Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-06-18 | Idaho v. Cal-Irvine -14 | 68-86 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking IRVINE. These guys should be top dogs in the Big West. Idaho a major rebuild out of the Big Sky. 6 of the top 7 scorers from last year gone. 6 freshman. Long year in Moscow. 4* Money Maker CAL IRVINE |
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11-06-18 | Duke v. Kentucky -2 | 118-84 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking KENTUCKY. In years past, I am fading Kentucky out of the shoot. Always bringing in 5,6,7 new top freshman. No teamwork or cohesiveness between them. They have returning players. A stud from the PAC 12 grad transfer. And the usual array of star freshman. Duke turning into a real churn and burn 1 and done program. Smallest of edges to Kentucky and the short line gets us to the window. 4* Money Maker KENTUCKY |
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11-06-18 | Louisiana Tech +10 v. Wichita State | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking LA TECH. This isn't a great LT squad by any means. But this isn't a vintage Wichita State team either. A lot of new and young faces. LT brings back a decent core of players. And this still is a big 'name' to get up for. Will grab the double digits. 4* Money Maker LA TECH |
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11-06-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Memphis -14 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. Normally I don't like coming out swinging dropping a huge 10* Money Bomb play on opening. This just feels like proverbial 'perfect storm.' Tenn Tech comes in as probably the worse team in the OVC. Have to replace all their top scorers. New HC Penny Hardaway takes over for Tubby Smith and the hype is off the charts. He has a few seniors that will be more than happy to whatever the NBA All-Star has to say. The kids on Tenn Tech will probably be star struck looking for autographs instead of playing their assignments. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS |
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11-06-18 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43 | Top | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Kent is pretty bad. I think Buffalo can challenge this on their won if they play the entire 60 minutes. I know they are scoring in the mid 30s. Anything out of Kent early would be a bonus. I expect a garbage TD from them late. Doubt we even need it though. Final home game before hitting the road. Should be pumped up for the fans. Blowout in the making. 8* Sure Shot OVER |
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11-06-18 | Michigan State v. Kansas -5.5 | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS. Taking the better team out of the gate. Spartans sometimes start a bit slow under Izzo. And that is when I expect big things from them. I know they have 3 guys back from last year, but the defense will be shaky to say the least to start the season. Jayhawks have that newcomer/transfer/return combo that will put these guys on a Final Four course. I just think they are a bit too much for Sparty out of the gate. They will look to push early and MSU won't be able to keep pace. 10 point win in the works. 4* Money Maker KANSAS JAYHAWKS |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40.5 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 98 h 11 m | Show |
Going OVER the total. Both teams off their bye weeks. Both pretty desperate to get their offenses going. Defenses are the strength of both squads. Something tells me though we see some new wrinkles. Dallas actually playing well this season at home. I won't be shocked if they get 30 themselves. This is the second lowest line this week. I have this at mid to high 40s. 5* Total Money OVER Titans/ Cowboys |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. I know a lot of people all over Titans. Right off the bat, gut tells me to go opposite of that thinking. I like Dallas. Am a fan. Hate their HC. Guy wasted Romo's career. Can't manage the clock, timeouts and plays to tie instead of winning. Even after that, I will lay the number tonight. Both teams off byes. A reason why I a like the over, which was 40.5 when I put it out, now 40, even a 39.5 creeping up. I think out of the bye we see some more wrinkles in the offenses. Points will be scored. The Cooper trade - people have opinions on. Getting out of Oakland will help. Dak can throw the ball. I think this is a good pickup. Won't be shocked when he scores a TD on MNF. Just him on the field will open things up for Zeke out of the backfield. I think Dallas gets over 30 tonight. At 6.5, I was leaning Titans early, now at 4. Last home game 40-7 over Jacksonville. Everyone moving on Tennessee now has me heading to cash my ticket in the opposite direction. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-04-18 | Raptors -3 v. Lakers | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the RAPTORS. 4* Money Maker |
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 42 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. First to admit we scored a gift cover on Monday night with the New England. Sure did look NE was going through the motions against the Bills. Not doing anything fancy. FGs all over the place. Just enough to escape with the win. While last we saw GB fighting to the absolute bitter end vs the Rams. That kind of loss hurts. Hurts so much they cut people. Rodgers is one of the best. Brady arguably The Best. Cross Country back to back road games. Tough for sure as the Packers head to Gillette. Do you really feel comfortable backing McCarthy over The Hoodie? He'll do something stupid. Pats by 10. 8* Sure Shot NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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11-04-18 | Sabres +105 v. Rangers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the SABRES. Holy cow. How can we not take these guys. 9-2 yesterday. Buffalo to NYC is not really traveling. Especially when you play an early day game the previous day. 3 game losing streak out of the way after that win - Sabres will have nothing but confidence coming to MSG. Have to grab them here. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO SABRES |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints -109 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 75 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Been on this New Orleans money train for a couple weeks now. Last week we get the cash and Brees basically takes the day off. Nice road wins in Minny and Baltimore for us. We crushed them over the Redskins. We have a pretty good feel of this club right now. Rams a good team. Probably the 2 best teams in the NFC battling it out today. But we have seen the Rams secondary get abused by A-Aron, Russell Wilson, Kirk Cousins and Phillip Rivers. Brees will put up points. This game is a PK. We just have to win. Not like we are laying 3-4-5 or more. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks OVER 47 | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. Think we are going to see some points on the board. Chargers off their bye week. Seattle off a nice road win. Rivers and this offense will put up their 20+ points. Wilson always seems to get points on the board for the Seahawks. This game will be played with both teams in the 20s and should eclipse 50 points. 4* Total Money OVER Chargers/ Seattle |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Have to take these home dogs today. So - Every pundit, fan, tv talking head said how Hue Jackson was the worse coach in the NFL. Well, time to find out. If that was the case, just him being removed should up the players. If he was still here, what is the line, 12? 15? New OC along for the ride. Gregg Williams the DC now the top dawg. KC with Browns than Arizona. So should be a couple of cupcake wins. And perhaps today will be. I am betting on the players in this spot. Big number to lay on the road and Chiefs can still walk out with a W and not cover. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 10 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. So, we had the Saints on Sunday and even though the scoreboard was all New Orleans, Minny wasn't terrible. If you tell anyone that Brees is tossing for 120 yards - that Ingram and Kamara are going 26 for 108, I would be worries NO is run out of town. But, turnovers hurt. So this is now a huge game for the Vikings. And normally, I might be thinking of taking the Lions. Heck. We lost with them last week. And have been on, and off them, in previous games. What really sticks out for me is that Detroit has thrown in the towel. As I write this they just trade their best WR in Golden Tate- Maybe there is a good reason. But at 3-4, with Minny 4-3-1 and Bears 4-3 GB 3-4-1 ahead of them, why send up the white flag? I don't get it one bit. A big take away from Sunday was the way Minny defended the run. And now the Lions will really lean on RB Kerryon Johnson. Again. Back to Minny being in a desperate spot. While Detroit looks to me they are throwing in the towel. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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11-04-18 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 105 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Taking the DOLPHINS. So - I was looking at the under in this game and saying how the Jets, barring that 48 spot at Detroit opening night, have scored 17-12-10 their other 3 road games. 20-12 back in September when these guys played. Brock, Tannehill. I mean for me, it doesn't matter. I have seen Brock put 23-21-28 up in his 3 games. NYJ missing some key guys. Powell gone for year. WRs Enunwa down and Anderson banged up. CB Johnson limited. Stills is probably out for Miami. I just think we see a big RB attack from Gore and Drake from the Dolphins. That keeps the pressure to a minimum on Brock. Miami with the extra rest of the loss at Houston. Can't discount that time to brush up on a rookie QB and his habits. 10* AFC East GOY MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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11-03-18 | Hurricanes +126 v. Golden Knights | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Think Vegas is still getting a too much respect from last year. That was the perfect storm. As much as I would like to have a larger dog, I will still back the Hurricanes. As I have said before. We will be looking to fade Vegas at home as much as possible. Carolina just played an OT loss in Arizona last night. Zero time to come in and get swept up in the Strip atmosphere. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA HURRICANES |
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11-03-18 | Alabama -14 v. LSU | 29-0 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking ALABAMA. I know that there are a of 'sharps' or other 'touts' all over LSU. And I can understand that. This is a big number. Talking 2 TDs here. LSU played much better teams. So I get who has Bama really played. I know the defense isn't as good as years past. But LSU QB play isn't at an elite level either. Have we really seen a full Tide game this year? They maul people from kickoff. Saban needs any type of motivation for his club. Being #1 in Playoff is big. Crushing the #3 team would be huge. Looking over the past games. 1 game would have been by this amount of points. Every one in the last 10, Under this total. Heck, 6 of the last 10 haven't gotten to 40. Last year, Tide were 20.5 at home - Won 24-10. That being said. Tua is not Hurts. This is a passing team. Tua is 20 yards from Hurts total yardage from last year. 25-0 TD/INT (17/1 Hurts LY) He isn't the runner that Hurts is. He doesn't have to be. LSU is going to want to grind. Not sure if people realize their QB has 6 TD passes (3 INTs) on the year. Can't see Tigers shutting down this pass attack. And barring multiple TOs, I can't see them scoring more than 24. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA |
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. Mississippi State | 3-45 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking LA TECH. Last year, State rolled this guys 57-21. Not saying our guys get revenge, but getting 3+ TDs, - I'll take the bait. I can see a bit of a let-down per say though from MSU. Lose to LSU. Beat A&M. Alabama on deck. This is a game where they want to win and get out. We had Louisiana Tech way back vs LSU and they delivered a cover for us. Skip Holtz is nice in a 32-14 ATS as a road dog. They have a decent defense and MSU isn't a high-powered offensive machine. Step up in class for sure. But this is too many points not to take. 4* Money Maker LA TECH |
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11-03-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International -3 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 13 m | Show |
Taking FIU - Had these guys last week. We faded FAU last week. Team Lane a ship without a rudder. Big revenge spot as FAU walloped FIU last year 52-24. Shoe on the other foot this season. FIU top dogs right now in CUSA - 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL |
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11-03-18 | Missouri v. Florida -6 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 53 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA. Gators in off getting blasted in their game vs Georgia. But it wasn't anything like the way Missouri went down. Oh the humanity in losing on a TD pass as time expires. Tough to get over that. Now, in The Swamp. Florida lost last year 45-16. HC Mullen wasn't here for the Gators - But I am sure his players getting smacked like that. Lock 0-9 in his starts for MizzU vs 'ranked' teams. Can't see a let-down here as Gators in a position to win out and get 10 wins. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORS |
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11-03-18 | Penn State v. Michigan -10.5 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. 42-13 last year as PSU crushed the Wolverines. Pay-Back time. Defense will be able to contain McSorley. This will be a blood-bath. Michigan in off their bye week. Not going to overthink things here. Michigan the better team. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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11-03-18 | Georgia -8 v. Kentucky | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 50 h 37 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. Yeah. In off big win over Florida. Hangover game- Doubt it. This is for the SEC East. And they won't overlook a team a couple spots behind in the Playoff Ranking and a team 'ranked' 15 overall. Kentucky somehow pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week over Missouri (We had MizzU) - Punt return TD and that end of game TD pass. Brutal loss for those Tigers. And a huge win for Kentucky. Stoops doing nice job. But Kirby Smart is from Bama. And there are no let down games or look aheads in this coaching tree. Talent prevails and Bulldogs should win this one by double digits going away in the 2nd half. 5* Best Bet GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE. I think it is safe to say that the train is off the tracks or the wheels have fallen off the bus. Whatever you want to use. TCU has hit tough times. Injuries have sapped what could have been a nice little year. Wildcats, well coached, should be able to stay inside this number. KST will look to grind it on the ground. TCU lost to Kansas last week. You can think, oh, they will be pissed. Big bounce-back. We haven't seen anything close to that so far. Not going to happen as their bowl hopes slip away. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
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11-03-18 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 44.5 | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. 0-8 vs 1-7. UTEP losers of 20 straight. Rice beat the Miners 31-14 last year. Look. A pair of terrible teams getting together. I think we see some offense. I think this is one of those 31-24 type games. Heck- This will probably be an overtime game. 4* Total Money OVER Miners/ Owls |
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11-03-18 | Louisville v. Clemson -38.5 | 16-77 | Win | 100 | 47 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking CLEMSON today. Will lay the giant number here. After the Tigers win this by 50, I will go out a limb and say that UL says adios to Bobby Petrino. Cards gave up 56 to Wake and 66 to G-Tech. Clemson in off of 59 on Florida State, 41 vs NC State and 63 at Wake. Wake! Who scored 56 on UL had 3 vs the Tigers. Let's get one thing out of the way. No way Clemson will be sleepwalking, going through the motions here. They are #2 in the Playoff Poll. They will want to be playing 'statement game' football for the next couple weeks. They can't be in any dog fight or lackluster games. If this is a close game and LSU upsets Bama, LSU will leap-frog these Tigers. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
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11-03-18 | Iowa State -14 v. Kansas | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 47 h 51 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Kansas just won their Super Bowl. A last second win over TCU. Now - Yes, Kansas now has 3 wins on the year. It wasn't like they were win-less. But TCU had been a pretty good program before falling apart this year. That is a huge win for Kansas. A literal last second FG with 1 second left on the clock propels them to the W. Out-yarded by 200 yards. TCU fumbled at the Kansas 7 and was stopped on the Kansas 1.. 2 TOs help the home dog cause also. That is a lot of mojo working in your favor. Two weeks in a row? Doubt it - 45-0 last year. Iowa State had put up at least 40 in 2 of their last 3. 5* Best Bet IOWA STATE |
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11-02-18 | Wolves v. Warriors -11 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the WARRIORS. Now - I don't like GS. And I sure as heck don't like laying double digits. But here we are. I think GS can beat anyone by 20 every time they play. But nowadays, we have players taking nights off. I just don't see TWolves having the ammo to shoot with this bunch. Rose isn't getting 50 tonight. He might not get 50 his next 3 games combined. I have GS scoring 130 here. I don't think Minny gets past 110. 4* Money Maker GOLDEN STATE |
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11-02-18 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 55 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking MID TEN STATE. Fade the Hilltoppers last week. Will do the same tonight. Triple revenge spot for the Blue Raiders. WKU is down, way down this season. Last conference road game saw them get blitzed 40-14 by Charlotte. I'll lay it and expect the similar score. 4* Money Maker MID TENN STATE |
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11-01-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the BLAZERS. Nice spot for Portland. Well, coming back from a road trip isn't ideal, but what makes this so appealing is New Orleans off Golden State. Every team, especially a team that is trying to show it will be a playoff team, will bring the proverbial 'A' game against the Warriors. There will always be a let down when a good team plays GS, then is on the court the very next day. Then we add in that the Trailblazers are also a team that plays with the old disrespected chip on it's' shoulder. Siding with the home faves here. 4* Money Maker PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS |
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11-01-18 | Raiders +3 v. 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Ugh.. Glutton for punishment. Had these guys last week. So they battled back from down 10-0 in the first. Took a 14-10 lead. A 21-13 lead. A 28-21 lead. They just couldn't hold on. Luck is better than whoever the Niners trot out behind center. SF defense nothing to smile about. The rebuild is on for Oakland. But I don't think we see any quit in these guys - Especially on a stand alone game where the entire league is watching. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida -10 | 40-52 | Win | 100 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. One of just 4 remaining unbeatens, Knights need a big win tonight. Playoff rankings did them no favors. With or without Milton, I will back the home faves. Backup QB Mack after a decent game now has a week + of practice to get up to speed. Temple a tough foe. And double digits in conference, especially a mid-week stand a lone spot makes the dog look inviting. That being said- Back up QB laying 10. Might seem a bit to easy to grab the Owls. Home team gets it done. 4* Money Maker UCF KNIGHTS |
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11-01-18 | Nuggets v. Cavs +5.5 | 110-91 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the CAVS. Had them the other night in Game 1 with the new HC. Will grab them in this spot as home dogs. Nuggets play down to teams. Nearly lost last night. Now in Cleveland. Coach wants a better a deal. How do you get that? By beating teams. This team isn't that good, we know that. But I think they can stick around with Denver who needed everything break to win last night. Trail by 6 with 2 minutes to go - Force OT - .01 seconds left tip in to win in OT. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS |
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11-01-18 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total here. So - Isles won 6-3 in Pitt and now we are in NY for the end of this home and home. Think we see at least 8 goals tonight. 4* Total Money OVER Pens/ Isles |
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11-01-18 | Jets -1.5 v. Panthers | 4-2 | Win | 215 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking Jets on the PUCK LINE. Going to take a flyer on this game. Early in Europe. Will take the better team and go for the bigger pay-day. 4* PL Money WINNIPEG JETS |
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10-31-18 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the PACERS. Had Indiana at home the other night and the Trailblazers rolled them. I look for a bounce back spot here vs the Knicks. You know we aren't high on NY. Pacers are a decent team. Not a top East team, but, and this isn't saying much, a playoff team. Again. This is more fade spot of NY off their win over the Nets. Indiana better than that last showing. Pacers a team that I have high hopes for on the year - One of the better scoring defenses in the league right now, I think they grind out a 10pt win tonight. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS |
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10-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 185 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking NASHVILLE and going PL. Not going to lay -160, though that is probably the top out of what I will lay with a favorite. Preds just the better team. Everything went right for Vegas last year. Not catching teams by surprise this season. I think they come back to Earth in a big way and will continue to look for spots to go against them. 4* PL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORS |
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10-30-18 | Hawks v. Cavs -4.5 | 114-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CAVS. Thought this team wouldn't be terrible - probably one of the only people who though that. And you know that I never liked their HC. So with him getting canned, that can only help these guys. Look- We know the Hawks are young. Have some exciting players. But they were going to a be a low end win team. Have to think Cleveland players come out strong at home. Win-less on the year. Included in those L's, a 22pt loss in Atlanta. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVS |
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10-30-18 | Flames v. Sabres -113 | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the SABRES - Good spot for the small home fave. Almost played the PL for some +230 money. Flames won last night so we will back rested Buffalo who last played Saturday. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO SABRES |
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10-29-18 | Patriots -13.5 v. Bills | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Laying 2 TDs, on the road, is far from a recipe of success in NFL sports betting. But I will bite the ugly sandwich tonight. So, we cashed NE last week as we held off a hail-Mary prayer. Are the Pats a team that are going to be pumped about a 1-1 road trip. Bills first MNF game in 10 years. Is Derek Anderson!! Derek Anderson putting up 20 points today? Nate Peterman! Pats last 4 games here. 23-3 last year. 41-25 2016. 40-32 2015. 37-22 2014. Let's look at the Bills points scored their last 4 games 5-13-13-0.. Honestly. Maybe this is a total sucker play. And I like to fancy my self a bit of sharp, or pro player as I love my dogs. And I have taken ugly dogs most of my life. But if you are saying that Brady, even without Sony Michael can't put up 24-30 points tonight, I will humbly disagree. Under should be looked at also. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -4.5 | 103-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the PACERS tonight. So third straight road game for Portland. Big game on the road vs the Rockets. Maybe they mail it in after their big come back fell short at Miami. This Indiana team is pretty solid. Trail Blazers 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road while Pacers 8-2 ATS last 10 at home. 4* Money Maker INDIANA PACERS |
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10-28-18 | Saints -1 v. Vikings | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Yes. Tough taking a team in back to back to roadies. Especially they won they battled back. How much do they have in the tank? Well. I don't ever sell Brees short. Guy is a beast. No way in hell do these forget that miracle playoff win for Minny last year. (I had Minny!) But this Vikings team as well as they have played of late, to me, a paper tiger. 3 INTs of rookie Darnold. 1 INT from rookie Rosen. And I love this HC. You know this. Had them both of those weeks. But the injury bug has me concerned here. Brees is going to put points up even on good defenses. And he has a RB combo that alleviates a lot of pressure. Minny missing Joseph is tough. Barr adds to it. Rhodes is whipped cream on top. Normally, missing a guy won't really have anything to do with my thought process (unless it is a QB). But the collective of those 3 hurt the defense. And New Orleans, coming in with bad memories, is not a team you want to come in under manned against. Tough road coming from Baltimore and with Rams on deck. But I am siding with the road team to win this thing. 5* Best Bet NO SAINTS |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams OVER 56.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -112 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total here. Sorry for the late add. Look. I don't see how this isn't 60. Packers defense is terrible, or at least very bad. I can't see them holding LAR to under 40. And Rodgers should be able to muster a few TDs. I actually almost laid the big number with the Rams in the Super Contest. But that backdoor will be wide open. Either for a GB cover or a score for this over. Again. I see 40-45 from the Rams. 4* Total Money OVER Packers / Rams |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS and will sprinkle ML +150ish on these guys. Off their bye week. They are done right? Trucked in London by Seattle. Traded Cooper. Carr crying. Heck. Who wouldn't be crying getting mauled every week. This is just their 3rd 'home' game. 33-13 losers to Rams. They looked good out of the gate! - 45-42 over the Browns in that wild game. And that Seattle-London game was a home game. Colts defense nothing pretty. I'll tell you what you should already know. Cooper wasn't doing much here. I think TE Cook really gets things going now. Can we get a Jordy Nelson TD this year? As we always say. No team is as bad, or good as they look the week before. The look ahead number was I think 1 or 1.5 Raiders favorite. Now they are a full 3 and in some spots you can get 3.5. Colts were laying 7 to the Bills last week. Would you be laying 9 or 10 with Indy at home in this spot? Clear overreaction. Doggy outright possible. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERS |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -7 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Faded both of these guys last week and it paid off. Will take Chicago based on their defense and facing a rookie QB on the road. Bears have their own young QB. But we have seen him score at home - On the road as a fave, a bit different for Chicago. But at home vs a team that is a little banged up. This is a big number when you think the Jets put up 48 on the road at Detroit and then 42 and 35 at home vs Colts and Broncos. Bears defense a bit better though in my opinion. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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10-28-18 | Ravens v. Panthers +2.5 | 21-36 | Win | 105 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. You can lay the -120 for +3. But I will grab +105. Heck. ML should be sprinkled in. I am not betting on Carolina to lose when I am getting 2 points. So two teams in off drastic outcomes. Panthers rally for huge win over defending Champs. Ravens blow lead late and then score TD to tie things up. But their automatic HOF kicker misses! Oh the humanity. Look. 4th road game in 5 games for Baltimore. Steelers on deck for them. Winning is important. But next week is the 'bigger' game for the Ravens. Panthers have covered 6 of their last 8 at home. And those 2 were them as faves. I'll back my tough home dog every time. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-28-18 | Redskins +1 v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the REDSKINS. The sell off is on for the Giants. Now, I did have them ML on Monday night. Put a fork in them. ODB is going to have a tantrum. Eli will be hitting the bench. Sitting at 1-6, the life has been sucked out of the season. Send in the clowns. Washington off a win because Jason Garrett still doesn't know how to coach. Skins have to smell blood in the water against their hated rivals. I can't see New York 'circling the wagons' to save the season. Not happening. All in on the Redskins Sunday afternoon. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 36 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. Cashed these guys last week as our Top 10* Money-Bomb - Will roll with them as a Best Bet today. Detroit has been in the money the last 5 weeks. We have been all over with this team. Faded them vs Jets, NE, Dallas. Backed them vs GB and Miami. And here we are again. This is quietly a decent team. Seattle gets a lot of love. Yes, they are off their bye week. Last we saw them beating up the Raiders in England. I am not sold. Russell Wilson is great. I give that guy a lot of crap, but man, he is an excellent player. By himself, makes this team competitive. What I have liked as the season has progressed from Detroit is the run game. And the fact they are finally using it to help Stafford. Lions have to be confident that they can make a move in the division. I know there are many on Seattle. Matt Patricia stole a Super Bowl from Carroll with that INT. Cowboys lucked into a win over these guys or Detroit would have 4 straight wins. Buying on the small home fave. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONS |
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10-28-18 | Eagles v. Jaguars +3.5 | 24-18 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Well. Could be easy to say - Oh, Bortles stinks. He was benched last week. Team is in turmoil. I think this is just what they need. Escape to London where they have played 5 straight years, wining 3 in a row. Scoring a grand total of 28 points in 3 straight losses some may say we are nuts for backing Jax. But do the Eagles really deserve to be faves here on a neutral? What would the line be at Philly? Are they THAT much better than the Jags? 2-5 ATS for Philly. Jax as a dog much better bet than when they are faves. Won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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10-27-18 | Florida International -3 v. Western Kentucky | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking FIU tonight. Lost a few times on these guys last year. Maybe I was a year to early to the Butch Davis party. What I am sure of is that Western Kentucky is struggling big time this year. Tough to lay points on the road. And FIU mauled WKU last year 41-17. Just the Hilltoppers mail it in- Havent' been able to do much offensively on the year barely scoring 20 a game. And FIU comes in averaging 36. Plus FIU with the better defense. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS |
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10-27-18 | Texas A&M +2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 4 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M tonight. Now. Normally- I am taking the home 'unranked' team over the 'ranked' team. That's in CBB or CFB. But we have to look a bit deeper into this besides the 'rankings'. First - State came into College Station last year and spanked the Aggies 35-14 last year and have won the last 2 meetings. So a little double revenge in place. A&M of a tough win at South Carolina. But to counter that, we have Bulldogs coming in off 19-3 loss at LSU. (I had MSU) - Now. Somehow, State put up 23 points vs Auburn. Which, I guess shows how terrible the Tigers are. If we look at the 3 losses in their last 4 games, we see 3 points at LSU. 6 points at home vs Florida. 7 at Kentucky. This offense is putrid. And honestly, it kinda scares me a bit to see them favored here. That being said. I am grabbing the low hanging fruit with the road dog. Aggies do have a decent defense and can, and have scored - both at home, and on the road. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M |
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10-27-18 | Jets +125 v. Maple Leafs | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. A little revenge perhaps. Leafs won 4-2 in Winnipeg just days ago on the 24th. Both teams very good. But I am grabbing the small dog in a pay-back mode. 4* Money Maker WINNIPEG JETS |
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10-27-18 | Kentucky v. Missouri -7 | Top | 15-14 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
Taking MISSOURI. So. I always say things like 'ranked' team getting points catches my eye. Well. When the ranked team is a 7pt road dog to an unranked team - Let's just say my ears perk up. Sign me up all day on MizzU today. UK has won 3 straight in the series to boot and are getting points like this! I think the Tigers run away with this one. 10* Money Bomb MISSOURI TIGERS |
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10-27-18 | Iowa +6 v. Penn State | Top | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
Taking IOWA today. Penn State slide continues. Lost to Ohio State who they had dead to rights. Off that brutal loss, lose to Michigan State - Then, as 14pt road faves, let Indiana hang around with a chance to steal a win late. Now vs this team. A streaking Hawkeyes bunch. A bad loss to Wiscy the only blemish on the record. They are just playing good football. And catching points like this. Sign me up. Oh, PSU also has big, bad Michigan on deck. They know they are out of the Playoffs. If Iowa gets up early, this could get ugly. 8* Sure Shot IOWA HAWKEYES |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking NORTHWESTERN here. So, last week we told you to take Rutgers ML +900 vs the Cats. If you didn't have the stomach for that, maybe you grabbed them and the points in a narrow 18-15 Northwestern win. Well here is part 2 of that look ahead spot. They are a nice home dog - Wiscy has not impressed all year with the hype they received. I am really shocked to see them favored at all. Home team 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series. Dogs on 7-0 ATS run in Northwestern games. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker NORTHWESTERN |
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10-27-18 | Vanderbilt v. Arkansas +110 | 45-31 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking ARKANSAS early. Vandy in off 3 straight losses. Razorbacks finally into the win column with a shut out last week. I can't say much positive of either team. But I think the kids at Arkansas will fight every game for their new HC. While I think the Derek Mason act at Vandy could be in last days. 4* Money Maker ARKANSAS |
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10-27-18 | Purdue +2 v. Michigan State | Top | 13-23 | Loss | -108 | 132 h 6 m | Show |
Taking PURDUE. I know we have them off huge win over Ohio State. But Boilermakers looking good last few weeks. 49 on Ohio State, 46 at Illinois, 42 at Nebraska - 4 straight wins. Sparty comes in off loss to Michigan (we cashed a 8* on big brother). That was a tough, physical game. And lets keep things real here. Michigan State was off a big win at Penn State. That wasn't an easy task. Battling the Wolverines is a rough assignment. Just think with Purdue peaking, and Sparty in a terrible flat spot, dog outright in my eyes. 5* Best Bet PURDUE |
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10-26-18 | Clippers +4 v. Rockets | 133-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the CLIPPERS. Oh, the Rockets are 1-3. They must win tonight. And the Clippers beat them already this year. Easy revenge spot for Houston. - Stop. Houston sluggish out the gate. First CP3 was out. Now Harden. They will get into the flow soon enough. But I will grab any points with this feisty bunch from LA. 4* Money Maker LA CLIPPERS |
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10-26-18 | Warriors -12 v. Knicks | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Will lay the dozen with the WARRIORS. Look. First game of a road trip. GS will probably want to come out fast and bury NY at home. Knicks not a very good team. I think Warriors win this by like 20. I don't even see NYK getting to 100 points tonight. 112-95 or something along those lines is what I think. Or GS drops 130+ and run NY out of MSG. 4* Money Maker GS WARRIORS |
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10-26-18 | Louisiana Tech +3.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH tonight. Almost went ML here. But didn't want to end up like MNF where the Giants cover but don't win outright. So in this revenger (48-23), we will grab the points. FAU not looking like last years version. 1-6 ATS run for Lane's crew. La Tech comes in ready having this game circled. Holtz with a solid 32-14 ATS number when his team are dogs and 14-5 his last last 19 in that spot. LT brings a the better defense to the field today. How about FAU giving up a full TD more than they score on the year. Barking Dog. 8* Sure Shot LOUISIANA TECH |
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10-25-18 | Celtics -107 v. Thunder | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Boston sluggish out of the gates, I get it. Tough taking NBA road faves. Ok, laying a point, I'll go ML though. As I said opening night backing these guys. Love the coach. The depth. It is really a very good team. We aren't laying a ton of points. We are just looking for a win. A team I think is the best in the East. Onto the Thunder. Winless. Westbrook back and the team desperate. Two teams looking to get something going. Will side with the team to get it done vs 1 player. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICS |
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10-25-18 | Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +10 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. So these two guys are the class of the Sun Belt East, along with Troy. Getting 10 at home, vs a RANKED Sun Belt team. I'l take it. Appy lone loss to Penn State. GaSo lone loss to Clemson. So not bad losing to that kind of talent. But we can't over look that the Southern DC was at Appy the last 8 years. That's a bit of knowledge that could keep us in this number. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
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10-25-18 | Cavs v. Pistons -8 | 103-110 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the PISTONS. I gotta be honest. I look at this line say Ugh.. I had the Cavs opening night thinking, they can't be as bad as everyone says they are. They got us a miracle cover. But this team is bad. I already knew their HC was garbage. But man oh man - Give me the home team. Pistons get it done. Casey's first year after coming over from Raptors. So he couldn't get over the hump. But he piles up wins. His teams beat the teams they should. 4* Money Maker DETROIT PISTONS |
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10-25-18 | Blazers v. Magic +3 | 128-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the MAGIC. Grabbing this solely based on perception. Everyone can name the stars on Portland. Orlando a young team. Clearly building. Everything I see is pointing to money on the Trailblazers. Yet, the line has come down. Sign me up for the home dog. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGIC |
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10-25-18 | Canadiens +115 v. Sabres | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking MONTREAL. Sabres a tough little bunch. But not sure they are ready to be faves yet. Canadiens off to a nice 5-1-2 start. Montreal 4-0 last 4 in the series and 4-1 here in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker MONTREAL CANADIENS |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -6.5 | 51-24 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN. Cliche time. The ole 2 teams going in opposite directions. WMU, after dropping first 2 games vs Syracuse and Michigan have reeled off 6 straight. And on the other side of the spectrum, we have Toledo. In off a loss to Buffalo. Up 17-7 at the half and get outscored 24-0 in the 2nd, at home, and you pull your QB. That is now 5 straight games they have been outyarded. 2 straight losses and 3 of their last 4. 1-5 ATS run. I am not counting a -48 cover over VMI. One of the worse defenses in yards allowed now gets a Top 25 offense. Rockets whacked them last year 37-10. Revenge served for the home favorites. 4* Money Maker WESTERN MICHIGAN |
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10-24-18 | Wizards v. Warriors -9.5 | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the WARRIORS. Will grab GS in this spot. Wizards, who I backed at home in b2b spots didn't help me at all. They did just win in OT at a pretty decent Portland team. But in this spot. I think the Warriors have too much for Washington. GS should get it done by about 15. 4* Money Maker GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS |
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10-24-18 | Lightning -112 v. Avalanche | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA. Would much rather have them as a dog or any shorter money. TB obviously a good team because the Avs are no slouches and are home dogs. So we have Colorado home after a road trip. TB just starting a road trip. If I am backing a road team, this is a prime spot I look for. 1st game on trip where they will want to get off on the right foot. TB 4-1 last 5 in the series and road team on a 5-1 run between the two teams. 4* Money Maker TB LIGHTNING |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers +135 v. Red Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS. Lost with LA last night. Should have played the over liked I mentioned in the write up. But that's the past. New day. Will back Ryu over Price. Price's post-season woes well documented. That being said, this is more a play on Rye. Guy is pretty good, and under the radar. Dodgers a good team. Price self admitted he has problems gripping the ball in the cold. Could be another Over also. But I am just sticking to the dogs and LA to even the series. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-24-18 | Jazz +2.5 v. Rockets | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking the JAZZ. Sluggish start for both clubs. No CP for the Rockets. I will take the better defensive team. Never sell short the Carmelo angle either. +120 ML should also be sprinkled in. 4* Money Maker UTAH JAZZ |
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10-23-18 | Kings v. Nuggets -11 | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the NUGGETS. Big number, and to be honest, I am not a fan of laying big points with NBA faves. But something about this Denver team. We have seen some crazy scores, yet these guys have been playing some defense. I think they are a good team (31-10 at home LY) and the Kings are young and rebuilding. Can't under-estimate the Mile High air. Kings will want to push it, but I think that goes nowhere fast. 4* Money Maker DENVER NUGGETS |
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10-23-18 | Dodgers +133 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS. I know the Sox have 115 wins under the belt. They are a good team. But I am not letting Kershaw slip past me getting this kind of number as a dog. Arguably the best pitcher of his generation - I get he doesn't have the post season numbers like his dominate regular season stats. I am not going to go over a few bad innings that skew things for him. Sale in the post season has been worse. And the fact that he hasn't really been healthy the second half doesn't help him either. LA is a good team. Wouldn't be in b2b World Series' games if they weren't - We will grab LA as a dog - also looking at the Over in this spot. Might add later. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-23-18 | Panthers -121 v. Rangers | 2-5 | Loss | -121 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA- For me, Panthers not as bad as their record. While I think the Rangers are going to be one of the worse teams in the league. Short price on the road fave. Road team 5-1 last 6 in the series. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA PANTHERS |
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10-22-18 | Capitals v. Canucks +140 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the CANUCKS. Just have to play the home dogs at this price. This is the Caps first real road trip. Going to NJ and Pitt really isn't that for them. Both teams a little rested - Vancouver 7-2 last 9 at home vs Caps. 4* Money Make VANCOUVER CANUCKS |
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10-22-18 | Giants +172 v. Falcons | 20-23 | Loss | -100 | 48 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS and going ML. Could have grabbed the nice number earlier in the week, and it is now down to 4. But I will go for the +170 tonight. And basically, this is it for NYG. Could be the end of Eli at QB. Against this Atlanta defense though, I will take the shot. Lot of drama around this team. So we have had success both on and against the Falcons. I can see them totally laying an egg here at home on MNF. I personally lost money on them when they let some clown name Geno Smith on the Jets march in here and take their lunch money. With extra and sheer desperation, GMen get it done. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 42 | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 1 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total here. Last 5 in this series have all gone over the total with every game hitting at least 50 points. It might appear the offenses are down, but I expect to see a bit of fireworks this afternoon. Dallas can get after the QB- but I think Alex Smith will counter that and make Dallas pay. Elliot is a beast and I think Dak is full of confidence off last weeks big home win over the Jaguars. We cashed on both of these teams last week in pretty easy fashion. And I think we see, again, something along the lines of 33-24. I know Dallas has been pretty much an under machine lately. But we toss out those numbers in this series. Cowboys 8-2 SU in this series so at least Garrett appears to be able to not hamstring his team against the Redskins. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/ Washington |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 52.5 | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 98 h 55 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total. San Fran crushed me by somehow showing up at Green Bay and ruining my night. I am not buying them again. And I am not buying them having an offense to compete with the Rams. Rams in off a tough game at Denver. So this is a 3rd straight road game vs a team off the short week Monday Nighter. Rams with a much bigger home game next week vs Packers. I can see them just giving it to Gurley and calling it a day 27-10. Then again, Gurley is no slouch so this is never as easy as it seems. Just think that Rams would want to give their banged up players an easy day if possible. No need for McVay to run up 40+ points in this spot. 4* Total Money UNDER Rams/ Niners |
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10-21-18 | Rams -8.5 v. 49ers | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Will admit that SF has not been kind to me this year. I cashed fading them in Week 1 vs Minny. I lost backing them in KC. I had the Chargers and SF came out with firing. I had the Cardinals as a dog outright winner. I had GB on MNF. And I will again lay a large number fading the home dog. Look. These guys have shown fight as big dogs. But that was a tough loss to swallow in Lambeau as time expires. I guess they will be pumped to face a division foe. Rams playing their 3rd straight road game coming out of Mile High. But they pretty much cruised in that game. I can see a big effort here as SF did win last year when LA sat guys in a New Year's Eve home loss. Rams have been in some close games lately and appear to be just going through the motions at times. With GB at home and trip to New Orleans coming up, I think McVay is going to want to see a complete game from both units for an entire 60 minutes. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys +100 v. Redskins | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 58 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Had Dallas last week in nice upset win, and will grab them again. They have had a good run vs the Redskins. But this is a bit of a different, on both sidelines. Also cashed with Washington last week. That was easy money after they were destroyed by the Saints (we had NO) on Monday night. Nobody ever as bad, or good, as they look the week before. And saying that, I really like what I saw from Dak. You all know I hate this Dallas HC. Guy wasted Romo for years. He was going to do the same with Dak. For whatever reason, the offense is coming along. It improved in the Lions game before the HC got scared and played not lose. Then he played not to lose again and lost against Houston. Elliot is a beast. The OL is still pretty good. The run game should dictate the outcome here. Dallas D does get pressure on the QB - 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-21-18 | Saints v. Ravens OVER 50 | 24-23 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. Saints off the bye week. I know this is a dome team outside, in October. But the weather is fair. And this NO team does have a decent rush attack so it is not all on Brees to do the heavy lifting. Baltimore by far the best defense that Saints have faced. But this is a tough spot. Yes, they are home. But Ravens off 3 straight road game. At Steelers, a huge division game that we cashed backing them. At Cleveland. An OT grudge match that was a defensive battle. Then, they battered around the Titans last week. Another physical game. Not that teams take off non-conference games, but this is a tricky game with a road game at Carolina next. I think we see plenty of scoring today. Saints defense isn't that good in any stadium. 4* Total Money OVER Saints/ Ravens |
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10-21-18 | Saints +3 v. Ravens | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 42 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Almost went +135 on the ML here. NO comes in off their bye week. Ravens home after 3 tough road games. Now normally, I am fading the Saints outside, especially in the cold weather cities. But we aren't in the bad weather or the extreme cold yet. And in case you haven't noticed, the Saints have a pair of RBs so their HOF QB does not need to throw for 450 yards a game. Ravens defense, stingy, to say the least. But this is a tough assignment to come home to. 7-1-1 ATS off their bye week are the New Orleans Saints. Mariota, Mayfield, Keenum, Allen/Peterman. Not exactly elite QBs of the league. Cincy on the short week doesn't really rate into my thinking. Saints clicking right now and have to grab the points. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Will the real Minnesota Vikings please stand up? Look. I like the Jets. They are in my own backyard. I like the HC even though people hate him. I think the QB will be good. This is an exciting team. That being said, I had Minny as one of the top 2,3 teams in the NFC to get to the Super Bowl. I didn't have the Jets in that conversation. Back to Bowles. The guy is 7-1-1 ATS as a home dog with 5 outright wins. 2 nice home wins over Indy and Denver as this is their 3rd straight home game. Again. As a big dog guy this hurts fading a money making home puppy. But Minny has had their hiccups. Better defense. Better QB. And, I love the HC. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. So NE has lost at the Jags (revenge spot their Super Bowl) and at Detroit (vs old DC in a desperate spot). Oh. Patriots also didn't have much at the WR position. Yes, they are off a wild one against KC. But this Bears team is not in that offensive level. But the defense is elite. Or it was until facing the Brocketman in Miami. Bears blew a win at Green Bay. Eked by the Cardinals. Walloped Tampa, and beat a Seattle team that I really don't what to think of. I know that the Patriots take zero games off. NE was up 24-9 before over KC. I see a trendy Bears 8-1-1 ATS home dog run. But some of those lines were easily double this number. Are the Patriots not winning on the road this year? NE 14-5 ATS last 19 on the road. I know that the trendy, and 'wise guy' move will be to play on the Bears. But like the spot we took NE at home over the Dolphins, if the dynasty is truly over, then I will go down with it in this game. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-21-18 | Lions -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So Detroit HC was a DC for Pats in the AFC East and may have a bit of insight to Miami. Brock behind center again. And listen. Somehow, we cashed Miami last week as a home dog with him starting. And I will gladly take that. But we have Detroit, off their bye week in town. So after they edged out GB at home on some missed FGs, they got to relax and in the process the 'let-down game' to follow is pushed aside. Instead, they get film on a guy, a QB, who got a 72 MILLION Dollar contract from the Texans. Who benched him that same year for, Tom Savage! Then was traded to the Browns, who released him!! 5 teams (Denver twice) in 5 years. That alone has me fading the Dolphins. I think Miami has a decent defense. But the Lions will do enough to get us out of here with the cover this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT LIONS |
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10-21-18 | Titans v. Chargers UNDER 45 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 13 m | Show | |
Going UNDER the total here. I don't think the Titans can look any worse than that home loss last week. But the offense is rough to watch. Even the proverbial rebound after horrible game won't jet them to hurt this under. Chargers are good. I did that early prop video where I had Allen WR and Rivers QB most yards at their positions. Chargers will score a bit. But this is still a long hike from home. I see something along the lines of 24-13. 4* Total Money UNDER Titans/ Chargers |
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10-21-18 | Titans +7 v. Chargers | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. We are also on the UNDER in this game. But the more I think of this, the more I have to jump in just for a small play on Tennessee. They looked absolutely brutal last week vs the Ravens. And we all now that nobody is as good or bad as they appeared the week before. I have been on both sides of Chargers games this season. This just seems like a flat spot for them 5447 miles from home. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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10-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1 | 117-113 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the WIZARDS. So we lost with these guys against the Heat. Will gladly grab them in this spot. We have the Raptors off the Celtics on Friday night. As I write this at about 845EST. I see the Boston up 25-18. This will be a tough game vs heated foe. Now they step down to the Wizards who lost against their home opener. Off a hard fought win, or a tough loss, have to fade Toronto. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON WIZARDS |
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10-20-18 | Mississippi State +6.5 v. LSU | 3-19 | Loss | -112 | 53 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE. So LSU off huge win over Georgia while Bulldogs come in off their bye. Revenge card for LSU after Miss State blitzed them 37-7 last year. But the 2 games before that, 23-20, 21-19. And 34-29 back in 2014. So we do see close games most of the time. Dogs bring a tough defense, an FBS best 12.7 ppg to the table. This is not an easy place to play either. But I can see this being a FG game. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking MISSOURI. Memphis in off their Super Bowl. A loss to UCF. The season is over. It isn't like MizzU is some huge SEC team where they will be extra pumped to face. Missouri comes in off playing Alabama. It was 13-10 in the first, then Bama did their thing. So it isn't like Tigers are all depressed and out of it after a near miss. Let's lay it as I think Memphis has nothing in the tank. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI |
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10-20-18 | Northwestern v. Rutgers +20.5 | 18-15 | Win | 100 | 61 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking RUTGERS -- You can grab 20.5 but I am going MONEY LINE +900. I know it is a big, ballsy bet. We have Northwestern coming in. They are off a huge come from behind win. Down 10 late 4th. 99 yard drive to tie. Win it in OT. I guess they can come in riding high. They get to face Rutgers who has been an absolute joke of a program this year. 2-17 5 INTs last week . 8 yards passing! Northwestern with margin of wins at 3,4,10 -- Granted. No team has been as bad as this Rutgers team. It really can't get any worse than last week can it? With Wisconsin on deck, off that late win, and with Rutgers as bad as they have been, Wildcats can easily be not focused and going through the motions looking for an easy win. 4* Money Maker RUTGERS |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army OVER 48 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 61 h 49 m | Show | |
Going OVER the total. I like Army. This is a tough team. Going to still play on Black Knights even as this line has dropped from 11 to 8. They can move the ball and put points on the board. Frankly, I think they get 40 themselves. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week and Army off the bye. Redhawks first time facing this kind of offense. No contest here. 4* Total Money OVER Miami/ Army |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 39 m | Show |
Taking ARMY. Also like the OVER in this game. I know this line has moved down from 11. But I am still on the Black Knights. For all intention purposes, Army with a bye week last week as they won 52-3 over San Jose. This team just improves every week. Miami O playing for the 8th straight week. Redhawks haven't faced the option in years. You think a few days will have the ready for this. All you need to know about Army is this. - They took Oklahoma to the wire only to lose in OT. That is impressive enough. I mean, covering and losing by 20-29, ok, Sooners just overlooking them. But play to OT. Then, to top it off. Coming to Buffalo, a good Bulls team, off said heart breaker. Falling behind 7-0 a minute 10 into the game. And I had Buffalo!! - Falling behind 7-0 a minute into the game and winning 42-13! Army to the races. 45-17. 5* Best Bet ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS |
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10-20-18 | Michigan -7 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN here. We have Wolverines favored here - But lo and behold, the Spartans, 10-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this series last 10 game. MSU 17-5 ATS last 22 as dogs overall. Last year, as 13 faves at home, Wolverines fall 14-10 as O'INT, oops O'Korn tosses 3 INTs and Michigan gets nothing going on offense. Not so much of a problem this season. We have Michigan in off of crushing a decent Wiscy team. Michigan State in off a road upset of a good Penn State team. What is the difference for me is the Sparty offense, or lack of - 13 points vs Arizona State, 19 vs Northwestern - Heck, only 21 vs Penn State. Michigan has a pretty good defense themselves. Harbaugh finally getting some wins vs better Big 10 teams. 8* Sure Shot MICHIGAN |
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10-20-18 | Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 24 m | Show |
Taking SOONERS here. Yes, TCU with double revenge as Oklahoma picked them off twice last year. But Oklahoma in off their bye. Done licking wounds from last second FG by Texas to lose Red River Rivalry. They fire their DC so things can only get better on that side of the ball. Murray is a beast at the QB position. TCU is just having a bad year. I get the defense is still solid. The offense is down right anemic. 16-17-14 points scored their last 3 games. Sooners should win this one by double digits going away. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
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10-20-18 | Tulsa v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 4 m | Show |
Taking ARKANSAS. Ok. At first glance, this line does look a bit short. SEC only minus a TD vs AAC Tulsa squad. But the Hogs themselves just 1-6 with new HC Chad Morris enduring a tough run. Can't discount Tulsa coming in off a brutal loss against South Florida last week. Up 14 in the 4th, allow 15pt on USF final 3 drives for the loss. Ouch. Back to SEC vs AAC. I know Tulsa will want to play up to the big conference. But I can't see it happening. It isn't like we are laying double digits here. QB situation for visitors is rough. Skipper out after tossing 6 INTs to just 4 TDs and 716 yards. Enter Boomer who has been better? just 1 INT but 19 of 52 for 37% Completions. Yikes. Arkansas was competitive in 24-17 loss at Texas A&M. The put up 31 against Alabama for a cover 65-31 (+35). They did choke away a 27-10 lead over Ole Miss last game. But this is probably their last chance at a win. Chad Morris won't have his team overlooking a smaller school especially when his own school has just 1 win. Vandy, LSU at home up next, then 2 road games at Miss State and Missouri to end things. I look for a big win for the Razorbacks today. 10* Money Bomb ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS |
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10-19-18 | Predators v. Flames +103 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Grabbing the FLAMES. I get it. You want Nashville since Calgary beat these guys in the Preds home opener a little over a week ago. But I'm not buying that tonight. If Nashville had more than 1 loss the Flames would probably be a small home fave. Instead, we are getting them at a little bit of plus money. Against the grain we go for the win. 4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES |
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10-19-18 | Dodgers -120 v. Brewers | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the DODGERS. You know I like Ryu. I think this guy is their ace right now. I know Kershaw is a beast, but this guy has flown undercover for me since joining LA. 2 post season starts this year, .88 WHIP 12Ks 11 innings. Zero walks. At this price, it is really one of those 'no-brainer- type games for me. Miley was more than capable for Milwaukee in his 16 starts. A 2.57 ERA in 80.2 innings of work. Again, can't knock his numbers for the Brewers. That being said though, this LA team is deep and talented. They will play today like it is Game 7. 4* Money Maker LA DODGERS |
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10-19-18 | Celtics +3 v. Raptors | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CELTICS. Rolled with these guys Tuesday in Game 1, will back them nice and rested in their Game 2. Toronto is suppose to be a top team with Boston and Philly - But I am going to hold back a bit and wait to see how their new star gels. For Boston, they are deep. They clearly have a huge edge with their HC on the bench. He knows this team, and how to use his players. Celts get it done. 4* Money Maker BOSTON CELTICS |
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10-19-18 | Hornets v. Magic +2 | 120-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the MAGIC. So, I lost when I had the Heat opening night, and the Miami came back to bite me in the butt again as I had the Wizards. Note to self, stay off the Miami Heat. Tonight though, we will back the home dog. Orlando rebuilding. We get that. But the kids are going to play hard. Charlotte not really one of the better teams in my rankings. I don't think they should be favored on the road. 4* Money Maker ORLANDO MAGIC |
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10-18-18 | Sabres v. Sharks -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 131 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Going SHARKS on the PUCK LINE. Again, won't lay the huge number. And although I think Buffalo is an improved team, this is a tough spot for them. San Jose well rested and will be playing first home game since dropping a 5-2 game opening night. After a 5 game road trip they get the Sabres in game 3 of their own road trip, just lost in Vegas. I think San Jose takes care of the home ice and notch the win. 4* PL Money SAN JOSE SHARKS |
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