Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-09-18 | 49ers +7 v. Vikings | 16-24 | Loss | -130 | 76 h 22 m | Show | |
Minnesota is off an amazing season, going 13-3 SU and now once again look like one of the deepest teams in the conference. But it must be noted that teams in week 1 with 4 or fewer losses (including playoffs)last season are 35-48-2 ATS and far from sure bets coming into the following campaign. Also teams in week one at home who won 7 or 8 games (including playoffs) last season are just 30-41-1 ATS L/72. Add to that Minnesota will have a new QB in Cousins who is 0-3 SU/ATS in home openers at the helm of the offence and it may take time to find his groove, behind a offensive line with some weaknesses Note: Nick Easton, the starting left guard and backup center, is out for the season after undergoing surgery to repair a bulging disk in his neck. This is also a pivot that has shown a lot of inconsistencies in the past .Meanwhile, San Francisco finished last season winning their L/5 games, and must not be underestimated on the road where they have played their best football of late as is evident by a 7-2 ATS mark in their L/9 away. Note: 49ers QB Jimmy Garappolo (7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS as a starter). 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in week 1. Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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09-09-18 | Titans v. Dolphins +2 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a weak road favorite we are seeing here with Tennessee. Despite of being in the post season last year, the Titans were lucky to be there after being out stated and out scored overall by a total of 38 points on the season. It must be noted that Tennessee has not fared well in the past against AFC opposition failing to cash in 7 of their L/8 ATS . Meanwhile Miami is 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 in season openers . Tennessee was 0-4 in the preseason which is not a good omen for a sudden turnaround today vs a desperate Miami team with a veteran QB at the helm in Tannehill. TENNESSEE is 112-146 ATS against conference opponents since 1992. Home teams in week one in games with a total of 46 or more are 48- 35-2 ATS. Teams in week 1 which lost 10 or more games last season against a team that did not lose more than 9 games are 106-67-2 ATS L/175 . Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants UNDER 43.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 65 h 13 m | Show | |
Last season the Giants struggled to score putting up just 16 ppg , going against a tough Jacksonville D that allowed 18 points a game last season, Im betting the Gmens offence begins this season struggling again. With that said, look for a low scoring affair that stays on the low side of the Total. All Week One teams who won 4 or less games last year vs an AFC opponent when the OU line is in the range of 42-49 points are 4-17-1 UNDER since the 2006 campaign. ( Giants qualify)All Week One NFC home dogs like the Giants are 4-17 L/21 UNDER dating back to the 2014 season. Week One non division road chalk like the Jags are 8-27-1 UNDER L/19 seasons. NY GIANTS are 22-11 UNDER in all lined games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 38.7 ppg going on the board.NY GIANTS are 16-6 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 37.7 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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09-09-18 | Rice +18.5 v. Hawaii | 29-43 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
09-08-18 | Rice +17.5 v. Hawaii | 29-43 | Win | 100 | 60 h 18 m | Show | |
Rice played a solid game vs a balanced Houston team on the road last week, and were competitive for almost 3 quarters before falling apart late for a 45-27 loss covering as 25 point dogs. The game was a lot closer than the final score might indicate , as Rice showed some explosive offensive schemes in that back and forth battle. Meanwhile, their opposition this week Hawaii has played some impressive offensive football in their first two weeks of the season vs Navy last week at home and Colorado State in their road opener putting up, 59 and 43 points in victories. The Warriors Achilles heel as has been the case in recent past campaigns remains their defence, as they allowed an average of 37.5 ppg in those two above mentioned tilts. Tonight in what could be an emotional letdown spot for the Warriors against a Rice squad that can put points up on the board in a hurry, Im betting their in trouble and a win if they can get it, will not come without some blood , sweat and tears. Hawaii is 0-6 ATS L/6 after accumulating 450 or more yards of offence in two straight games. Rice is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their L/7 visits to Paradise Island. CFB road team vs. the money line (RICE) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing 34 ppg or more, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games 36-4 SU L/27 seasons. Play on Rice to cover |
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09-08-18 | Michigan State v. Arizona State +7 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 61 h 38 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils looked great last week in a win vs Texas San Antonio. Herm Edwards the new HC of the Devils has not lost his touch since an extended departure from the College football scene. It must be noted that Arizona State have covered 4 straight as home undedogs of 7 or more points, and have won 10 straight at home all-time versus the Big Ten. Meanwhile, we know that the Spartans under HC DAtonio are slow starters and just got by Utah state last week and are just 0-6 ATS their last six versus the Pac-12 and far from solid road favs here in this spot. ARIZONA ST is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN ST) - off a home win, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins are 8-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA ST) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference game are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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09-08-18 | Penn State v. Pittsburgh +9.5 | 51-6 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 30 m | Show | |
Penn State was involved in a hard fought game vs Appalachian State last time out and needed a late score to cover. That game could still be effecting them and a emotional letdown scenario is not out of the question vs a another gritty program. Last season in Happy Valley Pittsburgh actually out gained the Lions despite of losing on the scoreboard and are 5-0-1 ATSL/6 in this series. You can bet HC Narduzzi and company behind what should be a solid run game to be primed on pulling of the upset vs their instate rivals and be sky high here emotionally today. It must be noted that Penn State has covered just once in their L/10 as -14 or less road chalk. The Panthers are also 11-0-1 ATS L/12 as home dogs of 8 or more points and get my support again as home pups. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 10-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - off a home win, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins are 8-30 ATS L/510seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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09-08-18 | Phillies v. Mets -142 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Mets lost last night, but have proven resilient of late winning 11 of their L/14 after defeat. NY Mets starter Syndergaard pitched a gem last time out , allowing the San Francisco Giants to one run and two hits with 11 strikeouts in his first career complete game. He has gone six straight starts spanning 40 innings without allowing a home run and is my pitching choice tonight vs the Philadelphia Phillies and Z. Eflin who looks exhausted coming into this start as is evident by allowing 14 runs (10 earned) and 25 hits along the way in his L/3 starts spanning just 13 2/3 innings of ugly work. Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts.Phillies are 0-6 in Eflins last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 5-0 in Syndergaards last 5 home starts New York has won 20 of its last 26 series against Philadelphia. The Mets are 19-1 L/20 as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is post All-Star break. The only loss came 2-1 with hard luck super star pitcher DeGrom on the hill. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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09-08-18 | Calgary v. Edmonton +3.5 | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show | |
Its always a big game for CFL home teams when Calgary comes to town, and you can bet the Eskimos and their fans will be tuned up to pull off the upset. Edmonton is just 6-5 on the season, and have lost 3 of their L/4 with all the losses closely contested. The Eskies are however, undefeated at home this season, and actually matchup well vs this visiting power house , according to my rankings and have the ability to hand the Stampeders just their 2nd loss of the season. Take the points. EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - off a road loss, in September games are 61-27. ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover |
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09-08-18 | Clemson v. Texas A&M +12.5 | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 57 h 38 m | Show | |
Needless to say this is a huge game for Jimbo Fisher and Texas A&M. Meanwhile, Clemson will not be a hyped up in this non conference affair. I believe in Fisher as a DD home dog, and feel his team has what it takes to cover vs this National championship contender. HC of Texas A&M is 45-8 SU all-time in home games in his career including 22-1 SU in games in which his teams are undefeated meanwhile, Clemson is 0-14-1 ATS failing to cover by more than 10 ppg since the 2000 campaign as a road favorite coming off a home game where they failed to cover by at least six points which was the case on a -51 line vs Furman last week. Play on the Texas A&M Aggies |
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09-08-18 | UL-Monroe +6 v. Southern Miss | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 56 h 36 m | Show | |
The LA Monroe Warhawks have 17 returning starters in the fold, and must not be underestimated here this week vs their hosts Southern Miss side with just 9 returning starters. Both own wins vs lower tier teams in their season debuts, and both look capable enough to put points on the board in what should be a hard fought back and forth affair that could easily be decided by a late scoring drive. LA MONROE is 20-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.LA MONROE is 20-6 ATS L/26 in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. SOUTHERN MISS is 3-14 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. CFB team (LA MONROE) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses, returning 8+ off. starters and QB against opponent returning 5 or less def. starters - weeks 1-2 are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Monroe to cover |
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09-08-18 | Saskatchewan +4.5 v. Winnipeg | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan has won three straight games, while Winnipeg has lost 3 straight. In my humble opinion and based on both sides recent performances this game should be closer to a pickem, thus giving us value the Green Riders on this tainted line. Saskatchewan has covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and get my support here in this spot. SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 11-2 ATS off in 2 straight division games over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 16-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals since 1996. CFL Underdogs or pick (SASKATCHEWAN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are 132-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover |
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09-08-18 | Georgia v. South Carolina +10.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
We all know how good a program and team Georgia football will field here today, but this is a long time rivalry that is emotional, and I expect a full house here today to back the Gamecocks. Like last season, we can expect a physical game , that I'm betting actually favours South Carolina to cover. Georgia won last years battle 24-10 on their own home turf, but now with the border war changing venues we will take the points. Note: Georgia has failed to cover 5 straight in road openers if they are DD chalk kickoff. South Carolina is 8-3 ATS in this series, and 5-1-1 ATS with conference revenge. Play on South Carolina to cover |
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09-08-18 | Arkansas State +37 v. Alabama | 7-57 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 45 m | Show | |
Arkansas State is a program that has been highly competitive recently and off a win in game 1 of their season and Im betting they can stay within the number here this week, vs a No.1 ranked Alabama team that will be focused on staying healthy before their SEC opener next week vs Ole Miss. Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS in his career with Alabama as a non-conference favorite of more than 28 points before his SEC opener when facing an opponent coming off a victory and is also just 1-11 ATS as non conference home chalk of 28 points or more and . It must also be pointed out that the Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost just 1 game of their last 159 games by more than 37 points. CFB Underdog of 31.5 or more points (ARKANSAS ST) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-7 ATS L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Arkansas State to cover |
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09-08-18 | Holy Cross v. Boston College UNDER 51.5 | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
In their first game of the season Boston College surprisingly opening up their schemes and put on a ferocious aerial assault instead of concentrating on their vaunted ground attack. The coaching staff did however, look concerned about the Defensive lapses vs UMass, and now want to slow the game down and control pace which hopefully gets their stoppers focused again. But I expect their ground game to be the key for them this week against Holy Cross as the coaching staff will want QB Anthony Brown who suffered a knee injury last season to take less punishment this week before the conference schedule begins as they also know that 3 of their next 4 games will be taking place on the road. These are two old regional rivals so I won't be surprised if this is a physical game that stays on the low side of the number. Note Holy Cross shut out Colgate in the 2nd half of last weeks 24-17 loss to Colgate. Boston College have under 15 straight times by an average 11.7 ppg, 2008 com-ing off a game as a home favorite where they forced at least three turnovers which happened in your opener . the average combined score of these games clicking at 34.7 ppg with non of the games eclipsing this 51 point plateau. Play UNDER |
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09-08-18 | Duke v. Northwestern -3 | 21-7 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 54 m | Show | |
This one is a revenge situation that sets up from last season where Duke mercilessly smashed Northwestern, 41- 17, as a 2-point home underdog. Revenge is one very powerful motivational factor as stated in many data bases including the bible. Quote" “Vengeance is mine; I will repay. End Quote: That will be the Northwestern moto this week. |
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09-07-18 | Mystics v. Storm -5 | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 1 According to my power rankings the Seattle Storm are the superior team, and a -5 point home line is 2 points short of where it should be according to my numbers based on home court advantage and a eastern team travelling west. Also Washingtons Delle Donne is less than 100% as he suffers through a knee injury.n the first two games of the playoffs, she averaged 29.5 points and 13.5 rebounds on 48.5 percent shooting. In two games after returning from the injury, she put up 14.5 points and 10.5 boards, while shooting just 39.2 percent. Without her Im betting they can't keep up offensively. Also a lot of emotion went into their dramatic game 5 win vs the Dream, and now a huge letdown is to be expected, even more so than the Storm could experience. WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 3-19 ATS after 3 straight games with 45 or more rebounds since 1997. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SEATTLE) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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09-07-18 | Astros -105 v. Red Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston has played their best baseball on the road this season, as is evident by a 47-21 record away from home. They have also been hard to stop when facing LHP like Price the BoSox top tier hurler as is evident by a 20-6 record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season. Price might be in top form, and the BoSox hitters and are also heating up but the Astros pitching staff on the whole including the bullpen has been on fire and have allowed a total 12 runs in their L/6 games and deserve our respect and backing here on the road in their current form. Note:Teams that have allowed less than six total runs like Houston in their last three games against opponents who have scored more than 20 runs in their last three games like Boston are 97-76 showing us that hot pitching trumps hot hitting a majority of the time. With that said, lets take the Astros to deliver the cash. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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09-07-18 | Padres v. Reds -151 | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Reds usually don't inspire many bettors, but tonight they have an edge vs visiting San Diego, behind their starter DeSclafani who is the Reds most consistent pitcher . The right-hander has a stingy 2.75 ERA in his last 36 innings of work, and he lasted at least six innings in five consecutive starts until he had a rocky outing last time out.DeScalfani however is a bounce back type hurler who has helped the Reds win 10 of the 16 games he's started and gets my support here tonight. DESCLAFANI is 18-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Rec SAN DIEGO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. The Reds have won 28 straight as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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09-06-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -162 | 7-6 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Greinke Arizona's starter today vs the Braves today had one of his best outings of the season in the first series, when he gave up four hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 victory at Sun Trust Field on July 14. He struck out seven without a walk and according to my power rankings matches ups well vs this Braves side. Greinke won his only start against the Braves last season and Is 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA in nine career starts.He is 6-3 with a 2.16 ERA in 14 home starts this season after going 13-1 at Chase Field in 2017 and gets my support tonight. The Diamondbacks have won 27 straight times as a 120+ home favorite off a home game when their starter went more than seven innings and struck out at least five in his last start and in the L/6 games in this trend set has won by a combined 45-9 count. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 38-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline |
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09-05-18 | Orioles v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Leake the Mariners starter does not have a decision with a 7.36 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles while Cashner is 2-4 with a 4.09 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) against Seattle. Both pitchers are in sub par form and very hittable in their current form. Leake owns a 5.40 ERA in his L/3 starts, while Cashner has recorded a 5.89 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill. With the Mariners trying to make up 5 1/2 runs on the Athletics you can bet they will be focused and ready to show very little mercy here even if their up at some point by a wide margin. Meanwhile, Baltimore with nothing to play for other than padding stats Willalso be primed to light up their opponents. This I'm betting leads to a high scoring affair. CASHNER is 11-1 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.CASHNER is 11-2 OVER in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored. The Mariners have gone over 10 straight times 140+ favorite off a home game in which Robinson Cano hit a home run with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-05-18 | Yankees v. A's +142 | 2-8 | Win | 142 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) Oakland starter Fiers, has seen the A's go unbeaten in his starts since being acquired from Detroit last month. He's 3-0, with Oakland with his team going 5-0 with the new staff ace on the mound. I'm recommending we back him to help us convert this ticket into a profitable outcome tonight vs the Yankees.Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. FIERS is 8-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)FIERS is 7-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 7-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Athletics are 24-9 in their last 33 home games. Yankees are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Oakland.The Athletics have won 22 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break, with 12 of those victories coming this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 23-39 L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-05-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA), owns a 2.63 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season but was knocked around the last time he faced Milwaukee, allowing five runs on six hits in five innings of a 7-0 loss at Wrigley Field last month. I am expecting him to bounce back as he is currently in top form as is evident by having allowed four total runs since tha tilt, spanning three starts, including only one over six innings of three-hit ball his last time out against Philadelphia. Quintana has garner a 1.67 ERA in eight career starts versus Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Cubs starter went head to head with Quintana in that meeting last month and produced a gem by striking out a season-high 10 over seven scoreless innings -- his second shutout effort against the Cubs this season.The Cubs righty owns a solid 2.84 in nine games (eight starts) versus Chicago. With that said, Im expecting both pitchers to long and strong tonight and for this final score to stay on the low side of the Total. Under is 11-2 in Cubs last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.Under is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 road games.Under is 19-7 in Cubs last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Quintanas last 5 road starts.Over is 8-1 in Quintanas last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.Under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Milwaukee.Under is 5-1 in Quintanas last 6 starts vs. Brewers QUINTANA is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)QUINTANA is 12-3 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 combined runs scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-05-18 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Dodgers bats woke up last night and put 11 runs on the board, and Im betting their momentum will continue tonight vs Zach Wheeler a hurler who has pitched well of late, but who has never shown long term consistency. Wheeler is 0-2 vs the Dodgers along with a ugly looking 11.00 ERA in 2 starts. The Mets as a team have allowed an an average of 5.1 rpg on the road this season behind a bullpen that has garnered a bloated 5.56 road ERA. Meanwhile, HJ Ryu, the Dodgers starter has also been stable, but the Mets offence have not been easy to deal with lately, and have averaged 5 rpg on the road this season. Considering the matchup data options I'm betting on this total being eclipsed. Over is 5-2-1 in Wheelers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-5-1 in Wheelers last 17 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Dodgers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing.NY Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.METS are 16-1 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons. WHEELER is 23-9 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on the OVER |
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09-05-18 | Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The fresher bullpen today Im betting will be a big difference maker in this tilt between Miami and visiting Philadelphia. Philadelphia's relievers have pitched 8 innings in the last 3 games.Miami's relievers have pitched 15.2 innings in the last 3 games. The Marlins have lost 19 straight in franchise history as a 150-plus underdog when they off a game as a underdog in which Starlin Castro had multiple hits. losing by an average of more than 5 rpg. .The Phillies have won 8 straight in franchise history as a favorite with Nick Pivetta when he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. The Phillies have won these eight tilts by an average 5.5 rpg. Phillies are 4-0 in Pivettas last 4 starts vs. Marlins Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia and 1-5 ATS L/6 overall. Play on the Phillies on the runline -1.5 |
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09-05-18 | Cardinals +117 v. Nationals | 7-6 | Win | 117 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Mikolas' the cards starter's unbeaten streak ended at 10 starts last timeout, despite permitting just two runs over five innings. In those 10 tilts he allowed fewer than three runs in seven games and is a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role here tonight vs the Washington Nationals. ROARK the Nationals tarting hurler is 2-8 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ROARK is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.789. Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Cardinals are 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 6-1 in Mikolas' last 7 starts.Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series. Cardinals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Nationals are 5-14 in Roarks last 19 starts with 4 days of rest.Nationals are 2-6 in Roarks last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Nationals are 2-8 in Roarks last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Nationals are 1-5 in Roarks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are a bankroll expanding 80-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 38-90 L/5 seasons for. go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Mets +215 v. Dodgers | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Jason Vargas the Mets starter in top form and 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA over his last four starts. With the Mets as a team suddenly playing better, Vargas looks like a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role. Meanwhile, the LA Dodgers send out Hill (6-5, 3.59) a pitcher that has gone against the Mets seven times in his career, with five of those as a starter. He however is just 1-2 against New York with a nasty looking 7.83 ERA over 23 innings of ugly work. The Mets have won 10 straight as a road 170+ dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season and it is post All-Star break and have won 3 times this season under those perimeters by multiple runs. CALLAWAY is 8-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 as the manager of NY METS. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -165 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rookie pitcher Lucchesi, the Padres starter hoas shown himself to be equality hurler this far and sports a 3.59 ERA in 21 starts, However he has not matched up well vs Arizona as his last two losses have come against the Diamondbacks. He has a less than pretty 0-4 record along with a bloated 7.71 ERA in four starts, two at home and two on the road. Arizona has five homers and 16 runs off him in 18 2/3 innings. Today the kid is fade material here in Arizona. Meanwhile, Ray the Dbacks starter is a inconsistent commodity on the mound , but in his last two starts has allowed a total of 2 ERs , 1 in each game. RAY is 15-2 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yes, San Diego has been playing well of late but it must be noted that they are just 6-21 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks have won 13 straight as a favorite in the last game of a series after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 50-9 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Red Sox -126 v. Braves | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) The former Cy Young Award winner Porcello the BoSox starter today has not pitched very well of late, but an interleague start could be just what the doctor ordered for his recent ills.Porcello has also pitched much better on the road than at home this season, going 9-3 with a 3.88 ERA compared with 6-4 with a 4.74 ERA at Fenway. ParRed Sox are 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. National League East.Red Sox are 12-0 in Porcellos last 12 interleague starts.Red Sox are 6-2 in Porcellos last 8 road starts.Red Sox are 19-7 in Porcellos last 26 starts on grass.Red Sox are 22-9 in Porcellos last 31 starts during game 2 of a series.Red Sox are 9-4 in Porcellos last 13 starts.BOSTON is 28-7 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Newcombe the Braves starter is also struggling, asa evident by having allowed five or more runs in three of his last four trips to the hill including an interleague loss to Tampa Bay last time out.Newcomb had a 6.35 ERA in August. Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordBraves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 starts vs. American League East.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 interleague starts. ATLANTA is 6-21 L/27 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season. Red Sox are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.Red Sox are 26-9 in the last 35 meetings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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09-03-18 | Toronto +8.5 v. Hamilton | 28-42 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 48 m | Show | |
This is the annual Labor Day classic between two long time rivals, and a upset is not out of the question, as is a cover for the underdog. TORONTO is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. CFL Underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-17 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (HAMILTON) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover |
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09-03-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Plutko the Tribes starter will take the mound for the first of three games against the Royals at Progressive Field. Last time out, he allowed two runs, five hits and struck out five in 5 1/3 innings against the Twins.Junis' KCs starter last start against Cleveland was a 9-3 loss on July 2. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing nine runs (eight earned). In two starts against the Indians this year, Junis is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA. In four career appearances (three starts) vs. Cleveland, he is 0-2 with an 8.05 ERA he is a candidate to take part in a one sided loss vs the Indians again today. KC is 12-50 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the combined average loss coming by 2.2 rpg.CLEVELAND is 34-8 SU in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average win coming by 2.9 rpg.KANSAS CITY is 4-25 SU in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the losses coming by an average of 2.2 rpg. The Indians have won 20 straight as a home 130-plus favorite off a home game when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break. Cleveland has outscored their opposition by an average of 4.75 runs per game.The Indians have also won 8 straight in the first game of a home series when they are off a home series and they are facing a team that is seeking same season revenge. Cleveland has won these eight tilts by an average of more than 7 runs per game. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games are 13-64 L/5 seasons. Teams 6.4 Opponent 3.5. Play on the Cleveland Indians on the runline -1.5 |
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09-03-18 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) The Tigers enter this game having allowed 6 or more runs in 7 of their L/8 games (8.64 RPG). Yesterday their offence also came to life winning by an 11-7 count. Meanwhile. the White Sox their opponents today scored 8 runs in a shutout win vs BoSox yesterday. Both teams offence have momentum entering this game, and as mentioned above the Tigers are allowing runs by the boatload. Thus an over wager here considering the starting pitcher and bullpen options is according to my projections a high probability event. LOPEZ the White Sox starter is 16-4 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.LOPEZ is 11-2 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 11-2 OVER when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.RENTERIA is 25-9 OVER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Lopezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts on grass.Over is 10-3 in Lopezs last 13 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lopezs last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Lopezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 9-2-2 in Tigers last 13 vs. American League Central.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a win.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers last 6 during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-3-2 in Tigers last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The White Sox have gone over 11 straight times after the All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent with a. combined average of 13.46 rpg scored with no game seeing less than 9 runs scored. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX LSU’s HC Ed Orgeron has his hands full here tonight in the opener against Miami Fl, thanks to the offseason personnel losses that saw 14 starters and 18 players from the 2-deep depart. He has a new offensive coordinator and just named its starter Monday -- junior Joe Burrow, a graduate transfer from Ohio State who will be making his first collegiate start. Meanwhile, Miami and their top tier HC Mark Richt goes with fifth-year senior and returning starter at quarterback in Malik Rosier. The Canes are also chalk loaded full of talent after another solid recruiting class, and Im betting will have this rebuilding LSU team on their heels. Canes 8-1-1 ATS as non-conference chalk of 7 or less points.LSU is 1-8 ATS L/9 in September games .Orgeron is 4-13 ATS in September games in all games he has coached since 1992. Mark Richt of the Canes owns. a 21-10 SU record in non conference action away from home.
Play on the Miami Canes to cover , |
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09-02-18 | Mariners v. A's -130 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) is having a down season and has faced todays opponent the A's four times already this season and lost three of them. Meanwhile, Jackson the as starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners and won all four, compiling a 1.26 ERA in the process.Jackson lost last time out, but I'm betting he bounces back vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 6-0 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 6-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 29-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season The third-place Mariners took a nerve racking , 8-7 victory Saturday night vs the As, but now I expect them to bounce back and notch a victory. Note:The Athletics have won 21 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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09-02-18 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9 | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) 14-year veteran has pitched well vs Oakland in his career and despite of losing 3 of 4 games against them this season, he continues to keep his team competitive, as the 3 losses were all low scoring affairs, 2-1, 4-3, 3-2. Hernandez has faced the A's 50 times in his career, starting on 49 of those occasions and garner a very stable 2.71 ERA in this tilts. In Oakland he owns a a 2.89 ERA in 26 games, including 25 as a starter. Under is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. Athletics. Meanwhile, Jackson the As starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners compiling a stingy 1.26 ERA in the process and should once again be dominating vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with the average combined score clicking in at 7.8 rpg. average.JACKSON is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg. JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).JACKSON is 15-2 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Under is 9-1-2 in Jacksons last 12 starts overall. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (OAKLAND) - after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals, playing on Sunday 86-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-18 | Navy -11 v. Hawaii | 41-59 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 34 m | Show | |
Hawaii might of taken advantage of rebuilding Colorado State program for a win on the road last week 43-34, but now on tired legs after back and forth trips from Paradise Island to the mainland and than back to Paradise Island again, the Warriors will now have to contend with a solid Navy football program that will not be over looking them because of the irrationally exuberant headlines Hawaiis football program has been featured in all week. The Midshipan will be especially primed to capture a conclusive victory here after losing 6 of their L/7 games last season.Mind you two of those losses were to UCF and Notre Dame where they did not look out of place.The Midshipman did show their metal with a 49-7 win vs Virginia in their Bowl game, and are still steaming and ready to roll here's vs this Saturday night in the final game of the day. Im betting this will one of Niumatalolo’s most explosive teams yet and that the Warriors despite of vast coaching and tempo changes on offence are not ready to compete with this kind of opponent just yet. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.HAWAII is 0-6 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (NAVY) - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, with an experienced QB returning as starter are 45-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Navy to cover |
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09-01-18 | Rockies -137 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
The Rockies will be starting right-hander Jon Gray (10-7, 4.67 ERA) to the mound Saturday night against Padres' left-hander Robbie Erlin (3-4, 3.69). Gray had a no-decision last Monday in Colorado's 10-7, interleague loss to the Angels in Anaheim. that ended a streak of nine straight victories by the Rockies in games started by Gray dating back to June 22. Gray was 4-0 with a 3.02 ERA in those starts. Gray has had alot success when pitching against the Fathers. He is 7-3 with a 2.67 ERA in 14 career starts against the Padres, and is 3-1 this season along with a stable 3.33 ERA in four starts vs SD. The Padres have been playing well of late, and are on a 4 game win streak, but have proven disappointing when looking like they are about to go on a roll. SAN DIEGO is 4-21 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Rockies have won 16 in a row as as a opening line 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. The Rockies have averaged more than 8 rpg and won by an average of more than 5 rpg. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 92-34 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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09-01-18 | SMU +5.5 v. North Texas | 23-46 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Ponies make their debut under new head coach Sonny Dykes this Saturday at North Texas. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but Im betting SMU has made more efficient upgrades especially on D in the off season behind former Northern Illinois defensive coordinator Kevin Kane and the offence under take no prisoners style of play implemented by Dykes leadership will see the Mustangs continue to roll. I feel strongly that SMU has a outright chance at victory, partly because I feel North Texas will have problems plugging the run via 3-3-5 defensive scheme and ha a tendency of giving up huge plays. NORTH TEXAS is 8-20 ATS L/28 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 . The Mustangs have beaten UNT three consecutive times overall and lead the all-time series 31-5-1. Play on SMU to cover |
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09-01-18 | Cincinnati +15.5 v. UCLA | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 60 h 43 m | Show | |
Chip Kelly the former Oregon HC Is now back in the Pac-12 . His OU team was dominating, but I'm betting his task here at UCLA will be a daunting one this season, especially on defense where this Bruins football program looked atrocious last season especially vs the run, ranking last among power 5 teams . Kelley from a wagering perspective was not a particularly good bet outside of his conference in his tenure with the Ducks, going just 6-7 ATS, including 1-3 ATS in season opening battles . On the flipside Bearcats HC Luke Fickell has put together a truly talented and under rated group here behind some very good recruiting classes and I'm betting this Cincinnati Bearcats teams is being seriously underestimated , while Chip and his ultra talented but still less than cohesive group are over rated at this point in the season. UCLA is 1-8 ATS in September games over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (UCLA) - poor rushing defense from last season - allowed 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 9-22 SU L/5 seasons, with the average point differential clicking in at 5.9 ppg. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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09-01-18 | Boise State v. Troy +10.5 | 56-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Two seasons ago, Troy closed as 35-point underdogs at Clemson and covered with extraordinary ease in a hard fought 30-24 loss. Last year, they fearlessly went into Death Valley and upset LSU, 24- 21, as 20.5-point pups Now with revenge on board for a a season opening 24-13 home loss to the Broncos in 2017 I expect they will be primed to be competitive again . I know BSU was ranked No. 22 in the preseason AP poll and returning senior QB Brett Rypien, is a stud QB. But it must be noted that Troy are no pushovers , and are 9-0 ATS record as underdog of 9 or more points at Veterans Memorial Stadium and this will be their first home dog situation since the 20015 season.. It would also be important to point out that Bryan Harsin’s Broncos have covered only 1 of their L/5 ATS in season openers the last five years, and 4-10 ATS as double-digit chalk versus an opponent that won 10 or more games the previous season. Troy is a team that won 25 of their 31 overall and must be respected here as home dogs. Yes even a against this powerful Boise group. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - excellent passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 62% or better, in non-conference game are 30-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TROY) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in non-conference games are 42-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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09-01-18 | Northern Illinois +10.5 v. Iowa | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 20 m | Show | |
The Hawkeyes should not be favoured by this much. The opening line was bad, and has been bet down, and I'm betting taking 10 points with Northern Illinois also offers value. Iowa has lost a lot form last years team. and have been far from good bets in the past in non conference openers going just 3-11 ATS at home when they are less 16 point chalk .Meanwhile, NIU is 30-10 SU and 27-11-2 ATS in its last forty road games and are 14-4 ATS as double-digit non-conference road dogs the last 18 seasons. including 11- 1 ATS in their L/12 Big 12 battles . HC Ferentiz and company also own a ugly 1-5 ATS record in its last six games against MAC opponents and are 0-3 ATS in season openers. The last time these teams opened against each other in 2012-13 the two tilts were decided by a total of just 4 points and Im betting another very close game here behind a very improved Northern Illinois defence. N ILLINOIS is 13-4 ATS L/17 as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. CFB road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (N ILLINOIS) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 42-13 ATS L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Northern Illinois to cover |
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09-01-18 | Texas -13 v. Maryland | 29-34 | Loss | -116 | 73 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a pure and simple situation that will see Texas focused on getting some payback for last seasons humiliating loss at home to this same Maryland program. Its not usually my thing to lay almost two touchdowns on the road between power 5 teams, but this one stands out as being exceptional situation and worth laying the lumber. Texas will primed on taking a merciless stance here today on their way to a one sided beatdown of mammoth proportions. Note: Suspended HC DJ Durkins has had a lot of issues that have effected this Terps group mentality, and I expect we see that here today. I don't think interim HC and OC Matt Canada will have this team ready to compete at the level it needs to not to be embarrassed today. Maryland football program failed to cover 34 of their L/36 straight up non-conference home or neutral field losses, including 23 straight ATS losses under these perimeters. Texas head coach Herman is 9-3 SUATS when seeking revenge, including 10-1 ATS in non-conference games, and a perfect 5-0 ATS as a visitor. Play on Texas to cover |
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09-01-18 | Texas State +17 v. Rutgers | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
After a few of ugly seasons, since going FBS football, Texas State has finally tapped into a deep Texas talent pool and had a couple of very good recruiting classes with 17 3star recruits in the lineup , which has them flying in under the radar in this opener vs Rutgers side that averaged just 18 PPG (120th), 115.58 PYPG (124th) and 147.08 RYPG (86th) on offence .With an inexperienced TD at the helm of offence in QB Sitkowski I'm betting things will not get much better for the Scarlet Knights even with their new OC McNutty making calls. Note:Less than two weeks before the start of the year, the Scarlet Knights saw eight players - all from the defensive side of the ball - charged for their alleged involvement in a credit-card fraud scheme. These kids set a tone in the lockeroom that won't be easy erased when the on field group takes to the field today. Rutgers is 3-8 ATS L/11 as a DD fav, and in no way to they inspire me, especially vs a Texas State Defence that has shown vast improvement over the last few seasons. Play on Texas State to cover |
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09-01-18 | Coastal Carolina +30 v. South Carolina | 15-49 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
South Carolina goes against instate opponent Coastal Carolina here today in what must be looked at as a tuneup game for the Gamecocks and super bowl type game for Coastal Carolina. |
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08-31-18 | Storm +2.5 v. Mercury | 66-86 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - SEA leads 2-0 |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State +14.5 v. Stanford | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 108 h 46 m | Show | |
San Diego State Rbs Rashaad Penny(2248 ry) and Juwan Washington (759 ry) will be primed to run wild this week, vs a Stanford D, that no longer looks as formidable as it once did. Last season Stanford performed well below expectations defensively and permitted a whopping 35 ppg in their final two games of the season, and now with Justin Reid and DT Harrison Phillips gone to the NFL via the draft, things don't likely look to get much better. San Diego State plays the type of ball that can keep them in this tilt till the end , and get us the cover. STANFORDs last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a average margin of victory coming by 13.3 ppg, which gives us value with the underdog based on line divergence. CFB team (STANFORD) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers, team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record are just 7-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on SD State to cover |
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08-31-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L) Veteran right-hander Homer Bailey (1-12, 6.17 ERA) will start the series opener, for the Reds vs the steaming hot St.Louis Cardianls. BAILEY is 0-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.4 rpg which qualifies this trend as a runline edge. The Cardinals counter with rookie left-hander Austin Gomber (4-0, 2.79), who has allowed just four runs in his last four starts, covering 22 innings.GOMBER is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) with the average win coming by 4.4 rpg which qualifies under a runline premier wager. The Reds have lost 28 straight on the moneyline as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times with 20 of those games won by multiple runs. MLB Chalk with a money line of -175 to -250 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after 2 straight one run losses are 71-14 L/21 seasons with the average margin victory coming by 2.3 rpg. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the runline -1.5 |
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08-30-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Dodgers will have left-hander Rich Hill on the mound while the Diamondbacks will counter with a southpaw of their own in Robbie Ray. Hill looked good last Time out, but it must be noted that going against Arizona has been a nightmare for him in the recent past as is evident, via his 0-5 record in seven starts against Arizona as a member of the Dodgers. The veteran has a 1.29 WHIP in those seven trips to the hill. Hill is just 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in two starts against the Diamondbacks this season. Note: The Dodgers have gone over 11 straight times with Rich Hill as a favorite when he went 6+ innings and allowed fewer than six hits in his last start. The average combined score of those games was 11.46 RPG with none of the games seeing less than 9 runs scored. Meanwhile Ray, the Backs starter despite of being an adequate hurler of late, is far from over powering, and has garnered a 3.66 ERA, but all of those ended in no-decisions. The Diamondbacks are just 1-7 in Ray's last eight starts and he hasn't picked up a victory since June 27. Needless to say he is susceptible to being lit up as is Hill. HILL is 11-1 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after allowing 1 run or less are 88-44 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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08-30-18 | Wake Forest -6.5 v. Tulane | 23-17 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 43 m | Show | |
This one goes like this , Tulane owns a shaky run D , and it did not do well vs good run teams last season. Things don't look to get much better this season, and Wake Forest will take advantage of this and pound the ball on the ground mercilessly right out of the gate, behind 5 retuning starters and than as tilt progresses use the option to do further damage through the air. Yes even with Sam Hartman taking snaps, thanks to his ability to hit WR Greg Dorch who can also explode when playing on special teams, especially vs a revamped Tulane secondary. Willie Fritz and company have their hands full with a under rated and explosive Wake Forest football program today . With that said lay the points with the Demon Deacons on the road. TULANE is 2-11 ATS against ACC opponents since 1992. ACC 40.8 Tulane 13.1 Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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08-30-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8 | 0-5 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Musgrove looked a little tired last Friday at Milwaukee, when he allowed four runs in four innings of sub par work.Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Gant despite of some strong efforts recently, does not matchup well vs the Pirates batting order, according to my power rankings , and asa matter of fact his worst outing was vs the Bucks on Aug. 3, when t he was pounded for six runs and eight hits in four innings of ugly work. My estimates today project both teams to score 4 runs or more and for this tilt to eclipse the total. The Pirates have gone over 15 straight times as a road dog after a win in which they scored 3 runs or fewer, with no game seeing less than 8 combined runs scored, and the average combined score clicking in at 10.75 rpg.( Pirates won 2-0 yesterday vs Cards) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PITTSBURGH) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team, playing on Thursday are 47-17 OVER L5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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08-30-18 | Central Florida v. Connecticut UNDER 74.5 | 56-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
A lot of times certain matchups seem obvious based on expectations . However, the obvious is not always as straight forward as many might think. Central Florida blew through opposing football programs last season, via an explosive offensive attack , and should once again field a up tempo style assault behind new head coach and former Missouri HC Heupel who is all about tempo. This right out of the gate has everyone giddy about the Knights offensive abilities and their chances for a big night against a young rebuilding UConn football program that stunk onnD last season. While UCF despite of some key roster losses are still very talented ,putting up more than 48 points will be difficult, as I expect the Huskies will play a very conservative game plan, that will try to grind clock time down quickly in an attempt to stay competitive. With that said, it must be noted that Uconns HC Eudsall teams play their best ball, when the running game is in a groove as he consistently preaches clock and tempo control something he employs to get an edge on the talent gap he has experienced in the past as was evident when he was a coach at Maryland. Last season, The Huskies failed to score more than 24 points in any of the last six games last season a continuation is expected here. UCF won a 49-23 decision at home vs UConn last season with a 72 combined points scored and I'm bettong both were more cohesive last season then they will this season, thus a combined score in the mid to higher 60s would me a much closer correlated event than more than 72+ point out put. These two opposing game plans.... one fast and one slow, have my scoring projections consistently staying on the low side of this total. I have the Knights putting up between 41 and 47 points, while Connecticut should be able to put up no more than 20-24 points which co ordinated closely to the point spread differentials. Play on on the UNDER |
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08-29-18 | White Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) The Yankees starter tonight, vs the White Sox owns a 19-6 career record along with a 3.73 ERA in 36 starts against Chicago. His .760 winning percentage against Chicago is Sabathia's highest against any American League team. He had a couple sub par efforts vs them recently but is rated after coming off the DL a week ago and primed to finished he is season strong. The White Sox have struggled vs lefties this season going just 11 -22 and have been outscored by an a average of 2.1 rpg in those tilts. Yankees are 23-6 in Sabathias last 29 home starts. Meanwhile, Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.66) the Pale Hose starter is winless for the White Sox. Since winning at Texas on July 1, he is 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his last nine starts and is fade material here today.Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees have won 17 straight as a moneyline favorite of 200+ after they had a comeback victory and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. The Yankees have won all 17 games by multiple runs which makes this a viable run-line wagering situation. Play on the NY Yankees on the runline -1.5 |
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08-29-18 | Tigers v. Royals -106 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L Duffy (7-11, 4.85 ERA) made a quick return from the disabled list after dealing with shoulder tendinitis. Duffy's fastball velocity returned to the usual 93-95 MPH range after dipping toward 90 in his previous outing and he is ready to roll over a team that might be even worse than his own. He also has revenge on board, for two losses he suffered to the Tigers earlier this season. FULMER Motowns stater is 8-20 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Fulmerhas lost his L/2 starts going opposite Duffy and KC. MLBHome favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 57-16 L/21 seasons. Play on KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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08-29-18 | A's v. Astros -159 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) Oakland squeaked out 4-3 win in game 2 of this series, yesterday, but Im betting on a now healthy Houston team rebounding in a big way here this afternoon. The Athletics have lost 19 straight in the last game of a series as a 170+ opening line dog after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers. Look for a explosive Astros batting order to take advantage of the As Trevor Cahill, a hurler who has struggled away from home this season, as is evident by his bloated 6.92 road ERA in eight starts , as he has allowed 30 ERs in 39 innings of work. Meanwhile, the Astros are 7-1 in Keuchels their starters last 8 home starts vs. Athletics. HOUSTON is 15-2 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. MLB team (OAKLAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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08-28-18 | Mariners -121 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -121 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
The Mariners are 4 1/2 games behind the Athletics in the race for the second AL wild card and motivated to keep winning. Meanwhile, the Padres are off being swept by the Dodgers on the weekend and have now lost 8 of their L/10 and look like they have very little fight in them at the moment.MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 12-35 :/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Hernandez will make his second start since returning to the rotation after a brief stint in the bullpenHernandez is 6-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against San Diego.HERNANDEZ is 15-4 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Nix the Padres starter after a winning MLB debut allowed a total of eight runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings over his next two trips to the hill and no longer looks as formidable as he did in that first game, and is fade material here in this spot. Padres are 5-22 in their last 27 home games.Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 1-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.SAN DIEGO is 9-32 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-15 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandezs last 5 starts with 7 or more days of rest.Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 vs. American League West.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 16-39 in their last 55 interleague games.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 games following a loss.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Padres are 10-25 in their last 35 interleague home games. The Mariners are 20-1 on the moneyline as a 135-plus favorite off a road game vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-28-18 | Mercury v. Storm -5 | 87-91 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 2 - SEA leads 1-0 Seattle won the first game of this series, but did not cover. The Mercury gave it their all and left everything on the floor in game 1, and still fell short. Tonight Im betting they get lit up as they play on the road on tired legs. SEATTLE is 11-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games this season. Mercury are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Semi-Finals games.Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Storm are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Storm are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.Storm are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.Storm are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 34-2 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-28-18 | A's +197 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 197 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The As started strong vs the Astros in game 1 of this series, and than fell apart and lost 11-4. But the As in the past have proven resilient in a rebound mode, going 14-3 after a loss, and 25-6 after allowing 5 runs or more. Athletics are also 20-8 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. Jackson the As starter struggled through 4 1/3 innings last time out, yielding four runs on seven hits vs. the Rangers on Wednesday. Before that he had a stellar August garnering a stingy 2.35 ERA on the month.Morton the Astros starter is off one of his worst starts of the season, tying a season high in earned runs (six) against the Mariners on Wednesday. Astros are 1-5 in Mortons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. .Athletics are 5-0 in Jacksons last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Jacksons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts on grass.Athletics are 4-1 in Jacksons last 5 road starts. OAKLAND is 5-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% this season.HOUSTON is 2-7 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. The Athletics have won 20 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. The Astros have lost 7 straight on the moneyline when they are off a home game and they are a 140+ favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-28-18 | Rays v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
TB has allowed a total of 12 runs in their L/8 games all victories. Atlanta has allowed a total of 6 runs including 3 shutouts wins in their L/6 trips to the diamonds. Needless to say both teams defences and pitching are clicking on all cylinders, and Im betting nothing changes today. Since the beginning of June, Ryan Stanke the Rays starter has been in top form and garnered a solid 2.06 ERA and .182 opponents' average in 35 appearances (19 starts), lowering his ERA from 4.66 to 2.53. His average fastball velocity is 98 mph with a max velocity of 100.5 mph, according to Statcast. He is in very good from and deserves my backing here. Meanwhile, Teheran has been in great form of late, allowing two runs or less in each of his last three starts. This past Wednesday against the Pirates, Teheran permitted just two hits and one run over seven brilliant innings of top tier work. TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record)with a. combined average of 7.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 17-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 12-2 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 on grass.Under is 20-5-1 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games following an off day Under is 19-7 in Rays last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 21-8-1 in Rays last 30 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 during game 1 of a series.Under is 35-15-4 in Rays last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-7 in Rays last 23 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 13-6 in Rays last 19 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games following a win.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 on grass.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-1 in Braves last 12 overall.Over is 11-1 in Braves last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter Under is 4-0 in Teherans last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Teherans last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Teherans last 7 interleague starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts on grass.Under is 8-2 in Teherans last 10 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Under is 15-5-1 in Teherans last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-2 in Teherans last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7-1 in Teherans last 27 home starts.Under is 39-19-2 in Teherans last 60 starts during game 1 of a series. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.MLBRoad teams (TAMPA BAY) - after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 36-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-27-18 | A's +173 v. Astros | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R) Cole despite of a impressive overall record has worked at least seven innings only once of his last 11 starts after opening the season with five consecutive 7+ inning appearances. The Astros are 1-4 in his last five starts and he is susceptible to a down effort vs a top tier team. Meanwhile, Anderson the As starter has produced consecutive scoreless starts, allowing six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 0.68 ERA this month and gets my backing as a solid value based underdog in this spot. Astros are 0-4 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League West.COLE is 3-11 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 1-7 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. OAKLAND s 27-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 road games.Oakland is 7-0-1 in its last eight series.The Athletics have won 6 straight as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings. The Athletics have also won 12 straight on the moneyline on the road after they hit multiple home runs and it is post All-Star break. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - off 4 straight wins vs. division rivals, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-27-18 | Nationals v. Phillies +120 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Strasburg makes his second start since returning from the DL, after allowing five runs in four innings Wednesday against the Phillies in D.C. Strasburg threw 84 pitches in that game and blamed a lack of endurance for a velocity dip in the fourth .With that said, I Still think the righty needs a another start or two before he gets back into a groove which makes him and his team susceptible to defeat here in this spot.I know his pitching opponent from the Phillies Eflin has been struggling of late, but the inconsistent bats of the Nats are just 7-19 L/26 vs a right handed starter this season . Yes, they blasted out 15 runs yesterday in a shutout win vs the lowly Mets, but prior to that were shutout 3 straight times. Feast or famine for Washington. I'm taking famine here and recommending we back a Phillies team that is 41-22 at home this season. Also Eflin has pitched his best at home where he owns a 6-1 record along with a 3.51 ERA at home this season, in 8 starts. Nationals are 1-5 in Strasburgs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline post All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest off a road game when facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins. The L/13 wins were by multiple runs. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-18 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Luis Severino the Yankees starter is 2-4 with a 7.26 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.Bundy Baltimore's starter will look to snap a three-game stretch in which he’s allowed seven earned runs in each of his past three outings. He’s recorded just two quality starts and posted a 9.08 ERA since the start of July. More down efforts by both hurlers today are expected, as is a combined score that eclipses this Total. Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 starts overall.Over is 5-1-1 in Bundys last 7 starts overall.Over is 12-3-2 in Bundys last 17 starts vs. American League East. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. Orioles. SEVERINO is 16-3 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. SEVERINO is 7-0 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average 13 rpg on the board. SEVERINO is 9-1 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.8 rpg scored.SEVERINO is 8-1 OVER in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 21.1 rpg scored. BOONE is 21-9 OVER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) as the manager of NY YANKEES with the combined average score clicking in at 10.9 rpg. The Yankees are 15-1 on the OVER in the last game of a series as a 175-plus favorite after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is post All-Star break None of the games in this set has seen less than a combined 9 runs go on the board with the average combined score clicking in at 13.68 rpg. Play OVER |
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08-26-18 | Astros -118 v. Angels | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R) The Astros are as healthy as they have been a while, and are dangerous opponents to any MLB no matter who goes to the hill from they're pitching rotation. Meanwhile,Pean the Angels starter who was converted to a starter earlier this season, is winless in his last eight starts, and is fade material again in this spot. Im betting on the Astros getting this game and sweeping the series. HOUSTON is 19-4 against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. HOUSTON is 29-8 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. ANGELS are 4-17 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. The Astros have gone 17-5 in 22 games in California this season – including 6-2 against the Angels. The Astros have won 21 straight on the moneyline as a 130-plus road favorite when facing a team they just beat by five-plus runs, with 20 of those games coming by multiple runs. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Erlin the Padres stater is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Los Angeles - with one of the losses coming in a start on April 16, when he was tagged for six runs in three innings of sub par work. The Dodgers 9 see this guys stuff well, and now with another look could easily light him up again. Ryu his Dodgers pitching opponent is 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in eight career starts versus the Padres, including a victory at San Diego opposite Erlin in April when he gave up just two runs and three hits with a season-high nine strikeouts over six innings. |
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08-26-18 | Bengals v. Bills UNDER 41.5 | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
Buffalo took out Cleveland last time out 19-17 in week 2 exhibition play, going under the total. BUFFALO is 15-5 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points since 1993 with a combined average of 34.2 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Cincinnati won 21-13 at Dallas,and went under the total, as the D, looked strong, and I'm betting on this tilt being another defensive full dress rehearsal football affair that also stays on the low side of the Total. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 35-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of those games clicking at 35 ppg. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 31-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 33.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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08-26-18 | Mystics v. Dream | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1 The Dreams record speaks for itself but own power rankings make the Mystics the better team, and my choice here today. ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS after a non-conference game this season.Thibault is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite in all games he has coached since 1997. WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better are 107-56 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 61-23 SU L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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08-26-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L) Snell the TB starting hurler today is on fire having allowed a total of just 2 runs in his L/3 starting spanning 23.5 innings of work, garnering a minuscule 0.56 ERA. Im betting on him once again providing the Rays with quality work. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Eovaldi After a spectacular first two starts for the Red Sox (no runs in 15 innings), he hasn’t been as sharp the last three times, But I'm betting he will very motivated to get his mojo back against the team that traded him in July to the BoSox, and show them what they have lost. Eovaldi went 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts at Tropicana Field prior to the trade. Under is 7-0 in Snells last 7 starts overall.Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SNELL is 12-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.5 rpg scored.SNELL is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.7 rpg scored.SNELL is 11-3 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record) for a combined average 6.6 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 23-8 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. The Rays have gone under 14 straight times as a home favorite in the last game of a series vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings with none of the games seeing more than 6 runs score with the combined average score clicking in at 3.67 rpg. Play UNDER |
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08-26-18 | White Sox -111 v. Tigers | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Detroit right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 4.18 ERA),has not done well against Chicago in three starts this season (0-1, 9.42) and is fade material here in this spot. Meanwhile, his Pale Hose pitching opponent, Kopech has 174 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings between Triple-A and the majors and when he's in the zone, can be over powering to say the least. Against a struggling Motown offence he should do just fine. The Tigers have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after a game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. CHI WHITE SOX are 8-2 against the money line in road games in August games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 61-33 L/21 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Angels | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R) Verlander the Astros starter has won all five starts against the Angels since he was acquired from the Detroit Tigers on Sept. 1 of last season, allowing two earned runs in 36 innings of magnificent work.He has thrown 23 consecutive scoreless innings over his past three starts at Angel Stadium.QUOTE: "I like the aesthetic of pitching here," Verlander said after shutting out the Angels on five hits over six innings in a 7-0 win on July 21. END QUOTE. Im betting he leads his team to a conclusive victory here today behind what I expect will be solid run support behind a offense that is finally almost 100% healthy. HOUSTON is 33-10 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season winning by an average of 2.4 rpg. LA ANGELS are 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. HOUSTON is 12-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season winning by an average of 3.8 rpg. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 4.1 rpg. The Angels have lost 34 straight on the moneylline as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio better than 1.89 on the season and it is not a series opener and have lost 11 of their L/12 games in this trend by multiple runs. Play on Houston Astros on the Runline -1.5 |
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08-25-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies -141 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
JOHN GANT (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Marquez the Rockies stater today vs the Cards is in very good form as he goes for his third straight victory after allowing three runs and eight hits over 14 innings in victories vs Houston and Atlanta.Marquez has made two career starts against St. Louis and cashed both times permitted three runs and 12 hits over 10 2/3 innings of quality work. Yes, I know how hot St.Louis is but I'm betting they show us their not invincieble and take it on the chin here today vs Marquez and company. Cards starter Gant has seen his team go 3-8 in his last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies have won 15 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. ( The Cards have won the first 4 games of their current 6 game road trip) COLORADO is 26-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and won have also cashed in 19 of their L/24 under the same perimeters . MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 20-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii v. Colorado State OVER 56 | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Offences usually start slow, and defences usually are more stable early on in the season, but Im betting the offences take centre stage here in this NCAAF opener. Colorado's offense was humming last season, pilling up a yards by the ton, averaging a school-record 492.5 yards per game. I know they have to replace some key ingredients, at quarterback, running back their top receiver and top tight end from a year ago and three new starters on the offensive line, but the replacements despite of being inexperienced to an extent are just as talented according to my scouting reports and in some cases maybe better. Meanwhile Colorado States D, remains a issue, and now need to replace five starters from a unit that permitted 431.6 yards and 27.8 points per game a year ago. These guys are not as experienced or talented in my opinion as the ones that left. Add to that I'm also not impressed by the Rams by the arrival of former Tennessee defensive coordinator John Jancek's Colorado Springs . He has hands full, and a recruiting class on D, far less talented then he had in Tennessee. On the flipside,Hawaii will incorporate the run-and-shoot in an attempt to get the Warriors back to what makes them entertaining . Look for sophomore QB Cole McDonald and freshman Chevan Cordeiro who have been named as co-starters at quarterback, to surprise some folks here this week and do a lot more damage than the pundits and lines makers expect. Meanwhile, Hawaii's D, that struggled last season, now has to replace their best linemen and defensive backs and could easily get run over here today, in what Im betting will be a high scoring affair that eclipses the number. My projections estimate both teams will score at 28 points or more.HAWAII is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 79.8 ppg going on the board.COLORADO ST is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 88.6 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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08-25-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. RYAN YARBROUGH (L) TBs home games have seen an average of 7.5 rpg scored entering Fridays action. They did take a 10-3 win last time out, but that offensive output from the Rays was an anomaly, and I'm betting they revert back to the norm here in tilt. Yarbrough a quality young hurler goes to the hill for TB .Last time out he did not allow a run in 5 1/3 innings out of the bullpen against Kansas City in his last start, retiring 12 of his final 13 batters. His 12 victories are the most among Major League rookies and are the best by a Rays rookie hurler since in 2011. He is more than capable of slowing down the BoSox offence here today. He is also backed by a solid bullpen that owns a 2.89 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, Bstons starter Porcello was steaming after three mistake pitches led to his downfall last time out and will be primed for a big time comeback. He gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Indians. However, in his career at Tropicana Field, Porcello is 8-4 with a 2.72 ERA in 14 starts. I expect we will see these two hurlers go long and strong today in a score that remains on the low side of the number. Note: TB will be without leading hitter Mallex Smith (.307 batting average) after he was placed on the 10-day disabled list Friday . Under is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1-1 in Rays last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 8-2-1 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 Saturday games.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 vs. American League East.Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-3-1 in Rays last 14 overall.Under is 20-6 in Rays last 26 during game 2 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 25-9-1 in Rays last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2-1 in Rays last 8 on astroturf. Under is 4-1-2 in Porcellos last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rays has gone UNDER in 17 in a row off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. Whcih happened last night The L/12 games have not seen more than 6 runs scored in total and none of the 17 have seen more than 8 combined runs scored. The average score of all games rings in at 4.89 runs per game. Play on the UNDER |
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08-25-18 | Texans v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
The Rams lack of experience at the edge. Depth along the OL and at QB remain big time concerns. I still think this team can score in bunches as long as they can curtail injuries. Here in the preseason despite of this being a full dress rehearsal game , I'm betting on a more concerted effort towards staying healthy and analyzing the defense which will be key here in game 3 of the preseason for the Rams . The Rams second string defense held the Raiders to 50 yards at halftime last time out and with mostly starters in the lineup tonight, Im expecting a similar effort vs a Texas side that had problems scoring last season. The Texans saving grace will once again be a solid D, that held the Chiefs running game to minimal yards in game 1 of their preseason and last week held SF QB Jimmy G, to limited yards for most of that tilt. I expect they stand tall here again this week at home. With that said, I recommend we take and under stance here this exhibition contest. Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 road games. Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 home games..Play Under - Any team against the total (LA RAMS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 38-5 UNDER L5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-25-18 | Winnipeg +9 v. Calgary | 26-39 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Calgary (7-1) must be considered the front runner for the Grey Cup this season despite of suffering an upset lost to Saskatchewan last time out , and Winnipeg (5-4) their opposition while competitive have proven inconsistent this season. The Bombers over the last few years are solid in the underdog role, and tonight I'm betting they give this powerful Stamps team all they can handle.WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. |
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08-24-18 | Packers +6 v. Raiders | 6-13 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
So it looks like Aaron Rodgers the stud QB of the Green Bay Packers will not play tonight. But its not like Green Bay has missed his presence in their previous two NFLX games, as was evident by them scoring 82 points with a +31 differential . This is a pretty big spread considering how well the Packers have looked without Rodgers and their is value to be had here taking points. GB has covered their L/3 first away games of the preseason. The Packers are also 7-2 SU/ATS away off home game in preseason action. Meanwhile, Oakland is just 0-6 L/6 vs NFC North and 0-4 SU/ATS home off an away tilt. OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS in all lined games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GREEN BAY) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, undefeated in the preseason are 30-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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08-24-18 | A's -129 v. Twins | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R) Manaea is his teams wins leader, and despite of down effort last time out, is a prime candidate to bounce back. As a matter of fact Manea has not lost back to back games since May and must be respected here a short road favorite. MANAEA is 10-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) The Athletics own a four-game lead over AL West-rival Seattle for the wild-card spot but fell behind 1 1/2 games to division-leading Houston with a 6-4 loss on Thursday and are now desperate for a win and with that said I expect to see them very focused and motivated here today vs the Twins. MINNESOTA is 7-23 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 15-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. The Athletics. have won 14 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener which happened in last nights 6-4 loss to the Twins. Twelve of the 14 straight wins came by multiple runs. As 6.36 Opp 2.64 Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-24-18 | Patriots v. Panthers UNDER 46 | 14-25 | Win | 100 | 49 h 47 m | Show | |
New Englands offence does not concern the Pats coaching staff but the defence seems to still need some adjustments, and has a lot to prove after some of last seasons debacles including the Super Bowl loss. Carolina remains a defence first team with a conservative and sometime impotent offence, which I'm betting will help keep this game on the low side of the Total. Belichick is 16-7 UNDER in road games after playing a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND. with the average combined score clicking in at 36.4 ppg. Play Under - Any team against the total (CAROLINA/NEW ENGLAND) - with a winning record in the preseason playing another winning team are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 34.8 ppg getting scored. NFL team against the total (CAROLINA) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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08-23-18 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 177 | 96-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
For this being play off basketball game Im betting the total reflects more of a confrontation that would coincide with the regular season. The Mercury can be very physical at home and defense minded as well, we need be especially against a run and gun team like the Sun. With that said, I'm expecting a gruelling affair that stays under the total. |
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08-23-18 | Eagles +3.5 v. Browns | 0-5 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a big week for most NFL teams as most coaching staffs play this game similar to a regular seasons game, as they put the finishing touches on their schemes and rosters. I know a lot of pundits are exited about the Browns making a miraculous comeback from their recent dismal decade of plain ugly losing football behind stud QB Rookie Baker Mayfield . But the kid has still only completed just 55 percent of his passes, in his first 33 preseason attempts and will have his hands full with a pumped up Philadelphia D, that would like to prove that their Super Bowl Championship was no fluke.The Eagles haven't lost to Cleveland since, 1994 as Philadelphia has taken the last five games in the series by an average of 10.8 points and primed to have history repeat itself tonight behind QB Nick Foles who is expected to play andNate Sudfeld, who was 22 for 39 for 312 yards and three touchdowns against New England last week. |
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08-23-18 | Braves -173 v. Marlins | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. Newcombe the Braves starter has pitched his best baseball on the road this season, where he owns a 6-3 record and stable 3.39 ERA in 13 starts. He won his last trip to the mound on the road in Washington, and once again looks like a viable hurler to back here vs the light hitting Marlins. NEWCOMB has won his L/3 efforts vs the Marlins allowing just 5 runs in 18 innings of quality work. .NEWCOMB is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record) Interesting anomaly in play today...MIAMI is 0-12 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. ATLANTA is 17-4 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. The Braves have won 17 in a row on the moneyline as a 135+ road favorite vs a righty when they won the last three times they faced a righty with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs. Average margin of victory came by 4.65 rpg. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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08-23-18 | Sparks v. Mystics UNDER 156 | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sparks top tier defence stood tall, and held 3 of their L/4 regular season opponents to 68 points or less. The Sparks were sending a signal, that their defensive schemes and grueling inside action will be on full display during this first round action vs the Mystics. With that said, I'm betting that defensive mind set will be on their agenda today. Look for the Sparks to be able to slow the explosive Mystics down, and for this contest to remain on the low side of the number. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 roles turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 149.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 6-0 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 ppg scored. Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 43-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-23-18 | Sparks +5 v. Mystics | 64-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
These two teams despite of contrasting styles matchup very evenly, as was the case last time these teams played here in Washington on Aug 17, as the Mystics squeaked by the Sparks 69-67. Im betting on another close game here today and for the Sparks to cover the number again. LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS revenging a close loss versus opponent by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 visits to DC. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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08-23-18 | Indians v. Red Sox -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L) Plutko the Indians starter today is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 10 games -- including seven starts and looks very hittable in his current form.The Boston offense after a short drought woke up against 15-game winner Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland bullpen yesterday and took a 10-4 win and I'm betting they will honed in on doing some repeat damage in this spot. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a 110+ dog in the last game of a road series after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings, as long as they did not win by 7-plus runs which obviously not the case yesterday as they lost in a big way. The Tribe lost 19 of those 21 games by multiple runs, with the average margin of defeat coming by 3.9 rpg. Meanwhile, Price the BoSox Starter is 8-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. Price is currently in top form and has won 2 straight outings while garnering a stingy 1.89 ERA on his L/3 starts.PRICE is 10-3 in his career when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.202.Red Sox are 6-0 in Prices last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. BOSTON is 28-6 SU in day games this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.2 rpg. Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the runline -1.5 |
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08-22-18 | Indians v. Red Sox +104 | 4-10 | Win | 104 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L) Carrasco is having a good season, but is just 1-2 with a 6.83 ERA in seven games -- five starts -- lifetime against the Red Sox, 0-1 in four games -- three starts -- at Fenway.My own power ranking matchup stats also say he does not matchup particularly well against an explosive BoSox batting order, that will be primed to bounce back after last nights 6-3 home loss to this same Cleveland team. MeanwhileJohnson his pitching opponent has won all three starts in August and getting good run support, and will my support here tonight as well. JOHNSON is 12-2 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 71-27 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The Red Sox have won 16 straight on the moneyline after a game as a home favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is not a series opener. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 56-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-22-18 | Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) Teheran has been inconsistent this season, but he has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his past four starts. He credits his recent success to improved fastball command and more comfort with his slider. He goes against a team that has been shutout in 3 of its L/6games. Meanwhile, the Pirate starter Williams continued his dominant run on Friday night at PNC Park, holding the Cubs to one run over seven innings, but lost as the Bucs were shut out. Williams has allowed three runs in 36 innings over his past six starts, for an amazing 0.75 ERA. I'mbetting on a pitcher duel here this evening as both teams offences stall. WILLIAMS is 8-0 UNDER after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season with a combined average of 4.4 rpg scored.. (Team's Record) and is 11-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. WILLIAMS is 19-4 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. TEHERAN is 15-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. (Team's Record)TEHERAN is 11-3 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) Under is 5-0-1 in Teherans last 6 Wednesday starts.Under is 5-1 in Teherans last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Teherans last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Teherans last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2-1 in Teherans last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 11-5-1 in Teherans last 17 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 10-4 in Braves last 14 Wednesday games. Under is 11-0 in Williams' last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 home starts.Under is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1-1 in Williams' last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Williams' last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 16-4-1 in Williams' last 21 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Williams' last 5 starts vs. National League East.Under is 11-3 in Williams' last 14 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-5-1 in Williams' last 24 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 16-5 in Williams' last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 30-10-1 in Williams' last 41 starts overall.Under is 9-3 in Williams' last 12 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 29-10-1 in Williams' last 40 starts on grass.Under is 19-7 in Williams' last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Williams' last 7 Wednesday starts. Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 overall.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 on grass.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 home games.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games following a loss.Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-1-1 in Pirates last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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08-22-18 | Twins v. White Sox +101 | 3-7 | Win | 101 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) The White Sox enter this game playing some good baseball of late winning 5 of their L/7 overall. With Rodon their starting pitcher currently in top tier form, as is evident by garnering a 1.23 ERA and 3 straight wins , Im betting the Pale Hose have the edge vs a poor travelling Minnesota Twins teams with a 22-39 against the money line record road games this season. RODON is 9-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) White Sox are 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MINNESOTA is 8918 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The White Sox have won 13 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a home game in which their starter pitched three or fewer innings and it is post All-Star break. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 168-138 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-22-18 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
ROBERT STEPHENSON (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R) The first inning remained a problem for Peralta in his most recent start against the Cardinals, when he allowed two runs to bump his ERA to 9.00 in 12 opening innings this season. The rookie allowed three runs in five innings on July 1 vs. the Reds. I'm betting on more of same down action in here in this statrt. Meanwhile, Stephenson has room to improve from his first two starts of 2018. He’s issued nine walks over a combined 5 2/3 innings and has had trouble commanding his fastball, especially in the 1 2/3 innings he lasted in Wednesday’s no-decision vs. Cleveland. He is showing very little advancement as he learns to pitch on the job in the big leagues. MILWAUKEE I in 18 games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 19-6 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season with a combine average of 10.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 19-7 OVER as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 Wednesday games..Over is 12-3 in Reds last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 20-6 in Reds last 26 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 15-5-1 in Reds last 21 vs. National League Central.Over is 20-7 in Reds last 27 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 18-7-1 in Reds last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 22-10-3 in Reds last 35 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 24-11-1 in Reds last 36 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-6 in Reds last 19 road games.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Stephensons last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-2 in Stephensons last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-2 in Stephensons last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Stephensons last 10 starts overall. Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Over is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 16-6-1 in Brewers last 23 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 6-1 in Peraltas last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Peraltas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 4-1 in Peraltas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts on grass.Over is 6-2 in Peraltas last 8 starts overall. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Reds are 21-1OVER as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers with a combined average of 13.22 rpg going on the scoreboard with only one game seeing less than 9 runs scored. Play OVER |
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08-21-18 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -161 | 5-2 | Loss | -161 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
DANIEL PONCEDELEON (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L) After missing three months with a strained groin, Ryu (3-0, 1.77)the Dodgers starter tonight vs the Cards showed us all how good he can be when healthy with six scoreless innings against the Giants on Wednesday. He owns an extremely solid 0.92 WHIP in three career games against the Cardinals and gets my support here tonight. Dodgers are 8-2 in Ryus last 10 home starts. Poncedeleon is being inserted into the rotation in place of Luke Weaver, who has been moved to the bullpen after losing four of his past five decisions. This hurler looks solid in the stats sheet but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings looks to be at a disadvantage here this evening despite of LAs hitters never having faced him before. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Cardinals have lost 23 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog when playing a team that has a worse record and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener.The Cardinals have lost 12 of 13 on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened last night in a 5-3 9th inning win. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-21-18 | Wings v. Mercury UNDER 175.5 | 83-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - First Round Both these teams can light up the scoreboard quickly, but Im betting on a physical play off affair that favours this contest staying on the low side of the number. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 154.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.3 ppg. PHOENIX is 6-0 UNDER in home games after a game where a team made 45% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 147.3 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 8-2 UNDER after allowing 80 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combined average of 170.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (PHOENIX) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or less of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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08-21-18 | Yankees v. Marlins +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. PABLO LOPEZ (R) Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 4.03) the NYY starter today has looked a little tired of late as his team has lost his last three trips to the hill. Meanwhile, Lopez the Marlins start makes his second interleague start. The righty won at Tampa Bay on July 21, permitting one run on two hits and a walk, with six strikeouts, over 6.0 innings of quality ball. With Didi Gregorius injured .270 / 22 homers/ 74 RBIs and super star Aaron Judge still on the DL, the Yanks are not as formidable offensively, so Lopez looks like who could have a solid outing. Miami already shocked the Marlins this season by a 9-1 count, the last time Tanaka faced them, and the Japanese right hander is just 0-2 in 2 career starts vs the Marlins, and must not be over estimated here vs a young team playing with very little to lose. NY YANKEES are 14-15 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season and are are 14-17 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. The Yankees have lost 11 straight on the road after playing as a home favorite when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start and it is post All-Star break. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line.(Money Line +100 or higher) (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 39-16 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins on the RUNLINE +1.5 |
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08-21-18 | Indians v. Red Sox -142 | 6-3 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R) The power pitching righty looks to continue his dominance at Fenway, where he won his first two starts for the Red Sox while allowing no runs over 15 innings. Eovaldi is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his career against Cleveland and looks like a strong candidate for a BoSox victory in this spot. Meanwhile,Cleveland’s starter Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.37 ERA) has not performed well on the road as is evident by allowing three or four runs in three of his last four road starts. The kids really not very effective at the moment, and telegraphs his pitches, making everything seem like a beach ball crossing the plate for opposing batters, as is evident by opponents slugging .540 vs his fast ball. Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians have lost 21 of their L/22 as a road dog after they had a comeback win and it is post All-Star break. BOSTON is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season and is 33-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 71-25 against the money line against right-handed starters this seasonBOSTON is 18-3 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-21-18 | Phillies v. Nationals -131 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) After struggling for more than a month, Roark the Nats starter tonight vs the Phillies has become one of the teams most consistent starters . In his last five starts he has posted a minsucle 1.77 ERA with 28 strikeouts and just five walks and gone a perfect 5-0. Meanwhile,Phillies Right-hander Vince Velasquez (8-9, 4.13) is in a bit of a funk of late, lasting just four innings in a tilt vs Arizona, and then just 2.1 innings last Wednesday vs. Boston in allowing three runs and walking four. I really like Roarkes current form, and Im expecting the Nats to stand tall here tonight and garner the victory. Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 0-5 in Velasquez’s last 5 road starts. The Phillies have lost 18 in a row as a 125-plus dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Phillies are 22-53 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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08-20-18 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -155 | 5-3 | Loss | -155 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Dodgers - A. Wood -L vs Cardinals - A. Gomber -L Wood has held four straight opponents to two or fewer runs and in his current form looks like a very viable pitcher to back. Meanwhile, Gomber, his pitching opponent despite of doing well in limited major league baseball work has allowed opponents a .246 batting average on the road compared to a .188 at home and looks more susceptible to being lit up as a visitor. Dodgers are 8-1 in Woods last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Dodgers are 11-2 in Woods last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 17-4 in Woods last 21 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. The Cardinals have lost 14 straight on the moneyline as a road dog after a game as a home favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits with 13 of the 14 games coming by multiple runs. The Cardinals have lost 11 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened yesterday. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 53-89 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-20-18 | Royals v. Rays UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Royals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 overall. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The Rays have gone UNDER 16 straight times off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 5.12 rpg scored, with the L/11 not seeing more than 7 combined runs scored. Play UNDER |
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08-20-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Toronto has owned Baltimore this season winning 9 of their 10 meetings including all 7 here in Toronto. I'm betting the Jays will notch another victory here tonight behind their starting pitcher ESTRADA who is 8-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.146 in 15 starts with his team winning 11 of those15 games. Estrada has been in good form registering a 0.895 WHIP in his L/3 trips to hill, allowing just 12 hits in the process, 4 of which were unfortunate long balls. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jays are 7-0 in Estradas last 7 home starts vs. Orioles.Blue Jays are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 0-5 in their starters Cashners last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 18-60 in their last 78 road games. BALTIMORE is 8-24 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BALTIMORE is 7-26 (against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Blue Jays have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break.The Orioles are 3-20 L/23 vs the moneyline as a dog with no rest in the first game of a series when they are off a road game and facing a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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08-20-18 | Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R) Archer the Pirates starter since coming over in a trade from the Rays is taking his time getting acclimated the NL, but he is a quality hurler when he can get in a groove, andI'm betting today vs a struggling Pittsburgh offence that is averaging just 2.3 rpg in their L/7 overall, he will start to get back into top form. ARCHER I in his L/12 games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) have seen a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall. Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a right-handed starte The Pirates have gone UNDER 19 straight times off a home win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is post All-Star break with an average of 6.05 rpg scored during that span , with no contest seeing more than 8 runs scored. The L/13 have not seen more than 7 rpg scored, with a combined average of just 3.76 rpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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08-19-18 | Calgary -7 v. Saskatchewan | 27-40 | Loss | -109 | 109 h 37 m | Show | |
Calgary 6-0 on the the season is the class of the league and the front runner for taking the Grey Cup this season. Saskatchewan has lost 4 of 6 games, with their only wins coming in back to back tries vs the Hamilton Ti Cats. The Green Riders don't have much fire power, averaging just 21 points a game on offence and thats not a good thing considering the visiting Stamps own the leagues top D, allowing just 12.3 ppg. The Stamps have won and covered their L/3 trips Saskatchewan and another win and cover is on todays agenda. |
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08-19-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 175 | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Storm (25-8) will play host to the Dallas Wings (15-18) on Sunday afternoon in what is now a meaningless regular-season finale.I expect the Storm will be concentrating on defensive checks/systems and staying healthy, which I'm betting will have this game played at a lot slower pace then the pundits might expect which will effect this total score to the under. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.3 ppg scored.DALLAS is 12-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games this season with a combine average of 170.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-19-18 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R) The banged up Mets pitching rotation will force Jason Vargas (2-8, 8.10 ERA). on to the hill to face a capable Philadelphia batting order. Vargas has seen his opponents smash him for a .329 batting average and .397 OBP, and Im betting on him getting lit up here again tonight. When Vargas exits , the Phillies will also be able to tee off on the NL 13th ranked bullpen. Meanwhile, Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.37)despite of being a good looking hurler, has shown inconsistencies and concentration issues as games have progressed, this season. He goes against a sometimes explosive Mets offence that put up 46 runs earlier this week during a 3 game explosion. Im betting both these teams do some damage in this prime time game this Sunday night in a tilt that eclipses the total. NY METS are 23-8 OVER as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 8-3 in Pivettas last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a bad team (38% to 46%) are 71-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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08-19-18 | Dream v. Aces +4.5 | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Aces close out their first season since moving from San Antonio against the Atlanta Dream on Sunday in their finale at Mandalay Bay Events Center. they just missed play off spot, this season, after losing last time out to Dallas who ended up clinching the final play off spot. QUOTE:"We played pretty good basketball. So did they," Aces coach Bill Laimbeer told the Las Vegas Review-Journal after the Aces lost to the Wings, allowing Dallas to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot Friday night. I'm betting Lamber will emphasize finishing the season strong, and I expect to see the Aces to play hard here today vs a team that despite of wanting to get a victory to secure a better play off seeding , still has to balance the fact that staying healthy is of also paramount importance, which may effect their ability to be physical. LAS VEGAS is 22-11 ATS against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Aces 81.2 Opp 82.1 WNBA team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 66-15 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA team (ATLANTA) - decent defensive team (40.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (43.5-46%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 8 or more 3 point shots are just 12-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vegas Aces to cover |
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08-19-18 | Astros v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L) Oakland’s Sean Manaea (11-8, 3.44 ERA) will make his fourth consecutive home start this Sunday afternoon in Oakland . He has permitted two runs or less in his last four home outings and gone deep in each one. Opponents are batting just .206 vs the lefty. Im betting he does well here this afternoon, vs a Houston mired in a offensive slump scoring three runs or less in 5 of their L/6 games as they play without injured BA leader Jose Altuve . Meanwhile,Houston’s Justin Verlander (11-8, 2.52 ERA) will go to the hill for the Astros. Recently Verlander has pitched better on the road than at home in Minute Maid park , as is evident by allowing one run or less in his last two road starts Verlander has seen 70% of his away appearances stay under and 75% of his day games do the same. Verlander likes the scenery in Oakland like his pitching opponent Manaea, where he has garnered a stingy 2.52 ERA in 11 starts . The As as a team have a BA of .210 vs the veteran in his career. Everything points to a pitching duel here this afternoon. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average score of 6.4 rpg scored.OAKLAND is 16-6 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored. Under is 9-3 in Verlanders last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 8-3-1 in Verlanders last 12 road starts.Under is 5-2-1 in Verlanders last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous gameUnder is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 overall.Under is 15-3-3 in Astros last 21 road games.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 15-5-3 in Astros last 23 games following a loss.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 Sunday games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 vs. American League West.Under is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2-1 in Athletics last 10 games following a win.Under is 15-5-1 in Athletics last 21 overall. Play UNDER |
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