09-08-12 |
EAST CAROLINA v. South Carolina UNDER 51.5 |
Top |
10-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
The USC QB will probably not play and won't be 100%. This game will be at Columbia, SC and be close to 90 at game time. ECU's defense is much better than previous years under Ruffin McNeal. Steve Spurrier coaches the Gamecocks and should be able to run so they will spend time on the ground.
ECU's Rio Johnson will play his first road game and struggle passing and not try to throw interceptions.
I think we see under 51.5 on Saturday. My guess is 31-17 for 48 points.
10* Take under 51.5
|
09-05-12 |
Baltimore: M Gonzalez +104 v. Toronto: B Morrow |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
Take the Orioles as they have won the first two games and have won 8 of 10 games. They stomped the Blue Jays by over 10 runs last night. Morrow and Gonzalez face each other and both have pitched well recently but I like the small underodg on Wednesday night.
Balt 4 Toronto 3
Take the Orioles +104
|
09-04-12 |
Baltimore: Z Britton -103 v. Toronto: Villanueva |
Top |
12-0 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 57 m |
Show
|
The Orioles are playing well and getting key hits and pitching. Thius game is a toss up on the mound for starters. Adam Jones and Nick Markakis have played well lately and so has catcher Matt Wieters. Toronto has cooled off lately and was shut out 4-0 on Monday.
Take the O's to win 4-3.
|
09-03-12 |
Georgia Tech +7.5 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 51 m |
Show
|
Ga Tech at Va Tech 8pm 10* Ga Tech +7.5
The line is +7.5. These two have been separated by 11, 7 and 4 points in the last 3 years. It was a high scoring game in the 60's last year (37-26). The total is set for 48 so they are expecting a 27-20 type of game.
VT is at home and will have a sell out crowd there at Lane Stadium but Paul Johnson's team has had all summer to plan special running plays and passes to surprise Frank Beamer's team.
It seems that Virginia Tech has had a history of slow starts. All it takes is a missed tackle and the Yellow Jackets have a touchdown.
I do expect to see Virginia Tech win but I like the points if you can get +7.5.
My guess is 27-24.
10* Georgia Tech +7.5
|
09-02-12 |
Kentucky +13 v. Louisville |
Top |
14-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a rivalry game within the Bluegrass State. The last 3 meetings have been within a touchdown and it is an SEC team facing a Big East team. This is expected to be a low scoring game and I think we see a 27-17 type of score.
LVille 27 Ky 17
Take Ky + 13
|
09-01-12 |
Arkansas State v. Oregon OVER 68 |
Top |
34-57 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 21 m |
Show
|
Arkansas St. at Oregon Saturday Sept. 1, 2012 over 67.5 (Olympic) 4/10
Chip Kelly's Oregon team will be playing their home opener against Arkansas State, who is coached by former Auburn whiz Gus Malzahn. He was at Auburn with Cam Newton. The Red Wolves were able to score 53, 45, 45 and 39 points in games last year and had the #22 ranked offense (under last year's coach Hugh Freeze who left for Ole Miss.)
Oregon's opener last year was a 40-27 loss to LSU. Their home opener with Nevada ended 69-20 (89 points). Some other scores:
56-31 Arizona 43-28 Wash State 53-30 Stanford 38-35 USC
Others were 49-21, 49-31 and 45-38. Their home opener in 2011 was 72-0 over NMSU.
This total opened at 66 and have moved to 67.5 at Olympic (and 68 at others). The long range weather forecast is for just a 10% chance of rain. Surely, this total would drop quickly if the weather was really bad. It does concern me that this is the opener and it may take some time for the teams to warm up. Also, it is possible that Arkansas State will stumble badly vs. a big name team but they should put up some points. Oregon could pass this total by themselves on a good night.
Oregon has played 22 overs, 5 unders and 1 push in the last 28 home games and 24 overs, 8 unders, 2 pushes in the last 34 September games.
I expect this over/under to get to 70+ by game time. Hopefully, we see a score in the 60-17 range for 77 points. GL!
Arkansas State vs. Oregon over 67.5
|
09-01-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
1-9 |
Loss |
-103 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
I like over 10.5 with San Diego facing Colorado. The Rockies are at home and 57% of their games in the last 4 years at home have gone over the total. I think we see some runs in the Mile High City on Saturday with the warm air there in the 80's.
I think we see a 7-5 score and OVER.
Good luck as always!
|
08-31-12 |
Boise State v. Michigan State -6.5 |
Top |
13-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
103 h 52 m |
Show
|
Michigan State is a tough defensive team in the Big Ten. They won at home last year by 22, 44, 38, 14, 6 and 7 points. They face a great program in Boise State but the Broncos have to replace several starters including QB Kellen Moore.
BSU has defeated some solid teams like Va Tech in openers in recent years but this should be a nice win for the home team.
MSU wins by 10-14 points and covers.
|
08-30-12 |
Oakland: J Parker v. Cleveland: J Mastersn UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
12-7 |
Loss |
-117 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
The A's are getting solid pithcing while Cleveland has struggled to score runs. Masterson has pitched well for the Indians so I expect the A's to only score 2 to 4 runs.
My final:
4-3 and an under.
Take under in this early afternoon game.
|
08-29-12 |
Oakland: T Blackley -132 v. Cleveland: C Kluber |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
Clevelnad is playing poorly as they are struggling to hit and score, as well as starting pitching and relievers are wlaking batters and allowing key hits. Even the fielders are struggling to make routine plays.
Oakland has been playing well and won easily on Tuesday night. I think we see the A's win again.
Cleve 3 Oakland 5
Take the A's as road favorites. Good luck!
|
08-28-12 |
Oakland: T Milone -117 v. Cleveland: Mcallister |
Top |
7-0 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
Oakland won last night by 3-0. The Indians are now 1-10 in the last 11 games after a win by Cleveland over the Yankees by Masterson. I think you have to go with the road team and "moneyball".
Cleve 3 Oakland 5
|
08-27-12 |
Los Angeles: J Beckett v. Colorado: J Francis OVER 10 |
Top |
0-10 |
Push |
0 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
LA Dodgers at Colorado 8:40pm 10* over 10 runs
Josh Beckett starts for the Dodgers in Colorado. He is an American League starter and could confuse the Rockies but I expect him to give up key runs on Monday to a solid lineup at home after a road trip.
Jeff Francis has 6 overs in his last 9 home starts. His ERA is 5.69 this year. He can get the job done at times but is a journeyman at best.
I think we see 10-13 runs. Hopefully, 11 or more for an over.
10* over 10 runs
|
08-27-12 |
Oakland: B Anderson -136 v. Cleveland: R Hernandz |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 13 m |
Show
|
The Indians have been struggling for about a month and are probably happy to see the Yankees leave town but the Oakland A's are a good team. Clevlenad is at home but deserves to be a solid underdog with their pitching staff and lack of power.
Oak 4 Cleveland 2
|
08-26-12 |
Carolina Panthers v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
17-12 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
I like the under. The Jets aren't going to show much with Sanchez and Tim Tebow while Carolina is set with Cam Newton at signal caller.
Rex Ryan won't show too much even though the Jets have struggled.
I think they don't chance too many injuries.
under 40.5
|
08-25-12 |
Washington: G Gonzalez v. Philadelphia: R Halladay OVER 7 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
Halladay won 12-5 in his last start against the Reds. The team seems to relax and score runs when he is on the hill. Gonzalez has better numbers than Roy this year and the team is 19-6 in his starts.
I think we see a game in the 5-4 range that goes over 7. GL!
|
08-24-12 |
Toronto Blue Jays +106 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
Take Toronto with the better pitcher going on Friday night. Zack Britton has an ERA over 7 in his last 3 starts and the team is 3-6 in his last 9 starts. Toronto's hurler has an ERA in the 3.00 range and the team is 4-3 in his starts.
I expect a close game but like Toronto to win.
Toronto 5 Balt 4
|
08-23-12 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5 |
Top |
17-48 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
Take the Ravesn to win by more than a touchdown with Painter, Jao Flacco and Tyrod Taylor at QB for the home team. This is their dress rehearsal and I expect the Ravens to step up after losing to Detroit at home.
Jax has a solid team and done well with Blaine Gabbert but there is a reason this line is -6.5.
Take the Baltimore Ravens -6.5
|
08-23-12 |
Cincinnati: J Cueto v. Philadelphia: C Hamels UNDER 7 |
Top |
3-4 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
I like under 7 in this game with two strong starters in the game led by Jonny Cueto for the Reds, who has an ERA under 2 in his last 4 starts while Cole Hamels is on the hill for the Phils. Hamels has been down this year but has had great stuff lately.
Look for a 3-2 game that stays under.
under 7
|
08-22-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners -120 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
Cleveland has struggled on this road trip and they have only won 2 of 15 games. Cleveland is at Seattle in an afternoon game. They are not getting key hits and have struggled with errors and poor relievers.
Seattle 5 Cleve 3
|
08-21-12 |
Cincinnati: H Bailey v. Philadelphia: C Lee OVER 8 |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 10 m |
Show
|
Cliff Lee is a solid pitcher. These two played a high scoring game last night as Halladay even allowed 5 runs while the Reds' pitcher spung a Leake and allowed the flood gates against a weak Phillie lineup.
I expect Joey Votto and others to score some as both teams contribute to an 0ver.
over 8
|
08-20-12 |
PHILADELPHIA v. New England Patriots -1 |
Top |
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
I expect to see NE win at home under Belichick as Tom Brady and Ryan Mallet should produce points. Phil Eagles are a good team with Vick and Mike Kafka and Trent Edwards under center.
All we need is for the Patriots to win and my guess is they win by 7 points on Monday night.
NE 24 Phil 17
Take NE -1
|
08-20-12 |
Kansas City Royals +165 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog as the KC Royals have played well recently. Their starter got off to a slow start but has pithced decent recently.
Tampa used 5th starter Jeremy Hellickson tonight. Surely, TB Rays should be a favorite but not at this high price. Speaking of Price, they aren't facing David Price.
KC 4 TB 3
|
08-19-12 |
INDIANAPOLIS v. PITTSBURGH -3.5 |
Top |
24-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take Pittsburgh at home as they will be motivated after the Colts played so well at home last week. Andrew Luck was solid as the Colts scored on their first play just as Manning did many years ago.
The Steelers will use Big Ben at QB as well as Byron Leftwich and Charlie Batch. All three have plenty of experience. Coach Mike Tomlin has said that he will allow the starters to play more.
I think the Steelers win by a touchdown in the only NFL game tonight.
Pitt -3.5
|
08-19-12 |
Baltimore: W Chen v. Detroit: D Fister UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-113 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
I like under 8.5 as Doug Fister is one of the hottest pitchers in baseball with an ERA under 2 in his last few starts. Chen of the Orioles has combined with Fister for 14 overs and 25 unders.
My guess is 4-2 for another under.
under 8.5
|
08-18-12 |
SEATTLE v. DENVER OVER 39 |
Top |
30-10 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Take the over in the late game with Seattle facing Denver. Denver should get off to a fast start with Peyton Manning at the helm and followed by Caleb Hanie. Manning looked pretty good last week for the Broncos.
Seattle has Matt Flynn, Tavaris Jackson and Russell Wilson expected to see snaps at QB. Both coaches should be looking to see some offense in tonight's game.
I think we see a 24-17 type of game that goes over 39.5.
8* over 39 (Denver/Seattle)
|
08-18-12 |
NY Giants v. NY JETS |
Top |
26-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
Look for Rex Ryan's team to take this more serious. They are planning to use starters for up to one half. They have Tebow and Sanchez to use at QB while Manning is set for the Giants.
All we need is for the NY Jets to win and bounce back from a loss last week, which is what the Jets have done under Ryan in preseason.
NY Jets
|
08-17-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 |
Top |
6-5 |
Push |
0 |
23 h 44 m |
Show
|
Jeff Francis has pitched better but his last 4 have gone over. Wade Leblanc is a solid pitcher without much experience at Coors Field. We won two games this week by taking over the total in Colorado games as all 3 with SF went over.
Take over 11 and hope for lots of runs.
|
08-17-12 |
MIAMI v. CAROLINA -3 |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take Carolina -3 as the Panthers lost last week to Houston. They should play Cam Newton more tonight and focus on winning. My guess is that Carolina wins by 7 points.
Miami is a decent team and is porbably deeper at QB but I like Carolin in front of their fans.
Miami 14 Carolina 21
|
08-16-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-113 |
22 h 37 m |
Show
|
Over 10.5
We won with Colorado over in two of the three games in the last series. as all three went over. Miami's Nolasco should give up a few runs while Colorado is a good offensive team at home as they hit with power and have some speed. They allow runs too in the thin air of Denver.
I think we see 11 to 13 runs for anover on Thursday.
over 10.5
|
08-16-12 |
CLEVELAND v. GREEN BAY OVER 39.5 |
Top |
35-10 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 33 m |
Show
|
Take over 39.5 as these two played a 271-7 game last year in the preseason for a total of 44 points. Green Bay had 44, 48, 45 and 39 points in their 4 preseon games last year.
I think we see a minimum of 40 points and an over on Thursday.
24-17 is my guess.
|
08-15-12 |
Texas Rangers v. New York Yankees -115 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Take the Yankees as they have won the last 8 at home vs. Texas. The Rangers are one of the top 3 or 4 clubs in the majors but the home team is tough to beat in their stadium. Jeter, Texeira, Cano and Swisher have hit well vs. Texas. Even with Garcia vs. Feldman I like NYY to win 5-3.
Take NYY.
|
08-15-12 |
Washington: Strasburg -115 v. San Francisco: T Lincecum |
Top |
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 41 m |
Show
|
Take Washington with Stephen Strasberg as the Nationals are 16-7 in his starts while SF is 8-16 when Tim Lincecum in on the hill. Tim has pitched well lately but I think we see the road team win this afternoon tilt.
Wash 4 SF 3
|
08-14-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 8 m |
Show
|
over 11
Take over in the Rockies/Brewers game. We won last night with the over in this same game as Colorado put up 8 early and the game went over in the 7th on the way to an easy over.
Look for the over to profit again as the ball flies out at Coors Field.
This looks to be a 7-5 type of game. Take over 11 on Tuesday night.
|
08-13-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 |
Top |
6-9 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee at Colorado 8:40pm 5* over 10 runs
The last five home games for Colorado ended up with 11, 17, 20, 10 and 15 runs. Even Zack Greinke of the Brewers was involved in a 7-6 game earlier in the year. Jeff Francis has given up 6 and 5 earned runs in his last 2 home starts and both ended 11-6. His ERA is 10.60 in his last 3 starts.
Michael Fiers of the Brewers has pitched well and not given up more than 2 runs in the last few months and his ERA is 1.33. I expect the Rockies to score some runs at home. Good pitchers go into Coors Field and pitch like they have been sipping Coors.
Look for a 7-5 type of score.
Take the over 10 and good luck!
|
08-13-12 |
Dallas Cowboys v. OAKLAND -1 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 18 m |
Show
|
I think this game means more to the Raiders at home to start the season. The Cowboys will be on the road and Romo won't play much. The Raiders will want to keep their fans happy and all we need is a field goal to win by a few points and cover the low number.
Dallas 17 Oakland 20
|
08-12-12 |
Atlanta: B Sheets -109 v. New York (N): J Niese |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
Atlanta at New York 8pm 8* Atlanta -109
The Braves are 34-21 on the road and 66-47 overall. They have been able to win at home and on the road. They have had some injuries but seem to keep winning through timely hitting and pitching. Their starter tonight is Ben Sheets and the team is 4-1 in his starts and his ERA is 1.41.
The NY Mets are 54-60 this year and just 27-30 at home. They start Jon Niese and the team is 10-12 in his starts while his ERA is a bloated 5.21.
Look for the Braves to win. My guess is 4-2. Good luck as always!
|
08-12-12 |
Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
105 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
Take under 7 as both pitchers, Vargas for the Mariners and Weaver for the Angels are pitching well. Both have ERA's under 2.50 in the last 3 starts. The Angels can put up runs in a hurry with Trout and Pujols but the M's are struggling with just one win in the last 5.
M's 2 LAA 4
Take under 7
|
08-11-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers +133 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
133 |
23 h 38 m |
Show
|
Take home home underdog. Justin Verlander of Detroit has lost his last 2 road starts and given up 3 and 4 runs. His last road game was a loss at Cleveland.
Texas is a great home team even with Derek Holland, who has been poor lately but worth a chance at +133 with the offense of the Rangers.
Texas
|
08-11-12 |
HOUSTON +3 v. CAROLINA |
Top |
26-13 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
Houston at Carolina 7pm 5* Houston +3
Look for Houston to win as Carolina is just 4-12 ATS since 2008 and the Panthers seem uninterested in winning in the preseason. They are set with QB Cam Newton and their backups are Derek Anderson and Jimmy Clausen while Houston will start Matt Schaub and then use Yates, Beck and Jimmy Clausen. Yates started several games last year.
Look for Houston to win but take the points.
5* Houston +3
|
08-10-12 |
Seattle: F Hernandz +103 v. LA Anaheim: E Santana |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
Felix Hernandez has an ERA of 1.54 in his last 3 starts while Angel's starter ERvin Santana's ERA in that same time frame is at 7.82. It is being played in Anaheim but the pitching matchup favors the road team.
Seattle 3 LAA 2
|
08-10-12 |
CLEVELAND +3 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 23 m |
Show
|
Take Cleveland as they have more depth at QB and should have opportunities to score in the second half while the Lions have injuries on both sides of the ball and will look to be safe as they should contend with a playoff position this year.
Cleve wins 20-16
Pick: Cleveland
|
08-09-12 |
WASHINGTON -1.5 v. BUFFALO |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take the Redskins as coach Mike Shanahan has shown that he tries to win in the preseason and that matters a lot. Opposite of him is Andy Reid of the Eagles.
Robert Griffin III will only be used for 14-20 plays and should be a little rusty but I think this team will try to win against the Bills.
Washington 20 Buff 14
|
08-08-12 |
Minnesota: B Duensing v. Cleveland: J Mastersn UNDER 9 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
Masterson is a solid pithcer for the Indians as they have struggled lately. They have been giving up runs from starters and relievers but today is getaway day and I think we see a score in the range off 4-3 that stays under 9.
4-3 is the final score. under 9
|
08-07-12 |
Minnesota: S Deduno +109 v. Cleveland: C Kluber |
Top |
7-5 |
Win
|
109 |
21 h 32 m |
Show
|
Take the Twins as the Indians continue to lose and we suggest you play against them till they can win again. The Twins are an average team that has been playing ok lately.
Cleve 3 Minn 5
|
08-06-12 |
Minnesota: S Diamond v. Cleveland: Mcallister -117 |
Top |
14-3 |
Loss |
-117 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
I like Cleveland with McAllister at home in front of their fans. They have played poorly going 2-8 in the last 10 and lost Sunday after going up by 3 runs in extra innings. Even reliever Chris Perez walked two and gave up some key hits.
A change of venue from the road to back home will help the Indians.
Cleve 4 Minn 2
|
08-05-12 |
Milwaukee: M Estrada v. St Louis: K Lohse UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
Take the under 8.5. I think we see a game in the 5-3 range when Saint Louis hosts Milwaukee on Sunday Night baseball action.
The Cardinals lost Albert Pujols to the Angels but still have solid hitting but have more unders than overs at home. Milwaukee lost Prince Fielder and have not played well this year.
Cards 5 Brewers 3
Take under 8.5
|
08-04-12 |
Cleveland: U Jimenez v. Detroit: D Fister -1.5 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
105 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
Take Detroit with Fister. The Indians are struggling with pitching and defense. They are facing a groundball pitcher and have Ubaldo Jimenez on the hill to stop the bleeding as they are 2-8 in the last 10.
The Tigers have solid hitters with Fielder and Austin Freeman with hot sticks.
Cleve 3 Det 6
Take the Tigers -1.5 runs
|
08-03-12 |
Seattle: K Millwood v. New York (A): C Sabathia OVER 9 |
Top |
3-6 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Over 9
The Seattle Mariners have been playing well. CC Sabathia starts for the Yankees and he can shut down a team but he was involved in a 8-6 game in his last start. NY has a strong offensive lineup that just added former Mariner Ichiro Suzuki. Texeira, Canu, Jeter, etc. are strong offensive players. Yankee Stadium is known for allowing runs.
Take over 9
|
08-02-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. KAN ROYALS -110 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 39 m |
Show
|
Take the KC Royals as the Indians have struggled lately with poor pitching and no key hits. They haven't had the lead to use Chris Perez in relief. KC has some solid players that aren't household names and play smart in their ball park.
KC 5 Cleveland 3
Take the home team with decent odds.
|
08-01-12 |
Cleveland Indians -104 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-104 |
23 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take Cleveland with McAllister on the mound. The Indians have struggled lately but they have the favorable pitching matchup on Wednesday night. KC has been better lately but have played better on the road than at home.
This is an even game so take the Indians.
Look for some key hits by the road team and a 4-3 win by the Indians.
|
07-31-12 |
Detroit Tigers -127 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-127 |
20 h 48 m |
Show
|
The Tigers start Justin Verlander and they are 13-7 in his starts and he has an ERA of 3.27 in his last 3 starts while Josh Becket has struggled this year as the team is 6-11 in his starts.
The Tigers are starting to play much better after a slow start. Austin Jackson and Prince Fielder should play well as both have in the past at Fenway.
Boston 3 Det 5
Take the Tigers
|
07-30-12 |
New York Mets v. San Francisco Giants -1.5 |
Top |
8-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 36 m |
Show
|
Take SF -1.5 runs as Madison Bumgardner has good stuff and the team is 13-7 in his starts. The Mets travel out to California to start a series and have struggled in the state. The Giants are a good home team.
NYM 3 SF 5
Take the Giants -1.5 runs.
|
07-29-12 |
Chicago (A): G Floyd v. Texas: S Feldman UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
I think we see an under in this night game at Texas. Both teams can score but Texas has 10 more unders than overs. They can hit but have had some injuires this season. I expect them to play well and for us to get a 6-3 type of game and an under.
under 10.5
|
07-29-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
over 10.5
Yesterday's game provided us with an easy over as both teams put up plenty of runs. Sunday should be high scoring as well with the heat in Colorado and in daylight.
Colorado does have Micahel Cuddyer and Gonzalez as well as Troy Tulowitzi, who has missed many games this year at shortstop.
The Reds usually rely on Joey Votto for offense but everyone loves to hit in Colorado.
Take the over!
|
07-28-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +120 |
|
5-12 |
Win
|
120 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
Take Minnesota at home. They were able to win last night vs. the Indians, who are starting to struggle some with lack of depth. They have no one hitting above .295 and still use Johnny Damon at times.
The Twins have Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau and have a friendly ballpark.
Twins win 4-3.
|
07-28-12 |
Pittsburgh: W Rodriguz v. Houston: Galarraga +158 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
Take Houston as a big underodg facing their former star pitcher Wandy Rodgiguez. The Pirates have struggled lately and the Astros are one of the worst teams in the majors but I expect to see them play hard on Saturday. Take Houston + 158.
PItt 3 Houston 4
|
07-27-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
The wind is blowing out in Colorado. The home team usually puts up some runs aginst good pitchers like Roy Halladay and tonight they face Jonny Cueto of the Reds. He has been solid but rarely pitches in Denver. The Rockies get hits from Helton, Mike Cuddyer and Troy Tulowitzi, who has been injured quite often this year.
The Reds should bget a few runs off the Colorado starter Friedrich.
Hope to see 11 runs and an over with the wind in play.
|
07-27-12 |
Boston: A Cook v. New York (A): P Hughes OVER 10.5 |
Top |
3-10 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
Take over 10.5 on Friday night with the pitching matchup. These two seem to bring out the best in each other. The Yankees are hitting the ball well and look to bounce back after their 4 game sweep at the hands of Oakland last weekend.
The Red Sox have struggled with starting pitching and relievers without Poppelbom.
Look for a 7-4 win and an over.
|
07-26-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
28 h 27 m |
Show
|
Detroit at Celveland 7pm Thursday 8* under 7.5
Take under 7.5 with Detroit at Cleveland. Justin Verlander faces Jason McAllister in this 7pm start. Verlander was involved in a 2-1 game with the Indians in his latest start against them. He has 5 overs and 15 unders this year with an impressive ERA of 1.08 in his last 3 starts.
McAllister has a nice ERA of 1.86 in his last 3 starts and pitched well lately. The Indians don't have much power and have no starters hitting above .295 but they do get plenty of walks and have a high on base percentage but Verlander keeps his walks down.
My guess is we see a 4-2 type of score and an under.
under 7.5
|
07-25-12 |
Boston: J Beckett v. Texas: D Holland OVER 10 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
Take over with Beckett facing Holland. Beckett has given up plenty of runs in the first inning as his ERA is over 10.00 in that inning alone. He has had some solid starts but He will be facing a great lineup in the Texas Rangers. Holland's ERA is 5.67 in his last 4 starts so Boston should put up a few runs with their lineup.
over 10
|
07-24-12 |
Milwaukee: Z Greinke v. Philadelphia: C Lee UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-113 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
Take under 7.5 with Greinke and Lee.
Both are solid pitchers even though they are having off years. The Phils are under .500 due to injuries to Ryan Howard and Jimmy Rollins and the Brewers miss Prince Fielder in their lineup on offense.
Greike is better at home but should control the phils.
Mil 3 Phil 4
Take under 7.5 and GL!
|
07-23-12 |
Cincinnati: M Latos v. Houston: W Rodriguz OVER 7.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
Take over 7.5 as Wandy Rodriguez has pitched poorly this year as the teram is 7-13 in his starts. The Reds and Astros should be able to scramble and put together 8 to 9 runs on Monday night. Houston has been a ballpark that has seen its share of overs this year.
My guess is we see a 5-3 score for an over.
over 8
|
07-22-12 |
Texas: M Harrison v. LA Anaheim: D Haren UNDER 8 |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
Take the under on Sunday night as Dan Haren has good enough stuff to shut down the Rangers. These teams are in contention for the World Series and especially the AL crown. I think we see a 4-3 type of score and an under.
LAA 4 Texas 3
Take under 8
|
07-22-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee at Cincinnati 1:10pm 10* under 8
I like under 8 with this pitching matchup between Fiers and Johnny Cueto. Cueto has pitched unders in 8 of his last 9 starts and the Reds have played 35 overs with 53 unders this year.
Milwaukee starter Fiers has an ERA under 1.00 in his last 3 starts with 5 of his last 7 staying under the total. He has allowed 1, 0 and 0 runs in his last 3. Joey Votto has been out the the Reds lately. They have been winning but are hardly the "Big Red Machine".
The Brewers are an average offensive team after losing Prince Fielder last season.
Brewers 2 Reds 4
Take under 8 in this early start.
|
07-21-12 |
San Francisco: M Cain +117 v. Philadelphia: C Hamels |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
117 |
18 h 2 m |
Show
|
Take the road team in a fairly even game. Matt Cain faces Cole Hamels in this game at Phillie. This looks to be an under so runs will be at a premium. Buster Posey has played well for the Giants. The home team has had some injuries all season long.
I think we see a game in the 3-2 range with SF winning.
SF 3 Phil 2
|
07-20-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. St.Louis Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 2 m |
Show
|
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis 8:10pm 10* under 8.5
Take the under as both Ryan Dempster and Kyle Lohse have pitched great lately. Dempster has an ERA of 0 in his last 5 starts. His ERA is 2.80 for the entire season. He is one of the hottest pitchers in all of baseball even though the team is just 7-7 in his starts.
Kyle Lohse has an ERA of 2.66 in his last and he has allowed 2 walks or less in his last 5 starts and kept men off base.
St. Louis has played unders 12-3-3 in their last 18 overall games and unders 19-6-2 when facing a righthander.
Unders have won 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals.
The Cubs have unders 33-17-3 in the last 53 facing a team with a winning record.
I think we see a 4-3 type of game that stays under on Friday night as our Total of The Month for baseball. GL!
under 8.5
|
07-19-12 |
New York (A): F Garcia -115 v. Oakland: A Griffin |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Take the Yankees with Garcia vs. Griffin. Griffin has been solid and the game will be late at Oakland but the Yankeees have been the hottest team in the majors lately led by Jeter, Granderson, Texiera, Russell Wilson, Robinson Canu, ARod and Swisher.
Oakland is 24-21 at home and have been a surprise but I have to go with the hot team even if they are on the road.
Take the Yankees.
NYY 5 Oakland 3
|
07-18-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 |
|
10-6 |
Loss |
-116 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
Cleveland at Tampa Bay 7:10pm 5* under 8
Take under 8 in this game. The first two have stayed under with 4-2 and 3-2 scores. Justin Masterson has 9 overs and 9 unders but did pitch a 1-0 game in his last start. Tampa Bay has played 37 overs and 49 unders this year with Jeremy Hellickson producing 3 overs and 11 unders.
These two have combined for 1 over and 5 unders in the last 6 starts. Even Longoria has been out for the Rays and Upton has struggled some at the plate.
I think we see a 4-2 game and another under on Wednesday night.
under 8 (5*)
|
07-18-12 |
Pittsburgh Pirates -112 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take Pittsburgh with McDonald. The Pirates are 51-38 on the year and are 20-6 in the last 26 as a favorite and they are -110 for this afternoon game in Colorado. The Rockies are just 37-52 this year and have suffered some injuries to players like Troy Tulowitzi and bad hitting, even at home.
McDonald has an ERA of 2.59 and the team is 12-6 in his starts while the Rockies counter with Jeremy Guthrie who has an ERA of 6.14 in his last 3 starts.
Andrew McCutcheon was an all-star for the Pirates and near the top in total bases in the National League. The Pirates are just 5-12 in their last 17 at Colorado but they have the pitching advantage. Take the Pirates to win.
Pitt 6 Colorado 4
|
07-17-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 9 |
Top |
9-0 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
San Fran at Atlanta 7pm
under 9
Take the under as 9 of the last 12 in Atlanta have gone under and both starters have ERA's in the 2.50 range. The Giants have played overs in 40 of the lasat 59 on the road but I like the under on Tuesday!
My guess is 4-3 and under.
|
07-16-12 |
Cleveland Indians +126 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
126 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog as Cleveland starts McAmister and he has an ERA of 2.60 in his last 3 starts and the team is 5-2 when he is on the mound.
Tampa Bay is solid especially at home but they are without Evan Longoria.
Cleveland just lost 2 of 3 at Toronto and should be 50/50 to win.
Take Cleveland at + money.
|
07-15-12 |
St Louis: Westbrook v. Cincinnati: H Bailey UNDER 9 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Take the under 9. Both games in the series have stayed under so far. Joey Votto can hot for th Reds for they are a below average team on offense. The Cards are without Lance Berkman and Albert Pujols moved on to LA.
Take under 9 and GL.
|
07-15-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-113 |
15 h 29 m |
Show
|
Phils at Rockies 3:10pm over 10
The trends point to an over even with this being the rubber game of the match and getaway day. Cole Hamels has good stuff but is 0-3 in the last 3 starts. Here are some over trends:
|
07-14-12 |
Texas: Y Darvish v. Seattle: F Hernandz UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
0-7 |
Loss |
-120 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
Let's go with under 6.5 with Felix Hernandez and Yu Darvish on the mound. All it takes is one good hitting inning and we have an over but these two should be strong even with a tough pitching battle going Friday night. Seattle is known as a pitching park.
Take under 6.5 and hope for a 4-2 score.
|
07-13-12 |
Philadelphia: C Lee v. Colorado: C Friedrch OVER 10 |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 45 m |
Show
|
Take over 10 as this will be the first game back at Coors Field after the break. Lee has been decent lately but the Rockies always seem to score at home even if Troy Tulowitzi is out.
Friedrich of Colorado has been hit hard this year. I expect the Phils to score 6 runs or more. My guss is wee see a 7-4 game that goes over.
over 10
|
07-10-12 |
NATIONAL LEAGUE v. AMERICAN LEAGUE -120 |
Top |
8-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
48 h 49 m |
Show
|
Take the AL as they have more power, better starters, relievers and have recent history on their side. I think we see a 4-3 type of game that the AL wins. My guess is that Robinson Cano is the MVP of the winning AL side on Tuesday night.
AL 4 NL 3
Take the American League at -120.
|
07-08-12 |
Minnesota: C Devries +1.5 v. Texas: R Oswalt |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 4 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog at +1.5 runs as the Twins starter is 3-0 in his last three while Roy Oswalt of Texas gave up 9 runs in his last start with the Rangers. He hasn't pitched well like when he was with the Astros. The Twins have played well recently with solid defense and clutch hits.
All we need is for Minny to stay within a run to cover.
|
07-07-12 |
Baltimore: J Hammel +1.5 v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
Weaver has pitched greatl lately and the Orioles have struggled to score runs. Hammel was solid earlier but has leveled off lately. The Angels are led by Albert Pujols who has finally going better after a slow start. I think the Angels win and do so by 2 or more runs.
LAA 6 Balt 3
|
07-06-12 |
Kansas City: J Sanchez v. Detroit: D Smyly OVER 10 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 58 m |
Show
|
Sanchez and Smyly both have ERA's over 8 in the last 3 starts. Hopefully, both teams can produce plenty of runs in this AL game with the DH for added offense. Look for Jackson to stay hot for the Tigers and KC to be happy to not see Verlander.
6-5 gets us over!
|
07-05-12 |
Houston: B Norris v. Pittsburgh: J Karstens -137 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 9 m |
Show
|
Take the Piartes at home as they have played well so far and surprised the National League with a solid first half. They probably aren't going to make the playoffs but can finish over .500.
My final score:
Houston 2 Pitt 4
Andrew Mccuthcheon has played well expect a nice game from him and a Pirate win.
|
07-04-12 |
Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox OVER 10 |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 10 m |
Show
|
Over 10 with Feldman struggling and with 60% of his starts going over in the last 25. Texas has a strong lineup with Michael Young, Andrus, etc. and the White Sox counter with a starter who is struggling as well. My guess is we see a 6-5 game and an over.
Texas 6 CWS 5
over 10
|
07-03-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners -135 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-135 |
23 h 28 m |
Show
|
Take Seattle -130 at home with King Felix as he has been solid at home. The O's have struggled lately with scoring runs and getting solid pitching. I like Seattle to win by 4-2.
Balt 2 Seattle 4
Take Seattle
|
07-02-12 |
Boston: Matsuzaka v. Oakland: J Parker +100 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 19 m |
Show
|
The Oakland starter is Parker and he has an ERA of 0.90 in his recent starts. Oakland is at home and a slight underdog in this late game.
Boston 3 Oakland 4
Take the A's on Monday
|
07-01-12 |
Oakland: T Blackley v. Texas: Y Darvish UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
Looks like a wind blowing in. Take the under 10.5 due to that weather info.
Texas wins 6-4 and it stays under. et's hope for no big innings tonight in this national TV game.
under 10.5
|
07-01-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers -150 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 1 m |
Show
|
Take Milwaukee at home with Gallardo on the hill. The Brewers did lose Prince Fielder from last year's good team and they are struggling but they are a solid bet with their top pitcher who has won 65% of home starts in the last few years.
Milwaukee to win
|
06-30-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 11.5 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-106 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
Under is my pick as both starters have experience at Coors Field. SD has trouble hitting and scoring runs. I think we see a game in the 6-5 range that sneaks under the total. Let's hope for some fast innings and under on Saturday.
under 11'
|
06-29-12 |
Chicago (A): J Quintana v. New York (A): A Warren -131 |
Top |
14-7 |
Loss |
-131 |
24 h 58 m |
Show
|
The Yankees are hot and at home. They are just -131 and should win this with a pitching advantage as well as hot batters such as Texeira, Jeter, Canu and Swisher. CWS has been playing well lately but I like the home team to win.
CWS 3 NYY 5
Take the Yankees
|
06-28-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 |
Top |
10-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
Over 11
Look for both to score plenty of runs in this afternoon game where it will be hot. Colorado scores and allows runs at home led by Helton and Mike Cuddyer while Washington is led by Bryce Harper and Zimmerman.
I like a 7-6 score and over.
|
06-26-12 |
Washington: G Gonzalez v. Colorado: C Friedrch OVER 10.5 |
Top |
12-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take the over. I look for both to score 5 runs or more and the over to profit. Colorado has Cuddyer and Todd Helton and Gonzalez while Ryan Zimmerman and Bryce Harper and Ian Desmond lead the way for the Nationals.
Final 6-5
Take over 10.5
|
06-25-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
Look for over 9.5 even with Strasburg on the hill as he allowed 4 runs vs. the Braves recently. Jeff Francis should allow several runs to Zimmeramn and the offense of the Nationals. Colorado is playing at home after some road games. I think we see 10+ runs and an over.
over 9.5
|
06-24-12 |
New York Yankees v. New York Mets UNDER 7 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
I like the under as both CC Sabathia and RA Dickey are good pitchers and I just hope no one gets hot. RA Dickey has pitched great with his knuckler so the Ynaks will be motivated as I expect Jeter, Cano, Texiero and Swisher to be patient.
CC can throw hard and has won a Cy Young award.
3-2 is the final so take the under.
|
06-23-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
Top |
11-7 |
Loss |
-127 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
Josh Outman has an ERA of 10 in his last 3 starts and Colorado is on the road at Texas. The Rockies are decent at home but struggle on the road. Texas is led by Michael Young and even without Josh Hamilton should win by 2 or more runs.
Texas 6 Col 2
|
06-23-12 |
St.Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals +128 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
Take the home dog in this intrastae rivalry as KC does have some solid players while the Cards have regressed some after winning the World Series last year. Wainwright has a high ERA and the team is just 6-10 when he starts. Look for KC to win at home.
STL 3 KC 4
|
06-22-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles -115 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
Take the Orioles at home. Hammel has led the team to a 10-3 record when he starts and his ERA is less than 3. Jordan Zimmer man has pitched well for the Nationals but the squad is just 7-6 in his starts.
Look for a focused Balt. team vs. a rival located down the road.
Wash 3 Balt 4
|
06-21-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Miami Heat OVER 193.5 |
Top |
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 60 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma City at Miami 9pm over 193'
The Miami Heat are up 3-1 so Oklahoma City will give it all on Thursday night. Durant, Westbrook and Harden should step up. DWade, Lebron James and Bosh as well as Battier should provide points to help this get to 195 points.
My guess is we get to 195-198 points.
over 193'
|
06-20-12 |
Miami Marlins +140 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
5-15 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
I like Miami's chances on Wednesday. Boston won last night but the Marlins have played well on the road or they are are close to .500 while the Sox are below .500 at home. Nolasco is set for Miami but he has experience.
Miami 4 Boston 3
|
06-19-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Miami Heat -3.5 |
Top |
98-104 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
I like Miami at home at the -3.5 level. The Heat are up 2-1 in games and at still at home with Lebron, Wade, Bosh and Battier are playing well. Can Durant and Westbrook step up and help the Thunder win?
I like Miami at home at -3.5.
|
06-18-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Cleveland Indians -102 |
Top |
9-10 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Take the Cleveland Indians after losing two in a row to the Pirates they now face the Reds, their Ohio counterpart. Derek Lowe has pitched well to start the year and regressed but still has decent stuff. The Indians need to get some key hits led by Kipnis and Chin Shoo.
My guess is :
Cin 3 Cleve 4
|
06-17-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Miami Heat -4 |
Top |
85-91 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 22 m |
Show
|
I think Miami wins two of the three at home. They should be motivated in their first home game of the series and win by 5 to 8 and cover the number at 4.
Lebron, Bosh and Wade have gotten help from Shane Battier. OKLA City is tough and should adjust with Durant and Westbrook.
Miami -4
|
06-17-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Seattle Mariners -111 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 39 m |
Show
|
Take seattle behind Felix Hernandez. He is a great pitcher at home with good stuff and the team has won 61% of his starts over the last 4 years.
Seattle 4 SF 3
Take the Mariners to win.
|