01-01-18 |
South Carolina v. Michigan UNDER 43 |
|
26-19 |
Loss |
-115 |
63 h 34 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER here. South Carolina fired their OC. Have a young QB. Facing a tough Michigan defense. Michigan gets its best QB back. Though how rusty or at least a little out of sync will he be since he hasn't thrown a pass in a game since a loss to Wiscy on November 18th. 4* Total Money UNDER South Carolina/ Michigan
|
12-31-17 |
49ers +2 v. Rams |
|
34-13 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 14 m |
Show
|
-- I know this line has moved since we put it out -- Still take SF - They will cover a TD -- Taking the NINERS. Well. Faded the Jimmy G show last week. That didn't work out well. But we see they aren't playing for a higher pick. I said in games we took SF that they like Jimmy and their HC. Rams I think will rest up here after a fine season and get ready for the playoffs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS
|
12-31-17 |
Saints v. Bucs UNDER 50.5 |
|
24-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Saints / Bucs
|
12-31-17 |
Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 40 |
|
31-27 |
Loss |
-103 |
66 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Bengals / Ravens
|
12-31-17 |
Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 42 |
|
10-30 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Raiders / Chargers
|
12-31-17 |
Jaguars v. Titans -3 |
Top |
10-15 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 4 m |
Show
|
Taking the TITANS. Not sure where the Jags motivation is? They are locked into the 3 seed. They host a home game. Even off that SF loss, I can't see them risking getting guys injured. Maybe they play a half. I had Tennessee last Sunday. Win and they are in. I'll back the small home fave. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS
|
12-31-17 |
Panthers v. Falcons -4 |
Top |
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 0 m |
Show
|
Taking the FALCONS here. Man. All I am hearing is talk about the Panthers. I know this isn't the same Super Bowl team as last year. The offense clearly not the same. I know Julio is banged up. But hell. It is Week 17. Playoff spot on the line. Time to man up. They win, they are in. They lose. And they need Arizona to beat Seattle. Just take care of business yourself. As for Carolina. They have some possible seed movement. Anywhere from 2-6. Not sure how they play it. They get down early, they might pull back. They just played a really tough game vs TB needed everything to win. Atlanta 7-2 ATS last 9 here at home vs Panthers. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS
|
12-31-17 |
Georgia State +110 v. Troy State |
|
66-68 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA STATE. Now. As much as I love ULL in the Sun Belt, I think these guys can battle for the top spot. Troy is the defending champs. But that was kinda of get hot at the right time. They were not even .500 in league play. I'll grab the Panthers ML here. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA STATE
|
12-31-17 |
Bears v. Vikings UNDER 39.5 |
|
10-23 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Bears/ Vikings
|
12-31-17 |
Jets v. Patriots UNDER 43.5 |
|
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Jets/ Pats
|
12-31-17 |
Texans v. Colts -5.5 |
|
13-22 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking the COLTS. So Indy has lost 6 straight and 9 of 10. Yet, are favored. Look. Normally this a game I would mark a giant X through during the regular season. But final game of the season. Most likely, final game of Pagano's reign for the Colts. I will back the home team. As bad as this team is, likely assured the 3rd pick in the draft, they haven't quit. Oh, they blow 10pt leads like that is what you are suppose to do to win games. But they aren't mailing games in. Can't see them doing it here. Not with Frank Gore also probably heading out the door. They will play for that old timer for sure. Texans have been riddled with injuries all year. Not even sure they get off the plane. This is the game the Colts should win by 10+. Not get up 17-0 and somehow lose 21-20. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
|
12-30-17 |
Wisconsin v. Miami-FL +6 |
|
34-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI tonight. Almost want to go +200 on ML. But we'll grab the points. Now. I still think The U is a year from really being a top program again. Richt can coach and recruit. Have to like them in the home dog role. We have seen them demolish Va Tech and ND on this field. They have pulled some magic out of the rear-ends this year in last second wins over FSU and G-Tech. Plus, that crazy turnover chain! Everyone always sleeps on Wiscy. All they do is churn out 10 win seasons so we can't overlook them. But the points are too good to pass up. 4* Money Maker MIAMI HURRICANES
|
12-30-17 |
Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Kentucky -14 |
|
51-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NORTHERN KENTUCKY
|
12-30-17 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama |
|
57-79 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking ALABAMA. Did you even have to look to see where I was going with this game? Unranked giving points to ranked. And not just a ranked team, but a team in the Top 10. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA Might come back with a few CBB - will be adding NFL also -
|
12-30-17 |
Middle Tennessee v. UAB +1 |
|
63-60 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking UAB here. These are who I think are the top 2 CUSA teams. Will gladly take the Blazers at home. Mid Ten playing their 5th straight away game. Off a 1-4 neutral court run. Miami, USC, Princeton, Auburn. Not exactly cupcakes. Now they have to get up for their biggest challenge. I think the Blazers in a better scheduling spot. UAB 8-1 ATS last 9 in series, and 6-0 ATS here at home. 4* Money Maker UAB
|
12-30-17 |
St. Louis +6 v. La Salle |
|
60-83 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
Taking STL. Too many points. Think Bilikens are an improved group this year. 4* Money Maker STL BILLIKENS
|
12-30-17 |
Tennessee v. Arkansas -5 |
|
93-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking ARKANSAS here. As much as I love cashing my small schools, like my Top 10* Money Bomb last night on Idaho, or our Best Bet last night on UL Lafayette. I do come back to big schools when I see something I like. And there is nothing more I like in college hoops than the old 'unranked' laying points to the 'ranked' team. I can't knock the Vols. Only losses to NC and Nova. Not too shabby. Now, scoring 90ppg like the Hogs you would think you are just beating up on the Samfords of the world. Well, 104 on Oral Roberts I'll give you. 101 on UConn offsets that. They did lose to NC 87-68. But even with the Vols playing NC to the bitter end, we have to look deeper. That was a home game for Tenn. Much like this is for Arkansas. I see this as 10-13 point win. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS
|
12-30-17 |
Iowa State +4.5 v. Memphis |
|
21-20 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking the POINTS with IOWA STATE. These guys went into Oklahoma and won. They win ugly. They lose ugly. They can play defense. They can put up points on offense. This is a scrappy bunch. This is a home game for Memphis and it looks a bit low to me. They do have some trouble slowing teams down, even if they march up and down putting their own points on the board. But the Cyclones won't be shocked. They see Big 12 spread offensives all the time. I think their defense can do enough to maybe pull out the outright this afternoon. 4* Money Maker IOWA STATE
|
12-30-17 |
Wichita State -10 v. Connecticut |
|
72-62 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking WICHITA STATE. Not in the habit of laying double digit with road faves. But, will in this case. Connecticut is really down. This is not the old Jim Calhoun days. Actually shocked Kevin Ollie still has this gig. Remember when he was on the NBA radar. He won a title, but not with any of his players. His core guys went 16-17 last year. I don't see how they stay within 10. Heck. I think Shockers win by 15-20. Huskies with 5 losses already. Auburn, Arizona, Arkansas, Michigan State, Syracuse. They have an OT win over Monmouth. Who they trailed at home, by 6 at the half. They have an OT win over Columbia. Columbia! Who they trailed by 11 at half. Wichita will want to get their AAC career off to a nice start. Thumbing Uconn would do that. 4* Money Maker WICHITA STATE
|
12-30-17 |
Louisville -6.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
27-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
63 h 52 m |
Show
|
Taking LOUISVILLE here. Big edge for the Cards. First, the coach. Plenty of bowls under his belt. Miss State HC left for greener pastures. Second. QBs. Last year's Heisman who had a pretty good follow up season, in his last college game. For the Miss State, their season starter lost for the year in Egg Bowl vs Ole Miss. I just think this lines up with a lot of positives for UL. Like I said - Mullen to the Gators. No Fitzgerald. Tough to overcome a UL team looking to make up for last years 29-9 loss to LSU, another SEC team. No lack of focus as their QB is looking to go out on a high note. 8* Sure Shot LOUISVILLE
|
12-29-17 |
USC +8.5 v. Ohio State |
|
7-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
70 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking USC. You can grab the points, but we will grab the +250 for a nicer payday. I know everyone is talking about OSU snub. But how do you think SC feels? These guys have similar resumes. But OSU was trucked by Iowa allow 50+ to a 6 loss team. At least getting pummeled on the road in South Bend isn't as ugly. SC is 20-2 with Denard under center. 4* Money Maker USC
|
12-29-17 |
UL-Lafayette -10 v. Arkansas-Little Rock |
Top |
77-63 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking ULL. Had these guys in a loss at Clemson. I think they beat these guys by 15-20 tonight. As I have said. I think these guys can be Sun Belt Champs and get fitted for dancing shows. Ark-LR is the gang that can't shoot straight. 38% from the field. 25% from 3, 64% FT. Getting outscored by about 10 a game. 5* Best Bet UL LAFAYETTE
|
12-29-17 |
Idaho State -2.5 v. North Dakota |
Top |
74-57 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking IDAHO. Look. I have these guys winning the Big Sky. To do that. You need to prove yourselves. What better way than to get some revenge. North Dakota won both games last year. Doing it by taking out last year's Big Sky Champs is what is needed tonight. 10* Money Bomb IDAHO
|
12-29-17 |
Texas State +4 v. Appalachian State |
|
62-66 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking TEXAS STATE. Have to take the points here. Both teams not expected to do much in the Sun Belt. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE
|
12-29-17 |
Utah State v. New Mexico State +4 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking NEW MEXICO STATE. First bowl game in nearly 60 years for the Aggies. These guys looked pretty evenly matched in my eyes. Not a far ride for Aggies backers. Word is they will be rolling in pretty deep with fan support. Huge game for the school. 5* Best Bet NEW MEXICO STATE
|
12-29-17 |
Rider +120 v. Canisius |
|
76-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking RIDER. Not sure Canisius keeps up the scoring here. Broncs 4-1 ATS last 5 visiting the Griffs. Road team on a 7-3 ATS run. 4* Money Maker RIDER
|
12-29-17 |
Toledo +4.5 v. Pennsylvania |
|
85-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking TOLEDO. Just one of those spots where I can't bet the Ivy. Toledo is a MAC monster this season. But they aren't the worse of the bunch either. There will be zero home court advantage for Penn. Getting any points is a gift. I think we can win this one outright. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO
|
12-28-17 |
Michigan State +1 v. Washington State |
Top |
42-17 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking MICHIGAN STATE. Now. I will say that I was looking at Washington State. They lose their top 2 WRs for the game. Not that should matter since they have other players with 30+ catches. What really flipped me to Sparty is 1 - The coaches. Does anyone really have faith in Mike Leach? He tossed his hat into the ring of HC openings. Who knows if he was serious. But the coaches under maybe raised an eyebrow. Freshened up resumes. Dantonio, I know, will bring his A game. Dude got into with Michigan HC over the bowls. This team will come out angry with something to prove. 17-4 ATS 14 outright wins in Dantonio's last 21 listed as dogs. Now. This opened with Wash State as a the fave. Now it is a pk or even MSU favored. Either way, Sparty is the play. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN STATE
|
12-28-17 |
San Francisco v. San Diego -2.5 |
Top |
63-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN DIEGO tonight. Easy to look at SF. I like the Dons. Off a big win over Nevada. Swept SD last year including a 60-43 blowout on this court. Payback for the Toreros. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO
|
12-28-17 |
Stanford v. TCU UNDER 49 |
|
37-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 4 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total in the Alamodome. Maybe I'm a giant sucker. But the only way I see this game going over is if we get a 20-20 tie and trade scores in OT. We know that Stanford is going to pound the ball and try to run all game with Love. TCU is an under machine, 10 of their last 13. Paterson always has a tough defense. The holding teams to under 100ypg rushing should be taken with a grain a salt since they face some air-raid attacks in the Big 12. But what can't be overlooked is that 5 teams had season low yards vs them. And all teams, had over a 100 yards per game less facing TCU then their season averages. 4* Total Money UNDER Stanford/ TCU
|
12-28-17 |
Montana State v. Southern Utah +103 |
|
104-99 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking SOUTHERN UTAH. A nice 8-1 ATS run last 9 has me on SUU. These guys normally split out in their games winning at home the last couple years. Last year though, road teams won both games. Bobcats 2-6 ATS last 8 on the road. Add in that Montana State also on a 2-8-1 ATS run in Big Sky play. We are on the home team. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN UTAH
|
12-28-17 |
Oakland v. Wisc-Milwaukee +125 |
|
76-68 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking MILWAUKEE here. A little home dog, but will grab ML. At a point or 2, I think we win. I am not betting dogs to lose by a bucket. Oakland is my pick to win the Horizon. But I look at this line and think, if it's too easy, it usually is. 4* Money Maker WISC-MILWAUKEE
|
12-28-17 |
Illinois-Chicago v. Wright State -7 |
|
61-65 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking WRIGHT STATE. So, my first thought is to fade off a win at Georgia Tech. But then I look at this conference match-up. And what I see is Wright State blow-outs at home over UIC. 87-49 last year. By 14 in 2016. (Plus a 31pt in 2016 conference tourney) - They have won 5 of the last 6 SU. UIC with 3 wins in their last 10 games. Trinity Christian, Dartmouth and Wisconsin- Parkside. I don't think they have been taking it easy, before flipping the switch for a road game in Dayton. 4* Money Maker WRIGHT STATE
|
12-28-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Oklahoma State -5 |
|
21-30 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Man. Was really on these guys coming into the year. Thought the offense would really carry them to the Playoffs. Well, here we are in Orlando with a 9-3 record. Rudolph will score on this defense. I think 10 wins is big for the club. They have a chance to win back to back bowl games. No way that VT has the offense to trade punches. And let's not get wrapped up in the Hokie defense. 21st best passing defense? Who have they faced that runs a similar offense? West Va in Week 1? Remember that the ACC replaced a couple QBs this year. Watson, Trubisky, Kaaya, Peterman. I won't bore you with their schedule. But beating Old Dom and ECU by big numbers isn't all that impressive. They scored more than 24 in 1 ACC game this year. They didn't even face the best ACC passing teams. I think that the big play ability of the Cowboys is a big difference maker this afternoon. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE
|
12-28-17 |
East Carolina v. Tulsa -15 |
|
53-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking TULSA. 15? As I say. If it looks too easy.. I think they are begging people to take ECU. We have all the stats in our favor. Not sure I can remember laying a number like this with an AAC team I have ranked this low in conference. 4* Money Maker TULSA ** check back for more CBB **
|
12-27-17 |
San Jose State v. Utah State -12 |
|
72-86 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
Taking UTAH STATE. I'll the double digits with the Aggies. Here are the win margins the last few home games over San Jose State. 26 last March. 18 in 2016. 28 in 2014. 14-3 ATS last 17 for Utah State over Spartans in this series. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE
|
12-27-17 |
Missouri v. Texas OVER 60.5 |
|
16-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
32 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Missouri / Texas
|
12-27-17 |
Missouri -2.5 v. Texas |
|
16-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSOURI. We already are on the over in this game. I am just thinking that the Tigers are just playing that much better. Texas barely got here. They get up for 'bigger' named teams. I think Missouri puts up 40+. As long as the Longhorns get off the bus, both side and total should cash easily. But we have seen some duds so far. As we rolled with FAU and La Tech, teams scoring 50, but both games went under. (We didn't have sides in either game) But I would hate this one to end up 44-13 and kick myself for not being on the team I believe is going to cover. 5* Best Bet MISSOURI
|
12-27-17 |
Boston College +122 v. Iowa |
Top |
20-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
28 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking BOSTON COLLEGE. I like Steve Addazzio. I think the kids really play for him. We saw wins over Louisville and Florida State. They get up for big games. Playing a bowl game, even in Yankee Stadium is big for these guys. And really, how is Iowa laying points to anyone. Forget about them ripping apart Ohio State. That is clearly a blip in their season. These guys are a barely a .500 team that isn't that good. Iowa 0-5 SU their last 5 bowl games. Losing by 27 to Florida, 29 to Stanford, 17 to Tennessee, 7 to LSU and 17 to Oklahoma. Now, they are playing BC in the Bronx - Zero motivation factor in a step down spot. 5* Best Bet BOSTON COLLEGE
|
12-27-17 |
Southern Miss +17 v. Florida State |
|
13-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
25 h 34 m |
Show
|
Grabbing SOUTHERN MISS and all the points today. How can we not take this dog? I love to gamble as much as the next guy, and the ML +510 or whatever seems inviting. But instead, I will just play the points. First. Basic handicapping brings us to the motivation factor. FSU was a team many thought would be in the Playoffs. You lose your QB and it is all down hill to a 6-6 season just to make this bowl to keep a streak alive. Their HC bolts to Texas A&M. Their defensive leader is sitting out. For Southern Miss, this is a Super Bowl. A chance to beat Florida State. You know their players won't be just going through the motions which could be the case on the other side of the field. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS
|
12-26-17 |
Northern Illinois v. Duke UNDER 47 |
|
14-36 |
Loss |
-106 |
16 h 16 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Someday's you really like the games. Other days, not so much. I guess you can back Utah and their 10-1 SU HC in his last 11 bowl games. I guess you can back K-State and their 78 HC, who may or may not retire at years end. I wouldn't even argue if you wanted to grab UCLA on the ML. But as our sole Tuesday bowl action selection, I think we have a nice winner on tap. So NIU brings a pretty decent defense to the game, but the offense leaves a lot to liked. The Duke defense ranks a bit better, but their offense is even behind NIU. If this game goes to OT, we are in trouble - Because every other scenario that I have sees this play out to the teams rarely even scoring a combined 45. 4* Total Money UNDER Duke/ Northern Illinois
|
12-25-17 |
Raiders v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 |
|
10-19 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total tonight. Where the heck is any motivation for the Raiders? 3000 miles from home. 30 degrees. Cold, miserably Philly on Christmas night. It's reported that Del Rio has a 50/50 shot at coming back next year. I see this playing into a 24-10, 27-14 type affair. 4* Total Money UNDER Raiders/ Eagles
|
12-25-17 |
Steelers v. Texans UNDER 45.5 |
|
34-6 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Texans
|
12-24-17 |
Houston v. Fresno State +115 |
|
27-33 |
Win
|
115 |
51 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking FRESNO here. Going with the team that has the better defense. Long trip for Houston. Fresno has played in Hawaii already this season. Cougars on 3rd QB. Have to give it to Tedford, 1-11 to 9-4. Kids are obviously buying in. Applewhite, also in his first year at Houston. Applewhite's first game was last years Las Vegas Bowl where they lost 34-10 to San Diego State. 13-1 in 2015, 9-4 last year, and now 7-4. Just don't see much motivation for Houston. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS
|
12-24-17 |
Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 |
Top |
21-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 16 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS this afternoon. Tough laying with Dallas at home especially with their terrible HC. But we are getting a fresh and angry Zeke back. That is enough to move the needle for us to Dallas. This Seattle team is in turmoil. Giving up tons of points. 72 points allowed last 2 weeks! Defense players tweeting at each other. Wilson is a great QB. Guy, by himself, has this team still alive for the playoffs. Now, we have seen Dallas and their brain dead HC crumble with playoffs on the line before. But I can't undervalue the return of Elliot. That is a huge boost. Coming off a 35pt home loss, you expect Seattle to be angry. But the defense is a shell of its former self. My thinking. Zeke, fresh off his break, bullies Seahawks late and Dallas wins this by 10. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS
|
12-24-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -3 |
Top |
0-23 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 10 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA. Simple thinking for me here. Giants mail it in here on Christmas Eve. The Eli show comes to an end at home, against rival Redskins. That is the game the Giants go all out. This has been a brutal year all around for NY. The coach. The QB. The WR. The defense. Everything. Good news is they will draft high. Last week they left it all on the field in a near win vs the Eagles. They can't get up like that again. Not a chance. Not 3 weeks in a row. Next week. We'll look to NYG. Both teams playing for pride. Final home game for the Cardinals. Give the fans an early Christmas gift with an easy win! 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALS
|
12-24-17 |
Jaguars v. 49ers UNDER 42 |
|
33-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Jags/ Niners
|
12-24-17 |
Jaguars -4 v. 49ers |
|
33-44 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking the JAGUARS. Man. Every where I look I see the Niners are back with Jimmy G. I had these guys with Jimmy the Gent. I get it. They are playing hard. I wrote this in previous write ups. They are playing hard for the new coach, and their QB. But as they say. Defense travels. We can mock Bortles all day long. And who can blame you? Fact is though, the guy has been very good lately. 900+ yards and 7TDs 0 picks last 3 games. And the Jags have been getting into the end zone. Not getting FGs like SF. Jimmy G is moving the ball, but trading 3 and 7 just doesn't add up to Ws. We saw this Jax defense frustrate Big Ben and a pretty good Steelers team to the tune of 5 INTs. Back to how our defense travels. This defense has 51 sacks. SF has given up 42. Good for 8th worse in the league. Jags have allowed just 21 (4th best). SF at tied for 6th least sacks. Jags 2nd in INTs with 20. SF 5th worse with 7. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
|
12-24-17 |
Chargers v. Jets UNDER 43 |
|
14-7 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Chargers/ Jets
|
12-24-17 |
Rams v. Titans +7 |
|
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the TITANS. Had these guys last week ML and they let me down. Now I will grab them as a nice home puppy. Rams off a huge win over Seattle, 42-7. That was their statement game. Much like when we had the Jags over the Seahawks as their statement game. Now, we can see a bit of a let down. They have the Niners at home to close out their season. I just think with a desperate Tennessee team, this is too many points. Titans 9-1 SU their last 10 at home. Have to take the home team this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS
|
12-24-17 |
Lions v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 |
|
17-26 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Lions/ Bengals
|
12-24-17 |
Dolphins v. Chiefs -10.5 |
|
13-29 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS today. Hate laying huge numbers like this. Went 1-1 last night with the big faves. But this NFL season is crazy. I think the gap between the teams is this big. And not just this game. Look across the card. Just huge lines. As a big dog guy, you can only hold your nose so many times as you get burned during a season. So for here. Win and in KC gets the nod. I thought Miami would be a playoff team. I thought Cutler back with his old coach would produce nice numbers. They have some decent WRs in Miami. They had a decent home run hitting RB before trading him away. The defense has talent. And it will get them a new HC on Black Monday in 2 weeks. Andy Reid isn't calling plays on offense and lo and behold they scored 30 in 2 of the last 3 games. I think Dolphins are going through the motions. We saw how good KC can be as they roared out of the gate. And we saw them flat out awful. They are on the upswing again. Dolphins have been bad on the road. They pulled out a miracle win for us in Week 1. Lost to Jets 20-6. Shut out by Ravens 40-0. Lost by 24 at Carolina, 18 at NE, 8 at Buffalo. Pulled a gem out of the butts in Atlanta 20-17. We know they aren't scoring 20. Chiefs averaging nearly 30ppg last 3. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS
|
12-23-17 |
Vikings -8 v. Packers |
|
16-0 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking the VIKINGS. Again. I will lay the big number. Not happy about it. But Minny is playing for a bye week, and a shot at home field throughout the playoffs. Possible since Eagles lost their QB. Ya never know. Now. If GB had A-Aron behind center. Different story. But that went out last week in their loss. No Rodgers. That is a dagger. They might be OK for a half. But I think the reality sets in. Fact is Hundley has been terrible. OT wins at Cleveland and over TB. Not exactly Vikings type teams. Did we see them get blanked by Baltimore? The only game he looked half-way decent in was against the Steelers. And we now that Pitt plays down to teams. And the fact that they admitted to looking ahead to New England. I think McCarthy is a terrible coach. It is obvious. No Rodgers, the team is pathetic. Zimmer is a great coach. They will be playing for blood tonight. Just look at this line. They are begging us to take the Packers. 8-9pt division home dog rivalry game. I'm not buying it. This is a deflated Packers team. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
12-23-17 |
Southern Miss v. Mississippi State -13.5 |
|
64-70 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. Will lay the big number. Bulldogs crushed Southern Miss by 42 last year on the road. They have been beating up lesser teams to start this year. This should probably be another 15-20 point win. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE
|
12-23-17 |
Colts v. Ravens -13 |
|
16-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAVENS. I'm going say this. I can make a case for taking every dog this NFL weekend. But then we will be dead broke. Like last December, the faves continue to crush. We have picked our spots with faves. Some cash, some lose. Laying basically 2 TDs in the NFL is not a recipe for long term success. But I look at Ravens as a team still alive for the playoffs. They get a Colts team that has an OL that has gotten their QB sacked 43 times this season. We had them last week on Thursday. They couldn't contain Brock! You would think they would play with some pride at home. You figure their HC is done after this season. Ravens win out, and are in the playoffs. 5 straight losses for the Colts. They blew another double digit lead, at home to boot! Indy hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game in over a month. Baltimore somehow averaging 30ppg their last 7 games. Ravens have forced 33 TOs, most in the league. I think our D is good for a pair today, and that should generate at least 10 extra points for us. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS
|
12-23-17 |
Army v. San Diego State -6.5 |
Top |
42-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
97 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. I know you worry about option running offenses. Normally, it is a team you take the points with they step up in class against a bigger school. But let's not forget that Rocky Long has seen this offense plenty. Air Force and New Mexico have the same run game. Aztecs defense gave up just 502 yards in those 2 games this year. Now SDST doesn't thrill you out of the stadium with their offense. But in RB Penny, they have a guy who can explode for us. Guy is a beast and will go over 2000 yards in this game. The defense should be the difference for us covering this number. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO STATE
|
12-23-17 |
Illinois State v. Evansville +105 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
Taking EVANSVILLE. These guys were crushed by Duke. But they were also missing a pair of key guards. Now. They don't suit up here, we could be in trouble. My feelings is that, chances are you are getting beat by Duke either way. Why not rest when you can and get ready for conference play. Especially vs a team that beat by double digits 3 times last year. I'm looking for a triple revenge a big showing this afternoon. 4* Money Maker EVANSVILLE
|
12-22-17 |
Southern Illinois v. Nevada -12 |
|
64-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking NEVADA tonight. Really like this group. Have moved on them a few times already. Another Vegas Tournament game here. No other real reason for me. Think this is a game that Nevada should win by 20. 4* Money Maker NEVADA
|
12-22-17 |
Bradley +7.5 v. Ole Miss |
|
59-82 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking BRADLEY. Have these guys as a little MVC sleeper. Think the doggy bites here. I had Ole Miss a couple games ago and they lost in OT to Ill State as they trailed by 10 at the half. I think Bradley is better. Maybe they take them 'seriously'. But I don't think that really matters. I think this game is a toss up. Points are a bonus. 4* Money Maker BRADLEY
|
12-22-17 |
Elon v. Indiana State -6.5 |
|
73-68 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking INDIANA STATE. Might be a sucker play. I have the Sycamores to win this one by 10-15 points. Elon ending a long road trip. These guys just want to get home for Christmas. Should be coasting to a nice win today. 4* Money Maker INDIANA STATE
|
12-22-17 |
Lamar +140 v. UC-Davis |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking LAMAR here. A little Vegas Tournament action before Christmas. Southland Conference Lamar. These are the type of small schools I always take early on. Nobody really knows much about them. They have returning starters from their CIT team. So they are experienced in a tournament atmosphere. This is big for these guys. As much as I am a Big West guy, give me the Cardinals here. 4* Money Maker LAMAR
|
12-22-17 |
Central Michigan -110 v. Wyoming |
Top |
14-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
212 h 50 m |
Show
|
Taking CENTRAL MICHIGAN here. Man how times have changed. Last year we were riding a Cowboys wave with this team. Now we have a banged up QB who was the 'top pick' in the NFL draft coming into the season having thrown 13TD passes this year! Shane Morris for the Chips is on a nice 14-2 TD/Int run his last 5 games. 4th straight bowl for CMU, lost last year in Miami Bowl. Facing a week offensive team that has a pretty decent defense, I think the Chips are in position to pull out a nice 10pt win on the day. 10* Money Bomb CENTRAL MICHIGAN
|
12-22-17 |
UL - Lafayette +11.5 v. Clemson |
|
60-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking UL LAFAYETTE. Don't be scared of taking this Sun Belt team. These guys have 4 starters back. Should really be an NCAA team if they win their tournament. They have good depth, they hit their FTs. Clemson off big wins over South Carolina and Florida. Are they really taking this group seriously? How many kids on campus tonight? The dog is the hungry wolf looking to take down the big prey. Sun Belt vs ACC. You know who wants it more. Plus we are getting good points. +520 ML won't shock me. 4* Money Maker UL LAFAYETTE
|
12-22-17 |
Pacific v. Arizona State UNDER 161.5 |
|
65-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Pacific/ Arizona State
|
12-21-17 |
Cal-Irvine v. Idaho -6 |
|
67-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
Taking IDAHO. You know by know that I am high on both these teams to win their conferences. But I am down on Irvine. They just are not scoring enough. Don't be fooled by the numbers. They aren't averaging 70 a game. That is inflated after score 91 and 112 vs Chapman and Poets. They haven't cracked 70 since November 24th vs Northern Arizona. Idaho is winning, and winning big at home. This should be at least a 10pt win for us. 4* Money Maker IDAHO
|
12-21-17 |
Portland -110 v. CS Sacramento |
|
80-75 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking PORTLAND here. I have backed Sac State several times last season. But, that was more in conference play. Hornets lost their catalyst before the season started. Judging by 63ppg, (which would be lower if we took out 94 scored against Antelope Valley!!), they miss Graves. Give me the more balanced unit in this tournament. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND PILOTS
|
12-21-17 |
Temple v. Florida International OVER 56 |
|
28-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
54 h 44 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total in St Pete. Could have made a play in FIU also. Like the dog catching points. Not much travel for them. First bowl in years. You know they are coming to play. Butch Davis will have the crew ready. Temple with a lot to prove as they are at 6-6. Clearly moving the needle lately as Nutile has been solid behind center with 9TDs and just 2 picks down the stretch. So they are playing to be over .500 for their first year HC. So both 1st year HCs with much to prove. It might get ugly at times. But I think both teams surpass 30. If things really break in our favor, this could be over in the 3rd quarter for us. 4* Total Money OVER Temple/ FIU
|
12-21-17 |
Liberty -1.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne |
|
64-75 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking LIBERTY this afternoon. People surely will remember that Ft Wayne is coming off an absolute beat-down of Indiana, on the road, winning 92-72. And now, a dog to Liberty. If they beat Big 10 Indiana by 20, they should beat Big South Liberty by 50! Well, Liberty is a tough squad. Plays defense. Should be in the fight for Big South Championship. Not as sexy as beating Indiana, but they did win at Wake. 4* Money Maker LIBERTY Be sure to check back later in the day for more College Hoops additions! Thank you.
|
12-20-17 |
Spurs v. Blazers -2.5 |
|
93-91 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking the BLAZERS. So I see a lot of the money coming on the Spurs. They are still nursing Leonard back. Give me Portland. Think their guards get to the basket and are the difference tonight. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
|
12-20-17 |
Furman +15.5 v. Tennessee |
|
61-66 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
Taking me some money earnin' FURMAN tonight. How do you play the Vols off that NC loss? I can't. Up by 6 at half and getting run out 11-3 to end the game and lose 78-73. Rough one. Furman is a leader in the So Con. They have seniors. They can hit their 3s. They have a pounder inside in Rafferty. I think we stay inside this number. 4* Money Maker FURMAN
|
12-20-17 |
Louisiana Tech +180 v. SMU |
Top |
51-10 |
Win
|
180 |
319 h 45 m |
Show
|
Taking LA TECH on the ML. You can go +5 if you want, but it's Bowl Season, and we are gambling! Like me some Holtz coaching. Skip Holtz has won 3 straight bowls with the Bulldogs. We are sitting at 6-6, winning our last 2 games. So obviously getting over .500 is huge. As is winning another Bowl. They face a 7-5 SMU squad who lost their coach to Arkansas and the SEC. Not sure how much motivation they have playing. I know this is a game in Texas, but LA Tech has been in this area 3 of the last 4 years. Nothing new to them. But it is all new for the Mustangs. They haven't been bowling since 2012 Hawaii Bowl. So without their season long play-caller now ex-HC, I think SMU falls a little short offensively. We know their defense gives up points. I expect Holtz to get the most out of his team as he has done in previous bowls. 5* Best Bet LA TECH BULLDOGS
|
12-19-17 |
Cal-Irvine +9 v. Montana |
|
68-86 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking IRVINE tonight. Have to grab the points with the Anteaters. They have strung some losses together on this road trip. I can accept that. But they haven't been run out of games. They can rebound. The have some size. Tough defenders. For me, this is just a value spot on a team I like. 4* Money Maker CAL IRVINE
|
12-19-17 |
Western Illinois +5 v. Eastern Illinois |
|
77-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking WESTERN ILLINOIS. These guys played early with the Leathernecks winning by a bucket. Fast forward and Western is now 7-2 winning it's last 2 games by double digits. Eastern 2-7 without it's PG Lewis. WIU bringing defense allow 63pgg and 38% shooting from the floor. Eastern has 2 wins. They crushed something called Fontbonne 96-44. The other 80-79 over IUPU at home. Western beat IUPU 90-77. Against comparable teams, Western is just putting up better numbers right now. Have to grab the points even though it does look 'too easy'. And nothing is gambling is ever as easy as it looks. 4* Money Maker WESTERN ILLINOIS
|
12-19-17 |
Auburn v. Murray State +4 |
|
81-77 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking MURRAY STATE. Might even get a little +150 ML on this guy. Love my mid major home puppies vs the power conferences. Auburn will in for a battle tonight. We actually cashed the Tigers last game over Mid Ten State. That was a tough call as my initial lean on the short line was towards the dog. But we went home fave and cashed. Tonight, not a fan of Auburn laying in this spot. Racers always tough at home. That gets ramped up in non-con play vs one of the big boys. While Auburn was in a dog fight vs Mid Tenny, Murray cruised past Marist. This is one of those circle games for the home squad. 4* Money Maker MURRAY STATE
|
12-19-17 |
Wright State v. Missouri State -9 |
|
50-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSOURI STATE. As I have said a couple times, I like this team. I think they should win the MVC. They are off a horrific loss. And yeah, it is horrific. Anytime a 12 point favorite loses outright, that is a terrible loss. So after 8 days off, it is time to get back in the win column. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI STATE
|
12-19-17 |
Bruins v. Sabres +117 |
|
3-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking SABRES here. Faded the Bruins last night, in a loss. And will do it again. For me. Same thing applies. Now 5 games in 7 days including this back to back spot. Buffalo off for 3 days waiting for Boston to come to town. Give me the home ice doggy. 4* Money Maker BOSTON BRUINS
|
12-19-17 |
Akron v. Florida Atlantic -22.5 |
Top |
3-50 |
Win
|
100 |
150 h 0 m |
Show
|
Taking FLORIDA ATLANTIC. Yeah. I will lay 3+ TDs with Lane. The guy is a kook and a total follow on Twitter trolling old teams and coaches. So we get an extra home game with the Owl. Let's be honest. They can write their own score in. I am expecting at least 50. Lane will love to run it up here. You know he is looking for his next job already. Akron out of the MAC is miserable on defense. This is an average team like what FAU beat up all year in CUSA. Do we forget Akron down 38-0 in the 3rd in MAC Championship Game before Toledo called off the dogs for an unlikely back door cover (45-28)? Owls 9th in scoring just under 40 game. If this was another year, or some other team, I would be worried about motivation. But FAU has won 3 games each of the last 3 years. The home fans will be pumped to come see them roll to a Bowl Win. 8* Sure Shot FAU
|
12-19-17 |
Marshall v. Xavier OVER 175 |
|
77-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Marshall/ Xavier
|
12-19-17 |
Marshall +22 v. Xavier |
|
77-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
Taking MARSHALL tonight. Also going to be on the OVER 175. Look. A team scoring 90ppg and getting 22 should really be an auto play. Xavier off a big comeback home win. Not expecting that close a game tonight. But I do think we keep this within 3 Touchdowns! I just think we are going to see high scoring affair tonight and I think the points can get us a 2-0 night. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL
|
12-18-17 |
Penguins -1.5 v. Avalanche |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Taking the PENGUINS, and going Big Money on the PUCK LINE. You can lay the -160. But I am looking to build my Bowl and NFL bankroll. Avalanche beat Pitt last week 2-1. They were out-shot 40-28. I expect a revenge Pens team to drop at least 4 goals tonight. Colorado has score more than 2 goals just twice in their last 9 games. 3 in their last 10 if you take a 3-2 shoot-out win into account. 4* PL Money PITT PENGUINS
|
12-18-17 |
Blue Jackets +115 v. Bruins |
|
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking COLUMBUS. As you know a lot of my ice is based on spots. And this isn't a prime one for Boston. Start of a b2b with a game on the road tomorrow. 4th game in 6 days tonight. Give me the Jackets as a small dog. 4* COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
|
12-18-17 |
Charlotte v. East Carolina -3 |
|
69-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 3 m |
Show
|
Taking EAST CAROLINA. Both teams with new coaches calling plays on the sidelines. ECU has reeled off 3 straight wins since their change. Charlotte hopes for the same after canning Mark Price and his 3-6 start. Price's son is also out the door looking for a new team. Guy was shooting 62% from the field on the year. 32 of 51 from the field including 52% from 3. The leading scoring for the 49ers now is shooting 36% 38 of 105. Double Price's kids shot and nearly the same amount of baskets. That is who is leading this team. A mad shooter (26% 3pt). They have 2 other guys around scoring 10ppg. Not sure how they respond. You read from the AD the kids quit on Price. Maybe they did. Who knows. What I do know is that there is zero depth and 6 scholarship players on the roster. Even at the mid-major level, that is going to hurt. I'll lay the short number with a home fave. 4* Money Maker EAST CAROLINA
|
12-18-17 |
Idaho +5 v. Western Michigan |
|
82-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking IDAHO tonight. First. Let me say sorry for the late additions today. Normally I like to have everything up before lunch. My knee has been bothering me for over week, had to get it check out. Whattayaknow.. A meniscus tear and to make Christmas even more festive, my knee-cap isn't centered! woo-hoo. So enough of the worlds smallest violins playing my sad song. Last note. Even though we cashed our Top Play on Minny, not a winning day of NFL. Dallas with a push. I hate Garrett. Please go for it on the 1 on the road. Forget a cover. This guys makes terrible decisions every year. Philly and Saints just bad. That is what I get for laying heavy numbers. Still. 16-4 is not a shabby month. Free Play video will probably be on the Falcons. -- Now -On to the VANDELS. Look. You know I have these guys as my Big Sky leaders. And even though Western Michigan is a top MAC program, I am leaning heavy on my experienced visitors tonight. They can hit 3s. They rebound. They hit their FTs. This seems more than enough points and think that we should win this one outright. 4* Money Maker IDAHO
|
12-17-17 |
Cowboys -3 v. Raiders |
|
20-17 |
Push |
0 |
29 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS. Would be easy to grab the home dogs, but not happening. Dallas sees playoff hope here. They have strung together a couple wins. They get their RB back soon. Eagles lose their QB. They have a playoff shot if they can win out. Raiders a lost season. I said at the start of they year when I had the Titans in Game 1 that the Raiders were lucky a lot last year. You can't sustain that 2 years in a row. Not going to get every break, or 1 point win or 2 pt conversion. Cowboys defense strong lately forcing TOs. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS
|
12-17-17 |
Mercer +3 v. La Salle |
|
85-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking MERCER. We grabbed Furman earlier today, and will again back a So Con team. This is an experienced group. LaSalle won in OT in last years game. I think we get pay-back this afternoon. Explores in off Nova. That was a 9pt loss where they lead at the half and down 2 with 4 to play. Just a prime let down spot in my eyes. Not sure what they have in the tank for Mercer. 4* Money Maker MERCER
|
12-17-17 |
Furman -120 v. NC-Wilmington |
|
90-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking FURMAN here. Would be easy to lean on NCW coming off 3 straight road losses and now being home. They have a beast inside in Cacok averaging 18 +12. He should get those numbers today. I just don't see how the team slows down the Paladins. NCW giving up nearly 90ppg. Both offenses at 80 per. But Furman giving up less than 70. For me, I have Furman as the one of the top teams in the SoCon, while I have the Seahawks as a middling CAA team. Furman with losses to Duke, Butler and Big South Winthrop, who is a top 3 team in conference. NCW has only beating NC Wesleyan and Big South Campbell, who is projected near the bottom of their conference. Going road warrior style this afternoon. 4* Money Maker FURMAN be sure to check back after 12 EST to see if I have added any plays
|
12-17-17 |
Jets v. Saints -15.5 |
|
19-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
89 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking the SAINTS. Yeah. I will lay more than 2 TDs with Brees at home. First. We have extra rest from that Atlanta loss (Though we cashed the Falcons) We catch the Jets coming off getting shut out and losing their QB. They will turn to Petty. Good luck in the dome kid. Bottom line for me here is this. New Orleans needs to keep winning as the Panthers 9-4 and Falcons 8-5 are right on their heels. Things are getting crazy in the NFC with Wentz out and Rodgers on the mend. And who knows about Dallas running the table to get back in the hunt. Saints 17-2-1 ATS last 20 at home when they are sporting a winning record. Final though on this one. Brees tossed that INT in the end-zone real late last week. You know that is killing him. He is coming out breathing fire today. Won't be shocked to see 14-0 end of 1st quarter en rout to a 40+ point day. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
|
12-17-17 |
Eagles -7.5 v. Giants |
Top |
34-29 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the EAGLES. 9-1 ATS last 10 for Philly. Yes, they lost their QB. But Foles is no slouch. Guess people forget the guy had 27 TDs and 2 INTs back in 2013 in 13 games, 10 starts for these same Eagles. And right now, let's be honest. He is probably better than Eli. He has the better parts around him that is for sure. Really for me though is this. Giants are done. Last week would have been the game for them. New coach. Eli back. Home vs Cowboys. Nope. Doors blown off in the 4th. You can hear any life being sucked out of the building. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
|
12-17-17 |
Bengals v. Vikings -10.5 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the VIKINGS. Two teams in total opposite directions. Cincy off getting smoked at home by the Bears. Where is there motivation? Their season was lost 2 weeks ago when they blew the game vs the Steelers. There will be, or least should be, a coaching change for the Bengals. Do we really think they rally around the coach? Time for a change from the top down. Minny home after 3 straight road games. Still have a lot to play for. I can't see their defense giving up more than 10-14 points today. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS
|
12-16-17 |
Predators v. Flames -106 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking the FLAMES tonight. 3rd game in 4 nights for Nashville. We had them for big money on the PL to start their trip, but will back the home team tonight. Predators 3-7 last 10 meetings with Calgary. 4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES
|
12-16-17 |
Chargers v. Chiefs -105 |
Top |
13-30 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS here. Cashed big last week on KC. We will head back to them today. We also had the Chargers last week. We can toss out the trends. Chiefs 6-2 ATS last 8 but LAC 4-1 ATS last 5 in Kansas City. Andy Reid 17-7 ATS as home dog. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS
|
12-16-17 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State OVER 61.5 |
|
35-30 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 17 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Will tell you that I will have Mid Ten St on the ML as my free pick video play today. Just think we see some offense. As i backed off Boise and made it a no play saying to buy on Oregon. Much of the same to that move applies here. The QB play. Ducks were getting back a guy who led them to a fast start. On top of the fact the players all wanted this coach. So that changes things dramatically. Here, we get Stockstill back behind center. 144 points scored in his last 4 games back. Red Wolves bring their 6th best passing offense to the field. They won't meet much resistance from MDTNST defense that has a grand total of 8 takeaways in 12 games. 4( Total Money OVER Mid Tenn/ Ark St
|
12-16-17 |
Oregon v. Fresno State -2 |
|
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking FRESNO here. You know I am jumping right in on this Mountain West favored over PAC 12. Ducks already lost to the Bulldogs brethren, Boise State, at home. Now they face a pretty good team in their first true road game. You don't think Fresno is chomping at the bit here? They were 15pt dogs on the road last year, lost by a dozen. Now favored. They can score and play a physical defense. 4* Money Maker FRESNO
|
12-16-17 |
Middle Tennessee v. Auburn -3 |
|
70-76 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
Taking AUBURN. Look. Man. It is tough not to pull the trigger on Mid Ten. I really like my mid-majors taking short points on the road vs big conferences. But this isn't last years CUSA champs and 1 loss team. There is no element of surprise as the Blue Raiders won last year at home 88-81. I think Tigers get some payback. Not sure Mid Tenn has the depth to keep up. 4* Money Maker AUBURN
|
12-16-17 |
Marshall +195 v. Colorado State |
|
31-28 |
Win
|
195 |
76 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking MARSHALL. Well. We can grab the 5/ 5.5 if you want. But I think we win this outright. Better defense. Even in a slide we are competitive. Rams won this bowl back in 2008 and 2013. But since that 2013 win, they have dropped 3 straight bowl games. We know Marshall has won 5 straight bowls going back to 2009 (09-11-13-14-15) and are an unbelievable 10-2 ATS/ SU last 12 bowl games. I like Holiday over Bobo for us on the sidelines also. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL
|
12-16-17 |
Oregon v. Boise State +8 |
|
28-38 |
Win
|
100 |
236 h 10 m |
Show
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============ BUY OFF OF THIS +++ NO PLAY === Taking BOISE. This was a spot I was looking at even before the Ducks lost their coach. But now that Taggert is heading to FSU, we will officially jump on Boise. Will even sprinkle in some ML +260 - We have Mountain West vs big brother PAC 12. This wasn't an old-school Boise team, but they won 10 games. Most times I am heading to the other team when I see the proverbial 'ranked' team catching points from an unranked opponent. But here we see a PAC 12 team favored over the smaller school. Even a down year 7 win Ducks team has more talent across the roster. I just look at this as a good spot to play on the dogs though. Where is the motivation for Oregon? Hey, we are in the Las Vegas Bowl! I think people forget that Chip Kelly left these guys with a 3 year reduction of scholarships. That just ended. This isn't 2014 with Mariota in the Rose Bowl for the Championship. Those were Chip's recruits. I think Helfrich did a crap job recruiting. They were 4-8 in his last year, and just 7-5 with Taggart this year. As good as this job is with everything Nike, this is not the spot to be playing on TD+ favorites. Give me the hungry dog looking to take down the big name. 4* Money Maker BOISE
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12-16-17 |
Illinois State v. Ole Miss -8.5 |
Top |
101-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 59 m |
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Taking MISSISSIPPI today. Alright. Ole Miss needs some Ws. Sitting in a 5 game home stretch of the winnable non-con part of schedule, the time is now. I was an Ill State backer last year. But that team lost 4 starters. They have Ill-Chi on deck. Maybe a bigger game in their eyes. They lost to BYU by a dozen on the road. Nevada crushed them by 30. They lost to Charleston Southern, at home by a bucket. 4 losses in their last 5 games. They are 4-6, and 2 of those wins are over Tulsa. I think the the guard play of Ole Miss keeps the tempo here. Over 80ppg. Not sure if the Redbirds keep the pace. 5* Best Bet OLE MISS
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12-16-17 |
North Texas v. Troy OVER 62 |
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30-50 |
Win
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100 |
96 h 44 m |
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Going OVER the total here in New Orleans. Right off the bat I will shocked if Troy doesn't put up at least 44 themselves. This North Texas defense is a poor bunch. 96th in Total Defense. 106th in points allowed. 113th in forced turnovers. Mean Green most likely without their top RB in Wilson. That being said, they have a pretty good QB in Fine who was CUSA first teamer. Troy also brings an experienced QB behind center. I just think we see closer to 70 here than 60. 4* Total Money OVER North Texas/ Troy
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12-14-17 |
Mavs v. Warriors -11.5 |
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97-112 |
Win
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100 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
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Taking the WARRIORS. Now. Normally I am shying away from double digit lines with GS and the Cavs alike. But in this spot, I see a big Warriors win. We have GS off for 2 days coming in. Then, they don't play again till Monday in LA against the Lakers. So this is really a game where they can come full throttle and not worry about rest. No Curry, no problem. I think Durant goes for 40 tonight and has a huge game. I actually thought this line would be higher. Warriors should pull away for at least a 15 point win. 4* Money Maker GS WARRIORS
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12-14-17 |
Broncos v. Colts +125 |
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25-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
25 h 44 m |
Show
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Taking COLTS and going MONEY LINE. I mean, you want 2.5/ 3 fine. But My thinking is we aren't going to lose by 2. They should have pulled out the blizzard game last week. Woulda coulda shoulda. That being said, how often are we saying Jacoby Brissett is the best QB on the field. And can we slow down on Denver. The defense hasn't been great all year. So they beat the Jets. The Jets that were suppose to go win-less or win 3 games this year. The Jets, who we cashed over KC the week before. That go from home dogs, to away favorites. I am sorry I over-looked the Broncos last week as I went 8-0 Thursday through Monday. I know Frank Gore was a beast last week in the snow. And he's what, 40 or something. Ok, not that old, but a short week for a grinder like him would hurt since he carries the Colts offense. But the guy is a border line Hall of Famer. Denver is scoring about 15ppg their last 11 games. I think we can put up at least 2 TDs here at home. Broncos 0-8 ATS last 8 on the road. 1-8 ATS last 9 overall. How about 0-6 ATS last 6 in Indy and a crazy 1-9 ATS last 10 in the series. Home dog for me on the short week. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
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