07-09-16 |
Mariners v. Royals -1.5 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
173 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
Going with the ROYALS on the RUN LINE here. I'll be honest. I look at the board and half the games I automatically wipe off the ticket with their huge lines. You know I will never grab someone at more than -150, and I just don't see good match-ups with the dogs. Granted, some of these guys can come through. But we are having a nice little 70% run the last 7 days and I am not going to force picks. KC is 21-7 in Volquez's last 28 home starts. Mariners 3-13 last 16 on the road. Their win yesterday snapped a 10 game road losing streak. I know KC hasn't been hitting at all lately (.199 L6 games), but I see a break out possible today vs Miley. He is sporting a 5.63 road ERA and teams are hitting better than .300 against him. He will go 6 give up 4 runs, walk a pair and maybe strike out 3. We will have our chances. 4* RL Money KC ROYALS
|
07-08-16 |
Nationals +107 v. Mets |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
107 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATIONALS here. Have to back Strasburg. Guy has been absolutely dominate. 11-0 in 15 starts. 123Ks in 99 innings. WHIP and BA against very good. He's 6-3 in 11 career starts vs Mets. Washington is 4-0 in his last 4 starts here in NY and 8-3 overall with him on the hill vs Mets. Syndergaard looked great vs the Cubs in his last outing. He had been a little shaky, and I was thinking his injury is more severe than being reported. The Nats rocked him for 5 runs in 3 innings just a couple weeks ago. I can't say much bad about 'Thor' His numbers are impressive. The odds say this is a toss up. But I think Strasburg rates a small edge based on his history vs New York. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
07-08-16 |
Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. I know Arrieta has been bad his last 3 starts only going 15.1 innings giving up 16 hits and 11 runs. Can't ignore his numbers though. A .187 BA against, 1.06 WHIP with career numbers 1.85 ERA in 6 starts vs Pirates makes this a play on. Liriano was blitzed twice on the road by the Cubs giving up 12 runs in 10+ innings on 15 hits. But he also had 13 strikeouts. So maybe being home he finds a better groove. I just think we see a better Arrieta and Liriano you would think would get back on track. 4* Total Money UNDER Cubs/Pirates
|
07-07-16 |
Padres +125 v. Dodgers |
|
6-0 |
Win
|
125 |
23 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking the PADRES here. Have to grab Pomeranz as a small dog her. I mean, maybe Ryu comes in 100% and strikes out 8 in 6 innings and the Dodgers win easily. But the guy hasn't faced real live MLB hitters in 640 days! The Triple A hitters slapped him with an 8+ ERA and .378 BA against. I get that it's a rehab and you are just getting back in the groove. But show me something. I don't care 80 pitches in single A ball. He isn't going deep in the game. LAD did use 8 relief pitchers in yesterday's marathon (we cashed on the O's) but they only pitched an inning. That is still a long day for everyone at the park. So Pomeranz has been on my radar since being shipped to Oakland and escaping Colorado. The kid has good stuff. A tough little lefty coming into his prime. The record is not good, but the ERA is fantastic. 2.65 .191 BA against, 1.09 WHIP and 109Ks in 95 innings. A 2.66 road ERA coupled with a 1.08 WHIP and .177 BA against gives us a solid shot vs a tired lineup tonight. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES
|
07-07-16 |
Mariners v. Royals -125 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROYALS here. Fading away here on James Paxton. And with good reason. A 5.19 road ERA with a .359 BA against and a WHIP of nearly 2. Mariners 3-14 last 17 road games (not counting last night) 2-6 Paxton's last 8 starts and 3-9 his last 12 on the road. Enter Danny Duffy. KC is 7-3 his last 10 starts and 24-9 his last 33 at home. He is off b2b gems of 8 innings, 8 Ks. I nearly went RL +160 here but there is value at this price with this home team. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS
|
07-06-16 |
Orioles +113 v. Dodgers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
113 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES
|
07-06-16 |
Reds +162 v. Cubs |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
162 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS
|
07-06-16 |
A's v. Twins -105 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS
|
07-06-16 |
Tigers v. Indians UNDER 8.5 |
|
12-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Tigers/Indians
|
07-05-16 |
A's v. Twins OVER 9.5 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
102 |
22 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER A's / Twins
|
07-05-16 |
Rangers +177 v. Red Sox |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
177 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. The Price is always right when we fade David vs the Rangers. 5.78 career ERA vs the Rangers. Regular season, post season. Doesn't matter. Sometimes, a team just has a pitchers number. Price is 5-2 at home, but sports a 4.70 ERA in 9 starts. We had the Rangers 2 weeks ago when they bombed him in Texas getting wrecked for 6 earned in 2+ innings of work on 12 hits. 12! Griffin has picked up right where he left off before getting injured. Quietly putting together a solid, under the radar year. 2.93 ERA 8 starts, 42Ks in 43+ innings of work, .192 BA against and 1.09 WHIP 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
07-05-16 |
Brewers v. Nationals OVER 8.5 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. Nothing I like better than jumping on an over after a 1-0 game. We get a pair of pitchers tonight that are very hitter friendly. Right off the bat we see Gio with an ERA approaching 4.60 at home. Fact is, he has been on the decline for what is now his 4th straight year. ERA has risen every year. Strike outs down, innings down, hits up. Gio 6-2-1 over last 10. Davies looks like he hit a wall the last 2 starts. He has a near 5.50 road ERA and batters are slapping him at a .291 clip. Over is 9-3-1 last 14 in the series. 10* Total Money OVER Brewers/ Nats
|
07-04-16 |
Yankees v. White Sox +119 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
119 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. I know that Shields had been absolutely destroyed since coming to the AL. But his last 2 starts have been decent. 1 run in 6.2 innings. 3 in 5 innings. Not good, but a huge improvement over giving up 32 in 12.1. So, we get the Yankees coming out of SD, late afternoon game. Playing another afternoon game. I just don't like this scheduling spot for them. CC has taken a turn for the worse his last 2 outings. 15 hits and 12 runs in 11+ innings. 5Ks 3 BBs. CC looks to be showing his age finally this year after a nice 2 month stretch. Give me the small home dogs against a team 6 games under .500 on the road. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
07-04-16 |
A's v. Twins OVER 9.5 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER A's / Twins
|
07-03-16 |
Rockies +118 v. Dodgers |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 6 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. I will grab Gray as a small dog here. He hasn't pitched bad the last month. 3.77 ERA is respectable enough. He has 34 Ks in 31 innings to go with a 1.00 WHIP and .204 BA against. You know how I feel about the Dodgers line-up. The way Gray has pitched, he can get us the win here. Especially as he faces Brandon McCarthy making his first start since TJ surgery. He didn't have an over powering rehab in 4 minor games. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
07-03-16 |
Angels v. Red Sox -109 |
|
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking the RED SOX here. You lose a game 21-2 giving up 22 hits, I will back you every time the next time out. Angels still 2-10 their last 12. I know Boston hasn't been tearing things up, but after getting a flat out can of whoop ass dropped on them Saturday, I have to take them at this price. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX
|
07-02-16 |
Yankees v. Padres -130 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 0 m |
Show
|
Taking the PADRES here. I'll grab Pomeranz at this price. Guy is 7-7 but sports a 2.76 ERA, a .190 BA against and 101 Ks in 88 innings. Nova has a 6.98 road ERA and opposing hitters are raking .333 against him. He had a 7.52 ERA in 5 June starts. I know Petco is a 'pitchers' park, but Nova has been brutal. 4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO PADRES
|
07-01-16 |
White Sox +156 v. Astros |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. I have to grab the dogs here. Sox have won 7 of 10 but looks bad compared to the 9 of 10 the Astros have run off. That being said. How can I not grab the money here against Fiers. He has pitched into the 7th just once his last 6 starts. He has made it to the 6th in through the 6th in 2 of those. I now Gonzalez has flip flopped bad starts. Like bad. 7 and 8 runs. But in between that, we got 6.2 of 1 run ball on 4 hits and 1 run ball on 6 innings on 3 hits prior. We take out 5 road runs he allowed in his first start and Gonzalez has given up 9 runs in 35 innings which isn't too shabby. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
07-01-16 |
Cubs v. Mets +104 |
|
2-10 |
Win
|
104 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking the METS here. I had the Cubs last night. Thought we had a win and another sweep in our pockets before an error costs us and we can't push across a run with guys on 2nd and 3rd with no outs. It hurts, but we will do what we do. Bounce back with a Winner. Now, if we did cash that game, we would probably be laying the short number with the Cubs over the reeling Mets. But I think with deGrom on the hill, and a jolt of life in them after last nights big win, Mets make it 2 straight here. Hammel started out great. Guy is having a nice year. But deGrom has been a victim of zero run support. I think the Mets scrape enough offense here to get the guy a win, since he hasn't had won since April 30th. Cubs have dropped 4 straight Hammel starts and 4 of his last 5 on the road. Mets 19-9 L28 at home with deGrom on the hill. 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
07-01-16 |
Indians +126 v. Blue Jays |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
126 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Look. I would have probably taken the Jays if they were a dog tonight. Plus, the line has moved up a bit since opening. Tough betting a team that hasn't lost in weeks as Cleveland has run off 13 straight wins. But being a small dog here, I'll bite. I mean, we have Stroman for the Jays who isn't anything like he was last year. He 5.33 ERA for the year is bad, but his last 5 in June, hello, 7.76. When hitters are roping you to the tune of a .364 average, you aren't helping the situation. I guess we can say Tomlin is struggling giving up 3 runs in back to back games. A 2.60 ERA in June shows me has been constant, and will keep us within striking distance. Tribe 10-1 in Tomlin's last 11 road starts. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-30-16 |
Cubs -130 v. Mets |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-130 |
20 h 40 m |
Show
|
Taking the CUBS here. Look. I like Matz. A lot. I was all over this kid after his first start of the year. I thought he had some great stuff and he ran off 7 straight wins. Since then though, buyer beware. 0-2 in his 4 June starts posting an ERA near 6 (5.91). They are talking surgery for bone spurs in his pitching elbow. Clearly something has bothered him lately. Now. I am no huge fan of John Lackey, especially coming off his worse outing of the year. But I like the Cubs here in payback mode from the playoffs. And we have the Mets in a free fall, getting swept by the Nationals, losing 4 straight and 6 of 10. Their offense is down right ugly with James Loney, Kelly Johnson and Alejandro De Aza, batting clean-up, 6th and lead-off yesterday. Yikes. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO CUBS
|
06-30-16 |
Indians -115 v. Blue Jays |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Ugh. Not really a fan of taking a team laying, no matter how small on the road with a 12 game win streak. But the price is right for us with Carrasco. Guy has been a beast sporting a 1.95 ERA and .87 WHIP in 5 road starts. RA Dickey has been terrible at home going 0-5 and with a 5.36 in 7 games. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-29-16 |
Twins v. White Sox -105 |
|
6-9 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Ugh.. James Shields. I think this could be the last time I back this guy. Twins 1-6 last 7 vs Chicago. Off a win last night and have Nolasco going here. Compared to his last 2 seasons in Minny, his numbers this year are great. If we are going to go on numbers and how bad Shields has been the last month, then we have to look at Nolasco's last years! Look. I think Shields wasn't terrible his last start in Boston 3 earned in 5. The 4 walks don't help us, and that concerns me. Maybe he's over-throwing feeling the pressure. I'm not a pitching coach. I do think the White Sox have a better team though. We aren't laying a big number at all. Basically, even money. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
06-28-16 |
Mets v. Nationals -114 |
|
0-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATS here. So I had the Mets last night. I was thinking up 4-0 we had a winner in the bag. Well the wheels, in my eyes, are falling off this Mets season. They have some serious injury question marks for a couple pitchers. Tonight's starter Harvey, well let's just say he went from team darling to team d---. We can fill in the blanks. But the fact is he has not been the same pitcher this season. He might have turned a corner this month with a 2.88 ERA in 4 starts, but I can't trust him or this lineup. I mean. How far has this team fallen that they are a small dog to a kid making his first start? Washington bats exploded last night, and I have to think that Dusty Baker will want to kick their division foes while they are down. 4* Money Money WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
06-28-16 |
Rangers -105 v. Yankees |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. As I said in yesterday's write up. How can you back NYY? CC is having a great year, but I don't think that by any stretch of the imagination that he is was going to continue to pitch (.80 ERA or whatever) like his last 7 starts before getting beat up by the Rockies. Plus he rolled an ankle. I'm just not buying it. He has over achieved all year. The Yankee hitters are not scary to me at all. Especially with Hamels for us tonight. He has a tidy 1,82 June ERA. Rangers 13-3 L16 when Hamels faces a team with losing record and 22-5 his last 27 starts overall. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
06-27-16 |
Rangers +121 v. Yankees |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
121 |
21 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. I don't care who is pitching for the Rangers. Chi Chi Rodriguez? Chi Chi Gonzalez? Speedy Gonzalez? Ivan Rodriguez? Juan Gonzalez? Who the heck is Ivan Nova and the New York Yankees to be favored over the team tied (Giants 49) with the most wins in MLB? Nova has a 6.88 ERA his last 6 starts, 5.18 on the year with a BA against of .292. Texas will get some hits. Chi Chi believe it or not, even with a 3.90 ERA last year he had a respectable .202 BA against and a 1.21 WHIP. I live in NJ. For the last 20 years I have seen Yankee teams, and good teams that won World Series games and 90+ wins a season lose to guys getting call ups and spot starts. This bunch of Bronx 'Bombers' and I use that term not as powering HRs, but being a total dud, will probably be made to look like fools tonight. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
06-27-16 |
Indians v. Braves +162 |
|
8-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
Taking the BRAVES here. Look. Indians are very good. What, 9 straight. Just beat up on the Tigers and opened up a 5 game lead in the Central. I had the Indians at the beginning of the year winning their division, so I am not shocked. The pitching is young and solid and strikes guys out. But I can see a bit of a let down here. Their 'Jobu' shrine might need another shot of rum after this Braves game. Atlanta has quietly won 7 of 10. They aren't nearly as good as the Tribe by any stretch of the imagination. Bauer is off a CG and not sure if he will go very deep tonight. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES
|
06-27-16 |
Mets -104 v. Nationals |
|
4-11 |
Loss |
-104 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking the METS here. Look. This is all about Syndergaard. I think he is much better than Joe Ross. Nats had just lost 7 in row before salvaging a win yesterday vs the Brewers. The offense is in a bit of a sputter. When was the last time Harper had a huge week. Heck. A good few games in a row. He has struggled vs the Mets already this year. Maybe Daniel Murphy hurts his old team. But my money is on 'Thor' tonight. 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
06-26-16 |
Dodgers v. Pirates +248 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
248 |
22 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking the PIRATES here. Yeah. I will go against Kershaw. I mean. He isn't that good right? He only leads MLB in ERA (1.57), innings pitched (115), Ks(141), WHIP (.67), strikeout-to-walk ratio ( 141-7)and shutouts. Oh. He hasn't lost in what, 11 starts. And finally, he is facing a rookie making his debut. On ESPN Sunday night baseball! What could possibly go wrong for Pittsburgh tonight? The stars are aligned for a Pirates win. The young righty has nice minor league career numbers and for the 2016 season. Let's be honest here. There is not a chance that I lay 260 or whatever on the road with anyone on the hill. Kershaw can go 8+, strikeout 10 and lose 1-0. I really don't trust the Dodgers lineup when laying this kind of number. Grab the home pups here. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH PIRATES
|
06-26-16 |
Phillies +230 v. Giants |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking PHILLY here. I know Nola has had a brutal go of it his last 3 outings. Hoping he hasn't hit a wall as he has reached or passed his numbers from last season. He had give up 7 road earned runs all year before 11 in his last 2 road starts. He still has a more than respectable 1.03 road WHIP and .203 road BA against. This price is too good to pass up even as great as Cueto has performed this year. For what it is worth, Cueto 1-4 5.05 career vs Phils. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
|
06-26-16 |
Twins +200 v. Yankees |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
200 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
Taking the TWINS here. How the heck is Nathan Eovaldi laying this number? The guy has a 5 ERA on the year. He has a 9 ERA this month as he hasn't given up less than 4 runs in his starts in June. Opposing hitters are crushing him to the tune of a .356 BA Against. Add in a 1.90 WHIP and I have to think the Twins score here. I had the over here yesterday. You see my write up. Coming into that game the Minny had gone 17-1-1 over the last 19. In nearly half of those games they put up 6 or more runs so they are more than capable of scoring here. I can't say anything positive about Tyler Duffey. His stats are as bad or worse than Eovaldi's. But at this price, I have to take the dog. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS
|
06-26-16 |
Twins v. Yankees OVER 9.5 |
|
7-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Twins/Yankees
|
06-25-16 |
Nationals -137 v. Brewers |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-137 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATS here. I was thisclose to pulling the trigger on the Brewers last night and it is easy now to say I should have done it. Especially now as I am about to lay a couple bucks with a road fave mired in a 6 game losing streak. Gio has struggled the last month, but the guy has the stuff to end this streak. And honestly, how do you trust Matt Garza? Two limited inning (4,6 innings) starts off the DL? His numbers career wise vs Nats are terrible (7.17 ERA 8 starts). Nats 4-1 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts vs Brewers. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
06-25-16 |
Indians -136 v. Tigers |
|
6-0 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Remember when Anibal Sanchez was an ERA leader with a 2.57 spot back in 2013? 3.43, 4.99 now 5.97 in 2016. After 9 innings of 2 run ball out of the pen, the Tigers feel he has found himself I guess. .290 BA against, 1.60 WHIP makes me think the Tribe gets some easy runs here. Carrasco has a 2.70 road ERA paired with a .235 BA against and .99 WHIP. Not too shabby for a little road fave. Indians also riding a 7 game win streak. We know exactly what we are getting from Carrasco. Cleveland 5-0 last 5 here in Detroit and 11-1 last 12 overall vs Tigers. Sanchez is 1-4 his last 5 home starts vs Indians. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-25-16 |
Diamondbacks v. Rockies -121 |
Top |
6-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. Will fade away on Shelby Miller and his 9+ ERA here at Coors Field. Yeah. I must have a pretty big pair to unload on Jorge DeLaRosa and his 7+ ERA on the year. But the Rockies are 11-1 in DLR's last 12 home starts vs DBacks. He is 23-5 his last 28 home starts and 56-17 last 73. The guy wins at home for whatever reason and has owned Arizona here. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-25-16 |
Twins v. Yankees OVER 9 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
Going OVER the total here. I did into totals sometimes, but I am a little upset that I have missed this Twins over streak. 7 straight overs, 12 of 13, and a 17-1-1 last 19. Holy Cow. We'll ride it this afternoon. 4* Total Money OVER Twins/ Yankees
|
06-24-16 |
Red Sox v. Rangers +164 |
|
8-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the RANGERS here. Will grab Texas as they have won 8 of 10. These guys still sitting in first out in the AL West. The Price isn't right when David faces the Rangers. 4-8 5.27 ERA career (16 games) and that ERA balloons to 6.54 when in Texas. Rangers 8-3 last 11 in the series and 5-1 last 6 here at home vs Sox. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
06-24-16 |
Padres v. Reds -115 |
|
13-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking the REDS here. So Reed is making his 2nd career start. Not too shaby in his first striking out 9 in 7 innings. He did give up 4 runs. Rea is off arguably his best start of the year giving up 2 runs in 6+ innings of work. But that isn't saying much since he has a a 5 ERA on the year. He has a 6.33 ERA and .290 BA against in his June starts. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS
|
06-24-16 |
Indians -107 v. Tigers |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Will grab Salazar at this price. The kid is having a great year and even better month of June. 4 earned in 20+ innings to go with 24 Ks. Barely a 1 WHIP and sub .200 BA against pitching in this park make it an easy call. Zimmerman is off a gem, but had been roughed up in 2 previous starts. His home splits are not impressive at all with a 4.43 ERA in 7 starts. Again, Salazar with a 2.84 road ERA, .194 BA against 1.34 WHIP. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-22-16 |
Rays v. Indians -115 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Now. Chris Archer is a strike out machine with 103 in 86 innings. But his road numbers are not good at all. 3-4 in 8 starts 6.75 ERA, .308 BA Against and 1.79 WHIP. He has a 4.12 ERA his last 3 starts and 4.56 here in his 4 June starts. Trevor Bauer on the other hand has been dealing of late. A 2.12 June ERA 28Ks 29 innings. Add in a .204 BA against and 1.01 WHIP and we have the edge here on the hill. Rays have lost 6 straight and 7 of their last 10. Indians sitting atop the AL Central on a 5 game win streak. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-21-16 |
White Sox +105 v. Red Sox |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. How can I not grab Sale at this price. I think he should probably be favored in the 130 range. He has been that good this year. The first 11 game winner. Only has a 1.01 WHIP to his name. Has been better on the road than at home stat wise. 5-1 2.09 ERA .212 BA against .99 WHIP with a SHO and 2 CGs to his name. Buchholz is back from the bullpen where he gave up 4 runs in 9.1 innings. That is what he is. A guy who looks good for 2 innings before giving up 4 runs in 2 different frames. Sox 12-3 in Sale's last 15 starts. Boston 3-8 in Clay's last 11. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
06-21-16 |
Rockies +158 v. Yankees |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
158 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. I will be totally honest here. I really want to grab a lot of dogs today. Padres, DBacks, Braves, KC, Tampa, Reds. the Angels.. But the way I have been losing games lately, I can't put out 9 games. The bankroll just couldn't handle a 1-8 night even betting dogs. That being said. I think this is our best value tonight on the dog front. The Yankees offense is one of the most miserable in baseball. I know the Rockies at least have some front line hitters who actually hit. Beltran is the only real threat for NY right now. Nova's ERA is over 6 his last 5 starts. Bettis isn't mowing down hitter in any stretch of the word. But he did ok vs the Yanks at home last week allowing 2 earned in 6 innings with 5 Ks. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-20-16 |
Cardinals +150 v. Cubs |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
150 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS
|
06-20-16 |
Rockies +112 v. Marlins |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
112 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. DeLaRosa has some ugly numbers on the year. But he seems to be finding a groove since coming out of the bullpen. His last start he went 5 innings giving up just 3 hits. In his previous 3 relief appearances, we see combined numbers of 13 innings, 11Ks 6 hits with a WHIP near 1 and BAA in the 120s. Paul Clemens of Miami is making his first MLB appearance since 2014 and just his 6th career start. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-20-16 |
Mariners -135 v. Tigers |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking the MARINERS here. Not really a fan of taking slumping teams, but as I have already this season, I will fade Pelfrey. And why not, opposing hitters are slapping him at home to the tune of a .341 average. 9 HRs 46 hits in 32 innings. Karns hasn't been lighting the world on fire, but I think he is better than Pelfrey here. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS
|
06-19-16 |
Angels v. A's +117 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's
|
06-19-16 |
Tigers v. Royals +1.5 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
06-19-16 |
Reds +174 v. Astros |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS
|
06-19-16 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles -112 |
|
6-11 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES
|
06-19-16 |
Giants v. Rays -131 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-131 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
06-19-16 |
Braves v. Mets UNDER 6.5 |
|
6-0 |
Win
|
110 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Braves/ Mets
|
06-18-16 |
Nationals v. Padres UNDER 7 |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 34 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Right off the bat, the Padres offense is absolutely terrible. I should have my head examined for taking them last night. Scherzer can possible toss a no-no or even perfect game tonight. A 1.23 June ERA with 28Ks in 22 innings for a tidy .68 WHIP. As long as Petco can keep the Nats from going deep, I think we see a 5-0 win here for Mad Max. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
06-18-16 |
Rockies +126 v. Marlins |
|
6-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. Lost with a couple dogs yesterday (Mil,SD) and again will look to take back some dollars. Chatwood has an MLB best .65 road ERA working in his favor and is 5-0 in 6 starts there. A .168 BA against and .84 WHIP. As for Chen. I have backed him a couple times this year. I thought he would be good in the NL. He had very respectable ERAs pitching in Baltimore. But the long ball has dogged him since arriving in Miami. 15 in his 13 starts. He is sporting a 5.71 June ERA. I can't back a guy like that vs someone with Chatwood's road numbers. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-18-16 |
Giants +132 v. Rays |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
132 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking the GIANTS here. I have to fade Matt Moore here. He is off his best start of the year. But that isn't saying much. He had a 5.56 ERA going into his last start and after going 7 scoreless, first time he's held a team scoreless, his ERA is now 5.05. Suarez is making just his 3rd start. Even if he goes 5 or 6 innings here, I will be comfortable with a rested SF bullpen that didn't see action last night, and has pitched 2 innings since Wednesday. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS
|
06-17-16 |
Nationals v. Padres +153 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
06-17-16 |
Brewers +150 v. Dodgers |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS
|
06-16-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -2 |
|
101-115 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking the CAVS here. We cashed huge on the ML last game as we didn't even need the points. I thought coming into the series Cleveland had at shot a winning it all, and that hasn't changed. We get a short number here and everyone will be on the under dog defending champions. Yeah, they get the Ball-Hunter back. And people. The suspension was well deserved. He should have been ejected for his kick to Adams in the Thunder series. Now. Do we think that Green can really control himself? I wouldn't be shocked to see LeBron or Love or Smith get in his face and make him do something stupid. Curry to me is the 3rd best guy on his team right now. Klay is killing it. But hopefully, the Cavs home-court gets us to back to Oakland. Would I like to see James and Kyrie go for 80 again. Absolutely. But I think minus Boget, Love plays a bigger role here. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
|
06-16-16 |
Tigers v. Royals +109 |
|
10-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROYALS here. I like this kid Duffy. Back in '14 I picked him up in fantasy. Kid was pretty solid. He has shown some good stuff. He just needs the role full time. He has improved his last 3 outings as he stretches his arm back out. I know we are going to get a solid 6+ from him. Plus. This line. Looks a bit suspect to me. I have faded Verlander a couple times and he has been anything but going 4-2 1.93 ERA last 7 starts. He also has dominated KC to the tune of a 20-8 record over his career. Yet, he is only laying 115 here? 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS
|
06-15-16 |
Indians -133 v. Royals |
|
4-9 |
Loss |
-133 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. You know I really don't like to lay a big number and we are getting close to my cut off point. But that being said, I like the value with Kluber here. We have yet to see him in his peak, but he has put together some more than solid outings of late. His 2 May starts have been dominate. His WHIP and BAA are better than most. Kennedy is trying to find the glory of 4 years ago. His last 2 starts have been disasters. As much as I am fading him here, I am also thinking that the KC lineup will have some trouble here who he has had success against. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-14-16 |
Marlins v. Padres UNDER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
Going UNDER the total here. Pomeranz is having a nice little year overall. At home, the numbers impress with a 1.52 ERA .183 BA against 1.04 WHIP (2.44 .184 1.11 numbers on the year). This a good pitchers park.. Koehler has a tidy 2.89 ERA his last 7 starts. His season ERA of 4.36 is skewed in my eyes since he gave up 13 earned in 6 innings in 2 starts. 4* Total Money UNDER Marlins / Padres
|
06-14-16 |
Yankees v. Rockies +101 |
|
10-13 |
Win
|
101 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. This is really a bet for me on DeLaRosa. Colorado 55-17 in his home starts. That is winning a lot more than losing with him on the hill. Yanks are flirting with .500, but who really expects them to be in playoff contention? At least the Rockies embrace the losing and try to rebuild. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-14-16 |
Indians -123 v. Royals |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-123 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Tomlin has beaten KC twice already this year and is now 8-4 career vs the Royals. Cleveland also has won 11 straight and 17 of his last 20 starts. Again, we get a guy on a team that just wins when he is on the hill. Young is nearly 40, with an ERA north of 6. The Indians belted him for 5 runs back on June 5th. Nothing has changed. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-13-16 |
Cavs +8 v. Warriors |
|
112-97 |
Win
|
100 |
60 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVS
|
06-13-16 |
Tigers v. White Sox +100 |
|
9-10 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. I know Shields was pounded in his Sox debut. And his last 2 starts have been absolutely horrible. 4+ innings, 16 hits, 17 earned. I attribute that to knowing his time in SD was coming to an end, and overthrowing to show his new team that he hadn't lost anything. But, who the heck am I? Just some guy trying to find value betting bases. Shields is not the 'Big Game James' of years past. Not even sure what that means since he is 3-6 5.46 ERA in 11 post season starts. Regardless. He had an ERA of 3.06 before his last 2 starts. I think he regroups here as he is on a team that can hit. Has a decent pen. And he isn't the #1 or even the #2 so that takes some pressure off of him. Boyd is a youngster who I really don't have a feel on yet. I just think at this price, we play the veteran with something to prove. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
06-13-16 |
Cubs v. Nationals -122 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATS here. One. Anytime I can get someone like Scherzer at this price, I am jumping on the train. I am not going to say he has been unhittable. He is sporting an ERA at over 3.50. But the BA against is a solid .212 and a WHIP of 1.05 isn't terrible. He is still missing bats, (107Ks 88inn). I also think that we get the advantage of a guy with something to prove tonight. Last time in Wrigley, (May 6) the Cubbies bombed him for 7 earned in 5 innings. I am not knocking Hendricks one bit. The guy has given up more than 2 runs just once his last 8 starts. The one that helps us though is his poor road numbers. 1-4 4.23 ERA. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
06-12-16 |
Penguins +102 v. Sharks |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
102 |
35 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker PITT PENGUINS
|
06-12-16 |
Cardinals v. Pirates -106 |
|
8-3 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES
|
06-12-16 |
Rangers +103 v. Mariners |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
103 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
06-12-16 |
Marlins +100 v. Diamondbacks |
|
0-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS
|
06-12-16 |
Padres +148 v. Rockies |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
06-12-16 |
Tigers +115 v. Yankees |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
115 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS
|
06-12-16 |
Astros -127 v. Rays |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-127 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
06-11-16 |
Rangers +145 v. Mariners |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
145 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS
|
06-11-16 |
Indians +108 v. Angels |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-11-16 |
Cubs v. Braves UNDER 7 |
|
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Cubs/ Braves
|
06-10-16 |
Indians -128 v. Angels |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. I am still looking for a more consistent Kluber, but I really think it won't matter. I mean, if he gives up 6 we might have a problem, but that being said, the Angels are in some kind of downward spiral. They just got swept by the Yanks. Now they fly all the way back home to face a Cleveland team who just played up the coast. Just a bad spot all around here for them. Santiago has given up 19 runs in his last 15+ innings. I had LAA as a team under bet to start the year and they are more than living up to my limit opinion of them. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-10-16 |
Marlins v. Diamondbacks -138 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-138 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
Taking the DBACKS here. I like Corbin. I think he is finally coming around healthy. This is a weird little team in Arizona. They have not played well. Marlins some how winning and Stanton has forgot that he is suppose to hit the ball. Nicolino though. Eh. Guy hasn't gotten through the 6 inning in what seems like ever (5 starts). Miami broke through to salvage a game vs the Twins yesterday but are just 2-4 their last 6. Marlins swept the series back in early May, and I think Arizona gets some revenge here tonight. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
|
06-10-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -125 |
|
108-97 |
Loss |
-125 |
24 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking the CAVS here. Going for 4 in a row with Cleveland. Finally got in the win column with them in Game 3 after ML losers in 1&2. Like I said earlier. I thought the Cavs could win this series. Not going to change my mind here, especially off a commanding win. And, as I mentioned in the Thunder series. I don't think Curry is 100%. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
|
06-10-16 |
Tigers +130 v. Yankees |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
Taking the TIGERS here. As you already know, I have had Pelfrey on my fade train many a start this season. But I will gladly take him as dog tonight. He actually has been pretty good in 3 of his last 4 starts. 4 runs in 16 innings. His one bad outing, 11 hits, 4 runs, 6 innings vs Phils. Maybe he has turned the corner a bit. Regardless, I think the Tigers can hit CC. I was ready to push CC to the pen during spring training. But the guy has turned back the clock, and is arguably the Yanks best pitcher with Tanaka. A 2.58 ERA? Come on. He gave up 3 runs in every April start and has proceeded to give up exactly 3 runs in every start (5) since. I just think we have to see some regression here and at this price, I think its worth it. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS
|
06-09-16 |
Sharks v. Penguins -148 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-148 |
33 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking the PENS here to close things out. Cashed with them last game after riding the Sharks early. I will sprinkle some PL +200 in also to get us the extra cash when the Pitt wins this one 4-1 tonight. 4* Money Maker PITT PENGUINS
|
06-09-16 |
Mets v. Brewers -107 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
Taking the BREWERS here. I have lost with the Mets against the Pirates this week. But this isn't really fading them as much as fading Colon. I love the chubby guy. But come on. The fact is he barely goes 6 inning. And not for nothing, but the lack of hitting is a concern if yo are a Mets fan. Milwaukee trots out Jimmy Nelson. The kid is off his worse outing of the season. He had pitched good heading into that game. The Brewers are a bit hot of late and are within striking distance of .500 winning 10 of their last 15. Mets in a bit of a slump. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS
|
06-09-16 |
Nationals v. White Sox +118 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
118 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX. Yeah, these guys are slumping. But I really like this spot for them. 11-0 nothing last night. Miguel Gonzalez is going to give us 6 innings tonight.Nothing fancy. Just a solid outing and what we need here. And I just find that teams getting bombed respond the day after. Nats are a very good. That isn't the argument I am making. I just see this line come down and have to take the home dog here. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
06-09-16 |
Pirates v. Rockies -113 |
|
5-11 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
Taking the ROCKIES here. This is really all about the scheduling spot here. Pitt in a 9 game home stand, but has to come to Colorado for a rain game. Locke has pitched good lately, while Bettis has been less than stellar to say the least. This is just one of those spots, between the line, and travel, where I have to take what looks like the ugly starting pitcher. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES
|
06-09-16 |
Astros -115 v. Rangers |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
06-08-16 |
Red Sox v. Giants -115 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
06-08-16 |
Indians -102 v. Mariners |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
06-08-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs -102 |
|
90-120 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the CAVS here. Again. 0-2 here in the Finals as the Cleveland couldn't steal one for our money-line selections. Look. I thought the Cavs would actually win this thing. James gave GS all it could handle alone last year. Maybe if Love is out that opens things up here. If we can't grab one tonight, we will be on the Warriors to close this out the rest of the way. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
|
06-07-16 |
PARAGUAY v. Colombia -101 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-16 |
Astros -1.5 v. Rangers |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking the ASTROS here and going RL for the big pay-day. I know that Keuchel has been brutal this year. Rangers smacked him for 7 runs just 2 starts ago. But that is one of the reasons I am on him here. Also. Why is this line so low? Astros haven't beaten the Rangers since I can't even remember. They are 2-7 in Keuchel's last 9 starts. Rangers seem to win every game that Hamels starts. 18-5 last 23 overall and 10-2 at home with him on the hill. I think those trends reverse tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
06-07-16 |
Costa Rica +477 v. United States |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
06-07-16 |
Mets +108 v. Pirates |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
(rained out from Monday) Taking the METS here. Lost with these guys yesterday. But, Harvey pitched like he I thought he would. Just couldn't muster any offense vs a very good pitcher. Niese has a nice 5-2 record, but isn't remotely close to Jose Fernandez. We have backed Matz often this year and has paid off dividends. This line is a little low, but I can't walk away from a guy with his numbers. He just finished May with a .76 WHIP (1.05 year). 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
06-07-16 |
G2 New York Mets -114 v. G2 Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-114 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking the METS here in Game 2. Like taking Matz in Game 1, I have to grab the better starter on the hill. Even though deGrom hasn't been awesome like he was last year, they guy is still very good. Juan Nicasio is average at best, and the Mets should be able to muscle across some runs here. 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
06-06-16 |
Penguins +125 v. Sharks |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
125 |
33 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking the PENGUINS here. Ok. Had the Sharks all series and last series. But I think the ride is over. Hate to end a nice winning season on the ice going down in flames here in the Finals. 4* Money Maker PITT PENGUINS
|
06-05-16 |
Cavs +6.5 v. Warriors |
|
77-110 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
Taking the CAVS again. Nothing to say here. I like Cleveland for the series. I had them ML and plus the points in Game 1. I am doing it again here. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
|
06-05-16 |
White Sox +125 v. Tigers |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Verlander has been pitching much better in his May starts. 2 SHOs and he has lowered his ERA to respectability. I think the White Sox have a nice shot in the arm getting James Shields. Guy is a solid innings eater and will help deepen the rotation. It shows they are 'all in' as they say in going for it. I would have liked a bat to help today, but I think they are heading in the right direction. As for our starter, can Quintana get some offensive help please. 4 straight losses for a guy who's ERA 'ballooned' to a robust 2.13 after a 2-4 2.61 ERA month of May. I like my dogs. I like betting on pitchers who give us a chance in their starts. Quintana is the epitome of what I look for. A 1.03 WHIP and .227 BA against shows he limits hitters. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX
|
06-05-16 |
Mets +158 v. Marlins |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
Taking the METS here. We had the Marlins yesterday and they couldn't hold on. Here. Look. I'll be honest. You have read my write-ups. I am as down on Harvey as anyone. And as much as I love Jose Fernandez, I can't lay that number with him. Especially vs a guy like Harvey who just showed you in his last start what he is capable of doing. I am not saying Harvey is 100% and will be dominate from here on out. But I do think he is more than likely to have a couple good starts in row which he had done earlier this year. 4* Money Maker NY METS
|
06-04-16 |
Penguins v. Sharks -1.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
Going SHARKS Puck Line here. Desperate times call for desperate measures. Thought we were going to steal at least 1 in Pittsburgh. Basically do or die time for San Jose. I think they get this one 3-1, 4-2 style. Heck, 4-0- make it easy for us $ 4* PL Money SAN JOSE SHARKS
|
06-04-16 |
Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8.5 |
|
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Yankees/ Orioles
|
06-04-16 |
A's v. Astros -1.5 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* RL Money HOUSTON ASTROS
|
06-04-16 |
Mets v. Marlins +101 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS
|