Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-18 | Sabres v. Senators -129 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA (8*). The Sens have gone through a tough patch. However, they've shown signs of life lately, particularly here at home. They're 4-3 in February, 3-0 here at Ottawa. A visit from the Sabres, who are an ugly 9-21 away from Buffalo, provides more reason for optimism. While the Sabres are off a 5-3 upset of Tampa, they're just 1-8 the last nine times that they were off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at a dismal 13-30 in that situation, the past few seasons. The Sabres won when these teams met at Buffalo back in December but they're still averaging just 1.9 goals per divisional game. Payback time for the Sens tonight. |
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02-15-18 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/NJ to finish UNDER the total (8*). All four of last season's meetings had O/U lines of five. This evening, the first meeting of this season has an O/U line of 5.5. In what should be a relatively low-scoring affair, I feel that extra half goal is providing us with value. Note that all four of last season's meetings finished with five or fewer combined goals. (Two games landed right on five.) While the Canes are off a high-scoring game vs. LA, their previous seven games had ALL fallen below the total. They're allowing an average of less than two goals per game, over their past eight outings. True, the Devils are off three straight games which finished above the total. However, thats happened four previous times this season and in ALL four cases, their next game finished below the total. Those games had scores of 4-1, 4-1, 3-2 and 2-1. Expect more of the same here. |
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02-14-18 | Canadiens v. Avalanche -116 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Habs won when these teams met at Montreal. Playing on home ice, I expect the Avs to return the favor. Considering the home/road records of these teams, this line could easily be much higher. The Avs are 19-7 here, outscoring teams by an average score of 3.7 to 2.4. On the other hand, the Canadiens get outscored by a 3.4 to 2.3 average margin on the road, going just 8-17. With the Habs just 30-51 (-29.5) against Western Conf. teams the past 2+ seasons, I'm backing the revenge-minded home Avs. |
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02-13-18 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -153 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals, 8* ANNIHILATOR) What a difference a few months can make! When the Hawks visited here in October, they were listed as -180 favorites. Now, they return and we can get them at a lower price than that, while also getting an extra +1.5 goals to boot. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Off last night's embarrassing loss and now having lost six straight overall, the Hawks are going to be determined for a much better effort. The fact that Vegas has beaten them in both meetings - the most recent by a single goal - adds fuel to the fire. This is still a proud team, one which I believe partly got caught looking ahead to tonight's game. Only one of the Knights' last six games has resulted in a win by more than a goal. Expect a determined Hawks team to give them all they can handle. |
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02-13-18 | Blues v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -126 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Nashville/St. Louis to finish UNDER the total (8* O/U WINNER). These teams are both capable of being very stingy. When they face each other, goals tend to be few and far between. Indeed, the last six meetings in this series have all fallen below the total. Those games had final scores of 2-1, 2-0, 3-1, 2-1, 2-1 and 3-1. Going back a little further and we find that 13 of the last 15 meetings between these teams have produced five or fewer combined goals. The Blues have seen the UNDER go 17-11 when matched up against a team with a winning record. Going back further finds the UNDER at 68-47-18 the past few seasons, when the Blues faced a winning team. Keep in mind that the majority of those 18 pushes were games that finished with five goals, too. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair here. |
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02-12-18 | Panthers v. Oilers -140 | 7-5 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* VIOLATOR). Off three straight losses, all of which came on the road, the Oilers are going to be hungry. Facing a Florida team which they have long dominated should be the perfect tonic for what ails them. Including a pair of 4-3 victories last season, the Oilers are 17-7 with a pair of ties, the past 26 meetings with the Panthers. This season's Panthers team is only 10-17 on the road, averaging only 2.4 goals. It should also be noted that the Panthers are just 18-28 (-13.2) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest. During that stretch, the Oilers are 22-12 (+10.3) when coming off three or more consec. losses. Expect them to "get healthy" on home ice. |
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02-11-18 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ/Anaheim to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). The last meeting between these teams resulted in a 6-2 final. However, games in this series are typically lower-scoring. In fact, prior to the 1/21 game, there had been ELEVEN straight meetings which had produced five or fewer combined goals. As several of those landed exactly on five, while also having O/U lines of five, the UNDER was 7-0-4 in those 11 games. Even factoring in last month's higher-scoring game, the last dozen meetings have averaged less than four combined goals. Tonight, the Sharks are in a b2b situation, having beaten Edmonton by a 6-4 score last night. The last time that they played the second of b2b games, they lost 2-1, at Detroit. Including that result, the UNDER is 19-10 this season, when the Sharks played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Going back further finds the UNDER at 40-23 in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. During the same span, the Ducks have seen 32 of 50 home games, with O/U lines of 5.5, fall below the number. With Friday's 3-2 win over the Oilers, the Ducks have seen the UNDER go 12-6-3 in divisional play this season, those games averaging 5.1 goals. More of the same here. |
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02-09-18 | Canucks v. Hurricanes -173 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* GAME OF WEEK). This is a tough spot for the Canucks. First off, they played at Tampa yesterday. In addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, this will also mark their third game in the past four days. The Canes, on the other hand, are well rested. They last played on Tuesday. In addition to having the venue and schedule in their favor, the Canes should also be highly motivated. Not only have they dropped three straight but they also lost 3-0, at Vancouver, earlier in the season. The Canes beat the Canucks here last season, scoring eight goals in the process. They probably won't get that many again here but I expect the final result to be the same. |
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02-09-18 | Flames v. Rangers +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing NY on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals, 6*) I really like the Rangers to win this game outright. So, if the price to get the extra +1.5 goals seems too steep, you could take a look at the money-line, or split your wager equally between the two options. The Flames are off a win last night and playing their third game in the past four nights. NONE of their last nine games has resulted in a victory by more than a goal. The Rangers had yesterday off after getting embarrassed by a 6-1 score on Wednesday. They're 42-29 (+9.9) vs. the moneyline, the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. The Rangers took both meetings last season, the game here at MSG being decided by a single goal. With the schedule in their favor, expect them to bounce back with their best effort, en route to AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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02-08-18 | Canucks v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vancouver/TB to finish UNDER the total (8* BEST BET). These teams just met at Vancouver on 2/3. Tampa won 4-2. I'm expecting tonight's meeting to be lower-scoring. While the Lightning may have seen their past three games exceed the total, its worth noting that the UNDER is 18-11-3 the past couple of seasons, when their previous three games had finished above the total. The Canucks have managed just four goals in their last three road games combined. The last two of those had 3-1 and 1-0 finals. More of the same on Thursday. |
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02-08-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers -145 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers snapped a 4-game losing skid last time out, earning a much-needed 2-1 victory at Carolina. Now with some positive momentum back in their corner, I expect them to follow it up with another victory. While the Canadiens are off back-to-back victories, both those came at home. When playing away from Montreal, they're just 8-16. While the Habs haven't played since 2/4, that extra rest isn't necessarily a positive for them. In fact, they're just 6-14 the past 20 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. While they've had some trouble at Montreal, the Flyers have dominated the Canadiens here in Philadelphia in recent seasons. Expect that to continue here. |
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02-07-18 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA/Edmonton to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). While the Oilers have been involved in a few high-scoring games recently, that should change this evening. The Oilers last game was a 6-2 victory. Thats noteworthy as the UNDER is 10-2 the past 12 times that the Oilers were off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds the UNDER at 36-19-4 the past 2+ seasons, when the Oilers were off a win by two or more. These teams combined for five goals in this season's only previous meeting. Including that result, the UNDER is 4-1 the past five meetings. While last month's game was played at Edmonton, note that the UNDER is a lucrative 21-9 the past 30 times that the Kings played a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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02-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Penguins -119 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Knights won when these teams met at Vegas. However, with tonight's game being played at Pittsburgh, I expect the Pens to have the advantage. Obviously, the Knights are enjoying a fantastic season. However, they're playing the fourth leg of a five game road trip here and this is no easy venue. While only 10-17 on the road, the Pens are 19-8 at home. Consider that they were laying -115 for the game at Vegas and that they're barely favored by more than that here. The Pens last four games here all resulted in victories. All four came against capable teams, as the Pens hosted the Canes, Wild, Sharks and Capitals. They were -155, -135, -175, -160 for those games. Getting them at this price represents excellent value. Take advantage. |
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02-05-18 | Rangers v. Stars UNDER 6 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Dallas/NY to finish UNDER the total (8* SUPER TOTAL). Its no secret that the Rangers have been allowing a lot of goals of late. However, they're highly motivated to fix that problem. Lundqvist, likely to be between the pipes, remains committed to the team and is still highly capable. His last start here at Dallas resulted in a 2-0 shutout victory. Both Bishop, who is expected to get the call, and Lehtonen have been sharp for the Stars recently. They've allowed two goals or less in seven of their last nine games, one or less in four of those. This season's previous game finished with a final score of 2-1. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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02-04-18 | Senators v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on Ottawa/Montreal to finish UNDER the total (10* BEST BET). These teams were both involved in high-scoring games yesterday. Ottawa won 4-3. Montreal won 5-2. However, I'm expecting a lower-scoring affair on Sunday evening. Even with yesterday's result, the Habs have still seen the UNDER go 12-6 their past 18. As for the Sens, prior to yesterday, they'd seen five straight games stay below the number. Those games had scores of 2-1, 2-1, 3-2, 3-0 and 3-1. The most recent meeting between these teams was a 3-0 final. The last time that the Habs played the second of b2b games, the final score was 3-1. More of the same here. |
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02-03-18 | Avalanche v. Jets -175 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs won won both this season's previous meetings. Both those came at Colorado though, which is particularly significant for these teams. While the Avs are 18-7 at Colorado, they're just 10-15 on the road. Meanwhile, the Jets are 12-17 on the road but 18-5 here at Winnipeg. That includes a commanding 13-1 record here when the O/U line was set at 5.5, as tonight's line is. The recent loss of Nathan MacKinnon was a killer for Colorado. Not only was he the Avs' leading scorer but he ranked second in the entire league in points. Jets get some payback. |
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02-03-18 | Red Wings v. Panthers -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). These teams are neck-and-neck in the Atlantic Division. The Wings have taken two of three meetings on the season, most recently a 4-2 win at Detroit on 1/5. However, off back-to-back wins, the Panthers are playing better now than they were then. They've also got both the schedule and venue working in their favor. While the Wings are below .500 on the road, the Panthers can climb back above .500 at home, with a win. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Wings are off an upset win at Carolina. Go with Florida. |
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02-02-18 | Golden Knights v. Wild -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Wild had no trouble with the Knights when they faced them at the end of November. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to take care of business again this evening. While the Wild, who are 17-8 here at Minnesota, had last night off, the Knights are off a game at Winnipeg. This will mark their third road game in the past four days. While the Knights allow 3.0 goals per game on the road, the Wild allow a mere 2.1 goals per game here at Minnesota. Playing with the fresher legs, look for the Wild to continue their strong play on home ice, coming away with the important two points. |
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02-01-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8*). These teams have met twice so far this season. In both cases, the home team won convincingly. The Knights won 5-2 at Vegas. The Jets won 7-4 here at Winnipeg. Thats not surprising, given that both teams are much better when playing in their own building. The Knights are a respectable 14-11 on the road but an outstanding 19-5 at home. Meanwhile, the Jets are a poor 12-17 on the road but an excellent 18-4 here wat Winnipeg. Look for home ice to again prove the difference. |
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02-01-18 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Carolina/Montreal to finish UNDER the total (8*). These teams recently played a high-scoring game against each other at Montreal. However, I'm expecting this evening's rematch to be considerably lower-scoring. Of the Canes' last eight games, the only time that they scored more than three goals was the game against Montreal. Last time out, they won 2-1. That makes it four of their last six games which have produced five or fewer combined goals. The same can be said for the Habs. Off a 3-1 loss at St. Louis, they've now seen four of their past six games produce five or fewer combined goals. Five of Monteal's last six visits to Carolina have also produced five or fewer combined goals, including a 3-1 final earlier this season. More of the same on Thursday. |
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02-01-18 | Maple Leafs v. Rangers -133 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (10* PERS FAV). While the Rangers are well-rested, the Leafs are off a win against the Islanders yesterday. Thats noteworthy as, even with a recent win at Dallas, they're still just 14-29 (-11.2) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The Rangers snapped a skid, prior to the Break, earning a 6-5 victory over the Sharks. They'll be motivated to return to the break with another victory. Added motivation comes from the fact that the Leafs beat them twice already this season. The Rangers, 17-11 at home, are 42-26 (+13.2) their last 68 after allowing four or more goals, 11-6 their last 17 in that situation. Expect them to be the "hungrier" team tonight and for that to ultimately lead to an important two points. |
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01-31-18 | Flyers v. Capitals -145 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Flyers got the better of the Caps here 10 days ago. They're now 2-0 on the season series. Don't expect it to happen again. Even factoring in that result, the Flyers are still 11-12 on the road. Meanwhile, the Caps are still 18-8 at home. The Caps rarely let teams beat them twice in a row. They're 14-6 (+6.4) the last 20 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Going back a little further finds them at a lucrative 57-29 (+17.4) in that situation, the past few seasons. During that stretch, the Caps are also 62-32 (+16.7) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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01-31-18 | Sharks v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ/Detroit to finish UNDER the total (10* BEST BET). The Sharks have seen their past few games finish above the total. However, that should change this evening. SJ's last visit here resulted in a final score of 3-0. Including that result, the UNDER is 36-22 the past 2+ seasons, when the Sharks played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During that same stretch, the Wings have seen the UNDER go 34-21 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. (That a combined 70-43 UNDER mark.) Off a few poor defensive efforts, the Sharks should be looking to clean things up. Even with last night's high-scoring loss against Pittsburgh, the UNDER is still 16-9 when the Sharks face Eastern Conference opposition. The Wings, who have had some time off since a 5-1 loss, have seen seven straight games produce six or fewer combined goals, five of those finishing with five or less. They've seen the UNDER go 11-5 this season, when off a loss by two or more goals; I expect those stats to improve here. |
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01-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Flames -109 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* PERS FAV). The Flames need this one more than the Knights. They entered the break on a 4-game losing streak and badly need to turn things around, immediatley. While the Knights have been nearly unbeatable in Vegas, they've been mediocre on the road. The Flames haven't lost five in a row all season. Even with a loss last time out, they're 3-1 after having lost three or more in a row. Look for the break to benefit the Flames, the home fans going home happy. |
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01-30-18 | Senators v. Hurricanes -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canes are last in the Metropolitan Division while the Sens are second last in the Atlantic. However, the Canes are favored by this much for good reason. While the Canes have 52 points, the Sens have 39. The Canes can climb back to .500 at home, with a win here. The Sens, on the other hand, are 8-16 on the road. The Sens have lost five straight. They allowed at least three goals in all five of those games, while scoring one or less in three of them. Look for the Canes to happily kick them while they're down. |
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01-25-18 | Jets v. Ducks -125 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (8* ROAST). The Jets are playing well and have won three straight. However, I expect the revenge-minded Ducks to cool them down tonight. This is the final leg of a 5-game homestand for the Ducks. After tonight, they play four straight in the Eastern Time Zone. They've already won three of the first four games here and thats got them above .500 at home for the season. They're going to be motivated to close out their last game here with a victory. Note that they're now 7-1 the last eight times they played, after having played their previous three (or more) games at home. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 29-15 (+12) in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. As for the Jets, they're still only 12-16 away from Winnipeg. They're also just 1-5 (-4.8) the last six times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. Now healthier than they were earlier in the season, look for the Ducks to get some payback for a 4-1 loss here back in November. |
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01-25-18 | Islanders v. Golden Knights UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY/Vegas UNDER the total (8* O/U BEST BET). We have to lay some extra juice to play at seven. However, with such a generously high number, I'm willing to do so. Its true that both teams have been involved in a number of high-scoring games this season - the reason for the big number. The earlier meeting, at NY, was one of them. However, games here at Vegas are averaging six combined goals, not seven. A look at the Knights' last 10 games reveals that only two finished with more than seven combined goals. One produced exactly seven goals and the other seven games all finished with less than seven. In other words, a 7-2-1 'under' mark if all those O/U lines had been seven. The Isles only managed two goals at Arizona last time out, the third time in their last four games that they've been held to two or less. With visiting teams averaging just 2.3 goals here, they may have some trouble scoring. I'm going Under the big number. |
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01-25-18 | Avalanche v. Blues -164 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs saw their winning streak snapped last time out. I expect the Blues to hand them another loss this evening. The Blues have dominated the Avs in recent seasons. They've won three straight meetings here at St. Louis and seven of the past eight meetings overall. With Tuesday's loss at Montreal, the Avs are just 9-13 away from Colorado. The Blues, on the other hand, are 16-10 at home. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Blues continuing their recent mastery of the Avs while picking up an important two points. |
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01-24-18 | Kings v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/LA to finish UNDER the total (10* ANNIHILATOR). After getting lit up by the Canucks last night, the Kings should be all about improving their defensive play tonight. Note that they've seen the UNDER go 20-8-8 the past 36 times that they played the second of b2b games, 5-1-1 the past seven. The Flames have already seen the UNDER go 13-6 on the season when facing a team with a winning record. Their past three games have all produced five or fewer combined goals, the last two of those finishing with identical 2-1 scores. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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01-23-18 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 3-6 | Loss | -207 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLUMBUS on the puck-line (6*). (+1.5 goals) Needless to say, the Knights have exceeded all expectations. By a mile. They're worthy of respect and have proven to be very tough to beat at home. The Jackets are a quality team, however, and they're not going to be intimidated. They come in well-rested - note that they're 11-6 (+5.2) their last 17 (vs. the money-line) when playing with three or more day's rest. While they did win last time out, the Knights are still just 2-3 their last five. Playing their first game back home from a road trip isn't always easy. Six of the Knights' last eight have been decided by a single goal. Meanwhile, the Jackets have seen three of their past five (and 8 of 13) decided by a single goal. While the Jackets are fully capable of scoring the upset, I'm laying the wood for the extra +1.5 goals. |
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01-23-18 | Sabres v. Oilers -228 | 5-0 | Loss | -228 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Oilers have finally won a few in a row. Now, they get a visit from one of the league's worst teams, while also working with a favorable schedule. In other words, this is a game and situation that they absolutely need to take advantage of. The Sabres, who earned a rare road win at Calgary last night, are just 2-8 the last 10 times that they played the second of b2b games. Overall, even with last night's victory, the Sabres are 6-21 on the road, getting outscored by an average score of 3.6 to 2.3. Oilers keep on rolling. |
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01-23-18 | Avalanche v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). The Avs won again yesterday. However, now they're in a back-to-back spot and thats a situation which has given them trouble. They're 2-5 the last seven times that they played their second game in two days. Unlike their guests, the Habs are well-rested. They last played Saturday. While they lost their last game at Colorado, the Canadiens hammered the Avs by a 10-1 score the last time that these teams played here. This one won't be that "easy" but I expect the end result to be the same. |
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01-22-18 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs -167 | 4-2 | Loss | -167 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs are red hot but I expect the Leafs to bring them back down to earth on Monday. The Leafs got back on track last time out, a much-needed victory over Ottawa. Now, with some positive momentum in their corner, they'll look to avenge a recent loss (4-3 on 12/29) at Colorado. In fact, that game marked the start of the Avs winning streak. While the Avs are very tough to beat at Colorado, they're still just 8-12 on the road. With the Leafs at 13-9 at home, look for the streak to come to an end here. |
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01-21-18 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vegas/Carolina to finish UNDER the total (10* BEST BET). These teams combined for five goals when they met at Vegas earlier. With games here at Carolina averaging 5.7 goals on the season and most O/U lines coming in at 5.5, I feel that a line of six is generous. Even with their last game producing seven combined goals, six of them in regulation, the Knights have still seen their last five games average just 4.2 combined goals. The Canes pride themselves on their defense and will be motivated to improve in that area, after allowing four goals in b2b games. I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair. |
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01-21-18 | Flyers v. Capitals -155 | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Caps are going to be in an angry mood, hungry to bounce back. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Flyers hammered them, at Philadelphia, by an 8-2 score earlier this season. The Caps are 13-5 (+7) their past 18 in the "revenge" role, a lucrative 56-28 (+18.1) the past few seasons. The Caps were laying -270 the last time that they hosted the Flyers, a 2-1 win last spring. Getting them at this price offers excellent value. Expect them to get some payback. |
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01-20-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -170 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8*). The Canucks got the better of the Oiler in this season's first meeting, at Vancouver. Playing at home, I expect the Oilers to get some payback this evening. The Oilers have had success against the Canucks here in recent seasons, winning four of the past five here. Consider that they were laying -320 for the last meeting here, a 5-2 Edmonton win. In the previous meeting here, the Oilers were laying -285. They won that one by a 2-0 score. While this price is lower, there's still a significant talent gap between these teams. I expect it to be evident this evening, the revenge-minded Oilers finishing on top. |
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01-20-18 | Islanders v. Blackhawks -150 | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8*). The Hawks always tend to take care of business against the Islanders. This evening, we're getting them at a fairly reasonable price; they were laying -180 for last year's meeting here, a 2-1 Chicago win. The Isles are just 10-14 on the road. That includes a poor 3-9 record when playing a road game with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. The Hawks, 12-10 at home overall are just 1-2 on their current 6-game homestand. That should mean that they're going to be hungry tonight. They're 15-6 the past 21 times that they played three or more consecutive home games. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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01-20-18 | Penguins v. Sharks -115 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8*). The Sharks know that they'll face these same Penguins, at Pittsburgh, at the end of this month. The Sharks also know that the Pens are much tougher to beat a home and that they better take care of business here in SJ. Off a 5-3 loss, note that the Sharks are a lucrative 42-23 (+14.3) the past 65 times that they played after having given up four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, they're 36-17 (+15) off a loss by two or more goals. Even after a win at LA last time out, the Pens remain a poor 7-14 (-12.1) against Western Conf. teams. All things considered, this price is very fair. Sharks win. |
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01-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vegas/Florida to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). The Panthers have seen their past seven games all have O/U lines of 5.5. Tonight, we're getting a "six" to work with. An extra half goal may not sound signficant but it is. Only two of Florida's past 14 games produced greater than six combined goals. The last time that the Panthers had an O/U line of six was eight games ago. That game finished with a score of 1-0. A lengthy layoff could lead to some rust for the Panthers. Entering Thursday's game at Tampa, the Knights had seen eight of their past 10 games finish below the total. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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01-18-18 | Penguins v. Kings -125 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8*). The Kings badly need a victory. Normally, in that situation, a game against the Penguins is less than ideal. However, in tonight's case, I believe that the Kings are catching them at the right time and place. While the Kings were resting, the Pens lost at Anaheim last night. They're just 6-14 (-13.4) against Western Conference teams and 9-15 on the road. They're also just 18-24 (-9.3) their last 42, when playing the second of b2b games. This season, they've been particularly bad, when playing b2b spots, when each of the two games came on the road. The Kings, 8-4 their last 12, when playing with two day's rest are 15-6 (+8.4) against Eastern Conf. teams. The Kings have had recent success vs. the Pens here. Look for them to pick up an important two points tonight. |
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01-18-18 | Coyotes v. Predators -200 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (6*). Considering what a mismatch this is, the line could easily be much higher. (Last time that these teams met here, the Preds were laying -270. They won that one by a 3-1 score.) The Preds, 14-6 at home on the season, have won three straight overall. The Coyotes, 5-19 on the road on the season, have dropped four straight and six of seven. Their lone victory, during that 7-game stretch, came against these same Predators. That 1/4 result should ensure that the Preds dont take the Coyotes lightly tonight. Payback time. |
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01-18-18 | Golden Knights v. Lightning -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). The Knights have finally dropped two in a row. I expect a third straight loss tonight. While the Knights are now a mediocre 11-10 away from Vegas, the Lightning are a dominant 17-5 here at Tampa. The Lightning, who lost at Vegas in December, are 8-3 their last 11 when playing with revenge. Well-rested, having not played since 1/11, its also worth noting that the Lightning are an outstanding 16-4 (+10.8) the last 20 times that they played with three or more day's worth of rest in between games; they're 100% perfect in that situation this season. Payback time. |
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01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -130 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* GAME OF MONTH). Playing with "double-revenge," I expect the Predators to be extremely motivated this evening. Both these teams have been much better at home. The Preds, who lost 3-0 on 1/2 at Vegas, check in off b2b victories, most recently a 2-1 win over Edmonton. They're 13-6 at home. On the other hand, the Knights lost vs. the same Oilers last time out and are 11-9 on the road. When the Preds hosted the Knights earlier, they were laying -160. Tonight's line is considerably lower and that's providing us with excellent value. Payback time! |
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01-15-18 | Islanders v. Canadiens -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). Playing on home ice, I expect the Habs to have the advantage this evening. While the Isles are 9-14 on the road, the Canadiens can get back to .500 at home, with a victory this evening. Note that Montreal allows 2.7 goals per game here while the Isles allow a whopping 3.8 goals per game on the road. Sure, the Isles are off a big win over the rival Rangers. However, they're just 5-8, off a win by two or more goals. With tonight's total set at six, its also worth mentioning that the Isles are just 2-9 when playing a road game, with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. Expect the home fans to leave happy. |
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01-15-18 | Sharks v. Kings -125 | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* ANNIHILATOR). While both teams had yesterday off, the Kings also have the next couple of days off. The Sharks, on the other hand, visit Arizona tomorrow. In addition to being fully focused on the task at hand, off three straight losses, the Kings are going to be extra "hungry." Note that they're a profitable 13-3 (+9.4) the past 16 times that they'd lost their previous three games. While the Sharks get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.6 margin on the road, the Kings outscore teams by a 2.8 to 2.4 average margin here at LA. Kings win. |
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01-14-18 | Flames v. Hurricanes -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canes already beat the Flames by a 2-1 score, at Calgary, back in October. With this evening's rematch being played at Raleigh, where the Canes are typically much better, I expect them to have success again on Sunday. Though they've mixed in a couple of defensive duds in there, the Canes have held five of their last 11 opponents to one goal or less. While the Flames have admittedly been on a nice roll, they still average less than three goals per game, the type of team that the Canes should be able to have success slowing down. The Flames have already done more than they even hoped for on this road trip. That said, I won't be surprised if they're a little complacent. Look for the Canes, who have dropped three of four, to be the hungrier team on Sunday, bouncing back and picking up the important two points. |
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01-14-18 | Flames v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on Calgary/Carolina to finish UNDER the total (10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH). These teams played a low-scoring (2-1) game against each other, at Calgary, back in October. I expect goals to be relatively hard to come by once again. The Canes have alternated between good defensive games and bad ones. In two of their last five games, they limited a pair of talented teams (Pittsburgh and Washington) to just a single combined goal. However, in the other three games, they struggled. Going back further finds that the Canes have held five of their last 11 opponents to one goal or less. While the Flames have admittedly been on a nice roll, they still average less than three goals per game, the type of team that the Canes should be able to have success slowing down. On the other side of the puck, we find that the Flames have now allowed two goals or less in four straight games. In fact, they've now allowed three or less in 17 straight games. Thats pretty impressive. Expect a low-scoring affair. |
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01-14-18 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks -200 | 4-0 | Loss | -200 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams are currently going in opposite directions. The Hawks are off a win, their third in four games. The Wings lost yesterday, their second straight setback. Now playing their third game in four days, the Wings have been outscored by a 9-3 margin the past two games. Note that they're just 2-12 their last 14, after allowing four or more goals. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 27-45 (-19.6) in that situation. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for the Hawks to keep on rolling, improving to 28-11 on Sundays, the past 2+ seasons. |
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01-13-18 | Jets v. Wild -128 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). This one sets up nicely for the revenge-minded Wild. Not only have the Jets beaten them in all three meetings but they hammered the Wild by a 7-2 score last time out. Minnesota hasn't forgotten. While the Jets were busy losing a hard-fought game at Chicago yesterday, the Wild come in well-rested. The Jets are just 20-41 the past 61 times that they played the second of b2b games. The Wild outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.1 margin here, where they've gone 14-7 on the season. Payback time! |
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01-13-18 | Red Wings v. Penguins -189 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Pens are 18-6 (+9.2) their last 24, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During that same span, they're also a highly lucrative 54-21 (+28.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. With the Wings just 2-11 (-10.1) their last 13, ater allowing four or more goals, expect the home team to roll. |
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01-12-18 | Flames v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). The Flames have been on a nice roll but I expect it to come to an end this evening. While the Flames, 11-18 the last 29 times they played the second of b2b games, are off an upset of TB last night, the Panthers are well-rested. The Panthers closed out their road trip with a win at St. Louis. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for them to follow it up with another victory, improving to 6-1 the last seven times that they were off three or more consecutive road games. |
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01-11-18 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on Carolina/Washington to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). These teams just faced each other, at Carolina, on 1/2. They'll also meet again Friday night, also at Carolina. This evening, however, they'll be playing at Washington, where the Caps are typically a much stingier team. The Canes know all about that, as they've managed just three combined goals in their last four visits here. Washington, which came in permitting 2.3 goals allowed per game at home, allowed an early goal against Vancouver its last game here. However, the Caps proceeded to shut the door the rest of the way, eventually winning 3-1. The Caps have now allowed three or fewer goals in 17 of their past 18 games. The Canes check in off b2b losses, most recently losing 5-4 at Tampa. The last time that they were off b2b losses, the second of which was also a 5-4 result, they responded with a shutout victory, winning 4-0. They're going to be determined to improve defensively and I look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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01-10-18 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -220 | 4-3 | Loss | -220 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Sens have had their way with their provincial rivals recently. However, I expect the Leafs to serve up some payback on Wednesday. Ottawa, which was hammered 8-2 last night, is 7-14 on the road. The Leafs, which had yesterday off, are 13-7 at home. The Leafs are 12-8 (+2.6) their last 20 in the revenge role. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I look for them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-09-18 | Panthers v. Blues -158 | 7-4 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* PERS FAV). The Blues are going to come in hungry. Not only have they lost two in a row but the Panthers also beat them, at Florida, when the teams met earlier. Note that the Blues are a lucrative 55-43 (+6.2) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. This season, while the Panthers are a poor 7-15 on the road, the Blues are a solid 15-8 at home. The Blues outscore opponents by an average score of 3.0 to 2.2 here, while outshooting them by an average of 33.9 to 28.7. On the other hand, the Panthers allow more than 35 shots per game overall and they get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.1, when playing on the road. Expect the Blues to bounce back. Big. |
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01-09-18 | Canucks v. Capitals -220 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* VIOLATOR). The Canucks upset the Caps by a 6-2 maring, back in October. That was at Vancouver and when the Canucks were playing better. Currently, however, they're in freefall. Vancouver has lost four straight and eight of nine. Don't expect the Caps, who have won four straight, to show them any mercy. Washington is a lucrative 54-28 (+16) its last 82, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. During that stretch, the Caps are a commanding 72-32 when facing sub-500 teams. Throw in the fact that they're 17-5 at home and this price could easily be even higher. Caps roll. |
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01-09-18 | Jets v. Sabres +1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -200 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals, 6*.) While the Sabres have been losing, they're almost always competitive. Four of their last six games were decided by a single goal. The Jets, who are just 9-14 on the road overall, have also seen two of their last three decided by a single goal. Speaking of "close games," the last two meetings between these teams were both decided by a single goal. The Jets won 4-3 at Winnipeg, a few days ago. Last January, the most recent meeting here at Buffalo, also finished with a final score of 4-3, the Sabres winning that one. I like the Sabres chances of winning outright again. However, with another one goal game a real possibility, I'm electing for the puck-line. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* PERS FAV). Both teams are going to come in hungry, as both are off 2-goal losses. However, the Jackets are considerably better at bouncing back from those type of losses. They're a lucrative 9-3 (+5.1) their last 12, when off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 9-4 when playing with two day's rest. Additionally, they're 9-3 their last 12 as a host in this series. Throw in the fact, the Panthers are 7-14 on the road and the Jackets are 14-7 at home and this line could easily be even higher. |
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01-06-18 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -220 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (6* ANNIHILATOR). The Leafs are playing with 'revenge' from a loss at Vancouver last month. While the Canucks are a dismal 2-10 their last 12 off a divisional game, the Leafs are 11-7 their last 18 when trying to avenge an earlier loss. The Leafs are tough to beat here, going 12-6. They hammered the Canucks here last season and I fully expect them to finish on top, once again. |
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01-05-18 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks -123 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* GAME OF WEEK). After a tough start, the Hawks closed out their road trip with victories in two of their final three games. Now, they return home where they're a respectable 10-7. While the Hawks had Thursday off, the Knights were busy battling St. Louis. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Knights will be playing their third game in four days. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for the Hawks to take advantage and avenge an earlier 10/24 loss, at Vegas. |
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01-04-18 | Kings v. Flames -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). The Flames are going to be hungry. Not only are the Kings ahead of them in the standings but a win tonight gets them back to .500 here at home. The Flames have had success against the Kings, a team who they may still have some "bad blood" with from a game last year. Calgary won, at LA, back in October and also took three of five meetings last season. Admittedly, the Kings have been playing well. Still, having already won the first two legs of this trip, they may not have quite the sense of urgency as their hosts. I like the Flames to dig deep and come away with the two points. |
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01-04-18 | Ducks v. Oilers -126 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). I lost with the Oilers last time out. However, I'm coming right back with them again here. Off b2b shutout losses, the Oilers are going to be in a foul mood. They're still 3-1 off a shutout loss, on the season. After this, the Oilers begin a tough 5-game road trip. They know that they desperately need to take care of business on home ice - and get that first win of 2018 - before they go. While they've been better of late, the Ducks are still a sub-500 team on the road, a divisional rival and the type of team that the Oilers badly need to beat here. Expect them to step up and do just that. |
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01-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Blues -117 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8*). The Knights have continued to amaze all the way into 2018. However, with that amazing run, they're now being treated accordingly by the oddsmakers. In tonight's case, we're getting an (arguably) superior St. Louis team, playing at home, for a very reasonable price. While the Blues are 14-8 at home, the Knights are 10-8 on the road. Looking to avenge an earlier loss at Vegas, expect the Blues to take care of business on Thursday night. |
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01-02-18 | Predators +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 0-3 | Loss | -230 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing NASHVILLE on the puck-line 6* (+1.5 goals) The Knights upset the Preds, at Nasvhille, a few weeks back. That game was decided by a single goal. That loss seemed to light a spark, as the Preds won their next three games by a combined score of 13-1. I expect them to be hungry for some payback tonight. While I like their chances at an outright win, I could also easily see this one "coming down to the wire." The Knights have seen four of their past eight decided by a single goal. The Preds have seen two of their past four. I'm laying the wood and grabbing the extra +1.5. |
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01-02-18 | Kings v. Oilers -115 | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8* PERS FAV). Off a 5-0 loss on New Year's Eve, the Oilers should be all business here. In all three previous instances this season, after getting shutout, the Oilers won their following game. They won those three games by a combined score of 12-5, too. Off a 4-0 loss on 11-5, the Oilers won their next game by a score of 2-1. Off a 1-0 loss on 12/10, they won their next game by a score of 7-2. Off a 0-4 loss on 12-14, they responded with a 3-2 win. Knowing that they're looking up at the Kings in the standings and that they've got an road trip (after they host the Ducks on 1/4) looming, look for the Oilers to bounce back with a much needed two points on Tuesday. |
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01-02-18 | Panthers v. Wild -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Panthers have been on a nice roll, including a win against the Wild on 12/22. However, Florida's winning streak came at home, with the exception of a game at Arizona. Thats noteworthy as they aren't nearly as good on the road while the Wild are generally much better here at Minnesota. While the Panthers are 7-12 on the road, the Wild are 12-6 here at home. The Wild outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.2 margin at home. The Panthers get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.2 margin on the road. Off their 2-0 win against the Habs, note that the Panthers are only 1-6 the past seven times that they were off a win by two or more goals. The Wild have dominated the Panthers here over the years, most recently a 5-1 win last December. Expect them to get some payback here. |
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01-01-18 | Sabres v. Rangers -174 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Rangers won 1-0 against Washington in their last game here, moving to 15-9 here. They since lost at Detroit though, falling to 5-9 on the road. That result, their third loss in four games overall, should ensure that everyone is fully focused on taking care of business. Buffalo continues to struggle and is now just 5-16 on the road. All things considered, this line could easily be even higher. |
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12-31-17 | Jets v. Oilers -143 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -143 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). While I won with the Jets in their last game, I like how this one sets up for the Oilers. Off back-to-back losses and having already lost twice to the Jets, most recently on 12/27, the Oilers are going to be extremely hungry. That 12/27 game came at Winnipeg, where the Jets are considerably stronger. They're just 8-13 on the road, averaging only 2.6 goals per game. With the Oilers averaging a full three per game here at Edmonton, I say its "payback time" on New Year's Eve. |
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12-30-17 | Kings -135 v. Canucks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* PERS FAV). Thursday's win over Chicago notwithstanding, the Canucks have actually been much better on the road than here at Vancouver. They're just 7-13 at home. Meanwhile, the Kings are a solid 11-8 on the road. Playing with revenge from an earlier loss at LA, look for the Kings to close out their year with a win. |
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12-28-17 | Golden Knights v. Kings -147 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* PERS FAV). While the Kings are well-rested, the Knights are playing the second of b2b road games. With LA playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Vegas, look for the home fans to leave happy. |
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12-27-17 | Golden Knights v. Ducks -117 | 4-1 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Knights have been very tough to beat at Vegas. However, they've only been mediocre on the road. The Ducks, finally starting to play better, check in off b2b wins. Playing with "double-revenge," look for them to take care of business tonight. |
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12-27-17 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Canes finally started to get going before the break. They won five of their last six, including each of their last two. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. While the Canes have tomorrow off, the Canadiens could get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown at Tampa, vs. the top team in their division. Carolina keeps it rolling. |
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12-21-17 | Canucks v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ/Vancouver UNDER the total (8* O/U ANNIHILATOR). These teams just played a high-scoring (4-3) game at Vancouver. The venue shifting south of the border, I expect goals to be harder to come by in this evening's rematch. The Sharks have seen the UNDER go 10-3 in games here, when the O/U line was set at 5.5. On the season, games here are averaging 5.2 combined goals. Prior to the 12/15 game, the last six meetings between these teams had all produced five or fewer combined goals. The Canucks didn't score a single goal the last time that they played here. |
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12-21-17 | Avalanche v. Kings -175 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (6* BM BEATDOWN). The Kings are a disciplined team which takes care of weaker teams like Colorado. They're 13-4 (+7) against sub-500 teams. While LA allows 2.2 goals per game at home, Colorado allows 3.7 gpg on the road. While the price may initially seem steep, consider that the Kings were laying greater than -300 the last time that they hosted Colorado; they won that one by a 5-0 score, outshooting the Avs by a 40-22 margin. Lay it. |
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12-21-17 | Ducks v. Islanders -140 | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY (8* ROAST). Both teams are limping towards Christmas but home ice favors the Islanders. The Isles lost at Anaheim earlier, a game where they held a considerable edge in shots on goal. Now they're playing at home, where they're 10-5. Meanwhile, they're catching the Ducks at just 6-11 on the road. While Anaheim scores 2.6 goals per game on the road, the Isles score 4.2 gpg here at home. Payback time. |
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12-21-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Blue Jackets would love a win here. However, the schedule is working against them. While they come in off a game at Toronto last night and playing their their third road game in four days, the Penguins are well rested. Columbus may have the better overall record but the Pens are still stronger at home than the Jackets have been on the road. Expect the home team, highly motivated after dropping four of five and due to looking up at Columbus in the standings, to have the fresher legs. Pens roll. |
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12-19-17 | Canadiens v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver/Montreal to finish UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). The Canucks have been giving up a lot of goals recently. However, they're going to be motivated to change that and a visit from the Habs should be just what they need. Montreal has scored two goals or less in four straight games, getting blanked completely last time out. As for the Canucks, they're scored two or less in five of their last six, managing less than two in four of those. Last season's games had final score of 2-1 and 3-0. The Canucks have still seen the UNDER go 23-13 their last 36 home games with an O/U line of 5.5. I expect those stats to improve tonight. |
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12-18-17 | Penguins -150 v. Avalanche | 2-4 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Pens snapped their losing streak last time out. That recent skid, combined with the fact that the Avs recently beat them at Pittsburgh, will prevent them from overlooking Colorado tonight. The Pens are 23-12 (+9.8) their last 35 in the 'revenge' role. During that span, they were 65-34 against sub-500 teams. They won by a score of 4-1 in their last visit here, a game where they were laying -230. Tonight's far lower price provides very fair value. Pens win. |
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12-17-17 | Panthers +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -190 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing FLORIDA on the puck-line. (8* PERS FAV) (+1.5 goals.) The Panthers have seen three straight games decided by a single goal. Meanwhile, the Knights are off b2b 1-goal games of their own. In fact, five of their past six were decided by only one goal. A closer look shows that Vegas has only won one game by more than a single goal in its past nine games. While I like the Panthers' chances of winning "outright," with another 1-goal game a real possibility, I'm laying the extra juice to get the extra +1.5 goals. |
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12-16-17 | Penguins -160 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams enter on a losing streak. Lengthy losing streaks are nothing new for the Coyotes. However, they don't happen often to the Penguins. The only previous time that they were on a 3-game losing streak, the Pens answered with a 5-2 win over Tampa. Having lost three straight, expect the Pens to bounce back big once again. |
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12-16-17 | Ducks v. Capitals -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Capitals could easily be a bigger favorite here. Washington comes in on a roll, having won two straight and six of its past seven. Note that the Caps scored a minimum of four goals in all six of those victories. Considering that they've scored three or fewer goals in 14 straight games, thats going to make it difficult for the Ducks to keep up. With the Ducks below .500 on the road and the Caps now 13-5 at home, I'm laying the reasonable price with the favorite. |
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12-15-17 | Sharks v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ/Vancouver to finish UNDER the total (8* BEST BET). The Canucks are off a high-scoring game last time out, losing by a score of 7-1. However, I'm expecting goals to be at a premium on Friday night. While they faced a team (Calgary) with a winning record on Thursday night, the Sharks have seen the UNDER go a profitable 14-3 when facing a sub-500 team. The last six meetings between these teams have all produced five or fewer combined goals. More of the same here. |
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12-14-17 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets -150 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After getting embarrassed 7-2 last time out, the Jackets are going to be in a foul mood. Note that they're 6-3 off a loss by two or more goals. The Jackets beat the Isles 5-0 to begin the season. Including that victory, they're 11-6 here. The Isles, on the other hand, are 8-11 on the road. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Jackets have the schedule working for them. Columbus had last night off. On the other hand, NY hosted Dallas. In addition to the b2b spot, this will mark the Isles' third game in four days and seventh game since 12/4. (The Jackets will be playing their 5th since 12/3.) Jackets roll. |
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12-13-17 | Predators v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on Vancouver/Nashville UNDER the total (10* BLUE CHIP). After each came up short last time out, both these teams will be looking to improve defensively this evening. While recent meetings at Nashville have been high-scoring, the last time that the Preds played here at Vancouver, the final score was 1-0. The Preds have seen the UNDER go 6-3 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Canucks have seen the UNDER go 7-4 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect those stats to improve this evening. |
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12-12-17 | Avalanche v. Capitals -190 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* BLOWOUT). Both teams played last night. The fact that the Caps lost while the Isles won, should make Washington extra hungry. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Avs hammered the Caps when these teams met at Denver a few weeks ago. With the Caps at 51-28 (+13) in the revenge role the past 2+ seasons, I'm laying the wood. |
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12-11-17 | Hurricanes +103 v. Ducks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* DOG OF MONTH). Both teams have been struggling of late; both are going to be hungry for a victory. The Ducks are expected to get their captain back, as Getzlaf is expected to return. That certainly makes them a better team. However, they're still dealing with a lot of issues. Getzlaf can't be expected to work miracles in his first game back and when a "star" returns from a long layoff, there's often a tendency for other players to relax just a little, thinking that "everything's going to be ok, now." The Canes are looking to avenge a loss at Raleigh from late October. The Canes held a 37-25 edge in shots for that game but lost in a shootout. I believe the Canes are a little better than their record indicates. They're healthier than their hosts and I expect them to get some payback tonight. |
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12-10-17 | Oilers +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line (6*). (+1.5 goals) The Leafs just beat the Oilers in Edmonton last week. The Oilers outshot them by a 45-36 count but the Leafs made theirs count. Since then, all three of Toronto's games have been decided by a single goal. Since the loss against the Leafs, the Oilers have scored 15 goals in winning two of their last three. The Oilers lost by a single goal (3-2 on 11/1/16) their last visit here, despite outshooting the Leafs by a 46-31 margin. While I like Edmonton's chances of an outright win, another "close one" won't surprise. |
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12-09-17 | Canucks v. Flames -162 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* PERS FAV). These teams both have 32 points through 29 games. They've split a pair of meetings thus far, the visiting team winning each. The Flames, who badly want to improve their play here at home, have still taken four of the past six here against the Canucks. I believe they bring considerably more to the table and that the over-achieving Canucks are likely to start falling back to earth. While the Canucks are off a 4-1 loss to the Flyers, the Flames bring some positive momentum; they're off a 3-2 win over the Habs. Having played their last three in Vancouver, note that the Canucks are just 11-27 (-15) the past couple of seasons, after having played three or more consec. home games. Flames win. |
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12-09-17 | Golden Knights v. Stars -170 | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS (8* ANNIHILATOR). While the Stars had last night off, the Knights are playing the second of b2b road games. Off back-to-back losses, the Stars are going to be angry. They're an outstanding 40-19 (+23) the past 2+ seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. Their 'long-term' numbers in that situation are also strong. This is a team which has effectively bounced back from bad losses from years. Even with last night's victory, the Knights are still below .500 on the road. The Stars, on the other hand, are 10-3 at home. Vegas gets outscored by a 3.7 to 3.1 mark away from home, Dallas outscores teams by a 3.5 to 2.2 margin here. All things considered, this line could easily be even higher. |
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12-08-17 | Wild v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Minnesota/Anaheim to finish UNDER the total. The last meeting between these teams finished with a score of 1-0. That was at Minnesota but recent meetings here at Anaheim have also been low-scoring. I expect goals to be at a premium again this evening. The Wild are going to be looking to improve defensively, after allowing five goals last time out. Meanwhile, the Ducks are off a 3-0 shutout win last time out. They've seen the UNDER go 9-4-4 the past 17 times that they were off a shutout win and 8-2 their last 10 home games, when the O/U line was 5.5. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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12-08-17 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -180 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8*). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off five straight losses, the Hawks are going to be an angry team. Note that the Hawks are a perfect 4-0 against the Sabres the past couple of seasons. While the Hawks are outscoring teams by an average of 3.5 to 2.6 here at Chicago, the Sabres get outscored by an average of 3.8 to 2.5 on the road. No Crawford. No problem. |
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12-08-17 | Golden Knights v. Predators -180 | 4-3 | Loss | -180 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8*). The Knights have been outstanding at home but only mediocre on the road. They're 3-6 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Predators, on the other hand, are a perfect 5-0 when playing at home with an O/U line of six or more. While the Preds average four goals per game at home, the Knights allow 3.7 gpg away from Vegas. Look for home ice to make the difference, the Preds moving to 10-2 their last 12, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-08-17 | Rangers v. Capitals -128 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* PERS FAV). At this price, the Capitals are offering excellent value. True, the Rangers are rolling at the moment. They're only 4-5 on the road, however. Meanwhile, the Caps are also rolling and they're 11-5 at home. While the Rangers get outscored by an average score of 3.7 to 3.3 on the road, the Caps outscore teams by an average margin of 3.1 to 2.2 here at home. The Caps won the last meeting by a 2-0 score. They were favored by greater than -200 for that one. I'm happy to lay the much shorter price this evening. |
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12-06-17 | Flyers v. Oilers -115 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers snapped their losing streak last time out. However, that was their first win in nearly a month. Asking them to do so twice in a row is asking a lot, particularly against a talented and revenge-minded Oiler team which is finally showing signs of coming around. The Oilers have scored 18 goals in their past four games, winning three of those. The home team won both meetings last season. Having already lost at Philly this season, expect the Oilers to get some payback tonight. |
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12-05-17 | Islanders v. Lightning -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
6* BM BLOWOUT on the Tampa Bay Lightning. Here’s another game which I don’t think we need to “overthink.” I don’t mind laying chalk when the situation calls for it and here’s a perfect example of that. The Islanders are the highest scoring team in the league, but they come in off an exhausting (and very satisfying!) 5-4 shootout win at Florida just last night. And with upcoming games at Pittsburgh on Thursday and then in New York against the Rangers on Saturday, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors already looking ahead to those tough contests. The Lightning on the other hand have had two whole nights off to prepare for this one after most recently handling the Sharks 5-2 in their latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Bolts after they fell 5-3 to the Isles back on November 18th. This line could in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, Lightning roll. |
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12-04-17 | Flyers +1.5 v. Flames | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
6* BM BLOWOUT on the Philadelphia Flyers (PUCK-LINE). The Flyers are desperate as they come to Calgary riding a ten-game losing streak. Calgary comes in off a 7-5 loss at home to the Oilers. The Flames have two nights off before an extended Eastern road swing, so the possibility of the team in some small way “looking ahead” is not out of the question obviously. Flyers’ goaltender Brian Elliot is 6-6-6 with a 2.98 GAA this season. Elliot is 8-3-0 with a 1.69 GAA against Calgary lifetime, while backup Michal Neuvirth is 3-1-1 with a 2.15 GAA lifetime against the Flames. Calgary starter Mike Smith was pulled after giving up five goals on 27 shots in the first two periods against the Oilers last time out. Smith is 6-7-2 with a 3.44 GAA lifetime against Philadelphia. Interesting to note that despite losing ten in a row, Philadelphia has taken half of those contests past regulation. The bounces start going the other way tonight. While I wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, I’ll gladly lay the price for a game which I predict will be finished late or in extra time. |
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12-04-17 | Bruins v. Predators -130 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
9* PERSONAL FAVORITE on Nashville Predators. Boston comes in off a 3-0 win over Philadelphia, while the Predators come in off a 3-2 shootout victory over Anaheim. Boston ranks just 25th in the NHL in scoring with a average of 2.71 GPG, while ranked ninth on the defensive side by allowing 2.79. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 5-10 with a 2.65 GAA this year (Boston is just 5-6 on the road.) Nashville averages 3.04 GPG and allows 2.81. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 15-6 with a 2.35 GAA, including 10-2 with a 2.52 GAA at home (The Predators are 10-3 in front of the home town crowd this year.) The home team has won 16 of the last 21 in this series and I think it offers great value in this spot once again. Lay the price, Predators roll. |
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12-04-17 | Sharks v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL on under Sharks/Capitals. San Jose comes in off a 5-2 loss at Tampa Bay, while the Capitals enter off a 4-3 home win over Columbus. San Jose averages just 2.56 GPG, while allowing only 2.24. Goaltender Martin Jones is 10-7 with a 2.23 GAA, while vs. the Capitals he’s gone 4-0 with a 1.00 GAA. Washington averages just 2.89 GPG, while ranked 20th on the defensive side by allowing 3.07. Goaltender Braden Holtby is 14-6 with a 2.63 GAA, including 8-4 with a 2.08 GAA at home. San Jose has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 following a loss by three goals or more, while Washignton has seen it dip under in eight of its last 11 following a victory. Play the under. |
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12-03-17 | Senators v. Jets -147 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
10* PERSONAL FAVORITE on Winnipeg Jets. Ottawa comes in off a 6-5 road win over the Islanders and suffice it to say, I’m expecting an immediate return to mediocrity in this one. Winnipeg enters off a 7-4 home victory over Vegas. Ottawa’s victory over the Islanders snapped a seven game slide. The Senators average 3.04 GPG, while allowing 3.21. Goaltender Craig Anderson is 7-11 with a 3.15 GAA this season. Winnipeg averages 3.38 GPG and allows 2.73. Goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 14-5 with a 2.43 GAA overall, including going 9-1 with a 2.39 GAA at home (note that he’s 2-0 with a 2.00 GAA lifetime against Ottawa.) With two nights off before a game at Anaheim, I think the visitors stumble again here. The Jets also have two nights off before a three game road trip and are 9-2-1-0 overall in front of the home town crowd. I expect Winnipeg to come in focused and to take full advantage of this situation. Lay the price, Jets roll. |
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12-02-17 | Red Wings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -116 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL on the under Wings/Habs. After a disastrous start, the Habs have been rolling behind the red hot play of goaltender Carey Price. Montreal has now won five straight. The Wings though are struggling and they’ll be looking to atone for their 6-3 loss to this very Montreal team on home ice Thursday. Wings’ netminder Jimmy Howard is 8-8-4 with a 2.75 GAA. Note that Detroit averages 2.7 GPG. The Habs average just 2.5 GPG, while allowing 3.07. Price though is back from injury and he turned aside 28 of 31 from the Wings on Thursday. After the blowout, high-scoring affair on Thursday, I expect a much “chippier” all around contest here and I ultimately look for this one to fall under once the final horn sounds. |
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12-02-17 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -133 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
8* play on the Washington Capitals. Columbus has a “cream puff” at home on Friday night agains the Ducks, while Washington will be looking to return to the winners circle after falling 5-2 at home to the Kings. Columbus averages just 2.73 GPG, but makes up for it on the defensive end by allowing only 2.36. Backup goaltender Joonas Korpisalo is 2-3 with a 2.97 GAA and just 1-2 with a 3.67 GAA on the road. Washington averages 2.85 GPG, while allowing 3.08. Goaltender Braden Holtby is 13-6 with a 2.61 GAA overall, while going 7-4 with a 1.99 GAA at home. I like Holtby to outduel his counterpart and for the Jackets to come in with “heavy legs” in the second game of the back to back. Lay the price, Capitals roll. |