10-15-17 |
Giants v. Broncos -11.5 |
Top |
23-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
128 h 54 m |
Show
|
Taking the BRONCOS tonight. Big number for sure. But when I first look at a game I say this to myself. Who wins this game? If you win, you are more than likely covering. If I like a dog, I am not saying to myself.. Man.. Can't wait to catch the back door. I am thinking we win outright. Are the Giants winning outright tonight? Toss out the line. Look at the state of these 2 teams, and franchises as a whole. Giants at 0-5 just lost to a team that was 0-4 with a rookie HC on their own field when for all intention purposes this was a 'circle the wagons' 'must win' any analogy type game. NYG lost their best offensive weapon in ODB for the year. Their other WRs are also hobled. Hello No Fly Zone Denver defense. No rush attack for the G-Men to take pressure off Eli. Broncos in off of a bye week. Do we not think Von Miller and company are licking their chops waiting to face this OL? Denver destroyed the Cowboys. Giants not as good as Dallas and sure as heck aren't built to make a comeback or keep the Denver offense off the field. It is Tuesday, but I am saying we see Geno Smith playing at least a half on Sunday night. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS
|
10-15-17 |
Cubs +141 v. Dodgers |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS
|
10-15-17 |
Steelers +188 v. Chiefs |
|
19-13 |
Win
|
188 |
21 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking the STEELERS here, and looking ML. You can grab +4 if you don't like extra money! -- Ugh. As much as I like this game, there is just as much doubt in my head. I see Big Ben off arguably the worse game he has ever played. Then there is the retirement talk. Sideline antics. Bell not looking like he is ready to play. The whole anthem thing. This team is turmoil just getting shredded at home by the Jags. We had Pitt last week. A Jags team playing 3 straight on the road! - Maybe Pitt, in a Ravens / KC sandwich didn't come 100% focused. This team is way to talented on offense for a game like that last week. KC with some injury concerns. Kelce and Hill banged up. Not sure of either status, but both are a hit or tweak away from not playing. Already lost Conley for the year. Again -I just think in the old 'circle the wagons' type of game we have to grab the dog. 4* PITT STEELERS
|
10-15-17 |
49ers v. Redskins OVER 46.5 |
|
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER San Fran/ Skins
|
10-15-17 |
49ers v. Redskins -10 |
|
24-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
98 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking the REDSKINS today. Ugh. Hate laying these huge numbers. But for me. Let's pick the winner. Niners now 0-4 by a combined 11 points in those losses! How about 2 straight OT losses. I get these guys are playing tough for the new coach, but come on. Now the are playing the early game on the east coast. So here they are for their 3rd straight road game. I have to say, I also like the Over 46.5 today. I think we see some points from the Niners. But I think that Cousins wants to do something special today also. He wants to show off a little for both teams. This is a huge money game for him. Yes, Washington have the Eagles on Monday night, and Cowboys coming up. But we have our bye week working in our favor. And that is huge since the last time we saw the Redskins on MNF they were losing on a last second FG then, for us KC backers, a gift from the gambling Gods. That being said. They have had time to get over that game. They won't take SF lightly simply based on SF playing 2 straight road OT games and 11 points away from being 4-1. At 2-2, Skins need some wins. Cowboys at 2-3, Giants 0-5. Eagles sitting atop NFC East at 4-2. 34-20 should seal the deal for us. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS
|
10-15-17 |
Dolphins +13 v. Falcons |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking the DOLPHINS, again. No. I have never played for Miami although I have been asked several times since we were on the against the Chargers, Jets, Saints and Titans. Again though. This defense is a real unit. Even though Jay Cutler was basically retired 2 months, I like this offense. The play-makers are there. They have a good RB. The OL is side. I like their TE. The WRs are more than capable. We need Cutler to start chucking more than 5 yard slants. And that is on his coach. That being said. Yeah, ATL out of their bye, and off a loss. But I think this could easily be a walk through game for them with the Patriots on deck. You remember that game don't you? I am sure the Falcons do also. I think people look at Miami and NYG as 2 teams with zero chance of winning today. But unlike the GMEN. There is unity in the Dolphin locker room. And actual NFL WRs who were drafted in the NFL draft! I am not calling outright win, but I think Miami surprises some people today. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
10-15-17 |
Patriots -9 v. Jets |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-104 |
41 h 49 m |
Show
|
Taking the PATRIOTS today. I get that NE has 2 losses. Heading into Thursday night, the 2 teams that beat the Pats were a combined 9-1. Now we are suppose to believe in the Jets who beat Jay Cutler who was retired 2 months ago, and Blake Bortles and the Jags back from London at home. And hold off a Browns team that fumbled at the NY 7 and was picked off at the NY 2, missed a chippy FG attempt. I liked Tampa on Thursday thinking the Pats couldn't correct their defense on a short week. Well both teams played poorly, but TB needed a miracle late for a cover and to generate anything offensively. I can not see Team Hoodie showing up for this game, with extra rest, and tied. TIED with this Jets team and not coming out with a 20pt win. Brady is doing Brady things. He is going to get his 24 regardless of what kind of team he faces. 63-20 last years 2 games. I know Pats have Falcons on deck. But does that really mean as much to NE who won when it counted? I can't see them playing half-ass because the Jets were suppose to go 0-16 and suck for Sam. This team needs a huge game from both sides of the ball. This line is 9 and I would feel comfortable at 19. If Josh McCown keeps this games close, then the HC should be thinking of finding a new DC at the very least. 8* Sure Shot NE PATRIOTS
|
10-14-17 |
Sabres +157 v. Kings |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BUFFALO SABRES
|
10-14-17 |
Bruins -110 v. Coyotes |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BOSTON BRUINS
|
10-14-17 |
UCLA v. Arizona +100 |
|
30-47 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
UCLA v. Arizona OVER 77.5 |
|
30-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
71 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Bruins/Wildcats
|
10-14-17 |
Utah v. USC -13 |
Top |
27-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking USC tonight. Easy to say let's grab the dogs. Utah though in off loss to Stanford (we failed to cover there) and did beat the Trojans last year. So a big revenge spot for SC. We played on SC vs Stanford. That was another spot where people were off Southern Cal. Like this spot, happily gobbling up the dog points. But in this spot, I see USC doing the exact same thing it to the Tree. Can't discount the revenge angle. We have the top spot in the PAC 12 on the line. Not sure that Utah can keep up the pace offensively with SC. If Darnold is mistake free tonight, we win this one by 20+. We can overcome an INT or fumble. Again. Just think this plays out like the Stanford game. *8 Sure Shot USC
|
10-14-17 |
Cubs +187 v. Dodgers |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS
|
10-14-17 |
Cincinnati v. South Florida OVER 68 |
|
3-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Cincy/So Fla.
|
10-14-17 |
Arkansas v. Alabama -30 |
Top |
9-41 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 42 m |
Show
|
Taking ALABAMA tonight. So. Tide rolled up 125-3 wins in B2B beat downs of Vandy and Ole Miss. They had a 24-3 lead in the 3rd before a 27-19 final score. Safe to say, Saban was not happy. I expect a Vandy-esque performance tonight. Won't be shocked to see 30+ points by the half. Arkansas has allowed 98 points in their 2 SEC losses. 98! to A&M and South Carolina. Two teams who played the week before in a 24-17. 98 POINTS to those teams! Bama names the score tonight, but I am guessing 48-10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA
|
10-14-17 |
Panthers v. Penguins OVER 5.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Panthers/ Penguins
|
10-14-17 |
East Carolina v. Central Florida OVER 72 |
|
21-63 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER ECU/UCF
|
10-14-17 |
Wyoming +120 v. Utah State |
|
28-23 |
Win
|
120 |
27 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
Yankees +123 v. Astros |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NY YANKEES
|
10-14-17 |
Oklahoma -9 v. Texas |
|
29-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking OKLAHOMA here. This line continues to rise even though all we hear is that Tom Herman is a dog-outright machine going back to his days as an Ohio State assistant. What we forget is that the Sooners are good for a bad loss. Now that loss happened before the Red River battle where Texas has been known to pick off Oklahoma. Can't say don't grab that +260 ML with Texas. I see where you are coming from. But something tells me Oklahoma wins this one by double digits. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA SOONERS
|
10-14-17 |
BYU v. Mississippi State -23.5 |
|
10-35 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE this afternoon. Right off the bat we have the payback angle. We cashed with BYU last year in Utah and you can bet your sweet butt that the Bulldogs are ready to let out some frustration in this High Noon battle. MSU had been blitzed on the road getting beaten 80-13 by Georgia and Auburn. They have to be pumped up for this anemic offense of the Cougars to come to town. What better way to get your confidence back then to maul a smaller team into submission. Not that I like to say. Oh LSU beat you 27-0, we beat LSU 37-7. So we should smash you 48-10. But really. That is what I think is going to happen as I lay this number. They have a revenge next at home vs Kentucky. But State needs every win and can't overlook a team that beat them last year. 4* Money Maker MISSISSIPPI STATE
|
10-13-17 |
Red Wings v. Golden Knights -1.5 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* PL Money LAS VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS
|
10-13-17 |
Washington State -14 v. California |
|
3-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 7 m |
Show
|
Taking WASHINGTON STATE here. This team looks pretty focused. No let down after taking care of USC at home. They just go on the road and stymie Oregon with a tough defense. Cal started off great and were the talk of the town with their new HC. Well, 3-0 is now 3-3 and each PAC 12 loss is worse than the one before. By 10, then 21, then 31. WSU 15-6 ATS last 21 in PAC 12 play. Cal 7-14 ATS in that same span. Road team 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series. Cougars 7-1 ATS last 8 trips to Cal. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON STATE
|
10-13-17 |
Rangers +125 v. Blue Jackets |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker NY RANGERS
|
10-12-17 |
Red Wings v. Coyotes -116 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-116 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA tonight. Gotta tell ya. This +250 PL is calling my name. But it is very tough to pull that trigger on the Coyotes. Haven't won yet. Lost b2b home and home series against Las Vegas. But them getting blitzed by the Knights is why I like them here. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA COYOTES
|
10-12-17 |
Eagles v. Panthers -3 |
|
28-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking CAROLINA tonight. These Thursday night have got to go. But until then, we will back the home team and roll out a free play on the Under - Philly was 1-7 on the road last year. They are 2-1 this wins over the Skins in Week 1 and SD 2 weeks ago. Just think this is not a good spot for them. Panthers look to be finding themselves lately. Cam seems to get better as they guys around him go down. 60 points last 2 wins on the road over Pats and Lions. Looks like the 15-1 Panthers are showing up lately and not the 6-10 version of last year. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS
|
10-12-17 |
Wild +111 v. Blackhawks |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
111 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking MINNESOTA. Look. I like the Wild. Think they are going to be a good team this year. Can't really knock anything the Blackhawks have done. Just feel that we get a well rested group that can come in here totally focused having not played since Saturday and steal a win. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA WILD
|
10-12-17 |
Cubs v. Nationals +120 |
|
9-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATIONALS today. So, before the rain-out I was on the Cubbies and the Under. No premium play in NLDS yesterday, but we did cash nicely with the big dog Yanks and the Under. For tonight though, really like the Nats. I think the whole thing with Stras, and Dusty, the mold. All that crap. Dusty can't manage. Nats choke. Stras is sick. Not a gamer. I think the rain out really had these guys come together. I think they are focused and will take care of business. To start the series, I was on the Cubs. We had them in Games 1&2. But something has happened and this team is alive. They hit the Cubbies big closer in Wade Davis. They got to Lester. I like Hendricks. But I don't see him going 8 tonight. I'm on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
10-12-17 |
Stars +105 v. Predators |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking the STARS here. Had the Preds the other night over the Flyers and went PL. Well. Up 3-0 I thought we would have a monster night. Next thing I know we are down 5-3 before a 6-5 win. Cant' trust the defense even as a short home fave. Think we have the better goaltender and that is the difference tonight. 4* Money Maker DALLAS STARS
|
10-12-17 |
Blues v. Panthers -120 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
Taking FLORIDA tonight. Almost want to go PL for the +235 or more. Just think this is a bad spot for the Blues. 3rd straight road game. 4th road game in 5 games to start the year. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA PANTHERS
|
10-12-17 |
Texas State v. UL-Lafayette -14 |
|
7-24 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking ULL here. Will lay the TDs with the home fave tonight. Texas State has some problems on offense. Here are their point totals from conference play last year. 14-7-10-14-10-3-34-21. The 21,34 came in their first 2 games, then the wheels fell off the bus. This year, they put up 20 on Houston Baptist! Then 3-13-14-10-27. Put up 27 and still lost by 19 at home vs ULM - LY 40-34 loss at ULM. One of the lower seed teams here in the Sun Belt. So what to expect tonight. Well. LY we saw a 27-3 game. 2 years ago it was 49-27. 34-10 before that. 48-10 before that. 4 games. 4 Cajuns Covers. Texas State is 4-10 ATS last 14 on the road. Bobcats have allowed 45-45-44 their last 3 games. 2 of those at home! - Not a chance that I can back Texas State even with this number. They just look like a bad team. ULL should have a 34-13 type win in their pocket tonight. 4* ULL RAGIN CAJUNS
|
10-11-17 |
Flames +120 v. Kings |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
120 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES
|
10-11-17 |
Islanders v. Ducks OVER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Isles/ Ducks
|
10-11-17 |
Yankees +174 v. Indians |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
174 |
23 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking the YANKEES tonight. We have been on the Indians most of this series. But that changes tonight. It is easy to say no way that NY gets to Kluber like they did in Game 2. It is easy to say no way the Indians rock the Yankees bullpen like they did in Game 2. So we are back to square one. CC will be on a short leash for sure. Yanks with an array of arms ready to come in. From Sonny Gray, down to Chapman at the end of the pen. Indians for the 2nd year in row having trouble closing out a series they had controlled. Yanks though have been the better team so far overall in the series. I will also be on the under tonight. But I see this one being settled in the middle innings with the NY staff holding the Tribe bats in check. Lindor 1 hit in the series. Albeit a GS. Brantley, 1 hit in the series. Chisenhall, 1 hit. Eddie E, injured. Jose Ramirez, 2 hits. This is going to go down as a monster upset when the Yanks pull this out. Not sure this team responds to the pressure. The noose is tightening. Yanks playing with house money. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES
|
10-11-17 |
Yankees v. Indians UNDER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Yanks/Indians
|
10-11-17 |
South Alabama v. Troy -16 |
|
19-8 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 13 m |
Show
|
Going to lay it with TROY. Big number but it has come down. Might have been a bit inflated off their win on the road over LSU. But these Trojans are now back in Sun Belt play. South Alabama on a miserable 4-12-1 ATS run in conference play. The general thinking would be 'let-down spot' after a win in SEC country. But Troy with plenty of time to regain focus and get to the task at home. They are the better team. A balanced off and a very stingy defense. Jags have had problems scoring. Take out that 45-0 win vs Alabama A&M and this team puts up a 18ppg and allows over 38 - Troy the top offense in the conference last year should be highly motivated at home for the fans. Trojans should really get their offense off the ground tonight vs a bottom tier defense. 4* Money Maker TROY
|
10-11-17 |
Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6 |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Pens / Caps
|
10-11-17 |
Devils +170 v. Maple Leafs |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
170 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
10-11-17 |
Penguins +110 v. Capitals |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
110 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
|
10-10-17 |
Red Wings v. Stars -1.5 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
185 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-17 |
Flyers v. Predators -1.5 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* RL Money NASHVILLE PREDATORS
|
10-10-17 |
Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes -125 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CAROLINA HURRICANES
|
10-09-17 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +100 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking ARIZONA tonight. I thought ARZ had a shot at taking out LA. They had played them well during the regular season. But this postseason has been anything but normal for me. I can't even auto-play unders anymore with the way these 'good' teams pitching staffs have delivered! That being said. Not a fan of Darvish. Hasn't pitched in 2 weeks. His 2 post season starts, 0-2 5.04 ERA. 3 runs. 2 earned in 6.2 innings 2012. 5 earned in 5 innings 2016. Greinke off a bad outing in the Wild Card. That being said. With their backs against the wall, I expect the DBacks to claw out a win in this series. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
|
10-09-17 |
Flames +115 v. Ducks |
|
2-0 |
Win
|
115 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES
|
10-09-17 |
Vikings v. Bears +4 |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking the BEARS tonight. So Chicago is on a 11-3 ATS run last 14 at home vs the Vikes. We have that working in our favor. We have the Trubisky Era and hopefully not Error, starting tonight as they have pulled the turnover plug on $45M QB Mike Glennon. I do like the move though. Even though facing a Mike Zimmer defense will be a tall task for the rookie. Minny has lost their top offensive weapon in Cook, but will get their QB back. Not sure how sharp he will be after being out. That being said. I think this shapes up as a low scoring affair. We had the Bears in Week 1 over the Falcons. We faded them at Tampa in Week 2. And roared to another win with them over the Steelers in Week 3. With extra rest, we are on the home dog tonight. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS
|
10-09-17 |
Indians +152 v. Yankees |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS tonight. A 104 win team getting this kind of number. I know what you are thinking. They are huge dogs because Sevy is tough as nails. Yes he is. But I don't know what kind of playoff makeup this kid has. Tribe has been here before. Nearly won the World Series last year. Maybe should have. Bauer was sharp against NYY. Normally I like to play on pitchers who were shelled their last start against the same team when they play. I just think that no Chapman for the Yanks will hurt. Betances, as much as I like the kid, is a wild card. Indians have the bullpen edge today. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
10-09-17 |
Nationals -115 v. Cubs |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking the NATS here. Have to back Scherzer at this price. Guy is a beast. I know he is making first start since his hammy. But the road splits. 10-2 1.86 ERA 16 starts. .81 WHIP - .156 BA Against. I do like Quintana. Guy had been as steady over the years as you can be. But this year, not so much. And for what it's worth, he has struggled a bit at Wrigley. 1-4 5.01 ERA in 8 starts. 43 hits in 44 innings, but 10 HRs and 19 walks. This Nats team can make you pay. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS
|
10-09-17 |
Devils v. Sabres -135 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-135 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BUFFALO SABRES
|
10-09-17 |
Astros -121 v. Red Sox |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
10-08-17 |
Chiefs v. Texans |
Top |
42-34 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 11 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHIEFS here. We scored a miracle cover on Monday night with these guys. I know it is a short week. I know it is another prime time spot for KC. But these guys just continue to win. What really gets me though is this. People talk about that crazy cover. I get it. But KC had already a regular W all but wrapped up. People are really talking about the Texans, or any NFL team for that matter, dropping 57 points in a game. 57! Now. I like Watson. I said when he was drafted the kid can play. I mean, you do what you do against Alabama in b2b Championship games with NFL talent against you, you can play in this league. Guy is a great leader. I just think the 57 is really giving KC the value here. They had 4 INTs last week against Mariota and Cassell. 3 put you on on Ten side of the field and the 4th was ran back for a TD. Plus a fumble recovered inside the red-zone. Those are gifts. You can't count on that helping your ROOKIE!! QB every week. KC 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS
|
10-08-17 |
Indians -106 v. Yankees |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
10-08-17 |
Packers v. Cowboys OVER 52 |
|
35-31 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Packers/Cowboys
|
10-08-17 |
Packers v. Cowboys -3 |
Top |
35-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the COWBOYS today. We cashed big last week as the Rams won outright for us. But we will head to Dallas on the home today this afternoon. Looks like we get Lee back on defense. Huge. Guy is a key piece for the 'Boys. I know their defense is nothing special. And Rodgers is at the top of the QB food chain. But his line is still pretty banged up. And unlike recent Dallas editions, this defense actually has a guy getting QB sacks. (Demarcus Lawrence 7.5) In their only road game, Falcons ripped GB for 141 yards. I think Zeke is excited about this game. Cowboys also with that playoff home revenge loss fresh in their memory. Bye week next week for Dallas. GB has division opponents on deck. Off home loss to Rams, I expect a very focused effort from the Pokes. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS
|
10-08-17 |
Astros -122 v. Red Sox |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-122 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
10-08-17 |
Chargers +158 v. Giants |
|
27-22 |
Win
|
158 |
74 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHARGERS. Man, nearly wrote San Diego. And why not. Eagles fan last week booing the Chargers as they came out and a LAC defensive guy thought it was booing for Wentz! So this is a good thing for them coming east. Yeah, the early start time is a red flag for me most of the time. But let's be honest. Is this NYG that good? They haven't done anything this year. Both teams absolutely desperate. Rivers should be able to get some things going vs this NY D that hasn't lived up to it's billing coming into the year. I can grab the points. But really. Even if you are a Giants fans would it really be a shocker to you if they lost here? Their OL is terrible. There is no run game. The owner has called out the GM finally. At least the Chargers can't control where they play. For me, the Chargers are going to 'circle the wagons' and, obviously by putting this out ML, I think they win this one. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS
|
10-08-17 |
Jaguars v. Steelers -8 |
|
30-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 59 m |
Show
|
Taking the STEELERS today. Pretty simple thinking for me here. Jags now playing their 3rd straight road game. In London, where we cashed a nice, easy win. Last week in NJ, an out right loss as a fave (I also had them). On a side note, I thought the fact the Jags play in London every year would make the transition to and from England a bit easier for them. And now. They are in Pittsburgh. Steelers and especially Big Ben, always tougher at home. Jaguars again, off an OT game. Tough. 3 straight road games are tough anywhere. Round trip to London. OT. And now an always tough Pitt team. Pitt puts up about 30 a game at home. I know they have KC on deck. But home wins are important. We know Jacksonville has trouble slowing down the run. Pitt has big play WRs that can make things even worse. And finally. Do we, even getting more than a TD, want to back Bortles if he has to go toe to toe with Big Ben putting up points? 34-14 seems very likely to me. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS
|
10-08-17 |
Titans v. Dolphins +125 |
|
10-16 |
Win
|
125 |
21 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI. Going ML here on the site, but you take the points if you are nervous. I get it. Dolphins look terrible. Cutler looking like a total bum. Offense not doing a darn thing. The uglier the better in my eyes. This is Miami's first game at home this year. Hello. It is October 8th! San Diego, New York, London. I still like the defense a lot. They are a strong unit. Maybe Mariotta plays. Maybe not. Either way, not 100%. Titans 8-20-1 ATS last 29 on the road. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
10-08-17 |
Bills v. Bengals -3 |
Top |
16-20 |
Win
|
105 |
75 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking CINCY here. We had a monster play on the Bengals against the Packers and just missed out an outright win. At home vs the Bills who are off a pair of big wins themselves. Well this is a no brainer. New OC looks to be paying off so far for Cincy. We can't forget this is a playoff caliber team. We do forget that in August the Bills traded guys and people said rebuild. They were out-gained last week in Atlanta. They had a slug fest at home vs Denver. Now Cincy is feeling good off a beat down of the Browns. I think this can be a flat spot for Buffalo. Bengals defense not to shabby. 3 of 4 teams under 20 points (Packers). As I said. Cincy in off cake wake. Bills off another slug fest. 11 minute 4th quarter drive? Bengals win by double digits. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BENGALS
|
10-07-17 |
Kings v. Sharks -124 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker SAN JOSE SHARKS
|
10-07-17 |
Stanford -4 v. Utah |
|
23-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking STANFORD tonight. Right off the bat this game jumps off the board to me. The 'ranked' team, a home team to boot, getting points from the 'unranked' - Now, you know that especially in CBB, but also in CFB, we are always on the 'unranked' team. Just a total square play. I mean, how many clowns do you hear talk about AP and ESPN polls. What a joke. Nothing else needs to be said. 4* Money Maker STANFORD
|
10-07-17 |
Diamondbacks +130 v. Dodgers |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
|
10-07-17 |
Alabama -26 v. Texas A&M |
|
27-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 55 m |
Show
|
Taking ALABAMA. We have jumped in lately with these guys. They just look great. What is there to say. Looks like Saban is on a mission to absolutely humiliate opposing teams right now. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA
|
10-07-17 |
SMU +7 v. Houston |
|
22-35 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 35 m |
Show
|
Taking SMU tonight. Want to almost go +220 on the ML here. This isn't the same Cougars team. New coach. Some QB issues. We have SMU, the little brothers, coming in to face the bigger state school. Mustangs beat these guys last year as +23 dogs. Revenge? I don't think so. We had SMU last year huge and will come back with a bit of a smaller play. But I think we have a shot at the outright win for sure. 4* Money Maker SMU MUSTANGS
|
10-07-17 |
Southern Miss v. UTSA -13 |
|
31-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
77 h 46 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN ANTONIO tonight. Will follow the line move. And why not. UTSA crushed So Miss last year 55-32 here. Southern Miss has not improved. They are in off a 43-28 15pt home loss to North Texas as faves. Road Runners off a bye week to get ready just adds a bonus to the home team. Sign me up for this CUSA home opener. 4* Money Maker UTSA ROAD RUNNERS
|
10-07-17 |
Cubs +120 v. Nationals |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS
|
10-07-17 |
Ball State +7 v. Akron |
|
3-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker BALL STATE
|
10-07-17 |
Avalanche +115 v. Devils |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker COLORADO AVALANCHE
|
10-07-17 |
Duke v. Virginia -2.5 |
Top |
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 33 m |
Show
|
Taking VIRGINIA here. Now. You have heard me say I don't like taking 2.5 and 6.5 home faves because it looks to easy to say 'Hey, they win by a FG or TD' - But in this case, we know that Cavs started out as the dogs. Money has poured in on the home team flipping the number. And why wouldn't it. Duke was exposed in their Friday game. We have Virginia, a team that has a great coach and went on the road and won outright as double digit dogs in a tough spot. They QB is playing better every week. We have had just as much time off as Duke with our bye week. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA
|
10-07-17 |
Temple v. East Carolina +3 |
|
34-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Money Maker EAST CAROLINA
|
10-07-17 |
Georgia -17.5 v. Vanderbilt |
Top |
45-14 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 36 m |
Show
|
Taking GEORGIA here. Stepped in front of this Georgia train last week like a suicide victim. Won't happen again especially when the week prior I cashed with the Bulldogs as our Top 10* Money Bomb. We cashed a miracle cover with Florida over Vandy last week. So 2 weeks ago Vandy is absolutely demolished at home by Bama. Then they are in it at The Swamp only to have a cover and possibly a shot at an outright win ripped from them. Those are tough to rebound from. 11 rushing allowed the last 2 games. And here comes Georgia with their super RB tag-team. Plus, revenge for last years home loss ! 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA
|
10-07-17 |
Ole Miss v. Auburn -21 |
Top |
23-44 |
Push |
0 |
69 h 22 m |
Show
|
Taking AUBURN here. Won an easy one last week as the Tide demolished Ole Miss. How do you back a team on a 1-11 ATS run. This team, and program is in shambles right now. Bad coaches. Bad play. Bad defense. Tigers really putting it together lately. They saw what Bama did and want to get a blowout somewhere along those lines. So a 50 spot should be on the menu this afternoon. 5* Best Bet AUBURN TIGERS
|
10-07-17 |
Tulsa v. Tulane -5 |
|
28-62 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-17 |
Panthers v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money UNDER Florida/ Tampa
|
10-06-17 |
Cubs +148 v. Nationals |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
148 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Taking the CUBS here. We made some nice coin fading the Cubbies early. But they have changed gears as the season progress. The World Series hangover was real. This is a good club. Maddon is a great manager. Clear edge on the bench for us in this series. Hendricks with a .96 ERA his last 3 starts. Solid postseason numbers of 2.38 ERA in 7 starts. A 2.83 ERA on the road this year while 3.20 at home. Strasburg was a beast with a .86 ERA in 10 starts since the all-star break. So this isn't easy money. But at this price, I think we have to take a stab on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS
|
10-06-17 |
Yankees v. Indians -1.5 |
|
8-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS and going RL today. Cashed last night ML and wished I pulled the trigger on the RL here and with Houston. But back to it today. No crying over spilt milk. Simple thinking here. Kluber on normal rest. Guy is a beast. We saw last night that NYY are prone to Ks. This guy can miss some bats. 15-2 1.62 ERA since June 1st. Geez. A 1.83 ERA in 6 post season starts. 10-2 1.81 ERA at home with a .81 WHIP and .149 BA against. Tough task on tap for the Yanks. CC, the old hefty left was a tidy 14-5 3.65 ERA on the year. The 37 y.o has some mileage on his tires for sure. His ERA on the road 3.18 was a run better than at home 4.20. I just don't think it works out for him today. He gets down 2,3-0 and NY is in trouble. Yanks have the pen edge today. But will it matter if Kluber goes 8 and mows down 12 and you are losing 3-0? CC's best postseason was 2009. That was 8 years and over a thousand innings ago. Tribe 5-0 in Kluber's last 5 vs Yanks. 4* RL Money CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
10-06-17 |
Red Sox +167 v. Astros |
|
2-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking the SOX here. Easy win last night with the Astros. Guess I should have gone RL. Here and with that Indians win. But, coulda, woulda, shoulda. This is it for Boston. Best chance at a win in this series. Can't come back down 0-2 vs a 100 win team with Rick Porcello on deck to save your season. Pomeranz had a very nice year. Strong road split. 7-3 3.19 ERA 15 starts. I like Keuchel. He has 9.88 ERA in 3 games, 2 starts vs Boston. But let's take that with a grain of salt. For me, this is about the Sox 'circling the wagons' on their season. They were just blasted yesterday. I'll take a shot at this price on the road dog. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX
|
10-05-17 |
Patriots v. Bucs +6 |
|
19-14 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 53 m |
Show
|
Taking TAMPA BAY tonight. How can I not take the Bucs? Home dog on a short week Thursday night game. Pats a huge public team. This line might even move for us. Can't trust this New England defense at all. We will also be on the over tonight because Tampa is not the 85 Bears on defense either. I think the Bucs though should up 30 with Evans and Jackson against this secondary. Brady is Brady and always has the Pats in position to win which is why we can't go all in on the dog here. I can't see the New England defense somehow finding itself in 4 days. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS
|
10-05-17 |
Patriots v. Bucs OVER 54.5 |
|
19-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Total Money OVER Pats/Bucs
|
10-05-17 |
Wild -1.5 v. Red Wings |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Taking MINNESOTA and going PUCK LINE for the big payday. Again. You can lay 135 if you want. I am looking to jump right into the ice with a big splash tonight with these 2 big money PL plays. I am high on the Wild. I really like their team. I think Detroit is going to have problems lighting up the net. Only so much emotion for the opening of the Wings new arena. If you don't have the talent, won't matter how fancy the place is. 4* PL Money MINNESOTA WILD
|
10-05-17 |
Yankees v. Indians -130 |
|
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
Taking the INDIANS here. Really want to do what we did with Arizona last night and go RL +160. But I am looking for a fast 2-0 start here with early Sox / Stros and this game. So. We all saw NY on Tuesday. This is a play as much on the use of the 'pen as it is on the fact that the Tribe have the best 'pen. Have people forgot that Cleveland is 34-4 their last 38 games. And laying this number? I don't think this is a long layoff from Sunday. They were playing for home field down the stretch. We were on them in the World Series last year and missed by a hair. This is a very good team. I like the Yanks. I am in their back yard. But as I said in earlier write ups. This is their step up year. This is a bonus. This is everyone seeing what they can do. Indians are ready now. They are rested and battle tested. A series sweep would not shock me. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS
|
10-05-17 |
Predators +102 v. Bruins |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
Taking NASHVILLE. Just like the Preds more. Solid defense. This is a good team. I think last year was a big step for them. Boston is a good challenge on the road out of the gates. 4* Money Maker NASHVILLE PREDATORS
|
10-05-17 |
Canadiens -1.5 v. Sabres |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking MONTREAL and looking for big money on the PUCK LINE. You can lay the -130. But I find on the ice, when I am backing a sub 150 fave, I tend to pick a team that wins by at least 2 goals. I think the Canadiens will be a very good offensive team this year. 4* PL Money MONTREAL CANADIENS
|
10-05-17 |
Red Sox v. Astros -125 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the ASTROS here. Almost want to go RL for +170 in this spot. Verlander has been aces since coming to town posting a 1.06 ERA in his 5 starts with a .65 WHIP and .149 BA against. But this is about Chris Sale. So he has been a -150 or more favorite in 30 of his 32 starts this year. In those other 2 starts as a PK or small -105 fave, he lost. In fact, Verlander out-dueled him 2-1 in April. But the most telling numbers are this. As dominate as Sale is early, the guy is a beast. A sub 2.70 through July. Then it ticks up to 3.22 in August. September and October produce a 11-16 record and an ERA of 3.78. Give me Houston tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS
|
10-04-17 |
Flames +140 v. Oilers |
|
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
Taking the FLAMES tonight. Edmonton won all 4 games last year. These guys a sexy pick to make a Cup Run with their stud youngster, Connor McDavid. We have been pretty solid on the ice the last few years showing nice profit with our dogs. Going to start up the new season the same way. 4* Money Maker CALGARY FLAMES
|
10-04-17 |
Blues +165 v. Penguins |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
165 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
Taking the BLUES. Going to fade the defending Champs. Pitt will raise the banner here on opening night. Not saying the Pens are a bad team, but they lost some contributors from last year. STL finished up last season strong, and are a defensive team. Have to grab them at this price. 4* Money Maker STL BLUES
|
10-04-17 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 |
|
8-11 |
Win
|
125 |
23 h 23 m |
Show
|
Taking the DIAMONDBACKS tonight. So we had the big dog Twins last night, and as I said then, I can't lay big numbers. Normally draw the line at 150-160. So I will take a stab here on the RL. I know some people aren't RL fans, but my thinking is if I backing a team, they are winning easily so something along the lines of 4-0, 5-2 type game. Greinke has been a beat at home this year. 2.87 ERA in 18 starts. 13-1 in those games with a .96 WHIP and .209 BA Against. I can't knock the Rockies or Jon Gray. Guy has been excellent down the stretch. I just think that the DBacks are a really good team. I think they can knock off one of these 'top' teams and be in the World Series. Gray's road splits, a 4.06 ERA and what really brings him down a peg for me, his .281 BA Against. Arizona had a great season at home posting 52 wins, while Colorado was just 41-40 away from Coors. 4* RL Money ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
|
10-03-17 |
Twins +243 v. Yankees |
|
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
Taking the TWINS here. Well. You know there is not a chance I would be laying 260 or whatever it ends up with the Yanks. I guess a case could be made for either team on the RL. Yanks have the better bullpen which is a clear and decided edge. I know we will hear about the Twins poor postseason record. 2-12 vs NYY in the playoffs dating back to 2003. Bro- that is 14 years ago! That was 2003,2004,2009 and 2010. Let't try to get a grip. The most recent was 7 years ago. Are Tex, Lance Berkman and Marcus Thames going yard for NY? Look. Santana has bad career numbers vs the Yanks (5.66 20 starts). But in his lone outing this year 2 runs, 5+ off 7 hits is fine. Let's not forget he led the league in CGs and tied for the lead in SHOs and if he is on, he will be go the distance. His road splits this year are promising as he went 10-3 2.71 ERA in 17 starts. 1.05 WHIP and .216 BA Against. Anything can happen here. As good as Severino's year has been. 2.98 ERA 230Ks in 193 innings - He has been average at best at home. 8-5 3.71 ERA in 16 start in the Bronx. 1.04 WHIP and .207 BA against. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS
|
10-02-17 |
Redskins v. Chiefs -7 |
|
20-29 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 12 m |
Show
|
Taking KC tonight. Tough one as Chiefs 13-2 ATS last 15 and Redskins on 10-2 ATS run on the road. Last we saw Washington, they were dismantling the then Super Bowl Fave Raiders on Sunday night. Now they face another AFC West team. KC has been a machine lately. They rarely make mistakes and capitalize on opposing teams miscues. I think this RB/WR combo of Hunt and Hill is absolutely deadly. Cousins is still replacing a pair of thousand yard WRs from last year. And yes, I just pointed their awesome road ATS numbers. But KC is a tough place to play. All the short week teams and the London teams came up losers Sunday. Jags faves lose outright. Ravens loser. Dallas outright loser. Cards need OT TD with time running out. Raiders lose the game and QB. I know this is a bit of a hefty number to lay. Just think that the Chiefs defense is a bit better and we can steal a play there that adds 3-7 points on our total. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS
|
10-01-17 |
49ers +6.5 v. Cardinals |
|
15-18 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 44 m |
Show
|
Taking SAN FRAN this afternoon. Had these guys last Thursday and we backed into a win. Have to be happy that they are moving the ball. What really lures me in here is this. One, we have the extra rest while Arizona (we had them) played Monday vs Dallas. I had the Colts over the Cards in Indy and I said then that it is tough to get this offense going with out their RB. That is very obvious. Not sure how old-man Palmer responds to a short week. Niners defense was tough in its first 2 games vs Carolina and Seattle. I put this Arizona offense on that kind of level. Nothing exotic or sexy. How can you lay points with ARZ with the way the offense has looked? At worse, the backdoor should be open. I can't see the Cards blowing out the Niners. Hyde will run enough to eat the clock and put up a couple scores for us. ARZ 3-10 ATS last 13 game and 1-4 ATS last 5 at home. Give me the dogs today. 4* Money Maker SF 49ers
|
10-01-17 |
Eagles v. Chargers |
Top |
26-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
76 h 24 m |
Show
|
Taking the CHARGERS here. Man this team knows how to lose but we are on them as a Best Bet today. Eagles off huge last second win over hated Giants. Now come cross country to face a win-less and dangerous team. I think the Chargers have a big edge with Rivers going against this Eagles secondary. Think we have an edge at QB too. Eagles will have a hard time running the ball vs Bosa and this defense. A lot of pressure on Wentz to shoulder the load here. They couldn't get a sack last week vs the Giants and that OL and needed a desperation 61 yard FG to win. I think they are in trouble today. Philly 2-8 SU last 10 on the road. 10* Money Bomb CHARGERS
|
10-01-17 |
Panthers v. Patriots UNDER 49 |
|
33-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
73 h 56 m |
Show
|
Taking the UNDER here. This is either the easiest play on the board or going to be a what was I thinking taking the low hanging fruit. Pats defense is crap. Ok. But has anyone seen the Panthers offense? 23-9-13 points. I guess the thinking is they gave up 34 at home to Brees. Brady will score 44 at home. For me, Cam is still hurt or working through his injury. He is down his best target. Can't see the Pats struggling much longer. 30-10 is still a beating. 4* Total Money UNDER
|
10-01-17 |
Bills v. Falcons -7.5 |
|
23-17 |
Loss |
-111 |
73 h 41 m |
Show
|
Taking the FALCONS here. Now. Could be easy to grab the Bills and say.. Man. Falcons should have lost to the Bears and Lions! Now I am getting points with Buffalo who beat Denver last week. Denver crushed the Cowboys!! - Look. Bills have a good defense no doubt. They have a run game this going to pound ATL and try to keep Ryan and friends off the field. But the Bills are also in off a tough physical game. Denver is no joke on defense. That was a grind. Going on the road is tough. The Falcons should pull away to 14-20 pt win here. ATL will get their 34. And, at best, I don't think the Bills get more than 24. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS
|
10-01-17 |
Rams +6 v. Cowboys |
Top |
35-30 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 30 m |
Show
|
Taking the RAMS here. We scored a nice back-door last Thursday with the Niners over these Rams. But, with extra prep time and the Cowboys off a MNF win (we had ARZ), we are fading away. Dallas has bad home ATS numbers. We know this. I should have put this out when we could have gotten more points earlier in the week. But honestly, I won't be shocked if the Rams have a shot to win this one outright. Dallas defense do not impress me. This Rams team can take advantage of the Cowboys secondary. Rams defense will get pressure on Dak. Dallas OL is not the same as last year. I think Zeke has put on a few pounds is not running the same. So the 'Boys 0-2 ATS on short rest last year. 0-3 ATS short rest in 2015. 0-2 ATS short rest in 2014. And 0-2 ATS short rest in 2013. You know what hasn't changed in that time. The HC. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS
|
10-01-17 |
Jaguars -3 v. Jets |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
|
Taking the JAGUARS today. Had Jax in blow-out fashion last Sunday, and will back them again on the road. Any other team coming home from London (Baltimore) without a bye and I am fading you. But not in this case. Jags have been a London team for years and will continue to be so. The players are accustomed to the travel. Plus. This is NY. Not a terrible flight home. And by crushing the Ravens they essentially took the 2nd half off. Jags impressive on the road so far crushing 2 defenses that were suppose to be pretty good in Texas and Baltimore. Their defense is not getting the respect it deserves. They will ground and pound and hope Bortles doesn't do something stupid. Let's not forget that Doug Marrone, after quitting the Bills, thought he was getting the NYJ job only to be turned away. A little extra motivation for the players to rally behind their coach. Jets with a big win last week to upset their fans who wanted an 0-16 season. But I think Jags a bit more talented even with Bortles more TO prone than McCowen. NY still lacking talent. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
|
10-01-17 |
Saints v. Dolphins +3 |
|
20-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
132 h 29 m |
Show
|
Taking MIAMI here. Cashed here in England last week with an easy Best Bet Winner on the Jaguars. And just like Jax coming in off getting smoked by the Titans. The Dolphins arrive licking fresh wounds after being flat-out humiliated by the NY Jets. You know the Jets. The team that was suppose to go 0-16? So. 2 week ago we had Miami winning in SD. And I said then, what I will say now. This is a sneaky good team. Yes. They looked absolutely lost this past Sunday. But. The Jets were the team fresh off getting spanked by the Raiders. We had the Jets in Week 1 and Raiders against them in Week 2. These guys are pros. They will step up. NYJ did that at home vs a Jay Cutler led team that fell into what exactly Cutler does to drive his coach, teammates and fans crazy. The defense is a solid bunch for Miami. They will get pressure on Brees, who is coming off a great win over a heated division rival. I think skipping from NJ to England is a good spot for the Dolphins. They get away from any Cutler drama at home. And let's face it. This Saints defense is not that good. Shutting down Cam and the Panthers isn't a huge deal these days. I think Miami holds them in check today. And I think we see Jay Ajayi with a big game. He gets going, and that opens up things up. This WR corp of Landry, Parker, Stills and TE Thomas is talented. Cutler will get better as he gets back into Gase's system. The guy tossed 14 passes in pre-season. He was retired until August! Won't be shocked at all with an outright win early Sunday. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS
|
09-30-17 |
Ole Miss v. Alabama -27 |
|
3-66 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 13 m |
Show
|
Taking ALABAMA tonight. What? Laying 4 scores. Inflated line because 'Bama demolished Vandy 58-0 on the road. Final win margins of 5-4-6 the last 3 years. Tide favored by 10-9-5.5 . The 4pt when 9pt odds Tide at home. Ole Miss WON that game and 2 of the last year. -- Now. 27.. Well, Alabama is 15-5 ATS last 20 vs SEC teams when favored by 20 or more. This Saban quote from Wednesday. "The ultimate disrespect sometimes is when someone quietly thinks they got your number." Saw this on Twitter and the The Score. So, he thinks that Ole Miss thinks they can play with Bama. When Ole Miss can in fact play with Bama since they are 2-1 the last 3 years. The real scary thing is that last week, some guy asked Saban how is he preparing to face the best defense in the SEC. Statistically speaking, that person was correct. On the field, Saban unleashed Alabama to show who had the best defense in the SEC. This guy apparently thinks anything can be used to motivate. I'll lay the huge number. 4* Money Maker ALABAMA
|
09-30-17 |
Oklahoma State -9.5 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
41-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
52 h 45 m |
Show
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Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. So their goes the dreams of an undefeated season for the Cowboys. 4 turnovers are costly. Fumble at TCU 37= TD for TCU, INT own 42= TD for TCU, .. Down 27-10 and you have given up 14 on TOs. 37-24 and an INT on the TCU 5 yard line. Then a final INT with 2 minutes to go. Oklahoma State still managed to out-gain the Horned Frogs 499-466 while TCU held the ball for 39 minutes! Nearly 20 minutes less and they still moved the ball. Now. Texas Tech off a big upset of their own knocking off Houston. But I am not putting the Red Raiders defense on the same side of the fence as TCU. Heck, I don't think they are even on the same block. Cowboys know that a 1 loss team can still make some playoff noise. They need to win out and play their game. With a Big 12 Conference Championship Game to be played, they are still alive. 2 years ago this was a 70-53 game - The real crazy part is that Texas Tech led 38-28 at half. And was SHUT OUT in the 3rd quarter. WR James Washington had to 70+ yard TD receptions and there was the pick for 7 to really make it a blow out. Red Raiders won't milk the clock like TCU and the plays into the hands of this prolific offense. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE
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09-30-17 |
Charlotte v. Florida International -12.5 |
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29-30 |
Loss |
-108 |
94 h 48 m |
Show
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Taking FIU here. I like Butch Davis. I know the kids love playing for him. What draws me to this game though is this. How is a team that is averaging 15.7 ppg , favored by 12.5 ? Is it a 16-0 shutout win for us? It appears Charlotte is having what they call a 'down year'. They opened a 1pt favorite over NC ATT. NC ATT! Promptly bet up to 13 and lost outright. The best offensive player on the team quit or left or something (RB Washington). Forget about payback for a tough loss last year. FIU with a 4 year starter at QB. Their RB is the school's all time leader rusher. This is the Panther's first home game with the Hurricanes so they should have a decent crowd behind them. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS
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09-30-17 |
Akron -3 v. Bowling Green |
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34-23 |
Win
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100 |
94 h 3 m |
Show
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Taking AKRON here. Yes. Bowling Green a perfect 8-0 SU the last 8 in this series and are now a FG home dog. Why is that? Maybe because this Falcons team is a shell of those squads that went to 3 straight MAC Championships 2013-14-15. Forget that fact that for the entire season, they have led exactly 1 game, 3-0 over Michigan State for almost 2 entire minutes before falling behind. And now, 28 day after that Sept. 2 game, are still looking for any lead in a game. They switched QBs going with true freshman last week. Maybe he fares better at home. But the Zips bring a SR. QB looking for revenge. How about this tid bit. Last week, on 29 attempts, BG rushed for 1 yard. ONE YARD. Mid Ten went for 249. Zips have a guy off of Ohio State's bench who has 2 100 yard games already. BG defense is ranked 126th in yards allowed per game, 119 against the rush. No shame in losing 35-10 to Michigan State on the road. But what about dropping a 35-27 game at home as a fave over South Dakota. A game they were down 28-9 in. A game that was in hand before some garbage scores. Again, getting smoked by Northwestern 49-7 on the road in Big 10 country is fine. We mentioned the Mid Ten State loss already. This is not a good team. Zips are not a great team. But I think they are more talented and experienced (15 returning starters) at this time. 4* Money Maker AKRON ZIPS
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09-30-17 |
Iowa v. Michigan State -3 |
Top |
10-17 |
Win
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100 |
64 h 21 m |
Show
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Taking MICHIGAN STATE here. Had ND as a free pick video play last weekend. And let's look how that played out. Sparty put up nearly 500 yards of offense only to be done in by 3 TOs that lead directly to 21 Irish points and a 38-18 loss. We have Iowa, who was out-gained by nearly 300 yards against Penn State, but yet lost on a last second TD pass! 2 teams. 2 losses. 2 completely different set of numbers. One team hurt themselves. One team coming in with a world of pain after losing in heart-break fashion. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE
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