Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-18-23 | Brewers v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 9-8 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Woodruff (2-1, 1.99 ERA) came off the 60-day IL on Aug. 6 and limited the Pittsburgh Pirates to two runs and four hits in five innings, striking out nine without a walk. He now looks healthy and ready to resume what has been a consistent pitching career at the MLB level as is evident by making the all star team in 2019 and 2021. Quote:"He's in a really good place after two starts," Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell. "I'm looking forward to handing him the ball the rest of the year." END QUOTE. WOODRUFF is 13-3 UNDER in an inter-league games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.WOODRUFF is 21-9 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored. Note: Texas will send left-hander Heaney to the hill after he was lifted in the second inning of his Saturday outing against the San Francisco Giants after saying he was not feeling well. He is said to be 100% now, and my pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well vs a Brewers side that has struggled against southpaw pitching this season averaging just 3.2 rpg on a ugly .216 BA. Heaney owns a stingy 0.69 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The two times he faced the Brewers he struck out 20 and walked two over 10 2/3 innings .Rinse and repeat scenario now on board. Play under |
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08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -141 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Burnes has pitched well for the most part recently but last time out against the Chicago White Sox, he looked a little fatigued when he gave up five runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in a game Milwaukee won 7-6 in 10 innings. Here against a explosive Dodgers offense that has buoyed this team to a 14-1 record in August the Brewers righty could be in trouble. Note: Burnes is just 2-2 with an 8.50 ERA over six career outings (four starts) vs the Dodgers.LA DODGERS are 38-14 ( against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like Burnes over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Dodgers newest pitching acquisition has posted a 3-0 record with a 2.00 ERA in three starts with his new club. and deserves respect here in the favorites role. LA DODGERS are 30-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 37-105 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 84-28 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-17-23 | Browns +3.5 v. Eagles | 18-18 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Browns have have faired well in preseason football of late , garnering a 14-4 SU record since 2017, and are currently on a 6-0-1 ATS run when getting points in the underdog role. .Kevin Stefanski has a viable preseason record of 5-3 SU during his tenure as Browns head coach and seems to take even scrimmages very seriously . I know the Browns will probably not start their starting QB but the battle between Kellen Mond and Dorian Thompson-Robinson should make for aggressive outing from a Cleveland side that wants to get their offense rolling. Note: Eagles are 0-5 SUATS L5 preseason home games and are just .2-9 SU/ATS in Thursday tilts. NFLX road sides after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 42-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games dating back 31 seasons. (This happened last time out in a 17-15 loss to Washington) Play on Cleveland to cover |
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08-17-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. Royals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby the Mariners starter enters this game in top form having garnered a 0.86 ERA along with a 0.571 WHIP in his L/3 trips to the hill. Here against a very inconsistent Royals offense Im betting he dominates again in a conclusive victory. Mariners starter KIRBY is 16-5 ( against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.7. SEATTLE is 31-16against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering in at +2.2. KANSAS CITY is 6-25 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 6-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win -1.5 on the Run-line |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter KERSHAW is 41-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in his career with the average rpg diff coming in at +2.1. (Team's Record) He gives LAD a strong opportunity to extend their current red hot win streak of 9 games that has seen the Dodgers 7 of those 9 victories by +2 or more runs! Milwaukee is averaging just 3.2 rpg vs LHP this season via a nasty looking .219 BA and are fade material here vs future HOF pitcher Kershaw. LA DODGERS are 30-11 SU vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Miley with the average rpg diff clicking at +2.8. LA DODGERS are 34-7 SU in August games over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff recorded at +3.4. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 72-11 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors withe the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Dodgers -1.5 runline |
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08-16-23 | Orioles +151 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Baltimore's starter KREMER is 7-0 (against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 12-3 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 8-1 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 17-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. KREMER is 11-2 ( against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 14-27 ( against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 34-45 against the money line against right-handed starters like Kremer this season averaging just 4.3 rpg in production via a ugly .228 BA. BALTIMORE is 9-3 against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego has lost 7 of their L/8 overall., and despite of having the talented Blake Snell on the hill are in trouble here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings.SNELL is 15-20 ( against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-23 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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08-16-23 | Rays v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rays starter Civale is winless in two starts since arriving from Cleveland. He is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA as a Ray, having allowed 16 hits in 9 1/3 innings and Im betting he gets tagged again. Meanwhile, The Giants have gone the bullpen route in in the first two games in this series s and are expected to the same here Wednesday, as there are alot of tired arms in the ,lineup, and that wont be a positive situation, against a Rays team that can be very explosive offensively. The Rays have averaged 5.2 rpg on the season, and 5.3 rpg via a .287 BA during a recent 7 game span. TAMPA BAY is 49-37 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with a combined average 9.2 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 38-18 L/56 OVER in road games against NL West opponents with the average combined score of 10 rpg going on the board. KAPLER is 17-6 OVER vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 33-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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08-15-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Cubs | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Hendricks' in has last three starts is 0-2 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA. In 12 career starts against the White Sox, Hendricks is 2-6 with a 4.77 ERA and is fade material here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. White Sox right-hander Touki Toussaint pitched a scoreless inning of relief against the Cubs on July 26 and has a 2.45 ERA against them lifetime in three relief appearances and Im betting he will keep his team in this game for as long as he is on the hill. CHI WHITE SOX is 5-0 against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons at Wrigley. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 SU in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 SU in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO CUBS are 2-13 SU in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 3 season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-11 SU in home games after allowing 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win +1.5 runline |
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08-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 125 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling as is evident by their LAST 10 GAMES: Rockies: 3-7, .186 batting average, 5.18 ERA, outscored by 20 runs Diamondbacks: 2-8, .224 batting average, 4.87 ERA, outscored by 21 runs. I know Arizona has won 2 straight, but the way their offense has struggled they do not look like viable favs, especially on this runline offering in a place (Coors Field) where the home side (Rockies) play their best ball. Yes, even with Merrill Kelly on the hill for the Dbacks. (after-all this is the launching pad known as Coors field and no pitcher is safe in this environment) If Kelley does not start the desert snakes overall woes in this venue will be become evident. Bottom line the Dbacks cannot be trusted to cover this runline offering. BLACK is 77-51 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season as the manager of COLORADO. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts are 33-8 L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the +1.5 runline |
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08-13-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter PFAADT is 8-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 13-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 22-8 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Arizona has only scored more than 3 runs in game three times over their L/12 trips to the diamonds. San Diegos starter Seth Lugo has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 3.27 ERA. Im betting he stays viable in todays road tilt vs a very inconsistent Dbacks offense. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 30-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -128 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants starter WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Webb has pitched well this season, as is evident by garnering a solid 2.58 ERA at home while lasting an average of 7 innings. He is currently in good form with a 2.70 ERA in his L/3 starts and gives his team a very good chance at victory today. WEBB is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.344. WEBB is 15-6 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Texas starter DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 5-15 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI) Play on San Francisco to win |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders +4 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. The Raiders 6-0 SUATS L6 preseason HGs and must be respected here getting points vs the SF 49ers. Play on Raiders to cover |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders UNDER 36 | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco and Las Vegas participated in joint practices ahead of their preseason opener Sunday in the desert, and in scrim-ages the Raiders defense forced multiple interceptions from Purdy, and other 49ers QBs and Im betting they continue those efforts here today. The 49ers listed Lance and Sam Darnold as their No. 2 quarterbacks in this game, and Im betting both struggle against a hungry group of Raiders. Defense trumps offense here today. Also mew Raiders QB Jimmy G is not expected to play here vs his old team. SF has gone under in their L7 preseason Road games. Play on UNDER |
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08-13-23 | Liberty v. Fever +10.5 | 100-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Liberty enter this game as the No.2 seed in the WNBA while Indiana has the worst record in the league. However, because of this according to my projections the lines makers have over compensated for this discrepancy , which gives us value with what will be a motivated underdog with little left to play for other than a big upset . The Liberty are just 1-4 ATS L/5 and are consistently being over rated on the line. Play on the Fever to cover |
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08-12-23 | Rangers v. Giants -117 | 9-3 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
SF starter COBB is 11-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) cobb has pitched his best baseball at home this season, garnering a 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.46 ERA and according to my power rankings gives the Giants an edge here tonight against the visiting Rangers. Note: Texas starter Heaney despite of some top tier recent efforts, is just 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in six career starts against the Giants. SAN FRANCISCO is 19-9 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 62-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 65-19 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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08-12-23 | Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Boston after some inconsistent play in July and early August have now won 3 straight games and have cashed 4 of their L/5 for their backers. With the Bosox facing struggling Motown starter Manning who has garnered a 0-3 record along with a 9.18 ERA in his L/3 starts they once again have an inside edge on conclusively coming out of this tilt with a victory. Meanwhile, Bostons Brian Bello remains a solid pitching proposition to back, as he has garnered a stable 3.08 ERA at home in Fenway this season. BELLO is 11-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a +2.3 rpg diff . BOSTON is 11-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games this season with a average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. DETROIT is 4-19 against the money line against AL East opponents this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on Boston to win -1.5 runline |
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08-12-23 | Cubs v. Blue Jays -108 | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are scheduled to start right-hander Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.87) and according to pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here this afternoon vs the Cubs current batting order. Bassitt is 6-2 at home this season along with a 2.56 ERA and a even stingier 0.924 WHIP. TORONTO is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 3 seasons like The Cubs starter today Steele. TORONTO is 25-8 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 64-162 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 36-104 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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08-11-23 | Orioles +125 v. Mariners | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Seattle has won 7 straight but all good bad runs must come to an end, and tonight Im betting that what happens in a matchup favoring what my power rankings suggest is the better overall side. I know the Orioles are traveling from East to west for this game , but this is a resilient group that on most nights looks like their on a mission, and they deserve respect here to pull off an underdog victory. Orioles starter today GIBSON is 6-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Seattles starter CASTILLO is 7-11 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 11-5 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like the Mariners starter Castillo. BALTIMORE is 47-23 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 41-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 35-21 against the money line in road games this season. The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 112 games (+27.85 Units / 20% ROI) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 49-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-11-23 | Sky +13 v. Liberty | 73-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Liberty had a huge DD win vs Vegas last time out- while shooing over 50% from the field and now Im betting on immediate regression in a letdown situation. Meanwhile, Chicago After a 3 game win streak lost as favs to the up-trending Lynx and will now be motivated to perform against a top tier team that has had issues covering this season, covering only 6 of 14 home tilts. Chicago has covered 7 of 12 away affairs. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS versus sub par foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season. NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 6-15 ATS in home games after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 30-13 ATS L/43 in road games versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+ games . WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - off an upset win as an underdog are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher are 19-45 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams (NEW YORK) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or more) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-58 L/26 seasons for. ago against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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08-11-23 | Falcons v. Dolphins OVER 36 | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
All the QBs in this tilt from both sides are mid range type performers, which gives credence to some points going on the board. Fins QB White is expected to play the first half of this game, and should help deliver some good offensive production , while, /Desmond Ritter will get alot of snaps for the Falcons and in turn my projections estimate that he and his following crew of NFLX totals of 36.5 or less where the home team is the underdog have gone 46-24-1 (66%) OVER since 2008. Play over |
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08-10-23 | Lynx v. Fever UNDER 162.5 | 73-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
After 6 straight unders the Fever finally eclipsed the total last time out, on a deflated line. They also finally put 80 points on the board for the first time in 7 games, last time out which aided in the over result However, here against a up-trending Lynx defense, that has not allowed more than 79 points in their L/3 games, Im betting this number will not be breached . MINNESOTA is 30-12 UNDER L/42 road games off an upset win as a road underdog with the average combined score clicking in at 141.2 ppg. (Defeated Chicago last time out as 3.5 point underdogs) WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 71-39 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
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08-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rays UNDER 9 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
The two starting pitchers today have not performed optimally but their supporting bullpens have been fairly consistent. Both offenses are also not in top form, and this gives credence to a totals offering that is not eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 21-9 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-10-23 | Astros v. Orioles +122 | 4-5 | Win | 122 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Right-hander Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.61 ERA) will take the mound for the Orioles in the finale as the Os look to salvage a game from this series. KREMER is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.54 and a WHIP of 0.600 and Im betting he will give his team the edge today on a value line. Baltimores starter KREMER is 12-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 10-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 10-4 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-1 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 67-35 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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08-10-23 | Braves v. Pirates +1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 112 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Atlanta's rookie fire baller Elder has looked a little gassed of late as is evident by allowing 20 earned over his past 23 innings. He will be supported by a tired bullpen that has worked alot of innings recently.Elder has garnered a ugly 7.71 ERA over his last five starts. Advantage Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh won the opener 7-6 on Monday and must not be underestimated as they group looks fearless at the moment in the spoiler role. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, hot hitting team - batting .280 or better over their last 20 games are just 19-32 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win +1.5 runline |
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08-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Guardians squeezed out a 1-0 victory yesterday vs the Jays, and Im betting on another close game tonight , which gives us an edge with this runline offering. TORONTO is 25-31 SU against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons like the Guardians starter Allen. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 5-10 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 45-32 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 season with a -0.2 rpg diff. MLB Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TORONTO) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Toronto are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland and have lost 5 of the L/7 meetings in this series. Play on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 on the runline |
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08-09-23 | Astros +134 v. Orioles | 8-2 | Win | 134 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
My own line on this game is closer to a pickem (even) which gives us very good value on backing the underdog in this spot play. Astros starter JAVIER is 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) JAVIER is 9-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Javier has pitched well against the Orioles the past two seasons garnering a 1.42 ERA with 17 strikeouts and three walks over four appearances, including one start, spanning 12 2/3 innings. HOUSTON is 9-3 ( against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. BAKER is 90-59 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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08-08-23 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 158 | 72-91 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mercury have gone under the total in 9 of their L/11 overall including their L/4 games at home. Meanwhile, the Mystics have gone under in 9 of their 13 road games this season. Im betting the under trend continuing here today as my own projections estimate a total closer to 155 which gives us a full possession edge on the offered number to the under. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.7 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 100-56 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 206-138 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-08-23 | Padres v. Mariners -140 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Martinez (5-4, 3.68 ERA) goes to the hill for a Padres team on a two-game losing streak allowing 21 runs in those tilts . Martinez is 0-3 with a 5.20 ERA in six career appearances against Seattle, including four starts and Im fading here today against the Seattle Mariners. Meanwhile,Right-hander Logan Gilbert (9-5, 3.86) goes to the mound for the Mariners . The righty has won his past four decisions and gets my support here vs a inconsistent Padres offense, that is averaging just 4.4 rpg vs righties this season like Gilbert. Gilbert is 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in three career starts against San Diego. He took out the Padres 4-1 on June 6 in San Diego, limiting them to one run on three hits in seven innings, with two walks and six strikeouts. Rinse and repeat . GILBERT is 20-8 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-102 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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08-08-23 | Lynx +3.5 v. Sky | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota and Chicago are evenly matched according to my current power rankings even with home court advantage factored in for the Chicago. It must be noted that the Lynx has covered 5 of their L/6 road games, while the Sky have failed to cover 4 of their L/6 home tilts. Advantage Minnesota. MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 season WNBA Home teams (CHICAGO) - good 3PT shooting team (35% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (30-35%), after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots are 28-57 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. Three of the L/4 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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08-08-23 | Sun v. Storm +7.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Seattle after a bad run has now won and covered 3 of their L/4 games and have momentum entering this tilt against a Connecticut side they will be in revenge mode against. Combination of up-trending and pay back on the agenda make the home side viable side to back against the spread . CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off an upset win as a road underdogs are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-07-23 | Rockies v. Brewers -1.5 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Right-hander Freddy Peralta (7-8, 4.46 ERA) goes to the hill for Milwaukee in the series opener today. Peralta registered a win in his last outing, striking out seven and allowing three runs over six innings in the Brewers' 6-4 victory at Washington lat week. Peralta , back on May 2 vs the Rockies struck out 10 in six innings on the way to a no-decision and once again according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up very well here and is a viable hurler to back at home where the Brewers have won 6 of their L/7 vs the Rockies. Note: Colorado has only averaged 3.9 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 2 or less runs in 3 of their L/4 overall. COLORADO is 2-20 SU as an underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff registering at -3.6. MLB Road underdogs with a opening money line of +200 or more (COLORADO) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts (Lambert), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-37 L/26 seasons for a go against 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 to win |
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08-07-23 | Royals +179 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Royals had won 7 games in a row before losing the last two to Philadelphia. However, Im now betting on a value line bounce back for KC today vs a Boston side off losing 4 straight games , 3 of which came to division rivals the blue Jays. Thats got to hurt, and with their mental state and emotional state tattered they are at a disadvantage vs a side that is up trending and maybe a little under rated. With hard throwing LHP top tier prospect Ragans on the hill for KC the Royals must not be underestimated. The KC southpaw can get his fastball up in the high 90s, and is not an easy hurler to face for a BoSox side that has scored more than 3 runs just twice in their L/9 games overall. Meanwhile, Bostons young starter Bello despite of showing his prowess this season, has shown some fatigue of late, and could easily be humbled here vs a KC side, that has averaged 5.6 rpg in their L/7 overall via .270 team BA. Bello did get win last time out, vs Seattle, but previous to that in two starts allowed 13 runs in 16 innings and must not be over estimated in his ability to cool off the Royals suddenly hot offense.BOSTON is 9-20 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. ( Boston got bashed yesterday 13-1 by the Jays) MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 8-32 L/5 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win Play on KC to win |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 104 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
The Padres offense is up-trending having averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span previous to yesterdays 8 run explosion vs the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers , a side that averages 5.9 rpg also averaged 6.1 rpg during a 7 game span, and will be ready to bounce back here after scoring just 3 runs yesterday. Considering Padres starter Hill owns a slightly boated 4.95 ERA at home this season, Im betting on the Dodgers bats doing some damage here tonight. On the flipside , Lynn the Dodgers starter owns a 7.85 ERA in his L/3 starts and a ugly 6.23 road ERA and a 6.33 ERA overall, which according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest will see an above average Padres output that helps us cash an over ticket. Padres starter HILL is 9-0 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. Dodgers starter LYNN is 9-1 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.9 rpg scored. LYNN is 15-6 OVER (+8.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 14-3 OVER in road games in day games this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 8-0 OVER in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season.LA DODGERS are 14-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. The Dodgers have gone over the total in 5 straight games. The Padres have gone over in 3 of their L/4 and score 8 or more runs in this over results. Play on the over |
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08-06-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks have lost 21 of their last 28 games and enter Sunday's action 1 1/2 games behind Cincinnati for the final NL wild-card spot and Im betting they will haver issues salvaging a win from this 3 game set today. I know their ace Zac Gallen has pitched well this season, but he is just 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 12 road starts and is being over rated here. Note: The Twins will return fire with a top tier hurler who suffered injury problems last season but now looks rehabilitated as is evident by making six starts for Saint Paul, where he went 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA while earning the International League Pitcher of the Month honors for July. Hes the wild card here and that makes us taking the runline a viable wagering opportunity. ARIZONA is 4-15 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. ARIZONA is 3-14 SU vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ARIZONA) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 4-38 L/26 seasons for a 91% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota +1.5 on the runline |
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08-06-23 | Marlins v. Rangers -127 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rangers have won 5 straight games and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt and deserve respect as short home favs . MIAMI is 16-40 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons against hurlers like Texas starter Heaney. ( The Marlins have averaged just 3.9 rpg vs southpaw pitching this season. Miami starter ALCANTARA is 6-13 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) Texas ha averaged 6.2 rpg at home during this campaign. BOCHY is 25-14 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. MIAMI is 10-36 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI) MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in August games are 62-32 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, in August games are 33-101 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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08-05-23 | Storm v. Mercury -3 | 97-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Mercury have been their most competitive at home this season, and Im betting they have the edge again vs a side they matchup well agains the Seattle Storm (6-20). I also expect the the Mercury will come out strong at home in Brittney Griner’s return who was off a mental health break. Mercury when playing at Footprint Center own a +1.4 rating , ranking sixth in the WNBA. The Storm, have a road net rating of -4.2. Mercury are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Play on the Mercury to cover |
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08-05-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Phillies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two pitchers KCs Alec Marsh (0-5, 6.75 ERA) and Philadelphia left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (0-3, 2.66) are hurlers who cant find the win column. Nothing comes easy for these two throwers and that that lack of being able to get across the finish line will factor into this tilt. It must be be noted that Kansas City recorded its seventh straight win with a 7-5 victory in the series opener on Friday and with that positive momentum on their sides Im betting they wont easily be defeated here tonight in Philadelphia by the Phillies. QUATRARO is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of KANSAS CITY. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 134-150 L/26 seasons for a sub par 47.5% conversion rate. ( This Runline offering matches up well with this SU data base gem) MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 67-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals +1.5 runline |
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08-05-23 | Rays -136 v. Tigers | 2-4 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
The Rays clobbered the Tigers 8-0 in the series opener on Friday night, limiting Detroit to three hits and similar rinse and repeat situation looks to be at hand here. Civale (5-2, 2.34 ERA) Im betting will primed to have a quality start for his new club. Civale, who was surprisingly dealt by the Cleveland Guardians to the Tampa Bay Rays for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo. He has been dominant in his career vs the Tigers as is evident by garnering 7-0 record along with a stingy 2.06 ERA in 10 starts and will once again give his team an edge here in Motown this afternoon. Rays starter CIVALE is 25-10 ) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 22-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CIVALE is 19-11 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter lefty Tarik Skubal (1-1, 4.57 ERA), who will be making his sixth start of the season according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs a Rays side that averages 5.7 rpg this season vs southpaw hurlers. Skubal has recorded a ugly 7.24 ERA in his L/3 starts and Im betting he will be cannon fodder again today. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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08-05-23 | Astros -134 v. Yankees | 1-3 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Astros are up-trending and are now 13-7 since the All-Star break, after a 7-3 victory vs the NYY on Friday. With newly acquired Verlander on the hill for the Astros, Im betting on the road team cashing here again. Verlander was 61-19 with a 2.26 ERA for the Astros in 102 regular-season starts and posted nine postseason wins, including three over the Yankees and Im sure will be motivated to put forward a top tier effort here again in his return . Veralnder is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last eight regular-season starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile the Astros get to go against left-hander Nestor Cortes (5-2, 5.16 ERA), who is returning from a left rotator cuff strain for his first start since allowing two runs in five innings on May 30 in Seattle. Rust will be a factor here for Cotres vs a Astros side, that has averaged 5.5 rpg vs LHP this season. Cortes is 1-1 with an 8.04 ERA in six regular-season appearances (three starts) against Houston. Note: Astros are v 62-25 v against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 36-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300) or less -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-04-23 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
NYY starter Luis Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA) last pitched Sunday in Baltimore, where he allowed seven of his nine runs in the opening inning and tied a season high by giving up 10 hits in less than 4 innings of work. That was the 4th time in 12 starts be allowed 7 runs or more and once again looks to be cannon fodder vs a up trending Astros offense that has averaged 5.1 rpg ion the road this season. . SEVERINO is 15-4 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houstons starter Brown went 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA in five July outings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here vs the NYY hitters. Im betting both these offenses do enough damage against these pitchers to get us over the offered total.
Play on the over |
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08-04-23 | Sun v. Fever +7.5 | 88-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The last time they took the court, the Indiana Fever grabbed a victory by a final score of 72-71 when they took down the Phoenix Mercury and have momentum entering this tilt against the Connecticut Sun. I know the Sun have the superior record, but the Fever, have a tendency of playing their best hoops against top tier sides, as is evident by 7-2-1 ATS mark in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play at home and with the confidence of a win last time out, Im betting the Fever make this game alot closer than the lines makers and pundits expect. Play on the Fever
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08-04-23 | Braves -158 v. Cubs | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Braves starter FRIED is 19-4 against the money line against NL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.57 and a WHIP of 0.826. ATLANTA is 12-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like like cubs starter Hendricks. HENDRICKS is 1-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 7.22 and a WHIP of 1.901. The pitching matchup and overall head to head data according to my power rankings supports a Cubs selection, at a slightly elevated money-line offering. However the edge is significant enough for me to lay a little more lumber than usual. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, in August games are 5-35 L/26 seasons for a 88% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 63-18 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta Braves to win. |
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08-03-23 | A's v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
JP Sears (2-7, 4.01 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 106 strikeouts); Dodgers: Julio Urias (7-6, 4.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 77 strikeouts) The Dodgers scored 10 runs yesterday in a win vs the As, and Im betting more positive production from the Dodgers explosive lineup here tonight and for the As to do just enough damage in response, to help us cash a Over ticket. OAKLAND is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 9-1 OVER ( vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored.
LA DODGERS are 9-0 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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08-03-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 33.5 | 16-21 | Loss | -113 | 85 h 46 m | Show | |
Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium - Canton, OH Early season pre season football usually favors the defenses over the offenses, and Im betting nothing changes here today in what my projections estimate will be a very low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games overall. Under is 7-0 in Jets last 7 vs. AFC. Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games on fieldturf. Under is 9-3 in Browns last 12 Thursday games. CLEVELAND is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents in exhibition ball since 1993 with a combined average of 32.5 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play under |
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08-03-23 | Orioles +149 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 149 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Baltimore leads the season series 7-2 after yesterdays 4-1 loss. They did win the first two games of this series, and are in bounce back mode here today. Orioles newly acquired starter today Flaherty (7-6, 4.43 ERA) has faced the Blue Jays just once in his seven-year career, and it was this season. Back April 1 in St. Louis, Flaherty at that time with the Cards picked up the win, allowing no runs or hits but walking seven in five innings. He stuck out four. Flaherty garnered a very stable 3.45 ERA in his final 12 starts with the Cardinals, including a 3.03 ERA in five July outings and Im betting he matches up well here vs a Toronto side that has slowed down precipitously on offense of late and on the season have only average 4.2 rpg at home . Jays starter today GAUSMAN is 7-12 ) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 4-10 ( against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 10-4 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Torontos starter Gausman. Baltimore's starter FLAHERTY is 16-6 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 16-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 47-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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08-02-23 | Wings v. Storm +6.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
Storm enter this game on a 5-1 ATS run in their last 6 games overall and have covered 4 of 5 vs an above .500 side like the visiting Wings . Im now betting the Storm keep this game close against a side that recently played all out hoops in a 104-91 loss vs the WNBAs top team Vegas, and will now be in an emotional letdown spot . These circumstances could easily see the Wings start slowly tonight. Note: I know the Wings can really light the board up in run and gun mode, but they also lack defensive responsibilities and are vulnerable to being upset when in regressionary mode like Im betting they will this evening. DALLAS is 3-11 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season. Play on Seattle to cover |
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08-02-23 | Mets v. Royals +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Royals have now won 4 straight games via. a up-ticking offense that has scored 27 runs in those 4 tilts , and have momentum entering this contest vs a very inconsistent NY Mets side in the 2nd game of this series. After the Mets shipped away top reliever David Roberston along with Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander you can bet on some negative down energy in the Mets dugout today making them fade material. NY METS are 19-28 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Ragans . NY METS are 15-19 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. SHOWALTER is 35-60 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 29-19 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 32-22 SU in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 41-16 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Royals to cover +1.5 on the run line |
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08-01-23 | Liberty v. Sparks +9 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
NYL have really been lighting up the scoreboard of late . but the Liberty D, has also been lit up and because of this have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 games. The Liberty have a great won loss record, but their wins don't seem to come all that easily, as is evident by not covering in 8 of their L/10. Considering LA has momentum entering this tilt winning 2 of their L/3 - I like the home sides chances at competing here and getting us the cover. ( The Liberty beat the Sparks by a 87-79 count back in NY a couple of days ago, and now Im betting on a even closer game here) NEW YORK is 4-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season. NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season. Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Liberty are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Sparks to cover |
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08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals +135 | 6-7 | Win | 135 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The Royals are off a 3-0 sweep of the Minnesota Twins last time out and have momentum entering this home series against the NY mets. Southpaw Jose Quintana (0-2, 3.27 ERA) is expected to start for the Mets against Royals right-hander Zack Greinke (1-11, 5.49). ( Greinke despite of sub par overall stats, has pitched his best baseball at home this season where he has garnered a stable 3.74 ERA. GREINKE is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Greinke is 5-1 with a 3.49 ERA in nine regular-season starts against the Mets. QUINTANA is 10-17 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) QUINTANA is 6-14 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) NY METS are 2-9 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. MLB team (KANSAS CITY) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 46-11 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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07-31-23 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 133 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Orioles starter GIBSON is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)GIBSON is also a perfect 5-0 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)Baltimore has won five of six games against Toronto this season and matchup well here again in the first game of this series.
MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 46-21 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win |
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07-30-23 | Yankees v. Orioles -123 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Yankees stater SEVERINO is 0-7 (against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). SEVERINO is 1-10 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Severino owns a less than pretty looking 6.90 ERA over his L/3 starts , and owns a 0-3 record on the road this season along with a 7.62 ERA and fade material in his current form. Orioles starter KREMER is 11-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-6 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-4 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The starting pitching matchup favors the Orioles, and Im recommending we back the home side because of this tonight. BOONE is 27-55 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of NY YANKEES. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 10-40 L/5 seasons for. a against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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07-30-23 | Storm +4 v. Fever | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Both these teams are examples of futility, however according to my power rankings the superior side in this matchup is the visiting Storm who have covered 4 of their L/5 overall and in the most recent past have had good results against the Fever. Also after a 4 game road trip Im betting it will take time for an inconsistent side like the Fever to get used to home cooking again. Advantage Storm. SEATTLE is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons including 3-0 L/3 visits to Indiana. WNBA Underdogs (SEATTLE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 33-12 ATS L/5 seasons for. a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to cover |
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07-30-23 | A's v. Rockies +102 | 0-2 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Oaklands starter Luis Medina has not faired well on the road this season, going 0-4 in 4 starts along with a ugly looking 9.87 ERA. Im betting things will go for bad to worse in their launching pad known as Coors Field. OAKLAND is 6-39 against the money line in day games this season. COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday this season. OAKLAND is 18-61 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. KOTSAY is 18-56 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors as the manager of OAKLAND. MLB team (COLORADO) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -105 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zack Littell (0-2, 5.11) is the scheduled starter for Tampa Bay on Sunday My power rankings suggest he does not matchup well vs the Astros batting order. With the Astros offense continuing upward momentum with Jose Altuve back in the line up the home side looks like viable investment option. Note: Astros wRC+ ( 109 )over the last 30 days, Meanwhile, Astros hurler Bielak in four starts since being recalled from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3 is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA. Houston has won three of those starts. TAMPA BAY is 6-16 against the money line in July games this season. HOUSTON is 41-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 21-9 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 48-18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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07-29-23 | Brewers v. Braves -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
The Braves took a conclusive 10-7 win vs the Brewers yesterday and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation manifesting itself here again today. ATLANTA is 44-20 against the money line after a win this season. ATLANTA is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like the Brewers Teheran. Meanwhile Braves fireballer Bryce Elder (7-2 , 3.32 ERA) while not pitching all that well of late, is more than capable of bouncing back here against a very inconsistent Milwaukee Bucks offense that is averaging just 4 rpg on the road this season via a .232 BA. The Braves are batting .277 at home this season while averaging 5.9 rpg. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-44 L/27 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 rpg which qualifies on this RL offering. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (MILWAUKEE) - after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR, in July games are 14-40 L/4 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win -1.5 |
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07-29-23 | Tigers v. Marlins -146 | 5-0 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Tigers rank 28th in MLB scoring (3.9), two spots below Miami (4.1) and Im betting the tigers offense also suffers to produce here today vs Marlins veteran right-hander starter Johnny Cueto who is coming off a top shelf start on July 22, when he held the Colorado Rockies to just two hits. Hes been suffering injury issues of late, but is now healthy and looking strong and deserves respect here. Cueto has faired well against against the Tigers, going 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six career starts covering 42 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat on board. MIAMI is 13-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like Motown starter Brieske. MIAMI is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. MIAMI is 13-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 71-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 9-0 this season for a 100% conversion rate. Play on Miami to win |
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07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays -120 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
. The Angels are scheduled to start left-hander Reid Detmers (2-7, 4.38 ERA) and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he does matchup well here. He garnered a no-decision against the Blue Jays on April 9 after allowing five runs, four earned, on five hits in five-plus innings and my projections estimate another down effort. The Toronto Blue Jays took the opener of their three-game series against the visiting Los Angeles Angels 4-1 on Friday and Im betting they grab the cheese again. LA ANGELS are 8-18 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-40 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 9-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-28-23 | Mariners -128 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Right-hander Logan Gilbert (8-5, 3.88) has won his last three decisions for Seattle and owns a 6-1 record on the road along with a stable 3.26 ERA and a stingy 0.935 WHIP. GILBERT is 12-2 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 13-4 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 21-9 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Diamondbacks left-hander Tommy Henry (5-3, 4.01 ERA) will start. He has lost his last two trips to the hill while lasting just 4 1/3 innings in each time. He is backed by a shaky bullpen, as the over pitching staff have allowed seven or more runs in eight games since the All-Star break and in their current form are fade material. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in home games against AL West opponents over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 3-13 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 53-16 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-28-23 | Rays v. Astros +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter McClanahan despite of great won loss record of 11-1 on the season, is also just 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against the Astros, both of which were down the stretch last season. Note: The Astros have done their best work against lefties like McClanahan averaging 5.6 rpg on a .272 team BA. Meanwhile, the Astros will throw out Right-hander Cristian Javier (7-2, 4.32 ERA) . I know he has not pitched all that well of late, but he is a viable hurler, and must be respected here at home where he owns a 7-0 record against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) JAVIER is also 6-0 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 11-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 5-15 against the money line in the second half of the season this season MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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07-28-23 | Lynx +14.5 v. Liberty | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Lynx are off a big win last time out by a 97-92 win vs the Mystics, and have momentum entering this tilt here vs a tired NY Liberty side in a rare back to back situation. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Liberty are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference. Home favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - averaging 42 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 51-96 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Lynx are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Play on Lynx to cover |
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07-27-23 | Guardians +100 v. White Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tanner Bibee (6-2, 3.04 ERA) goes to the hill for the Guardians on Thursday. Bibee, is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four July starts, and is coming off a 1-0 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. allowing just two hits, in 7 innings while striking out eight. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest their is a strong probability of him having a top tier performance. Cleveland's relievers have pitched just 8 innings in the last 3 games.(Advantage Cleveland) Chi White Sox's relievers have pitched 15 innings in the last 3 games. CLEVELAND is 22-5 against the money line when playing against a sub par team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. GRIFOL is 15-32 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX. Chi White Sox is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games. Chi White Sox is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. Play on the Cleveland Guardians to win |
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07-26-23 | Rangers +162 v. Astros | 13-5 | Win | 162 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers travel to the Houston Astros looking to end a four-game road slide after losing the first two games of this series by 1 run each time. These two instate rivals have played some coin flip games of late, and no matter who happens to be on the hill, the tilts are hard fought. There is simply to much value to pass up on with a hard hitting Texas side that could easily manufacture enough runs to win . BOCHY is 24-12 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 17-9 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 45-21 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-26-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Padres | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
The Padres will send out Seth Lugo (4-4, 3.72 ERA) to face the Pirates' Johan Oviedo (3-11, 4.77) on Wednesday. I know Oviedo has lost his past eight decisions but he owns a stable 3.23 ERA in five starts in June and I expect he will keep his team in this game against a Padres side the Pirates have had success against lately winning 4 of the L/5 meetings. SAN DIEGO is 9-15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (PITTSBURGH) - poor hitting team (AVG.250 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates +1.5 on the run-line |
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07-26-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Guardians | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Guardians will be the first below .500 team Marsh (0-4, 6.20 ERA) has gone against. He made his debut against the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 30, then started against the Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees -- and lost all 4 starts However, this offense he goes against here today is very light hitting and Im betting he gives them all they can handle, which will help keep his team in this game . In 100 games that the Guardians have played this season, they have a 0.00 rpg diff . MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL) are 34-9 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +165 to -135) (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 36-12 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.' Play on the Royals +1.5 run-line |
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07-25-23 | Fever v. Sparks UNDER 165.5 | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play under |
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07-25-23 | Mariners v. Twins -113 | 9-7 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Kirby (9-8, 3.23 ERA) limited the Twins to four hits over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none in a 5-0 victory on Thursday in Seattle, but Im betting Minnesota will be ready for him in the rematch and will garner their 5th straight victory. Meanwhile, Twins starter Pablo Lopez who pitches today was the loser last time out. However, Lopez is pitching at a top tier level this season, via a nasty sweeper and a 30.2% KO ratio. Take Lopez in the rematch. SEATTLE is 9-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. SEATTLE is 5-14 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 37-19 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 9-40 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to win |
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07-25-23 | Mercury v. Dream UNDER 166.5 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low 160s giving us a significant edge on the offered Totals number from the sports books. Under is 5-0 in Dream last 5 overall. Last time out the Sky had a rare offensive outburst, scoring 90s points , but previous to that they did score more than 77 points in 4 straight games, and now Im betting on immediate regression, against a Vegas side that is currently playing a top tier brand of D, as is evident by not allowing three of their L/4 opponents to exceed 78 points in production. Meanwhile, I also expect Atlanta to try to slow this game down to a crawl vs an explosive side which will aid in a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 overall.Under is 16-5 in Mercury last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 15-5-1 in Mercury last 21 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play under |
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07-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Jays starter BERRIOS is 8-0 OVER in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. BERRIOS is 9-1 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12 rpg scored. Micheal Grove the Dodgers starter has garnered a (2-2 record along with a , 6.40 ERA) and Im betting he will have problems with this sometimes explosive Blue Jays offense tonight. LA DODGERS are 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 14 rpg scored. The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 90 games (-27.15 Units / -27% ROI)Play on the OVER |
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07-24-23 | Rangers v. Astros +100 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Right-hander Jon Gray (6-5, 3.31) goes to the hill for the Rangers on Monday. He is winless over his last seven starts, recording a 0-4 record with a 4.66 ERA during that span and Im betting his fortunes will not change here today vs the Houston Astros.Gray has seen his L/3 starts vs the Astros result in his team losing (two of them in Houston) Meanwhile, the Astros will reply with right-hander Brandon Bielak (5-5, 3.46 ERA) . He threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-1 win over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, allowing one hit and three walks while recording four strikeouts and is 2-1 with a 1.02 ERA in three starts since returning from Triple-A Sugar Land on July 3. In his current form Im betting he gives the Rangers batting order all they can handle. BAKER is 45-16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 9-1 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 25-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, playing on Monday are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing on Monday are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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07-23-23 | Mets v. Red Sox -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox and New York Mets meet on Sunday with the three-game series tied 1-1. The Mets have showed a little life of late, but are still playing inconsistent ball. Red Sox: 6-4, .271 batting average, and own a 4.24 ERA in their L/10, and have outscored opponents by 17 runs. Meanwhile, the Mets: 4-6, L/10 along with a .188 batting average, 4.40 ERA, and have been outscored by 15 runs. NYM starter CARRASCO is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP of 2.085 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not match up well vs the BoSox. The Red Sox remain in the postseason hunt and are 2.5 games behind the AL East rival Toronto Blue Jays for the third and final wild-card spot and must keep pace so a prime time effort must be expected here in the rubber match of this inter-league series by the home side. In a game they may end up being a bullpen start for the Red Sox they will send LHP B. Bernardino to get things going on the mound. Note: The Mets have struggled mightily against LHP this season averaging just 3.3 rpg via a lowly .214 BA. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa +5 v. Calgary | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
CALGARY is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.CALGARY is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. CFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off a win over a division rival, in July games are 17-50 ATS L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. |
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07-23-23 | Fever +12 v. Liberty | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana has been mostly competitive this season, and have now covered three straight and have momentum entering this game off a upset victory last time out. Meanwhile, NY despite of a great won loss record, have been over rated by the lines-makers of late, as is evident by failing to cover 5 straight and 6 of their L/7. With that said, according to my power rankings the Liberty are once again tagged with an exaggerated ATS offering from the books giving us value taking points with a viable underdog. WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, in May, June, or July games are 6-27 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 26-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. ( The last time these teams played on July 12 the Liberty took a 95-87 ) Play on Indiana to cover |
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07-23-23 | Rockies v. Marlins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Luzardo (8-5, 3.34 ERA the Marlins starter has seen his team go 13-7 when he starts. The southpaw has won his past three decisions and hasn't lost since June 12 and gives his team a great opportunity to end their current 7 game losing streak here today in convincing fashion. Colorado has averaged just 3.7 rpg on the road this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 70-10 L/5 seasons for a 88 % conversion rate including 8-0 100% this season with a rpg diff clicking in at +2.7 which qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Miami Marlins to win -1.5 |
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07-22-23 | Pirates v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The LA Angels have scored and average of 7.1 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and Im betting on more quality offensive production today vs the Pittsburgh Pirates who have allowed an average of 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. I know the Pirates offense has not been all that productive or consistent, but Im betting the Halos doing most of the heavy lifting for us today in a game I have pegged to see the offered number eclipsed. Note: Pittsburgh's starter Bido owns a 8.10 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, Angels starter Reid Detmers, has recorded a ugly 7.63 ERA on his L/3 starts, LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 14-4 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season with a combined average of 10 rpg scored. Play over |
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07-22-23 | Diamondbacks v. Reds -105 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
The Dbacks have lost 6 of their L/8 games while the Reds have won 3 straight and Im betting on both these trends remaining in place after this game has finished. Note: Brandon Williamson, Reds Starter has looked very strong of late as is evident by garnering a 2.57 ERA L/3 starts and deserves respect here on a short line. MLB team (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 30-69 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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07-22-23 | Dodgers v. Rangers +114 | 16-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers had a six game win streak abruptly end yesterday in the first game of this series, vs the visiting LA Dodgers. But Im betting on a bounce back situation today for a under rated group of Rangers. Rangers starter DUNNING is 11-1 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Dunning is 4-0 at home this season, and has been very stable. BOCHY is 24-11 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of TEXAS. TEXAS is 31-18 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. LA DODGERS are 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - very good NL offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 33-85 L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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07-22-23 | Sun v. Dream +1 | 86-78 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 6 of their L/8 overall and three straight homes games and deserve respect in their current form. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 42-15 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-21-23 | Mets +110 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The New York Mets have hit the Money-line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI) and are starting to play the type of baseball that was expected of them to begin this season. With Japanese hurler Kodi Senga on the hill the Mets once again look like viable bets as underdogs. Senga owns a 1.89 ERA in his L/3 starts along with a even stingier 0.947 WHIP. Meanwhile, the NYM offense, according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well vs the Red Sox starter tonight- Crawford who in 15 innings at home this season in Fenway has recorded a ugly 9.00 ERA via 22 hits and 15 ERS averaging just 3.7 innings per start or appearance. The NYM have done their best offense work against righties this season as is evident by averaging 5 rpg in run production against orthodox hurlers. I know the Red sox have a viable bullpen, but it must be noted that SHOWALTER is 39-23 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of NY METS. BOSTON is 2-8 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.BOSTON is 2-13 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. NY Mets to win . |
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07-20-23 | Aces v. Storm +17 | 79-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Storm have lost the last 7 games while the Aces have won 3 straight and remain the top team in the WNBA. However , my numbers suggest this line is bloated and should be closer to -12 giving us alot of value with the underdog. SEATTLE is 26-12 ATS L/28 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) . Aces are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Hughes is 13-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of SEATTLE. I know Seattle has been beaten up by the Aces, but Im betting the Storm find a way to stand up here, and get some respect back. Play on Seattle to cover |
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07-20-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Astros dominated a pair of earlier three-game series against Oakland, sweeping both by a total score of 31-9 and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight in Oakland. OAKLAND is 6-37 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with average rpg diff clicking in at -3.9 which qualifies on this run line offering.
Im betting Astros starter (France) who was supported by 27 total runs, in three recent starts has the edge. He went 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in those outings and deserves respect on this run-line offering as he is supported by a bullpen that owns a solid 3.67 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, As starter left-hander Hogan Harris (2-3, 6.51 ERA), have seen his team lose in each of his last five appearances, three of which were starts. In the other two, Harris served in a bulk-innings reliever role. The rookie has gone 0-3 with an 8.03 ERA over that stretch and is fade material at this point of his career in a starters role. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to +165) (OAKLAND) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), playing on Thursday are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston -1.5 run-line |
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07-19-23 | Twins +144 v. Mariners | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Twins are heating up offensively, as is evident by having scored 5 or more runs in all five games coming out of the all-star break including the 10 runs yesterday via a 14 hit output. Im betting on the Twins momentum heading to this game against a light hitting Seattle side that owns a lowly .212 batting average in their L/10 trips to the diamonds. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 6-14 against the money line against AL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.909. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 57% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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07-19-23 | Wings v. Liberty UNDER 171 | 98-88 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
My own personal projections for this game featuring the Liberty and the Wings are in the 167 range giving us a full possession plus value advantage with an under wager. The average combined score of home home Liberty games, is in the 169 range. The Wings have seen an average combined score of 166.3 ppg scored in their road games and previous to a big output last time out had seen five straight games stay under the total. Last time out the Wings had a rare offensive explosion of 107 points and now Im betting on immediate regression vs the Liberty that will effect this games production levels to the under. Under is 5-0 in Wings last 5 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Wings last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Wings last 5 Wednesday games. Play under |
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07-18-23 | Giants -130 v. Reds | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
San Francisco right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (4-8, 4.44 ERA) returns from the 15-day injured list to start against his former team. He was experiencing arm fatigue but says he feels much better now. The Giants righty is 1-1 with a 0.84 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against Cincinnati and deserves respect here in his return. The Giants have won 5 straight and are my choice in this tilt against a Reds side that has lost 4 straight. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 55-18 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 7-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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07-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -182 | 16-13 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The Braves had won 11 consecutive series before losing two of three games to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and will now be in a key bounce back situation vs a Arizona side that is now slumping after a fast start to their campaign. Im betting the Braves explosive batting order matches up well vs right-hander Zach Davies (1-5, 6.37),. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out in. a 8-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox. ATLANTA is 29-8 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-46 L/26 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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07-18-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays +122 | 9-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Padres have lost 12 of their past 15 road games as they visit the red hot Toronto Blue Jays that has won 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Im betting both sides trajectory remain the same today in this matchup. TORONTO is 13-2 ( against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher like Musgrove whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons TORONTO is 11-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-17-23 | Red Sox -160 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting on the Red Sox to get their 10th win in their last 12 games, tonight in Oakland against a As team on a 7 game losing streak. Note: Expected BoSox starter Pivetta has made four appearances (three starts) against Oakland, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 27 innings. OAKLAND is 5-22 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 11-0 since 2021 in the first game of a series vs non-AL East teams when coming off a 5+ run win. (Red Sox won yesterday by a 11-5 count vs Oakland). Play on Bosox to win |
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07-17-23 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The Angels pitching has really been struggling of late as is evident by allowing an average of 8.9 rpg in this L/7 overall and here against the Yankees today Im betting things wont change much as my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest, NYY matches up well vs Canning (6-4, 4.62 ERA) who is coming off his shortest outing of the season, when he lasted just 2 2/3 innings in an 11-4 defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 7. On the flip-side, the Halos offense 5.1 rpg vs NYY righty pitcher like Severino.LUIS SEVERINO in 5 road games, this season owns a bloated 9.27 ERA. Everything points to a higher scoring event. LA ANGELS are 20-8 OVER in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI) MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 12 rpg scored in those tilts. Play on the over |
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07-17-23 | Nationals v. Cubs -133 | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Cubs starter SMYLY is 9-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-3 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 17-5 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.103. Meanwhile, Washingtons starter Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Cubs. He lost to Smyly and Chicago on May 1, when he yielded four runs on seven hits in four-plus innings. Rinse and repeat here today . WASHINGTON is 12-26 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 16-31 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs to win |
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07-16-23 | Astros -124 v. Angels | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Javier (7-1, 4.34) is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against the Angels and get my support here tonight agains the Angels. Yesterday the Halos came from behind late for a extra innings win, which ended and 6 game win streak, but Im betting they don't make it two in a row in this spot play. Note: Javier has received plenty of run support in his L/3 outings (10,10, 12) .Entering Saturday's game, Astros starters were 5-0 with a 2.44 ERA against the Angels this season and a bounce back in the cards again according to my projections. Angels starter Anderson (4-2, 5.25) does not have a win and nearly a month. He is 0-1 in five career starts against the Astros with a 6.75 ERA. The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 away games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI) |
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07-16-23 | Marlins +152 v. Orioles | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Miami's starting pitcher will be left-hander Steven Okert (3-0, 2.43) will start his first career start after 201 relief appearances. Today should be a bullpen day for the Marlins, but my pitching vs batting order power ranking still suggest the Marlins have the edge. Yesterday the Marlins smashed out 11 hits and relinquished a early 4-0 lead to lost 6-5, but now Im betting a bounce back scenario. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 83 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 48-21 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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07-15-23 | Astros -133 v. Angels | 12-13 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
The Halos have lost 6 straight after losing the first game of this series, and Im going to bet against them again today. The Los Angeles Angels have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 20 games (-13.95 Units / -54% ROI) and are fade material in their current form.Astros starter VALDEZ is 24-6 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 8-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like Valdez. LA ANGELS are 1-10 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on Houston to win |
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07-15-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season the Rays showed some regression just before the all star break, but they did take a 10-4 win in their final game before the break against the Atlanta Braves and have both rest and some momentum entering this game after yesterdays tilt was cancelled. ampa Bay's Tyler Glasnow (2-3, 4.10 ERA) and Kansas City's Alec Marsh (0-2, 7.00) are scheduled to face off in the opener. With the pitching advantage going to the Rays. Glasnow struck out 12 of the 19 batters he faced in five innings during the most recent outing against the Royals, back on June 25 and gets my support today against a very inconsistent Royals offense. The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI) MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line -120 to +115) (TAMPA BAY) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA= 5.70 to 6.20)-AL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 32-7 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 |
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07-15-23 | Padres v. Phillies UNDER 10 | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The Phillies Taijuan Walker (10-3, 4.02 ERA) and Ranger Suarez (2-4, 3.77) are expected to be the' starters in the second game of the doubleheader. Both pitchers are backed by viable bullpens and Im betting pitching bests the batting orders this afternoon in a game I have projected to remain on the low side of the total. Suarez is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in four career games (one start) against the Padres. Walker is 3-3 with a 2.61 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego. SAN DIEGO is 30-18 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 16-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI) The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 73 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 42-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play under |
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07-15-23 | Marlins +104 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Marlins left-hander Braxton Garrett (5-2, 3.70 ERA) has won his past four decisions and hasn't taken a loss since May 8 and gets my support here tonight against the Baltimore Orioles. note:The Marlins are 10-1 in Garrett's last 11 trips to the hill. MIAMI is 20-8 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Meanwhile, Orioles starter GIBSON is 6-16 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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07-15-23 | Red Sox -102 v. Cubs | 4-10 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
BoSox hurler Left-hander James Paxton (5-1, 2.73 ERA) makes his 11th start of the season.Paxton has been out standing over his last seven starts, going 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the fireballer again today.PAXTON is 18-7 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile the Cubbies starting hurler Stroman is struggling as is evident in his last three outings recording a 0-2 record along with a 7.71 ERA and is fade material in his current form. STROMAN is 18-31 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-16 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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07-14-23 | Tigers v. Mariners -180 | 5-4 | Loss | -180 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
Castillo as member the AL all star team this season, is 2-0 over his past three starts. Last Friday at Houston, he allowed just one unearned run on five hits in seven innings against the Astros in a 10-1 victory and once again looks like a viable bet against a team batting order my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-0 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SEATTLE) - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 61-5 L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-14-23 | Astros +142 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 142 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
LA entered the all star break having lost 5 straight times, and 9 of their L/10 overall. Their trajectory is still not a good one, even with big name pitcher/player Ohtani (7-4, 3.32 ERA) on the hill. The Japanese phenom lost his most recent outing, allowing five runs and seven hits in five innings of an 8-5 loss to the San Diego Padres on July 4 and may not be 100% healthy entering this tilt. Meanwhile, Houstons starter France (4-3, 3.26) has won his past two outings while recording a stingy 2.84 ERA over his L/3 starts , and on the season has pitched well away from home as is evident by a 1.95 ERA. Advantage Houston. HOUSTON is 21-8 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season and 1-9 against teams that strike out by an average of more than 7 times a game like the Astros. Play on Astros to win |
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07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies +179 | 2-7 | Win | 179 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Colorados starter Gomber has won his last three starts while garnering a 3.00 ERA. Here against a struggling NYY side that owns a lowly .231 team BA average while ranking 28th in the majors he looks to be a strong underdog candidate. Note: NYY starter Rodon in his only start in the Mike High City , Rodon was roughed up for six runs in 5 1/3 innings. GOMBER is 9-2 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record) The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 32-16 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-14-23 | Marlins +113 v. Orioles | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Top tier pitcher Alcantara does not have a great record this season for Miami, but is still a viable hurler who finished off his first half of the season , by recording 6 2/3 strong innings by giving up only one run last Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies. Alcantara won his only career appearance against Baltimore, allowing three runs in six innings of a 2021 game at Baltimore and get the nod here today vs the Orioles starter Kremer. The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.00 Units / 28% ROI) MIAMI is 10-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.MIAMI is 17-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this seasonBALTIMORE is 6-21 against the money line in home games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB team (MIAMI) - average NL offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starter (ERA 4.30 to 5.70), hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 30-8 L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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07-14-23 | Red Sox -116 v. Cubs | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston has won 5 straight entering this tilt and have major momentum entering this tilt. I know . Chicago pitchers have done well of late, but it must be noted that CHICAGO CUBS are 2-9 against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. Note Bostons starter Bello Bello (6-5, 3.04 ERA) is currently in top form as is evident by his last 12 starts, he is 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and has allowed no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch and gives the Red Sox the edge here. Over his last 12 starts, the 24-year-old has gone 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA. In addition to allowing no more than three earned runs in each of those 12 outings, Bello has worked at least five innings on 11 occasions during that stretch. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. BOSTON is 20-4 L/24 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season . MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less), with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the BoSox to win |
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