Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-16-20 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* PADRES/DBACKS MLB NO-BRAINER (Over 9) When you factor in how bad Arizona starter Robbie Ray has been and the recent rate at which the Diamondbacks offense has been producing, I think the OVER is definitely worth a shot on Sunday. Over their last 5 games the Diamondbacks are averaging 7.4 runs/game. They are hitting .312 as a team with a .356 OBP and .492 SLG during this stretch. Ray has made 4 starts for Arizona and if it wasn't for what he's done in the past, I don't think he would still be in the rotation. Ray has a 10.58 ERA and 2.116 WHIP in 4 starts. He's allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 3 outings. He can't locate the ball. He's given up 7 HRs and walked 14 in 17 innings. Give me the OVER 9! |
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08-16-20 | Dodgers -175 v. Angels | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
50* DODGERS/ANGELS MLB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Dodgers -175) I got no problem laying the big juice with the Dodgers. Los Angeles has won 4 straight and are locked in at the plate. Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in each of their last 4 games. They figure to have a great shot at hitting at least 6 runs on Sunday. Angels will turn to the struggling Julio Teheran, who has allowed 7 runs on 7 hits (2 HRs) and 4 BBs in just 4 2/3 innings of work. Dodgers will have the talented Dustin May on the mound, who has a strong 2.75 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 4 starts. It's also worth noting that Teheran is 0-7 with a 6.27 ERA in 9 career starts against the Dodgers. Give me the Dodgers -175! |
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08-16-20 | Rangers +135 v. Rockies | 6-10 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
40* RANGERS/ROCKIES MLB STEAMROLLER (Rangers +135) This is just too good a price to pass up with the red-hot Rangers. Texas is 7-1 over their last 8 games. Colorado starter Jon Gray has been awful in 2020. Gray has made 4 starts and has a 6.41 ERA and 1.373 WHIP. What really stands out ot me is the fact that he's only got 9 strikeouts in 19 2/3 innings of work. This is a guy that in the past has averaged over a 9.0 K/9. On the flip side, the Rangers turn to Kobly Allard, who has a 1.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in his first 2 starts. Allard has allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 9 K's in 9 innings of work. Give me the Rangers +135! |
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08-15-20 | Rangers v. Rockies -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
40* RANGERS/ROCKIES MLB STEAMROLLER (Rockies -1.5, +108) I went against Colorado last night. I just didn't like their chances against a red-hot Lance Lynn. I don't see offense being a problem for the Rockies tonight. I'm taking Colorado on the -1.5 run line. Kyle Gibson will start for the Rangers. He's 0-2 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in 3 starts. I just don't see Gibson keeping this Colorado offense in check. Not at Coors Field. Rockies also got a stud on the mound in this one. German Marquez has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 4 starts. Give me Colorado -1.5 (+108) |
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08-15-20 | Mets v. Phillies -152 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
50* METS/PHILLIES *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Phillies -152) The Phillies are coming off a thrilling 6-5 win on Friday. After letting the Mets tie it up at 5-5 in the Top of the 9th, Philadelphia won it in the bottom of the 9th. That's a win that can get you going. This team needed something like that, as they had lost 5 of their previous 6. I see this team on the rise. They got ace Aaron Nola on the mound and he's been on his game in 2020. Nola has a 2.79 ERA and 0.621 WHIP in 3 starts. His last two have been outstanding. He held the Yankees to 1 run on 3 hits with 12 K's in 6 innings. He followed that up by holding the Braves to 1 run on 2 hits with 10 K's in 8 innings. Steven Matz is on the mound for the Mets. He's 0-3 with a 8.20 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in 4 starts. Give me the Phillies -152! |
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08-14-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
40* MARINERS/ASTROS MLB STEAMROLLER (Astros -1.5, -101) I'm on the Astros -1.5 (-101) tonight. You can lay the -200 on the money line if you want, but I think the better play is to take your chances on them winning by at least 2 runs. Houston is off to a bit of a disappointing start with a mere 8-10 record, but note that of their 8 wins, 7 of those have been by at least 2 runs. They are 6-0 vs left-handed starters this season, scoring 6.2 runs/game in these wins. They will be up against lefty Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 5.28 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in 3 starts. Astros will have Framber Valdez on the mound. He's been outstanding in his 2 starts with a 2.38 ERA and 1.147 WHIP. Give me Houston -1.5 (-101)! |
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08-14-20 | Rangers -119 v. Rockies | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* RANGERS/ROCKIES INTERLEAGUE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rangers -119) I absolutely love the value here with the Rangers. Colorado has the much better overall record, but they come in having lost 3 of 4, while Texas is red-hot with a 5-1 record in their last 6 games. Rangers will also have Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a 1.16 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in 4 starts. He's only allowed 3 runs on 10 hits in 23 1/3 innings. He's also got an impressive 30 strikeouts in those 23 1/3 innings. Give me the Rangers -119! |
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08-14-20 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
40* RAYS/BLUE JAYS OVER/UNDER VEGAS INSIDER (Over 9.5) The ball simply is flying out of Sahlen Field, which is where the Blue Jays are playing their home games this season. Toronto just played their first two games at Sahlen Field against the Marlins and the two teams combined for 34 runs on 43 hits (11 HRs) in those two games. Now you got a Rays offense that is scorching coming to down. Tampa Bay just put up 42 runs in their 4 game series at Boston with at least 8 runs in each game. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-13-20 | Brewers v. Cubs -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 112 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* BREWERS/CUBS MLB VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Cubs -1.5, +112) I like the value here with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line. Chicago just keeps on winning. 4 days of no games. No problem. Cubs returned from their mini weekend break by outscoring the Indians 14-3 in a quick 2-game sweep. I'll take my chances we see more of the same. Cubs will turn to Yu Darvish, who is off to a great start. Darvish has a 2.12 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in 3 starts. He's also got a very strong 2.32 ERA in 6 career starts against the Brewers. He'll be up against Brett Anderson, who has not looked great, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.649 WHIP in his first two starts. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+112)! |
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08-12-20 | Orioles v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* ORIOLES/PHILLIES MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Phillies -1.5, +105) I'm going to lay the -1.5 on the run line with Philadelphia for + money. For me, I just think there's a really good chance that the Phillies put up a big number offensively. For starters, they come in red-hot. They scored 13 runs on 14 hits Monday in the finale against the Braves and opened this series up yesterday with 9 runs on 11 hits. They will be up against Baltimore starter Wade LeBlanc, who has a 6.91 ERA in 3 starts. He's not striking anyone out (8 Ks in 14 1/3 innings) and has given up at least 1 homer in each outing. Phillies will have Zach Eflin on the mound, who in his first and only start of 2020, held the Yankees to 2 runs (0 earned) in 4 innings. Give me the Phillies -1.5, +105! |
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08-12-20 | Marlins v. Blue Jays -160 | 14-11 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* BLUE JAYS/MARLINS MLB MONEYMAKER (Blue Jays -160) I got no problem laying some juice with Toronto on Wednesday. The Blue Jays are off to a sluggish 6-8 start, but have won 2 of their last 3 and are fresh off a 5-4 win against the Marlins on Tuesday. I don't think there's any question who the better team is. On top of that, I really like what I've seen out of Toronto's young prospect Nate Pearson. He was outstanding in his debut at home against the Nationals, but struggled in his next outing at Atlanta. I see him shutting this Marlins offense down. Give me the Blue Jays -160! |
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08-12-20 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* CUBS/INDIANS MLB TOP PLAY (Under 8) I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 8 in this one. I correctly predicted that the Cubs would be the first team all season to score 5 or more runs against the Indians in yesterday's 7-1 win. I don't feel so confident with them doing it two games in a row. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they struggled to score a mere 3 runs. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound, who has a 2.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts. Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks. While Hendricks is normally a guy I look to fade on the road, Cleveland's offense is so bad that I like him to pitch well here. It doesn't hurt that the wind will be blowing in from right. Give me the UNDER 8. |
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08-12-20 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -108 | 13-7 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
40* DBACKS/ROCKIES EARLY BIRD MLB WINNER (Rockies -108) I love the value here with Colorado at basically even money on their home turf tonight. Rockies are sitting on top the NL West at 12-5. Feels like the public is a little hesitant to move Colorado into a serious contender. Whether they can hold off the Dodgers in the division is up in the air, but I give them a better shot than most. I definitely like them in this game. Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who has a 2.65 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 3 starts. He was great at Coors Field in his only home start, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Diamondbacks will have Luke Weaver going and he's been awful. Weaver has a 12.20 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in 3 starts. He can't keep the ball in the park, as he's allowed 5 HRs in 10 1/3 innings of work. Give me the Rockies -108! |
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08-11-20 | Padres +145 v. Dodgers | 6-2 | Win | 145 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
40* PADRES/DODGERS LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Padres +145) I really like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog. San Diego has ben playing well, but just aren't getting much love. They certainly aren't going to get any on the road against the Dodgers. They won 2-1 last night as a +187 dog. That was the 3rd straight game where the Dodgers struggled to get their offense going. They have just 13 total hits in their last 3 games. Garrett Richards will start for the Padres. While he did struggle in his last start against LA, he's got a 2.70 ERA in 5 career starts against LA (4-1 team record). Give me the Padres +145! |
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08-11-20 | A's v. Angels -140 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* A'S/ANGELS SYNDICATE STEAMROLLER (Angels -140) I got no problem laying the -140 on the Angels tonight. The public is taking the bait in this one, as they can't get enough of the A's as a dog. Oakland has been playing well, but did have their 9-game winning streak snapped last night. Always harder than people think to get right back to winning after a losing a game on a long winning streak. Angels also have a clear edge on the mound with Dylan Bundy facing off against Michael Fiers. Bundy has a 2.08 ERA and 0.600 WHIP in 3 starts. Fiers has a 5.62 ERA and 1.312 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Angels -140! |
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08-11-20 | Diamondbacks -109 v. Rockies | 7-8 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
40* DBACKS/ROCKIES MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Dbacks -109) I like the price and spot with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. I went against Arizona last night and lost, as they racked up 12 runs on 18 hits. I like their offense to stay hot in this one. Kyle Freeland has been solid in his 3 starts so far, but he's had a pretty easy first 3 opponents. He's got a 5.57 ERA and 1.476 WHIP in 12 starts against Arizona. Zac Gallen will start for the Diamondbacks. He's got a strong 2.81 ERA in 3 starts and has faced both the Dodgers and Astros. He's also got a 2.70 ERA in 2 starts (both wins) against the Rockies. Give me Arizona -109! |
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08-11-20 | White Sox v. Tigers +105 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
50* WHITE SOX/TIGERS AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Tigers +105 I really like the value here with Detroit at basically even money. The Tigers come into this one having won 4 straight and are sitting at 9-5 overall. As good as this team is playing, the public is going to take their sweet time before they jump on board. Simply because of how bad they were expected to be. Offensively this team getting it done. Detroit is top of the league in average, slugging and OPS. They have scored 35 runs in their last 4 games. They are averaging 5.8 runs/game vs left-handed starters and will be up against lefty Gio Gonzalez, who is mediocre at this stage of his career. Tyler Anderson will start for Detroit. It will be his first start, but he's more than shown he's capable of performing well in this spot. Anderson has a 1.17 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in 4 appearances out of the pen. He's got 13 strikeouts in 7 innings. He had an outing where he struckout 9 guys in a row. Give me the Tigers +105! |
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08-10-20 | Padres v. Dodgers -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
40* PADRES/DODGERS LATE NIGHT BAIL OUT (Dodgers -148) I'm all over the Dodgers at less than -150 at home, especially when you factor in the matchup on the mound. LA will be going with Dustin May, who has been incredible to start out the season. May has made 3 starts and has posted a 2.64 ERA and 1.171 WHIP (15 K's and only 3 BBs in 13 2/3 innings). Padres will start Luis Perdomo against the loaded LA lineup. This will be Perdomo's first start of 2020. He's made 3 appearances out of the bullpen with a 5.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He has made 6 previous starts against the Dodgers. He's 1-5 with a 8.18 ERA and 1.727 WHIP. Give me the Dodgers -148! |
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08-10-20 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -125 | Top | 12-8 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
50* DBACKS/ROCKIES SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -125) I absolutely love the value here with Colorado at -125. It's simply too good a price to pass up with not only how well the Rockies have been playing, but they are at home where they thrive and got a clear edge on the mound (at least on paper). Colorado is 11-4 overall with 5-2 mark at home, where they are scoring 6.1 runs/game and hitting .293 as a team. That offense will be up against Robbie Ray, who in 3 starts has posted a 9.45 ERA and 1.949 WHIP. He's got almost as may walks (11) as he does strikeouts (17). He's also giving up a home run almost every other inning (allowed 6 in 13 1/3 innings). Jon Gray will go for Colorado and has a 3.30 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Rockies -125! |
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08-09-20 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
50* SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5) I really like the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the White Sox and Indians. Two really good starters will take the mound in this one. Lucas Giolito is coming off a breakout 2019 season. He had a rough first start, but has been outstanding in his last two, giving up just 2 runs on 8 hits with 15 strikeouts in 12 innings. Definitely helps that he's facing a Indians offense that struggles to score runs. His second start was against Cleveland and he threw 6 shutout innings. Cleveland will have Shane Bieber on the mound and he's been lights out in 2020. Bieber is 3-0 with a 0.83 ERA and 0.692 WHIP in 3 starts. He's absolute mowing people down, as he's got a ridiculous 35 strikeouts (only 3 walks) in 21 2/3 innings. Bieber has a 3.08 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 6 career starts against Chicago, while Giolito has a 2.56 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in 5 career starts against Cleveland. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-09-20 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 7.5) Easy play on the UNDER at 7.5 for me. Two of the top NL starters take the mound in this one. The Reds will send out Sonny Gray, who has been outstanding. Gray is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in 3 starts. Dating back to last season he's posted 13 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs (18 of his last 19 overall). Milwaukee will turn to Brandon Woodruff, who has a strong 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 3 starts this season. He's only given up 4 runs in 17 1/3 innings with 21 strikeouts. He faced Cincinnati twice last year and allowed just 4 runs with 18 K's in 13 innings of work. Gray has a 2.29 ERA in 6 career starts against the Brewers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-08-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5) I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Neither offense could get much of anything going in the series opener last night, as San Diego pulled out a 3-0 win with the two teams combing for a mere 9 hits. It figures to be more of the same on Saturday with the two starters we got going. Diamondbacks will send out Merrill Kelly, who has a 2.63 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 2 starts of 2020. Both of which were quality starts. Padres will counter with the highly underrated Chris Paddack, who is one of the best starters in the game right now. Paddack has a 2.65 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Dating back to last year, Paddack has now gone 7 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-08-20 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) I look for the Twins/Royals to have no problem combining for at least 10 runs on Saturday. While this might look like a good pitching matchup with Kansas City sending out Danny Duffy and Minnesota giving the rock to Jake Odorizzi, conditions will not be in favor of the pitchers in this one. It's going to be incredibly humid for this game. While temps are expected to be in the high 80's, the humidity is going to be close to 80%, which is going to result in a heat index approaching 110 degrees at the start of this game. On top of that the wind will be blowing straight out to left field. Ball figures to be flying out of the park in this one. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -118 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT SLAUGHTER (Padres -118) I'm going to jump on the Padres as a small home favorite against the Diamondbacks. This is 100% a fade of Arizona starter Luke Weaver, who is lucky to have a job after how bad he's pitched in his first 2 starts. Weaver's allowed a staggering 12 runs on 14 hits (3 HRs) and 5 walks in just 7 1/3 innings of work. One of those starts coming against this Padres team, where he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits in 3.3 innings. Keep in mind that while San Diego might not be viewed as a great offensive team, they producing early on in 2020. Padres are averaging 5.5 runs/game and have scored at least 5 in 10 of their 13 games this season. Give me San Diego -118! |
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08-07-20 | Indians -111 v. White Sox | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Indians -111) I love the value here with Cleveland as a small road favorite against the White Sox. The Indians have now put together 3 straight wins after losing 4 in a row. While this team is sitting a respectable 8-6 on the season, I feel like their struggles to score runs has a lot of people hesitant to jump on them. They certainly didn't have any problems scoring yesterday, as they put up 13 runs on 11 hits. I like them to stay hot at the plate against White Sox starter Dylan Cease, who has a 6.48 ERA and 1.561 WHIP in two starts. One against these Indians, where he gave up 4 runs in 2.3 innings and the other against a awful Royals team. Indians will also have a red-hot starter going in Aaron Civale. After holding these White Sox to 2 runs in 6 innings, he held the Twins to 3 runs in 6 innings. Both starts he racked up 9 strikeouts. Give me the Indians -111! |
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08-07-20 | Tigers v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I just feel like this price is too good to pass up given how bad these two teams have been offensively. I get that Detroit starter Matt Boyd hasn't been great in his first two starts and Chad Kuhl will be making his first start since 2018 for Pittsburgh. These two offenses are atrocious. Tigers have played 10 games now and are hitting a pathetic .205 with a team OBP of just .265. Pirates are even worse at .191 and .253. Detroit has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4. Pittsburgh has been held to 3 or less in 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-06-20 | Blue Jays +110 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
40* MLB SHARP MONEY STEAMROLLER (Blue Jays +110) I really like the value we are getting with Toronto as a dog. Blue Jays snapped a 3-game skid with a 2-1 win on Wednesday and they got just the guy on the mound to build on that victory. Nate Pearson made his MLB debut in his last start. He allowed just 2 hits over 5 shutout innings and did so facing a Nationals team with ace Max Scherzer on the mound. Atlanta starter Touki Toussaint didn't allow a run in his first start, but he also lasted just 4 innings and had control problems (3 walks). Prior to that start he made a relief appearance and gave up 6 runs on 5 hits in just 2.2 innings. His career ERA is 5.24 with an ugly 1.56 WHIP. Give me the Blue Jays +110! |
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08-06-20 | Angels v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Mariners and Angels. I really like both starters in this one. LA is sending out Dylan Bundy, who looks to be having a breakout season. Bundy has a 2.84 ERA and 0.710 WHIP in his first 2 starts. What really stands out to me is how he's getting guys to miss. He has 15 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings of work. Mariners will give the rock to Taijuan Walker. He had a tough first start on the road against a loaded Astros lineup. As expected, he bounced back in a big way in his next start. He held the A's to just 1 hit with 8 K's in 7 shutout innings at home. Last time he faced the Angles (Sept. 2019), he pitched a 3 hit complete game shutout. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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08-06-20 | Giants v. Rockies -174 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Rockies -174) I got no problem laying the big juice with Colorado in this one. Rockies had their 4-game winning streak snapped in a 3-4 loss on Wednesday. They are still 8-2 in their last 10. Last night was also the first time in 9 games they didn't score at least 5 runs. I look for the offense to get back on track against the Giants Tyler Anderson, who couldn't even finish two innings in his first start. Anderson was actually a starter for the Rockies the last 4 years. Last year he had a 13.91 ERA in 3 home starts. Colorado will have Kyle Freeland on the mound, who has a 1.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in his first two starts. That includes an impressive start at Coors Field last time out, as he held the Padres to just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. Give me the Rockies -174! |
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08-05-20 | Angels -124 v. Mariners | 6-7 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Angels -124) This is just too good a price to pass up with Los Angeles. I think there's definitely some value with the Angels because they are sending out Julio Teheran for his first start. While he's got a good track record, you never know how a guy is going to look in that first outing. I'm willing to take a shot at this price that he pitches well. Definitely helps he's facing a struggling Mariners offense that has scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games. Another thing here is that Seattle will be starting Marco Gonzales, who in his last start didn't allow an earned run over 6 innings against this same Angels team. That looks great on paper, but I actually think it's hard for a starter to face the same team on such a short notice. Give me the Angels -124! |
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08-05-20 | Astros -138 v. Diamondbacks | 7-14 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB SHARP MONEY VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -138) I was all over the Astros as a small road favorite in last night's 8-2 win and will gladly back them at a similar price on Wednesday. Houston's offense is starting to catch fire. Astros have scored 27 runs over their last 4 games. All 4 games they had at least 10 hits. They also have left a ridiculous 61 guys on base in their last 5 games combined. That's more than Arizona has left on base in their last 9 games (60). That offense will be up against the struggling Robbie Ray, who has a 8.63 ERA and 2.158 WHIP in his first two starts of 2020. Last time out against a good Dodgers lineup (also at home), he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits (2 HRs) with a staggering 6 walks. Give me the Astros -138! |
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08-05-20 | Reds v. Indians UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) I see some decent value with the UNDER 8 on the total for Wednesday's game between the Indians and Reds. Cleveland's offense is struggling to say the least. The fact that they have scored a mere 10 runs in their last 7 games says it all. I get we don't know just what the Reds have in today's starter Tejay Antone, but we can be pretty confident he pitches well against this Indians offense. As for Cincinnati's offense, they too figure to have a hard time scoring runs against Cleveland starter Mike Clevinger. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-05-20 | Red Sox v. Rays -144 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
50* AL EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rays -144) I'm jumping all over Tampa Bay laying less than -150 at home against the Red Sox. The Rays snapped their 5-game losing streak (just as I predicted) last night with a 5-1 win over Boston. They got back one of their best offensive players in Austin Meadows, who had missed the first 10 games. Definitely could see the Rays putting up a number here against Red Sox starter Martin Perez, who has a 5.06 ERA and 1.312 WHIP in 2 starts. Tampa Bay on the other hand will have Ryan Yarbrough on the mound and he's got a 1.54 ERA and 0.858 WHIP in 2 starts. He threw 5 1/3 shutout innings in his only home start. Give me Tampa Bay -144! |
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08-04-20 | Astros -127 v. Diamondbacks | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT CASH COW (Astros -127) I see a ton of value here with Houston as a small road favorite against the Diamondbacks. I just feel like Arizona's getting a little too much love because they got a big name on the mound in Madison Bumgarner. I get Bumgarner was unreal for such a long period, but he's not been that guy for a while now. He's got a 4.09 ERA in his first two starts of 2020. Arizona is also a team that isn't playing well as a whole. Diamondbacks have lost 4 of 5 and are just 3-7 overall. Houston has as much talent as any team in the league and are coming in having racked up 34 hits (10+ each game) in their last 3 games. They also have an underrated starter going in Christian Javier. In his MLB debut, Javier had to face a loaded Dodgers lineup and held them to just 1 run on 2 hits with 8 strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings. He now faces an Arizona offense that is only averaging 2.5 runs and hitting .177 at home. Give me the Astros -127! |
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08-04-20 | Royals v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, +107) I absolutely love the Cubs on the -1.5 run line. Chicago has been absolutely rolling early in the 2020 season. Cubs have won their 4th straight on Monday and improved to 8-2 overall. They will be facing a Royals team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. For me it's the starting pitching matchup that makes this play easy. Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks. After throwing a complete game shutout at home against Milwaukee in his first start, Hendricks gave up 6 runs in 4 1/3 innings at Cincinnati. I wasn't surprised at all with either result. I was on the Cubs when Hendricks took the mound at home and went against him when he faced the Reds on the road. In 2019, Hendricks had a 2.04 ERA in 14 home starts and a 5.02 ERA in 16 road starts. Not only is he pitching at home in this one, but facing a bad Royals offense. Brady Singer will start for Royals. He's got good numbers, but has also faced two bad offensive teams in the Tigers and Indians. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+107)! |
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08-04-20 | White Sox v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I really like the UNDER 8 between the White Sox and Brewers. It's all about the starting pitching matchup. White Sox will send out Lucas Giolito, who is coming off a breakout 2019 season. Giolito did struggle in his first start of 2020, but was outstanding in his last start against the Indians, giving up just 4 hits in 6 shutout innings. Brandon Woodruff will go for Milwaukee and he's quietly had a great start to this season. Woodruff gave up just 2 runs in 5 innings at Chicago in his first start and then allowed just 1 hits over 6 shutout innings at Pittsburgh. He's also got a strong 15 K's in 11 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-04-20 | Mets v. Nationals -144 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE SLAUGHTER (Nationals -144) I like the value here with Washington. The Nationals have won two straight and will have one of the better NL starters on the mound in Patrick Corbin. In his first start of 2020, Corbin gave up just 1 run on 2 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings against the loaded Yankees lineup. This is a guy that has won 25 games over the past two seasons with a sub 3.25 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He also has 292 K's in his last 408.1 innings of work. Mets come in off a win on Monday, but that was with their ace deGrom on the mound. Prior to that New York had lost 5 straight and scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their previous 4 games. Give me the Nationals -144! |
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08-04-20 | Indians -150 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Indians -150) Some might be hesitant to lay the juice with Cleveland given the Indians come into this game having lost 4 straight and are really struggling to score runs right now. Not me. I think this is more than a fair price to back Cleveland with Shane Bieber on the mound. No starter has looked better than Bieber in 2020. He's made two starts so far. He allowed 0 runs on 4 hits with 14 strikeouts in 6 innings vs the Royals in his first start. He then allowed 0 runs on 3 hits with 13 strikeouts in 8 innings at Minnesota. I expect more of the same here and I'll take my chances the Indians offense can score enough against Reds starter Tyler Mahle to get the win. Give me Cleveland -150! |
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08-03-20 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 8 | 7-2 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 8) There's no reason to overthink this one. The UNDER 8 is a no-brainer given the two guys that will be starting this game. Everyone knows how good the Mets Jacob deGrom is. For those that don't know, Atlanta's Mike Soroka is just as good. Soroka had a 2.68 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 29 starts last year, which was his first full season at the big league level. He's opened up 2020 by posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in his first 2 starts. deGrom has a 1.64 ERA and 0.545 WHIP in his first 2 starts. Soroka has a 2.27 ERA in 6 starts vs the Mets and deGrom has a 1.90 ERA in 22 starts against the Braves. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-02-20 | Astros -124 v. Angels | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB AL WEST PLAY OF THE MONTH (Astros -124) This is just too good a price to pass up with Houston. Angeles will be sending out Shohei Ohtani for this one and he couldn't have been any worse in his first start of 2020. Ohtani wasn't even able to record an out, as he allowed 5 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks before getting pulled in the 1st inning. Hard to see him magically flipping a switch in this one, especially against a potent Astros lineup. Josh James will get the start for Houston and while he didn't have a great first start of 2020, it was more of control problems than anything. What I like is the fact that James has a 2.57 ERA in 10 career appearances against the Angels. Even with Trout likely back in the lineup for LA, I think the Astros are the clear-cut favorite in this one. Give me Houston -124! |
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08-02-20 | Padres v. Rockies +116 | 6-9 | Win | 116 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Rockies +116) We cashed in on Colorado as a dog with our free pick on Saturday and I got no problem firing back with even more cash on the Rockies as a similarly priced dog Sunday. Colorado is scoring runs in bunches right now. Rockies have put up 5 or more runs in 5 straight games. They are also 5-1 over their last 6 overall. I look for the offense to stay hot against Padres starters Zach Davies. As for San Diego's offense, they can't be too excited about seeing Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela, who is 5-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.018 WHIP over 6 career starts against the Padres. Total for this game is way up there at 13.5 and big totals have been a big positive for Colorado when Senzatela is on the mound, as the Rockies are 11-2 in their last 13 at home in his starts with a total of 11 or more and 8-1 in his last 9 with a total of 12 or more. Give me the Rockies +116! |
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08-01-20 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 9 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER 9 in Saturday's AL Central showdown between the Twins and Indians. Two really good starters take the mound in Minnesota's Kenta Maeda and Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco. Both guys pitched well in their first start of the season. Maeda gave up just 2 runs with 6 strikeouts in 5 innings, while Carrasco allowed 2 runs with 10 strikeouts in 6 innings. I look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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08-01-20 | Astros -1.5 v. Angels | 4-5 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS RUN LINE MASSACRE (Astros -1.5, -107) I got no problem playing the Astros on the -1.5 run at basically even money against the Angels. Not only is Houston the better team, but they are facing LA without Trout, who is arguably the best player in the game. Astros will have Zach Greinke on the mound and while he didn't have his best stuff in his first start, I'm confident the vet will bounce back with a good showing here. Even if he struggles, it doesn't figure to matter. Houston's offense should go off against LA's Griffin Canning. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-107)! |
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07-31-20 | Rays v. Orioles +190 | 3-6 | Win | 190 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS MONEY LINE SHOCKER (Orioles +190) I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up a play on Baltimore as a near 2 to 1 dog at home against the Rays. For me it's all about who the Orioles have on the mound. Alex Cobb is a guy that I think is flying a bit under the radar in 2020. The 32-year-old has proven he can be one of the best pitchers in the game and was really good in his first outing at Boston, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits with 6 strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings of work. Rays will have Blake Snell on the mound, but he only managed to pitch 2 innings in his first start and likely is still on some kind of restriction here. Orioles offense has also put up 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. Give me Baltimore +190! |
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07-31-20 | Padres v. Rockies -102 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
50* NL WEST GAME OF THE MONTH (Rockies -102) I love this spot and price we are getting with Colorado at home against the Padres. I just feel like we are seeing San Diego getting a little too much love here. Padres have jumped out to a 5-2 start and starter Garrett Richards was great in his first outing. Thing is Rockies are also playing great, as they come in having won 4 straight and all of those were on the road. They too got a good starter in Jon Gray, who is someone that doesn't let Coors Field get to him. He also has owned the Padres, going 10-4 with a 9.97 ERA in 20 appearances (19 starts) against them. As for Richards, this will be his first start at Coors Field and I think that's something that's getting a bit overlooked here. Give me the Rockies -102! |
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07-30-20 | Indians -1.5 v. Twins | 2-0 | Win | 157 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Indians -1.5, +157) You can play Cleveland on the money line as a small dog, but I'm going for the bigger payout here and taking the Indians on the -1.5 run line. I just think the price is right given the spot. Minnesota will have what many consider one of their top starters in Jose Berrios on the mound, but he didn't look good at all in his first start. Berrios gave up 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings at the White Sox. What really stands out is he only managed 1 strikeout in those 5 innings. I just feel like if that carries over here, there's a good chance the Indians win comfortably. Note Cleveland starter Shane Bieber was sensational in his first start. He allowed just 4 hits and racked up 14 strikeouts in 6 shutout innings. Give me the Indians -1.5 (+157)! |
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07-30-20 | Red Sox v. Mets -140 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mets -140) I got no problem laying a little juice with the Mets in their game Thursday against the Red Sox. I'm just not a big fan of Boston this year. Not only is their offense way down without Betts, but they got absolutely no pitching right now. They got a bunch of guys who should be coming out of the bullpen starting games. Today they will give the rock to Martin Perez. He wasn't good in his first start, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings against a bad Orioles offense. Mets have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games, so hard to see them not staying hot here. New York will also have Steven Matz on the mound, who held a really good Atlanta offense to just 1 run on 2 hits with 7 K's in 6 innings during his first start. Give me the Mets -140! |
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07-29-20 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8 | 6-7 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) I like the value here with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's late night action between the Giants and Padres. San Diego will have one of the best young starters in the game going in Chris Paddack. Last year Paddack posted a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 26 big league starts (first year in the majors). He didn't miss a beat in his first start of 2020, throwing 6 shutout innings against a good Dbacks lineup. Johnny Cueto goes for the Giants and while he only made it 4 innings in his first start, he did hold a loaded Dodgers lineup to just 1 run on 5 hits. I think Cueto is a guy to watch out for going forward. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-29-20 | Cubs v. Reds -108 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* MLB SITUATIONAL MONEY LINE SMASH (Reds -108) I really like the value here with Cincinnati as a small home favorite against the Cubs. I think we are seeing Chicago a bit overvalue here. Cubs have won 3 straight and put up some big offensive numbers in the process. However, they haven't exactly faced any legit starters during this run. That changes here, as the Reds will send out Sonny Gray, who is the ace of their staff and owns a 2.83 ERA and 0.857 WHIP over 6 career starts against the Cubs. Kyle Hendricks threw a complete game shutout in his first start of 2020, but that was at home. Last year Hendricks had a 2.04 ERA in 14 home starts and a 5.02 ERA in 16 road starts. I think he struggles in this one. Give me the Reds -108! |
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07-29-20 | Nationals v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the total. Washington will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound, who i'm confident is going to have a monster start after a less than stellar first outing. Scherzer did strikeout 11 of the 17 batters he retired. Toronto also doesn't have near the offensive fire-power as the Yankees. The value here stems from Blue Jays starter Nate Pearson, who is making his big league debut. Pearson is a legit top tier prospect. He can light up the radar (100 mph fastball) and more importantly is facing a Nationals lineup that has really struggled to get anything going in 2020. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-28-20 | Cardinals +120 v. Twins | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Cardinals +120) I like the value here with St Louis as a small road dog against the Cardinals. There's not many pitchers I feel better about fading than Homer Bailey. Bailey hasn't finished a season with an ERA under 4.00 since 2014 and it feels like for every good start he has he has 5 bad ones. I think a strong Cardinals offense can put up a big number here and it's worth nothing that Bailey has a 5.80 ERA in his career against St Louis. I also think it's worth taking a flyer here on Cardinals starter Carlos Martinez, who will be making his first start since 2018. Everything I have heard is Martinez is trending well and if he's anything like he once was, this is a steal. Give me St Louis +120! |
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07-28-20 | Brewers -155 v. Pirates | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -155) I really like Milwaukee in Tuesday's matchup with the Pirates. Brewers desperately needed a win on Monday to avoid a 1-3 start and it didn't look good until they put up 4 runs in the top of the 9th to force extras and would go on to win 6-5 in 11 innings. Not only is that a massive momentum builder for Milwaukee, but that's a really tough loss for Pittsburgh to bounce back from. I also think there's some hidden value here with Brewers starter Josh Lindblom, who is returning to the MLB after playing the last 3 seasons in the KBO. He won their version of the Cy Young each of the last two years, as well as being named the MVP last year. Give me Milwaukee -155! |
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07-28-20 | Blue Jays v. Nationals -126 | 5-1 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB SITUATIONAL MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Nationals -126) It's been a slow start to the 2020 season for the defending champs, but I see a ton of value here with them as a small home favorite. Blue Jays will send out Tanner Roark, who is expected to be limited early on. Roark was not good in his first season away from Washington. He had a 4.58 ERA in 10 starts with the A's and a 4.24 ERA in 21 starts with the Reds. I give a big edge in starting pitching to the Nats, who send out the underrated Austin Voth. He had a strong 3.30 ERA in limited action last year with Washington. Voth fired 4 scoreless innings in an exhibition start against the Phillies in his final tune up for the season. Give me the Nationals -126! |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) I will gladly take my chances here on the UNDER 9 with the total in Sunday's matchup between the A's and Angels. I really like the pitching matchup here with Ohtani going up against Fiers. Ohtani was impressive in the limited time we saw him as a starter back in 2018 and Fiers is one of the more underrated starters in the game. These two scored 10 runs in the opener, but that was only cause they went to extra innings (tied 3-3 after 9). They then combined for just 5 runs on Saturday, which is about what I expect here. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-26-20 | Twins -135 v. White Sox | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Twins -135) I really like the value here with Minnesota on Sunday. Twins will send out their new toy in veteran right-hander Kenta Maeda. He's a big step up over Chicago starter reynaldo Lopez, who had a 5.38 ERA in 2019. Twins offense was held in check Saturday by Dallas Keuchel. I don't see that happening here. In fact, I like Minnesota to put up a big number here and cruise to an easy win. Give me the Twins -135! |
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07-26-20 | Marlins +144 v. Phillies | 11-6 | Win | 144 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Marlins +144) I think we are getting big time value here with the Marlins as a near +150 dog on Sunday. Miami will have a pretty decent starting going in Jose Urena. One that has had a ton of success of late against these Phillies. In Urena's last 4 starts against Philadelphia he's allowed a total of 5 runs in 26 innings. Three of the four going 7 innings and giving up 2 or less. Phillies will start Vincent Velasquez, who in his last 3 starts against the Marlins in 2019, gave up 15 runs in just over 10 innings of work. Give me the Marlins +144! |
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07-25-20 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Indians -1.5, -121) I don't like playing massive favorites on the money line, so I'm passing on Cleveland -230. However, I do see some value here with the run line at -121. I think there's a really good chance here that Cleveland wins this one by more than 2 runs. Indians will Mike Clevinger on the mound and he's absolutely owned the Royals in his career. Clevinger is 8-0 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 12 career starts against KC. Cleveland has won each of his last 5 starts against the Royals and all 5 of those have come by at least 2 runs. I get there's a lot of promise here with Royals top prospect Brady Singer, but this is his MLB debut and a lot of times pitchers struggle out of the gate before figuring it out. Give me the Indians -1.5 (-121)! |
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07-25-20 | Tigers v. Reds -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Reds -1.5, -115) I got no problem backing Cincinnati here on the -1.5 run line Saturday. The Reds are a team to watch out for this year. That offense is going to score a lot of runs and they got some decent starters at the top of their rotation. One of those being today's starter Luis Castillo, who is coming off a 15-win season in 2019 and has won 25 games over the last 2 years. I look for Castillo to have no problem keeping a bad Tigers offense in check. Detroit managed just 1 run on 3 hits in yesterday's 7-1 loss. I see a very similar outcome in Game 2. Give me the Reds -1.5 (-115)! |
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07-25-20 | Braves v. Mets OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 9) I'm not concerned with the lack of offense we saw in Friday's opener between these two teams. That had everything to do with the starting pitching matchup, as we had two of the games best starters on the mound in deGrom and Soroka. Most are aware of how strong this Atlanta offense can be, but I don't think the majority realize the potential this Mets offense has this year. Factor in the wind blowing out and the heat index in the low 90s and I think we are going to see a bit of an offensive explosion in this one. Give me the OVER 9! |
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07-24-20 | Angels v. A's -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 140 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (A's -1.5, +140) I love the value with Oakland on the run line tonight. The A's will send out Frankie Montas, who is coming off a breakout campaign in 2019. Montas went 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 16 starts. I view the 27-year old as a legit Cy Young contender in the AL and he's performed well in 4 career starts against the Angels, who keep in mind are without a big time piece of their offense in Anthony Rendon. We should also see Oakland's offense produce in the opener against Los Angeles starter Andrew Heaney. Last year Heaney was 4-6 with a 4.91 ERA in 18 starts. Give me the A's -1.5 (+140)! |
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07-24-20 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 8.5) I see a ton of value here with the total at 8.5 for tonight's NL West showdown between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Arizona will send out Madison Bumgarner, who I think is going to have a big year and get back to being one of the best pitchers in the game. On the flip side, San Diego gives the rock to Chris Paddack, who has had the Giants number in his brief career. Paddack has faced Arizona 3 times (all last year) and posted a 1.08 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in those 3 outings. All 3 of those starts saw a combined score of 5 or less. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-24-20 | Brewers v. Cubs -117 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -117) This is just too good a price to pass up on Chicago as a small home favorite. I'm a big fan of Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks and he's really pitched well against Milwaukee. Hendricks has a 3.08 ERA and 1.120 WHIP over 21 starts. Another thing to note with Hendricks is how much better he's been at Wrigley Field. Last year he had a 2.04 ERA in 14 home starts and a 5.02 ERA in 16 road starts. As for Brewers' starter Brandon Woodruff, he's had a miserable time against the Cubs. In 3 career starts against Chicago he's posted a 7.10 ERA and 1.736 WHIP. Look for the Cubs offense to put up a big number here in the opener and cruise to an easy win. Give me the Cubs -117! |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NATIONALS/ASTROS WORLD SERIES GAME 1 (Under 6.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 6.5 in Game 1 of the World Series. You got Max Scherzer going for Washington and Gerrit Cole on the mound for Houston. Both of these guys are capable of going 7 scoreless and I just don't see more than a couple runs on the board in this one. BET THE UNDER 6.5! |
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10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees -1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* ASTROS/YANKEES ALCS G4 SLAUGHTER (Yankees -1.5, +155) I'll take my chances here with the Yankees -1.5 on the run line in Game 4 of the ALCS. The rain out worked well for New York, as they can now send out Masahiro Tanaka instead of going with a bullpen game. Tanaka has been outstanding this postseason, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 11 innings. No surprise asTanaka has a 1.32 ERA in 7 postseason starts. Yankees will send out Zack Greinke, who is not living up to the hype Greinke has allowed 9 runs on 12 hits in 9 2/3 innings. The even more important stat to note is the 5 home runs that Greinke has allowed in those 12 innings. With the wind blowing out at 15+ mph to left-center, I think the Bronx Bombers put up a big number. Give me New York -1.5 (+155)! |
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10-15-19 | Astros v. Yankees +146 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Yankees +146) I'll take my chances here with New York as a big home dog against the Astros. Gerrit Cole has been great, but Houston is way overpriced with him on the road. Yankees will have Luis Severino and while he's not pitching as deep as Cole, he's been just as good. Severino owns a 1.12 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 4 starts. He's yet to give up a run in 9 innings of work at home. Cole also owns a mere 4.15 ERA in 2 career starts against the Yankees. Give me New York +146! |
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10-10-19 | Rays +251 v. Astros | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* RAYS/ASTROS ALDS GAME 5 BEST BET (Rays +251) I'll roll the dice with Tampa Bay at this price. We've already seen the top two teams in the NL both go down, each losing Game 5 at home. The Rays pitching staff has done a fantastic job in the series against this high-powered Astros lineup. Houston hasn't scored more than 3 runs since Game 1. They got 13 hits in tehri last 2 games the Rays have 25. Tampa just does all the little things right and are simply worth the risk as a massive dog. Give me the Rays +251! |
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10-08-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -139 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Astros -1.5, -139) I'm confident the Astros take care of business on the road in Game 4. Tampa Bay avoided elimination with a convincing 10-3 win on Monday, but that was almost expected with them having ace Charlie Morton on the mound. Justin Verlander demanded the ball on 3-days rest and A.J. Hinch is giving it to him. I'm not the least bit concerned with Verlander not being on top of his game in this outing. I also think Houston is going to get back on track offensively. Rays will be sending out "opener" Diego Castillo, who has given up 5 runs on 8 hits in his last 4 1/3 innings. Give me the Rays -1.5 (-139). |
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10-03-19 | Nationals +156 v. Dodgers | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NATS/DODGERS NLDS VEGAS LINE MOVER (Nationals +156) I'll take my chances here with Washington going to LA and taking Game 1 against the Dodgers. The Nationals had an epic rally late to eliminate the Brewers in the NL Wild Card game. That's the kind of win that can turn into something special. I already really liked this Nationals team coming in and I look for them to ride the momentum to a win against LA. Washington will send out Pat Corbin and he's got a 2.97 ERA in 11 career starts at Dodgers stadium. I also think the Nats offense gets to Walker Buehler in this one. Give me Washington +156! |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* RAYS/A'S AL WILD CARD TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 7.5) I love the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's AL Wild Card matchup. You got two really good starters going in a pitchers park (Coliseum). Tampa will send out Charlie Morton, who went 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 33 starts this season. Morton had a strong 8-3 record with a 3.59 ERA in 16 road starts and owns a 3.20 ERA in 7 career outings against the A's. Oakland will turn to Sean Manaea, which is pretty amazing. Manaea only made 5 starts after missing close to a year because of injury. He looked as good as ever in those 5 outings, posting a 1.21 ERA and 0.775 WHIP. He recorded 17 or more outs in each of his last 4 starts and after walking 5 in his first two outings, hel only walked 2 over his last 3. We also know that we will see the best of the best relievers in this winner take all matchup. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* BREWERS/NATIONALS WILD CARD NO-BRAINER (Nationals -1.5, +123) I'll take my chances here with the Nationals on the -1.5 run line in Tuesday's NL Wild Card matchup. It's been a heck of a ride for the Brewers in September coming from way back to sneak in as a Wild Card. However, they still don't have Yelich and while they had a spot wrapped up, I don't love they got swept in their final series at Colorado. Washington in my opinion is the best team no one is talking about. They got some dudes on offense and will throw the best pitcher over the last 5 years in Max Scherzer. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+123)! |
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09-25-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB AL EAST RUN LINE OF THE MONTH (Blue Jays -1.5, +124) I'll take my chances here with Toronto on the -1.5 run line at home against the Orioles. Blue Jays have won 9 of 14, as their young studs continue to play hard down the stretch. I look for that Toronto offense to go off for a big number here. Orioles will send out Gabriel Ynoa, who is 0-4 with a 8.10 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in 6 road starts. Baltimore won 11-4 on Tuesday and BLue Jays are 11-5 last 16 when revenging a loss where they gave up 10 or more runs. Toronto is also 7-1 in their last 8 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (+124)! |
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09-24-19 | Brewers v. Reds -107 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Reds -107) I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati taking care of business at home with ace Sonny Gray on the mound. The Reds hit the jackpot with Gray. He's won 11 games and has posted a 2.75 ERA in 30 starts. Even more important is his 8-2 record and 2.79 ERA in 15 home starts. He's faced the Brewers 4 times in 2019 and the Reds have come out on top all 4 times. In his last 2 starts vs Milwaukee, he's allowed just 1 run on 8 hits with 19 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. Brewers will have Adrian Houser on the mound and he's not been good. He's got a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 5.64 ERA in 8 road starts. Give me the Reds -107! |
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09-17-19 | Phillies v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Braves -1.5, +105) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Phillies. Braves will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound and he's been outstanding of late. Keuchel owns a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and is 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 8 home starts this season. Phillies will counter with Vincent Velasquez, who has a 5.01 ERA in 20 starts overall, 5.28 ERA in 13 road outings and a 5.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Braves -1.5 (+105)! |
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09-11-19 | Reds -139 v. Mariners | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -139 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Reds -139) I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati getting a win at Seattle behind ace Sonny Gray. It's really been a remarkable run for Gray over the last couple of months. Gray posted a 2.23 ERA in 5 July starts and followed that up by posting a sensational 0.74 ERA in 6 starts in August. In his first start of September, he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Even more important is the fact the Reds have gone 8-1 in his last 9 starts. They make it 9 out of 10 tonight. Give me Cincinnati -139! |
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09-10-19 | Cubs -154 v. Padres | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -154 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -154) I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in another win at San Diego. I was on the Cubs yesterday and they delivered a 10-2 win, as the offense racked up 15 hits. I like the offense to stay hot here against Ronald Bolanos, who is making just his second big league start. Cubs will have Jose Quintana on the mound and he's poised for a great outing against the struggling Padres offense. San Diego has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games. Quintana is 13-2 with the Cubs when facing a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. Padres are also just 1-9 in their last 10 when revenging a home loss of 6 or more. Give me the Cubs -154! |
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09-04-19 | Angels v. A's -151 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (A's -151) I'll take my chances here with Oakland cashing in another win at home over the Angels. These two teams are headed in complete opposite directions down the stretch. LA is a mere 9-21 in their last 30 games, while the A's have won 21 of their last 32. Oakland took the series opener 7-5 on Tuesday and will have an even bigger edge on the mound in Game 2. Angels will send out Patrick Sandoval, who has a 5.71 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in 4 starts. Tanner Roark goes for the A's and he's got a strong 3.93 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the A's -151! |
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09-03-19 | Angels v. A's -1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB AL WEST RUN LINE OF THE YEAR (A's -1.5, +108) I'll gladly take my chances here with Oakland winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Angels. A's will send out Fiers, who is 13-3 with a 3.30 ERA in 27 starts. He's a dominant 8-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 14 home starts. Barriahas a 5.03 ERA in 7 road starts and a 5.28 ERA over his last 3. A's are averaging 7.0 runs/game and hitting .283 with a .369 OBP in their last 7. LA is averaging 4.0 runs/game and hitting .211 with a 3.15 OBP in their last 7. Give me the A's -1.5! |
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08-28-19 | Yankees -1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Yankees -1.5, -135) I'll take my chances here with New York on the -1.5 run line Wednesday at Seattle. Yankees' offense should be in for a big day against Justus Sheffield, who is making just his second start after getting roughed up in his debut at home against the Blue Jays. Seattle on the other hand must go up against their former ace in James Paxton, who will be facing his former team for the first time. Paxton is fresh off a dominant outing on the road against the Dodgers and I think he brings that same stuff against his old team. Give me New York -1.5 (-135)! |
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08-27-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -137 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -137) I was dead wrong with Milwaukee on Monday, as the Brewers got embarrassed 12-2 in the opener against St Louis. I still would make that play every time given the matchup. I'm firing right back with Milwaukee on Tuesday. Brewers will send out the red-hot adrian Houser, who has a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The most recent coming in St Louis against these Cardinals. Miles Mikolas goes for STL and he's a guy you want to be fading on the road. Mikolas is 2-8 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 13 road starts. He also comes in having allowed 5 or more runs in 3 straight starts. Give me the Brewers -137! |
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08-26-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | Top | 12-2 | Loss | -131 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB NL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH (Brewers -131) I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee as a relatively small home favorite. I get the St Louis and Milwaukee are pretty evenly matched in terms of talent, but this is an easy fade for me on the Cardinals with them sending out veteran Adam Wainwright. The home/away splits for Wainwright are staggering and can't be ignored this late in the year. Wainwright is 6-3 with a 2.67 ERA in 12 home starts and 3-6 with a 6.64 ERA in 12 road starts. He's also got a 5.38 ERA in 18 night starts compared to a 2.23 ERA in 6 day starts. He also just faced these Brewers at home in his last start and gave up 5 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 5 innings. Give me Milwaukee -131! |
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08-25-19 | Nationals v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in this one. I know the Nationals have score 16 runs in the first two games of the series, but Chicago will have Cole Hamels on the mound and he's posted a 2.56 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 10 home starts. He'll be 100% locked in with the team desperately needing a win here. Cubs offense has been real quiet of late and figures to stay that way against Stephen Strasburg. In 9 career starts against Chicago, Strasburg has posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.898 WHIP. Both of these starters also love pitching in day games. Hamels has a 2.48 ERA in 9 day starts, while Strasburg owns a 2.87 ERA in 11 day starts. Take the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-24-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers -141 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE NO-BRAINER (Dodgers -141) I'll take my chances here with the Dodgers answering back and evening up the series with New York. The Yankees didn't win the opener, they embarrassed Los Angeles in a 10-2 blowout. While it was a shocker to Ryu get lit up like that, let's not forget NY had a pretty good starter going in James Paxton. Today it's C.C. Sabathia and he was not sharp in his first start back, giving up 4 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks in 3 innings against the Indians. Tony Gonsolin will start for LA and he's been pretty good in his 3 starts (first 3 starts of his career), giving up just 5 earned runs in 14 innings and he threw 6 scoreless in his only start at home. Give me the Dodgers -141! |
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08-23-19 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -141 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -141) I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee in Friday's series opener against the Diamondbacks. It's been a rough go of things for the Brewers, who have dropped 6 of their last 9, but they were able to close out their last series at St Louis with a 5-3 win on Wednesday. I just think going back home is going to get Milwaukee back on track. It's not like the offense isn't producing. Brewers are averaging 5.6 runs/game and hitting .292 as a team with a.368 OBP in their last 7 games. That offense will be up against the likes of Merrill Kelly, who has a mediocre 4.63 ERA on the season. Give me the Brewers -141! |
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08-22-19 | Rangers v. White Sox +106 | 1-6 | Win | 106 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* MLB MEGA MONEY LINE MASSACRE (White Sox +106) I'll take my chances here with Chicago getting a win at home over Texas. Not quite sure why the Rangers are favored in this one. I get Texas just won 3 of 4 at home against the Angels, but this team has not played good baseball on the road and Chicago isn't exactly an opponent that gets the juices flowing. White Sox got some nice young players and could be getting back 2nd baseman Yoan Moncada, who is having a breakout season alongside shortstop Tim Anderson. Whoever is in the lineup should feast on Rangers starter Ariel Jurado, who has a 8.52 ERA and 2.052 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has allowed 8 runs on 12 hits in 10 2/3 innings over 2 starts against the White Sox the last two years. Give me Chicago +106! |
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08-21-19 | Giants v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 11-12 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -1.5, -110) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cubs on the -1.5 run line. We played and won on Chicago -1.5 in yesterday's 5-3 win. The Cubs have regained some of that swagger and there's no question this team has a different level of calm/confidence at Wrigley Field. Cubs have gone 38-16 in their last 54 at home. They will send out the red-hot Yu Darvish, who has finally turned into the ace the Cubs had hoped for. Darvish has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 7 starts. Giants are 57-116 in their last 173 road games vs a team with a winning record. Derek Rodriquez is coming off a strong outing, but SF is just 1-5 in his last 6 after a Quality Start. Take the Cubs -1.5 (-110) |
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08-20-19 | Giants v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -1.5, +100) I'll take my chances here with the Cubs winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Giants. I think Chicago's game Sunday at the Little League World Series was just what this team needed to stop pressing and start enjoying the game a little more. We know the Cubs are comfortable at home by their home/away splits. That definitely goes for today's starter Cole Hamels, who has an ERA on the season of 3.69, but a mere 2.35 ERA in 9 home starts. Chicago has won 7 of those 9 outings. Giants counter with Tyler Beede who has a 6.11 ERA in 9 road starts and a 9.94 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+100)! |
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08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers/Cardinals OVER 9.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 9.5. Yesterday we played the OVER 11 in Milwaukee's game with Washington and the two combined for 24. That's now 30 runs in the last 2 games that the Brewers pitching has allowed. The bullpen is taxed and that's a problem, as it will be tough for the starters to go deep in this one. The heat index at game time is expected to be around 105 degrees with almost no wind. It's going to be miserable conditions to pitch. Look for some big innings by both teams that have this thing easily reaching double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-18-19 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 11 | Top | 8-16 | Win | 102 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers/Nationals Over 11) The Nationals and Brewers combined for 29 runs in Milwaukee's 15-14 win in 14-innings on Saturday. Not only are both offenses headed into Sunday swinging a confident bat, but both of these teams' bullpens were taxed yesterday. Add in a pretty mediocre pitching matchup of Anderson vs Fedde and awful conditions with a heat index around 100 and I think we see these two fly past the total. Give me the OVER 11! |
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08-17-19 | Padres v. Phillies -110 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Phillies -110) I'll take my chances here with the Phillies cashing in a win at home against the Padres. I'm not sure why the books are giving San Diego so much respect in this series. Padres are not in playoff contention haven't exactly been playing well and just lost their best player in Fernando Tatis Jr, yet they were basically even money in the series opener Friday. Phillies won that 8-4 and have won 4 straight. I see no reason why they don't keep a good thing going at home. The numbers aren't great for starter Zach Eflin, but this is his first start since July 27th. He got demoted to the bullpen (filling in for Arrietta) and really worked on his stuff. He pitched well in relief and I think he makes the most of his second opportunity in the rotation. Give me the Phillies -110! |
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08-16-19 | Mets -1.5 v. Royals | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS RUN LINE MASSACRE (Mets -1.5, -110) I'll take my chances here with the Mets on the -1.5 run line. I just think the price here is right to roll the dice. Royals failed to score a single run in their last two games and now are up against one of the hottest starters in the game in Noah Syndergaard who has pitched at least 7 innings in 6 straight starts, giving up 2 or fewer in all but one of those games. Mets offense has 45 hits in their last 3 games. Give me New York -1.5 (-110) |
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08-16-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -151 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER ML DESTROYER (Nationals -151) I'll take my chances here with Washington at home against the Brewers. I just love the pitching matchup here. Milwaukee will send out Adrian Houser, who is 0-3 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.783 WHIP in 5 road starts (1-4 team record). Nationals turn to Pat Corbin, who is 6-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.885 WHIP in 11 home starts (9-2 team record). Give me the Nationals -151! |
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08-14-19 | Mets v. Braves -142 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB -NL EAST- GAME OF THE MONTH (Braves -142) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta cashing in another win at home against the Mets. For the first time in almost 3 weeks the Mets have lost back-to-back games and it was only a matter of time before they cooled off. I just think it's too good a price here with division leader Atlanta. Braves will send out Dallas Keuchel, who has a 2.96 ERA and 0.842 WWHIP in 4 home starts. Mets will counter with Steven Matz, who is 2-7 with a 6.79 ERA and 1.671 WHIP in 12 road starts. No better example of how different a starter Matz is at home than on the road than his two recent starts against the Pirates. On 7/27 he threw a complete game shutout at home against the Pirates. In his very next start he allowed 5 runs in 3 2/3 innings at Pittsburgh. Give me the Braves -142! |
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08-13-19 | Reds v. Nationals -119 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nationals -119) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a small home favorite. We cashed in on the Nationals in an almost identical spot on Monday. While it looks like Washington barely scraped by with a 7-6 win, they were leading 7-2 going into the 8th. Nationals got a really strong start from Fedde and now they send out the red-hot Joe Ross, who has been outstanding since joining the rotation in late July with a 1.62 ERA in 3 starts. Even more impressive is all 3 of those outings came on the road, where the majority of pitchers have worse numbers than at home. Alex Wood will go for the Reds and he's off a bad outing at home against the Cubs and has a 5.65 ERA and 1.534 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Nationals -119! |
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08-12-19 | Reds v. Nationals -104 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Nationals -104) I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington as a small home favorite against the Reds. Cincinnati has been playing better ball of late, but I just can't pass up on the Nationals at basically even money at home. I think a big reason we are getting such great value with Washington is the numbers aren't great for starter Erick Fedde. He's got a 4.38 ERA in 10 starts and an ugly 6.58 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, that poor ERA in his last 3 is due to one bad outing against the Atlanta. In the other two starts he gave up just 1 run in 10 innings. Last time out he threw 6 scoreless at SF. He's also allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 8 of his 10 starts this season. Reds starter Anthony Desclafani is 2-3 with a 5.01 ERA in 12 road starts. Cincinnati just 9-20 in their last 29 on the road when listed at +125 to -125 and have lost 4 straight starts by Desclafani vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Nationals -104! |
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08-11-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 9-11 | Win | 106 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -1.5, +106) I'll gladly take my chances here with St Louis on the -1.5 run line Sunday. I have played and won on the Cardinals in each of the first two games of the series, as St Louis won 6-2 on Friday and 3-1 on Saturday. Give how bad Pittsburgh has been since the All-Star break, I see no reason not to roll the dice here. Cardinals will send out Miles Mikolas, who has a 1.98 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in 11 home starts this season and a 2.79 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Pirates. That includes a complete game shutout at home against Pittsburgh back in July. Pirates turn to Steven Brault, who is making only his second start in more than a month. Brault has a 8.02 ERA and 2.026 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Cardinals. Give me St Louis -1.5 (+106) |
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08-10-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals -137 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -137) I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals to cash in a win at home against the Pirates on Saturday. I just think the value is clearly with St Louis, as they send out veteran Adam Wainwright. While Wainwright is just 7-8 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.412 in 21 starts, but he's a different guy at home. He's 5-2 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.223 WHIP in 10 starts at Busch Stadium. Pirates will counter with Joe Musgrave, who has a 9.42 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 1-5 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Cardinals. Give me St Louis -137! |
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08-09-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals -137 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -137) I'll take my chances here with St Louis winning the series opener at home against the Pirates. I think we are getting some decent value with the Cardinals due to the fact that they come in having lost 5 straight. The thing is, all 5 losses came on the road in a West Coast trip that had them play 2 at Oakland and 3 at Dodgers. Cardinals have won 7 of 8 against a division opponent and are a perfect 8-0 in Dakota Hudson's last 8 starts vs a team with a losing record. Pirates will send out Chris Archer, who is 0-4 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 9 road starts. Give me the Cardinals -137! |
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08-08-19 | Royals v. Tigers -144 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
50* AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH ( Tigers -144) I'll take my chances here with Detroit getting a win at home against the Royals. Not too often you will see a team as bad as the Tigers as a favorite this big, but that tells you just how good starter Matt Boyd has been. It also says a lot about how bad KC is. Boyd has a 3.91 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 23 starts. The even more impressive stat is his 187 strikeouts in 138 innings of work. He's got a 2.50 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his last 3 starts (18 innings). Royals are just 2-10 in their last 12 and will send out Jorge Lopez, who is 0-6 with a 7.07 ERA in 10 starts (1-9 team record). He's also got a 7.71 ERA in 3 career starts against the Tigers (KC lost all 3). Give me Detroit -144! |
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08-07-19 | A's v. Cubs -136 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -136) I'll take my chances here with the Cubs rebounding from yesterday's loss to the A's with a win. Cubs had won 4 straight prior to the loss on Tuesday and the big thing for me is that while they only scored 4 runs they stayed hot at the plate with 11 hits. That's now 3 straight games with double-digit hits. That offense will be up against the A's Home Bailey, who has an awful 8.59 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bailey hasn't faced the Cubs in 2019, but did face them twice last year and gave up 12 runs on 18 hits and 5 walks in 9 2/3 innings of work. Give me the Cubs -136! |
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08-06-19 | A's v. Cubs -131 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -131 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cubs -131) I'll take my chances here with the Cubs at what I feel is a great price, given they are at home with their veteran ace Jon Lester on the mound. I played on the Cubs multiple times in their series with Milwaukee, but backed off in the opener against the A's, as I felt it was a potential slip up spot after their big sweep of the Brewers. Win or lose on Monday, I like them to secure a victory on Friday. Lester is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA in 11 home starts (9-2 team record). A's are countering with Brett Andersson, who has a 6.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cubs are 10-1 in their last 11 games when Lester starts and they are a favorite of -110 or more. Give me the Cubs -131! |