Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-23 | Akron v. Ohio +1.5 | Top | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
MAC action here on Friday has Akron taking on Ohio. Akron is tied with Kent and Toledo in the MAC at 9-2 in conference play and Akron is 17-7 overall. Ohio is 7th in the MAC with a 5-6 record and 13-11 overall mark. The Zips had their eight game win streak snapped last time with a loss at home to Toledo, 74-84, as a 2-point favorite. They are 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the road this season. In addition, the Zips are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. The Ohio Bobcats are looking to extend their win streak to three games here tonight. They have recent wins over Miami-Ohio and las game over Northern Illinois, 82-76, as a 5-point favorite. Ohio is now 10-1 S/U and 6-3-1 ATS at home this season. Ohio is a small home dog and the dog is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. I'll take Ohio here tonight. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +4.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
The Big East is filled with quality teams and two of those go head to head tonight. This game could make the difference between a NCAA bid and a NIT or lower conference big. Creighton is tied for fourth in the conference with a 9-3 record. Right behind them is Seton Hall with a 8-5 record. Creighton has won six straight games after their win over Villanova, 66-61, as a 10-point favorite. They are just 3-5 ATS their last eight games. The Bluejays have faltered on the road though, going 2-4 S/U and ATS in their six away games. Seton Hall has won three straight games and seven of their last eight. They are also 5-2-1 ATS their last eight games. These teams met back on Jan 3rd at Creighton with the Bluejays taking that game 61-83, as a 8.5-point favorite. This has been a home series with the host covering 10 of the last 14 games. Seton Hall getting points at home here tonight. I'll take those points. Play Seton Hall. |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
Big 10 action here on Tuesday has Rutgers taking on Indiana. Indiana is third in the Big 10 with a 7-5 conference record and 16-7 overall mark. Rutgers is 2nd in the Big 10 with a 8-4 record and 16-7 overall record. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have won two straight games since their loss to Iowa on Jan 28th. They are coming off a win over Michigan State, 61-55, as a 5-point favorite. They have also covered three of the last four and 10 of the last 13 games. Indiana rebounded from their last on Jan 31 to Maryland with a win over top ranked Purdue, 79-74 last game. That huge win could be an issue here today if the Hoosiers find themselves in a bit of a letdown spot following that win over the top ranked team in the nation. I'm going to take the points here today. Rutgers is good enough to pull out the straight-up win and I'm not convinced that win over Purdue won't have a lasting effect on Indiana here. Take Rutgers. |
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02-04-23 | Alabama -11 v. LSU | Top | 79-69 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
SEC action today has to the conference leader Alabama (9-0) taking on LSU (1-8). Alabama has a strong hold on the conference right now with no losses and and overall record of 19-3. The take on a struggling LSU team that has won just one of their nine ACC contests. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Vandy, 101-44, as a 15-point favorite. They hit a whooping 59% from the field and 46.3% from the 3-point stripe. That make them 10-1 S/U and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The LSU Tigers have been in free fall, losing nine straight games and failing to cover their last eight games. They are coming off a loss at Missouri, 77-87, as a 9-point dog. home hasn't been very kind either, toing 2-11 ATS in their 13 home games. Big number, but I'll lay it with the Tide on Saturday. Play Alabama. |
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02-01-23 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers are just under the playoff line right now as we get closer to the half way point of the season. The Blazers are 24-26 in the tough Western Conference, but are a couple games back of New Orleans right now for that last playoff spot. Portland is coming off a home win over Atlanta, 129-125, as a 2.5-point favorite. Despite the win, they are just 3-4 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 overall games and 0-8 ATS their last eight road games. Meanwhile, Memphis sitting 2nd in the Western Conference with a 32-18 record, 2.5-games back of Denver. The Grizzlies have been great at home, going 21-3 S/U and 16-8 ATS. They also outscore their visitors by a 119.7 to 108.5 ppg average. Moreover, they are 36-14-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight and lay the points. |
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01-30-23 | Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Xavier looks to keep hold of their top spot in the Big East Conference. Xavier is 16-4 overall on the season and 8-1 in conference. Meanwhile, Connecticut is 16-5 overall and 5-5 in conference and in 5th place. Xavier rebounded from a loss on last Wednesday to Depaul, 72-73 as a 8-point road favorite with a home win over Georgetown, 95-82, but failed to cover the 17-point line. Still, they are 5-2 ATS their last seven games and have lost straight up just one time in their last 13 games. They have also been good on the road, going 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS their five away games, outscoring the home teams by an average of 85.2 to 79.6 points. Xavier has also been a very good over team with a 15-5 O/U record on the season. That makes them 19-7-1 O/U their last 27 overall games. In addition, they are 5-2 O/U their last seven road games. The U Conn Huskies came into conference play with a 11-0 record. However, the Big East hasn't been kind as they have gone 5-5 since. In fact, they are just 2-5 S/U their last seven games and 2-7 ATS their last nine games. They have been a decent over team too, going 3-1 O/U their last four and 6-3 O/U their last nine. They have also gone 36-17 O/U in their last 53 overall home games. I like Xavier here as they look to be the team to beat in the Big East this year. Play Xavier. |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma +5.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Big 12 is a very competitive conference, as usual. Kansas State leads the conference right now. Oklahoma is 2-5 in conference and sits 8th right now. They are also 11-8 overall on the season and 10-9 vs the spread. The Sooners have lost two straight games, coming off a setback to Baylor, 60-62, but just covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 7-3 ATS overall their last 10 road games. TCU is 15-4 overall and 4-3 in conference. The Horned Frogs are 6th in conference. They are coming off a big road win at Kansas, 83-60, as a 7-point dog. That makes them 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS their last five games. They are 12-7 ATS overall on the season. The dog has covered eight of the last 10 in this series and that's what I'm sticking with here today. Take Oklahoma. |
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01-17-23 | Texas v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Great matchup here tonight between a pair of ranked teams as 7th ranked Texas travels to Iowa State to take on the 12th ranked Cyclones. Texas is 15-2 S/U and 6-11 ATS on the season. The Longhorns have won three straight games after only their second loss of the season to Kansas State back on Jan 3, 103-116, as a 8.5-point favorite. While Texas has a great S/U record they have struggled vs the spread covering just one of their last six games and three of their last 12 games. Iowa State is 13-3 S/U and 11-5 ATS on the season. The 12th ranked Cyclones lost just their third game of the season at Kansas last game, 60-62, as a 7.5-point dog. They have covered five straight games and four of their last five home games. The home team has covered five of the last seven in this series and I will be on that home team here tonight. Play Iowa State. |
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01-10-23 | Dayton v. Fordham +7.5 | Top | 82-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Atlantic 10 matchup here has the 11-5 Dayton Flyers taking on the surprising 13-3 Fordham Rams tonight. Dayton is 3-0 in conference play after their win over St Joseph's, 75-56, as a 14-point favorite. They have also covered six straight games since their crushing loss at Virginia Tech on Dec 7, 49-77, as a 6.5-point dog. Meanwhile, Fordham is coming off a win over St Joe's, 66-54, as a 4-point favorite. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Rams which included losses to Rhode Island and Davidson. Dayton shoots pretty poorly on the raod at just 36.4% and average just 56.7 ppg. Difficult to cover mid-size spread when you don't shoot well or score well on the road. I'll take the points here at home with Fordham. |
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01-05-23 | Bryant +3.5 v. Vermont | Top | 64-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Extra board action today has the Bryant Bulldogs looking to improve to 11 wins tonight. The Dogs are 10-4 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games and four of their last five including last time out over Binghamton, 82-78 as a 13-point favorite. The Bulldogs return just one starter to a team that was 22-10 last season and 16-2 in the Northeast division. The won the Northeast and then lost in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The Vermont Catamounts are 7-8 and looking to get back to the .500 mark tonight. The Catamounts are 7-7 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over MD Balt County, 74-61, as a 2-point favorite. They are also 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last six games. Vermont also returned just one starter to a team that was 28-6 last season and finished first in the America East Conference. Like Bryant, they lost in the NCAA first round. Vermont is 3-13 ATS their last 16 games as at home vs a team with a winning road record. My own numbers had this closer to pick or even Bryant a small favorite. But I will gladly take the 3-points or thereabout that the oddsmaker is giving me. Take Bryant. |
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01-04-23 | Auburn v. Georgia +7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Two SEC powerhouses meet tonight as 11-2 Auburn takes on 10-3 Georgia. The Auburn Tigers are 11-2 S/U and 5-8 ATS on the season. They have played just two away games and are 1-1 S/U and ATS, but getting outscored by 10 points on the road. They have won two straight games, including last time out vs Florida, 61-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. Georgia looks to extend their win streak to four games here this evening. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Rider, 79-72, as a 10-point favorite. The Dogs have also been perfect at home, going 8-0 S/U, but covering just three of those games. They have yet to be a home dog and here tonight they will be getting around 7 points. I'll take that with a team that hasn't lost on their home court yet. Take Georgia. |
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01-03-23 | Marquette v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
A pair of teams with identical 11-4 records meet here today as St Johns hosts Marquette. The Marquette Golden Eagles returned two starters to a team that was 19-13 last year overall and 11-8 in the Big East. The Eagles made the NCAA tournament last year but lost in the first round. They have started well with those 11 wins this year and are also 9-5-1 ATS. They have won two straight games both S/U and ATS and four of the last five games. They are coming off a win at Villanova, 68-66 as a 2.5-point dog. They have played four road games and are just 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS away from home. They have also been outscored by 1.8 ppg on the road. Yet, here they are a favorite at another 11-win team. St Johns returned three starters to a team that was 17-15 overall last year and 8-11 in the Big East. The Red Storm looks to break a three game losing streak here today. They have also lost three streak vs the spread. They are coming off a road loss to Seton Hall, 66-88, as a 3-point dog. They have been good at home, going 8-1 S/U but only 3-6 vs the spread and outscoring visitors by a 82.6 to 67.1 margin. Don't really care about the spread record at home since the Storm as a dog here today. I'll take them to just win the game tonight. Play St Johns. |
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12-23-22 | Wizards v. Kings -8.5 | Top | 125-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
It's been a rough stretch for the Washington Wizards as they are just 1-11 S/U and 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games. They are coming off a loss at Utah last game, 112-120, as a 6-point dog. More bad news, the Wizards could be without one of their best players here tonight in Forward Kristaps Purzingis who is battling an illness. Purzingis is averaging 22 points a game this season. Meanwhile, Sacramento is having a decent season with a 17-13 S/U and 19-11 ATS record. The Kings are coming off a win over the Lakers, 134-120, as a 7.5-point favorite. That makes three wins in the last four games both S/U and ATS. The Kings have averaged 123.7 ppg at home this season and if they come close to that tonight I can't see the Wizards keeping pace, especially if they are missing that key cog. Take the Kings. |
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12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The St John's Red Storm having an excellent season as they are off to a 11-1 S/U mark and 6-6 spread record. The Red Storm only loss coming at Iowa State on Dec 4, 60-71, as a 6-point dog. St John's is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Red Storm returned three starters to a team that went 17-15 last year and 8-11 in the Big East. This team has a bitter taste after last season where they lost six of their final seven games, missed out on the NCAA and didn't even get a NIT invitation. Villanova was a preseason top 25 team, but has not lived up to their expectations. The Wildcats return three starters to a team that was 30-8 last year and lost in the NCAA Final Four. They have struggled to a 6-5 S/U and 3-8 ATS mark so far this season. They have won four straight games, but covered just two of those including last game at St Joe's, 71-64, as a 13-point favorite. Villanova laying around five-points here today. I'm taking the points with a very good St John's team that has something to prove and is doing just that. Take St John's. |
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12-20-22 | Air Force +3 v. Northern Colorado | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Air Force Falcons are 8-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Falcons started the season 1-3 both S/U and ATS and since have gone on a 7-1 streak both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Tarleton State, 81-67, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons also outscoring their opponents 70.3 to 61.2. The Falcons returned three starters to a team that was 11-18 last year and just 4-13 in the Mountain West. Air Force utilizes the Princeton offense which has been likened to facing a knuckleball pitcher or the Triple option in football. It seems to be working for Air Force this season. The Northern Colorado Bears return just two starters to a team that was 22-16 last year and 13-7 in the Big Sky. The went to the CBI tournament and lost in the semifinals. The strength of this team is their backcourt, considered the best in the Big Sky conference and again will be relied on heavily this season. Thus far its been a tough season for the Bears who are 5-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS. They are coming off a loss to Colorado, 77-88 as a 15.5-point dog, covering their third in a row and fifth of the last six. One loss that stands out big this year was a loss at home to Colorado Christian College, 69-70, with no spread. They have improved since that loss, but it will be a tough task here today against a very good Air Force team. I'll take the points in this matchup. Play Air Force. |
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12-13-22 | Memphis +8 v. Alabama | Top | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Memphis Tigers returned two starters to a team this year that went 22-11 overall and 13-5 in the AAC last year. The Tigers thought they were underated last year and maybe they were. So this season they have come out of the gate with a 8-2 S/U and 6-4 ATS marks. The Tigers have won six straight games and covered four of those. They are coming off a home win over Auburn, 82-73, as a 1-point dog. Alabama also off to a good start at 8-1 on the season with a 6-3 spread record. The Crimson Tide only loss coming against U Conn, 67-82, as a 2-point favoirte. They are coming off a win over highly ranked Houston, 71-65, as a 8.5-point dog. That is their biggest win of the season though they could be in for a letdown here today after that upset. The Tide returned three starters to a team that was 19-14 last year and lost in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their last 17 vs a team with a win percentage greater than 60%. They are also 18-7 ATS their last 25 games overall. Alabama is only 5-15-1 ATS their last 21 games at home. I'll take the Tigers here tonight plus the points. |
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12-07-22 | Pacers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers are 5th in the Eastern Conference with a 13-11 record. They are the only team though in the top eight with a negative point differential. They have also gone 5-5 their last 10 games. The Pacers are 14-10 vs the spread this year. They snapped a 3-game S/U and ATS losing streak with a win at Golden State on Monday, 112-104, as a 11-point dog. Their road trip continues here tonight as they head back East to play the T'Wolves. This will be the club's 7th straight game on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves look to get back to the .500 mark today as they sit at 11-12 overall and 8-15 vs the number. The Wolves have lost four of their last five games including last game vs the Thunder, 128-135, as a 5-point favorite. Pacers have to be tired of all this travelling they have done, now with this their 7th straight game on the road. They return home after tonight's game and not soon enough for them. I'll playing against the road weary Pacers tonight. Take Minnesota. |
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11-29-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
ACC vs Big 10 action here tonight has Wake Forest traveling to Wisconsin to take on the Badgers. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 6-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Their lone loss coming at home to Loyola Marymount, 75-77, as a 6-point favorite. The Deacons have been installed as the favorite in all seven of their games this season. The last two 20+ favorites as they covered both. The will be the first big test and first real road game for Wake here tonight. Wake averages 81.7 ppg and allows 68.4 ppg. Wisconsin is 5-1 both S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming to No 3 Kansas in OT, 68-69, as a 7-point dog. The Badgers don't score a lot, with just 68 their highest output in their last five games. They average just 62.7 ppg but allows just 54 ppg. Should be interesting to see if the high scoring Deacons can dent the very good defense of Wisconsin. However, the 6-points or thereabout that the Badgers have to lay look to a be a bit high. I'll take Wake here tonight as a road dog. |
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11-26-22 | East Carolina +4.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 50-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The East Carolina Pirates out of the gate with a good 5-1 S/U and ATS start. The Pirate are coming off a win over Texas Arlington, 79-65, as a 6-point favorite. Their most impressive win was a 86-75 win over Toledo as a 12-point underdog. The Old Dominion Monarchs are 3-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Davidson, 61-66, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pirates offense is hitting well, averaging 79.3 ppg this season. East Carolina is led by Javon Small who averages over 20 ppg on the season. I like the scoring ability of East Carolina, especially as a dog here today. Take East Carolina. |
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11-22-22 | Creighton -1 v. Arkansas | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Maui Invitational Second Round action here tonight has Creighton taking on Arkansas. Both teams are undefeated with Creighton at 5-0 and Arkansas at 4-0 on the season. Creighton won their opener in this tourney last night with a 76-65 win over Texas Tech as a 3-point favorite. They hit 55.1% from the field in the win. In fact, their last four wins the team has hit at least 51.4% from the field. They also hit 45% from 3-point line last night, their high on the season. The BlueJays are 3-2 vs the spread thus far. Creighton is now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last year. Moreover, they are 7-0 ATS in their last seven on a neutral court. Arkansas improved to 4-0 with their win over Louisville last night, 80-54 as a 14.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks had a season high 56.9% from the field. The Hogs are 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Great matchup here tonight, but I'm really impressed with the overall shooting of this BlueJays team overall on the season. I'll take Creighton here tonight. |
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11-15-22 | Knicks v. Jazz -4 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
The NY Knicks are 10th in the NBA in the East with a 6-7 record. They have a -2.1 point differential and are coming off a loss to OK City, 135-145. The Knicks led that game by double digits in the first half but couldn't contain the Thunder offense. The start a five game road swing tonight at Utah. It's always difficult to play in Utah at the altitude. The Knicks are now 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 2-5-1 ATS their last eight after 1 day rest. The Utah Jazz are 3rd in the West with a 10-5 record and have a +4.2 point differential. The Jazz look to snap a two-game losing skid here tonight. Utah won the opener of their three game road trip at Atlanta, but then lost to Washington and last game at Philly, 98-105. Until these last two losses, the Jazz had covered seven straight games. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Utah is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 vs the Knicks and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Utah. Take the Jazz tonight. |
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11-06-22 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -10 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
The Washington Wizards hit the road today for a game at Memphis. It's an East vs West contest in the NBA and like usual, the West is just the way better conference. That is panning out again this year. The Wizards are 4-5 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. They are coming off a brutal beating in Brooklyn, 86-128 as a 3-point favorite. That makes them just 1-4 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Wizards don't have much magic on the road either where they are 5-11 ATS their last 16. They are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the season. Memphis is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS at home with a point differential of 14.7 ppg as they score an average of 126. 3 points on their home court. It pans out then that the Griz are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games. Memphis is 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 meetings at home vs the Wizards and 5-1 ATS their last six overall. I look for a Memphis blowout here today. Play Memphis. |
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11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz are in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a 6-2 mark and have won two straight games. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back wins over Memphis at home, 121-105 and 124-123, covering both games. Now they hit the road again where they are 2-2 both S/U and ATS and have allowed 119.5 ppg this season. The Dallas Mavericks are 3-3 so far and coming off a win at home over Orlando, 114-105, pushing the number. The Mavs remain at home where they are 2-1 S/U and 1-1-1 ATS. The Mavs have averaged 120.7 ppg at home while allowing 106.0 point. Even though Utah has the better record, they are just +3.9 point differential this year compared to the Mavs +7.3 point differential. The Jazz have not been kind to bettors on the road, going 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 away games. They are also 4-12 AT in their last 16 games coming off 1-day rest. The Mavs have been good at home, going 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Mavs are 10-1 ATS the last 11 in this series and 5-1 ATS the last six at Dallas. I'll be on the Mavericks here tonight. |
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11-01-22 | Wolves v. Suns -5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The Minnesota T'Wolves in 6th in the West with their 4-3 record. The Wolves coming off a loss at the Spurs, 98-107 as a 6-point favorite. The Wolves only have played twice on the road and are 1-1 both S/U and ATS. The Phoenix Suns are tied for 1st in the West with a 5-1 record. They also have the highest point differential at +12.4 points. The Suns have won and covered four straight games including their last game vs Houston, 124-109. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They have also gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the T'Wolves and 9-4 ATS the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. Take the Suns here on Tuesday. |
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10-27-22 | Clippers -7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
These teams play the 2nd of a back-to-back set here on Thursday as the Clippers lost at OKC a few days ago, 94-108. The loss dropped the Clips to 2-2 on the season and got the Thunder their first win, 1-3. LA played without some starts as Kwahi Leonard, Paul George and Marcus Morris (all starters) missed the game. But the defense really shut down OKC, holding the Thunder to just 38% from the field and 13% from three-point arc. It was turnovers and defensive rebounding that killed the Clippers though with 18 give aways and 13 fewer rebounds, especially on the defensive boards where they gave the Thunder 21 offensive boards or 2nd tries. Leonard is out again here tonight, but Paul and Morris are both questionable and likely will try to make it on the floor Thursday. The Thunder are not that good and I don't expect the Clippers to lose two in a row here tonight. They just need to shore up the turnovers and boards and even without Leonard they should pull out the win here tonight. Play the Clippers. |
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10-26-22 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
The season is just a few games old and the Lakers are already panicking after starting the season 0-3. They are already considering trades that can help bolster LeBron James and cast to at least be competitive. The Lakers opened the season with a loss at Golden State, 109-123, then lost to the Clippers, 97-103 and then again dropped their last game at home to the Trailblazers, 104-106. The Lakers might be without guard Russell Westbrook who is nursing a hamstring injury. Not that he's contributed much as it is, with just 10 point average in the three games this season. He's hitting 28.9% from the field and 8.3% from three point arc. Westbrook didn't work too well last year either and some are calling for his trade to get someone who can help Lebron get this team back on track. Meanwhile, Denver is 2-2 after four games played, coming off a loss to the Blazers, 110-135. The Lakers have had a couple days off, but they are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when having two days off. Denver is 3-1-1 ATS the last five vs the Lakers and until this Westbrook situation is cleared up, I believe the Lakers will continue to struggle. Play Denver tonight. |
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10-25-22 | Pistons v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Season just underway and the Detroit Pistons are 1-2 after three games. The Pistons opened with a win over the Washington Magic, 113-109, but have lost two straight games. The Washington Wizards are 2-1 after three games. Washington won its first two games but lost its last game at Cleveland in OT, 107-117. Bradley Beal leads the team with 23 ppg average. Center Kristaps Prozingis is averaging eight rebounds and 1.7 blocks per game. Still early in the season but I like the talent on this Wizards team more than the Pistons. I'll lay the points at home tonight with Washington. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | Top | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 57 h 29 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics went into Game 5 saying that they weren't going to let Steph Curry beat them like he had in previous games. They did just that, keeping Curry under check and keeping Curry from hitting a 3-point shot for the first time in is playoff career. However, Wiggins went off on the Celtics and so did Thompson as other stepped in to lead Golden State to the win and cover in game 5. Tonight, the venue moves back to Boston as the Warriors can win the NBA Championship on the road here tonight. I have hit my last four NBA playoff selections including my last two NBA Totals. Tonight, I see another physical, low scoring game. I won't get involved with the line here tonight. Rather I'll be on the UNDER. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics jumped out to a big lead in game three of the NBA Finals, only to have Golden State rally in the third and take a lead entering the fourth quarter. However, like game one, the Warriors collapsed in the fourth quarter and Boston won going away to also cover the spread, 116-100. Thus far none of the three games have been close, with Boston winning game one by 12, Golden State game two by 19 and the Celtics game three by 16. Today, I'm looking at the under. Just one of the first three games have gone under and that was game two in Golden State, 88-107. First, Stephen Curry hurt his foot in game two and while he's probable today, have to wonder if that will effect his performance here today. 2nd, I'm looking for a much more physical game here in game four. That will mean fewer scoring opportunities. So far it's been over, under and then over. If the bounce comes right, we are looking at another under here in game four. Play the UNDER. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
Game three of the NBA Finals moves to Boston for tonight's contest. The Warriors returned their game one blowout loss with their own blowout in game two to even the series at 1-1. The Celtics were close in game two but came out the break and shot very badly in the third quarter which led to their demise. The Celtics also missed a lot of wide open shots in game two, something they need to fix tonight if they want to win. Tonight, I'm looking at the UNDER. The Warriors have gone under in 11 of their last 13 vs a team with a winning straight up record. They are also 1-4 O/U in their last five games when the dog. The UNDER has also been quite dominant in this series, with seven of the last 10 meetings in Boston going under and 20 of the last 28 overall meetings going under. I'll take the under here today in game three. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -175 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
It's really this simple, the Warriors blew a huge lead they held for three quarters of game one. They got totally blown out in the fourth quarter to lose badly. They have to regroup here in game two or this series is likely done. I don't believe the Warriors can win four of five games with three of those at Boston. So tonight, the Warriors can't let what happened in game one happen here. They are too experienced and too good to let it happen again. I have to take the Warriors here tonight. And as big as the money line will be, I'm going to lay the money line with Golden State. |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -155 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -155 | 57 h 3 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Finals here tonight as the Boston Celtics make the long trip West to take on the Warriors from Northern Cal. The Celtics had to withstand a big comeback in game seven of their Eastern Conference finals against Miami to hold onto their four point win, 100-96. Meanwhile, the Warriors had little trouble dispatching the Dallas Mavericks in five games, including their final win 120-110. The Warriors are on familiar ground, having been to the NBA Finals in six of the last eight years. And, while the Celtics have been to the Finals 22 times, they have not been here in the last 12 seasons. That gives the Warriors a huge experience factor here of 132 games to zero. The other factor to figure here in game one is fatigue. Golden State winning has everything to do with fresh legs and the penalty of travel. The Warriors have not played for a week while the Celtics have seen their last two series go to seven games, including a highly emotional win at Miami Sunday. Between the history and the recent play, I'll take the Warriors here in game one on the Money Line. |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
I believe the Boston Celtics could have cost themselves a NBA Finals appearance by losing game six at home the Miami Heat. The series returns to Miami for game seven and the winner moving on to the Finals against the Golden State Warriors. Two things stand out to me; 1st is that the Heat took all the momentum in this series after losing game six. The other and bigger thing is that NBA home teams have a distinct advantage in game 7 of a series. Let take a quick look. The Celtics have the most games 7's in NBA history, with 33 and that will be 34 after Sunday's game. There have been 133 games 7's with the home team winning 79% of the time or 105-28. That is a huge stat when it comes to home court advantage. And yet, here we have the Miami Heat a home dog in game seven. Not only do they not have to win, but they have a couple of points to play with as they currently are +2.5 or +3 points. For me, the momentum has shifted to Miami and with home court here in game seven, I'll take the points. |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics took a 3-2 lead in this NBA Eastern Conf Finals Championship series with their win on Wednesday night, 93-80. In what was a very low scoring contest, the Heat led at the half, 42-37. However, the Celtics came out of the half firing and won the third quarter 32-16 and then the fourth quarter 24-22. Now the Heat are force to win the last two games in this series, including Friday's contest at Boston. The Celtics are a 3-point shooting team, they live and die beyond the arc and that's why we've pretty much seen blowouts in every contest. The Celtics opened game six line as a 9-point favorite and that's for good reason. Miami guard Tyler Herro missed Wednesday's game and that's a big loss for this team. With his status in question for game six here on Friday and the game in Boston, this becomes my favorite play in the championship series. Take Boston. |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +2 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are tied 2-2 in this best-of-seven Eastern Conference Finals Championship. The Heat got beat bad ly in game four on their home court, 82-102. In fact, these teams have alternated win/losses with the winning team covering the spread. The Heat had to play game four without their guard Tyler Herro, who has a groin injury. Herro is questionable today and the Heat could really use his 20.7 ppg average. The Heat also need this game to maintain home court advantage or else they face going back to Boston down 2-3. For me, this is a key game for the Heat, lose and they are likely done in the series, win and they only have to win one of the last two games. I'll take Miami here tonight, especially since I believe Herro will return. Play Miami. |
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05-24-22 | Warriors +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors can wrap-up their Western Conference Finals with the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Warriors took a 3-0 lead in this series after beating the Mavs in Dallas last game, 109-100. The Mavs led early, but once they fell behind in the 2nd quarter they never were able to fully recover. The question for me here tonight is how much does the Warriors want to win this game. A win and they get a nice rest while the Eastern Conference teams battle it out for their rep in the Title match. Sometimes too much rest can take away from a teams momentum too. But tonight, I think the Warriors want the rest and will do all it takes to put this series to an end. Play Golden State. |
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05-23-22 | Heat v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to even this best of seven series at 2-2 with a win tonight at home over the Miami Heat. The Celtics lost game one in Miami, 107-118, took game two 127-102 and then lost at home in game three, 103-109. The Heat will be with0out guard Tyler Herro tonight who has a groin injury. They do look to have guard Jimmy Butler playing though who was upgraded to probable with a knee injury. The Celtics Jayson Tatum is expected to play with a cervical sprain. Celtics can't afford to lose another game on their home court. This line is a bit stiff, but I look for the Celtics to win here tonight. Play Boston. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -145 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The Mavericks could easily be tied 1-1 in this series, but instead they are 0-2 after their two games at Golden State. The Mavs led by double digits at half time in game two and led at the end of the third quarter. However, they were outscored by 11 points in the third quarter and not only lost 117-126, but failed to cover the 6-point dog line. That means game three is pivotal here today for the Mavs. Lose and they go down 0-3 in this best of seven series. Win, and they are back in it. Something that could help their cause is that Warriors' guard Andrew Wiggins is questionable today with a ankle injury. I look for this to be the game the Mavs must win and I'll give them a shot. Take Dallas on the Money Line. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors play game two of their series here tonight in Northern California. The Warriors blew out the Mavs in game one, 112-87. The Warriors were red hot, hitting 56.1% from the field and 34.5% from 3-point arc. The Mavs had their worst shooting performance in the playoffs, hitting just 36% from the field and 22.9% from the 3-point line. The Mavs have been a good covering team, going 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. The Warriors are 2-6 ATS their last eight as a favorite. The Mavs have done well vs the Warriors, going 11-4 ATS their last 15 meetings and 6-2 ATS their last eight meetings in Golden State. I don't see the Mavs shooting that bad again here tonight. I'll take the Points with Dallas. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Game two of the Eastern Conference Championship has the Miami Heat with a 1-0 lead in the best of seven series. The Celtics took pretty good pounding in game one, though the 107-118 final made the game look closer than it was. The Celtics have lived and died by the three-point shot this year. They had 110 attempts vs the Bucks and that was third all time in the NBA playoffs for 3-pointers attempted. In game one they hit 32.4%, well below their game seven win over the Bucks of 40%. Still, the Celtics do well as road dogs, going 7-1-1 ATS their last nine. They also bounce back well, going 4-1 ATS their last five after losing straight-up by 10 points or more. The Celtics have done well vs the Heat, going 13-6 ATS their last 19 meetings in Miami and 23-11-1 their last 35 overall. I look for the Celtics to bounce back here in game two. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game one of the NBA Western Conference Championships here tonight as the Dallas Mavericks take on the Warrior in Golden State. The Mavs pulled the big upset thus far, beating the regular season best team in the NBA the Phoenix Suns. And they did so by taking games seven in Phoenix in a blowout win, 123-90. Three of the seven games went over the total and three of the four on the road went over for the Mavs. The Mavs have now gone over in eight of their last 11 road games. Golden State beat the Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in their series. They split the over/unders with three over and three under. The Warriors have been a very good over team when they have rest, evidenced by their 15-5-1 O/U/P record their last 21 with 3 days or more of rest. This has also been a over series with 12 of the last 16 games going over. I'm taking game on OVER here tonight. |
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05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -117 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
It took seven game but the Boston Celtics advanced to the Eastern Conference Championships after beating Milwaukee. They had little trouble with the Bucks in game game, cruising to a 109-81 win. The Celtics were 4-2-1 ATS in the series. The Miami Heat advanced to the Championship series by beating the Philadelphia 76ers in six games. They were 4-2 vs the number and their two losses were on the road. They had little trouble on their home floor, winning by 40, 16 and 14 points. This will be a rematch of the 2020 conference finals when they were played in the bubble in Orlando. The Heat won that series in Orlando. The Celtics live and die by the 3-point shot. They had 53 more 3-pointers than the Bucks in that seven game series. With their 110 3-pointers, the Celtics tied for third most in any playoff series. The Heat had the East's best home court record at 29-12 this year in the regular season. They are 6-0 at home in the playoffs. I'll take the Heat here in game one on the money line. |
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05-15-22 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 81-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
It's Game 7 of this Eastern Conference Clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics. The Bucks extended the series with a game 6 win, 108-95 to force this game seven back in Boston. Four of the six games in the series have gone UNDER the total. Milwaukee has had some very poor shooting games in this series, hitting just 41.5% or worse in four of the six games. Their three-point shots have also been bad with half their games having a 26.5% or worse mark. Two of the three games in Boston have gone under and for me, I'm sticking with a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Game six of this Eastern Conf Semifinal has the Celtics taking on the Bucks from Milwaukee. The Celtics somehow lost game five, despite a large 4th quarter lead. Now the Celtics face elimination with a loss here tonight. In their previous two games at Milwaukee, Boston lost 101-103 and won 116-108. The Celtics live and die outside the paint. They did well last game hitting 51% from the field but just 32% from 3-point line. Only one other game they shot worse and that was also a losing effort. I look for the Celtics to rebound here today and take this game six and force a game seven back in Boston. |
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05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | Top | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Game 6 of this best of seven series tonight shifts back to Dallas after the Mavericks lost game five in Phoenix, 80-110. The Mavs now face elimination tonight with a loss. Like a lot of other series, this has been dominated by the home team. The Mavs lost the first two games in Phoenix and failed to cover either game, then won and covered the next two at home, before getting blown out in game five at Phoenix. The Suns are a small favorite, but I'm sticking with the home team in this series and that means a small dog here on Dallas. |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies face elimination here tonight in this Western Conference Semifinal matchup with the Golden State Warriors. The Grizzlies lost game four, 98-101, but played well and were in the game from the start. And, they played without star Ja Morant. That makes them 24-5 this year when Morant has been out of the lineup. It appears Morant will miss again here tonight with that knee injury. The Grizzlies played both games on their home court tough, winning 106-101 and losing 116-117. In fact, they have covered three of the four in this series. I'm going to take the Grizzlies again here in game five plus the points and won't be surprised by a straight-up win. |
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05-06-22 | Heat -147 v. 76ers | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Bad news for the 76ers as it looks like Joel Embiid will likely miss the rest of the playoffs with a concussion. He hurt his hand in the last round, but still played. Now he's out with this concussion and that's 30.6 ppg that the Sixers will have to replace. Philly has lost the first two games of this series at Miami, 92-106 and then the last game, 103-119. Now they return home here tonight for a pivotal game three in which they could face going down 0-3 in the series. The Heat have covered both games in this series and have also covered 11 of their last 14 games overall. They also will have guard Tyler Herro in the lineup tonight with a ankle injury that landed him on the injury report. I'm going to take the Heat here tonight on the Money Line with Embiid definitely out. |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics lost home court in the first game of their semi-final series with the Milwaukee Bucks. The Celtics getting beat soundly in game one, 89-101. You have to go back to December 29th for the last time the Celtics scored fewer points. They hit a miserable 33% from the field and were out-rebounded. Now they can ill afford to go down 0-2 on their home court. The Celtics are too good a team having won 55 games to do so. Plus, the Bucks are happy to escape Boston 1-1 so I don't look for a win here today by the Bucks. I'll lay the points with Boston and see if they can even the series. Play Boston. |
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05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Game one of this best of seven series between the Mavericks and the Suns from Phoenix tonight. The Mavericks took six games to beat Utah including winning the last two games. The Jazz also covered every game in that series except the first game. The Suns had the best record in the regular season, but had to go to six games to beat the New Orleans Pelicans. They did have some injury issue with Devin Booker is recovering from a hamstring injury. Booker looked limited in game six of the Pelicans series but looks ready to go at full speed here in game one tonight. With the Suns back at full strength I do like them here in game one. Play Suns. |
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05-01-22 | Warriors -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Game one of this best of seven Semi-Final series between the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors won their quarterfinal matchup with the Denver Nuggets 4 games to 1. The Warriors also covered three of the five games in the series. With the exception of the last game, the Warriors hit 50% or better from the field in the other four games. The Warriors were never the dog in any of the five games either. The Memphis Grizzlies won their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves, four games to two. The Grizzlies were tied 2-2 before taking the last two games in the series. The Grizzlies covered three of the six games and were favored in all six games. Game one should be excellent between these team and I'll take the road club here on Golden State. |
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04-27-22 | Bulls v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Game five of this best of seven series between the Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks is an elimination game should the Bulls lose. The Bulls are down 1-3 in this series and facing the end of their season tonight. So far all four games have gone under in this series as the Bulls have had trouble scoring points. The Bulls have 95 or fewer points in three of the four games. I'm not getting involved in this big line today, rather I'll stick with the UNDER as the Bulls exit the playoffs. |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
The Miami Heat can wrap-up their best of seven series tonight on their home court. The Heat lead the series 3-1 after taking the first two games at home and then splitting the next two at Atlanta. They won game four in Atlanta, 110-86. They have also covered three of the four games in the series. That makes nine out of the last 11 games the Heat have covered. The one mark against the Heat tonight will be the loss of guard Kyle Lowry, who is out tonight with a leg injury. Is this an issue tonight? Well, consider that Lowry also missed game four and the Heat still won by 24 points. I believe this will be more of an issue going forward in their next series. For me, I'm taking the Heat to wrap it up tonight and cover this game. Play Miami. |
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04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 212 | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors staved off elimination in game four with a win over the Sixers, 110-102. That was the clubs first win and cover in the four games thus far. In addition, three of the games have gone UNDER the total. The Raptors will be without a key offensive player tonight in Fred VanVleet, who is out with a hip injury. The 76ers were also dealt a blow when Joel Embiid tore a ligament in his right thumb. That injury will require surgery after the season is over. He has vowed to play through the injury. However, with both teams having key offensive players hurt, I have to wonder how this game makes it over tonight. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Game three of this series looked like a dead under until about 1 minute left when the teams went wild hitting threes and making foul shots to send it over. That makes two straight in the series that have gone over. However, The Suns have been a decent under team, having gone under in six straight and eight of the last nine before these last two games. The Suns have taken a 2-1 lead in this series and regained home court after taking game three at New Orleans, 114-111 as a 2-point favorite. This should be another close game and I will take the UNDER one more time. |
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04-21-22 | Warriors -130 v. Nuggets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors have had little trouble with the Denver Nuggets. Well, at least in Golden State where they won both games by 20 and 16 points. Now they have to travel to Denver and the higher elevation. Golden State has been hot, winning their last seven games S/U and going 6-1 ATS. Denver was a fair home team this year, going 25-18 S/U and a poor home covering team at 15-26 ATS. Denver is just 2-5 S/U and ATS their last seven games. Denver is also just 3-9 ATS their last 12 games vs a team with a winning S/U record. I'm going to take the Warriors on the money Line tonight. |
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04-20-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +2 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors return home for game three of their best of seven series with the Sixers down 0-2. They lost game on in Philly, 111-131 and then lost game two, 97-112. This is a pivotal game three as they can ill afford to go down 0-3 in this series. Up until this series, the Sixers had not been a good covering team. Yet they covered both games so far in this series. The Raptors do have a few good things here in game three. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs a road team with a winning record. They are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on one day rest. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs the Sixers in Toronto. I'll take the Raptors here as it's do or die. Play Toronto. |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -9.5 | Top | 125-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns showed the league why they are the best team in the NBA this year as they opened the playoffs with a decisive win over the Pelicans in game one, 110-99, covering the 10-point spread. Despite the close cover, the Suns led by double digits most of the way. Phoenix has now covered four of their last five playoff games as the favorite and is 4-0 ATS their last four quarterfinal games. New Orleans will try and avoid returning home down 0-2. They haven't done well lately against good teams, going 1-6 ATS the last seven against a winning team. They are also 0-4 ATS their last four as a dog. I don't look for Phoenix to have any more trouble then they did in game one. Of all the games in round one, this is the one that believes plays out just as it should, a Phoenix blowout. |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
The Timberwolves and Grizzlies begin their best of seven series here today at Memphis. The T'Wolves split their last four games 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS. The Wolves are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a dog. They are also 3-8 ATS their last 11 rod games vs a team with a winning home record. Memphis finished the regular season with a loss to the Celtics, 110-139 in what was a meaningless game for the Grizzlies. Still, they would like to get back to the streak that saw them win seven straight games. Unlike Minnesota, Memphis has been hot vs the number. They are 17-4 ATS their last 21 games at home. They are 14-3 ATS their last 17 as a home favorite. They have also dominated the T'Wolves of late, covering the last 16 of 21 meetings. They are even better at Memphis, going 24-8 ATS their last 32 vs the T'Wolves. I'm taking Memphis here in game one. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Win and move on, lose and you go home. That's the theme here tonight for these two teams. The Pelicans won their first play-in game last Wednesday, beating the San Antonio Spurs 113-103 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Pelicans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games and 10-4 in their last 14 road games as a dog. The LA Clippers got some bad news today when star shooting guard Paul George tested positive for Covid and will have to miss this game. That's a huge loss since they are already playing without their Superstar forward Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers lost their opening Play-In Round game to the T'Wolves, 104-109. This line dropped to a pick'em with George out tonight. I'm taking the Pelicans as they move onto the seeded playoffs. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs +6 v. Pelicans | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Play-In tournament continues here today as the San Antonio Spurs take on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Spurs finished the regular season with a 34-48 record. They did lose their last three games though they covered two and pushed the other. In fact, this Spurs team has bee a very good team vs the number, going 5-0-1 ATS the last six games and 9-1-1 ATS their last 11 games. The New Orleans Pelicans have a lot of injury questions coming into today. However, two seem solved with center James Valancions and forward Brandon Ingram now both probable for today. Forward Zion Willamson does remain out though with a foot injury. The Pelicans finished the regular season with two losses both S/U and ATS. The Spurs have covered eight of the last nine in this series and all seven of the last seven meetings in New Orleans. I'll take the Spurs here in the Play-In game. |
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04-09-22 | Pacers v. 76ers -14 | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
Early action on the NBA hard court today as the 76ers host the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are just playing out these last two days before their vacation. However, the Philadelphia 76ers still have something to play for this weekend. The Sixers are in 4th in the East, just a half game behind the Celtics for third place. They are 1.5 games back of Milwaukee and 1.5 games ahead of Toronto. The Sixers had their three-game win streak snapped at Toronto on Thursday, 114-119 as a 3.5-point favorite. Philly will close out their season at home against Detroit tomorrow. Both these games should be wins for the Sixers, which will put some pressure on those teams in front of them. The Pacers won't win here today. They haven't won since March 20th, losing eight straight games. They have also covered just three of their last eight games. The Sixers can't let down now. I'll lay the points with Philly today. |
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04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Neither of these teams will be going to the playoffs this year. Does this mean that the Lakers will shut down their stars? Russell Westbrook, Lebron James and Anthony Davis are all questionable tonight. I'll be looking at the total here tonight. The Thunder are 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 games as a dogl. They are also 16-7-1 O/U their last 24 overall games. The Lakers are 8-3 O/U their last 11 games. While we may or may not see the stars play tonight, I like these two teams to put up plenty of points and take this game OVER. They have gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings and that is what I expect tonight. |
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04-06-22 | Suns v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns have the best record in the NBA locked and put away. They really have nothing left to play for in these final days of the regular season. In fact, I won't be surprised to see key players doing a lot of sitting here tonight. The Suns snapped a two-game losing streak last game with a win over the Lakers, 121-110. Still, they haven't covered a game in four straight. The Clippers have already clinched a Playin berth as they currently sit 8th, four games ahead of the Pelicans. The Clippers have won two straight games and covered both after a stretch that saw them go 1-6 S/U and ATS. The Clippers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in LA with the Suns and 19-9 ATS the last 28 overall meetings. I'll take the Clippers here tonight. |
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04-05-22 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 115-144 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
As we come down to the finals games of the NBA regular season, Miami finds themselves sitting in 1st place in the East, 2-games against of the Boston Celtics and 2.5 games ahead of Milwaukee and Philly. While the Heat have clinched the SouthEast division, they would like to lock of that top spot in the East. Charlotte looks to hold one of the two Play-In berths in the East. The other currently held by Brooklyn. Charlotte is coming off a loss at Philly, 114-144, failing to cover the 5.5-point dog line. While Charlotte has been good at covering, they don't do well against very good teams. They are just 8-18-2 their last 28 games vs a team with a 60% or better winning mark. Miami had to endure a four-game losing streak in last March. However, they have rebounded and have won four straight both S/U and ATS. More good news tonight, star Jimmy Butler, who has been rested, is probable tonight. I like Miami here, they need to win to lock up that top East Spot. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The NCAA Men's Final comes down to two teams that are not strangers to the Big game, North Carolina and Kansas. North Carolina is 29-9 overall on the season and after losing in the ACC Tournament has won five straight in the NCAA's. They have covered all five also after they beat Duke in the Final Four, 81-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Tarheels have the 18th ranked efficient offense according to the Kenpom rankings. They have averaged nearly 78 points per game and allowed 68 points. In the NCAA tournament they have averaged 82.2 ppg while allowing 68.2 ppg. They are 39th in defense. North Carolina is looking for its 7th National Title and first with HC Hubert Davis. The Kansas Jayhawks were the only No 1 seed team to make the Final Four this year. They have a 33-6 record and are coming off a blowout win over Villanova, 81-65. The Jayhawks won the Big 12 Tournament this year, just the first time in their last four years. Both of these teams peaked at just the right time and both are loaded with great coaches. The one area Kansas has trouble is foul shooting, where they are just 60% in the tournament. This could prove crucial down the stretch. In a close game like this, I'll take the points. Play North Carolina. |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Early game here on Sunday has the Washington Wizards taking on the Boston Celtics in a NBA Eastern conference clash. Washington was eliminated from the playoffs as they sit 11th, 5.5 games back of 10th place Brooklyn. The Celtics are 3rd in the East and can improve or fall back. They are a half game back of 2nd place Milwaukee and two back of 1st place Miami. The Wizards are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games as a road dog. They are also 6-16 ATS their last 22 games on one day of rest. The Celtics snapped a two game losing streak with a win over Indiana, 128-123, though they failed to cover the 15-point favorite line. Still, the Celtics are 6-3 ATS their last nine games. The Celtics have also gone 12-4-1 ATS their last 17 games against the Pacers at Boston. I'll lay the big number here today with a Boston team that can still change their playoff position. |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas UNDER 133 | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
It took Kansas an entire half, but they finally woke up in the 2nd half against Miami in their Elite 8 matchup. Kansas trailed the Canes at half, 29-35, but came out like gangbusters in the second half. They outscored Miami 47-15 in the 2nd half to win the game, 76-50, as a 5-point closing favorite. There was a lot of money on Miami, as they opened a 9-point dog and close at around 5-points. Now Kansas will get to face Villanova. Villanova didn't have a lot of issues with Houston as they led at the half, 27-20 and held on for the 50-44 win over the Cougars as a 3-point dog. Again the money on Houston as the opened 1.5-points and close at 3-points. Villanova did suffer one loss in the game, that of guard Justin Moore who tore a Achilles tendon in the final minutes of the game. Moore will not play again this year with surgery looming. Moore, a third year starter, was second team All Big East this year. Moore averaged 14.8 ppg and his leadership will be greatly missed. For me, losing Moore is the difference maker in the tone of this game. Both these teams are very good defensively with Kansas ranked 17th and Villanova 18th in the Kenpom adjusted defensive rankings. Now without Moore that will hurt this Nova offense. I'm am taking the UNDER here in this Final four matchup. |
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04-01-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 153-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Championship here tonight between Fresno State and Coastal Carolina. Fresno State lost three of their last four games to close out their season. They have hit the NIT running though, beating Eastern Washington, Youngstown State and then last game over Southern Utah, 67-48 as a 7-point favorite. Fresno not the best offensive team, as they rank just 148 in the Kenpom offensive efficiency rankings. They do better in defense though, ranking 32nd overall. The Dogs haven't done well covering against winning teams, evidenced by their 3-9 ATS mark their last 12 games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just 19 wins on the season. Though six of those have come in the last seven games. They lost in their conference championship game to Georgia Southern and have since won three straight in this tournament. The last coming over South Alabama, 69-68, as a 1-point dog. Carolina just out of the top 100 in both. Carolina is 6-1 ATS their last seven games. Have to figure Carolina with chance to win today, so I'll take the points with them. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Miami Heat have not only clinched their Division, but they have the best record in the NBA Eastern Conference, a half game ahead of Philly and one game back of today's opponent, Boston. The Heat snapped a four game losing streak with a win over Sacramento, 123-100, last game as a 13.5-point favorite. The Heat have not been good at covering spreads, going 1-7 ATS their last eight games. A win tonight by Boston and they will be tied with the Heat. The Celtics had their six game win streak snapped in their last game at Toronto, losing 112-115, but covering the 8.5-point dog line. They have now covered three straight and six of their last seven games. I'll lay the points here tonight with Boston. |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M -1.5 | Top | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NIT Semifinals here tonight from Madison Square Garden in NY, NY has Washington State taking on Texas A&M for the right to go to the NIT Finals. Washington State has had a very good run, starting in the PAC-12 tournament where they beat Oregon State, Oregon and Cal before losing to UCLA, 65-75. They then have won three straight in the NIT, beating Santa Clara, SMU and BYU, covering all three games. The Cougars are decent offensive team, ranked 77th in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency rankings. They are a better defensive team, ranking 26th. Offensively they are one of the worst 2-point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 313th with a 46.2%. Texas A&M has been equally impressive as Washington State in their recent run. They beat three very good SEC teams in their tournament against Florida, Auburn and Arkansas, before losing to Tennessee in the finals. They opened NIT with a win over Alorn State, then beat Oregon and lastly Wake Forest. They have covered nine of their last 11 games. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games. The Aggies also have a very good defense, ranked 32nd in the Kenpom rankings and a slightly better offense, ranked 72nd. A&M has been a very streaky team, losing eight in a row mid-season and then closing with a nice win streak. I like A&M here tonight. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 48-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
The Basketball Classic Semifinals tonight have Fresno State hosting Southern Utah. Winner moves on to the tournament finals. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are 23-11 overall after winning three straight in this tournament. They opened with a win over Kent State, 83-79, then beat UTEP, 82-69 and last game beat Portland, 77-66, covering all three games. In addition So Utah is 7-2 ATS their last nine games. So Utah has the nation's 87th most efficient offense according to Kenpom. They are 34th in 2-point FG%. This would account for why the team has scored 71 points or more in 10 of the last 12 games. Fresno State also has 23 wins on the season after winning both of their TBC tourney games. They beat Eastern Washington, 83-74, to open the tourney and then beat Youngstown State, 80-71, last game. They have failed to cover both games as a favorite. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games and 2-9 their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. I'm taking the generous points here today with Southern Utah. |
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03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns OVER 227.5 | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Best of the East meets the Best of the West today as Philly travels to Phoenix. It's a four way dog fight for the best record in the NBA East, with Philadelphia 76ers percentage points in first. The Sixers have won three straight to improve to 46-27 overall and 35-37-1 vs the spread. They have also gone over in three straight games, scoring 122, 126 and 113 points in those games. The Phoenix Suns have the NBA West best record all theirs with a 8 1/2 game lead over 2nd place Memphis. They also have the NBA's best record by far over the East. The Suns have been a scoring machine of late, posting 125 or more points in each of their last seven games. They have also gone over in seven of their last eight games. The Suns are 13-3 O/U in their last 16 home games vs a winning team. This has been a great over series, with the last six meetings in Phoenix going OVER and 18-7-1 the last 26 overall meetings going OVER. I'm taking OVER here today with these two powerhouse teams. |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Coach K's run toward his final season glory is still alive. Coach K retires after this year for Duke and they aren't ready to let him go just yet. After losing to Virginia Tech in the ACC, Duke has won three straight in the NCAA over Cal Fullerton, 78-61, Michigan State, 85-76, and Texas Tech last game, 78-73. They covered two of the three games. Arkansas pulled off the huge upset last round, beating top seeded Gonzaga, 74-68 as a 9.5-point dog. They held Gonzaga to just 23.8% from three-point line and 37.5% shooting overall. Arkansas has a outstanding defense, ranked 11th in the Kenpom efficiency listings. However, the height advantage definitely goes Duke's way in this game. The Blue Devils are the highest ranked offensive team left in the tournament after Purdue got ousted by St Peter's yesterday. It seems like Duke has been fortunate to advance at every level, however they are playing very well right now. I look at Duke as having all the offensive power in this game to go with their height advantage. Arkansas is the better defensive team, but I see Duke's firepower being too much here today. Play Duke. |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL -2.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Iowa State is the worst offensive team left in the NCAA tournament. The Cyclones are lucky to get out of the 50's in most games these days. In addition their offense is just the 160th ranked efficient offense in the Kenpom rankings. This offense turns the ball over a lot (294th in the country), doesn't hit 3-pointers (265th in the country) and is a poor free thrown shooting team (290th in the country). Yet, here they are in the Sweet 16. They beat LSU, 59-54, holding the Tigers to just 54 points. Then last game they beat Wisconsin, holding the Badgers to just 49 points. Bottom line for this Cyclones team is that they won't outscore anyone. So here comes Miami, a team that has scored at least 71 points in 11 of their last 12 games. They beat USC in round one, 68-66 (their only game under 70) and then last game over Auburn, 79-61, as a 6.5-point dog. I think time has run out for this Iowa State team. I'm taking Miami here tonight. |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
It's the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament and we get a great matchup here on Thursday as Houston takes on Arizona. Houston advanced here by beating UAB in round one, 82-68, and then Illinois in the 2nd round, 68-53. That makes five straight wins for the Cougars both SU and ATS since they rolled through their conference tourney also. Houston is now 11-1 their last 12 games S/U and 9-2 ATS their lasts 11 games. Houston has one of the best balanced teams in college basketball, ranked 10th both in offensive and defensive efficiency by Kenpom. They also hit the boards really well, 3rd in the nation in offensive rebounds 37.7% and 8th in blocked shots. Arizona Wildcats have beaten Wright State, 87-70, and TCU, 85-80 in the NCAA Tournament. However, they didn't cover either of those games. Arizona is slightly better on offense than Houston, 7th overall, but worse in defense, 17th overall. Should be a great game to watch, but for me I'm taking the Cougars plus the couple of points. Play Houston. |
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03-23-22 | Rockets v. Mavs -10 | Top | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Southwest Division battle here between a pair of Texas teams as the Dallas Mavs host the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets are 18-54 S/U on the season and 28-43-1 ATS. The Rockets snapped a five-game losing streak with a win over Washington, 115-97, as a 4.5-point dog. The Rockets are just 13-31 ATS their last 44 games as a dog and 0-5 ATS their last five road games as a dog. The Dallas Mavericks are 44-28 S/U and 38-33-1 ATS. The Mavs snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Minnesota last game, 110-108. That makes Dallas 9-3 S/U their last 12 games. The Mavs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 home games. I'll take the home team here tonight and lay the points with Dallas. |
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03-22-22 | Middle Tennessee -1.5 v. Abilene Christian | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee State takes on Abilene Christian in this CBI Semifinals from Daytona Beach, FL. Winner heads to the CBI championship game against either Northern Colorado or UNC Wilmington. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders beat Cal Baptist in the first round, 64-58, and then Boston U, 76-46 in the 2nd round, covering vs Boston and pushing vs Baptist. Mid Tenn State has been very good to bettors, going 22-6-2 ATS in their last 30 games. They are also 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 as a favorite. Abilene Christian Wildcats beat Troy in the opening round, 82-70 and then Ohio U yesterday, 91-86, covering both games. Both teams have good offenses, but I give the defensive nod to the Blue Raiders. The Raiders also have been so good against the spread. I am taking Middle Tennessee State in this one. |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons -7.5 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
The Portland Trailblazers have dropped to 26-44 after losing four straight games. That includes last time out at Indiana, 98-129, as a 8-point dog. In fact, the Blazers are 1-10 S/U their last 11 games. Portland also has been hurting vs the number, going 3-8 ATS their last 11 games and 2-6 their last eight as a road dog. The Detroit Pistons are just 19-52 overall on the season but have a winning spread record at 39-32 ATS. The Pistons are coming off a loss at Cleveland, 109-113, but covered the 6-point dog spread. Even though the Pistons are 1-5 S/U their last six games they are 13-1 ATS their last 14 games! They are also 5-1 ATS their last six home games. The Pistons has covered four of the last five games in Detroit. Also to note here tonight, the Blazers will be without their best player in Guard Damian Lillard who is out with an abdominal injury. Take Detroit tonight. |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
NCAA Second round action here on Sunday has 7th seeded Ohio State taking on 2nd seeded Villanova. Ohio State came out of round one with a won over Loyola Chicago, 54-41 while Villanova downed Delaware, 80-60. Ohio State struggled of late, losing four of its last five games before winning in round one. They held the Ramblers to just 27% shooting from the floor. However, the Buckeyes hit just one of 13 three-point shots in the game. Villanova won for the sixth straight time after round one. They held Delaware to just 44% from the field and 15% from 3-point arc. This game seems taylor made for Villanova. Ohio State doesn't have the height to contend in the paint vs the Wildcats. They also don't possess the shooting to dent this Villanova defense. Ohio State will have to rely on its defense to keep them close, but I don't see that happening against a very good Villanova offense. Play Villanova. |
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03-19-22 | Michigan v. Tennessee -5.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney 2nd Round action from Indianapolis, IN has 11th seeded Michigan taking on 3rd seeded Tennessee. Michigan trailed Colorado State by as many as 15-points in round one before rallying to win over the Rams, 75-63. Tennessee had it much easier, rolling to an easy win over Longwood, 88-56. It's still a shock that Michigan got an at large bid with 17 wins when teams like Drake were overlooked with 22 wins. Plus, Michigan got knocked out in the 1st Round of the Big 10 Conference tournament by Indiana, 69-74. Further bad news for the Wolverines is that they may be without guard Devante Jones who has a concussion. Tennessee just continues to win, now having won eight straight games including their SEC Tourney Championship win over Texas A&M, 65-50. They have covered four straight games and six of their last eight games. Michigan would have to play a perfect game here today to win against a much better Tennessee club. With Jones possibly out too that is going to be too many hills to climb for this Michigan team. I'll lay the points with the Vols. |
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03-18-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Ohio State | Top | 41-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Early Friday action here in the NCAA 1st Round from PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA. The Loyola Chicago Ramblers take on Ohio State Buckeyes. The winner of this game likely has a date with Villanova in the next round. Loyola is no stranger to Cinderella runs in the NCAA tournament so don't expect them to shock anyone this year. This team has lots of experience with road and neutral games, playing 17 games on one or the other site. Loyola also comes into today's contest fully healthy. The Loyola defense is their backbone, ranked 29th nationally in scoring defense. They also rank 11th nationally in rebounding. Ohio State started the season red-hot, but down the stretch could only manage a 19-11 record and 4th place in the Big 10. The Buckeyes were just 5-6 away from home this year and 1-2 on a neutral court. I'm going to take Loyola here in what looks currently to be a pick'em game. |
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03-16-22 | Mississippi State v. Virginia -2.5 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Virginia Cavaliers host the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this NIT First Round game. Two big conference teams here as the SEC meets the ACC. No 3 seeded Mississippi State takes on 6th seeded Virginia. Mississippi State Bulldogs finished just 18-15 overall on the season and 10th in the SEC with a 1-9 record. The Bulldogs will also be without a key cog in Rocket Watts (elbow) as the Dogs have struggled without him in the lineup. We are used to seeing Virginia in the NCAA tournament, so some steps backward this year as they hit the NIT's. One big advantage I see here tonight is that the Cavs are 100% healthy. A deep bench will undoubtedly go a long way in this game. Virginia is the lower seed here, but they get the home game and are the favorite. Mississippi State doesn't win on the road and are 1-6 in their last seven games. Motivation will be key here tonight as I don't see Mississippi State having any in this matchup. Take Virginia. |
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03-15-22 | Indiana v. Wyoming +4.5 | Top | 66-58 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
NCAA First four action here on Tuesday has Indiana taking on Wyoming with the winner advancing on to their tournament bracket. Indiana didn't win the Big 10 Tournament, but they came close, just losing to Iowa in game they led most of the way, 77-80. They did cover all three of their Big 10 tourney games - all as an underdog. Now today, here they are the favorite against Wyoming. The Cowboys lost in the Mountain West Semifinals to Boise State, 61-68. However, their 25 wins got them this First Four play-in game. The Hoosiers are playing their third game in five days, something they haven't excelled at, evidenced by their 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. Wyoming has done very well in the role of a dog, going 11-4 ATS their last 15. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. I'll take the points tonight with the Cowboys. |
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03-14-22 | Bulls -3.5 v. Kings | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
The Chicago Bulls improved to 41-26 thanks to winning two games in a row. They are coming off a win at home over Cleveland, 101-91, as a 5.5-point favorite. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS their last 10 games vs a team with a losing S/U record. They are also 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite. The Sacramento Kings have lost four straight games. They are also 2-9 S/U their last 11 games. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Kings. I'll lay the number here tonight with Chicago. |
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03-13-22 | Memphis +3.5 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
American Athletic Conference Championship here today has Memphis (19-9) taking on Houston (26-5) for the Title and automatic NCAA bid. That last one more important for Memphis. Houston will be going to the NCAA tournament no matter what, but a loss by Memphis and I really doubt they get in with 19 wins when so many teams have 20 or more wins. That makes this game even bigger for Memphis. Memphis got here today with a win on Friday over Central Florida, 85-69 and then a win yesterday over SMU, 70-63, covering both games. Memphis has covered five of their last six and 10 of the last 12 games. That includes a cover a pair of covers against Houston on March 6, 75-61 and Feb 12, 69-59. They not only covered both but beat Houston straight up in both games. So we know they have the confidence to beat them again here today. Houston lost only five games all year and two of those to Memphis. They beat Cincinnati in round one of their tourney play, 69-56, and then Tulane yesterday, 86-66. For me, Memphis knows they can beat this team and needs to win to assure a NCAA bid. I'll take the points with Memphis today. |
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03-12-22 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Duke | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
ACC Championship game pits 22-12 Virginia Tech against Duke. Tech won it's first tourney game against Notre Dame, 87-80, covering the pick'em game. Then last night they got the win over North Carolina, 72-59, blowing out the Tar Heels as a 3-point dog. Tech playing their third game in five days here but they have done well in this position, covering nine of the last 11 times. Duke is 28-5 after beating Syracuse in game one, 88-79 and then disposing of Miami Florida last night, 80-76. However, they have failed to cover their last three spreads. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs a team with a winning record over 60%. I like the 6-points in this game with a Tech team that can win outright. |
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03-11-22 | Miami-FL +9 v. Duke | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
ACC Semifinals tonight have Miami Florida taking on Duke. Miami opened their conference tourney play with a narrow win over Boston College, 71-69, as a 8-point favorite. The Canes extended their win streak to three games, though they failed to cover the spread. Miami does very well as a dog, evidenced by their 21-8-1 ATS mark their last 30 games in that role. Duke is 27-5 overall on the season and opened ACC tourney play with a win over Syracuse, 88-79, though they failed to cover the 15-point spread. The Blue Devils are now 4-6 ATS their last 10 games. Miami plays too good as dog to be betting 8-points here today. Play Miami Florida. |
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03-10-22 | Northwestern v. Iowa -8.5 | Top | 76-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Big 10 Action here today has Northwestern taking on Iowa. Northwestern overcame a big deficit in the first half of yesterday's game to Nebraska to hold on at the end for the win, 71-69, failing to cover the 4-point line. They are now 15-15 overall on the season and are 2-4-1 ATS their last seven games. Northwestern is just 1-5 their last six neutral site games after their spread loss last night. Iowa is 22-9 and didn't have to play the first round on Wednesday. They finished the regular season with a 8-2 S/U record and 7-2 ATS mark. The Hawkeyes have done well on neutral courts, going 8-2-1 their last 11 games as a favorite. Northwestern was fortunate to survive last night. No such luck for them here today against a very good Iowa team. Play Iowa. |
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03-09-22 | Nebraska +5 v. Northwestern | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Big 10 Tourney action has Nebraska taking on Northwestern from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. Nebraska finished the regular season with a 10-21 record. However, they did finish strong, winning their last three games and covering their last four. That included covers against Wisconsin, Ohio State and Iowa. Northwestern finished with a losing record also at 14-15 overall. They did win and cover their last game against Minnesota, 75-62, as a 6.5-point home favorite. However, they were 2-5 S/U and 2-3-1 ATS down the stretch. In addition, the Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their last four games on a neutral court. Northwestern laying 5-points here today and I believe Nebraska can win this game outright. But, I'll take the points with Nebraska. |
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03-08-22 | Wagner +3 v. Bryant | Top | 43-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Northeast conference championship here today with a automatic bid on the line to the NCAA tourney. The Wagner Seahawks are 21-5 overall on the season and bring a two-game win streak into today's contest. The Seahawks lost at Bryant last week, 70-78, as a 4.5-point dog. They did beat Bryant way back on Jan 6th, 84-81, as a 8-point favorite. Wagner is now 8-3 AST in their last 11 games as a dog and 7-3 as a road dog. Bryant is 21-9 overall and has a six-game winning streak going. They have failed to cover their last two games and are 2-3 over their last five games. Bryant has the top rated efficient offense in the conference and the 4th ranked defense. Wagner is very well balanced, ranking 2nd in both offense and defense efficiency in the Northeast conference. They also have the top ranked 2-point shooting team (54.4%) and the top ranked offensive rebounding team (34.4%). Should be a great game, but I'll take the points in this one. Play Wagner. |
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03-07-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 124-131 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors are 43-21 on the season. That's the good news. The bad news? Well, this team is in fast decline, losing four straight games and going just 2-8 their last 10 games. They are also 1-11 ATS their last 12 games. They have lost their last four games by 8, 9, 15 and 6 points. Tonight, there is a certain situation that really goes against the Warriors. They will be resting Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson and Stephen Currey. To add to the situation, they have to travel to the high altitude of Denver with a short bench. The Nuggets are 38-26 on the season. They have won two straight and eight of their last nine games. They are also 6-3 ATS their last nine games. Great situation for the Nuggets tonight. They are hot and they get a ice code Warriors team with three stars sitting out. Play Denver. |
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03-05-22 | La Salle -1 v. Duquesne | Top | 85-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
LaSalle 9-18 on the season but brings a 2-game win streak into today's contest at Duquesne. The Explorers are coming off a win over St Joe's 49-48 as a 1.5-point dog. Duquesne Dukes likely playing their last game of the season here today at just 6-22 and no postseason prospects. The Dukes are coming off a loss to George Washington, 93-98 as a 7-point dog. That was only their 1st cover in their last six games and third cover in their last 15 games. Duquesne is the worst team in the conference and one of if not the worst in college basketball. I'll take Lasalle here today. |
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03-04-22 | Cavs v. 76ers -7 | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are still having a good season at 36-26 overall and 33-26-3 vs the spread. The Cavs are just 1-5 S/U their last five games and 0-6 vs the spread. They are coming off a loss at home to Charlotte, 98-119, as a 4.5-point favorite. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a dog and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road. They also look to be without their shooting guard, Caris LeVert, who will miss today's game with a foot injury. The Sixers big pickup with James Harden and he could be a game changer down the stretch for this Philly team. Philly is 38-23 overall and 31-30 vs the spread. They have won all three games both S/U and ATS since the All-Star break. And, all three have been blowout wins by 15, 16 and 29 points. The Sixers look like a team that is hitting all cylinders right now. Play Philadelphia. |
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03-03-22 | Evansville v. Valparaiso -5 | Top | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
Missouri Valley Conference Tourney 1st Round action here today from Enterprise Center, St Louis, MO. Evansville likely an early exit here and their season will be done at just 6-23 thus far. The Aces have lost seven straight games and are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The Aces rank last in efficiency in the conference in both offense and defense. They have the worst 2-point shooting team (43.5%) and the worst defensive 2-point team (58.1%). Valparaiso is 13-17 on the season and has lost two straight games. The Crusaders have played three games on a neutral court this year, going 2-1 both S/U and ATS. Both teams in the bottom portion of the conference. However, the Aces are the worst and they should lay over today and take the early out. Play Valpariso. |
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03-02-22 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee State -3.5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Ohio Valley First Round tourney action here today has SIU Edwardsville taking on Tennessee State from the Ford Center in Evansville, IN. The SIU Cougars are coming off a win over Morehead State, 77-70, as a 10.5-point dog. They are 2-3 S/U their last five games and 5-2 ATS their last seven games. The Cougars have the 8th ranked efficient offense in the conference. They are also 8th in 3-point percentage (31.2) and 7th in 2-point percentage (47.2). Tennessee State is coming off a loss at Belmont, 67-87, as a 16-point dog. The Tigers had covered six straight before that spread loss to Belmont. The Cougars are 6th in both offense and defensive efficiency in the conference. They have the top free throw shooting team (74.1%) and that can help cover these spreads late in the game. I'll take the Cougars here today as they have the better balanced team. |
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03-01-22 | Mavs -5 v. Lakers | Top | 109-104 | Push | 0 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Dallas Mavericks head to LA tonight to face the Lakers at the Staples Center. The Mavs are 36-25 overall on the season and 34-26-1 vs the spread. The Mavs are coming off a road win over Golden State, 107-101 as a 3.5-point dog. That makes them 3-1 S/U and 4-0 on this current road trip. The Lakers are just 27-33 on the season both S/U and ATS. They have lost two straight games since the second half of the season started, 102-105 to the Clippers and last game 95-123 at home to the Pelicans. They are now 1-5 S/U their last six games and 2-4 ATS their six. Lakers will be without Anthony Davis today who is out with an ankle injury, while LeBron James is back and is probable with a knee injury. Mavs playing very well and I'll lay the points at LA with the Mavs. |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Mountain West action here tonight has two of the top conference teams meeting in Laramie. Boise State leads the conference with a 14-2 record, Wyoming is in 2nd at 12-3 and San Diego State is 4th at 10-4. Four teams in this conference have a great chance of making the NCAA so every win is important. This game probably means more to the San Diego State Aztecs, as they sit at 18-7 and unless they win the conference tourney they are a bubble team to make the NCAA. They are coming off a win over San Jose State, 77-52, as a 21.5-pint favorite. They have won six of their last seven games with their only loss at Boise State, 57-58, as a 2-point dog. They have covered four straight games. Offense has always been an issue for this team and it is again this year as they have just the 8th ranked efficient offense in the conference. However, defense has always been excellent and it's ranked 1st in the Mountain West again. They rank first in six defensive categories. Wyoming is 23-5 and should be a NCAA team no matter what. They have split their last four games at 2-2 S/U. They rebounded from a loss to Colorado State with a home win over Nevada, 74-61, as a 7-point favorite. Wyoming is a perfect 13-0 at home and yet tonight they find themselves a 2-point dog. I understand the line as the oddsmaker figures SDG State needs this game. However, I feel that Wyoming will not just give in and will want to keep that perfect record before their home crowd. The altitude is high in Laramie and that will also have a factor. I'll take Wyoming as a home dog here tonight. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers -7.5 v. Knicks | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
The early game on the NBA schedule today has the Philadelphia 76ers taking on the Knicks at New York. The Sixers are 36-23 overall and 29-30 vs the spread. They started the 2nd half of the season in fine fashion with a blowout win at Minnesota, 133-102, as a 2-point favorite. They have won four of their last five games and covered three of the last four. The Sixers are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 5-2 ATS when the road favorite. The Knicks have struggled to a 25-35 record this season. They have lost four straight games and eight of their last nine both SU and ATS. They started the 2nd half of the season with a blowout home loss to Miami, 110-115, as a 5.5-point dog. The Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games as a dog. The Knicks have not been good, especially at covering spreads. I'll take Philly today in what should be another blowout. |
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02-26-22 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers -2 | Top | 66-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Wisconsin taking on Rutgers. Wisconsin has won three straight games and five of their last six. They are 2nd in the Big 10 with a 13-4 record and 22-5 overall record. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. Wisconsin has the 8th ranked efficient offense in the Big 10 and the 3rd ranked defense. Rutgers is 16-11 overall on the season and 6th in the conference with a 10-7 mark. They look to snap a two-game losing streak after dropping games at Purdue, 72-84, and at Michigan, 62-71. They return home where they are 13-2 S/U and 9-5-1 ATS on the season. They have the fourth ranked efficient defense in the Big 10. I like Rutgers on their home court here today. Play Rutgers. |