Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-15-23 | Islanders -1.5 v. Ducks | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
The Isles are in desperation mode as they lost last night in LA vs the Kings for the 2nd straight loss and are now in jeopardy of losing a grip on the wild card play off spot . Getting a win is paramount to the Isles organization and Im betting they will be in full blown kamikaze mode tonight. ANAHEIM is 1-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.ANAHEIM is 3-19 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NYI on the puckline |
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03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 239 | 117-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
After playing a physical wide open game vs the Bucks last time out Im betting on an emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here tonight in Chicago for Sacramento. I also expect a more concerted defensive effort from the Kings after imploding defensively in the 2nd half of the above mentioned game vs the Bucks . Meanwhile the Bulls who rank 20th in offense and 10th and defense behind the 17th ranked pace will be especially careful in transition tonight vs an explosive side which will help us keep the combined score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored.
Brown is 17-6 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game as the coach of SACRAMENTO with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-11 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with acombined average of 213.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 50-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
Boston are off a embarrassing loss to the Rockets last time out (111-109 as 13 point chalk), and will now be primed for a bounce back performance vs a side they match well against. The Celtics defeated the Wolves 121-109 earlier this season and covering as 4 point road chalk wont be a difficult prospect here especially after their recent loss to a lower tier side. BOSTON is 21-6 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Finch is 4-17 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games as the coach of MINNESOTA. NBA Home underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 2-28 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State +17.5 v. North Texas | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to -13 giving us a more than 2 possession value with the underdog. Bussie is 32-18 ATS in road games as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 27-14 ATS as a road underdog or pick as the coach of ALCORN ST. Bussie is 9-2 ATS when the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of ALCORN ST. Alcorn State to cover |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Surprise , surprise look who made it into NCAA play in game. FDU behind a high-powered offense that led the conference in points, assists and threes per game will be primed to compete here, after a miraculous come back from last seasons 4-22 debacle. Jones is 7-19 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of TEXAS SOUTHER TEXAS SOUTHERN is 4-11 ATS as a favorite this season. FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts after 15+ games . Fairleigh Dickson to cover |
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03-14-23 | Seton Hall +4.5 v. Colorado | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holloway is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached since 1997. Seton Hall to cover |
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03-14-23 | Islanders v. Kings -126 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is 5-0-1 in its past six games, with its only set back coming in a 2-1 shootout loss to the Nashville Predators on Saturday to open a seven-game homestand. Meanwhile, the Isles despite of being in desperation mode as they chase a wild card spot do not matchup well vs the Kings, even with emerging super star goalie Sorokin between the pipes.Islanders are also just 5-11 in their last 16 road games and are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.NY ISLANDERS are 3-16 ATS against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. Play on LA Kings to win |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miss state enters this game having lost 4 straight games and are fade material in their current form against a hard working Pittsburgh side with top tier team chemistry. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit is a highly inconsistent team, and after coming off a surprising 117-97 win last time out vs Indiana , that ended a 11 game losing streak Im betting this banged up group will have a down effort . Their opponents the Wizards are in desperation mode after suffering 3 straight losses and in need of wins if they hope to procure a play in game spot. Note:DETROIT is 1-14 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.1 ppg. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-13-23 | Bucks -1.5 v. Kings | 133-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee blew a OT loss Golden State last time out , and lost 125-116 affter making a late comeback surge and erasing 15 points . Thanks to that loss, and they way it happened you can bet the defending champs will primed for a redemption minded bounce back effort. I Dont think their is an argument here who is the better team making this an easy choice on a short chalk line. Sacramento has lost 5 straight meetings against the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 15-4 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or less - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off an upset win as a road underdog are 10-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-13-23 | Bucks v. Kings UNDER 244.5 | 133-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score of 232, giving us tremendous value on this public totals offering. MILWAUKEE is 26-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO is 15-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 232.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 41-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dallas offense is rolling having scored 4 goals or more in 7 straight games. Their style of hockey as morphed from a defensive mind set into a more wide open brand of hockey which has resulted in some high scoring affairs. Note: Over is 6-0-1 in Stars last 7 overall. Now Im betting nothing changes tonight vs a sub par defensive/goal tending side the Seattle Kraken, that has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of their L/10 while also scoring 4 or more in 6 of their L/10 overall trips to the ice. Over is 5-1-1 in Kraken last 7 home games. DALLAS is 5-0 OVER in March games this season with a combined average of 8.9 gog scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 OVER in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. DALLAS is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 33-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-13-23 | Celtics v. Rockets +12.5 | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
To tank or not to tank, that is the question for Houston. Im betting this young group with a chance to upset a top tier opponent will be primed to play hard here and leave everything on the court. Meanwhile, the Celtics could easily overlook this opponent and rest players as the the game progresses. Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-13-23 | Wolves v. Hawks -5 | 136-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are in desperation mode tonight as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves. as they look to be included the play-in tournament . The Hawks are chasing the New York Knicks who are ahead of them by 4 1/2 games in the chase for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs with only 14 contests left. With that said, Im betting the Hawks come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Note: Minnesota is banged up and are without Karl-Anthony Towns, . Jaylen Nowell and Austin Rivers is less than 100% and missed Friday's game with back spasms. MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 7-16 ATS in non-conference games this season. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS ( in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +1.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have not played well on the road this season or more precisely have not been a consistent side on the road as their 12-21 SU /11-20 -2 ATS road record would indicate . MEMPHIS is also just 6-17 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season.
I know the Mavs are also very inconsistent but they seem to come to life vs top tier oppomnents and deserve respect here at home. Mavericks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Dallas to cover |
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03-12-23 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 110-127 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have averaged just 107 ppg on offense in their L/5 trips to the hardwood, and depend on being conservative on transition which results in slow placed games. The current 5 game run has see a combined average of just 218.8 ppg scored. The Pelicans currently rank 8th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Portland has also had problems being consistent on offense of late , and despite of a big output last time out in a 120-119 loss to the 76ers have seen 5 of their L/7 overall remain on the low side of the offered total. Im expecting offensive regression here especially with this being the Blazers 6th straight rad game. Im betting their tired legs will have them not willing to take part in a run and gun affair, which the Pelicans dont want any part of anyway. Under is 6-0 in Pelicans last 6 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.NEW ORLEANS is 23-8 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.4 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 UNDER \ when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.8 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 18-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Trail Blazers last 17 road games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 70-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Play under |
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03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams in the recent past have take part in High-scoring tilts as is evident by the fact that six or more total goals have been scored in 12 of their last 16 meetings. Recently Vegas has scored 4 or more goals in in four of their L/5 wins and Im betting they get on the scoreboard in a big way here tonight against a Blues side that has seen six or more total goals scored in each of their L/6 games, thanks in part to their struggling goal tending that has seen Bennington procure a ugly .894 save percentage (SV%) and 3.31 goals against average (GAA). Add to that the Kngihts are expected to start a inexperienced goalie tonight ( Jiri Patera ) we could see a much higher score than the the linesmakers offering suggests.
ST LOUIS is 16-4 OVER when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, good team, winning 60-70% or more of their games on the season in the 2nd half of the season are 58-24 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue has defeated the Nittany Lions twice this year (76-63 at The Palestra on Jan. 8; 80-60 in Mackey Arena on Feb. 1). Im betting on a output somewhere in the same range which gives us an edge with a over bet.Painter is 15-3 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 as the coach of PURDUE.Shrewsberry in his L/23 games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better as the coach of PENN ST has seen a combined average score of 139.7 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ivy League Tournament - Championship - Jadwin Gymnasium - Princeton, NJ Yale, the league's top defensive team, is set to meet Princeton in Sunday's championship game. Defense wins championships and nothing changes today. Yale won both games against Princeton this season and matchup well here once again.YALE is 8-0 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.YALE is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Play on Yale to cover |
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03-11-23 | Arizona +1.5 v. UCLA | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with each winning on their own home court. UCLA took the final meeting. Note: ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Arizona beat the Bruins 84-76 last year for the title and a rinse and repeat scenario Im betting is now on board. UCLA has been forced to adjust in the Pac-12 Tournament without wing Jaylen Clark, the Pac-12’s Defensive Player of the Year and he will be missed in this big game. UCLA is 0-6 ATS in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona to cover |
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03-11-23 | Bucks +1.5 v. Warriors | 116-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Golden States lost 3 straight games, and getting are not the same side that dominated the NBA a few seasons back.Yes, they have played their best hoops at home , but they still have procured 7 losses as hosts and are not invincible. Meanwhile, MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite this season. Im betting on the defending NBA champs to be wide awake here in this spot play situation. Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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03-11-23 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost 7 of their L/10 overall and now go against a side that plays their best hoops at home where they have garnered a 27-5 record. With the added incentive of revenge for a ugly DD loss on the road back in October to the Mavs Im now betting the combo of home court advantage and redemption will have the Grizzlies in top form and ready for merciless retribution. Yes, I know Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies and they are a bit banged up, but Dallas is in the same boat with key stars Doncic and Irving also injured and less than 100%. MEMPHIS is 10-1 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.MEMPHIS is 14-2 ATS in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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03-11-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 236.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us at least a two full possession value to the under. Bostons well rested and with the play offs approaching quickly will continue to hone their key defensive skills . Boston operates at the 20th ranked pace in the NBA and owns the 4th best defensive rating on the league. Note: Boston has gone under in 8 of their L/9 with 2 days rest and have gone under in 14 of their L/16 as 8 point or less road chalk. Atlanta has gone under in 8 of their L/9 as conference home dogs and are 0-5 under L/5 in this series vs Boston with the average combined score clicking in at 208.2 ppg. Snyder is 44-22 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. BOSTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 209.7 ppg scored.BOSTON is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. BOSTON is 15-7 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 230.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a win against a division rival are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-11-23 | Jazz v. Hornets +2.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Charlotte has played alot more consistently of late winning 7 of their L/10 including 2 straight. The same cannot be said about Utah a side that has lost 9 of their L/13 overall and 4 of their L/5 . The performance divergence has me recommending we take the home dog in this spot play against a tired side now playing their 5th straight road game. Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win UTAH is 3-12 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 15-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons UTAH is 43-61 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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03-11-23 | Oilers +111 v. Maple Leafs | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Edmonton’s playing strong hockey at the moment with victories in 4 of their L/5 games and have played well on the road this season winning at 61% clip and must be respected here as underdogs vs the Leafs behind the what is an explosive offense. The Oilers have won nine of their last 14 road tilts. Considering the Leafs Leafs are in the process of sorting out their defense after Luke Schenn, Jake McCabe and Erik Gustafsson were added in deals before the trade deadline its an easy decision for me to back an offense that could have the leafs skating in circles. Oilers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Oilers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Atlantic. EDMONTON is 16-8 ATS in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. Play on Edmonton to win on the ML |
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03-11-23 | Utah State +2 v. San Diego State | 57-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Utah state rolls into this tilt having won 7 straight all by DD deficits, and are well prepared to take down the San Diego state Aztecs in the MWC championship game . No. 2's seeds in this tourney like the Aggies are 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS L/14 opportunities in MWC title tilts. UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons. Odom is 12-2 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of UTAH ST. Play on Utah State to cover |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ivy League's most explosive offense owned by Yale will meet the most stifling defense (Cornell), and the rubber game will move the winner one step closer to the NCAA Tournament. In post season games like this D, top tier Ds, almost always have an edge. Cornell to cover |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Cavaliers held off a late Miami rally in a 104-100 win in South Florida the other night but now Im betting the Heat fight back and get the win in revenge mode. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons and are a sub .500 road side this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread are 80-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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03-10-23 | Hawks -1 v. Wizards | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The current No. 8 Hawks scored a 122-120 win over the Wizards, who were No. 10 entering Thursday's play and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. Streaky super star Trae Young, the Hawks' leading scorer on the season at 26.7 points per game, procured 28 points in Wednesday's win and added 10 assists and Im betting he will be their main offensive catalyst again. Washington now enters Friday's contest trailing the Hawks by two games and ninth-place Toronto by a half-game through Wednesday's action and Atlanta can put a proverbial dagger in their hopes with a win here and will be very motivated to do so. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in home games on Friday nights this season. NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against a division rival, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 2-26 L/27 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here in DC. Play on Atlanta to win |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Kansas | 58-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Iowa State held all but one (Texas Tech-Overtime) Big 12 opponent below its season scoring average. That total includes holding No. 8 Kansas to 53 points, the lowest conference total under Bill Self. The Cyclones are holding their opponents to a league-best 62.5 points per game this season and deserve respect here in the underdog role. Iowa State os 16-1-1 ATS L/18 post season games. Iowa State to cover |
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03-10-23 | Temple +5.5 v. Cincinnati | 54-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The teams split the season series with each winning on their own court. The Owls defeated the Bearcats, 70-61, on New Year's Day at the Liacouras Center with Cincinnati defeating Temple, 88-83 in overtime, on Feb. 22 at Fifth Third Arena. TEMPLE in 13 games as an underdog this season have seen a 1 ppg diff. . TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons. TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Miller is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival as the coach of CINCINNATI. Miller is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival as the coach of CINCINNATI. Temple to cover |
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03-10-23 | Mississippi State +7.5 v. Alabama | 49-72 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Bulldogs have plenty of experience against this top ranked Crimson Tide squad after the two teams squared off twice already this season in close matchups and Im betting this one will close as well. MSU has proven that it can matchup well against any hoops program in this country, making nearly every matchup a competitive game which includes wins vs top-25 opponents such as TCU and Texas A&M over the past few weeks. Jans is 9-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.Jans is 20-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. ALABAMA is 4-15 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be the sixth meeting (2015, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021) with TCU at the Big 12 Championship, including the fifth in the last 6 seasons, with K-State winning each of the last 4 such meetings. Rinse and repeat on board here. Ive been saying this is a special version of this hoops program and Im betting they leave everything on the floor tonight. Note: KState was a perfect 5-0 SU this season against .833 or better opposition. KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. CBB Neutral court teams (KANSAS ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 35-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on K State to cover |
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03-09-23 | Nets v. Bucks -11.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has beaten Brooklyn by 10 ,18 14 points this season and now with their key starters now gone they look like cannon fodder once again. Thanks to the Nets current 3 game win streak the Bucks will not overlook them. NBA Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 4-115 L/27 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.6 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Memphis has lost both games to the Warriors this season, and are in revenge mode here this evening. The Grizzlies are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 when seeking same season revenge. I know Memphis has been a small funk of late, but they are a resilient bunch, going 9-1 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS as a road favorite this season. GOLDEN STATE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS in home games versus struggling foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-09-23 | Stars v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing some high scoring games of late, with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed 3 or more goals in 7 of their L/8 games, thanks to shoddy goaltending at times and to conservative of a stance as they push for a wild card spot. Their lack of aggressiveness has cost them, as was the case last time out in a 3-2 loss to the Isles and now Im betting with their play off hopes fading they will play more wide open hockey which should lead to higher scoring affairs. BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. BUFFALO is 15-6 OVER against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 OVER against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-09-23 | Western Kentucky +11 v. Florida Atlantic | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. When these teams played last , Hilltoppers battled for a full 40 minutes, but an uneven 3-point shooting night caused the Hilltoppers to fall 70-63 to No. 21 Florida Atlantic. Im betting they find a way to stay close here again today. WKU has advanced to the semi-finals of its conference championship in 14 of the last 17 seasons. Western Kentucky is 17-1 ATS as an underdog in postseason play. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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03-09-23 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Baylor | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Entering this tourney Iowa State just came off beating up on their first round opponents Baylor in their final regular season game . It was a complete no show for the Bears, and Im once again betting they matchup well against them. From a historical standpoint the Cyclones have covered 6 straight meetings vs Baylor and are 15-1-1 ATS L/17 in this the Big 12 Tournament, Baylor is 0-6 L/6 ATS in the Big 12 Tournament going back 3 seasons. I know Iowa State has been very inconsistent in Big 12 play, but they always seem to bring their A game to tilts facing top tier opponents as is evident by wins vs TCU, Kansas, Kansas State and of course Baylor. Im betting on another big effort here from the underdogs in this tilt. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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03-09-23 | Miami-OH +13.5 v. Toledo | 75-91 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami University currently ranks 10th in the nation in free throw shooting percentage which is important in what Im betting will be a very physical tourney game. Im not saying the Redhawks will win this game, but a cover is a viable wagering opportunity. Toledo is 0-9 ATS L/9 in MAC Tourney and 0-6 ATS as the No.1 seed. Play on Miami O to cover |
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03-08-23 | Hawks v. Wizards +3.5 | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Hawks are being over rated here as road favs vs their hosts the Washington Wizards according to my projections especially considering their current form that has seen them lose 3 of their L/4 overall. I know Washington played last night, but they are one of the leagues better conditioned sides. . Wizards are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 games playing on no rest. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (They lost to Miami 130-128 last time out. ) ATLANTA is 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. ATLANTA is 15-26 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 245 points or more are 20-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-08-23 | South Carolina State +8 v. Howard | 55-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The last time these teams played S Carolina St lost a 82-78 loss at home to Howard and here in a neutral court environment Im expecting another affair that favors the underdog getting points. Howard should once again squeeze past S Carolina St , but while looking at some previous matchup stats they are favored by to many points in a tourney game. S CAROLINA ST is 10-0 ATS L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games. S CAROLINA ST is 17-4 ATS L/21 revenging a home loss vs opponent. S CAROLINA ST is 20-8 ATS L/28 as a neutral court underdog or pick HOWARD is 4-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.HOWARD is 0-9 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.HOWARD is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on South Carolina State to cover |
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03-08-23 | Colorado v. Washington +4 | 74-68 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Pac Twelve Tournament - First Round - T-Mobile Arena - Paradise, NV Washington swept the season series against Colorado . The Huskies have now won three consecutive games in the series and nine of the last 12 and once again look like a viable opponent for the Buffaloes in the first round of the PAC 12 tourney.Washington is tied for the Pac-12 lead and ranks 10th in the NCAA in blocks per game (5.3). The Huskies also have the second-best success at the free throw line of any team in the conference. Their three-point defense ranks atop the league leaderboard and is 16th nationally and matchup well here. COLORADO is 1-8 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game this season. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to cover |
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03-08-23 | Fresno State v. Colorado State -135 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mountain West Tournament - First Round - Thomas & Mack Center - Paradise, N Colorado State closed out its regular season schedule with a 92-84 win over New Mexico on Senior Night and now with momentum on their sides look like viable bets here to advance in the MWC tourney vs Fresno State. COLORADO ST is 6-0 straight up/ATS against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons including a 70-67 win at Fresno State a few weeks ago. FRESNO ST is 4-16 ATS L/20 in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . Play on Colorado State to win |
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03-07-23 | Ducks v. Seattle Kraken -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 4 straight games and Im betting they matchup well here vs the Anaheim Ducks. I know Anaheim has played decent hockey of late, but Seattle current form gives credence to me making this puck-line call. Ducks are 9-42 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Kraken are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ANAHEIM is 1-16 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 3-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins this season. Play on Seattle to cover -1.5 puckline |
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03-07-23 | Nets v. Rockets +6.5 | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on two game winning runs, with both getting their wins vs the lowly San Antonio Spurs. I know the Rockets don't inspire bettors, but here against a inconsistent Brooklyn team now playing with a average at best roster and in rebuild mode Im betting the Rockets can be competitive.BROOKLYN is 18-35 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 2-14 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 25-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 229 | 117-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Philly has really been ratcheting up their offense of late scoring an average of 124.8 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court, and Im betting their aggressive offensive posture will continue here tonight against the Wolves who have allowed +115 ppg at home this season. Note: The 76ers have allowed more than 113 ppg on the road this season and my projections estimate a number closer to 114 for the Wolves offensive output. PHILADELPHIA is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 114 or more points in a game this season with the combined average of 254.6 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 250.8 ppg scored. (Philly took a 147-143 win vs Pacers last time out) MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER after allowing 130 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored.( Minnesota took out Sacramento last time out by a 138-134 count) NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 ( MINNESOTA/ PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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03-07-23 | Flyers v. Lightning -280 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay after 5 straight losses are in desperation mode and now have a Flyers team they should easily be able to handle and get back in the win column. I know we are laying a lot of lumber here, but in rare circumstances when the situation warrants it , Ill recommend we lay in one event what we would in two events from a a bankroll allocation perspective. Flyers are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay. Lightning are 50-21 in their last 71 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lightning are 44-19 in their last 63 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 32-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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03-07-23 | Georgia Tech -110 v. Florida State | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ACC Tournament - First Round - Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, NC Georgia Tech is riding the second-longest winning streak in the ACC, winning their last three games and obviously enter this ACC Tournament game against Florida State with momentum and from a bettors perspective have cashed 8 straight times . GEORGIA TECH is 7-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. GEORGIA TECH is 17-4 ATSL/21 after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers . I know Florida State won the first meeting between these teams, but since that game both went in different directions. With revenge as an added incentive Im betting on the Yellowjackets to advance in this tourney. Note: Tech’s offensive efficiency rating is 104.3, they're highest for in seven seasons under HC Josh Pastner. Tech’s season turnover rate of 10.8 per game is its lowest on record dating back to the 1992-93 season when turnovers became an official NCAA statistic. The Jackets have turned it over just 9.5 times per game in its last eight ACC tilts and deserve respect here in this spot play vs a Seminoles side that has lost 6 of their L/7 with the lone win coming a miraculous buzzer beater vs Miami Fl. FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons . Georgia Tech to win |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 160.5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
West Coast Tournament - Semifinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons. GONZAGA is 12-4 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 160 points (GONZAGA /SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Few is 9-19 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 to 18 points as the coach of GONZAGA. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 ATS in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games . CBB Neutral court teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 32-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (GONZAGA) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on SF Dons to cover |
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03-06-23 | Capitals v. Kings -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington is off two consecutive road wins vs San Jose with the last victory coming by a 8-3 count. In the recent past coming off conclusive wins has not been a recipe for success for the sub .500 Caps as is evident by and 0-7 ATS after a blowout win by 4 goals or more this season and a 0-6 ATS record after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game this season. Tonight against a Kings side playing at a very high level at the moment its an easy decision to take the home side that will be well aware of the Caps big win last time out and will not be overlooking their opponent.LOS ANGELES is 10-0 ATS against sub par defensive teams like Washington - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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03-06-23 | Pelicans v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Sacramento is off a exhausting back and forth game vs Minnesota last time out losing a 138-134 dog fight and will be in a natural letdown state here and an obvious regressionary offensive output result could easily be the result . That Im betting directly effects this combined score to the under. Note: The Pelicans are banged up and their offensive flow is off, as is evident by averaging 105.4 ppg in their L/5 overall and have failed to eclipse the 100 point plateau in 2 of thier L/3. The Pelicans have also gone under the total in 6 of their L/7 and 20-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 212.6 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg. I know the Kings have revenge on board for a DD loss to the Pelicans back on Feb 5th but it must also be noted that NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 77-39 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in March games are 30-8 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games are 60-30 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-06-23 | CS Sacramento v. Weber State -2 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big Sky Tournament - Quarterfinals - Idaho Central Arena - Boise, ID WEBER ST is 10-2 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (WEBER ST) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in March games are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. WEBER ST is 6-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons. Weber State to cover |
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03-06-23 | Hawks +3 v. Heat | 128-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Heat host the Atlanta Hawks for the second straight game. the Heat took the last game but have been overall very inconsistent this season, and putting back to back top tier efforts in have been rare. Note: MIAMI is 9-21 ATS in home games this season and are 4-18 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season.Trae Young is another example of inconsistency as was evident in the last game as he procured a season-low eight points on 2-for-13 shooting against Miami on Saturday. Im betting he wont be stopped two games in a row and will be the difference maker in the rematch. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern v. Rutgers OVER 126.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 131 which gives us a full two plus possession value on this totals offering. NORTHWESTERN in their L/34 games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 137.1 ppg scored. Pikiell L/34 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game as the coach of RUTGERS have seen a combined average of 129.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (RUTGERS /NORTHWESTERN) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite are 49-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-23 | Spurs +3 v. Rockets | 110-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Two bottom feeder who are evenly matched go back to back today after playing each other yesterday. The Rockets found a way past the Spurs in yesterdays tilt, but now Im expecting a bounce back effort from the visitors today. Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. HOUSTON is 3-15 ATSin home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 101-58 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Spurs have won their L/4 visits to Houston. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Bulls have revenge on board for two losses to the Pacers this season and will be primed for pay back here in this spot play at home. Indianas last four away versus opposition seeking same-season double revenge are 0-4 ATS . Pacers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bulls are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.Bulls are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 14-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors, NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 41-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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03-05-23 | Temple +5.5 v. Tulane | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Owls (16-14, 10-7 AAC) and Green Wave (17-10, 10-6 AAC) will be in a winner take all battle for the third seed in the American Athletic Conference Championship that begins next week at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. Im betting this tilt will be closely contested. Temple also have revenge on board for a loss to Tulane earlier this season.Temple is 7-3 SU overall in games at Tulane and had won seven straight meetings in New Orleans before losing last season's meeting. Hunter is 0-8 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of TULANE.TULANE is 1-10 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.TULANE is 0-6 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. TULANE is 9-23 L/32 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game . TEMPLE is 10-1 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season. TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 3.7 . TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking at -.07. CBB road team (TEMPLE) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a sub par rebounding team (-6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 63-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Temple to cover |
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03-05-23 | Houston v. Memphis +6 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tigers have revenge on board for a loss to the Cougars earlier this season and will be primed for an upset in revenge mode in their final home game of the season. Note: Memphis is 13-3 ATS series, including 6-0 ATS at home and 6-0 ATS when in revenge mode. The Tigers have played their best hoops at home this season going 13-1 SU and deserve respect here getting points at home vs a top tier side. Play on Memphis to cover |
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03-04-23 | Arizona v. UCLA -5 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
UCLA has revenge on board for a loss they suffered on the road to Arizona earlier this season. With this being the Wildcats 2nd straight road game Im betting their legs may not be able to handle a all out attack by an explosive Bruins side . In the Wildcats last game they had to play strong and hard vs a USC side that is not an easy out , and mustering that same kind of energy again will be difficult in my opinion.Cronin is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of UCLA with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20. UCLA is 9-0 ATS in home games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on UCLA |
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03-04-23 | Creighton v. DePaul +12.5 | 84-70 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DePauls last home game of the season, should see them play very competitive ball. CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season DePaul to cover |
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03-04-23 | 76ers +5 v. Bucks | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The visitor in this series is 4-1 L/5 . The 76ers are also 5-0 vs .666 or better non-division op during this current campaign. Meanwhile, the Bucks are an ugly 0-5 ATS L/5 vs .650 or better opponents like Philly. Milwaukee's latest victory, a 139-117 decision over the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks hit a season-high 26 3-pointers in the win and now Im betting on immediate regression vs a much stronger defensive side. The Bucks have split their first two meetings against the Sixers this season, both at Philadelphia. Milwaukee won 90-88 in the season opener on Oct. 20 and lost 110-102 on Nov. 18. Im bettong another hard fought close tilt with the points proving to be golden. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off a home win, in March games are just 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. NBA Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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03-04-23 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 231.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Houstons 10 division games this season have seen a combined average of. 224.2 ppg scored. The Rockets rank 29th in ppg offense and rank 15th in pace. Meanwhile, San Antonio is banged up and has scored an average of just over 108 ppg in their L/5 as they have slowed down their pace perspicaciously and focused alot more on on paying attention defensively in transition. Everything points to this being lower scoring than the lines-makers offered number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG are 70-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play under |
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03-04-23 | Connecticut v. Villanova +2.5 | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Villanova has won 6 of their L/7 overall while, UConn after a 14-0 start this season are just 9-6 L/15 overall. With their NCAA tourney appearance prob guaranteed there will be no urgency for them. On the flipside the Cats need a win here and prob a conference tourney championship to turn the trick . Also with revenge on board for a loss to the Huskies earlier this season, Im betting we see a never say die type of performance from Villanova here at home this Saturday . VILLANOVA is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS in road games after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Villanova has won 6 of the L/8 meetings and are 6-1-1 ATS , and have achieved victory in 9 of their their Last 10 Home finales. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VILLANOVA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, in March games are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Villanova to cover |
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03-04-23 | Blue Jackets v. Senators -260 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Ottawa defeated Columbus 4-0 the last time they played and once again matchup very well vs a Blue Jackets side in tank mode. Ottawa has won 4 straight games, and Im betting on a 5th straight victory. I know this is lots of lumber but risk reward ratio is strong based on the trend below. Look at this way- we are betting an allocated 2 game price for one game. Not a long term profitable method but in certain targeted circumstances its a viable method for short term profit procurement. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (OTTAWA) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 31-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Senators to win |
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03-04-23 | Avalanche -105 v. Stars | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a key game with a major impact on playoff positioning this afternoon as the Dallas Stars host the Colorado Avalanche. The defending champions Colorado Avs Im betting have the edge, in big games like this .Dallas had been struggling since posting consecutive shutouts in mid-January, going 2-3-5, but now it has won three of its last four and are fade material in this spot play. Stars are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Road team is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Avalanche are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas. Avalanche are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Avalanche |
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03-04-23 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -4.5 | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Huggins West Virginia team needs this game badly. It's their last home game of the season, and they are definitely on the NCAA tourney bubble. Add in revenge for a loss they suffered to Kansas State earlier this season, and you have one very motivated side. Huggins has also had time to prepare his team for this tilt. Note: HC Bob Huggins is 15-0 SU in last home Games in his carreer when playing with three or more days of rest, including 7-0 SU/ATS as the main man at West Virginia. CBB road team (KANSAS ST) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 27-61 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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03-04-23 | Georgia v. South Carolina +1.5 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Carolina to cover |
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03-04-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Islanders are in desperation mode as they fight for a wild card spot .After a 3 day rest Im betting the Isles will be primed for a big win vs a Detroit team they have dominated recently . Detroit is 0-6 L/6 visits to Long Island.Red Wings are 0-4 in their last 4 overall and are currently fade material as they are playing their 4th game in 6 days. Note:Red Wings are 15-39 in their last 54 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 ATS (in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2 . Play on NY Islanders to win -1.5 puckline |
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03-04-23 | South Alabama +1.5 v. Southern Miss | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. South Alabama blasted Southern Miss by a 85-54 score on Feb 16th. The matchup discrepancies were obvious and now even with adjustments and revenge on board, my projections still estimate South Alabama has the edge. SOUTHERN MISS is 1-8 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 234 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Memphis ranks 6th in ppg allowed this season, while Denver ranks 12th in ppg allowed along with a pace that ranks 19th in the league. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 230 giving us a 2 possession advantage to the under on this offering. Under is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. (Denver poured down 133 points in a win vs Houston last time out and now a regression from a offensive standpoint is expected) Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 13-3-1 in Grizzlies last 17 overall. MEMPHIS in 10 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 27-14 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 26-8 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 24-10 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined average of 228.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 39-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 49-10 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Clippers +6 v. Kings | 127-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played seven days ago, they took part in the second-highest scoring game in NBA history with the Kings pulling off a 176-175 victory. While I dont expect any where near that offensive production from these teams in the rematch I do expect it to be closely contested. Note: LA CLIPPERS in their L/28 games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons the ppg diff has clicked in at - 0.9 . Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Kings are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 9-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 42-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Clippers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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03-03-23 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 234 | 103-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Both the Jazz and Thunder have been short-handed since the All-Star break and its interrupted their offensive flow. Utah has seen all 3 game they have played since the all star game stay under the total, and Im betting this contest will also fall below the lines-makers projections. OKLAHOMA CITY in their L/13 home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season have seen a combined average of 224.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-03-23 | Jazz -1.5 v. Thunder | 103-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah according to my head to head power rankings matches up well vs their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder. Oklahoma City has suddenly gone down hill of tournament, and are on a current five-game losing streak and are fade material in their current form. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season . Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Thunder are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 11-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. UTAH is 8-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons including 4-0 SU at Oklahoma City . Play on Utah to cover |
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03-03-23 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -4.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In this season's first meeting, Western Michigan led for the vast majority of the game and held a double-digit advantage over CMU for much of the contest before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel as the Chippewas stormed back late and narrowly got by the Broncos, 70-69. Im betting Western Michigan will be wide awake here on Seniors night and will be prepared to take a conclusive win. The Broncos own a dominant 50-15 mark against Central Michigan in Kalamazoo, and have won back-to-back meetings at University Arena, including a 77-63 win on Feb. 12, 2022 Chippewas are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Western Michigan to cover |
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03-03-23 | Campbell v. Longwood OVER 131 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score closer to 136 which gives us plenty of value to cash an over ticket . CAMPBELL is 10-3 OVER in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. Aldrich is 22-12 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of LONGWOOD with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (LONGWOOD) - off a home loss against a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 150.2 ppg. Play over |
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03-03-23 | Indiana State -3 v. Belmont | 94-91 | Push | 0 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The fifth-seeded Indiana State Sycamores made history Thursday afternoon as they recorded the largest margin of victory ever in the history of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament with a 97-58 win over No. 12 Evansville in the first round of Arch Madness inside the Enterprise Center. Looks like they mean business and with momentum on their sides will be hard to stop. BELMONT is 1-8 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Sycamores are 10-0 ATS L/10 overall. Play on Indiana State to cover |
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03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb v. USC Upstate UNDER 135 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 118.7 ppg scored.GARDNER WEBB is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 114.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Pepperdine -1.5 v. Pacific | 71-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Favorites of less than 12 points in this Tourney have had alot of success in the past especially playing with revenge (cashed 13 of the L/14 times). Pepperdine has revenge on board for a loss they suffered earlier this season at Pacific. Romar is 20-7 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts as the coach of PEPPERDINE. Romar is 9-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick as the coach of PEPPERDINE. Pepperdine has cashed 9 of their L/11 tilts in this tournament. PACIFIC is 8-22 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997 Pepperdine to cover |
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03-02-23 | Arizona -1.5 v. USC | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona owned USC in the first meeting this season winning by 81-66 count and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Enfield is 3-15 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of USC. Play on. Arizona to cover |
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03-02-23 | Canadiens v. Kings -240 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Habs despite of playing well lately are pretty banged up and according to my power rankings do not matchup well here. Yes, we are laying some lumber here, but according to my projections this bet is highly probability to cash . Risk reward has been calculated. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games this season. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 30-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate. Play on LA Kings |
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03-02-23 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Both Calgary goalies are struggling- Flames Vladar owns a ugly .820 save percentage over his last five appearances while Markstrom is also exhibiting swiss cheese tendencies with a .846 SV% in his last five trips to the ice. The explosive Leafs offense is the type of team that can really rack up some goals against sides likes this in merciless fashion.TORONTO is 20-9 OVER against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Toronto lost last night, so Im betting they will be much more aggressive here tonight, in a bounce back situation.TORONTO is 6-0 OVER in road games off a road loss by 2 goals or more this season. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a OT loss last time out.CALGARY is 7-0 OVER after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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03-02-23 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 238.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with a boatload full of injures and that in itself is effecting their offensive flow. as is evident by averaging just over 107 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood and currently rank 28th in ppg offense in the NBA. The kind of hoops they are playing because of their short handed status must be framed as "survival mode" . So their pace has slowed down precipitously, as well as their aggressiveness in transition. Tonight against Indiana side that ranks just 21st in offensive efficiency, Im expecting a much slower and lower scoring game than the lines-makers expect . INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.2 ppg. scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDERafter playing a road game this season with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off a road win, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 80-42 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 68-30 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-23 | Michigan +4 v. Illinois | 87-91 | Push | 0 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Illinois Star Freshman Epps is expected to be out for tonights game after hitting the floor in practice. The events leading up to him suffering the concussion are unclear. He will be missed in a key game down the stretch. Advantage Michigan. ILLINOIS is 9-20 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. MICHIGAN is 34-21 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. Michigan is 6-1 SU L/7 overall. Michigan to cover |
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03-02-23 | Appalachian State v. South Alabama OVER 129 | 61-68 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Southern Indiana +2 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. These teams split the season series with both sides winning on the others home court. SIUE won the first game but two weeks later Southern Indiana had adjusted and have the momentum and game plan needed to turn the trick again. SIU EDWARDSVL is 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.SIU EDWARDSVL is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (S INDIANA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southern Indiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Southeastern Louisiana -3 v. Houston Christian | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SE Louisisana took the first meeting between these sides this season by a 71-59 count. Cottrell is 1-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON CHRISTIAN. HOUSTON CHRISTIAN is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SE LOUISIANA) - an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less are 97-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Southeastern Louisiana to cover |
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03-01-23 | Nets +7.5 v. Knicks | 118-142 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Big Apple rivalry Im projecting will be alot closer the linesmakers are estimating. The Knicks earned their sixth straight victory Monday when they rolled past the visiting Boston Celtics 109-94 but now Im betting the Knicks are in a letdown spot vs a Brooklyn franchise that has won 9 of the L/10 meetings in this series. Knicks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in March games are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nets to cover |
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03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Flyers have allowed an average of 5 gpg in their L/7 trips to the ice and Im betting the newly improved and well rested offense of the Rangers will be prepared to light the Flyers up again much like they did back in December of this season by a 6-3 count. On the flipside look for the Flyers to have to open up or being blown off the ice which will help the combined score eclipse this offered total. Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. ( Rangers beat the Kings 5-2 last time out)Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. Metropolitan. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 OVER in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER in March games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. Over is 5-2 in Flyers last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 10-4 in Flyers last 14 home games NHL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 22-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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03-01-23 | Auburn +10 v. Alabama | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Alabama played an exhausting back and forth game vs Arkansas last time out, and could easily find their energy levels depleted , especially with all the controversy surrounding the team of late. With that said, Im betting on Auburn being competitive tonight . Note: The Tigers are 10-2 ATS as a underdog of 10 points or more points in this series, including 8-0 ATS when the Tide are coming off a SU victory. I know Auburn was beaten up by Kentucky last time out, but it must also be noted that in their three previous games against Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Texas A&M on the road they lost by combined 8 points ( 2.66 ppg) . ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. ALABAMA is 1-11 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.ALABAMA is 0-10 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more over the last 2 seasonsALABAMA is 2-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. AUBURN is 22-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover |
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03-01-23 | Tulsa +14 v. South Florida | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Bulls grabbed its first win against Tulsa ever two weeks ago in convincing fashion, beating TU 96-69 . However, now with revenge on board and this being the Canes last game of the season, Im betting they come out here and leave everything on the court in revenge mode, and to try to salvage a little bit of self respect after a horrendous season and play above themselves. S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season. S FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 or more points (TULSA) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 consecutive home losses are 25-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. TULSA is 6-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. TULSA is 6-0 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997 in Florida. Tulsa to cover |
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02-28-23 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 236.5 | 105-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
These two sides are separated by one loss in the tight Western Conference standings and tonight as both jostle for play off positioning you can bet that a close physical game could easily be on the agenda. I know they played a wide open game last time they met in early Feb, but that was then and this is now and the situation has changed. GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.6 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with a combined combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-1-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 Tuesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers last 11 road games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND/ GOLDEN STATE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Tuesday nights are 47-18 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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02-28-23 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 236.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Spurs enter on. a-horrendous losing run and are now in full tank mode as they play with little or no ambition or energy , as is evident by only 108.6 ppg on average in their L/5 most recent games. Im betting they play survival hoops here tonight against a side that outguns them whihc Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 227.6 ppg scored. UTAH is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. UTAH is 32-17 UNDER (+13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 17-7-1 in Jazz last 25 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 home game. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 48-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days against opponent well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 66-27 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Aggies, who sit alone in second place in the Southeastern Conference, Im betting will continue their winning ways when they face a sub prime Ole Miss side on the road. The national leaders in free throws made and attempted, Texas A&M averages 1.5 more FTM/G than any other team in Div. I college basketball. Thats important when looking for a road cover .OLE MISS is 1-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.OLE MISS is 3-11 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-13 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS A&M is 15-7 ATS as a favorite this season and is 33-18 ATS L/51 as a road favorite or pick . Texas A&M to cover |
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02-28-23 | Pacers v. Mavs UNDER 237 | 124-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 231 which gives us a full three possession edge to the under. Dallas is ranked 29th in pace in the league and 12th in ppg allowed and 18th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Pacers rank 21st in offensive efficiency . DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average 212.5 ppg scored. Kidd is 32-18 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 218.9 ppg scored. INDIANA is 19-9 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - in non-conference games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 43-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA t where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-23 | Buffalo -1 v. Northern Illinois | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Off playing Toledo last time out in a DD loss, this will seem like a walk in the park for Buffalo.Buffalo won the first meeting on Saturday, Jan. 7 by a score of 80-62 and a rinse and repeat situation is not out of the question according to my head to head matchup stats. In his career Head Coach Jim Whitesell is 7-1 against the Huskies.Whitesell is 8-0 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of BUFFALO. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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02-27-23 | Blackhawks +120 v. Ducks | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks arrive in Anaheim, Calif., riding a season-best, five-game winning streak and are the better of these two bottom feeders. I know the Ducks have just won 2 straight road games, but are just 9-16-1 in their own building and have lost three consecutive games as hosts. Advantage Chicago. Blackhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.Blackhawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. CHICAGO is 5-2 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. Blackhawks are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Blackhawks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Anaheim. Play on Chicago to win |
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02-27-23 | West Virginia +4.5 v. Iowa State | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Mountaineers own five Quad 1 wins and a 12-1 record against Quad two, three and four opponents and deserve respect here in this line vs Iowa State in a game I have pegged to be very competitive. CBB team (IOWA ST) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 55 points or less are 42-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-27-23 | Bruins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Edmonton on most nights especially at home play a one way style of hockey, that features probably the most explosive offense in the league led by super star McDavid. Unfortunately for them their weakest links come on defense and in goal and teams like the Bruins will make them pay dearly for their Swiss cheese D and poor transitional play . Because of the above scenario Im betting this game ends up being one that eclipses this total. EDMONTON is 20-8 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg . EDMONTON is 11-1 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (BOSTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 76-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (EDMONTON) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 52-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 223 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knicks offense is hitting on all cylinders of late and their D, is also standing tall. The Celtics who rank 20th in pace and 7th in ppg allowed are well aware of the Knicks current form, and will be primed to buckle down in transition, which Im betting limits the Knicks offensive prowess. Meanwhile, the Knicks who rank 28th in pace in the league and 9th in ppg allowed will also be formidable defenders in a game that Im betting will be physical /grinding and lower scoring. BOSTON is 11-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 218.7 ppg scored. BOSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off an road win scoring 110 or more points are 53-24 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more 3 straight games are 81-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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