12-17-13 |
UNC-Charlotte +10 v. Florida State |
Top |
62-106 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
Charlotte at Florida State 7pm Charlotte +10
The 49ers are 7-2 and lost in OT to Davidson and lost by 1 to College of Charleston. They did beat Michigan by 2 earlier on a neutral floor. They have a solid roster:
Lester 14.5 ppg (83% FT) Thorne 12.5 Clayton 12 Henry 12 (6 rebounds and 6 assists) Williams 11.4 Ingram 9
FSU is 6-3. They have a nice win against VCU by 18 and have defeated some weak teams at home. They lost to Michigan after leading most of the game and would've faced Charlotte in the finals of the tournament. They are a good rebounding and shotblocking team. They are led by Ian Miller, Okara White, Thomas and 7'3" Bojanorsky. They also lost in OT to Davidson.
I think FSU wins but Charlotte should be able to stay within 10 points.
10* Charlotte +10
|
12-16-13 |
Gardner-Webb +24.5 v. Duke |
Top |
66-85 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
Gardner Webb at Duke 10* GW +24.5
Duke hasn't played since their 10 point win over Michigan back on Dec. 3. Other home games were a 1 point win over vermont and a 9 point win over ECU. GW is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games and lost by 11 at Missouri and 13 at Northwestern. They won 21 games last year and only lost at UNC by 17 to open last year.
They do have several key scorers and a PG with experience.
Hibbert 12.7 ppg Harper 12 Hill 10.8 Nelson 10 Strange 8.5 (67 assists/ 24 steals) Ivey 7.5
Duke is led by:
Parker 22 Hood 19 Cook 14.5
Duke is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 Monday games. They did win early games by big margins. The Blue Devils are not real deep and are down to just one Plumlee.
Kenpom has Duke winning 88-66. Take a chance on Gardner Webb +24.5 and hope they will be motivated playing at Cameron Indoor Stadium and keep it close.
10* GW +24.5
|
12-15-13 |
Troy State +14 v. Kansas State |
Top |
43-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
Take Troy +14 as they have already played at UAB and at Mississippi and were able to sty within the number. Look for Thomas and Hunter Williams to have nice games today for the underdogs. Antoine Myers is another key play for Troy.
Kansas State is coached ny Bruce Weber, who used to be at Illinois and led them to runner up finish to UNC back in 2005. KSU struggles at the line as they were just 10/20 in a recent game.
Look for KSU to win by 10 to 12 but Troy to cover.
10* Troy +14
|
12-15-13 |
Wright State -1 v. Miami Ohio |
Top |
56-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
|
Take Wright State
They won by 9 at home last year and outrebounded Miami 38-24 and now have 6'10" Pacher, who scores 11.5 ppg.mOthers include:
Dixon 10 (scored 21 last year) Yahoo 10 Young 7.8 (19 in last year's game) Vast 7 Arceneaux 7 Darling 7 Griffin 7
Miami is just 1-5 and scoring 65 ppg. They are led by:
Felder 13.8 ppg Johnson 13.5 McKnight 10 Sullivan 7
Wright State is just 5-6 and lost their last 3 on the road and lost at Georgetown back in November. WSU has won the last 3 games and this is a road game but they are just 30 miles from home.
Wright State wins by 6 and covers.
10* Wright State
|
12-15-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Cleveland Browns OVER 43.5 |
Top |
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 50 m |
Show
|
Take the over.
Games between AFC and NFC teams have gone over 20-3 in the last 23 meetings. The Bears can score and allow points under coach Marc Tressman. They have forced the least amount of punts in the NFL. The Bears have a second string QB who is playing better than Jay Cutler was. Cleveland has nothing to play for and can go all out on offense.
I think we see a game that makes it to 50 points even if the weather is cold and messy as we saw last week with snow being prevalent at some locations.
My guess is we see a 28-24 final and over.
10* over 43.5
|
12-14-13 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 55 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 57 m |
Show
|
Both teams like to run the ball which can use up clock. Navy has dominated this series lately and is prepared for the attack of the Cadets. Navy's Keenan Reynolds is a solid runner and edecent passer when needed.
I think we see a game in the 31-17 range that stays under the total.
Navy 31 Army 17
10* under 55
|
12-14-13 |
Youngstown State +20.5 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
73-91 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Take Youngstown State +20.5.
Pitt is undefeated and hasn't played in 8 days. They play undefeated Cincinnati on Tuesday and may look ahead in this early 12 noon game. The Panthers led LMU big and allowed some late points for the underdog to stay within 17 points. Pitt is now 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games.
Y-State is 7-4 made the postseason last year before losing by 2 in the CIT. The Penguins are led by senior guard Kendrick Perry at 20 ppg, 4 rebounds and 5 assists. Belin averages 13 ppg and had 32 against Kent. Hain, Weber, Keene and Cole score 8 to 10 points per game. Perry and Hain both shoot 51%.
This is a step up game for Youngstown State but they did win at Georgia last year. I don't look for the underdog to win but think they can stay within 20 points in this early 12 noon start. Also, one of the Y-State assistants was at Pittsburgh so there could be a connection there and the Panthers will ease up if ahead by 20 late in the game.
10* Youngstown State +20.5
|
12-12-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 v. Brooklyn Nets |
Top |
93-102 |
Loss |
-103 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
|
Take LA Clippers.
LA won last night at Boston and may have a letdown playing back to back and their 3rd in 4 nights but this team should be motivated under coach Doc Rivers. They are led by PG Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. They will be without JJ Redick again but have enough firepower to defeat the struggling Nets. They have been dealing with injuires to Deron Williams and problems with coach Jason Kidd, who has little experience. Brooklyn has plenty of tired legs and look to lose this game by 5 or more.
LAC 97 Brooklyn 90
10* LAC -2.5
|
12-11-13 |
Penn State -6 v. Duquesne |
Top |
68-59 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
PSU vs. Duquesne 10* PSU -6
PSU is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 while the Dukes are 10-26 ATS in its last 36. PSU won 84-74 last year. Duquesne lost at home to New Hampshire by 3. PSU is led by two solid guards:
Newbill 19 ppg (50% FG) Frazier 18.5 ppg (49.5%) Travis 11.5 Taylor 11.4
Look for PSU to win by 8 to 10 points.
10* Penn State -6
|
12-10-13 |
Gonzaga -2 v. West Virginia |
Top |
80-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
Take Gonzaga as they won 84-50 last year. They did lose Kelly Olynek to the NBA but still have solid players like:
Pango 19.8 ppg Dower 15 Bell 13.8 Coleman 11
David Stockton's dad John is in the Hall Of Fame and he is a decent assist guy and can steal the ball. His scoring is a little weak but he does have experience.
WV is at home but is just 6-19-1 ATS in its last 26 at home and 7-18-1 ATS on Tuesdays.
Look for Gonzaga to win and cover.
10* Gonzaga -2
|
12-09-13 |
Philadelphia Flyers +125 v. Ottawa Senators |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take Phil +125 on the road. They are 6-7-2 on the road and have won the two meetings with the Senators by 5-0 and 5-2 back in November. Ottawa has lost its last 5 at home and even goalie Craig Anderson has has his troubles and the backup as well.
Phil 3 Ott 2
10* Phil +125
|
12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
Top |
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
Take New Orleans -3 at home. The combo of coach Sean Payton and Drew Brees in the Superdome have been close to unbeatable as they are 13-1 ATS in the last 14. And they are off a bad loss at Seattle.
Carolina has played 8 road games and 6 of those were against teams with losing records. Cam Newton may struggle with noise issues in the dome. The Panthers did win by 1 at San Francisco and that was impressive and had to come from behind to defeat Miami.
Take NO to win and cover.
10* NO -3
|
12-08-13 |
Old Dominion +16.5 v. VCU |
Top |
48-69 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
|
ODU at VCU 10* ODU +16.5
VCU is off an OT win at home vs. Eastern Ky. ODU is just 2-1`2 ATS vs. VCU and lost last year by 13 and 4 points. VCU also beat Northeastern by 13 at home a few weeks ago.
VCU has seen 10 unders in its last 11 so they are expecting a lower scoring game even though 18 of the last 23 meetings have gone over.
ODU is a huge underdog of 16.5 points. Here are the scorers:
Bacote 19.5 Batten 13 Palmore 10 Ross 9.6 Baker 6.6
ODU shoots poorly at the line but should be motivated on this Sunday afternoon game that most will be following NFL action. VCU is well coached by Shaka Smart and led by:
Graham 16 Reddic 12 Bradenburg 11 Johnson 10.5 Weber 9.7
VCU should win easily but I like ODU's Jeff Jones squad to stay within 15 in this rival game as they are located just 1.5 hours apart and used to play in the CAA.
10* ODU +16.5
|
12-08-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Washington Redskins OVER 44.5 |
Top |
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 5 m |
Show
|
over 44.5
This looks to be either 44.5 or 45. NFC vs. AFC games have seen their share of overs as we have seen 41 overs and just 13 unders in 2013 and the last 23 have seen 20 overs/3 unders.
Also, 11 overs/ 1 unders in the last two years when NFC East home team plays non-division team late in the season.
Washington's defense has struggled and KC started 9-0 and lost 3 in a row. Their defense gave up plenty of yards and points agianst decent teams.
The Redskins are just 3-9 SU but RG111 has gotten healthier in the last few weeks and should be able to scramble for extra yards. I think we see at least 50 points on Sunday afternoon.
|
12-07-13 |
Missouri +2 v. Auburn |
Top |
42-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 31 m |
Show
|
Missouri has a better defense and passing game than Auburn does. Both teams have been great at winning this year, especially Auburn as they won with late plays vs. Georgia and Alabama. The Tide missed 4 field goals in their game and missed a 4th and 1 in Auburn territory.
QB Jmaes Franklin is very good for Missouri as he can pass and run. This team has done well with not turning the ball over. I think we see Missouri win outright but take whatever you can get.
10* Missouri +
|
12-07-13 |
Costal Carolina v. Montana UNDER 73.5 |
Top |
42-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 60 m |
Show
|
under 73.5 as it is supposed to be very cold in Montana on Saturday. This game is set for 2pm eastern. Coastal Carolina has to make the long trek out west to play this game. All it takes is a missed field goal or interception in the end zone and we see an under.
under 73.5
|
12-06-13 |
Bowling Green v. Northern Illinois -3 |
Top |
47-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 12 m |
Show
|
Take NI -3
Northern Illinois won last year 45-13 at Bowling Green. NI is led by QB Jordan Lynch. He is a great runner and decent passer and led the team to an undefeated season so far. BG is led by running back Travis Greene, who has 1422 yards on the ground. BG has won their last 4 games by 17, 51, 49 and 42 points while losing just 3 games and they were by 3 to Toledo, 1 at Miss State and by 32 at Indiana to start the year.
This should be close but look for NI to find a way to win.
10* NI -3
|
12-05-13 |
Houston Texans -3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
Houston just lost 13-6 at home and this has been a visitors series as they are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Jax has played well under Chad Henne on the road but now must play at home against a bad Houston team with Case Kennan, RB Ben Tate and WR Andre Johnson. The Texans lost to NE last week 34-31 but did show some offense. Jax has struggled at home with bad losses.
10* Houston -3
|
12-05-13 |
Marshall v. Vanderbilt -10 |
Top |
67-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
My power ratings have Vanderbilt winning this game by 14 or 15 points. Vandy is at home and better on offense, defense, FT% and FG%. Look for a close first half and the Commodores to win and cover.
Marshall 66 Vandy 81
10* Vandy -10
|
12-04-13 |
Detroit +9 v. Toledo |
Top |
75-91 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
Detroit +9
These two played less than two weeks ago and Toledo won by 2 points. The Rockets haven't lost yet but have played some close games. The Detroit Titans have some decent scorers and led by Juwan Howard Jr., whose dad played at Michigan.
Howard, Wilson. Grant, Brundidge, Bruinsome and Williams all average at least 8 ppg for Detroit.
Toledog should win but look for the underdog to play within 8 points and cover.
10* Detroit +9
|
12-04-13 |
Wisconsin +4.5 v. Virginia |
Top |
48-38 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin +4.5
Most places have this at +4 so look for the best number. UVA was able to go into Wisconsin and win last year. The Cavaliers are led by senior Joe Harris, Justin Anderson and Akil Mitchell.UVA is not a real deep team of athletes but are well coached under Tony Bennett. Wisconsin is solid under Bo Ryan. Sam Dekker and Ben Brust are solid outside shooters and should do some damage on the perimeter.
Look for a close gaem with the Badegers staying within 4.
10* Wisconsin + points
|
12-03-13 |
Vancouver Canucks -120 v. Nashville Predators |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
Vancouver is 9-5-2 on the road and won the last 2 meetings by 5-2 and 7-4. They are 2-1 in the last 3 road games. I think we see the Canucks win by 3-2.
Van 3 Nashville 2
10* Vancouver
|
12-03-13 |
Illinois +3 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
64-67 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
Take Illinois. They won 75-62 last year vs. Ga Tech and are 6-0 so far in 2013. They are 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 games and allow just 57 ppg. They are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 vs. the ACC while Ga Tech is 0-5 ATS against the Big Ten in its last 5. It does concern me that Ga Tech may seek revenge for last year's loss with many returning players.
I expect a close game with Illinois coming out ahead but take the points.
ILL 67 GT 65
10* Illinois + points
|
12-02-13 |
St. Louis Blues v. Los Angeles Kings -105 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
NHL St. Louis at LA 10:30pm
I like St. Louis to win a close, low scoring game on Monday night. The St. Louis Blues finish up the Colorado, San Jose, Los Angeles Kings roadtrip. The Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche and then lost to the Sharks 6-3. I like them to finish 2-1 on this road trip. The LA Kings (16-7-4) have dropped 4 of 5 and have only scored 0 or 1 in three of those losses. This team can definitely go through stretches in which they have trouble putting the puck in the net and not sure a game with St. Louis is going to lead to many goals. St. Louis (18-4-3) is 5-1 in the last 6 games with wins at Colorado, Boston and Buffalo.
STL 3 LA 2
Saint Louis wins a close one.
10* St. Louis -105
|
12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints +7 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
7-34 |
Loss |
-135 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking New Orleans + points. The Saints are battling the Carolina Panthers for a the division lead. They could be looking ahead to next Sunday night but they are led but future hall Of Fame QB Drew Brees and solid coach Sean Payton. Seattle is without their top cornerbacks and Brees should be able to find Jimmy Graham a few times.
Russell Wilson is a good QB for the home team and the Seahawks are solid at home with their fans and NO has to make the long trek to the northwest to face Seattle. However, I like the underdog getting close to a TD.
10* New Orleans
|
12-01-13 |
North Carolina v. UAB OVER 161 |
Top |
59-63 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
over 161
UNC and UAB played last year and it ended with 182 points scored. The Blazers are coached by former UNC assistant Jerod Haase. When UNC played ECU last year they went over the total easily as the Pirates are coached by former Tar Heel Jeff Lebo.
UAB has a fast paced guard (Frazier) who can score 15 to 20 points and UNC has McAdoo and Marcus Paige even though they will be without Hairston and McDonald again.
I think we see a game in the mid-160's and over.
10* over 161 points
|
12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets -1 |
Top |
23-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
40 h 10 m |
Show
|
The Jets have struggled lately with Geno Smith at QB but will be at home against warm weather Miami off their home loss to Carolina. Rex Ryan should have his team ready as they did beat New England and New Orleans earlier at home. The Jets do have a solid defense and the Dolphins are just an average offensive team.
NY Jets win by a field goal or more to cover.
10* NY Jets
Thanks and GL on Sunday!
|
12-01-13 |
New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
Take Houston + the points as they have the best defense in the NFL (statistics wise) and have played poorly this year based on injuries and QB troubles (mostly Matt Schaub).
New England is off a great comeback at home vs. Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos. I think we see the home team show some pride and stay within the number.
Take Houston + points.
10* Houston + points
|
11-30-13 |
UCLA v. USC -3.5 |
Top |
35-14 |
Loss |
-106 |
80 h 36 m |
Show
|
College Football
UCLA at USC 10* USC -3.5
UCLA has cooled off lately after a nice start. They have two freshman offensive lineup and face a USC defense allowing just 14 ppg at home. Both play in LA but this is a home game for the Trojans and the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. USC replaced their old coach with Ed Orgeron and they have played well for him. Take USC to win and cover.
USC wins by 10 points.
10* USC -3.5
|
11-29-13 |
IUPU Ft Wayne +15 v. Illinois |
Top |
55-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
Take IUPU Ft Wayne +15 as they are led by Forbes, Kibiloski, Bland and Reid all in the 9 to 12 ppg range. They are 6-2 on the year and had a 1 point game with Dayton. Illionois just played at UNLV and won after being down 10 at the half and they play at Ga Tech next.
I think we see the underdog stay within 15.
10* IUPU +15
|
11-28-13 |
Texas Tech v. Texas -4 |
Top |
16-41 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 7 m |
Show
|
Thursday:
college football
Texas Tech at Texas 7:30pm Thursday 10* Texas -4
Texas has won 6 of 7 games after a slow start. They lost their last game vs. a decent Oklahoma State team. Texas has played well against Texas Tech wiining the last 6 meetings by 9, 32, 10, 10, 6 and 16 points. Texas Tech started well but has lost its last four games by 29, 23, 18 and 8 points. I think we see the Mack Brown's Texas Longhorns win and cover on Thanksgiving.
Texas wins by 7 to 10 points.
10* Texas -4
|
11-28-13 |
Xavier v. Iowa -4.5 |
Top |
74-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
Iowa is 5-0 under coach Fran McCaffrey but they have played a weak schedule. The Hawkeyes return all 5 starters from last year as well as Wisconsin transfer Jarrod Uthoff. They are led by Devyn Marble who scored 15 ppg last year and is a good rebounder as well.
Xavier was just 17-14 last year and off to a nice start. They are smaller than Iowa and have moved into the Big East. The do have player named Myles Davis.
This game will be played on a neutral floor.
I think we see Iowa win by 8.
Iowa 75 Xavier 67
10* Iowa -4.5
|
11-27-13 |
Alabama +8 v. Duke |
Top |
64-74 |
Loss |
-106 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
Take Alabama +8 as the Crimson Tide are well coached by former VCU coach and former assistant to Billy Donovan (Anthony Grant). They are 4-1 with a 9 point loss to Oklahoma. They are led by guard Trevor Releford who can score and play solid defense.
Duke did lose to Kansas early in the year and barely beat ECU at home as it was a one point game with 7 minutes to go. Led by Jabari Parker, Rodney Hood and Quin Cook the Blue Devils are still a young team as sophomore Sulaiman starts as well.
Look for Alabama to stay in this as Kenpom's site has Duke winning by 2.
This game is set for Madison Square Garden.
10* Alabama +8
|
11-26-13 |
George Mason v. Princeton -5 |
Top |
66-71 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
|
GMU just lost by 16 on the road and now must play at Princeton, an Ivy school with a quirky offense led by Denton Koon and Will Barrett and TJ Bray as well as Clay Wilson. The Tigers have just loss and now face Paul Hewitt's team at home. The Princeton defense was #17 in the nation last year as they do like to slow it down.
George Mason does have Sherrod Wright inside and Byron Allen, a senior guard who, if he plays well, will help the underdogs cover on Tuesday.
I think we see Princeton win by 8 and cover.
10* Princeton -5
|
11-25-13 |
Marquette +6.5 v. Arizona St |
Top |
77-79 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
Take Marquette +6.5.
Marquette steps away from home to face the Arizona State Sun Devils. They haven't played well so far in 2013. They lost at home to Ohio State by 52-35 as they only made 1/18 3's. I expect them to play better away from home. They are led by Davonte Gardner, Chris Otule, Todd Mayo, Wilson and Taylor. They play solid defense under Buzz Williams. The Blue Ribbon College Basketball book had Marquette #16 in preseason ranking.
Arizona State is coached by former NCSU caoch Herb Sendek and undefeated at 5-0. They won at UNLV by 86-80. Carson scored 40 points in one game and Gilling is solid player as well.
I just think we see Marquette play better and stay within 6 points.
10* Marquette +6.5
|
11-25-13 |
Cleveland State v. Kentucky UNDER 159 |
Top |
61-68 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 26 m |
Show
|
Kentucky just played a very high scoring game with UTSA at home but their game with Robert Morris ended with a score in the 130's. This is a Monday night game and the Wildcats have a Wednesday game on deck. Ky should be able to play some backups since they are favored by 21.
Cleveland State is not a good offensive team. Let's call for a game in the low 150's.
under 159
|
11-24-13 |
Harvard +7 v. Colorado |
Top |
62-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
Harvard at Colorado 4:30pm 10* Harvard +7
Harvard is well coached by Tommy Amaker, who played at Duke. Harvard was able to win at Cal last year by 5 and only lost at St. Mary's by 1. They beat New Mexico in the NCAA tournament. They are led by Saunders at 17 ppg. Casey, Travis, Chambers and Mounder-Missi are decent players as well. Colorado lost by 12 on a neutral floor vs. Baylor and has beaten Wyoming by 5 and UCSB by 8. Hopefully, we see Harvard stay within 6 points.
10* Harvard +7
|
11-24-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 45 |
Top |
11-40 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 42 m |
Show
|
over 45 points
We get a matchup between the NFC and AFC conferenence members and thses games have seen close to 75% go over. Indy has a nice QB in 2nd year Andrew Luck out of Stanford. Arizona has Carson Palmer, who has been up and down but has solid passing numbers and led by great receiver Larry Fitzgerald. Look for a game to reach close to 50 points and go over.
over 45
|
11-24-13 |
Chicago Bears v. St. Louis Rams |
Top |
21-42 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 40 m |
Show
|
Take St. Louis as they are at home and all we need is for the Rams to win by a field goal. Backup up QB Kellen Clemens has been solid and the St. Louis offense has played well recently. Two rookies (returner Tavon Austin of West Va) have come in and provided a lift for the Rams, who are well coached by Jeff Fisher.
The Bears will have a backup as well for Jay Cutler but Chicago is off a 5 hours and 20 minute game last week. Chicago does need to keep up with the Lions in the NFC Central but I like Saint Louis to win and cover.
10* Saint Louis
|
11-23-13 |
Arizona State v. UCLA +3 |
Top |
38-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
UCLA +3
Take the home dog as UCLA is undefeated at home and beat Washington 41-31 last week. UCLA is playing well as they have added Myles Jack to play running back and QB Brett Hundley has had more time to throw with the ground game being more efficient.
Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at UCLA and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
ASU on the road:
won at Utah by 1 won at WSU by 34 lost at ND by 3 lost at Stanford by 14
Look for UCLA to win a close one tonight.
10* UCLA +3
|
11-23-13 |
Cincinnati v. Houston -3 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
72 h 42 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati at Houston 1pm Saturday 10* Houston -3
Cincy is playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and have played a fairly weak schedule. They did win big last week vs. Rutgers but this Houston team crushed the Scarlet Knights as well. Houston has been a team that I have had success with this year as they have played solid teams like Central Florida, Louisville and BYU. Houston QB John O'Korr has been good. The Cougars are 8-1 ATS so far in 2013 and are good on defense as well.
Cin 17 Houston 27
10* Houston -3
|
11-23-13 |
Virginia +20.5 v. Miami (Florida) |
Top |
26-45 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
Take Virginia +20.5 as Miami has struggled since their poor outing vs. FSU. They lost at Duke and RB Duke Johnson has suffered an injury. QB Stephen Morris has been erratic. Virginia is where Miami coach Al Golden was a few years ago so the Cavaliers under new coach Mike London should be focused. UVA played well in their opener vs. BYU but poorly since then but I think Virginia can stay within 3 TD's.
5* Virginia +20.5
|
11-21-13 |
Nebraska v. Massachusetts -3.5 |
Top |
90-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
UMass -3.5
Nebraska is playing their first road game. They did win big over last year's darling (Florida Gulf Coast) and beat a weak Western Illinois team but now they face UMass in an early game set for 12:30pm. UMass has played and defeated Boston College easily as well as LSU. I think we see the Minutemen win by 8 or more.
UMass 80 Neb 70
10* UMass -3.5
|
11-20-13 |
Northern Illinois -2 v. Toledo |
Top |
35-17 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
NI -2
Most places have this at -2.5. NI is 10-0 and Toledo is 7-3 straight up. Toledo is the home team and slight underdog as NI has won the last three years by 31-24, 63-60 and 65-30. NI has scored 59, 63 and 59 in the last 3 weeks. QB Jordan Lynch seems to find a way to win by running or passing his way to victory. Toledo RB Fluellan may play but won't be 100%.
Look for the Huskies to by by 7 points and cover.
10* NI -2
|
11-20-13 |
Pittsburgh Penguins v. Washington Capitals +100 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking Washington as a home underdog as they are 8-3 at home and you can get them at +100 at some books and -105 at others. Alex Ovechkin is playing well and leading the way as the Capitols just beat St. Louis 4-1. Pittsburgh is just 4-5 on the road and lost their last 3 road games by 4-1, 2-1 and 5-1 scores and are just 2-4 in their last 6 games.
Pitt 2 Washington 3
10* Washington +100
|
11-20-13 |
Dayton v. Georgia Tech -7.5 |
Top |
82-72 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
I think we see Ga Tech win by 10 to 12 points on Wednesday. GT coach Brian Gregory used to be at Dayton and would love to put it to the Flyers in ACC territory. Dayton barely beat IPFW by 3 points at home. Take the Yellow Jackets to win and cover tonight.
10* Ga Tech -7.5
|
11-19-13 |
Boston Celtics +11 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
85-109 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
Take Boston +11
The Celtics should be able to stay within 10 of Houston. The Rockets just finished playing fast paced Denver and have Dallas (rival) up next. The Celtics are a decent defensive team and 10th in 3-point percentage.
Houston 104 Boston 96
10* Boston +11
|
11-18-13 |
Arkansas St v. Colorado -13.5 |
Top |
70-93 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
Take Colorado as they started the year with a loss to Baylor in the state of Texas and then have won 3 in a row including a 5 point win over Wyoming, who beat Arkansas State by 21 points.
Ark State is just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 road games. Colorado also beat Jackson State by 24 and another opponent by 26.
Look for Colorado to win by 17 and cover.
10* Colorado -13.5
|
11-18-13 |
UNC Asheville v. Duke UNDER 155 |
Top |
55-91 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Take under 155.
Kenpom has the game 83-62 (145). UNCA may sscore in the first half but then tire out in the second as this game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Duke is led by Jabari Parker and Rodney Hood but is mostly young guys. Duke can name the score but I like our chances for an under.
under 155
|
11-17-13 |
South Carolina v. Clemson -5.5 |
Top |
57-71 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Take Clemson at home on Sunday. Both of these teams are bad but the Tigers have won both home games this year by 20 and 21 points, albeit vs. weak teams. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and Clemson is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. They are also 9-4 ATS in the last 13 vs. the SEC. The Tigers are led by Harrison and McDaniels and won last year at USC by 9.
I think we see Clemson win over Frank Martin's squad by 10 to 12 points and cover.
10* Clemson -5.5
|
11-17-13 |
Washington Redskins +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
109 h 50 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports
Sunday 1pm
Washington at Philadelphia Eagles 10* Redskins +3.5
Washington lost at home in their opener and will be motivated to play the Eagles again. Philly is 5-1 ATS on the road but a poor 0-4 ATS at home this year and 0-11-1 ATS in the last 12 home games. Alfred Morris of the Skins has 250 yards rushing in his last 2 games and the visitor is 14-2 ATS in the Eagles' last 16 games.
Allso, RG 111 is better prepared this game after sitting out the exhibition and playing poorly in the opener.
I think the Redskins have a good shot to win outright but take Washington at +3.5.
10* Washington +3.5
|
11-17-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 45 |
Top |
27-37 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
|
over 45 points
Take the over as we get the NFC facing the AFC and this set up has seen close to 70% overs this year. Pittsburgh has struggled to run the ball and will have Big Ben tossing the ball all over probably playing catchup as Matthew Stafford has Calvin Johnson to throw to and a decent running game.
The Steelers played solid defense last week but gave up 55 to New England two weeks ago.
Look for over 45 to profit.
10* over 45
|
11-16-13 |
Houston +17 v. Louisville |
Top |
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 3 m |
Show
|
Take Houston at +17
Louisville lost to a good passing team like Central Florida at home after jumping out to a big lead. The Cardinals are a solid team with QB Terry Bridgewater leading the way but they have underperformed after losing. Houston has played well this year and led by a freshman QB who has made the big plays. Houston only lost to BYU by one point and won easily at Rutgers. They look to bounce back after a loss at Central Florida.
I think Louisville win by 10 to 14 points but the underdog covers.
10* Houston +17
|
11-16-13 |
Hawaii v. Missouri -10 |
Top |
80-92 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 40 m |
Show
|
College BB Hawaii at Missouri (in KC) 7pm eastern pick: Missouri -10.5
Hawaii travels to the mainland to play Missouri in Kansas City, Mo. The Tigers have outscored opponents by an average of 80-56 this year. Look for Clarkson to play well. Hawaii 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Hawaii has struggled to play well away from home.
Look for Missouri to win by 15 or more.
10* Missouri
|
11-16-13 |
North Carolina +1 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 25 m |
Show
|
UNC has been hot lately as they beat Boston College and Virginia at home and won at NCSU. They should have beaten Miami but lost on a late score. QB Byrn is out with an injury but Marquise Williams scored on a pass, a run and threw a TD vs. the Cavaliers and should have confidence. The defense needs to step up and be motivated that they are 4-5 and in contention for a bowl bid. The Tar Heels have some receivers and AJ Blue is a nice runner.
Pitt is an average team but QB Tom Savage is slow and like a statue. Pitt was tied with ODU late in the game.
I think we see UNC win by 3 ot 7 points. Take UNC on Saturday.
10* UNC +1
|
11-14-13 |
Texas Tech v. Alabama -10.5 |
Top |
64-76 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 21 m |
Show
|
Look for Alabama to bounce back from a loss to Oklahome in their first game. Texas Tech is 2-0 but has played two patsies (N. Arizona) and won easily. They are just 3-13 ATS in the last 16 road games. These two played last year and Alabama jumped ahead by 16 at half and won by 66-62. Releford and Key and Randolph lead the way for the Tide.
TT lost ugly games on the road last year:
at Kansas L 37 at K State L 20 at ISU L 20 at WV L 2 at Baylor L 27 at Texas L 16 at Ok St L 34 at Okla L 18
Alabama plays solid defense at home and should bounce back with a double digit win.
10* Alabama -10.5
|
11-13-13 |
Ball State +8.5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
27-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
Take the underdog +7.5.
Most places have this at +7 but if you can find a +7.5 be sure to get that. Both teams are good as they are the class of the MAC and get to showcase their talents on national TV. NIU did advance to a nice bowl last year but lost by several TD's to FSU.
Ball State is able to run and pass under QB Keith Wenning and they only lost 41-38 at NIU back in 2011.
I think we see a 38-33 type of game so take the underdog.
10* Ball State +7.5
|
11-13-13 |
Wright State +10 v. Georgetown |
Top |
70-88 |
Loss |
-106 |
17 h 29 m |
Show
|
Gtown just played in Korea and lost to Oregon in a high scoring game and play their home opener on Wednesday night. Josh Smith was leading scorer at 25 points and Starks had 16. The Hoyas were just 1/15 from 3 pointer range. Greg Whittington is out with an injury.
Wright State was 23-13 last year and won their opener vs. a weak team. They return most of their team and were in the CBI tournament last year. Cole Darling did miss the opener and not sure if and when he will be available. Pacher had 21 points, Yoho with 17, Young with 10 pts and 10 rbs. Davis added 10 points.
This looks to be a low scoring game in the 64-57 range.
10* Wright State +10
|
11-12-13 |
VCU v. Virginia UNDER 142 |
Top |
59-56 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 22 m |
Show
|
under 142
UVA's highest total last year was 131 and that was the home game with UNC. They did play a game that ended with 139 points with Iowa in the postseason and their game with Duke ended with 141 points. The Cavaliers have played 17 unders/5 overs in their last 22 non-conference games.
The game is at UVA and they will try to dictate pace. Tony Bennett is known for defense and a slow pace. VCU is known for playing fast and trying to force teams to play up to their speed.
UVA's game with JMU was 61-41 (102 points) while VCU's game had 154 points. Kenpom's site has this 66-62 (128 points) so I will look for the under.
10* under 142
|
11-12-13 |
Western Kentucky v. Wichita State UNDER 142 |
|
49-66 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
under the total
Wichita State is a solid squad led by Early and Baker but 13 of their last 17 home games have stayed under so they are used to playing unders. Their first game ended 93-50 for 143 points. Western Ky should be able to play soldi defense and have played unders in 10 of last 11 Monday games even though this looks to start early on Tuesday. The late game may add to a lower score.
WKY had their l;ast few games end with 121, 128, 114, 121 and 134 points. Look for an under in this odd starting time.
10* under 142
|
11-11-13 |
Georgia Southern +14.5 v. Miami (Fla) |
Top |
80-81 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 20 m |
Show
|
Take Ga Southern +14.5.
Miami lost several key players from last year including ACC POY Shane Larkin and Kenny Kadje as well as Durand Scott. Jim Larranaga's squad lost at home to St. Francis of NY in OT by 66-62. Rion Brown is back and is a decent scorer.
Ga Southern won their first game over a small school and scored over 100 points in their decisive victory and should have some confidence in playing the Hurricanes on Monday as they had six players score in double figures. GA Southern faces Davidson two of their last four games last season so they are used to playing some decent games.
I do expect Miami to bounce back and win but like Ga Southern getting plenty of points.
10* Ga Southern +14.5
|
11-10-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6 |
Top |
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 22 m |
Show
|
Take the Saints at home as they are off a bad loss at the NY Jets but had some key injuries, especially Jimmy Graham, who was not 100% and one of Drew Brees' top targets at his tight end position.
The Saints are 13-=0 SU and ATS at home when Sean Payton coaches. He did sit out last year due to Bountygate.
The Cowboys are off a nice comeback win at home over Minnesota. I expect to see Bress play well and for the home team to win by 10 to 14 points.
10* New Orleans -6
|
11-10-13 |
Oakland Raiders v. NY Giants OVER 43.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 57 m |
Show
|
over 43.5
This game matches AFC against NFC and we have seen 31 overs and 11 unders in this situation. NYG have Eli Manning and he has been better in recent weeks. Oakland's QB Terrell Pryor can run and pass. He is a threat to be intercepted as well.
I think we see a game in the upper 40's. Take over 43.5 which is available but 44's are at most books.
10* over 43.5
|
11-09-13 |
Virginia Tech +7 v. Miami (Florida) |
Top |
42-24 |
Win
|
100 |
77 h 5 m |
Show
|
Take Va Tech +7 as Frank Beamer is the winniest coach still active in college football. Logan Thomas is a senior and should be able to step up against a Miami team that should suffer a letdown after a bad loss to FSU as they were outgained by 200 yards and have RB Duke Johnson injured.
QB Stephen Morris has been average and the Hokies are in the top 10 in defensive stats like points allowed, rushing yards and passing yards.
Defense and motivation for the Hokies bad loss in Boston should help Beamer's team.
The FG kicker has struggled for VT so let's hope he can make one if needed.
I think we see a 21-20 type of game.
10* VT +7
|
11-09-13 |
Temple v. Pennsylvania +5 |
Top |
78-73 |
Push |
0 |
23 h 7 m |
Show
|
Take Penn +5.5
These two played last year and Penn led by 2 at the half and led most of the game. It ended with the Owls winning by a margin of 7 points (76-69). Temple loses Khalif Wyatt (he had 26 in the win over the Quakers) and his 20 ppg scoring average. The Owls lose 73% of their scoring from last year. Only 2 of the 7 players in the Temple game with Indiana are still on the team. They have one senior and 2 experienced juniors. The Temple coach (fran Dunphy) used to coach at Penn and both schools are located in Philadelphia.
Penn was down last year. They had some injuries and lost key players like Zack Rosen the year before. Guard Miles Cartwright did score 21 in the Temple game last year. He is a senior this year. He shoots 84% from the line. They return all 5 starters and get Fran Daugherty back from last year's bout with mono and an elbow injury. He averaged 13.8 ppg and 8 rebounds. 6'11" center Darien Nelson-Henry is back and he led the Ivy League in FG shooting at 54%. He had 17 in the Penn game.
Tony Hicks returns and he was at 10 ppg last year and averaged 19.7 points in the last 7 games. Henry Brooks returns at power forward and he scored 10 in the Temple game and so does Lucas-Perry who had 15 in the loss to the Owls.
This game will be at Penn and a nice way to start the year. Penn did travel to Italy to play some games this summer and won all their games but it was against weak competition. It was a chance to play together and bond.
Take Penn at 5.5.
Thanks and good luck this year in college hoops......
10* Penn +5.5
|
11-09-13 |
Tulane +9 v. Texas San Antonio |
Top |
7-10 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 33 m |
Show
|
Take Tulane +9
Tulane has played well this year but stunk last week at FAU. They jumped ahead and then lost as Nick Montana (Joe's son) tossed 3 interceptions. Montana's backup (Powell) has done well in certain games such as the home OT win over ECU about a month ago. RB Orleans Darka has been solid and so has the defense of the Green Wave.
UTSA is coached by Larry Coker who was at Miami. They are not eligible for a bowl and have won just one home game but have played some good teams. They beat UAB badly but Tulane looks to bounce back on Saturday and can stay within 9 points.
10* Tulane +9
|
11-08-13 |
Delaware v. Richmond -9 |
Top |
69-71 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
Delaware won 19 games last year and was able to win at Virginia early in the year however they do lose inside defense from the CAA Defensive POY Jamelle Hagans. They do return Sadler and Threatt who should lead the way. They did play at Duke and lose by 38 points.
Richmond is well coached by Chris Mooney. The team loses Darien Brothers but returns 8 of its top 10 scorers. Senior guard Cedrick Lindsey scored 13 ppg last year and Jr. Kendall Anthony scored 11.5 ppg and Derrick Williams is solid as well with another 11.4 ppg. Ododa plays nice inside on defense for the Spiders.
The road team will win their share of games this year but Delaware was able to open last year with two 40 point wins and should be able to win by 12-13 points tonight.
10* Richmond -9
|
11-07-13 |
Oklahoma +15 v. Baylor |
Top |
12-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 34 m |
Show
|
Take OU as the Sooners won last year at home by about a touchdown. OU has a decent QB (Bell), solid running game, good coach (Stoops) and athletes on defense. Baylor has been great at home but has beaten teams like Buffalo, West Va and Iowa State, not Texas, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech.
Then Baylor QB (Petty) and coach Art Briles are a nice offensive combo and the Bears' defense is better but I think the Sooners will be motivated to go to Baylor and play well and stay within 14 points.
10* Oklahoma +15
|
11-06-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Orlando Magic +7 |
Top |
90-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
The LA Clippers travel from California to the state of Florida to face Orlando and the team led by Chris Paul and Blake Griffin may look ahead to their next game with the NBA champions (Miami Heat). Orlando is 4-0 ATS and has won at home by 20 and 21 points. They are led by the following players who have scored 10 or more in the one of the home games: Oladipo, Vucevic, Nicholson, Kyle O'Quinn, Harkless, Aaron Affalo and Jamir Nelson. Not exactly household names but solid players.
Take Orlando +7.
|
11-05-13 |
Bowling Green v. Miami (OH) +23.5 |
Top |
45-3 |
Loss |
-106 |
28 h 54 m |
Show
|
Take Miami +23.5
Miami is 0-8 overall but their home losses were by 7 to Akron, 12 to CMU and by 14 to Cincy. The last two years have seen BG win by 25 and 14 points. The Miami Ohio home games have been low scoring and BG has seen unders 8-0 last 8 after an ATS loss so we should see a low scoring game with the total set at 46.
QB Boucher was 23 of 34 in a recent game but theRed Hawks have struggled to run and they may hurt them. They did lose by 7 at UMass but should be motivated being on national TV.
BG is 4-1 at home but just 1-2 on the road. All we need is a 31-13 type of game to stay within the number. Take Miami Ohio +23.5 and good luck as always!
5* Miami Ohio +23.5
|
11-04-13 |
Detroit Red Wings -125 v. Winnipeg Jets |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
|
Detroit is -125 and that is a fair price for the better tema as the Red Wings are 9-4-1-1 this year and winners of 5 of last 6 on the road. Here are their last 6 on the road:
won 5-0 at Edmonton won 4-3 at Calgary won 2-1 at Vancouver lost 5-2 at Phoenix won 4-2 at Colorado won 3-2 at Boston
There are some solid road wins in the bunch.
Winnipeg is just 5-8-1-1 overall and just 1-6 in the last 7 games. These two are going in opposite directions. I think we see a 3-2 win by Detroit on Monday night.
Thanks and good luck as always!
10* Detroit -125
|
11-03-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Loss |
-114 |
33 h 56 m |
Show
|
Indy Colts/Houston under 44.5 (8:30pm game)
Houston is #1 in the NFL in yards allowed and the Colts are solid on defense and have 6 overs/21 unders in the last 27 games when the total is set at 49 points or less. The last 5 meetings have stayed under.
10* under 44.5 points
|
11-03-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills OVER 40 |
Top |
23-13 |
Loss |
-107 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking the over in this game. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 in every game allowing 35, 21, 27, 37, 20, 27, 23 and 23 points. KC is 8-0 SU and now faces a weaker defense with a bye next week. They should be able to run Jamaal Charles and let Alex Smith throw his short passes.
The Bills look to start backup (#3) Jeff Tuel as Lewis and Manuel are out but they do get CJ Spiller back. These two played a 35-17 game last year with Cassel and Fitzpatrick at QB.
Buffalo has 6 overs in its last 7 games and KC on the road played 43 points at Tennessee and 42 at Philly.
All we need is a 24-17 game to get over the total.
Thanks and good luck as I expect to bounce back after a losing Saturday.
10* over 40
|
11-02-13 |
Miami (Florida) v. Florida State OVER 61.5 |
Top |
14-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 30 m |
Show
|
over 61.5
FSU is at home and ranked third behind Alabama and Oregon. They need a statement game vs. their state rival. QB Jameis Winston has been solid at home and on the road. The team has jumped ahead and allowed the opponents to score as we saw in the NCSU game.
Miami has a decent but erratic QB and running back Duke Johnson has been injury prone lately but the Hurricanes should be able to provide some points to help this get over.
over 61.5
|
11-02-13 |
Illinois v. Penn State -10.5 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-106 |
37 h 42 m |
Show
|
PSU -10.5
Penn State is off a bad loss at Ohio State but I expect them to bounce back at home vs. a bad defensive team like Illinois. The Nittany Lions have done well under their new coach (Bill O'Brien) in bouncing back after losses and it is no shame in losing in the Buckeye State to OSU.
The Illini lost 35-7 at home to Penn State last year.
I think we see PSU win by 14 to 17 points and cover the 10.5 to -11. PSU was -10 for most of the week.
Thanks and good luck to all as we hope to bounce back after some recent losses.
10* Penn State -10.5
|
11-02-13 |
Virginia Tech -4 v. Boston College |
Top |
27-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 41 m |
Show
|
Take Virginia Tech -4. The Hokies won last year by 7 in overtime. VT lost at home to Duke last week but missed 2 FG's and QB Logan Thomas had 4 int's. BC played poorly and lost at UNC after the Tar Heels had lost 4 in a row.
BC does have an experienced QB (Chase Rettig) and solid RB (Williams) but the Hokies were able to win at ECU 15-10 to shut down QB Shane Carden and won 17-10 at Georgia Tech, which was impressive.
I think we see Thomas play better and the VT defense step up and the road team win by 10 points.
VT 24-14.
10* Virginia Tech -4
|
11-02-13 |
Illinois v. Penn State OVER 54 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-106 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
I think we see plenty of points today with PSU leading the way.
This game does start at 12 noon so take note. I think we see at least 60 points.
This total should go up.
10* over 54
|
11-01-13 |
USC v. Oregon State UNDER 53 |
Top |
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 50 m |
Show
|
Under 53
USC has played some good defense after changing coaches a few weeks ago. They helped us win a nice under play last week in a 19-3 game with Utah. Their game with Notre Dame ended with 24 (14-10) points scored and an earlier game with Boston College was 35-7 (42 points). The Trojans did play one game that was close to 100 points scored.
Oregon State has a solid offense but last week's game with Stanford was 20-12 (32 points) but other games this year were in the 60, 76, 61 and 64 points range.
I won't be shocked by a high score but think we see USC slow it down and try not to get into a run and gun game with the Beavers.
10* under 53
|
10-31-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins OVER 42.5 |
Top |
20-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 54 m |
Show
|
Cincy at Miami #303/304 8:25pm over 42.5
Most places have this at 43. Here are some numbers for this game that favor the over:
*The last 5 Thursday night games have gone over.
*Cincy has reached 51, 51 and 58 points in their last 3 games with their opponent. QB Andy Dalton has been solid all year long and so has rookie RB Gio Bernand and WR AJ Green.
*Miami is at home and averages more ppg in front of their fans. The weather should be warm in south Florida on Thursday night.
I think we see about 48 points scored and an over.
10* over 42.5
|
10-31-13 |
South Florida v. Houston -17.5 |
Top |
23-35 |
Loss |
-107 |
43 h 58 m |
Show
|
Houston -17.5
Take the home team as they are undefeated ATS and playing solid offense, defense and special teams. QB John O'Korr has been playing well for a freshamn and they have just won at Rutgers and played a 45-44 game vs. a good BYU team at home and covered the +7.
USF will struggle to keep up and Houston needs to win and ensure a nice bowl bid.
Houston wins by 21 to 24 points.
* Houston -17.5
|
10-30-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +12 v. Golden State Warriors |
Top |
94-125 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Lakers travel a short distance from LA to San Francisco to face Golden State. The Warriors are playing their opening game while the Lake Show won last night by double digits over the LA Clippers. There is talk that Steve Nash may not play much in this back to back night but LA got double digits from Kaman, Hill, Meeks, Xavier Henry, Young, Pao Gasol and Jordan Farmar.
GS does have a solid team with Curry leading the way and they are at home but I expect to see a close game with LA having confidence after last night.
GS wins but LA covers the high number.
10* LA Lakers +12
|
10-30-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers -4 v. Phoenix Suns |
Top |
91-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 13 m |
Show
|
Red Dog Sports NBA
Wednesday
Portland at Phoenix 10* Portland -4.5
Portland started 20-15 last year but had some injuries and other problems and ended up losing their last 13 games. They opened last year by beating the LA Lakers by 10 points. In their opener on Wednesday they play Phoenix. The Suns just traded a big man for Emeka Okafor (he is injured and won't play) and they traded Kendall Marshall and may be looking to get rid of guard Dragic. Portland has an over/under of 39 wins while Phoenix's is 23 wins. Teams may try to lose games this year to get in better position to draft Andrew Wiggins or another key player for next year.
Portland has rookie of the year Damien Hilliard, Lamrcus Aldridge and Nicolas Batum to score, rebound and play defense as well as Robin Lopez. Mo Williams and Thomas Robinson should provide backup play.
Portland started the preseason 0-2 but won their next 5 including wins at Utah, LA Clippers and Golden State.
I think we have a nice chance taking a road favorite in their opener as the Trail Blazers try to forget about 2012-13 and start the 2013-14 season on a positive note.
|
10-29-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers -8 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
103-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 54 m |
Show
|
Take the Clippers -8 on opening night. Doc Rivers' team won and covered all 4 meetings with the Lakers last year. I expect Chris Paul and Blake Griffin to play well and Kobe Bryant will be out for the Lakers. Steve Blake will be counted on as well as Steve Nash to guard Paul. I think we see the Lakers hang for a half but LAC to win by 12 and cover.
LAC wins by 12
10* LA Clippers
|
10-28-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams UNDER 43.5 |
Top |
14-9 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 46 m |
Show
|
I like the under on Monday night. Seattle has a good defense and the Rams will be without QB Sam Bradford. The Seahawks are good on offense and can put up plenty of points but they can jump ahead and use up clock with their running game.
It is being played inside on a fast surface but I think we see a game in the mid to upper 30's that stays under especially if you can get 43.5.
Thanks and good luck to you!
10* under 43.5
|
10-27-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
44-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Take the under in this division game between the Packers and the Vikings. Ponder looks to start for Minny and can't do any worse than Josh Freeman sis last week. It's a short week for Minnesota. The do have 5 overs/1 under but have the running of Peterson to keep the clock running.
Green Bay offense can be scary under Aaron Rodgers but their running game has improved and so has their defense.
Look for the under tonight.
10* under
|
10-27-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 v. Oakland Raiders |
Top |
18-21 |
Loss |
-117 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
This line is anywhere from Pittsburgh -1 to -2.5 and may have some -3's out there. Pitt is 2-0 in their last two games and scored 19 in each but allowed just 6 to the Jets and 16 to the Ravens. Big Ben has been playing well and tossing the rock to Heath Miller, Brown and Cotchery. RB Bell has been running the ball and had 93 yards on the ground recently. The Steeler's defense has played great.
Oakland has lost 3 of 4 and one was a bad home loss to Washington a few weeks ago when the Raiders failed to score in the second half.
Oakland is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after a bye. They have a young QB in Terrell Pryor and this Steeler team should exploit his youth.
The Raiders are a decent running team and if they get the ground game going they deserve to win and cover but I like the road team.
10* Pittsburgh -1
|
10-27-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. New Orleans Saints -11 |
Top |
17-35 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 16 m |
Show
|
Most books have this at -10.5 or -11. Buffalo will use Thaddeus Lewis, who will make his firsdt start in a dome. New Orleans has been deadly at home under coach Sean Payton, as they are 12-0 SU and ATS in his last 12 home games. He did miss last year.
The Saints are off a bye and lost at New England by allowing a late TD pass from Tom Brady. NO will be happy to get back on the field in front of their fans and their improved defense under Rex Ryan's brother (Rob).
Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer and solid. I expect we see a 33-14 type of game with the Saints winning and covering. Double digits are hard to cover sometimes in the NFL but I like our chances with New Orleans in this situation.
10* New Orleans
|
10-26-13 |
Colorado State v. Hawaii OVER 54.5 |
Top |
35-28 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
Take the over. 54.5 is at one book but most places have it at 55. The game last year between these two ended up going over 52 (total set for that game) as it was 42-27 (69 points). Hawaii's last 3 games reached 76 with UNLV, 64 with San Jose State and 79 with Fresno State. The Rainbows have 4 overs, 1 under and a push.
Colorado State's last 3 games have seen totals of 74, 61 and 101.
Hopefully, both teams can contribute points and get this game near 60 points.
Thanks for your purchase and good luck...as always from RED DOG SPORTS.
|
10-26-13 |
Texas +2.5 v. TCU |
Top |
30-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
Texas +2 at TCU Saturday 7:30pm ET
Look for Texas to win outright as they are 20-2 SU and 14-7-1 ATS vs. TCU. Mack Brown's team seems to be playing better and they did replace their defensive coordinator (Manny Diaz) with Greg Robinson earlier in the year after a loss to BYU.
TCU starting QB may not play and if he does he won't be 100%. TCU is well coached by Gary Patterson but not the strong defensive team they were several years ago.
Texas has been running the ball well and playing solid defense lately. Look for a close game with the Longhorns winning on the road.
Texas 24 TCU 21
3* Texas +2
|
10-26-13 |
Boston College +7.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
10-34 |
Loss |
-114 |
74 h 40 m |
Show
|
BC at UNC 3:30pm Saturday pick: Boston College +7.5
BC is off a bye. In their last game, they led at Clemson 14-10 in the second half but ended up losing 24-14. They stayed with Florida State at home as they lost by 14 points. QB Chase Rettig had 4 TD passes in that home game. Andre Williams ran for 149 yards vs. the Seminoles.
UNC just lost at home to Miami by allowing a late TD. QB Bryn Renner and his backup played well but the running game still misses Gio Bernard. UNC has lost 4 in a row overall .......and here are their last 5 home games:
lost by 4 to Miami lost by 24 to ECU won by 20 over MTSU won by 7 over Md lost by 18 to GT
Midnight Madness will be at the Dean Dome on Friday night and this football game will be Saturday afternoon. The Tar Heels face instate rival NC State (only 30 minutes away) next week.
It does concern me that BC is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and their game at USC was a disaster but the Eagles should be able to keep it close under the leadership of Chase Rettig and a solid running game of Williams (who had 263 yards/5 TD's vs. Army.
I have seen some 7's and 7.5's so shop around.
Boston College +7.5
|
10-26-13 |
Houston +7 v. Rutgers |
Top |
49-14 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 31 m |
Show
|
10* Houston +7
Rutgers is off a close loss to Louisville by 14 points. At home they defeated Arkansas 28-24 and beat a weak Eastern Michigan team.
Houston has QB John O'Korn. He is young but has a strong arm. The Cougars lost a close one at home to BYU 47-46 and we had Houston + points in that one.
I think we see a game where Houston stays within 7 points. My guess is 28-24.
10* Houston +7
|
10-25-13 |
Boise State v. BYU UNDER 61 |
Top |
20-37 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
Take under 61
These two played a 7-6 game last year. BSU lost QB Joe Southwich to an injury so their backup will be on the field. BYU likes to run the ball but BSU only allows 3.4 yards per carry.
BYU did play a high scoring game with Houston last week that ended with 93 points but others ended with 58, 45, 47, 33, 61 and 35 points.
I think we see a game in the mid 50's that stays under.
10* under 61
|
10-24-13 |
Kentucky v. Mississippi State UNDER 56 |
Top |
22-28 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 12 m |
Show
|
Kentucky vs. Miss State 7:30pm Thursday pick: under 56
I played UNC/Miami under the total last week on Thursday night and got a nice win. The under is 12-4 so far in Thursday night games (not including the opening week). The last 5 meetings between these two have seen 41, 44, 41, 55 and 44 points. The Kentucky versus Louisville game only reached 40 points.
This was at 57 earlier but down to 56 at most books.
10 units under 56
|
10-23-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Boston Red Sox -118 |
Top |
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
I like Boston to win the opener. They are at home and get to face Adam Wainwright, who is dominant at home but did not do as well on the road. The Cardinals did have some injuries (Furcal) this year and lost Albert Pujols a few years back but have gotten production from Carpenter, Matt Holliday, David Freese, David Adams and Allen Craig.
Boston has the bearded crew led by Big Papi (David Ortiz), Dustin Pedroia and Mike Napoli). Starter Jon Lester has good stuff and the Red Sox faired well against the National League while the Cards were just 10-10 vs. the AL.
Take the small home favorite tonight.
10* Boston
|
10-22-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arkansas State UNDER 68 |
Top |
23-7 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 16 m |
Show
|
Under the total. Both teams are undefeated in conference and do have strong offenses but this will be played on an odd day of the week (Tuesday) that they are not used to playing on. These two did play a 50-27 game last year but it was 30-21 back in 2011 and 31-24 in 2010.
Being on national TV both teams could focus on playing better defense. 68 is a high total and they could surpass it but I like our chances with an under tonight in this college football game.
10* under 68
|
10-22-13 |
Chicago Blackhawks v. Florida Panthers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Look for an under tonight in this NHL game. I think we see Chicago win 3-2.
Chi 3 FLA 2
10* under 5.5
|
10-21-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3 |
Top |
7-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Take the NY Giants as the Vikings look to use Josh Freeman at QB and he won't be 100% familiar with their system. Adrian Peterson surely won't be focused after the death of his child in the last few weeks.
Eli Manning and the Giants get a chance to win on Monday night and get their initial win vs. a team that usually plays in a dome.
NYG win by 7.
10* NYG
|
10-20-13 |
Denver Broncos -6 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
33-39 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
I think Denver comes out focused after some comments made by Robert Irsay about Peyton Manning. The Broncos should be able to put up at least 30 point with their receivers like Wes Welker. Indy QB Andrew Luck is solid but still only in his sophomore season in the NFL and Von Miller comes back today. Denver wins by 10 and covers.
10* Denver
|
10-20-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -1 |
Top |
27-24 |
Loss |
-123 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
This line is anywhere from -1 to -2.5. I like the home team as it will be the Bengals' only game in a dome. The Lions are 2-0 at home and average 35 ppg with their speed and the athleticism of Reggie Bush and QB Stafford. Calvin Johnson needs to step up at WR.
The Lion defense is led by Suh and they should be able to slow down QB Andy Dalton and WR Green.
Detroit wins by 7.
10* Detroit -1
|
10-20-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 45 |
Top |
24-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 24 m |
Show
|
over 45
I have seen 44.5 to 45.5 but many books have this at 45. I think we see an over after San Diego played Monday night at home vs. Indy and played an ugly under that included strong defense against Andrew Luck. Jax is able to put up points with their QB and with the runing game of Maurice Jones-Drew.
SD does have Philip Rivers who can throw the ball to his own team and is usaully good for a pick 6. All we need is both teams at 23 and we see an over.
over 45
|