Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-25-22 | Warriors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) The Hawks have gone just 1-2 in their last 3. Off a 122-101 loss at Detroit as 5-point favs, I say that ATL bounces back here at home in this revenge scenario. ATL lost 127-113 at Golden State at the start of the yar, but note that the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Warriors snapped a 3-game slide with a 118-104 road win at Miami in their last game as 9.5-point underdogs, but with a much more "winnable" game in the Nation's capital on Sunday, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. A great overall situational play in my opinion; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) There's zero reason to overthink this one, as Toronto is 0-3 SU/ATS so far in this season series. The triple-revenge factor is the main reason behind this play. Cleveland hasn't played since it's 131-120 home loss to the Lakers and with a home game against Chicago next, this also sets up as a bit of a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The Raptors are off a 113-99 loss at Chicago, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) I base my picks on many different things. Scheduling at this time of the year is a big factor I always look at, as team's playing the 2nd game of a B2B are definitely fatigued. Let's not overthink this one, as after its 117-111 win as a 3.5-point fav just last night, I believe New York suffers a predictable letdown here. Detroit is coming off a 119-115 loss at home to Portland, but previous to that had covered in 8 of its last 9. The Pistons got the better of Atlanta by a score of 113-110 in OT as 8-point dogs 2 weeks ago, and I say another outright victory is a possibility here as well; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* BULLS (ASSASSIN) Chicago has lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS (that does in fact work in our favor here though, as the Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losess in a row.) Chicago also plays with revenge after a 127-120 OT setback to Toronto at the start of February. Finally though, note that Toronto played and won 93-88 at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs just last night! It's a perfect spot for a hungry and revenge-minded team; lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
10* BUCKS (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are the defending champs and the Wolves are the hottest team in the league right now. Minnesota is actually the No. 1 offense in the entire NBA. The Bucks are No. 3. Each is playing extremely well on both ends of the floor and honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either of these league-leading squads to come out on top in this one. So why do I like the Bucks here? Simple. Revenge factor. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here vs. a the revenge-minded Bucks who fell 113-108 at home to Minnesota at the start of the season (as note, Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) To be the champ, you gotta beat the champ, and that's not happening twice; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Panthers v. Ducks +1.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* DUCKS PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) I am predicting that this game will be decided late, or even in extra time, so because of that, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our "back pocket!" Florida has the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 4.10 GPG. It's coming off B2B difficult road games though and I think that fatigue will be a major issue here, as it fell 3-2 in a shootout at LA, before then beating San Jose 3-2 in OT in its most recent outing. The Ducks play with revenge here as well after a 4-1 loss at Florida last month. And finally, note that Florida is in fact playing on Saturday night in Vegas, making this a very difficult B2B scenario for the visiting side; the play is Anaheim on the PL! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +9 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) The Nets routinely "play down" to the level of their competition and I expect that detrimental trend to continue here on the road against the lowly Magic. Brooklyn has Kevin Durant back in the line-up, and wouldn't you know it, the Nets are winning games again, entering on a 3-game skein. Most recently it was a 110-107 home victory over the Knicks. But with a much more difficult (and more "high profile") game at home against the Mavericks the following night, Durant could be rested here, with Kyrie Irving carrying the load. Either way, this one definitely sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. The Magic have been playing better of late, going 4-1 ATS in their last five. Their off a 116-114 OT home loss to the 76ers, and I say they carry that confidence and momentum over here; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* WIZARDS (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but I do think that Washington will keep this one competitive until the final moments, and I do expect Golden State to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares for a red hot Celtics team coming to town on Wednesday. The Warriors are off 3 straight wins/covers, but after their big 122-109 upset home win over the defending champs, we can expect a predictable mental letdown here. Washington fell 127-118 at Portland in its last matchup, but everything points to this one coming down to the wire. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright victory, but this spread is way too large considering these other factors; grab the points, the play is WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Senators | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* ARIZONA PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOM) This is a big game for each team for a couple of important reasons. First off, it's the only NHL game on tonight, so each side will be getting much more attention than it normally does. Secondly, they're each facing an opponent that it will feel it can get a win over. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket; the play is Arizona on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Lakers v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) I like the Suns to try and make an example of LeBron James and the Lakers today. It's impossible to know what kind of effort you're going to get out of James and the Lakers from game-to-game. After his 50 point performance in a win over the Wizards in his last outing, I say "The King" has a predictable letdown here against this "step up" in competition. The Suns will be plenty motivated here as well after falling 117-112 at home to the Raptors as 4.5-point underdogs. And with a game at home tomorrow night against Toronto, the Lakers are also going to get caught "looking ahead" tonight; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Hawks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) There's no question that Detroit has been playing better of late, but I expect the proverbial wheels to fall off the bus today. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 and covered in 7 straight. Note though that it's still just 2-13 ATS in its last 15 after 5 or more straight covers in a row. Atlanta has been playing a lot better in the second half as well and has a legitimate shot at the playoffs again. It's off B2B wins, including a 117-114 road win at Washington. With a tough game at Milwaukee on deck next, I expect the visiting side to take this road contest very seriously. Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Cavs +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* CAVALIERS (EXPRESS) The Cavaliers have struggled since the All Star break, while the 76ers now look unbeatable with James Harden in the line-up. However, that's only helped in driving this home line a couple points higher than it really should be in my estimation. The Cavs are 36-26 overall, including 17-15 on the road. They're off a 119-98 loss at home to Charlotte, which is important to note here as they're 12-6 ATS in their last 18 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or less points in. The Cavs also play with revenge here after a 103-93 home loss to Philly in the middle of February. The 76ers have won 4 straight, but with a much more "high-profile" contest at Miami tomorrow night, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is something that we have to take into consideration here as well. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments, so I'm grabbing the points with the Cavaliers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Clippers v. Rockets +7 | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 31-31 and somehow managing to stay afloat despite not having Kawhi Leonard or Paul George in the line-up. The Rockets sneak in under the radar here though at 15-44. Houston is off a 119-111 loss to Orlando. The Clippers are off a 105-102 win over the Lakers and I believe will suffer a predictable letdown here. This is the opener of a two-game set between the teams here, with the second coming on March 1st. Expect the home side, which plays with revenge after falling 142-111 to LA in mid February, to keep this one tight down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kings +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
10* KINGS (ASSASSIN) After beating the Kings by a score of 128-110 in Sacramento two nights ago, I think the Nuggets will get caught complacent here. They're in Portland tomorrow night, so the temptation to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal will definitely be there for the home side. Sacramento has now lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS, which is significant to note here as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's also 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright here, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Sharks +1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
10* SHARKS (PUCKLINE GOM) Outright win? It's entirely possible. But in a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. SJ has now lost 6 straight after a 4-1 loss at home to Vegas in its most recent outing (the Sharks though are 7-2 in their last 9 after a 5 games or longer losing streak.) They haven't played Anaheim yet this season, but I say the Ducks take a step back here after their big 7-4 win over the Canucks last time out. Between two teams that struggle on both ends of the ice, the official call will be to lay the price and take the Sharks on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Manchester United v. Leeds United +0.75 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
10* LEEDS UNITED (EPL GOY) This is a revenge game for Leeds, which lost 5-1 at Man U on Opening Day. Leeds is off B2B losses, including a 3-0 setback to Everton most recently. Leeds is capable of scoring with the best of them though, as we saw in its 3-3 draw with Aston Villa approximately a week ago. Manchester United has not been in the best form, despite coming off a much-needed win over Brighton Hove Albion midweek. Manchester United has struggled with consistency this season, especially in closing out teams and finishing games. Man U hasn't had a league double over Leeds since 2002 a Elland Road, and it's going to have a fight on its hands today; I'm grabbing Leeds here in this crucial contest! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports |
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02-17-22 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 125-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (EXPRESS) I think this is a great spot for the Pels. They're coming off a 121-109 loss here at home to the Grizz, but they managed a 107-91 victory over the Mavericks on December 3rd. Dallas is off an upset 107-99 victory at Miami as a 5.5-point underdog, but with the All Star break starting tomorrow, I believe the visitors are going to go through the motions today as Luca Doncic gets ready for the upcoming All Star game. These teams average almost the identical amount of points, with New Orleans averaging 106.1 and Dallas averaging 106.3. The difference comes on the defensive end, but the overall situation working in favor of the Pels here supercedes that factor. Clearly, the outright win is in the cards here, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine +29.5 | Top | 86-66 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE (WC GOM) Am I suggesting that the Waves will post one of the biggest regular seson upsets in College basketball history tonight, or do I believe that Gonzaga will win this game, but that this spread is much too large? Clearly, it's the latter of those 2 scenarios. I love how this one sets up for Pepperdine to keep it much closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Gonzaga is No. 1 in the nation, but it's just 13-8-2 ATS overall. With a game at home against 17-9 Santa Clara, I think the visitors take the foot off the gas in the second half. Pepperdine lost 117-83 at Gonzaga as a 30-point underdog on January 8th (but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss of 25 or more points!) In every conceivable way the Bulldogs are the better team here, but this spread is simply too large when we take into account the overall situation; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Jazz v. Lakers +4 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are the Lakers a good team that's been the victim of unfortunate circumstances this year? I think the answer is both yes and no. Certainly LA's record would indicate that it's a bad team (26-31.) The good news? There's still time to correct things and to earn a spot in the playoffs. The Lakers are also 17-13 at home this season. The Jazz have had to overcome a few injury issues, and covid problems, but the enter the all star break with a great 36-21 record. They haven't been at their best on the road though, where they are 15-11 this season. The Lakers are off a tight 117-115 loss at Golden State, easily covering with the 6-point spread. The Lakers can't afford to take tonight off though, and I expect anotherfull four-quarter effort tonight. The Jazz are off a 135-101 win over Houston, which is noteworthy here as they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a SU/ATS win of 30 or more points. I say this one means A LOT more to the desperate Lakers! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Mavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 107-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (REVENGE GOM) Dallas had won four straight before a 99-97 loss at home to the Clippers. The game previous to that they beat LA 112-105. The Mavericks have looked a lot better of late despite trading Kristaps Porzingis and they do indeed play with revenge here after a 125-110 loss at home to the Heat in early November. Miami has sure been playing well, as it's won 5 in a row, but note that it's just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after five or more SU victories in a row. And with a game at Charlotte, followed by a trip to the Big Apple after the All Star Break, I think the Heat get classically caught "looking past" their non-conference opponent today. In a game that I see being decided in the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Iona -4.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
10* IONA (GOW) Iona is 20-5. It's coming off a 70-62 win over Monmouth at home, unable to cover the 8.5-point spread. It won't be taking Saint Peter's lightly today on the road, as while it did beat the Peacocks 85-77 at home on January 30th, it failed to cover the 10-point spread. Saint Peter's is 11-9, but it's off a poor 58-49 loss at home to Rider as a 7.5-point fav (note that the Peacocks are a disturbingly poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 50 or less points in.) The stage is set for a blowout of epic proportions; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-14-22 | Rockets +14.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-135 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) Are the Rockets a good team that's just been an unfortunate victime to crazy circumstances? Are the Jazz over-rated and not as good as their record would indicate? No, on both counts. The Rockets have struggled for varying reasons, but they're not a great team this year. Utah has had to struggle through some covid issues as well this season, but the Jazz are now primed for a deep playoff run. I simply feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up here, as I expect Utah to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Houston comes in off four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Most recently a 139-120 loss at home to the Raptors (they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 though after a SU/ATS home loss in which they allowed 135 or more points in.) Utah comes in off 5 straight wins and covers (and it's just 3-6 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) With a much "bigger" game at the Lakers on Wednesday, the Jazz are in danger of looking ahead here as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 297 h 29 m | Show |
10* BENGALS (GOM) The Bengals have been consistently underestimated by their opponents and the bookmakers throughout the post-season, and I believe that's still the case here in the Super Bowl. Both the Rams and Bengals have played to some tight games throughout the postseason and that trend is going to continue here. LA had to come from behind to knock off the 49ers by a score of 20-17, while Cincinnati also rallied in its conference championship game to beat the Chiefs 27-24 in OT. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are very similar. LA averages 27.1 PPG, while the Bengals average 27.1 as well. Cincinnati allows 22.1 PPG, while LA concedes 21.9. This is going to be a great game, but another one that I expect to come right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points with the Bengals! AAA Sports |
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02-13-22 | Green Bay +6 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 44-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
10* WISCONSIN GREEN BAY (ASSASSIN) Wisconsin Green Bay is just 4-20 overall, which includes going 0-12 on the road. The Phoenix are off a 71-62 loss to NKU. They only average 61.7 PPG. Milwaukee is just 8-18. It's off a monumental 60-57 win at home here over Wright State as a 9-point underdog and I believe that a predictable letdown is imminent here. The Panthers only average 65.2 PPG. The Phoenix play with revenge here as well after falling 63-49 to the Panthers at home on January 5th. I expect the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover as the game comes down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-12-22 | Lakers +7 v. Warriors | Top | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook really as bad as their win/loss record would indicate? I'd say no. Clearly, chemistry is an issue. Both Davis and James have missed significant time this year. All three will be playing today though and I believe the Lakers have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Warriors are off a 116-114 home loss to the Knicks as 9-point favorites. The Lakers are off an embarrassing 107-105 loss to the Blazers, and I expect them to risk life and limb today to try and get back into the winners circle. This one is coming down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +7 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
10* MILWAUKEE (MAULING) After 4 straight victories, I expect the Raiders to have a bit of a mental lapse here. Milwaukee has struggled this year, but after losing 6 in a row, I expect the Panthers to play with desperation here and to, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Wright State has "righted" the ship after a shaky start, but with a game against Northern Kentucky next, I expect it to look past its lowly, but dangerous opponent tonight. Milwaukee plays with revenge here as well after an 80-75 home loss to Wright State back on December 30th. The Panthers covered with the ten-point spread in that contest and all signs point to that comfortably happening again tonight; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-10-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +12.5 | Top | 132-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the visiting side will get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent today to its much more high-profile contest at LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. The Grizz are off a relatively simple 135-109 win at home over the Clippers, which is significant to note as they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU/ATS home win of 20 or more points. Memphis may very well elect to rest some of its starters here. Detroit is just 12-42. It's off a poor 116-86 road loss at Dallas, but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 89 or less points in. Clearly the Grizz have the uppherhand in every category, but I expect them to take the foot off the gas down the stretch. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-10-22 | Ohio -12.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OHIO (MAC BOB) I think the 19-4 Ohio Bobcats will lay the hammer down here on the 6-14 CMU Chippewas. Ohio will be especially motivated here and will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish after a poor 77-62 loss to Toldeo in its last outing. Conversely, CMU is poised for a predictable letdown off an upset overtime 89-85 win over Ball State. Situationally speaking, they don't set up much better than this. Ohio averages 74.4 PPG, while conceding 66.5, while CMU averages 65.8 PPG, while allowing 79.3. The Chips are also a terrible 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a SU win. Look for Ohio to dig deep here and to pour on the offense from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-09-22 | Alabama -5.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA (SEC BOB) Alabama is coming off B2B double-digit losses, falling to Auburn and Kentucky. Suffice it to say, I LOVE the Tide to bounce back here on the road. They're now 14-9 overall (just 4-6 in SEC action.) Ole Miss is off a 62-57 loss to Florida. The Rebels are 12-11 overall and 3-7 in conference action. The bottom line is, I have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace with the Tide, who average over 80 PPG. They've struggled defensively in conceding just over 75 PPG, but they catch a break here facing this more methodically-paced Rebels offense. Ole Miss has done a decent job defensively as well, but its lack of offensive punch is the difference today; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-08-22 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -11.5 | Top | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
10* ST. BONAVENTURE (MAULING) Fordham is just 10-11. It's coming off a 72-69 loss to Saint Joseph's. The Rams margin of error most nights is slim, as they average 68.8 PPG, while allowing 68.1. St. Bonaventure is 12-7, including going 7-2 in its last 9 at home. The Bonnies average 70.4 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Three players average in double figurs for the Rams, while five players do the same for the Bonnies. St. Bonaventure is winning games by an average of 9 points at home, while the Rams have seen their point production drop to 63.7 on the road; lay the points, expect a rout! AAA Sports |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -9.5 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN COLORADO (GOW) Northern Arizona is 8-14, including just 2-6 on the road. Northern Colorado is 11-11, including 5-3 at home. Northern Colorado just won 74-71 at Northern Arizona on Saturday, unable to cover the 5.5-point spread. UNCO has now lost 4 straight ATS, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Bears average 77.5 PPG, while the Lumberjacks average only 69.2. Revenge, they say, is a dish best served cold. That said, the Lumberjacks simply don't have the firepower to keep up with the home side. Northern Colorado will be cautious to not take the foot off the gas pedal this time after the "close call" last time out; lay the points, expect an ATS rout! AAA Sports |
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02-07-22 | Knicks +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (GOW) Outright victory? Anything is possible. But I do expect the Knicks to play with some heart here today and to keep it competitive throughout. The Knicks are off a disappointing 122-115 OT road loss at the Lakers. With a tough game at Denver tomorrow night, followed by a contest at Golden State, tonight's outing takes on added importance for the visiting side. Utah has broken its 5 game slide with B2B victories. Donovan Mitchell is back in the line-up, but with Golden State coming to town on Wednesday, starters could be rested here. It's a perfect situational set of circumstances that are working in favor of this hungry Knicks side today; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-06-22 | Akron v. Miami-OH +1 | Top | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
10* MIAMI OHIO (MAC GOM) I base my picks on many different factors. I've always felt that beling flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping games is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Often plain old "common sense" or the "eye test" is the best way to approach a game. Other times, getting into every tiny stat and detail is important. Other times, stats, trends or lop-sided numbers is the correct angle to take. This one boils down to common sense. Miami Ohio plays with immediate revenge here after falling 66-55 at Akron two nights ago. The Zips only average 71.7 PPG, while the Redhawks average 75.5. Miami Ohio is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent; lay the short points, expect a decisive victory! AAA Sports |
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02-05-22 | Knicks v. Lakers -2 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Yes, both teams are struggling big time this year. For different reasons though. The Knicks are a mess, but the Lakers are getting healthier (despite LBJ still sidelined a couple mre games.) LA is off a tight 111-110 loss at home to the Clippers, but Anthony Davis has been superb since his return from injury. The Knicks are off a 120-108 home loss to the Grizzlies and they have a tough road game here, with upcoming contests at Utah, Denver, Golden State and Portland. Look for the hungrier home side to comfortably pull away for the win and cover; lay the poitns! AAA Sports |
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02-04-22 | Harvard +4.5 v. Brown | Top | 65-50 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (GOM) Harvard is 10-7 and 2-3 in Ivy League play after a tight 78-74 loss to Penn on Friday. Noah Kirkwood leads the Crimson with 18.1 points and 3.3 assists per game. Harvard has three players averaging in double digits in scoring and overall it averages 75.4 PPG. Brown is just 10-12 overall and 2-5 in league play. It's coming off a 74-72 loss to Cornell on Sunday. The Bears average 71.9 PPG. This is a revenge game for Harvard, and I say that's the difference-maker here today. Brown won the first meeting 84-73 as a 3.5-point road fav. Expect this one to be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-03-22 | Nicholls State v. Incarnate Word +10 | Top | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* INCARNATE WORD (BOB) Nicholls State is 13-9, while Incarnate Word is 4-18. The Colonels enter in off a 2nd straight win, getting past Houston Baptist by a score of 73-61. Nicholls averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2. Will the Colonels get caught looking past their lowly opponent today? That's what I'm reckoning! Incarnate Word has lost 5 straight. It's off a 78-68 loss to SE Louisiana. The Cardinals average 66.7 points per game, while allowing 76.7. Not a recipie for success obviously, but they've been better at home than on the road. Incarnate Word is also 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games as an underdog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range. Look for the visiting side to stumble here as it gets caught looking past its opponent; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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02-02-22 | Florida State +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* FSU (CRUSHER) Florida State is 13-7 and Clemson is 11-9 this year. The Seminoles are off back-to-back losses, most recently it was an 85-72 loss at home to Virginia Tech as a 1.5-point favorite. Clemson crushed Pittsburgh 75-48, but then it came up short in its most recent game, a 71-69 setback to Duke. This is the first meeting between the schools this year, with the next one coming in Tallahassee on the 15th. But Florida State has actually been quite good on the road this year, it has an 83-81 win at NC State on January 1st, a 76-71 win at Syracuse in the middle of the month and a 61-60 win at Miami on January 22nd. In fact the Seminoles are only one of four teams in the ACC with a winning conference road record. Florida State is also 3-0 against Miami and Duke, the current No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the ACC Standings. And if the Seminoles win today it would mark the school's record 17th consecutive season that they've won at least seven conference games under Leonard Hamilton, Now for Clemson, I just think its primed for a letdown here after that "CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR" loss to Duke. It had a chance down 67-65, but it had a three-ball rim out. After that crushing loss, I say the Tigers stumble here again against this deep Florida State team! AAA Sports |
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01-31-22 | West Virginia +14.5 v. Baylor | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* WVU (GOW) WVU is coming off a 77-68 loss to Arkansas. WVU won't be lacking for motivation today after 5 straight losses. Baylor is off an 87-78 loss to Alabama and while it sits in 2nd in the Big 12 with a 6-2 record, I say it gets caught looking past its opponent today to its huge matchup at Kansas on February 5th. And really, they don't set up from a situational standpoint much better than this. WVU is under the radar, undervalued after so many losses. Baylor has been consistently over-priced this season with its spreads, and that caught up to it last time out. I say it does again here with such a big road game on deck next. Outright win?! Of course not! But expect this one to be competitive until the final moments; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 50 m | Show |
10* 49ERS (GOW) The 49ers continue to get little respect here. They just dismantled the Green Bay Packers on their own field by a score of 13-10. This 49ers defense, especially the secondary and pass rush, are on a whole other level right now. LA lost to San Francisco 27-24 in OT in Week 18, and frankly I see an almost identical outcome here as well. The Rams crushed the Cardinals, but they had a much more difficult time with the Bucs in Tampa last weekend. The 49ers' offensive numbers are comparable over the last month, but San Francisco's vast superiority on the defensive side of the ball makes it the correct call in the NFC Championship game in my opinion; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-30-22 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +5.5 | Top | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
10* ECU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The 14-6 Cincinnati Bearcats are going to get caught looking past the 11-8 ECU Pirates today in my opinion. David Dejulius averages 13.4 points and 2.4 assists for the Bearcats this season. They're coming off a road loss at Temple and I say they're now ripe for the picking. ECU plays with revenge here after falling 79-71 at Cincinnati at the start of January (that's important to note as ECU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss to an opponent.) Outright win?! Anything is possible! That said, let's grab the points for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Pepperdine +20 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE. Outright victory? I'm of course not calling for that. But I do think the lowly Waves can sneak in under the radar today. Pepperdine has lost 7 straight, most recently falling 64-56 to San Diego. The Gaels are going to get caught complacent here after their 72-70 upset win over San Francisco as a 2.5-point underdog. Pepperdine averages 67.2 PPG, while allowing 76.2, while Saint Mary's averages 72 PPG, while allowing 59.1. With a game at Portland up next, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Knicks +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are struggling for varying reasons, but I think they can fly under the radar here and at the very least, make this one interesting for the home town crowd until the final moments. New York has lost 5 of its last 6 and it's now just 23-26 this year. The Knicks are dealing with many injuries and COVID problems (as are most teams.) On the other end of the court, the Bucks had their 3-game win streak snapped in a 115-99 defeat to Cleveland: “They played lights out tonight,” Milwaukee coach Mike Budenholzer assessed after. "I don’t know what the right analogy is, but they played really well. They beat us pretty good. Live ball turnovers is when transition defense is the toughest, and we made a lot of them.” The Bucks have a tougher game against Denver on Sunday, and they get caught looking ahead to that one; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* PUCKLINE PLAY on Wings. The 18-19-5-1 Red Wings are coming off an 8-5 loss at home to Chicago. They've lost 3 straight, but with a game at home against Toronto tomorrow night, it'll be leaving everything on the ice here to avoid a 4th straight setback. Pittsburgh is off a 2-1 OT loss at Seattle in a late night West coast game just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! This is the first matchup of the season between the clubs. I say that Detroit catches the Penguins at a great time. The outright is possible, but let's grab the 1.5 goals on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Manhattan +6.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 51-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* MANHATTAN (MAULING) The Jaspers defeated Sienna 76-58 on Friday, with Jose Perez scoring 32-points. But Manhattan then lost 78-62 to Monmouth on Sunday. The Jaspers average 73.5 points per game, while Saint Peter's averages only 65.9. Saint Peter's is 8-7 overall this year, while Manhattan is 10-6. This is the first matchup of the year, but the Jaspers lost the last matchup 68-54 as 6.5-point dogs. I say they keep it a lot closer than that this time around; the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) Outright win? That would be sweet if you're a Wolves fan. I mean, it's a very real possibility, as this spread isn't too large or anything. However, I think the safest call is to grab as many points as you can here for a couple different reasons. Both teams come in off wins. The Wolves pulled away for a 109-107 road win over Portland last time out, while Golden State handled the Mavericks 130-92 on Tuesday. Note though that GS is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 points or less in. They're also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the West, while the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in the same position. With a much more high-profile game against Brooklyn at home here on Saturday night, I say the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Detroit | Top | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* BLUES (EXPRESS) Calgary is off B2B blowout wins, but I think it'll have difficulties here in St. Louis. Most recently the Flames clobbered Columbus 6-0 on the road. St Louis though plays with revenge here after a 7-1 setback at Calgary just last week. The Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss of 5 or more goals to an opponent as well. Calgary is back home for a game against the Canucks next, so I think it gets caught looking ahead to that more winnable game. The Blus are 16-4-1 at home this year. Look for that streak to get added to tonight; lay the reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG 10 GOY) Northwestern is 9-8 this season. while Michigan is 9-7. The Wildcats though are going to be eager to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss today, while I do think that Michigan could be caught a little complacent. Northwestern has indeed lost 2 in a row, but against 2 really good teams, losing 82-76 to 15-3 Wisconsin, before then dropping an 80-60 contest against 16-3 Purdue in its most recent. Boo Buie led the way in the loss with 17 points and three assists. Michigan is just 5-5 in its last 10, but it broke a 3-game slide with B2b victories, first beating Maryland 83-64, and then most recently pulling away for an 80-62 win at Indiana. The Wolverines shot a season-best 64.7 percent from the floor and Hunter Dickinson had 25 points and nine rebounds. But with a game at rival Michigan State this weekend in what will be one of the most highly anticipated Big Ten games of the season, I think that the Wolverines do finally get caught looking ahead here and take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal. I say this one MEANS more to the Wildcats; grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* ILLINOIS (BOB) Michigan State is off a huge win over a red hot Wisconsin team as a 5-point dog and I think it's now primed for a predictable letdown here. Illinois on the other hand has lost 2 in a row. Despite being 4-0 on the road, I like the Illini to bounce back here at home where they are 8-2 so far this season. The Spartans average 75.3 PPG, while the Illini average 79.3. Illinois though is essentially in a must win scenario here as it tries to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss. The setback to Maryland is a concern, but note that's 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -6.5-points range. I expect the "hungrier" home side to play with desperation, while everything points to a small letdown finally here for the surging Spartans; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | CS Sacramento +2.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* SACRAMENTO STATE (GOW) The Sacramento State Hornets are 5-9 this year. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are 6-11. Two evenly matched teams here. This one's going to come down to the wire! The Hornets have lost 3 straight. Most recently it was a frustrating 73-72 OT loss to Idaho. Sacramento State averages 65.4 PPG, while allowing 70. It looked a lot better on both ends of the court last time out and I expect it to build. The Lumberjacks are off a listless 58-48 loss to Montana. They average 69.3 PPG, while allowing 72.7. Sacramento State though is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 following a SU loss and 4-1-1 ATS in is last 6 vs. teams with a win % below .400. Conversely, Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. You know what, I think that the outright upset is a very real possibility; however the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Michigan +4 v. Indiana | Top | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BIG 10* GOM) The 8-7 Wolverines are hungry for another win here after defeating Maryland 83-64. The Hoosiers are 14-4, and off a tight 68-65 win over Purdue on Thursday. Both teams are among the best in the nation defensively. Each is pretty comparable on the offensive end. Clearly, Indiana has the home-floor advantage here, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -7.5 points range. Hunter Dickinson and the Wolverines on the other hand are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which they score 80 or more points; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | West Virginia +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* WEST VIRGINIA (BLOOD-BATH) Am I calling for an outright win? I am not. However, this one is going to be a complete "nail-biter" in my opinion. Yes, WVU has lost B2B games, but it was against some really stiff competition, falling 85-59 to Kansas and 77-68 to Baylor. Texas Tech enters complacent here after going 4-1 in its last 5 (with wins over Kansas, Baylor and Iowa in that span.) WVU averages 68.9 PPG, and it allows 63.6. Texas Tech averages 73.7 PPG, and it concedes 58.7. But as I say, I think that TT is going to get caught looking past the Mountaineers today to its much more high-profile contest at Kansas on Monday night! WVU won this game 82-71 as a 6.5-point dog last year. As I stated above, no outright win this time, but expect another close one; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-21-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The lowly Rockets have been playing better of late. The mighty Warriors have been struggling somewhat. Houston plays with revenge here after a 12 point loss earlier in the season, and it comes in off a momentum-building 116-111 win at Utah. The Rockets have in fact now won 3 of their last 4. Golden State on the other hand has lost 3 of its last 5. That includes a 121-117 OT home loss here just last night to the lowly Pacers. And with Utah, Dallas, Minnesota and Brooklyn all coming to town next, can anyone say "look-ahead spot?!" Finally, note that the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. No outright, but the stage is set for a tight battle; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-20-22 | Pelicans +4 v. Knicks | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) I like the Pels here to sneak in under the radar. They're coming off a 104-92 loss to Boston. New York is off a 112-110 home loss to the Timberwolves. New Orleans had an 18 point halftime lead in its last game, but it stumbled down the stretch. The Knicks are just unable to close out anyone though, as evidenced by the last-second loss to Minnesota last time out. This New York offense has been consistently inconsistent all season and I think it'll have difficulties containing this hungry visiting side. This one comes down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Avalanche v. Ducks +1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* DUCKS (PUCKLINE) Colorado is off a tight 4-3 shootout home win over Minnesota. It's won three in a row, but it faces a tough two-game stretch here as it's at LA tomorrow night. I say the Avs get caught looking ahead to that one. The Ducks play with revenge here after falling 4-2 at Colorado at the start of the month. Anaheim's great start is in the rear view mirror now, but it won't be lacking for motivation after losing 3 straight. Note that the Ducks are 6-2 in their last 8 after 3 or more losses in a row. Anaheim is also 8-3 in its last 11 after a shutout road loss (lost 3-0 at Chicago on the 15th.) With an extra couple days off, look for the Ducks to keep this one competitive until the final moments! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Colgate v. Bucknell +10.5 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* BUCKNELL (MAULING) Bucknell is eager to stop an extended losing streak, and Colgate stands in its way. Colgate is the defending Patriot League champion, but it's had plenty of issues this season as well. The Bison have indeed dropped seven straight after a 63-55 setback at American most recently. On November 20th Colgate would post an amazing 100-85 win over Syracuse, but it would then go on to lose eight of its next nine games. It's since bounced back with wins over Army and Navy. Bucknell though has won its last 5 home games against Colgate, including a 71-70 nail-biter in the last matchup at Sojka Pavilion in 2020. Bucknell is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home dog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range as well. No outright here, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG TEN GOM). After 6 straight wins, I say that Wisconsin takes a step back here mentally finally against this hungry and tough Northwestern home side. The Badgers enter off a 78-68 win over Ohio State, while Northwestern is off a 64-62 win over Michigan State as 9.5-point underdogs. Wisconsin is led by Brad Davison. It averages 72. points per game, while allowing 65.1. The Wildcats will be hungry here though, as they lost 4 in a row previous to their most recent win. Northwestern averages 76.8 PPG, while allowing 68.3. The Badgers aren't a high-scoring team. I say the "wheels on the bus" finally fall off here. Look for NORTHWESTERN to build off its latest performance and to find a way to deliver here at home as well! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (NON-CONF GOM). The 21-22 Minnesota Timberwolves are off a huge 119-99 win over league-leading Golden State. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here?! The Knicks have won six of their last ten games, but their three-game win streak was snapped in last night's 97-87 loss to a red-hot Chalotte team. With a game at Atlanta tomorrow night, the visitors are gonig to get classically caught "looking ahead" here. The 22-22 Knicks can't afford that same luxury though after last night's loss. Minnesota is still just 9-12 on the road, while New York is still 11-10 at home. Look for the hungry home side to deliver in friendly confines! AAA Sports |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs +5.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Spurs (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Suns are 33-9 overall. They've won 3 straight. THey're off a 138-108 road win at Detroit. I think Phoenix gets caught looking past the Spurs though. San Antonio is without question the hungrier of these two teams. It's coming off a momentum-building 101-94 win over the Clippers. This is a double-revenge game as well already for the Spurs after dropping both earlier contests to Phoenix this season. With 2 nights off before a big game at Dallas to end this trip, the Suns also get caught looking-ahead in this one. Outright victory? I think entirely possible (so sprinkle a little on the ML as well!) That said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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01-16-22 | Eagles +9.5 v. Bucs | Top | 15-31 | Loss | -115 | 145 h 0 m | Show |
10* EAGLES (A$$A$$IN) The Bucs beat the Eagles 28-22 in Philadelphia back on October 14th. You've heard that old saying right, that "revenge is a dish best served cold?!" Outright victory?! Anything is possible, but in reality I am expecting this one to be extremely competitive. With a record of 9-8, the Eagles are happy to be here. Jalen Hurts and Jordan Howard are ready to go for the visiting side, but Tampa will be without RB Leonard Fournette and WR Antonio Brown (the former out with injury, the latter released from the team.) Philly won four of its last five games and I expect it to push Tom Brady and the defending champs to the brink today. The Bucs are filled with talent and experience, but I'll argue that the Eagles are the much "hungrier" team in this fight. No outright, but all signs point to this one being decided late; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 20 m | Show |
10* PATRIOTS (WC GOY) I feel as if this play is slightly contrarian. The Patriots stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, while the Bills won their final 4 games to claim the AFC East title. These teams split their season series, each winning on the others field. If you're wagering on this contest, then you know the cast of characters on both sides. You know the strengths and the weaknesses of each team. You know the story lines. So why is Mac Jones and Bill Bellichick going to bounce back here and find a way to deliver? The Patriots have the offense (27.2 points) to keep pace with the Bills (28.4.) Expect to see a heavy dose of the run game as well from the visiting side as it looks to duplicate the success it had here in the first game between the clubs this season. I give a big nod to Josh Allen at QB in this matchup, but the Patriots get the nod for their run game. Defenses are equal. This one really is going to be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so because of that gentlemen, let's grab up as many points as we can! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Florida International +7.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 39-50 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* FIU (BLOWOUT) Both teams are 10-6 SU. FIU is just 5-8-1 ATS, while MTSU is 10-2-2 ATS. I think these lop-sided trends start correcting themselves here though. FIU is off eight straight ATS losses, which is definitely significant to note as the Golden Panthers are still 14-7 ATS in their last 21 after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Most recently it was an 84-56 setback to Auburn. That's also noteworthy, as FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS loss of 25 or more points. FIU plays with revenge here as well after a 67-56 loss to the Blue Raiders as 4-point favorites last year. MTSU has broken a two-game slide with B2B SU/ATS wins/covers, but note that it's just 1-6 ATS in its last seven off a SU/ATS victory in which it held its opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Probably no outright, but definitely right down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Michigan +10 v. Illinois | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BLOWOUT) The Wolverines will be highly motivated here after their 75-67 loss to Rutgers. Overall they average 72.8 PPG, while allowing 66.8. The Illini average 80.8 PPG, while allowing 65.0. Hunter Dickinson averages 16.1 points per game for the Wolverines. Kofi Cockburn averages 22.0 for the Illini. With 13-2 Purdue coming to town on Monday, I expect Illinois to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Listen, I'm not calling for an outright win or anything like that at all, but expect Michigan to bounce back, fight hard and to keep this one close; grab all those points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Suns v. Pacers +5.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* PACERS (A$$A$$IN) Clearly, the Suns are the much better team in this matchup. However, I think that the situation and this spread favor the home side. The Suns are off a 99-95 road win at Toronto on Tuesday, but they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU road victory in which they held their opponent to 95 points or less in. Indiana had its three game ATS win streak snapped last time out in a 119-100 home loss, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 100 or less points in. With a "cream puff" at Detroit up next, the Suns are vulnerable here to a bit of a mental letdown as well. I say the Suns play down to the level of their competition here. Outright win? Probably not. But this one will definitely be decided in the final moments, so the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Wolves (A$$A$$IN) I like the Wolves to sneak in under the proverbial radar here and to, at the very least, give the red hot Grizz a run for their money today! Minnesota comes in off a 128-125 road loss at New Orleans on Tuesday. The Grizz are on a ten-game win streak and just knocked off league-leading Golden State by a score of 116-108 on Tuesday. Can anyone say classic "letdown" spot?! Both teams almost concede the identical number of points (Wolves allow 109.2, Grizzlies allow 107.9). Ja Morant and company are in unchartered territory right now and regression is imminent in my opinion. With Dallas coming to town tomorrow night, I also forsee the home side getting caught "looking past" its opponent. Outright win?! Maybe (consider sprinkling a little on the ML!) In the end though, my official call is to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Northern Kentucky +3.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* NKU (MAULING) I look for the hungry 5-8 NKU Norse to give the 9-7 Youngstown Penguins a run for their money today! Both teams have been terrible of late, losing four of their last five. Each plays at a similar pace and their offensive and defensive numbers are also very comparable. However one thing to take note of here, is that NKU is actually 15th in the country in offensive rebounding, while the Penguins are 84th. These second-chance opportunities are going to be the difference-maker in this one. If history is any precedence, then NKU has to LOVING its chances here, as note that it has in fact won 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series. Outright victory?! With a spread like this, clearly that's a possibility. But all that said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-12-22 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
10* KRAKEN on puck-line. I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Kracken on the "puck line" today. The Kracken average 2.79 GPG. They're off a competitive 4-3 loss at Colorado. They've been competitive overall this year. They concede 3.68 GPG, but they do have potential in net. Dallas is off a 2-1 loss to St. Louis. The Stars average 2.81 GPG, while allowing 2.91. Dallas is better at home than on the road, but with a 2-game road swing featuring a B2B scenario at league-leading Florida and Tampa respectively up nexst, there's no question that this sets up as a potential "look ahead" spot for the home side. Lay the price, grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | Suns -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) The Suns are 30-9 and the Raptors are 20-17. Phoenix probably got caught looking ahead to its Eastern road swing in its 123-100 loss at home to Miami on Saturday. Toronto looks poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after its slim 105-101 home win over the lowly Pelicans. Deandre Ayton, Jae Crowder and JaVale McGee are all back for the Suns now though after a stint on the COVID list. Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet have been fantastic for Toronto, but the home side does lack depth compared to Phoenix. Toronto has won six straight, and that fact has actually driven down this line in favor of Toronto. I say the Suns come prepared to play in the first game of their road trip. So lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 204 h 3 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH on Georgia. They say, "revenge is a dish best served cold!" The Georgia Bulldogs do indeed play with revenge here, as they look to atone for the 41-24 loss as 6-point favs to the Tide in the SEC Championship Game. Georgia looked great in its 34-11 win over Michigan last week, as did Alabama in its 27-6 victory over Cincinnati. So what's going to be different this time around for the Bulldogs? Alabama has in fact had a few close calls and scares over its last eight games. Georgia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded 40 or more points in. Expect a bounce-back performance from the Bulldogs defensively as well here. I believe the majority of the public will be grabbing the points today, but while they "Zig," we'll "Zag." Lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Pacers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* PACERS (ASSASSIN) This play is contrarian. The Pacers are 15-25, including only 3-15 on the road. The C's are 19-21, including 12-8 at home. Boston has been trading wins/losses over its last four games. Two nights after collapsing and losing 108-105 in New York, the C's won 99-75 at home over the Knicks. This is the opener of a home and home set and I expect Indiana to take it very seriously. Note that Boston is also just 2-7 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 80 or fewer points in. Expect Indiana to build off its impressive 125-113 home win over Utah and to take this one right down to the wire! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +3 | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNC Greensboro (GAME OF WEEK) This is a makeup game for one that was postponed on January 1st. This is UNCG's third game in five days and I believe the schedule actually benefits the home side. UNCG is off a 72-56 road win at VMI on Saturday, led by 18 points and 6 boards from Kobe Langley. Wofford is off a 68-57 road win at ETSU, led by 22 points from BJ Mack. UNCG is 5-1 at home this year though and it's held its last three opponents to under 60 points. This is an evenly matched contest, and in scenario's like that, I LOVE grabbing as many points as I can. And that's the play here, grab the points on UNCG! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Northeastern +7.5 v. Towson | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* CAA GOY on Northeastern Northeastern is the hungrier "dog" in this fight. It comes in off 3 straight losses. Towson has had two cancelations of late, as well as conference loss to Drexel on Monday. Northeastern comes in rested after a week off. Most recently the Huskies fell 71-70 to William and Mary on New Year's Eve. Five players average double digits in scoring for Northeastern. Towson fell 65-61 in Drexel in its most recent outing, but it's still 9-5 overall. Towson has four double-digit scorers. Both teams are dealing with serious COVID issues, but Northeastern will be the healthier of the two now. Look for the much more determined visiting side to fight tooth and nail until the end. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
10* LIONS (NFC NORTH GOY). Green Bay has already wrapped up the NFC No. 1 seed, so QB Aaron Rodgers may or may not see any time under center today. Why would Green Bay risk their top asset in a meaningless game? Or any of its assets, like WR Davante Adams. Jared Goff will likely sit for the Lions as well today, as there's no point risking his contract in this contest. That means that Tim Boyle will get another shot after facing the Seahawks last weekend (he had 262 yards passing, but also three picks.) Dan Campbell's men play hard for him and this will be a rare opportunity for his team to "steal" a win against Green Bay. The Packers could care less about this contest, while it would be a big boost to this Detroit side if it could pull off a SU upset and have something to build on after such a terrible season. Outright? Possibly! But let's grab the points, as the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs -11 v. Broncos | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
CHIEFS (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Chiefs were upset 34-31 to Cincinnati last weekend, but I think they'll bounce back here in this favorable spot. Denver has been eliminated from playoff contention after last weekend's 34-13 loss to the Chargers. KC is now in second spot in the AFC behind Tennessee, so this is a big game for Patrick Mahomes and company. What can the Broncos play spoiler for here? The Chiefs are in the playoffs already. There's zero motivating factors working for Drew Lock and the Broncos today. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five at home, while KC is 14-4 in its last 18 on the road and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 in this series. Look for KC to go up huge early and then coast to a relatively simple win and cover! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | The Citadel +14.5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 67-85 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
THE CITADEL (10* SOUTHERN GAME OF YEAR). These teams split their season series last year, with each side winning on its home floor. Chattanooga will continue that trend today, as I am NOT calling for an outright upset here. That said, this is WAY too many points to be giving up in my opinion. Chattanooga is 12-3, most recently holding on for a 75-67 win over Wofford on Wednesday. Malachi Smith leads three players in double figures at 20.4 points per game. The Citadel average 82.6 points per game though, while the Mocs average 77.9. The difference is on the defensive end, but I expect the Bulldogs' up-tempo play to keep them in this one late. As I stated off the top, no outright victory for the visiting side here, but we can absolutely expect it to make it interesting! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -7 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
10* BULLS. The 19-19 Washington Wizards are off a terrible 114-111 home loss to Houston and I believe that they're ripe for the picking in this one. Chicago has won eight in a row, but it's failed to cover in three straight. That includes a much tighter than expected 102-98 win here over Olrando. But that three nights ago. With so much time off to rest and prepare for this one, we can absolutely expect the home side to push the pace of this one from start to finish. The Wizards have struggled offensively this year, but they've also struggled defensively. This isn't a good combination to win games most nights. When these teams played in Washington on January 1st, Chicago scored the 120-119 victory and it was unable to cover the 2-point spread. I say the Bulls come in focused and run up the score from start to finish this time around though! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Columbia +17.5 v. Princeton | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
10* COLUMBIA (IVY LEAGUE GAME OF YEAR). Columbia will be motivated to get into the winners circle today. It's just 3-9 following its 79-69 loss to Sacred Heart ont he 13th of Decemer. It's following two games were postponed, and in my opinion, "rest" is NOT going to lead to "rust" today. In fact, I beleieve the extra time off will benefit the Lions here in the second half of the season. Liam Murphy had 20 points in the loss to Sacred Heart. Columbia averages 67.8 PPG, while Princeton averages 82.1. The Tigers are coming off a 100-59 rout of Kean to move to 10-3. This is the opener of Princeton's Ivy League schedule though and I think it'll have a much tighter fight than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Tigers win this game, but Columbia gets the comfortable cover! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Sam Houston State +3.5 v. Tarleton St | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* Sam Houston State (WESTERN ATHLETIC GAME OF YEAR). The Sam Houston State Bearkats are 7-8, while the Tarleton State Texans are 6-9. While both teams started out slowly, each has looked better of late. The Bearkats have won three in a row, while the Texans have won five of their last seven. Sam Houston State averages 73.5 PPG, while allowing 67.1. Tarleton State averages only 63.2 PPG, while allowing 63.4. The Bearkats on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, while the Texans are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a home favorite in the -3.5 to -5.5-points range. Sam Houston State is heating up and in a contest that I see being decided in the waning moments, I'll gladly grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-05-22 | Pistons v. Hornets -9.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Hornets (BLOOD-BATH) Off B2B victories, I believe that Detroit will stumble here. Most recently it was a monumental 115-106 win over the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets on the other hand will be anxious to return to the winners circle after a listless 124-121 loss in the nation's capital in their last outing. The problem for the Pistons here is that they average only 101.1 PPG, while allowing 110.1. Saddiq Bey was huge for Detroit in its last win with 34 points and eight boards, but I just don't see lightning striking twice here. Charlotte has in fact lost two in a row, so it'll be hungry here. The Hornets average 114.9 PPG, while allowing 116.7. But they catch a break here facing this "on again, off again" Detroit offense. I expect a blowout of epic proportions, so lay those points with confidence! AAA Sports |