Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-05-17 | Colorado +6.5 v. California | Top | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Colorado. REASONING: After starting Pac-12 play with an 0-7 record, the Colorado Buffs have now won three straight. Cal has won six of its last seven and sits just 2.5 games back of the top spot. After beating Oregon State, the Buffaloes followed it up with a nine-point upset over then No. 10 Oregon and a seven-point surprise over Stanford. Derrick White had 19 points, eight boards, eight assists, four blocked shots and two steals in the win over the Cardinal. We think Cal though could come in a bit complacent here after three straight wins over Oregon State, Stanford and Utah. Note that the last two wins came by a combined three points! In fact, Cal comes in off an exhausting 77-75 double OT win over the Utes on Thursday. Note that Colorado is 2-0 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Cal is just 2-4 ATS in the same position. The BUFFS won’t be rolling over today and we think can keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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02-03-17 | Pacers v. Nets +7 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we think this one sets up beautifully for the lowly Nets. Indiana has won four straight, most recently downing the Magic 98-88 on the road on Wednesday. The Nets come in off seven straight losses after falling 95-90 at home to the Knicks on Wednesday. It’s no big surprise that this sets up as a revenge game for Brooklyn, as Indiana has already taken two of three this year, including a 121-109 home win in the most recent back on January 5th. With a game tomorrow night against Detroit, followed by OKC and Cavaliers, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the Pacers looking past bottom feeder Brooklyn. Note that Indiana is just 8-15 ATS on the road this year and only 10-16 ATS against teams with losing records, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three against clubs with winning records. Clearly Indiana is the better team, but the NETS and the points is the correct call tonight. AAA Sports |
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02-02-17 | Missouri +22.5 v. Florida | Top | 54-93 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Missouri. REASONING: The Tigers are a poor team. The No. 24 Gators are a good team. While we’re not going to suggest that you “sprinkle a little” on money line for the visitors, we do think that Missouri can catch Florida a bit complacent here and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Tigers have lost 12 in a row, most recently a 63-53 setback to South Carolina on Saturday. The Gators come in having won two straight, most recently an 84-52 beatdown of Oklahoma in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge on Saturday. Missouri averages 69.3 PPG and allows 70.8. Florida averages 78.7 PPG and allows 66.1. Note though that the Tigers are already 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Florida is is just 6-15 ATS in its last 21 after allowing 60 points or less and just 2-3 ATS in all home games. With a game at home against conference leading Kentucky on Saturday, all signs point to a letdown for the Gators tonight. Grab the points, play on MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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02-01-17 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -9.5 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Clemson. REASONING: There’s no need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as Georgia Tech is set up perfectly for a letdown here after back to back home upsets of ranked foes, most recently a 62-60 victory over Notre Dame. Conversely, the Tigers come in hungry, they’ll look to keep the momentum rolling after snapping a six-game skid with a 67-60 win on the road over Pitt on Saturday. Also note that this sets up as a revenge game for Clemson as it’s now lost three straight in this series, including a 75-63 road loss on January 12th in the first matchup this year. Note that Georgia Tech averages 67.1 PPG and allows 66.5. The Tigers average 75.5 PPG and allow 69.3. Also note that Georgia Tech is just 7-12 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 60 points or less, while Clemson is 3-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less and 12-9 ATS in its last 21 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. We like the TIGERS to avenge the earlier loss and take advantage of this suddenly contented Georgia Tech team. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-31-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Denver is already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins and just 2-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog,w hile LA is 10-7 ATS this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Looks like Denver’s big run comes to an end tonight, we think these strong ATS trends carry over. Play on LA. AAA Sports |
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01-31-17 | Avalanche +1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE PLAY OF THE YEAR on the Colorado Avalanche. REASONING: The Avs are just 13-31-1-1 and have already lost twice to Anaheim by scores of 4-1 and 2-1. Colorado enters off a 3-2 home loss to Vancouver, while Anaheim lost 4-0 to Edmonton in its final game before the break. There’s no way to go for the Avs but up, they sit in dead last in the NHL. Goaltender Calvin Pickard owns a 3.01 GAA and .906 save percentage. The Ducks come in a bit complacent in our opinion, they have an 11-point cushion in the playoff race. Goaltender John Gibson has a 2.32 GAA and .919 save percentage. With three nights off before an extended Eastern Conference road swing, we think the Ducks come out of the break a little flat footed. Conversely, we’re expecting Colorado to come in refocused as it tries to put together a better second half. Lay the 1.5 goals for the near pick-em price, play on the AVALANCHE on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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01-31-17 | Maryland v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Ohio State. REASONING: At 19-2, Maryland is one of the best in the country. The Terps though aren’t a super high-scoring team, averaging 75.7 PPG. Maryland is pretty good defensively in allowing only 65.8 PPG. But after their best start through the first 21 games since 1998, we think the Terrapins are poised for a predictable letdown tonight. OSU averages 73.4 PPG and allows just 68.3. These two teams are in fact very evenly matched. Maryland has gotten a few extra bounces and come up clutch, but as far as the offense/defense is concerned, neither of these teams has any real advantage over the other. A great situational play, we’re backing the hungy home side. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-30-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Coastal Carolina +6 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT SIDE OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina. REASONING: The Mavericks are 16-5, while the Chanticleers are 9-12. UT-Arlington is the better overall team, but the home side won’t be simply rolling over tonight. It’s going to be a battle and as such, we think the savvy move in this one is to grab the points. Texas-Arlington enters off an 83-67 road win over Appalachian State, while Coastal Carolina comes in off a tough 52-50 home setback to Texas State. The Mavericks have averaged 83.6 PPG and allowed 73.5 in conference action this year, but take note that in true road games, they’ve averaged just 72.2 PPG and allowed 71.4. The Chanticleers have lost three in a row, mainly due to offensive inconsistency. So far Coastal Carolina averages 71.8 PPG and allows 72.7. Note though that UT-Arlington is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road fav of 3.5 to six points, while the Chanticleers are 4-1 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and 3-1 ATS in its last four after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Coastal Carolina has been at its best at home, as evidenced by its 7-5 record there so far this season. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on COASTAL CAROLINA. AAA Sports |
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01-29-17 | South Florida +25.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-94 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on South Florida. REASONING: We simply feel that the high-flying Bearcats will come in a bit complacent today against the lowly Bulls. Cincinnati is 18-2, while South Florida is 6-13. USF is in fact 0-8 in conference play after losing 81-60 to UConn in its last outing. Cincinnati is 7-0 in league action and has won 11 straight overall, most recently an extremely satisfying 86-78 victory over rival Xavier at home on Thursday. One player that continues to be a bright spot for the Bulls is guard Geno Thorpe, who leads the team with 13.4 PPG. USF averages 65.9 PPG and allows 71.9. Cincinnati averages 77.8 PPG and allows just 62.2. Note though that the Bulls are in fact 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after a double digit loss at home, while the favorite is just 1-6 ATS the last seven in this series. Of course the Bearcats are going to win this game, but by more than 20 points? With a game at Tulsa next week, the team directly behind them in the standings, it’s not too hard to imagine the contended home side getting caught looking ahead to that one as well. Grab as many points as you can, play on SOUTH FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets -7 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento is already just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more and just 4-5 ATS when playing on back-to-back days, while Charlotte is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 105 points or more. The bottom line: The Kings came up just short last night and I think will once again struggle in the finale of their road-trip. Charlotte came up just short in New York last night and will be the hungrier side. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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01-27-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans +6 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the New Orleans Pelicans. REASONING: We look at “situations” and scheduling a lot when making our selections and we think this one sets up really well for the home side today. San Antonio is poised for a letdown here in our opinion, it’s won five straight, including three straight on the road over the Cavaliers, the Nets and the Raptors. This is the final game of the Spurs five-game trip, before an extended home stand. Also note though that New Orleans plays with revenge today as well after a 113-100 loss back on December 18th. The Pelicans still have a shot at grabbing the eighth seed in the West and a win today would be huge after splitting their last five games. We think NEW ORLEANS keeps this one competitive until the final moments, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-27-17 | Harvard v. Cornell +6 | Top | 77-71 | Push | 0 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR on Cornell. REASONING: We think this sets up as a prime letdown spot/trap game for the surging Harvard Crimson, who have won nine of their last ten. The high-flying Crimson come to town to take on the lowly 5-12 Big Red, who come in with momentum of their own having won two of their last three, including a victory over Columbia last weekend. Harvard comes in off consecutive wins over Dartmouth, but note that it’s just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 when playing with five or six days of rest. Cornell has capable players, as sophomore Matt Morgan leads the conference in scoring with 18.3 PPG and three-pointers made (55). He had 17 points, seven assists, six boards, two blocked shot and two steals in last weekend’s 67-62 win at Columbia. Beyond the balanced scoring in the victory, it was the Big Red’s defense which was the most impressive, holding Columbia to just 31 percent shooting. Note that Cornell is 2-1 ATS in its last three as an underdog. We think the BIG RED will at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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01-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado -16 | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Colorado. REASONING: Both teams are hungry for a victory, as each is winless so far in Pac 12 play. Oregon State wasn’t expected to do much this year and so far it hasn’t going 0-7 in league play and 4-16 overall. Colorado played in the NCAA tournament last year, so the fact that it’s 0-7 in conference action is a big concern. It’s all hands on deck today for the home side as it finally looks to get off the schneid with a big performance in the favorable matchup. And here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against as the Beavers have yet to score over 63 points in a single conference game. Colorado has been a bit unfortunate as it last two league losses have come in OT, most recently a 91-89 setback to Washington State. Note that Oregon State has a -128 point differential in its 0-7 start, while Colorado is 48, losing four of its seven games by three points or less. Also note that Oregon State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU loss and just 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 road games, while Colorado is 2-1 ATS in its last three against teams with losing records. All signs point to the BUFFS putting the foot on the gas from start to finish, lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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01-26-17 | Elon v. Northeastern -6 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Northeastern. REASONING: Elon has won two in a row, while Northeastern has dropped three straight. The Huskies look to get back into the winners circle and are still sitting at 5-3 in conference play. The Phoenix are 4-1 at home in league play, but note that they’re 0-3 in road conference contests. And that doesn’t bode well in facing a determined Huskies team which hasn’t lost at home this year. So far Elon averages 76.7 PPG and allows 72.0. Despite the three game skid, Northeastern still has a winning league record. Note that the Huskies average 81.7 PPG and have allowed 65.7 at home this year. Overall the team averages 75.6 PPG and allows 67.2. Note that Elon is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 off a win against a conference rival, while Northeastern is already 4-1 ATS at home this season and 5-3 ATS when playing the role of favorite. The Huskies have won their conference home games by an average of 20.8 PPG and we’re expecting a similar final differential tonight as well. Play on NORTHEASTERN. AAA Sports |
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01-26-17 | NC-Wilmington v. James Madison +10 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on James Madison. REASONING: While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, we think the high-flying Seahawks will come in a bit complacent here and get caught “looking past’ the lowly Dukes this evening. UNCW is poised for a letdown after opening CAA play at 8-0. James Madison is on the other end of the spectrum, desperate for a victory after two straight setbacks, most recently a 73-60 road defeat at Charleston on Saturday. Note that this is a double revenge scenario for the home side as well after dropping both games last year, including a 78-73 home defeat on January 28th. The Seahawks average 86.3 PPG and allow 73.8, while the Dukes average just 64.5 and allow 67.9. Note though that this is a spot in which the Seahawks have struggled in mightily for bettors this year, going just 4-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a spot in which the Dukes have dominated in, going 5-3 ATS against the conference and 2-1 ATS in its last three against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. We think the desperate home side sneaks in through the back door down the stretch, play on JAMES MADISON AAA Sports |
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01-25-17 | St. John's +8.5 v. Providence | Top | 91-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG EAST ATS BLOWOUT on St. John’s. REASONING: St. John’s will be desperate here as it’s lost five of its last six, most recently falling to Seton Hall on Sunday. Providence had won two in a row, but comes into this one off a loss at Villanova last weekend. The Red Storm have struggled defensively, but continue to get good play from guard Marcus Lovett, who finished with 22 points against Seton Hall. The Friars play six of their next nine at home and we think come in a bit complacent here, note that Providence has already struggled in this spot for bettors this year, going just 5-6 ATS as a favorite and only 1-3 ATS against teams with losing records. And note, this is a position in which the Red Storm have excelled, going 4-3 ATS on the road and 6-5 ATS against teams with winning records. We think the desperate visiting side keep this a lot closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Play on ST. JOHN’S. AAA Sports |
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01-24-17 | Villanova v. Marquette +5.5 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marquette. REASONING: While we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely feel that revenge minded home side can take this one down to the wire. Villanova comes in off a fifth straight win in a 78-68 win over Providence on Saturday, while Marquette won for a third time in four games in a 102-94 upset over No. 7 Creighton on the road. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the Golden Eagles to carry over that momentum here. In fact, Marquette has dropped nine straight in this series, including the 93-81 road loss back on January 7th. The Wildcats are ranked 68th in the nation in scoring with 78.6 PPG, while ranked 13th in scoring defense in allowing 62 PPG. The Golden Eagles are ranked 18th in the country in scoring with 84.6 PPG, while not nearly as good on the defensive end in allowing 74.1 per contest. Note that Villanova is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after holding its opponent to 68 points or less, while Marquette is 2-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. Grab the points, play on MARQUETTE. AAA Sports |
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01-23-17 | Spurs v. Nets +12 | Top | 112-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests which we are constantly on the look out for. Off an epic 118-115 OT win in Cleveland against the defending champs, the Spurs now have to “get up” for a game against lowly Brooklyn, before then travelling to Toronto for a game tomorrow night against the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference. The Nets have been all over the map as far as their game-to-game consistency is concerned, blowing out New Orleans 143-114 on the road, before then falling 112-105 at Charlotte after that. Brooklyn though does play with revenge after a blowout loss to San Antonio in December. Note that the Spurs are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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01-23-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia Southern -7 | Top | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT SIDE OF THE WEEK on Georgia Southern. REASONING: The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers had their four game win streak snapped with a 76-56 loss to Georgia State last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. Georgia Southern is 13-6 overall and 6-0 in conference action. The Chanticleers looked horrible in the second half of their last game, scoring only 17 points in the second half and give up 15 three pointers on 33 attempts overall. And that doesn’t bode well in facing the conference’s top offense which shot 53 percent from the floor in its latest victory. Keep your eyes on Tookie Brown, who had 32 points, four boards and two assists in that one. And note that Coastal Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while Georgia Southern is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS loss. Coastal Carolina just loss by 20 points to Georgia State. All signs point to an even bigger blowout tonight. Lay the points, play on GEORGIA SOUTHERN. AAA Sports |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | Top | 17-36 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Steelers. REASONING: Many sharps are likely on the Patriots today, but we think the Steelers can match pace with Tom Brady and company and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Ben Roethlisberger is as experienced as they come and he has the superior RB in Le’Veon Bell today, as well as the best receiver in Antonio Brown. The playing field is even on the offensive end in our opinion. The Pats have the better defense, but not by much. Pittsburgh looked sharp in its 18-16 win over the Chiefs last weekend, while it took New England a full half of football before finally kicking into full gear against the Texans. The Steelers will have their chances and that’s all they can ask for. Grab the points, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Avalanche v. Sharks -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION is on the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Colorado is just 7-12 (-1.9 units) against teams with a winning record and only 3-8 (-2.5 units) after three or more consecutive losses, while SJ is 14-9 (+1.5 units) against teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Avs have been horrible in every facet of the game this season but been particularly brutal on the road. This is the opener of a home and home set and we’re expecting the Sharks to set the tone with a convincing beatdown tonight. Lay the 1.5 goals for the pick em price, play on SAN JOSE on the PUCK LINE. AAA Sports |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don’t normally “flip-flop” on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it’s only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests. Conversely, this is a spot in which the C’s have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we’re expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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01-19-17 | Gonzaga v. Santa Clara +14 | Top | 88-57 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Santa Clara. REASONING: Gonzaga is the No. 4 ranked team in the nation at 17-0. It’s also covered the spread in ten straight. We think the Bulldogs come in a tiny bit complacent here finally in facing the lowly Santa Clara Broncos and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely think that the home side can keep it closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. Gonzaga most recently hammered St. Mary’s 79-56 last weekend, while Santa Clara enters off a 75-61 road win over Pepperdine. Not surprisingly, this one is a revenge scenario for Santa Clara, which dropped both games to Gonzaga last year. We won’t try to convince you that Gonzaga is an overrated team which has seen a lot of bounces go its way this season, or that Santa Clara is actually a lot better than what its record would indicate, as that’s not the case. The Bulldogs are a great team and the Broncos are not. This pick sets up great for Santa Clara situationally though. Also note that Gonzaga is in fact just just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of 12.5 to 15 points, while the Broncos are 4-2 ATS this season against teams with winning records and 3-1 ATS against good offensive clubs which average 77-plus points per contest. Play on SANTA CLARA. AAA Sports |
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01-19-17 | Portland +9 v. San Francisco | Top | 50-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Portland. REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. The Pilots enter having lost three straight and will be eager to return to the winners circle. The Dons come in off a win over Pacific last Saturday, a victory which halted a four-game slide. The Pilots look to get back on track here after falling 74-33 to Saint Mary’s and 79-78 to Loyola Marymount. Keep your eyes on Portland’s talented backcourt feating Alec Wintering and Jazz Johnson. Wintering is the third-leading scorer in the WCC with 20.1 PPG, while Johson is tied for fifth with 17.3. That ranks the duo as the country’s fifth-highest scoring backcourt. We’re not reading too much into the Dons win over the struggling Tigers. San Fran came into that one struggling itself with four straight losses. Also note that San Francisco has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less and just 3-4 ATS in front of the home town crowd, while Portland has excelled by going 3-2 ATS in conference games and 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road. We think Wintering and Johnson keep their team competitive tonight. Grab the points, play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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01-18-17 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Texas Tech. REASONING: TCU appears primed for a letdown here in our opinion after back-to-back victories, most recently an 84-77 win over Iowa State. Vladimir Brodziansky had 25 points in the victory. He leads the team with an average of 12.6 PPG. So far the Horned Frogs average 77.5 PPG. Texas Tech has split its last six games, most recently coming off an 84-75 loss to Oklahoma. Keenan Evans had 16 points in the setback and leads the teams with an average of 14 PPG. Note that Texas Tech averages 78 points on the ninth-best field goal percentage in the country at 50.3 percent. Also note that TCU is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after scoring 80 points or more, while Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and 4-2 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. TT is actually undefeated at home and we don’t think that will change tonight. We’re banking on the hungrier home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night, play on TEXAS TECH. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs -2 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 148 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Kansas City Chiefs. REASONING: Are the trio of Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown the most feared in the league? There’s no doubt that they are a dynamic group, but something doesn’t add up when you look at Pittsburgh’s offensive stats, as the team averaged a pedestrian 24.9 PPG, ranked 11th overall. Defensively the Steelers concede an average of 20.4 PPG, ranked tenth. The Chiefs posted almost identical offensive numbers, 24.3 PPG which ranked them 13th. Defensively though the team was a cut above the Steelers, allowing 19.4 PPG, good for seventh overall. The Steelers beat the Chiefs 43-14 in Week 4 and suffice it to say, we think it’s payback time! KC is well rested and has a huge advantage of playing in front of the home town crowd tonight. Play on the CHIEFS. AAA Sports |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 144 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have been on an unbelievable run to reach this point, but we think they’ll finally have a letdown here. The Cowboys aren’t the greatest in defending the pass, but overall the unit finished in the Top 5 in almost every statistical category. Rodgers won’t have Jordy Nelson in the lineup, which is very significant in this playoff game. His experience in these types of situations simply can’t be downplayed in our opinion. The Cowboys are dominating on both sides of the ball and come in refreshed and focused. Note that Green Bay is just 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Dallas is 5-3 ATS at home. Lay the points, play on the COWBOYS. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 56-79 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-SIDE on Saint Mary’s. REASONING: St. Mary’s is ranked No. 21, while Gonzaga checks in at No. 5 in the nation. The Gaels come in having won nine straight, most recently hammering Portland 74-33 on the road. The Bulldogs are 16-0 after beating Loyola Marymount 93-55 at home on Thursday. Whenever these teams get together, it’s a battle. Note that Saint Mary’s took both regular season contests last year, but Gonzaga would pull off the 85-75 victory in the WCC Tournament. These teams are very similar, in that they both primarily get the job done with suffocating defensive play. Note that St. Mary’s allows just 56.6 PPG, while Gonzaga allows 64.4. Note though that St. Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 10-2-1 ATS in its last 12 following a straight-up victory over more than 20 points, while Gonzaga is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home fav of 6.5 to nine points. Also note that the road team is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. St. Mary’s has the personnel to hang with Gonzaga and while we wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing the points. Play on the ST. MARY’S. AAA Sports |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Falcons | Top | 20-36 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Seattle Seahawks. REASONING: You’d be hard pressed to find a team with as much playoff experience as the Seahawks over the last five years. Atlanta hasn’t won a playoff game since 2012. The Hawks come in with a ton of momentum after dismantling the Lions 26-6 last week. The defense allowed just two field goals and QB Russell Wilson finished 23 of 30 for 224 yards and two TD’s. Seattle finished the regular season allowing only 18.2 PPG, ranked third overall. Will “rest lead to rust” for Atlanta? Possibly. The Falcons finished with the No. 1 offense in the league with an average of 33.8 PPG. The defense though was a disaster, allowing an average of 25.4 PPG, ranked 27th overall. Seattle is too deep and experienced and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SEAHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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01-13-17 | Hornets -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Charlotte Hornets. REASONING: The Hornets are going to be the much “hungrier” team today as they’ve lost three straight and five of their last six, most recently a 121-114 road defeat to Houston on Tuesday. Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot for suddenly over-acheiving Philadelphia, which has won two straight and four of its last five. From a motivational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for Charlotte. From a trend based stand point, it becomes an even stronger play on the Hornets, as they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 100 points or more and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing home record, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home and only 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. As primiarly a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of scenarios that we’re always on the look out for, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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01-13-17 | Toledo v. Central Michigan +1 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER DESTRUCTION on Central Michigan. REASONING: The Rockets enter off a deflating 90-74 loss at WMU, while the Chippewas enter off an 89-85 home loss to Akron. Toledo is 2-1 in conference action, while the Chippewas are 0-3. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the home side to risk life and limb tonight as it desperately tries to avoid the 0-4 conference record. Momentum is a difficult thing to gain and once lost, it’s even harder to get back. After winning five straight, we think the Toledo has a letdown here after its first conference loss. In the loss to the Broncos the Rockets would allow them to shoot 70 percent overall, including 70 percent from range. Toledo averages 82.3 PPG, which puts it in the Top 50 in the country, but it’s defense is horrible, allowing 77.8 PPG, ranked 294th. CMU averages 88.6 PG and allows 81.7. These are two evenly matched teams, ones which push the pace from start to finish and rarely put much effort on the defensive end. Note though that Toledo is just 2-3 ATS on the road this year and 0-3 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 77 plus points per contest, while Central Michigan is 2-1 ATS at home this season and 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. We’re banking on the desperate home side to do just enough to secure the victory today, play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -2.5 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Miami Florida. REASONING: Notre Dame enters off a 75-70 home win over Clemson, while Miami comes in off a lacklustre 70-55 setback to Syracuse. The Hurricanes have to be liking their chances for a bounce back today though, as last year would see them taking both meetings with the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame averages 82.3 PPG, while conceding just 66.7. Miami-Florida averages 73.6 PPG, while allowing just 59.7. Note that Notre Dame is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six against a team with a winning home record, while Miami-Florida is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as a home fav of three points or less or pick. The Hurricanes are holding the opposition to under 30 percent shooting from beyond the arc, which we think spells trouble for the Irish today. MIAMI FLORIDA’s defense proves to be just too much, lay the short points. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Drexel +11.5 v. Northeastern | Top | 75-92 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Drexel. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Drexel is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 5-3 ATS in its last eight when playing with five or six days rest, while Northeastern is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a home fav of 9.5 to 12 points. The bottom line: The Dragons are the “hungrier” team and while we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DREXEL. AAA Sports |
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01-12-17 | Ohio State +11 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-89 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Ohio State. REASONGING: Wisconsin is coming off its first conference loss after a lacklustre 66-55 defeat at Purdue on Saturday. Ohio State though is much more desperate as it comes in having lost three straight, most recently a 78-68 setback to Minnesota on the road on Sunday. Note that the Buckeyes play with revenge here after falling to the Badgers 79-68 in their only meeting last year. OSU comes in averaging 74.2 PPG, while allowing just 65.6. The Badgers average 76 PPG and allow 59.8. Note though that Ohio State is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 off a loss against a conference rival and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, while Wisconsin is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a loss against a conference rival. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-10-17 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC SIDE OF THE YEAR on Virginia Tech. REASONING: The Hokies beat Duke at home by 13 to close the 2016 calendar year, but have started 2017 with back-to-back losses, most recently to NC State by 26 and to FSU by 15 on the road on Saturday. VT will be desperate to return to form here, sitting at just 1-2 in the ACC thus far. Conversely, the Orange look poised for a letdown after beating Pittsburgh 77-66 on Saturday to push their conference record to 2-1. Note that the Hokies also play with revenge today after falling to Syracuse 68-60 in OT last season. Syracuse has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency has been concerend, it opened 2017 with a loss to lowly Boston College on the road, but bounced back with a 70-55 win over Miami Florida on January 4th. The Orange average 76.6 PPG and allow 65.8. Virginia Tech though averages 83.3 points, while allowing 72.1. We think the Hokies high-powered offense will prove to be just too much for the Orange to contend with today. And note that Syracuse is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following a straight-up victory, while VT is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 following an ATS loss. VIRGINIA TECH’s desperation proves to the be the difference, lay the short points. AAA Sports |
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01-09-17 | Troy State v. Georgia State -5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUN-BELT CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Troy is just 11-19 ATS in its last 20 after a loss against a conference rival and only 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Georgia State is already 2-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. The bottom line: The Panthers have not just lost three straight ATS, they’ve also dropped three straight SU. Combined with the 54-53 loss to Troy last year, all signs point to a big bounce back tonight. Play on GEORGIA STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-08-17 | UCF v. Connecticut -1 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Connecticut. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that UCF is just 3-4 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less, while UConn is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season against good defensive teams which allow less than 64 points per game. The bottom line: It’s desperate times for the Huskies, who have lost four straight and five of their last six. Conversely, the Knights look poised for a letdown after five straight victories in our opinion. Play on CONNECTICUT. AAA Sports |
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01-07-17 | Missouri +14 v. Georgia | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Missouri. REASONING: Missouri is the only team in the conference with an overall losing record, most recently coming off an 88-77 loss to LSU in Columbia. It was a frustrating setback for the desperate Tigers, who actually had a 40-35 halftime lead. Jordan Barnett was a bright spot with 18 points. Georgia is 9-5, but comes in off a 67-61 loss to South Carolina on Wednesday and we think it will get caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Yante Maten was a standout in the setback with 18 points. Note that Missouri is 3-1 ATS in its last four after giving up 85 points or more, while Georgia is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after scoring 68 points or less. This is a revenge game as well, as the Bulldogs would take both contests last year. While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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01-05-17 | Pacific +2 v. San Diego | Top | 56-53 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Pacific. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends: As note that Pacific 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 80 points or more and 10-6 ATS in its last 16 games played in the month of January, while San Diego is just 6-12 ATS in its last 18 in January and only 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: The Toreros return home to a “trap” game. Grab the points, play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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01-04-17 | Rutgers +13.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 65-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Rutgers. REASONING: Rutgers is clearly the hungrier team today. After going 11-2 in non-conference action, the Scarlet Knights have dropped back-to-back conference games, most recently a 60-47 setback to Penn State. Rutgers has won just three conference games over its first two seasons in the Big Ten, and neither came on the road. We’re not suggesting to play this one on the money-line, we simply feel that MSU will got caught “looking past” the lowly Scarlet Knights today to their road contest at PSU this weekend. Note that Rutgers is seventh nationally in rebounds per game (43.27). MSU has looked better of late, it comes in having won three straight, but there’s no question that it’s struggled with consistency this year. The home loss to Northeastern was particularly poor. This is also a transition game for the Spartans offense, which welcomes back Miles Bridges. He’s been out for seven games with an ankle injury, but was averaging 16.6 points and 8.8 boards. Coach Tom Izzo has already said that he needs to give Bridges time to get back into “game shape.” Note that Rutgers is 5-3 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Michigan State is just 1-3 ATS this year as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. We’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up to this desperate visiting side. Play on RUTGERS. AAA Sports |
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01-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Lakers +3 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Memphis is 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 12-8 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think the surging Grizz finally have a letdown here and the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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01-03-17 | Texas A&M +14.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 58-100 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* SEC SIDE OF THE MONTH on Texas A&M. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: This is a revenge game for the Aggies after they fell to the Wildcats in the SEC Championship Game last March. Also note that Texas A&M is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest, while Kentucky is 2-3 ATS in its last five off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Aggies had won five straight before getting derailed by Tennessee in their conference opener. We think the visitors are the hungrier side and while we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we are definitely loving all of these points. Play on TEXAS A&M. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | Hornets v. Bulls | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
his is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls. REASONING: The Hornets had won two straight and five of six before falling 121-109 at home to the Cavs on Saturday. The Bulls come in off their second straight loss and fifth in their last sixth after an embarrassing 116-96 setback at home to Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bulls play with revenge though today, as the Hornets have won three straight in the series, including a 103-91 victory at home in the first matchup this year on December 23rd, 2016. Charlotte is ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 104.9 PPG and ranked eighth in scoring in allowing 102.6. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with an average of 100.5 PPG. Note that the Bulls are first in rebounding with 47.7 PPG. The Bulls are tough defensively as well, ranked sixth in allowing 100.6 PPG. Note that Charlotte is just 1-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 3-1 ATS as a home fav of three points or less. We think the home side is much “hungrier” today and look for this determination to pay dividends once it’s all said and done. Play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | Troy State v. South Alabama -1.5 | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on South Alabama. REASONING: This is South Alabama’s Sun Belt Conference opener and we think it makes the most of familiar surroundings: “I think it certainly helps when you're playing your in-state rival to start conference play," USA head coach Matthew Graves said. "The added bonus to it all is that you're starting a new season. I think that's the biggest incentive in my opinion. Everybody is 0-0 and we'll lay it all out on the line Monday. From a defensive standpoint, we've identified that that's where our bread is buttered. We really need to be a defensive-focused group. We've had some extremely good moments defensively and we need to continue to improve in some areas, especially rebounding. Offensively, we've got to step up and make some shots. We're taking care of the ball better and we're taking better shots, we just have to relax and make a few open shots." The Jaguars most recently fell to Ole Miss on December 22nd, Nick Stover led the way with 17 points three 3-pointers. Troy is averaging 80.9 PPG, Jordon Varnado led the way in a victory over Chicago State last time out with a 21-point, eight rebound performance. The Trojans have won five of their last seven, but we think the team is ripe for a letdown here. Note that Troy is 0-2 ATS in its last two when playing with seven or more days rest and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog of three points or less, while South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home fav of six points or less and 10-7 ATS in its last 17 after allowing 80 points or more. Play on SOUTH ALABAMA. AAA Sports |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +7.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 672 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State. REASONING: USC closed the season with eight straight wins, including beating Notre Dame 45-27 at home in its finale. Penn State started the year 2-2, but then rattled off nine straight victories. Ultimately we think that Penn State’s explosive offense will do just enough to take this one down to the wire. The Trojans actually started the year 1-3, including a 52-6 loss by No. 1 Alabama. USC is ranked 42nd in scoring offense with 32.9 PPG and tied for 24th in scoring defense in allowing 22.2 PPG. The Nittanly Lions are putting up 430 yards of offense and 36.2 PPG, which is ranked 26th in the FBS. Penn State is 35th in the FBS in scoring defense, allowing 23.4 PPG. Note that USC is 0-4 ATS in its last four games played on a neutral field, while Penn State is 4-2 ATS in the same position. These teams are very similar and all signs point to this one being decided by whoever has their hands on the ball last. Grab the points, play on PENN STATE. AAA Sports |
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01-01-17 | Giants v. Redskins -8 | Top | 19-10 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washignton Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New York is just 1-3 ATS this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and only 2-4 ATS on the road, while Washington is 4-3 ATS at home and 4-0 ATS against teams with winning records. The bottom line: The Giants will be resting the majority of their starters today, as win or lose, the team is locked into its current playoff position. The Redskins still have a shot at a Wildcard, but need to win today. We’re expecting the home side to win big. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State -3 v. Clemson | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 626 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. REASONING: Back in 2014, No. 11 Clemson upset Ohio State 40-35 in the Orange Bowl. That game featured a couple of great QB’s in Taj Boyd and Braxton Miller, and so too does this one, with Clemson’s DeShaun Watson and OSU’s JT Barrett. Both teams have just one loss on the year. Barrett finished with 3,275 yards, 33 TD’s and just five picks, while RB Mike Weber led the way with 1,072 yards and nine TD’s. Ohio State ranks amont the best in the country on the offensive end (42.7 PPG, ranked fourth) and on the defensive end. Watson is 30-3 as a starting QB for Clemson. Watson had a mediocre season though, finishing with 37 TD’s and 15 picks. Clemson posts 506 yards per game, but is about to face the toughest defense it’s seen all year. Note that Ohio State is 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Clemson is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the same position. We think Watson struggles against this top ten defense and look for Barrett to do just enough to secure the victory today. Play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Wyoming v. UNLV +1 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on UNLV. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primiarly on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Wyoming is just 7-14 ATS in its last 21 off a win against a conference rival, while UNLV is 8-2 ATS at home this season and 13-8 ATS in its last 21 against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The bottom line: We think surging Wyoming finally has a letdown here and the underacheiving Runnin Rebels find a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd. Play on UNLV. AAA Sports |
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12-31-16 | Washington +17 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Push | 0 | 622 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington. REASONING: We got down on this one early and have Washington at +17 and it’s since dropped. Regardless, we think the high-flying Huskies can test Alabama’s nation leading defense and keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Washington hammered Colorado 41-10 in the Pac-12 Champ game, while Alabama cruised to a 54-16 win over Florida in the SEC title contest. The Crimson Tide are No. 1 in points allowed this year, allowing just 11.8 per contest. But there were two offenses which Alabama was unable to contain, beating Ole Miss 48-42 on September 17th and Arkansas 49-30 later on. Washington has steamrolled every opponent this year with its dominant offense, except in its only loss, falling 26-12 to USC on November 12th. QB Jake Browning has 42 TD’s this year, to go along with just seven picks. But Washington’s defense is vastly underrated in our opinion, as it concedes only 17.2 PPG, ranked ninth overall. Bama QB Jalen Hurt was 11 of 20 for 137 yards and one score in the win over the Gators. Hurts has 33 combined rushing/throwing TD’s and nine picks. Note that Alabama is just 1-2 ATS in its last three dome games, while Washington is 2-0 ATS in its last two in the same position. With a month off to prepare, we think Chris Peterson has the Huskies ready to play today. Grab the points, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Flyers +1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -205 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Philadelphia Flyers on the PUCK-LINE. REASONING: The Flyers are 20-13-1-3 and the Sharks are 22-12-1-0. Philadlephia will be the “hungrier” team today though in our opinion, as it’s lost two straight and four of its last five. This sets up as a classic “trap” game for San Jose though, which comes in contented after three straight wins and can’t help but get caught “looking ahead” to its conference matchup against the Kings tomorrow night. Lay the price and grab the extra goal and a half of insurance, play on the FLYERS on the PUCK-LINE. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 76-50 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF THE GAME on Oklahoma. REASONING: The 12-0 Baylor Bears are poised for a bit of a letdown here in our opinion as we expect the 6-5 Oklahoma Sooners to give them everything they can handle. Baylor comes in off an 89-63 win over Texas Southern, while Oklahoma enters off a tough 74-70 loss to Auburn. If recent history is any precedence though, then the Sooners have to be loving their chances today, as they’d go on to take both meetings last year. Baylor is scoring an average of 79.6 PPG, which is ranked 70th overall, while allowing just 58.7. Oklahoma averages 80.1 PPG, while allowing 73. Clearly the Bears have the better defense, but the Sooners are the more motivated side here and have the advantage of playing at home. Note that Baylor is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 after scoring 80 points or more, while Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. We think the situation favors the home side, play on OKLAHOMA. AAA Sports |
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12-30-16 | Bulls v. Pacers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Indiana Pacers. REASONING: We think the Bulls have a letdown here after winning their second straight, most recently a narrow 101-99 victory over the lowly Nets at home on Wednesday. Conversely, the hungry Pacers will be eager to return to form after dropping their fourth in a row, a 111-105 setback in the nation’s capital on Wednesday. The Pacers beat the Bulls 111-94 at home back on November 5th and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with 100.7 PPG and fifth on the defensive end in allowing 99.8. The Bulls are led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 24.5 points and 6.6 boards per game. Note that Chicago is last in the league from behind the arc, shooting 30.6 percent. Indiana got 34 points from Paul George in the loss to the Wizards. Note that the Pacers are 18th in the league in scoring with 103.9 per night and 20th on the defensive end, allowing 106 per contest. Note that Indian is 12th in the league from behind the arc, hitting 35.6 percent. Note that Chicago is just 1-4 ATS this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range and just 6-10 ATS against teams with losing records, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive losses. We like the desperate PACERS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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12-29-16 | Thunder v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Thunder are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of three points or less (including 0-2 this year) and just 3-5 ATS against teams with winning records, while Memphis is 5-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 7-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: After some recent suspect play, we expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and for the strong trends listed above to continue. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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12-29-16 | Green Bay v. Cleveland State +1 | Top | 76-75 | Push | 0 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Cleveland State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Wisconsin Green Bay is already 1-3 ATS this season when playing the role of favorite, just 4-6 ATS after a non-conference game and only 1-2 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Cleveland State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. The bottom line: We think the Phoenix come in complacent and expect the hungrier home side to risk life and limb. Play on CLEVELAND STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-28-16 | Nebraska +16.5 v. Indiana | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR on Nebraska. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Nebraska is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records, while Indiana is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: This also sets up as a “look ahead” spot for the Hoosiers, who play ranked Louisville in a neutral site game this weekend. We think the home side gets caught “looking past” the lowly Huskers today. Play on NEBRASKA. AAA Sports |
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12-27-16 | Kent State +11 v. Texas | Top | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Kent State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Kent STate is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with five of six days of rest and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after scoring 60 points or less, while Texas is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 80 points or more and just 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing with six or less days rest. The bottom line: We’ve been saddled with an early poor line (+11), but regardless, we still think this one sets up beautifully for Kent State. Texas starts league play on the weekend and we think will get caught “looking ahead” and past its lowly non-conference opponent today. Grab as many points as you can, play on KENT STATE. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Lions v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Dallas Cowboys. REASONING: Detroit looked horrible in its loss in New York last week as QB Matt Stafford’s offense posted just six points. If the Lions have had one weakness this year, it’s clearly been their play away from friendly confines where they’ve gone just 3-4 this season. Dallas has already earned a first-round bye, but won’t be rolling over and will clearly want to finish off the season on a high note. Dallas has struggled against the pass this year, but catches a break in that Stafford’s offense isn’t what it used to be in year’s past. Dallas fell to the Giants for a second time this season, but then bounced back with a 26-20 win over the Bucs on Sunday Night Football last week. QB Dak Prescott was 32 of 36 for 279 yards, while Ezekiel Elliot had 159 yards and a TD. Note that Detroit is just 3-4 ATS on the road this year and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games played in the month of December, while Dallas is 4-3 ATS in its last seven in front of the home town crowd. We don’t see DALLAS taking the foot off the gas at this point of the season, so lay the points with confidence. AAA Sports |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt v. NC State -5.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State. REASONING: NC State earned bowl eligibility in its final game of the season. So too did Vanderbilt. The Wolfpack would beat UNC 28-21 in their regular-season finale. The team was paced by RB Matthew Dayes, who had 103 yards rushing and two TD’s in the victory over the Tar Heels. In all Hayes would finish with 1,119 rushing yards and ten TD’s. Also note that NC State has five receivers collecting at least 400 receiving yards, led by Stephen Louis with 657. The Wolfpack average just 25.5 PPG, ranked 88th overall, but they’ve been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 23.2 PPG, which is ranked 33rd in the country. The Commodores would beat Tennessee 45-34 in their regular season finale. QB Kyle Shurmur had a big day with 416 yards passing and two TD’s. RB Ralph Webb is the focal point of the offense though, he finished with 1,172 rushing yards and 12 TD’s. These teams are similar in many respects, as note that Vanderbilt averages only 23.5 PPG, while conceding just 22.6 (ranked 28th). Note though that Vanderbilt is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and only 1-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while NC State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. We think the numbers all point to NC STATE as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-25-16 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* X-MAS DAY PRESENT on the Baltimore Ravens. REASONING: This is essentially a contest for the AFC North Title. If the Steelers win, they go to the playoffs and win the division. If the Ravens win, they have to beat the Bengals on the road next weekend to claim the title. Baltimore comes off a 27-26 win over Philadelphia, while the Steelers held on for a 24-20 win over the Bengals last weekend. Both teams enter into this one on top form, but if recent history is any precedence, then the Ravens have to be loving their chances today, as they’ve won four straight and six of the last seven in the series. In the first game against the Steelers this year, QB Joe Flacco was 18 of 30 for 241 yards, one TD and a pick. The Ravens average 347.1 YPG on offense and are also ranked fifth overall in yards allowed per game at (312.6). For the most part the Steelers have been solid on both sides of the ball this year, but note that QB Ben Roethlisberger completed just 50 percent of his passes for 264 yards in the first game against the Ravens. And note that Baltimore is 4-0 ATS against the divsional already this season, while Pittsburgh is only 1-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The RAVENS always play the Steelers tough and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another hard-fought battle that will likely come down to whoever has his hands on the ball last. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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12-25-16 | Stephen F Austin +13 v. Utah | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Stephen F. Austin. REASONING: It’s the final non-conference game for both teams and we’re expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent on Christmas Day as it gets caught looking ahead. Leading the way in scoring for Stephen F. Austin this year is Ivan Canete, with 13.1 PPG and 2.7 rebounds. Utah is 8-3 overall this season, but is just 4-3 over its last seven. Sedrick Barefield leads the charge for the Utes with an average of 19 PPG. Note though that Stephen F. Austin is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with a winning straight-up record and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight-up win, while Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a straight-up win and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS victory. With three ranked opponents on the horizon, we think this one sets up as a classic spot bet against the home side. Grab as many points as you can, play on STEPHEN F. AUSTIN. AAA Sports |
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12-24-16 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Green Bay Packers. REASONING: Green Bay needs to win its last two games for a shot at the postseason and it’ll be gunning for a fifth straight victory overall. We think Aaron Rodgers and the home side find a way to get the job done at the end of the night against this patchwork Minnesota Vikings team. The Packers most recently beat Chicago, while the Vikes enter having lost seven of their last nine after falling to the Colts last week. Minnesota is ripe for the picking, last week’s 34-6 loss to Indinapolis was its worst performance of the year. RB Adrian Peterson returned and looked horrible, going 22 yards on six carries and a lost fumble. The Vikes would need a miracle at this point to make the postseason. Rodgers was 19 of 31 for 252 yards, but had no TD’s last week. Rodgers though hasn’t thrown an INT since mid November, a span of five games. And note that the Vikes are just 1-4 ATS their last five on the road, while the Pack is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at home in this series. Over his last five games, Rodgers has ten TD’s and no INT’s. It’s hard to imagine the deflated an undermanned Vikes putting up much of a fight at Lambeau this afternoon. Lay the points, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers +1 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is just 6-11 ATS on the road this year and just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 105 points or more, while Indiana is 4-2 ATS this season already in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 8-6 ATS when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: This is Indiana’s final game before the Christmas break, but the Celtics have one more game tomorrow night against the Thunder. We’re expecting the visitors to get caught looking ahead and expect the revenge minded home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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12-21-16 | Wolves v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: Both teams come into this one off a victory. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here though in our opinion after winning for the second time in three games in getting the better of Phoenix 115-108 at home on Monday. The Wolves are in the middles of the pack on the offensive end, averaging 104.3 PPG, which ranks them 14th overall. Defensively though the team has been a big disappoinment in allowing 106.9 PPG, ranking it 23rd. The Hawks returned to form in a big road win over the Thunder to push them back over the .500 mark and we’re expecting them to keep the momentum rolling. ATL would shoot 54.7 percent from the floor and go 9 of 20 from behind the arc. So far the Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring at 102.6 PPG and 16th on the defensive end in allowing 104.4 PPG. Note though that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference, while ATL is already 3-1 ATS this year as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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12-21-16 | Illinois v. Missouri +7.5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Missouri. REASONING: The 5-5 Tigers get ready to battle the 9-3 Fighting Illini and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end grab up the points in the 36th Annual Bud Light Braggin’ Rights Game. Note that the past three Braggin’ Right contests have been decided by a combined nine points. Illinois has won all three. Last year the Fighting Illini won 68-63. The Tigers have been playing decently despite the win/loss record, holding their opposition to an average of 10.3 points below their season scoring average. Illinois comes in complacent after five straight wins. And note that Illinois is just 7-9 ATS when playing on a neutral court, while Missouri is 13-8 ATS in its last 21 vs. good offensive teams which score 77 plus points per contest. Grab the points, play on “revenge-minded” MISSOURI. AAA Sports |
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12-20-16 | Fresno State v. Oregon -14.5 | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Oregon. REASONING: We think Fresno State has a letdown in its final game before conference action. The Bulldogs enter contented after three straight wins. Oregon though is on a monster roll and we think that momentum carries over here, as the Ducks enter on the backs of an eight game win skein. Four players average ten points for the Bulldogs, but we think they’ll have their hands full at the Matthew Knight Arena, a venue considered one of the toughest to play in in the country. Oregon is 7-0 at home and is led by Chris Boucher, with 14.1 points and 7.8 boards per game. Boucher is expected to be sidelined, but the Ducks are deep and it’s just “next man up.” Note that Fresno State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 12.5 to 15 points range, while Oregon is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. Oregon is primed for another conference title run, but has some big obstacles in its way, including No. 2 UCLA and No. 18 Arizona. With the tough conference schedule upcoming, we’re expecting the home side to come in razor focused and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on OREGON. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | College of Charleston v. LSU -5 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on LSU. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the College of Charleston is just 11-19 ATS in its last 30 after scoring 60 points or less, while LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home fav of 3.5 to six points and 12-7 ATS in its last 19 after allowing 80 points or more. The bottom line: LSU also plays with revenge today after College Of Charleston scored an outright upset last season. It’s payback time! Lay the points, play on LSU. AAA Sports |
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12-19-16 | Central Michigan +13 v. Tulsa | Top | 10-55 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Central Michigan. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and “common sense:” As note that Central Michigan is 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this year and 6-3 ATS in its last nine off a loss against a conference rival, while Tulsa is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing with two weeks or more of rest and just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games. The bottom line: We think Cooper Rush can keep this one close and look for the trends listed above to continue over into the Beach Bowl. play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AAA Sports |
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12-18-16 | Western Michigan v. Washington -12 | Top | 86-92 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Washington. REASONING: Both teams are below the .500 mark, with the Broncos checking in at 3-6 overall and 0-2 away from home. The Huskies are 4-5 overall and 3-2 at home. Washington averages 80 PPG, while WMU posts 74.2. You’ll want to keep your eyes on the Huskies’ Markelle Fultz, who is averaging 22.8 points, 6.9 boards and 6.1 assists this year. The Broncos ended a two game slide with a win over James Madison on Saturday, but we’re expecting an immediate return to mediocrity tonight. Despite winning, note that the Broncos allowed James Madison to shoot a season high 52 percent from the floor. The Huskies on the other hand will be desperate here, they’ve lost four straight after getting edged 87-85 at home to Nevada as 5 point favorites. Fultz had 21 points, eight assists, five boards and three steals. Note that the Broncos are just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 following an ATS victory and just 2-5 ATS in their last seven against teams with a losing SU record, while Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive contests. We think these trends continue and like the Huskies to win going away with a big game in front of the home town crowd. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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12-17-16 | Fresno State v. Pacific +1.5 | Top | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on Pacific. REASONING: Pacific has struggled this year, but is a perfect 3-0 at home to open the season. Fresno State is 7-3, while the Tigers broke a three-game slide with a win over North Carolina AT&T last time out. So far the Bulldogs average 75 PPG, while Pacific posts 69. Fresno concedes 68 PPG and the the Tigers allow 74. Fresno State is led by three players which average between 13 and 13.5 points. Anthony Townes leads the way for the Tigers along with Ray Bowles, who is posting 14 PPG average thus far. Note that Fresno State is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 after allowing 60 points or less, while Pacific is already a perfect 3-0 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Looks like a classic letdown spot for the Bulldogs and we expect the home side to make the most of it. Play on PACIFIC. AAA Sports |
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12-16-16 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami (Fla) -19 | Top | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Miami Florida. REASONING: No need to overthink this one in our opinion, as we expect the FAU Owls to have a predictable letdown here after their epic 79-77 OT win over Ohio State last time out. The Hurricanes took care of business against SC State, hammering it 82-46 and we look for the home side to come in focused tonight as well. The Owls were actually trailing by 11 points midway through the second half but rallied for the improbable comeback against the Buckeyes. The FAU offense is ranked 153rd overall in averaging 75.5 PPG, while the defense allows 71.9 PPG, ranked 184th. Ja’Quan Newton led the Hurricanes last time out and has reached double-digits in points in every game this year. So for Miami averages 74.2 PPG. The Hurricanes though are amongst the best in the nation on the defensive end allowing just 57.3 PPG, good for fifth overall. Note that FAU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest, while Miami Florida is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more. FAU isn’t going to surprise anyone anymore and now faces the toughest defense it’ll likely see all season. Because of all the various situational, motivational and trend based factors listed above, we’re expecting a lop-sided wire-to-wire beadown. Play on the HURRICANES. AAA Sports |
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12-15-16 | Rams +14.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -130 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Rams. REASONING: LA has many issues and after getting blown out 42-14 at home by Atlanta last Sunday, the team would fire head coach Jeff Fisher. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting the rest of the team to respond in a big way tonight. Don’t get us wrong, we don’t think that the Rams are going to be able to suddenly “throw a switch” now and become a fantastic team, but we do think that in this first game back, everyone on the field today will be shaken up by the drastic measure and we’re expecting that focus to translate into some positive production. When these teams met earlier in the year, LA managed a 9-3 win. At 8-4, the Seahawks have the division wrapped up for the most part, so it’s not too hard to imagine the home side coming in a bit complacent here as well. Seattle’s defense has been great this year, once again in the top 10, but the offense has been hit-or-miss all season and it certainly looked poor in last week’s 38-10 loss in Green Bay, one which QB Russell Westbrook threw a career high five INT’s. Note that LA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against the division, while Seattle is just 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year. We aren’t going to predict an outright upset, but do think that the determined visitors can keep this one competitive. Play on the RAMS. AAA Sports |
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12-14-16 | UC-Irvine +11 v. Nevada | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Cal Irvine. REASONING: UC Irvine has played some tough opponents so far in facing three ranked teams. Most recently the Anteaters fell 84-53 at no. 12 Saint Mary’s. Fortunately for Cal Irvine, there are no more ranked teams left on the schedule. They’ll now look to reverse their fortunes with a big effort against the Nevada Wolf Pack, who look like one of the best out of the Moutain West. So far UCI averages just 61.8 PPG. The Anteaters though are among the best on the defensive end, conceding just 65.4. Jaron Martin is the leader with 12.5 points and 3.3 assists per contest. Nevada is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after its big 87-85 upset win at Pac 12 Washington on Sunday, as Marcus Marshall would hit a 15 foot runner with no time left on the clock for the victory. Marshall leads the MWC in scoring with an average of 20.4 PPG. Note though that UC Irvine is already 2-1 ATS this year after scoring 60 points or less and it’s also 4-0 ATS in its last four after allowing 80 points or more. And note that Nevada is just 5-9 ATS in its last 14 against teams with losing records and interestingly, just 3-6 ATS in its last nine vs. poor offensive teams which score 64 points or less per contest. Grab the points, play on UC IRVINE. AAA Sports |
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12-14-16 | Green Bay +22.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 59-73 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Wisconsin Green Bay. REASONING: We think the Badgers, who have won five straight, come in a tiny bit complacent tonight and leave the back door open just enough for the visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. After losing to UNC, Wisconsin has bounced back with five straight wins, most recently over Marquette. The Phoenix have had over a week off after falling at CMU last Tuesday. The silver lining in the loss though was that Wisconsin Green Bay did post a season-high points total in the eventual 107-97 setback. Five players finished in double figures, led by Kerem Kanter, who had 23. Last year the Phoenix fell by just five points at the Kohl Center, as Wisconsin would hold on for the 84-79 win. Nigel Hayes had 24 points in that one. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similarily hard-fought and competitive battle tonight. Note that the Phoenix are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine following a SU loss, while the Badgers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 at home in this series. Grab the points, play on the PHOENIX. AAA Sports |
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12-12-16 | Auburn v. Boston College +7 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Boston College. REASONING: We jumped on this line early and unfortunately have an unfavorable one (+7), but regardless, we love this play and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Auburn is 6-1 to open the year, but we think is primed for a letdown finally. Conversely, the BC Eagles have more losses than wins (4-5) and we think they’ll be the “hungrier” team. Boston College most recently fell 65-63 at home to Hartford. Auburn hasn’t played since December 3rd when it beat UAB, so we’re expecting “rest” to lead to “rust.” This one also sets up nicely for the Eagles from a trend based stand point, as note that Auburn is just 7-17-2 ATS in its last 26 neutral court games, while BC is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a neutral court underdog in the seven to 14 points range. Play on the EAGLES. AAA Sports |
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12-11-16 | Saints +3 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -115 | 150 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Saints. REASONING: New Orleans is sitting two games back in the NFC South and a loss today would essentially be the “nail in the coffin” for the Saints. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. New Orleans will be desperate after losing three of its last four, most recently falling to the surging Lions 28-13. QB Drew Brees had an “off” night, but overall the veteran has been spectacular this season and we’re expecting a big time bounce back performance this afternoon. Tampa Bay on the other hand is poised for a letdown after four straight wins in our opinion. Most recently Tampa stormed back to take a seven point win in San Diego, QB Jameis Winston going for 280 yards, a TD and a pick. Note that New Orleans is already 2-1 ATS against the division and a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road, while Tampa is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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12-10-16 | Penn State v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Pittsburgh. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Penn State is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 80 points or more and just 1-4 ATS in its last five neutral court games, while Pittsburgh is 3-1 ATS in its last four after consecutive ATS losses. The bottom line: We think PITTSBURGH’s depth will prove to be the difference down the stretch, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-09-16 | Georgia Southern v. Minnesota -13.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota. REASONING: We jumped on this one early and have a poor line compared to the one currently available as of writing (we have -13.5, as of writing we have seen this one down closer to -12). Despite that though, we still love this selection as we’re expecting the home side to jump out to an early lead and to put the foot on the gas until the final horn. Georgia Southern enters off a disheartening 85-82 home loss to Florida Gulf Coast, while the Gophers beat NJIT 74-68 in their last outing. The Eagles looked horrible defensively in their last game, allowing Florida Gulf Coast to shoot 61 percent from the field. Georgia Southern was also out-rebounded 40-26 in the setback. Ike Smith was a bright spot, finishing with 23 points. So far the Eagles are scoring 78.6 PPG and allowing 71.9. Minnesota’s Akeem Springs had a big night off the bench in the Golden Gophers’ last game, finishing with a team-high 19 points on 6 of 12 shooting. Minnesota averages 75.7 PPG, but concedes just 66, which is ranked 75th overall. Note that Georgia Southern is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 80 points or more, while Minnesota is already a perfect 2-0 ATS against the Sun Belt this year and 3-1 ATS against good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest. The Eagles looked atrocious defensively against a weak Florida Gulf Coast team and now transition to play in an extremely hostile environment, against one of the best defenses they’ll see all year. Minnesota can hardly be happy with its performance over NJIT last time out, so we’re expecting the home side to be ultra-focused from start to finish tonight. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout, play on the GOLDEN GOPHERS. AAA Sports |
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12-09-16 | Hawks +2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: The Hawks snapped a seven game slide in a 103-95 victory over the Heat on Wednesday and they’ll clearly be looking to keep the momentum rolling. Milwaukee on the other hand is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after winning five of its last six, most recently a 115-107 home victory over the Blazers on Wednesday. Atlanta has already beaten the Bucks this year, prevailing 107-100 back on November 16th. Atlanta held a 47-34 advantage on the boards over the Heat last time out, big man Dwight Howard would led the way with 23 points, 17 boards, four assists and two blocks. Note that ATL is ranked 24th in scoring at 100.3, but makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing 102 PPG, ranked 12th. Milwaukee owns the 18th ranked offense at 103.8 PPG. The Bucks also have an above average defense, conceding 101.8 PPG, ranked 10th. Note though that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS against winning teams this year and 3-1 ATS following a divisional contest, while Milwaukee is just 3-4 ATS after a non-conference game and only 4-5 ATS against clubs with losing records. We think the home side gets caught looking ahead to its road trip, which starts tomorrow night in Washington, followed by a game in Toronto on Monday. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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12-06-16 | East Carolina v. Virginia -21.5 | Top | 53-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Virginia. REASONING: East Carolina is 7-2, while Virginia is 7-1. That’s where the similarites end between these teams though, as we expect the Cavaliers smothering nation leading defense to be just too much for the Pirates to handle tonight. ECU comes in off a 69-56 home win over North Carolina Central, while Virginia looks to take out its frustrations on someone after falling 66-57 at home to WVU this past weekend. Note that the Pirates average just 69.4 PPG which is 277th overall. ECU has so far done a great job defensively, conceding an average of just 59.6 PPG, ranked 11th overall. The Cavs are coming off their first loss of the year and will clearly be looking to erase the stink of that sub-par performance from memory. Senior guard London Perrantes leads the team with 10.6 PPG. Note that the Cavs average 69.6 PPG, but allow only 46.9, the No. 1 mark in the country. Also note that ECU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, while Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU loss and 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 against teams with a winning record. The conditions are right for a blowout of epic proportions, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Hornets -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Charlotte is 5-3 ATS in its last eight on the road and 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas is just 7-11 ATS as an underdog this season and only 4-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The bottom line: Charlotte looks to take advantage of this favorable matchup after a recent stretch of shoddy play. We’re expecting the home side to have a letdown and for these strong ATS trends to continue. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Spurs -5 v. Bucks | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that San Antonio is 8-2 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is just 5-6 ATS at home and already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: We think the Bucks will get caught off guard by this high-powered West Coast team and expect the deeper Spurs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN ANTONIO. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Cavs +1 v. Raptors | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four following a divisional contest and 25-18 ATS in its last 43 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less. The bottom line: The Raptors have been on quite the role, having won five straight and they’ve already lost the Cavs this year. But that said, we think CLEVELAND, which has scuffeled a bit of late, will once again find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-05-16 | Siena v. Rider +4 | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAAC SIDE OF THE WEEK on Rider. REASONING: Siena is 3-5 overall and 0-5 on the road. Rider is 3-3 and 0-1 at home. We think the Broncos finally get off the schneid in MAAC action. Both teams played Fairfield just last week and Siena won by seven, while Rider fell by nine. Despite that, we like the Broncos to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. This is a “revenge” game for the home side, as Siena has won three straight in the series, including both last year. The year before that though, Rider beat Siena at home. The Saints have five players averaging double figures and are led by Marquis Wright with 18 points, 4.3 boards and 4.6 assists per game. The Broncos are led by Jimmie Taylor and Kahil Thomas, both who average 13 PPG. Three Rider players average double figures. It’s true that Siena averages 75.1 PPG, but it also gives up 76.4. Rider averages just 69.2, but concedes only 68.3. Note that the Saints are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road fav of 3.5 to six points and just 7-13 ATS in their last 20 when playing on one or less days rest, while Rider is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a home dog of 3.5 to six points and 9-7 ATS in its last 16 off a loss against a conference rival. We think the conditions are right for an outright upset, but we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on RIDER. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Magic +7 v. Pistons | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:” Orlando played and lost to Detroit 108-82 back on November 28th. Clearly the Magic will be out to atone for that lacklustre effort. Detroit has won five of its last six and we think will come in a bit complacent here. The bottom line: Note that Orlando is already 5-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Detroit is 0-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. Play the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 144 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Arizona Cardinals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Washington is just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road dog of three points or less and just 1-3 ATS in its last four “dome” games, while Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last eight played in the month of December, just 2-1 ATS after two or more consecutive losses and interestingly, a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five against the NFC East. The bottom line: This is a must win game for both teams to keep their already extremely slim playoff hopes alive, as each will essentially need to win-out for any chance whatsoever. We think that home field advantage can’t be overlooked in this position, so we’re laying the points. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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12-04-16 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 140 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Baltimore Ravens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Miami is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of December and interestingly, just 1-4 ATS against the AFC North, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a win against a division rival and 4-1 ATS against the AFC East. The bottom line: The Dolphins have reeled off five straight wins, but we think are ripe for a letdown here. The Ravens play in New England next weekend, meaning that this game becomes almost a “do-or-die” scenario for the home side. We’re laying the points, play on BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | UNLV v. Arizona State -5 | Top | 73-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on Arizona State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that UNLV is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 80 points or more and just 10-13 ATS in its last 23 road games, while ASU is 8-5 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of December and interestingly, 2-0 ATS against the Mountain West the last two seasons. The bottom line: We expect the WILDCATS to come out extremely focused after some recent shoddy play and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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12-03-16 | Florida v. Alabama -24 | Top | 16-54 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on Alabama. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Florida is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog (including just 1-2 ATS this year), while Alabama is 8-4 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: The Gators have a top 15 defense, but the offense is a disaster. And that doesn’t bode well for an Alabama team which leads the nation on defense in allowing under 12 PPG. The Crimson Tide also rank in the top 10 offensively. On the national stage, we look for the No. 1 team in the FBS to send a resounding message to the rest of the country. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-02-16 | Colorado +8 v. Washington | Top | 10-41 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Colorado. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: Washington is 11-1 and with a victory tonight, will not only claim the Pac 12 title, but also punch its ticket to the playoff championship round. Colorado beat Utah at home last week and has been under valued all year in our opinion. The Buffs have a top 35 offense and a top 10 defense. The Huskies are 3rd in the nation in scoring and also have a top 10 defense. Will Washington get caught “looking ahead” to what might be? The pressure is on the Huskies and we think the spotlight is going to be a detractor tonight. Conversely, the Buffs clearly have nothing to lose. The bottom line: Note that Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after a win against a conference rival and 4-2 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Washington is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 off a win against a conference rival. Grab the points, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings +3.5 | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 76 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Minnesota Vikings. REASONING: Dallas has been unbelievably impressive obviously, as the combination of a rookie phenom QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliot have the Cowboys at 10-1. Minnesota’s run game has been non-existent this season and QB Sam Bradford has been just adequate. The Vikes rank dead last in almost every offensive category. The defense and special teams have been exceptional though and are the main reason that Minnesota is 6-5 and still very much in playoff contention. Desperation breeds motivation and success often leads to complacency. So far everything has gone the Cowboys’ way this season, but we think the desperate home side will give them everything they can handle today. The Vikes have 28 sacks, which rank seventh in the NFL, and the secondary has 12 INT’s, ranked third. Bradford continues to be extremely effecient, as he’s completed 71.3 percent of his passes, with 12 TD’s to just three picks. Also note that Bradford catches a bit of a break today, as the Dallas pass rush is tied for 25th in the league in sacks. The Cowboys are just 1-3 ATS in their last four “Thursday night” games (including 0-1 this season), while the Vikings are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 at home, including 4-1 ATS this season and 11-6 ATS in their last 17 against teams with winning records. Bradford has been given the green light to go deep and he’s facing the perfect defense to do it against. Head coach Mike Zimmer is a defensive specialist and we think the Vikes can put significant pressure on Prescott tonight. Grab the points, play on the VIKINGS. AAA Sports |
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12-01-16 | Columbia v. Seton Hall -16 | Top | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Seton Hall. REASONING: Seton Hall is 4-2 after falling 66-52 to Stanford on Sunday in the fifth-place game of the AdvoCare Invitational in Florida. Guard Khadeen Carrington had 20 points for the fourth time already this year. A game at home against an Ivy League opponent is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked for the Pirates though, as SHU has for the most part dominated the conference, going 38-20 all time with a 12.7 average margin of victory. Also note that Seton Hall is riding a 17-game home win streak over non-conference opponents with an average scoring marging of +17.8. The Lions on the other hand enter off a crushing 88-86 loss to Hofstra and we think they’re primed for a letdown in this spot. Note that Columbia is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this year and 0-2 ATS against teams with winning records, while Seton Hall is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 at home. Play on the PIRATES. AAA Sports |
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11-30-16 | Texas Southern v. Arizona -16 | Top | 63-85 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona. REASONING: Arizona played four games in seven days last week in Las Vegas, but returns home to the McKale Center with four days of rest. The Wildcats defeated Santa Clara 69-61 on Thanksgiving Day, before then falling 69-65 to Butler the next day in a game that featured 11 lead changes and nine scoring ties. But if history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today as they’ve won 36 straight non-conference games in front of the home town crowd. Also note that Arizona has won 47 of its last 60 games following at least four days of rest. The last time these teams played was in the first round of the 2015 NCAA Tournament in the Moda Center in Portland and the Wildcats would pull away for the 93-72 win. All five UA starters scored at least ten points in the win. Also note that Arizona is 13-1 in home games immediately following a loss away from Tuscon. We think that Texas Southern should be a much bigger underdog in this one as it simply doesn’t matchup well at all, note that it’s just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing three consecutive road games. And note that AU is 19-10 ATS in its last 29 home games as a favorite of 12.5 points or more. Play on ARIZONA. AAA Sports |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Green Bay Packers. REASONING: The Packers have lost four straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. The Eagles come in off a 26-15 road loss to Seattle and we think they’re primed for another letdown tonight. The panic button has been pressed in Green Bay, but their is a silver lining in that the team still sits just two games shy of a tie atop the NFC North standings. Green Bay’s defense ranks in the lower third in passing yards allowed, but QB Aaron Rodgers continues to find ways to get the job done, he’s ranked eighth in the league in passing. In the Packers’ 42-24 loss to the Redskins, Rodgers had 351 yards passing and three TD’s. Philadelphis is now in last place in the NFC East, and the playoffs are almost assuredly out of the question at this point. The defense has been the Eagles strong point, conceding an average of just 18.7 PPG thus far. But clearly that unit is going to be tested by a motivated Rodgers this evening. Rookie QB Carson Wentz has looked pretty ordinary of late and I think he’ll have troubles against this Packers secondary which will clearly be playing with a chip on its shoulder after the recent stretch of poor play. Note that Green Bay is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against the NFC East, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven when playing the role of favorite. Grab as many points as you can, play on GREEN BAY. AAA Sports |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -7 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -100 | 143 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Michigan is 5-8 ATS in its last 13 on the road (including just 1-2 ATS this year). It’s also a poor 2-4 ATS in its last six as an underdog and just 3-5 ATS in its last eight against conference opponents. Note that it’s also only 2-4 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival. And note that Ohio State has excelled in this spot for bettors, going 4-2 ATS at home this year is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: Obviously a huge rivalry game, but we simply can’t see the home side taking a mis-step at this point. We look for OHIO STATE to do just enough to come away with the cover at the end of the afternoon. AAA Sports |
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11-25-16 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that New Orleans is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 3.5 to six points, while Portland is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. The bottom line: This is a “revenge” game for the struggling Blazers. The Pelicans have turned things around of late, but we think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors today. Combined with what should be a superhuman effort from the home side tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and back to its winning ways, all signs do indeed point to PORTLAND as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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11-25-16 | Washington -5.5 v. Washington State | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 121 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite, while Washington State is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range. The bottom line: The Cougars are coming off their first conference loss of the season to Colorado and are primed for a letdown. The Huskies are hoping to play for the national title and we’re expecting their No. 1 Pac 12 offense and defense to do just enough today to secure the ATS victory in the tough environment. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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11-24-16 | LSU v. Texas A&M +4 | Top | 54-39 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Texas A&M. REASONING: LSU has little to play for as it closes out the season sitting at 6-4, most recently coming off a disappointing 16-10 home loss to Florida this past Saturday. Texas A&M is 8-3 SU and it’s gunning for a better bowl position at this point. The Aggies enter off a 23-10 win over UTSA last week. LSU RB Leonard Fournette played injured last week and it showed as he’d finish with just 40 yards on 12 carries. Derrius Guice had 83 yards on 19 carries to go along with a TD (Guice was stuffed for the winning attempt from one yard out though). The Tigers get the job done on the ground offensively as the passing attack has been a major issue for years, this season it’s averaged just 174 yards per game, ranked 109th in the country. The Aggies lost the services of QB Trevor Knight and backup Jake Hubenak has been decent in relief, posting 222 yards against Mississippit State, 213 yards against Ole Miss and 248 yards against UTSA last weekend. Last Saturday he was 19 of 32 with one TD and no INT’s. The Aggies run game has been the strength of the team though, averaging 220.2 YPG. Note that LSU is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games and only 3-7 ATS in its last ten games played in the month of November, while Texas A&M is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this season. We like Hubenak here and think the home side will jump on this rattled Tigers team. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on TEXAS A&M. AAA Sports |
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11-21-16 | Mavs +16 v. Spurs | Top | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite between 14.5 and 18 points, while San Antonio is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days rest and only 1-2 ATS this season against teams with losing records. The bottom line: Desperation leads to motivation. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do definitely think that the desperate visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DALLAS. AAA Sports |
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11-18-16 | Memphis v. Cincinnati +7.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Cincinnati. REASONING: Memphis is bowl eligible, while Cincinnati desperately needs two more wins to join the party. While an outright win is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points as we think the home side’s overall desperation will take this one down to the wire. The Bearcats come in on a three-game losing streak. Memphis though is backing its way into the postseason as it’s dropped three of its last four, most recently a 49-42 setback to USF last weekend. Tigers’ QB Riley Ferguson was 29 of 46 for 331 yards, three TD’s and one pick last week. Cincinnati most recently fell 24-3 to Central Florida and is in danger of a missing a bowl game for the first time in six years. Note though that Memphis is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year and only 3-4 ATS when playing the role of favorite (also a horrible 1-5 ATS against the conference), while Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last six after two or more consecutive SU losses. Desperation breeds motivation, play on the BEARCATS. AAA Sports |
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11-17-16 | Long Beach State +21 v. Louisville | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on Long Beach State. REASONING: LBSU comes in battle tested already as it faces its second straight ranked opponent in the third game of the team’s opening road trip in No. 12 Louisville. Keep your eyes on Gabe Levin, who has played well for LBSU to open the season, leading the way in both scoring and rebounding through three games. LBSU received 19 of 23 first-place votes as the favorite to win the Big West Conference in 2016/17 as picked by the media panel in the Preseason. LBSU has four starters returning from last year and a ton of talent which we think can catch the Cardinals a bit off guard. Louisville gets ready to play its third straight home game, most recently clobbering William & Mary 91-58. Through the first two games, four players have averaged double figures. Note though that LBSU is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS losses, while Louisville is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Grab as many points as you can, play on LONG BEACH STATE. AAA Sports |