Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Clemson -15
I think the fact that Clemson is 0-3 ATS thus far this season is keeping this number against Georgia Tech lower than it should be in Week 4. They beat Furman 48-7 but failed to cover as 50-point favorites, they beat Texas A&M on the road 28-26 but failed to cover as 12-point favorites, and they beat Georgia Southern 38-7 and barely failed to cover as 31.5-point favorites.
But that Georgia Southern game was a bigger blowout than the final score even. The Tigers outgained them by 455 yards and should have won by more. And the fact that they played Georgia Southern will be a huge help here because they are playing a triple-option offense for a second consecutive week.
Clemson has certainly had an answer for Georgia Tech’s triple-option offense in recent years, too. Over the past three years, the Tigers have held the Yellow Jackets to just 121 rushing yards per game and 2.9 per carry in their three meetings. Georgia Tech has only managed 17 combined points in its last two meetings with Clemson.
This is a Georgia Tech team that simply isn’t any good. They lost 38-49 as a 3-point favorite at South Florida in Week 2. Then they trailed 6-24 at Pitt last week as this game was decided early before they tacked on a couple of scores late in a 19-24 loss. The big blow was losing RB KirVonte Benson to a season-ending injury in that USF defeat. He rushed for 1,053 yards last year and was their best playmaker outside their QB. No other RB topped 280 yards rushing last year.
Clemson boasts a potent offense that is putting up 38.0 points and 513 yards per game this season. They will do enough offensively to put Georgia Tech away, and I expect their defense to continue the three-year trend of coordinator Will Venables shutting down the triple-option. Look for the Tigers to be focused for their ACC opener and win big in this one. Bet Clemson Saturday.
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The Knights on a 15 game winning streak dating back to last season have not played since a 38-0 shutout of South Carolina State at home the second weekend of the season. With some practices missed and the team having to deal with a little bit of rust, Im betting they take time to find their footing against what I have pegged as an explosive Florida Atlantic offence fighting for area bragging rights going into next years recruiting wars. FAU's Lane Kiffin also gives Florida Atlantic a edge as the superior coach vs Heupel who makes only his third start as a FBS coach. I know Florida Atlantic got smashed by the Oklahoma Sooners in their opener, but they did follow that up with a win vs Air Force in their next game, and than a lower tiered Bethune Cookman last week.
Owls 5-1 ATS L/6 as DD chalk.
CFB Road underdogs (FLA ATLANTIC) - with a terrible defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 52-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Florida Atlantic to cover
Play - Illinois (Game 308).
Edges - Illini: 7-1 ATS as home dogs of 18 or more points; and Lovie Smith 3-0 ATS as a dog of 27 or more points … With Penn State looking dead ahead to a game with Ohio State next week, we recommend a 1* play ion Illinois. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #411 Eastern Michigan Eagles over San Diego State Aztecs (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 22CBSSN) The Aztecs are coming off a big win over Arizona State last Saturday. That being said they are not an explosive offense to be laying this many points. EMU already has a win against Purdue this season and they are able to move the football through the air averaging over 332 passing yards per game. This game should go down to the wire and expect the Eagles to easily cover the spread. Eastern Michigan is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 nonconference games. SDSU is 7-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 23 games played during September.
This is a 1* Free Play on the Dallas Cowboys.
The Hawks are staring 0-3 in the face this Sunday and we think it’ll become a reality. Dallas finally found its footing in the second half of its 20-13 win over the Giants last Sunday night and we look for it to grind out a win here as well. Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott was 16 of 25 for 160 yards last week, along with another 45 yards rushing. The Dallas defense had six sacks of Eli Manning and now that aggressive unit faces the Seahawks suspect offensive line which has already given up 12 sacks this year (the most in the NFL.) Note that Dallas is 10-6 ATS its last 16 on the road, while Seattle is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. Consider the COWBOYS Sunday afternoon.
Kansas is one of the early-season feel good stories. The Jayhawks have won their last two games beating Central Michigan and Rutgers. Kansas had won three games during its previous three years under fourth-year head coach David Beaty. So what gives with the Jayhawks? Are they really better. Maybe a little. But look for things to revert back to normal for Kansas as it can't maintain it's unbelievable plus 12 turnover margin. That's No. 1 in the country! Kansas had all of nine takeaways last year. Baylor has a far more explosive offense than Kansas and is a step up for the Jayhawks. The Bears have defeated Kansas eight straight times with the average winning margin being by 37 points. Kansas has lost 38 straight Big 12 road contests. The 2-1 Bears will be fired up after a disappointing 40-27 home loss to Duke last week. Duke is good, though. Kansas is not. Pooka Williams is a promising runner. Steven Sims Jr. is a dependable wide receiver. Other than that, I don't think much of Kansas' offense. Baylor has a solid quarterback rotation of Charlie Brewer and Jalan McClendon and are deep at running back and wide receiver. Look for reality to hit the Jayhawks here. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top football handicappers in North America and he's off to hot starts both in the NFL, where he 12-6-2 through preseason and the first two weeks of the season, and 8-3 the past two weeks in college football entering this week. Stick with Stephen and stack the odds high in your favor!)
Friday night College Game of the year with a 67-1 Indicator system headline along with the 21-0 MLB Game of the Month. CFL Comp play below
The CFL comp Play is on Montreal plus the points at 8:30 eastern. The Allouettes have 46 point revenge in a series with Winnipeg that usually plays close games. Montreal has been much better on the road this season and has covered the last 4 as a dog of 10.5 to 14. They are 4-0 ats on the road if the total is 52 or more. Winnipeg has been slumping and is 0-4 ats in weeks 10-15 and has failed to cover the last games. Montreal has covered 4 of the last 5 here. Take the points. The Friday college game of the year is up in college football and is backed with a 67-1 system we included in the analysis. There is also the 21-0 MLB System game of the month. For the Canadian football league play. Take the points with Montreal. RV- GC Sports
Mikey Sports FREE CFB play Friday 9-21-18
Central Florida -12 1/2
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas +3.5
The Texas Longhorns had a statement win last week in a 37-14 beat down of USC at home. I think this is a program headed in the right direction and are one of the best teams in the Big 12. They will be out to prove that this week at home against TCU as they look to build on the momentum they’ve gained. I think this is a bad situation for TCU as it feels like it should have won last week against Ohio State, but lost 28-40. I believe they will have dwelled on that loss for at least a few days before turning their attention to Texas. Tom Herman is going to use the ‘underdog card’ in this game. Including his time as an assistant at Iowa State and Ohio State, Herman is a ridiculous 21-1 ATS as an underdog in all games as a coach. Wrong team favored here. Give me Texas.
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#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN ~ 6-1 L7 MLB FREE PICKS
The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals combined for 19 runs in the series-opener Thursday night. I think we'll see far less action on the scoreboard in Friday's contest.
KC right-hander Ian Kennedy (2-8, 4.73 ERA) pitched six scoreless innings in a 4-2 Royals victory against Detroit on May 4. He's faced Minnesota in back-to-back starts since spending almost two months on the DL, limiting the Twins to one run in six innings in each of those outings. Under is 6-1 in Kennedy's last seven road starts.
Detroit left-hander Francisco Liriano (5-10, 4.54 ERA) was knockde around plenty last month, but he's 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA in September.
Free pick on UNDER.
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