Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 26 m | Show | |
The Patriots are 7-1 with a three-game lead in the AFC East and the favorites to come out of the AFC. The Seahawks, 5-2-1 and atop the NFC West, are always a factor in the NFL race for a Super Bowl championship. Both have top tier coaches, with Belichick and Carroll. One thing for sure is, that Caroll looks at this as an opportunity for redemption after blowing a Big lead in Super Bowl 49. I expect a tight affair with the points proving to be golden. |
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11-13-16 | CS Sacramento v. Nebraska -17 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Nebraska according to my early season own power rankings, should be closer to 20 point favorities. Lay the points -SACRAMENTO ST is 9-21 ATS L/30 as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points Play on the Nebraska Corn Huskers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Mercer v. Florida -16 | 54-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
College Hoops Favorites of 10 or more points like the Gators - with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak division 1-A conference are 49-17 ATS L/63. Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Alabama Aandamp;M v. Missouri -17.5 | 44-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
11-13-16 | Robert Morris +11.5 v. DePaul | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
11-13-16 | Lakers +4.5 v. Wolves | 99-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Lakers and Minnesota Timberwolves are two young promising teams . At this point in the season, the Lakers look to be more polished under head coach Luke Walton, and needlessly to say have been impressive of late, winning 5 of their L/6 SU, including last nights shallacking of the Pelicans. Meanwhile, the Wolves under new HC Thibeadeau were expected to better defensively, under his tutledge, but that is not the case at the moment as the men from the city of lakes, have now allowed 119 points in two of its last three games while their opposition have scored more than 102 in all but one tilt and were uncerimoniously dumped on last night by the LA Clippers in a DD loss. Note from a league wide trends perspective - Home teams like the Wolves - a lower tier side (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record, in November games are just 10-31 ATS L/41 overall. MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games first half of the season dating back to las season. The Lakers have won their L/3 visits to Minnesota. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Nebraska-Omaha +12.5 v. USC | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
11-13-16 | Dolphins v. Chargers UNDER 48.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 44 m | Show | |
Miami will come in here as visitors with an objective of slowing down the Chargers sometimes explosive offense, behind their running game via RB Ajayi. Everything the Fins do will based on eating up clock time and flow. This option could be buoyed by the Chargers new found running game behind Gordon. Smashem up old fashioned football on deck today. MIAMI is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points.MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored, which happened in a 27-23 win vs th Jets last week . SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER L/14 after scoring 30 points or more last game with an average of 40.8 ppg going on the scoreboard which happened in a 43-35 win vs Tennessee last time out. The last 12 meetings in this series have gone under with a combined average of 34.8 combined ppg going on the scoreboard! Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Stars -123 v. Canucks | 4-5 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas to win on the moneyline |
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11-13-16 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 208.5 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The fast improving Hornets (6-2) are who rank 4th in defensive rating in the league and 6th in PPG allowed visit the defending champion Cavaliers (7-1) that rank near the middle of the league in pace, this Sunday afternoon in a interesting match-up. This is a Charlotte team on a upward trajectory . The Cavs knowing how fast the Hornets are I am betting will be methodical in their approach today and will try to slow this game down to crawl, and on the flips side, Charlotte's stingy D, will slow the Cavs ability to score in bunches, which will result in a combined score that fails to eclipse the number. |
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11-13-16 | Niagara +6 v. Brown | 79-88 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Niagara to cover 1 unit regarding selection |
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11-13-16 | Central Connecticut State v. Seton Hall -29.5 | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
One season after Seton Hall won the Big East Tournament for the first time since 1993 and made its first NCAA Tournament in a decade, the Pirates look to continue their success with four of five starters returning from last year's squad. Their top scorer for last season, Whitehead is gone to the NBA, but this team is still deep and will be explosive offensively and very stout on defense. The team they are playing today, C ConnState is just a battering ram for them today, and I very much expect a big DD beatdown. HC Willard is 10-1 ATS L/10 in home games when playing with one or less days rest.
Seton Hall to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Chiefs +3 v. Panthers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
The Panthers have won two games in a row since starting the season with only one victory across their first six games. Meanwhile, The Panthers (3-5) are coming off victories against Arizona and the Los Angeles Rams (3-5). But I myself still see alot of problems with Carolina's overall flow this season, espeially QB Newton, and believe that they may actually end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard this week, vs a very opportunistic KC defense that can gain control of the line of scrimmage. HC Rivera said the Panthers appeared to be a fatigued team, something he attributed to coming off the West Coast trip and this factor Im betting puts them at a disadvantage today. Note: KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game like the Panthers. Chiefs are also 10-0 ATS/U L/10 when visiting a non-divisional opponent with fewer wins. Key Injury update: [QB] 11/07/2016 - Alex Smith is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Carolina. Play on the KC Chiefs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-13-16 | Bears -1.5 v. Bucs | 10-36 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bears enter this game vs TB well rested after a 13-day break. Chicago saw starting quarterback Jay Cutler return for its last game, a surprise Monday night win against the Minnesota Vikings. The team after going through a rash of injuries is healing with more key bodies.The Bucs' defense has allowed a combined 1,087 yards of total offense and 73 points in the last two losses and while Chicago has not been explosive on offense this season, I expect they may have one of their best efforts of the season this Sunday, vs this swiss cheese TB defense. TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS L/14 in home games against conference opponents. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Pistons +5.5 v. Nuggets | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Detroit manhandled the Nuggets from the start in a 103-86 win Nov. 5, and matchup man to man very well against them. I know the Nuggets have revenge on board, but thye have some injury concerns, while Motown is fairly healthy. Stan Van Gundys Pistons base their successes and failures on D, and Im betting that what gets them the cover tonight. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Detroit -a top tier defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team like the Nuggets -47.5%45.5 are 42-14 ATS L/56 opportunities for a massive 75% conversion rate on the line. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -2 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwuakee after three straight wins, has lost two in a row and will be hungry to get back in the winners column when they face a very inconsistent Grizzlies side, that is having difficulties transforming to a new faster pace system.HC Kidd of the Bucks is 33-14 ATS L/47 after 2 or more consecutive losses. According to my own power rankings the Bucks matchup very well vs the Grizzlies. MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS L/11 after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last few seasons.MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS L/28 as a road underdog . Lay the points with the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Clippers v. Wolves +5.5 | 119-105 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Clippers played in Oklahoma City last night in a hard fought back forth battle that saw them win by a 110-108 count. Im sure their now in in an emotional letdown spot and on tired legs vs a Wolves side that will be primed to upset them. LA CLIPPERS are 8-19 ATS L/27 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season.From aleague wide perspective it must be noted that Any NBA team like the Clippers - a top tier offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a lower tier defensive team allowing (102 or more PPG), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are in favorable play against angle of 42-15 ATS for a big time 74% conversion rate. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | 76ers +14.5 v. Hawks | 96-117 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Sixers got a proverbial monkey off their back on Friday, when they beat the Indiana Pacers 109-105 in overtime. With some confidence now on their sides, they come into Atlanta looking for two in a row. Previous to that win the 76ers lost a one-point decision to Cleveland on Nov. 5 and a ot loss to the Pacers. As far as matching up well vs Atlanta it must be noted, that Philadelhia is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. Meanwhile, ATLANTA is 27-47 ATS L/74 in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less). Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Minnesota +7 v. Nebraska | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
Minnesota at 7-2 is not a team that should be taken lightly. Meanwhile, after a promising start to their season, Nebraska has fallen back to earth with a thud, and have lost two straight. After last weeks embarrassing massive DD loss to Ohio State, these young men come home demoralized. Not a good spot for Nebraska this week. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS L/10after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. Nebraksas HC Riley is 2-13 ATS L/15 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Gophers - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game are a bankroll expanding 31-8 ATS. Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | LSU v. Arkansas +7 | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 72 h 36 m | Show | |
Coming off a bye week, the Razorbacks put forth their vrery best effort of the season in a 31-10 beatdown of Florida , while LSU enters off a physical 10-0 battering and beating at the hands of the Crimson tide last week. One team has momentum , while the other is in a letdown situation. LSU is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Arkansas has won 2 straight meetings in this series.
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11-12-16 | Lakers +1 v. Pelicans | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The 5-4 Lakers go against the 1-8 Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center Saturday.After defeating the Milwaukee Bucks 112-106 on the road Thursday night for their first win of the season after eight consecutive losses, I expect the Pelcians to fall flat on their faces here again tonight. Meanwhile, the Lakers after winning 4 of their L/5 look to be in a top tier flow situation. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 33-9 ATS. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Toledo v. St. Joe's -4 | 76-77 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
St.Joes to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Kent State -1 v. Cleveland State | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-12-16 | Ohio State v. Maryland +29 | 62-3 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 31 m | Show | |
Ohio State rolled Nebraska last week, by a huge DD margin, Now after satisfying their egos, and upping their national ranking ,they may start a little slow this week against a Maryland side that has covered 4 of their L/5 as 28 or more point home dogs. You have to remember, that HC Urban Meyer and company have a Michigan State program that ruined their run for a National Championship last season, on board and will be in a look ahead situation. |
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11-12-16 | Appalachian State v. Troy | 24-28 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a big Sun Belt game, for App State (7-2) and (Troy 7-1). Big games are won with D, and nothing changes here today. Troy is offensively explosive , but this game will be won in the trenches. The Mountaineers have allowed just 16.9 ppg, (17 ppg on the road). |
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11-12-16 | Mississippi State +30 v. Alabama | 3-51 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 57 m | Show | |
Alabama is off a huge game against LSU last week and won a hard fought 10-0 defensive slugfest. These young men are beaten and battered, and will also be in an emotional let down state. Meanhile, Miss State showed their ability to hang with the big boys and took a win from Texas A&M last week. It must be noted that Miss State is 6-0 ATS in their L/6 as dogs of 23 points or more. |
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11-12-16 | West Virginia +2 v. Texas | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas for their second straight week, got by an opponent in a shoot out, allowing a combined 80 points in those two games . With that said, its become obvious to me that HC Charlie Strong defense is atrocious, and now going against a quality D, and balanced team, like West Virginia the Longhorns are in big trouble. The Mountaineers own the best defense in the Big 12, and are 70 YPG superior to the Longhorns porous D. It must be noted Charlie Strongs program has covered only 3 of 12 at home off back to back wins, and have failed to cover 5 straight under those perimeters. |
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11-12-16 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -14 | 36-49 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 36 m | Show | |
The linesmakers have installed Tennessee as big favs. It may have come as shock how big the opening line was, but it was not for me. I always like an edge if I can find one, but laying points here in this tilt is not an issue for me. It must be noted Rockytop is 30-1 SU in this series and 23-8 ATS and are 19-2 ATS L/21 when they are not favored by 17 or more points. Stoops is 10-20 ATS as an underdog as the coach of KENTUCKY losing SU by an average of 16.2 ppg. Play on the Tennesse Vols in a Blowout win- 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Illinois-Chicago v. San Francisco -3 | 80-82 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 32 m | Show | |
SF to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Kings +7 v. Blazers | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The up and down Sacarmento Kings enter this game off a loss last night to the Lakers as favs, after two straight wins and are finally starting to pay attention to playing better D, which will aid them against a run and gun Portland opponent tonight, that was smashed by DDs vs the Clippers last time out. I know that the Kings have head a heavy schedule of late, but it must be noted that NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Sacramento - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, on Friday nights are a bankroll expanding 30-8 ATS L/39.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 ATS L/50 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite.PORTLAND is 71-102 ATS L/179 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | South Alabama v. UNLV -7 | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Hawaii -9.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Hawaii to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | North Carolina v. Tulane +21 | 95-75 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
Tulane to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Ohio State v. Navy +17 | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show | |
Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 203 | 110-108 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
It was just over a week ago that the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder went head to head for the first time this season. The aforementioned game was played in Los Angeles with the visitors snatching a hard fought 85-83 win. Defense was the name of the game in that first battle, and I am betting the formula for both sides does not change tonight. All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Clippers are 70-40 under l/110- revenging a home loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive home wins.Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 like the Thunder - a upper tier team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights are 121-64 on the under for a 65% conversion rate on the Total. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or less with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 194.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-1 UNDER L/17 after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games dating back to last season with a combined average of 193.9 ppg going on the board. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-2 UNDER L/17 as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points with both sides combining for an average of 191.1 ppg.HC Donovan is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots which did happen in their last game. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Jacksonville State v. Tulsa -12.5 | 84-73 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
Tulsa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Eastern Kentucky -3 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Eastern Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Tennessee State v. UC-Davis +4 | 78-64 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
UC Davis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Cavs v. Wizards +7 | 105-94 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers were in the nation's capital Thursday for a White House meeting with President Barack Obama. Hanging around the capital since then in a tense environment may not serve them well in this spot vs a Washington side hungry for an upset of the league champs. The Celtics looked off their game, on election night, and lost a 110-106 decsion to the Hawks. Washington incidently beat Atlanta last week by a 95-92 count. Washington has covered 3 of the L/4 meetings between these two teams as hosts and Im betting on the points being golden again in this spot. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Georgia Southern v. NC State -13 | 79-81 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
NC State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | La Salle v. Temple -4 | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
MY early season Power rankings suggest a DD, Temple win. Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Drexel +16.5 v. Monmouth | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
Drexel to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Pittsburgh -11.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-11-16 | Vanderbilt -1 v. Marquette | 71-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Last season Marquettes Ellenson led the Golden Eagles and the Big East in rebounding (9.7rpg) and finished third in the league in scoring (17ppg), but he left for the NBA in the off season and is now with Detroits D league team. This Marquette squad will still be tough on the interior, but major flaws remain from a 8-10 Big East team from a year ago. Meanwhile, despite of Vandy also losing some players they have added quality talent, and now have a top tier coach in Drew, who will guide this team to a upward projectory. This team is being played on a neutral court, but with Ellenson gone Vandy has the definite edge. |
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11-10-16 | Utah v. Arizona State +6 | 49-26 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 27 m | Show | |
Arizona State (5-4, 2-4) has lost three games in a row and four of five as injuries ravaged the team at multiple positions and most critically at the quarterback spot, . The Sun Devils played without 10 starters in a loss a 54-35 loss at Oregon in their last game Oct. 29.Sophomore quarterback Manny Wilkins, who led the Sun Devils to 66 points over Texas Tech and 51 against California in September victories, has been in an and out of the lineup while dealing with ankle and shoulder injuries since. He was back in practice Sunday and appears set to return to the starting lineup, and will give a boost to his team this Thursday night vs a Utah side that despite of being a very competitive PAC12 opponent, but has also been inconsistent. Whittingham is 9-26 ATS L/35 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH. ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Graham is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of ARIZONA ST.es are 1-7 ATS as road favorites since joining the conference. The Sun Devils are also 8-3 ATS as conference home dogs and 7-3 ATS with rest. ASU is also 11-1 ATS L/12 in this series. Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-10-16 | Warriors v. Nuggets +6 | 125-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets did not make the play offs last season , but they played well against teams that were considered contenders and did make the post season. Denver isn't intimidated by the Warriors' imposing roster and beat the Golden State Warriors at home and lost a hard fought battle as visitors on the Dubs own court in OT, covering both times. The Nuggets actually matchup well vs the Warriors, especially in the Mile High City where the young legs of Nuggets can keep pace with a run and gun visitor that will feel the effects of the thin air. Denver has won 2 of the L/3 meetings here. NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the Nuggets - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% plus of their shots are 44-8 SU. Take the points with Denver 1 unit reg selection |
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11-10-16 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Bucks | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans after starting their season with a ugly 0-8 record have public bettors turning against them. But in my usual contrarian fashion, Im recommending we take the lowly Pelicans here against the spread. I know the Pelicans are playing without Tyreke Evans and Quincy Poindexter and J'Rue Holiday but their replacements are more than adequate. Meanwhile, the Bucks who are 4-3 SU on the season, are a over rated team, that is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers.The two teams met earlier this month in New Orleans with Milwaukee holding on late for a 117-113 victory to snap a 14-year losing streak in the Bayou, and both look evenly matched , with one side, the Pelcians being extremely desperate. The Bucks are from a solid group, as they are allowing 18.1 points per game on 16.1 turnovers. Their struggles was evident again Sunday as Milwaukee gave up 21 points on 27 turnovers. Truth is this Bucks side cannot be trusted as favorites. NBA Home teams like the Bucks - a low level foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, in November games are 119-185 for a go against conversion rate of 61% on the line.NEW ORLEANS is 16-5 ATS L/21 after 8 or more consecutive losses.MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games . Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-10-16 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
When the Chicago Bulls (4-4) visit the Miami Heat (2-4) on Thursday, alot of focus will be on Dwyane Wade, the shooting guard, and 12-time NBA All-Star and three-time NBA champion. His teammates will primed to support him in his quest to take down his former team. "I'm looking forward to it," Wade told ESPN after the Bulls beat the Orlando Magic on Monday night. "I'm looking forward to playing in the environment I played in for 13 years and competing against guys I've played with and have relationships with." So when Dwayne Wade is keyed up, there are few players in the game that can control a court like him. Considering the Heat have lost 2 of 3 home games already, their weak favorites here considering the circumstances. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Chicago - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 50-18 ATS. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-09-16 | Bowling Green v. Akron UNDER 71.5 | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Akron has an explosive aerial attack and Bowling Green has proved vulnerable in their secondary. Thus I expect Bowling Green will look to slow this game down by utilizing their run game, via very slow and methodical approach. The longer they stretch out the clock , the less flow the Zips offense will have. Note: Akrons run D, ranks No. 116 nationally. Akron enters this game having gone under in 5 straight games. AKRON is 14-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. .250 or less .AKRON in their L/19 in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more ypp, have seen an average combined score of 61.8 ppg go on the coreboard. Zips HC Bowden is 15-1 UNDER L/16 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses.Bowden is 12-1 UNDER L/13 off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.Bowden is 11-1 UNDER L/12 off 2 straight losses against conference rivals.Bowden is 17-3 L/20 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival.( None of the combined average scores of these games have eclipsed this current number) Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-09-16 | Rockets +8.5 v. Spurs | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
San Antonio , was almost perfect at home last season when it won 40 of its 41 regular-season games at the AT&T Center. but early this season they have already dropped two in a row at home - including an ugly 116-92 setback to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday.Meanwhile Houston has looked decent this season, winning 2 of their L/3 while covering 4 of their L/6 including a 4-1 ATS mark in their L/5 away games. With that said, lets take the points with the motivated and much improved visitor. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-08-16 | Suns +8 v. Blazers | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
I really like Portland and believe their under rated, but todays line in this Phoenix game is off according to my own power rankings. One of Phoenix's two wins this season came against the Trail Blazers, when guard Eric Bledsoe's 3-pointer at the buzzer in overtime plunged through the net for a dagger like 118-115 victory. With that said, the Suns matchup well against Portland, especially with their star guard Lillard battling a thumb and ankle injuries. Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Suns won three of the past four meetings.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.Suns are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 10-4 ATS. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-08-16 | Stars -101 v. Jets | 2-8 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
The Dallas Stars and the Winnipeg Jets are banged up, but tonight I like the visitors in this spot. I know hold out Dman Trouba who has now been signed to a 2 year contract will play tonight, but hes not a game changer, and is rusty after a long lay off. Winnipeg is exhausted and has dropped four of its last five games and has faced a grueling schedule in November with a home-and-home against Washington followed by tilts against Detroit and the New York Rangers. It must also be noted Winnipeg is 0-for-17 on the power play over the past seven games and this has been handicapped into tonight matchup analysis and recommendation on backing Dallas as road underdogs. Stars expected starter tonight G Kari Lehtonen is 7-2-1 against Winnipeg, unconfirmed starter Antti Niemi may sit. DALLAS is 33-19 ATS L/52 in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 11-4 ATS L/15 in road games revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals, which happened in a 4-1 loss in their first meeting vs the Jets.
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11-08-16 | Hawks v. Cavs -8.5 | 110-106 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland swept Atlanta in the Eastern Conference semifinals last spring and despite of the addition of Dwight Howard to the Hawks lineup, Im betting the defending champs are still the superior side and will control play in the interior. NBA underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Hawks - a decent shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), dominant rebounding side (5.5 or more reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) The Cavaliers is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games against Southeast division opponents by an average margin of victory coming by 16 ppg. Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and have failed to cover and lost6 straight as a road dog by an average of 11.7 ppg. .Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central. Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cavaliers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.Hawks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-08-16 | Eastern Michigan -105 v. Ball State | 48-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
E.Michigan and Ball State are both off losses, but according to my own power rankings E.Michigan is the superior side. E.Mich has lost 3 of their L/4 but two of those games came against Western Michigan and Toledo, conference power houses and the third came against now suddenly explosive Miami O. Ball State three wins this season have come against E.Kentucky lowly Florida Atlantic and Buffalo. Note: QB Riley Neal of Ball State is less than 100% with a knee injury. He is expected to play, but will be hindered mobility wise. BALL ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 in weeks 10 through 13 dating back 3 seasons. BALL ST is 0-8 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival losing SU by an average of 15 ppg. BALL ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last few seasons with the average margin of loss coming by 18.3 ppg. BALL ST has been unable to deal with lower tier secondaries as is evident by a 2-13 ATS L/15 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-07-16 | Magic +6 v. Bulls | 80-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls averaged 113.7 points and outscored its opposition by 17.7 points in the first three contests but is now slumping in a big way as is evident by scoring 99.3 points and being outscored by 12.3 points in the last three tilts, which was culminated with a ugly 111-94 loss at Indiana on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic are playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, having won 3 straight games, after starting out with three straight losses. With these teams trending in the opposite direction, Im betting on taking the points ending up being golden here. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 22-51 ATS L/73. CHICAGO is 2-16 ATS L/18 against Southeast division opponents and s 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. Bulls are 6-25 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Southeast.Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Magic are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Underdog is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
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11-07-16 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 216.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rockets enter this game playing better D, this season overall, which was a focal point of the coaching staff in the off season. In their first 6 games , 3 opponents have been held under triple digits. In their last game against Atlanta the rocketmen lost 112-97, and now I expect they bounce back with a more concerted defensive effort tonight vs Washington. This will be their 4th straight road game, so they will be on tired legs and also in shape to run and gun. ( Note: Under is 10-4 in Rockets last 14 road games) Meanwhile, the Wizards after three sloppy Defensive efforts to begin their season, have held their L/2 opponents to 92, and 88 points respectively, and a stingy repeat performance won't be surprising.Under is 14-5 in Wizards last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER L/8 as a road underdog of 3 points or less dating back to last season with a combined average of 204.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Washington. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-07-16 | Sabres v. Bruins UNDER 5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Buffalo G Robin Lehner has allowed fewer than three goals in each of his last five starts,and th Sabres remain a very conservative team that scores a majority of their goals off the rush in transition. Meanwhile, the Boston Bruins, just plain struggle on offense most of the time, as they have scored 2 or less in 8 of their L/11 games this season. The above combination of styles, trends and current form, will Im betting contribute to another low scoring out put by both sides, which will result in a under bet cashing this evening. Under is 6-0 in Sabres last 6 overall. Only 1 of the Sabres L/12 vs Atlantic division sides has gone over the total. Under is 15-6-6 in Bruins last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.BUFFALO is 5-0 UNDER L/5 against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% plus of shots against this season with an average 3.4 gpg. BUFFALO is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games in November games .BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.
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11-06-16 | Broncos +2 v. Raiders | 20-30 | Loss | -109 | 60 h 38 m | Show | |
Everyone loves and underdog and side on the rise like the Oakland Raiders , especially when playing against a defending Super Bowl Champion. The Raiders , thanks to some luck and the arm of star QB Carr have been rolling. However, with expectations so high, Im actually expecting gridiron karma to catchup with the Black and Silver in the Black-hole this Sunday after winning despite of a record 23 penalties. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS L/7 off back to back away games, and 3-13 ATS off back to back wins. Meanwhile, the Broncos will be wide awake this week with the media casting the Raiders as upset candidates in this spot. Denver has won 9 straight in this series, and 18-4 ATS on the road vs the AFC West and a perfect 12-0 ATS vs above .500 or more side. |
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11-06-16 | Colts v. Packers OVER 54 | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 77 h 11 m | Show | |
The Packers offense is finally clicking on a ll cylinders, and now this week at home, they face the 29th ranked D with the Colts visiting. I know the total is high but rightly so. It must be noted that when a total is 51 or higher in a NFC non division game where the favs are playing hosts, the totals count to the over is 22-8 and are 9-1 over as 4 point or more chalk. Plus the Colts are now at near or full strentgh on offense as WRs Doresett, Moncrief, and Hilton are all back and healthy giving QB Andrew Luck a full array of talent to hit downfield. With a bye week on tap for the Colts I expect they will leave everyhting on the field. NFL road sides before their bye week are 22 -3 to the OVER when the Total is listed at 47 or more. The Colts are also 15-2 OVER in their L/17 road games up until week 12. This has also been a series that has seen some high scoring events with the L/6 meetings seeing an average of 62 ppg go on the scoreboard, Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-06-16 | Titans v. Chargers -4 | 35-43 | Win | 100 | 55 h 27 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are coming off a spirited home win, but they have not dealt well with success in the past as is evident by going 1-7 ATS L/8 as an underdog off a win. The T Titans a have also lost 14 of their L/18 away games and and failed to cover 13 of them scoring an average of just 17.7 ppg in the process. Tennessee is also 0-8-1 ATS L/9 in this series and 0-5 SU/ATS at San Diego. Meanwhile, the Chargers have over -powered AFC South opponents in the past going 14-2 SU at home and 15-1 ATS. It must also be noted Tennessee has been unable to take advantage of bad defensive teams like the Chargers in the past failing to cover 17 of their L/20 opportunities if that side allowed an average of 350 plus yards per tilt. |
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11-06-16 | Saints v. 49ers +4 | 41-23 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers are desperate and looking to end a six-game straight up and against the spread losing streak Sunday afternoon when they take on Drew Brees and the surging New Orleans Saints at Levi's Stadium. New Orleans is 3-1 SU in its past four games but are only a road favorite for just the second time since Week 16 of the 2014 season. The caveat comes via the Saints , 2-9 ATS L/11 record as away chalk , and 1-8 ATS mark as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5. The Saints have also had series problems vs the 49ers failing to cover 5 straight meetings. Meanwhile, the Niners are off a bye week, and will be fresh for this tilt. Also despite of Drew Brees and company areial exploits of late, they do face a SF pass Defense, that has been in great form this season, allowing just 222 yards per game which ranks them 7th in the league. Bottom line: What Im betting happens today is that SF will take advantage of the Saints 29th ranked pass D that has allowed 286.7 ypg, and out enough points on the board to make this a scarey road adventure for the more often than not inconsistent Saints . Yes folks the Niners have the ability to keep the Saints guessing by opening the lanes up thanks to the expected addition of now healthy RB Carlos Hyde who has 6 rushing TDs so far this season in limited action. From a league wide perspective, NFL teams Underdogs or pick like SF - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are a long term good bet as is evident by a 62% ATS conversion rate using extensive sample size of 216 games. Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-06-16 | Blazers -2 v. Grizzlies | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies and Portland Trail Blazers both enter Sunday's matchup at the FedEx Forum with 3-3 records , but my own power rankings suggest the Blazers are the superior team. I have matained since last season that the Blazers were extremely under rated and nothing has changed my opinion since. I also believe Damian Lillard is one of a kind star in the NBA , and his numbers make this evident. Portland's star guard ranks third in the NBA in scoring at 34.2 points a game and became the first player since O'Neal in 1994 to score at least 27 points in each of his first six games. After analyzing the Grizzlies early this season, I feel their development under a new uptempo system , will hinder them, and today, against this type of a opponent they are at a disadvantage. Note: Portland is 31-14 ATS versus poor shooting teams - making 43% or less of their shots. Injury update: Mike Conely questionable vs Blazers ( Achilles) if he does play he will be less than 100%. Play on the Portland Trailblazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-06-16 | Jaguars v. Chiefs UNDER 44 | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 74 h 48 m | Show | |
KC and Jacksonville go head to head this week in a tilt that I am betting stays on the low side of the number. The Chiefs are ranked 8th in D, this season allowing 19.6 ppg. Some recent unders give credence to this selection, as KC saw their games against the Raiders, Colts and Saints all stay under, teams that can light it up behind top tier QBs. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is impotent on offense, and extremely inconsistent. I expect KC will try to get up early and than ground away with their run attack and take time of the clock in chunks. This usually methodical appraoch will lead to a lower scoring affair then line might indicate. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-06-16 | Jets +4 v. Dolphins | 23-27 | Push | 0 | 53 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jets look to be ressurected from the dead, after winning their L/2 SU/ATS. Meanwhile, the Fins are also winning and took back to back wins. However, the Fish don;t seem to deal well with success going 0-9 ATS as hosts of consecutive wins vs a division opponent coming off a victory and 0-5 ATS L/5 in this series. Finally the Jets are 22-4 ATS as divison dogs against opponents off a ATS win, which includes a sparkling 15-0 ATS mark as 3.5 or more point pups. From aleague wide NFL perspective Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Miami - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are just 26-64 ATS . Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Alabama -7 v. LSU | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 74 h 11 m | Show | |
11-05-16 | Wizards +5 v. Magic | 86-88 | Win | 102 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are just what Wizards need to cash a second straight ticket and right their proverbial early season ship. The Wizards are off an impressive win vs a tough Atlanta squad last time out and now have momentum. Washington has beaten Orlando 8 straight times, in every imaginable way. I know the Magic have said in the media that enough is enough, and their going to end this now, but hey while words are powerful and thoughts can manifest, Im betting on a rip from a Rolling Stones song being key here. You Don't Always get what you want. I also don't put much faith in the fact that the two wins the Magic have garnered have come against Philadelphia, and Sacramento. Even if John Wall misses tonights game, I very much like the Wizards chances at covering an exageratted line. Play on the Washington wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Flyers v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
The Habs got blasted last night 10-0 vs Columbus to end their season and now defense and golatending with Carey Price back between the pipes are focul key points for an embarrassed side. Orevious to their last game the Canadiens allowd no more than two goals in 8 straight games , while their own offense has not scored more than 3 goals in 6 straight games including their last debacle. With this being the Flyers 7th game in 12 days I highly doubt they will be in shape to run and gun and may fall under the spell of what Im expect will be a now conservative minded shell shocked home side. PHILADELPHIA is 33-17 UNDER L/51 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game with ana verage of 5pg going on the scoreboard. Road teams where the total is 5.5 like the Flyers- after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 63-23 under for a potent 74% converion rate.Home teams where the total is 5.5 like the Habs a tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days have gone under in 122 of the 179 opportunities. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Oregon +17 v. USC | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 45 m | Show | |
11-05-16 | Memphis v. SMU +3 | 51-7 | Loss | -106 | 81 h 37 m | Show | |
11-05-16 | TCU +7.5 v. Baylor | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 91 h 55 m | Show | |
Both TCU and Baylor are off heart breaking losses, and will be primed to bounce back. Baylor now with no chance for a undefeated season may be a little deflated, and in a look ahead sandwich spot, with the mighty Oklahoma Sooners coming up next. Meanwhile, Gary Patterson HC of the Frogs is no pushover as he is 16-4 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points and has covered 7 in a row under these spread peremiters. TCU is 5-1 L/6 ATS here at Baylor and look like solid underdogs in this spot. TCU is 10-1 ATS L/11 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Horned Frogs - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite 41-13 ATS.
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11-05-16 | Florida Atlantic +4 v. Rice | 42-25 | Win | 100 | 91 h 49 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling, and both I am sure look at this game as an opportunity fir a rare win. With that said look for this tilt to be hard fought , and for the points to be golden. Florida Atlantic previous to their last game, lost by 6, 5,2,4 points, so they have been very competitive. It must be noted that the invading Owls own a12-1 ATS mark as a dogs against foes off a loss, like Rice . Also all College Football Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Florida Atlantic - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after scoring 9 points or less last game have bounced back in a huge way covering 24 of the L/29 times.( W.Kentucy beat Florida Atlantic 52-3 last time out) Play on Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Syracuse +27 v. Clemson | 0-54 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
Syarcuse head coach Dino Babers is known for running an offensive system that's all about tempo, quarterback development and the passing game and nothing has changed during his tenure at Syracuse so far. Syracuse is well rested coming off an open date with a 500 record and may provide more of test for Clemson the linesmkaers may anticipate. I expect Syracuse spreads it out, and bombs away from the outset. Yes, I know Clemson is the superior side, but 27 plus points is a boatload full of digits , considering the Tigers usually do just enough to get their wins, and with an objective of staying healthy for the long run to their championship aspirtions. The Tigers have won 5 of their 7 games by 7 points or less, and have had a tenedncy to look inconsistent in the past. From a league wide perspective , College Football Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points like the Cuse- after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 25-7 ATS for a 78% conversion rate on the line.SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing or less 7.5 yards per return. CLEMSON is 1-12 ATS L/13 after playing 3 straight conference games.CLEMSON is 0-7 ATS L/7 in weeks 10 through 13 dating back 3 seasons. Syracuse has won the L/2 meetings in this series SU. Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Virginia +3 v. Wake Forest | 20-27 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
The Demon Deacons signal-caller Clawson is completing just 54.9 percent of his throws with just four touchdowns against seven interceptions on the season, thats not a good omen against a Virginia defense that is improving .I'm a fan of HC Mendenhall and I can see his team is getting better as his time on the sideliness progresses forward as was evident against Louisville last time out in a 32-25 loss. Virginia is 7-0 ATS L/7 on the road. Also from a league wide trends perspective - It must be noted that Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Cavaliers - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a lower tier team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-12 L/44 oportunities for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 0 m | Show | |
Texas a&M has gone under in 6 straight road games with ana verage of 34 ppg going on the board with only one game reaching the 47 combined point plateau. Texas AM after scoring more than 50 points in game like they did last time have come back and scored an average of 30.5 ppg in their following game with the total combined average clicking in around 51 ppg. Texas A&M has seen only 2 of their 13 games eclipse the Total. Mississippi State is 8-24-2 O/U since 2010 as a dog and 1-10-1 under as ahome dog with an average of 43.9 ppg going on the board. From a league wide perspective CFB sides- All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 like the Aggies - after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games against opponent after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 51-18.74% on the under! Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Texas v. Texas Tech +3 | 45-37 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
Im not a big fan of Charlie Strong football and it seems to me more often than not hes his own worst enemy. It also seems hes on the hot seat on a consistent basis, and despite of talent level and top tier recruiting nothing seems come easy for this Longhorns football program of late, with close losses and defeats becoming the norm. After an emotional win vs Baylor (35-34) last time out in a game the Horns were fortunate to win, after being on the wrong side of the stats sheet, they now have the tall task as being listed as favorites on the road against an explosive Texas Tech side behind QB Mahomes ( expected to play and upgraded for Saturday). HC Strong of Texas has failed to cover 13 of his L/20 after a SU/aTS win and 3-7 ATS if that team was 5-0 or better. So what Im saying here is that , not even a Matthew Mcconaughey motivational speech and heart thumping ritual song ie ( Wolf of Wall Street) will save the Horns or Strong from themselves. Play on Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-05-16 | Navy +7 v. Notre Dame | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 19 m | Show | |
Notre Dame took advantage of a emotionally downtrodden Miami Fl side last week, and took a 20-0 lead vs the Canes before showing their 2016 inconsitencies allowing 27 unanswered points . Than finally the football gods allowed them an opportunity for redemption by getting a late FG to win a ugly 30-27 event. Now Notre Dame 4-11 ATS off a win and 0-7 ATS L/7 on a neutral or home field under those peremiters situation will now take on Navys triple option offense, that has gained more than 1148 yards in their L/2 games. Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | San Jose State +29.5 v. Boise State | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
Boise State perfect season is over after last weeks heart breaking loss and now a hang over is at hand, against a San Jose State team that has the ability on any given Sunday to hang with a deflated opponent. It must be noted the Broncos are just 2-17 ATS L/19 as a conference favorite of more than 15 points on the Blue Carpet and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 in a week day game. And yes I know how bad a D, the Spartans have, but Boise State has not exactly been lights out against sides like this recently going, 0-7 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more pass yards per attempt . Play on San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | Blazers -1 v. Mavs | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost their first 4 games, and lack off offense has been the culprit in their L/3 as they faild to eclipse the 100 point plateau. The Mavs are ranked 25 th in offensive output in the league and 23rd in offensive effeciency and 23rd in defensive rating. The once mighty Mavs are now in rebuild and Dirk Notwitzki is getting older and more injury prone and can no longer be counted on to lead the way all by himself, despite of what the media would have you believe. Meanwhile, Portland is 2-3 on the season, and own the leagues 4th most potent offense. The D, has let them down, but they are more than capable of correcting this, as they rank amongst the most under rated teams in the NBA. PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games DALLAS is 17-32 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts .NBA Favorites like the Portland Blazers - off an upset loss as a road favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 30-8 ATS for a powerful 79% conversion rate .
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11-04-16 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 212.5 | 112-111 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Phoinex ranks 23 of 30 teams in offensive effeciency. Meanwhile The pelicans rank 29 in offensive rating. New Orleans versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts spanning a 20 game sample size dating back to last season, have seen an average of 206.2 ppg go on the scoreboard, giving us some value vs this posted total. PHOENIX is 29-13 UNDER L/42 after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games. Also from a league wide NBA trends data base : All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Pelcians- after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a lower tier side winning 25% or less of their games on the season have gone under 23 of the L/27 times. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | Clippers -5 v. Grizzlies | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this contest with the leagues top defense allowing an average of just 91 ppg and the best defensive rating in the league. That bad news for a Memphis Grizzlies side that ranks 26th in offense, despite of a new style that wants to show case a little bit more run and gun action. The Clippers are a tremednous two way team, and destined for bigger and better things. After alot of post season debacles, you can see they are now a ruthless/grizzled type of side, that does not easily get flustered, not even on the road . It must be noted that LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last few seasons, with the average margin of victory coming by 10.5 ppg.
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11-04-16 | Suns +3.5 v. Pelicans | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Phoenix comes in here as a live underdog acording to my own numbers and stats and power ranking evalulations. NBA ,Home favorites like the Pelicans are 15-45 ATS - after 2 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season. Also NBA home teams with a lower tier Defense, allowing 103 or more points per game after allowing 100 or more point in two straight tilts like the Pelicans are 5-23 ATS. Phoenix gets the nod here according to current trends and my early season power rankings. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-04-16 | Central Michigan -1 v. Miami (OH) | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
QB Rush has been the catalyst behind the Chippewas’ offense this season. The Charlotte Mich., native has already thrown for 2,533 yards and 21 touchdowns - he owns two 300-yard passing games and he shelled Virginia for 402 yards in September. The Chippewas enter this game 25th in the FBS in passing yards per game at 283.4 and will be Im betting be able to keep pace with a suddently explosive Miami O offense. The Chippewas’ defense is vastly under rated and some times disrepsected, but that would be a mistake, and Im betting will be the difference maker when all the chips are down. The unit is tied for second in the FBS in defensive touchdowns with four. Central Michigan’s defense has 11 interceptions (tied 13th in the nation), with nine of those coming via the secondary - Central Michigan,according to my own power rankings is the superior side and has been more consistent throughout the course of the season. Play on Central Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection LATE STEAM |
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11-03-16 | Avalanche v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Chicago's goalie Crawford enters this game having registered at least 32 saves in each victory during a three game win streak , leading to a save percentage of .926 this season. He should be a headache for a Avs side that has scored 6 goals in their L/4 games. Struggling COLORADO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games when playing against a winning team with a win % off .510 to .600 in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons, with an average of 3.7 gpg going on the scoreboard. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER L/9 in home games against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game with a combined average of 4.2 gpg getting scored. The Blackhawks are also 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak with an average of 4.2 gpg going on the board. |
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11-03-16 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 51 | 43-28 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
TB enters this game with an eratic offense , that cannot be counted on to move the chains. The Bucs started their season fast and furious, with a 31-24 win vs the Falcons on the road. But now TB have a banged up offensive lineup and young quarterback Jameis Winston is starting to teeter . Doug Martin and Charles Sims, the team's top two running backs, are also injured as is No. 2 receiver Vincent Jackson, and tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins,, has since been arrested on a DUI charge and waived. Needless to say the Bucs offense is a mess. I also expect the Bucs do everything to shore up their nasty D, and because of the offensive problems turn a conservative mode of moving the chains, as large chunks of time come of the clock. Meanwhile, Matt Ryan on short rest, and in an emotional letdowns scenario after last weeks 33-32 shootout win vs the Packers, to start slower than expected, which will result in a lower offensive output than the pundits might expect. ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game.ATLANTA is 13-0 UNDER L/13 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play. Tampa Bays last 19 home games have seen a average combined score of 44.3 ppg go on the scoreboard. Any NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 - versus division opponents has seen 80 of the L/126 stay under for a 64% conversion rate. Also Any team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 like the Falcons - versus division opponents, off a home win have gone under 30 of the the L/35 times for a 86% conversion rate . Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-03-16 | Kings +1.5 v. Magic | 94-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Patrick Cousins is a walking talking freak show and time bomb. But , hey the guy can play basketball, so I guess he can be given a break, since we are talking basketball. The talented star is averaging 26.8 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game. The Kings are 4.6 points per 100 possessions better with Cousins on the floor than their opponents, according to NBA.com's stats database. They score a team-best 109.9 points per 100 possessions with Cousins on the floor. Their season average is 100.9. Witht hat said, the NBA top big man Cousins should do very well today, vs a revamped Orlando team that I have downgraded. The Magic Magic are giving up 106.6 points per game and dont matchup well vs the Kings. It must be noted Orlando is off a ugly close win vs the Sixers and the Kings are off loss. However, the Kings play into a league wide trend, that suggests they have an edge here as All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Sacramento - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-4 ATS in their follow up game for a powerful 85% conversion rate. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 209 | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers relied on defense to roll past the Utah Jazz 88-75 in their home opener Sunday, and will once again center on controlling tempo in this event vs a Oklahoma City side that likes to run and gun. Look for another concerted defensive effort from the Cliipers and for their efforts to result in a Total combined score that remains on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER L/24 versus poor passing teams, averaging 20 or less assists/game.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with an average 203 ppg going on the scoreboard.LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season. LA CLIPPERS are 12-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points with a combined average of 190.9 ppg going on the board.LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average og 195.2 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 in home games against Northwest division opponents with na average of 195.8 ppg getting scored. LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games after scoring 110 points or more which happened in a 116-98 win last time out, with an average of 193.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Bulls +4 v. Celtics | 100-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Dwyane Wade and the new-look Chicago Bulls with 7 new players put their perfect start on the line when they visit the Boston Celtics in an early season rematch Wednesday night. Last week in Chicago, the Bulls (3-0) scored a 105-99 victory over the Celtics (2-1) and look like they matchup very well vs the Celtics. The Bulls have looked very cohesive, for not having played with each other, and if things remain intact, their chemistry looks like the key to more of their current success on the court. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Pelicans +6 v. Grizzlies | 83-89 | Push | 0 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game in desperation mode, after starting their current campaign at 0-4 SU. The biright spot is star Anthony Davis who is averaging 37 points and 13 rebounds a game. the key problem for Pelicans is that they have allowed 111 points a game. HC Gentry was livid after the last game, which is rare for guy with a calm cool character. Now with a fire lit under their behinds, I expect the Pelicans come out here, with all guns blazing. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
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11-02-16 | Cubs -114 v. Indians | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 1.31 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-1, 0.89) I am betting the 108 year drought the Cubs have experienced will come to an abrupt end in Game 7. In my opinion, the superior team is the Cubs. In this type of game intricate handicapping really has no merit, so I will end this with ....Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors this Tuesday night. Last season, the Blazers matched up well vs the Dubs , in the play offs despite of losing. I continue to rank Portland higher than the linesmakers and very much like their chances to cover in this spot. Note: GS Durant was injured in his last game, but will play, but is less than 100% and has been known to be injury prone, and may have his minutes limited. Golden State is 15-30 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams .PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.( LR: Port 115- Denver 113) Golden State is 0-3 ATS so far this season. From a league wide perspective nba teams like Golden State- off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have failed to cover 24 of the L/29 times for go against 83% ATS conversion rate.
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11-01-16 | Cubs -149 v. Indians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Before I get into which side my predicted winner for game 6 will be Ive included some very interesting numerological numbers that have been making the rounds among believers and skeptics alike. Here they are . Whether they have merit is up to you. But non the less its interesting. Also just a heads up, my selection tonight is not based on these numbers. As most fans know, the Cubs last won the World Series in 1908; 108 years ago. And that number, 108, seems to keep turning up in significant Cubs events. The biggest moment of the first playoff game against the Giants was Javier Baez's home run, the only run scored in the game. And it came on the 108th pitch. Grant DePorter, president and managing partner of Harry Caray's Restaurant Group, may be the world's leading expert in Cubs numerology. He wrote a book on the subject, and a huge display in his restaurant documents the significance of number 108. There's the number of stitches on a baseball: 108. The numbers of the last two Cubs inducted into the Hall of Fame, Ron Santo and Andre Dawson, add up to 108. "Everywhere you look, it's 108. You just can't get away from it," DePorter said. He could go on for days about the numbers. Some of the highlights: -Wrigley Field was assigned planned development no. 108 in the city out of more than 1,300 assigned -The Cubs' lawsuit for lights at Wrigley in 1988 is documented in volume 108 of the Supreme Court -The distance to Wrigley foul poles in right and left fields is 108 meters -The first World Series game at Wrigley was on October 8th, or 10/8 -The Cubs' last World Series game win was also on 10/8 DePorter believes the next win will be this year. "In our lifetime, they've never been a better team," he said. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (1-1, 3.78 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 1.76) Arrieta took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in Game 2 at Cleveland and ended up with the win, his first of the postseason and I am betting he is going to be golden again this Tuesday as Game 7 looms. CHICAGO CUBS are 29-9 L/38 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 .ARRIETA is 24-4 L/28 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.Cubs are 40-15 in Arrietas last 55 starts.Road team is 6-0 in Wests last 6 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
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11-01-16 | Blues v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
The Blues are playing a very conservative style of hockey at the moment, and they themselves are also struggling to score having netted 1 goal 5 times in their L/6 tilts. The Blues have also allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their 9 games this season.(Under is 3-0-2 in Blues last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.)Meanwhile. the Rangers , have not allowed more than 2 goals in 5 of their L/6, with their offense extremely inconsistent. The Rangers did score 6 goals last time out, but I expect a reversion back to their usual explosions that are followed by offense fall offs. They have scored previous to their L/game 5 goals or more in 3 previous tilts and each time they followed up with 2 goals or less on offense.(Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.)Note: Everything points to a total score that remains on the low side of the number. ST LOUIS is 16-5 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons and is 9-1 UNDER in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. From a league wide NHL perspective Any team against the total like the Rangers - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game have gone under 49 of the L/ 64 times for a 75% conversion rate . Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
Although the Vikings defense appears to have a decisive edge against the Bears offense, the same does not hold true on the opposite side of the ball. Minnesota is No. 31 in total offense with 299.2 yards per game, and Chicago is No. 12 in total defense with 350.4 yards allowed per game. According to my own data this game should me much closerthan the linesmakers estimate, and I will not be surprised if the Bad News Bears, give causaul NFL watchers some surprising headlines come Tuesday morning. The Vikings are 8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game.CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS L/6 after 3 or more consecutive losses. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 43 | 23-29 | Loss | -108 | 73 h 36 m | Show | |
These two teams have two of the better Ds, in the NFL at the moment. (Philly allows only 14.7 ppg with the Boyz D allows 17.8 ppg. The host Cowboys come in off their Bye Week with a current 5-game winning streak. whch sets into motion a long term trend that has seen these type of teams go under 8 straight times since 2010: It shows that All NFL home teams off their BYE WEEK... and a 3-game-or-more winning streak (Cowboys). are 0-8 under. These teams have averaged also only ombined for just 29.9 ppg . And finally Game 8 division matchups have seen only 15 of 48 l/48 tilts eclipse the total. From a league wide NFL data base it must be noted that Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 point like the Cowboys - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season have seen 54- of 77 games stay under for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Warriors v. Suns +12 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have some questions marks surrounding them, from my own perspective. After closely watching sports since I was maybe 6 years old, (48 years) it was evident that some teams with star laden lineups never materialized into great teams, and some remained very average. Now Im not saying this is the case with the Warriors, but with the addition of Durant in the off season, could the possibility of over crowded ego situation hamper the Warriors. Their loaded , but so far this season, their flow seems a little off especially defensively in transistion. They were beaten up on by San Antonio 129-100 in their home opener and despite of beating New Orleans last time out, 122-114 they still don't have the feel of a championship team at the moment. I know its early, and Im not suggesting anything apocalyptic, but they have given me food for thought. With that said, today here on the road, the Dubs are being asked to cover a DD spread, and in the past this may have looked like a positive ATS situation for them. But Im betting not today, vs a young talented Suns team that clobbered the Sacramento Kings in their first game and than lost to Oklahoma City in a hard fought OT battle. Last season, the Warriors crushed Phoenix by 19 and 25 points in their first two meetings, but then had to battle hard for very tough eight- and seven-point victories later in the season. You might be saying, but now the Warriors have Durnat in their lineup. But it must be noted , he's recorded double-figure rebounds just once in three matchups last season vs the Suns. Look for the Suns Booker and Bledsoe to be instrumental in a cover for the home side today.
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10-30-16 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | 32-33 | Win | 101 | 69 h 48 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers Aaron Rogers broke the 300 yard plaeau last time out after 15 straight games and looks to be back in tune ,The Packers offense piled up 406 yards and controlling the ball for almost 40 minutes against Chicago.Meanwhile, Atlanta's defense ranks 27th in scoring, 26th in yards allowed and 31st in passing yards allowed.Matt Ryan has failed to cover 5 straight vs NFC North opponents. Last year HC Quinn and company started out 5-0 before finsihing 3-8 run and after back to back losses it loooks like the Falcons are headed in that direction again. after a 4-1 start .ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite. Play on the Green Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Raiders v. Bucs UNDER 49.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
We are looking at a Total that takes into consideration a Raiders defense that ranks last in the NFL in total defense and passing defense. However, what must also be considered from my perspective at least is the Bucs very inconsistent offense , that has scored an average of 19 ppg at home this season, and had two seperate 7 points outputs. Oakland is working hard on correcting their defensive defecincies, and TB knowing the Raiders explosiveness will try to slow this games flow down . This combination , I am betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the Totals number. |
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10-30-16 | New Mexico +3.5 v. Hawaii | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 83 h 4 m | Show | |
Hawaii has put alot of air miles on their bodies so far this season, and after pulling off the upset of Air force last week come home on tired legs and in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile, New Mexico owns the No.1 rush offense in the country that allows opposing run offenses to cruise to 259 ypg . New Mexico gets the nod. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 30-8 ATS L/38 opportunities.NEW MEXICO is 20-8 ATS ( in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play. HAWAII is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing 2 straight conference games. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest. New Mexico has won 6 straight meetings in this series and 3-0 L/3 visits to Hawaii. New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 49 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 24 m | Show | |
My College football totals are based on a comprehensive data sheet, which incorporates my power ranking scores . No stone has been left unturned in quest to punish the books for weak College Sports Totals numbers. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are loaded with young talent, but they're developing almost all of it simultaneously and their will be growing pains. Denver, did pull off a win as a road underdog in their first game of the season, but are 2-11 ATS L/13 off a road win and 8-20 ATS L/28 after playing as a road underdog. From a league wide trends perspective: NBA teams of-3 to +3 line of a upset win like the Nuggets are 95-153 ATS in the followup game for a lowly 38% ATS conversion rate. Meanwhile visiting Portland is a very under rated team, and I expect they build on their 44 win season last year and a play off series. They lost as underdogs to the Clippers in a hotly contested home opener, but are now 31-18 ATS after playing a game as underdog. Bottom line: Portland is the superior side, and have proven that in 7 of their L/8 meetings. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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