Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-22-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOW) The Riders are looking to bounce back after a tight 33-31 loss to Calgary in Week 6. They had the game in hand, but let it slip away late. Overall Saskatchewan is 3-2, while BC is 4-1. The Lions though have been inactive since Week 5, enjoying their bye week, and the old "rest" leading to "rust" scenario is very real here in our opinion. We look for the visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. No outright, but close; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-21-23 | Toronto v. Hamilton +9.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Ti-Cats (BLOOD-BATH) The Argonauts are 4-0 SU/ATS, but we're expecting an all out war here on Friday night, and because of that, we're grabbing the points. Toronto plays Saskatchewan at a neutral location next week, so this sets up as not only a "letdown" spot, but also a "look ahead" position. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Hamilton plays with the added incentive of revenge as well after falling 32-14 on the road in Toronto in Week 2 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Ti-Cats are coming off a quality win and cover in last week's 37-29 win over the Elks, and all signs point to another competitive battle here; grab the points, the play is Hamilton! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-20-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Winnipeg -14.5 | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
10* Bombers (WEST-CONF GOW) The Elks are terrible. They're 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS. One week after earning their first ATS win in a 12-11 loss at Saskatchewan, Edmonton got back to its losing ways in last week's 37-29 loss to Hamilton. Winnipeg dominate the Elks in every metric, and the only way the Elks cover here is if this were a "trap" game for the home side, but that's just not the case. Winnipeg's two-game win streak came to an end in last week's 31-28 OT loss to the Redblacks as a ten-point favorite, and note that the Bombers are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. With a timely bye week up next, Winnipeg keeps the goot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Winnipeg! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-19-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
10* Orioles runline (ASSASSIN) Both teams came into the second half on big runs, but it's been the Dodgers who have taken the first two games of this series, including yesterday's contest by a score of 10-3. Note though that the Orioles are still 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. With a tough series at Texas up next, we expect the visiting side to finally get caught looking ahead. These starters are evenly matched, as the Dodgers go with Julio Urias (7-5, 4.35 ERA), while the home side counters with Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.59), but the situational and trend based-factors working in Baltimores favor do indeed make the home side the correct call. But we're laying the short price, and grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-15-23 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa +10 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN) Are the 4-1 Winnipeg Blue Bombers the better team? They are for sure. But the 1-3 Ottawa RedBlacks won't be going down without a fight here, and in what we anticipate to be a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting, we're grabbing the points. Winnipeg returns home after this to face the lowly Elks, and after going up early, we can expect the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Ottawa is 1-1 at home, scoring 41 points in front of the home town crowd collectively. I say the RedBlacks don't win this game outright, but they certainly keep it a "nail-biter" until the final moments; grab the points, the play is Ottawa! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-13-23 | Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +2.5 | Top | 37-29 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
10* Elks (GOW) These are two terrible teams. That said, Edmonton is 0-5 and Hamilton is 1-3 after holding on for its first win of the year at home (21-13 over Ottawa.) The Ti-Cats though are 0-2 SU/ATS on the road and we absolutely expect them to stumble here against this determined Elks side. Edmonton didn't look fantastic last week, but it looked a lot better in every respect, falling 12-11 at Saskatchewan as a 7-point dog. Now more determined than ever to earn their first win of the year, it's essentially "do or die" on the season right here, as on 0-6 hole would be devastating. While the outright win is obviously possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Edmonton! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-12-23 | Aces v. Sparks +14 | Top | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
10* Sparks (WEST-CONF GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the Sparks from a situational stand point, and that's 95% of what this selection is based upon. The Aces are 18-2 after last night's 98-72 win over Phoenix as 17-point favorites. But we expect Las Vegas to finally get caught flat-footed here as it "looks ahead" to the All Star weekend, in which it'll be a big representative. LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. LA is 7-12, but it won't be lacking for motivation after five straight SU/ATS losses in a row (which is also significant to note, as LA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Everything points to a much tighter battle than what this big spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-11-23 | Mercury +17.5 v. Aces | Top | 72-98 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Mercury (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! Of course not. But we look for the 17-2 Aces to take the foot off the gas down the stretch, letting the revenge-minded 4-14 Mercury to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Phoenix lost 99-79 at home as a 19-point underdog to Las Vegas back in June, but note that the Mercury are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Las Vegas though gets caught "looking ahead" to its final game of the first half at LA tomorrow night, before being a featured team in the All-Star activities. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Calgary +7.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
10* Calgary (WEST-CONF GOW) Calgary is 1-2 and is the "hungrier" dog in this fight. It's coming out of its bye week as well, and we expect that to play a big role in the Stampeders, at the very least, earning a hard earned "cover" with the large amount of points they've been afforded. To say this is a "revenge" spot as well would be an understatement, as Winnipeg took all three meetings a year ago. Calgary's lone win this year has come on the road, and we're expecting another big effort here on Saturday night as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is the Stampeders! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-07-23 | Fever +4 v. Mystics | Top | 88-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
10* Fever (ASSASSIN) We feel these teams are evenly matched and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Indiana is just 5-12. It's coming in off five straight SU losses, and three straight ATS losses. Those are both significant streaks of futility to take note of here though, as Indiana is 3-1 ATS in its last four after five or more SU losses in a row and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more straight ATS setbacks in row. Washington is 9-7, but it's faltered of late, losing two in a row SU and ATS. With a game at the Eastern Conference leading Sun on Wednesday, this is a potential "look ahead" spot for the home side as well. An outright win would not shock us, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-05-23 | Wings +15.5 v. Aces | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Wings (BLOOD-BATH) This is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, and while we're not calling for an outright titanic upset here or anything, we do feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up to the Wings. Las Vegas is now 15-1 after its 102-84 win over Connecticut here at home last time out, avenging its only loss of the season so far. We expect the home side to come out a bit complacent here after that big win. Dallas is 8-8 and off B2B SU/ATS victories and we're looking for that positive momentum to get carried over here; no outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-04-23 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* White Sox runline (ASSASSIN) Toronto shouldn't be favored here just because it's win/loss record is better overall. The Jays are just 22-22 on the road as well. They come in with zero momentum after getting swept at home by the Red Sox. The White Sox lost two of three at Oakland over the weekend, but they bounced back with an 8-7 win in the finale. Chris Bassitt is 8-5 with a 4.06 ERA for Toronto, while Lucas Giolito is 6-5 with a 3.53 ERA for the White Sox. Giolito gets the slight nod here and in a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, the play is indeed on Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-03-23 | BC v. Toronto +3.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* Argos (BLOOD-BATH) The Lions are 3-0 and the Argos are 2-0. Each had some new faces on both sids of the ball coming into the season, but the new pieces have filled the void immediately, as chemistry for both sides is "firing on all cylinders." But off a 30-6 win at IG Field last week, we're finally expecting the road-weary Lions to show some "cracks in the armor" vs. the defending Grey Cup champions. THe Argos are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with winning records and while the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-01-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 2 m | Show |
10* Alouettes (NON-CONF GOY) Winnipeg is 2-1, but it's coming off a poor 30-6 beatdown loss as a six-point favorite at home to BC and we believe it'll stumble again here on the road. Montreal is no push over, it enters at 2-0 after destroying Hamilton 38-12 last weekend. In all, Montreal has allowed just 24 points over two games, its defense is second only to the Lions. We actually feel that this Montreal defense is very comparable to BC's and the Lions have given the Als the "blue-print" on how to counter this dynamic Bombers' offense. While the outright win is in fact possible in our estimation, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Montreal! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (BOB) In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Two teams in different leagues, but each has had a similar trajectory to this point. Each just went 1-2 in their respective series this week. These starters are pretty evenly matched, as Arizona turns to Tommy Henry, who is 4-1 with a 4.31 ERA, while the home side counters with Griffin Canning, who is 6-2 with a 3.99 ERA. Good value here, lay the price and grab the visitors on the runline. AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Sparks +3 v. Sky | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Sparks (U OF THE U) Revenge. It's a powerful motivating factor that teams, and handicappers both utilize. It's 100% the basis behind this play. LA had won two straight before falling 80-63 here two nights ago as a 2.5-point underdog. Note though that the Sparks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points, the play is indeed on LA. AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-30-23 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Red Sox (ASSASSIN) This is a big mid-season AL East series. These teams are lagging behind the Rays, but anything is possible at this point of the season. We see this game being decided late, or even in extras, therefore we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Red Sox have lost five straight now, but note that they're 8-3 in their last 11 after five or more straight losses in a row. These starters are evenly matched, as James Paxton (3-1, 3.19 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while the home side counters with Jose Berrios (8-5, 3.60.) Everything points to a tight battle, the play is Boston on the runline option. AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-29-23 | Lynx +2 v. Storm | Top | 99-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* Lynx (BLOOD-BATH) Are we missing something here? Minnesota may be 5-9, but it comes in off a 104-93 win here as a four-point favorite just two nights ago. Now the Lynx are getting points in the re-match. Seattle is just 4-10 overall this year. This is just a bad matchup for the Storm and while the outright is obviously possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-28-23 | Dream +5 v. Mystics | Top | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
10* Dream (BOB) Outright win? Possibly, but in the opener of this home-and-home set, we're grabbing the points and expecting an all-out war until the end. ATL has lost two straight, both SU and ATS. Washington may have covered in four straight, but it's three-game win streak was snapped last time out in a heart-breaking 89-88 OT loss at New York. We say this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot here now. While the outright win isn't 100% entirely out of the question, everything points to this one coming "right down to the wire." Grab the point,s the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-25-23 | Toronto v. Edmonton Elks +6.5 | Top | 43-31 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Edmonton (BEST OF BEST) With a whopping 70% of the public money and wagers on Toronto, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with the home side. Toronto was a home dog to Hamilton in its season opener last weekend, but the Argos cruised to the 32-14 outright win. However, now hitting the road to face this desperate Elks side, I believe the visitors will have their hands full in this one. CHad Kelly looked decent at home for the Argos, but we still ahve to see how he'll do on the road. Off a 22-0 loss at BC (which doesn't look nearly as terrible now after the Lions crushed Winnipeg 30-6 on the road here in Week 3), we're expecting the home side to come out fired up here and to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; no outright upset, but grab the points because the play is the Elks! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-25-23 | Sky +5.5 v. Sun | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
10* Chicago (CRUSHER) With nearly 85% of the money and wagers on Connecticut, we're going to "go the other way" here and take Chicago to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Sky are 0-5 SU in their last five, and 0-3 ATS in their last three. That's significant to note here though as Chicago is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more ATS losses in a row. Connecticut is 11-3 SU, No. 1 in the Eastern Conference. It's coming off a 3-0 road trip, but with New York coming to town on Monday (No. 2 in the East), this sets up as a classic "let-down/look-ahead" spot for the Sun; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Chicago! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-22-23 | BC +6.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 57 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF GOW on the Lions. Vernon Adams Jr. has looked sharp under center for the Lions, as he so far has 600 passing yards, 46 rushing yards and four TD's. RB Taquan Mizzell is averaging 5.8 YPC. Zach Collaros has 647 passing yards for the Bombers, along with five TD's. These QB's are evenly matched, but BC's defense is probably slightly better in the early going. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is BC! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-22-23 | Mystics v. Sky +3.5 | Top | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* Chicago Sky (CREME DE LA CREME) "Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor, and it's the primary reason that we like this play on Chicago. The Sky have now lost four straight, including a 77-69 setback at Washington as a 4.5-point underdog last time out. Note though that the Sky are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A great situational spot bet; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-16-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
10* Saskatchewan (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams enter 1-0 SU/ATS. Winnipeg held on for a 42-31 win over Hamilton at home as a 4.5-point favorite, while Saskatchewan looked impressive as well in a 17-13 defensive victory at Edmonton as a 2.5-point underdog. Ultimately we think that Winnipeg's offense will be a little less effective on the road, and especially facing this improved Riders defensive units. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement after the Blue Bombers swept the season series with Saskatchewan last year. But the Bombers looked poor down the stretch last week, as they actually had a 32-4 lead with five minutes into the third quarter only to hold on for the 42-31 win. We expect the home side to make a game of this one. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset though; grab the points, the play is the Roughriders! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-16-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* Rangers RUNLINE (VALUE POW) Here's two teams in need of a win. That said, home field advantage can't be overlooked here in this particular matchup between two good pitchers that have been struggling of late. Toronto has lost four of its last six, including two of three at Baltimore earlier this week, while Texas has lost six of eight. Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.12 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Martin Perez (6-2, 4.67) toes the slab for the home side. Perez has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts, but we expect him to settle down here. Note that he's 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA over his last four starts here at Globe Life Field. Gausman got rocked in his last outing as well, allowing six runs off seven hits with four walks over just four innings. Overall we feel we're getting great value here on grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Texas on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-15-23 | Storm v. Aces -17.5 | Top | 63-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* Aces (BOB) For us, this is a great "situational" play, set up by some strong ATS stats. Seattle is coming off an 83-69 win at Phoenix as a 6.5-point favorite, but note that the Storm are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road win as an underdog. The last time these teams faced off, Las Vegas won by a score of 105-64, and that's what we're expecting here tonight as well. Las Vegas is 8-1, and while it's just 1-4 ATS in its last five, we absolutely feel that the value has now finally swung the other way for the Aces. We expect Las Vegas to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Aces! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-15-23 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 0-1 to open the season. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Ottawa will have Nick Arbuckle under center, and Calgary has Jake Maier starting. Maier and the Stamps got squashed at home 25-15 by the BC Lions, who aren't expected to do much this season. Maier had 166 yards, 1 TD and I INT. Ka'Deem Carey had just 39 rushing yards. Ottawa fell 19-12 to Montreal. Arbuckle had three INT's and was 19 of 35 for 175 yards. Let's be honest, both teams looked shaky. But we're expecting Arbuckle to improve here, and Ottawa's defense looked pretty good overall. The outright upset?! Anything's possible, but we're not calling for that; grab the points, the play is indeed on Ottawa! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-12-23 | Heat +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) After back-to-back losses, we like Miami to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS home losses vs. an opponent. Miami won't go down without a savage fight here. The Heat were undervalued and overlooked throughout the Playoffs, and we think that's the case here as well. This is just too many points for a Denver to cover. The Nuggets are likely going to be Champions after this, but good teams win and GREAT teams cover; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (GOW) If you want a complete review of how each of thee team's got here, then there are plenty of "preview" articles out there. Literally millions. If you're wagering on this game then you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses of each side. You also know that Denver is up 2-1 in this series, and because of that, we're expecting Miami to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure another slight upset. Note that Miami has done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a home loss as an underdog. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-06-23 | Fever +6.5 v. Sky | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Fever (WNBA GOW) Chicago is 4-3, while Indiana is 1-4. The desperate Fever have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright in our opinion, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Indiana may only be 1-4 SU, but it's 3-2 ATS, including winning three straight ATS. We feel that the Fever are still being undervalued here. Chicago broke a two-game slide with an 86-82 win at New York last time out. The Sky are 6-1 ATS, and now we firmly believe they're overvalued by casual bettors at this point. Chicago hits the road after this for a Westcoast swing, so it's also a "look ahead." Look for the desperate vistors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* HEAT FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we also like Miami for the ENTIRE GAME as well. Miami only took two free throws in Game 1 and was still only a three-pointer away from covering. Miami got better as the game went on after getting steamrolled at the start. We can expect another strong performance from the visting side, but we're anticipating this time for Miami to jump out to a lead in the first half. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent; look for Miami to pay immediate dividends in the first half! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-31-23 | Chicago Fire +0.5 v. Toronto FC | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
10* Chicago +0.5 (MLS GOW) We simply don't trust Toronto at all. It did end a five-match winless run in all competitions last weekend, but an immediate return to mediocrity seems imminent. The Reds won 3-1 over DC United, while Chicago will be the hungrier team now after squandering a second-half advantage and drawing 3-3 with New England last time out. Chicago hasn't had much luck North of the border, but that just adds fuel to the fire here. The outright is possible, but let's grab on the spread as the great price; the play is Chicago +0.5. AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) We've played on the Celtics over the last two games, but now we're jumping on the Heat. Note that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row to an opponent. The Celtics are a great team, and it was almost inconceivable that they'd be swept in this series. But, after two titanic efforts to get to this point, we're finally expecting a letdown here on the road. Miami has been the surprise team out of the East this season and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) Boston survived this series with a clutch 116-99 victory in Game 4, and we like the Celtics to rally again here at home with another win and cover. We're contrarian at heart here, and with most of the bets and early money on the Heat, we naturally LOVE the Celtics even more. We think that Boston has finally "figured" out this Miami defense and that all signs here point to another blowout. NBA fans, get ready for a big Game 6 in Miami in a couple days, because everything we see points to a BIG win and COVER by Boston in Game 5; so lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-23-23 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | Top | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BOB) Both Miami and Denver have played at elite levels and are on course for a date in the Finals. Before that happens though, we expect the Celtics to dig deep here and to at least win one game in this series. Note that Boston is still 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent; grab the points, the play is BOSTON! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BEST OF BEST) We've played on the Lakers several times in the Playoffs, but we haven't had any success so far in this series. But with the threat of elimination, we like the Lakers to dig deep here in Game 4 and to deliver a solid win and cover. There's no way LBJ is getting swept. LA isn't going to go on to win this series, but note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Clearly, the Heat have been a very surprising team in the Playoffs. They're duplicating their success from the "Bubble" run. A letdown does finally seem imminent here though against a Boston team that is essentially playing its biggest game of the entire year. This one is all about which is the "hungrier" and more "desperate" team in this fight for us; lay the short points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lakers were competitive in Game's 1 and 2. With their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company will dig deep here and not only deliver a victory, but do so in blowout fashion. If the Nuggets have had one clear weak point this season, it's been their play on the road where they're just 21-25 SU and ATS. The Lakers are 30-18 SU and 27-19-1 ATS at home. They're also 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. With essentially their season on the line, we like LA in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
10* Celtics (EAST-CONF FINALS GOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and that easily cashed in the Heat's blowout victory. We target the Celtics here though in Game 2, as this is a spot they've done well in for bettors, going 8-2 (80%) ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. An 0-2 hole would be unbelievably difficult for the C's to climb out of with the series shifting to Miami after this. This is Boston's biggest game of the entire year, for all intents and purposes, it's "do or die." The Heat have already accomplished what they set out to do, and that's to earn a "split" over these first two games, as to steal away the home floor advantage. Expect Miami to take a step back here all around, and for the now desperate Celtics to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Jays yesterday and while that big pick unfortunatley came up short, we're confident that Toronto can bounce back here and avenge the opening two losses of this four-game series. Two really good starters here. Is almost impossible to say anything negative about Yanks' starter Gerritt Cole, who is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA. We just feel he's finally in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. He'll be opposed by Chris Bassitt, who is 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA. These guys are a "wash," but note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We're laying the price here though and grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
10* Pirates RUNLINE (BLOWOUT) The Pirates were the talk of the league over the first month, but they've come back down to Earth over the last three weeks. Pittsburgh is now just 2-14 in its last 15 after yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss. Note though that Pittsburgh is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent. Detroit is 19-21, but we expect Eduardo Rodriguez to have his hands full today. The Detroit starter is 4-2 with a 1.57 ERA, while Rich Hill is 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. We don't trust Detroit as such a large favorite, despite it being at home. Look for Hil to match Rodriguez inning for inning and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the desperate visiting side on the "runline" option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-16-23 | Lakers +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 11 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF FINALS GOY) The NBA will have some "new" faces in the Finals this year after the Lakers got rid of the defending champs in six games. The Nuggets needed six games as well to get past the Suns. The Lakers are a lot deeper than Phoenix, and Athony Davis is playing almost on par with Nikola Jokic right now. The bottom line here is, if Jokic doesn't ball out every single game, then Denver will struggle. Now, Jokic has the ability to dominate in every game, but it's easier said than done. The Lakers looked great defending the Warriors, and we think they have a legitimate shot at winning Game 1 outright. While that my in fact happen, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-14-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knights PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a very back-and-forth series, but with a chance to close it out here, we do feel that Las Vegas has much more than just a "punchers chance" to "steal" Game 6. This is a game that we see coming right "down to the wire," or which could also see extra time. The bottom line here is that despite having the home ice advantage here, we feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this line is suggesting, and because of that, the value in our opinion swings to the undervalued underdog. Lay the price, the play is LV on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-14-23 | 76ers +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
10* 76ers (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series, and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset here in Game 7, we do expect the hungry visiting side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly has responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. There's no clear-cut favorite to win the title anymore. Anyone that can put together some sort of run based around chemistry and health will have a big opportunity to take it all. In this pressure-packed situation, we feel it's a lot more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Knicks +5 v. Heat | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on New York in Game 5, and we like the Knicks to, at the very least, take Game 6 right down to the wire as well. Momentum swings back-and-forth in the playoffs. The Heat looked unbeatable up until Game 5, and now that they've had a letdown, New York is the one that comes in confident here. With the majority of the public money on Miami, we're going to "go the other way" and make a big time contrarian wager here on the Knicks in Game 6! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (BLOWOUT) Success in the Playoffs is about many different factors all coming together to work out for the lucky team that prevails in the end. That includes timing, chemistry, injuries, and even "momentum." Denver now firmly has the "momentum" back in this series, and while it wasn't able to get the job done here in Phoenix in Game's 3 and 4, we're expecting a bounce-back on the road here finally. The Suns' starters are exhausted at this point as well. The outright win is obviously possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
10* Vegas PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) Wed had a play on the "under" in Game 3, but in Game 4 we feel the value has now swung in favor of the visiting side again. Las Vegas smashed Edmonton 5-1 in Game 3 and we believe it has a very legitimate shot at winning this Game 4 outright as well. With the majority of the public money on Edmonton, we like the Knights even more here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra periods, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW) This has been a back-and-forth series and we're expecting that pattern to continue here. New York bounced back after the Game 1 loss with a win and while the outright is possible again here in our opinion in Game 4, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Knicks have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Grab as many points as you can, the play is the Knicks! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* Rockies RUNLINE (NL GOY) At 20-15, Pittsburgh is still No. 1 in the NL Central. The Pirates "quick start" was the talk of the league, but the Pirates are now dealing with injuries to a few key players and they enter the new week and this new series having lost seven in a row. We think this slide of futility is going to continue, at least for another night. The Rockies are just 14-21 and only fifth in the NL West, but they enter playing their best ball of the season thus far, having won six of their last seven, including two of three at the Mets over the week (13-6 win on Sunday.) We feel these starting pitchers are a "wash." Kyle Freeland is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA for the Rockies, while Mitch Keller is 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA for the Pirates. Momentum swings in favor of the Rockies here. Outright win is obviously possible, but the value here lies in laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Colorado on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Philadelphia managed a win in Game 1 without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, but the Celtics have bounced back to take Game's 2 and 3, both SU an ATS. But now we feel that the value has swung to the desperate home side, which will be risking life and limb today to avoid going down 3-1 and heading back to Boston. Note as well that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the 76ers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOWOUT) New York took advantage in Game 2 without Jimmy Butler in the line-up, and we expect the Knicks to take the overachieving Heat off-guard here as well. Despite the loss, Miami has now covered the spread in five straight games, but note that the Heat are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
10* Suns (2ND RND WEST-CONF GOY) This is it, it's do or die for the Suns. Can KD and Devin Booker win a single game in this series? We say they can, and this is the game they do it! Dating back to Game 5 vs. the Clippers, the Suns have now lost three straight ATS, and that's definitely significant to note here, as Phoenix is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Suns are also 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Denver's weakness this year? It's just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road. Look for Booker and KD to push hard and find a way to deliver here in Game 3; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (2ND RND. WEST-CONF GOY) We had a play on Seattle in Game 1 on the puckline, and we're getting even better value on the Kraken here in Game 2. Seattle controlled the pace and almost every aspect of Game 1 and we don't see anything changing here in Game 2. Jake Oettinger looked shaky against this aggressive Seattle attack and we think he's in trouble here in Game 2 as well. In another contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, our official 2nd Rnd. WEST-CONF GOY is indeed the Kraken on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-127 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) Can you imagine a World where the Lakers are up 2-0 over the Warriors in the second round of the NBA Playoffs? Because we can! LA looked like the better overall team despite some big performances from Stephen Curry and other key players being super efficient from the outside. The Warriors struggled to put away the Kings in seven games and that fatigue was evident down the stretch in Game 1. We don't see it getting any better for the defending champs here in Game 2. The Lakers have just as much talent and experience and we just feel that this game will very likely be decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Boston in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're now very confident that the Celtics will respond with a resounding victory here in Game 2. James Harden had a huge game with Joel Embiid injured, but we can expect the home side to be keyed in on the Philly star moving forward. Whether Embiid plays or not, we like the Celtics to bounce back here in fine fashion, as note that Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Having accomplished what it set out to do (earn a "split" in Boston over the first two games), look for Philadelphia to take a step back here in Game 2; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
10* Kraken PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) The Kraken are coming off a thrilling upset Game 7 win over Colorado and we think they can sneak in under the radar here and give the Stars a run for their money here in Game 1 of this series. Will rest lead to rust for the Stars? It very well could in our opinions! The Kraken were at their best on the road all year, and that's once again the case here in Game 1 of this series. The pressure is all on Dallas here, and that is also working in favor of the Kraken; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND GOY) We had a play on New York in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a big bounce-back for the Knicks here in Game 2, and a predictable letdown from the Heat here in Game 2. Miami did the exact same thing in its series vs. the Bucks, winning outright in Game 1, and then both losing SU and ATS in Game 2, satisfied with knowing that it had already "earned the split." Jimmy Butler has been balling out, but we think that the Knicks will make adjustments as well here. The Knicks were in control of Game 1 up until half-time, and then they uncharacteristically fell apart. Note though that NY is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Everthing points to a bounce-back blowout here in Game 2 for the home side; lay the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
|||||||
05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOW) During the regular season, the Celtics enjoyed beating up on the 76ers regularly, posting a 3-1 record. We're expecting a similar sort of outcome in this series as well. And we're definitely expecting the Celtics to set the early tone with a blowout victory. Philly star Joel Embiid is also dealing with a nagging knee injury. Look for that to have a big effect in this series as well. Either way, all signs point to a home side blowout in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (DESTRUCTION) Colorado salvaged its season with a 4-1 win in Game 6 in Seattle, but who could have predicted that series would have ever gone to a Game 7? The Kraken have defied the odds, and we love their chances to continue to make history here. Note that Seattle was fantastic on the road this year, finishing 28-12-1-3 away from friendly confines. The pressure here is on the Avs, and we think Seattle can take advantage. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're grabbing Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
10* Panthers PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) This has been an interesting series. Boston was hands down the best team in the regular season, on both ends of the ice, but the Bruins have stumbled and bumbled their way here to this Game 7 at home. The Panthers have defied the odds and are on the brink of one of the biggest playoff upsets in recent memory. "Momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and Florida comes in with a ton of it. The pressure is on Boston, and we think that works in the Panthers favor as well; the play here is Florida on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10* Warriors MONEYLINE (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series. Golden State was terrible on the road this year, but the NBA would love nothing more than to have Stephen Curry going up against LeBron James in the Playoffs. For us, this one comes down to experience in this position. The Kings are in unchartered territory, where these are the moments that Stephen Curry lives for. Sacramento had a great season, but we expect it to finally come to and end here on Sunday night; forget the spread option, instead this play is on Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) Both of these teams were underdogs in their opening round series. The Heat got a huge series from Jimmy Butler, but we feel an imminent letdown is, well, imminent now for Butler and the Heat! The Knicks dominated their series over the Cavs from the get-go. We feel New York is better equiped to deal with Miami's outside shooting as well. Miami is thin after its starters, and the Knicks take advantage of that in Game 1; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, the Grizzlies got the job done in Game 5. Now Memphis will have to do what it hasn't been able to do so far in this series, and that's win on the road. Or else it's going Golfing tomorrow. The Lakers looked fatigued, and there are now some injury concerns. All of a sudden, the pressure is on LA to close out this series, but it feels as if the momentum has now swung the other way again. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports. And to be the Champ, you gotta beat the Champ. The Warriors have now won three straight and with a chance to close out this series here and now in front of the home town crowd, we're fully expecting Stephen Curry and the now confident Warriors to do just that. The Kings are now banged up as well. For us, we're giving this one the good ole "eye test," as we love the defending Champs in this elimination possibility spot here at home; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-26-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We're giving Game 5 the good old "eye test." LA is the better team here in every metric since the Playoffs started. Momentum is a very real, even tangible factor in sports, especially in the Playoffs. And LA just has the Grizzlies number right now. Ja Morant was unreal in Game 4, but his supporting cast has fallen away. The reverse is true for the Lakers, who appear to be gaining stronger chemistry with each game so far. While the outright win is cleary possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -11.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* Suns (WEST-CONF GOW) With a chance to end this series here and now at home, we're expecting KD and the Suns to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Suns dropped the first game of this series, but their chemistry has improved each night. The Clippers are dealing with several serious injuries to key players. We're expecting Phoenix to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-25-23 | Hawks +11.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Hawks in Game 4 and that play came up a bucket short. With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, we expect ATL to keep this contest a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hawks won't go down without a fight, and note that ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright as stated above, but grab the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-24-23 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (BEST OF BEST) Two really good teams. Two really good pitchers. The Rays are 19-3 this season, including 13-0 at home. The defending champs are starting to play better after a slow start though, now 12-10 overall, including 6-3 on the road. The fact that the Rays have yet to suffer a home loss will be a big motivating factor for Houston here obviously. Jose Urquidy is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA for the visitors, while Taj Bradley is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA for the home side. I say these starters are a "wash." In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're laying the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Houston on the runline! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOCKBUSTER) Minnesota is 0-3 SU/ATS in this series. Note though that the Wolves are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Wolves are in "do or die" mode. We didn't expect Minnesota to get swept in this series, and we think a Wolf backed into a corner is a dangerous one. The Nuggets have played near perfect so far over the first three games, and we're finally expecting a small mental letdown here. Denver will then return home to wrap it up. The outright is possible, but grab the points; the pla is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-23-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the "over" in Game 3. ATL jumped out to an early lead and never looked back. The Celtics looked flat, and we now think the Hawks can duplicate the performance. The majority of the early action has Boston bouncing back, but while the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other way on this one. The Hawks shot poorly in Boston, but finally their shooting percentage went up in Game 3 and we say the maintain it again here in this crucial contest. While the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Atlanta! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-22-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -190 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (BLOOD-BATH) - also like ML if can't get PUCKLINE. We've played on the Kraken on the puckline option over the first two games of this series and we're 2-0 so far. This series is tied up 1-1 as it heads to the Pacific Northwest, and once again we're expecting a very tight and defensive battle between these evenly matched clubs. Colorado is in fact lucky to come away with the 3-2 victory in Game 2, after going down 2-0 to start with. We see no clear advantage for either side in this one, and that once again makes the extra 1.5 runs of insurance the prudent wager in our opinion; lay the price, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on LA in Game 1, and a play on the Grizzlies in Game 2. We think this back and forth series continues in this pattern, as we look for the Lakers to bounce back in Game 3 and revenge the Game 2 setback. LA is 24-18 at home this year, while Memphis is a poor 16-25 on the road. Having achieved the split in Memphis, we now look for the Lakers to take advantage here at home; lay the points, the play is LA. AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (ROUT) We had the Heat in Game 1 and the Bucks in Game 2. Now back at home, we like Miami to, at the very least, keep this one tight enough to comfortably cover once the final horn sounds. While 26-15 SU on the road, the Bucks were just 21-18-2 ATS. The Heat were 28-15 SU at home. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Look for Miami to ride the wave of emotion at home and grab a solid cover; the pla is Miami! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH) Denver has a choke-hold on this series after a 2-0 start right? Well, not so quick in our opinions. The Nuggets' cryptonite this year was their play on the road, where they are just 19-22 SU/ATS. Minnesota is 23-19 SU at home. The Wolves are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with the Wolves! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) I successfully played on the Kings in both Games 1 and 2, but I like the defending champs to bounce back here at home in this essentially "must win" scenario. Golden State was 33-18 at home this year, and the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Look for "home cooking" to be the difference-maker for Stephen Curry and company; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-20-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
10* Kraken (PUCKLINE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on Seattle on the puckline in Game 1, and if you haven't had a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning behind that pick, also directly applies to this one: Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! For all the reasons listed above, the play is Seattle on the puckline option in Game 2 as well! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NL WEST GOY) We feel that that home side has a very real shot of winning this game outright, but at this price, we're getting fantastic value on the runline option here. Guess who leads the NL West rigth now? It's not the Padres, the Giants or the Dodgers. It's the D-Backs at 11-8. San Diego is 9-11. Earlier in the year these teams split a two-game series in San Diego. Arizona though is tied for sixth in the league in steals with 19. That's bad news for a Padres team that allows a lot of steals. Michael Wacha gets the nod for SD and he's 2-1 with a 6.06 ERA, while the home side counter with Ryne Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA. Half of Nelson's six career starts have come against the Friars, so this is a team that he knows well (1-1, 3.12 ERA.) Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA lifetime vs. the D-Backs. Wacha had a bounce-back season last year, but regression seems imminent, epsecially after a slow start in 2023. Tatis returns finally for the Padres, but we expect him to come out slow here in his very first game back. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, we're expecting the Nets to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the points. The Nets are a lot better at home, 23-18 SU. Note as well that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU losses against an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-19-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Kings on the "puckline" in Game 1, and if you didn't get a chance to read that analysis, it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning and stats that anchored that play, are also directly attributable to this one in Game 2 for us as well: 10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! So, another great value play here, the play is indeed on the Kings on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Bucks. Miami earned the split already here in Milwaukee by taking Game 1 by a score of 130-117. The Heat though perhaps had a bit of an advantage coming into that one, as they were much more prepared and "game ready" so to speak after two "Play In Tournament" games, losing 116-105 to Atlanta as a 5.5-point favorite, before pulling away for the 102-91 win over the Bulls. Milwaukee was hands down the best team in the East during the regular season, but clearly the extra rest did in fact lead to some RUST for the Bucks in Game 1. But now Giannis and company are going to be fighting tooth and nail here to avoid the 0-2 hole. Miami was just terrible on the road this year, going 18-24 straight up and just 16-24-2 against the spread. The Bucks were 32-10 straight up at home and a more modest 23-19 against the spread, but Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After the emotional victory in the Play In Tournament, followed by the upset victory in Game 1, I think the overachieving Heat have a predictable letdown here. While at the same time, look for the Bucks to bounce back big and keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kracken PUCKLINE (U OF U BLOODBATH) Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Phoenix in Game 1, and while that pick lost, we're absolutely expecting KD, Chris Paul and Devin Booker to bounce back here in Game 2. Despite KD being a veteran, the Suns are still trying to get a "feel" for each other. Phoenix had its opportunity right at the end of the game and came up short. The Suns played from behind the entire night. LA is loaded with experienced talent, but is thin beyond it's star players. Having achieved the split already, we're expecting LA to take a step back here. Conversely, it was a great learning experience for KD and company, who now have something to build off. I expect that progression to be quick; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a big play on the Cavaliers in Game 1, and while that play did come up short, we're expecting a complete bounce back here for Cleveland in Game 2 as the home side pushes the pace to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole (note that the Cavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent.) Having achieved the "split," look for New York to contentedly head home as it prepares for Game 3; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Hawks +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) I had the Celtics in their Game 1 blowout win and cover, but I think the Hawks will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the cover with the ample spread that they've been afforded here in the second game. The Celtics got their big Game 1 victory, but now that advantage of being well-rested is negated. I say the Hawks get a lot more room to operate here in Game 2, especially from range. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but all signs point to this Game 2 being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-17-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We're expecting the "home floor advantage" to be a very real factor in this series. The Clippers were 21-20 on the road, while the Suns were 28-13 at home. Funny enough, that wasn't the case for these teams during the regular season, going 2-2 against each other and each winning on the others floor. But with that said, LA hasn't faced Phoenix with Kevin Durant in the line-up. Phoenix is 8-0 in games that Durant has played in and we're expecting that streak to continue here with a convincing win for the home side in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-16-23 | Heat +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) The Bucks have been sitting idle for a few days, but we believe that "rest" is going to lead to "rust" here in Game 1 of this series. We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game coming "right down to the wire" in our opinions. These teams went 2-2 against each other in the regular season, as Miami does in fact match up well in this series. These teams are experienced and loaded with similar talent. We feel that this is a great situational play, and as stated, no outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-16-23 | Lakers +3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF RND 1 GOY) The Grizzlies have Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., while the Lakers have Anthony Davis and LeBron James. It comes down to the supporting cast, and this is arguably the best supporting cast that AD and The King have had. Ever. Both are also healthy for the first time in a long time. LA has gotten better defensively since the trade deadline, and we feel that Morant will have a difficult time finding a lot of room to operate vs. this improved LA defense. While the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the pla is LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF RND. 1 GOY) The Knicks went 3-1 in the season series, but I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor advantage" will be in this series. For both teams. New York was 24-17 on the road, while Cleveland was 31-10 at home. Bad news for Knicks backers here today as star Julius Randle is listed as questionable, and if he does play, he'll be far from 100% health. Emotions will be running high for the Cavs as they make the Playoffs for the first time since 2018. Cleveland has the most efficient offense in the league and everything points to a comfortable win and cover as this one comes down the stretch; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -9 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta upset the Heat in the Play-In tournament on the road, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here. ATL is still just 18-24 away from friendly confines, while Boston is 32-9 at home. Boston won all four regular season games, and all signs point to a blowout here in Game 1 as the C's will look to send n early message. ATL was unable to contain Boston's 3-point shooting in the regular season, and nothing will be different here; lay the points with confidence, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) Brooklyn went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS vs. the 76ers during the regular season, but I think the scrappy nets comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch of this one. Philadelphia has consistently done poor in the playoffs over the last few years, and I think the 76ers are getting too much respect here against the Nets, who are 15-9 ATS as a road dog and 12-3 ATS when getting +5 or more points this year. Outright victory is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -5.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wolves (TOP SIDE) The bottom line here is that beyond Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC just is not very deep. At this point, I believe that becomes a major factor finally for the Thunder. Also note that Rudy Gobert will be back in the line-up tonight after serving a one-game suspension for an altercation he had with a teammate in the final regular season game. Minnesota went 3-1 SU in the regular season in this series and I expect it to make the most of this matchup once again; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-14-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE) I had a play on the Rays yesterday in their 9-3 win over the Red Sox. Tampa is now 13-0 and the longer this winning streak continues to open the season for the Rays, the more unrealistic and unsustainable it becomes. Tampa is also clearly being overvalued now at this point by the bookmakers, as the majority of the public, along with seasoned pros are now essentially "blind betting" the Rays, without any real thought put into it at all. These starting pitchers are a "wash." I can make a good argument for either of these talented sides to win, but this comes down to the fact that the public and the oddsmakers have overvalued Tampa now at this point because of the unreal start. Regression is imminent Tampa fans. Regardless, at this price and with the extra 1.5 rums of insurance, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* MIAMI FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: I also like the Heat for the entire game if you do not have access to FIRST HALF lines.) For the first time in play-in tournament history, the two lower seeds won in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls upset the Raptors 109-105, but I believe they'll have a much harder time of it here in South Beach. Miami comes in off a 116-105 upset loss to Atlanta. Chicago swept the season series 3-0, meaning that the "revenge" factor definitely comes to play here. The Heat are one of the worst teams in the league ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving today's spread a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Miami is as healthy as its been all year and with most of the early money on Chicago, I feel we're getting tremendous value on the undervalued home side. As stated off the top, I like the Heat for the entire game as well, but I look for them to take the early lead into th half; the play is Miami in the first half! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -6 | Top | 102-108 | Push | 0 | 39 h 55 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PLAY IN GOY) For a number of different reasons, I like the way this one sets up for the Lakers. The majority of the early money is on Minnesota, so as a contrarian at heart, that auto makes me like LA here. But the Wolves will be without Jaden McDaniels, who broke his hand foolishly punching a wall. Big man Rudy Gobert punched Kyle Anderson in a heated moment in the huddle. Minnesota is a mess coming into this game, while LA is at full strength. I look for the Lakers to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on the Lakers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN. Note: I also like for the ENTIRE game if you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines.) The Heat took three of four regular season meetings with the Hawks. Atlanta has been decent ATS on the road this year, but Miami is very tough at home. The Heat rank second in the league on the defensive end, and I expect that defense to be on top of its game from the "get go" in this one, as to not allow ATL to dictate the tempo; as I say, I like Miami for the whole game as well, but the official call is the Heat in the First Half! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-05-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) It's GO time for the Raptors. They're off the 120-100 win at Charlotte last night, easily covering the massive 15.5-point spread. Toronto is essentially in Playoff mode already though, as it's tied with Atlanta for eighth spot in the East, 17 games back of the Bucks. This is the start of two straight between these teams here in Boston. The Bucks have a three games lead up on Boston, which sits two games ahead of Philadelphia. The Celtics can't afford to take the foot off the gas either, but the Raptors also play with revenge here after falling 106-104 to the Celtics at home on January 21st. That however is significant to note, as the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU home loss vs. an opponent. In what I expect to be a very tight and competitive affair, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) Not many would have had these two in the National Championship game, but here we are. UConn has more depth and overall talent, but SDSU won't be going down quietly. I think the Aztecs have what it takes to win this one outright in fact. UConn isn't Georgia, and SDSU isn't TCU, so this National Championship Game is going to be a lot tighther than most are anticipating in my opinion. SDSU has some height and will be able to mix it up with UConn big man Sanogo in the paint. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a real battle again here tonight; grab the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder +5 | Top | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Thunder (NON-DIV. GOY) One factor I always take into account is the "revenge" factor. The last time these teams played, OKC managed the 124-120 victory over Phoenix here in mid-March. However, at times the "revenge" angle can be overblown or overrated, and for me, that's the case here for sure. I'll argue that this is the most important game of the entire season for the Thunder, who have lost two of their last three, including a 121-117 setback at Indiana last time out. The Thunder are in tenth right now, about to play in the "Play In" Tournament, sitting only 1.5 games back of the Lakers for eighth spot though. Phoenix is pretty much locked in at fourth, unable to catch Sacramento, which is 4 games ahead of it right now. Phoenix has won four straight. After this it finishes with three of its final four at home, including a "cream puff" vs. the Spurs up next. I believe Phoenix gets caught a little flat-footed here, and I expect the home side to risk life and limb to try and pull off the SU upset; that may happen, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with OKC! AAA Sports |
|||||||
04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think these teams are very evenly matched, and in a contest that I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hurricanes are great from the line, and UConn continues to get hammered with a lot of fouls. Miami also doesn't rely on shooting the three ball, but it's still hitting 44 percent from range. The Hurricanes are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 as an underdog, with six outright victories. While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; grab the points, the play is Miami Florida! AAA Sports |