Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-27-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
The Senators are struggling and have lost two of their last three and four of their last six overall including all three of their away tilts during this sub standard run! The Sens have struggled on the road all season long ranking 28th , in the league away from Canadas capital.On the flipside the Maple Leafs have recorded the NHL’s second-best home record (19-3-4) and Im betting they dominate here on home ice vs a side they matchup well against.Five of Ottawa’s last six away defeats have been by two or more goals .TORONTO is 17-3 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Toronto Maple Leafs to win -1.5 |
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01-27-23 | Detroit +1 v. Robert Morris | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This will be just the seventh all time meeting between the two schools as the Titans are 6-0 all-time, 5-0 since the Colonials joined the Horizon League including a 87-75 win at home this season . Im now betting behind the nations top scorer at 26.4 points per game, graduate senior (Antoine Davis) will be the difference maker for the road side.The Titans have shot over 50.0% as a team in each of the last five meetings against Robert Morris posting 50.8%, 50.9% and 55.6% in 2021, 50.9% last year and 52.7% in the match-up two weeks ago. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. ROBERT MORRIS is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Play on Detroit Mercy to cover |
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01-27-23 | Manhattan v. Niagara -5.5 | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Niagara was upset by Manhattan as road favs back on Jan 8th and will now be in revenge and redemption mode and ready for payback on their own home floor tonight. NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.3 ppg. Niagara has momentum after a win last time out, - beating St.Peters by a 59-57 count - NIAGARA is 6-0 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff clicking in at +13 ppg. Play on Niagara to cover |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -5.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona has revenge on board for a embarrassing loss to Washington State at home 74-61 earlier in league play this season as 12 plus point chalk. Now with redemption at hand you can bet the Wildcats will be wide awake in the rematch and ready to lay down a beating of mammoth proportions. Arizona is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Wash State, and Im betting on another cover this evening by the powerful visitors. It must also be noted that the Cougars are off a another tepid offensive showing last time out and Im expecting more output issues against this type of shut down D.WASHINGTON ST is 0-8 ATS in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Cougars have averaged 63.1 ppg in their L/5 games and that just wont get the job done tonight against a side that will be flying in transition. Play on Arizona to cover |
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01-26-23 | Spurs v. Clippers UNDER 233 | 100-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Spurs will be on tired legs tonight after suffering a loss last night to the LA Lakers and their 3rd road game in 5 nights. With that said, Im betting on a muted offensive output against a viable D that ranks 3rd in the league in ppg allowed as well as 25th in pace , and that will contribute to a score that does not eclipse this total. Note: Clippers in their L14 conference games as hosts have seen only one game eclipse the total. LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 206.5 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-3 UNDER ) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season. LA CLIPPERS are 20-4 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 9-0 UNDER in home games after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 37-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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01-26-23 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 6 | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Flames offense has scored 10 goals in their L/2 games, and Im betting they have another stellar output here tonight vs a Blackhawks side, that has allowed 3.7 gpg this season on average. That output will contribute to this tilt going over even with minimal response from the Hawks. CALGARY is 11-1 OVER against poor offensive teams - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 4-1 in Flames last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 4-1 in Blackhawks last 5 vs. Pacific. CHICAGO is 20-8 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Calgary. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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01-26-23 | Tennessee State v. SE Missouri State OVER 153.5 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projections come in at 157 which gives us a two possession edge on this total being eclipsed. SE MISSOURI ST is 9-2 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 159.1 ppg going on the board. TENNESSEE ST is 8-0 OVER after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 29-4 OVER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 164.1 ppg scored. Play over |
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01-26-23 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech +2 | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SIUE comes into this road matchup following back-to-back home defeats last weekend.. The Cougars dropped a 67-58 decision to Morehead State last Thursday before falling to Southern Indiana in an 82-72 contest on Saturday and lack momentum at a critical time vs a Tennessee Tech side that has revenge on board for a earlier loss this season to SIUE on the road. Tenn Tech has won 5 of their L/6 overall, and have owned this series at home winning 6 of the L/7 matchups.Im betting home court advantage prevails in a cover opportunity. SIU EDWARDSVL is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. CBB team (SIU EDWARDSVL) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 6-23 L/5 seasons for. go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee Tech to cover |
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01-25-23 | Spurs +7 v. Lakers | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers are off a rivalry game agains the LA Clippers last night that ended in a DD loss and are on tired legs vs a Greg Popovich group that triple revenge on board vs LAL .Spurs head coach Greg Popovich is 8-0 ATS in his last eight opportunities when seeking same-season triple revenge.LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season. Play on San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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01-25-23 | Indiana v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 | 61-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 141 giving us a full 2 possession value to the over on the current offering. Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 141.9 ppg scored.Ben is 8-1 OVER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 142.6 ppg scored.MINNESOTA is 11-2 OVER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 142.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (INDIANA) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 51-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Texas A&M v. Auburn -4 | 79-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Auburn’s 28-game home win streak is the longest in the nation and Im betting it continues tonight against Texas A&M as the home side has revenge for a loss they suffered in the SEC tourney last season. Note: Auburn has cashed 8 of their L/9 ATS revenge scenarios from a SEC tourney defeat. Tigers beat Texas A&M at home last season 75-58 . AUBURN is 9-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover |
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01-25-23 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Bucks | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have been playing top tier hoops in the NBA since early December. Denver has won 20 of 24 to move within a half-game of Boston for the best record in the NBA and deserve respect here as underdogs.Meanwhile, the Bucks are coming off a 150-point performance in a win at Detroit on Monday night and now go into a natural regressionary state at an inopportune time as the streaking Nuggets come to town. Note: Nuggets won last night 99-98 , - Denver is 6-1 ATS on the road with no rest vs non-conference opposition. Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bucks are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (72-76%), after a game making 19 or more 3 point shots are 9-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Denver has won and covered the L/2 meetings in Denver. – Series visitor 4-0 L4 ATS. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-25-23 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2 | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Pelicans are struggling but their opponents have a way of falling apart against lower tier teams or those that are not at the top of their game as is evident by recent losses to Houston and Detroit. I know the Pelicans played last night but they are a well conditioned group and now in desperation mode at home and Im betting will come up with a strong covering effort as short favs. Green is 26-13 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate . NBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 13-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 232.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Pacers played last night and are now on tired legs. Indiana 7-0 OVER with no rest vs conference opposition and that will Im betting once again be the case tonight. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, Orlando dominated the NBA-leading Boston Celtics on Monday, 113-98, behind a balanced offensive effort and stifling defensive performance and now in a regressionary state will find it hard to muster up as much physicality as last time which Im betting results in mucho chances for their opposition in transition. Over is 6-0 in Magic last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 9-1 in Magic last 10 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Magic last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.INDIANA is 18-5 OVER in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 241 ppg scored in those 23 tilts. INDIANA is 27-14 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 239.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-18 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Houston v. UCF OVER 127 | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Temple upset Houston last time out, and now Im expecting Houston to be in full blown redemption mode , and to open up their offense in more aggressive fashion after a grinding 56-55 defeat. This will force a capable UCF offense into opening up or be blown off the court. When these teams met back in the end of the December the Cougars took a 71-65 victory and a rinse and repeat type of offensive output by both sides is expected Sampson is 12-4 OVER in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 133.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 39-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. CFB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (UCF) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 39-13 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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01-25-23 | Lehigh -2 v. Holy Cross | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Lehigh has won 6 straight games and enter this tilt with momentum. According to my power rankings the Mountain Hawks matchup well here. The Mountain Hawks claimed the first meeting inside Stabler Arena on Jan. 11 (76-58) and are a viable short fav to earn the season sweep of the Crusaders.Lehigh had won four straight matchups before falling to the Crusaders last year in the Hart Center on Jan. 28, 2022 (67-65) to split the season series a year ago.LEHIGH is 7-1 ATS against conference opponents this season.LEHIGH is 7-0 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games this season. Play on Lehigh to cover |
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01-24-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State OVER 126 | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. AIR FORCE is 8-2 OVER after playing a game as an underdog this season with a combined average score of 139 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (AIR FORCE) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 38-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SAN JOSE ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 41-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-24-23 | Georgia Tech +11 v. Clemson | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned The last three meetings between Tech and Clemson at Littlejohn Coliseum have been decided by a total of eight points. The game-winning winning points were scored with 15, 1 and 14 seconds on the clock, respectively. Mark Twain once said that “History never repeats itself, but it does often rhymes. Note:Tech leads the ACC in three-point defense, allowing 29.2 percent from distance this season in all games and Im betting it is this that will help them stay within the number tonight. GTech to cover |
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01-24-23 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +1.5 | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Nuggets had a long winning streak abruptly end vs Oklahoma City last time out, and Im betting 2 losses in a row are not out of the question. The Pelicans according to my power rankings matchup well vs the Nuggets as was the case earlier this season when the Pelicans crushed the Nuggets by DDs. Also we have a Pelicans side that is in desperation mode after 4 straight losses and ready to compete in a big way at home tonight where they are 17-6 SU this season. DENVER is 17-33 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Green is 26-13 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA Home favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, on Tuesday nights are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-24-23 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois +14 | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
CBB road team (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are just 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors. Northern Illinois to cover |
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01-24-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Goaltending and defense is an issue with both San Jose and Detroit. The Sharks rank 28th and 29th, respectively, in save % during the current campaign . The Sharks have recorded a lowly .876 SV percentage while the Red Wings own a .875 SV % . The Wings allow 3.47 goals per 60 ranking 25th in the league, while the Sharks give up 3.86 G/60 ranking 30th overall. DETROIT is 8-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 17-4 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. Play OVER |
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01-24-23 | Eastern Michigan +19.5 v. Toledo | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Eastern Michigan has found great success from the free throw line this year with the Eagles converting 74.3 percent, which ranks fourth in the MAC. Through 19 games played (Jan. 21), the Eagles have made their way to the charity stripe 20+ times in 10 games, including in five of the last six games, in which Eastern is converting at 75.6 percent clip. This will be a key component for us to get the cover tonight.
Eastern Michigan to cover |
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01-23-23 | Hornets +8 v. Jazz | 102-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Charlottes won their L/2 road games and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Utah side that is finally coming back down to earth after an extremely fast start to the campaign. The Jazz just 5-9 SU L/14 overall. UTAH is 7-15 ATS as a favorite this season. UTAH is 22-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 10-26 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or better assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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01-23-23 | Delaware State v. South Carolina State UNDER 147 | 88-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned DELAWARE ST is 13-4 UNDER L/17 vs. teams who are called for 3+ more fouls/game than their opponents with a combined average of 130.7 ppg scored. S CAROLINA ST is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DELAWARE ST) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% or worse ) are 31-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-23-23 | Norfolk State v. Morgan State +4.5 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Morgan State had a 6 game win streak end abruptly end last time out in DD, beatdown vs Howard on the road. However, now here t home in a big game against conference front runner Norfolk State Im expecting a big bounce back and competitive tilt from the Bears. Note: Morgan has started the 2022-23 season 7-0 at home and now have 10 consecutive victories at the Hill Field House. Jones is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games as the coach of NORFOLK ST. ( The Bears are No. 3 in the MEAC shooting 47.1 percent from the field and No. 2 from beyond the arc (.376).) Play on Morgan St to cover |
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01-23-23 | Chicago State v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 144.5 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections suggest a combined score of 140 points which gives us a two possession advantage to the under. CHICAGO ST is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 137.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 11-3 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 138.3 ppg scored. CHICAGO ST is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 135.3 ppg scored. Ellis is 22-11 UNDER in home games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of COASTAL CAROLINA with a combined average of 138.6 ppg going on the scoreboard in that 33 game sample size. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 25-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-23-23 | Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech | 75-78 | Push | 0 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned Coach K’ is no long er at the helm of this top tier Duke program but the team is still viable and must not be underestimated as dogs with revenge on board for a regular season 15-point beatdown they took VTech last season in the beloved coaches farewell campaign. Now with redemption on hand look for the Blue Devils to get the job done in revenge mode vs a Hokies side that has lost 7 straight games. Young is 4-15 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. Duke has held 17 of the 19 opponents to below their season scoring average and is 14-3 in those games. Seven scored their then-season low for points, including holding Iowa to a then-season-low 62, Xavier to 64 (20 points below its average) and Miami to a season-low tying 66 (12 off its scoring average).Duke's strong defensive numbers come against a schedule rated 24th-toughest versus opponent offenses . Defense Im betting gets us the cover. Young is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. VIRGINIA TECH is 0-9 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 season. VIRGINIA TECH is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. VIRGINIA TECH is 1-11 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. DUKE in 8 tilts against conference opponents this season have seen aggregate scores that are essentially even at 70 points each. Play on Duke to cover |
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01-22-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -5 | 121-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Lakers continue to just go through the motions , there seems to be no urgency in this LA team that depends far to much on often injured aging super stars James and Davis who both not expected to play tonight. The Lakers mediocrity is evident by ranking No. 27 in Defensive Scoring and 22nd overall in Offensive Rebounds. Yes, they have shown flashes of brilliance , like last time out, against Memphis winning a 122-121 slugfest , but its not uncommon for them to come off a big win with a letdown down effort something Im betting on here today vs the Blazers. LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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01-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Arizona after being shutout in back to back games 4-0 counts will be primed to open up so that they can get on the scoreboard, and that will Im betting see a more wide open game, making the total being eclipsed a strong proposition. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER after 2 straight blowout losses by 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Considering the Knights are on tired legs playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, it will be hard for them to be defensively physical and aware. Over is 7-3-1 in Golden Knights last 11 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a sub par team (30% to 40%) in the 2nd half of the season are 24-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 7.6 gpg going on the board. Play over |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -4 | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
Niners rookie QB Brock Purdy has won his first six starts and deserves respect here in a place where the 49ers have dominated opponents. The 49ers at Levi’s Stadium, have victories in 13 of their last 14 and covered 12 of those games. With an 11 game current overall win streak that highlights their effectiveness Im betting the hosts get the job done again behind a top tier D, and a running back in RB Christian McCaffrey who matches up well against the Cowboys strong D. I know DakPrescott looked good against the horrid D, of the Bucs lat week, but this Sunday night Im betting his life will be made miserable by aggressive pass rushing group .SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS in home games after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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01-22-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 223 | 116-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
01-22-23 | Pelicans v. Heat OVER 217.5 | 96-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
After putting only 90 points on the board in a loss to Dallas last time out on the road, Im now betting on more aggressive Heat performance in the offensive end of the court. In a recent effort the Heat beat the Pelicans by a 123-99 count and Im expecting a similar output here today and for the Pelicans to have to open up to keep pace in a game I have projected to eclipse this total.
Over is 8-3 in Pelicans last 11 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up loss. Miami has gone over in 5 straight games at home in 1/1 rest situation vs non-conference opposition. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MIAMI) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 24 m | Show | |
Cincinnati is just 1-6 In ITS against fellow playoff sides this season and have lost the stats battles in 3 straight games by an average o 139 ypg. I don't care how many good ATS trends support the Bengals taking points it just not justify their current play and in my betting opinion are over rated at less than a TD dogs. Note: The Bengals banged up offensive line is down to just tow reg starters. Look for Burrows to spend a great deal of time scrambling around today and will land on his back more than once. On the flip side Buffalos Josh allan after suffering with a sore wrist looks to be back on form and will primed for a big day. McDermott is 11-1 ATS after a win by 3 or less points as the coach of BUFFALO. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 62-108 L/29 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 25-4 L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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01-22-23 | Wichita State +2 v. SMU | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Shockers have won five straight in this series have won all three AAC era visits to Moody. Note: WSU had held 12 of its first 17 opponents under 40% shooting (.372 collectively). Against a SMU side that owns 39.1% FG conversion rate over their L/5 the Shockers have an edge.
WICHITA ST is 10-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons Play on Wichita State to cover . |
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01-22-23 | Clippers v. Mavs -1.5 | 112-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas has momentum here after a conclusive home win vs the Miami Heat last time out, and now with revenge on board vs A Clippers side that beat them by DD last week on the road will be motivated to keep their current energy moving upward and get redemption in the process. DALLAS is 26-13 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-22-23 | NJIT v. Vermont -12 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Catamounts have won by an average margin of 14.7 points per game in their three conference victories and have held opponents to a 38.8% field goal percentage, and 25.4% three-point percentage.The Cats are 4-1 at home, and have outscored opponents by 14.4 points per game at Patrick Gym.Vermont earned victories in all three games against NJIT last season, including a 98-59 victory in the 2022 America East Quarterfinals. Key players tonight , Aaron Deloney averaged 13.7 points per game and a 63.6% three-point percentage against Tech last seasons, and he will be key what Im betting will be another conclusive victory in this series. VERMONT is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.4 ppg. Play on Vermont to cover |
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01-22-23 | Central Connecticut State v. Long Island UNDER 142.5 | 58-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total closer to 139 giving us a full one possession plus edge to the under. C CONN ST is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128 ppg scored C CONN ST is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.3 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 10-1 UNDER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 130.2 ppg scored. C CONN ST is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.4 ppg going on the board. LONG ISLAND is 16-7 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons, LONG ISLAND is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG ISLAND) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two terrible teams (20% or less) are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-21-23 | Gonzaga v. Pacific +18.5 | 99-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Pacific to cover (LATE STEAM) |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 2 m | Show | |
The Giants are being under rated in this tilt considering they 11-2 ATS underdog with HC Brian Daboll at the helm. Also it must be noted that the Gmen were involved in 14 one-score tilts this season cashing at a 12-1-1 ATS rate proving how highly competitive they were behind a never say die attitude and top tier chemistry. I know the Giants lost both times to the Eagles this season, but now in double revenge the Giants are the right side at this line offering. NY GIANTS are 7-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 15-31 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Giants to cover |
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01-21-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Houston Christian +9 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (TEXAS A&M CC) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better ) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Houston Christian to cover |
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01-21-23 | Bucks v. Cavs OVER 220.5 | 102-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers crashed and burned last night as favorites as they their defense failed them. Im betting things wont get much better tonight, and in return the Cavs will have to open up against a foe that can put points on the board in hurry. Everything points to the Cavs tired legs not allowing them to be physical and for Milwaukee to push forward with extreme prejudice which Im betting results in a high scoring affair. CLEVELAND is 15-7 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 33-10 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-21-23 | Texas Southern v. Alabama A&M OVER 142 | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS SOUTHERN /ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 32-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 1 m | Show | |
The Jaguars were trailing 27-0 before making. a miraculous comeback last time out,vs the Chargers . However, now Im betting the Jags will be in a huge a huge emotional letdown spot against a rested Kansas City side that will be ready to put the pedal to the metal and not let off the accelerator til the very end.KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons. Note: HC Reid’s 19 career postseason victories have been by double-digit margins. Rinse and repeat in play this week vs the Jags. Play on the Chiefs to cover |
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01-21-23 | UCLA +1.5 v. Arizona | 52-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCLA is an explosive side and deserve respect here vs Arizona . The Bruins are unbeaten in conference play with an 8-0 record and are in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Wildcats in last years PAC 12 tournament. Note:0-9 SU S at home in this series when UCLA is in revenge mode and Im betting that trend stays alive when the final buzzer goes off this afternoon. Play on UCLA to cover |
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01-21-23 | Jacksonville State v. Stetson -5.5 | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (STETSON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 71-5 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Stetson |
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01-21-23 | TCU +7.5 v. Kansas | 83-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these sides are off losses. Kansas lost to Kansas state and TCU who previously beat Kansas State lost on a letdown effort vs West Virginia . Both will be primed for a bounce back. TCU is being under rate here while Kansas despite of big time winning record have taken part in a lot of close affairs lately are looking mortal.
CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less RE 15-36 ATS L/5 SEASONS for a go against 71% conversion rate. Play on TCU |
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01-21-23 | College of Charleston v. Northeastern +9.5 | 87-61 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kelsey is 2-10 ATS L/12 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more in all games he has coached . Coen is 16-6 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. CBB road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 5-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 87% go against conversion rate. Play on Northeastern to cover |
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01-20-23 | Boise State +2 v. New Mexico | 79-81 | Push | 0 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise State is currently the top hoops program in the Mountain West at both ends of the floor and Im betting nothing changes tonight. I know New Mexico has played some top level ball of late, and have a signature win vs San Diego State , but it was Aztecs foul troubles that doomed them in that tilt and help New Mexico get the win. Here tonight against the disciplined Broncos they wont have that advantage. Broncos are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Broncos are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lobos are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (BOISE ST) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Boise State to cover |
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01-20-23 | Nets v. Jazz -6.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets now playing without their injured star Durant have now lost 4 straight games and are now on tired legs after playing and losing to the Suns last night and are now extremely vulnerable to being beat up on by a Utah side that is 20-7 SU and 19-8 ATS L/27 meetings , including 6-0 ATS when the Nets are playing back to backs. Meanwhile the Nets are 0-2 SUATS this season while coming in to a tilt against a non conference opponent with no rest .BROOKLYN is 1-8 ATS in road games after a non-conference game this season. UTAH is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.UTAH is 17-3 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-20-23 | Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 168 | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score closer to 163 giving us a 2 full possession value to the under in what should be a fairly physical MAC clash. Both these sides are off huge offensive outputs last time out with Toledo hitting the 90 point plateau on top tier 3 point shooting while Buffalo smashed out 100 plus points. Now Im betting on offensive regression. Note: TOLEDO L/51 games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better haver seen a combined average score of 142.3 ppg going on the board. BUFFALO is 11-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (BUFFALO) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 154.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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01-20-23 | Heat -1 v. Mavs | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
After a negative 6 game road trip that saw the Mavs lose 5 of 6 games, Im betting it will take the tired jet lagged hosts time to get acclimated to home cooking again a, mkaking them vulnerable against a Miami side that is beginning to play a top tier form of hoops as is evident by notching victories in 4 of their L/5 including a road win against the New Orleans Pelicans last time out. DALLAS is 3-12 ATS in non-conference games this season.
Spoelstra is 30-16 ATS ( in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MIAMI. NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Friday night are 15-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-20-23 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
After a hard fought affair in Boston last night the Warriors will be on tired legs and far from ready to run and gun vs a Cleveland side that will be primed to slow this game down to a pace they they can handle. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of this offering. note: Cleveland ranks 30th in pace in No.1 in ppg allowed in the league. GOLDEN STATE is 20-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.8 ppg. CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 29-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-20-23 | Villanova v. St. John's -4 | 57-49 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This game has important implications for Big East Tournament seeding and NCAA tournament placement. The advantage however, goes to St.Johns as hosts playing a uptempo pace, creating a chaotic situation for most teams, and that will be especially evident vs a side like the Wildcats who continually looked flustered on D, allowing open shot after open shot. Note: The /Storm have covered 71% of their L/17 games as hosts in this series vs Villanova ... Add in revenge for a loss on the road to Villanova earlier this season, and you have a viable opportunity to lay points and cash a ticket. CBB team (ST JOHNS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 108-59 ATS L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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01-19-23 | Devils -125 v. Seattle Kraken | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
New Jersey has won the first four games of its five-game trip that concludes at Climate Pledge Arena and improved to 18-2-1 in away games. Its obvious this young talented group plays their best hockey away from NJ and nothing will change tonight vs their hosts the Seattle Kraken. Devils are 11-0 in their last 11 vs. Pacific NEW JERSEY is 13-1 ATS in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +2.2 gpg.NEW JERSEY is 17-3 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.NEW JERSEY is 9-0 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. NHL Home underdogs against the money line (SEATTLE) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 9-39 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win |
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01-19-23 | UC San Diego v. Cal Poly OVER 124.5 | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL SAN DIEGO is 25-12 OVER against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 143.2 ppg. CAL POLY-SLO is 22-7 OVER in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses with a combined average of 149.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is 129.5 or less (CAL SAN DIEGO) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-19-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Texas-San Antonio +16.5 | 83-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. FL Atlantic is on a roll but this according to my projections is just to many points to lay with them on the road vs a UTSA side that has a buy low sign written all over them. FLA ATLANTIC is 14-28 ATS L/42 in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. TX-SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. TX-SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (FLA ATLANTIC) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record are 4-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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01-19-23 | UMKC v. North Dakota OVER 125.5 | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. N DAKOTA is 16-6 OVER L/22 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better after 15+ games with a combined average of 150.4 ppg scored.N DAKOTA is 7-1 OVER after playing a road game this season with a combined averageof MISSOURI-KC is 11-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 155.2 ppg scored.MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season with a combined average of 143.8 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. MISSOURI-KC is 16-3 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average of 147.2 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSOURI-KC) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 32-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 133.1 ppg. |
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01-18-23 | Avalanche +135 v. Flames | 4-1 | Win | 135 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Avs look like they are up-trending into Stanley Cup form after a long lull of sub par play mostly because of injury issues. The Avalanche have now won back-to-back tilts registering a solid 13-3 margin.With super star sniper Nathan MacKinnon back in the lineup the Avs become a dangerous foe for a home side like the Flames that has lost 3 of their L/5 overall as hosts.Avalanche are 68-23 in their last 91 vs. a team with a losing record.Flames are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Central.Avalanche are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Calgary. Play on the Avs to win |
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01-18-23 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 227 | 103-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers have gone 9-0 OVER L/9 on the road vs sub par .500 opposition like the Jazz and have eclipsed the total in 10 of their L/12 with not rest vs non-division foes like the Jazz.( clippers played Philly last night and will now be on tired legs and less prepared to play a defensive affair vs a run and gun opponent in Salt Lake city tonight. Meanwhile, Utah: 5-0 OVER home vs unrested opposition like the Clippers and only 1 of their L8 meetings vs the Clippers has failed to eclipse the total. Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 12-3-1 in Clippers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 7-2 in Clippers last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 overall. NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47%or more of their shots are 82-44 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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01-18-23 | Cavs +7.5 v. Grizzlies | 114-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers have gradually put together a winning and viable team, and are playing their best hoops since the departure of LeBron James. With the Cavs starting to form into a competitive side especially with Donovan Mitchell now in the fold Im betting we see them at their best tonight agains the explosive Grizzlies team that the Cavs were built to compete with. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Cavaliers are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis. NBA Home teams (MEMPHIS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 63-108 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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01-18-23 | Cincinnati v. South Florida OVER 140.5 | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CINCINNATI is 14-4 OVER after allowing 55 points or less in a win against a conference rival last time out which was the case in a very physical grinding affair vs SMU last time out in a 54-52 victory. Now Im expecting a more wide open style of game as that tilt will exhausting and natural on the road against a USF side that plays a more wide open style of hoops. This Im betting leads to a much higher scoring tilt that the lines makers are estimating. S FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 145.4 ppg. S FLORIDA is 7-1 OVER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 174.4 ppg. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 47-10 OVER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with a combined average of 155.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-18-23 | Furman v. Chattanooga | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTC ranks 26th in NCAA DI with a 38.3% three-point FG percentage and this will be key to getting by an explosive Furman offense.Entering NCAA DI action on Tuesday (1/17), Chattanooga ranks No. 1 in NCAA Division I behind an 11.9 three-pointers per game average.
CBB team (FURMAN) - excellent FT shooting team (73% or better) against a good FT shooting team (69-73%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 5-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Chattanooga to cover/win |
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01-18-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +5.5 | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After a fast start to their campaign Connecticut is finally fallen back down to earth. Im betting the decent continues tonight vs revenge minded and under rated Seton Hall that lost to the Huskies in last seasons big East tourney. If Uconn do win it wont come easily. CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 3-15 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Holloway is 10-2 AT versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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01-18-23 | Bucknell v. Army OVER 142 | 68-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of closer to 147 which gives us a full two possession advantage on this offering. BUCKNELL is 13-3 OVER in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157 ppg. BUCKNELL is 10-2 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.1 ppg scored.BUCKNELL is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored. ARMY is 7-1 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season with a combined average of 157 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (BUCKNELL) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 45-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 149.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-17-23 | 76ers v. Clippers +1.5 | 120-110 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
76ers are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and their 3rd straight road game and have now played 8 games in 2 weeks making them one very exhausted side. PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Clippers now have the edge the need to get a win on their own home court where they have played their best hoops this season. 76ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 34-15 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 5 points or less are 53-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the Clippers to cover |
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01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Seattle had a 7 game win streak halted last time out vs Tampa Bay by a 4-1 count lat night, but during the winning streak allowed 5 of 7 opponents 2 goals or less. Knowing they face a explosive offense side tonight Oilers) and they themselves on tired legs Im betting they prepare to hunker down defensively again and make this into a physical defensive affair that will result in a lower scoring contest. Seattle is 7-3 in Kraken last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 11-5 in Kraken last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. SEATTLE is 14-3 UNDER after allowing 4 goals or more this season with a combined average of 5.9 gpg scored. SEATTLE is 13-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored. Under is 3-1-1 in Oilers last 5 home games. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (EDMONTON) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 44-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-17-23 | UNLV v. Utah State -5.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned UNLV has struggled defensively in conference play so far, allowing 75,76,77, 84, and 82 points losing all 4 of 5 games so far, and now take on a home side Utah State that has scored at least 80 points in 10 of its 18 games, including a season-high 106 points against Westminster. Utah State is 31-9 under Odom when scoring at least 70 points and is a perfect 22-0 under Odom when scoring at least 80 points. My projections estimate a close to 80 point output by the Aggies and a DD win and cover. The L/3 meetings in this series have seen Utah State decisively win by scores of 90-75, 74-53, both at home and 83-74. Rinse and repeat on board for tonight. UTAH ST is 11-4 ATS as a favorite this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3 ppg. Utah state to cover |
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01-17-23 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan +14.5 | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. In the last four games, the Eagles are averaging 20 trips to the free throw line and are converting at an 80.0 percent clip. For the year, EMU is hitting at 76.7 clip, which ranks second in the MAC and 14th nationally. The Eagles ability to get to the charity stripe Im betting gives us an edge on covering this number with the home dog.
CBB road team (KENT ST) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 9-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-17-23 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State OVER 122.5 | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tennessee is off a hard fought physical affair and upset 63-56 loss vs Kentucky last time out and will now be primed for a rebound and redemption minded effort . I know that Miss state will try to slow this game down to a grind, but the Vols will be hell bent on playing more aggressive and a more wide open style of hoops in transition, and Mississippi State will have to open up or be blown of the court. It must be noted Tennessee popped 87 points on the board at home in these teams first meeting this season. Barnes is 24-7 OVER in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 148.1 ppg scored. TENNESSEE L/24 games after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 140.5 ppg scored. CBB home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (40% or worse) after 15+ games are 43-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors wtht a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (TENNESSEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 133.2 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 2 m | Show | |
In Tom Brady Brady we trust . The GOAT is a 19-time division champion and is 7-0 SU in his career versus the Dallas Cowboys . I will happily take the points here with one of the great all time QBs in NFL history in a key play off game. Hey don't get me wrong Dak Prescott is a excellent QB as well but he has a propensity for turning the ball over via interceptions. DALLAS is 5-15 ATS in road games in January games since 1992. Cowboys are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on a natural surface. Cowboys are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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01-16-23 | Alabama State v. Alabama A&M OVER 140.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My rejections estimate a combined score of 144 or more giving us a full possession cushion this total with over position. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA ST) - poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) vs. a horrible rebounding team (6 or less Reb/G) - 15+ games are 29-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-16-23 | Devils v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Devils offense is rolling averaging 4.6 gpg in their L/5 overall and I would not be surprised if they eclipsed this total all by themselves vs a defensively deficient San Jose side that allowed 7 goals last time out and allowed and average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 overall and 4.2 gpg on the season. Over is 5-0 in Devils last 5 overall. Over is 3-1-1 in Devils last 5 road games.Over is 20-7-1 in Devils last 28 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation NEW JERSEY is 6-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9 gpg scored. NEW JERSEY is 7-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 11-2 OVER off a loss against a division rival this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored.Over is 8-0 in Sharks last 8 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Over is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-1 in Sharks last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. NHL Road teams against the total (NEW JERSEY) - good closing team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (SAN JOSE) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after allowing 6 goals or more are 43-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-16-23 | Heat -1 v. Hawks | 113-121 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat, who are on a three game winning streak and forming in top top tier form, Im betting will extend its recent dominance over the host Atlanta Hawks when they meet on Monday as part of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day festivities. The Heat have won 6 of the L/7 meetings losing only once by 1 point. McMillan is 10-24 ATS off an upset win as an underdog as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 3-16 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 season.( Beat the Raptors last time out) NBA Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog are 5-37 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-16-23 | Purdue v. Michigan State +3.5 | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Michigan State lost to Purdue in the semifinals of the Big Ten tourney last season and Tom Izzo and company have this game circled on their calendar for a while now and will be primed for payback on their home court. Michigan State has won seven of its last eight games and enters the game on Monday with a 12-5 overall record, including a 4-2 mark in Big Ten play and will not easily fold here. PURDUE is 11-22 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +7 v. Bengals | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 107 h 30 m | Show | |
Baltimore ranks third in scoring defense (18.5 points allowed per game) and tied for ninth in total defense (324.3 yards allowed per game). I know alot of focus is on whether Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will play, but Im betting the difference maker here comes via the Ravens ability to play physical ball against a team that has played every game like its their last. Which for me is not a good omen going into the play offs, as exhaustion and regression could easily rare their ugly heads at the worst possible time. Remember Baltimore beat Cincinnati in week 5 and in my opinion valid underdogs in this tilt. BALTIMORE is 31-15 ATS l/36 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better, ) Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse as the coach of BALTIMORE. CINCINNATI is 3-13 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 150 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion run for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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01-15-23 | Thunder v. Nets -5 | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Thunder can no longer surprise teams that have in the past over looked them. Now with that advantage gone , Im betting on the Brooklyn Nets being wide awake and ready to really bring the hammer down on their young talented visiting group in decisive fashion. Especially after losing to Boston last time out at home. With that said, Im betting this will be a situation that sees the Nets take out their frustrations on the Thunder. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-15-23 | Rockets +9.5 v. Clippers | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling with the Rockets on a 9 game losing streak while the Clippers have lost 7 of their L/8 overall. I know Houston has been smashed by the Clippers three times this season, but Im betting this young Houston group will be prepared for redemption today and a competitive showing. The old adage enough is enough will be the Rockets moto today. LA CLIPPERS are 8-25 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams (HOUSTON) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 31-10 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Ohio State has lost 3 straight and playing in the difficult road environment Im betting will not see them stop the bleeding. After suffering a rare home loss to Iowa last time out Im expecting the Scarlet Knights to come out here with a top tier effort and get us the cover. RUTGERS is 11-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins +9.5 v. Bills | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 100 h 50 m | Show | |
The Bills’ this past season had some problems with the Dolphins Closing as 4.5-point favorites in the first meeting, they were defeated by a 21-19. than as 7-point chalk the second time round and barely squeezed by in that matchup be a 32-29 score. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as I have this tilt projected at less than a TD for Buffalo thus giving us value with an underdog take with the Fins.Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 47 | 31-34 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 54 m | Show | |
Im betting Miami turns this into a physical grinding play off affair that ends in a combined score that will not eclipse this totals offering. Slow and easy will be the clock eating mission of the Fins as they try to keep QB Josh Allen on the sidelines as long as possible. MIAMI is 12-3 UNDER in playoff games since 1992 with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 Wildcard games. Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 playoff games BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 40.5 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 50-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (MIAMI) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season are 47-19 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Under is 7-3 in Bills last 10 vs. AFC. Play UNDER |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Connecticut started strong this season with a 14-0 run but are just 4-3 in conference play . Meanwhile, St.Johns just ended a losing string with a win vs Butler last time out. Both sides need a win badly and Im betting that this will be a rock fight and hard fought battle. The Johnnies have had done well vs UConn lately cashing at a 6-0-1 ATS rate in their L/7 meetings and Im betting on a rinse repeat situation today.ST JOHNS is 9-2 ATSin road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.ST JOHNS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 3-14 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.Hurley is 5-16 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite as the coach of CONNECTICUT. Play on St.Johns to cover |
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01-15-23 | Marquette v. Xavier UNDER 164.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My own projection makes this line closer to 160 giving us a two possession cushion on a under wager. Smart is 19-7 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 139 points per game going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (XAVIER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after allowing 85 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-14-23 | Mavs +2 v. Blazers | 119-136 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Portland has lost 5 straight games and Im betting that trend continues tonight vs a superior side off a momentum building road win last time out at Los Angles vs the Lakers. Dallas has won 3 of their 4 here in Portland and get the nod again. From a SRS perspective . Dallas ranks 11th in the NBA 1,29 mark while Portland ranks 19th -0.34 . SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. PORTLAND is 8-17 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. Billups is 18-35 ATS v after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games as the coach of PORTLAND. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-14-23 | Chattanooga +2.5 v. Samford | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Chattanooga to cover |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. 49ers | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 36 m | Show | |
The 49ers opened the season 3-4 and trailed the Seahawks in the division race before running off 10 consecutive victories. The 49ers look like the right side, but after playing very hard physical ball for an extended period of time they could easily hit a wall regress at the worst possible time. Something Im betting on here in this play off tilt. NFL Road underdogs or pick (SEATTLE) - off a win against a division rival, in January games are 28-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 9-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-14-23 | North Dakota +5.5 v. Denver | 71-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. DENVER is 0-6 ATS against conference opponents this season. CBB underdog (N DAKOTA) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 4 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 32-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. N Dakota State to cover |
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01-14-23 | Holy Cross v. Lafayette UNDER 125.5 | 48-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOLY CROSS/ LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg output ringing in at 113.8 ppg. Play UNDER |
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01-14-23 | Maine +8.5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
01-14-23 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | 63-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Wildcats had a 28 game home win streak smashed by South Carolina recently and you can bet Calipari will be primed for a bounce back vs a top tier side ( Tennessee) here in his own diggs. Add to that revenge for last years tourney loss and Im betting we see the Wildcats make a game of this this. Calipari is 31-16 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% lor better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENTUCKY. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (KENTUCKY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Kentucky to cover |
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01-13-23 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 225.5 | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing physical defensive affairs here at the Staples Center as is evident by the under cashing in the Nuggets last 5 visits to LA to play the Clippers with a combined average score (200.4 ppg) going on the board. Denver has recently played a long series of home games (four on a row) and when this has happened recently the Nuggets have gone under in 8 of their L/9 tilts overall ( after 4 or more straight as hosts). Meanwhile, the Clippers have gone under in 11 of their L/12 in 2/1 rest situation and have gone under in 9 of their L/10 against .600 or better conf opposition. Everything points to this being a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this offered total.Also the Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 36-13-2 in Nuggets last 51 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 22-5-1 in Clippers last 28 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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01-13-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Clippers | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Denver has won 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series with the Clippers with the only loss coming by two points. Considering the Clippers current form , registering losses in 6 of their L/7 and the overall consistent play of the Nuggets it will not be hard decision to take the visitors getting points. Rest has not always been a catalyst for the Clippers either as they are just 2-15 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.LA CLIPPERS are 8-24 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite are 11-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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01-13-23 | Devils v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
NJ Devils offense after a brief lull has picked up speed again and scored 4 or more goals in 5 of their L/6 games, and Im betting on them eclipsing that number tonight that allowed 17 goals in their L/2 games and have allowed 4 of more goals in 5 of their L/6 overall. Meanwhile, the Devils have allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of their L/8 and Im also betting the Ducks find the back of the net enough times to help buoy us over this offered total. Over is 5-0 in Devils last 5 games following a win something they achieved last time out. NEW JERSEY is 6-0 OVER against struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.7 gpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 7-2 in Ducks last 9 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 8-3 in Ducks last 11 vs. Metropolitan. NHL Home teams against the total (ANAHEIM) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Anaheim. Play over |
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01-13-23 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 241 | 144-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Back on Nov 14 the Spurs were clobbered by the Warriors by a 132-95 count. Im betting this time around the Spurs HC Popovich will try to slow this game down in a redemption scenario. This will directly effect this score to the under. Yes, I know these teams Ds, do not look viable, but this number is still slightly bloated according to my projections . Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 11-5 in Warriors last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 33-16-2 in Warriors last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. GOLDEN STATE is 34-18 UNDER L/52 in road games versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg scored. . GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg . NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 47-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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01-13-23 | Pelicans -5 v. Pistons | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Detroit is off a huge /DD win vs Minnesota last time out but now Im expecting a huge regressionary situation to rare its ugly head vs a superior side. Note: DETROIT is 1-13 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under 18 points per game. I know that the Pistons have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Pelicans back on Dec 7th but it must be noted that DETROIT is 0-11 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and Im betting that trend stays intact after tonights tilt. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-13-23 | Nebraska +16 v. Purdue | 55-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Purdue beat Nebraska 65-62 on the road back on Dec 10th and now with revenge on board Im betting the Cornhuskers make a game of this. Just to much of a point swing here not to be on the take. NEBRASKA is 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons. PURDUE is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite this season CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEBRASKA) - off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 65-32 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.( Blasted by Illinois last time out in a ugly effort- redemption time ) Play on Nebraska to cover |
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01-12-23 | Arizona v. Oregon State +15.5 | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. OSU leads the Pac-12 in free throw percentage at 74.9 percent , key to backing this underdog vs a top tier side. Also Oregon State is shooting 45.4 percent from the floor at home this season, compared to 41.2 percent away from Gill Coliseum. OREGON ST is 14-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCLA and Utah are the top 2 scoring defenses in the Pac-12. The Bruins are ranked No.21 nationally, allowing around 60.8 PPG, and the Runnin’ Utes come in at No 26, allowing 61.5 PPG. Utah is 6th in the country in rebounding, UCLA is 197, which Im betting will be a key advantage. Five returning starters for Utah make them very experienced under fire and they wont be flustered tonight at UCLA in game I have pegged to be much closer than the linesmakers line might indicate.
Play on Utah to cover |
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01-12-23 | New Mexico State +5 v. Seattle University | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. For years, WAC Championships have run through Las Cruces and there appeared to be a gulf between NM State and the rest of the league, however, this season it looks as though the rest of the league has finally caught up. But after a 0-4 league start you can bet that New Mexico state will be primed for a all out effort as a 0-5 start would be the worst in their history. NEW MEXICO ST is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. NEW MEXICO ST is 6-0 ATSin road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO ST) - off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins are 48-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with New Mexico state to cover |
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01-12-23 | Northern Colorado v. CS Sacramento -4.5 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 70-5 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at +11 ppg which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-12-23 | St. Thomas v. UMKC OVER 135 | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Tauer is 8-1 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of ST THOMAS (MN) with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 6-0 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.7 ppg scored. MISSOURI-KC is 10-1 OVER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (ST THOMAS (MN)) - after scoring 80 points or more in a win over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 31-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 144.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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