Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-14-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10* ANGELS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Tony Gonsolin has been unbelievable for the Dodgers. He's 7-0 with a 1.58 ERA. Noah Syndergaard has looked sharp of late for the Angels, he's 4-4 with a 3.69 ERA. Gonsolin's numbers though are just a little TOO perfect if you know what I mean. I can't see him keeping up this pace much longer. Syndergaard is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Dodgers, so I'm expecting a classic "duel" here. I say Syndergaard can match the overacheiving Gonsolin inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I'm laying this small price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Angels on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (GOW) This has been an exciting, back and forth series. Game 5 though I'm expecting the tightest and most competitive game yet. Yes, Stephen Curry has been phenomenal, but the trio of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Al Horford has also been amazing. Boston has been great on the road as well, going 8-3 SU so far. The Celtics always respond well after a loss and they have the No. 1 defense, conceding just 104.5 PPG. The Warriors allow just 105.5. Golden State managed the win in Game 4 despite shooting 44%. Boston has already won on this floor and I expect another "nail biter" on Monday night as well; the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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06-13-22 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* PIRATES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) In a game that I believe will be decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to suggest laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Zach Thompson (0-0, 2.25 ERA) gets the nod for the Cardinals. This is his first start in the big leagues and second appearance. The Pirates won't be lacking for motivation here on the heels of a season-worst 6-game slide. Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.26) has turned the corner as well for the Pirates and is sneaking in under the radar, as note that he's posted a 2.65 ERA and struck out 18 over his last 17 innings of work, going 2-0 over his last 4 trips to the hill. He's also a very respectable 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA in 5 career starts vs. St. Louis. While the outright is possible, the value here for the hungry Pirates on the runline option is just too good to turn down! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 15-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
10* ELKS (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams were terrible last year. The Lions were 5-9 and the Elks were 3-11. They split 2 games here last year. The Lions posted the 43-10 win in the final one, but previous to that the Elks had won and covered in 4 straight in this series. Look for things to return to norm here. Nick Arbuckle takes over snaps for the Elks thi syear and he'll have something to prove after coming over from Toronto. Nathan Rourke is nothing to write home about for the Lions though, he had 3 TD's and 5 picks last year. I say BC is getting too much respect here on the "home field advantage." While I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points and the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* RANGERS PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) This has been an interesting series. The Rangers won the first two games, but then Tampa has won the last three. I've played Tampa in each of the last two games, but I'm expecting a "nail-biter" here in Game 6. The NHL would love nothing more than to see another Game 7 here and while that may or may not happen, I do expect this one to be decided late, or even in extra time. Note that New York is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in also. For all the reasons listed above, the plays is the Rangers on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 107-97 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (BLOOD-BATH) I had a play on Boston in Game 3 and I'm right back on them here in Game 4 as well. Golden State lacks size and strength to handle these defensive-minded Celtics. The combination of Al Horford, Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum is difficult to slow down offensively as well, as each is able to create their own offense. Draymond Green played terribly for the Warriors and is more of a distraction now than anything else. Golden State's weakness this season has been its play on the road where it went just 22-19. Boston on the other hand went 28-13 at home. With a chance to put the Warriors on the brink of elimination, I look for this underrated Celtics team to lay the hammer down again in Game 4; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* TIGERS RUNLINE (BOB) The Jays have been playing great, but I still feel they're over-priced here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I think Detroit with the extra run-and-a-half is the wise move. Jose Berrios is 4-2, despite an elevated 5.24 ERA. Elvin Rodriguez will look to bounce back after his MLB debut vs. the Yankees didn't go to plan, allowing 10 runs over 5 innings. He learned after that he was tipping his pitches: "I didn't realize I was doing that, but I saw the video," Rodriguez said. "Yeah, I was tipping. They figured me out. I'm going to work in my next bullpen at trying to do the same movement." After getting swept by the Yanks, the Tigers enter with momentum here after B2B wins over the Pirates. Toronto took 2 of 3 from KC, but enters off an 8-4 series finale loss on Wednesday. Berrios is 5-2 lifetiome against the Tigers (11 starts), despite a 5.28 ERA. Give me the hungry home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (ASSASSIN) The CFL is back with a full 18 game schedule. Calgary went 8-6 last year before bowing out in the WCF. The Alouettes went 7-7 and lost in the East semifinal. These teams met in Week 3 last year and Calgary won by a score of 28-22. I expect a similar outcome here. Vernon Adams Jr. is back under center for the Als. Trevor Harris is the backup. William Stanback led the CFL with 1,116 rushing yards. Last year though was the first time since 2007 that the Stamps failed to win in double digits. Bo Levi Mitchell is back under center and healthy though and I expect the home side to hit the ground running. Calgary steamrolled the Lions (41-6) and the Elks (37-7) in the preseason and I expect that momentum to get carried over here; lay the points, the play is the Stamps! AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Dodgers v. White Sox +1.5 | Top | 11-9 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (TOP) It's the rubber match of this 3-game interleague series. The Dodgers broke their 3-game slide with a 4-1 win yesterday, but I think they'll once again have their hands full here on Thursday. Tyler Anderson is an unrealistic 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA for the Dodgers. Can anyone say "regression!" Dylan Cease counters for the home side and he's 4-2 with a 3.39 ERA. He hasn't won since May 17th, so he won't be lacking for motivation here either (is 4-4 with a very respectable 3.24 ERA in 10 career interleague starts.) In a contet that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying what I deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-08-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Giants | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (BOB) Colorado snapped a 4-game slide with a 5-3 win here in yesterday's series opener and I think it can keep the momentum rolling on Wednesday. Antonio Senzatela is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA. The Rockies are actually second in MLB with a team average of .261, third in on base-percentage with .327 ad 11th in slugging percentage with .402. The Giants are 12th in team batting average at .244. They're also 24th on the mound with a collective 4.30 ERA. Alex Wood is just 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA. Senzatela was rouged up in his last outing, but I expect the vet to settle down and bounce back here after that "outlier." Grab the Rockies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-07-22 | Dodgers v. White Sox +1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (GOM) While I do think the hungry home side has a legitimate shot at winning outright, I feel the value of grabbing the extra 1.5 runs at this price is just too good to turn down. I like this pitching matchup, as I definitely feel it favors the home side. The visitors go with Mitch White, who is 1-1 with a 4.79 ERA. He hasn't been very impressive. He'll be opposed by Michael Kopech, who is 1-2 with a 2.20 ERA (he pitched 4 scoreless innings vs. the Cubs in his only other interleague start this season.) Kopech looks to bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-06-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Seattle has won 3 of its last 4. It took 2 of 3 at Texas over the weekend, including yesterday's 6-5 victory. I think the Mariners keep the foot on the gas here vs. the high-powered Astros. The M's go with Robbie Ray, who is 4-6 with a 4.93 ERA, while the Astros counter with Christian Javier, who is 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA. I like Ray to settle down here and to match Javier inning for inning. Look for Seattle to carry over its recent offensive momentum and, at the very least, deliver a solid ATS cover; the play is the M's on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 37 h 44 m | Show |
10* WARRIORS (ART OF WAR) I had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, and while that didn't turn out the way I hoped, I'm expecting Golden State to make the necessary adjustments here in Game 2 to not only win this game, but to do so by a significant margin. The Celtics have been playing extremely well, but I expect fatigue to be a factor here. Boston has earned a split in Golden State and I think comes in tired and complacent. The Warriors looked great for 3 quarters in Game 1, but then fell apart uncharacteristically in the 4th quarter. Expect a big bounce-back from Curry and company and lay these points with confidence; the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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06-05-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* CUBS RUNLINE (NL RL BOB) The Cubs have been trading wins and losses over their last 4 games and after a 7-4 defeat here yesterday, I'm expecting this pattern to continue tonight. St. Louis has a night off before an IL series at Tampa and I expect it to get caught looking ahead. Adam Wainwright is 5-4 with a 2.75 ERA for the Cardinals, while Justin Steele is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA for the Cubs. Look for Steele to get back on track here at home and to, at they very least, match Wainwright inning for inning. In a scenario like that, the pendulum swings in favor of the underrated underdog. In this case, let's lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-04-22 | Guardians v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB) Cleveland swept the Royals at home and then took the first game of this series in Baltimore yesterday by a score of 6-3. The Orioles have lost 2 in a row, but I expect them to bounce back here. Tyler Wells gets the call for the home side, and he has a solid 3.71 ERA. The visitors counter with Triston McKenzie, who sports a 2.65 ERA (tempered though by his 3.85 FIP.) This one is evenly matched according to the bookmakers, which makes the "runline" option at this great price the savvy call in my opinion; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-03-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* PADRES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Padres are 30-21 and they're sending Joe Musgrove to the hill. He's 5-0 with a 1.86 ERA. The home side counters with Corbin Burnes, who is 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA. I expect these starters to battle DEEP into the latter innings. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, my official recommendation for this selection will be to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Padres on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-02-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* OILERS PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Colorado prevailed by a score of 8-6 in the Game 1. I'm expecting another exciting back-and-forth affair in Game 2 as well, except I believe it'll be decided late, or even in extra time. The Oilers have responded well off losses, both during the regular season and the playoffs. Also note that Edmonton is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 6 or more goals in. For all the reasons listed above, lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals in your back pocket! AAA Sports |
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05-31-22 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* CUBS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pockets. The Brewers have won 3 straight, including a 7-6 victory in the opener of this series, and then 3-1 in yesterday's contest. That's 2 straight tight games, and all signs once again point to a "nail-biter" here too in my opinion. And after 3 straight losses, clearly Chicago is the "hungrier" dog in this fight. Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.31 ERA), has been unbelievable so far for Milwaukee, but I think his sparkling numbers are unsustainable. Regression is imminent here vs. these revenge-minded Cubbies. Chicago counters with Justin Steele (1-5, 5.40), who like his team, won't be lacking for motivation today as he tries to get untracked. In a contest that'll "come down to the wire," I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-30-22 | Rays v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
RANGERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Rays have the better starting pitcher on the hill, but I like the Rangers to dig deep here and deliver. Drew Rasmussen (5-1, 2.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Glenn Otto (2-2, 4.91) gets the nod for the home side. Note that Texas is 6-4 the L10 in this series. The Rangers are surging, playing their best baseball of the year, as they're going for their 5th straight win tonight. Texas has scored 23 runs at home over its last 3 games. Look for that impressive offense to once again, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-29-22 | Celtics -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ART OF WAR) At the start of this series, home floor advantage meant a whole lot. But that trend has changed over the last two, and I'm expecting that trend to continue here. Boston won in Miami in Game 5, but it then fell in Game 6 at home. Look for the C's to dig deep here and to deliver again on the road. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it conceded 110 or more points in. We've broken this series down completely from start to finish, but the Celtics depth and their aggressive defensive play gets the job done in Game 7; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-29-22 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) While I do think the outright win is possible, I feel more comfortable here laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pockets. Yes, the Astros are out for revenge after dropping the first 2 games of this series, but Seattle is still the "hungrier" team in my estimation. Houston hands the ball to Luis Garcia (3-3, 3.38 ERA), while the home side counters with southpaw Marco Gonzalez (3-3, 3.74.) These starters are a "wash." Look for the surging M's to keep the pedal to the metal on Sunday; the play though is Seattle on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-28-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -180 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* PHILLIES RUNLINE (RD) I play favorites. I play underdogs. I play totals. Here I think we're in fact getting great value laying the slightly higher price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Congrats to everyone that joined me with the Mets last night, my 10* MLB GAME OF THE YEAR. Saturday though I'm going the other way, as I think this one'll be decided late, or even in extras! These starters are evenly matched. Zach Wheeler is 1-3 with a 3.65 ERA for the Phillies, while Taijuan Walker is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA for the Mets. Regression seems imminent for the veteran Walker though. I'm banking on this being a very tight game, that's why I'm laying the price with the Phillies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-27-22 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 36 h 37 m | Show |
10* HEAT (ART OF WAR) This has been a very back-and-forth series. As soon as we think we know what's going to happen, one or the other sides bounces back with a big performance. The Celtics have won two straight and can end this series with a victory today. Boston may well indeed go on to win this game outright, but I expect Miami to put up a bitter fight until the end. The Heat are well coached and I expect some major adjustments here. The Celtics have been unbelievable, but they're in unchartered territory here and I have my doubts that they have a killer closing instinct. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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05-26-22 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 14-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Great value here on the home side with the runline option. The 29-14 Dodgers are at the 23-22 Diamondbacks. The Dodgers enter off a 1-0 loss to the Nationals. This is the final series of a 10-day, 3-city road trip for LA. Arizona will look to take advantage, as it comes in on top form, having won 5 of its last 6. The D-Backs had yesterday off to prepare for this one, after sweeping the Royals in 2 games. The Dodgers go with Mitch White tonight. He's 1-0 with a 6.17 ERA. He gave up 3 runs over 2 1/3's innings vs. the Phillies on Saturday. Arizona goes with Humberto Castellanos, who is 3-1 with a 4.29 ERA. In 4 starts this month he's gone 2-0 with an 18:3 K:W. While the outright is possible, the value is just too good to turn down for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-26-22 | Mavs +7 v. Warriors | Top | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (RD) The Mavericks finally broke through and won 119-109 in Game 4 to avoid the 4-0 sweep. They've given up some huge leads in two other games in this series, so the Mavericks have definitely been competitive so far. I think they keep the momentum rolling here as well. The Mavericks looked phenomenal in beating the Suns, and now they have a blue-print to do the exact same thing for the Warriors. Golden State won't be panicking, but it'll have its hands full here with this desperate visiting side. I'm not going to call for an outright victory or anything, but in a game that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points; the play is the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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05-25-22 | Celtics -1 v. Heat | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (RD) So far this has been a very back and forth series, but I expect that trend to end today. Boston dominated Game 4 and I expect it to keep the momentum rolling tonight. Miami is a great 3-point shooting team, but this Boston defense is incredible. They limited the Heat to just 33% shooting from the floor. Overall the C's allow just 104.5 PPG. Expect Boston's incredible defensive play to be too much for the Heat to handle down the stretch; the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-25-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Cleveland won the opener by a score of 6-1, before the Astros bounced back with a 7-3 victory last night. These starting pitchers are evenly matched though and I'm expecting a much more competitive battle in the finale. Cal Quantrill is 1-2 with a 3.48 ERA for Cleveland. He most recently allowed 1 run over 7 innings in a win over the Reds. Christian Javier is 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA for the Astros. He gave up 1 run over 6 innings to the Raners in his last outing. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-25-22 | Blues v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* PUCKLINE AVS (GOY) Colorado won Game 4 by a score of 6-3 and it now leads this series by a score of 3-1. With a chance to end the series here and now and get a few days rest until the Conference Finals, I expect Colorado to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. Ville Husso had a 25-7-6 record with a 2.56 GAA and .919 SV% for the Blues. Jordan Binnington is injured and out for St. Louis. Darcy Kuemper had a 37-12-4 record with a 2.54 GAA and a .921 SV% for the Avalanche. Look for Colorado to put the foot on the gas from start to finish; the play is the Avs on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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05-23-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -165 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* BLUES PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) The Avs have a 2-1 series lead here after their 5-2 victory in Game 3. St. Louis though is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a 3 goals or greater home loss against an opponent. This has been a very competitive series. Despite the lop-sided loss last time out, Blues' goaltender Jordan Binnington still ranks No. 1 in the playoffs with a 1.72 GAA. It's do or die for Binnington and company (essentially.) In a game that I see being decided late (or even in extra time), I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket; the play is St. Louis on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (RD) This has been a back-and-forth series and I'm looking for Game 4 to follow suit. The Celtics will be risking life and limb today to try and even this series back up. Off the 109-103 Game 3 loss, note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 105 or less points in. Boston still ranks first across most defensive stats, including leading the league in scoring defense. The Celtics are also 5-0 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. Look for the home side to double down defensively and then to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* WARRIORS (U OF THE U) Dallas is on the ropes. Luka Doncic is likely the best player on the floor in this series, but Golden State's offensive depth is just too much for the Mavericks to handle. Andrew Wiggins is out for the Warriors tonight, but it's just "next man up" mentality. Dallas threw its best possible punch at Golden State, and still came up short. I predict another tight battle here and I think it'll come down to the wire, literally the last team touching the ball is going to win type deal. And in a scenario like that, I'll gladly grab the points; the play is the Warriors! AAA Sports |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) The Celtics looked a lot better with Marcus Smart and Al Horford in the line-up in Game 2, and I believe that with the series shifting to Boston, that the home side will build on that performance with another big win and cover and in Game 3. The Heat finished as No. 1 in the East, but there's no question that they were better at home than on the road (24-17 away.) Boston's tough defensive play, combined with the strong play of Jayson Tatum will be just TOO much for this now struggling HEat team to handle on Saturday night; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche v. Blues +1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -172 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
10* BLUES PUCKLINE (RED DRAGON) I'll argue that St. Louis has definitely been the better team in thi series. The Blues fell in OT in Game 1, but then in Game 2 they laid the hammer down with the 4-1 victory. Now back home, St. Louis is getting very little respect from the oddsmakers here. We can take advantage of that, but we'll lay the price here for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket. Great value overall on this line, considering the situation. Yes, the Avs dominated in the regular season, but now that the playoffs are here they're struggling defensively. Look for that to continue on Saturday night; the play is St. Louis on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (BLOOD-BATH) Game 1 was evenly matched at half time, but then Golden State pulled away in the second. I expect a full four-quarter effort from the Mavericks tonight though. Dallas had an uncharacteristically horrible shooting night from several players, and I don't expect that to happen twice. The Mavericks now have to make adjustments after the 112-87 Game 1 loss, but they've done well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. Much like the Heat's victory in Game 1 of their series with Boston, I'm expecting a letdown here from Golden State as well in Game 2. I'm not predicting an outright upset, but this one comes down to the wire; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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05-20-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* RANGERS PUCKLINE (BOB) I'm laying the price here for the extra 1.5 goals in my back pocket. Game 1 was very tight, and it easily could have gone either way. Carolina was fortunate to come out on top in OT, getting a late third-period goal to force the extra time. We can expect an identical sort of game to play out here as well. Carolina has some goaltending issues now as well, with Frederik Anderson still missing games due to injury. The Rangers are still 35-17 in their last 52 in this series and I think they bounce-back here; that said, let's lay the price for the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-20-22 | Reds +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
10* REDS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Both teams are struggling at the plate. I think this opening matchup is much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. I like Luis Castillo here for the REds starting. He 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA, but he's faced Toronto 7 times in his career and has gone 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA. The Jays only average 3.68 RPG, so here's a perfect opponent for Castillo to get untracked against. The home side goes with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and who has never faced Cincinnati. I say this one gets decided late, or even in extras; because of that, let's grab the Reds on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (RED DRAGON) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and while that selection came up short, I believe that the visiting side will bounce back and, at the very least, take this contest right down to the wire. Boston lost 118-107 in Game 1, but it's done well in this spot for bettors, as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Marcus Smart and Al Horford both could play after missing Game 1, which would shift this line even further towards a "pick em." Miami started off the first half slow, then came out like gang-busters in the second half of Game 1. Look for Boston's defense to respond and answer the bell here in this important contest. And while I do absolutely feel an outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-19-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Rangers fly in under the radar here. They're off a 3-game sweep of the Angels, which featured a dramatic walk off win on Wednesday. The Astros come in with little momentum after going just 1-2 in Boston. Texas plays with revenge here after losing 3 of 4 at home to the Astros at the start of the season. But this Rangers line-up is raking now, led by Corey Seager with 8 home runs. Glenn Otto is 1-1 with a 6.38 ERA for the Rangers. He was lit up at Boston in his last start, but I think he settles down here. Framber Valdez is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA for the Astrros. Texas comes in with confidence. It's seeing the ball well. I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing this; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-18-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Flames | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -175 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
10* OILERS PUCKLINE (2ND RND. PL GOY) Both of these inter-provincial teams needed seven games to advance to the second round. Each looked great at times, and very ordinary in others in their opening round. The Oilers were down 3-2 in their series to the Kings, but they won the final 2 games and I think they carry that momentum over here. Calgary clinched its series with a 3-2 win in Game 7 at home over the Stars. These teams have been very equal on both ends of the ice during the playoffs, but note that Calgary is just 1-4 in its last 5 conference semi-finals contests, while Edmonton is 7-3 in its last 10 road games. This one is going to come down to the wire, or even go into sudden death OT; I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in my back pocket! AAA Sports |
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05-18-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
10* TIGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Tigers won the first game of this series by a score of 3-2, beore Tampa responded in yesterday's 8-1 victory. For the finale, I'm expecting a much tighter game. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the call for the Tigers, and he just threw 6.2 shutout innings in a win over Baltimore in his last outing. The home side counters with Drew Rasmussen, who also comes in off a gem, holding the Jays to just one run over 5.2 innings of work. These pitchers are evenly matched. As stated off the top, all signs point to this contest perhaps even going into extra innings; beause of that, let's lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket! AAA Sports |
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05-17-22 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (GOW) The Boston Celtics will be without the services of Marcus Smart for Game 1, but I still think they'll find a way to win this game. The quick turnaround is going to work in Boston's favor today after its Game 7 win over the Bucks. The Heat on the other hand come out flat here in my estimation after eliminating the 76ers in just six games. Boston went 2-1 in this matchup during the regular season. Jayson Tatum is a matchup issue. Kyle Lowry being out for Miami is big here at this point of the Playoffs. I expect Boston to draw first blood in the ECF! AAA Sports |
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05-16-22 | Angels v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOW) The Angels just took 3 of 4 from the A's over the weekend, while the Rangers dropped 2 of 3 to Boston. Texas was blown out in the first 2, but then bounced back with a blowout win of its own on Sunday. LA took 3 of 4 in early April, so the Rangers are out for revenge this week. Noah Syndergaard takes the mound for the visitors, an dhe owns a 2.45 ERA over 5 starts. He'll be opposed by Jon Gray, who owns a 5.51 ERA. Texas has actually done well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 in its last 9 after scoring 10 or more runs in its previous game. This one will be decided late, or even in extras, so I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Rangers on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-15-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 123-90 | Win | 100 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (ASSASSIN) This has been a back-and-forth series, and I'm expecting a very tight affair here in Game 7. Every game in this series has been won by the home team, while also going 6-0 ATS. I say this lop-sided trend ends this evening. The Mavericks role players are going to step up here. The Mavs relentless defensive attack will be in full effect from the opening tip, until the final horn. Phoenix lacks that killer instinct, and while the Suns may well indeed go on to win this contest, expect it to be a real "nail-biter!" The play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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05-15-22 | Giants v. Cardinals +1.5 | Top | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* CARDINALS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) San Fran won the opener 8-2 and then St. Louis won 4-0 yesterday. I expect a much tighter game here in the finale, and that's why I'm going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. Carlos Rodon is 4-1 with a 1.80 ERA for the Giants, but I expect regression to kick in sooner, rather than later. The Cards counter with veteran Adam Wainwright, who is 3-3 with a 3.18 ERA and who I like here in friendly confines. Note as well that St. Louis is actually 8-3 in its last 11 off a shutout home victory. For all the reasons listed above, the play is St. Louis on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-14-22 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
10* KINGS PUCKLINE (BOB) An unprecedented 3 Game 7's being played tonight, including this one between the Kings and Oilers. Edmonton rallied to force a pivotal Game 7 in this series in LA. This has been a back-and-forth series and I expect Game 7 to be the most competitive so far. Edmonton's weakness is on the defensive end, and that's where Jonathan Quick and the Kings have the clear advantage. They say defense wins championships. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, my strongest NHL play of the night will be to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket! AAA Sports |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +2 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 36 h 26 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (GOM) The NBA would love to see a Game 7 here. I believe it's going to happen. That said, my recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. The Celtics lost 110-107 in Game 5, but I expect this series to move to a pivotal Game 7. Giannis Antetokounmpo was great with 40 points, while Jayson Tatum scored 34 in a losing cause for the C's. These teams have alternated wins/losses since the series started. Note though that the Bucks are a poor 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite, while the Celtics are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven as an underdog. Boston's superior defense in this critical game will prove to be the difference tonight; buckle up for a Game 7, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-13-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) I had a play on the Phillies on the runline last night and did not need the extra 1.5 runs. This game on Friday between the Mariners and Mets may follow suit, but once again the value here with getting the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket is just too good to turn down in my opinion. Max Scherzer is 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA for the Mets, while Marco Gonzalez is 1-4 with a 3.91 ERA for the Mariners. The Mets are 9-0-1 in series this year, but regression is imminent at some point. Both starters are coming off losses. I think they're more evenly matched than what this large line is suggesting though. This one gets decided late or even in extras, so let's grab the Mariners on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +3 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 38 h 57 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) No Ja? No problem! The Grizzlies have done exceptionally well without their superstar in the line-up and with their backs against the wall, I expect their best collective effort tonight. Many will be pulling the trigger on GS here, thinking that without Morant, Memphis will struggle. But I think it'll be GS that struggles to put away this desperate home side. Memphis held the lead in the last game until the fourth quarter. Don't expect that to happen again here. Also note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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05-11-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES (IL RL GOY) The bottom line here is, I believe that the over-achieving Miles Mikolas is poised for some regression here after his sparkling start for the Cardinals. The Orioles have been decent, especially on the mound. They're 4th in the AL East currently. Spencer Watkins gets the nod to start things off for the visitors and he's 0-0 with a 3.22 ERA over 5 starts this season, posting 10 K's and 10 walks. Mikolas is 2-1 with a 1.53 ERA over 6 games, with 28 K's and 7 walks. Interestinly though, the Cards are just 1-6 in their last 7 vs. the AL East. Watkins has been at his best on the road with a 2.70 ERA and in a contest that I believe could even go to extra innings, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the exrta 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Orioles on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-10-22 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
10* KINGS PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) This has been a wild series so far. The Kings won Game 1 by a sore of 4-3. The Oilers then Game 2 by a score of 6-0 and Game 3 by a score of 8-2. The Kings then bounced back and took Game 4 by a score of 4-0. Very unpredictable. The Oilers average 3.48 GPG, which ranks 7th, but they're Achilles heel has been their play on the defensive end where they allow 3.06 GPG. The Kings average 2.87 and allow just 2.83. They say defense wins championships. We're seeing this right now in both the NHL and in the NBA as being true in the playoffs. I think Game 5 will be the most competitive so far, so in a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals in my back pocket; the play is the Kings on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-10-22 | Mavs +6 v. Suns | Top | 80-110 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (RED DRAGON) The Mavericks were a Top 5 defense in the regular season, and they've been fantastic so far in this series against the favored Suns as they enter off B2B victories, including a 111-101 win in Game 4. So far home floor advantage has proved critical in this series, but I'll say it's more about Dallas making adjustments after going down 0-2. Those adjustments and success will continue here in Game 3, and I'll argue that it has nothing to do with the venue, but more about the overall approach Dallas is employing now. If you're wagering on this game, you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses. The momentum as turned and this Dallas team is going to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. While I do think an outright win is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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05-09-22 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) Why is this line so large suddenly? Because Grizzlies' star Ja Morant is injured. Memphis was going to get destroyed in Game 3 whether Morant went down or not though. It was a bad game overall for Memphis. The Grizzlies have always done really well without their star in the line-up though and I expect them to rally here and use the "next man up" mentality. The good news that's flying under the radar though for Memphis is that Dillon Brooks will be back after serving a 1-game suspension. The Warriors are in the drivers seat again in this series, but I expect a much more competitive affair in Game 4. Note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss of 20 or more points. I say Golden State wins, but the determined Grizzlies comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded; the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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05-09-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (GOW) Cleveland has won 7 of its last 8. It just took 3 of 4 from Toronto. The Guardians fly in under the radar here as well. The White Sox have won 5 in a row. They just finished sweeping the Red Sox, all tight games, including yesterday's 3-2 victory. Zach Plesac is 1-3 with a 4.44 ERA for the Guardians, while Michael Kopech is 0-0 with a 1.17 ERA for the White Sox. Two good pitchers. Let's not overreact to their numbers at this point of the season, and instead classify them as a "wash." Chicago is overpriced here if that's the case. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* PHILADELPHIA (ASSASSIN) The 76ers are clearly a "different" team with Joel Embiid in the line-up. With a chance to tie up this series, I look for Philadelphia's big man to help key his team to another win at home. Jimmy Butler had 33 points in Game 3 for the Heat, but this 76ers team does indeed look much better at home, especially on the defensive end. The rest of the Heat struggled to shoot, and I expect that to be the case again here. Miami took full advantage in Game's 1 and 2, but now the shoe is on the other foot. Embiid is once again listed as questionable, but with that first awkward game out of the way, we can expect the MVP candidate to be much stronger here in Game 4 all around. Look for the 76ers to dial up the pressure even more and lay these short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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05-08-22 | Nationals +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* NATIONALS RUNLINE (BOB) Washington managed the 7-3 win here yesterday. I think the home side is overvalued here as well on Sunday, and I expect some regression here finally as well from Patrick Sandoval. Sandoval is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA so far this season for LA, but I expect his sparkling numbers to take a hit today. At the very least, I expect Erick Fedde to match Sandoval inning for inning. Fedde is 2-2 with 22 K's and 10 walks over 25 frames of work. He's also 3-1 with a 3.61 ERA in his career against the Junior Circuit. This one will be decided late or in extra innings, the play is the visitors on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-07-22 | Rays v. Mariners +1.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -158 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Seattle won't be lacking for motivation here after losing 9 of its last 10. That includes both games to open this series. First they lost 4-3, then 8-7 last night. The M's allowed 3 runs in the top of the 9th and scored just 1 themselves to lose by 1 run again. While I do think an outright is possible here, I'm going to lay what I think is a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in our back pocket. The Rays come in on the other end of the spectrum, primed for a letdown after 5 straight wins. Drew Rasmussen is 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA for the Rays, while Marco Gonzalez is 1-3 with a 4.05 ERA for the Mariners. These starters are essentially a "wash" in my eyes. In what should be another competitive affair, let's look for the desperate Mariners to find a way to deliver on the runline option tonight! AAA Sports |
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05-07-22 | Avalanche v. Predators +1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -130 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* PREDATORS PUCKLINE (BOB) Down 0-2, the Predators will throw their "best shot" at Colorado today. Much like the Bruins did last night in their Game 3 win at home against Carolina, I expect a completely different effort here from Nashville with the shift in venue. Note as well that the Predators are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge a one goal road loss against an opponent. Game 1 was a blowout, and quite frankly, Game 2 could have easily gone in Nashville's favor with a lucky bounce. Expect the Predators to once again keep Game 3 very competitive and because of that, the play here is to grab the home side on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-07-22 | Celtics +3 v. Bucks | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (RED DRAGON) This series is all tied up. Milwaukee won Game 1 in a blowout, and Boston returned the favor in Game 2. With the shift in venue though, I'm expecting a much tighter battle tonight. Khris Middleton is out indefinitely for the Bucks, and that's going to have an effect over the long-term. The Celtics have the league's top defender and Jason Tatum is a handful. The C's defended Giannis well in Game 2 and I'm expecting a similar effort here as well. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-04-22 | 76ers v. Heat -8 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* HEAT (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia looked lost without Joel Embiid in its opener vs. Miami and I have a hard time seeing the 76ers doing much better in Game 2. In fact, it was the Heat that really started off slowly in Game 1, but then they found their footing and confidently closed out with the 106-92 victory. I'm expecting an even more loip-sided destruction in Game 2. There's zero chemistry between James Harden and the rest of his teammates, while Jimmy Butler and Miami are poised for a much bigger and more dominating effort in Game 2. Miami won't be taking it easy. It's going to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish as they try and break the 76ers' collective will. I just can't see the visitors doing anything on either end of the court without Embiid in the line-up; so lay the points! AAA Sports |
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05-03-22 | Stars +1.5 v. Flames | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
10* STARS PUCKLINE (1ST RND. GOY) Dallas won the first meeting with the Flames by a score of 4-3 in OVERTIME, which was in Calgary, but then the Stars dropped the other 2 matchups. Dallas has 4 players that each have at least 24 goals, led by Jason Robertson. Jake Oettinger finished 30-15-1 with a 2.52 GAA and I think he'll be an "X" factor for sure tonight in our success. The Flames are led by Johnny Gaudreau, who had 40 goals this year. Jacob Markstrom finished 37-15-9 with a 2.22 GAA for the Flames. This one will be a tight, competitive battle, so let's grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-03-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
10* GIANTS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extra innings, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The Giants hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA, while the Dodgers counter with Julio Urias, who is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA. The Giants won 10 of 19 games in the season series last year and 6 of 10 at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers ended San Fran's season in a 5-game NL Division series, so it's payback time tonight. I like Rodon to, at the very least, match Urias inning for inning. Because of that, the play here today is the Giants on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (DESTRUCTION) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and while that play came up short, I expect the home side to risk life and limb here to try and even up this series. Clearly, the last thing that Boston wants to do is head to Milwaukee in an 0-2 hole. The Bucks have been playing really well without star Khris Middleton since he went down with injury vs. the Bulls in the first game, but at some point they're going to have a small mental letdown in these playoffs, and I expect that moment to be this evening. "Rest" did lead to "rust" for Jayson Tatum and company after their 4 game sweep of the Brooklyn Nets. Milwaukee needed an extra game to take care of Chicago, and the Bucks just shot much more efficiently overall. Look for Boston to bounce back here in this super important Game 2 though, and for Milwaukee to be happy with the split that it's already earned; lay the points, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-02-22 | Rays v. A's +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (GOM) Tampa Bay lost 2 of 3 to the Twins over the weekend and it's now scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 9 games. Oakland fans can empathize, as the A's are looking to rebound from 3 straight losses to the Guardians. They've now lost 6 of their last 8. Oakland took 3 of 4 from Tampa from April 11-14 and I expect the home side to find a way to deliver in the opener here as well. Tampa goes with Drew Rasmussen, who is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA. He's off the best start of his career, going 6 shutout innings and striking out 9 in a win over the Mariners. Regression is now imminent after that gem in my opinion. The A's see Daulton Jefferies, who is 1-3 with 3.26 ERA, toe the slab. He gave up 5 runs over 4 innings in a loss to the Giants on Tuesday. I look for him to settle down here at home, where he posted a 2.90 ERA last year. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra's let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Oakland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) Two teams which had more difficulty than they likely expected in the first round, have advanced to the second round. Each looked great at times, and showed vulnerability in others. The Grizzlies aren't getting enough respect on their own floor is the bottom line for me here though. Golden State has been off since Wednesday. The Warriors went just 1-3 against the Grizzlies in the regular season. The quick turnaround works in the Grizzlies favor in my opinion. Look for Ja Morant to strike first over Stephen Curry and company; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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05-01-22 | Cubs +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
10* CUBS RUNLINE (BEST OF BEST) Chicago comes in desperate for a win, as it's dropped 8 of its last 10. That includes both games to open up this series, falling 11-1 and 9-1. I'm expecting a much better effort here from the Cubs on Sunday. Milwaukee enters complacent after 5 straight wins. Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 1.75 ERA for the Brewers. Regression is imminent in my estimation though. Marcus Stroman is 0-3 with a 6.98 ERA so far for Chicago. I say that Stroman settles down here and gets back on track with his best effort of the season. Brewers' star Christian Yellich said it best himself after yesterday's win: "The thing about baseball is you have to keep grinding, keep putting in the work and keep trying to get better." Expect that logic to pay dividends for the visiting side today though. That said, let's grab the Cubs on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-22 | Cubs +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* CUBS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Chicago looks to bounce back after yesterday's humbling 11-1 defeat. Note that the Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge an 8 runs or greater road loss against an opponent though. Milwaukee on the other hand is interestingly just 2-6 in its last 8 after a 10 runs or greater victory in its last outing. Chicago sends lefty Justin Steele to the hill, and he's 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA, while the home side counters with Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA. Lauer though is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 4 career outings against the Cubs, which includes 3 starts. I like the hungrier visiting side here, but for this price, I can't turn down the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Chicagao on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This has been a back-and-forth series. With their backs against the wall though, and especially because their playing at home, I look for the Wolves to dig deep here and to extend this series to a decisive Game 7. Clearly with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are pretty evenly matched. And they are. But Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games as an underdog in the +0.5 to +3.5 points range. Both teams are healthy and their strengths and weaknesses are well known. I think the "home floor" advantage proves to be the difference-maker tonight, so buckle up and get ready for our first Game 7 of the Playoffs; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-29-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) I think that Madison Bumgarner and the Diamondbacks have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Madison Bumgarner is 0-1 with a 1.00 ERA for Arizona, while Adam Wainwright is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA for the Cards. Arizona sneaks in under the radar here after winning 3 of its last 5. Bumgarner gave up just 1 run over 5 innings in his last outing. In his last start Wainwright was shelled for 4 runs off 8 hits over 5 innings. Recent form is a factor that's being overlooked here and we're going to take advantage. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-28-22 | 76ers -1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 132-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) I say Philadelphia and Doc Rivers finally get the "monkey" off their backs. Rivers has been involved with three different teams that have blown a 3-1 series lead. Philadelphia itself has just had issues with Toronto over the last five years and would love nothing more than to end this series here and now. I say that James Harden plays his best game of this series and I expect Philadelphia to run away with this one early, and never take the foot off the gas pedal. Toronto's never say die attitude runs out of gas tonight. Note as well that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge B2B SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Lay the points, the play is Philly! AAA Sports |
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04-26-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) So far, this has been a competitive series. These have been fun and exciting and competitive games. I don't think anything will change for Game 5 either between these deadlocked clubs. Minnesota won the last game by a score of 119-118. Over the first three games, Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns had been shut down, but he finally exploded for 33 points and 14 boards in Game 4. I expect him to build off that performance. With even more attention being put onto the big man, the Wolves' depth comes into play here as a considerable strength. Minnesota could have won Game 3 as well, but had an epic collapse in the fourth-quarter. For all intents and purposes, the Wolves could have been up 3-1 at this point. In what I expect to be another back-and-forth affair, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (BOB) Chicago has lost 7 in a row. I say that streak ends in emphatic fashion this evening. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as KC has lost 4 in a row. The Royals just got swept by the Mariners over the weekend. They hand the ball to Daniel Lynch, and he's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA over 2 starts. He went a disastrous 1-2 with a 16.20 ERA over three appearances vs. the White Sox last year. The bullpen has a collective 4.11 ERA and they average just 3.1 RPG. The White Sox have been swept by the Twins and Guardians. I like Dallas Keuchel here though at home in this important game. He's 1-1 with 15.00 ERA so far this year (gave up 8 runs in his last start.) I think the veteran settles down here though. Chicago is also 4-0 in its last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Look for the White Sox to not only win this game, but to do so big a significant margin; the play is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-25-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) I say the Nets are cooked. I say Kevin Durant won't answer here. I say Jason Tatum is underrated and overlooked. With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of what will be considered one of the biggest busts of all time, I believe the Celtics go in for the "Death Blow" this evening. The Nets have been terrible in all facets, especially considering they turn the ball over 16 times per game. Brooklyn has also been allowing an average of 112.7 points per game to Boston. Boston has the defense to slow down Durant and I say Tatum has another huge outing as well. Clearly, the outright win is the prediction, but grab as many points as you can as well with Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-24-22 | Brewers +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* BREWERS RUNLINE (RED DRAGON) Ultimately, I think we're getting great value with the Brewers on the runline option here. This is a very reasonable mid-sized price to have to lay to have an extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Milwaukee hands the ball to Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA, while the home side sees Aaron Nola toe the slab. If this was four years go, Nola would be a -250 favorite. Now he enters with a 1-2. 5.52 ERA record. Milwaukee has won five of six, including yesterday's contest 5-3 and while an outright victory obviously isn't out of the realm of possibility today either, the play is Milwaukee on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (FIRST RND. GOY) This has been an interesting series. And what I personally find interesting about it is that Memphis has somehow figured out a way to slow down Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns. He's also struggled a bit at times. That said, I simply can't see this struggling trend of futility lasting much longer. Minnesota had a huge lead in Game 3 and then it inexplicably came up short. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but as good as Memphis has looked over its last two games, it's still very inexperienced. This is uncharted territory, coming from behind in the playoffs on the road to take a series lead. I say that Towns and company bounce back here and take a page out of their "Game 1 playbook." Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-23-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 5-4 | Win | 115 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB) I think Syndergaard is overvalued here. LA is 8-5, while Baltimore is 4-9, but I believe these starting pithers are more evenly matched than what this huge line is suggesting. Spencer Watkins is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA for the Orioles, while Noah Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA for the Angels. Yes, the Orioles have struggled to plate runs this season, but off yesterday's 5-3 victory, I say the visiting side builds momentum off that performance. Let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pockets; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | Top | 111-81 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* BULLS (RED DRAGON) What do you base your selections on? I have different ways of handicapping the regular season than I do in the Playoffs. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments from game-to-game. That's true for handicappers as well. With Khris Middleton out, the Bucks are simply not the same team. Chicago has already gotten the home floor advantage after splitting out in Milwaukee and I expect the Bulls to push the pace here from start to finish. We could break down all the stats and look at every indidivual player matchup, but for me it's as simple as Middleton being out for the Bucks. And while I obviously think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is CHICAGO! AAA Sports |
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04-21-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) With their backs against the wall, I like the Nuggets to bounce back here at home. Denver plays better at home and it's also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship over Phoenix, but we'll see how well the Warriors fare on the road in this difficult venue. During the regular season Denver was No. 8 in scoring with 113 PPG. It's been an ugly start for the Nuggets to this series, but we can expect their best effort and another huge game from Nikola Jokic in the process; while the outright is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans +10 v. Suns | Top | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) While my play on the Pels came up short in Game 1, I absolutely expect them to bounce back here and to keep this one tight up until the final moments. New Orleans fell 110-99 in Game 1, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Clearly, Phoenix is the better team in every regard, but I don't think it deserves to be a double-digit favorite in Game 2. We'll look for the Pelicans to give their best shot and while that will almost assuredly not be good enough to pull off the outright upset, it'll be more than enough to pull off the comfortable cover; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (GOW) The Warriors got the better of Denver by a score of 123-107 in Game 1, but I think that the Nuggets will, at the very least, keep Game 2 close enough to comfortably cover with the larger spread that they've been afforded tonight. Jordan Poole had 30 points for the Warriors in Game 1, going 5 of 7 from range. Suffice it to say, I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" for Poole and the Warriors this evening. Nikola Jokic was a force in Game 1 for Denver, finishing with 25 points and I expect him to have an even bigger impact this evening. Denver shot terrible from 3-point range as well in Game 1, finishing 31.5%, well below their nomral 35% clip. Again, we can expect things to "normalize" in that department for Denver this evening as well. I say the Nuggets throw their best shot they have; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Suns | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (RED DRAGON) Are the Suns the better team? Their record would sure indicate that. New Orleans advanced by winning its two Play-In games and I think it'll "sneak in under the radar" here in Game 1. Will the longer lay off help or hinder the Suns? Who knows is the answer. The Pelicans though are currently rolling and I say that momentum carries over in Game 1. New Orleans has been fantastic defensively of late, and it has the offensive punch to keep pace as well with Brandon Ingram back in the line-up. In every conceivable way the Suns are the better team, but not by double digits in this situation. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-16-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) I had a play on the Orioles on the runline yesterday, but did not need the extra 1.5 runs, as Baltimore ended up winning 2-1 in the bottom of the 10th inning. I expect another tight game here today as well, one that will once again be decided late or even in extra frames, so because of that, I'm once again back in the saddle and going to recommend a wager on the home side on the runline option again. Jameson Taillon and Tyler Wells are essentially a "wash" as far as the starting pitching is concerned in my opinion. Note though that the Twins are a near-perfect 6-1 in their last 7 off an extra-innings victory in which they held their opponent to 1 or less runs in. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the Orioles on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-16-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This will be an interesting series. These teams are similar in many regards. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be a bit of an understatement, as Memphis 8-2 the L10 in this series. Minnesota averages 115.9 PPG, while Memphis averages 115.6. The Grizz are a bit better defensively in allowing 109.9, while the Wolves have conceded 113.2. Very small differences here. Yes, the Grizz have done well all season, but now that the playoffs are here, adjustments will be key. I think Game 1 comes right down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (BOB) The Pels easily handled the Spurs to advance to play the Clippers, and just like they were then, I think they're also undervalued and underrated by the bookmakers in this matchup as well. The Clippers lost 109-104 to Minnesota, and I believe they'll have their hands full here against this highly skilled visiting side. New Orleans looked superb defensively in its win, holding the Spurs to just 103 points. The Clippers also struggled to put points on the board against a Wolves team that finished in the bottom third on the defensive end. That doesn't bode well facing New Orleans here. I think the outright is possible, but let's grab up all these points as the official call! AAA Sports |
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04-15-22 | A's +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* ATHELTICS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) I had a play on the A's on the runline in their outright win at Tampa and I believe they have a legitimate shot at pulling off another big upset on the road today. The Jays are off a 3-0 loss at New York. Toronto went just 1-2 in the Big Apple, while Oakland went 2-1 in Tampa. Daulton Jeffries is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the A's. He's making his 2nd start of the season and 3rd of his career. He's off a 4-1 win over the Phillies, giving up two hits over 5 scoreless. I think he can easily match Jays' starter Ross Stripling, who enters 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA. He's given up 2 runs over 2 innings of relief and he went a sub-par 5-6 with a 4.69 ERA over 19 starts last season. Great price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-14-22 | Angels v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (AL RL BOB) Dane Dunning gets the call for the Rangers here. He's 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA, giving up five hits and three runs over five innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Jays on the road in his opener. I think he'll bounce-back in friendly confines though. Look for a new pitch from Dunning today: "The slider that I normally throw is a bit more vertical," he said. "This new slider I throw is probably more like a sideways curveball. ...The numbers are actually really good on it, so it's something I wanted to incorporate into my repertoire. It's something different that hitters haven't seen." He'll go up against Shohei Ohtani, who is 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA. He looked decent as well in his first start, allowing one run off four hits over 4 innings in a loss to Houston. This one is going to come down to the latter frames, and because of that, I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option today! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* HORNETS (GOW) I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Tampa managed the 9-8 win yesterday, but I think that the A's bounce back here. Yes, I do think that the outright win is possible, but in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Frankie Montas got rocked in his debut for Oakland, allowing five runs off six hits over five innings. Last year he was 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA on the road. I say he definitely bounces back today. The Rays go with Shane McClanahan, who gave up no runs over 4 innings in a 2-1 win over Baltimore in his opener. The A's have smashed lefties this year early, averaging .346 collectively thus far. Look for that trend to continue here; the play is Oakland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-12-22 | Astros v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (BOB) The Astros go with right-hander Luis Garcia, who finished 11-8 with a 3.48 ERA last season. He was the runner-up for American League Rookie of the Year. The Diamondbacks go with Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA after throwing 3 innings on Opening Night. The Astros come to town after going 3-1 at the Angels. It was the opposite for Arizona though, which dropped 3 of 4 games at home against the Padres. That included a 10-5 loss here Sunday in which the team made 3 unearned errors: "Three unearned runs to me is unacceptable," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said afterward. "That game should have been a lot closer than it was. We've got to get better. We've got a day off (Monday). We can turn the page. That's all we can do. We can learn from it, move on, keep pressing and teaching. Do what we can to make something good happen on Tuesday." I like the veteran a home here and I believe the hungrier home side will, at the very least, keep this one competitive late; grab the 1.5 runs with the Diamondbacks on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* ATHLETICS RUNLINE (GOW) Tampa swept Baltimore, but I think it'll have its hands full today against the Atheltics, who avoided a three-game sweep at Philadelphia with a 4-1 victory yesterday afternoon. Paul Blackburn will take the mound to start for the visitors. He owns a pedestrian 5.74 lifetime ERA. Tampa counters with Luis Patino, who owns a slightly better 4.47 lifetime ERA. Oakland proved yesterday that it still has talent in its lineup, and I say the A's hang around late and make this one interesting. While I do believe the outright victory is a possibility, let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-08-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOM) The Blue Jays have made a lot of moves in the offseason which have many believe that they're now the team to beat in the American League. That may turn out to be the case, but on Opening Day, almost anythign can happen (just ask the Braves!) I see this one being decided late or even in extra innings, so I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Sonny Gray was 8-12 with a 4.59 ERA in 29 starts for the Rockies last year and in 2 career outings vs. the Jays he's 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Jose Berriors was 12-9 with a 3.52 ERA in 32 starts betwen Toronto and Minnesota last year. He's 2-1 with a pedestrian 5.47 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Jays; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports |
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04-06-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Pacers | Top | 131-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* 76ERS (GOW) I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NETS (ASSASSIN) Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Kings v. Heat -13 | Top | 100-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK) I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |