10-11-15 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 |
Top |
24-27 |
Push |
0 |
45 h 0 m |
Show
|
Taking the BENGALS here. Cincy is ready for this game. If there is one game out of division to be 100% ready for, this is it. The rugged, Seahawks, Super Bowl Champs and Runner-Up the last 2 years come to down. Now. We know I like fading this over-rated bunch, especially on the road. We cashed Rams outright over them, then GB pulled away late. Here they find an Andy Dalton who has been nearly perfect. I read somewhere that him getting booed at the All-Star game really motivated him in camp. He is tired of hearing how he can't do it, and is a game manager, blah, blah blah. Well, with Lynch banged up, he easily has the 2 best backs on the field. And the best WRs. This is a dangerous Bengals team. The bend don't break of giving up FGs last week didn't hurt them. I think Seattle is down a bit. They are not the same team as the last 2 years, especially when playing on the road. Bengals 15-3-1 ATS last 19 at home. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS
|
10-10-15 |
Dallas Stars -105 v. Colorado Avalanche |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker DALLAS STARS
|
10-10-15 |
Miami (Fla) +9 v. Florida State |
|
24-29 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MIAMI FLORIDA
|
10-10-15 |
East Carolina v. BYU -8 |
|
38-45 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking BYU here. Look. We lost with SMU over ECU last week. But we have also cashed on ECU over VT as 10pt dogs, and rode Navy to a big win over the Pirates. ECU is on the road for the 4th time in 5 weeks. This isn't an easy road trip. Like I said, I had SMU who after taking a 23-7 lead, proceeded to get blitzed 42-0. No such luck of that happening vs the Cougs who are a better program. BYU with a better defensive, a physical offense that has size at WR and a good HC. Tough venue and the altitude will be too much for the Pirates to handle. 10* Money-Bomb BYU
|
10-10-15 |
Montreal Canadiens -120 v. Boston Bruins |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MONTREAL CANADIENS
|
10-10-15 |
Detroit Red Wings -110 v. Carolina Hurricanes |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker DETROIT RED WINGS
|
10-10-15 |
Northwestern v. Michigan -7.5 |
Top |
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 40 m |
Show
|
Taking MICHIGAN here. I said on my podcast Wednesday night that this line is a bit odd looking. Guest Capper Tony K agreed. Why do we have Northwestern, the higher ranked team getting a TD here? They shut down Stanford, who went on the road and dropped 40 on USC. Northwestern went to Duke, who is a capable football team, and won there. They are off a shut-out. And we get this big number. Now Michigan hasn't been a powerful football school in quiet a bit. Both teams bring solid defenses. Northwestern giving up 7ppg, Wolverines allowing 184 yards total offense a game. Total sitting at an old school 35. Yet, the line is a TD. Something has to give here. I mean, isn't it easy to grab a good defense like the Wildcats getting the points. They played a bit of a tougher schedule. I think this line might drop a bit by game time. Again, I know the purpose of a line is to get 2 way action. But all I see is Northwestern money all day long here. So I think the Wolverines get a 10pt win here. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
|
10-10-15 |
Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -7 |
|
39-41 |
Loss |
-105 |
36 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN
|
10-10-15 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Western Kentucky -8 |
|
28-58 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY here. What a great scheduling spot for the Hilltoppers. They get Mid Ten St in off a tough loss to Vandy blowing a 10pt win with 6 minutes left. And that is on the heels of losing on a late FG to Illinois. Now, Vandy and Illinois aren't SEC and Big 10 royalty. But a pair of games that they got up for. WKU have eaten cupcakes the last 2 weeks getting ready for this revenger. 8* Sure Shot WKU
|
10-09-15 |
New York Mets +185 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
185 |
22 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the METS here. Look. We cashed the Rangers yesterday in a similar spot. Kershaw is a great pitcher. But the fact is he spits the bit in the post-season. A 1-5 5.12 ERA in 11 games, 8 starts. He has been great posting a 1.22 ERA last 17 starts.But the Mets have their own stud on the hill. DeGrom can match zeros here with Clayton. A 2.54 ERA on the year, .98 WHIP. I am not a fan of his road splits for sure. That being said, I think the NYM line-up is better than LAD even if Puig plays. Cesepedes has transformed the entire team around him. If we get home-style DeGrom all we need is a Kershaw mistake for a 1-0, 2-1 win. Runs will be at a premium for sure. So let's take a dog with a solid starter and a good 'pen behind him. 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
10-09-15 |
NY Rangers v. Columbus Blue Jackets -105 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-15 |
Chicago Cubs +100 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking the CUBS here. I like STL. This is the franchise that everyone should emulate. They just churn out pitchers and young hitters. But I don't trust John Lackey here. So I will fade him in favor in favor of his ex Boston mate Jon Lester. Both guys have pretty solid post-season numbers. Lester 6-4 2.57 ERA, Lackey 7-5 3.08 ERA. Both guys excel here. Lackey with much better home splits and Lester with better road splits. But Cubs won 6 of the last 9. They are playing with a little edge to them right now. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS
|
10-09-15 |
Houston Astros +132 v. Kansas City Royals |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
Taking the ASTROS here. Wanted to grab these guys last night also but passed. Was waiting for this match-up with Cueto. He hasn't been sharp since his arrival. Kazmir has had missed results also, but has better road splits. Plus. I look at KC as the favorite here. They don't have the hunger like last year. Now down 0-1, this young team might panic a bit. What happens when Cueto gives up 4 in the first 3 innings? Are they rushing to the pen? This Houston team looks pretty confident right now. Houston 8-2 last 10 vs KC in the series. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
10-09-15 |
Houston Astros v. Kansas City Royals OVER 7.5 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
109 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Astros/Royals
|
10-09-15 |
Texas Rangers +166 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
166 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. Will come back to these guys again after cashing them as huge dogs yesterday. And why not. It isn't like Cole Hamels is an inexperienced arm. He has loads of post-season experience(7-4 3.09 ERA). This is why he is here. Well, more for next year since I am sure nobody thought Texas would make this run. But here we are. Now, Stroman has been nearly unhittable since coming back. I can't say a negative thing about the kid. But anything is possible in play-off action. And maybe the Jays feel a little bit of pressure here down in the series. Hamels at this price, worth the shot as we are playing with house money from yesterday's easy win. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
10-08-15 |
Minnesota Wild -114 v. Colorado Avalanche |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA WILD
|
10-08-15 |
Pittsburgh Penguins v. Dallas Stars -113 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker DALLAS STARS
|
10-08-15 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans -2 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking the TEXANS here. Ok. What is up with this line? Texans favored? Colts have won 5 straight vs Houston and 15 straight vs AFC teams. This tells me that Luck is not even close to being 100%. He is injured more seriously then they Colts are letting on. Look. I lost with this bunch last week getting mauled in Atlanta. And I lost with the Chiefs last week. The Chiefs? Yeah. They were getting 4 from Cincy and I thought to myself.. Man, this line looks very low. Well 7 FGs don't help us. Not that this is the same, but it my eyes it is close. A line that looks too good to be true if you like the other way. I am at 59% in the NFL. Take out my putrid 1-5 totals and I am 66%/ - I know this league. I know this game. I said on my Live Podcast last night I was moving on this game. If you listen every week, you get plenty of free winners. Enough of that.. Last year on Thursday night, the Colts came here and put up a 24 spot in the first quarter. I don't see that happening tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS
|
10-08-15 |
Texas Rangers +218 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
218 |
16 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. I like the Jays. I think they can win the whole thing. But. David Price post-season, is different then David Price regular season. The Price isn't right unless we are taking the dogs here. Maybe Price has his stuff straight mows down the Rangers. But getting 2-1, I will put some eggs in Gallardo's basket. 5 games 1-2 2.08 ERA in 26 innings with 20Ks.. Worth a shot for sure. He also has 13+ scoreless innings vs Jays (2-0) this year. Again, Price 1-5 4.50 ERA in 10 career starts 40 innings. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
10-07-15 |
Vancouver Canucks +135 v. Calgary Flames |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
135 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker VANCOUVER CANUCKS
|
10-07-15 |
NY Rangers +116 v. Chicago Blackhawks |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
116 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NY RANGERS
|
10-07-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 56 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER that total here. Man, how can you not. Arrieta was just a flat-out beast this year. He should be the NL Cy Young Winner. 13-1 1.60 ERA on the road this year. 3-1 .75 ERA vs Pirates this year. A 1.77 ERA and .86 WHIP on the season! 236Ks in 229 innings. And Gerritt Cole is no slouch. 2-1 2.13 ERA vs Cubs this year. 2.60 ERA 1.09 WHIP on the year with 202Ks in 208 innings. So, right off the bat we have over 400 innings and strikeouts between a pair of guys who won 41 games this year. Looking at the last games these guys have played.. I see finals of total runs at 4,4,5, 15(Hendricks, Morton), 5,3,9 (Hammel, Cole),12 (Haren, Locke),5,3,5,21 (Hammel, Locke). Not looking at April since I use April as extended Spring numbers. But looking at these box scores, I see a huge winner on the board tonight with 6 runs. Cold, October play-off baseball. A couple of hard-throwers. I am going under. 5* Total Money UNDER Cubs/Pirates
|
10-06-15 |
Houston Astros -109 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking the ASTROS here. with Keuchal on the hill. This guy just might edge out David Price for the AL Cy Young Award. Obviously, he has very impressive numbers at home, but his road splits aren't very sexy. Doesn't matter to me though. This Yankees team will have a hard time getting their bats on the ball here. At home, he tossed a SHO 6 hitter with 12 Ks back in June vs NYY. In the Bronx, 7 innings 3 hits 9 more Ks. The big names for the Bombers are older guys who will have trouble catching up to this kid. I just don't see it happening. Even on short rest, I expect a big performance based on what a monumental feat this is for Houston. I will say Tanaka surprised me since his arm didn't explode. He had a solid year, but let's be honest, the guy ins't healthy. They skipped a start for him because of his hammy and he comes back to give up 4 runs in 5 innings. Astros torched him in Houston for 6 earned in 5 innings. Let's give Giardi and the Yanks some credit for getting here. No Tex. Arod a huge come-back year. But really, Ellsbury and Beltran weren't that good. Gardy and McCann had solid years. But this team clearly over-achieved. Astros advance. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON ASTROS
|
10-04-15 |
St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44 |
|
24-22 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-15 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Denver Broncos UNDER 43 |
|
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-15 |
Minnesota Vikings +7 v. Denver Broncos |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
10-04-15 |
St Louis Rams +8 v. Arizona Cardinals |
|
24-22 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-15 |
Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers +9 |
|
17-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker GB PACKERS
|
10-04-15 |
Jacksonville Jaguars +9 v. Indianapolis Colts |
|
13-16 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking the JAGUARS here. Ugh. Yeah. An ugly team for sure, on the road. But what have the Colts done this year. They look terrible so far. Luck is banged up. The OL isn't holding up for him. Jags can bring some pressure. I will take a young, hungry team here getting these points. They were ambushed by the Pats who have a vendetta vs the league. Their numbers, like everyone here in the South are poor vs Luck and the Colts. But the big dogs look a little down here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
|
10-04-15 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +3 |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the REDSKINS here. Looks like some rain might be heading our way. Slight drizzle! Look. Eagles have looked lost on offense. Yes, they beat the Jets last week. But that was a great situation for them. Jets off short week MNF win over Andrew Luck. Eagles win-less with people ready to burn Chip at the stake. I have seen Murray a few times. A slippery ball won't help. Sproiles will be limited. Not a fast surface. Washington has a pretty solid run defense that is underrated in my eyes. They have a nice RB combo of Morris and Jones. 3rd roadie in 4 games for Philly. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS
|
10-04-15 |
Houston Texans +6.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
Top |
21-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking HOUSTON here. I though the Cowboys would pick off the Falcons last week. And it looked good for a half. Fact is, Atlanta took advantage of a Philly team that hasn't looked particularly good. They had to come from behind with help from the Giants. They needed a huge game from a RB averaging 2 YPR to beat a team without Romo or Dez Bryant. Texans haven't looked that terrible. Their QB situation looks stabilized with Mallet who seems to have found a nice target in WR DeAndre Hopkins. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON TEXANS
|
10-04-15 |
Kansas City Chiefs +4 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
Top |
21-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
43 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking KANSAS CITY here. How many times are these MFers going to bury us? I guess I am insane since the definition of insanity is doing something over and over again expecting different results. That being said, YES, I am nuts! Look, this KC team shoots itself in the foot no doubt about it. But they have plenty of talent. People knock Alex Smith, but the guy wins games. Basically, I see this line and think, are you kidding me! Why is this line so low? You know from my podcast this year, and last year, that I am high on Cincy. I thought they were knocking Denver out 2 years ago to face Seattle in the Super Bowl. I know they are a very good team. But this does not pass my 'eye' test. Line is way too low. Off a short week, and another loss for KC. Cincy red-hot doing everything right. Yet, 4, 4.5? Not buying it. Bengals off tough game vs Ravens. Dalton hasn't been picked yet. Something tells me Chiefs get some pressure and Andy makes a mistake or two. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFS
|
10-04-15 |
NY Jets v. Miami Dolphins +2 |
|
27-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI here. We cashed easily with the Bills as our Top 10* last week. Now we are taking the struggling Dolphins to right their ship. What better place to be for a struggling team than crossing the pond for an early game vs division rival NYJ. Jets in off a loss. Not a surprise based off their MNF win over the Colts. I think we see an improved Miami defense and rush attack. I like Tannehill. He is better than FitzMagic who is likely without Decker again. Tannehill has a couple nice targets in WR Landry and Matthews. Revis is banged up a bit. Maybe he plays a half. Maybe not at all. I am not a Philbin fan. I think he gets canned this year if these guys aren't in the playoffs. We will ride him here though. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
10-03-15 |
Notre Dame v. Clemson -2.5 |
|
22-24 |
Loss |
-116 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
10-03-15 |
Texas-San Antonio -2.5 v. UTEP |
|
25-6 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 25 m |
Show
|
analysis to follow 4* Money Maker
|
10-03-15 |
Arkansas +7 v. Tennessee |
|
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking ARKANSAS here. Both teams off tough losses, but this is becoming a regular thing with the Vols. Now, normally not a fan of teams like the Razorbacks who have dropped 3 straight, but Tennessee, my oh my, dropping games with double-digit 4th quarter leads. Ouch! Arkansas has controlled this series lately and I think the Vols have trouble recovering after the loss at the Swamp. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS
|
10-03-15 |
East Carolina v. SMU +6 |
Top |
49-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking SMU here. Last week we cashed an easy 10* winner on ECU over Va Tech. A perfect spot for them, and they delivered. Now the Pirates are on the road after that huge win. And laying points? Good luck with that. A super spot for SMU. Off a loss to James Madison. This SMU team can air it out. And I have little faith in ECU secondary. James Madison put up 700 yards of offense last week! I think we see improvement there. SMU can score. ECU might be playing the old rotating QB game. Another (our 3rd CFB) dog-out right winner here with our Top play. 10* Money Bomb SMU
|
10-03-15 |
Alabama +105 v. Georgia |
|
38-10 |
Win
|
105 |
25 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
10-03-15 |
Air Force v. Navy -5.5 |
|
11-33 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
10-03-15 |
Iowa +7 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
10-6 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking IOWA here .Quite frankly, not sold on this Wiscy team. Melvin Gordon isn't running the rock here. We have a pair of backs splitting time doing an ok, not super job. Iowa has one of the better rush defenses in the land. Badger QB doesn't scare me while our QB is quietly leading a team putting up nearly 38ppg. Points too good to pass up here. Another live dog for us. 10* Money Bomb IOWA
|
10-02-15 |
Temple v. Charlotte +21 |
|
37-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-15 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
|
23-20 |
Push |
0 |
26 h 52 m |
Show
|
Taking the STEELERS here. I would say this is eerily similar to my Dallas home dog loser last week. A team, minus their beast QB, at home, vs a good signal caller. (Ryan v Flacco). But what is the big difference maker for is that this is a tough conference game. Vick is nothing like he was granted, but he does a stud WR and a beast RB to help ease the pain here. Ravens are as desperate as an NFL team can get sitting at 0-3. They could be 3-0, but, they aren't. I wasn't as high on these guys as others coming into the season. Would it be shocking if they lost 4 in a row? Steelers were lazy last week. I had the Rams. I figured Bell would be eased into his role as they get ready for their hated division rivals here. I had the Ravens in this spot back in January. The rolled Pitt in that play-off game. You don't think Tomlin has this circled? Home dog on a real short week in a rivalry game. Call me a sucker, but I'm in. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS
|
10-01-15 |
Miami (Fla) v. Cincinnati +7 |
|
23-34 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking CINCINNATI here. I must be missing something here. Fr. QB Moore looked pretty good on the road last week. Why not at home vs a 'Canes D that was torched by Nebraska. Hurricanes crushed these guys 55-34 last year, but Miami hasn't been world beaters on the road (3-9 ATS L12). Bearcats need to stop turning the ball over. I see this line and immediately think the lines-makers have Cincy -3 in TOs for the game. We hold on to that ball and we get an outright win here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS
|
09-30-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers +105 v. San Francisco Giants |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking the DODGERS here. Now normally I am fading teams after they clinch a division. But in this case, I will ride them. Dodgers a game back of NYM for home-field. And let's be honest. Everyone wants home field. I will say that I said last Wednesday on my podcast, (9pm EST live find it) that I thought the Dodgers were going to collapse and SF was going to sweep them here. Well, it was the Giants who collapsed. I expect to see many youngsters today for SF as they go through the motions. I hated seeing their respect the rivalry nonsense. That is crazy. The players are done. LAD is looking for momentum. LA 5-1 last 6 in the series. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS
|
09-30-15 |
Detroit Tigers +162 v. Texas Rangers |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-15 |
Kansas City Chiefs +7 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
28-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking KANSAS CITY here. I had the Chiefs in that epic failure last Thursday. Man, they literally gave that game away. The red-zone turnovers. Penalties. Charles slippery digits. A pair of TDs 9 seconds apart! It was a brutal loss. That being said, with extra rest and that looming over their heads, I expect a crisp game here, even in Lambeau. I know that GB gets an extra too. But they just had a huge win last week on Sunday night. Beating a Seattle team that they had on the ropes, on the road, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. So maybe they are in a little let-down spot. I think that KC has the better defense. Even with Lacy 100%, I think Charles is the better back. Kelce is a match-up problem. The big anchor that nulls most teams chances is Aaron Rodgers. And lets be honest, Alex Smith is not remotely near this guy in talent. Oh we have the subplot. What if the Niners took A-Aron first and not Smith? That was 11 years ago. Let's talk about the now. Both teams have lofty expectations. Again, KC off a bad loss, I expect a big bounce-back here. How many people opened up the paper last week, saw GB -6.5, 7 and say to themselves. No way GB can't be KC by a TD! Did you how they beat up Seattle last night and the Chiefs choked at home vs Denver. I'm taking the points here and think this will come down to a late FG to win it. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
|
09-28-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers -124 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-124 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. Colby Lewis pitching very well with a 1.71 ERA his last 3. In case you missed it. He's a 17 game winner on a team looking to clinch the AL West. Tigers are closing shop on a wasted, lost year. Verlander is a shell of his Cy Young self. He has pitched better lately, but I'm not sold on him, or his line-up. And especially that bullpen. Rangers are 4-1 last 5 times facing the Verlander. One final thought. Texas winds up the year with a series vs the Angels. There is no way, no way, they want that series to dictate what happens in their own play-off scenario. Look for them to take care of the Tigers early here. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS
|
09-28-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays -124 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Jays looking to wrap up the AL East and get a great shot tonight vs the slumping Orioles. Baltimore actually had a shot at perhaps a wild-card spot, then fell flat on their faces getting shut-out three straight vs the Red Sox. Put a fork in them people. In 19 career starts vs Toronto, Tillman spots a 6.00 ERA and a 4-10 record including 0-5 last 5 at home and 1-6 last 7 vs Jays. 10* Money-Bomb TORONTO BLUE JAYS
|
09-27-15 |
Buffalo Bills +3 v. Miami Dolphins |
Top |
41-14 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking the BILLS here. So, Rexy's big bad D gets absolutely shredded by Brady last week. Is that really a surprise? We cashed with Pats on the road, as we cashed with the Bills over Luck in Week 1. So, a week of reading their own press clippings and they are eating crow. So we have a team that got scorched at home vs a team that just lost a team that, quite frankly, if it weren't for the Raiders have been the worse team in football. We have a couple buts though, big ones!! First, Pats have owned Buffalo. now 22-2 SU last 24 meetings! This defense will be fired up. Tannehill is not Luck or Brady. And fired up is not in the Dolphins vocabulary. This is a chronic under-achieving bunch at home as evident by their 8-15 SU record. This team has scored 3 TDs in 2 weeks vs a pair of teams, who, are not suppose to be very good this year. Do we even have to get into Suh actin' the fool and going rogue with the DC play calls? 3 games into a huge contract this guy is going off the reservation already. Wow. Gladly fade the home team who barely rates as a home favorite. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS
|
09-27-15 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. St Louis Rams +2 |
Top |
12-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAMS here. We are 2-0 with STL, fade last week, win over Seattle. Look. Rams took a half to get ready last week. Makes sense, most teams after facing the Seahawks are bruised and battered and not ready to go on Sunday. But they will be ready here. What is up with this line? Steelers dropped nearly 50 last week running 2pt conversions. Rams lose to a 'lowly' Washington team that nobody thought would be any good with Cousins behind center. The old, what have you done for me lately, and eye test from the week before. Steelers get Bell back here. But I don't think we will see a lot of the RB. They have a big division game up next vs the Ravens. Are they 100% focused especially coming off a rout? STL at home, big crowd behind them. We'll bite here. 8* Sure Shot STL RAMS
|
09-27-15 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Dallas Cowboys +1 |
|
39-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
140 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS here. Yeah, I will back Weeden. Witten might be out. No Dez. No Murray. Didn't they lose to Arizona in a spot just like this with those guys? No way they are beating Matty Ice and Julio Jones. Well, I know Dallas is 2-0 because the teams they played are 0-4. But lo and behold, the Falcons faced the same two teams. Look. This is b2b roadies for ATL vs a non-division foe. I wish they had a bigger game on deck vs the Saints or Panthers, but they don't. That being said. The Dallas defense has not been the problem. It is a sluggish offense. It will get ugly here for sure. No way they want Weeden trading passes with Flacco. So look for this OL to grind out long drives and milk the clock. The second half of that MNF game, the Eagles were moving the ball vs this unit. Quinn is a defensive coach, and the Falcons will improve. But this is a tough spot for them. A full week of reps helps Weeden. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS
|
09-27-15 |
New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 |
|
22-27 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the PANTHERS here. Even before hearing Brees is banged up I liked Carolina here. The thing with the Panthers, they win. They aren't a sexy team. They are Cam and a bunch of lunch-pail guys. But they are 10-4 ATS last 14 in division games. The looked good last week beating Texas. Know who didn't look good? The Saints. I cashed Tampa easy. This NO team is in trouble. They have been trending downward and might be circle the drain. The defense is not good at all. The offense doesn't look much better. They are a dome team playing outside, albeit, not in the snow or crazy weather, but they are a turf team. Plus, Brees might be a little banged up. And, he's closer to 40 than 30 anyway. He isn't getting younger. Finally, Panthers 10-4 ATS last 14 in this series and 5-2 ATS last 7 here at home. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS ***---- If you didn't get down on this game when it was at 3.5, you have nobody but yourself to blame. It has been up for days. The reported Monday that Brees was injured ----***
|
09-27-15 |
Oakland Raiders +3.5 v. Cleveland Browns |
|
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAIDERS here. Will take my shot here with these guys again. We cashed both of these teams last week, Oakland as our Free Play and the Browns as a premium pick. So, Cleveland decides to bench Johnny Football. The kid is exciting to say the least. Wednesday night on my Podcast with fellow capper Tony George, we were both shocked at this move. Yes, the Browns drafted Manziel high so you think he should keep his spot. He has 3 TD passes on the year, all of them over 50 yards. He is exciting. Why take him out? Does the locker room love McCown? We know what he is. A serviceable back-up QB. We don't know what Manziel is. We know that Carr looks like is going to be special. He led a nice 4thQ comeback last week vs a decent Ravens team. After being humiliated by the Bengals, the Raiders easily could have folded up late. They didn't. Now they are on the road with a very winnable game. Why can't they break an 11 game road winless streak? Cooper and Crabtree are pretty good WRs, Cooper might be very special. The have a good enough defense. It isn't a sexy match-up by any stretch of the imagination. But, we are here to make money. Go ugly and win. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS
|
09-27-15 |
Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
35-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking the COLTS here. Yeah. It is looking like a total Joe Public play here. But how can we not back Luck here. Off 2 bad games. The guy is MUCH better than that. And he is facing the Titans. Luck is 7-1 SU-ATS on the road in the South. Why is everyone so high on Mariota? Yes, they surprised Tampa Bay. They just lost to the Browns. The Browns. How do people feel about those teams? Now they are going to out play the Colts. I will be the first to say this OL looks shaky. But, like my Giants winner on Thursday night. This is a the old 'circle the wagons' game for Indy. A big MUST win. I look for an adjust big time here by the Colts. Luck, and even Frank Gore with his fumble, played poorly. They get right here. Indy 7-0 ATS last 7 in the series. No let down concerns off the short week, instead we are in desperate win mode. And being that Luck is 12-0 SU vs his division, we will lay the short number here. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
|
09-26-15 |
UCLA v. Arizona +3 |
Top |
56-30 |
Loss |
-106 |
34 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA here. Wildcats might get a big boost with the heart of their defense, Scooby Wright suiting up here. UCLA played down last week with this game on deck. Perfectly understandable. Arizona a tidy 11-3 ATS as PAC 12 home dogs. Sprinkle in some Triple-Revenge and we have a recipe for success in my eyes. Can't over state the loss of UCLA LB Jack. He was the 3rd starter lost on that side of the ball. A big loss for them there. Arizona 5-1 ATS last 6 here at home. 8* Sure Shot ARIZONA WILDCATS
|
09-26-15 |
Arkansas State +7 v. Toledo |
|
7-37 |
Loss |
-106 |
33 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking ARKANSAS STATE here. 63-44 .. That was last year's Go Daddy Bowl when Toledo rolled this bunch. But they don't have huge extra prep time to prepare. They have their MAC opener next week. Rockets just beat Arkansas and Iowa State, a pair of Power Conference wins. Arkansas State? We beat your 'real' state school already and crushed you last year. We will surely over-look here. The line is down a couple points from the opener. I think we have a live dog here. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE
|
09-26-15 |
Arkansas State v. Toledo OVER 61 |
|
7-37 |
Loss |
-106 |
30 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Arkansas State / Toledo
|
09-26-15 |
TCU v. Texas Tech +7 |
|
55-52 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH
|
09-26-15 |
TCU v. Texas Tech OVER 80 |
Top |
55-52 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 6 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Man. You drop 80+ on a team, you better be ready when you travel to their field. I have no doubt Heisman hopeful QB Boykin will put up 5 TDs today. Tech is going to score their 40. To be honest, I can't believe this total isn't close to 100. The TCU defense is showing some dents in the armor. I see this as a back and forth game. Won't be shocked if Tech pulls out a win here. 5* Total Money OVER TCU/TT
|
09-26-15 |
UMass +29 v. Notre Dame |
|
27-62 |
Loss |
-115 |
30 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking UMASS here. Feel bad for ND. These guys looked like a legit team this year. Eventually the injuries are going to catch-up to them vs better teams. But this number, I have to take the points. A tough sandwich game for the Irish basically. Georgia Tech last week, and a big game vs Clemson next week. I am not saying UMass picks these guys off, but 4 TDs is a nice start. This is a Super Bowl for UMASS facing big, bad ND. 4* Money Maker MASSACHUSETTS
|
09-26-15 |
Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +10 |
Top |
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking EAST CAROLINA here. So last week we faded this crew and rode Navy to a Top 10* win. We will flip the script here. One, ECU played Florida tough on the road. (I lost with the Gators) Then off that emotionally draining game, the face the Navy option which is not easy to prepare for. And, they know they had this game on deck! VT has the revenge angle. But laying double digits on the road? Eh, I'll take the Pirates with that. They are 16-3 SU at home last 19 games. ECU is 5-2 ATS last 7 vs Va Tech. Tech 2-9 ATS last 11 on the road. 10* Money Bomb EAST CAROLINA
|
09-26-15 |
Rice v. Baylor -34.5 |
Top |
17-70 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking BAYLOR here. A large number for sure. But right off the bat we have to fade Rice here. We get them in their 3rd straight road game, and it is a non-conference game for them to boot. They have a more meaningful, and for all intention purposes, a more winnable game in their eyes next. My worse case here is that after cruising to a 37-10 lead by half-time, Baylor eases up and wins something like 63-30. We do have Baylor with rest so they might really run it up early to get some game reps. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR
|
09-26-15 |
LSU -24 v. Syracuse |
|
34-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking LSU here. Now, it isn't a long term money-maker laying 4 scores on the road. But looking at this match-up, I have to wonder why this line isn't even higher. This is one of those games that a Heisman hopeful, I'm looking at you Fournette, that the RB goes for over 230 and 4 TDs. I have no scenario that has Syracuse scoring more than 10 pts. Well, if LSU only suits up 12 guys total, maybe, but otherwise, the Orange are going to be hard-pressed to find some offense. Granted, LSU is off a pair of Big SEC wins. Let-down spot. Possible. But Syracuse really doesn't have the talent here. Orange defense is allowing 46 yards rushing per game. Somehow, I think that number will be surpassed in the first quarter. 4* Money Maker LSU TIGERS
|
09-26-15 |
Navy -7 v. Connecticut |
|
28-18 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking NAVY here. We rode the Middies to a nice 10* Money-Bomb WINNER last week, Today, we will pull back a few chips, but Navy should again get us the cover. Now, this line has dropped. I think that is far considering Navy rolled and UConn lost a tough one to Missouri. About that game. How much wind did that take out of the sails here? A fake FG to win on the road. The game was extremely ugly. From what I have been told by my sources, this Missouri team is pretty inept on offense. Now the Huskies face the rush attack of Navy. Never an easy task. 4* Money Maker NAVY
|
09-25-15 |
Cleveland Indians -114 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
6-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Can't even remember the last time I put out b2b Top 10s, especially when I am off a loss like the White Sox last night. That being said, this is a prime spot for us to win. Royals wrapped up their first division title since 1985 last night. I really can't see them being full-force today. A let down is in order. Carrasco has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. He is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA vs the Royals this year. Volquez has a 6.49 ERA his last 4 starts. Indians 7-3 last 10 vs KC - 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
09-25-15 |
Boise State v. Virginia +3 |
|
56-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
53 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking VIRGINIA here. Great value spot for the home dogs. They are off an ugly win vs William & Mary. People are thinking, these guys barely beat W&M, Boise plays on Blue Turf and I saw them beat Oklahoma on a Statue of Liberty Play!! Easy money. Well, the Cavs were off a tough, loss to ND and before that played UCLA. Boise, now without their QB will be starting a freshman or sophomore on the road. A little bit of step-down for Virginia. Again, tough asking a young kid to make a start on the road in a TV game. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA CAVALIERS
|
09-24-15 |
San Francisco Giants -156 v. San Diego Padres |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-156 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking the GIANTS here. Terrible loss last night by these guys for us. This is my limit for laying with pitchers. I can't not back the Bumgarner here. He's a beast, plain and simple. The Giants are better. Ian Kennedy has been horrible this month, a 6.35 ERA in September and an 8+ ERA last 3 starts. SG 7-2 in Bums last 9 starts Giants 6-1 last 7 vs Padres. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS
|
09-24-15 |
Washington Redskins v. NY Giants -3.5 |
|
21-32 |
Win
|
105 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking the GIANTS here. Week 3 and NYG are in circle the wagon mode at home vs the Redskins. That is what happens when you blow to double digit leads late, and I mean LATE in the 4th quarter of games. People want to blame Eli for that fumble vs the Falcons. Was he playing defense? Atlanta proceeded to move from their own 9, 91 yards! for a TD! Then the Falcons go 70 yards to take the lead. Granted, at that point the air is out of the Giants sail. That being said. Short week. At home. MUST win in every sense of the word. MLB Beason should be back and that is a big boost for the defense. So, the Redskins. I had faded them week 1, cashed with them week 2. That was a gift win for me backing Miami. Redskins out-played them. Then they beat the Rams. But, off of a big win at home over Seattle, a let-down was imminent. Cousins vs Eli. Really a no-brainer for me. Cousins is something like 2-8 SU as an NFL starter. Winning on the road is touch as is. But a short week. Historically, this has been where home teams dominate. And the Giants really need some positive traction. Washington 4-10 ATS last 14 on the road and 3-7-1 ATS last 11 here in Jersey. 5* Best Bet NY GIANTS
|
09-24-15 |
Cincinnati v. Memphis -9.5 |
|
46-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking MEMPHIS here. Uh. Not a fan of laying basically double digits in a conference game, but this is how we do it here Thursday night. Memphis has won 10 straight going back to last year. Their offense has been, in a word, prolific. I know Cincy has revenge from last year, but if Kiel isn't playing, or near 100% I don't think the Bearcats will be able to keep it close. Cincy secondary will have time matching up here, plus the Memphis rush attack isn't to be over-looked. I don't think Cincy will be able to control the clock running the ball all night. Tigers will eventually make a stop or two, and this should be a 40-24 type game. Both teams off close games, but I with this game on deck, I can understand a bit of a look ahead. That being said, Cincy being down a QB doesn't bode well. Tigers get a chance on ESPN to show the country what the AAC is all about! 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS
|
09-24-15 |
Chicago White Sox +115 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Moving a Top Rated 10* as we back Chris Sale. I know he doesn't have the good ole numbers the 2nd half of the season, but Sale has owned the Yankees. 3-0 .72 ERA 143 BA against. Yanks lost again to the Jays, they know they are a wild-card team. They are going through the motions here. Now Sale. Well he has lost 3 straight and win-less his last 5. I see him coming here and mowing down 10-15 hitters. Pineda made it to the 6th last time out. But since coming off the DL he has an ERA of 4.67, nothing spectacular. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
09-23-15 |
San Francisco Giants +101 v. San Diego Padres |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN FRAN here. Are we really shocked that with the season winding down, the Giants are 6 back of the 300 million dollar Dodgers and have 4 games left with them h2h. You are getting extra value with this purchase because I am telling you now, SF catches LAD. That being said, SF is hot right now, on a tidy 7-3 run last 10. Flip that for the 3-7 stretch of the Padres, and 2-6 last 8 at home. Peavy has been rock solid since July lowering his ERA by 2 full runs + some extra. Giants have won 6 straight in the series. Padres 1-4 in Cashner's last 5 starts vs SF including sporting an ERA approaching 8 vs them this year. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS
|
09-23-15 |
Texas Rangers -116 v. Oakland A's |
|
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. We cashed with these guys last night, and will come back again at this short price. Texas is sitting atop the AL West and are looking very good lately. The A's are just playing out the stretch. Rangers winners 7-2 their last 9 have taken care of business when they have to going 8-3 last 11 on road vs losing teams. Oakland 6-13 last 19 overall and 2-7 last 9 at home. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
09-23-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies +155 v. Miami Marlins |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking the PHILLIES here. I'll go ugly here tonight. Sure, Verlander and Kluber, Greinke and Scherzer are sexier names, but I am looking to continue to build your MLB bankroll for the play-offs. Who the heck is Miami to be laying this? The Phillies have removed the 'interm' title from the manager. The Marlins, not so much. So one team knows who their leader will be, and will fight not to lose 100 games. While the other bunch, is ho-hum, let's end this season already. Marlins have lost 4 straight so we will continue that fade. The Phillies have won 4 straight in the series and 4 in a row here in Miami. 4* Money-Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
|
09-22-15 |
Texas Rangers -123 v. Oakland A's |
|
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
09-22-15 |
Chicago White Sox -115 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-15 |
NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -7 |
|
20-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking the COLTS here. So, cashed nicely last with the Jets and the Bills. Now I am flipping the script so to speak. I wanted to really take the Jets here. I said on my podcast I thought these guys could surprise and win this division. Their defense is a top unit. They have a veteran, game manager behind center and some solid weapons around him. But I think this is a tough spot. On the road. Dome. Colts off loss in home opener. One thing I am sure of is this. Luck is head and shoulders better than whatever the Browns trot out. And let's look at that Jets win. If McCown doesn't fumble going in, who knows what happens there. I do think that Indy does beat up on the Jags and Titans and pads their record. But we saw today, the Bills get throttled at home by NE. Maybe they were gung-ho for Rex last week. Because they must have read there press clippers vs Brady. Colts ran into a buzz-saw at home with a new HC. Now they are home facing another first year HC. We went 8-1 yesterday (GB pending) by taking the team that nobody thought had a shot at winning. Now tonight, we look at the games last Sunday. The Jets dominate, the Colts were dominated. People think the Jets defense is as good or better than the Bills. Why won't they sack Luck 5 times and Revis pick him off twice. Not so fast my friends. Indy gets it done by double digits. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
|
09-21-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Tampa/Boston
|
09-20-15 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking the PACKERS here. It what is probably going to be a game that everyone and their grandparents are on, we will take GB in payback mode. Look. I had Seattle in the NFC Championship Game. I had no right winning that. Packers were in control of that game. Now they get a weaker Seattle team in Lambeau. Up 16-0 and clearly outplaying the Seahawks, Packers had months to sit and stew over that. Seattle has some issues. First a loss at STL. We cashed Rams as our Free Play. The big thing after the Super Bowl was how can you not use Beast Mode? Well he couldn't get a yard last week. Maybe Seattle can't pick up a yard in any situation. I know this. They lost last week on the road. They lost last September in San Diego on the road. They eked out a couple close wins at Carolina and Washington. They are a different team away from home. Now they come face a team as dominate as they are on their own turf? 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS
|
09-20-15 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 55 |
|
20-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Cowboys/ Eagles
|
09-20-15 |
Dallas Cowboys +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS here. We didn't get the cover last Sunday night with Dallas, but salvaged some of that rare Sunday loss fading the Eagles Monday night. So, no Dez. I get it. He is a big target and abuses this Philly secondary. The 'Boys have won by an average of over 13ppg the last 3 times these guys have played. I get Murray is going to want to have a huge game vs his old teammates. Maybe he will. Say he goes 100+ and a pair of TDs. I can live with that. Since I know Romo is good for 3-4 TDs. I am looking at Escobar to really step up here. People forget that he was a 2nd round pick. He has 7 TDs on 20 catches. With Dez down, I think everyone steps up a spot and this kid makes a difference. Let's be honest here. The Cowboys OL is better than the Falcons on any field, home, away, London, the moon. You don't think the Dallas RBs want to make a statement here? Getting points to boot? Sign me up. Neither defense excites me, but I think the Cowboys have the better unit. Should be points a plenty. Might sprinkle a little ML here, +175, 180 just for giggles. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS
|
09-20-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates -104 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES
|
09-20-15 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10 v. New Orleans Saints |
|
26-19 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking TAMPA BAY here. Yes. I had a Top 10* on Tampa last week. Please don't remind me. It hurts after a 7-3 day of Sunday NFL when you drop a loss is a Top Play. That being said, I am back on them here. I know, I know. I said on my Wednesday night podcast that I will never take TB again. Well, the points are too good to resist. We will check out Lovie's bunch one more time here. This line is a bit inflated to say the least. TB was destroyed at home by a rookie QB making his first start. What will future HOFer Brees do to them. Well, the Saints, who had once won 20 straight at home, have lost 5 straight here to end last year. Bucs played NO tough twice last year. Tough not to take a double digit NFL dog. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY
|
09-20-15 |
Detroit Lions v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 44 |
|
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Lions/Vikings
|
09-20-15 |
New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills |
|
40-32 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking NEW ENGLAND here. Look. I really think the Bills are going to be good. I know McCoy out of the back field is better than Williams. The defense is legit and can pressure Brady. But really. You are going to go against Brady on the road with that QB? Belicheat with extra prep time. And let's be honest. It isn't like he hasn't faced a Rex Ryan defense before. Who is stopping Gronk? I know that NE doesn't have great CBs, but I will gladly take a shot with Brady in a spot like this. Maybe there is no let-down after beating Luck and the Colts. Hell, if Taylor can beat Luck and Brady in b2b weeks, then my podcast prediction of Buffalo winning the division looks pretty good. Patriots 21-2 SU last 23 meetings. 9-2 ATS last 11 in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS
|
09-20-15 |
Tennessee Titans v. Cleveland Browns +2 |
|
14-28 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking the BROWNS here. I had the Jets as an easy Sure-Shot Winner last week over this Cleveland team. And a lost a big 10* with Tampa to the Titans. So what do we have here. Simply, a huge overreaction to 1 game. Titans went in and beat Tampa while Johnny Football came in and wet the bed. A week later, I am going with the small home dog. Browns have the better defense. And let's be honest. This is a game they should win. As of this writing, I do not know the status of McCown for Cleveland. He will be an upgrade of Johnny Football, but to be honest, I don't care who is behind center. Pretty sure Tennessee won their opener last year and finished 2-14. Now they are laying points? On the road no-less! Browns played tough at home last year with wins over Saints and Steelers, plus a 1 pt loss to Colts and 2pt loss to Ravens. Tell me why they can't beat a rookie QB here? 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS
|
09-20-15 |
St Louis Rams v. Washington Redskins +3.5 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking the REDSKINS here. Ok, we cashed with STL as our Free Play last week, while we rode the Dolphins to victory fading these 'Skins. But a look at the numbers shows us that Washington wasn't all that terrible. A punt return for a TD was the difference maker. Morris went for over 100 on the ground vs a tough Miami defense. Which I think is as good as this STL group. Now, Rams off big win over Seattle. Maybe a bit of a let-down spot? Maybe road-dome-team outside? I know Cousins doesn't inspire much hope for a Super Bowl win, but I think this team is good enough to beat St Louis who might be a bit ego inflated coming off an emotional win. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON REDSKINS
|
09-20-15 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 |
Top |
18-43 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking the STEELERS here. I won with SF on MNF and lost a big play with the Steelers/Pats Over on opening night. Look. Right off the bat I have to look at the rest here. Steelers with a lot of extra time to work on things. This is like a first game all over for them. Niners a big home win on Monday night, short week, heading to the East for a time change early game. I said that I thought that everyone was sleeping on SF Monday night. It showed. But here, I will grab Big Ben all day long. Beating a second year QB like Bridgewater at home and beating a Super Bowl winner on the road are two different worlds. Pitt 12-2 SU in home openers. I see them winning this by at least 10. 10* Money Bomb PITTSBURGH STEELERS
|
09-19-15 |
Rutgers v. Penn State -9 |
Top |
3-28 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
09-19-15 |
San Jose State +7.5 v. Oregon State |
|
21-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SAN JOSE STATE
|
09-19-15 |
California -6.5 v. Texas |
|
45-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking CAL here. These guys are my surprise PAC 12 bunch. They have a top NFL level QB. The defense has improved. Now, I am not high on laying points on the road, especially against a program like Texas. Even though the Longhorns have been down, they still get players. That being said, it will take HC Charlie Strong to get Texas back to top-flight status. Bears HC Dykes has a couple years under his belt in Berkley, and has his players. I had Texas vs ND and they were destroyed. They came home and took care of business vs Rice. Rice? Come on. Cal is not ND, but they are much better than the Owls. 4* Money Maker CAL BEARS
|
09-19-15 |
Baltimore Orioles -102 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES
|
09-19-15 |
Georgia Tech -2.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
22-30 |
Loss |
-108 |
43 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA TECH here. Man, ND has been hit with injuries. Even without those, I think they would have been in for a loss. It is one thing getting a QB ready, an entire different animal getting ready for Paul Johnson's triple option. Also, and really the only thing left to say is Paul Johnson is finally going to get to run it up against ND DC Brian VanGorder. In a nutshell, said that his offense needs to come to the 21st century. PJ and GT get to unleash some payback 9 years later. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH
|
09-19-15 |
East Carolina v. Navy -4.5 |
Top |
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking NAVY here. Ok. I faded ECU last week, it didn't work out. That being said, they are going to have a difficult time here in Annapolis. They haven't done well facing the Midshipmen option over the past few years. Navy is a tough team to prep for. I think we also have a bit of a let down here for ECU after their near upset last week at Florida, plus having Virginia Tech on deck. Navy didn't play last week so they are chomping at the bit here. I think the Navy run game is going to barrel right through this ECU defense. 10* Money Bomb NAVY
|
09-19-15 |
East Carolina v. Navy OVER 56.5 |
Top |
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 23 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. I think that the Navy rush option is going to destroy ECU here. I know ECU doesn't have the offense of years past. But I think they will give up 20+ here. That is perfect because I believe the Midshipmen are putting up a 40+ spot on the board. 5* Total Money OVER Navy/TCU
|
09-18-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers -104 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking the TIGERS here. Let's be honest. Cueto has been terrible since coming over from the Reds. He has a 9.57 ERA his last 5 starts. KC struggling lately with just 4 wins their last 14 games. Cueto has given up 5 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. Verlander has given up 3 or more ERs in just 3 times since July 24 (10 starts) moving his ERA from 6.72 down to 3.58. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS
|
09-17-15 |
Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs -3 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-114 |
20 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS here. We cashed with both of these teams on Sunday, but only will be 2-0 after tonight. And granted, Manning has some incredible numbers vs AFC West foes since arriving in Denver (18-1 SU), but I like the home team here. I said it last week here. KC has a nice balanced attack. Charles can pound you inside. They have Maclin to spread the field. And Kelce is looking like a beast at TE. Oh, did we mention their defense which isn't too shabby? My big concerns with Denver is with Manning. I said last week I would look to fade him later in the season as he wears down. Both teams on the short week, I think helps the Chiefs. KC can bring pressure. I am not a fan of this Broncos rush attack. I think they can negate some of the passing lanes for Manning especially since it doesn't look like he can air it out deep. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS
|
09-17-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Minnesota Twins -122 |
|
11-8 |
Loss |
-122 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS
|
09-17-15 |
Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -106 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. No way Texas sweeps right. The Astros are a good team. Yes, Houston is a good team, but are in a rut right now. Rangers have been pounding these guys. I am not a big fan of McCullers, especially his road splits. Houston 0-8 his last 8 away from home. He 1-5 4.93 ERA in 9 road starts this year with a .274 BA against and a 1.51 WHIP. The Rangers counter with Colby Lewis who is 7-0 2.57 ERA last 9 starts vs Astros. Rangers 21-5 last 26 at home. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS
|
09-17-15 |
Baltimore Orioles -113 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES
|
09-16-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners -145 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking the MARINERS tonight. Iwakuma has pitched well lately, going 7-3 3.22 L12 starts. Seattle is 6-1 his last 7 home starts vs LAA and Mariners are 8-3 his last 11 starts overall vs the Angels. Weaver is not the same guy from a couple years ago. That is clear. He hasn't pitched well vs Seattle either as LA has compiled a 3-7 mark his last 10 overall vs the M's and 2-5 his last 5 starts here at Safeco. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS
|