Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-10-23 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This afternoon game is a pivotal division matchup and both sides will primed to compete, on a sunny afternoon in southern California , with near perfect weather and the wind blowing out to left center field. Both teams have alot of offensive talent, and despite of two decent pitchers on the mound, the environment favors a run fest.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. American League West. Over is 5-2 in Angels last 7 vs. American League West.Over is 5-2 in Angels last 7 home games.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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05-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.86 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays on Wednesday. My power rankings suggest he matches up well vs this explosive Phillies offense and when and if he does falter his bullpen should supply enough backing to keep the home side from an exaggerated output. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 34-16 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Philadelphia will hand the ball to Zack Wheeler (3-2, 4.26 ERA) on Wednesday. My own notes on Wheeler suggests upward momentum, and better pitch command which will hold the mighty Jays at bay. Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. TORONTO is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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05-10-23 | Marlins +131 v. Diamondbacks | 5-4 | Win | 131 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Right-hander Merrill Kelly (3-3, 2.75 ERA) will start for Arizona on Wednesday and power rankings suggest he is a sub par opponent for the Marlins batting order.Kelly is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his three appearances against the Marlins and faced them one last season, Meanwhile, the Marlins with reply with starter, Edward Cabrera (2-3, 4.78 ERA), He may. not catch many pundits eyes with a regular data search , but he owns a strikeout rate of almost 30%, along with a 53.2% ground-ball rate and is a viable starter to back in this situation on a value line. MLB team (MIAMI) - terrible offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in May games are 24-13 L/5 season for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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05-10-23 | Rockies +135 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 135 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rockies right-hander Antonio Senzatela (0-1, 1.80 ERA), faces opposite Pittsburgh left-hander Rich Hill (3-3, 4.54).Senzatela has the edge here vs a side that has lost eight of its past nine games and has garnered just 12 runs during that span and are are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Rockies have won 7 of thier L/9 overall and are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are also 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. like Hill. Advantage Rockies on a value line |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Suns, thanks to the red hot shooting of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, tied the series with a 129-124 win in Game 4 on Sunday . The Suns really had to have everything going for them to get that win, but now here in the Mile High city Im betting on immediate regression from the Suns vs a side that is fired up after their star forward Nikola Jokic was called on a technical and fined for nudging Suns owner court-side. This will ignite the Nuggets . Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DENVER is 33-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 17-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.DENVER is 21-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Malone is 66-45 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-09-23 | Stars -131 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Seattle took the last game of this series, at home, but now Im betting on what my power rankings suggest is s superior side to bounce back just like they did game 2 after losing game 1. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS in road games revenging a road loss versus opponent this season . Dallas 4.5 vs opponent 1.7. Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Stars are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.Stars are 12-5 in their last 17 road games.Stars are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Play on Dallas to win |
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05-09-23 | Nationals v. Giants OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to a 9. With the wind blowing out tp center Field at 13 miles an hour, I wont be surprised with an above average over the fence action tonight. Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League West.Washingtons starter CORBIN is 35-18 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in his career (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-12 OVER as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. Play over |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
After losing in OT in the road last time out, Im betting the Boston Celtics will regain control of their Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series vs the Philadelphia 76ers in a pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday night. When the going gets tough my money rides with the Celtics. BOSTON is 17-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 17-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHILADELPHIA is 15-30 ATS) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Play on Boston to cover |
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05-09-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Mets will send right-hander Max Scherzer (2-2, 5.56 ERA). The veteran right hander looked tired at the end of last season, and just has not looked like the pitcher he was earlier in his career.Scherzer was bashed for six earned runs on eight hits over just 3 1/3 innings against Detroit last time out, and once again is being over rated. Meanwhile,In his last start, May 1 in San Diego, Weaver the Reds starter was charged with four runs on nine hits over 4 1/3 innings in an 8-3 loss to the Padres and looks like cannon fodder. Weaver has been cranked for 14 runs on 21 hits in just 16 innings of lackluster work . Im betting both pitcher give up enough runs for this tilt to be eclipsed early. Over is 8-3-2 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League Central. NY METS are 23-6 OVER after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League East. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 37-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play over |
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05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies -124 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Alek Manoah (1-2, 4.71 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays.In Manoah's last start against the Boston Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and five runs, two earned, in five innings.He has not looked as impressive as he did last season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well against this current version of the Phillies. Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Philadelphia ended their 6 game losing streak last time out, and Im now betting with some momentum back on their sides they come out of this tilt with a victory. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.possibly out for the Jays with left wrist soreness, the Phillies very much look like the right side. PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 12-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Phillies stater NOLA is 24-9 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average 9.9 rpg scored.NOLA is 18-6 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 11.4 rpg going on the board.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Alek Manoah (1-2, 4.71 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays.In Manoah's last start against the Boston Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and five runs, two earned, in five innings.He has not looked as impressive as he did last season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well here vs a sometimes explosive Phillies batting order. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.Over is 5-2-1 in Phillies last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Fast furious runs expected here . Play on the over |
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05-09-23 | Rays v. Orioles +114 | 2-4 | Win | 114 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I know the Orioles have lost 3 straight and finally lost the opening game of a series this season by a 3-0 count after 11 straight victories . However, Im betting. a bounce back effort today on a value line based on my projections that estimate the Orioles have a better than 53% chance of taking this tilt. Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss. BALTIMORE is 21-17 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 15-2 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - good AL offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season are 41-52 L/5 seasons. Play on the Orioles to win |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
The long and winding road has not been kind to the Warriors this season as they have just 13 wins in 46 road games . I im betting the this talented by aging Lakers group understands the importance of a win now situation, as this is this groups last chance at a championship ie (James and Davis in particularly). Look for the old fellas to leave everything on the floor tonight and for the Lakers to bring home the cash. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Conference Semifinals games.Warriors are 17-39-1 ATS in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATSin home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-08-23 | Nationals +190 v. Giants | 5-1 | Win | 190 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani has pitched well to start off his season, but Im betting he is over achieving after watching him put up horrendous numbers last season, as is evident by a 6.63 ERA . Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Irvin is an average pitcher who is in call up mode from the minors, but is supported with a up-trending Nationals bullpen. Irvin (0-0, 2.08 ERA) helped the Nationals' with 4 1/3 innings of two-hit, one-run ball in his major league debut on Wednesday at home against the Chicago Cubs and must not disrespected here. MARTINEZ is 25-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.40 or better as the manager of WASHINGTON. Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series. Play on the Nationals to win |
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05-08-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers -102 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Peralta (3-2, 3.63 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 3.38), who is making his third start since coming off the injured list. Peralta is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers, including a 4-0 loss last season at American Family Field and gets the nod here vs a still 100% Gonsolin. I know Milwaukee has lost 6 games in a row all on the road , but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting on this current down trend to come to end for the Brewers today vs the visiting Dodgers who traveled on a red eye from the West Coast last night. MILWAUKEE is 21-6 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 11-21against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. ROBERTS is 21-39 ) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of LA DODGERS. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 86 points in Game 3 as the Phoenix Suns got back into the Western Conference semifinals, but now Im betting on some immediate regression against a resilient group of Nuggets. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nuggets coach Michael Malone was not pleased with his defenders and said his defense better be prepared to improve on Sunday. The primary focus will be on defending Booker, who is averaging 36.9 points per game this postseason. Malone has is his team fired up and ready to play. Malone is 46-25 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Malone is 33-16 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 15-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 14-6 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season. NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Staring ptichers: Urias the Dodgers starter a hurler who contended for Cy Young ward last season and is not performing very well at the moment, as he has garnered a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 starts and a 7.20 ERA on road starts this season. Meanwhile, Padres starter Musgrove has allowed 10 earned runs in just a little over 8 innings of work this season, and once again looks like cannon fodder. The Dodgers have clobbered right-handed pitching averaging 6.1 rpg in production while the Fathers have been consistent against left-handed pitching averaging 4.2 rpg. Both defenses have been average this season and the bullpens inconsistent which has me leaning on this game going over the offered total. Padres starter MUSGROVE is 36-18 OVER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg clicking in at 11.1 .MUSGROVE is 26-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. MUSGROVE is 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Over is 9-4 in Padres last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 11-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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05-07-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | 115-116 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is a top tier side, but the Celtics are an elite team with just to many weapons to contain. Yes, the Celtics have off nights, but their consistency and hunger for victory is something that makes them viable betting options, on a value line. The Celtics have also proven they matchup well vs the Sixers which Im sure is frustrating for the 76ers . That frustration manifests into mistakes, and that is when the Celtics are at their best. With Joel Embiid at less than 100% or not able to play today the Sixers are in trouble. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia. BOSTON is 17-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. BOSTON is 26-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games BOSTON is 15-5 ATSwhen the line is +3 to -3 this season. BOSTON is 17-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rivers is 5-16 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-07-23 | Blue Jays -125 v. Pirates | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays, who entered the series with a five-game losing streak, have won the first two games of this series, with a 4-0 shutout Friday and an 8-2 beatdown yesterday and with momentum on their sides look very much like viable bets here today against the struggling Pirates who have lost 6 straight . Jays starter KIKUCHI is 15-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 23-9 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. Kikuchi enters this game in top form, garnering a 2-0 record along with a 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts including having struck out 30 batters in 31 1/3 innings of work. Contreras the Pirates starter advanced metrics - 4.32 xERA and a 5.16 xFIP. suggest he is being over rated against a explosive Blue Jays offense. Blue Jays are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TORONTO is 21-8 against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SCHNEIDER is 24-11 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game as the manager of TORONTO. Play on the Jays to win |
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05-07-23 | Orioles +148 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The finale of this series now tied 1-1 features Atlanta's Bryce Elder (3-0, 1.75 ERA) against Baltimore's Tyler Wells (2-1, 3.34). WELLS is 12-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and have an edge here according to my projections from a mathematical standpoint based on a value underdog line that is bloated. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 road games. BALTIMORE is 22-11 against the money line in all games this season.BALTIMORE is 13-3) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ATLANTA is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Orioles are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Baltimore to win |
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05-06-23 | Astros -116 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
The Astros starting hurler France has been a strong minor league pitcher averaging 2.33 ERA in 19 1/3 innings this year in Triple-A ball , while averaging 12.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The 28 year old can make you miss, and against a Seattle team that is struggling to hit and score hes a prime candidate to help his team to a victory. Meanwhile, the Astros bats get to face a sub par hurler in Marco Gonzales who has garnered a bloated 4.74 ERA. MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON -GONZALES is 2-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.459.
Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Seattle.Astros are 52-19 in the last 71 meetings. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 27-9 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Its well documented how the Warriors have struggled on the road this season, garnering an ugly 13-32 record . they have recently come up big in a couple of road opportunities but, tonight their lack of mojo on the road Im betting will be evident vs a veteran laden side that knows how to win when the chips are down . Its crunch games like this that the aging King James shows us glimpses of what made him a super star in this league. Note: Los Angeles won the series opener on the road vs Memphis like they did against Golden State , lost Game 2 just like they did against the Grizzlies and then came home to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a pair of victories. Rinse and repeat in play today. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Warriors are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. LA LAKERS are 25-9 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS as a road underdog this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 104-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227.5 | 97-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Golden State will allow 115+ points here tonight. GOLDEN STATE is 25-6 OVER when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. Meanwhile, the LA LAKERS are 13-4 OVER when they score 115 to 120 points in a game this season with a combined average of 237 ppg going on the board. Advantage over. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up win.Over is 38-15 in Warriors last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17-2 in Warriors last 56 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 OVER in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored..GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 OVER )on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Ham is 41-26 OVER sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 236.5 ppg scored. Over is 11-2 in Lakers last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play over |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
Vegas has scored 4 goals or more in 5 straight games, while Edmonton has scored 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/6 . My projections estimate 7 plus combined goals will be scored in this matchup tonight with each teams scoring 3+ goals.
EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.7 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 11-2 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 ggp scored.EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 9 gpg scored. EDMONTON is 8-1 OVER (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. The L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this Totals offering. Play over |
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05-06-23 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Minnesota's starter Gray has not allowed more than one run in any of his starts this season and has garnered 41 strikeouts in 31 innings of top tier pitching .Meanwhile, the Guardians Allen has made two starts during this campaign, and looked good both times . The southpaw has not allowed more than three runs and struck out 16 batters in 11 innings of quality work. I expect both starters to long and strong and for both od these decent bullpens to hold the proverbial fort. Note:The Twins pen ranks 13th while garnering a 3.73 ERA, while the Guardians rank eighth in MLB with a 3.35 ERA. Im betting on the pitching staffs having the upper hand on the offenses today. CLEVELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games. Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 21-6 in Guardians last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning recor Under is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 3-1-2 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 37-11 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the under |
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05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -3.5 | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
All season long the pundits wondered what was wrong with the Heat, as they flailed away playing inconsistent basketball more often than not. It seems the Heat saved their best hoops for the play offs and are now in top form, as was evident when the defeated the defending Milwaukee Bucks in the opening round of the play offs.. With that said, Im now betting after a hard fought loss in game 2 of this series, that they bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode, and deliver a win vs a Knicks at their own home court. I know Jimmy butler is listed as questionable, but this is to important of a game for him to miss with a lower grade ankle issue. Even if butler cannot take to the court I believe this Heat team is deep enough to compete and grab the victory. MIAMI is 18-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons .MIAMI is 18-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Spoelstra is 28-13 ATS in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. MIAMI is 28-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Heat has covered 5 straight games. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Play on Miami to cover |
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05-06-23 | Tigers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroits starter Turnbull has been battered this season as he returns from Tommy John surgery. The righty hurler has garnered a bloated 6.83 ERA . Meanwhile, veteran righty Wainwright makes his season debut for the struggling Cards . his velocity was off late last season, and he is throwing alot of soft stuff, curveballs in particular, that a decent hitting and up-trending Tigers offense Im betting can tee off on. Note: St.Louis has allowed 33 runs in thier L/5 games and with Wainwright on the hill more runs should be on the agenda. As far as the Cards offense goes, they should get a boost facing a pitcher that is in fade material mode at this time. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored . Advantage to the over |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Down two games to zero the Suns have their backs up against the proverbial wall and will come out firing bullets tonight . DENVER is 4-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Malone is 4-16 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. Advantage Phoenix. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season. NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 16-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover ( Late Steam) |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -113 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are rocking and rolling right now with 6 straight wins and a recent offensive explosion of 42 runs in their L/4 trips to the diamonds. In their current form they are worth trailing on a value line in a advantageous situation according to my power rankings. KERSHAW is 24-9 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 0.964.The three-time Cy Young Award winner has a 0.763 WHIP and a .175 opponents' batting average and looks like he is back in his prime.Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 career starts at Petco Park. Dodgers are 58-21 in their last 79 during game 1 of a series. Dodgers are 70-27 in their last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter and have the advantage here vs the Fathers today like Fathers starter Darvish. Darvish is 3-5 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 2.47 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 17 walks in 62 innings over 10 starts. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Dodgers are 66-30 in the last 96 meetings. Play on Los Angeles Dodgers to win |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Less than 48 hours after clinching their series against the New York Rangers in seven games, the visiting Devils were outshot 11-1 and outscored 2-0 in the first period of Game 1 against the rested Hurricanes, eventually losing by a 5-1 count. Even though I expect the Devils to play better in game 2 in this series, I still dont expect them to win this game against a more physical side that plays their best hockey at home. With G Andersen expected to start Game 2 for the Canes after stopping 50 of 52 shots over Carolina’s past two tilts, the Canes have the edge according to my projections. CAROLINA is 28-4 ATS in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Hurricanes are 23-8 in their last 31 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Hurricanes are 40-15 in their last 55 home games.Hurricanes are 37-15 in their last 52 games following a win.Hurricanes are 19-8 in their last 27 Conference Semifinals games. Hurricanes are 35-17 in their last 52 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. CAROLINA is 22-7 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons. Devils are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Carolina.Home team is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings.Favorite is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on Carolina to win |
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05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -155 | 12-8 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Athletics will send lefty Kyle Muller (0-2, 6.28 ERA) to the mound against Royals righty Brad Keller (2-2, 3.56). Muller has allowed 56 baserunners in 28 2/3 innings. My power rankings suggest this is a pitching mismatch favoring the Royals.One of the few bright spots among Royals starters, Keller has allowed hitters to a .226 BA , in 30 1/3 innings.
OAKLAND is 1-17 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games, in May games are 15-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Royals to win |
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05-05-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
With 76ers star Embiid still dealing with a knee injury and less than 100% or not playing at all the home side is at a disadvantage vs a Celtics side that now looks wide awake after a DD win last time out vs the Sixers. Advantage Celtics . BOSTON is 16-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.BOSTON is 14-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 8-31 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
The Warriors succumbed to the Lakers in game 1 of this series, but in classic zig zag theory Im betting the Warriors rebound in a big way here this evening.Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games. LA LAKERS are 9-21 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 36-16 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Kerr is 22-3 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.( Lakers won the last reg season meeting at home and than took out the Warriors in Game 1 of this series) NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a home loss are 99-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 30-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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05-04-23 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby, 2-2, 2.93 ERA, will get the start for the Mariners. The Athletics will counter with Drew Rucinski, 0-1, 4.76 ERA. Seattle’s pitching staff has been consistent, as is evident by giving up an average 4.14 runs per game. Opposition batting orders have garnered a lowly .230 batting average against the Mariners, which ranks seventh in the league. Their 3.52 ERA is also seventh, as is their 1.21 WHIP are also ranked 7th. Meanwhile, I know the As pitching is one of the most inconsistent in all of MLB , but this matchup and pitcher vs batting order projections looks favorable for them when it comes to limiting the Mariners offensive production with D. Rucinski on the hill . (Yes Hill has not impressed of late but does matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games.Under is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in Athletics last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starter Kirby.OAKLAND is 17-6 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play under |
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05-04-23 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Colorados starter Seabold (0-0, 5.27 ERA) will match up against Brewers lefty Wade Miley (3-1, 1.86). My projections estimate that Seahold matches up well vs a 4.4 rpg on a .240 BA. Meanwhile, Miley also matches up well here vs a Colorado side averaging 3.9 rpg. I know Coors Filed is a proverbial launching pad, but this series has been fairly low scoring so far and nothing will change today according to my projections. Under is 12-3-1 in Brewers last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Seabold.Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 82 % conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
All 4 games between these teams this season eclipsed this Totals offering from the books, and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Edmonton usually plays a one way style of offensive hockey behind an explosive lineup and the Vegas Knights will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or proverbially be blown off the ice. EDMONTON is 5-0 OVER in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 20-9 OVER ( against poor defensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 23-10 OVER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. My projections estimate both teams will score 3 goals plus each.EDMONTON is 40-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored.VEGAS is 26-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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05-03-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +104 | 1-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Freeland (2-3, 4.32 ERA) will square off against Milwaukee's Eric Lauer (3-2, 5.19) in a battle of left-handers. Milwaukee has struggled against southpaw pitching averaging just 3.2 rpg via .202 BA. FREELAND is 33-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in his career. (Team's Record) Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 39-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Brewers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. Colorado Rockies to win |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
I am betting the Celtics will bounce back here with a top tier brand of defense, something that alluded them in game 1 of this series as they lost 119-115 to the 76ers. Boston ranks 5th in ppg allowed in the NBA and own the top SRS mark with a 6.38. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BOSTON is 19-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 5-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 42-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Torontos starter MANOAH is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MANOAH is 15-4 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Manoah has been outstanding in six career starts against the Red Sox, going 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 37 innings and Im betting another top notch effort tonight. Meanwhile,Nick Pivetta (1-2, 5.11 ERA) goers to the hill for Boston . The right-hander has pitched at least five innings and recorded at least five strikeouts in four of his first five starts and is edging into top form. Note: Under is 9-2-1 in Blue Jays last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-3-2 in Blue Jays last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds starter Cessa may not inspire bettors when looking at an under bet but it must be noted that SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like the Reds expected starter Cessa. On the flips side , Lugo who makes his 15th career appearance (second start) against the Reds owns a a 1.04 ERA, a 1.154 WHIP and a .234 opponents' batting average vs Cinncy. He has pitched well this season, and deserves respect in his ability to limit the inconsistent Red offense here today and help us get paid via an under wager. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordS. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-02-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-13 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia will send left-hander Matt Strahm (2-2, 2.31 ERA) to the mound.The Dodgers will counter with lefty Julio Urias (3-3, 4.41 ERA), who won the National League ERA title last season with a 2.16 mark. Urias, who is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA lifetime against the Phillies in six appearances (four starts) is capable of holding the Phillies bats down. Also according to my pitcher vs power rankings numbers matches up well here. Factoring in the bull pens as well has me projecting a totals line closer to 7 which gives us a full run of value to the under. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers starter URIAS is 19-8 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 50-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers +140 | 4-6 | Win | 140 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Texas has averaged 6.4 rpg vs right handed starter like the Dbacks starter Gallen and 6.7 rpg at home this season, and are a value home dog here according to my projections. Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League West. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 25-9 L/5 seasons for. a 74% conversion rate for bettors. (Texas smashed the Yankees 15-2 L/time out). Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
With Miamis top player Butler unable to finish Game 1 because an ankle issue, and New York's star forward Julius Randle unable to start game 1 it due to a sprained left ankle both sides maybe without their top players. Looking at the depth of the rosters has me now leaning on the Knicks to bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode. It must also be noted that the Heat are 9-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. (Miami upset the Heat in Game 1 of this series)
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 20-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 17-3 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 79-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAUnderdogs (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 16-48 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYK to cover |
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05-02-23 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesotas starter RYAN is 10-1 OVER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Ryan whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored. Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Meanwhile, White Sox Tuesday starter Michael Kopech owns a (0-3, 7.01 ERA) and a bloated 9.31 ERA at home. My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest the Twins matchup well against him and should do some early damage. which will help us eclipse this total. Over is 11-3-1 in White Sox last 15 home games.Over is 19-6-3 in White Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.BALDELLI is 27-11 OVER in road games in May games as the manager of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 10.1 rpg. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 62-27 OVER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. Play over |
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05-02-23 | Twins -160 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
White Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan. White Sox garnered a victory last time out, but that has not been a recipe for success in the follow up as the White Sox are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. Rinse and repeat is the bet here. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win |
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05-01-23 | Reds +1.5 v. Padres | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know he has pitched well recently but it must be noted thatSNELL is 5-13 against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and get the nod here on. a value run line. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Play on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runline |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Sixers super star Embiid sustained a sprained LCL in his right knee during Game 3 of Philadelphia's first-round series against the Brooklyn Nets and did not play when the 76ers clinched the series with a win in Game 4. If he plays here tonight he will be less than 100% which will directly effect the flow of this the Sixers. Embiid scored 52 points in Philadelphia's lone victory over Boston, a 103-101 outcome in April and without his presence or lack their off involvement in this tilt are at an extreme disadvantage. So asking DDs is not as extreme as many may expect.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-01-23 | Blue Jays -137 v. Red Sox | 5-6 | Loss | -137 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Jays had a 7 game win streak end yesterday in a loss to Seattle, and will now be n a bounce back mode here today. Jays starter Berrios owns a stingy 1.42 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is in top form. His team has won his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and my power rankings suggest he matches up well here against the BoSox starter Kluber who has recorded a 6.89 ERA in his L/3 starts including a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA at home in Fenway this season. Advantage Blue Jays. BOSTON is 34-54 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Jays starter Berrios. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 61-14 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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05-01-23 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago left-hander Drew Smyly (2-1, 3.21 ERA) opposes left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 3.00) in the series opener. Smyly is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his past four starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Gore. Everything points to this being a pitchers duel. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. SMYLY is 12-2 UNDER (+10.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.Under is 37-18-6 in Cubs last 61 during game 1 of a series. Under is 13-3-3 in Nationals last 19 during game 1 of a seriesUnder is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 overall.Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the under |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting that the Phillies will not get the series sweep as the Astros have the edge here, especially with Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) starting for Philadelphia. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 20-41 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. HOUSTON is 31-8 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-4 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-3 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 25-5 ( against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders as the manager of HOUSTON. Home teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 36-16 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-23 | Pirates v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh put 16 runs on the board yesterday while allowing 1 run in a win vs the Nationals . Im expecting immediate regression offensively here today for the Pirates which will help us a cash a under ticket. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series. PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.
WASHINGTON is 42-26 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 7.9 rpg. Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Oviiedo. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play under |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Golden States starting five have matched up well against the Kings in this this series as is evident by a +19.4 rating and are +6.2 with Curry on the floor. As we get into the gritty tough part of this series I expect coach Kerr to have his top men on the court for a good portion of this game and for the Warriors to have an edge in a bounce back situation after a down effort at home last time out. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 pointsKings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-30-23 | Orioles -149 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Orioles and Tigers split Saturday's doubleheader, with Baltimore pushing through with a 6-4 victory in the nightcap. That marked the Orioles 10th win in its last 12 games and like them to bring home the cash again this Sunday. Note: The Orioles Im betting will get out to an early lead vs Detroit's starter Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.25), who has had more strikeouts than walks in only one of his five trips to the hill this season.Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Turnbull. Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradish. Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Os starter Bradish. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Heat just shocked the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks and took a series hardly any of the pundits predicted. They finished of ftheir series with a explosive 128-126 victory and will now be in a emotional letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the MY Knicks. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS win.MIAMI is 8-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks thanks to a top tier brand of defensive ball took out the Cleveland Cavaliers 4 games to 1 and now enter this tilt with momentum on their own home court. Advantage Knicks.
NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifiers on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 49-14 ATS L/5 seasons for. a72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 207.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
This matchup according to my projections estimate a combined score that eclipses this totals offering and should be closer to 211. Thanks to the Knicks top tier defensive play against another defensive minded team the Cleveland Cavs in their last series this total is now a little tainted in my opinion and offers value for over bettors even if key offensive cog- Randle misses this game for the Knicks.
NEW YORK is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 3 straight games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings +150 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Kings trail 3-2 in the best-of-seven set with Game 6 in Los Angeles on Saturday night and will leave everything on the ice tonight against the Oilers. The Kings have been very competitive and despite of losing 6-3 last time out, still did not look outclassed .Los Angeles is getting as close to 100 percent healthy as it has been all series and deserve respect here in my betting opinion to take this series to a game 7. Oilers are 32-71 in their last 103 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Kings are 13-5 in their last 18 home game.
NHL Road teams against the money line (EDMONTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Suns are favored to win the series and reach the NBA Finals, but projections don't quite see it that way as my power rankings suggest the Nuggets matchup well vs the Suns especially here at home in the Mile High city. Quote: "We like our chances," Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon said. "I feel like we've continued to take care of ourselves on and off the floor to give ourselves an opportunity to be healthy and get a chance to get our legs back against Phoenix." End quote. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record DENVER is 17-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 31-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 26-10 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-29-23 | Rays -135 v. White Sox | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay outscored Chicago 16-11 to secure a three-game sweep last weekend in Florida and has continued the momentum by winning the first two games of this weekend series. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 5-0 against CHI WHITE SOX this season and Im betting they make it 6 in a row in the south side tonight. TAMPA BAY is 25-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-17 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 6-19 (against the money line in April games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33)or less, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-123 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -105 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs won their last two games here in TB , but the Bolts wont be easily beaten here as they have only lost 3 games at home once this season and have the 2nd best home record in the NHL this season with a 28-8-5 reg season record. Tampa Bay had the better chances vs Toronto 36-32 last time out and once again look to be the side to back. It must also be noted that the Maple Leafs were on the wrong end of 52-31 mark in scoring chances in Game 3 and 48-28 in Game 4. Advantage Tampa Bay based on momentum. key trend the Buds are just 0-11 L/11 when it comes to scoring more than 3 goals in an elimination game so, unless they play lights out D, the Bolts have an edge! With TBs star Goalie Vasilevsky in top form right now things dont look good for the Leafs. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 3.21) has the starting assignment for the Astros on Saturday and according to my projections has a high percentage chance of having a quality start. Meanwhile, Right-hander Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Phillies which I also project to have a quality start. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 53-26-6 in Phillies last 85 vs. American League West. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. National League East. THOMSON is 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with s combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.THOMSON is 26-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play under |
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04-29-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins -1.5 runline |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a sub par road team all season long, and are fade material here against a senior laden Lakers team that knows how to win in clutch situations especially when they have home court advantage on this sides. I know the Grizzlies grabbed the win last time out, but thats not a good omen considering they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 1-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Warriors have won the last two games in this series vs the Kings and now come home, where they play their best basketball as is evident by a 35-8 SU record at home that has seen them cover 29 of those games. I'll follow the Warriors momentum for a cover. Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
We are getting into clutch time in this series, and Im now betting we begin to see a more physical type of basketball that leans on the conservative side. My own projections make this game closer to a 231 which gives us almost two full possessions value on this line offering from the books to the under. Under is 20-8-1 in Kings last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 home games.SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combine average of 230.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 41-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 71-28 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-28-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -105 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The last time the Mariners visited Toronto, they overcame an 8-1 deficit Oct. 8 to complete a two-game sweep of the best-of-three American League wild-card series. You can bet the Jays have some redemption in mind. Seattles starter CASTILLO is 10-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more.12-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hawks thanks to the great work of Trae Young have now gotten the full attention of the Celtics and response Im betting we now see the Boston play a complete game . When they take a lead this time which Im betting they do , they wont let up. Full steam ahead. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. BOSTON is 16-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.( Atlanta shocked the Celtics with a late comeback win last time out by a 119-117 score) NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 41-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-34 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
These two teams have gone over in their L/4 meetings and Im betting nothing changes in this tilt. The Lightning’s 4.00 home goals per game lead the NHL during the regular season and Im betting we see them let it all hang out here in Toronto tonight with their season on the line. The Leafs Im betting will be forced into reciprocating with some run and gun action themselves which will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. TAMPA BAY is 25-9 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 road games. TORONTO is 33-18 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. TORONTO is 9-2 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -144 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles swept the Detroit Tigers in a three-game home series last weekend and matchup well against them according to my early season power rankings. Orioles starter GIBSON is 22-12 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) worked out of a bases-loaded jam in the first inning on Saturday and went on to limit Detroit to two hits and one run in 6 1/3 innings. The Orioles batting order matches up very well left-hander Joey Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who allowed five runs and six hits in four innings on Saturday. Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Orioles are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series. BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. OAKLAND is 1-15 against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline |
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04-27-23 | Padres -126 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
After being held to five hits getting shut out for the fifth time in a 6-0 series-opening loss on Tuesday, San Diego recorded nine hits during a 5-3 win on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt and deserve my betting respect on this line offering.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 5-18 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 137-53 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -1.5 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Kings emerging super star Fox, is listed as doubtful, tonight . He has averaged 31.5 points, 7.0 assists and 6.0 rebounds in the series and has been a major catalyst for the Warriors. Golden State now has an edge. SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 14-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bucks have Giannis Antetokounmpo ready to go tonight and will primed to really get back their mojo against a Miami side that has been highly inconsistent all season long. Im not going to be lured into their current run of good luck in. a key game like this . Heat are 8-28-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS win.Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. MIAMI is 1-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons here at home. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in April games are 6-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a upset loss as a favorite are 51-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 23-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
I know these sides have eclipsed the total in 7 straight meetings and there are a ton of over trends. However, Im betting that the Heat will be in bubble mode tonight and will be conservative in transition knowing that the Bucks will come at them with everything they have. That in itself bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. The Heat are 2nd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace in the league and 30th in ppg production and we will see why these stats had been established this season, MIAMI is 14-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI/MILWAUKEE ) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average score of those 34 tilts clicking in at 202.4 ppg. Play under |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Smyly (2-1, 3.13 ERA) took a perfect game into the eighth inning Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers and now Im betting with upward momentum on his side and continues his top tier work.He is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA in four games (two starts) vs. San Diego. Padres hace average 2.8 rpg scored. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Scheduled San Diego starter Michael Wacha (2-1, 7.08 ERA) has struggled in his last two tilts but is a viable hurler who Im betting matches up well here vs the Cubs batting order in windy Wrigley. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the under |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have played their best hoops at home this season garnering a powerful 37-6 SU record, and tonight Im betting with their backs up against the wall we see them at their best. MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 109-170 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 41-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Down 3 games to 1 to the Knicks it's do or die tonight for the Cavaliers. Im betting they come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and get the job done in desperation mode. Cavaliers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 25-16 ATSas a home favorite this season CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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04-26-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Chicago will start right-hander Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.97). In three career appearances (one start) against Toronto, Kopech is 0-1 with a 20.77 ERA. The Blue Jays answer back with Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (3-0, 3.80 ERA) who will start for Toronto on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.92 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. Im betting on the explosive Blue Jays bats to be the major catalysts behind a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 9-3-1 in White Sox last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play on the over |
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04-26-23 | Rangers -103 v. Reds | 3-5 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Reds will vie for the sweep on Wednesday when they send Graham Ashcraft (2-0, 1.88 ERA) to the mound opposite fellow right-hander Jon Gray (1-1, 3.72). Im betting the inconsistent Reds dont get the sweep and instead Im backing the Rangers here to salvage a victory behind the arm of Gray who is 4-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.348 with his team winning 5 of his all time starts vs the Reds.Rangers are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Play on Texas to win |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -12 | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
After an inconsistent season, the Suns are finally starting to find their legs and flow, and have now won 3 games in row in this series and are set to eliminate a Clippers side playing without two of leagues top players Leonard and George. You can literally feel the proverbial air coming out of the Clippers tires. Im betting its lights out on the Clippers season and that it happens in convincing fashion at the hands of the Suns . PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS in home games off a road win this season. Williams is 15-3 ATS after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached since 1996. Suns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. LA CLIPPERS are 4-18 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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04-25-23 | Kings +205 v. Oilers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Pure grit and determination as well as great chemistry make this hard working Kings team a value bet on this line. They just never seem to stop working, and the Oilers Im betting will end up under great pressure tonight in their own building. Just to much value to pass up on in what has been so far a back forth evenly matched series. Forget the overall stats from the regular season, or media perceptions, they mean nothing in this series. Advantage Kings.Kings are 15-7 in their last 22 vs. Pacific. Play on LA Kings to win |
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04-25-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -135 | 5-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Kansas City lost for the ninth time in the past 10 games yesterday by a 5-4 count to the Dbacks. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as the Dbacks will be wide awake despite of their opponents ugly record so far this season. Quote:"I don't care if it's home or road. It's frustrating to lose, and everybody in there is frustrated," "It's a dangerous thing to start thinking about who you're playing and what their record is because we respect every opponent," Lovullo said. "If we start to look at them as less talented, which they are not, we're in trouble." Quote. Royals are 3-14 in their last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Nelson. .Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Dbacks starter Neslson. Royals are 16-37 in their last 53 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 22-51 in their last 73 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games.. Royals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.Play on Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota was able to stave off elimination in game 4 of this series, despite of relinquishing a late lead and having to go into OT. Now after leaving everything on the floor last time out and now having to travel to the Mile High City Im betting their season will come to an end in DD fashion at the hands of what is the superior side. DENVER is 15-7 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -13 | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The Celtics will be on a mission to eliminate the Atlanta Hawks when their Eastern Conference first-round series shifts back to Boston for Game 5 on Tuesday night. Im betting on the superior side coming out here with all guns blazing and to finish the job in this key situation. ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 16-2 ATS versus defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in road games off a home loss this season. BOSTON is 14-3 ATS in April games over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Celtics to cover |
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04-25-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Two viable starting hurlers go to the hill today in this matchup between the Astros and their hosts the Rays. In the Astros' 8-1 victory on Wednesday, Garcia threw seven shutout innings and allowed just two hits. He struck out nine and walked one over a season-high 92 pitches and he enters this tilt with momentum. Meanwhile, Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 2.01) in his three victories has held the opposition scoreless -- six innings against the Washington Nationals, seven against the Oakland A's and five his last time outing in Cincinnati against the Reds this past Wednesday.Rasmussen holds a 2-1 record with a 3.00 ERA in three lifetime starts versus the Astros.My projections estimate both starting throwers will long and strong today and help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals offering. HOUSTON is 44-24 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 44-21 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Under is 20-7-3 in Astros last 30 vs. American League East.Under is 18-6-4 in Astros last 28 on astroturf. TAMPA BAY is 34-20 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. Under is 6-2-1 in Rays last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TAMPA BAY) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or worse) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 30-5 L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 28-9-3 in the last 40 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play under |
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04-24-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Left-hander Tommy Henry will make his season debut on Monday night against Kansas City right-hander Brad Keller (2-2, 3.00 ERA). The Dbacks consider themselves contenders this season, and Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo talked about in spring training when he said his ball-club could be a playoff contender "if we make the most of our opportunities." This is an opportunity they need to take advantage of as the Royals despite of a recent small crop of wins must be considered cannon fodder for a true contender. Ill give Lovullo and comapny the bdenefit of the doubt and take them as short favs here today. LOVULLO is 16-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better as the manager of ARIZONA like the Royals starter Keller. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Right-hander Colin Rea (0-0, 4.22 ERA), who has been called up from Triple-A Nashville after Brandon Woodruff went on the injured list, makes his third start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.50) gets the nod for Detroit. Note:Boyd is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA in two career starts versus Milwaukee, allowing 12 runs on 13 hits in 7 2/3 innings, including five homers. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers Rea. DETROIT is 7-26 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.(Tigers are struggling with their offense) MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter like Boyd. Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. Tigers are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee. Play on the Brewers to win |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 101 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The last two periods of game 3 of this series that saw tighter defensive hockey played may have some leaning on what could now be a more defensive type of series going forward. However, the truth is both these offenses are explosive and had plenty of chances to score, even though the game was alot tighter after the 4 goal combined outburst in the first period. Im betting on more high flying entertaining hockey here tonight, and for the Bolts to be more aggressive as they seemed to try to go into a defense bubble late against a lethal offense with dire consequences as they lost 4-3 in OT. I cant see that happening again. Advantage over. TORONTO is 31-19 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored. TORONTO is 25-11 OVER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 11-4 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 24-9 OVER s) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-1 OVER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are The last 8 games played on TB between these sides have gone over the set total. Play over |
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04-24-23 | Bucks -5.5 v. Heat | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami finally woke up last time out and played a good game and upset the Bucks. However, Miami has not been consistent this season at all, especially after a victory ,while the Bucks have proved to be resilient off a upset loss. Advantage Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 3-11 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season. MIAMI is 6-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rare for bettors. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 12-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-24-23 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
In Monday's series opener, Tampa Bay starts rookie right-hander Taj Bradley (2-0, 2.61 ERA), who will be making his third big league start. My early season pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggests he matches up well here vs the Astros. Meanwhile, the Astros are going with right-hander Jose Urquidy (1-1, 3.66), who will be making his fifth start this season. Urquidy has faced the Rays twice in his career, both starts, and he is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings against them.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. With two solid bullpens behind each starter a lower scoring tilt is my projection. HOUSTON is 26-14 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 28-14 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 25-10 UNDER against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Under is 18-5-4 in Astros last 27 on astroturf. Under is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 28-8-3 in the last 39 meetings in Tampa Bay. Under is 5-2-2 in Rays last 9 during game 1 of a series. Play under |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Minnesota sometimes seems to have to many internal conflicts to be able to deal with the business of fighting hard against their opposition. The Wolves have talent but no sense of unity or chemistry, while the opposite holds true for a cohesive group of Nuggets. Advantage Denver. MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS in home games after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent like the Nuggets. MINNESOTA is 18-44 ATS in home games off a home loss against a division rival. DENVER is 16-6 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 6-24 ATS L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 24-7-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings in Minnesota and have covered 4 straight vs the Wolves.Play on Nuggets to cover |
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04-23-23 | Mets -115 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Mets lost yesterday to the Giants, but now Im expecting them to bounce back here in this tilt. SHOWALTER is 51-21 against the money line after a loss as the manager of NY METS. Mets are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mets are 49-19 in their last 68 games following a loss. Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. NYM starter MEGILL is 12-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 12-31 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like NYM starter Megill. MEGILL is 8-0 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)( The Mets righty lost to the Dodgers last time out) Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. like Ross Stripling of the Giants. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the money-line |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Boston was upset in game 3 of this series by a 130-122 count, as the Hawks played a top tier offense brand of hoops. The Celtics however, are a super talented well coached team that are resilient and Im betting they bounce back here in a big way vs a Hawks side that is ready for immediate regression. Note:Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. BOSTON is 15-2 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% - or more 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Road favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off an upset loss as a favorite are 70-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (ATLANTA) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 106-169 ATS L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 206.5 | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 4 Afternoon pro basketball can sometimes be a little bit slower and low scoring as it takes time for bodies that are used to playing most of their games in the evening to get acclimated to early starts . However, this total is just a little bit over done to the low side according to my estimates even though these two sides have taken part in 3 lower scoring affairs . ( My totals projection took into consideration that NEW YORK is 20-10 OVER as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored and that in Cleveland last 14 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. Also Bickerstaff in 8 road games after a combined score of 185 points or less as the coach of CLEVELAND has seen a combined average of 213.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 36-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 25-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.2 ppg scored. Play over |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have dominated at home this season, but on the road they have shown themselves to highly inconsistent, garnering wins in just 16 of their 41 road tilts. Meanwhile, the Lakers have played a strong brand of hoops at the Staples center, and Im betting on a rinse and repeat scenario here tonight. Advantage Lakers. MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season.MEMPHIS is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 71-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. ( Grizzlies won the last game by 103-93 count) Lakers to cover |
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04-22-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost 7 straight and 10 of their L/11 with only one of the losses coming by 2 or less runs. Advantage Halos on the runline. KANSAS CITY is 2-17 against the money line after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff registering at -3.2. Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 4-34 L/5 seasons with the average rog didd clicking in at +2.6 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 4-41 L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.2 which qualifies on this Run-line offering. Play on the LA Angels to win -1.5 |
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04-22-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Heat | 99-121 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Even if Antetokounmpo is forced to miss this game tonight , the Bucks have proven they can compete without their super star and matchup well vs the Heat behind a deep talented side. Advantage goes to the Bucks. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. MIAMI is 4-12 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - an good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more are 45-19 L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-22-23 | Astros v. Braves +104 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Braves starter WRIGHT is 26-6 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 19-0 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 20-4 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WRIGHT is 25-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Wright scored the win in his only career start against Houston, going six innings with six hits allowed, two earned runs and seven strikeouts against the Astros last August. Im betting he gets the job done again in his third start of the season. Houston kicked off the series with a 6-4 victory Friday. Atlanta scored four first-inning runs, then was held scoreless for eight as the Astros chipped away at the lead and will be primed for a bounce back effort here at home. ATLANTA is 26-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better like Valdez. VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 19.27 and a WHIP of 3.212. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 41-10 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. American League West. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Astros are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.Astros are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-22-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Leafs bounced back from a 7-3 loss in game one and took game 2 by a 7-2 count. Im now betting on both sides continuing their aggressive offensive play in what my projections estimate will be a barn burner of an affair. TORONTO is 15-6 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. TORONTO is 19-8 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored. TORONTO is 16-5 OVER after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 10-3 OVER in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 23-9 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. TAMPA BAY is 36-17 OVER against good offensive teams 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gog scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games are 88-41 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay..Play OVER |
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04-22-23 | Suns -7.5 v. Clippers | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Suns have a big time advantage vs a side playing without George and Leonard. Right now the Clippers look like a defeated team, while on the flip-side the Suns are playing their best basketball of the season. PHOENIX is 33-18 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons.Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. NBA Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. \ Play on Phoenix to cover |
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04-22-23 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 10.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rockies starter FREELAND is 20-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Rockies starter Freeland. Under is 8-3 in Phillies last 11 home games. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Phiiles stater Sanchez.Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Phillies starter Sanchez.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-8-3 in Rockies last 33 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. COLORADO is 16-5 UNDER with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons with q combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. THOMSON is 22-7 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. Play on the under |
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