Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-17-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -3 | 27-24 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
Bengals star QB is off a ugly game week 1 performance vs Cleveland, where he registered a unfamiliar 52.2 passer rating. You can now bet the top gun quarterback will be primed for a big bounce back this week against the Baltimore Ravens. Bengals QB Burrow is 13-1 SUATS in his NFL career in games against opposition coming off a SU/ATS win like the Ravens.CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons.CINCINNATI is 3-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons at home. Rinse and repeat. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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09-17-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Texans | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
Colts QB Richardson was overall impressive in his first NFL start. He ran for a score but also completed a 39-yard touchdown pass to Michael Pittman Jr. He passed for 223 yards, completed 24 of 37 attempts and looks to be very poised under center and must be respected here in the underdog role. Meanwhile, his QB opponent Stroud, is a viable young arm, but Richardson looks more polished at this point and from my perspective the Colts are the overall deeper , healthier and more talented side and I wont be surprised if they win this game straight up. Stroud did not get a TD in first outing and the sledding promises to be less than easy in this tilt. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - sub par team from last season - outgained by their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play are 5-26 L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a home loss by 10 or more points, in the first two weeks of the season are 22-2 ATS L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992 in Houston and won their last visit here. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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09-17-23 | Lynx v. Sun OVER 158 | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Connecticut blasted Minnesota by a 90-60 count in game 1 of this series, and Im betting they light the board up again, but for the Lynx to reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own in a tilt Im projecting to eclipse this total. MINNESOTA is 8-1 OVER revenging a blowout loss versus opponent by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 176.4 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 10-3 OVER in home games after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this season with aq combined average of 167.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 Sunday games. Over is 5-2 in Lynx last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 7-3 in Lynx last 10 overall. Over is 4-1 in Sun last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 13-5 in Sun last 18 home games. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - off a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 37-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 165 ppg going on the board. Play over |
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09-16-23 | Kansas -28 v. Nevada | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 51 m | Show | |
Ken Wilson’s Nevada are a defensively challenged team as is evident by allowing 552 yards per game ranking them (No. 123 in the country). thats not a good omen heading into this tilt vs an explosive Kansas Jayhawks side, that ranks No.10 in the nation in offense averaging 530 yards per game averaging 41 point per game. With that said, this looks very much to be a mismatch of mammoth proportions. Note: Kansas is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS L/10 as 20 or more point favorite . NEVADA is 0-6 ATS when they allow 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 30.2 . CFB home team (NEVADA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 8-40 ATS L/31 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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09-16-23 | Wyoming +30 v. Texas | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 60 h 30 m | Show | |
After upsetting Alabama last week the Texas Longhorns are in a huge emotional letdown situation. Also because of this the line is becoming public heavy offering us a great opportunity for a underdog cover vs a Wyoming side that is stable on both sides of the ball and off a win vs Texas Tech last time out . This is a tough spot for the Longhorns as they have Baylor on board next time out, so their attention may not be fully where they need it to be. TEXAS is 21-37 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Longhorns are also 0-4-1 ATS as a double-digit favorites in matchups when they are off an upset victory as a underdog of 7 or more points. Wyoming is 3-0 ATS L/3 meetings in this series. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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09-16-23 | New Mexico State +1.5 v. New Mexico | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 58 m | Show | |
The New Mexico Lobos are 0-8 ATS the last eight as a favorite and Im betting their losing run continues today in the battle of instate rivals here today. Lobos, are also 1-7 ATS the last eight games in this series.Last season NM State took a 21-9 win as 7-point chalk at Las Cruces and I dont believe that the Lobos have made enough changes to get the revenge they want . New Mexico State to cover |
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09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue +2.5 | 35-20 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 53 m | Show | |
Syracuse Orange have looked impressive in their first two games, but they haven't faced any top tier opponents, only taking out a Group of Five opponent and a nonmajor side.Syracuse won last season's meeting with Purdue at home by, 32-29 count, as the teams combined for 42 fourth-quarter points , but now Im betting on the home side once again finding a way to come out on top . Dino Barber is a good coach , but this according to my power rankings is bad matchup for his side. Note: the Orange have struggled on the road, winning just five of their last 20 road games. They have also won just three of their L/17 tilts against Big Ten opposition. Play on Purdue to cover |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
Tennessee has lost 10 straight visits to the Swamp and Im betting knocking out that jinx run wont come easily today behind QB Joe Milton who cant seem to find a rhythm. You can bet HC Napier and company will play hard here vs a side, that will finally play a tough opponent after two FCSc cupcakes. Napier is also 3-0 SU/ATS with Florida as an underdog at home. CFB home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 22-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% onversion rate. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 27-6 ATS L/31` seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-16-23 | James Madison +3 v. Troy | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 31 m | Show | |
JMU took out Virginia last week 36-35 and must be respected here against Troy getting points. Troys 12 game undefeated run came to a screeching halt in their tilt last week, in a 42-13 loss to KsState and now they are in jeopardy of a two game losing streak. JMU is 22-8 in conference openers, which includes winning its past eight between 2015 and 2022.This is also JMU's fifth straight conference opener on the road.Last season, JMU rallied back from down 28-3 at App State, scoring 29 unanswered for a thrilling 32-28 win. Play on James Madison to cover |
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09-16-23 | South Carolina +28 v. Georgia | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
This asking price for Georgia is just a little bit high according to my projections. In no shape or form am I saying south Carolina will pull of an uspet here, but they should be competitive. It must be noted that The GameCocks own a 7-0 ATS record as the visitors in this series and must be respected in their ability to stay within the number. South Carolina has cashed 4 of their L/5 as road dogs of 15 points or more.
GEORGIA is 3-12 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive home wins since 1992.GEORGIA is 6-16 ATS in home games after a 2 game home stand since 1992. Play on South Carolina to cover |
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09-16-23 | East Carolina v. Appalachian State OVER 47 | 28-43 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
ECU defense ranks 99th in total defense and 104th in scoring defense and Im betting is in deep trouble vs the Mountaineers. Meanwhile, App State is top-50 in total offense, passing offense, rushing offense and scoring offense and Im betting they tee off here today on their own home field vs a side that looks vulnerable . App State D, has also been sub par and even though the Pirates have not really been rhythmic on offense so far this season they should do enough damage here to help us eclipse this beat down number. Houston is 10-0 OVER off a home loss as the coach of E CAROLINA with a combined average of 79.3 ppg scored. (E.Carolina lost last time out 31-13 to Marshall.) Play over |
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09-16-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -121 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
After yesterdays 3-0 loss to the Blue Jays the BoSox have now lost 8 of their L/10 games and are fade material in their current form. Yesterday the Jays snapped a 4 games losing streak and now have some momentum on their sides and with Bassit who owns a 2.55 ERA in his L/3 starts on the hill have an edge over Boston starter Sale and a bullpen that is sub par as is evident by a 4.34 ERA on the season. Note: Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA vs the BoSox and his career. He beat the Red Sox on Aug. 6 after throwing seven innings of one-run ball. SALE is 17-24 against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 12-40 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 3-17 against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 6-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-16-23 | Georgia Southern +19.5 v. Wisconsin | 14-35 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern must not be underestimated getting this may points as they look to an explosive offensive side that can put points up on the board in a hurry as is evident by averaging 41.5 PPG in their first two games and wins of the season. It must be noted that Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS in their L/2 vs the Sunbelt and looked lethargic at times vs Washington State in a loss last time out. Whiskey is just 1-7 ATS L/8 when coming off a road loss. Im not a big Luke Fickell fan and have no problems fading his ability to inspire the Badgers at home in Camp Randall today where the Badgers are just 12-12 ATS L/24 overall. Last season, the Eagles stunned Nebraska 45-42, another Big Ten opponent, and Im betting they compete here today. Play on Georgia southern to cover |
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09-15-23 | Reds +100 v. Mets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Left-hander David Peterson (3-8, 5.34 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against right-hander Hunter Greene (4-6, 4.43). Greene returned from the COVID-19 injured list on Sunday, and he earned the win after allowing just an unearned run on one hit over six innings in the Reds' 7-1 victory over the visiting St. Louis Cardinals and has momentum entering this tilt as gives the Reds the advantage here today. CINCINNATI is 11-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. NY METS are 4-11 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CINCINNATI) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-15-23 | Virginia +15 v. Maryland | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Virginia fell part late falling asleep at the proverbial wheel vs a very good JMD side last week giving up 12 points in the final quarter to lose 36-35 but Im betting on a wide awake bounce back effort here tonight against a Maryland side that they have covered against in their L/4 trips here in the visitors role. It must also be noted that this Virginia football program is 5-0 ATS in road openers off a loss. CFB home team (MARYLAND) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against a sub par rushing team (100 or less RY/game) are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (VIRGINIA) - off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less, in the first month of the season are 71-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia to cover |
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09-15-23 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
In the opener, New York right-hander Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.79 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Johan Oviedo (8-14, 4.34). My projections estimate that the Yankees will score 5 plus runs and the Pirates 3 plus runs which gives us an edge on an over ticket cashing here today. PITTSBURGH is 11-3 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. PITTSBURGH is 16-4 OVER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. BOONE is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scorec. MLB road teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 44-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the over |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6.5 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia did not look good against New England this past Sunday, but found a way to win even tough they were out yarded by 131 yards. Meanwhile, the Vikings lost despite of out gaining their opponent, the Tampa bay Bucs by 127 yards. It must ber noted that Minnesota's' QB Kirk Cousins is 29-9 ATS when his team were defeated the previous week. I know these teams showed diff results on the scoreboard, but I like the way the Vikes lineup here vs a injury riddled Eagles lineup , and they will get my support getting points. Philadelphia is n 0-6 ATS in their L/6 home openers, NFL Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 18-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -126 | 6-1 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 10-18 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SNELL is 14-25 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Snell has had a strong season, but the Dodgers can make the best of pitcher look average. Im betting that will be the situation today. Snell has lost 2 of 3 starts vs the dodgers this season. LA DODGERS are 26-9 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. LA DODGERS are 21-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 70-38 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-13-23 | Lynx +9 v. Sun | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
"The Lynx are just the second team in league history to make the playoffs after starting 0-6, and must not be under estimated in their ability to compete here tonight against the Connecticut Sun. Collier, Kayla McBride, Aerial Powers, Jessica Shepard and (Dorka) Juhasz, have shown alot of cohesion as the season, has progressed, and despite a few stumbles to end their season are a viable underdog side to back . While I dont believe they can win this game outright, I do believe in them not going out with a whimper at least in game 1.MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons .Reeve is 28-15 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite as the coach of MINNESOTA. Lynx are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Lynx are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.Lynx are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
After taking it on the chin yesterday by a 11-8 count Im betting the Dodgers come back with a big time bounce back effort today vs the Padres. LA DODGERS are 40-17 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 15-3 against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season. LA DODGERS are 34-12 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like the Padres starter Wacha. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 88-30 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LAD to win |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Padres Pedro Avila goes to the hill. The righty is 1-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Avila is 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers and matches up well here. Avila just pitched 6.2 scoreless innings against the PadresThe Padres pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.86), 16th in WHIP (1.29) and 4th in quality starts (66). On the flip side, G.Stone despite of not pitching well goes against, a Padres offense that is highly inconsistent, as is evident , by a offense that is ranked in 17th in runs per game (4.55), 22nd in batting average (.242). Everything points to a lower scoring affair. SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg. SAN DIEGO is 33-17 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg going on the board. SAN DIEGO is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg. ROBERTS is 48-30 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average of 8.4 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 43-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46.5 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 107 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jets and Bills have a recent low scoring matchup history as is evident by three straight under in the last 3 meetings with 37, 37, and 32 combined points going on the scoreboard. Last season Buffalo went under the Total in 7 of 8 road games when favored, while the Jets went under in 4 of 5 games as home pups. BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 35.4 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 38.3 ppg scored. Also Monday night home dogs have remained on the low side of the number 13 straight times over the last couple of seasons. Considering this field is prob going to be in bad shape after the Dallas. NY Giants games on Sunday it would be fair to access that the sledding could be rough for the offenses which once again favors a lower scoring affair. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 5.7 or more yards/play, versus division opponents are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies +130 | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is currently four games up in the first NL Wild Card spot and will be playing hard against a team that already has their post season destiny in hand. Advantage Phillies. Atlantas starter MORTON is 17-32 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MORTON is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.575. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 49-104 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-10-23 | Rams +5.5 v. Seahawks | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 81 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rams had a bad season last year, but that was in part due to key injuries including top gun QB M Stafford who is now healthy. Im now betting on a rebound from the Rams, and on the flipside for QB Geno Smith and company to regress after a better than expected season in 2022. Note: The Rams have cashed 5 of their L/6 season openers, while the Seahawks have failed to cover 7 of their L/8 as division home favs of 3 points or more. Rams are also 7-3 ATS L/10 as division road dogs. . LA RAMS is 4-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons and have covered their L/2 trips to Seattle. Play on Rams to cover |
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09-10-23 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 81 h 6 m | Show | |
Las Vegas’ key offseason move came under center as they replaced Derek Carr with Jimmy Garoppolo and if he stays healthy he will pay dividends for this Raiders franchise.The Las Vegas Raiders have won their last six matchups with the Denver Broncos and Im betting they wont lose this game easily making getting points a viable investment option. It must also be noted that Denver has failed to cover 6 straight as division home favs. I know there is hype behind the Broncos but until they prove themselves with actual wins instead of just being competitive they are fade material. LAS VEGAS is 41-24 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992 NFL Home favorites (DENVER) - poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, versus division opponents are 16-43 ATS. since 1983 for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors. Play on the Raiders to cover |
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09-10-23 | Eagles v. Patriots +4 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 1 m | Show | |
New England’s offense has had an offseason revamp following the hiring of new offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien and Im betting they will be more aggressive offensively right out of the gate. The type of football that QB Mac Jones, thrived on in his days with Alabama will be implemented here with key receivers getting his attention, including new acquisition JuJu Smith-Schuster. The Patriots have won four of the past five regular-season meetings and most not be underestimated here today at home. Defensively Im betting on LB Matt Judon to wreak havoc on the Eagles in an all out physical battle that favors the Pats. Eagles 2-6 ATS in their last eight non-division away games. NEW ENGLAND is 26-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1992. New England is 12-3 SU L/15 home season openers under Bill Belichick . The loser of the previous Super Bowl if they are away in Game One of the campaign are just 2-15 ATS dating back 33 seasons. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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09-10-23 | Orioles -102 v. Red Sox | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Baltimore has won 7 straight games and has big time momentum going into this tilt. I know The Red Sox are desperate and Bello their starter is a consistent go to pitcher, but considering how explosive the Os batting order is right now very few pitchers in this league could handle them in their current form. BALTIMORE is 9-0 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive overs this season. BOSTON is 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 4-12 against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more 2 straight games since 1997. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-10-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Falcons | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 11 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are set to start the 2023 season with a rookie quarterback. Bryce Young, but he is a quality player who learns quickly and must not be under estimated in his ability to get out of the gate quickly. Meanwhile, Second-year quarterback Desmond Ridder goes for Atlanta. Ridder played four games and was sacked nine times. In those four games, he only passed for 708 yards and can hardly looked upon as a strong candidate to have a fluid game. My assessment and projections estimate a close game that could easily be decided by FG which gives us an edge with the underdog. Favorites (ATLANTA) - in the first month of the season, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 2 games are 6-29 L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate. Carolina has covered thier last 2 visits to Atlanta. Carolina to cover |
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09-10-23 | Sky +10 v. Sun | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Chicago has been highly competitive recently covering 6 of their L/7 and deserve respect here getting points. The Connecticut Sun Im betting sit some players as their play off destiny is secured as the third seed. Sky are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Connecticut. WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - good free throw shooting team (76-80%) against an average free throw shooting team (71-76%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 45% better of their shots are 39-77 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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09-10-23 | Mystics +10 v. Liberty | 90-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Mystics seem to always bring their A game out when playing the Liberty. . The regular season ends Sunday in New York Im betting will rest key players on a roster that has weathered injuries all summer. Mystics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and deserve respect here getting this many points.Liberty are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. WNBA Home favorites (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, vs. division opponents are 35-71 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. Mystics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Washington to cover |
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09-09-23 | Arizona +9 v. Mississippi State | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 42 m | Show | |
Mississippi State in memory of ther late coach Mike Leach put up a huge effort winning a decisive 48-7 decision vs SE Louisiana last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown situation this week, that will likely see regression. It must be noted that Mississippi State smashed the Arizona by 22 points back in 2022 (39-17)and now with revenge on board, you can bet this Wildcats side will be primed to play and with them getting points Im betting we have value. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 3-22 L/10 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - team with a horrible scoring defense last season - allowed 35 or more points/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 19-6 L/31 seasons for. a76% conversion rate. Play on Arizona to cover |
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09-09-23 | Temple +9 v. Rutgers | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 21 m | Show | |
The Knights beat the Northwestern Wildcats last time out 24-7, in a tilt that saw Rutgers gain just 283 yards of offense which tells me that this team is being over rated here . Meanwhile, the Owls came from behind to beat a pretty good Akron team last time by allowing the Zips to just 38 yards of offense in the 2nd half. Note: The Owls program has cashed 6 of their L/7 openers against opposition that just notched a victory.Schiano is 0-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival as the coach of RUTGERS. CFB home team vs. the money line (RUTGERS) - sub par team from last season - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 6-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2 . Play on Temple to cover |
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09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama -7 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 30 m | Show | |
Texas almost tripped up Saban and company last season losing a 20-19 heart breaker , but now Alabama will come in here very prepared and ready to make a statement and not be ambushed again vs the Longhorns. It must be noted that Saban vs his former assistants is 28-2 SU and 4-0 SU/ATS as a host when favored by 18 points or less. Also Texas has failed to cover 5 of their L/6 non conference away tilts and must not be over estimated in their ability to compete in this SEC road environment. Saban is 19-9 ATS in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of ALABAMA. Best Bet. Alabama to cover |
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09-09-23 | Central Florida v. Boise State +3.5 | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 72 h 34 m | Show | |
I know The Broncos lost their first game of the season in ugly fashion, but this this is a much better team than their performance vs Washington last week, and now Im expecting them to have a huge bounce back effort here on the blue carpet against a over rated UFC football program. I know Central Florida can really light things up, but this Boise side ranked 11th in the nation in D, last season, and are more than capable of slowing down their explosive opposition . Boise State is 21-0 SU in its first home game of the season the past twenty-one campaigns and Im betting wont easily be defeated here tonight at home. UCF is 0-6 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. (UCF won 56-6 vs Kent State last week) BOISE ST is 12-3 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points since 1992. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 26-6 L/31 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boise State to cover |
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09-09-23 | Connecticut +3 v. Georgia State | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 44 m | Show | |
The Georgia State Panthers took a seven point victory over Rhode Island last week but their defense looked atrocious as is evident by giving up 35 points on 520 total yards . They score enough to come out with a win, but that was nota good look and will be their downfall this week, as I dont believe their offense can be as effective vs this under rated UConn side that gave a good N.Carolina State squad all they could handle in a 24-14 loss. Note: Georgia state have lost 7 of their L/11 at home SU and are not solid favs. UConn to cover |
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09-09-23 | Orioles +130 v. Red Sox | 13-12 | Win | 130 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Os smashed the Bosox 11-2 yesterday and have momentum entering this tilt after 6 straight wins. Baltimores starter FLAHERTY is 18-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Y is 10-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Boston sends lefty Chris Sale (6-3, 4.46). Sale's velocity has been down since he returned from a stress reaction in his left shoulder blade , and against this type of offense could easily have problems. BOSTON is 6-16 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Home teams (BOSTON) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are 10-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win |
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09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL +4.5 | 33-48 | Win | 100 | 69 h 0 m | Show | |
Miami out gained Texas A&M last season by a 392-264 count but couldnt punch through for a victroy, but this season, in this venue could see them turn the trick in the rematch. It must be noted that the Aggies program has not faired well in road openers in the recent past in their L/17 as visitors to start their season have failed to cover 6 games as a favorite of 3 or more points. Miami is also 5-0 SUATS the last five as a non-conference home dog, and are once again value line underdogs vs a over rated opponent. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.( Miami smashed Miami O last week 38-3) Miami to cover |
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09-09-23 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Colorado | 14-36 | Loss | -115 | 64 h 4 m | Show | |
I know Colorado had a big game and upset TCU last week, but now Im betting the Buffs to be in an emotional letdown situation and ripe for an upset of their own. Hey I know Nebraska just cant get over the hump no matter who their coach is , but HC Rhule deserves respect in the underdog role on the road where his teams are 9-3 ATS . ( Lost ot Minnesota 13-10 last week in a grinding affair, andIm betting they can turn this game into trench warfare again) COLORADO is 0-7 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 9-22 ATS in home games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game since 1992. CFB road team (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 53-22 L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NEBRASKA is 7-3 straight up against COLORADO since 1992 here on the road. Play on Nebraska to cover |
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09-09-23 | Notre Dame v. NC State +7.5 | 45-24 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 37 m | Show | |
North Carolina State took a 10-point win at under rated UConn and must be respected here at home as dogs.It must be noted that HC Dave Doeren is 4-1 ATS at home in abattle of of undefeated sides, and 12-0 SU in home openers. I know the Irish mashed a couple of over rated patsies ( Navy, Tenn State) but this is whole diff type of team they face here this afternoon . Hartman has struggled against the Wolfpack's 3-3-5 defense over the years- Im betting on a Rince and repeat situation. NOTRE DAME is 2-11 ATS in road games after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NOTRE DAME) - off a home win by 17 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games are 21-52 ATS L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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09-08-23 | Padres v. Astros -123 | 11-2 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 3-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)SNELL is 8-15 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 17-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) like the Fathers starter Snell over the last 3 seasons. Snell has pitched well overall this season, but the Astros have a recent history of taking advantage of hurlers with sub par control. the Padres southpaw has recorded the most walks (89) and wild pitches (12) in the majors this season. SAN DIEGO is 4-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-21 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB team (HOUSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 47-11 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs -4 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
KC has not lost a season opener since 2014 and Im betting they nab a victory again against what many believe is a top tier Lions squad. Truth is the Lions still have not proved anything and here against a top tier squad could find the sledding tough. I know Kelce may not play Thursday night and Jones who is holding out for a new contract may also not be there, but this Chiefs team is deep and deserves respect as less than TD home fav on opening night. Note: Motowns D allowed 6.2 yard per play last year) KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. KC HC Andy Reid is 6-0 SUATS career record on Thursdays against non-division opposition with every win coming by double-digits. Play on KC Chiefs to win /cover |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 21-20 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
Detroit is 12-0 OVER Game 1 of the season and have gone over 4 straight vs AFC West... DETROIT is 14-1 OVER in road games against AFC West division opponents since 1992. Lions allowed 6.2 ypg on D last season dead last in the NFL. Im betting on Mahomes and company to rack up points again, and for Lions QB Jeff Goff who had 4438 yards and 29 TDs last season to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own. KC is 8-0 L/8 OVER Game 1 of the campaign... 8-0 OVER L8 vs Motown with a combined average 56 ppg scored. . Chiefs scored 44 points in the opening week win over the Arizona Cardinals in 2022, and have scored at least 33 points in every opener since 2017 and they Im betting will be the the catalysts for what Im betting will be an over cashing for us here tonight. Play over. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 10.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
FRIED is 4-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.35 and a WHIP of 0.857 and Im projecting another top tier effort from a quality pitcher in good form as is evident by a current 2.52 ERA on the season.The Braves pitching has imploded in their L/2 games, and they will be primed to right that ship today. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wainwright has gone 10-4 with a 3.42 ERA against the Braves in 21 games (16 starts) since the 2003 season and despite of some inconsistencies during this campaign is still capable of slowing . down the Braves explosive offense. ST LOUIS is 51-36 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team ( 5.0 or more runs/game) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (ST LOUIS) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 1.900 or more over his last 10 starts are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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09-06-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks (71-68) after a loss yesterday are in what you might call as deseration mode even. they are currently one game behind the Cincinnati Reds in the battle for the National League's third wild-card spot. The Miami Marlins are a half-game ahead of Arizona. They need to win and will be very motivated. Rockies starter Flexen owns a ugly 1-6 record along with a bloated 7,83 ERA on the season and is fade material here according to my power rankings. Flexen is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA in seven starts since joining the Rockies. Flexen is 1-1 with a 5.48 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. Advantage Arizona on the runline. Arizonas starter Davies limited the Baltimore Orioles to one run and four hits over six innings in a 4-2 win on Friday and has momentum entering this tilt. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 56-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Arizona to win -1.5 runline |
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09-05-23 | Dodgers -149 v. Marlins | 3-6 | Loss | -149 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw (12-4, 2.48 ERA) had a six-week absence earlier this season with a wore shoulder and since his return, and recently he has recorded a stingy 2.12 ERA over his last 17 innings and looks to have shaken off the shoulder issues. Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the Marlins Luzardo has pitched better of late had a a three-start malfunction at the beginning of August when he went 0-3 with an 11.68 ERA. He can be a viable pitcher but here against this explosive Dodgers offense Im betting he relapses again. LA DODGERS are 83-37 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MIAMI is 3-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 39-7 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers |
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09-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians +100 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Twins starter GRAY is 1-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) My pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Guardians rookie right-hander Tanner Bibee (10-3, 3.03), matches up well here vs Gray and the Twins offense. Advantage Cleveland on a value line. CLEVELAND is 23-9 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 2-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) this season.
MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - team with a sub par SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 29-9 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) are 36-13 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland |
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09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 35 m | Show | |
Duke is 3-0 SUATS in its last three lined season home openers and last season were 6-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in HC Mike Elko’s first season at the helm of the Blue Devils football program. Meanwhile, the Clemson Tigers vaunted D, has to replace four NFL draft picks giving Dukes Junior quarterback Riley Leonard a chance at a big night as he looks to pad a 33 touchdown and a 3,600 yards offensive performance last season. This is a opportunity to make a statement here for Elko and his q8 returning starters. With that said, Im on this Blue Devils group as Im betting they will be primed to really come out here and play hard tonight in a never say die take no prisoners gridiron battle.DUKE is 8-0 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Duke to cover |
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09-04-23 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 14 games and look completely asleep at the proverbial wheel. The Rockies have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record. Meanwhile, Diamondbacks are battling with the Marlins, Giants, and Reds for the last wild card spot and need wins badly and Im betting will play like it here today. Merrill Kelly gets the ball, and he is 10-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season and gives the Dbacks the edge on the hill. KELLY is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.4. COLORADO is 3-34 against the money line as an underdog of +200 or more this season with a average rpg diff of +3.6 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who walked 1 or more hitters each of his last 2 outings are 76-13 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average rpg diff of +2.5 going on the board. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 45-4 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average run per game diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this runline offering. Play on Dbacks -1.5 to cover on the runline |
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09-04-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -122 | 7-3 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Bostons starter BELLO is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.857 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well here vs the Rays. TAMPA BAY is 21-5 against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - revenging a same season 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents, a marginal winning team (51% to 54%) playing a winning team are 5-29 L/26 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games against opponent with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games are 96-25 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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09-03-23 | LSU v. Florida State +2.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
Florida State has 18 returning starters off a 10 win campaign, while their opponents the LSU Tigers were hit hard by the NFL draft losing 10 starters from last seasons group. It must also be noted that the Tigers have been virtual pussy cats on the road failing to cover 6 of their L/8 overall while the Seminoles are 9-0-2 ATS in their L/11 games played in Orlando and are 7-1 SU L/8 games in this series and according to my power rankings matchup well here vs the young men from the Bayou. LSU has lost its last 3 season openers and I would not be surprised if they register another one here as the Seminoles vaunted ground game does enough to get through a tough Tigers run D. Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-03-23 | Oregon State -16 v. San Jose State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
OSU finished last season on a 7-0 ATS run and enter this season with momentum while their opponents San Jose State finished their campaign on an exact polar opposite 0-7 ATS run and than lost their opener this season to USC by a 56-28 count. SJU is just 1-26 SU in their L/27 line road games vs PAC 12 opponents and look to once again be cannon fodder in this tilt vs what is a far superior side. OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at +19.9. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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09-03-23 | Twins +124 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Twins are playing much better ball than the Rangers recently winning 4 of their L/6 overall including the first two games of this series . The Rangers have been particularly inconsistent at home where they are 0-6 L/6 (-9.70 Units / -100% ROI). Advantage once again resides with the Twins as road dogs here in game 3 of this series. Twins starter MAEDA is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.149 and his team has won all 3 career starts vs the Rangers. Texas starter Gray is 3-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 51-25 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern +7 v. Rutgers | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 796 h 43 m | Show | |
This year will mark the fourth straight season that Northwestern begins against a Big Ten opponent, having beaten Nebraska last year, fallen to Michigan State in 2021 and crushing Maryland in 2020. Northwestern is on a two-game winning streak against Rutgers dating back to 2018. Rutgers has averaged only 22 points per game vs. NU in 3 all time events, and Im betting they have problems scoring again in a game I have pegged to be a 1 score event giving us value with the TD + underdog line. Schiano is 3-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of RUTGERS. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NORTHWESTERN) - team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season are 59-26 ATS L/31 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (RUTGERS) - sub par team from last season - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 5-28 L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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09-02-23 | Coastal Carolina v. UCLA -15.5 | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
UCLA no longer has QB Dorian Thomas-Robinson but with 16 starters returning for the Bruins they should be just fine. With former Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo in the fold for the Bruins some new looks could really make a the Bruins a dark-horse candidate this both in the PAc 12 and and the nation. Kelly has cashed his last 3 home openers and will once again be primed to juice an opponent, especially one traveling from east to west . Note: Coastal Carolina has failed to cover 8 of their L/12 as DD dogs. New CC HC Tim Beck has his hands full, in a game that Im betting ends in a conclusive UCLA win and cover CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCLA) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 94-45 ATS L/31 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover |
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09-02-23 | North Carolina -2 v. South Carolina | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
NC Coach Mack Brown is 26-4 SU in season openers, including winning 18 of his L/19. and with 18 starters back and top tier QB at the helm in Drake Maye and you have situation where the Heels are being under rated vs the over hyped Heisman hopeful QB Caleb Williams and company of South Carolina . With revenge on board for a ugly 38-21 loss back in 2021 , Mack will be primed to have his team ready out of the gate again this season. Note: The Gamecocks have lost 5 of their L/6 vs the ACC, while the Heels are a perfect 5-0 vs sides from the SEC as fav of 4 points or less like they are here today. North Carolina to cover |
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09-02-23 | Tigers v. White Sox -105 | 10-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Clevinger (6-6, 3.32 ERA) grabbed a victory vs Oakland Athletics on Sunday behind seven innings of one-run ball with two walks and a season-high 10 strikeouts. He has been dominant against Detroit in his career, going 8-2 with a 1.63 ERA in 14 appearances, including 13 starts and Im betting his gives his team an edge here today. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse ) (AL), starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 33-16 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago White Sox |
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09-02-23 | Akron +11 v. Temple | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 271 h 50 m | Show | |
Akron lost alot of close games last season, but now with improved running game, and the talented DJ Irons back at QB, they could find a way to make the gap small enough to ramp up more wins and more importantly covers and be even more competitive from a W/L perspective. Temple is still not back to their top programs they had 12 years ago, and Im projecting no more than a 4 wins this season and in their current form do not look capable of covering this line as favs. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AKRON) - team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in non-conference games are 49-20 L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors, Play on Akron to cover |
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09-02-23 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. SMU | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 42 m | Show | |
09-02-23 | Northern Illinois +9.5 v. Boston College | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 42 m | Show | |
NIU went 3-9 last season, but five of the losses were by eight points or fewer. The 2021 team went 7-2 in games decided by eight points or less. Last year an array of injuries really gutted them and 2021 they were healthy. This program is built to be tough as nails, and out of the gate they are fairly healthy and deserve respect here as underdogs. The dogs are not a deep team but the starting 22 are projected to be gridiron take no prisoners war lords. Im betting Boston College has their hands full here today. N ILLINOIS is 53-26 ATS as a road underdog since 1992. Hammock is 12-4 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of N ILLINOIS. CFB road team vs. the money line (N ILLINOIS) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 26-10 L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northern Illinois to over |
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09-01-23 | Braves -117 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Dodgers starter Urias. Note:Urias (11-7, 4.41 ERA) was the NL ERA champion a season ago, but he has been unable to back in top form and he also has suffered injury issues missing six weeks in the first half with a hamstring injury. He has been inconsistent since returning, registering four starts in which he allowed one run or none, three in which he gave up two or three runs, and three in which he allowed five plus runs. Braves starter FRIED is 16-6 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) FRIED is 35-12 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team (1.5 or more HR's/game) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 6-34 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, playing on Friday are 55-18 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-01-23 | Tigers -128 v. White Sox | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago will send right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-6, 4.85 ERA). He been beaten up pretty hard but did have a good start last time out vs the lowly As, which still does not get me past some of his recent ugly performances. Meanwhile, Motown will send south paw Eduardo Rodriguez (9-7, 3.21)to the hill to face the White Sox. He is coming off a home loss to Houston on Saturday, when he allowed four runs and five hits in 4 2/3 innings with a season-high four walks and one strikeout.. In nine career starts versus Chicago covering 52 1/3 innings, he is 3-0 with a 3.61 ERA and gets my support here.RODRIGUEZ is 10-1against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 17-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons like Rodriguez. CHI WHITE SOX are 13-31 ) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. (Just finished a 3 game set at Baltimore)
Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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09-01-23 | Central Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 45.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Central Michigan returns nine starters on defense .After ranking top-50 nationally in EPA/Rush Allowed and Defensive Line Yards and they should be tough to work against once again. Michigan State returns four starters on the offensive line, but its line ranked 122nd in Offensive Line Yards and 116th in Stuff Rate allowed so scoring and moving the chains could easily be problem here tonight against a formidable defense. Meanwhile, Central Michigan has to replace their starting QB and running back from last season, and they also could find the sledding tough here early this season. The Spartans return seven starters on defense and the rest of the class looks to be tough as nails, Im seeing this being their strength this season. All in all Im projecting a fairly low scoring event with this Total not being eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (C.MICH/MICHIGAN ST) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 42-10 UNDER L/31 seasons with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers +125 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Both these teams are red hot and both sides have starting pitchers who are in a top tier groove entering this tilt as Atlanta send Strider to the hill and the Dodgers send the veteran Lynn. . However is must be noted that the LA DODGERS are 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season like Strider and have an edge here playing at home. ATLANTA is 13-21 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA DODGERS are 12-1 against the money line in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. LA DODGERS are 50-16 against the money line in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games at home (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI) MLB Home teams (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 112-44 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 30-9 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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08-31-23 | Mystics +10.5 v. Aces | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The Mystics seem to always bring their A game in against top tier opponents like the Aces . WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Vegas is off an extended road trip and make take time to get acclimated to home cooking again. LAS VEGAS is 2-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-15 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Vegas has failed cover 5 straight games. Play on Washington to cover |
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08-31-23 | NC State v. Connecticut UNDER 46.5 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
NC Carolinas defense was elite last season, and will once again come in with some of the best defensive players in all of college football especially at the linebacker position ie Payton Wilson. Last years offensive coordinator Beck left NC for Coastal Carolina, so the offense will Im betting be a work in progress out of the gate against a strong UConn defense. Note: NC Star quarterback Devin Leary transferred to Kentucky so as I said, things will be different, and will take time to jell. On the flipside, the Huskies will once again lean on their running game, behind new QB Joe Fagnano and that will eat up alot of clock time in what should be a grinding early season affair that gives the edge to the defenses and not the offenses. NC STATE is 22-6 UNDER when playing on a Thursday since 1992 with a combined average score 44.9 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (UCONN/NC STATE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 84-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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08-31-23 | Mercury +13.5 v. Sun | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Phoenix ranks last in the league, winning just nine of their 35 games this season, and are on a six-game losing streak and thanks to those numbers are now being under rated by the linesmakers here. I cannot see the Sun being very motivated here and that alone may be the difference maker. White is 2-10 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in road games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against a sub par team (-7 PPG or less differential), after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games are 8-27 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercury to cover |
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08-30-23 | Rangers v. Mets +1.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The first two games in this series have been won by 1 run deficits and Im betting on another close tilt . SHOWALTER is 20-5 against the money line in home games after 2 straight one run losses in all games he has managed since 1997 with the average rpg diff clicking in at +0.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. Rangers starter DUNNING is 2-10 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 5-17 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 2-17 against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)DUNNING is 4-17 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +130 to -255) (TEXAS) - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 11-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on the NY Mets to win +1.5 runline |
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08-30-23 | Padres v. Cardinals -106 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Padres starter Hill is 0-3 along with a bloated 9.53 ERA in his L/3 starts and is once again fade material according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. HILL is 14-25 against the money line in August games in his career (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 39-51 against the money line against right-handed starters this season like Cards starter Mikolas and have averaged just 4.3 rpg in offensive production vs orthodox pitching. SAN DIEGO is 9-18 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season.SAN DIEGO is 16-30 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. ST LOUIS is 8-1 at home against SAN DIEGO over the last few seasons after last nights win. Note:The Cardinals have won 16 of their last 17 day games against NL West opponents following a home win. Play on St.Louis to win |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -163 | 10-8 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Phillies have won 5 straight and have an edge again today vs a very inconsistent Halos. PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season like LAA starter Detrmers. ETMERS is 6-15 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) Angels have struggled vs lefties like Phillies Sanchez during the last month as is evident by a 56 wRC+ with a 6.8% walk rate and a 27.1% strikeout rate. LA ANGELS are 3-15 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games, playing on Wednesday are 8-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phillies to win |
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08-29-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 107 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
KELLY has never beaten the Dodgers in his career going 0-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.614 . Nothing changes tonight as the Dodgers with future HOF pitcher on the hill Kershaw have the edge. Kershaw is 5-1 along with a stingy 1.72 ERA at home this season. LA DODGERS are 22-4 SU in August games this season with a rpg diff of +2.6. Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 13-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.8 which qualifies on this run line offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 4-45 L/26 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAD to win -1.5 runline |
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08-28-23 | Guardians +147 v. Twins | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Guardians trail the first-place Twins in the AL Central by six games with 31 to play and need wins badly and will be very motivated to compete here tonight in the opener of this series. “These are going to be playoffs games,” said Laureano. “We go to Minneapolis now and then we play them again at home. This is the playoffs.” A sense of desperation will have me backing Cleveland to bring home the cash in game 1 of this series. Twins stater MAEDA is 6-16 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 9-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 31-15 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI) MLB team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 9 or more innings are 15-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 50-24 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-27-23 | Braves -108 v. Giants | 5-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Braves are playing top tier baseball entering this game as is evident by garnering wins in 9 of their L/11 including yesterdays 7-3 win vs the Giants. I know Atlanta starter Shuster may not inspire bettors, but the Braves are a team with a winning mind set , and almost always have the edge, especially against inconsistent sides like SF who are mired in a slump that has seen them lost 7 of their L/9 overall. ATLANTA is 33-9 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.ATLANTA is 39-15 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-17 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.KAPLER is 18-26 against the money line in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO MLB team (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 41-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-27-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Win | 122 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
After smashing out a 15-2 win yesterday vs the Royals Im now betting on major regression here from Seattle. Note: SERVAIS is 4-16 SU after a win by 10 runs or more as the manager of SEATTLE. Seattle starter CASTILLO is 6-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 8-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 7-33 L/26 seasons for. a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC to +1.5 runline |
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08-27-23 | Yankees v. Rays -116 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.27 ERA), who will make his eighth appearance in 2023 following a forearm injury in spring training, back spasms and, most recently, a left hamstring ailment. He is far 100% and fade material in his current for. the mighty Yankees have fallen and I cant see them getting up very easily . Against the Rays, the southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in five career starts. NYY starter RODON is 3-8 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RODON is 17-21 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TAMPA BAY is 40-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. (Rodon qualifies) NY YANKEES are 4-16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 17-31against the money line in the second half of the season this season.NY YANKEES are 7-24 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-27-23 | Dodgers v. Red Sox +106 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston right-hander Tanner Houck (3-7, 5.08 ERA) had been on the 15-day injured list with a facial fracture since June 18. Despite of the lackluster numbers, he has registered wins in three of his first four starts . Houck has worked at least five innings in 11 of his 14 outings and deserves respect here in his current form. The Red Sox evened the series with an 8-5 Saturday win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick here again. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed 2 or more errors are 8-41 L/26 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-26-23 | Liberty v. Lynx +9.5 | 111-76 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota has scored 90 plus points in 2 straight games and with their offense in top form are more than capable of covering this number vs the explosive Liberty. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or more this season. MINNESOTA is 15-8 ATSvs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts this season.MINNESOTA is 34-18 ATS average defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 season. MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs this season. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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08-26-23 | Hawaii +17.5 v. Vanderbilt | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 109 h 53 m | Show | |
Hawaii covered 6 of their L/7 games last season and enter here with momentum vs a Vanderbilt program that despite of being hefty favorites , may not warrant such a backing from the lines-makers . The last 4 times Vandy has been installed as non conference favs they failed each time, and Im betting that will be the case again vs a Rainbow Warriors side that has redemption in mind after an ugly 63-10 opening day loss to the Commodores last season. VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (VANDERBILT) - sub par team from last season - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 4-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3 v. San Diego State | 13-20 | Loss | -113 | 110 h 33 m | Show | |
The Bobcats completed the 2022 season with a 10-4 record, going 7-1 in the MAC conference play, that was a after a slow start-- they won seven of their final eight games and deserve respect here as underdogs with momentum on their sides. With top tier QB Kurtis Rourke back to 100% healthy after a late season injury the Bobcats are a side to be feared. The Aztecs will be formidable at home behind what is expected be another strong defensive group, but its their offense that remains less than formidable , and could easily find the sledding tough against a D, that improved significantly as last season progressed. Im expecting a close game but taking the points here looks to be the most advantageous investment option. Play on Ohio to cover |
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08-26-23 | UTEP v. Jacksonville State | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 6 m | Show | |
The UTEP Miners have four returning all-stars with the interior loaded with tough veterans to go along with Steven Hubbard at left tackle. they were good last season in protection mode and really helped the running game progress and Im betting they will be even better this season. This is a hard hitting squad thats not easy to play against and must be respected on a short line vs a Jacksonville State side that is new to the FBS. Meanwhile, Jacksonville State might be primed to get a win out of the gate here, but with what my projections estimate is a sub par D, that will probably not come here today. CFB home team vs. the money line (JACKSONVILLE ST) - team with a horrible scoring defense last season - allowed 35 or more points/game, between two teams with 8 or more offensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season are just 3-22 L/31 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTEP to cover |
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08-26-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Marlins will start Eury Perez (5-4, 2.91 ERA) in a battle of rookie right-handers. Washington will reply with Jake Irvin (3-5, 4.47). Irvin has struggled on the road garnering a 5.18 ERA while averaging less than 5 innings per start. Meanwhile, Perez has flourished at home , registering a stingy 1.96 ERA, in 7 starts going 3-1 in the process. PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800. I know the Nats have played better ball than the Marlins of late, but my power rankings suggest they matchup well here in game 2 of this seires. WASHINGTON is 31-82 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1 which qualifies on this run-line offering. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season are 72-10 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.6. Play on the Marlins split line -1.5 run line and to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-23 | Navy +21 v. Notre Dame | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 23 m | Show | |
Navy's new HC and former defensive coordinator,Brian Newberry brings respect to the sidelines, after Ken Niuamatolos departure after 16 seasons at the helm of this scholastic gridiron program. I know Notre Dame is the bigger and better brand, but Middies must not be disrespected here as underdogs in this long time series rivalry. Note: The Irish are only 13-27 ATS at home or on a neutral field vs a military college, and military schools of 20+ or more point dogs have been a bankroll expanding cash cow for their backers producing at a positive 83-39-3 ATS clip the L/43 seasons. With 18 returning starters in the lineup Navy will be well prepared to stay within this number here in Ireland this Saturday. Play on Navy to cover |
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08-25-23 | Braves v. Giants +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
SFs starter and ace of the staff WEBB is 16-7 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Webb has never lost to the Braves in his career, going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five starts and Im betting he keeps them in this tilt as well. On the flipside, I know Strider has pitched well for the Braves and did well against the Giants last time he faced them, but now SF has the edge on what to expect from the righty and will make the necessary adjustments. ATLANTA is 11-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (ATLANTA) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 7-30 L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Giants on the runline +1.5 |
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08-25-23 | Royals +166 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
After a 10 game road trip that saw the Mariners garner a 7 game win streak at one point before losing the finale of their road adventure. Im now betting on. a huge emotional letdown situation to rare its ugly head here in the Mariners first game home . After that lengthy trip and than having their win streak abruptly end a hang over is my prediction here tonight vs the KC Royals . SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Royals starter SINGER is 8-2 against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SINGER is 18-7 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) |
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08-25-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -144 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Arizona has come to life here in the dog days of summer, and have won 4 straight and 7 of their L/8 and deserve respect here as favs. Arizona starter Pfaadt After posting a 9.82 ERA in his first six starts and winding up in the minors has now garnered a 3.50 ERA in six outings since returning for his third major league stint, and must not be under rated in his ability to hold off the Reds offense . LOVULLO is 81-62 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-38 L/26 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win |
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08-24-23 | Reds +147 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Cincinnati holds a half-game lead over Arizona and the San Francisco Giants for the league's third wild-card berth and are in my opinion better than both of these sides. I know Kelly the Dbacks starter is a solid pitcher, but my pitcher vs batting order suggest that the Reds matchup well against him. Meanwhile, Reds starter WILLIAMSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation today. CINCINNATI is 31-18 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. CINCINNATI is 31-16 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-6 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. CINCINNATI is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-0 against ARIZONA this season. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-24-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Guardians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 1.80 ERA) of the Dodgers goes head to head with Gavin Williams (1-4, 3.02) of the Guardians in a battle of rookie right-handers during the regularly scheduled contest. Williams, is 0-3 in his last seven trips to the hill after being smashed around last time out. In his current form he looks to be in trouble vs an explosive Dodgers batting order that has revenge on board for losing the first game of this series 8-3 as favs. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - after 3 straight games where they had 7 or less hits, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 48-19 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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08-23-23 | Marlins +114 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After a slow start to his season Alcantara is now back in his Cy Young Award form of 2022, when he went 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.980 WHIP in 32 starts. The righty in his last five starts owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.842 WHIP during that span and gives his Marlins a good chance of a underdog win on the road today. Alcantara is 2-1 against San Diego in four career starts with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.160 WHIP and a .196 opponents' batting average. SAN DIEGO is 37-48 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-16 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. MELVIN is 48-57 against the money line in day games as the manager of SAN DIEGO. Meanwhile, Padres starter LUGO is 2-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LUGO is 6-10 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Play on Miami to win |
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08-23-23 | Mariners v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Seattles starter KIRBY is 11-2 OVER in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 10-2 OVER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with q combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-5 OVER in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. Seattle has gone over in 8 of their L/9 games overall, and have recently exploded offensively scoring 37 runs in their L/4 games overall and have averaged 7.3 rpg in their L/7 games overall. Im betting their hot bats are key to us seeing this totals offering eclipsed. Kopech the White Sox starter owns a bloated 9.88 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SEATTLE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 5 games are 51-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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08-22-23 | Reds +130 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 130 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Halos stater GIOLITO is 8-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIOLITO is 9-16 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giolito has labored in his first four starts with the Angels, going 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Ashcraft has been in top form since the all star break and deserves respect here in the underdog role for the Reds. In three starts this month, he has logged 22 innings, including eight on Aug. 4 in a no-decision against the visiting Washington Nationals. Ashcraft went seven innings in the other two and overall has garnered a very stable 2.86 ERA. . CINCINNATI is 8-1 against the money line against AL West opponents this season CINCINNATI is 13-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 10-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. CINCINNATI is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this seaso MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA ANGELS) - with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings, in August games are 33-17 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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08-22-23 | Cardinals +125 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-handers Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) of St. Louis and Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55) of Pittsburgh are scheduled to start. Both hurlers may not inspire bettors, but my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest Wainwright has the edge in the starting role. Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 61-30 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record . (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 25-8 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.179. OVIEDO is 7-22 (against the money line after a win in his career. (Team's Record) which is what he achieved last time out. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, off a loss to a division rival as a favorite are 67-125 L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on the Cards to win |
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08-22-23 | Rockies v. Rays -1.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
COLORADO is 39-104 SU in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons like the TBs Littell, with the average rpg diff coming-in at -1.9. Littell owns a 2.55 ERA with 11 strikeouts and one walk in 17 2/3 innings during this month, and in the process has posted a solid 0.793 WHIP and deserves respect here vs a Colorado side that struggles on the road especially against righties as is evident by the above trend and the lowly 3.7 rpg production in away tilts. TAMPA BAY is 37-9 SU in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Blach whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with the average margin rpg diff clicking in at +2.3 which qualifies on this this runline offering. Rockies starter Blach owns a ugly 9.00 ERA in two career starts against the Rays. Rinse and repeat on board . COLORADO is 2-24 against the money line as a road underdog of +200 or more this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3.8. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (COLORADO) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-47 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 104 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Miamis starter WEATHERS is 0-7 SU vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff clicking in at -3. WEATHERS is 1-10 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a rpg diff clicking in at -2.9. Weathers owns a 10.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is fade material in his current form. Padres starter WACHA is 16-1 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average rpg diff registering at +4. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a loss by 6 runs or more are 4-47 L/26 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at a whopping -4 which easily qualifies on this run-line offering. Play on Padres -1.5 runline |
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08-21-23 | Mariners v. White Sox +175 | 14-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The White Sox after a come behind win yesterday that saw then score 7 runs in 8th has the Pale Hose entering this tilt with momentum. It must be noted that the visiting Mariners despite of being hot, have had a tendency to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel on occasion as is evident by going 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season like the south siders starter Toussaint. Meanwhile, Seattles starter CASTILLO is 5-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 4-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CASTILLO is 3-11 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-15 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-21-23 | Giants +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-10 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Right-hander Aaron Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) hasn't pitched past 5 1/3 innings in any of his last four starts and is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA during that span, and Im betting things don't get much better for him and his Phillies today.SAN FRANCISCO is 12-3 against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons and the last time they visited the City of Brotherly love came away with a 3 game sweep. SF also beat the Atlanta Braves yesterday and now have momentum entering this tilt. Play on the Giants to win +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 122 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nationals have won three games of their L/4 and six of their past eight tilts going into a Sundays matchup against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies and deserve respect here as underdogs.
WASHINGTON is 25-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like Wheeler. WASHINGTON is 11-8 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at - 0.2 in those 19 games, which qualifies on this ATS run-line offering. Nats starter WILLIAMS is 16-5 SU in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 22-13 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WILLIAMS is 17-6 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 39-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, in August games are 12-26 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors which qualifies on this run line offering. Play on the Washington Nationals on the +1.5 runline |
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08-20-23 | White Sox v. Rockies +1.5 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I know Colorados starter Flexen has been in sub par form this season, but he is still a viable hurler with great trending data behind him. C FLEXEN is 14-4 SU vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 17-4 SU vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 9-0 SU vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 20-8 SU line in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) With the White Sox struggling all season long. against righties like Flexen Im betting the home side edge here on this generous runline offering. BLACK is 41-22 SU in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .393 or better as the manager of COLORADO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +1.7. WHITE SOX are 2-9 SU in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 8-23 SU line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +215 to -130) (COLORADO) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less over his last 5 starts are 63-28 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win +1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Giants v. Braves -114 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Giants starter Logan Webb is a quality pitcher but the Braves can make the best of hurlers look mortal. ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Webb is just 4-5 on the road this season, and Atlanta is not an easy venue for any pitcher as is evident by Atlantas 6 rpg average offensive production in front of their own fans. ATLANTA is 27-7 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. ATLANTA is 30-8 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 84-19 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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08-19-23 | Bears +5 v. Colts | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
The Bears have won the L/6 games in this preseason series SU, and according to my projections deserve respect here a dogs vs a Colts side that 2-14-2 ATS L/18 preseason home games. I know Bears QB Justin Fields is not expected to play this game, but despite of lines-makers lack of respect of the rest of Bears QB group, Im willing to take the points on what to me is exaggerated line favoring the Colts. Also during joint scrim-ages with the Colts there were some cheap shots taken on Fields and now I expecting a more motivated version of the Bears to show up here in this preseason affair. NFLX Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record in the preseason are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Toronto lost the first game of this series by a 1-0 count and now Im projecting a big rebound. Torontos starting pitcher today BASSITT is 15-0 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming in at 5 rpg. TORONTO is 11-2 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season with the average margin of victory clicking in at +2.3. SCHNEIDER is 38-19 SU in road games in the second half of the season as the manager of TORONTO with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.1. MLB Home teams against a 1.5 run line (CINCINNATI) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 7-32 L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win -1.5 runline |
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08-19-23 | Blue Jays v. Reds UNDER 10 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays will send Chris Bassitt (11-6, 3.95 ERA) to make his team-leading 26th start of the year. The right-hander has faced Cincinnati twice in his career, giving up four runs (three earned) over 15 2/3 innings. The Reds will counter with rookie left-hander Brandon Williamson (4-2, 4.33), who will make his 17th start of the season. Williamson is coming off back-to-back strong starts, allowing one run in each outing and is capable of slowing down the Jays offense . Torontos starter BASSITT is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. BELL is 27-13 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. TORONTO is 16-4 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 1-0 loss. The-average combined score of those 33 games clicks in a 6.8 rpg . TORONTO is 23-8 UNDER (+14.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 13-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.CINCINNATI is 9-0 UNDER in home games in August games this season. LAST 10 GAMES: Reds:own a 239 batting average, 3.20 ERA. Blue Jays own a .217 batting average, 2.69 ERA. These telling numbers point to what Im betting will see this hefty Totals offering not eclipsed. Play under |
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