Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-22 | Lions +1.5 v. Jets | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
My power ranking suggest Detroit is the better side and currently in better form. than their opponents the NY Jets. The Lions are 6-0 SU L/6 overall while the NYJ have 4 of their L/6 and have overall shown long droughts of not being able to put points on the board averaging just 20.3 ppg on the season. Advantage Lions. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 season,DETROIT is 12-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (NY JETS) - after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 1-26 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-17-22 | Boise State v. North Texas +11 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl - Toyota Stadium - Frisco, TX North Texas is getting to many points here according to my projections. Note: Conference title game losers like North Texas as DD underdogs have cashed 8 of their L/10 opportunities. Also … CUSA Bowl sides are a perfect 5-0 ATS off a Double digit defeat when going against. MWC opposition. NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. Bennett is 12-4 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of NORTH TEXAS. Boise State also lost their conference championship game to Fresno State- teams like this that lost their conference title tilt are 2-8 ATS in their Bowl appearances. key matchup stat:NORTH TEXAS is 9-2 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at +2.7. Play on North Texas to cover |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
The young men from Florida wont get much of welcome in the cold climate of Northern NY state this Saturday night against a revenge minded Bills who have redemption in mind for a loss they suffered in Miami earlier this season. I know the Bills already took a 16 point deficit win in the first revenge go around, but believe me , teams like this double down this time of year and really come out to play. With this being the Dolphins 3rd straight road Im betting their a bit exhausted . Note: The Fins are 1-6 ATS L/7 in their 3rd game on the road. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) in the second half of the season. BUFFALO is 19-5 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-17-22 | Blazers v. Rockets OVER 227 | 107-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Houstons D has been playing well lately, but the run and gun Damian Lilliard Blazers will test that prowess here tonight forcing the Rockets out of their recent comfort zone. I know the Blazers played last night in Dallas, but they are a well conditioned group and more than capable of finding their legs in a back to back situation. It must also be noted because Dallas took such a big lead last night in their win vs the Blazers the Lilliard only played 24 min. So the super star will be fresh tonight and ready to continue his offensive assault. The first meeting this season between these sides saw a combined 236 points go on the board. Houston ranks 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency at 115.4 . My projections estimate that Portland eclipses that average and the chasing Rockets chase their output and help us cash an over ticket. PORTLAND is 7-0 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 30-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-17-22 | BYU +4.5 v. SMU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 46 m | Show | |
New Mexico Bowl - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM I was surprised to see SMU as favs in this game vs BYU even though they will play without star RB Lopini Kotoa as there are viable alternatives in that position on this team looking to make a statement The Mustangs enter this game 0-5 ATS as favs and 0-3 SU all-time in this series. . Considering this is Mustangs’ HC Rhett Lashlee’s first ever bowl game , his lack experience could easily work against him here, and I expect BYU to pound their way to cover .SMU is 4-15 L/19 ATS (in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry . SMU is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less (which was the case last time out winning by 34-31 count vs Memphis.Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.SMU is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games . CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (SMU) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences have lost 17 of L/27 opportunities SU. Play on BYU to cover |
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12-17-22 | Clemson -2 v. Richmond | 85-57 | Win | 100 | 1 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Clemson has exceeded the preseason poll projection nine times in Head Coach Brad Brownell’s 12 full seasons leading the program, including last season. This season they are much better than many expected as team chemistry is a key factor to their effectiveness. Clemson ( Late Steam) |
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12-17-22 | Rice v. Southern Miss OVER 45.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 46 m | Show | |
LendingTree Bowl - Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL Southern Miss defense can stop run games cold as is evident by having limited the opposition to fewer than 150 rushing yards on average per game this season.That makes me believe Rice despite of throwing more than their share of picks this season will be forced to air the ball out, which will see them also score above the expected output, and see some extra points go up on the board against them because of their atrocious turnover ratios. On the flipside, Frank Gore Jr., who ran for 1,000 plus rushing yards this season for Southern Miss should have a field day on the ground vs a Owls side that struggles against ground attacks ranking 91st against the run, allowing 166.5 rushing yards per game. Southern Miss also has alot of turnovers (22) so some unexpected offense could easily be stymied but go the other way. Sloppy game expected and more points than the lines-makers are projecting to go on the board. Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 vs. S-Belt. RICE is 8-0 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 62.9 ppg scored. Rices L/24 games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 58.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-1 in Golden Eagles last 6 non-conference games. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Play OVER |
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12-17-22 | Toledo v. Marshall UNDER 166 | 85-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projected combined score clicks in at 161 giving us top value with this Totals offering. TOLEDO is 18-7 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season with a combined average of 139 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 13-5 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER ( after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (MARSHALL) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG) are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-17-22 | Florida A&M +16.5 v. Louisville | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Cardinals enter a new era led by Coach Kenny Payne, who came from the New York Knicks (2020-22) before spending a decade at Kentucky (2010-20) as an assistant and associate head coach and finally notched their first win last time out. Its obvious this version of Louisvilles hoops program has a long road back to respectability and are currently getting this much respect from the linesmakers because of their brand and not the talent on the floor. I know Florida A&M may not inspire many bettors but they are battle tested already taking on five power 5 sides. this season and it looked like it helped as they held their lower tier opponent last time out to under 50 points for a win. Note: McCullum is 10-1 ATS after allowing 50 points or less in all games he has coached McCullum is 14-2 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of FLORIDA A&M. LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA A&M) - team - outscored by their opponents by 12+ points/game, after a combined score of 110 points or less are 48-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate! Play on Florida A&M to cover |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
The Colts have not looked good lately and got beat up badly last time out vs Dallas, losing 54-19 allowing 33 points in the last quarter wow. Combination of bad luck and just plain ugly football has them embarrassed and out looking for immediate redemption. Pros dont like to be embarrassed like that and you can bet they will play like their proverbial hair is on fire. Colts are 7-0 ATS L/7 vs NFC North opposition. Considering how inconsistent the Vikings have been this year wont be surprised if they have a down game. INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 season NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Indy to cover |
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12-17-22 | Bryant +4.5 v. Liberty | 62-82 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Hall of Fame ClassicBoth teams enter the week ranked in the CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 and according to my power rankings more evenly matched than the line might indicate. Bryant was ranked 17h and Liberty No.20.) Thus giving us an edge taking the dog . (Bryant) CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BRYANT) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (6 or better reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 39-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bryant |
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12-16-22 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 237.5 | 108-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Denver scored 141 points last time out and now Im betting on some major regression from an offensive output perspective. Under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Im betting his directly effects this total to the under here in this tilt vs LAK. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 101-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-16-22 | Islanders v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The last three most recent meetings between these teams have seen a shutout posted ( 2 by the Isles, and 1 by the Coyotes). an average of 3 total goals were scored in those tilts and Im now betting on a rinse and repeat situation with tow viable goalies expected to be between the pipes (Sorokin vs Vejmelka) Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Arizona. NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%). are 28-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-16-22 | Blazers v. Mavs OVER 225 | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Portland has won three straight and five of its last six with Lillard leading the way. He is shooting 52.9 percent from the field and 50.7 percent from 3-point range since returning. Im betting he prompts Doncic and company in all out offensive slugfest. Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 overall. PORTLAND is 9-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.6 ppg scored. Over is 13-3 in Mavericks last 16 games following a straight up loss. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PORTLAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 season for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Play on the over |
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12-16-22 | Chicago State +15.5 v. Southern Illinois | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Cougars are 0-9 in road games and that's why we have this over done line to bet into. I know its an ugly away record, but Chicago State behind Jahsean Corbett who scored 25 points in Chicago State's 66-65 loss to the Murray State Racers last time out and up-trending is capable of being competitive here in foreign territory. That was the Cougars 2nd straight loss by 1 point. CHICAGO ST is 14-5 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO ST is 16-6 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. S ILLINOIS is 5-15 ATS L/20 as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago State to cover |
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12-16-22 | Missouri State v. Oral Roberts OVER 145 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 148, which gives us value on the over . Oral Roberts has averaged 97.5 ppg at home this season and play a run and gun all out type of basketball that does not pay much attention to defense in transition. I know Missouri State will try to slow down this game, but its not an easy proposition to implement against this type of no prisoners hoops program. MISSOURI ST is 20-8 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. ORAL ROBERTS is 8-1 OVER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 175.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ORAL ROBERTS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 150.7 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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12-16-22 | Dartmouth +11.5 v. South Florida | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In each of Dartmouth's last five games, a team has ended the first half on a significant run (four times coming from the Big Green). On Tuesday, it was 12-0 Dartmouth. Last Friday at Central Connecticut State, the Big Green ended the first half on a 13-2 run. Against Vermont, it was 13-0 Catamounts to end the first. In the two previous games (both at home), Dartmouth ended the first with a 13-0 run against CSU Bakersfield and 14-0 vs. NVU-Johnson. It may be foreign to some , how I look at runs like this but, from my perspective these long bouts of domination, tell a story of a side that once they get into top condition, will be a hard side to handle . They can dominate, and are rarely dominated. Dartmouth has had issues with complete game performances, but when considering this matchup, their overall talent looks viable enough to compete and get us the cover vs USF. side that struggles with Free Throws and allows opposing 3 point shooters to convert for 37.8% when at home . Gregory is 12-23 ATS in home games after playing a road game as the coach of S FLORIDA.Gregory is 35-50 ATS in all home games as the coach of S FLORIDA. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATSin home games after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 3 seasons. S FLORIDA is 4-14 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons McLaughlin is 15-6 ATSin road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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12-16-22 | Troy +1.5 v. UTSA | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Cure Bowl - Exploria Stadium - Orlando, FL These two teams enter this Bowl tilt on 10-game win streaks . There is a difference here though between both sides and that comes on defense.Troy’s defense has held the seven bowl teams they played to 17 PPG/326 total YPG on average . Meanwhile,UTSA has had defensive problems against Bowl sides this season allowing, an average of 29 PPG/409 total YPG on average. There is on old adage that says defense wins big games but offense gets you to those big games. This was never truer here in this matchup as UTSA has shown more offensive prowess than the Trojans, but the Trojans defense is superior according to the numbers and its obvious how tenacious their D is if you have watched any of their games. Troy is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS against Bowl teams this season and have won their L/4 appearances. Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December. TROY is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season. UTSA has never won a Bowl game and are 0-3 SU . Play on Troy to cover |
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12-15-22 | Suns v. Clippers -2 | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Suns enter this game struggling after suffering 5 straight losses and are banged up and also exhausted as they finish up their four-game road trip, in LA at the Staples Center tonight against the Clippers. note: key Suns players Booker and Ayton are both listed questionable for Thursday's game, and if they do play could see limited time and be less than 100%. Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate! Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine +2 v. Santa Clara | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Irvine is ranked top-50 nationally in the following categories: scoring offense (48), scoring margin (17) rebounds per game (21), rebound margin (10), assist per game (36), field-goal percentage defense (41), three-point field goal percentage (7), and three-point field goal percentage defense (50) and must be taken seriously in their ability to come in here at Santa Clara and steal this game. The Anteaters almost stole a game from ranked San Diego State earlier this season, and behind a capable rebounding and physical presence around the rim present problems for all comers including another good rebounding side Santa Clara. Key: The Anteaters don't fire alot of 3-balls, but they are extremely consistent when they do as is evident by a 40.4% rate from beyond the arc , ranking 10th nationally from downtown. SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 1-8 ATS in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. UC Irvine has won the L/6 meetings in this series including their L/4 visits to Santa Clara. Play on UC Irvine to cover |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3 | 21-13 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
QB Brock Purdy, and his 134 passer rating were impressive last week to say the least in the 49ers DD win vs the visiting Tampa Bay Bucs . Meanwhile Seattle was taken out by a play off hungry Panthers last week by a 30-24 count, and failed to cover for the 4th straight time. Despite of the two opposite trajectories these teams are on, Im betting the old ball coach Pete Carroll has some magic he can deploy in desperation mode as the Seahawks still have play off hopes. With Star Deebo Samuel out with a sprained ankle and MCL and a expected regression from media darling Purdy and a desperation effort from the home side should help as cash a underdog ticket. ,Seattle is 4-0 ATS at home off a home game, as well 9-2-1 ATS in Thursday nights while the 49ers have failed to cover in three straight Thursday prime time tilts. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-28 ATS L/41 in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game . SEATTLE is 41-18 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. . Carroll is 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of SEATTLE. Carroll is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in all games he has coached NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SEATTLE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 22-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to cover |
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12-15-22 | Stars v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas has played a heavy schedule of late and Im betting on them using a more conservative game plan out of transition tonight, that should help them slow this game down . This will directly translate into a combined score that will help us cash an under wager. DALLAS is 15-5 UNDER in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 22-4 UNDER L/526seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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12-15-22 | Lehigh +23 v. Wisconsin | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wisconsin (8-2, 2-0 B1G) is coming off a pair of physically draining Big Ten wins over No. 13 Maryland (64-59) and Iowa (78-75, OT) and here against. a lower tier side could easily experience a letdown. Reed is 22-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) as the coach of LEHIGH. Reed is 32-21 ATS in road games after playing a home game as the coach of LEHIGH. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (LEHIGH) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 58-18 ATS L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (WISCONSIN) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite are 4-22 ATS L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Lehigh to cover |
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12-14-22 | Wolves v. Clippers OVER 223 | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Minnesota in a recent defeat were bashed by a 133-112 count on Monday when the Wolves saw their opponent shoot 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3-point range. The current form of their D, portrays a situation where the Clippers project to score above their current offensive averages. This will aid in overall offensive output projections. Minnesota ranks 2nd in pace, and even without Townsend in the lineup are in all out attack mode which leaves them vulnerable in transition. MINNESOTA is 23-6 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 29 games clicking in at 241.1 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MINNESOTA) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average of 234 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 285-192 OVER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate with the combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-14-22 | Kings v. Raptors -4.5 | 124-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento looked tired last night in a DD loss to Philadelphia. Now playing their 5th straight road and this being a back to back Im betting that they are at a disadvantage against rested side , playing at home with redemption in mind for back to back losses vs lower tier Orlando. TORONTO is 20-9 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.TORONTO is 13-3 ATS in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 28-1 L/26 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.2 whihc easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild -240 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Detroit has lost 3 straight games and have scored just 3 goals in that span, and Im betting on more struggles tonight on the road in Minnesota. Minnesota has given up just one goal in the last two games. The Wild shutout Vancouver 3-0 on Saturday, then pulled off a 2-1 victory over the high flying Edmonton Oilers on Monday. "We were defending, and not only just playing defense," coach Dean Evason said. "We were doing the right things offensively that we didn't have to play as much defense. Advantage Wild to win. MINNESOTA is 14-2 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 3-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (MINNESOTA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 27-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this puckline offering. Play on the Minnesota Wild |
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12-14-22 | Mississippi State v. Jackson State +22 | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. JACKSON ST is 13-4 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Jackson State to cover +22 |
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12-14-22 | Drexel +15 v. Seton Hall | 49-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Hall is coming off of a rivalry victory as it retained the Garden State Hardwood Classic trophy with a 45-43 win at Rutgers on Sunday and now Im betting they will be in a emotional letdown situation vs a lower tier non conference opponent making them vulnerable to a slow start or overall lethargic effort. SETON HALL is 4-13 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (SETON HALL) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Drexel to cover |
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12-14-22 | Ohio v. Florida UNDER 143.5 | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Amalie Arena - Tampa, FL My projections make this Total closer to 140 giving us at least one or two full possession edge on this offering from the books. OHIO U is 14-2 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 131.7 ppg scored. OHIO U is 11-2 UNDER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (FLORIDA/OHIO U) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%) are 82-36 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-13-22 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Jazz | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pelicans roll into Utah on a 7 game win streak and deserve to be favs here at Salt Lake City vs a side that started fast but has now lost 11 of their L/16 games SU. Considering the walking wounded that the Jazz are dealing with Im betting they are at a disadvantage. ie Lauri Markkanen (illness), Mike Conley (injury management), Jordan Clarkson (bruised right hip) and Collin Sexton (right hamstring strain) . NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.Jazz are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team vs the money line (UTAH) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 5-24 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NO Pelicans to cover |
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12-13-22 | New Orleans v. Boise State UNDER 142 | 50-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to 148 which gives us a full two possession value on this offering. Advantage to the under. Boise has allowed 59.3 ppg at home this season, and Im betting New Orleans will be bogged down for much of this game aiding in our under cause. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 30-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-13-22 | Oilers -125 v. Predators | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Oilers behind the explosive offensive duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nashville Predators, a side they have defeated seven straight times . and out scoring them by a 34-15 count in those tilts. I know the Oilers lost last night by a 2-1 count at Minnesota , but this is one of the better conditioned teams in the NHL and viable favs here on the road. Note: EDMONTON is 14-2 ATS when playing their 8th game in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. Oilers are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. NASHVILLE is 3-12 ATS against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season.. EDMONTON is 4-0-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons and have won 7 straight meetings. Play on Oilers to win |
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12-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks -4.5 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors are off an impressive win vs the Boston Celtics in a two way complete DD win las time out , but now in an emotional letdown spot on the road, Im betting a Bucks side that fell asleep at the wheel last time out , losing against Houston has the advantage. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Budenholzer is 23-9 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE. Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 4-53 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.4 which easily qualifies on this /ATS offering. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. I know UMass Lowell is on a big winning streak, but Rhode Island has played more top tier teams than their opposition and deserve respect as home dogs according to my projections. note: This young catalyst brings alot of chemistry to this Rhode Island squad and hes expected to play tonight. Redshirt junior guard Jalen Carey returned for RI team's win over Army Dec. 10 after missing the previous five games with an injury.In 27 minutes off the bench, Carey had a season-high 12 points, six rebounds and a career-best five assists while posting a plus-minus of +8.Carey has been an efficient scorer when available, shooting .520 from the field (13-of-25).CBB road team (UMASS-LOWELL) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are just 4-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rhode Island to cover |
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12-13-22 | VMI +11.5 v. American | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. VMI is coming off a thrilling 77-74 win over Radford last Saturday at Cameron Hall where five VMI starters scored in double figures, for their third straight win. Meanwhile, the The Eagles now stand at 7-2 and have not lost a game since Nov. 13 at George Mason and deserve to be favs here , but not by this much as my line is cloder to -7, which according to my projections gives us a excellent opportunity at cashing with the underdog. VMI is 15-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Brennan is 6-15 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of AMERICAN. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AMERICAN) - team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, off an upset win as an underdog are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on VMI |
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12-12-22 | Wolves +4 v. Blazers | 112-133 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota had defeated Portland five consecutive times before falling short on the second contest of their five-game road trip but now Im betting on a bounce back performance from the Wolves against Lilliard and company. PORTLAND is 18-31 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 57-96 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (PORTLAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 19-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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12-12-22 | Kennesaw State +16.5 v. San Diego State | 54-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Owls' road stretch has been a very successful one, as KSU is 4-2 over the first six games behind a group of 5 returning starters . That includes a road victory at Appalachian State. KSU has also been very efficient from the land of the trey this season, currently ranking 12th in the nation in three-point percentage at 40.4% which makes them viable back door cover choices here vs a ranked side. Take the points |
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12-12-22 | Patriots -1.5 v. Cardinals | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
New England well rested after a bye week is one game ahead of the Jets and currently sits as the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff race and come into tilt in need of wins to stay relevant for post season action, while the Cardinals are pretty much toast when it comes to making the play offs , unless they can string together wins here to finish of the season. Im betting both sides will be motivated, but the coaching edge , resides with Belichick going against Kingsbury. Arizonas coach Kingsbury is just 5-15 ATS at home when his side is s 2 point or less underdog. and his side is 0-3 SUATS the last three in Monday night prime time tilts . Meanwhile, Bill Belichick is 22-9 SU/ATS against NFC West opposition sides in his NFL career, and 13-0 SU if that team is coming off a loss like Arizona is. Also the Pats despite of coming off a loss are a resilient bunch as is evident by their 6-0 ATS record off a home loss by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons and are also 7-0 ATS after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS in home games against AFC East division opponents.ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS)in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.. Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pats are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Arizona. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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12-11-22 | Mississippi State v. Minnesota +8 | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Minnesota has only faced Mississippi State once in school history, but coming just last year in Starkville, Miss. The Gophers earned an 81-76 win over the Bulldogs on Dec. 5, 2021. Revenge might be on board for the visitors but you dont always get what you want , like Mick Jagger of the Rolling Stones like to say. Even if Miss st gets the win , Im betting it wont come as easily as the linemkaers expect. MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Jans is 4-13 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS for. go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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12-11-22 | Capitals v. Jets -121 | 5-2 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Winnipeg will be looking for its fifth straight victory while Washington is riding its first three-game winning streak of the season and Im betting the home side has the edge . Winnipeg plays it best hockey at home having won 10 of 13 games. I know the Jets have played a heavy schedule of late, but they are a well conditioned team. Note: Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Capitals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games. Capitals are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record. Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Central. WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season. WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+16.3 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. NHL Home Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) - off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 52-8 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate . Play on Winnipeg to win on the ML |
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12-11-22 | Bulls v. Hawks -2.5 | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago played a complete game yesterday in a DD beatdown of the Dallas Mavs, scoring 144 points on the offense. Now on tired legs and emotionally drained Im betting we see major regression on the road in Atlanta. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS after a non-conference game this season. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. McMillan is 41-26 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA. Play on Atlanta |
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12-11-22 | Lakers v. Pistons +5.5 | 124-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers are on a 3 game losing streak and exhausted as they play their 6th straight road game. Detroits young legs have the edge on this aging group at home in Motwon today. LA LAKERS are 1-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. LA LAKERS are 5-18 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (25% or less ) are 28-62 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-11-22 | Bucs +3.5 v. 49ers | 7-35 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
49ers starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a season-ending foot injury last time out and now a backup QB will go to the field ie probably Purdy who took over from Jimmy last time . With Tom Brady and company out seeking revenge for a previous loss to SF Im betting the Bucks have edge . Brady is 19-4-1 ATS when his team is seeking revenge and his 24-6 overall ATS record when getting points. Considering San Francisco is just 1-7 ATS as non-division home favorite of less than four points its an easy decision for me to back the future HOF QB to come up big here as the Bucs make a run at post season action . I know SF is ranked in No.1 in D, but Tampa Bay's defense is also of the top tier variety as the Buccaneers rank eighth in the NFL in total defense (313.8), fifth in scoring defense (18.3) and fourth in sacks (38). Tampa Bay to cover |
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12-11-22 | Panthers +4 v. Seahawks | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 59 m | Show | |
Seattle had to come from behind and take a late win vs the banged-up Rams in Week 13. Seattle is getting far to much respect from the lines-makers this week, despite of playing a sub par side. We have to remember Carolina (4-8), and are off a bye week so their well rested and believe it or or not sill in a playoff position in the slumping NFC South. With that said the Panthers still have plenty to play as they are only two games out of first place. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Meanwhile, Seahawks are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (SEATTLE) - excellent passing team (7.3 or less PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 9-32 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Carolina Panthers to cover |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 34-28 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver just cant put points on the board, consistently especially with Wilson under center. Note: Wilson’s 83.5 Passer Rating ranks No. 29th of all starting quarterbacks during this campaign. I know the Chiefs pass D is sometimes porous , but DENVER is just 8-1 UNDER vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 32.4 ppg scored. Meanwhile, we know the Chiefs can pile up points but it must also be noted that Denvers D is a solid group, as as a result of this are 9-2 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.3 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC. NFL road favs off a road chalk defeat in their last game like the Chiefs have gone under in their following game in all 6 times this has happened this season. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team ( 7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 25-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. DENVER is 9-0 UNDER in games played on a natural surface field this season and 11-1 under on the season. Under is 22-7 in Broncos last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play UNDER |
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12-11-22 | Suns +3.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Suns enter this game on a 3 game losing streak, and now are very motivated for redemption and revenge as they face a New Orleans side that beat them a few days ago. I know the Pelicans are playing great ball, but a letdown maybe in order after the intensity they put into beating the Suns last time out. Williams is 54-36 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of PHOENIX. PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is 23-7 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover |
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12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -2 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 49 h 60 m | Show | |
Both teams were blown out last week, but one of these teams is more motivated than the other as , Jacksonville (4-8) has one shot to get it self into contention for post season action. It either wins this week or it will miss the playoffs for the fifth straight year since advancing to the AFC finals in 2017, when it held a fourth-quarter lead before losing in New England. Motivational factors support taking the points here with the Jags. Pederson is 14-3 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992. TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS L/28 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season. TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight game NFL Favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-17 L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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12-10-22 | Louisiana Tech v. Wyoming OVER 142.5 | 65-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Wyoming has average 80.4 ppg in 5 home games this season so far and their opponents LA Tech have average 78.6 ppg on the road. LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored. LOUISIANA TECH is 9-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.2 ppg scored in those 11 tilts. WYOMING is 7-0 OVER in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.8 ppg scored.WYOMING is 9-1 OVER in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WYOMING) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 153.5 ppg . Play OVER |
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12-10-22 | Nets v. Pacers -1 | 136-133 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Teams like Indiana with top tier down town shooting skills , have given the Nets problems this season and Im betting nothing will change tonight. BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average ppg diff clicking at -10. Vaughn is 1-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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12-10-22 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -155 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Leafs have dominated teams with their defense and goaltending and are now 11-0-2 over their last 13, overall. With the offense now starting to roll their extremely dangerous especially against a side like Calgary thats having issues burying the biscuit and on tired legs . The buds currently rank third in high-danger chances per 60 (HDCF/60) over last 14 days and deserve respect as favs here in this spot.CALGARY is 2-8 ATS in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game this season.CALGARY is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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12-10-22 | Drake v. Richmond +2.5 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Richmond is 3-5 this season with four losses coming by three or fewer points. Of note: o Richmond is the only team in D-I with four losses by three or fewer points this season. The Spiders are never out of it. UR is outscoring its opponents by 55 points in the second half this season. Despite of the sub par record the Spiders are a quality side and deserve respect getting points at home. DRAKE is 1-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons CBB road team (DRAKE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 3-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Richmond to cover |
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12-10-22 | Radford v. VMI OVER 142 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. VMI a team that has already eclipsed the 100 point plateau 3 times this season will push the pace here forcing Radford to open up to some extent, which will help us eclipse this totals offering. Radford has proved it can pour down points offensively with recent 80 and 86 point outputs in their last 2 trips to the hardwood. RADFORD is 8-1 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored. RADFORD is 21-8 OVER L/29 when the total is 140 to 149.5. VMI is 14-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 155.9 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VMI) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 41-11 OVER 26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 153.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-10-22 | Buffalo v. Tulane UNDER 157.5 | 63-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-10-22 | Buffalo +7 v. Tulane | 63-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My power rankings suggest this game should be lined a full possession less than this offering giving us value taking points with Buffalo. The Bulls are ninth in the nation in fastbreak points, averaging 19.20 per game. This mark is the best in the MAC. Tulane has issues with these types of teams. BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 23-9 ATS L/32 as a neutral court underdog or pick Tulane is 1-7 ATS this season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-09-22 | Bucks -112 v. Mavs | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Both these teams are rolling with the defending champs Bucks having won 6 of their L/7 and their hosts Dallas having garnered victories in 4 of their L/5 overall. It must be noted however, that DALLAS is just 0-7 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and have been unable to keep momentum on their sides. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. Meanwhile,MILWAUKEE is 24-11 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons and are not intimidated when in foreign territory as is evident by winning 6 of 9 on the road this season. Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Bucks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Mavericks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. This is the second and final matchup between these sides this season; Milwaukee walked over Dallas 124-115 on Nov. 27 and the Bucks won their lone game in Dallas a season ago, 102-95. Rinse and repeat on another victory here tonight for the visitors. Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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12-09-22 | Bruins -1.5 v. Coyotes | 3-4 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Boston is a team that never underestimates opponent and is almost always game ready . In the recent past they have not let up against struggling sides which is evident by the following over powering puck-line numbers. BOSTON is 15-2 ATS against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season.BOSTON is 30-6 ATS against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 26-4 ATS against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 19-2 ATS against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 21-4 ATS in all games this season. NHL Home underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (ARIZONA) - revenging a road loss versus opponent, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 4-30 L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at -2.1 which easily qualifies on this puck-line offering. Play on Boston Bruins -1.5 puck-line |
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12-09-22 | Suns -2 v. Pelicans | 117-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Suns have had their egos bruised after two straight losses vs Dallas and Boston respectively. Im betting what happened was the Suns went in to their game against Dallas with huge revenge on board for last seasons play off losses and and still couldn't get it down and than were in an emotional letdown state in the tilt vs the Celtics and just fell flat on their faces. Now with time to digest their problems Im betting on an all out performance from the Suns in redemption mode against a side that despite of playing well is still not as talented as the incoming side. Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.PHOENIX is 30-15 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 . Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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12-09-22 | Knicks -3 v. Hornets | 121-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
After impressive back to back win vs Atlanta and Cleveland the Knicks look like a confident group and are ready to keep their current form rolling vs a inconsistent Charlotte side that ahs lost 3 straight and only garnered wins in 4 of their 12 home tilts this season. The Knicks beat the Hornets 134-131 in overtime Oct. 26 at home. Rinse and repeat. Knicks are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games. Knicks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NEW YORK is 41-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA road teams (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 17-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play NY Knicks to cover |
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12-09-22 | Islanders +175 v. Devils | 6-4 | Win | 175 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The young upstart Devils have really made a big turn around from the last few seasons of sub par hockey. Now at 21-5 SU on the season they have become the darlings of the betting public. But tonight against a veteran laden NYI side, Im betting their going to face extreme resistance. Islanders are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Islanders are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. Metropolitan. Devils are 51-112 in their last 163 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL team against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more are just are 23-48 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Islanders are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Jersey. Play on NYI to win |
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12-09-22 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Columbia OVER 152.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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12-09-22 | Grambling State +14.5 v. Vanderbilt | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Vanderbilt is off a hard fought emotional 1 point win vs Pitt U last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a Grambling side that rolls into this game after consecutive conclusive DD wins. I know the wins did not come against Power 5 sides, but earlier this season Grambling did upset Colorado, and deserve respect here on this line offering. Jackson is 17-4 ATS after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of GRAMBLING. Stackhouse is 6-18 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less as the coach of VANDERBILT. VANDERBILT is 17-34 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (GRAMBLING) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Grambling to cover |
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12-08-22 | Nuggets -1 v. Blazers | 121-120 | Push | 0 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Denver is off a heart breaking 116-115 loss to Dallas last time out, which was their 3rd straight defeat, but the Nuggets HC Malone is 15-5 ATS in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER and will be primed to bounce back. DENVER is also 21-9 ATS in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. From a league wide trends perspective NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, in December games are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. I know the Blazers have won two straight , but Portland's consecutive victories came after the club lost seven of eight games and even with Damian Lillard back in the lineup , the Nuggets Im betting matchup well in this spot play. Portland routed the visiting Nuggets 135-110 on Oct. 24 when it outscored Denver 80-49 in the second half. Lillard scored 31 and Simons added 29- Revenge now on board for the Nuggets. PORTLAND is 17-31 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams UNDER 43.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
This total according to my projections is a bit high and we have an edge with an under wager here this Thursday night. I know the Raiders have been rolling but HC Jacobs is dealing with some injuries that may slow that roll . On the flip-side the Rams are decimated offensively as the injuries are sky high, and Im betting they wont be able to take advantage of below average Raiders D. Note: Raiders rank 23rd in situation-neutral pace and Rams rank 28th. Game 13 teams like the Rams with a win % of .250 or less, when the Totals offering is 42 or more have gone under in 21 of the L/24 times for a 88% conversion rate dating back 9 seasons. LA RAMS are 8-1 UNDER against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.5 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 33.8 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg. Raiders have gone under in 4 of their L/5 non division road games as favs. Rams have gone under in their 3 Thursday night tilts, NFL Road teams against the total (LAS VEGAS) - excellent rushing team - averaging 5 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 29-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-08-22 | Iowa State v. Iowa -4 | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Iowa will be out looking for redemption tonight at home vs instate rivals Iowa State, after an embarrassing loss to Duke last time out. The Blue Devils size played a big role in frustrating the Hawkeyes, but that wont be the case here vs a smaller group of Cyclones. I know Iowa State D, has played well of late, but is must be noted that the cyclones are just 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less . Otzelberger is 5-16 ATS L/21 in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 in all games he has coached. McCaffery is 25-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of IOWA.IOWA is 8-1 ATS in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons. CB BRoad underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-08-22 | Kings v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
In their L/8 games overall the Leafs have seen a combined average of 5.65 gpg scored with 6 of those games failing to eclipse the total. Solid goaltending and a more concerted effort on good positional play out of transition has made for tight games . Tonight in revenge mode for a loss suffered to the Kings on the road back in late October Im betting the home side will be very vigilant defensively and ready to shut down an opponent that surprisingly likes to play wide open hockey of late. Under is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 home games.Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 11-4-1 in Maple Leafs last 16 games following a win. TORONTO is 14-4 UNDER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.TORONTO is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games this season. NHL team against the total (TORONTO) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, off a road win where they shut out their opponent are 48-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-07-22 | CS-Fullerton +14.5 v. USC | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. USC is off a hard fought win vs Oregon State last time out and Im betting they will experience a letdown here in this non conference tilt vs a side Im sure they are not considering to be a legitimate threat. CS-FULLERTON is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. CS-FULLERTON is 15-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.CS-FULLERTON is 11-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CS-FULLERTON is 6-0 ATS in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season USC is 0-6 ATS in home games off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out.USC is 1-10 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (USC) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fullerton to cover |
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12-07-22 | Celtics v. Suns +1.5 | 125-98 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The Suns were limited to 15 points in the first quarter of Monday's loss to Dallas. It was their lowest point total in any quarter this season. Now with a chance at redemption and the energy of their home town fans behind them Im betting they show up with a full game effort and get a victory vs the top tier Celtics . Add to that the possible return of All-Star point guard Chris Paul and the Suns get the nod. PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS L/31 in home games after allowing 130 points or more . PHOENIX is 11-3 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are just 16-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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12-07-22 | Bruins v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Avs are a really banged up bunch with the injury list being extensive including star Nathan MacKinnon. Being in survival mode against a top tier side Im betting on a very conservative effort out of transition on offense. This is Im betting impacts the Total to the under. Add to that the Bruins top tier D, and we have a situation that favors the under option. COLORADO is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Under is 5-0-1 in Avalanche last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-3-1 in Avalanche last 11 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Avalanche last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. BOSTON is 7-1 UNDER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 4.5 gpg. NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - off a close home loss by 1 goal, a top-level team (70%)or more playing a team with a winning record are 22-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-07-22 | Arizona State v. SMU +6.5 | 75-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Mustangs are 3-3 at home this season and 41-8 in the past 49 games at Moody Coliseum. Since Moody Coliseum re-opened for the 2014 American Athletic Conference schedule, SMU has successfully defended home court 126 times in 151 contests. Arizona State goes 9-10 deep , but SMU home court edge gives me confidence in backing the host side getting points. In previous encounters against teams like ASU the Mustangs have been very competitive. SMU in their L/6 games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at -2. SMU L/32 games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.8. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 2-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU to cover |
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12-07-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Magic | 111-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Orlando lost its ninth consecutive game and the 11th in the last 12 contests Monday in a 109-102 decision against Milwaukee. In their current form they are fade material on this type of line vs what is a deeper and superior side even without Leonard or George in the lineup. If these two top tier stars play than the line should be closer to -8. I know the Clippers have not exactly been cover machines of late, but this league wide trend supports my betting option. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 71-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-07-22 | Alabama State +7 v. North Alabama | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N.Alabama rallied for a come from behind win vs Morehead state last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot after playing four straight away tilts. ALABAMA ST is 11-0 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 8-0 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 40% of their shots or worse over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA ST is 6-0 ATS in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Madlock is 10-1 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games in all games he has coached since 1997. N ALABAMA is 0-8 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. N ALABAMA is 2-17 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing |
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12-06-22 | Mavs v. Nuggets -4.5 | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
After playing a emotional all out game against the Suns in a victory the Mavericks are vulnerable tonight in the high altitudes of the mile high city. The Mavericks will be playing their seventh game in the last 11 days. Meanwhile, the Nuggets offense is currently operating at a high rate of efficiency at least from a shooting conversion position which is a good omen for them tonight. DENVER is 15-4 ATS L/9 in home games after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Yes, Denver has lost 2 straight and took a DD loss vs NO Pelicans , but it must be noted that the Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. DALLAS is 25-50 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more since 1996. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, on Tuesday nights are 18-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-06-22 | Blues v. Islanders -160 | 7-4 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
St. Louis, which has lost four straight and six of seven games (1-6-0), are now on tired legs after playing and losing last night vs the NYR at MSG. Meanwhile, the Isles are a 3-0 win on Sunday vs the Blackhawks and have now he allowed just 66 goals on the season, tied for fourth fewest in the NHL. Advantage Islanders. ,ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS after 3 straight losses by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. NY ISLANDERS are 8-2 ATS against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better of their pp this season. NHL underdog against the money line (ST LOUIS) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after allowing 5 goals or more 3 straight games are 3-35 L/5 seasons for a 93% go against conversion rate for bettors. NY Islanders to win |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs -4 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers play their best hoops at home where they 10-1 SUATS at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers are averaging 115.6 points on 49.3 percent shooting from the floor and 39.9 percent from 3-point range as hosts, as opposed to 107.7, 46.0, 35.8,, away from Cleveland. Tonight Im betting on their strong home court advantage to cool down a up-trending Lakers side off two impressive wins. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite this season NBA Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 42-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Tuesday nights are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cavaliers to cover |
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12-06-22 | College of Charleston v. Presbyterian +13 | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Presbyterian has used the same lineup in their first 9 games, and despite of not notching wins consistently are beginning to show chemistry and cohesion, and deserve respect here vs a superior charlotte side at home getting points. Offensive rebounding will be their key tonight (currently ranked 81st in the nation). PRESBYTERIAN is 14-2 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread . COLL OF CHARLESTON is 13-29 ATS L/42 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. CBB road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 2-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Presbyterian to cover |
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12-06-22 | Coppin State v. NC State UNDER 157.5 | 72-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Keatts is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of NC STATE with a combined average of 139.7 ppg. Dixon is 24-12 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game as the coach of COPPIN ST with a combined average of 139.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (NC STATE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Tuesday nights are 28-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COPPIN ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 77-33 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-06-22 | Illinois +3 v. Texas | 85-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Illinois is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams. Illinois has 10 wins over top-10 teams since 2019-20, second-most in the NCAA behind Baylor (12). Illinois is the winningest team in the Big Ten over the last three seasons, registering a 44-17 mark in league play. In this matchup vs Texas it must be noted that the Illini schedule to date has seen them play tougher competition, and because their battle tested will have in advantage in a game I have lined as a pickem. Texas' strength of schedule is 304th, according to KenPom. Texas is decent at protecting shots from beyond the arc but this Illini side can sink the trey with a high degree of efficiency , with 36.6% of their scoring having come from downtown. Ive watched the Longhorns struggle at times with deep shooters, and despite of their talent may find themselves over whelmed in this spot. Underwood is 44-28 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ILLINOIS. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 4-14 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Illinois to cover |
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12-05-22 | Pacers +10 v. Warriors | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
The Pacers looked lifeless last night in their 2nd straight loss but they have proven resilient in the recent past cashing 19 of their L/26 games ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of playing well, are just 3-7 ATS off a win and just 2-5 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points. The Pacers have covered 4 of their L.5 trips to Golden State and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Im betting on a competitive effort from the Pacers in redemption mode . NBA Road teams (INDIANA) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 28-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pacers to cover |
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12-05-22 | Kent State +16 v. Gonzaga | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Kent State Flashes have won five of their eight games by 20+ points, and are 1-1 on the road and deserve respect here despite of the top tier Gonzaga program they are facing. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are coming off a heart breaking 64-63 loss against No. 6 Baylor in the first Peacock Classic in Sioux Falls, S.D and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a under rated foe KENT ST is 15-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS in non-conference games this season GONZAGA is 22-38 ATS L/60 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season which they were against Baylor last time out. Kent State to cover |
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12-05-22 | Suns +3.5 v. Mavs | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns have owned the regular-season matches with Dallas over the last three-plus seasons, but in last years play offs against the Mavericks they were blasted in the final two games of that series and fell flat on their faces. You can bet that the Suns will be in redemption mode tonight and breathing fire in all out effort to get back some lost respect. Both sides are also operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt as Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games while the Mavericks have victories in just two of their last seven tilts. With that said motivation and form rest with the visitors getting points.
Williams is 24-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of PHOENIX. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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12-05-22 | Bucks v. Magic OVER 225 | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-05-22 | Avalanche v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Colorado has seen 9 of their L11 games stay on the low side of the total, while Philadelphia has failed to eclipse 5 of their L/6 totals offerings. Im betting on these trends continuing to favor the under based on matchup projections. Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 road games. Under is 4-0-2 in Flyers last 6 vs. Central. Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 home games. COLORADO is 8-2 UNDER against struggling power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 46-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-04-22 | Colts +10.5 v. Cowboys | 19-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are running hot, but Im going to take a contrarian stance here tonight and back Indianapolis to cover the line. I know the Colts disappointed last week in a loss as favorites but they have proven resilient in the past off that type of loss winning 11 of their L/13 opportunities for redemption. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 0-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Dallas’ owns a sub par 9-17 SU and 7-17-2 ATS record against non-division opposition in prime time Sunday Night affairs. The Cowboys own a 0-5 ATS record as chalk of more than 7 points when coming off a Thanksgiving day game . Meanwhile, the The Colts owns a powerful 8-1 ATS records before their Bye week, which is up next a are 7-1 ATS in non-conference road tilts . Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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12-04-22 | Northwestern v. Michigan State OVER 126.5 | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 132 thus giving us value with an over wager here as we have a more than two possession edge based on my numbers. NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 OVER L/10 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite with a combined average of 129 ppg scored. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-04-22 | Lakers v. Wizards -2.5 | 130-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lakers have played decent ball of late winning 7 of their L/9 including an upset of the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. Now though in an emotional letdown spot the Lakers are vulnerable to a side that has played their best hoops at home this season as is evident by winning 8 of 12 tilts as hosts. LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington. Play on Washington to cover |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have big time revenge on board for their AFC championship game loss last season, to this Cincinnati side. Im betting they get their redemption behind the arm and legs of super star QB Patrick Mahomes who is 26-0 in his last 26 starts in November and December. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-04-22 | Seahawks v. Rams +7 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 24 m | Show | |
I know the defending Super Bowl champions the LA Rams are banged up and not in top form , but this is just to many points for the Seahawks to cover in my humble opinion on the road , giving us value with the undervalued home underdog. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Carroll is 18-33 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13. Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. NFL Favorites (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are just 67-119 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rams to cover |
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12-04-22 | Ducks v. Jets -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Ducks have allowed a league-high 106 non-shootout goals, an average of 37.8 shots on goal and are mired in an 0-3-2 rut overall. The Ducks are mired in an 0-4-2 skid on the road, and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Winnipeg after 3 straight wins lost last time out in front of their own fans, and were embarrassed in the process losing by a 4-1 count to Columbus where the team looked lifeless. Quote: "That's just not our team," Jets coach Rick Bowness said."Every game is important. We set the standard of how we're going to play regardless of who we play. And, as I told (the team), it's on every individual to look at yourself first." END QUOTE: With that said, Im betting on a big bounce back effort today by the Jets in a full game effort which gives us a quality wagering opportunity on the puckline.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 0-11 ATS in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season. ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. Play on Winnipeg to win -1.5 puckline |
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12-04-22 | Monmouth +6.5 v. Manhattan | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Monmouth is playing its seventh road game in its first nine contests and have til now been unable to grab a victory. Because of their lack of Ws we are getting an advantageous line to bet into as the matchup is closer than this number would indicate according to my projections and power rankings. MONMOUTH is 9-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Monmouth is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits here and have eight consecutive victories in this series. Play on MONMOUTH to cover |
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12-04-22 | George Washington +1.5 v. Radford | 76-86 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. George Washington is off a big win vs South Carolina last time out and are now forming into a cohesive unit. GW has held New Hampshire and South Carolina to an average of 54.5 points per game and 31.8% shooting over the last two games and their ability to play disciplined transitional ball will Im betting be a key to them covering today vs Radford. The home side did have a big offensive effort last time out, 80-78 win but now a major offensive regression is on board. Note:RADFORD is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games after scoring 80 points or more. GW has held its opponent below 40% shooting in four of its seven games. CBB Home underdogs vs. the money line (RADFORD) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 39-143 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Washington to cover Play on George Washington to cover |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 35 m | Show | |
The Jets have pivoted from QB Zach Wilson to Mike White and Im betting that will be a beneficial move . The Jets right now if the season ended would be in the play offs and are very motivated to get some upward momentum. It must be noted in two career starts, White owns passer ratings of 149.3 and 101.1 in his first and only other start last season. Interestingly enough the Jets had eclipsed the 30 point -plateau and 450 Total Yards in the last four seasons just 3 times and guess who was the starting QB in those games, you got it - White. So this week against a Vikings side that has lost the stats battles in 3 straight games, the Jets must not be underestimated in this ability to cash a ticket for us. NY JETS are 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season.NY JETS are 6-0 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLHome favorites (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NY Jets to cover |
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12-03-22 | Hurricanes v. Kings UNDER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Carolina thanks to a strong defensive style game, have seen 10 of their L/13 games stay ont he low side of the total. Here on the road on tired legs Im expecting a very conservative transitional game plan that will help keep this score on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) in road games against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg .
Under is 10-2 in Hurricanes last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 overall.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 Saturday games.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 road games. Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 103-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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12-03-22 | St. Mary's v. Houston OVER 118.5 | 48-53 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Dickies Arena - Fort Worth, TX My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Houston can run and gun and play solid D. We know St.Marys will try to grind this game down to halt in order to be competitive, but Houston will dictate the pace and not allow the Gaels to get into a comfort zone forcing them to open up or be completely embarrassed. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair than the linesmkaers are expecting. HOUSTON in their L/11 as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 128.4 ppg .HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less since 1997 with a combined average of 143.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bucks were upset by the Lakers last time out, but wil now be in bounce back mode and here and ready for redemption vs a Charlotte side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games overall and are sub .500 home side as is evident by a 4-6 record as hosts. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average pgg diff clicking in at +8.5. Budenholzer is 55-34 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86'% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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12-03-22 | Kings v. Clippers -1.5 | 123-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Whether George or Leonard take to the court for the Clippers Im betting they still hold an advantage here at home. This Clippers side is constantly being under rated and underestimated when their super stars are out of the lineup but they have still proven resilient on many occasions thanks to team chemistry and top tier coaching and overall work ethic. Yes, the Kings have played great ball at times this season, but are still inconsistent as is evident by losing 3 of their L/4 . NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or better) against an sub par defensive team (47% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are n13-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-03-22 | LSU v. Georgia UNDER 52.5 | 30-50 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA This total has steamed up by almost 5 points since opening and now that it's been over done Ill come back and take a contrarian stance and hit the under offering. Georgia has allowed 12.4 ppg on the road this season.The Dawgs have allowed 20 or less points in their L/7 games.( 10, 0, 20, 13, 19, 6, 14) Im betting Georgia will not allow more than 17 this week, while my own projections estimate a 31 point offensive output . GEORGIA is 6-0 UNDER when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.8 ppg scored. Kelly is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 49.9 ppg scored. GEORGIA is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.4 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 35-8 UNDER L/30 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (GEORGIA) - outrushing their opponents by 1.75 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State v. Boise State -3 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 49 m | Show | |
MW Championship Game Boise State took out Fresno State 40-20 earlier this season, and Im betting the Bulldogs will not have a big enough turn around to get the revenge win in the rematch. Boise is 11-1 SU L/12 at home this series and have won 5 of 6 home games . Home field advantage will prevail once again. BOISE ST is 33-17 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Tedford is 14-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB home team vs. the money line (BOISE ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (FRESNO ST) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 13-38 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boise State to cover |
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12-03-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -160 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 49 m | Show | |
From time to time I will lay a little lumber with a certain gridiron moneyline opportunity, and Tulane is my choice here this week .Home favorites vs. the money line (TULANE) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (80%)or better playing a team with a winning record are 33-1 L/5 seasons. Tulane has proved to me their the real deal after last weeks road victory vs Cincinnati. I know UCF is a top tier side, and beat Tulane the last time they visited here a few weeks ago 38-31. But now Im betting on a revenge scenario bounce back effort by the Green Wave in this championship game to be golden. Play on Tulane to win |
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12-03-22 | Indiana v. Rutgers +4 | 48-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. I know the Hoosiers are are 7-0 but 5 of those victories have come vs KenPom sub-250 teams. Here against an aggressive and pestering D, getting a victory will not come easily . Not an easy place to play in for visitors. Steve Pikiell as a Home Underdog since 2018 owns a 11-1 ATS mark. RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 2-16 ATS in road games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1997. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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