Can you name the team that has scored the most points during the last two weeks in the NFL? You might be surprised to know it's the Ravens. They are averaging 41 points in their last two games and 30.8 points a game in their past six games. Joe Flacco is coming off his two best games of the season and Alex Collins has emerged as a good runner ranking third in the league with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Browns rank 29th in scoring defense allowing 25.8 points per game. They are down several key defenders due to injury and trade. Baltimore's defense was just torched by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 506 yards in a 39-38 win against the Ravens last Sunday night. Some of that was due to the Ravens missing their top cornerback, Jimmy Smith. He's out for the season. DeShone Kizer is no Roethlisberger. But Kizer is improving each week, has a big arm and excellent mobility. The Browns have stocked up on their weapons. Kizer has two dangerous wide receiving targets now with Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. So the Browns are fully capable of helping this total go Over, too. Weather shouldn't be a problem with only a slight wind and temperatures in the 30s. The condidtions were much worse in Cleveland last week yet both the Packers, with backup quarterback Brett Hundley, and the Browns were able to move the ball with a combined 48 points being scored. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is recognized as one of the top NFL 'cappers in North America with the record to prove it. Stephen is zooming in on his 22nd winning NFL season in 24 years cashing nearly 60 percent of his premium/free plays during the past eight weeks. Fresh off a Thursday winner with the Broncos, Stephen has one of his strongest packages of the season going Sunday headed by his NFL Chalk Game of the Month.)
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #211 Take Akron Zips over Florida Atlantic Owls (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, 12/19 7 pm ESPN) What a season Lane Kiffin had at Florida Atlanta this season. He won 10 games to go along with a Conference USA Championship. But unfortunately Florida Atlantic may be the end of the line for him, as he was not considered for a coaching promotion due to the bridges he has burned in the past. I just do not see them running over an Akron team that is thrilled to be in this bowl game. Toledo is a very similar team to Florida Atlantic and I expect a similar result in this game, a 15-18 point victory for FAU. Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. FAU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring bowl and pro games. 11-2 run on NFL Top Plays so sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you.
1* Free Play on the New York Giants.
Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year. Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.
Free pick on Browns OVER
I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points.
Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards.
As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games.
It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER!
DMack's Free NFL Play for Sunday, December 17, 2017, is on the Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland just keeps finding ways to lose and are running out of time to avoid a 0-16 bagel. That said, despite losing their last two home game in overtime, they may want to leave it all on the field in Chicago next week. The Ravens are 17-2 over the L9 in the series and easily dispatched Cleveland 24-10 in Week Two as the Browns turned the ball over five times. Baltimore is still in the thick of the wildcard race and needs a win here so they won't overlook the brownies here. Flacco has the offense humming now producing 82 points the last two games and rolling to nine touchdowns in the teams L22 drives. Cleveland has a penchant for giving it up late, outscored 90-37 in the second half of their L6 games and that seals the deal for us.
Los Angeles vs. New York Over 5.5
The Kings and Rangers are worth a flyer on the Over here.
Los Angeles has put in 3.13 goals per game on the road this year, while the Rangers 3.30 at home is one of the best marks in the NHL.
These two offenses just have so many weapons from top to bottom.
The pace of play is another huge thing to note here. These two teams really like to get up and down the ice and push the issue. On top of that, they like to let it fly and put shots on net, really looking for opportunities off the rebound.
Some trends to note. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. Western Conference.
Expect a ton of back and forth action here, giving this Over some value.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Friday 5* FREE NHL O/U Play