Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-18 | Clippers v. Hawks +7.5 | 127-119 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Hawks are struggling (3-13) as they enter this game on a seven-game losing streak on Monday when they start a four-game home stand against the Los Angeles Clippers (10-5) at State Farm Arena. . Thanks to their ineptness and inability to garner wins of late, we are getting an exaggerated line to bet into with the home dog Hawks. I know the Clippers are playing well and we have a matchup of teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but desperation and being back on their own home court after a 4 game road trip against strong teams ( Indiana, Golden State, Denver, Lakers) makes the Hawks battle tested and a viable wagering option as they play in desperation mode. LA CLIPPERS are 18-34 ATS L/52 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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11-19-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Hornets | 112-117 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings and head to head matchup systems and player vs players analysis, the Celtics matchup very well vs the Charlotte Hornets. CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 vs Charlotte. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less ), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-106 ATS for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors over the L/21 season. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-19-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Rutgers -5 | 36-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rutgers has lost alot from last season, and are not a viable Big 10 team but here at home they are good bets be able to handle a hard working but over matched MAC side in E.Michigan. HC Murphy is 3-14 ATS ( vs. teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN CBB home team (RUTGERS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team that had a winning record, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference are 49-21 L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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11-19-18 | Old Dominion v. Northern Iowa +3.5 | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
PARADISE JAM - Final Rnd - VI Sport & Fitness Center - St. Thomas, VI UNI matches up very well here vs Old dominion and a SU victory as underdogs is not out of the question. N.Iowas hoops program is 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 meetings in this series vs Old Dominion. N IOWA is 12-3 ATS versus terrible shooting teams - making 39% or less of their shotsOLD DOMINION is 0-8 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 season .N IOWA is 19-6 ATS L/25 in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5. Play on Northern Iowa to cover |
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11-19-18 | Auburn v. Xavier +10 | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
MAUI INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - Lahaina Civic Center - Maui, HI Highly rated Auburn is getting way to much respect here, vs a talented young group at Xavier. I know the Muskateers have a new coach with Travis Steele , but the former HC Mack left a pipe line of fine recruiting talent and key players returning form last season. Just to many points here to pass up with a a quality group in a neutral court environment.
Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-19-18 | Georgia v. Illinois State UNDER 146 | 80-68 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
CAYMAN ISLANDS CLASSIC - Round 1 - John Gray Gymnasium - Cayman Islands Georgia is a good two way team, but Defence remains their calling card. Illinois States HC Muller, i expect will look to keep his team competitive with a methodical approach which Im betting helps this score stay on the low side of the Total.. Muller is 9-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of ILLINOIS ST with a combined average of 122.2 ppg scored. ILLINOIS ST is 12-2 UNDER versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 140.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 18-4 UNDER after a game where their opponent was called for 27 or more fouls with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (GEORGIA) - poor ball handling team - committing 18 or more turnovers/game, in November games are 127-73 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 148-88 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-19-18 | Kennesaw State v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 146.5 | 81-100 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
The Kennesaw State Owls enter this game against Eastern Kentucky averaging just 50 points on 35 percent shooting and allowing 62.5 points on 42.8 percent shooting and as a result have been manhandled in their 4 games out of the gate this season. Their offensive production is a huge issue. Im betting their offensive efficiency as well as a need to be methodical and defensive minded will be key in this tilt staying under the total. Play UNDER |
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11-19-18 | South Dakota State v. Tulane UNDER 155.5 | 80-84 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
GULF COAST SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Germain Arena - Estero, FL Both these teams have seem some fairy high scoring games in the early part of their non confernce schedule, but with both on almost a weeks rest I expect their to be some rust here and for their flow to not be conducive to a inefficient offensive output, which makes this a solid wagering investment option for UNDER bettors in this spot play. TULANE is 9-2 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons CBB Neutral court teams against the total (TULANE) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 390-280 UNDER L/21 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (S DAKOTA ST) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 221-130 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Texas A&M v. Minnesota UNDER 151.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
VANCOUVER SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Vancouver Convention Centre - Vancouver, CAN These quality teams have the ability to play a strong brand of defensive ball that based on taking care of the ball in transition. With that said, I expect a total score that remains on the low side of the Total. TEXAS A&M is 171-129 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record L/21 seasons with a combined average score of 137.1 ppg scored. Kennedy is 20-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of TEXAS A&M with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. Pitino is 13-4 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average score of 137 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13 or more /game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | 20-25 | Loss | -135 | 83 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bears are leading in the division, just ahead of the Vikings , which means this game is for first place. This tilt should feature play off intensity which will favour the more experienced big game team, which is the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have had a fine season thus far, but this matchup is a step up in class. When the chips are down , Ill back the smash mouth Vikings getting points. Yes, da Bears looked good last week, against the downtrodden Lions but in the past CHICAGO has been a bad bet in the followup going 0-8 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game. I personally believe everyone is getting a little bit ahead of themselves with backing Chicago as possible top tier team going forward ,and tonight I expect that when the final whistle blows that some pundits time to pause and rethink their positions. Hey folks Im not knocking the Bears, and in the not so distant future, might actually ending up being as good as the headlines might indicate , However, Im just saying there is value taking the under rated Vikings in this spot as dogs. Note: Vikes HC Mike Zimmer is 13-1-1 ATS versus opponents coming off a double-digit win. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover . |
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11-18-18 | Warriors +3 v. Spurs | 92-104 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
I know the Warriors played last night and are on tired legs as they embark on their 5th game in 7 days and I also know that Golden State on a current 2 game slide after last nights loss to Dallas will be without Steph Curry and Draymond Green tonight in this tilt vs San Antonio. However, despite of that my matchup rankings data base suggest even with the injuries, the well conditioned and deep Warriors are capable of pulling off a win here as a road underdog vs a San Antonio side that has lost their L/3 trips to the hardwood and 5 of their L/6 overall. It must also be noted that NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a positive long term betting situation as they are 54-20 SU L/22 seasons. Also Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a bankroll expanding 53-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-18-18 | UCF v. Western Kentucky UNDER 138 | 78-62 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Northeastern v. Davidson OVER 141.5 | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Central Michigan -9.5 v. San Jose State | 76-74 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. San Jose State to cover |
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11-18-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Michigan State OVER 151.5 | 33-101 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Samford v. Cleveland State UNDER 153 | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. |
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11-18-18 | Columbia +3 v. Fordham | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Columbia to cover |
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11-18-18 | Samford v. Cleveland State | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Samford to cover |
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11-18-18 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 7-48 | Loss | -125 | 81 h 51 m | Show | |
New Orleans is nightmare for defensive co-orridnators to deal with, but Philadelphia coaching staff, are extremely capable as they have proven in the recent past . The Saints despite of all the accolades they are getting are weak favs here and have been in the past when irrational exuberance has been prevalent as is evident by their 0-8 ATS L/8 record as a favorite of at least eight points . New Orleans recent top tier performances including last weeks domination against Cincinnati, 51-14 has everyone and his dog, singing the praises of Drew Bree's and company. Last week the Saints accumulated a ungodly 509 of offense in their victory but in the past the Saints have been a bad bet in the followup going just 0-7 ATS L/7 coming off a game as a road favorite where they had at least 400 yards of total offense . The Saints also dominated time of possession (39:46) but once again have failed in their followup going 0-7 ATS L/7 coming off a game as a road chalk when they had at least 32 minutes time of possession. Also it must be noted that Defending Super Bowl Champions like the Eagles are 13-1 ATS as road dogs versus .825 + opposition including 7-0 SUATS since 2000. PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 roles rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 25-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 46 | 23-22 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
Denver will be fresh as they come off a bye week, and cannot be conservative in their approach against a Chargers team that can be offensively explosive. The Broncos Im betting will push the action and San Diego will respond in kind and push back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that eclipses this very beatable number. Note: NFL teams like Denver coming off their Bye Week have gone over in 10 of 12 qualifying games so far in the 2018 campaign in Conference play. Last time out Denver took part in a heart breaking 19-17 loss to the Texans a game where they missed two FGs, but in that game the Broncos threw for 273 yards in the loss and are capable of moving the ball through the air which is important for us looking for an OVER ticket to cash. The Broncos have now gone OVER 7 straight times as a dog coming off a home game where they threw for at least 250 yards. Denver is 8-1 OVER in road games vs .700 or better opposition . Play on the OVER |
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11-18-18 | George Washington +11 v. South Carolina | 55-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. George Washington to cover |
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11-18-18 | St. Joe's +8 v. West Virginia | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. St.Joes to cover |
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11-18-18 | Air Force +4 v. South Dakota | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Air Force to cover |
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11-18-18 | Campbell +2 v. Austin Peay | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Campbell to cover |
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11-18-18 | Wofford v. Oklahoma UNDER 152 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | Panthers -3.5 v. Lions | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 37 m | Show | |
Carolina got embarrassed last Thursday in a 52-21 loss at Pittsburgh and will be primed for bounce back win here vs slumping Lions team that is on a current 3-game SUATS losing streak. Believe me when I say pros do not like to be embarrassed, especially the Panthers..With that said, Im betting on Carolina a side that is 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS in road games when coming off a double-digit loss and taking on a sub .500 opponent to be ready to deliver themselves redemption in. a big way here today. The Panthers are also bankroll fattening 8-1 ATS in tilts after giving up 40 or more points . HC Rivera is 22-3 ATS off a road loss as the coach of CAROLINA. Detroit is an nasty 0-12 ATS as a underdog on artificial turf when they are off a road loss by more than a TD and they are facing a team that has committed an average of less than 1.5 turnovers per game season-to-date. DETROIT is 2-15 ATS L/17 against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season. Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -1 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
Last week, the Tennessee Titans ended their seven-game losing streak against Tom Brady with a surprising and convincing 34-10 victory over the New England Patriots. On Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, the Titans will not be so lucky this week ( pardon the pun) vs another top tier quarterback when they face the Colts. The Titans are 0-9 all time against Andrew Luck who was key in a win vs the Jags last week. TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 and is 1-9 ATS in road games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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11-18-18 | Steelers v. Jaguars +6 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
The Jaguars in a must win situation today have really struggled of late, but they actually matchup well vs the Pittsburgh Steelers.The Steelers have won five consecutive games while the Jaguars have lost five in a row.I know both teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but the Jags desperation and the type of football Im confident the Jags can play when cornered will challenge the Steelers this Sunday. I expect the Jaguars No. 2 overall defense and No. 1 ranked pass D to be the difference maker in what will be a hard fought game. Steelers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Steelers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Jacksonville.Underdog is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.NFL team (JACKSONVILLE) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 30-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys v. Falcons UNDER 50 | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Falcons 4-5 on the season have the 27th-ranked defense in the NFL after getting mauled by the Steelers last week for 51 points. After that embarrassment I expect they will be ready to play some hard core physical defence this week vs the visiting Dallas Cowboys. Meanwhile, Dallas 4-5 a team that has has allowed 19 ppg overall on D, and has averaged just 16.4 ppg on the road this season, will play a methodical game, which Im betting results in a score that stays on the low side of the Total. DALLAS in their L/6 versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 season with a combined average of 39.9 ppg scored. DALLAS is 7-0 UNDER in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992 Quinn is 9-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of ATLANTA.Garrett is 8-1 UNDER in road games off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival as the coach of DALLAS. Under is 8-0 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games in Week 11.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 11-3 in Cowboys last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 vs. NFC.Under is 20-6 in Cowboys last 26 road games.Under is 13-5 in Cowboys last 18 games overall.Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-9 in Falcons last 31 games in November.Under is 14-6 in Falcons last 20 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 13-6-1 in Falcons last 20 games in Week 11.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (ATLANTA) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.) are 36-12 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-18-18 | UC-Davis v. Texas-Arlington OVER 140 | 59-68 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 50 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Play OVER |
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11-18-18 | Wake Forest v. Valparaiso -1 | 69-63 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
MYRTLE BEACH INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - HTC Center - Conway, SC The Demon Deacons needed a late 10-0 run to slip past Fullerton 66-59 last time out, but Im betting they wont be so lucky here vsValparaiso. Im betting it will be Vals D, that is the difference maker here. In their last game they suffocated Monmouth allowing them 54 points, and holding them to 39.6 percent shooting from the field and 4-of-18 shooting from 3-point range . VALPARAISO is 7-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons. WAKE FOREST is 5-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WAKE FOREST is 32-55 ATS when playing on a neutral court since 1992. Demon Deacons are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Crusaders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Crusaders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 20-11 SU 22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Valparaiso |
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11-17-18 | UNLV +7 v. Hawaii | 28-35 | Push | 0 | 75 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rebels pulled off huge upset last time out when they beat the San Diego State Aztecs as 24-point dogs, 27-24. Im betting they use the momentum of that game to buoy them here in Paradise Island tonight vs a tired looking Rainbow Warriors side that has put alot of air miles on their bodies this season. HAWAII is 0-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.UNLV is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons CFB road team (UNLV) - off a win against a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HAWAII) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-29 SU L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover |
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11-17-18 | Arizona v. Washington State -9.5 | 28-69 | Win | 100 | 62 h 29 m | Show | |
Last season the Washington State Cougars were upset in Tucson against the Arizona Wildcats as road chalk by a 58-37count and now revenge is at hand for the Cougars at home here in Pullman this week. I know Khalil Tate is a star QB, and gives Arizona a chance when he is healthy , but this is not a good situation for the Wildcats as they will have problems on the defensive side of the ball dealing with the Cougars deadly aerial attack and a overall 10-0 mark in the ITS battles. ***Cougars quarterback Gardner Minshew II, the nation's leader in passing yards per game (385.2), and a Washington State attack that leads the nation in passing yards per game (392.3). The Wildcats rank 10th in the conference in total defense (417 yards per game) and ninth in pass defense (248.7 yards per game). WASHINGTON ST is 10-0 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. ST is 6-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of 14.2 . ARIZONA is 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. Play on the Washington State Cougars to cover |
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11-17-18 | Arizona State v. Oregon OVER 64 | 29-31 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 9 m | Show | |
This PAC12 matchup has the making of a big time take no prisoners shootout. Arizona State offence has been very steady of late scoring 38,38,31 points respectively in their L/3 and here against a inconsistent Oregon D I'm betting they have a similar output in this spot. Meanwhile, Oregon despite of their inconsistencies their offence has been very explosive at home averaging more than 43 ppg, and Im betting they fire back with some fireworks of their own , in a tilt that I project will eclipse this total. The two most recent meetings in this series over the L/2 seasons have seen 72, and 89 total points go on the board. OREGON in their L/8 against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 69.8 ppg scored.OREGON is 18-7 OVER in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse with a combined average of 67.7 ppg scored. OREGON is 21-7 OVER in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 with the combined average score clicking in a 70.8 ppg. Oregon has gone OVER 14 straight times at home coming off a loss where they failed to cover with the average combined score clicking in at 73.3 ppg. ( The Ducks lost at Utah last week 32-25) Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +3.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are playing top tier basketball at the moment as is evident by on their three-game winning streak and overall have won four of five trips to the hardwood. Thanks in part to a strong effort on defense. Against Utah the Mavs held the Jazz to 31.3 percent field goal shooting after keeping Chicago and Oklahoma City under 40 percent in the previous two tilts. Tonight against a banged up Golden State team that looks out of sync of late and playing without Steph Curry, I feel the Mavs have an advantage here as underdogs . on their own home floor. DALLAS is 35-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Warriors are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 12-38 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 59-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-17-18 | Bruins -106 v. Coyotes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
Arizona is off a huge win vs the Nashville Preds on Thursday night but will now suffer what Im betting will be an emotional let down situation. ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. I know the Bruins played last night in Dallas but are one of the NHLs best conditioned teams and have also had a great deal of success here in the desert in the past as the Bruins are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix. ARIZONA is 27-80 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the moneyline |
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11-17-18 | Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 47 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 56 h 53 m | Show | |
The last 2 weeks have seen the Longhorns put 40+ point explosions on the board which Im betting is an anomaly and I'm also betting they fall back down to earth here this Saturday at least from a offensive perspective vs a Iowa State side that has allowed an average of just 18.7 ppg on the road this season, I expect the Cyclones a team that has scored just 23 ppg on the road behind a methodical approach, to slow this game down to a crawl, which will result in a score that stays under the Total. IOWA ST is 11-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons TEXAS is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 10-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 season.TEXAS is 7-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons. CFB team against the total (TEXAS) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 24-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Pepperdine OVER 159 | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island My own projections estimate this combined score to eclipse the 160 point plateau. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | 76ers v. Hornets -2.5 | 122-119 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The well rested Charlotte Hornets will be very ready to take down a Philadelphia 76ers off a gruelling game against the Utah Jazz last night. The Sixers have played well at home this season , but are just 2-7 on the road, and are fade material in this spot vs a side that was embarrassed by Cleveland last time out . But now on 3 days rest Charlotte will be out looking for redemption and also for revenge for a 133-132 OT loss last week on the road to the Sixers. That game showed me that the Hornets matchup well against their opponents as did a 105-103 loss in their first meeting here in Charlotte. CHARLOTTE is 13-0 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 64-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days is 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 6.3 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking at 6 points. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover |
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11-17-18 | Florida International v. Columbia UNDER 164 | 98-87 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
JOHNNY BACH CLASSIC - Round 2 - Rose Hill Gym - New York, NY This line Total has been pushed to nose bleed levels now making an under wager a viable investment opportunity. COLUMBIA is 12-3L/15 UNDER in road games in all tournament games with a combined average of 126.8 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/ or more game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLUMBIA) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 58-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | Georgia Southern v. Coastal Carolina +7.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -124 | 70 h 37 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern is in the precarious position of coming into this road game in an emotional letdown situation after facing Troy last week at home and losing, which puts an end to their Sun Belt East conquest. It must be noted that Coastal Carolina Chanticleers do not make alot of mistakes , which is not a good omen for a Georgia Southern side, that has a 21 turnover margin this season. Georgia S. has failed to cover 6 straight vs teams like Coastal that have one or less turnovers a game on average. The Chanticleers have two games left and they need to grab a win to be bowl eligible, which makes them motivated home dogs. CFB Favorites of -175 to -400 vs. the money line (GA SOUTHERN) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced after 8+ games, in conference games are 9-22 SU L/26 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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11-17-18 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State +6 | 6-21 | Win | 100 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
Senior citizen Hall of Fame coach of the year HC Bill Snyder in his final campaign before retiring has had a down year, but still must not be discounted at home as the Red Raiders come knocking. With Texas Techs Freshman star QB Alan Bowman out with a collapsed lung injury Texas Tech will go with backup QB Jett Duffey who despite of looking good against Texas last time out, is still not ready for whats coming here in this nasty road environment where the home team needs wins desperately to go Bowling this season and help their long time coach go out with hands raised. It must be noted that Snyder is 32-3 SU at home against opponents off consecutive losses like the Techsters are, including 11-0 ATS vs.400 or better opposition. CFB ( TEXAS TECH) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 12-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (TEXAS TECH) - off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more against opponent off a home win are 3-33 L/10 seasons for a 91% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on KState to cover |
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11-17-18 | Missouri v. Tennessee OVER 56 | 50-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 4 m | Show | |
Im a big supporter of Tennessee and really like the way the seniors and veterans of this football program have stood up for Rocky top. The defence has been terrific of late, against sub par offences, but will be tested in a big way this week when free wheeling run and shoot Missouri a team that has averaged 35.5 ppg of offence this season and allowed 32.5 ppg in road games . Missouri has scored 63 and 50 points respectively in the last two meetings in this series and are viable bet to come close to those outputs again. Im betting the Vols will do their best to answer back in no quit fashion, which will result in a higher scoring game than many of the pundits expect. MISSOURI is 16-4 OVER after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers with a combined average of 65.8 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss OVER 47 | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 50 h 27 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech’s offense is led by junior quarterback J’Mar Smith has 13 passing touchdowns with eight interceptions and 2300+ passing yards and two rushing touchdowns and can light up the board in conservative duel threat fashion against the best of defences, which Southern Miss owns . Meanwhile, LA Tech is also solid defensively, but Im betting Southern Miss should do fine here today no matter which one of their QBs starts ( Jack Abraham or Tate Whately). Im expecting more points than the low total estimations which are based on defensive stats alone. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | Texas State v. Drake OVER 137.5 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Drakes D, was exposed to be very weak last time out by the Colorado Buffs as they allowed 101 points in a loss. Today I expect Texas State a team that is 2-0 on the season and off scoring 97 points last time out to also do some damage. Drake will Im betting reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own , in the one facet of their game that looks to be decent and that is their offence. DRAKE is 6-0 OVER after allowing 90 points or more over the last 3 season with the average combined score clicking in at 160 ppg.DRAKE is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of with a combined average of 150.3 ppg going on the board.TEXAS ST is 16-4 OVER in road games off a home win with a combined average of 142.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-17-18 | Old Dominion v. Kennesaw State UNDER 130 | 65-47 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling to score. With Kenn State averging just 62.3 ppg and Old Dominion averaging 55.2 ppg. Both are playing methodical styles of basketball with their defences being their strong points. Kenn State allows an average og 60.5 ppg while Old Dominion allows 61.3 ppg. OLD DOMINION is 19-5 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . CBB Neutral court teams against the total (/KENN ST/OLD DOMINION) - in a game involving two struggling offensive teams (63 or less PPG) are 100-52 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | Northwestern v. Minnesota +2.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -103 | 76 h 29 m | Show | |
Northwestern clinched the Big Ten West crown last week by taking out the Iowa Hawkeyes and Im betting they won't be as motivated here this week in what should be a natural letdown situation. . Meanwhile, Minnesota upset and pounded the Purdue Boilers, 41-10, as a 10.5-point home dog. The Gophers still need one win in their last two games to go bowling and will go all out here to beat Northwestern , because the following week sees them go to Wisconsin. I know Northwestern somehow clinched the West this season, but they are far from being a top tier side, as is evident by an offence that is ranked No. 112 in the nation and that has been out yarded by an average of 23 YPG. Add to that Minnesota has also had this game circled and have revenge on board for a nasty 39-0 loss in Evanston last season and you have a viable wagering opportunity backing the home dog Gophers\. MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS off a upset win as a double digit underdog. CFB road team vs. the money line (NORTHWESTERN) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival are 3-33 L/26 seasons for a 92% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Minnesota Gophers to cover |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest UNDER 60 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
A come-from-behind upset win over No. 22 North Carolina State and controlled fashion, now has Wake actually talking Bowl invitation. The 27-23 win was methodical in nature, which is different than how the Demon Deacons have played their games this season. Meanwhile, the Panthers have alot to play for as well, with a clear path ahead to the ACC title game against Clemson on the horizon. With that said, look for both teams to be conservative in their approaches today with neither wanting to make mistakes, which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers expect. PITTSBURGH is 8-1 UNDER in road lined games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.3 ppg going on the board.PITTSBURGH is 6-0 UNDER in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.3 ppg scored and is 7-0 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 44 ppg going on the board.PITTSBURGH is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game. Clawson is 23-9 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 47.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-17-18 | TCU +1 v. Baylor | 16-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Both these teams need wins to be Bowl eligible which will make for a hard fought game. TCU rushing attack was down right bad last week vs West Virginia, but should do much better here vs a Baylor side that is a league worst against the rush allowing 183.8 yards a game on the ground. TCU has the best third-down defense in the league, limiting opponents to a 33.1 percent conversion rate in those situations (47-for-142).Baylor, strength offesnively has been meanwhile, third downs by converting 45.5 percent (66-for-145) , but in a close game TCU D, looks set to be the difference maker. CFB Road favorites (TCU) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with 5 offensive starters returning are 33-7 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU |
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11-17-18 | Michigan v. George Washington UNDER 132 | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
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11-16-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Nevada OVER 153 | 59-87 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Little Rock Trojans are coached by former NBA veteran Darrell Walker. Little Rock, like ranked Nevada, are built to push the ball in an up-tempo pace. The Trojans are averaging 92 points in their two wins and are no pushovers . Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the Total. Musselman is 9-1 OVER in home games off a home win by 10 points or more as the coach of NEVADA. with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-16-18 | Boise State v. New Mexico +20 | 45-14 | Loss | -107 | 62 h 52 m | Show | |
Boise State is coming off a huge win vs Fresno State at home last week by a 24-17 count, and should now be in an emotional letdown spot coming into this game against New Mexico. I know the Lobos don't inspire bettors, after a disappointing season and 5 straight losses, but according to my own projections this point spread and taking points with the home dog has value attached to it. Look for the backfield of Tyrone Owens, Zahneer Shuler, and Ahmari Davis, and Daevon Vigilant to churn out yards and get us the cover. Note :the last time the Lobos played a team at home of Boise States calibre they hung with San Diego State losing by just one TD, so its not like they cannot be competitive, because they have proven they can. Head coach Bob Davie’s tenure is due to end. but Im betting he will have his troops primed to pull off an upset here in what will be their version of a bowl game. HC Harsin is 2-10 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of BOISE ST NEW MEXICO is 11-2 ATS in home games off 3 straight losses against conference rivals and the football program is 40-20 ATS L/60 vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.Davie is 18-8 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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11-16-18 | Knicks +10.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
New Orleans at one point in the early part of the season lost 6 straight games, and then won three straight. Two of those wins were vs struggling Phoenix and Chicago, so Im not going to give them a great deal of accolades. The final win came against a Raptors team that looked exhausted and did not look themselves. Than last time out the Pelicans lost again, and did not look cohesive vs the Minnesota Wolves on the road. I can't put my finger on it but HC Gentry lead squad just does not seem to make all the moving parts work in coordination, with Defence, being their key problem point as they rank 27th in the league allowing an average of 115.8 ppg. I know tonights opponent the New York Knicks will not inspire bettors, but their desperate for a win and or to even stay competitive after 3 straight DD losses, and will be hell bent on not being embarrassed again. The Pelicans in their current form just do not seem like 10 points plus chalk, not even against a struggling Knicks team. With that said, Ill take the points with the lesser of two evils. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in New Orleans. NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 season. NBA team (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG), after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 49-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Two teams vying for supremacy on the Eastern Conference go head to head tonight as the Toronto Raptors visit the Boston Celtics tonight.Toronto started their campaign 12-1 but have suffered back to back losses at home to the Pelicans and Pistons and are just 3-2 on the road . Truth is the Raptors did not pace themselves out of the gate, and could easily be in pause mode, as they recuperate from exerting to much energy. Meanwhile, Boston has not always looked consistent in the early going this season, but are still a fine team, especially in the defensive end of the court where they rank 2nd in the league allowing just 101.9 ppg. Tonight Im betting their D, and home court advantage will be the difference maker in what Im also betting will be a Celtics win and cover. Celtics are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more 61-11 SU L/5 season for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 116-123 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors are front runners for a Eastern Conference championship, and when these two hard nosed competitors meet this evening, Im expecting a very physical affair that will base alot of action on each team focusing on transitional defence. The Raptors rank 9th in defensive efficiency while the Celtics rank 1st in Defensive efficiency. Im betting on a post season type affair that will not be very free flowing and a end result of a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total. None of the L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed the total. TORONTO is 16-5 UNDER in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up recordNBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 4-0 UNDER this season and 36-14 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-16-18 | Jazz +3 v. 76ers | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers just do not look cohesive of late, and now with big ego Jimmy Butler in the lineup after a trade with Minnesota might still have problems going forward. Yes, I know how talented Butler is, (all you have to do is ask him) but there are reasons why he didn't want to be in Minnesota and its not because of the cold weather .In my humble opinion Butler at this point in his career is not a team player, and Im betting at least for the foreseeable future will be a negative influence on Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid and how well this team plays as a group especially in key situations. Time will tell if Im wrong, but for tonight Im betting a Jazz team off an embarrassing effort last time out vs Dallas, shooting just 31.3 percent from the field and 17 percent from 3-point range, will be primed for a bounce back redemption filled effort vs a over rated 76ers team . ***It must be noted that Utah owns a +0.11 SRS while, Philadelphai has -0.58 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) UTAH is 43-27 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.NBA Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 85 points or less. are just 11-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-16-18 | Loyola Marymount v. Georgetown UNDER 147 | 65-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
JAMAICA CLASSIC - Round 1 - Montego Bay Convention Centre - Jamaica My projections based on both teas systems, suggests a total closer to 141. Thus giving us value on what my numbers say is a bloated number, based on only recent performance data. GEORGETOWN is 17-6 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGETOWN) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more re 29-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-16-18 | Georgia Southern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 155 | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island This steamed up to 155 after the opening and is now inflated enough for me to recommend we make a under wager here. Not sure where all the initial action came from but it was bolstered by public money and very little if any sharp money. Perceptions lead to irrational exuberance, as both these teams have come gang busters with offensive explosions in their games, but both actually key their successes and failures on playing good D, and thats what Im expecting here today. GA SOUTHERN is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 135.9 ppg scored.FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GA SOUTHERN) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA ATLANTIC) - with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 41-18 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-15-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara UNDER 136 | 61-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My own projections based on system vs systems analysis, suggests this total should be closer to 131. Thus giving us value on this line to the under. UC Irvine is a defence first team that has allowed 64.7 ppg so this season in 3 tilts. Meanwhile, Santa Clara scored 64 points in their lone game, vs Grand Prairie and should struggle again vs this D. Im betting on a methodical approach here from Santa Clara, in an effort to stay competitive. This will result in a low scoring affair. UC-IRVINE is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored. SANTA CLARA in their L/8 home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 131.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas OVER 63.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic and North Texas do battle in a contest that Im betting eclipses the Total. N.Texas has averaged 40.4 ppg at home in offence this season. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic despite of being inconsistent on offence has the guns to light any team in the Sun Belt . They nailed 52 points on Old dominion and scored 36 on UCF on the road and have had back to back outputs of 49 and 34 points. Their Achilles heel remains a defence that has allowed an average of 37.8 ppg on the road. Everything points to offensive fireworks here tonight. FAU scored 41 last year and 59 points the year before vs North Texas, and now N.Texas looks to do damage to in retaliation mode. Play OVER |
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11-15-18 | Oral Roberts v. BYU OVER 147.5 | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that BYU should score in the upper 70s while Oral Roberts should put in the low sixties on the board. Projected 76-to 79 points for BYU 61-64 for Oral Roberts. We have value here on this number as the combined score should project at or above 148. ORAL ROBERTS is 11-2 OVER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.5 ppg scored.ORAL ROBERTS is 14-4 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.BYU L/6 after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 3 seasons have seen the followup see a combined score of 153.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-15-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets will bang heads tonight in what promises to be a physical affair. The Warriors will be without the often injured Step Curry but are expected to have Draymond Green back in the lineup but may not play a great deal becasue of a toe issue, which should slow their offensive production and see them more concentrated on sound defensive play. The Warriors as per news reports and obvious on court confrontations among themselves , are showing us what its like when this many big egos are put into the same dressing room. But when the game starts their still a team to contend with and Im betting come out here and play hard as a team. Meanwhile, the Rockets thanks to keeping pretty boy Carmelo Anthony on the sidelines , are a more rugged team , behind a under rated defense continues to improve as is evident by a 6th overall ppg defesnive ranking and a methodical calculated pace that is 29th in the league. HOUSTON is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.5 ppg going on the board.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-15-18 | Tulane +10 v. Houston | 17-48 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston gets to many accolades from the media , and are just not living up to expectations as this season progresses, something that has been a common theme with them over the last few seasons. They have a load of talent but game preparation and inconsistency remains a problem, as does a defence that has allowed an 500+ypg and has also given up 2,049 yards in its last four games including 44 ppg. Meanwhile, Tulane has quietly gotten better as this season, has progressed behind a hard nosed defence and an offence that has steadily improved over their L/4 trips to the gridiron. HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons and has failed to cover 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series. Tulane is 6-1 ATS L/7 as a 10 point or less underdog. CFB team (HOUSTON) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 12-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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11-14-18 | Blazers v. Lakers UNDER 225 | 117-126 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Portland has gone under the total in 7 of their L/8 games thanks to playing a top tier brand of defence, that has seen them hold 4 different opponents to 93 points or less. The Blazers own the leagues 5th best D ,both in points allowed 106.2 and efficiency 105.9 and will primed to grind the free wheeling Lakers down in this spot and not allow them flow. This Im betting takes a more than enough points off this totals number to seen this score stay on the low side of the digits. Note: Lakers games have had some bloated Totals attached to them which has resulted in 7 of their L/8 games and and 5 in row failing to eclipse the total . The L/7 meetings here in LA between these two teams have stayed under the total. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 3-0-1 in Lakers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 5-0-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0-1 in Lakers last 5 home games.Under is 6-0-1 in Lakers last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. Western Conference.Under is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 7-2 in Lakers last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 5-2-1 in Lakers last 8 Wednesday games. Portland is 13-4 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 205.8 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season are 46-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 49-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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11-14-18 | Bruins v. Avalanche -110 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Bruins take on a under rated Colorado Avs team that just ended a nasty five-game losing streak on Sunday vs the Edmonton Oilers. Three of those losses ere hard luck defeats that could have gone either way. With Colorado getting healthy again with key players returning including,Tyson Jost,Matt Nieto, they are formidable opponents on their own home ice. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic.Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Avalanche are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Avalanche are 22-10 in their last 32 home games.Bruins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.Bruins are 5-13 in their last 18 road games.Bruins are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Bruins are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.COLORADO is 7-1 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 season COLORADO is 11-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons and are 21-12 ATS in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 20-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the moneyline |
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11-14-18 | Grizzlies +10 v. Bucks | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has played some great ball this season , but lately have alternated wins and losses during their L/6 games, and are of a win last time out. They are getting alot of accolades, but this season is still early and my own rankings and stats analysis show some regression. Meanwhile, Memphis enters this game a little banged up , but its mostly depth players and as long as Conley remains healthy and on the court the other Grizzlies as a whole can feed of his energy. From a matchup perspective Memphis is not an easy team to play against, as they sport the leagues best defence behind the leagues slowest pace and Im betting they can cause problems for a team like the Bucks that needs to run a free flowing system to play at an optimal level. With that said, Im betting we have value taking points here with the visitors. Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. MILWAUKEE is 18-45 ATS L/63 as a favorite of 10 or more points. HC Budenholzer is 3-13 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games in all games he has coached. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 3-24 ATSL/5 seasons for a go against 85% for bettors. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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11-14-18 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Nebraska | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Duke OVER 150 | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Duke scored 118 points in their opener vs Kentucky, and 97 points vs Army in their last game at home,, and it does not matter what E.Michigan does to slow this game down Duke will score at will and run and gun the visitors into the ground behind a pro style offence and could come close to eclipsing this total all by themselves. DUKE is 11-0 OVER after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 165.6 ppg scored.DUKE is 8-0 OVER ( off a home win scoring 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons eith a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-14-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Michigan State UNDER 144 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
UL Monroe is really out classed here by Michigan State , and despite of having some decent cogs in the backcourt, just ant hang with this type of team and will struggle to put points up on the board. With that said, I expect them to try to slow this game down to crawl in order to compete, as they did in their game against the Texas Longhorns losing by 65-55 count. It must be noted that MSU HC Izzo is troubled that his team is averaging 17 turnovers, leading to 18.5 points per game off them. The first two opponents have shot 45.0 percent overall and 42.9 percent on 3-point tries and Im betting he has his team trying to make sure their defensive issues are worked on vs a lower tier team.LA-MONROE is 18-8 UNDER as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. Izzo is 13-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of MICHIGAN ST with a combined average of 132.1 ppg scored. on the UNDER |
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11-13-18 | Hawks +12.5 v. Warriors | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Golden State played last night in LA vs the Clippers . That game went into to OT, as they lost by a 121-116 count. Now on tired legs as they prepare to play on back to back nights and with the added inconvenience of being without the often injured Curry in the lineup the Warriors will not be as ferocious as usual, and could easily be over looking this lower level opponent. When your a team like the Warriors that has had so much successes in this league of late, its easy to become a little bit to comfortable . Meanwhile, Im betting on rising star Trae Young to come out flying and inspired tonight in an attempt to upend the champs. Im really expecting two different energy levels here in this spot and getting points to eventually be golden. NBA Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 16-52 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. |
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11-13-18 | Rockets +4.5 v. Nuggets | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are suddenly struggling for the first time this season and despite of being (9-4) have lost three straight and two in a row at home and has had trouble with energy levels and consistency of late which culminated in allowing their opposition to hit on 57%+ of their FG last time out. . Meanwhile, Houston showed some life last time out, posting a impressive 115-103 victory over a very deep Indiana team. Im betting on the Nuggets issues to continue here tonight and for the Rockets to build off of their last effort. HOUSTON is 20-8 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. DENVER is 4-14 ATS in home games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Houston has won and covered their L/3 trips to the Mile High City. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 30-8 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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11-13-18 | Drake v. Colorado UNDER 149 | 71-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Drake allowed just 52 points in its opener, and will not be easily scored upon hereby a methodical and very young Colorado offence that is playing their first game of the season. Fluidity could be a problem for the Buffs, but their D, should be well prepared to be physical with a Drake team that will run and gun if allowed. DRAKE is 11-2 UNDER L/13 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points with a combined average score of 127.2 ppg scored. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 142 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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11-13-18 | Coastal Carolina v. Tulane OVER 145 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate we have value on this total right to the 147.5 range. Coastal Carolina has averaged 88 ppg in offence in their first two games, while Tulane looked weak on defence last time out, in their only game allowing 80 points. Im betting on More of the same action here , as Coastal lights up the board vs a unorganized defensive group, and Tulanes response will be to respond or be blown off the court, which will in turn help this game eclipse the Total. COASTAL CAROLINA is 14-4 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 150 ppg going on the scoreboard.TULANE is 24-10 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 149 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-13-18 | Lightning -140 v. Sabres | 1-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Sabres are playing decent hockey and deserve some respect, but TB is a Stanley Cup contender in top form that is not over looking tonights opposition. This is what the Lightning players are thinking as they enter this game. QUOTE:" "Anytime you're on road trips like this, you try to get wins early, especially that Buffalo game," Lightning right winger Ryan Callahan said. "Try to get points. Stack them up. As the road trip goes on, it definitely gets harder and harder to win some of those games." END QUOTE: The Bolts are rested and know the importance of getting out of the gate fast on what is the beginning of a key 4 game road trip. Im betting on them being motivated behind superior overall talent levels in all three phases of the game. TAMPA BAY is 23-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons, which has just occurred. BUFFALO is 0-8 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the TB Bolts to win on the moneyline |
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11-13-18 | NC-Greensboro -7.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 82-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
My own poer rankings make NC Greensboro 9.5 point chalk here thus giving us value on this line. UNC-WILMINGTON is 0-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with the average victory coming by 10.5 ppg. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are 53-104 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NC Greensboro to cover |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +1 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The Musketeers have started the season 2-0 under first-year head coach Travis Steele. There are some new faces this season, as key guys likeTrevon Bluiett and J.P. Macura, are gone, but this is considered one of the best recruiting classes ever put on the floor by Xavier, so the Musketeers aren't exactly short on talent and have to be respected here in their own building, Yes even against a Big 10 power house like Wisconsin. Musketeers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten.Badgers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Play on Xavier to cover |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 55 | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Ball States defence has been atrocious over the L/3 weeks allowing 42,52,45 points respectively. W.Michigan despite of being without their starting QB Jon Wassink are still capable slicing and dicing this putrid downtrending Ball State D, by using key cog junior RB Levante Bellamy ranks No. 10 in college football with 907 yards rushing to set up the option. Meanwhile, Ball State despite of also being without starting QB Riley Neal should also do damage vs a Broncos D, that has allowed 51, 49 points in back to back games. BALL ST is 8-1 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 64.1 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 73.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 43-18 OVER L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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11-12-18 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 230.5 | 116-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers' own a defensive-minded backcourt buoyed by Patrick Beverley and Avery Bradley. This duo and other parts of this team were put together, in part, to deal with explosive backcourts like the one from the they will play tonight. However, that talented backcourt of the Warriors has some injuries, and could possibly be without Curry tonight . Tonight Im betting , that the Clippers HC Head coach Doc Rivers will use two full rotations of players, to be fresh enough to be physical and control the Warriors speed. This should mute some flow from this game, and thus scratch a few points off the expected combined score, in a game Im betting that will result in a under wager cashing for us in this spot. Under is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 18-7-1 in Warriors last 26 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 10-4 in Clippers last 14 games following a straight up win.GOLDEN STATE is 29-10 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 117-85 UNDER in home games after a non-conference game with the combined average score of 197.2 ppg scored.LA CLIPPERS are 80-49 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 198.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 38-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216 ppg going n the score board. Play UNDER |
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11-12-18 | Denver v. Kansas State OVER 137 | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas States HC Webers system and calling card has always been based on playing a solid brand of defensive ball. But today against a lower tier non conference team ( Denver), I expect the Wildcats to be a little more free wheeling, and for this total to be eclipsed. DENVER is 18-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150.9 ppg .DENVER is 12-3 OVER in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg. Play OVER |
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11-12-18 | Utah v. Minnesota UNDER 147 | 69-78 | Push | 0 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two teams and coaches that base their successes and failures on playing top tier defence. The Utes have three 7-footers on their roster (Novak Topalovic, Jayce Johnson and Brandon Morley). They rank 19th in the nation in average height (78.4 inches). They use their height well within this system of tough inside play and good rebounding. Minnesota's physcial Big 10 group will reciprocate with some strong physical action of their own in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. UTAH is 18-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 141.4 ppg scored. Krystkowiak is 35-22 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-12-18 | Nets v. Wolves -2.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
With the negative influence of Jimmy Butler saga gone now after he was traded to the 76ers on the weekend, the Minnesota Wolves should feel like they now have a second life, and Im betting will be energized and thrive here tonight vs the Brooklyn Nets. Yes, the Nets are up-trending, but are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off a extremely exhausting and demanding game vs the Warriors last time out. . The Nets are now in the unenviable position of playing against a pumped up team that needs desperately to turn their season around after a ugly 0-5 road trip. MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Nets are 2-12 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Minnesota.NBA team (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-12-18 | UC-Davis +16 v. Arkansas | 58-81 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Im betting the Arkansas Razorbacks are in a emotional letdown situation after a OT loss to Texas in their first game of the season. Despite of this being their home opener it will be hard for the Hogs to have the energy levels needed to cover this fairly big number vs the University of California-Davis Aggies. Im not saying the the Razorbacks 44 home opener winning streak is in jeopardy , but rather that the line is inflated to the point where there is value taking points with the road dog. CAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasonsCAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasonsCAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cal Davis to cover |
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11-12-18 | Pelicans v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 126-110 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raptors can run and gun behind an explosive offense , but their defence is under rated and currently ranked 8th in DEF Rating efficiency (106.7 ppg) behind the 10th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Pelicans, in the early part of this season were seen as a all out one attacking team, that trys to outscore their opponents on the run. But their last two wins have been predicated by playing top tier brand of defence, that kept those opponents at 99 points or less. Im betting the success of those above mentioned outings and victories will see Gentrys troops alot more focused on playing top tier defence in a unfriendly road environment against a dangerous opponent. Look for an expect a more muted total combined score than the linesmakers number might suggest. Under is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a 216combined average score of 216 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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11-12-18 | St Bonaventure v. Niagara UNDER 152.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies turned to their defense to even their record 1-1 with a 67-36 win versus Jackson State and that will be their key in this game vs Niagara. Schmidt is 34-17 UNDER in road games in non-conference games as the coach of ST BONAVENTURE with a combined average of 138.8 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Bonnies last 5 road games.Under is 8-2 in Bonnies last 10 non-conference games.CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ST BONAVENTURE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 31-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-12-18 | Canucks v. Rangers -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rangers (8-7-2) have won five of their last six (5-0-1) and are playing solid fundamental hockey and deserve their favorite status here tonight vs a Canucks team that is 1-0-2 in their L/3 road games. The Rangers are off a couple of road games and have good bets in this situation this seasonNY RANGERS are 4-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. NY Rangers are 3-1 L/4 meetings overall in this series. Rangers are 44-18 in their last 62 vs. Pacific.Play on the NY Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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11-11-18 | Celtics v. Blazers -2.5 | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics successes in recent years has been their ability to play top tier defence, but recently especially on this current road trip they look to be struggling .As a result the Celtics have lost 3 of their L/4 games and have failed to cover 4 straight games. Meanwhile, Portland their hosts tonight are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and have won 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 behind some solid two way basketball that has result in allowing 3 of their L/7opponents to score 93 points or less. With that said, Im recommending we lay the short lumber here with the Blazers. PORTLAND is 35-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. HC Stotts is 11-1 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more as the coach of PORTLAND. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 26-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 12.8 ppg. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 29-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by 14.9 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-11-18 | Vanderbilt v. USC -2 | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Trojans showed how explosive they can be when they took out Robert Morris last time out in a powerful well balanced 83-62 win. The Trojans shot 53.2 from the field and allowed their opposition to convert on a lowly 34.3 % of their their shots. Vandy obviously offers up more talent, but travelling from west to east is never any easy proposition for any team , and it will be a factor in what Im betting will be a road loss for the Commodores. USC has played well against non-Pac-12 opponents covering the spread in 31 of the last 47 and is 7-3 ATS L/10 vs SEC teams. VANDERBILT is 1-10 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasonsVANDERBILT is 7-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Play on the USC Trojans to cover |
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11-11-18 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 46 m | Show | |
The Eagles are only 4-4 coming off their bye week and take on a Dallas side that is 3-5 on the season. This contest features a Eagles team that bases its successes and failures on top tier defence and a methodical attack that averages 19 ppg in offense at home and a team in Dallas that has problems scoring especially on the road averaging just 13.5 ppg (0-4 UNDER this season). The Eagles are particularly stingy /conservative at home, going UNDER in 16 of their L/22 home tilts. Meanwhile, Dallas has gone under in 15 of their L/20 road games and when the total is 43 or less they have gone under 5 of 6 times. I know the Cowboys played a high scoring game last time out, but Im betting that won't be the case this Sunday night. Dallas is 0-7 L/7 UNDER on Sun Nights . Philly is 0-3 UNDER L/3 vs Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-24-1 UNDER against any team off a bye and 2-13-1 UNDER record on the road. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at just 31.1 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-11-18 | Bucks v. Nuggets OVER 223 | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee comes at their opponents with a run and gun take no prisoners attitude, and essentially force any all opponents to partake with some offensive fireworks of their own this or be blown off the court. The Bucks rank 4th in pace and 2nd in offence (121 .7 ppg) in the league a even though the Nuggets operate at a slower pace, Im betting they will have to up their speed or like I said get crushed by a high flying group. The Nuggets are on a couple days rest so they will be ready . One last thing, I know the thin air of Denver, can take its toll on visiting squads, but the Bucks are one of the leagues best conditioned teams and should have no problems with energy despite of playing last night. The L/2 meetings (lat season) have seem combined scores of 253 and 257 poinss going on the board. DENVER is 47-24 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-11-18 | Magic v. Knicks +1 | 115-89 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
When you first look at this matchup would might assume that the Magic are the superior side, and deserve to be slight favourites here on the road, because of there better play of late as compared to their struggling counterparts. But according to my power rankings charts, and the Orlandos history of ATS futility I feel we have value on a picket line with the ver hungry home team. I know the Kncisk lost last night to Toronto, but I liked their offensive flow in a 128 -112 loss and feel like it could carry into this game. Note The Magic are 11-23 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Orlando took out the reeling Wizards last time out at home in Central Florida , but are just 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons. Since 1989, sub win percent than opponent underdogs off of a win against a team that just played on the road are just 58-97-5 ATS/61-120 SU in regular season when the final margin of their last game was smaller than the margin going into the fourth quarter. (Orlando) Orlando HC Clifford is 9-23 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in all games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 5-24 SU L/22 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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11-11-18 | Pacers +2.5 v. Rockets | 103-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers currently rank very high on my power ranking charts, while Houston is sinking like a rock, and in their current form look very much like fade material. The Rockets are talented but their seems to be an issue with flow and chemistry right now. Add to that their on tired legs in this spot, after finishing off an extended 5 game road trip that resulted in them losing their last two tilts including one last night in San Antonio . This is actually the Rockets 2nd back to back game scenario in the L/9 days, so Im betting their going to be exhausted. Meanwhile, the Pacers despite of losing 2 of their L/3 games are a deep team that works at an accelerated pace, and Im betting the Rockets wont be able to handle their speed in their current form.I NDIANA is 31-18 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasonsINDIANA is 23-6 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 8-21 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of HOUSTON. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 27-4 SU L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate witht he average point differntial clicking in a 6.4 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-11-18 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +1 | 23-18 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinals Im betting the running game of Saskatchewan will have success on the ground and pound away with success vs a over rated Bombers front-seven, opening up the passing option for Shaq Evans and Jordan Williams-Lambert. SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 5.7 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games . CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 32-8 ATS L/22 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Saskatchewan to cover |
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11-11-18 | Chargers v. Raiders +11 | 20-6 | Loss | -128 | 76 h 17 m | Show | |
The Raiders looked horrendous last week in their loss, 34-3 vs the 49ers last week and have lost four in a row and are tied with the New York Giants for the worst record in the NFL at 1-7. Meanwhile, the Chargers won last week, but looked a little pooched, and won 25-17 vs Seattle last week. Their numbers however, were not overwhelming. It must be noted that the chargers are just 0-10 ATS as a favorite of more than three points coming off a game as a dog where they allowed at least 22 first downs , and 0-7 ATS L/7 as a favorite off a game as a underdog when they had less than 28 minutes time of possession, which was the case last week. The Raiders lost on the road to the Chargers earlier this season 26-10 but will be a much tougher out this time around at home. NFL team (OAKLAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 42-17 ATS L/35 seasons for a long erm 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Note: NFL home Teams which are more than 7 point dogs are actually long term good bets going 192-162-4 ATS . I know its hard to take the Raiders considering their form, but if you can just plug your nose and pull the trigger on this stinker, you can feel confident that we have an edge on the books. Play on the Oakland Raiders |
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11-11-18 | Hornets +2.5 v. Pistons | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
The Hornets have consistently proven their not an easy out , as was the case in their last trip to the hardwood vs the Philadelphia 76ers on the road as they lost a heart breaking 133-132 OT decision. Now with rest they come back out looking to rebound vs a inconsistent Detroit team, that just recently ended a 5 game losing streak with a pair of wins vs lower tier teams Orlando and Atlanta. Tonight against this run and gun and high energy Charlotte group Im betting this Motown crew is at a disadvantage. DETROIT is 19-35 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team ( 33% or less ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-73 SU lL22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. |
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11-11-18 | East Tennessee State +11.5 v. Creighton | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
E.Tenn State is an explosive offensive teams as ws evident against HIWASSEE COLL as they took a 109-44 win. They have enough fire power to hand here with a very good Creighton team. TENN ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 5-15 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on E Tenn st to cover |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 44 | 22-34 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 49 m | Show | |
The Lions (3-5) are struggling mightily and known the division basement after scoring just 19 points in consecutive losses to the Seattle Seahawks and Vikings. Detroit failed to get into the end zone in the 24-9 loss at Minnesota and quarterback Matthew Stafford has been sacked 10 times. It hasn't helped the WR Golden Tate was traded away by the Lions , and leaves you scratching your head for answers to why it was done. Detroits entire offensive line looks lost and scoring won't come easily again this week vs the Bears with defensive stalwart Khalil Mack expected back in the Bears lineup. The Bears even with Mack out allowed their L/2 opponents to a combined 19 points and not allowing a touchdown in either game until the fourth quarter. Key Trend: The Lions are 0-6 OU L/6 on the road off a road game in which they made 4 or fewer third downs. Im betting the Lions will have problems converting this week, and for this to have a direct effect on the total combined score , which Im betting ends up on the low side of the Total. Note: The Lions have gone under in 9 of their L/11 as division road dogs. Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordUnder is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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11-11-18 | Jaguars v. Colts UNDER 47 | 26-29 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 6 m | Show | |
The Jaguars are desperate for wins and have lost 4 straight after starting their season at 3-1 including a win vs the New England Patriots. They are off their bye week and should be fresh and ready to take on Andrew Luck and his Colts this week. I know for a certainity that they have no plans of getting their QB Bortles to go head to head with Andrew Luck, so Im betting on a more methodical conservative approach here that should slow this game down to their liking , and which in turn will help see this Total combined score stay on the low side of the Total. The Colts had a alot of good results runnign the ball this week, so I can see them coming right back and being happy to pound the ball again here, against a team that will most likely do the same. The Jaguars have gone UNDER 8 straihg times on the road when their ATS margin increased over their past two games.The Colts have gone under 8 straight times at home off a road game in which they rushed for at least 50 yards more than their average which was the case last week, and are also 10-0 UNDER when they are facing a divisional opponent and they are off a victory in when they had at least 8 more rushes than their season-to-date average and accumulated at least 100 rushing yards. The Colts have gone under 6 straihgt times at home after they outgained their opponent. NDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.9 ppg scored.INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons witht he average combined score clicking in at 43.5 ppg. NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 29-7 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 80% covnersion rate for bettors on the blind. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (JACKSONVILLE) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-11-18 | Falcons v. Browns +6.5 | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
Falcons are playing better ball of late , but are just 0-8 ATS in its last eight games against AFC opposition. Also you can not escape the fact that the Browns have a game changing QB at the helm of their offence and looks to be getting more comfortable each time out. Baker Mayfield. The No. 1 draft pick has started three games and has thrown for 1,768 yards and 10 touchdowns with seven interceptions. He's been sacked 22 times but rushed for 91 yards when scrambling. In last week's loss to Kansas City, Mayfield threw for 297 yards and two touchdowns. Mayfield helps his team get us the cover here. ATLANTA is 11-32 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games . Cleveland Browns to cover |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
The Bengals are one of the most under rated teams in the NFL, and despite of the Saints getting all the accolades could easily be in a letdown spot after gruelling back to back games and wins against the Minnesota Vikings and the LA Rams and in a look ahead situation to the Eagles who are next on the agenda. Bengals are 8-1-1 SU and 10-0 ATS as home underdogs against NFC opponents and look like a viable bet here today. NEW ORLEANS is 8-20 ATS L/28 against AFC North division opponents.Cincinnati has covered 3 straight at home in this series and get the nod again taking points. The Bengals are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 at home off a win in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Bengals are 6-0 ATS L/6 when they are off three consecutive games with a positive DPA. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - mistake-free team (1.25 roles TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 58-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
The Titans are a methodical team, that is capable of keeping this score close enough to cover the number here vs Tom Brady and company. No, really , you might be laughing right about now, but the Titans have the better D, by 49 ypg, and must not be underestimated as TD underdog at home. The Titans have only been non competitive in one of their games this season, a 21-0 shutout vs Baltimore, but the wins and even the losses have all been 3 points or less including a impressive win vs the defending Super Champs the Philadelphia Eagles. It hard to bet against the Pats, but this is actually a good spot for the Titans. Note: The Titans are 7-0 ATS L/7 when they are at home between two road games. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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