselves. While the Oilers are certainly improved this season, they're still 22-52 (-29) in divisional games, the past 2+ seasons. During that time, the Ducks are 52-28 (+13.6) in divisional play. Including the earlier win, the Ducks are 4-1 the last five times that they hosted the Oilers. Look for them to continue that home ice series dominance tonight. |
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01-24-17 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing NY on the PUCK-LINE (+1.5 goals. 5* BIG JUICER) While we obviously have to lay a fairly steep price to get the extra +1.5 goals, I feel that price could easily be higher. The Jackets are off b2b victories. However, both of those victories came by a single goal, 7-6 and 3-2. Only two of their last 10 games resulted in a win by more than a goal, just one of their last five - and that came at home. As for the Isles, they've won three of their last four - and the lone loss came by a single goal. Two of the last three meetings were also decided by a single goal. With the Isles having outscored teams by a 13-5 margin their last four, I'm expecting AT LEAST a "cover" this evening. |
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01-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -189 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON 5* BM BEATDOWN. Given the current form of these teams, this line could easily be higher. The Caps are off back-to-back wins and are now 11-1 their last 12. The Canes have lost three straight. While Washington has scored 23 goals its past four games, Carolina has scored four goals its last three, allowing 14. While these teams have split a pair of meetings at Raleigh this season, the Caps were a perfect 4-0 as a host in the series, the past two seasons. The Caps are 16-5 against sub-500 teams on the season and should keep rolling for another day. |
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01-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington and Carolina to finish UNDER the total 10* TOTAL OF WEEK. Recent meetings between these teams have had O/U lines of five. This evening, while we have to lay some extra juice for the privilege, we're getting a 5.5 to work with. I feel that's providing excellent value. Games here at Washington are averaging only 4.9 combined goals on the season. The UNDER is 2-1 on the season when games here have had an O/U line of 5.5. (Almost all have 5.) Going back further finds the UNDER at 28-19 in games here with an O/U line of 5.5. During that stretch, the Canes have seen the UNDER go 21-14 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. That includes a profitable 9-3 mark this season. The Canes have managed only four combined goals in losing each of their last three games. Considering that visiting teams manage only 1.7 goals (and just 25.7 shots) per game here, they figure to again have trouble scoring. With the UNDER at 16-9-6 the last 31 times that the Canes were off three or more consec. losses, I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. |