Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-07-21 | Rangers v. A's -225 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Anderson will be up against a former teammate on Saturday when left-hander Cole Irvin (7-10, 3.50) gets the ball for the A's. The prospects played together for Triple-A Lehigh Valley in the Phillies' organization in 2019, from where Irvin was promoted that May to make his major-league debut. Irvin went 6-1 for Lehigh Valley that season, while Anderson was 0-6. Athletics are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Athletics are 26-0 L/26 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent. TEXAS is 4-22 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 1-14 against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses this season.Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Rangers are 8-27 in the last 35 meetings in Oakland. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-07-21 | Mariners +170 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
NYY starter HEANEY is 0-6 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. (Team's Record) HEANEY is 3-6 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.269. Seattles starter FLEXEN is 10-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 12-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Mariners reside only 3.5 games out of the second wild card and will be more than motivated to grab a win here vs a very hittable hurler in Heaney. Play on the Mariners |
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08-06-21 | Giants v. Brewers -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Right-hander Corbin Burnes (6-4, 2.46 ERA) starts for the Brewers on Friday, while right-hander Logan Webb (5-3, 3.33) gets the nod for San Francisco. Webb has been in top form of late, but my projections and pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest the Brewers matchup well here. Brewers are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-6 against the money line against NL West opponents this season. MILWAUKEE is 23-6 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. The Giants are 0-14 L/14 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they used 5+ pitchers. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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08-06-21 | Tigers v. Indians -134 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Detroit rookie right-hander Matt Manning (2-4, 5.59 ERA) will make his ninth career start and second this season against Cleveland. Manning, was blasted by the Indians on June 28, allowing nine runs on as many hits -- including two homers -- in 3 2/3 innings in a 13-5 setback.He allowed five runs (two earned) on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-2 defeat to the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday and is fade material here today. The Indians are 11-0L/11 on the ML at home off a road game in which they had 6 or fewer hits which happened yesterday in a 3-0 loss. Tigers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Tigers are 29-70 in their last 99 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Quintral.
Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-06-21 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 10-6 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Means Baltimores starter looked good in his most recent trip to the hill this past Saturday, allowing one ER in six innings of a 5-2 win at Detroit. He started this season very strongly also going 4-0 along with a 1.37 ERA before being side lined by an injury. After the injury he started out looking rusty but now looks to have come back to life, and viable pitching option for the Orioles to slow the offence of the Rays here today. Meanwhile, Yarbrough the Rays starter is 4-2 with a 3.94 ERA in 11 career appearances (six starts) against Baltimore and matches up well here according to my projections along with a bullpen that must be considered elite. The Orioles are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when John Means starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in as win last start. Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-3 in Rays last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TAMPA BAY) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 53-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-05-21 | Royals v. White Sox -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
LYNCH is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 107.46 and a WHIP of 11.940. KEUCHEL is 7-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.195. The Royals are 0-16 L/16 as a road dog off a road win by at least five runs. CHI WHITE SOX are 12-1 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after allowing 2 runs or less are 7-46 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-05-21 | Indians +171 v. Blue Jays | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Indians lost yesterday despite of coming back from a 8-0 deficit to almost tie the game late. Im betting on the momentum of the late inning surge to continue on into today. CLEVELAND is 11-5 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season like Stripling. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 34-25 L/24 seasons for a 58% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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08-05-21 | Angels v. Rangers +100 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Angels starter Bundy (1-8, 6.66 ERA) and despite of a few flashes of brilliance has been sub par, and has been hit hard by todays opponent the Rangers in the past. Brock Holt, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Adolis Garcia and Nathaniel Lowe are a combined 22 for 40 off Bundy. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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08-04-21 | Astros v. Dodgers -212 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Astros starter ODORIZZI is 1-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Jake Odorizzi is struggling as is evident in his last few starts, allowing 10 earned runs over his last three trips to the hill spanning 13 1/3 innings. Today against a LA team off a rare shut out loss last night, Im betting the Dodgers bounce back and keep up with their 5 rpg average output at home. With that said Im also betting on Scherzer and his usually strong bullpen to get the nod here and help the Dodgers get into the winners circle. LA DODGERS are 211-63 against the money line as a home favorite of -200 or more since 1997. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (LA DODGERS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 55-5 L/24 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-04-21 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Cards starter Happ is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA in nine career outings against the Braves, including eight starts and Im betting on another strong effort here. Meanwhile, St. Louis will start Drew Smyly (7-3, 4.40 ERA), who has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past 10 starts. Smyly is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinal. Both hurlers form Im betting will contribute to a combined score that fails to eclipse this total.
The Braves are 0-10 L/10 2020 on the road off a road game in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case last time out. Play UNDER |
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08-04-21 | Angels -168 v. Rangers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-9 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ALLARD is 0-10 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ALLARD is 3-16 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB team (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. (Allard qualifies) Play on the LA Angels to win |
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08-04-21 | Red Sox -145 v. Tigers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are 15-0-1 L/16 when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of at least -137 when they lost in his last start.RODRIGUEZ is 11-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) RODRIGUEZ is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.176. BOSTON is 41-26 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Mize. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-04-21 | Orioles +235 v. Yankees | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Orioles starter HARVEY is 11-5 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HARVEY is 9-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Harvey is 2-0 with a 1.60 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees. On April 26 in Baltimore, he allowed one run on three hits in six innings of a 4-2 win. NYY starter TAILLON is 0-7 against the money line in home games after giving up no earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) The Orioles were clobbered yesterday 13-1 but are more than capable of bouncing back , as has been evident lately as they have shown alot of life as is evident by winning 7 of their L/11 overall. The Yankees are 0-11 L/11 after Aaron Judge hit a home run last game. NY YANKEES are 6-11 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-04-21 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luis Castillo (5-10, 4.22 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 16.20 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota gets the start today. Meanwhile, the Twins will return fire with left-hander Charlie Barnes (0-1, 1.93 ERA), who will be making just his second major league appearance and very inexperienced and could easily get lit up here vs a Reds team that averages 5.4 rpg at home. Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-2 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 21-8-1 in Twins last 30 games as an underdog. MINNESOTA is 10-1 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 20-6 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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08-03-21 | Cubs v. Rockies -134 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rockies starting pitcher FREELAND is 16-4 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse . (Team's Record) Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season The Cubs are 0-11 L/11 as a dog off a loss as a dog win which they held the lead which was the case last time out. Play on Colorado to win |
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08-03-21 | Braves -125 v. Cardinals | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Braves are 12-0 L/12 when Max Fried starts in the month of August. FRIED is 24-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 24-6 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 2-0 in his career when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.805. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite. MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 60-100 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors. Braves are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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08-01-21 | Twins v. Cardinals -149 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cardinals won 5-1 in the series opener on Friday. The Twins responded with an 8-1 victory the following night and now Im expecting the Cards to answer back with a victory today. Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.The Twins are 0-15 L/15 on the ML past the first game of a series as a dog after a game as a road dog in which they scored 6+ runs Right-hander Adam Wainwright (8-6, 3.51) will get the start for the Cardinals coming off back-to-back strong starts against the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians, respectively. Cards starting hurler WAINWRIGHT is 49-19 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 16-7 ( against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the St.Louis Cards to win |
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07-31-21 | Rockies v. Padres -190 | 5-3 | Loss | -190 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Rockies upset the Padres 9-4 in the first game of this series, but now Im expecting a wide awake Padres team to come back swinging for the proverbial fences and get a win here tonight. The Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like Padres hurler Darvish. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 14-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on San Diego to win |
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07-31-21 | Indians v. White Sox -148 | 12-11 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Triston McKenzie (1-4, 5.61 ERA) is set to start for the Indians . The righty is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts this month.McKenzie is also 0-1 with an 8.78 ERA in four career appearances against the White Sox, including three starts, with 25 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings and according to my projections does not matchup well against the White sox batting lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-9 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 when Dallas Keuchel starts as a home favorite.KEUCHEL is 10-2 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 19-4 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 57-15 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLBt eam (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 15-35 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-31-21 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) is slated to start opposite Pittsburgh right-hander JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67). Phillies starter NOLA is 19-7 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SHELTON is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing on Saturday as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The Phillies are 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road after their starter pitched less than 3 innings.Over is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games. Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 games a home underdog. Play OVER |
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07-31-21 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mariners starter ANDERSON is 8-0 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 20-7 OVER in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Seattle starter HEARN is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 109.09 and a WHIP of 21.212. SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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07-31-21 | Astros v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. MLB - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-31-21 | Astros +106 v. Giants | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, running up a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting he gets continues those previous efforts and finds a way to take down the Giants at home today. Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. Giants are 4-15 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the AStros to win |
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07-30-21 | Rockies v. Padres -195 | 9-4 | Loss | -195 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 when right hander Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.COLORADO is 10-37 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 27-10 in their last 37 home games. Play on the Padres to win |
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07-30-21 | Dodgers -178 v. Diamondbacks | 5-6 | Loss | -178 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
The dodgers do their best work against sub par sides, like Arizona as is evident by a 42-11 mark in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Dodgers are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona and get the nod here laying a little bit of extra lumber. The Dodgers are 17-0 L/17 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game. The Diamondbacks are 0-10 L/10 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game. ARIZONA is 2-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. Play on the LAS Dodgers to win |
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07-30-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona righty starter GALLEN is 12-0 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.943 and has seen his last three starts vs the Dodgers remain on the low side of the total. In a September start last year at Dodger Stadium, he held the eventual champs scoreless over seven innings on one hit. Under is 14-6-3 in Dodgers last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will start Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.38 ERA) in the series opener at Arizona and he is more than capable of keeping this inconsistent Arizona offence at bay and helping this combined score to stay on the low side of the. number. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or less over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 62-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-30-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Bassitt (10-3, 3.46 ERA) will be making his second try at setting a career-high win total for a season. He won 10 consecutive decisions after starting 0-2 this year, but he has struggled in three of his four starts in July and in his current form very susceptible to being lit up by a Twins offense that can show alot of explosiveness. LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MADDON is 23-7 OVER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the manager of LA ANGELS. The Angels are 14-0-2 OVER L/16 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.LA ANGELS are 11-2 OVER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. Over is 57-25-3 in Angels last 85 home games. Over is 9-4 in Angels last 13 vs. American League West. Over is 20-7-1 in Angels last 28 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER |
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07-30-21 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Cardinals will start Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) in the series opener. LeBlanc, who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles earlier this season, is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts. Meanwhile, Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to counter LeBlanc if he isn't traded. Both hurlers and bullpens are according to my power rankings middle of the pack and could easily get slapped around a little bit today, which will see this combined score eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 10-0 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 10-1 OVER in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 30-7 OVER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-29-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +111 | 0-5 | Win | 111 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Price has never beaten the Giants in his career, going 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA in five meetings, four of which have been starts and Im betting nothing changes tonight. The Giants are 13-0 L/13 after they did not score after the third inning last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the SF giants to win |
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07-28-21 | Reds -106 v. Cubs | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Reds starting Right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-3, 3.92 ERA) is scheduled to start Wednesday for the Reds. Mahle, this season has set a career high with 131 strikeouts in 105 2/3 innings. In 11 career starts against the Cubs, Mahle is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA. He has 18 walks and 70 strikeouts in 62 1/3 innings and gets my support here vs a side my projections estimate is a good matchup for him. The Cubs are 0-9 L/9 as a dog after they had more strikeouts than hits last game. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series.Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Davies. Reds are 18-8 in their last 26 vs. National League Central. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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07-28-21 | Yankees +120 v. Rays | 3-1 | Win | 120 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NYY starter Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.95 ERA), who is in the middle of a top tier 2021 campaign gets my support here as an underdog.n 10 games -- two of them starts -- totaling 27 2/3 innings, the Cuban pitcher has allowed just 18 hits and one homer, while striking out 34 while posting a rock solid WHIP of 1.012. Opposition hitters are batting only .182 against the southpaw. Advantage NYY. The Yankees are 12-0 on the ML in the second game of a series after they won and never trailed the opening game. Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on astroturf.Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. NY Yankees to win |
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07-28-21 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections suggest a combined score of 8 or less making this a viable under wagering opportunity. The Yankees are 0-11 UNDER as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 road games.Under is 9-1-1 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League East. Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 vs. American League East.Under is 6-2 in Rays last 8 on astroturf. Play UNDER |
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07-28-21 | Cardinals -102 v. Indians | 2-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
St. Louis left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim (6-5, 2.88 ERA) owns a five-start winning streak entering Wednesday's action.Hyun Kim has allowed just three runs on 16 hits in 30 innings during that stretch. Cardinals are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians starter Plesac qualifies. Indians are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.Indians are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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07-27-21 | A's +141 v. Padres | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Oakland starter Kaprielian, a first-round pick of the Yankees (16th overall) in the 2015 draft, blanked the Angels on five hits and two walks with seven strikeouts over six innings on July 20. He has a 1.118 WHIP and a .202 opponents' batting average in 12 starts this season. He has a 1.50 ERA in three July starts,. "Kaprielian has been fantastic," A's manager Bob Melvin said after the 6-0 win over the Angels. "He's topped our expectations." He gets my support here on a value line. Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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07-27-21 | Rockies v. Angels -128 | 12-3 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
In nine relief appearances, Angles starter Suarez was 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 27 1/3 innings and looks like a viable hurler here in this spot play. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games.mRockies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Rockies are 17-53 in their last 70 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 11-40 in their last 51 road games.Rockies are 11-41 in their last 52 games as a road underdog. Rockies are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Rockies are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games, well rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 3 games are 39-6 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. Play on the Angels to win |
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07-27-21 | Tigers +180 v. Twins | 6-5 | Win | 180 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Twins do not deserve to be this big a favorite here vs the Tigers today according to my projections and are just are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. This bet Im making is based on value . Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Alexander . Twins are also 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 ( Alexander qualifies). Play on the Detroit Tigers to win |
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07-27-21 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Twins are 0-8L/8 when Kenta Maeda starts after a quality start in his last outing which is the case. Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the UNDER |
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07-27-21 | Brewers -123 v. Pirates | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
National League Central-leading Milwaukee has won seven of the 10 meetings against the Pirates, who reside in the Central cellar. For his career, Brett Anderson the Brewers starter is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA in seven starts against Pittsburgh and once again has the edge needed for a Milwaukee victory. Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 41-20 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central. The Pirates are 0-12 L/12 on the ML off a game as a dog in which they did not score after the third inning.Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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07-26-21 | White Sox -119 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Royals starter minor MINOR is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 1-7 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. KEUCHEL is 7-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.197. White Sox starter KEUCHEL is 10-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 as a road favorite off a win as a dog.White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-26-21 | Reds v. Cubs -126 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cubs are 10-0 L/10 when Kyle Hendricks starts as a home favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start. CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 28-68 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the Cubs to win |
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07-26-21 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Nats starter Joe Ross goes on Monday. The Under is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and Im betting on more of the same action here today. The Nationals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Joe Ross starts as a dog after they scored less than 3 runs in his last start. ROSS is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Spencer Howard, owns a 1.072 WHIP in his last three starts, and is in viable form. Today along with his bullpen against a Nats team that is suddenly struggling to score another lower scoring output should be expected. Under is 23-9-2 in Nationals last 34 vs. National League East. Play on the UNDER |
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07-25-21 | White Sox v. Brewers -140 | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
White Sox are 0-16 SU since Sep 20, 2020 as a dog when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 3.20 on the season. |
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07-25-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
07-25-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox -136 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Boston Red Sox to win on moneyline |
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07-24-21 | Rangers +182 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Gibson was 6-0 with a 1.51 ERA over 15 starts dating to April 7, allowing three runs or less in each appearance before two bad recent performances vs the Tigers. However, he is 4-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 12 career starts against the Astros and has recorded a quality start in all three appearances against Houston this season garnering a stingy 1.89 ERA in 19 innings and today Im betting he helps his team end a 10 game losing streak on a value line. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-24-21 | Blue Jays -114 v. Mets | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Blue Jays top tier southpaw hurler RYU is 41-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in his career . RYU is 10-1 against the money line in road games in July games in his career. (Team's Record) The Mets have struggled against lefties this season averaging just 2.8 rpg via a ugly .218 BA. RYU is 5-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 0.954. TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like NYM starter Walker. WALKER is 0-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.320. TORONTO is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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07-24-21 | Braves +109 v. Phillies | 15-3 | Win | 109 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Right-hander Vince Velasquez (3-4, 5.00 ERA) will start Saturday for the Phillies. For Velasquez's career against the Braves, he's 1-6 with a 4.57 ERA in 15 trips to the hill (13 starts) and is fade material here in this tilt vs the Braves.Velasquez has been inconsistent all season, and is backed by a bullpen that owns an MLB-high 23 blown saves. Braves starter SMYLY is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SMYLY is 20-9 ( against the money line in road games against division opponents in his career. (Team's Record) The Phillies won the opener of this series, but now Im expecting the Braves to bounce back here today.Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win. Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Play on the Braves to win |
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07-23-21 | A's -110 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Kikuchi, didn't pitch in the All-Star Game because he wasn't feeling well after being placed on the coronavirus injured list, and is coming off his worst start of the season. In a 9-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, he allowed seven runs on nine hits in five innings. His current form makes him fade material vs a team that matches up well against him according to my projections. Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West. OAKLAND is 32-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. The Mariners are 0-8 SL/8 on the ML when lefty Yusei Kikuchi starts as a dog after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.OAKLAND is 13-4 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season. Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Seattle and have won 4 of L/5 meetings overall. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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07-23-21 | Tigers v. Royals -115 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Detroit starter, Bubic is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA vs Motown. He has given up just two runs in 10 innings vs. the Tigers this year and offers up enough pitching support for the Royals for them to be successful in this spot vs a streaking Tigers team. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win last game. Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Kansas City to cover |
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07-23-21 | White Sox v. Brewers -123 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Freddy Peralta (7-3, 2.39) right-hander was named to his first All-Star team and has recorded a 1.91 ERA over his last 11 starts and gets my support in this spot. The White Sox are 0-11 L/11 as a dog after their opponent scored first last game. White Sox are 8-21 in their last 29 inter-league road games vs. a team with a winning record. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-27 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 26-13 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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07-23-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
NYY starter COLE is 29-13 OVER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game. Over is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter like BoSox starter Rodriguez. BOSTON is 27-14 OVER in home games vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 14-3 OVER in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 season.The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER L/10 in the second game of a series after they played extra inning in game one. Over is 9-4-1 in Yankees last 14 games as a road underdog.NY YANKEES are 36-19 OVER in road games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 3 seasons. Play OVER |
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07-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs UNDER 11 | 3-8 | Push | 0 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Cubs Davies since May 1, has made 15 starts and has garnered a 3.10 ERA. He has allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 15 starts and against a inconsistent Arizona offence Im betting he holds the fort again. Meanwhile, the Cubs offence has really struggled for a while now, and here against the Diamondbacks Zac Gallen (1-4, 3.86), Im betting will provide support . He allowed a run, three hits and struck out seven with a walk over 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs on Saturday.Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 vs. National League Central. Under is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League West. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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07-22-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -165 | 5-3 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Giants starter DESCLAFANI is 1-7 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.574. Dodgers starter BUEHLER is 6-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.070. Im betting on the Dodgers to salvage a game from this series. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. The Dodgers are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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07-22-21 | A's v. Mariners +130 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
SEATTLE is 16-6 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like the As Manaea. Seattle starter FLEXEN is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-2 ( against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. SERVAIS is 35-19 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games as the manager of SEATTLE. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 16-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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07-22-21 | Angels v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Angels are 10-0 OVER L/10 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road dog of less than +200. LA ANGELS are 24-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season. HEANEY is 7-0 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Over is 7-2 in Angels last 9 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 22-3-1 in Twins last 26 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game which was the case in a 7-2 win vs the White sox yesterday. Over is 21-9-1 in Twins last 31 during game 1 of a series. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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07-22-21 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Cleveland right-hander Cal Quantrill (2-2, 4.05) will make his 28th appearance -- and 10th start -- on Thursday. Quantrill is currently in to form after, winning his second straight start on Saturday after permitting one run on four hits in five innings against the Oakland Athletics. Hes finally getting acclimated to being a starter and its showing as his confidence and work continue to uptrend. Meanwhile, right-hander Luis Patino (1-2, 4.87 ERA) despite of some less than stellar starts, is a capable hurler that the Rays have big plans for. Both sides have quality bullpens who Im betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total. CASH is 104-67 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of TAMPA BAY. CLEVELAND is 16-5 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 55-36 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons.
Play on the UNDER |
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07-22-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
BOSTON is 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season like NYY starter Montgomery. Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Montgomery took the lone loss in the series against the Red Sox last week, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings in a 4-0 defeat. The southpaw is 0-4 in seven starts since June 2. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. BOSTON is 17-2 (against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season. Red Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 vs. American League East. Yankees are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Yankees are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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07-21-21 | Giants +147 v. Dodgers | 4-2 | Win | 147 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Urias is just 1-3 with a 2.97 ERA in 17 career appearances (11 starts) vs. San Francisco and is vulnerable in this spot vs a batting order that my own projections suggest he does not matchup well against. I know the Dodgers are desperate after losing the first two games of this series, but teams do not always get what they want.Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West. LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-5 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 11-5 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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07-21-21 | Cubs v. Cardinals -118 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Cubs had lost 21 of their previous 29 games before their comeback win yesterday. But its obvious this team is not acting cohesively and fade material until further notice. The Cubs are 0-12 L/12 as a road dog after they scored first before trailing and coming back to win last game. St.Louis starter WAINWRIGHT is 47-19 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the St.Louis Cards to win |
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07-21-21 | Rangers v. Tigers -112 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. DETROIT is 7-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-21 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 54-14 L/5 years for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Tigers |
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07-20-21 | Rangers v. Tigers -118 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers have come out of the All-Star break playing at a high level. In stark contrast, the Texas Rangers who cannot even score a run. Dunning has pitched well of late for Texas but the Rangers are just 0-14 L/14 on the road when they won in each of their starter's last two outings. The tigers pitching staff posted its third shutout in four games while improving to 4-0 since the break and get my support here again. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 14-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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07-20-21 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Dunning's road ERA is 6.55, compared to 2.54 at home so Im not fooled by his recent quality performances, and Im expecting the hot hitting Tigers light him up and easily help this combined score go over the set total. The Rangers are 8-0 OVER as a favorite after they were shutout last game with the average combined score of those tilts coming in at 14.5 rpg. DETROIT is 15-3 OVER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 40-15 OVER l/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
I know the Bucks have now won 3 straight games in this series and now have a chance to grab the league championship with a win at home here tonight. But overall this has been a close series, and the Suns have proven themselves versatile and more than competitive enough during these play offs to justify me recommending we take the points here in this do or die situation.PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 13-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this seasonMILWAUKEE is 6-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. NBA team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are -1-6 this season and 18-49 L/5 seasons for a overall go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-20-21 | Mariners v. Rockies -173 | 6-4 | Loss | -173 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 15-0 L/15 when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start.MARQUEZ is 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 8-1 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher this season. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.667. Seattle will send Marco Gonzales (1-5, 5.88 ERA) to the mound at Coors Field. Gonzales is 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA in two career starts against Colorado, including one start at Coors Field as a rookie in 2014 when he allowed five runs on seven hits in five innings and is fade material here in the launching pad know as Coors Field. Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite. Play on the Rockies to win |
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07-20-21 | Twins v. White Sox -134 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Minnesota rookie right-hander Bailey Ober (1-1, 5.45 ERA) is set to oppose White Sox lefty Dallas Keuchel (7-3, 4.25 ERA) on Tuesday. Ober already has started against the White Sox three times in his career, going 1-1 with a 6.57 ERA in 12 1/3 innings. Keuchel is 6-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 10 career appearances against the Twins, including nine starts and has the edge needed on the hill for the Pale Hose in this spot. The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 32-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game are 38-75 L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-19-21 | Angels v. A's -108 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Angels starter Ohtani has pitched four times against Oakland in his career, going 2-2 with a 5.21 ERA and despite of having a decent season, is vulnerable vs this Oakland batting order according to my projections. OAKLAND is 19-6 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. LA ANGELS are 29-70 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 92-55 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win |
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07-19-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rays / Orioles have met six times this season with three contests at each venue. The Rays have taken all six meetings, outscoring the Os by a 48-21 count while holding the Orioles to two runs or fewer three times and Im betting on a decisive rinse and repeat situation here today. Note: TAMPA BAY is 21-3 against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in 2.6 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (BALTIMORE) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 1-37 L/5 seasons for a 98% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.63 rpg. Play on the Rays to win -1.5 |
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07-19-21 | Twins v. White Sox -217 | 3-2 | Loss | -217 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The White Sox and Twins already have met 12 times this season, with the Pale Hose owning a 10-2 record against the Twins with a 91-47 run diff . More of the same action Im betting is on board here again today, behind White Sox consistent offence and strong pitching that will see, right-hander Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.99 ERA) who is coming off his second career All-Star selection . Lynn allowed opponents to hit just .189 against him with a .260 on-base percentage entering the break. Lynn in three outings this season vs Minnesota , 2-0 record with a 1.59 ERA (three earned runs in 17 innings) during that span. White Sox starter LYNN is 12-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits which was the case yesterday in a shutout win vs the Astros. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 22-61 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-18-21 | Cubs -109 v. Diamondbacks | 4-6 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
The Cubs struggled mightily before the all star break, but they have come back looking refreshed and have gotten back to .500 and are more than capable of up-trending here vs a Dbacks side that is extremely inconsistent. ARIZONA is 9-42 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season The Diamondbacks are 0-17 on the ML this season as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead. Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite. Play on the Cubs to win |
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07-18-21 | Indians v. A's -167 | 4-2 | Loss | -167 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
As starter BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) ) BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least -140 when they won in his last start. The As lost yesterday 3-2, but have proven resilient in bounce back situations.OAKLAND is 13-2 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season. Play on Oakland to win |
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07-18-21 | Astros v. White Sox -123 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
For the White Sox, Carlos Rodon (7-3, 2.31 ERA) will make his 16th start of the season. He is coming off his first selection to the All-Star Game after a stellar first half that included a no-hitter.In 89 2/3 innings this season, Rodon has issued 26 walks to go along with 130 strikeouts and deserves respect on a short line at home. The White Sox are 11-0 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-3 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL are 152-278 L/24 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate. Play on White Sox to win |
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07-18-21 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 10 | 5-0 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
The Orioles will send Matt Harvey (3-10, 7.70 ERA) to the mound, while fellow right-hander Carlos Hernandez (1-0, 4.98) will start for the Royals and my projections based on the starters and substandard bullpens has me projecting a higher scoring affair that eclipses this total.KANSAS CITY is 11-2 OVER in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.BALTIMORE is 9-1 OVER in the second half of the season this season with an average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 26-7 in Orioles last 33 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play OVER |
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07-18-21 | Rays -104 v. Braves | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rays lefty starter HILL is 31-10 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Hill owns a 5-0 record with a 1.74 ERA in nine career appearances (seven starts) vs. Atlanta. Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague home games. ATLANTA is 3-11 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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07-18-21 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -217 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The explosive Blue Jays lineup led by MVP candidate Guerrero matches up very well vs Ranger starter Allard . Note: Allard, is 1-6 with a 3.95 ERA in eight starts since he was inserted into the rotation. Meanwhile, the Jays top hurler Ryu offers up stability for the Jays ability to slow down the Ranger offence. RYU is 53-17 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career . (Team's Record)TEXAS is 1-16 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. ( Jays beat Texas 10-2 on Friday). TEXAS is 1-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns -4 | 123-119 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
So far in this series the home team has won all 4 meetings and Im betting on that trend to continue. Note: The Suns have won 5 straight vs the Bucks at home covering all 5 times. I really believe the Suns are the better team, and last time out, were unfortunate to lose as they are the first team in NBA history to lose a Finals game despite shooting better than 50% and holding their opponents below 42%. I know the Bucks have really been reeling in rebounds, but it must also be noted that PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-23 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 61-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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07-17-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 218.5 | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bucks have seen their offence get into a flow and their scoring output increase after Game 1 and are now averaging 110.5 points per game and will be prepared to run here vs what Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Over is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 143-87 L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate! Play OVER |
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07-17-21 | Mariners v. Angels -123 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Seattles southpaw starter KIKUCHI is 1-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 10.22 and a WHIP of 2.311 and has lost his L/3 trips to the hill vs the Halos. Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Mariners are 18-39 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Angles to win |
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07-17-21 | Astros v. White Sox -107 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
HOUSTON is 3-9 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season like Giolito. Astros stater ODORIZZI is 1-7 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LARUSSA is 20-2 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX like Odorizzi. White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter The White Sox are 14-0 L/14 on the ML as a home favorite after they scored in fewer innings than their opponent last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 14-3 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-17-21 | Twins -118 v. Tigers | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Jose Urena (2-8, 6.43 ERA) is scheduled to start the opener for Detroit. Urena has been in a huge funk where he has allowed 30 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last six trips to the hill. He hasn't pitched since July 6, when he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings at Texas.In two starts against Minnesota this season, he's 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and is fade material here in this spot. Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Tigers are 16-44 in their last 60 opening games of a double-header. MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-30 L/5 seasons for a go against for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Twins are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings in Detroit. Twins are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings. Play on Minnesota Twins to win |
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07-16-21 | Indians v. A's -187 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
As starter BASSITT is 11-0 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)The Athletics are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a favorite of at least when they won in his last start. BASSITT is 18-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)BASSITT is 11-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the flipside, the Indians starter right-hander Eli Morgan (1-3, 8.44 ERA) looks like he is cannon fodder for the As batting order. Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Indians are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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07-16-21 | Cubs -135 v. Diamondbacks | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Cubs right-hander Kyle Hendricks (11-4, 3.77 ERA) get the start in the opener of the three-game set vs Arizona. The 31-year-old Hendricks is 9-0 over his past 11 starts and gets my support here vs the Dbacks. The Diamondbacks are 0-16 L/16 on the ML as a dog after they held a multiple-run lead last game. Diamondbacks are 2-12 in their last 14 vs. National League Central. Diamondbacks are 6-48 in their last 54 games as an underdog. Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Cubs are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Arizona. Play on the Cubs to win |
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07-16-21 | Red Sox +107 v. Yankees | 4-0 | Win | 107 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
CORA is 23-8 against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of BOSTON (NYY starter Montgomery fits these parameters) NY YANKEES are 4-12 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 2-11 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs over the last 2 seasons.Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. BOSTON is 20-9 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Red Sox are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League East. Boston is 6-0 vs the NYY this season. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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07-14-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 220 | 103-109 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 14 m | Show | |
My Pace projections have been accurate to this point in the NBA Finals series, and now Im expecting a score in the mid 220s much like the first two tilts. Advantage over. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. PHOENIX is 20-7 OVER versus defenses - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.5 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 24-9 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 49-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-11-21 | Suns +4 v. Bucks | 100-120 | Loss | -101 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
It was obvious to me after monitoring the first two games of this series, that the Suns are the superior side and even in Milwaukee against a hungry and desperate team must be respected getting points. PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Suns are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.MILWAUKEE is 8-19 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more this season. Suns are 27-8-1 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. PHOENIX is 12-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-11-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -226 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
TONY GONSOLIN the Dodgers starter owns a 1.38 ERA in his L/3 starts and gets my support in this spot. The Dodgers are 29-0 L/29 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 after a win where they never trailed. ARIZONA is 9-40 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-23 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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07-11-21 | England +165 v. Italy | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
The loss of left back Leonardo Spinazzola in this big finale is a big blow for Italy. When he went down against Belgium the Italians had their worst possession performance of the Euro vs Spain in the followup. Meanwhile, key for Three Lions, is their transition defense which has been hands down the best in the entire tournament. With that said, Im betting Italys flow is off, while England D, will hold strong and for the host to stand tall in the middle of the pitch here and hoist the Euro Cup in front of their hungry fans. Play on England to win |
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07-11-21 | Reds v. Brewers -155 | 3-1 | Loss | -155 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
WOODRUFF is 19-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 2-8 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record) The Brewers are 12-0 L/12 ML when Brandon Woodruff starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start. Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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07-11-21 | Phillies v. Red Sox -110 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Less than 24 hours removed from one of their worst losses of the season, the Boston Red Sox will primed to bounce back here before going into the all star game. With that said, Im supporting Righty Nick Pivetta (7-3, 4.09) who will go for Boston against his former team.Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.( Nola is righty) BOSTON is 11-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season ( like Nola). Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games as a road underdog. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 27-7 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-10-21 | Rockies v. Padres -177 | 3-0 | Loss | -177 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Padres starter Joe Musgrove has pitched his best ball at home this season as is evident by garnering a 2.89 ERA. MUSGROVE is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.750 and gets my support here vs a poor traveling Rockies side. The Rockies are 0-12 L/12 when German Marquez starts on the road after they won as an home favorite in his last start. COLORADO is 1-15 ( against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 games as an underdog. COLORADO is 2-19 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. SAN DIEGO is 24-6 against the money line in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 72-41 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to win |
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07-10-21 | Phillies v. Red Sox -156 | 11-2 | Loss | -156 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
The Red Sox overpowered the Phillies 11-5 in the series opener Friday and my projections estimate another win here today. Note: Boston has won each of Perez's past four starts. Perez has pitched to a 1.86 ERA during that stretch, allowing just four earned runs over 19 1/3 innings an he gets my support in this spot play. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BOSTON is 11-2 against the money line in an inter-league game this season Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 57-22 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the Red Sox to win . |
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07-10-21 | A's -127 v. Rangers | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
James Kaprielian has been one of the better rookie pitchers in the majors this season for the Oakland Athletics and now in his third start against them Im expecting his best effort. I know the As have been in a funk, but today Im betting they get a win vs Texas starter Mike Foltynewicz (2-8, 5.17 ERA). OAKLAND is 12-2 against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent this season Home teams (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or less, WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. Play on Oakland to win |
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07-10-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays -114 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has not lost since getting beat by Toronto in Buffalo, last Saturday. Im betting that run continues here, behind starting hurler Yarbrough, who struck out five Sunday, and is unbeaten in his past 11 appearances. During that run, Yarbrough is 4-0 with a 4.03 ERA and gets the nod here on a short moneyline offering. Yarbrough, s 7-1 with a 2.38 ERA in 15 career appearances with seven starts against the Blue Jays. The Rays are 15-0 L/15 on the ML in the second game of a series at home after they scored in at least four separate innings in game one. TAMPA BAY is 11-2 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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07-09-21 | Lynx v. Aces -7.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas after being upset last time out will be wide awake here in ready to get redemption. LAS VEGAS is 8-0 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (+7 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 35-1 L/5 seasons with th average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg which qualifies on the ATS line. Play on Las Vegas to win |
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07-09-21 | Rockies v. Padres -216 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
Back in June the Rockies swept a 3 game series at home vs the Padres now in revenge mode Im betting the Padres to come out here and get some redemption. The Rockies are 0-19 L/19 on the ML as a road dog of over +130 after they left 18+ men on base individually last game. COLORADO is 0-13 against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Padres to win |
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07-09-21 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Yankees were shutout last night by the Mariners, but today Im betting the offense bounces back. The Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 after they were shutout averaging 9.25 rpg in those tilts with a combined average of 12.75 runs per game scored by both sides. Over is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as a road underdog.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 games following a loss.Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 road games. Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 games as a home favorite.Over is 8-3 in Astros last 11 home games. Over is 21-8 in Astros last 29 during game 1 of a series Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER |
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07-09-21 | White Sox -131 v. Orioles | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.245 and gets my support here on what projections estimate is a value moneyline proposition. The White Sox are 13-0 L/13 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a favorite after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. CHI WHITE SOX are 31-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. CHI WHITE SOX are 27-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 14-35 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever OVER 159.5 | 69-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
WNBA Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home win, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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07-09-21 | Liberty v. Fever +1.5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Indiana broke a long losing streak last time out and now with momentum Im betting they will be competitive again and get the cover. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent off a home win are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites (INDIANA) - good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 39-18 ATS L/24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-08-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 219 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This Totals open was closer to what I project the true number should , which I estimated to be in the low 220s which makes this over wager a viable investment opportunity. Im betting the Suns with plenty of energy after an extended rest at home here in Phoenix will continue to press the action, on fresh legs as they did in game one and for the Bucks now more rested and adjusted to this time zone will come out here with all guns blazing in an attempt to steal a game before going home. This will culminate in a higher scoring tilt than might be expected by both the pundits and lines-makers. Note: The Bucks were consistently open from 3-point range in game 1 , and had a +44% conversion rate and Im betting that continues and aids our over cause. MILWAUKEE in 31 non-conference games this season have seen a combined average of 237.7 ppg go on the board. PHOENIX is 11-2 OVER vs. dominant rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 5+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 20-9 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season with a combined average 226.9 ppg go on the board. ( Suns took game 1- 118 to 105) NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-08-21 | Reds +101 v. Brewers | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Reds starter MAHLE is 7-0 against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record) The Cincinnati righty has also been brilliant away from home posting a 1.84 road ERA and deserves respect here on this value line. Note: The Reds have won 5 straight at Milwaukee. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass. Reds are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League Central. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games are 35-82 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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