11-22-12 |
Clemson v. Gonzaga -11.5 |
Top |
49-57 |
Loss |
-106 |
23 h 8 m |
Show
|
Gonzaga has experience whereas the Clemson Tigers are very young. They have underclassmen at 11 of the 13 roster spots. They are playing the Zags on a neurtral floor in Orlando. I think we se Gonzaga jump ahead early and win by 16 points.
Clemson 60 Gonz 76
|
11-21-12 |
Princeton +16 v. Syracuse |
Top |
53-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports
Wednesday: Princeton at Syracuse 5* Princeton +16 (7pm)
Hopefully, we see a low scoring game and Syracuse wins by a small margin on the night before Thanksgiving. Ian Hummer is a decent player for the underdog for this Ivy League team. Syracuse has more talent led by Triche but Princeton's two losses have been close.
Take Princeton +16
Thanks and good luck, Red Dog Sports
|
11-20-12 |
Harvard v. St. Joseph's OVER 125 |
Top |
56-75 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports Tuesday:
college BB 10* Harvard/St. Joesephs over 125 (8:00) Played a game in the 140's last year but Harvard does lose Keith Wright and another top scorer was suspended for academic cheating. St. Joe's has played over in 10 of 11 vs. Ivy League. Chambers, Sanders, Rivard, Okolie and Webster can score for Harvard under coach Tommy Ammaker, who played at Duke.
Hilal Kovacecic leads the way for Saint Joseph's.
Play the over at this number as I expect to see a game in the 130-132 range.
Good luck! Tim/Red Dog Sports
|
11-20-12 |
Akron +19 v. Toledo |
Top |
23-35 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
Take Akron +19 as I expect to see a close game on Tuesday night. Akron's QB Dalton Williams has played well in games but usually ends up losing with the bad defense of the Zips. Toledo is a decent team that can score and give up points.
I think we see a game in the 37-23 range where the Zips stay within the high number.
Akron 23 Toledo 37
10* Akron +19
|
11-19-12 |
Mississippi State v. North Carolina OVER 141 |
Top |
49-95 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
Miss State vs. UNC 6pm EST Monday 10* over 141
college BB
10* Mississippi State/UNC over 141 (6pm) This game is being played in Maui. It is a small gym and it should be hot in there. It is played on a neutral court and there should be a good chance for points. UNC has played 3 games in the mid-130's but finally made some 3's in their last game and point guard Marcus Paige played well. McAdoo can score inside for the Tar Heels. MSU scored 78 at home vs. FAU. They get points from Thomas, Johnson, Ware, Sword and Lewis. It does concern me that neither team shoots free throws well but UNC is favored by 17 and they like to play fast.
These two played a game two years ago that reached 150 points but the rosters have changed.
MSU 65 UNC 82
10* over 141
|
11-18-12 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 |
Top |
13-10 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
Take the Steelers +3.5 even without Big Ben. Pittsburgh is 4-0 at home straight up. They have a solid inside/outside running game and even backup QB Byron Leftwich has good size and arm strength. He has been in the league for almost 10 years now mostly as a backup.
Baltimore is without Ray Lewis at MLB and their defense has gotten old. They are a solid home team but I like the Steelers to stay within the number. Baltimore won at home by 23-20 earlier.
Take Pitt +3.5.
|
11-18-12 |
Oklahoma State v. North Carolina State UNDER 139 |
Top |
76-56 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
I think we see an under as these teams play their third game in four days. NCSU played a high scoring game in their last game but the game with Penn State ended with 127 points scored. Oklahoma State played a 107 point game inits last one and their second game went inot OT with 134 points. The Cowboys will want to keep this low scoring.
The Wolfpack has been impressive so far but I think we see a game in the low to mid-130's on Sunday.
Under 139 (10*)
|
11-18-12 |
Cleveland Browns +9.5 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 34 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog.
Dallas is 0-6 ATS at home as Tony Romo seems to relax and play better on the road. Cleveland is an average team but can run the ball with Trent Richardson and should be able to stay within 7 points.
Dallas 27 Cleve 20
Take Cleveland + points
|
11-17-12 |
Iowa State v. Kansas +5.5 |
Top |
51-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 54 m |
Show
|
Iowa State at Kansas (college football) 7pm eastern (Saturday) pick: Kansas +5.5
These two played a 13-10 game last year. Iowa State is 5-5 and aiming to get their 6th win to become bowl eligible. Kansas is just 1-9 but has played decent at home:
lost 21-17 to Texas lost 20-14 to Okla State lost 20-6 to TCU lost 25-24 to Rice
Kansas has a decent running game with James Sims getting over 100 yards in the last 6 games while Pierson had 202 yards at Texas Tech.
Iowa State has won just one of its last 5 games and one reason was the injury to LB Jake Knott. Kansas should be able to run the ball without Knott on the field.
Kansas is coached by Charlie Weis, who was at Notre Dame and was an assistant at New England. Their QB is not very good so let's hope the Jayhawks can run the ball and their defense plays well.
I hope to see a 20-17 type of game. GL!
10* Kansas +5.5
|
11-17-12 |
Seattle +12.5 v. Virginia Cavaliers |
Top |
43-83 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
Seattle has played UVA the last two years. They won at home and only lost by 6 last year at Virginia. Seattle should stay within 10 on Saturday.
Seattle 55 UVA
Take Seattle +12.5
|
11-17-12 |
Wake Forest +24 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
0-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 59 m |
Show
|
Wake Forest at Notre Dame 3:30 Saturday 10* Wake Forest +24
These two played last year and it was tied 17-17 in the 4th quarter till Notre Dame scored with 9 minutes to go and won 24-17. Wake Forest is 5-5 but they do have an experienced QB named Tanner Price along with receiver Michael Campanero and runner Josh Harris.
Notre Dame is 10-0 and just beat Boston College 21-6. The last home game we won with Pitt +17 as Notre Dame won in overtime by just 3 points after being behind most of the game.
Notre Dame plays USC next and will lokk ahead to facing them. Take Wake Forest +24 as they have a solid coach named Jim Grobe who should get his team motivated for next Saturday.
Wake Forest +24
|
11-16-12 |
North Carolina v. Long Beach State UNDER 146 |
Top |
78-63 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
Neither team has played a game above 140 yet. UNC played two home games in the 135 range. Now the Tar Heels travel to California to face Long Beach State, a team they have played twice in the last few years but a completely new team from last year. Those games were high scoring (one was 96-91) but UNC has a freshman point guard (Marcus Paige) and has only shot 9/19 and 8/21 from the line.
LBSU just played a game at USC that ended with under 100 points. The 49ers will be at home in their Pyramind and should try to control pace and not get into a shootout with UNC, who have made just 7 3-pointers in two games. McAdoo should score inside but Bullock, Hairston and Leslie McDonald have struggled from outside.
I like our chances for an under at 146.
|
11-15-12 |
North Carolina State v. Penn State +12 |
Top |
72-55 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
Penn State vs. NC State 5pm Thursday 10* Penn State +12.5
This looks to be a low scoring game. PSU is an average team that is used to facing good Big Ten teams like Wisconsin, Purdue, Michigan State and Indiana so they won't be shocked by NC State.
NCSU does have CJ Leslie, Scott Wood and Richard Howell along with most of last year's team back but PSU has solid guard Tim Frazier, DJ Newbill and scorer Jermaine Marshall (11 ppg in 2011-12).
This game will be played in Puerto Rico and should be in the 60's with the senior guard of the Nittany Lions.
PSU 62 NCSU 69
Take the +12.
|
11-15-12 |
Baylor v. Boston College OVER 139.5 |
Top |
84-74 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
Boston College vs. Baylor 3pm 10* over 139.5
Baylor has played a 99-77 game with Lehigh which is 176 points. Their other game versus a weaker team was a very low score. They have now played 7 overs/1 under in the last 8 games while BC has 6 overs in its last 8. Their only game was 84-70 at home where they struggled to make 3's but did get 29 fromRyan Anderson, 12 from Clifford and 12 from Patrick Heckmann.
I think Baylor helps the pace and surely, BC will need to make some 3's to stay in this. Baylor probably wins and covers but take the over.
over 139.5
|
11-14-12 |
Toledo +10 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
Toledo has won 7 of 8 games and their only loss was by 7 points. Norhtern Illinois is a tough home team and there should be plenty of points but I like the underdog getting 10 points.
Toledo 32 N ILL 36
10* Toledo +10
|
11-14-12 |
UAB +16.5 v. Creighton |
Top |
60-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* UAB +16 (8:00pm) These two played last year and it was 70-60. Jerod Haase is the new coach of UAB and they looked good in their opener. They get points from Swing, Jones, Tyler, Purifoy, Alihodyis and Williams. Creighton did beat North Texas by 20 points in their home opener led by All-American Doug McDermott and Greg Echinique inside.
Look for UAB to stay within 12 to 14 points and cover.
Take UAB +16
|
11-13-12 |
Michigan State v. Kansas -2 |
Top |
67-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
I like Kansas -2. Jeff Withey scored in double figures in their first game and had 5 blocked shots. Travis Releford added key points and defense. The Jayhawks are well coached by Bill Self and made it to the final game last year losing to Kentucky. Kansas did struggle from the 3-point line.
Michigan State is 0-1 in a bad opening loss. Tom Izzo is one of the top 5 coaches in college and will have his team ready but I think we see Kansas win by 5 and cover the small number.
Kansas -2
|
11-12-12 |
Pennsylvania +9 v. Delaware |
Top |
69-84 |
Loss |
-106 |
20 h 7 m |
Show
|
Penn is a smart Ivy League team that will be facing a solid CAA team (Delaware) at the campus of Virginia. Penn is led by Miles Cartwright who can score and pass. He played well last year after the Quakers lost Zack Rosen as point guard. Penn beat a weak team in game one after falling behind and then coming back to outscore them by 23 in the second half.
Delaware is led by Devon Saddler and Jamelle Hagans. They won over 20 games. They should ebd up winning but I think we see a game in the 67-62 range where Penn stays within 9 points.
Take Penn +9
|
11-12-12 |
Fordham +20 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
51-86 |
Loss |
-106 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
college basketball
Fordham at Pittsburgh 6pm 5* Fordham +20
Fordham plays at Pittsburgh on Monday. Pitt won easily in their first game but shot great (making 34/48 shots) but only made 1 of 6 3 pointers. Fordham should play better after losing 86-76 at Texas State as Frazier had 18 points, Smith with 16 and 19 from Gaston. Pitt should win but hopefully, we see Fordham stay within 18 and cover the big number.
Keep in mind the early 6pm eastern start.
Fordham 60 Pitt 75
5* Fordham +20
|
11-11-12 |
Houston Texans +1.5 v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
13-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
Houston should be able to run on the Bears and they only have 6 turnovers so there shouldn't be many easy defensive scores for the Bears as we have seen so far in 2012. Matt Schaub is the Texas QB and he has played well and Andre Johnson is close to 100% and with JJ Watt on defense the Houston team looks stout.
The Bears have Jay Cutler at QB and he should make a mistake they will lead to a loss.
Take Houston in a close game.
|
11-11-12 |
Florida Atlantic v. North Carolina OVER 144 |
Top |
56-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 53 m |
Show
|
FAU at UNC 2:30pm eastern over 144
This will be UNC's second home game. They just played on Friday night and won 76-59 (135 points) against Gardner Webb. UNC played poorly on offense as they made just 1/13 3-pointers and just 9/19 from the line. McAdoo did score 26 points and Strcikland was the only other Tar Heel in double figures with 13. Marcus Paige did not get a single assist.
I would expect Bullock, McDonald and Hairston to score more from the outside and for Paige to relax and play better.
FAU plays Troy in fast paced games. Their two meetings last year reached 165 and 155 points. They were led by Greg Gantt at 14 ppg last year. UNC plays decent defense and needs to improve their offense with their young players.
This should go over 142 points under Roy Williams' system of running and playing fast.
Florida Atlantic at UNC over 144
|
11-11-12 |
Detroit Lions -1 v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
24-34 |
Loss |
-130 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
These teams are going in different directions as the Detroit Lions are playing much better, Matthew Stafford has been playing well and had some recent 300 yard passing games while the defense has been staedy lately.
Minnesota may be without Percy Harvin due to an injury. QB Christian Ponder started hot but has struggled lately. He is a young NFL QB and needs to get more experience.
I like for the Lions to revenge an earlier loss.
Detroit wins by 7 and covers the small number.
|
11-10-12 |
Notre Dame v. Boston College UNDER 49.5 |
Top |
21-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
Take under 49.5.
Notre Dame's defense will control the BC offense and I don't think the Irish will explode for too many points. Maybe end up in the mid-40's so take the under.
ND 30 BC 10
|
11-10-12 |
Navy v. Troy |
Top |
31-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
138 h 22 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports
Saturday
Navy at Troy 3:30 Saturday
3* Navy (pick'em) (even)
Take Navy on Saturday. Navy has won their last 5 games.They are now 6-3. Troy comes from a small conference and just lost a close game at Tennessee by 55-48. They have a good offense but have lost 3 of 4 games and are 4-5. They will be at home but did lose at Navy last year by 42-14. Their one win was a 1 point win. Navy should be able to run against them.
This is listed as an even game (or pick'em) as of Sunday night.
Take Navy to win. The Navy just beat a confence foe of Troy by 24-17 last week.
Navy 31 Troy 24
|
11-10-12 |
Elon +14.5 v. Butler |
Top |
59-74 |
Loss |
-113 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
Take Elon + 12.5 points. Butler plays low scoring games. Elon is a solid squad that won at South Carolina and Princeton last year with low scoring games in the 50's. They do have a solid scorer named Lucas Troutman. They are from the state of North Carolina and won played at UNC last year. They did lose badly but got experience. They have several starters back.
Take Elon +14.5 as they stay within 10-13 points.
|
11-09-12 |
Maryland Terrapins +11.5 v. Kentucky |
Top |
69-72 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 57 m |
Show
|
10* Maryland +12 (8:30)
This game is being played in Brooklyn, NY on a neutral court. Kentucky won the national title last year but many of their top players went to the NBA. They have a good coach named John Calipari and many new players coming in who are solid yet inexperienced. Maryland is in its second year with Mark Turgeon and they are without Terrell Stoglin, who put up 22 ppg last year.
They do have some solid players like P'Shon Howard, James Padgett, Alex Len and Dez Wells is now available.
Kentucky should win but this I like for Maryland to stay within 8 to 11 points.
10* Maryland +12
|
11-08-12 |
Florida State v. Virginia Tech +14 |
Top |
28-22 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
FSU at Va Tech 7:30pm 10* Virginia Tech +14
Take the home team. FSU will probably win this game but it is rare to see the Hokies as home underdogs. Frank Beamer is the active winningest coach in college football. FSU on the road:
at USF won by 13 at NCSU lost by 1 at Miami won by 13
They have lost the last two in Blacksburg by 11 and 19 points. Logan Thomas is just an average QB for Va Tech but they should stay within 10 to 12 points and cover.
10* Va Tech +14
|
11-07-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 194 |
Top |
75-90 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
I like the under tonight. JJ Redick is sure to have tired legs after playing last night in Chicago. Minny is still without Rickyt Rubio and Kevin Love.
I think we see a game in the 190 range that stays under by a few points.
Under 194 Minnesota vs. Orlando
|
11-06-12 |
Orlando Magic +9.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
93-99 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 41 m |
Show
|
Orlando is 2-0 after playing twice at home. They now head to Chicago to play a game that has a total set in the mid 180's so they are expecting a game in the 90's. JJ Redidck has played well for the Magic, who did lose Dwight Howard in the offseason.
Chicago is well known for having Derrick Rose, who seems to be injured more than Bill Walton. Joakim Noah has had some injuries as well. The Bulls are known for solid defense but I like for Orlando to show confidence and stay within 8 and cover.
10* Orlando + points
|
11-05-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Miami Heat OVER 199.5 |
Top |
99-124 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
Phoenix at Miami 7:35pm 10* over 199.5
Phoenix has played two low scoring games at home and now travel to Miami, who has played home games that made it to 235 and 227. They get points from Lebron James, Bosh, Wade, Battier, Ray Allen, Chalmers and Mike Miller. They did play an under at New York vs. the Knicks.
Phoenix is without Steve Nash and trying to learn to play together. They will be forced to score at Miami to keep pace. They get points from Beasley, Gortat, Dragic and Luis Scola.
I think we see a game in the low 200's that goes over. Hopefully we see the Suns add to our total on Monday.
over 199.5
|
11-04-12 |
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 v. Cleveland Browns |
Top |
25-15 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 39 m |
Show
|
Baltimore should be able to defeat the Browns on Sunday by 10 points and cover the small number. The Ravens are off a bad loss at Houston and should be motivated after the bye. They have a good runner in Ray Rice and solid QB in Joe Flacco. Cleveland won 7-6 last year vs. San Diego.
Clevlenad has failed to score over 10 points in games against Baltimore. The Ravens are without Ray Lewis in the middle but do have Suggs back.
Cleve 14 Baltimore 28
|
11-04-12 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Green Bay Packers OVER 43.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
over 43.5
Arizona has just one over but they will be forced to pass to stay in the game at Green Bay. I expect the Packers to score close to 30 as Aaron Rodgers has been hot in the last few weeks. Arizona does have John Skelton at QB recently and he has a strong arm and should throw 30-32 times. My guess is me see a 31-17 type of game that goes over.
over 43.5
|
11-03-12 |
Florida Atlantic v. Navy OVER 50.5 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
113 h 4 m |
Show
|
I like over 50.5. We won our total last week on Navy/ECU over 50 (it dropped to 47.5 due to the rain) and it ended with 84 points scored. The Navy started the year scoring 10 points vs. Notre Dame, 7 at Penn State and 0 vs. San Jose State. That was with Trey Miller at QB. Now they moved Keenan Reynolds to signal caller and they have scored 31, 31 and 56 points in the last three weeks. They get solid running from Gee Gee Greene and many others.
FAU has played Georgia and Alabama so they have faced some good teams. They played a 56-20 (76) game with the Bulldogs. Senior QB Graham Wilbert is decent as he has had 27-41 for 303 yards/2 TD's as well as a 26-40 for 261 yards (4 TD's) in recent games. Jonathan Wallace ran for 101 yards in the last game and Jackson/Fortner have had solid games too.
FAU last 2 games:
Troy 61 points South Al 62 (before OT)
The weather for Saturday looks to be in the 50's. Hopefully, we see a game in the 50's that goes over.
over 50.5
|
11-01-12 |
Virginia Tech -1.5 v. Miami (Florida) |
Top |
12-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
Virginia Tech is still in the race for the ACC Coastal Division and led by Frank Beamer, who is the active leading in wins at the college level. Logan Thomas has disappointed but Miami is in worse shape. The Hurricanes are at home but have played poorly there except for a late win over NCSU about a month ago.
I think we see the Hokies win by 7 and cover the small number. There won't be many Miami fans in attendance now that the team has been down.
Miami 24 VT 30
|
10-31-12 |
San Antonio Spurs -6.5 v. New Orleans Hornets |
Top |
99-95 |
Loss |
-102 |
21 h 1 m |
Show
|
The Spurs were one of the best covering teams in the NBA last year led by Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginoboli. They are well coached by Greg Popovich and have nice backups like Danny Green. New Orleans is going to be an average team and could stay with the Spurs for a half but I like San Antonio by 10 points.
10* SA Spurs -6.5
|
10-30-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +9 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
99-91 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 33 m |
Show
|
I like the Dallas Mavericks + the points. They are well coached by Rick Carlisle under owner Mark Cuban. Dirk is out and they will probably be without Brandon Wright and Chris Kamen but they do have OJ Mayo, Darren Collison, Vince Carter, Dahntay Jones, Shawn Marion, Jae Craeder (Marquette rookie) and Eddy Curry.
The Lake Show struggled in the preseason but should win this game with Dwight Howard, Steve Nash, Pao Gasol and others. Mike Brown is an average coach.
Lakers win by 7 but Dallas covers.
Dallas +9
|
10-29-12 |
San Francisco 49ers -7 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 23 m |
Show
|
L ike SF -7. They are a big road underdog but have a better offense and defense. Coach Harbaugh has his team playing well as they have covered close to 65% of his games as coach of the 49ers. I expect Frank Gore and Alex Smith to play well.
Arizona started well but have lost some recent games.
SF 23-14
10* SF -7
|
10-28-12 |
New Orleans Saints v. Denver Broncos OVER 54.5 |
Top |
14-34 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
New Orleans has played OVERS this year and we get Manning facing Drew Brees. I think we see close to 60 points in this game with solid oofenses and QB's that will be in the Hall Of Fame.
I think both teams get to 28 for an over.
32-28.
over 54.5
|
10-28-12 |
NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
29-24 |
Win
|
100 |
137 h 59 m |
Show
|
SUNDAY NFL 10* New York Giants -1 (4:25 SUNDAY) We had a nice winner on Dallas over Carolina. New York won the Super Bowl last year and plays better on the road while Dallas plays better on the road than at home. Eli Manning is the QB for the Giants and he is one of the top 3 in the NFL. Look for the NY Giants to win.
NYG 24 Dallas 20
|
10-27-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
I like the under with two solid pitchers facing each other in Detroit. There is a good chance of a rainout but it will be in the 40's and cooler weather as November is approaching.
I think we see a 3-2 type of game. Annibal Snachez and the Tigers need to win down 2-0.
under 7.5
|
10-27-12 |
Navy v. East Carolina OVER 50 |
Top |
56-28 |
Win
|
100 |
112 h 7 m |
Show
|
10* Navy at East Carolina over 50.5 (3:30 SATURDAY) These two played a 38-35 (73 points) last year and 76-35 (101 points) back in 2010. Last week ECU won 42-35 while Navy and Indiana played a 31-30 score. Navy has just one over and 5 unders but have used a better QB in recent games.
over 50
|
10-27-12 |
Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 59 |
Top |
25-20 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 53 m |
Show
|
The weather is expected to be cold and windy on Saturday in Buffalo. The Buffalo game with Piitsburgh ended with less than 30 points scored. Toledo does have a nice offense but I don't expect Buffalo to score many points and the wind will effect the passing game.
I expect this total to drop before the start of the game.
under 59
|
10-26-12 |
Cincinnati v. Louisville -3.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
Take the home team at -3.5. I twas -3 earlier. Cincy has won the last 4 meetings but the Bearcats are off a loss to Toledo in the Glass Bowl. QB Broadwater is solid for the Cards and led to a home win against UNC a month ago.
Look for the home team to continue to win.
LVille 27 Cin 20
|
10-25-12 |
Clemson v. Wake Forest +12.5 |
Top |
42-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 20 m |
Show
|
Take Wake Forest +12.5
The Deacons are at home and well coached by Jim Grobe. They only lost by a field goal at Clmson last year. They have a solid QB in Tanner Price and runner in Josh Harris. Clemson is great at home and led by QB Taj Boyd.
I like Clemson by 7 to 10 points.
10* WF +12.5
|
10-23-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +2 |
Top |
100-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
Take the Cleveland Cavs as they off a blowout loss to Philly and will look to bounce back at home. The Indiana Pacers are 3-0 at home but just 0-2 on the road. I expect Cleveland to win so take the +2.
Cleveland 95 Indiana 92
Cleveland +2
|
10-22-12 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 |
Top |
0-9 |
Loss |
-128 |
20 h 56 m |
Show
|
St Louis at San Francisco 8pm pick: under 7
I like under with Kyle Lohse and Matt Cain pitching and the pressure involved in this game. Both teams can get hot and put up 3 or 4 runs in an inning and put this over but the last time these team pitched against each other it was 3-1.
I think we see another 3-1 type of game with the solid pitching from the starters and bullpens.
STL 1 SF 3
10* under 7
|
10-21-12 |
Cleveland Browns v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 45 |
Top |
13-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
96 h 50 m |
Show
|
These two played over 45 last year and both upgraded on offense with the additions of Andrew Luck to the Colts and Brandon Wheedeon for the Browns. Richardson may not be able to run for the Browns but they have a solid backup. The game will be on the fast turf in Indianapolis (RCA Dome) and weather won't be a factor in the dome.
I think we see both teams in the mid-20's and close to 50 points scored.
Cleve 21 Indy 28
over 45
|
10-21-12 |
Dallas Cowboys -1 v. Carolina Panthers |
Top |
19-14 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 24 m |
Show
|
Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboys play better on the road than at home. The Boys won at the New York Giants to open the season and covered last week at Baltimore 31-29 (+3.5).
Cam Newton has struggled this year. They were able to cover with him last year but he has many turnovers.
Dallas has better offense, defense and special teams.
Dallas -1
|
10-20-12 |
North Carolina v. Duke +10.5 |
Top |
30-33 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 3 m |
Show
|
UNC at Duke 7:00pm Oct. 20, 2012 10* Duke +10.5
These two are located just 10 miles apart in the middle of North Carolina. UNC is a better team with a better defense but Duke is at home and they have a solid QB in Sean Renefree. These teams are known lately for having the home team cover.
Duke games are 10-1-1 ATS for the host while UNC is 10-1 ATS in its last 11. Duke is at home in Wallace Wade Stadium and they hope to become bowl eligible with another win after blowing a 20-0 lead at Va Tech.
Duke may have to wait till they play Miami in the finale since their schedule includes some tough teams in the next few weeks.
UNC does have a good offense led by Bryn Renner and running back Gio Bernard. Larry Fedora is an offensive coach.
My guess is we see a 31-27 type of score.
10* Duke +10.5
|
10-20-12 |
Boston College v. Georgia Tech -14 |
Top |
17-37 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 15 m |
Show
|
Georgia tech should run all over BC. Army ran for close to 350 yards a few weeks ago. Paul Johnson's team can run with the best of them and they need a win to go to a bowl. They just let go of Al Groh, who coached the defense. I expect to see a win by 21 points.
GT 45 BC 21
|
10-20-12 |
Minnesota v. Wisconsin -17 |
Top |
13-38 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin is at home and running the ball well with Montae Bell. Minny just lost by 18 at Iowa. I think we see the home team get rolling and win by 21 and cover the big number of 17
Wisc 35 Minn 14
|
10-18-12 |
Oregon v. Arizona State +9 |
Top |
43-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 56 m |
Show
|
Take the home underdog getting more than a touchdown on Thursday night. Oregon has just one road game and thy must travel south to play at ASU. My guess is we see a high score in the 60's.
Oregon 34 ASU 30
Take ASU + points
|
10-16-12 |
New York Yankees v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
|
I like the under with Verlander on the field. The Yankees could relax and score runs but they may be ready to end the season. They could relax away from the Big Apple but Verlander has given up 2 or less at home in the last month.
Take under 7 on Tuesday.
|
10-15-12 |
Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
35-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Take San Diego at home. The Chargers are off a loss at New Orleans last week and should bounce back at home. Denver does have Peyton Manning at QB but home field with Philip Rivers should be enough for the Chargers and their defense and running game.
I am not fond of Charger coach Norv Turner but like them anyway.
San Diego wins by 3 to 7 points.
10* SD Chargers
|
10-14-12 |
Oakland Raiders v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-109 |
85 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take over 48.
This game will be inside the dome so the wind/rain won't effect the passes. Matt Ryan is a top QB and he has Julio Jones to pass to and Michael Turner can pick up yards on the ground. Neither team has a strong defense.
The Oakland Raiders can allow points and can score with carson Palmer at the helm. I think we see 50+ on Sunday.
My guess is 34-20.
over 48
|
10-14-12 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Baltimore Ravens |
Top |
29-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
Dallas at Baltimore 1pm 8* Dallas +3.5
Dallas is off a bye and they are 7-1 ATS off a break. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in Baltimore games and 22-4-1 ATS in Dallas games. Dallas just lost at home to Chicago but was able to win at the NY Giants to open the year.
The Ravens are tough at home led by Ray Rice and QB Joe Flacco but their defense is getting old and giving up some yards.
Tony Romo should bounce back after a poor game at home vs. the Bears.
8* Take Dallas +3.5.
|
10-13-12 |
Tennessee v. Mississippi State -3 |
Top |
31-41 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
Take Miss State as they are home with the better defense. UT is off a 51-44 game at Georgia. MSU is 5-0 and played a weak schedule but their fans should help motivate the Bulldogs tonight. UT's Tyler Bray is a solid QB but the Vols struggle to run and that should be the difference.
Tenn 21 Miss St 28
Miss State -3
|
10-13-12 |
North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 |
Top |
18-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 9 m |
Show
|
UNC at Miami 2:30pm eastern (Oct. 13, 2012) over 68.5
There is a 50% chance of rain so the total may go down as it did in the Wake Forest/Duke game a few weeks ago. This is a high total and we will need both teams to score points on Saturday. Miami is off a 41-3 loss at Notre Dame so they should be happy to return home and face an average UNC defense. Miami did beat NC State 44-37 (81 points) at home as Stephen Morris had 566 passing yards. He also had 436 against Ga Tech is a 42-36 OT game. They also had a 41-32 (73) game vs. Boston College.
UNC plays fast paced under Larry Fedora. Bryn Renner is a solid QB and Giovani Bernard is a good runner who has missed action this year due to injury. UNC has two shutouts at home vs. Idaho and Elon. They played last week vs. Va Tech and won 48-34 (82 points). The UNC game at Louisville was 39-34 (73) and the Tar Heels had a chance to score late from inside the 5.
I think we can get to 70+ on Saturday and hope the rain stays away. GL!
over 68.5
|
10-11-12 |
Western Kentucky -2.5 v. Troy |
Top |
31-26 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 21 m |
Show
|
Troy is a good home team but it is hard to go against how well Western Ky has played the last two years ATS. They went into Alabama and stayed within the large number and I think they can win by 3 to 7 points in this weekday game.
Take the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers!
|
10-09-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's OVER 7 |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-125 |
22 h 17 m |
Show
|
I like over 7 in this American League game. All we need is one or two solid innings and with Miguel Cabrera involved that can happen. The Giants do have Buster Posey and some decent hitters in as they showed later in the season.
Det 3 SF 5
Take over 7
|
10-09-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's -130 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
Oakland is at home and needs to win. Detroit has played well so far and got a nice Game One win with Verlander and hitting with Cabrera. I think we see the A's play well at home and win 4-3.
Det 3 Oakland 4
|
10-08-12 |
New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles +125 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
125 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
The Orioles were tied 2-2 last night and had a man on second with 0 outs but could not score. They are down 1-0 and at home in a must win game vs. Andy Pettitte. I think Adam Jones and Matt Wieters come through tonight and the O's win by a run.
O's 4 NYY 3
|
10-08-12 |
Houston Texans v. NY Jets +9 |
Top |
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 48 m |
Show
|
Houston at NY Jets 8:25pm 5* NY Jets +9
Take the Jets at home +8 vs. Houston. I think Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow will figure out a way to shine on Monday Night Football. Rex Ryan can motivate the team after a bad loss last week to San Francisco.
The Houston Texanas are a solid team led by Matt Schuab, out of Virginia. Coach Gary Kubiak has the team playing well on offense and defense as Arian Foster has plenty of skills.
Take the Jets:
NYJ 20 Houston 24
5* NYJ +9
|
10-07-12 |
San Diego Chargers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take NO -3
I like for New Orleans and cover the small number at home. QB Drew Brees and will want to do well. SD is led by Philip Rivers and is 3-1 but lost to Atlanta by 3 TD's at home.
The Chargers' running game is average as Ryan Matthews tends to fumble and the Saints are 0-4 and most likely out of the playoffs but should put up enought points to win.
SD 24 NO 31
|
10-07-12 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Washington Redskins OVER 50.5 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
73 h 46 m |
Show
|
I like over 50.5 as the Redskins have played overs in 9 of the last 11. RG3 is Washington's QB and he can run as well as pass for points. Matt Ryan has been solid for the Falcons as they are undefeated and won 30-28 last week.
The Redskins defense is a little overrated and so is the Falcons' defense against the pass and run.
I think we see between 55 and 60 points on Sunday. My guess is 31-27 for 58 points.
Over 50.5
|
10-06-12 |
Florida State v. North Carolina State +17 |
Top |
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
FSU wnet to USF last week and did not cover. They now head to NC State and play the Wolfpack in Raleigh. NCSU is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. They used to play well under Chuck Amato but Coach O'Brien has been steady against the Noles and they have QB Glennon who can keep the chains moving. The crowd will be pro-NC State.
EJ Manuel has played well and should be able to produce points but getting 17 on the road is my play.
NC State +17
|
10-04-12 |
East Carolina +11.5 v. Central Florida |
Top |
20-40 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
ECU is 3-2 and won at Southern Miss and beat UTEP at home is Conference play. CFU is lead by George O'Leary and the Knights have a decent defense but are a little weak on offense.
My guess is we see a game in the 24-20 range.
Take ECU plus the points
|
10-03-12 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's -105 |
Top |
5-12 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
Baseball
Texas at Oakland 3:30 3*Oakland -106
Texas is at Oakland. The home team is playing well as they are 15-6 in their last 21 games in their facility. They have won the first two games and the Texas Rangers are struggling to score and play well. The Rangers have had some injuries as Josh Hamilton is not 100%. Texas is one of the best teams and power ratings had them near the top most of 2012 but I think we see Oakland win today.
Texas 2 Oakland 4
Oakland -106
|
10-02-12 |
Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees -1.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take the Yankees to win by 2 or more runs tonight. They need a win and the Red Sox have given up and using a poor lineup. My guess is another blowout.
NYY 6 Boston 3
Take NYY -1.5
|
10-01-12 |
Chicago Bears v. Dallas Cowboys -3 |
Top |
34-18 |
Loss |
-125 |
28 h 29 m |
Show
|
Chicago at Dallas 8:20pm
10* Dallas -3
Take the home team as you can get Dallas -3. If it moves to 3.5 buy the 1/2 point.
Dallas lost at Seattle and so did Green Bay so that is not a bad loss. Tony Romo helped the Cowboys win 16-10 vs. Tampa Bay and should be comfortable being home again vs. the Bears. Chicago lost at the Packers and now must go to Dallas who should be focused. Jay Cutler has been controversial for the Bears at QB. He has talent but other players are not confident with him.
Look for Dallas to win by 7 to 10 points and cover.
|
10-01-12 |
Boston Red Sox +215 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
2-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
Boston at NY Yankees 7pm pick: Boston +210
Take the Boston Red Sox for one unit tonight as Clay Buckholz starts for the visiting Red Sox and he has pitched well on the road. He has allowed just 0 and 1 runs in his last two starts away from home against Tampa Bay and Toronto. He has allowed just 10 runs in his last 5 road starts.
The Yankees are at home and have CC Sabathia on the mound and are big favorites as they are in a playoff battle with the Orioles. The pressure will be on the home team so it is worth a shot to take the Red Sox who would love to spoil the party.
* Boston +210
|
09-30-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 44.5 |
Top |
27-10 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take over 44.5
The Bengals can score and give up points as they are led by Andy Dalton and receiver AJ Green. They were in a recent shootout with the Redskins.
Jax has struggled lately but does have Maurice Jones Drew on offense and did play a 49 point game with Minnesota.
Take over 44.5.
|
09-30-12 |
San Francisco 49ers +1 v. NY Jets |
Top |
34-0 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 56 m |
Show
|
I like SF to win this game as they have done well bouncing back from losses in the past under Jim Harbaugh. They have a great defense, a decent QB with Alex Smith and RB Frank Gore. The Jets played poorly but won against the Miami Dolphins. We are 2-0 in NYJ games so far. QB Mark Sanchez has been shaky and Tim Tebow hasn't added much. Darrelle Revis is injured and out.
SF 20 NYJ 14
Take San Francisco
|
09-29-12 |
Western Kentucky v. Arkansas State OVER 57.5 |
Top |
26-13 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
Both teams can score points. Arkansas State opened the year at Oregon where they covered and score in the 30's as both reached 100 together. They have a solid QB and passing game.
WKY is a covering machine with 12 covers in a ro and good offense as well. Look for a game with both near 30 and over.
over 57.5
|
09-29-12 |
Duke v. Wake Forest OVER 59.5 |
Top |
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 40 m |
Show
|
Duke at Wake Forest 12:30pm EDT Saturday over 59
These two have played overs in 4 of the last 5 meetings. The last time they played at WF the score was 54-48 (102 points!). Last year's game stayed under 60 as it ended 24-23. The last 5 meetings have reached 47, 102, 79, 63 and 77 points. Last week, Wake played Army, a team that is known for running the ball and they only threw 6 times. Now they face a passing team. Wake did beat Army 49-37 and had Josh Harris and Martin both run for 100+ yards.
In Duke games so far in 2012, the winner has reached 38, 54, 50 and 46 points. WF has just 2 turnovers while the Blue Devils have 10, including several interceptions for TD's (pick 6). Both teams have experienced QB's (Tanner Price/Sean Renfree). Wake's receiver Michael Campanaro had 12 catches for 153 yards last week and he had similar numbers vs. UNC at home. Wake's nose tackle/guard Nakita Whitlock missed the last two games and is ??? for Saturday.
Wake Forest coach Jim Grobe comments on the game:
On Duke's offense and defense... "I think we're going to have to score a lot of points. These guys are really good offensively, but the thing that's got my attention is how much they dominated Memphis from the defensive side of the ball. I don't think Memphis had close to 200 yards offense last week. This is not a one-dimensional football team. Coach Cutcliffe and his offense have been known to put up points and lots of yards on everybody, but this is a much-improved Duke defense. We've got to play well on both sides of the football."
On redshirt junior Nikita Whitlock's status for Saturday... "Nikita's biggest problem is he's been out for a while. It's going to be hard for him to come back (this week). (With) those high ankle sprains, you get to where you feel good walking to class but you get to pushing against people, especially in his position going against guys who are 300-plus pounds, (and it) makes it a little bit tougher. Quite frankly, I have my doubts about him playing, or playing well, or playing a lot this Saturday. But we'll see, you never know."
Hopefully, we have good weather and both teams can produce points. I won't be shocked by a 31-24 score but think we see both get close to 30 and over 60 points.
Duke/Wake Forest over 59.5
|
09-26-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
0-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
These two went over in the 5th inning last night. Colorado is at home in Coors Field and have now gone over in 7 of the last 8 games. The Cubs have Soriano and Sterling Castro for offense while everyone for Colorado seems to hit well at home.
We are 2-1 with their overs this week. Let's try for 3-1. Take the over on Wednesday night.
over 10.5
|
09-25-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 56 m |
Show
|
Under 7.5 as both starters are throwing well. Cole Hamels is one of the hottest pitcher in the NL as he has allowed less than 3 runs per start in his last 10 while Detwiler has done well too for the Nationals. His ERA is in the 3.00 range in his last 4 starts. Both teams have solid hitters but I like the under.
Ryan Zimmerman has been hot for the Nationals and Jimmy Rollins has been hitting well for the Phils.
I like a 3-2 type of game and an under.
under 7.5
|
09-24-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 56 m |
Show
|
Over 10.5
We won with OVER 10 on Friday and the Rockies have played 6 overs and just one under this week. Both teams can score runs quickly at Coors Field. The Rockies pitching staff has the highest ERA in the NL.
6-5 for an over.
|
09-24-12 |
Green Bay Packers -3 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
12-14 |
Loss |
-116 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
Take Green Bay on the road. I think they will relax and jump ahead the way New England did last night. Seattle is tough at home but we get rookie QB Russell Wilson vs. MVP Aaron Rodgers.
Green Bay has to focus on the running game and get Cedric Benson and others involved.
GB 24 Seattle 17
|
09-23-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
Top |
10-7 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
Take over 10.5 in the Colorado vs. Arizona game set for Sunday afternoon. The Rockies play in the thin air of Coors Field and have played 55% overs in the last 3 years at home. The pitching staff is thin too as they have very few reliable starters and relievers. The offense has seen their share of injuries to Micahel Cuddyer and Tulowitzi but they seem to hit at home.
Look for a 6-5 game to go over.
AZ 6 Col 5
Take over 10.5
|
09-23-12 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Minnesota Vikings +7 |
Top |
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
119 h 13 m |
Show
|
Take Minnesota +7.
SF is 2-0 after playing two marquee teams. They won at Green Bay by a touchdown and won at home against Detroit by a TD. They are led by QB Alex Smith who has improved greatly and the running of Frank Gore. WR's Mario Manningham and Michael Crabtree are good too. And coach Harbaugh has turned the franchise around.
Minnesota is 1-1 with a win and loss by a field goal (won over Jax at home and lost at Indy). QB Christian Ponder has played well and they have a good RB in Adrian Peterson. Toby Gerhart gets a few carries and Percy Harvin can give the opponent headaches with his running and catching abilities. Let's look at the last 9 home games for the Vikings:
won 3 Jax lost 4 TB lost 3 Detroit won 24 Ariz lost 6 GB lost 6 Oak lost 3 Den lost 22 NO lost 4 Chicago
Several losses but they have lost only one game badly and that was against the high powered Saints' offense. Let's look at the 49ers road games:
won 8 at GB won 5 at Cin won 1 at Phil won 6 at Det won 8 at Wash lost 10 at Balt lost 2 at Ariz won 2 at Seattle won 7 at STL
Their largest road win in their last 9 over the last two years was by 8 points.
The SF 49ers are now the Super Bowl favorites (along with Houston, Green Bay and New England) but things change in the NFL on a weekly basis. Dallas won at New York but was blown out at Seattle. The Patriots lost as big home favorites to Arizona.
I like for the Minnesota Vikings to stay within a touchdown as a home underdog on Sunday.
Minnesota +7
|
09-22-12 |
Florida Atlantic +50 v. Alabama |
Top |
7-40 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Florida Atlantic at Alabama 5pm EDT (Saturday) FAU +50
Alabama is #1 in the country and just won at Arkansas. They have shut out the last two opponents. FAU played several good teams (like Michigan State) last year and played at Georgia two weeks ago and lost 51-20. FAU was tied 14-14 against Georgia and won the TOP (time of possession) by several minutes, meaning that they were able to run the ball.
FAU does have a senior QB named Wilbert and some decent runners. Hopefully, FAU can score an early TD or maybe get one late in the 4th quarter against Nick Saban's great defense.
It is possible we can win +49.5 with the Crimson Tide winning by 48-0 or maybe a score of 51-7. I won't be shocked by a 54-0 score but think we have a decent chance for the visitor to cover the +49.5.
FAU +50
|
09-22-12 |
Virginia +18.5 v. TCU |
Top |
7-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
Virginia +18 (12 noon SATURDAY) Virginia is a big underdog at TCU. They just played Georgia Tech and lost badly so they should be motivated to bounce back. They did beat Penn State at home two weeks ago so they are used to playing good teams. TCU has played Grambling and Kansas. They are 2-0 but haven't faced solid teams. TCU plays SMU next week and they lost to them recently so they may look ahead to facing them. Virginia did play well last year on the road at Miami, UNC and Florida State.
Take Virginia +18.
|
09-21-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 |
Top |
15-5 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
Take over 10 as these two play at Coors Field in denver. Colorado just played at San Francisco where the Giants play well and they will be happy to return to face Miley, who has an ERA over 5 in his last 3 starts while Pomerantz starts for the Rockies.
I expect both teams to reach 5 runs and for a final in the range of 7-5 for an over.
Col 7 Az 5
Over 10 runs
|
09-21-12 |
Baylor v. Louisiana-Monroe +7.5 |
Top |
47-42 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 39 m |
Show
|
Baylor will be playing their first road game after playing two fairly weak teams at home. They are without Robert Griffin III, who is with the Redskins now.
ULM won vs. Arkansas two weeks ago and lost to Auburn in OT last week. Their QB Kolton Browning has a strong left arm as well as solid running ability. RB Jyruss Adams can run to daylight and they are well coached too.
This should be a high scoring game and my guess is 34-31.
Take ULM +7.5.
|
09-20-12 |
BYU +7.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take BYU as a touchdown underdog on Thursday night. The Cougars lost last week after falling behind at Utah. QB Riley was outplayed by the young signal caller for the Utes. I expect a more motivated team this week.
Boise State lost QB Kellen Moore last year and they already have a loss at Michigan State. I expect them to stay within a touchdown with their solid defense. Their defensive line, linebackers and secondary are very good.
My guess is a 24-21 final score.
|
09-18-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers -115 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
6-0 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
Take Milwaukee to win as a small road favorite. The Pirates won 3-0 last night but they had a rain delay that lasted longer than the game. They had to travel back to Pittsbugh to get ready for this game at 7pm. Gallardo has solid stuff for the Brewers.
Take Milwaukee
Pitt 3 Milw 4
|
09-17-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
Dickey has pitched well all year but has overs in 7 of last 9 totals set at 6.5 or lower. Cliff Lee and Dickey both struggled in their last meeting with the team they are facing. The bullpens should be around in the 7th or 8th and allow runs against them.
Jimmy Rollins and company have been hitting well while Ike Davis and david Wright can hit for power for the Mets.
over 6.5
|
09-16-12 |
Detroit Lions v. San Francisco 49ers -6.5 |
Top |
19-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
Take SF as they are the better team and played great last week. They will be on soft grass and not indoor turf of Detroit's home field. The Lions have a slow QB who should be sacked several times and the 49ers have a solid running game with Frank Gore and Alex Smith has improved greatly.
SF by 11 and a cover.
|
09-16-12 |
Kansas City Chiefs +3 v. Buffalo Bills |
Top |
17-35 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
I like KC with Charles and Peyton Hillis running the ball. QB Matt Cassel should play well this week. Atlanta jumped ahead last week and the Chiefs don't have an offense for that.
The Bills beat KC 41-7 last year so the Chiefs should be motivated to stop average QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Look for KC to win by 3 but take the points.
KC + 3
|
09-15-12 |
Ohio v. Marshall UNDER 68.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 28 m |
Show
|
Ohio at Marshall 6:30pm Under 68.5
These two played a 44-7 game last year and the total was set at 47.5. Ohio has played at PSU and won 24-14 (38) and a blowout at home vs. a weak team. They are led by QB Tyler Tettleton and rb Blankenship. Only 2 of their 14 games went over this 68.5 last year. They did get to 71 and 75.
Marshall is a good home team with a nice following. They have scored plenty of points with WV at Morgantown giving up 69 but WV put up over 70 on Clemson last year. They just played weak Western Carolina at home and smashed them. Now they play a team that is favored by 6 so there shouldn't be a team to run away and hide.
Cato is a good QB and leads in completions since they were behind at WV. The last few years have seen 51, 47, 38, 29, 28 and 45 points scored in this matchup. 68.5 is a lot of points. I think we see low 60's and under.
|
09-15-12 |
Wake Forest +24.5 v. Florida State |
Top |
0-52 |
Loss |
-100 |
132 h 8 m |
Show
|
Take Wake Forest +24.5
WF beat FSU 35-30 last year at home. They still have key players in QB Tanner Price, running back Josh Harris and back/receiver Michael Cabanero, who had 14 catches for over 150 yards.
FSU has just played some weak teams and now get into ACC play after beating teams badly like Savannah State.
FSU did win 31-0 in 2010 with Ponder and EJ Manuel at QB.
I think Wake stays within 21 points. My guess is 38-17.
Take Wake Forest +24.5
|
09-14-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
I like the Braves -1.5 runs. Kris Medlin has been fantastic for the Braves and they need a win. They just lost 5-0 at Milwaukee and should bounce back with a home win after being off on Thursday.
The large crowd in Atlanta should motivate the Braves as Heyward, McCann and Freeman should help Chipper Jones against the Washington Nationals. Detweiler has pitched well but lost 5-1 earlier to Atlanta.
Wash 2 Atlanta 5
|
09-12-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies +120 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
Tim Lincecum vs. Jeff Francis at Coors Field. Lincecum has pitched better but the team is 11-17 in his starts while Francis's starts have the Rockies at 12-7. The teams are 1-1 and both have gone over but I like for the Rockies to find a way to win on Wednesday 6-5.
SF 5 Col 6
Take Colorado +120 as home dog.
|
09-11-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
Top |
9-8 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
Take over 9.5.
I won with over 10' last night and it is 6-5 in the 8th as I write this. Chacin starts for Colorado and his ERA is under 2 in his last 3 starts. He did struggle a few games ago and gave up 7 runs at home.
The Rockies do have some guys with injuries like Mike Cuddyer and SS Troy Tulowitzi but they seem to put up runs in the Mile High city of Denver.
SF gets hits from Sandoval and Buster Posey. Hopefully, we see a 6-4 score and over 9.5 runs.
over 9.5
|
09-10-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -7 |
Top |
13-44 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
|
I like Baltimore to win by 12 14 and cover since they are at home and play great defense and have an experienced QB in Joe Flacco. The Bengals did well last year but this will be one of the best teams on the schedule and QB Andy Dalton is slightly injured and won't be 100%.
The bengals ahve a decent defense but this will be on the road.
Cin 10 Balt 24
|
09-09-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos UNDER 46 |
Top |
19-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
I like the under in this game. 46 is a high total for the first game of the season and the marquee game set for Sunday night with Peyton Manning making a return after sitting out last year with the Colts and moving to Denver.
The Steelers have played their share of overs at home at Heinz Field but now they head to the Mile High City and the thin air.
I like a game in the low 40's for an under.
under 46
|
09-09-12 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Chicago Bears OVER 41 |
Top |
21-41 |
Win
|
100 |
1797 h 16 m |
Show
|
I think we see a score in the 31-14 range that goes over. It should be warm in Chicago to start the year and the two QB's look to be Jay Cutler and Andrew Luck. With some "luck" both teams should be able to score and get an over in Game One!
Chi 31 Ind 14
Over 41
|
09-09-12 |
Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets -2.5 |
Top |
28-48 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 60 m |
Show
|
Buffalo at NY Jets Sunday (Sept. 9, 2012) NY Jets -2.5
I like the Jets at home and some -2.5's are available. The Jets and Bills both struggled in the preseason but the Jets were able to score 28 and 27 points in the two meetings last year.
The Jets were 6-2 at home last year as their losses were to the two Super Bowl teams (NYG/NE) and here were the wins:
beat Dallas by 3 beat Jax by 29 beat Miami by 18 beat SD by 6 beat buffalo by 4 beat KC by 27
Last year, the Jets were #5 in defense while the Buffalo Bills were #26. The Bills are 3-14 straight up on the road in the last 17 games. The Jets should come up with some surprises on Sunday after scoring just one touchdown in 4 preseason games. Don't worry too much about those games. This one counts.
The Bills did open with a win at Kansas City last year and beat Tebow's Denver team in Buffalo last year. This is the home opener for the Jets and a division game so it will be important. I expect the Jets to win by 3 or more and cover the small number.
New York Jets -2.5
|
09-08-12 |
Western Kentucky +40 v. Alabama |
Top |
0-35 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 54 m |
Show
|
Western Kentucky at Alabama Saturday (Sept. 8, 2012) pick: WKY +40
Western Kentucky just won at home as a 30-point favorite and now they go play Alabama on Saturday and they are 40-point underdogs. WKY went the whole game without punting in their blowout over Austin Peay. The Hilltoppers did play at LSU last year and lost 42-9 but covered the +41.5.
Last year, they had a good running back Bobby Rainey, but he has graduated. They now use Leon Allen and he played well on Saturday. QB Kuwuan Jakes played last year and was on the field when they lost in Baton Rogue to the LSU Tigers. He should be better prepared to face a similar SEC team this week. WKY also has Antonio Andrews as a wide receiver who returns kicks. He did score a long touchdown on Saturday.
Alabama just played Michigan and won 41-14 on a neutral field in Dallas. They won the national title last year under coach Nick Saban and they may look ahead to playing conference foe Arkansas next week. They may rest players after jumping ahead early and allow a backdoor cover.
The Crimson Tide did win games last year by 48-7 (Kent), 41-0 (North Texas), 34-0 (Vanderbilt) and 45-21 (Ga Southern).
Western Kentucky should be able to score a few points with their offense. I won't be shocked by a 45-0 loss but my guess is 42-10.
Western Kentucky +40
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