Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-07-19 | San Diego -1 v. Loyola Marymount | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
The lines makers have made the Toreros short road favs here, and those assessments are correct according to my power rankings. San Diego beat Loyola Marymount 71-58 at home earlier this season in conference play, and matchup well vs the Lions. I know the Lions have been potent at home this season, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate, but San Diego has won the last two meetings here at the Gersten Pavilion and are a viable side. It must be noted that San Diego are a well conditioned team that gets stronger as games progress. The Toreros have outscored opponents 932-824 during the second half this season, while shooting 51 percent from the field and 41 percent from 3-point range. SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 24-11 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Diego to cover |
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02-07-19 | Portland State +8.5 v. Northern Colorado | 62-80 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Portland State comes off a narrow loss at Idaho State on Saturday, 69-67. The Vikings had won three straight prior to that, including a win at Weber State last Thursday as they continue to play solid competitive basketball, making them viable road underdogs here in this spot vs Northern Colorado. I know NCU has done well of late and the lines makers respect them, but now their getting a little bit to much respect vs a hardworking opponent . N COLORADO is 4-17 ATS L/21 after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite . Play on Portland State to cover |
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02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona -1 | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Wildcats are in desperation mode after having list 4 of their L/5 overall. Biut tonight according to my power rankings have system they matchup well against and have an edge at where they have won four straight home games against Washington and nine of the past 10 hosting the Huskies. The Wildcats are 95-5 at home in their last 100 home games, which dates back to the 2012-13 season. Arizona's 92-5 mark at home since the start of the 2013-14 season is tops nationally. Im betting the Wildcats ability to limit mistakes will be key to taking down the visitors tonight.The Wildcats are averaging 11.3 turnovers per game, which is the fewest of any team in the Pac-12. and overall has a turnover margin of +3.8, which leads the Pac-12, and is 15th-best in the country. CBB team (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 59-19 ATS L5seasons for a 77%conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to cover |
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02-07-19 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Grand Canyon UNDER 136 | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
GCU (14-7, 7-1 WAC) enters the game against UTRGV (12-12, 4-4 WAC) on its best roll of the season. The Lopes have won five games in a row, posted four consecutive double-digit victories and return to an arena where they have a 16-game regular-season home winning streak.GCU is 7-1 in WAC play because of its defense, ranking first in the conference for points allowed per game (60.9) and opponent field goal percentage (40.8) to easily have the top scoring margin (plus-14.9) after playing each team once.I expect they will once again play lock down defence, which will effect the total score to the down side here this evening in a game that I have projected to stay under the set total. Grand Canyon /UT Rio Grande Valley UNDER |
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02-07-19 | Arkansas State +5 v. South Alabama | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Red Wolves have played four overtime games this season, and despite of a negative record are almost always competitive. There is sharp money all over Arkansas State and Im not blaming my colleagues one bit for taking the points here in a game that have handicapped at closer to 3 points , thus we are getting the value of a one possession game according to my projections. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Raptors are off a big win vs the Philadelphia 76ers last time out in a start to finish victory. That impressive outing, also came at a price as this team exerted alot of energy and will now be emotionally drained, even with a couple days rest, against a young Atlanta team that loves to run and gun.The Hawks are an up trending team that must not be discounted, having gone 12-12 since Dec. 18. and have won two in a row. Note:The Raptors are 1-13 ATS L/14 with rest off a road game.The Raptors are 3-17 ATS with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers which happened vs the Sixers. The Hawks are 6-0 ATS /5-1 SU with rest off a win in which their turnovers decreased by at least 10 from the game before. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-07-19 | Clippers v. Pacers -5.5 | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Clippers will be without leading scorer Tobias Harris, key chemistry cog Boban Marjanovic and their top bench player Mike Scott after all three were traded to the Philadelphia 76ers in a deal that was made official Wednesday. Considering their new lineup, Im betting the Clippers will have their hands full with a Pacers team off a 42 point diff beatdown of the LA Lakers last time out and suddenly on a 3 game win streak, after initially looking downtrodden, when their leading scorer Victor Oladipo (knee) was lost for the season. Now feeling confident I expect the Pacers with momentum to come out here and lay down another beatdown on a LA team. I also know that the Clippers are supposed to have Gallinari back in the lineup tonight, but after a long lay off he is rusty, and far from being the kind of player that can carry a team on his back. With that said , its Pacers all the way here. The Clippers are 1-20-2 ATS on the road with rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 104-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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02-07-19 | Wolves v. Magic UNDER 217 | 112-122 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this game banged up with Jeff Teague downgraded to doubtful Thursday vs Orlando ( Foot ) [PG] 02/05/2019 - Derrick Rose is "?" Thursday vs Orlando ( Ankle ) [PG] 01/16/2019 - Tyus Jones is out indefinitely ( Ankle ) [SF] 01/03/2019 - Robert Covington is out indefinitely ( Ankle ). Needless to say Im projecting that the Wolves will hav problems scoring tonight, and will be out to play a more conservative survival type of game plan.Orlando is 8th in ppg allowed in the league behind the 25th ranked pace 27th ranked offensive output and have the ability to slow the Wolves down, and limit their scoring output , especially with Teague out. Orlando is also off a run and gun affair last time out vs Oklahoma City (122-132) , on the road and are now on tired legs, as the all star breaks nears and the trade deadline rumours surrounding the team keep them off balance and Im betting directly effects their overall energy levels tonight. Under is 6-1 in Magic last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 36-17 in Magic last 53 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 36-17 in Magic last 53 games following a straight up loss. The Magic are 0-17-1 UNDER with rest off a 10+ loss as a road dog in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 182.7 ppg scored with no game eclipsing this offered totals number. Play UNDER |
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02-07-19 | Houston v. UCF +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars have been on a tear this season but tonight against a revenge minded UCF team Im betting they're in trouble. Last season, UCF had their proverbial butts kicked by a 84-56, count in the first round of last year’s AAC tourney by the Cougars and UCF has had this game circled their calendar for a while now. Add to that Houston is off a game with Temple last time out and are in a natural letdown situation and also are in a precarious look ahead situation with Cincinnati on deck.With UCF almost always playing their best hoops at home as is evident by a 36-8 SU record as hosts under HC Dawkins), the Knights look like solid underdogs in this spot. UCF is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Play on UCF to cover |
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02-07-19 | Monmouth v. St. Peter's UNDER 125 | 53-51 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
When these teams met earlier this season they took part in a very low scoring defensive affair, with a combined 105 points going on the board. Behind the rim protection of Samuel Idowu, KC Ndefo, and Derrick Woods, Saint Peter's leads the MAAC in blocked shots, rejecting 4.6 shots per game and play a defence first style of basketball that is slow in transition. Through the first five MAAC games, Saint Peter's did not allow an opponent to score more than 63 points in a game (Siena – 60, Monmouth – 61, Fairfield – 60, Marist – 63, Manhattan – 58) and more of th same action is on board for tonight vs a Monmouth side that averages just 63.3 ppg in offence on the road. DEFENCE, DEFENCE, and more DEFENCE is my call here and a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. MONMOUTH is 7-1 UNDER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.ST PETERS is 6-0 UNDER off 3 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons with. combined average of115 ppg scored.
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02-07-19 | Campbell v. High Point -1.5 | 56-57 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
High Point has won seven of the last eight matchups in this series vs Campbell and get the nod again behind a hard core rebound group that leads the Big South Conference and is 12th in the nation with a rebounding margin of +7.8 rebounds per game. This tenacious High point squad have held a rebounding edge in 17 of their last 18 contests. There in close and physical inside style of play has seen the Panthers score 60.0 percent of their points from 2-point FG, the second-highest ratio in the nation. Im betting Tubby Smiths gritty take no prisoners style of hoops will put them in a positive situation here on their own home floor vs Campbell. Play on High Point to cover |
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02-06-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Kings | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston looks like a viable short favorite here vs a Sacramento Kings team that they matchup well against according to my system vs system analysis charts. Houston has won 3 of their L/4 visits here and gets the nod again. HOUSTON is 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after a win in which they never trailed which was the case in Phoenix last time out.The Kings are 2-16 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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02-06-19 | Suns v. Jazz -15 | 88-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Its not very often lay this much lumber with an NBA game, but the truth is Phoenix is just a bad team, and their banged up and short handed as their best player Devon Booker will be out the the lineup tonight as is forward Dragan Bender (thumb) is day-to-day, while forward T.J. Warren (ankle) is out until the All-Star break. After being humiliated by Houston in a 125-98 loss on Saturday you can bet the Jazz on extended rest will be ready to run here tonight and what Im betting will be an easy win and cover. PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg differential clicking in at around 15 ppg. The Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU as a 8+ favorite off a home game after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected with all the wins coming by 15 points or more. Play on Utah to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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02-06-19 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 218 | 88-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Im projecting that the banged up and short handed Suns will have problems putting points on the road here tonight against a well rested Jazz team. Im betting this disheartened Suns team will play closer attention to defense and just try to get out of here without being to embarrassed by the final score. That will result in a total combined score that stays on the low side of the number. UTAH has gone UNDER in 19 of their L/24 off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with he combined average score clicking in at 192.7 ppg. The Suns are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a road 8+ dog off a loss as a home dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. The Suns have only twice score more than 100 points in those 9 games with the average combined output clicking in at 94.6 ppg. The Jazz are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home with rest off a home game when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score of 183 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 33-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-06-19 | Wisconsin -2 v. Minnesota | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Wisconsin has revenge on board for a loss thye suffered to Minnesota about a month ago at home, and will now be hell bent on getting even here. Minnesotas HC Richard Pitino has seen his team go just 1-7 /0-8 ATS L/8 in conference situation vs a avenging side like the Badgers. With that said, Im betting on a Badgers team that is 4-1 SU in conference road games this season to deliver the cash for us tonight. Wisconsin to cover |
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02-06-19 | Hornets v. Mavs -5.5 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Dallas on 4 days rest behind their revamped line-up that will feature new additions, Trey Burke, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee from the New York Knicks (trade) will Im betting will be ready to roll in a big way here tonight vs a Charlotte team on tired legs after playing last night. The Hornets are 0-7 ATS /SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 . NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-111 for a 61% conversion rate over the L/22 seasons. The Mavericks are 15-0-1 ATS L/15 at home off a road game after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened 4 days ago in their Last outing vs Cleveland. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-06-19 | Bruins -145 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
The Rangers beat the Bruins the last time these teams played Jan 19, and now the Bruins have payback on their minds. The Bruins did play last night, and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights but their fairly fresh over all since the all star break and should be good to go here tonight vs a struggling Rangers team in the midst of a rebuilding year. Note: Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BOSTON) - playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 60-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 120-49. L/5 seasons and 15-3 this season. Play on the Boston Bruins to win |
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02-06-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Nets | 130-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams enter this game a little banged up, and are looking forward to the all star break. Both teams have looked good this season, but Denver according to my power rankings is the superior side. It must be noted that his Brooklyn team is suddenly in a funk and on a 3 game losing streak and are pooched and in an emotional letdown spot after tangling with Milwaukee last time out, which makes them susceptible to being possibly upset here right in their own backyard. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the Nuggets. The Nets are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field and it is before the All-Star break and are 1-18-1 ATS / 1-19 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog in which they shot under 40% from the field. The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter which was the case in a defeat vs Detroit last time out on the road.The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - sub par defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 99-147 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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02-06-19 | Texas A&M +9 v. Ole Miss | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Ole Miss after a quick start to their campaign are coming back down to earth and have lost 4 straight games, and 5 of their L/6 and are wobbly favs at this time. I know Texas A&M do not inspire bettors in their current form, but its not like their incapable of pulling off upsets as was the case vs Alabama and Kansas State already this season . Also after playing against Tennessee last time out this will seem like a proverbial walk in the park for the Aggies. note: A&M owns a 6-2 lead in the all-time series between the schools and has won each of the last three meetings. TEXAS A&M is 10-2 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
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02-05-19 | San Diego State -1.5 v. New Mexico | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Aztecs are on a three game win streak and have been victorious in four of their last five tilts (lone loss was a four-point defeat at Fresno State).Since Jan. 15 (includes SDSU's last five games), the Aztecs own a scoring margin of +11.8 which is tied for 24th nationally. My power rankings show them in upward trajectory, while the opposite is true for their hosts New Mexico a team that has lost 6 of their L/7 overall. I know its never easy playing here at the Pit, vs the Lobos, but it must be noted that San Diego State has handed New Mexico seven of its last 42 losses here since the 2006 season. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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02-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers -2.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
These are two talented teams Toronto and Philadelphia , but Im betting the home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. Add to that Raptors star Lowry is less than 100% and questionable and we have enough edge here vs some short chalk to consider this a value call. Note the home team has won the L/5 meetings in this series. PHILADELPHIA is 21-9 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons. The Seventysixers are 21-1 ATS /SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and won 12 Straight SU all by more than the spread here being asked.The Raptors are 4-18 ATS and 2-19 SU as a road dog with rest off a win facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, in February games are 172-110 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-05-19 | NC State +11 v. North Carolina | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
NC State is off a dismal performance last time out , shooting at a just a 16.7 % clip and converting of just 9 of 54 shots losing a choppy 43-27 affair vs Virginia Tech as chalk. That ugly effort came after they had taken power house Virginia to OT in their previous game. The Wolfpack left everything on the floor in that tilt vs the Cavs, and still lost and were in an emotional letdown sandwich spot vs the Hokies in the followup knowing this game vs their instate rivals North Carolina was on deck. Now rejuvenated and ready to get back to work, Im betting on NC State being a viable underdog in this spot. Note NC State HC Keatts is 9-0 ATS L/9 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse . ( NC State is 15-2 this season when it shoots 30% or better from beyond the arc and 1-4 when it shoots under 30% from down town.) UNC won the earlier meeting this season between the two programs at PNC Arena, 90-82. - NC State won last season at Chapel Hill, defeating the Tar Heels 95-91 in overtime NC STATE is 30-15 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (NC STATE) - off an upset loss by 15 or more as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 42-12 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind and if we tighten those perimeters and base it on Tuesday nights games the under has cashed 24 of 28 times for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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02-05-19 | Valparaiso v. Illinois State UNDER 132 | 69-53 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Both these teams play defence first basketball systems and both do a minimal amount of damage offensively. Valpo won the most recent meeting 58-56 win at the ARC for Valpo on January 2 and Im betting on another low scoring hard fought affair here in the rematch. VALPARAISO is 9-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 126 ppg scored.ILLINOIS ST is 16-5 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-05-19 | Blues v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
St. Louis is expected to start backup goalie Jordan Binnington against the Panthers tonight. Binnington, who was St. Louis' third-round pick in 2011, has won two games in a row, stopping 30 of 33 shots during that span.For the season, he has been remarkable, posting a 6-1-1 record with a .922 save percentage and a 1.86 goals-against average. Meanwhile,The Panthers, are expected to start their backup goalie, James Reimer, who is coming off a 3-1 win over the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday. Reimer had 34 saves against Vegas."We had some huge saves from Reimer when we needed to keep the score tied," Panthers forward Mike Hoffman said.Reimer is 10-8-5 this season with a 3.06 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage. With both these goalies in top form look for these teams to fail to eclipse the number. ST LOUIS is 9-2 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored. ST LOUIS is 5-0 UNDER in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored and is 9-1 UNDER in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg going on the board. FLORIDA has gone over only 1 time in their L/7 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow 2.9 or more goals/G) are 110-63 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-05-19 | Pittsburgh -2 v. Wake Forest | 76-78 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 5 game losing streaks, but Pittsburgh according to my power rankings is the superior team here and deserves respect as short chalk. I know the Panthers have dropped 19 consecutive road contests, including their past 16 ACC road games, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here tonight in Winston-Salem. Pittsburgh key advantage will come via their D, as Pitt ranks fifth in the ACC and tied for 20th nationally in field goal percentage defense (.397).The Panthers have held nine opponents below 40 % shooting from the field and here vs a Wake Forest side that has a 39.9% FG conversion rate , the Panthers have a hefty edge on a short line. WAKE FOREST is 7-21 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons and 7-21 ATS as a conference underdog. PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games. WAKE FOREST is 4-15 ATS versus teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%), on Tuesday nights are 44-19 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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02-05-19 | Miami-OH v. Kent State -3.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Kent State is off an impressive never say die 83-80 overtime victory last time out against a desperate Ball State team. The win gave Kent State its second overtime win in its last three games and improved the squad to 7-0 in games decided by five points or fewer. The Flashes have shown their tenaciousness and ability to win in close games, and get the nod again in a tilt vs MIAMI OHIO in a matchup the linesmakers once again expect to be close. KENT ST is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kent State to cover |
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02-04-19 | Spurs -1.5 v. Kings | 112-127 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Sacramento is on a 7 game home winning streak, but all good and bad runs must come to end. Tonight Im betting the Kings winning streak comes to an abrupt end vs a Spurs team in top form and off a win Saturday night that has them entering this tilt with the momentum of a five-game winning streak. San Antonio has thrived in the recent past against teams like the Kings. SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season and is 20-9 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Add that the Spurs will be very motivated here as they seek revenge for a loss here back in December. SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season and is is 16-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. The Kings are 2-19 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.The Kings are also 3-19 ATS /1-21 SU as a home dog off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. The Spurs are 16-1 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a home game in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Home underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 11-37 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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02-04-19 | Southern Utah v. Idaho +4 | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Idaho (4-16, 1-8 BSC) is 11-9 all-time against Southern Utah (9-10, 4-6 BSC). Last season, Idaho won both regular season matchups but fell in the Big Sky Tournament. Tonight in revenge mode against a Southern Utah team on a 3 game losing streak, and playing without senior Dwayne Morgan ( 13 ppg) the struggling and desperate Vandals, will be primed to pull off the upset. Note: Something about the cold month of February as the Vandals have been on a big run in Big Sky play in the month of February since rejoining the conference. In the last four seasons, Idaho has recorded a Big Sky record of 21-9 in February conference games, compared to a 26-25 record outside of February. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IDAHO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses of 5 points or less are 41-16 ATSL/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-04-19 | Pacers v. Pelicans +2 | 109-107 | Push | 0 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Indiana and New Orleans two teams playing without key players go head to head tonight in the Bayou. Indiana is without Victor Oladipo and New Orleans without the often injured Anthony Davis who is asking to be traded. Both are struggling to an extent without those key cogs, but Im betting the Pelicans have the edge here tonight at home as I really like how this team has played without Davis, staying competitive vs Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in the last two games and losing by an average of just 5.5 points.Pacers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Pelicans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. New Orleans took both meetings last season and one more winner Im betting is on tonights agenda. The Pacers are 1-18 ATS/SU L/19 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes which happened vs Miami last time out. The Pacers are 0-13 ATS /SU L/13 on the road with less than two days rest off a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Favorites (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog are 68-117 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors.( Indiana upset Miami last time out in Florida) NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-04-19 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 233 | 137-129 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a division game and Im expecting some physical action here , which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are estimating. My own line projects a combined score of closer to 229 which gives us close to a two possession under situation. These teams have a recent history of playing fairly low scoring games with 7 of the L/8 staying under the total with the last game here in Washington back in early January ending with 212 combined points going on the board. ATLANTA is 26-9 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 207.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-04-19 | Louisville +4 v. Virginia Tech | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Louisville is off a loss last time out, but will be primed for a bounce back here this week against a Virginia Tech program that the Cardinals have dominated over the years. Note: The University of Louisville is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, VTech is off a bizarre game last time out that they won by a 47-24 count vs NC State. They played choppy physical ball in that game, and could easily feel the effects of that tilt here vs a Louisville side that has won 3 of their 4 ACC road games, vs N.Carolina, Gtech, and Wake Forest and lost by just 3 points to Pittsburgh . With that said, my power rankings suggest that the Cardinal matchup very well vs the Techsters and get my backing in this spot. LOUISVILLE is 19-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | 13-3 | Loss | -115 | 157 h 39 m | Show | |
Yes, QB Tom Brady maybe the greatest NFL QB of our generation, and maybe of all time and his HC Bellichck one of the top coaching minds in all of football. But Im still going to pull the trigger on the unthinkable, and go with the Rams here this week at a +FG. Yes, even despite of watching Tom Terrific put on another dramatic show stopper a couple of weeks ago in the championship game to get the Pats to yet another Super Bowl. I also know how fortunate the Rams are to be here thanks in part to a blown call. However, I still feel that Brady and his side kick Gronkowski have slowed down enough to not be as intimidating as they once were, and that the Pats D, is very beatable, as was the case in last seasons Super Bowl vs Philadelphia. Plus the Rams greater body of work this season, was actually superior to that of the Pats, and many at the start of this season including myself saw this LA team as a big time Super Bowl contender and deserving champs behind a deep talented team on both sides of the ball. So here we are and Im not going to waver here in my opinion, and will take a direct stance taking points with the underdog this Super Bowl Sunday in a neutral field environment. Hey its never easy going against the tide of early money, but it must be noted that the underdog has covered 9 of the L/11 Super Bowls and won 8 of those straight up. Im looking for recent history to repeat itself here as I go against the early money. The Rams are 8-0 against AFC opponents since head coach Sean McVay took over the team in 2017. The Patriots have averaged just 23.3 points per game on the road this season, which was more than 10 points lower (33.8 PPG) than what they averaged at Foxboro. They had the second worst home/away scoring difference this season, only ranking behind the Oakland Raiders . Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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02-03-19 | Thunder v. Celtics UNDER 227 | 129-134 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Two of the top teams in the NBA go head to head here this afternoon in Boston as the Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder. Both teams can put points up on the board in bunches when need be, but today in a game that could easily played like a post season affair, Im expecting both these heavyweights to be a little more cautious and to be fairly physical. This type of abattle could easily see this combined score stay on the low side of the total /It must be noted that the Celtics own the 3rd best points per game allowed in the NBA, and are ranked just 13th in offensive production behind the 20th ranked pace. Meanwhile Oklahoma City owns the 3rd best defensive efficiency despite of playing at a fast temp behind top tier guard play. As far as the guard play is concerned the Celtics are one of the few teams in the league that can slow Westbrook and company which will also effect this combined score to the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg going on the board and is 10-2 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217.7 ppg going on the board.BOSTON in 18 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season have seen a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 44-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 24-6 L/5 seasons for a80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-03-19 | Flames -108 v. Hurricanes | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Flames, currently the top team in the Western Conference, had their nine-game point streak (8-0-1) abruptly end when it lost a 4-3 decision to reigning Stanley Cup-champion Washington on Friday and will be primed for a bounce back effort today in Carolina! Flames G David Rittich improved to 7-0-1 in his last eight starts after turning aside 33-of-35 shots versus Carolina on Jan. 22 and get the nod here in this spot. Note: CALGARY is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Flames are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. CALGARY is 20-8 ATS against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances this season. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CALGARY) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) in the 2nd half of the season are 45-14 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary to win on the moneyline |
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02-03-19 | New Hampshire +9.5 v. Maine | 53-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Bot these teams are well below .500 and struggling overall, but tau I expect a fairly close game between two long time rivals. Maine's 69-68 win last January (2018) at Cross Insurance Center ended the Wildcats' six-game win streak vs. the Black Bears; New Hampshire won the most recent matchup and are now being hefty underdogs here in a game that I have pegged at closer -6 for the home side, thus giving us value on this line with the road underdog.UNH enters the weekend ranked second in the conference with 8.8 3-pointers made per game and take care of the ball well as they commit the second fewest turnovers per game (12.2) and Im betting these two attributes will serve them well here today in what Im betting with be a cover. Play on New Hampshire to cover |
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02-03-19 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 155 | 65-77 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The last three meetings in this series, has seen Villanova eclipse the 80 point plateau in point production , and they scored 97 and 88 points in the two most recent meetings vs Gtown. Currently Villanova has scored 80 points for more in 5 straight while Georgetown has scored 83.2 ppg on a average this season, and has allowed 78.1 ppg in a uptempo take no prisoners style of play. The Hoyas have eclipsed the 80 point plateau in 9 of their L/11 and have a couple 100+ outputs. The Wildcats have dropped in 32 from beyond the arc in their last two games and their hitting on all cylinders and will come at Georgetown on all cylinders here, and Gtown will have no choice but to reciprocate with some fireworks of their own or be blown off the court in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. VILLANOVA is 11-1 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. GEORGETOWN is 6-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 163 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (VILLANOVA) - a top-level team (80% or better) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 93-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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02-02-19 | 76ers -3 v. Kings | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The lines-makers have valued this line based on a Philadelphia 76ers win vs Golden State last time as road dogs vs a Sacramento team on a 5 game home winning streak. The public and lines makers are expecting a letdown situation, but Im betting this 76ers team has matured enough to be ready to play tonight and could be even more energized by that win and bring some real swagger into this game. The Kings are 0-17 ATS /SU as a dog with more than one day of rest after a win in which they trailed by double digits. PHILADELPHIA is 33-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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02-02-19 | Alabama v. Auburn -9.5 | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This game has been circled Auburn’s HC Bruce Pearl. calendar for a while, as Alabama smashed the Tigers last years in the SEC tournament by DDs. Pearl was steaming after that game and will come out here ready to get revenge. Meanwhile, Auburn has been money bank at home in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings and cashing 18 of their L/22 meetings including 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 or more points if they own .667 or better record. Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-02-19 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +12 | 93-76 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and their is no arguing which is the superior side, but where I see a weakness is by how much the Volunteers are being favoured. According to my projections Tennessee should be closer to 8.5 point road chalk, and at 12 points we have some very good value with the home underdog. With that said, Ill take the points here and take a contrarian stance . Kennedy is 21-10 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of TEXAS A&M. TEXAS A&M is 26-11 ATS in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game. Texas A&M to cover |
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02-02-19 | Mavs v. Cavs OVER 209.5 | 111-98 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Dallas played a low scoring sleeper vs Detroit last time out losing 93-89 and now with a couple odf days rest will primed to rev things up again behind the hot hand of super euro rookie Luka Doncic .That last game saw the Cavs dealing with trade departures to NYK, but now re-engerized knowing they will have guards Tim Hardaway Jr. ( 19.1 ppg), Courtney Lee and Trey Burke (20 ppg) in the lineup I look for a big time effort in this spot vs a Cleveland team off two straight wins and playing with new confidence. DALLAS in 40 games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season have seen a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DALLAS) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 33-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-02-19 | Pacers v. Heat UNDER 205 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Miami enters this game 4th in points per game allowed and 25th in pace and have not scored more than 99 points in 7 of their L/14 games, with 10 of those games staying under the total. The Heat ranked 26h in ppg offensive production . Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game ranked 23rd in pace and 2nd in ppg allowed in the league also struggling to score of late, ranking 22nd in scoring in a clash that has the makings of physical low scoring affair. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team ARE 43-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 67-37 UNDER L/5 season for a 65% conversion rate on the blind. Play UNDER |
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02-02-19 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 158.5 | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Sometimes when handicapping games we put to much into the current form of both defences and offences, rather than certain matchup situations, such as system vs system analysis and the need by individual teams to be more offensively or defensively aggressive. This matchup features a Central Michigan team the that struggles at both ends of the court, vs a home team that lies to run and gun. these two alternative systems, have proven in the past to be good under wager opportunities using certain criteria. Note: CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - a very good team (+8 or more PPG differential) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG differential), after a win by 6 points or less are 28-3 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.( Central Michigan is off a hard fought 86-82 win vs E.Michigan last time out, and will be in an a natural letdown situation vs a side that I sure their not inspired by which Im betting results in a tilt with a lot less offensive fireworks the some might expect). W MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 138.2 ppg scored. Hawkins is 10-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-02-19 | UNLV +12 v. Utah State | 65-82 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
The public loves the home team ( Utah State) and Im going directly against the vast majority of the ticket holders here and taking a sharp money stance with the under appreciated road dog. UTAH ST is 15-28 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 season. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (UNLV) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a loss by 15 points or more are 39-16 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on UNLV to cover |
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02-02-19 | Kentucky v. Florida +4 | 65-54 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting the season 1-3 in SEC play, the Gators have won three straight conference games. They beat Georgia 62-52, Texas A&M and then Ole Miss. The Gators have won two straight and four of the last six against Kentucky in Gainesville. Florida won last year’s game 80-67 after spanking the Cats 88-66 in 2017. UK has a history of less than stellar performances here, andIm betting the Gators will make life difficult for them here again. In his fourth season at Florida, HC White is 3-3 against John Calipari and the Cats and knows how to play vs Caliparis system. With that said, take the points. FLORIDA is 27-11 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots after 15+ games.FLORIDA is 79-52 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.Calipari is 39-56 ATS in road games as the coach of KENTUCKY. Play on Florida to cover |
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02-02-19 | Akron +1.5 v. Ohio | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
If the University of Akron basketball team is to be in a position to make a run for an appearance in March Madness, the Zips will have to start by winning on the road and now today will come here primed to get such a win. The Zips are ranked 18th in the NCAA for scoring defense only allowing 62.8 points per game and Im betting that will be the difference maker here in this MAC event. Note:The Zips have won 10 of the last 15 meetings in this series and will be in a double revenge mode and ready to snap a two game losing streak vs Ohio. OHIO U is 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and OHIO U is also 0-7 ATS L/7 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season and 3-10 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. HC Phillips of Ohio is 2-12 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5 in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB team (AKRON) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games in are 56-17 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
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02-02-19 | Miami-FL v. Virginia UNDER 128.5 | 46-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
These teams systems will make for a game that Im betting sees this combined score stay on the low side of the Total. I also expect Virginia after allowing 16 steals vs nC State last time out in OT win to get back to basics and what makes them great ( DEFENCE). HC Bennet was not happy with their performance and with North Carolina and Duke on board in the next 10 days this will be a perfect time to practice some shut down D. Miami has problems scoring, and today that situation will be exacerbated . Meanwhile,Miami will Im betting be ultra conservative here in an effort to be competitive which will also contribute to what Im betting will be a successful under wager in this spot. VIRGINIA is 17-4 UNDER off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 117.7 ppg scored.( Virginia beat NC State in OT last time out) CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 131-75 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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02-02-19 | Notre Dame +2 v. Boston College | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Notre Dame has won 5 straight meetings in this series including the L/2 here at Boston College and have the edge again according to my power rankings. BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a home game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-19 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (NOTRE DAME) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Notre Dame to cover |
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02-02-19 | Boston University +9.5 v. Colgate | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Looking to carry momentum from Wednesday's 14-point win against in-state rival Holy Cross I look for Boston University to come in here spitting bullets. I know their hosts the Raiders are riding a 12-game home win streak dating back to last season and are a perfect 8-0 this year but thanks to their positive trajectory the lines makers have over value them in this matchup giving us value with the road dog. I knowColgate claimed a 77-56 win at Case Gym back on Jan. 19 vs Boston U, but the Raiders only led, 47-43, at 13:47 in the second half and looked flustered at times. Play on Boston University to cover |
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02-02-19 | Kent State v. Ball State -4 | 83-80 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cardinals entered league play 9-4, and opened with a 15-point victory at Toledo. Since then they’ve dropped five of six, with four of those losses coming by six points or less and are now absolutely desperate for a win. Ball State is a team with multiple weapons, great size, great athleticism. They’re a few plays away from having their (MAC) record flipped and Im betting must be respected here in desperation mode. Senderoff is 36-51 ATS after playing a game as an underdog as the coach of KENT ST. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENT ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ball State to cover |
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02-01-19 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 133 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The Badgers have won three straight games thanks to playing some top tier D, and on the season are yielding just 61.5 points per game . Note:WISCONSIN is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of 129 ppg going on the board. Im betting more hardcore conservative defensive action will be on the Badgers agenda again tonight against a dangerous Maryland side, that is off allowing just 52 points in a win vs Northwestern last time out. Maryland took a 64-60 win when these teams met earlier this season, and Im betting on more of the same type of action here and a total combined score that will resemble the last altercation between these Big 10 sides. WISCONSIN is 8-2 UNDER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 126.4 ppg scored. WISCONSIN is 26-5 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1997. WISCONSIN is 10-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 124.1 ppg scored.WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 125.8 ppg scored. MARYLAND is 10-2 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.3 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARYLAND) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival. are 81-41 UNDER L/22 seasons for a67% conversion rate for bettors. Wisconsin/Maryland UNDER |
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02-01-19 | Hawks v. Jazz UNDER 226 | 112-128 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Both these teams enter this game knowing that they have to play again tomorrow. Thus I expect both will be out to make sure they don't take part in a run and gun hoops affair. This is Atlantas usually an all out take not prisoners team will now play theur fifth straight road game so their running on empty anyway. Meanwhile, Utah is one of the NBAs top defensive teams, that is off a a rare nasty Defensive performance last time out allowing 132 points to Portland in a DD loss, so they will want to settle things down in a hurry and get their defensive posture back in gear.This is the perfect type of team to get their mojo back against. The L/2 games these teams played last year resulted in low scoring affairs, (with 192 and 194 combined pointed scored an another lower scoring game Im betting will be on tonights agenda. The L/4 meetings here in Salt Lake City have gone under. Note: Under is 12-3 in Jazz last 15 home games.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.UTAH is 13-3 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with he average combined score of those games clicking in at 199.1 ppg. Atlanta took park in a high scoring affair last time out, in a 113-135 loss to Sacramento, in their /15 games in road games after a combined score of 245 points or more they have seen a their combined scores substantially curtailed as is evident by a 213 point combined output average. Play UNDER |
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02-01-19 | Thunder v. Heat UNDER 220 | 118-102 | Push | 0 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
It's interesting to note that despite of how fast paced the Oklahoma City Thunder have played this season ( 4th in pace), they are a team that ranks 3rd overall in defensive efficiency, and must not be underestimated in their stopping abilities. Meanwhile, Miami is ranked 6th in defensive efficiency in the NBA, behind the 25th ranked pace and own the 26th ranked offensive output at 105.3 ppg and have failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau in 5 of their L/8 games. The Heat compete because of their D, and Im betting they will be especially vigilante in this spot vs a side that comes at opponents behind the top tier guard play of Westbrook . With that said, Im betting on Miamis scoring woes to continue, and for Oklahoma City to not be as fluent as usual vs a stingy side that has the ability to both slow the pace, and the Thunders aggressiveness in transition. this Im betting leads to a combined score that stays below this Total. Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 8-0 in Heat last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. MIAMI is 11-2 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.4 ppg scored. Thunder have gone under 5 straight times as 10 point or less road favs with 2 days rest and 4-19 UNDER 2/1 rest situation vs non-conference opposition . The Heat have gone under in 5 straight games and are 0-9 UNDER L9 vs the Thunder and 0-6 UNDER as non-conference Home dogs and 4-19 UNDER with a conference game on deck if they prepare to play on back to back days. Play UNDER |
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02-01-19 | Golden Knights -102 v. Hurricanes | 2-5 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Vegas lost four of six before the NHL All-Star break, but are still a viable opponent for anyone in this league and now rejuvenated will be a hand full for a over performing Carolina team that Im betting had their pre all star break motivation thwarted after an extended layoff.Vegas won 3-0 against Carolina on Nov. 3 with goalie Marc-Andre Fleury delivering a 34-save shutout and gets the nod here. Note:VEGAS is 14-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (VEGAS) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in February games are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% ML conversion rate. Play on the Golden Knights of Vegas to win |
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02-01-19 | Michigan v. Iowa +4.5 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Before I make this recommendation , just let say I consider the Wolverines as one of the top 3 teams in the nation. Tonight however, Iowa will be out their minds looking to make a mark in the Big 10, and at the same time avenge three straight losses in this series , including a 77-71 loss in the opening round of the Big Ten tourney last season. The Hawkeyes are no pushovers and own a 12-4 ATS record at home in this series and have covered 6 of the L/8 overall meetings. With that said look for this 5-returning starter Iowa group to come in to this tilt with a take no prisoners attitude in an attempt to slow down this behemoth opponent and grab what might seem like an impossible victory. Note: Hawkeyes HC Fran McCaffery has covered 20 of his L/30 as a home underdog and must be respected getting points in front of his own alumni. Play on Iowa to cover |
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01-31-19 | Gonzaga v. BYU +14.5 | 93-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs are currently first in the WCC standings at 6-0 while the Cougars are tied for second at 5-2. In all their greatness Im betting Mark Fews Gonzaga will still feel the effects of this strong home venue vs BYU and that they may not find the sledding all that easy vs a hardworking group of Mormon hoops players. BYU is no pushover in front of their own alumni as their 129-9 SU record would indicate when they own a .760 win % or less at home with HC Dave Rose on the sidelines.Rose is also 21-11 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of BYU. According to my line the Bulldogs should only be 10 point favs here on the road, thus giving us value on what Im estimating id a bloated line by close to 2 possessions. BYU is 15-5 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game since 1997. Play on BYU. to cover |
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01-31-19 | 76ers v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
No body and I mean no body and can beat the Warriors on their own home floor in a run and gun duel and Im betting Philadelphia wont try that here. Yes, there will be plenty of points going on the board here , but the Sixers need their defence to stand tall to compete and Im betting they get down and dirty in attempt to somehow disrupt their opponents flow and downtown shooting circus. This will directly effect what the combined fine score will be. It must be noted that 76ers HC Brown is 14-1 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 198.8 ppg scored and is 12-2 UNDER 12-2 UNDER in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots with a combined average of 206.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 44-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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01-31-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Spurs | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this tilt against San Antonio off a 122-117 home win over Chicago that allowed Brooklyn to improve to 11-3 in January,. This Nets team is playing never say die brand of basketball and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover and cash a ticket here for us in Texas tonight. Meanwhile, San Antonio is off a very hard fought 126-124 win over a bottom feeder in Phoenix on Tuesday and overall looked sloppy in that game. Im betting their lack of execution will effect their ability to manhandle or easily defeat the road dog in this spot. BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are a perfect 9-0 100% this season. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-31-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks will be trying to win the season series with the Toronto Raptors on Thursday night when they visit Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is well rested with 3 days rest but in the past this has not seen them do well failing to cover 5 straight times. The Raptors lost the first two meetings before winning 123-116 in Milwaukee on Jan. 5, but Im betting the Bucks are are the slightly better team and will get the cover here this evening. The series visitor is 5-1 ATS L/6. TORONTO is 9-23 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots. Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic. MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.TORONTO is 13-24 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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01-31-19 | Mavs v. Pistons -2 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Dallas played last night in New York notching a win vs the hapless Knicks and will now be on tired legs and susceptible to getting caught in a letdown spot vs a hungry Detroit team desperate for wins and in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Mavs 5 days ago in Dallas (106-101) NBA Favorites (DETROIT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a road win are 197-133 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. DALLAS is 4-15 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two sub par defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 90 points or less are 7-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-31-19 | Drexel +5.5 v. William & Mary | 69-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
William Mary enters this game struggling and have lost 5 straight games and more importantly have failed to cover all 5 of those negative results. Meanwhile, Drexel has won 3 of their L/5 games and covered 4 of those games, and in their current form offer value on this line getting points. I know WM found a way to beat Drexel earlier this season, but Im betting Dragons come back breathing fire and are competitive here. Note: Drexel won in Williamsburg for the third time in the last four trips, and it must be noted for four years in a row that these teams have split the season series so I won't be surprised if the visitor not only notches a cover but a su victory. WM & MARY is 2-10 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. WM & MARY is 0-6 ATS in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season. 607 Drexel to cover |
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01-31-19 | Purdue v. Penn State +7 | 99-90 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Purdue now with a huge target on their backs as they come off a enormous upset win vs Michigan State last time out, will now be in a natural letdown situation vs a viable home underdog in Penn State. I know the Nittany Lions in their current form ( 7 straight losses), do not inspire bettors but, here in the Big 10 the talent levels are fairly comparable , and it should not surprise anyone if Penn State is competitive this evening on their own home court. It must also be noted that Penn State has revenge on board for a Conference tourney loss to Purdue last season and will be extremely motivated to pull off an upset of their own vs a side that is just 3-6 SU on the road this season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games versus struggling shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons.Painter is 24-37 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-30-19 | Air Force v. San Diego State UNDER 140 | 51-66 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate this total to be closer to 134, thus giving us value according to those estimates on a under wager. These teams/programs have played 5 times over the 3 seasons with non of the tilts combined scores eclipsing this number. The combined average score of those games clicks in at 114 ppg, with the lowest combined score at 89 points and the highest scoring game at 131. Both schools hoops programs run essentially the same system options as they did in the above mentioned previous matchups, and when going head to head these kinds of results have a high frequency of repeating themselves within these totals perimeters. AIR FORCE is 25-6 UNDER L/31 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average of 117.5 ppg scored.SAN DIEGO ST is 23-7 L/30 UNDER in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored.
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01-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Wolves -5.5 | 97-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves with revenge on board for a ugly 100-87 loss they suffered to the Grizzlies back on Nov 18 at home, will now be in a perfect spot for revenge as they face a team that will be without three players: forward Omri Casspi (knee), guard Garrett Temple (shoulder) and guard Dillon Brooks (toe). Forward JaMychal Green (knee) is questionable and and if he plays will be less than 100%. Memphis is not only short handed , and beat up but exhausted as well as this will be their 8th game in 14 days , which is not a good omen for them covering here tonight. The Grizzlies showed how tired they were last time out vs Denver by blowing a historic 25 point lead and losing 98-95 to Denver. Note: MEMPHIS is 9-21 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. \ Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.The Grizzlies 0-10 SU/ATS L/10 as a dog with less than two days rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home and it is before the All-Star break with all the losses coming by 10 points or more. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 90-46 ATS L22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less are 36-4 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.6 ppg. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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01-30-19 | Mavs v. Knicks UNDER 215.5 | 114-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks are currently employing a more conservative transition based style of D, which has resulted in 4 straight UNDERs, including 5 UNDERs in their L/6 trips to the hardwood and in their L/3 have not scored more than 99 points, while holding their L/3 opponents to 109, 106, 101 points in downward trajectory fashion. NYK know they will face a revenge minded team tonight and will continue Im betting play a conservative brand of basketball in order to take their opponents out of their flow. This Im betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers might expect. DALLAS is 31-19 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. (Dallas lost to the Knicks 118-106 back in Nov at home) Dallas lost to Toronto 123-120 last time out, in a run and gun affair, and will now be on tired legs after that event. Under is 9-0 in Mavericks last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Mavericks are 0-15 L/15 UNDER as a favorite off a home game with a combined average score of 203.5 ppg scored.The Knicks are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home with rest off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break with the combined average score of 204.5 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 791-615 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 56% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-30-19 | Indiana -2 v. Rutgers | 58-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Indiana is in the worst kind of shape losing 6 straight and have completely gone into a tailspin after a inspired 12-2 start to their campaign.Archie Miller needs this game badly and has enough talent to upend a Rutgers program that despite of a surprising 2 game win streak are still mired in a long term Big 10 slump as the Knights have lost 36 of his 44 Conference games , and have lost 6 straight vs teams with revenge like Indiana ( Hoosiers lost 76-69 in the Conference tourney last season). Rutgers is just 2-10 SU vs avenging conference opposition and 0-4 SUATS at home. I know Indiana is flawed team, but if they an be aggressive offensively tonight form the get go, against a Rutgers team that needs top defensive efforts to get wins the desperate visitors will get a results they badly need. Im betting they do exactly that. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-29-19 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +10 | 87-52 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Kentucky is off a hard fought affair with Kanas this past weekend and will now be in a natural letdown spot. going into this road game against Vanderbilt. Thats not a good omen as this UK Hoops program is just 0-4 ATS after battling with the Jayhawks.With Vandy in revenge mode for a 74-67 loss in Lexington earlier this month , Im betting on them being pumped to get even and pull off the upset in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that the Commodores are 7-0 L/7 ATS in this series when playing with same-season revenge and have split this series here in Nashville going 6-6 SU L/12 meetings here.VANDERBILT is 57-36 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Calipari is 9-23 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games in all games he has coached and is 4-13 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Vanderbilt |
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01-29-19 | Pittsburgh +9 v. Clemson | 69-82 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh at 12-8 this season are up trending, and all ready have shown a great deal of progress under the tutelage of former Duke assistant Jeff Capel as was the case earlier this season when they notched wins vs Louisville and Florida State and barley lost to NC State. The Panthers new found ability to play tough man to man D, will aid them here vs a Clemson team that is in an emotional letdown spot after blowing a 5 point lead and losing with under a minute to play last time out vs NC State, thanks to missing four straight charity stripe conversions and four FG attempts. Both these teams need wins, and Im expecting/betting on a spirited effort tonight with the points proving to be golden. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PITTSBURGH) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 63-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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01-29-19 | Pittsburgh v. Clemson UNDER 138.5 | 69-82 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh plays a real tough brand of man to man defence, and on offence they're not a team that shoots 3s constantly, so putting points on the board in bunches is not their current modus operandi. Clemson does not defend the trey well, which will be a blessing for them here tonight. Meanwhile, Clemson is a side that is struggling to score consistently, and have only breached the 70 point plateau once in their L/6 games and Im betting will struggle to put points on the board again, in a tilt that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. My own projections set this total at 132. Thus giving us value according to my estimates on a under wager. PITTSBURGH is 9-0 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127.5 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 6-0 UNDER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 127 ppg scored and is 19-4 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131.8 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 13-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 131 ppg scored in those tilts. Clemson HC Brownell is 16-5 UNDER L/21 after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog in all games with a combined average of 117.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-29-19 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Rockets | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
No Anthony Davis in the lineup means there is little or no respect for the Pelicans . That is obvious by the line here in Houston against the Rockets with line being slightly bloated according to my own numbers. Needless to say these Pelicans have a chip on their shoulders, and will use that as a motivating factor here tonight. QUOTE:"We're still not giving up," New Orleans coach Alvin Gentry said. "We're not giving up on our season, if that's what everybody thinks. We've just got to keep plugging away, and some kind of way we're going to get this thing turned around. END QUOTE: New Orleans is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 as +8 or more underdog and are 9-0 ATS off a home loss which they suffered last time out to San Antonio. Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less. NBA Road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 6 points or less are 34-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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01-29-19 | Thunder v. Magic UNDER 221.5 | 126-117 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Magic slowed things down considerably in their two most recent games vs Houston and Washington, scoring 91 and 98 points respectively, in low scoring affairs that saw them allow 103 and 95 points on defence. Today against an explosive Thunder side, I expect more of the same conservative hoops, and prolonged scoring droughts that has become synonymous with Magic basketball. The Magic are 0-19-1 UNDER with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. None of the games eclipsed this Total. The Thunder are 0-6-1 UNDER with less than two days rest off a home game in which they shot under 60% from the free throw line with none of the games eclipsing this total. Donovan L/20 games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with a combined average of 203.3 ppg being scored. Play UNDER |
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01-29-19 | Bucks -6.5 v. Pistons | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bucks, off a rare loss last time out, and will be out looking for redemption and a season series sweep vs a Pistons that they matchup very well against as is evident by a 121-98 on New Year's Day beat down. It must be noted that the Bucks have not lost two in a row all season and are 11-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite off a loss with all the wins by 6 points or more. ( the books know this that's why the 6.5 point hook line).Note: DETROIT is 0-8 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season with he average point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. Milwaukee has dominated its Central Division opponents this season, posting an 8-1 record and tonight Im betting on another victory and more importantly a cover. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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01-29-19 | Ball State +11.5 v. Buffalo | 59-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Ball State (11-9, 2-5) has lost five of its last six games, all against conference foes and are now being made DD underdogs here on the road vs a ranked team. However the Cardinal have been very competitive and only once in their L/7 games have they lost by more than 9 points with the average point differential clicking in at 5.7 ppg. I know how explosive Buffalo is but they have a big target on their backs after getting so many early season accolades, and have had endure all efforts by their MAC opponents which has started to wear on them. It must also be noted that the Bulls are off a hard fought battle at Kent State and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot vs a hard working never say die team desperate for wins. This also falls into a long term betting against the public perimeter based trend I use on occasion when it present itself that has returned a 33% ROI since the 2006 season . It does not always win, but more often then not we cash, ( 68%) . Since Im always looking for a long term edge, this situation makes for a viable investment wagering option. Also CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BUFFALO) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset loss as a favorite. are just 24-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on the Ball State to cover |
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01-29-19 | Virginia v. NC State +7.5 | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
N.C. State is feeling good about its offense with point guard Markell Johnson back in the lineup after recouping from a back injury and must be respected as home underdogs despite of going against a behemoth opponent in Virginia. Also the Wolfpack's versatility creates issues when vs any defensive game plans, yes even that of the Cavaliers as Six N.C. State players have led the team in scoring this season. Look for N.C States ability to mix and match and provide different looks to make Virginia look somewhat human here in this matchup. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VIRGINIA) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better). are 16-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. ( Virginia destroyed NotreDame last time out by DDs, and have exerted alot of energy in back to back games vs the Irish and previous to that Duke making them possible letdown favs here. Play on NC State to cover |
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01-28-19 | Hawks +7 v. Clippers | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Atlanta is playing alot better and are a .500 team over their L/18 games and are 6-6 ATS in their L/12 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Clippers, despite of winning 3 of their L/4 games, have looked less then dominating, and have lost 9 of their L/14 home games straight up. From a historical perspective the Hawks have been a viable side to back here covering 16 of their L/25 visits to LALA land and get my support taking points tonight vs a Clippers side on tired legs after playing last night against run and gun Sacramento. Note: The Clippers are 0-10 ATS L/10 at home with no rest . The Hawks also have revenge on board for a 127-119 loss at home to the Clippers back in late November and lost in their L/visit here last season, by a 108-107 count. Note: The Clippers are 0-11 ATS at home with no rest when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Also Atlanta is 6-0 ATS away at Western Conference venues as a underdog vs .550 or less opponents when playing with same-season home loss revenge. Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are good long term bets going 348-248 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Baylor brings a 4-game winning streak into its at Oklahoma. BU is coming off a 73-68 win over Alabama, improving to 5-1 in Big 12/SEC Challenge history.Baylor finished 9-4 in non-conference play, with marquee wins at Arizona, vs. Oregon and vs. Alabama and must not be underestimated in their ability compete here and even pull off a SU upset. Note: Baylor is 32-34 in Big 12 road games since 2012, second-best in the league behind only Kansas (43-23). OKLAHOMA is 3-15 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in January games this season. Baylor has won 2 straight meetings here and have won 3 of the L/4 meetings SU.BU's last 3 trips to Norman include a 2-point loss in 2016, a 26-point win in 2017 and a 2-point loss in 2018. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-28-19 | Nets +10.5 v. Celtics | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
The Celtics played a hard fought game vs the Golden State Warriors last time out losing a 115-111 heart breaker. The young men from Boston played their hearts out and left everything on the floor and still fell short. Now in an emotional letdown situation this Beatdown hoops crew will now face the difficult task of going against a hard working Nets team on a 6 game win streak that plays basketball with a never say die attitude. With that said, Im recommending we take the points with the visitors. The Nets are 22-0-1 ATS and have won 9 straight SU on the road with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range and it is before the All-Star break.The Celtics are 0-7 ATS/SU at home with rest off a game as a dog after a loss in which they made more field goals than their opponent. BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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01-28-19 | Bethune-Cookman -2.5 v. Coppin State | 91-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Bethune Cookman 'Cats lead the MEAC in defensive rebounding average (27.9), rebounding average (40.76), FG defense (40.8%), and 3pt defense (29.5%). BCU is second in rebound margin (+2.7), and offensive boards (12.84) and according to my numbers should be 4.5 point road chalk here thus we are getting a value line here to bet into vs a Coppin State side that they beat both times they met them last season. Play on Bethune Cookman to cover |
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01-28-19 | North Carolina Central -2.5 v. Savannah State | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
I have made this line at -5.5 for North Carolina Central (9-10 overall), thus we are getting old value with the road team according to my projections.NCCU has shot over 50 percent from the floor seven times this season. Meanwhile,Savannah State 4-14 overall is currently 1-3 in MEAC play heading into the weekend, but lead the league in three-pointers made per contest with 11.7 and live and die with their downtown shots, leading the conference in Treys. But tonight against a NCCU team that can light the board up from all over the court Im betting they're in trouble. Play on North Carolina Central to cover |
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01-28-19 | Warriors v. Pacers +9 | 132-100 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are in a groove and currently hitting on all cylinders. Thanks to over powering 10 game run and wining streak , they are being made 9 point favs here on the opening line, which is bloated in my humble opinion, giving us value on the disrespected home underdog Indiana getting points. Note:Indiana is 18-6 SU at home this season , while Golden State is just 12-13 ATS on the road and are on tired legs as they play their 5th straight road game and are off a hard-fought battle vs the Celtics last time out. GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.INDIANA is 17-5 ATS L/22 as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. NBAHome underdogs (INDIANA) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-13 ATS L/22 season for a 75% conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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01-27-19 | Bucks v. Thunder UNDER 233 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My own line of 227 on this tilt is 6 points off of what is being offered thus using my projections Im betting we have value with an under wager here today between two top tier teams. I see this line as pandering to public perceptions and what is obvious high scoring offences. Note: MILWAUKEEs L/45 games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons has seen high scoring games, but the average combined score only clicks in at 226.2 ppg which is right about where a place that total. it must be noted that the Bucks have gone under in 7 of their L/9 games, while playing a top tier brand of defence behind the No1 ranked top rated D efficiency in the league. Yes, Oklahoma City has been shooting the lights out of late, but it must be noted that HC Donovan is 21-8 UNDER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 207.1 ppg. Oklahoma City also owns the 4th ranked defensive efficiency in the NBA . .The L/5 meetings have gone under the total. The Bucks are 0-16-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average score of 184.3 ppg scored with none of the games seeing more than 207 combined points scored. The Bucks are also 2-20-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a win in a home game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average combined score of those games at 188.7 ppg with non going higher than 218 combined points. The Thunder are 3-26 UNDER as a favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average of 199 ppg scored and none of the game have seen more than 218 points go on the board. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average score of 218.1 ppg scored and is 8-1 UNDER after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-27-19 | North Alabama +13 v. NJIT | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
NJIT will face ASUN newcomers North Alabama for the second time this year. Take the Points wth North Alabama to cover |
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01-27-19 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Villanova | 52-80 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Seton Hall after pulling off wins vs Kentucky and Maryland earlier this season, have been suddenly struggling for wins losing 4 of their L/5 despite of being highly competitive with the average point diff of those 4 losses clicking in at 4.5 ppg. Every loss they have suffered this season besides two were within five points, and they lost four by just four points . Villanova is showing us that they are once again a good NCAA tourney bet, and despite of the off season departures, must be respected. However, with that said, Seton Hall is not an easy out, and are desperate for wins and will leave everything on the floor today in what Im betting will be a cover for them and their backers. Look for Myles Powell who is averaging 22.2 points per game, and hitting 45.3% of his shots to be a key catalyst for the Hall here in a cover effort. SETON HALL is 23-8 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread and is s 11-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 7-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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01-26-19 | San Francisco -2.5 v. San Diego | 63-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
San Francisco at 17-3 are proving they are a side that needs to be respected when laying short lumber. I know San Diego is feisty hard working team, but are outgunned by a team on a 3 game win streak , especially if Olin Carter III is not playing or less than 100% which he is reported as he suffers with a ( Abdominal ) injury. FRANCISCO is 14-3 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 53-22 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. SF to cover |
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01-26-19 | Arizona v. UCLA -1 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Despite a 3-3 start, the Bruins are not out of the running for the Pac-12 regular season title and have an opportunity to right their ship here tonight vs Arizona. Despite of it not appearing their desperate, this game is a must win type affair especially after their ugly effort vs Arizona State last time out when they lost as chalk. Note: Bartow is 9-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more in a loss to a conference rival and 20-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1997.Meanwhile, Arizona despite of their accolades are starting to fall back down to earth, and are fragile looking at the moment after getting clobbered by USC last time out. ARIZONA is 5-13 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.ARIZONA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 season UCLA to cover |
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01-26-19 | 76ers v. Nuggets -9 | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Denver will go against a 76ers team playing without key cogs Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler tonight. That puts the 76ers at a big disadvantage vs a side that has revenge on board for last seasons 123-104 loss at Philadelphia. I know Denver played last night, in a 132-95 win vs Phoenix but they did not over use any of their players with no one seeing more than 29 minutes of playing time. Their much fresher than the the back to back efforts might indicate and get the nod here as fairly hefty home favs .DENVER is 13-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season. The 76ers are 0-14 ATS/SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and HC Brown is 3-15 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less as the coach of PHILADELPHIA which was the case in a hard fought 122-120 win vs San Antonio last time out. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-26-19 | 76ers v. Nuggets UNDER 229 | 110-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
With Joel Embidd and Jimmy Butler expected not to play tonight for the 76ers Im betting their flow and offensive output will be great curtailed. Instead I expect HC Brown to implement a game plan that focuses on good defensive hoops, and fundamental ball control tactics. That expected strategy I expect will lead to a lower scoring game than the linesmakers might expect between two top tier teams. Note:Brown is 40-22 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. The Nuggets are 0-10 UNDER L/10 by more than 15 ppg at home off a 10+ win in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent which was the case last night in their win vs Phoenix. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-18 L/22seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-26-19 | Evansville +4.5 v. Northern Iowa | 74-81 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Evansville has revenge on board for a loss they suffered to NIU in the MVC tourney last season. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa . is in an emotional letdown situation after a loss last time out . Thats not a good omen for their chances to cover here as Northern Iowa is just 1-4 SUATS in their last 5 games versus opposition with conference revenge. Add to that Evansville has performed admirably as dogs this season going a bankroll expanding 8-3 ATS getting points for their backers , while the Panthers are just 5-10 ATS on the season. Play on Evansville to cover |
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01-26-19 | Spurs -2 v. Pelicans | 126-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Ill take -3 or less with the Spurs on the road any time its available vs a side like New Orleans that is expected to play without their super star Anthony Davis, even though they themselves will play without DeRozan. I know the Pelicans play a team orientated style of hoops and move the rock around with consistency but the Spurs do well against these types of teams and are 10-0 ATS L/10 going against an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.San Antonio owns a 44-18 all-time mark against the Pelicans and has won 18 of the 31 games between the teams in New Orleans and lost to NO the last time they played here, but it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 14-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 23-6 ATS L/22 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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01-26-19 | Middle Tennessee +13.5 v. North Texas | 53-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings and line suggests we have value with this line with Middle Tennessee . MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. N TEXAS is 1-7 ATS in all home games this season. N TEXAS is 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 3-11 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Middle Tenn State to cover |
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01-26-19 | Kansas v. Kentucky -5.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Kentucky leads the all-time series with Kansas, 22-9, but the Jayhawks are riding a 3-game winning streak , but Im betting that all ends abruptly here today. My personal opinion on Kansas is they are down a notch this season and one shouldn't be fooled by their record, and with Calipari eyeing triple revenge for the Wildcats will have his team ready to perform in a big way here today.KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons and Calipari is 23-10 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY.KANSAS is 2-13 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last 2 season. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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01-26-19 | South Carolina State +1 v. Savannah State | 88-92 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
In their last outing, the South Carolina State Bulldogs dropped an tough 69-74 decision to Norfolk State.The Bulldogs record may not give bettors hope (4-17, 2-3 MEAC) but this offense is anchored by 6-foot-8 junior Damani Applewhite who averages 17.3 points and 7.8 rebounds per game and he's proven he can take advantage of teams like Savannah Statee (4-14, 1-3 MEAC) which gives us an edge on a short line. Play on South Carolina State to cover |
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01-26-19 | Washington +2.5 v. Oregon State | 79-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Oregon State has been playing some great basketball and are surprising the heck out of the pundits and that's why they are getting so much respect from the lines- makers here today But the Washington Huskies, undefeated in PAC12 play visit Corvallis, looking to avenge a 69-66 defeat to the Beavers in last year’s Pac-12 tourney and wont be used around here by this hard working blue collar group. Note:Hopkins is 6-0 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of WASHINGTON and is 10-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts as the coach of WASHINGTON. CBB home team (OREGON ST) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 19-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-26-19 | Boston College -1.5 v. Wake Forest | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston College off a nice win vs Florida State last time out will carry the momentum of that win in to Wake Forests a struggling side that has lost 5 of their L/6 games. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and is 8-0 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons WAKE FOREST is 10-23 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (WAKE FOREST) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off a home win against a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a marginal losing team are 92-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Boston College to cover |
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01-26-19 | South Florida -4 v. East Carolina | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
E.Carolina has lost 4 straight games, and according to my numbers and projections should be closer to-6.5 point dogs here. South Florida has struggled a bit lately but are still a dangerous foe having covered 14 of their 19line games this season. The struggles Im taking about came to Temple in a 2 point loss and to Houston by 9 and Cincinnati by 8 so needless to say those make the battle tested road team a very viable side to back. CBB home team (E CAROLINA) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 103-162 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on South Florida to cover |
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01-26-19 | Marquette v. Xavier +3 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Marquette is in top form, but Xavier is almost never an easy out on their own home court and must be respected especially when they have revenge on board for a loss as was the case when they suffered a 70- 52 beatdown in Marquette earlier this season on Jan 6. Xavier has five players averaging in double figures in scoring through 20 games and I expect a complete team effort here in a cover performance. The Musketeers are 5-1 SU vs. Marquette at Cintas Center. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.XAVIER is 47-29 L/76 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent . Play on Xavier to cover |
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01-26-19 | Clemson +6.5 v. NC State | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
The Clemson Tigers just played and lost to Duke and suffered a home defeat against Virginia and are battle tested and will not be intimidated vs NC State today that has lost 3 of their L/5 overall. Im betting on two desperate teams in need of a win to battle it out in a closely contested affair, with the points proving to be golden. Clemson has won 3 of the L/4 meetings. NC STATE is 9-19 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (NC STATE) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 37-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville -10.5 | 51-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Im a big believer in Chris Mack and Im betting he gets his team NCAA tourney ready in a hurry.Louisville, ranked 23rd by AP and 24th in the USA Today poll, come in here today against a improved but still out talented Pittsburgh team ready to get payback for a 89-86 OT loss earlier this season. Im betting Louisville has an edge, especially with revenge on board for that surprising upset loss vs the Panthers. Note: Louisville is 21-4 SU and 18-6-1 ATS at home in same- season conference revenge Meanwhile, Pittsburgh 1-6 ATS in their last seven tilts versus opposition with same- season conference revenge, and have not performed well vs the Cards going just 1-12 SU and 3-10 ATS in this series. LOUISVILLE is 22-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite since 1997 with the average point diff clicking in at 15 ppg. Louisville's 2019 signing class is ranked second in the nation by ESPN. Play on Louisville to cover |
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01-26-19 | Dayton -6.5 v. Fordham | 75-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Fordham has lost 7 straight games, and does not matchup well vs the Flyers. Note: Neubauer is 1-8 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of FORDHAM and is 4-15 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game as the coach of FORDHAM. This game registers under a long standing system .CBB Road teams against the total (DAYTON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 710-524 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 58% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dayton to cover |
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01-26-19 | Hofstra -9.5 v. Towson | 84-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Hofstra is an explosive team, that rarely shows mercy, and are pounding their L/3 opponents by DDs. More of the same here today vs a struggling side that despite of having won their L/2 games are still. sub .500 home team this season.HOFSTRA is 9-2 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.TOWSON ST is 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. CBB home team (TOWSON ST) - off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Hofstra to cover |
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01-26-19 | VCU -3 v. Duquesne | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
VCU has won the L/6 meetings including the L/3 here on the road between these two hoops programs and according to my matchup stats and power rankings deserve their -3 fav road status here and should win this game according to my projections by 4 points or more. Their key to success today will be their defence. VCU opponents are shooting just .264 from beyond the 3-point arc, which ranks fourth nationally. VCU opponents shot .351 from 3-point range last season. VCU has held nine opponents to 60 points or fewer this season VCU is 77-33 in conference play over that span, a .700 winning percentage. VCU is also 13-5 in A-10 Tournament play. Play on VCU. |
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