Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-13-20 | Stars v. Maple Leafs -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs won at Dallas earlier this season. Playing at Toronto, I expect them to have the advantage again this evening. Note that Dallas is just 10-18 (-8.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During that span, the Stars are also only 42-45 in non-conf. games. The Leafs, on the other hand, are 52-32 (+5) when playing a non-conf. opponent. Look for home ice to prove the difference in this one. |
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02-13-20 | Flyers v. Panthers -121 | 6-2 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. These teams met a few days ago, at Philadelphia. Playing on home ice, the Flyers won 4-1. Tonight's game is at Florida though. Playing on home ice and with "recent revenge," I now expect the Panthers to have the advantage. When these teams played here in November, the Panthers won 5-2. Going back further finds that Florida is 4-0 the last four times it hosted the Flyers, 7-1 the past eight meetings here. Look for the Panthers to improve to 50-33 the past 2+ seasons, when playhing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. |
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02-11-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers -120 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Both teams are going to want this one. The Hawks have dropped three straight while the Oilers have lost two of three. Playing at home, I expect Edmonton to have the advantage. The Hawks won when these teams met at Chicago. Edmonton is 18-13 (+6.9) when playing with revenge. As for the Hawks, they're just 15-24 (-8) the past 2+ seasons, after having lost their previous three or more games. While the Oilers have tomorrow off, the Hawks have a game at Vancouver. Knowing their next three are on the road, look for the revenge-minded Oilers to take care of business on home ice here. |
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02-11-20 | Red Wings v. Sabres -196 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Wings may have scored an upset against Boston last time out. However, that was at home and they were catching the Bruins playing the second of b2b games. Here, they're facing a motivated Buffalo team which is rested and playing on its own ice. I expect the Sabres to have a significant advantage. The fact that the Wings won here less than a week ago will add some extra urgency to the Sabres this evening. Even with last week's win here, the Wings are still 7-19 against sub-500 teams. Look for the revenge-minded Sabres to take care of business tonight. |
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02-10-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -168 | 5-3 | Loss | -168 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The visiting team has had some success in this season's series but I expect that to change this evening. Note that the Isles have scored 63 goals on the road this season as compared to Washington's 96 at home. Also, note that the Isles are just 1-5 their last six against teams with a winning record. This is the Capitals' final home game before hitting the road for a bit. They just got embarrassed (7-2) by the Flyers last game and are just 1-2 through the first three games here. They're going to be highly motivated to bounce back and close out the homestand with a victory. Given the fact that they're 15-3 (+10.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game, I like their chances of doing so. Washington rolls. |
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02-09-20 | Ducks v. Sabres -123 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Ducks beat the Sabres back in the fall. Playing on home ice, I expect the Sabres to have the advantage in this afternoon's rematch. Note that the Sabres won 3-0 the last meeting here. The Ducks are 10-20 on the road, giving up 28 more goals than they've scored. Off a 5-4 loss, note that the Ducks are 3-10 after scoring four or more goals. Off a win at MSG and with the Red Wings on deck, the Sabres know this is a stretch where they can build some points. Look for them to do so today. |
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02-08-20 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing ARIZONA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Bruins heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to to get an extra +1.5 goals, with what should be a desperate pack of Coyotes, for quite a reasonable price. Consider that the Bruins are off a 1-goal win and that the Coyotes have seen two of their last three losses come by a single goal. Then, consider that all three meetings between the Bruins and Coyotes, since 2018, have been decided by a single goal. Boston won 2-1, 4-3 and 1-0. While the Coyotes have tomorrow off, the Bruins have an Original 6 showdown at Detroit on deck tomorrow. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" from the visitors. |
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02-08-20 | Senators v. Jets -174 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG.The Jets went through a tough stretch recently, losing five straight and seven of eight. However, they've since responded by winning two of their last three. Having turned the corner, the last thing they want to do is stumble against the struggling Senators. Rather, this is an opportunity for them to build some momentum. Note that Ottawa has been outscored by a 97-61 mark on the road this season. The Jets also haven't forgotten that the Sens upset them here last February. With Ottawa just 26-56 after a loss by two or more goals, its time for the Jets to "make things right." Winnipeg rolls. |
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02-07-20 | Wild v. Stars -180 | 3-2 | Loss | -180 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Stars to take care of the former "North Stars" tonight. These teams have met three times. The first was here at Dallas, the Stars won 6-3. The next two were both at Minnesota. The Wild won the first 3-2 and the most recent (1/18) by a dominating 7-0 margin. Needless to say, Dallas hasn't forgotten that embarrassment. Yes, I won with the Wild last night. However, that was at home and they're just 12-24 (-13.4) their last 36, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, the Wild are also an ugly 9-21 (-15.1) after playing their previous three at home. The Stars are 11-2 (+8.9) when playing with two day's rest. This won't end well for the Wild. |
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02-07-20 | Sabres +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Rangers heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with Buffalo for a relatively reasonable price. While I do like the Sabres' chances of the outright win, I also feel that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. The Sabres lost by a goal last night, their second 1-goal game in their past three. The Rangers are 4-3 their past seven but two of those wins were only by a goal. The last time that the Sabres played the second of b2b games, they won 5-1. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" this evening. |
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02-06-20 | Sharks v. Oilers -167 | 6-3 | Loss | -167 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Sharks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 3-0 loss, the Oilers are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're 11-4 (+8.2) when off a loss by two or more goals. The Oilers are also a respectable 11-7 here at home, when the O/U line was six or more. Thats a whole lot better than the Sharks' 6-14 (-7.3) mark when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far, but both those were at SJ. Catching the Sharks "out of their tank," expect the Oilers to take care of business on home ice. |
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02-06-20 | Canucks v. Wild -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild are off a much needed momentum-building win last time out. The Canucks, on the other hand, have dropped two straight. Playing the final leg of a road trip, they're already thinking about getting home to Vancouver. The Wild play with revenge from a loss here a few weeks ago. Note that Minnesota was laying -160 for that one. That result notwithstanding, the Wild have been better at home than the Canucks have been on the road. The Canucks are now 20-35 (-6) the past 55 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. I say the revenge-minded Wild finish on top. |
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02-05-20 | Maple Leafs -128 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. With this game being played at MSG instead of in Toronto, we're able to get a superior Leafs team at a relatively reasonable price. Consider that the Leafs were laying -245 for the last meeting. That was on 12/28, at Toronto, and the Rangers won. So, the Leafs are going to have payback on their minds. In fact, the road team has won the last three in this series, including a 6-3 win by the Leafs in their last trip here. Both teams lost 5-3 on Monday. However, while the Rangers are 26-44 (-15.4) the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, the Leafs are 37-26. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-04-20 | Blackhawks v. Wild -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild have had a couple of days off to recover from a 6-1 beating at the hands of the Bruins. They get tomorrow off and they're going to be fully focused on bouncing back while also avenging an earlier loss at Chicago. The Hawks host the Bruins tomorrow, an Original-6 matchup they could easily get caught looking ahead to. While the Hawks have been respectable on the road, the Wild have been a little better here at home. Playing on home ice, expect the highly motivated Wild to have the edge. |
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02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins -178 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Home ice means a great deal to both of these teams. The Bruins are 17-2-9 at home but 14-8-3 on the road. The Canucks are 17-5-3 at home but 13-13-2 on the road. Knowing that they'll face these same Canucks, at Vancouver, in a couple of weeks, the Bruins will go all out to "hold serve" at home. The Bruins haven't forgotten that the Canucks swept them last season, nor have they forgotten that the Canucs dropped eight goals on them in the game here at Boston, a game the Bruins were laying -265 for. The Canucks did have Monday off but this is still their third road game in the past four days, the first two both going past regulation. The well-rested Bruins, who have won three straight, are a dominant 34-14 the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to take care of business tonight. |
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02-04-20 | Avalanche v. Sabres +1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While I like the Sabres to win this one outright, getting an extra +1.5 goals could very well come in handy. Note that the Sabres are off a 1-goal game against Columbus. The Avs were cooled down in their last game, losing 6-3 at Philly. While the Avs are the significant favorite on the money-line (the reason we're able to get the extra +1.5 goals at a reasonable price) the Sabres actually have a slightly better home record than Colorado does on the road. They're 15-8-3 at home while the Avs are 14-9-2 on the road. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the home team. |
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02-04-20 | Stars v. Islanders -122 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NYI. In addition to playing at home, the Isles have the schedule in their favor for this one. They had the last two days off while the Stars are off a win at MSG last night. Note that NY is 6-2 (+3.8) when playing with two day's rest. While the Isles have a +11 goal differential at home, the Stars sit at -5 on the road. Off b2b wins, the Stars could be a little complacent. The Isles, on the other hand, are going to be hungry, having lost four of their last five. Expect them to bounce back with an important two points. |
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02-02-20 | Canucks v. Hurricanes -160 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Canucks are off a hard-fought OT win yesterday afternoon against the Islanders, the Canes had the day off. Having lost themsleves the previous day, the Canes are going to be angry and determined this afternoon. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Canucks beat Carolina 1-0 back in December, in Vancouver. That result notwithstanding, the Canes have done a great job against teams from the West as they are 14-6 in non-conference action. They're also 14-6 (+7.7) against teams with a winning record. Even with some recent road wins, the Canucks are still below 500 on the road while the Canes are still dominant here at Raleigh. They won, as -200 favorites, as a host in this series last season. Schedule and setup in their favor, I expect them to take care of business once again. |
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02-02-20 | Penguins v. Capitals -135 | 4-3 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Its always a good show when Crosby and Ovechkin go head-to-head. Playing at home, I expect the Caps to have the advantage in the latest battle between the two superstars. Washington is the top team in the leauge, in terms of points. However, the Caps know that the Pens have beaten them twice in a row, both last season. They're going to be extremely determined to avoid having it become three in a row. Indeed, this is the first of four meetings over the next seven weeks and the Caps are absolutely going to want to "hold serve" on home ice. Both teams are playing well. The Caps are off a 5-3 win, the Pens are off a 4-3 win. While the Pens are 12-11 (-2.6) after scoring four or more goals, the Caps are 19-8 (+6.5) when doing so. Washington rolls. |
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02-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -152 | 3-2 | Loss | -152 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. They haven't played since way back on 1/21. Rust could easily be a factor. They're 8-13 (-4.2) the past 21 times that they played with three or more day's rest. The Coyotes, on the other hand, have a couple of games under their belts since the break. That should help them here. The fact that they lost them (and the two before the break) figures to also help. They're going to be extremely motivated to avoid another loss. While I did successfully play against them in their last game, the Coyotes have handled the Hawks this season and I say they do so again this evening. |
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02-01-20 | Golden Knights v. Predators -123 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While the trip was broken up by the All Star Break, the Knights have been on the road for a long time. Indeed, this is their sixth straight road game, of an 8-game trip. Even with yesterday's hard-fought win, the Knights are still 1-5 after playing their previous three on the road. The Preds, who had yesterday off, have won three of four including back-to-back wins. They wont have forgotten that the Knights beat them here in November. They're 28-18 (+5.6) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. Schedule and venue in their favor, its payback time. |
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02-01-20 | Stars v. Devils +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing NJ on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals.) While I like the Devils' chances of the outright win, I'm expecting a close game. While the price may seem a little steep, the value of an extra +1.5 goals can't be understated. (Yesterday alone, I had two plays at +1.5 goals and both lost by a single goal.) The Stars are just 39-44 (-14.4) vs the money-line in non-conf games the past 2+ seasons. The Stars have really struggled over the years here. The Devils' 3-0 win against them here last season brought NJ to 11-3 its last 14 as a host in this series. A closer look reveals that the three Dallas wins ALL came by a single goal. In other words, they haven't won by more than a goal here in their past 14 visits. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" from the home team. |
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02-01-20 | Canucks v. Islanders -136 | 4-3 | Loss | -136 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. While the Canucks have been hot, I expect the Isles to have the advantage in this early start in the Eastern Time Zone. In addition to being a West Coast based team playing an early game in the East, the Canucks have a game at Raleigh tomorrow, while the Isles have tomorrow off. These teams will see each other again on 3/10, at Vancouver. The Canucks may have the advantage in that one, as they're currently 17-8 (17-5-3) at home. They're only 12-14 (12-13-1) on the road though. The Isles swept the Canucks last season and have won six of the past seven meetings, including each of the past three at home. They won those games by scores of 5-2, 5-2 and 4-2. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles continuing their series dominance for at least one more game. |
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01-31-20 | Lightning v. Ducks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals.) While I won with the Lightning in their last game, a 4-2 win at LA, I expect them to have their hands full this evening. The Lightning did win by a comfortable 6-2 margin when these teams met at Tampa earlier. However, the previous seven meetings had all been close. Tampa won four of those seven games but ALL four wins came by a single goal. The last four meetings here at Anaheim have all had identical 2-1 scores. With TB a heavy favorite on the money-line, we're able to get the extra +1.5 goals at a fairly reasonable price. Thats the way I'm going. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the home team in this one. |
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01-31-20 | Bruins v. Jets +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing WINNIPEG on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While I like the Jets' chances of winning this one outright, it could well be close. The Jets last game was deciced by a single goal and the Bruins are off b2b 1-goal games. This season's earlier meeting was also decided by a single goal, a 5-4 home win for the Bruins a couple of weeks ago. Hungry for revenge and to snap their current skid, we'll see a highly motivated effort from the home team here. This month's earlier meeting was typical of games between these teams. In fact, the last five meetings have all been decided by a single goal. The Jets won both the games at Winnipeg "outright," with victories of 4-3 and 5-4. The Jets are 7-2 (+5.4) vs. the money-line, the past 2+ seasons, when off three or more consec. losses. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" this evening. |
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01-31-20 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes -147 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -147 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Knights had been struggling before the break and they'll be hungry to get a win. The problem with that is that this is NOT the venue for a struggling team to get healthy. Knowing that they'll face these same Knights in Vegas, next week, the Canes absolutely understand that they need to "hold serve" on home ice here. After all, they're just 12-12 (12-10-2) away from Raleigh but a much better 17-9 (17-8-1) here on home ice. While both teams have had a long layoff, I like the fact that the Canes have tomorrow off, while the Knights play at Nashville. Home ice was the difference in last season's games between these teams. The Knights won 3-0 at Vegas. Then, almost exactly one year ago to today, the Canes answered with a 5-2 win. Look for home ice to again prove significant here. |
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01-30-20 | Kings +1.5 v. Coyotes | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing LA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) I successfully played against the Kings last night. I noted that they might be a bit rusty due to the long layoff and that the Lightning would benefit from having already played and lost. Here's an excerpt from that writeup: "The fact that the Lightning already played (and lost) a game since the Break should serve them well here. The last thing they want to do is come out of the break and drop two in a row. The Kings have had a long layoff and may not quite be as sharp because of it ... " The shoe is on the other foot this time though. Yes, LA is playing the second of b2b games. However, the Kings had plenty of rest before that. Arizona, on the other hand, hasn't played in ages; the Coyotes' last game was back on 1/18. The Coyotes weren't playing that well before the break either, having lost five of their last six. The last meeting between these teams resulted in a 1-goal win for the Coyotes. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" from the revenge-minded Kings. |
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01-29-20 | Lightning -186 v. Kings | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The fact that the Lightning already played (and lost) a game since the Break should serve them well here. The last thing they want to do is come out of the break and drop two in a row. The Kings have had a long layoff and may not quite be as sharp because of it. Of course, the Lightning are the much better team, regardless of the situation. They were laying -280 when they beat the Kings, at Tampa, two weeks ago. However, because this one is at LA, the price is far more reasonable. The Lightning have had no problem winning here though as they've beaten the Kings seven straight times overall, including each of their last three. They won those three games here by a combined score of 13-5. I say Tampa gets it done again. |
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01-27-20 | Blues v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on St. Louis/Vancouver OVER the total. The last meeting between these teams had an O/U line of six. Tonight, we're working with an O/U line of 5.5; the extra half goal is significant. The Canucks, who average and allow three goals a game on the season, have scored three or more goals in four of their past five. They scored four or more in three of those. Meanwhile, the Blues have scored three or more goals in eight straight games, those games averaging more than seven combined goals. Not surprisingly, six of those eight games finished above the number. Even the two games which stayed below the total still finished with five goals. So, they were close, too. The other six had combined scores of 8, 7, 7, 6, 9 and 10. The first game back after the All Star Break is a bit unique; last year the Blues' first game back finished with six goals, a 4-2 final. The Canucks' first game back from the break also finished with six, a 5-1 final. I say this one also finishes with AT LEAST six. |
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01-22-20 | Jets +1.5 v. Blue Jackets | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing WINNIPEG on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Jackets heavily favored on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Jets for a relatively reasonable price. While I do like the Jets' chances of winning outright, I also feel that the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Yes, Winnipeg played (4-1 loss) yesterday. The fact that the Jets are playing the second of b2b games is part of the reason that the Jackets are favored by as much as they are on the ML. However, I'm not too worried about the b2b spot. For one, the Jets lost, so there won't be any complacency tonight. Also, the Jets have played on the road, after playing the previous night, four previous times this season. In all four instances, the next game was decided by a single goal. They lost 5-4 at Boston and 2-1 at LA and they won 4-3 at Vegas and 5-4 at NJ. Speaking of close games, Columbus has seen two of its last three decided by a single goal. Also, three of four meetings between these teams were also decided by a single goal, the Jets winning the other by a 5-2 score. Expect a highly motivated effort from the visitors to lead to AT LEAST another "puck-line cover." |
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01-21-20 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Bruins | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing VEGAS on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) The Bruins just split a pair of games with the Pens. I won with them in the game they won and successfully played against them in the rematch. While the Bruins are likely to be a popular pick, I expect them to have their hands full with whats going to be a determined Vegas team. While the Knights' recent coaching change may have seemingly come out of nowhere, a new coach generally gets the most from a hockey team, in the first handful of games. The Knights lost their last game by a single goal, after winning their previous game by a 4-2 score. As for Boston, the Bruins are only 5-6 their last 11 games and three of those five wins came by a goal. So, they'd be 2-9 in those gams, if being asked to win by more than a goal. Speaking of close games, the last two meetings between these teams were both 1-goal wins for the Bruins. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" for the revenge-minded Knights. |
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01-19-20 | Jets +101 v. Blackhawks | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Home ice hasn't meant much in this series, this season. The road team has won both meetings. The Jets won 3-2 here early in the season while the Hawks won 4-1 at Winnipeg, in December. Overall, however, the Jets have dominated the Hawks, regardless of venue the past couple of seasons. They're 6-1 the past seven meetings, 3-0 their last three here at Chicago. Off a game yesterday, their fourth straight win, the Hawks could be a little complacent. That absolutely shouldn't be the case for the Jets, as they've dropped three of four and got embarrassed by a 7-1 score in their last game. They're 28-15 (+12.1) the past couple of seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, a dominant 8-1 their last nine in that situation. Expect them to be the hungrier team, bouncing back with an important win. |
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01-19-20 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers -117 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY. Both teams are playing well right now. The Jackets have won four straight and six of seven. The Rangers aren't far off that pace. They've won back-to-back games and four or their past five. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect it be the Rangers who "stay hot" this evening. While the Jackets played yesterday, the Rangers have had the past couple of days off. Columbus is 3-4 in b2b situations, 18-22 the past 2+ seasons. The Rangers, already 1-0 against Columbus, have thrived against divisional opponents. They're 10-3 (+10.6) Metropolitan teams. Even still, they're still looking up at Columbus in the standings. That makes this game very important for the Rangers and I expect them to make the most of it. |
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01-19-20 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Isles are going to want this one, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Carolina is 3-1 (+1.3) when off three or more consecutive losses. Though the Isles, who lost at Washington Sat. afternoon, have had some success, when playing the second of b2b games, I'd still prefer to have had a day's worth of rest in between games. Unlike its guest, Carolina didn't play yesterday. The Canes have thrived at home and they're 12-6 when facing a team with a winning record. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to bounce back with an important two points. |
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01-19-20 | Bruins v. Penguins -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. I won with the Bruins when these teams faced each other on Thursday. However, that was at Boston. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Pittsburgh, I expect the revenge-minded Penguins to have the advantage. The Bruins are 5-6 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. The Pens, on the other hand, are 12-7 at home with an O/U line of six or more. Going back further finds Pitt. at 56-36 in that situation the past 2+ seasons while Boston is 23-28 (-10.8) in road games with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens are 15-8 (+6) in the revenge role. I say, its payback time. |
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01-18-20 | Sharks +1.5 v. Canucks | 1-4 | Loss | -170 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing SAN JOSE on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) The Sharks are going to be extremely hungry. They've already dropped the first two games of their current trip and badly want a victory before returning home. While I like them to win "outright," I also believe that getting an extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Indeed, five of the Sharks' last eight games have been decided by a single goal. The Canucks survived their "first game back" home from their road trip. However, when teams do that, its often the second game back home where it catches up with them. While these teams split a pair of earlier meetings, both at SJ, the Sharks are a dominant 13-3 the last 16 meetings. If the Canucks do find a way to win, it won't be easy. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" for the motivated visitors. |
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01-16-20 | Hurricanes -131 v. Blue Jackets | 2-3 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes haven't forgotten that the Jackets beat them twice back in October. They're coming in angry and I expect them to get some payback. While they lost 2-0 last time out, note that Carolina had blanked its previous two opponents, winning 3-0 and 2-0. The Canes are 10-4 (+5.2) when playing with two day's rest and they're 5-1 (+2.6) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-16-20 | Kings v. Panthers -179 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. We're getting the Panthers at a slightly discounted price due to the fact that they'll have their "backup" goalie in net. However, the reality is that Driedger has been better than Bobrovsky. While Bobrovsky has a huge salary and is a former 2-time Vezina Trophy winner, he's also got a 3.29 GAA and a .896 save percentage. Thats the fourth worst GAA in the league and the sixth worst save percentage amongst goalies that have faced a minimum of 500 shots. Driedger, meanwhile, is 5-2 with a 2.40 GAA and a .931 save percentage. Last time out, he made 43 saves against the Leafs. Coach Quenneville noted: "That was a surprise start for him. I thought he handled it real well." The Kings aren't nearly as dangerous as the Leafs and I expect Driedger to continue his strong play. Indeed, LA is just 7-19 on the road, getting outscored by a 90-61 margin. The Panthers, on the other hand, have outscored visiting teams by a 99-79 count. The last time that the Kings visited, Florida won 6-1. Including that result, which came last February, the Panthers are 23-9 (+8.5) when facing a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-16-20 | Penguins v. Bruins -135 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Off back-to-back losses and knowing that they'll face these same Penguins, at Pittsburgh, in a few days, I expect a highly motivated performance from the Bruins. Last time out, the Bruins were blanked 3-0, at Columbus. Therefore, it's worth noting that they're a profitable 22-9 (+9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a game where they scored one goal or less. During that span, the Bruins are 35-20 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens, meanwhile, are a money-burning 40-45 (-14.9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Over the same period, Pittsburgh is 16-18 (-10) when off three or more consec. victories. The Bruins beat the Pens here earlier and I look for them to do so again on Thursday night. |
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01-15-20 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -165 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The streaky Habs have lost eight games in a row twice this season. After the first 8-game skid, they responded by winning four of five and six of eight. The Canadiens have now snapped the second of those 8-game losing streaks and have won two in a row. Tonight, in addition to having the venue in their favor, the Habs also have the schedule working for them. While they had last night off, the Hawks are off an OT win at Ottawa. The Hawks continue to deal with a number of injuries and those absences figure to catch up with them here, in the back-to-back spot. Look for streaky Montreal to take advantage of the venue/schedule, improving to 24-11 its last 35, when off three consecutive games which finished below the total. |
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01-14-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Off three straight losses, playing with "triple revenge," the Avs are going to be extremely motivated for this one. Last time out, they lost 4-3 against Pittsburgh, in OT. Thats noteworthy as they're a lucrative 10-4 (+5.9) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Last time that the Avs had lost three straight, they immediately snapped the skid with a 7-3 win over the Blues. This game has an O/U line of 5.5. The Stars are 29-38 (-7.6) the past 2+ seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same span, the Avs are 20-12 (+4.1) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Avs roll. |
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01-14-20 | Canucks v. Jets -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jets have lost two in a row, most recently falling 1-0 against Nashville. That was their first game back from a road trip, often a difficult spot, which had concluded with a 5-4 loss at Boston. Those are two tough teams, both of them better, in my opinion than the Canucks. Now, they've gotten the first game back home out of the way and they're going to be very hungry from the two losses. Note that the Jets are 7-1 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds the Jets at a lucrative 27-15 (+11.1) in that situation. The last time that they were off b2b losses, the Jets bounced back with a win against Montreal. They've absolutely dominated the Canucks in recent seasons and we can expect that to continue here. |
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01-12-20 | Canucks v. Wild -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Wild are well-rested, the Canucks are playing their second game in two days and their third in the past four. Off b2b losses, the Wild are going to be hungry. They've taken b2b meetings and three of the last four (all last season) against Vancouver. The last meeting here, the Wild were laying -250 and they won 6-2. Needless to say, we're getting a far more reasonable price here. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Wild to bounce back and improve to 6-2 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. |
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01-11-20 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -208 | 3-0 | Loss | -208 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Going to Vegas on the weekend, at the end of a road trip, is less than ideal. Neither is catching the Knights off b2b losses. Indeed, Vegas is going to be hungry for a "W." That's particularly true given the fact that the Knights hit the road after this. They know they need to take care of business on home ice, before they go. The Knights are 32-23 when off a loss by two or more goals, 7-4 this season. The last time that the Knights were off b2b losses, they won 4-1 the start of a 4-game winning streak. Expect them to get back on track once again, improving to 61-39 their last 100 against sub-500 teams. |
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01-11-20 | Canucks v. Sabres -108 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. After seven straight victories, the Canucks have now dropped two in a row. I successfully played against them last game and I believe this will be another excellent spot to do so. The Sabres have real trouble on the road. They're now 6-13-4 away from Buffalo. So, its no surprise that they lost at Vancouver earlier. They're an entirely different team here at home though. In fact, they've got a 13-5-3 record here. Like the Sabres, the Canucks are much better in their own building. They're 14-5-3 in Vancouver but 9-12-1 on the road. The Sabres also lost at Vancouver last season but they won when they hosted the Canucks. Expect home ice to prove the difference, once again. |
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01-10-20 | Penguins v. Avalanche -151 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -151 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. In addition to playing at home, the Avs are the healthier team. Off b2b losses and playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Pittsburgh, I also expect them to be the hungrier team. Even factoring in the loss at Pittsburgh, the Avs are a healthy 11-6 against teams from the East. They're also a profitable 10-3 (+7.6) after giving up four or more goals in their previous game. While they've lost their last two at Pittsburgh, the Avs have beaten the Pens twice in a row, here at Colorado. They won those games by scores of 6-3 and 4-2. Last time they were on home ice, the Avs beat the Blues by a 7-3 score. Expect them to bounce back with another win on Friday. |
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01-10-20 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -186 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes have both the schedule and venue working in their favor here. The Coyotes got cooled down at Tampa yesterday and are now playing their second game in two days. The Canes, on the other hand, play with two day's rest. They're 9-4 (+4.2) in that situation this season. Carolina has also taken care of business against teams from the West, going 11-4 (+6.3) in non-conference action. Additionally, we find that the Canes are 12-5 (+3.8) after having scored four or more goals. The Coyotes have played the second of b2b games twice since just before Christmas and they lost both times. Canes roll. |
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01-09-20 | Jets v. Bruins -190 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. This is a tough spot for the Jets. Last night, they scored an emotional upset 'revenge' victory at Toronto. Now, in addition to playing the second of b2b games, they'll be playing their third road game in the past four days. They'll face a rested Boston team which had yesterday off and which will only be playing its fourth game in 2020. The Bruins got on track in a big way Tuesdsay, winning 6-2 at Nashville. Still looking for their first home win in 2020, the Bruins are going to be extremely hungry. Over the past 2+ seasons, they're a lucrative 79-49 in the second half of the season. During that span, they're also 49-33 in non-conf games and 56-37, after having scored four or more goals in their previous game. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-09-20 | Oilers v. Canadiens -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens are going to be extremely hungry tonight. Not only did the Oilers beat them just before Christmas, at Edmonton, but the Habs have now dropped seven straight. They desperately need to stop the bleeding. The Canadiens also lost at Edmonton last season but they bounced back and beat the Oilers in the rematch, here at Montreal. Expect them to do so again, moving to 10-6 when facing a team from the Western Conference. |
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01-09-20 | Canucks v. Panthers -135 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. After seven straight wins, the Canucks were brought back down to earth in a big way on Tuesday. They were blown out by a 9-2 score, at Tampa. Speaking of "blowouts," the Panthers haven't forgotten that the Canucks hammered them by a 7-2 score, at Vancouver, earlier in the season. Nor, have they have forgotten that the Canucks swept them last season, including a 3-2 game here when the Panthers were -200 favorites. Tonight, we can expect the Panthers to exact some revenge. Note that the Panthers were playing the second of b2b games when they lost at Vancouver earlier. Thats not the case here though. Plus, the Panthers get the next two days off. Needless to say, the Canucks will have their full attention. While Florida did lose last time out, it was the first game back home, after a 5-game road trip. That "first game back" can often be tough. They've gotten that out of the way now though. While the Canucks are 9-11-1 on the road, the Panthers are 13-8-2 at home. The Canucks average 3.0 goals per game; the Panthers average 3.4. It all adds up to a victory for the home team. |
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01-07-20 | Flames -125 v. Blackhawks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames are going to have payback on their minds; the Hawks just upset them at Calgary, on New Year's Eve. Since that New Year's Eve loss, Calgary has bounced back by beating Minnesota and NYR by scores of 4-3 and 5-4. Note that Flames are 43-32 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals, in their previous game. During that span, they're also a profitable 40-29 (+6.3) after allowing four or more goals. The Hawks rallied for a 4-2 win over the Wings last time out but they're just 20-30 the past 50 times that they were off a win by two or more goals. The Flames won here on this exact day (1/7) in 2019. Expect history to repeat itself this evening. |
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01-06-20 | Blue Jackets v. Kings -106 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. While I successfully played against the Kings in their last game, I believe the Jackets will prove to a much better matchup for them than the Predators were. While the Kings are a respectable 11-9 (11-8-1) at home, Columbus is an ugly 7-12 (7-6-6) on the road. Last season, the Jackets won 4-1 when the teams met at Columbus. However, the Kings won by an identical 4-1 score in the game here at LA. A couple of weeks ago, the Jackets beat the Kings at Columbus, again. With tonight's rematch at LA and with the Jackets an ugly 4-11 (-8.8) against Western Conf. teams, its payback time. |
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01-05-20 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Blackhawks | 2-4 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing DETROIT on the puckline. (+1.5 goals.) With the Hawks fairly big favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Wings for a relatively reasonable price. Though I like Detroit's chances of winning "outright," I also feel that extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Note that the last meeting between these teams resulted in a 5-4 win for Chicago, a game where it absolutely would have come in handy having the extra +1.5 goals to work with. In today's case, the Hawks are playing their first game back after a West Coast road trip. That can often be a tough spot. While the Wings have only won one of their last four, two of those losses came by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" today. |
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01-04-20 | Predators -125 v. Kings | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off three straight losses and looking to avenge an earlier defeat at the hands of these same Kings, the Predators are going to be an extremely motivated team. I expect them to snap their skid with a much needed victory. Off since New Year's Eve, the Kings could have a little rust here. Either way, I believe they're a less talented team than Nashville. Indeed, the Preds know that they've underachieved and they know they absolutely need to turn things around, now. Prior to the October loss, the Preds had beaten the Kings six straight times. Expect them to resume that series dominance here. |
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01-02-20 | Blues v. Avalanche -130 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs are going to be extremely hungry for this one. Not only have they dropped three straight games but they will play with double revenge from a pair of earlier losses to the Blues. Plus, they know they hit the road after this. That makes taking care of business here, tonight, more essential than ever. After giving up seven goals last time out, we can expect a much better defensive effort tonight. Note that Colorado is 9-3 the past 12 times it gave up four or more goals in its previous game. Both earlier meetings were at St. Louis. Now, playing at Colorado, expect the revenge-minded Avs to get some payback. |
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01-02-20 | Rangers v. Flames -177 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. I successfully played against the Rangers on New Year's Eve and I'm going against them again tonight. While the price may initially look a little steep, consider that the Flames were -305 the last time they hosted NY. (Calgary won 5-1.) The Flames are going to be extremely hungry. This is the third game of a 3-game homestand and they already dropped the first two games. They absolutely can't affort to go winless on the homestand. The Flames, who swept the Rangers last season, have a 15-7 record in January the past couple of seasons. Expect them to ring in the new year with a "W." |
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01-02-20 | Maple Leafs v. Jets +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -194 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing WINNIPEG on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) While I like and expect the Jets to win this one "outright," I also feel that it could be a close game. The Leafs, hot right now, have seen two of their last three decided by a single goal. Speaking of 1-goal games, the last meeting between these teams finished with a score of 3-2. The Jets got back on track in a big way last time out, scoring seven goals against the Avs. The Jets were 15-8 (+6.9) in January the past couple of seasons. Expect them to start the new year/month with AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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01-02-20 | Panthers -131 v. Senators | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. If this game was at Florida, the price would be much higher. The Panthers were laying -205 when they hosted the Sens a few weeks ago. (Florida won 6-1.) However, because they're playing at Ottawa, we can get the Panthers at a far more reasonable price. The Panthers have won seven of their last 11 visits here though, including each of the past two. The talent gap between the teams is arguably as big, or bigger, than ever, too. While the Sens are 5-12 against teams with a winning record, the Panthers are 10-5 against teams with a losing record. The Panthers already dropped the first leg of this 4-game trip and the next two games are more difficult than this one. That makes taking care of business here essential. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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12-31-19 | Rangers v. Oilers -136 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Having dropped back-to-back games and four of their past five, the Oilers are going to be hungry tonight. Thats particularly true given the fact that they start a long road trip after this game. They know that they absolutely need to take care of business here at home. Facing the Rangers usually brings out their best, too. This is a team which they've beaten three straight times. While the Rangers are 6-7 against teams from the West, the Oilers are 10-6 against teams from the East. Expect them to close out the year with a much-needed win. |
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12-29-19 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While the Hawks are banged-up, they aren't going to stop playing. After getting embarrassed the game before Christmas, they bounced back with a great effort last time out, knocking off the Islanders by a 5-2 score. That was their third win in four games. The Jackets, also banged-up, are off b2b 1-goal games. Going back a bit further finds that five of their last eight games have been decided by just a goal. This season's earlier meeting? A 1-goal game. In what should be another close one, expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the visitors. |
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12-29-19 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on Winnipeg/St. Louis UNDER the total. These teams just played a high-scoring (5-4 Blues) game against each other, at Winnipeg. I expect this afternoon's rematch to be lower-scoring. The UNDER is 4-2 when the Jets attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. The only previous time that the Jets had seen their previous three games finish above the total, as they have here, the next game finished with a score of 4-1. Prior to giving up four on Friday, the Blues had allowed two or fewer goals in four straight games. The three previous 2019 meetings between these teams had scores of 3-2, 3-2 and 2-1. Look for the UNDER to improve to 17-8 the past 25 times that the Blues played their previous three on the road. |
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12-28-19 | Canadiens v. Lightning -152 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Knowing that they'll face these same Habs, at Montreal, on 1/2, I expect the Lightning to be all business here. The Lightning are 6-1 the last seven meetings with Montreal and that includes a 3-0 mark for the games here at Tampa. Note that they were laying -220, -260, and -255 for those three games and that we're getting them for a far more reasonable price here. In fact, since this very day two years ago, the Bolts are 4-0 in four home meetings vs. Montreal. Expect them to continue their series success for at least another day. |
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12-27-19 | Islanders v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing CHICAGO on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Sometimes teams return from Christmas with a little complacency and/or sluggishness in their first game. The Hawks, however, were embarrassed in their last game before the break. The caused captain Toews to call out his team, saying that enough was enough and that the team should be embarrassed. "We've talked about being pissed off. We can't keep letting this slide and just talk about the Xs and Os like it's just another game. We showed a great example of these last two games on the road of how we want to play for each other, and that's got to be the standard. We just completely got away from it tonight... Everything fell apart." Coach Colliton concurred stating: "We should be embarrassed..." This is still a proud team and I expect them to bring their best effort tonight. The Islanders haven't won by more than a goal in any of their last five games, four of those were decided by a single goal. The last two meetings between these teams were also both decided by a single goal. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the determined Hawks. |
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12-27-19 | Penguins v. Predators -125 | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Knowing that they will be facing these same Penguins tomorrow, at Pittsburgh, I expect the Predators to be extremely motivated to "hold serve" on home ice this evening. Though interrupted by Christmas, the Pens are at the end of a 4-game road Western Conference road trip. While they've taken two of the first three, they're still 7-9 on the road, not nearly as strong as when playing at home. The Preds have been playing some of their best hockey. They're 2-0 their last two and 4-1 their last five. With Crosby still out for the Pens, look for home ice to prove the difference here. |
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12-23-19 | Capitals v. Bruins -123 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. While I certainly respect the league-leading Capitals, I expect the Bruins to be the hungrier team in this one. Boston desperately needs a win before Christmas. Stung by OT and shootout losses, this is a team thats given them trouble in recent years and which beat them less than two weeks ago. The Bruins did beat them (1-0) last February though. So, they know it can be done. The Caps have already had a great start to the season, no matter what happens today. Off a win against Tampa and thinking about getting home for Christmas, I feel they may be a little complacent here. At least, more so than their hosts. Many won't give them much of a chance here, particularly with Chara sidelined, but I say the revenge-minded Bruins give the home fans an early Christmas gift here. |
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12-21-19 | Predators v. Bruins -160 | 4-3 | Loss | -160 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Home ice has been very significant between these teams in recent seasons and I expect that to be the case again Saturday. Last season, the Preds won 1-0 at Nashville but the Bruins won 5-2 here in Boston. That was almost exactly one year ago (12/22) to the day. The previous season, the Preds won 5-3 at Nashville but the Bruins won 4-3 at Boston. The year before? The Preds won 2-1 at Nashville but the Bruins won 4-1 here at Boston. You get the idea. The Preds are playing the final leg of a road trip and may well already be thinking of getting home for last minute shopping and preparations for Christmas. They're already 0-3 (-4.9) after playing their previous three on the road. Look for history to repeat itself as a desperate Boston team again "holds serve" at home. |
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12-20-19 | Penguins v. Oilers +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -215 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) While I like the Oilers to win this one outright, I also believe that the extra +1.5 goals may come in handy. Given the close history between these teams, I don't mind laying this type of price for that very important extra +1.5 goal cushion to work with. This season's earlier meeting was a 1-goal (2-1) game. That makes it five of the last six between these teams which were decided by a single goal. (The other was by two.) The Oilers are going to be hungry as they badly need a win. Catching the Pens without Crosby, expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. I won with the Panthers in their last game, a 6-1 breakout win. That snapped a 3-game slide. With a pair of tough road games on deck, they're going to really follow it up with another win here. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to do exactly that. Indeed, this one sets up very nicely for the home team. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Stars are off a come-from-behind upset win at Tampa. Adding to tonight's potential fatigue factor, the Stars had to play OT. In addition to the physical part of, off that big win, they could easily have a bit of an emotional letdown tonight. Expect the fresher, hungrier Panthers to take care of business. |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Canadiens have had success here at Calgary the past couple of seasons. However, I expect them to stumble tonight. Off back-to-back home losses, the Flames are going to be an angry team tonight. They're still 10-7-2 at home, compared to 8-11-2 on the road. Knowing that their next three will be on the road and also knowing that they'll be facing these same Canadiens, at Montreal, in a few weeks, the Flames know that they need to take care of business on home ice here. I believe that they'll do just that. Prior to the skid, the Flames had been on fire. Look for them to bounce back with a huge effort en route to earning an important two points. |
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12-19-19 | Islanders v. Bruins -170 | 3-2 | Loss | -170 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Bruins are going to be in an angry mood and this is a team they always have their way with. Over the last seven meetings, the Bruins are 7-0 against the Isles. They've dominated, too. In fact, in those seven games, the Isles scored just seven combined goals. The Bruins, on the other hand, scored 25. While the Isles have had a great start, I don't feel they're quite ready to compete with the top teams. They lost 8-3 to Nashville last time out and that should be a sign of things to come. Expect the motivated Bruins to hand them another loss here. |
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12-17-19 | Ducks v. Flyers -143 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While I won with the Ducks in their last game, I expect them to stumble against what is going to be a highly motivated Flyer team. Losers of three straight, the Flyers know that they need to right the ship. They also know that they'll face these same Ducks, at Anaheim, in less than two weeks. Thats significant as both teams are much better on home ice. The Flyers are 10-2-4 at home but 7-9-1 on the road. The Ducks are 9-7-2 at home but 5-8-2 on the road. The Flyers were laying -245 the last time that they hosted the Ducks. They won 6-2. Tonight's price is obviously far more reasonable and I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Flyers roll. |
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12-16-19 | Oilers +1.5 v. Stars | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing EDMONTON on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) With the Stars fairly heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the visitors for a relatively reasonable price. Relative to the extreme significance of an extra +1.5 goals, that is. I feel thats where the value lies for this one. The Oilers are going to be desperate to snap their losing streak. They also haven't forgotten that the Stars beat them (by a goal) at Edmonton. Three of the last four meetings have been decided by a single goal, including each of the past two. The Oilers have played well on the road this season; expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover." |
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12-16-19 | Senators v. Panthers -185 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. This line fell a bit from its opener. I feel that it should have gone the other way. Indeed, the Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Panthers are going to be in an angry mood, off three straight losses. The last time that they'd dropped three straight, they responded with a 3-0 shutout win over Nasvhille. The Sens won last time out. However, they're still 5-14 on the road and they're an awful 21-47 (-18.3) the past 2+ seasons, when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Panthers roll. |
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12-16-19 | Predators -135 v. Rangers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. I believe that this is going to prove to be a very difficult game for the Rangers. They're facing one of the top teams from the West. Also, they're going to be facing a very motivated Nashville team. Not only have the Predators lost back-to-back games but the Rangers also upest them, at Nashville, in early November. The last time that the Preds were off b2b losses, they exploded for six goals, in winning their next game. Making matters worse for the Rangers, this is their first game back home from a Western Conference road trip, which is often difficult. The fact that that they lost the final game in a shootout doesn't help matters. We're getting a lot more reasonable a price on the Preds because of the game being at MSG instead of Nashville. However, the Rangers have an identical record on the road as they do here at home. The Rangers also won at Nasvhille last season but the Preds won here. Expect the revenge-minded road team to take care of business once again. |
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12-15-19 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -178 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights have both the venue and the schedule in their favor. They had yesterday off while the Canucks are off a 4-2 loss at San Jose last night. Note that the Canucks are just 9-16 the past 25 times that they played the second of b2b games. The Knights are 56-30 (+13.3) in divisional play since coming into the league, 7-4 this season.They've beaten the Canucks three straight times; they were laying -275 for the last meeting here, a 3-0 Vegas win. The Knights know that they'll face these same Canucks, at Vancouver, in four days. That makes "holding serve" on home ice critical. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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12-14-19 | Rangers v. Ducks -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This is an important game for the Ducks. They've been struggling and are off a loss. After this game, they go on a road trip, one of those games will be at MSG against these same Rangers. That makes taking care of business here, on home ice, critical. The Rangers are at the end of a road trip themselves and could already be thinking about getting home to get ready for the holidays. They're just 3-6 off a win by two or more goals. They're also a dismal 5-21 (-14.4) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Ducks roll. |
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12-14-19 | Sabres +1.5 v. Islanders | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing BUFFALO on the puck-line. (+1.5 goals) With the Isles fairly heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the visitors for a relatively reasonable price. Relative to the extreme significance of an extra +1.5 goals. While the Isles have indeed been hot, the Sabres are also playing some of their best hockey of the season right now. They've won three straight and four of six. Both the losses came by a single goal. In fact, while they're only 5-4 their last nine overall, all four of those losses came by a single goal. In other words, is been nine games and three weeks since a team beat them by more than one. And that was at Tampa, when the Sabres were playing their second game in two days. This season's earlier meeting? A 1-0 Isles win. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" from the revenge-minded Sabres. |
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12-13-19 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Stars | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing VEGAS on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Knights playing the second of b2b games, the Stars are favored a bit more on the money-line than they otherwise would have been. In turn, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Knights for a relatively reasonable price; relative at least when considering the significance of an extra +1.5 goals. The Stars won 4-2 when these teams met a few weeks ago. However, prior to that, the Knights had always fared well against them. The Knights had won five of the six preivous meetings, including four straight. As for the b2b situation, the Knights aren't typically bothered by that. In fact, they're 4-1 when playing the second of b2b games this season, the lone loss coming by a single goal. In other words, if getting an extra +1.5 goals in each, they'd be 5-0 when playing the second of b2b games. They're going to be hungry and I expect AT LEAST another "puck-line cover" tonight. |
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12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. With an 0-5 record in December, the Sharks are going to be in an angry mood. Note that four of those five losses came on the road, each at tough venues. The other came against Washington, the team with the best record in the league. Tonight, the Sharks are on home ice and facing a far more beatable team. They know they need to take advantage and stop the bleeding. Expect the Sharks to do exactly that, the Rangers falling to 21-43 (-20.2) the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-12-19 | Islanders v. Panthers -127 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -127 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Islanders won the first two games of the season series. Both were very close, one came in a shootout. Tonight, on home ice for the first of this season's meetings, the Panthers get some payback. While the Isles have been solid on the road, outscoring teams by a modest 36-35 margin, the Panthers have arguably been more dominant at home. They've outscored visiting teams by a 57-47 margin. Off a loss and with a tough opponent (Boston) on deck, the Panthers know they need this one. while the Isles are a bit banged up (Leddy, Ladd) Florida is relatively healthy. The Panthers have also been getting strong goaltending of late as Bobrovsky has an impressive .964 save percentage over his past three games, stopping 109 of 113 shots during that span. Expect a highly motivated effort as the Panthers bounce back and avenge the earlier losses. |
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12-10-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -183 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. These teams have split a pair of meetings thus far. The Knights won the first while Chicago came back and won the most recent, here at Vegas. The Hawks, 5-8 on the road, are going to really miss Duncan Keith for this one though and the Knights haven't forgotten that the Hawks upset them here last game. They're 21-12 when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Off a 5-0 loss, its worth noting that the Knights are also a profitable 23-12 (+8.8) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect home ice to prove significant as the revenge-minded Knights bounce back with an important win. |
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12-09-19 | Islanders v. Lightning -166 | 5-1 | Loss | -166 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Playing at home, the Isles beat the Lightning to begin November. Tampa hasn't forgotten. Now, in their own building, look for the Lightning to exact some revenge. I successfully played against the Isles last time out, noting: "...this is a tough venue for visiting teams ...Meanwhile, the Isles have dropped four of their last five on the road, the lone win coming at Detroit ..." With the 3-1 loss, the Isles are now just 1-5 their last six on the road. The Lightning were firing on all cylinders last time out, winning 7-1. The offense has now scored progressively more goals its last few times out and thats the type of performance which typically gets them going. They're 76-36 (+17.8) the last 100+ after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. This has been Tampa's time; with the win over the Sharks, the Lightning are a dominant 26-4 in December the past 2+ seasons. Payback time. |
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12-09-19 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Capitals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing COLUMBUS on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Caps heavy favorites on the money-line, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Jackets, for a relatively reasonable price. I believe thats where the value lies in this matchup. The Caps are in a tough scheduling spot, as this is their first game back home from a West Coast road trip. With big games against Boston and Tampa on deck, it should be easy to look past Columbus. The Jackets will be hungry, as they've dropped four straight. They played the Caps tough last season, winning three of four. Both games here at Washington were decided by a single goal. Expect another close one. |
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12-07-19 | Islanders v. Stars -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars regained their confidence with a much needed win last time out and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. They don't want to revert back to losing and they haven't forgotten the Isles upset them here last season. This is a tough venue for visiting teams. With Thursday's win, the Stars are now 10-5 here. Meanwhile, the Isles have dropped four of their last five on the road, the lone win coming at Detroit. I believe that the price is fair and I look for the Stars to continue their strong play on home ice. |
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12-07-19 | Wild v. Hurricanes -160 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Wild have been hot but I expect the Canes to cool them off here. While the Wild are 7-12 on the road, the Canes are 9-5 at home. Carolina already won, when these teams met at Minnesota. Obviously, the Wild would like to avenge that loss. That's generally not much of a motivator for them though. In fact, they're just 16-30 (-17.3) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat teams at Minnesota, they typically can't beat them on the road, either. The Canes know they won't play here again for some time. Look for them to make the most of their time here, cooling off the Wild and earning an important two points. |
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12-07-19 | Senators v. Flyers -198 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers already lost once to the Sens this season. They're not going to let it happen again. At the end of a long road trip, the Sens will be happy to be going home after this. Note that their recent games were played in Pacific and Mountain time and now they're playing an early game in the east. While the Sens won last time out, they're 1-6 off a win by two or more goals, 11-27 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Knowing they have three tough road games following this one, the Flyers know they need to take care of business. They'll do exactly that. |
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12-06-19 | Capitals v. Ducks +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing ANAHEIM on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) While I like the Ducks' chances of winning this one outright, those chances obviously get a lot better when getting an extra +1.5 goals. Thats the option I'm choosing here. The Caps are at the end of a West Coast road trip. Though they had last night off, they're still playing their third game in four nights. The Ducks, on the other hand, are very well rested. The Ducks have defeated the Caps the last three meetings here, winning by a dominating 14-4 combined score. Prior to that, they'd lost six straight when hosting the Caps. However, a closer look shows that four of those six were 1-goal losses. (The other two both came by two goals.) That means that the Ducks are 3-0 the last three as a host in this series and that they'd be 7-2 the last nine, as opposed to 3-6, if getting an extra +1.5 goals. Expect AT LEAST another puck-line cover here. |
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12-06-19 | Kings v. Oilers -155 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams have met twice so far this season. In both cases, the home team won. With the Kings just 2-11 on the road and getting outscored by a combined 54-26 margin, I expect home ice to again prove the difference this evening. Off a 5-2 loss to lowly Ottawa, their third defeat in four games, the Oilers are going to be very hungry. They're 6-2 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game and 7-2 when off a loss by two or more. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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12-06-19 | Blackhawks v. Devils -140 | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. Off three straight losses, the Devils are going to be extremely hungry. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to stop the bleeding. Though they lost their last trip to Chicago, the Devils have had recent success against the Hawks here at New Jersey. In fact, they've scored 12 goals in winning their last two against the Hawks here. While the Devils have had the past couple of days off, the Hawks check in off an upset win at Boston, last night. Thats noteworthy as they're 13-23 (-8.3) when playing the second of b2b games, the past 2+ seasons. |
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12-05-19 | Sabres v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Buffalo/Calgary OVER the total. When the Sabres played here last season, the O/U line was 6.5. The teams combined for seven goals. We're working with a much lower O/U line tonight, which I feel is offering excellent value. While the Flames have been on an 'under' streak, with this low number, I expect it to come to an end here. The Sabres scored seven goals themselves last time out. Thats twice in their last three games that they've scored six or more. The Sabres, who lost this season's first meeting, have seen the OVER go 31-22-3 the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Expect those stats to improve here. |
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12-05-19 | Jets v. Stars -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. This is the second game of a home-and-home series. After dropping the game at Winnipeg, I expect the Stars to bounce back and return the favor this evening. Off four straight losses and playing with immedite revenge, the Stars are going to be extremely hungry. They're still a healthy 9-5 here at Dallas. Remember, prior to the skid, they'd won seven straight including a 5-3 home win against these same Jets. Including that result, the home team is already 3-0 in the season series. Over the years, the Stars a profitable 76-55 (+17.8) when off three or more consecutive losses. During that skid, they're an even more lucrative 232-149 (+53) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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12-05-19 | Avalanche v. Canadiens -110 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens finally stopped the bleedind last time out. They're going to be highly motivated to make it two in a row. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to do exactly that. While Montreal had last night off, the Avs are off a big win at Toronto last night. Thats noteworthy as they're just 10-16 (-5.1) the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The home team has won seven straight in the series. Expect that home ice dominance to continue here. |
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12-05-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Off b2b losses and with a road trip on deck, the Jackets are going to be a desperate team tonight. They know they need this one and I expect their very best effort. The Rangers came back down to earth with a 4-1 loss last time out. Thats noteworthy as they're a terrible 20-42 (-20.4) when off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. During the same stretch, the Jackets were a far better 35-22 (+9) when off a loss by two or more. The Jackets have taken three straight in the series and they continue that dominance this evening. |
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12-04-19 | Capitals v. Kings +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing LA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) Its tough to win two road games in two nights. Its really tough to win them both by multiple goals. Off a 5-2 win at SJ last night, now playing their second game in two days, I expect the Caps to face a far more difficult test. A look at the Kings' recent home games shows that they've won five of their past seven here. A closer look shows that five of those seven games, including both of the losses, were by a single goal. In other words, if they'd been getting an extra +1.5 goals in each of those games, they'd have been a perfect 7-0. While the Caps did recently win a game at Detroit, after playing the previous day, they're still just 15-16 overall the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Prior to the 5-2 win at Detroit, their previous five b2b spots had all been decided by a single goal. Last year's game here resulted in a 3-2 win for the Caps. Expect AT LEAST a "puck-line cover" for the rested home team. |
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12-03-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. While the Isles certainly come in as the hotter team, the Habs have both the venue and the schedule working for them. They're rested while the Isles are off a win against the Wings yesterday. The Isles may have an impressive record but this is a team that Canadiens know that they can beat. They're 4-1 the past five meetings including a 4-0 win the last time that the teams played here. Needless to say, they're going to be extremely motivated to snap their losing streak. The Canadiens have been here before, Price remembering a seven game winless skid in 2017: "Yeah, it does bring back memories. But I think some of the guys that were in this room back then learned from that and know that nobody's going to feel sorry for us or hand us anything. So we need to go back out there and earn it." Look for them to do exactly that tonight, outworking their guests en route to a badly needed victory. |
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12-02-19 | Kings v. Ducks -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks had a terrible November and they're going to be highly motivated to start December on a different note. They know their next game is against the Capitals, followed by two on the road. That makes taking care of business tonight absolutely necessary. With a 2-10 road record, the Kings are the perfect guests. They've been outscored 50-24 when playing away from their own rink. The Ducks are well-rested and they don't play for a few days after this. Their full attention is on winning this game. Expect them to dig deep and get it done. |
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12-01-19 | Canadiens v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on Montreal/Boston UNDER the total. You may recall that the Bruins recently embarrassed the Canadiens, at Montreal. I'm certain that the Habs want to avoid a similar result and I expect them to be much better defensively. Scoring is a different matter, as Boston is a very stingy team. The Bruins have allowed two or fewer goals in three straight games. Over their past eight games, they've allowed just 16 combined goals. The Habs have played here five times since the start of 2017. Four of the five games had O/U lines of five or 5.5. The other was six. All five games fell below the number with scores of 4-0, 4-1, 2-1, 3-0 and 3-2. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting. |
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11-30-19 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders -150 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. Tough spot for the Jackets. They're off a big win against Pittsburgh last night and now must travel to face a rested and motivated Islander team. Off three straight losses and knowing their next two are on the road, the Isles are going to be very hungry. They know they need to stop the bleeding. Recent slide notwithstanding, the Isles are having a great season. They're 10-3 at home, compared to the Jackets' 3-7 mark on the road. Since a 3-2 loss against these same Islanders about six weeks ago, the Jackets are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games. Isles take advantage, again. |
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11-30-19 | Flyers v. Canadiens -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Enough is enough. The Habs have been in a horrific slide but they've got both the schedule and the venue working in their favor here. While Montreal had yesterday off, the Flyers are off an afternoon win against the Wings. Sure, that was an easy victory but they still had to play and travel and are still playing their second game in two days. The fact that the Flyers won big may also make them a little complacent here. Last time they played the second of b2b games, the Flyers lost against the Isles. While they lost their last several visits to Philadelphia, the Canadiens won 5-1 the last time they hosted the Flyers. Expect them to play with some desperation here, en route to a much needed victory. |
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11-30-19 | Rangers v. Devils -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. Rangers are off a hard fought loss at Boston yesterday afternoon while the Devils had the day off. While the Rangers would surely love to avenge an earlier loss, they're an awful 38-70 (-24.7) in the revenge role, in recent seasons. So, its not exactly a motivator for them. Schedule and venue in their favor, the Devils take care of business here. |