Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-17 | White Sox v. Yankees -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Massacre (Yankees -1.5, -115) It's pretty impressive the Yankees are 9-5 with their ace Masahiro Tanaka posting an ugly 8.36 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in 3 starts. As bad as it's been for Tanaka in the early going, he's got better with each start and I look for him to dominate a weak White Sox offense in this one. New York is 3-0 in his 3 starts against Chicago, as Tanaka owns a 2.33 ERA against them. All 3 wins coming by at least 2 runs. I expect that trend to continue, as the Yankees' bats should be able to provide plenty of run support here against the White Sox Dylan Covey. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-115)! |
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04-18-17 | Giants v. Royals -125 | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Royals -125) I'm going to keep it going with KC, as the Royals have won 4 straight all at home and are going to be motivated for this one, as it's the first time they host the Giants since losing Game 7 of the World Series to them two years ago. I know it's been a rough go of things for Royals starter Jason Hammel, but I noticed some positive signs in his last outing and look for a strong showing here. Giants will send out Matt Cain, who is inconsistent as they come and a lot of the struggles come on the road. Give me the Royals -125! |
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04-17-17 | Marlins v. Mariners -138 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* MLB Money Line Massacre (Mariners -138) Seattle is a much better team than the one that opened up the season 2-8 and they showed signs of being that elite team out of the AL when they swept the Rangers at home over the weekend. I think people also over look that the Marines had to play their first 7 on the road (went just 1-6). They are now 4-2 at home. Miami is getting some love after taking the final 3 games of their 4 games series against the Mets, but this is a LONG way from home for Miami. I think this line should be closer to Seattle -150, so there's some great value with this line. Give me the Mariners -138! |
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04-16-17 | White Sox v. Twins -126 | 3-1 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Twins -126) This is more of a fade of the White Sox than anything. Chicago's offense is one of the worst in the league and have scored 2 or less in 5 of their last 6 games. I just think we are getting too good of a price on the Twins at home here. Minnesota does have a red-hot Hector Santiago on the mound, who has a 2.38 ERA in 2 starts. Only thing that's keeping this line low, is the fact that Chicago is sending out James Shields, who has a 1.69 ERA in his first two starts. I'm still not ready to trust Shields after last year and his 7 walks in 10 2/3 innings is a troubling sign. Give me the Twins -126! |
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04-15-17 | Angels v. Royals +108 | 2-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Royals +108) Kansas City is one of those teams that just doesn't get the respect they deserve and have a way of exceeding expectations. I just see no reason why the Royals are a dog at home against the Angels, who I have rated as the 4th best team in the AL West. Especially with the starting pitching matchup. KC will give the ball to Nate Karns, who pitched very well at Houston in his first start, allowing only 1 run on 6 hits in 5 2/3 innings of work. LA will counter with Matt Shoemaker, who has a 7.72 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two starts. Give me the Royals +108! |
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04-15-17 | Tigers +140 v. Indians | 6-13 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
40* MLB Vegas Oddsmakers Error (Tigers +140) This is a no brainer for me on Detroit. The Tigers are playing well right now and Cabrera is starting to heat up at the plate. With Justin Verlander on the mound, I'll take Detroit at this price in this spot any chance I get. Verlander has come out with a chip on his shoulder after getting snubbed on the Cy Young last year and has allowed a mere 2 earned runs on 9 hits with 14 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings over his first two starts. Cleveland has a former Cy Young winner in Corey Kluber, whose strong showing in the playoffs is a part of this inflated number. Kluber is a great pitcher, but he's been far from dominant in his first two starts and struggled in his last two starts against the Tigers. Give me Detroit +140! |
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04-14-17 | Phillies v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals -1.5, +110) The Nationals are worth a look on the run line today. Washington is without question the better team in this one and should be able to win by 2+ runs at home with the edge they have on the mound. The Nats will give the ball to Stephen Strasburgh, who has looked sharp in his first two starts, pitching 7 innings in each outing. Plus he's 8-2 with a 2.46 ERA in his career against the Phillies. As for Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola, he wasn't great in his first start against these same Nationals and is a mere 1-3 with a 5.26 ERA in his career against Washington. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+110)! |
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04-13-17 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) This isn't going to look like a pitching matchup that would result in a low scoring game, but the total is high enough and the conditions are favoring the under to make this a strong play. The temperature for this game is barely more than 50 degrees and the wind will be blowing straight in from right field. The ball simply isn't going to carry well. On top of that, we have two offenses that aren't swinging the bats well. The White Sox have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 3 games and the Indians have managed just 5 in their last 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 8.5) I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks to take place tonight. AT&T Park is known for being a pitchers park, but tonight the wind will be blowing out to left field at close to 20 mph. I believe it's going to favor both offenses, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Arizona will send out Shelby Miller, who gave up 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 5.3 innings at home. Giants will give the ball to Matt Cain, who allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 4.3 innings. Neither team has a great bullpen, which should have runs coming early and often. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -127 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB AL East Game of the Month (Red Sox -127) I cashed in on the Red Sox yesterday, as the books weren't giving Boston starter Drew Pomeranz near the respect he deserved. I believe we have the same scenario here with Red Sox starter Steven Wright, who is a 13-game winner from last year in just 24 starts (4 complete games). He didn't have great stuff in his first start, but was still effective. He pitched really well against these Orioles in two starts against them last year and should get plenty of run support with Boston's high-powered lineup facing the inconsistent Ubaldo Jimenez. Give me the Red Sox -127! |
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04-12-17 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 105 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 7.5) These two teams combined for 20 runs in Game 1 of the series and 11 more in Game 2, both going well over the total. Each of those games had prime hitting conditions with the wind blowing out. This time it will be blowing in from left field. Not only that, but we have two starters facing off that were both sensational in their first outing of the season. Cardinals' Mike Leake allowed just 1 run in 8 innings and the Nationals' Max Scherzer gave up only 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-11-17 | Brewers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Massacre (Blue Jays -1.5, +110) It's been a miserable start to the season for the Blue Jays, who are 1-5 after losing back-to-back series at Baltimore and Tampa Bay. Toronto finally gets to play their home opener and that's a huge advantage here. The Blue Jays will also be sending out J.A. Happ, who pitched well in his first start and was lights out at home last year, going 11-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 15 starts. Brewers aren't anywhere close in terms of talent as Toronto and bad teams tend to struggle on the road. Milwaukee is 2-5 with all 7 of their games being played at home. I look for this one to get ugly in a hurry, as the Blue Jays cruise to a big win. Give me Toronto -1.5 (+110)! |
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04-11-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -115 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Red Sox -115) Boston is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Orioles. The Red Sox are going to be highly motivated here in their first division game and fresh off that heartbreaking loss to the Tigers yesterday. Lot of respect right now for Dylan Bundy and he's going to be a great starter for years to come, but this is a loaded Red Sox lineup that gave him all kinds of problems last year. He faced them 3 times and allowed 13 runs on 21 hits and 8 walks with just 9 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings of work. Bundy was also much worse on the road than he was at home. There's a lot of questions/concerns regarding Red Sox starter Drew Pomeranz, but I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt at this price at home. Give me Boston -115! |
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04-10-17 | Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* NL Central Total of the Month (Pirates/Reds UNDER 8.5) This won't look like a big time pitching matchup to a lot of people, but these are two young studs that will be big names for years to come. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan is one of the few bright spots on this roster and he was excellent in his first start at home against the Phillies, giving up just 1 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 shutout innings. He's faced these Pirates three times in his career already and has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings of work (2.03 ERA). Pittsburgh will send out rookie Tyler Glasnow, who has ace-like stuff. PNC Park is a pitchers park and these are two average offenses. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-10-17 | Diamondbacks +119 v. Giants | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
40* D-Backs/Giants MLB Money Line Knockout (D-Backs +119) This is a great price to back Arizona against the Giants. These Diamondbacks have been a big surprise to start the season, as they are 3-1 after taking 3 of 4 against these same Giants and sweeping the Indians at home over the weekend. I don't expect Arizona to be a serious threat, but I'll gladly jump on them as a dog until they cool off, especially when they have a favorable starting pitching matchup like we have here. San Francisco will give the ball to Matt Moore, who allowed 6 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings against Arizona last week. Not a big surprise to see Moore struggle against the Diamondbacks, as they own left-handed pitchers. Arizona sends out Taijuan Walker, who has the talent to be something special and while he allowed 4 runs in his first start, he did have 7 strikeouts to just 1 walk in 6 innings of work. Give me the Diamondbacks +119! |
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04-09-17 | Indians -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Massacre (Indians -1.5, +105) It was a rough first start of the season for Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, as he allowed 5 runs at Texas. The thing is, Kluber was dealing with a blister problem and really only made three mistakes (3 of 6 hits allowed were HRs). The blister is no longer an issue and I look for Kluber to quiet the Diamondbacks' bats in this one. On the flip side of this, I look for Cleveland's offense to put up a big number here against Arizona starter Pat Corbin, who gave up 7 hits and 2 walks in just 4 innings in his first start at home against the Giants. Give me the Indians -1.5 (+105)! |
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04-09-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cardinals -1.5, +115) St. Louis put up a 10 spot in yesterday's 10-4 win over the Reds and I'm expecting another blowout win at home on Sunday against Cincinnati. The Cardinals will send out their ace Carlos Martinez, who was sharp in his first start of the season, limiting the Cubs to just 6 hits over 7 1/3 shutout innings (10 strikeouts). Martinez didn't walk a batter and if he can sustain that kind of control, he's going to be right there at the end of the season in the Cy Young talks. St Louis should have no problem winning here by 2+ runs, as the Reds will give the ball to Scott Feldman, who lasted just 4 2/3 before getting yanked in a loss to the Phillies in his first start. Give me the Cardinals -1.5 (+115)! |
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04-09-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Brewers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Big Money Knockout (Cubs -1.5, -115) The Cubs offense exploded for 11 runs on 17 hits in yesterday's 5-run win over the Brewers and it wasn't a big surprise. Chicago had faced some top notch starting pitching over their first 4 games and finally got a chance to go up against a sub-par starter. They get another crack at a weak starter in Zach Davies on Sunday. Davies allowed 6 runs on 9 hits and 4 walks in his first start of the season against the Rockies. What makes this even better is the Cubs will send out Cy Young candidate Jake Arrieta, who looked every bit the part in his first start at St Louis. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-115)! |
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04-08-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
50* NL Central Game of the Month (Cubs -1.5, -110) Outside of a 6-run outburst in the series finale against the Cardinals, the Cubs offense has really struggled. They were held to just 1-run in last night's extra inning loss. There's no questioning the talent of Chicago's offense and I just think they have ran into some great pitching early in the year. They get their first look here at someone they can take advantage of in Tom Milone. On the flip side of this, the Cubs are sending out Kyle Hendricks, who I believe is one of the best underrated starters in the game and should have won last year's NL Cy Young award. I look for the Cubs to win big here. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-110)! |
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04-08-17 | Braves v. Pirates -127 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* MLB Vegas Line Mistake (Pirates -127) Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Braves. The Pirates are just not getting the respect they deserve at home, especially against a team like Atlanta who is not a threat to make the postseason. Pittsburgh is just 1-2, but the two losses both came on the road against an elite Boston team. They bounced back with a win over these Braves in yesterday's home opener and I expect more of the same. The Pirates offense should produce in this one, as Atlanta sends out R.A. Dickey, whose knuckball isn't quite as effective early in the year when the temps are low. I also like Pittsburgh's starter here in 24-year-old Chad Kuhl, who posted a 3.77 ERA in 11 starts last season after the All-Star break. Give me the Pirates -127! |
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04-08-17 | Nationals -110 v. Phillies | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nationals -110) Washington has jumped out to a 3-1 start and I look for them to keep it going here. This is simply too good of a price on the Nationals to pass up, especially the way Bryce Harper is swinging the bat out of the gates. That offense could put up a big number here, as Phillies are a mere 1-5 in Nola's 6 career starts against Washington. Nola has posted a 5.40 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in those 6 starts. Give me the Nationals -110! |
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04-07-17 | Indians -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB No Doubt Run Line Massacre (Indians -1.5) No surprise to see the Indians get off to a strong start and I see no reason not to ride them while they are hot. Cleveland has the pitching to win a ton of games and are going to be extremely difficult to beat when the offense is clicking like it is now. The Indians scored 21 runs over their 3-game series with the Rangers and should have no problem keeping it going at hitter friendly Chase Field. Shelby Miller is a wild card for Arizona, but I'm willing to gamble against him until he proves otherwise. As for Cleveland, I think Josh Tomlin gets overlooked in this deep rotation and as a result will be a great value bet. Give me the Indians -1.5 (+115)! |
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04-07-17 | Blue Jays -114 v. Rays | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Blue Jays -114) Toronto is worth a look here with Liriano going up against Andriese of the Rays. The Blue Jays got the monkey off their back with their first win of the season yesterday against Tampa Bay, which came after two heartbreaking losses at Baltimore to open the season where the offense produced just 2 runs. More than anything here, I really like Liriano coming into this season. He was great last year after getting traded to Toronto and had one of his better spring trainings. Give me the Blue Jays -114! |
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04-06-17 | Angels -103 v. A's | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB AL West Game of the Month (Angels -103) The LA Angels are worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against the A's. The Angels have taken each of the last two games in the series after dropping the opener and I don't there's any arguing that they are the better team here. I really like the advantage LA has on the mound with Tyler Skaggs, who is poised for a breakout season after a couple of injury plagued campaigns, facing off against Andrew Triggs. Triggs is only in the rotation because of the injury to Gray and the lack of talent Oakland has. He's primarily been a reliever in his career and I expect him to struggle early and often. Give me the Angels -103! |
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04-06-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
40* MLB Big Money Total Crusher (OVER 7.5) Not a lot of offense in the first two games of this series. Both teams have scored exactly 5 runs in the first two games combined. I believe there's a decent chance both teams could eclipse the 5 run mark in this one. The first two games of this series featured big time pitching matchups with Lester vs Martinez and Arrieta vs Wainwright. I see a significant drop off here in terms of the starting pitching matchup with Lackey vs Lynn. These are two elite offenses that can produce up and down the order. Conditions here are also supporting a high-scoring game, as the wind will be blowing out strong to right. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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04-05-17 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5) This total has jumped from 7 to 7.5 and I just think there's too much value to pass up. The Dodgers exploded for 14 runs in their opener and the expectation is they are going to keep putting up big numbers. The ball just doesn't travel well at night at Dodgers Stadium. I also think the Padres could struggle to score more than a couple runs here against the likes of Rich Hill. San Diego gives the ball to Cahill and he's better than he gets credit for and won't be intimidated by the Dodgers lineup. UNDER is 13-3 in Hill's 16 night starts over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a favorite. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-05-17 | Pirates v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Red Sox -1.5, +105) I'll take my chances here with Boston winning by at least 2 runs at home with their new ace on the mound in Chris Sale, who was sharp in spring training and should be primed for a monster season. Pittsburgh starter Jameson Taillon is a promising young player, but I just think it's asking too much of him here against this Red Sox offense. This is also his first start at historic Fenway Park, which only magnifies the pressure going up against the likes of Sale. I look for Boston to win and win here comfortably. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (+105)! |
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04-04-17 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Massacre (Astros -1.5 +132) I liked what I saw from Houston in yesterday's 3-0 opening win at home against the Mariners and look for them to make even easier work of Seattle in game 2. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who has an electric young arm that makes him primed for a breakout season. He's exceptional at getting hitters to swing and miss and that should work well here against this power-hitting Mariners lineup. Houston could have easily had more than 3 runs in the opener and are going to be one of the most explosive offenses in the big leagues this year. This team is on a mission to start the season strong and I look for them to be the talk of the AL in April. Give me the Astros -1.5 (+132)! |
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04-03-17 | Mariners +139 v. Astros | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Mariners +139) Mariners ace Felix Hernandez had a miserable 2016 by his standards and is simply being way undervalued to start 2017. I really like what I saw from Hernandez in spring training an I'll gladly take my chances of him out performing Dallas Keuchel. The 2015 Cy Young winner had a miserable 2016 season and I question if he will be able to get back to that level. As much as I like Houston this year, I think the Mariners are going to be a major factor in the AL West. This one is all about value and the pitching matchup. Give me Seattle +139! |
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04-03-17 | Pirates +145 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
40* MLB Big Money Afternoon Annihilator (Pirates +145) Boston is the favorite to win the AL and get to the World Series and I believe it has them way overvalued to start the season. I'm not saying they aren't an elite team, we are just getting to much value on Pittsburgh to pass up. More than anything, I really like the pitching matchup. I'm not a believer in Rick Porcello being able to replicate what he did last year. On the flip side, I think Pirates starter Gerrit Cole is one of the more underrated starters coming into 2017, as injuries really set him back last season. He was a 19-game winner two years ago and I fully expect him to be back on that level. Give me the Pirates +145! |
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04-02-17 | Giants -134 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Giants -134) I'll gladly back San Francisco at this price, even on the road and that's because the Giants have their ace and one of baseball's elite starters on the mound in Madison Bumgarner, who is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 3 career Opening Day starts and 6-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his career at Chase Field (14 starts). Diamondbacks counter with Zack Greinke and I just don't trust him. His velocity was down in the spring and rarely is that a good thing. A lot of people forget how good San Francisco was playing before their 2nd half collapse. I look for them to be a great team to back early, as they got the pieces to be one of the best teams in the league this year. Give me the Giants -134! |
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10-25-16 | Cubs -113 v. Indians | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -113) I'm taking Chicago to go into Cleveland and take Game 1 of the series. The Cubs caught fire in a 3-game winning streak to close out the NLCS against the Dodgers. The final win of the series came with the Cubs letting Kershaw have hit and I think they do the same here to Kluber and the Indians. Chicago's offense is absolutely loaded with talent and now they get to add an extra hitter with the DH. Cleveland doesn't pack near the same fire-power offensively and will find it hard to manage runs against Cubs' ace Jon Lester, who has been spectacular in the postseason, posting a 0.85 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Cubs -113! |
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10-19-16 | Cubs -102 v. Dodgers | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -102) Chicago has their backs against the wall for the first time this season and I look for the Cubs to answer the call in Game 4 and even up the series at 2-2. Chicago's bats have went silent the last two games against two elite pitchers this season. Keep in mind that was the first time Chicago had seen either of those starters this season, so not a big surprise that their timing was off given how good they are. They finally have some familiarity with a starter in Game 4, as they faced Dodgers 20-year-old rookie, Julio Urias twice. I look for Chicago to get their offense back on track and turn this series back in their favor. Give me the Cubs -102! |
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10-18-16 | Cubs -113 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -113) Give me Jake Arrieta and the Cubs as a small road dog in Game 3 against Rich Hill and the Dodgers. Arrieta is a legit ace that like Kershaw, can put Chicago on his back and make sure they leave this game with a win. Arrieta has been light's out on the road, going 11-3 in 16 starts this season. Last time he took the mound in LA, he threw a no hitter. I just don't trust Hill in this spot. I know he had a great regular season, but the playoffs is a whole different beast. He was far from dominant in his 2 starts against the Nationals, allowing 5 runs on 13 hits/walks in just 7 innings of work. The Cubs are going to make him work and if they can just get some guys on base they are going to start scoring runs in bunches. Give me Chicago -113! |
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10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 8.5) After watching just 5 total runs scored in the first 2 games of the series, most are going to be looking to jump on the UNDER again in Game 3. Not me. With the series shifting to Toronto, I'm expecting to see a lot more offense, especially with the pitching matchup we have here. Cleveland gives the rock to Trevor Bauer who wasn't sharp in his first postseason start, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits in 4 2/3 innings, including 2 home runs. Toronto counters with Marcus Stroman, who has been prone to some tough outings at home, where he's got a 4.50 ERA over 17 starts. OVER is 12-2 in Toronto's last 14 home games after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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10-14-16 | Blue Jays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* ALCS Vegas Total of the Month (Under 7.5) It's no secret that the Blue Jays have a great offense, but the Indians have a great counter to those big bats in Game 1 with former Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who thrived in the pressure of postseason baseball in his first start of the playoffs. Kluber held the potent Red Sox offense to just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings at home. On the other side of this is Toronto's Marco Estrada, who also stepped up to the challenge of pitching in the playoffs, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits at Texas, improving him to 7-2 with a 3.19 ERA over 15 road starts. Keep in mind both offenses have been sitting around waiting for this series to start and that's not a good thing as it throws off the timing. I think both offenses struggle to get anything going in this one. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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10-13-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 7) My money is on the UNDER in Game 5 tonight between the Dodgers and Nationals. Both starters in this one didn't have their best stuff when they pitched earlier in the series, but both have been excellent for the most part this season. Rich Hill for the Dodgers has a 2.35 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in 21 starts and has been outstanding on the road, going 8-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 11 road starts. Max Scherzer for the Nationals is one of the elite pitchers in the game today. He's 20-8 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 35 starts and has a 2.75 ERA in 16 home starts. Not only do we have two strong starters, but conditions are ideal for a low-scoring game. Both teams are going to be feeling the pressure of Game 5 and wind will be blowing in from left field around 10-15 mph, which will help both these starters keep the ball in the park. Give me the UDNER 7! |
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10-11-16 | Cubs -124 v. Giants | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -124) I'm taking the Cubs to finish off the Giants in Game after letting Game 3 slip through their fingers. As they have done all season, Chicago made the opposing pitcher work early and were able to get Bumgarner out of the game after 5 innings. Many other starters wouldn't have made it that long, which is a credit to how good Bumgarner is. I don't think it's going to go as well for Matt Moore tonight. Moore is getting a lot of praise for how well he pitched after coming over to the Giants, but he actually had a not so great 4.08 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 12 starts with San Francisco. I look for the Cubs to make him work hard early and get to the Giants bullpen, which could be wearing down after throwing a lot in the last two games. On the flip side of this, John Lackey is a big game pitcher and this start is exactly why he was added in the offseason. I look for Lackey to deliver a strong performance, while the Cubs offense puts up enough runs to secure the win. Give me Chicago -124! |
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10-10-16 | Cubs +115 v. Giants | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Cubs +115) It's crazy that the Cubs are going into Game 3 and have yet to start last year's Cy Young winner in Jake Arrieta. With Chicago up 2-0, typically we would see all the money come in on the Cubs in this spot, but that's not the case with Bumgarner on the mound for the Giants. I know how good Bumgarner has been, but I think this Cubs offense can get to him and Arrieta is more than capable of going toe to toe with him. Keep in mind that the Cubs went 11-4 in Arrieta's 15 road starts and he's got a 1.81 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Giants. In his last two starts at AT&T Park, he's allowed a mere 1 earned run on 8 hits with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. Give me the Cubs +115! |
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10-07-16 | Red Sox -101 v. Indians | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Red Sox -101) I played and lost with Boston in Game 1, but it's not scaring me away from the Red Sox in Game 2. I think this is the year that David Price puts his postseason struggles behind him and delivers like the ace he is. Price is definitely going to come out confident against the Indians, as he's owned Cleveland in his career. He's 10-2 with a 2.24 ERA in 14 career starts against them. Indians counter with Corey Kluber and I just don't trust him in this spot. He didn't pitch well down the stretch (4.15 ERA L3) and has not pitched well against the Red Sox (4.69 ERA in 8 career starts vs Boston). Red Sox offense is going to come to life in this one. Keep in mind Cleveland basically used up their best relievers last night. Miller threw 40 pitches in 2 innings and closer Allen threw 40 pitches in 1 2/3 innings. Give me Boston -101! |
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10-06-16 | Red Sox -140 v. Indians | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Red Sox -140) Boston is worth a look here in Game 1 against Cleveland. There's no question that the Red Sox have the better offense and they should be able to put up a decent number here against Indians starter Trevor Bauer, who is far from the ace you expect to see in a playoff series opener. On the flip side of this, Boston will send out Rick Porcello, who has been one of the top starters in the AL this season. Porcello went 22-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 33 starts and was just as good on the road, going 9-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 0.991 WHIP in 17 road starts. Give me the Red Sox -140! |
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10-04-16 | Orioles +133 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Orioles +133) The perception is that Toronto isn't going to lose at home, but these Wild Card play-in games have favored the road team in recent years. The playoffs is all about starting pitching and I think the Orioles have the clear edge in this one with Chris Tillman facing off against Marcus Stroman. Tillman has gone 8-3 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 14 road starts. He's owned the AL East this season. He's 7-1 with a 3.49 ERA in 14 starts with Baltimore winning 12 of those 14 outings. As for Stroman, I just don't trust the 25-year-old in this spot. He's underperformed this season and has struggled in his last 3 starts against the Orioles. In fact, he's not been good against division opponents all season, going just 4-7 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.409 WHIP. Give me the Orioles +133! |
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09-30-16 | Indians v. Royals -117 | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Royals -117) Kansas City is worth a look here at home agains the Indians on Friday. I know the Royals are out of the playoff picture, but I don't see this team throwing in the towel on their home field against a team that's got something to play for. Keep in mind, prior to yesterday's loss to the Twins, KC had won 4 straight. I'll take my chances here with the Royals behind starter Yordano Ventura, who has been much better at home and a lot stronger in the 2nd half of the season. I also think this is a tough spot for Cleveland, who had to sit through a 4.5-hour rain delay last night in Detroit and then jump on a plane to head to KC. On top of that the Indians' depleted rotation is forcing them to turn to Ryan Merritt for his first big league start. Give me the Royals -117! |
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09-28-16 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
50* AL Central Total of the Month (Under 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's total between the Twins and Royals. Kauffman Stadium is more of a pitchers park and even more so in spots like tonight when the wind will be blowing in over 10 mph from left field. More than anything, we have two starters on the mound who are throwing the ball well. Minnesota gives the rock to Ervin Santana, who has a 1.50 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Vargas has allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings over his last 2 starts. While Vargas doesn't figure to go deep into this game, KC has an excellent bullpen. On top of that, the Twins offense has been in a funk for quite some time. Minnesota has scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 straight games. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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09-27-16 | Twins v. Royals -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Royals -1.5) This might seem like a meaningless series between two AL Central rivals, but I see a significant edge for Kansas City at home and I'm willing to back them on the -1.5 run line tonight. While the Royals are mathematically alive in the Wild Card race, they are all but eliminated. Still, this is a prideful team that wants to ensure a winning record on the season. As for the Twins, there's nothing for this team to get up for and they threw in the towel long ago. Royals come in having scored 19 runs in their last 2 games and those hot bats should feast on Twins rookie starter Jose Berrios, who is 2-7 with a 8.88 ERA and 1.972 WHIP in 12 starts. Berrios has faced the Royals twice and allowed 9 runs on 14 hits in 9 innings of work. KC counters with Ian Kennedy, who has been on his game of late with a 2.55 ERA over his last 3 starts. Kennedy has faced off against the Twins 4 times this season and KC has won those starts by finals of 7-0, 10-4, 10-0 and 11-5. Give me the Royals -1.5 (+133)! |
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09-23-16 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Orioles -1.5) Now is the time to jump on the Orioles, as we are going to get the absolutely best Baltimore has to offer at home after just getting swept in a 4-game series at home by division rival Boston. The good news for the Orioles is they are still in it, just a 1/2 game back of Detroit for the final Wild Card spot. I look for an offensive explosion here for Baltimore, as they will be going up against the struggling Shelby Miller of the Diamondbacks, who has a 7.10 ERA in 18 starts and a 8.59 ERA in his last 3 outings. Miller has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Orioles will counter with Yorvani Gallardo, who hasn't been great, but is catching Arizona in a great spot. The Diamondbacks are coming off a series at San Diego where they scored a total of 7 runs and it won't be easy getting up for this one, especially after traveling clear across the country yesterday. I'll take my chances on the Orioles to win here by at least 2 runs. Give me Baltimore -1.5 (-102)! |
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09-22-16 | Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB Run Line Massacre (Mets -1.5) The Mets are catching a lot of negative publicity after getting swept at home by the Braves when they are fighting for a playoff spot and I look for them to bounce back in a big way here in the series opener tonight against the Phillies. New York has a clear-cut edge on the mound with Seth Lugo taking the rubber against Adam Morgan. Lugo has been rock solid, going 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA in 6 starts and has a 2.00 ERA at home and 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts. Morgan on the other hand is 2-10 with a 5.60 ERA in 19 starts overall and has a 5.92 ERA in 9 road starts. Morgan has just one win in his last 18 appearances (16 starts). He made a start at New York earlier this season and gave up 6 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings of a 4-9 loss. He also started against the Mets once in 2015, giving up 5 runs on 7 hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 7-16 loss. Give me the Mets -1.5 (+135)! |
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09-21-16 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals/Marlins Under 7.5) The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's NL East matchup between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out their ace Max Scherzer, who has been on his game for almost a month now. Scherzer hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 5 straight starts and during this stretch has allowed a total of just 6 runs. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who has a solid 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed just 4 runs in 3 starts against the Nationals this season. Koehler is also catching Washington at a good time, as they Nats were just shutout yesterday and have scored 3 or less in 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-20-16 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Tigers/Twins UNDER 9.5) The books have set the total too high for tonight's AL Central clash between the Twins and Tigers. We are seeing an inflated line here, due to the fact that OVER has gone 50-23 in Minnesota's home games this season. I see plenty of reason to go against that trend with today's starting pitching matchup. The Twins give the ball to Hector Santiago, who has been throwing as well as anyone of late. Santiago has a 2.41 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has allowed a total of 5 runs over his last 4 starts. Detroit counters with Matt Boyd, who did just give up 7 runs in 3 2/3 innigns at home to the Twins in his last start, but I'm not reading into one bad start. Prior to that outing, Boyd had given up 3 or fewer earned runs in each of his previous 10 starts, which included two starts against Minnesota. He's also facing a Twins offense that is struggling coming into this series, as they managed just 4 runs in their 3-game series against the Mets over the weekend. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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09-18-16 | Astros v. Mariners +101 | 3-7 | Win | 101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB Money Line No Brainer (Mariners +101) Seattle is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Astros. Houston has come in an taken the first two games of this series, snapping the Mariners 8-game winning streak. I look for Seattle to bounce back and avoid the sweep at home with an easy win this afternoon. The Mariners will send out Ariel Miranda, who is 3-1 with a 3.49 ERA in 7 starts this season and comes in with a 2.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Houston counters here with Doug Fister, who isn't in great form at the moment. Fister owns an ugly 11.08 ERA and 2.462 WHIP in his last 3 starts, giving up 14 runs on 19 hits in his last 2 outings on the road. Mariners are 13-1 as a home dog this season. Give me Seattle +101! |
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09-16-16 | Cardinals v. Giants -111 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Giants -111) San Francisco is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Cardinals. Everyone knows how bad the Giants have been playing since the All-Star break, but St Louis isn't exactly lighting it up at the moment. The Cardinals have lost 6 of their last 9, including last night's 6-2 defeat in the series opener against San Francisco. I like the Giants chances here of keeping the momentum going behind lefty Matt Moore. Outside of a poor outing at Coors Field, Moore has been dominant of late. St Louis counters with youngster Luke Weaver, who hasn't been as sharp on the road. He's got a 3.48 ERA in 6 starts overall, but a 4.74 ERA when he toes the rubber on the road. Backing the Giants as a small home favorite has been a wise move. Over the last 2 seasons, San Fran is 21-9 at home with a money line of -100 to -125. Give me the Giants -111! |
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09-15-16 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -122 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) I'll gladly lay a little extra juice here to back the UNDER at 9 for Thursday's AL East showdown between the Yankees and Red Sox. Both of these teams were shutout on Wednesday and I don't see the offenses coming to life in the series opener. Boston will give the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is in prime form with a 3.26 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's had all kinds of success against the Yankees this season. He's faced them twice an allowed 2 runs on 7 hits in 14 innings. New York counters with Masahiro Tanaka, who has been a rock all season for the Yankees. Tanaka is 13-4 with a 3.09 in 29 starts overall, has a 2.27 ERA in 14 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Hi too has pitched some of his best baseball in this series. In his two starts against the Red Sox this season, he's allowed 3 runs on 9 hits in 12 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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09-14-16 | Twins v. Tigers -1.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 128 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB AL Central Play of the Month (Tigers -1.5) Detroit is worth a look on the run line tonight against the Twins. The Tigers were embarrassed in Tuesday's 8-1 loss to Minnesota and I look for them to bounce back in a big way. Detroit's offense is due for an explosion and are in a prime spot to turn things around against Minnesota starter Tyler Duffey, who is 6-11 with a 6.13 ERA in 23 starts. Duffy also comes into this start in awful form, posting a 10.03 ERA and 1.799 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Duffy has also been a great starter to fade in night games, as he's got a 8.14 ERA in 15 night starts. Detroit counters here with Anibal Sanchez, who has pitched well in each of his last 2 starts, but more importantly has owned the Twins in his career. Sanchez has a 2.63 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 14 career starts against Minnesota. Each of his last 6 wins against them have come by 2 or more runs and I look for that trend to continue. Give me the Tigers -1.5 (+128). |
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09-13-16 | Brewers v. Reds -128 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Reds -128) Cincinnati is worth a look here at home at this price. The Reds are red-hot at the moment, having won 4 straight. We are getting value on Cincinnati here due to Milwaukee starter Matt Garza coming in with a 0.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, all 3 of those starts for Garza have come at home. Pitching on the road has been a completely different story, as he's just 1-5 with a 5.96 ERA in 9 road starts. The Reds will counter here with Daniel Straily, who is one of the more underrated starters. Straily has been lights out at home this season, where he's 6-1 with a 2.95 ERA in 14 starts. He's faced the Brewers twice this season and has allowed just 2 runs in 12 1/3 innings of work. Hard to not like him dominating here, as the Brewers are struggling at the plate, having scored a whopping 3 runs over their last 3 games combined. Give me the Reds -128! |
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09-12-16 | Pirates -134 v. Phillies | 2-6 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie No Brainer (Pirates -134) Pittsburgh's chances of making the playoffs are slim to none, but they have not yet been officially eliminated and I don't expect them to throw in the towel until that happens. The Pirates are worth a look here as they send out their ace Gerrit Cole, who will be making his first start back since going on the 15-day DL. Cole's struggles in 2016 are a big part of why Pittsburgh isn't closer in the Wild Card standings. With Philadelphia bringing up prospects left and right, their primary focus isn't on winning down the stretch. Cole has owned the Phillies in his career, posting a 2.15 ERA in 5 starts against them. Philadelphia counters with Jeremy Hellickson, who is not in good form at all right now. He's got a 6.75 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Pirates -134! |
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09-10-16 | Dodgers v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total Knockout (Dodgers/Marlins Under 7.5) The books have set the total too high for Saturday's NL showdown between the Dodgers and Marlins. This one has a pitchers duel written all over it. Los Angeles will give the rock to Rich Hill, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball when he's healthy enough to toe the rubber. Hill is 11-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 16 starts and is a perfect 7-0 with a 1.41 ERA in 7 road starts. He's yet to allow a run since being traded to the Dodgers. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who a more than capable starter. He comes in off a dominant outing at Cleveland, holding the Indians to just 3 hits over 6 shutout innings. More importantly, he's owned the Dodgers in his career with a 2.94 ERA in 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-09-16 | Brewers v. Cardinals -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Bookie Run Line Knockout (Cardinals -1.5) St Louis is worth a look here on the run line Friday against the Brewers. The Cardinals are going to come out pissed off after yesterday's embarrassing 12-5 loss to Milwaukee. St Louis never had a chance in that one, as starter Jaime Garcia gave up 5 runs in 3 2/3 innings. I'm confident the Brewers won't be able to keep that success at the plate going in game 2 of the series, as the Cardinals send out Carlos Martinez. Not only does he have a sensational 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he's owned Milwaukee in his career, going 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA in 7 starts. On top of that Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson is a perfect fade. Nelson is 2-7 with a 5.81 ERA in 13 road starts and 0-5 with an awful 7.13 ERA in 7 career starts against the Cardinals. Give me St Louis -1.5 (+101)! |
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09-07-16 | Rangers -106 v. Mariners | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
50* MLB AL West Game of the Month (Rangers -106) Texas is worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Mariners on Wednesday. The Rangers are a dominant 12-5 on the season against Seattle and are 8-2 over their last 10 games overall. Mariners on the other hand are just 3-11 in their last 14. Texas is absolutely scorching at the plate right now. They have scored 6 or more runs in each of their last 8 games and are in a great spot to keep that going against Seattle starter Ariel Miranda, who has a 5.06 ERA in 5 starts. While he hasn't allowed all the runs, the opposing team has scored 7 or more runs in each of his last 4 starts. Simply too much value here not to back the Rangers in this one. Texas will have A.J. Griffin on the mound, who is in good form, with a 3.11 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Rangers -106! |
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09-06-16 | Mets v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL matchup between the Reds and Mets. I know that Great American Ballpark is a great hitters park, but we have two pitchers who are more than capable of shutting down the opposing offenses in this one. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan has been lights out of late, posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch Finnegan has racked up an impressive 29 strikeouts in 20 innings. Mets will counter with Rafael Montero, who despite some control problems, threw 5 scoreless innings in 2016 debut last week. Montero should be able to keep the Reds in check. Cincinnati has scored 2 or less runs in 2 straight and 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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09-05-16 | Astros -108 v. Indians | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Astros -108) Houston is worth a look at this price on the road against the Indians on Monday. Both teams are playing well at the moment, but this one means a lot more to the Astros and they have a big time edge on the mound with Michael Fiers facing off against Mike Clevinger. Fiers has really thrown the ball well of late, posting a 2.45 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also owned the Indians in his lone start against them this season, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings of a 7-1 win. Clevinger is making just his 6th start of the season and first since 8/13. He hasn't exactly thrown it well when given the chance, as he's got a 6.29 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in those 5 starts. I look for him to struggle once again, as he faces a hot Houston offense that just scored 19 runs on 29 hits in their 3-game series against the Rangers. Give me the Astros -108! |
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09-03-16 | Yankees v. Orioles -144 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* MLB Money Line No Brainer (Orioles -144) Baltimore is worth a look here at home against the Yankees on Saturday. The Orioles cruised to a 8-0 win in the series opener yesterday and I look for another comfortable victory in this one. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who is coming in off back-to-back starts where he didn't allow a single run. The last one coming in New York against the Yankees, where he struck out 9 over 7 scoreless. NY counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has been trending in the wrong direction in the 2nd half of the season. Sabathia has a 5.03 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed 4+ runs in 8 of his last 13 outings. Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 home games after allowing 2 runs or less, while the Yankees are 7-18 in their last 25 road games against division opponents. Give me Baltimore -144! |
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09-02-16 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Destroyer (Cardinals/Reds UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL Central matchup between the Reds and Cardinals. Cincinnati will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Anthony DeSclafani, who is 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 15 starts. He was absolutely dominant in his last outing, allowing just 4 hits in a complete game shutout at Arizona, which is no easy place to pitch. Now he faces a slumping Cardinals offense that has scored just 3 runs on 10 hits in their last two games combined. I also don't see the Reds doing a lot of scoring in this one. St Louis sends out 22-year-old prospect Alex Reyes, who has the makings of a future ace. He made his MLB debut last week in Oakland and looked the part. He did have some control problems with 4 walks, but only allowed 2 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. Cincinnati's offense has scored 2 or less runs in 4 straight games, so they clearly aren't clicking at the plate right now. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-30-16 | White Sox v. Tigers -1.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 108 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Tigers -1.5) Detroit is worth a look here on the run line tonight against division rival Chicago. The Tigers will come into this game riding a wave of momentum after rallying late to beat the White Sox 4-3 on Monday. Detroit also has a clear-cut edge on the mound. The Tigers will send out promising youngster Daniel Norris, who is coming off his best start of the season, allowing just 2 run in 6 1/3 innings at Minnesota. This will be Norris' first start against the White Sox this season, but he did face them twice last year. In those two outings, he didn't allow a single earned run, giving up just 1 hit in 10 innings of work. Chicago will send out Anthony Ranaudo, who has been a complete mess since joining the rotation after being acquired from the Rangers. He's got an ugly 7.87 ERA in his first 3 starts with the White Sox and has surrendered 11 runs on 13 hits in 9 1/3 innings in his last 2 outings. Give me the Tigers -1.5 (+108)! |
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08-29-16 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* National League Total of the Month (Under 8) The books have set the bar too high for Monday's matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers. St Louis will send out Carlos Martinez, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 7-1 with a 2.36 ERA in 11 road starts and 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA in 6 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Zach Davies, who has a strong 3.70 ERA in 15 home starts and is coming off a gem at home against the Rockies last time out, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Davies has faced the Cardinals once in his career, that coming earlier this season. He was dominant in that outing, giving up just 3 hits over 8 shutout innings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-28-16 | Pirates -120 v. Brewers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pirates -120) Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Brewers on Sunday. The Pirates are out for the sweep after taking the first 3 in the series and it's hard to not like their chances given the edge they will have on the mound. Pittsburgh gives the ball to Ivan Nova, who is 3-0 with a 3.20 ERA in his 4 starts since coming over to the Pirates in a trade with the Yankees. He was especially good in his last start, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits in a complete game effort. Milwaukee counters here with Chase Anderson, who has had a poor 2016 season. Anderson is 7-10 with a 4.92 ERA in 24 starts. He's also had some difficulties when facing the Pirates, posting a 4.63 ERA and 1.799 WHIP in 5 career starts against them. Give me Pittsburgh -120! |
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08-27-16 | Royals v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8) The books have set the total too high, creating great value here on the UNDER in today's game between the Red Sox and Royals. This game means a lot to both teams and we have two of the better AL starters on the mound. Boston will send out David Price, who has been lights out of late with a 1.63 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Kansas City counters with Danny Duffy, who has been even better in his last 3 starts, posting a 1.16 ERA and 0.943 WHIP. Duffy is also 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 8 road starts. It's also worth noting that the wind will be blowing in from right field, so that should neglect any cheap home runs. UNDER is 10-1 in Duffy's last 11 starts as a road underdog and 15-3 in Prices last 18 home starts against an NL Central opponent. Take the UNDER! |
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08-26-16 | Pirates -113 v. Brewers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
50* NL Central Game of the Month (Pirates -113) Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Brewers on Friday. The Pirates took the series opener yesterday 3-2 and they know that this is a critical series with a road trip to face the Cubs on deck. Hard to not like their chances of coming away with a victory tonight. Pittsburgh will send out the red-hot Ryan Vogelsong against the struggling Matt Garza. Vogelson has a strong 2.05 ERA in 6 starts this season and a 2.55 ERA over his last 3 outings. Garza on the other hand owns an ugly 5.27 ERA in 13 starts and a 6.13 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the Pirates -113! |
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08-25-16 | Royals v. Marlins -115 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Marlins -115) Miami is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Royals on Thursday. The Marlins snapped KC's 9-game winning streak behind a dominant performance from their ace Jose Fernandez in yesterday's 3-0 win. The Royals offense has now scored just 3 runs in their last 3 and I look for their struggles to continue here against the red-hot and underrated Tom Koehler, who has a 3.36 ERA in 11 home starts and a sizzling 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miami's offense should be able to provide plenty of run support here. The Royals send out Edinson Volquez, who is a mere 3-7 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in 11 road starts and comes into this one with an ugly 5.51 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take the Marlins -115! |
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08-24-16 | Orioles v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 10-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals -1.5) Washington is worth a look here on the run line Wednesday against the Orioles. The Nationals just lost the last two against the Orioles in Baltimore, but now get them at home. Most importantly, is the edge they have on the mound with Tanner Roark going up against Wade Miley. Roark leads all Nationals' starters with a 2.91 ERA (25 starts) and has been even better than that at home, where he has a 2.44 ERA in 13 outings. Roark also comes into this game on fire with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has yet to win with Baltimore since coming over in a trade with Seattle and has an ugly 9.94 ERA in his 4 starts with the Orioles. Washington's offense was held in check yesterday, but is still averaging 6.6 runs/game and hitting .357 over their last 7 games. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+142)! |
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08-23-16 | Astros v. Pirates +105 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* Interleague Game of the Month (Pirates +105) Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a home dog against the Astros on Tuesday. The Pirates are showing great value here due to the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight. I look for the streak to come to an end here, as the offense should come to life against Houston starter Joe Musgrove. After two really good starts, Musgrove was just rocked in his last outing at Baltimore, giving up 8 runs on 11 hits in just 5 1/3 innings. I'll take my chances here with Pittsburgh behind Ivan Nova, who was dominant in his lone outing at home since joining the Pirates, giving up just 3 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings. Pittsburgh is 13-1 in their last 14 home games with a rested bullpen that pitched 1 or fewer innings in their last game. Houston on the other hand is 3-10 in their last 13 after allowing 3 runs or less in 3 straight games. Give me the Pirates +105! |
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08-22-16 | Yankees -113 v. Mariners | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Yankees -113) New York is worth a look here as small road favorite against the Mariners on Monday. The Yankees might be out of the playoff picture, but they are playing some of their best baseball at the moment. New York is 14-5 over their last 19 games. This one here is all about the pitching matchup and primarily a fade of Mariners starter Cody Martin, who is being forced into a spot start due an injury to James Paxton. Martin started last Wednesday and lasted just 4 1/3 innings after giving up 2 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks. He's not going to go deep into this game and that's a big problem for the Mariners, who just to use up 5 relievers in yesterday game against the Angels. New York will send out Michael Pineda. His overall numbers aren't great, but he comes in with a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Those 3 starts came against the Indians, Reds Sox and Blue Jays, so he's clearly in great form right now. Give me the Yankees -113! |
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08-21-16 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB Situational Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Sunday's contest between the Rays and Rangers. Today's starters are Martin Perez and Drew Smyly. Both don't have great overall numbers for the season, but each comes into this matchup in prime form. Perez has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 2 starts, which has spanned 12 1/3 innings. Smyly has been even better, allowing only 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts, which covers 20 innings. The Rays offense hasn't been great at home and the Rangers are nearly as potent at the plate on the road. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-20-16 | Nationals -1.5 v. Braves | Top | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals -1.5) Washington is worth a look on the run line Saturday against the Braves. The Nationals have won 6 of their last 9 and are on fire at the plate, scoring 6.7 runs/game during this stretch. Even if they don't reach that mark on Saturday, there's a good chance they win here by at least 2 runs, as they have their ace Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer owns a 2.95 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 25 starts and has dominated the Braves in his last two starts in Atlanta, giving up just 4 runs on 8 hits with 16 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings. Braves will counter with Tyrell Jenkins, who has a 4.66 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 7 starts and was absolutely rocked in his last outing, giving up 7 runs in 4 2/3 of a 1-9 loss at Washington. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (-135)! |
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08-19-16 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) The books have set the total too high for Friday's NL East showdown between the Nationals and Braves. We have two starters who are both rolling at the moment. Washington's Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Roark owns a 1.77 ERA in 9 career starts against the Braves, while Teheran hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in 6 career home starts against the Nationals. UNDER is 22-9 in Washington's last 31 road games with a hot bullpen that as a WHIP under 1.000 in their last 5 games and 11-3 in Teheran's last 14 starts after a loss. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-18-16 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for Thursday's matchup between the Orioles and Astros. Houston will send out youngster Joe Musgrove, who has been sensational in his first two starts. Musgrove allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings at home against the Rangers and then allowed a mere 2 runs in 7 innings at Toronto. I'll take my chances on him shutting down another AL power tonight. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman. While he's 3-10 with a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts, he's been a completely different pitcher at home, where he's 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in 8 starts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 in Gausman's 8 starts this season with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-17-16 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's AL Central showdown between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit comes in struggling at the plate, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .241 as a team over their last 7 games. KC on the other hand is hitting just .248 as a team on the road this season. The Tigers will send out Anibal Sanchez. While he's coming off an ugly start at Texas, he was dominant in his previous two starts at home, giving up just 2 runs in 14 innings of work. Most importantly, he's got a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals. KC counters with the red-hot Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Ventura has also pitched very well against Detroit, posting a 3.28 ERA in 8 career starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-16-16 | Milwaukee Brewers - Game #2 v. Chicago Cubs - Game #2 -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Run Line Game of the Year (Cubs -1.5) *Game 2* The Cubs are showing great value here on the 1.5 run line Tuesday night in game 2 of their double-header against the Brewers. Chicago will have a massive edge on the mound in this one, as they send out Jason Hammel against Chase Anderson. Hammel owns a sensational 0.45 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 7-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 11 home starts. As for Anderson, he's 1-6 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 11 road starts. It's also worth noting that the Cubs are 30-16 against division opponents and outscoring their NL Central foes by an average of 2.1 runs/game. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-106)! |
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08-15-16 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB AL East Game of the Month (OVER 9.5) The books have set the mark to low for today's total between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Both offenses should have no problem putting up a big number in this one. New York sends out Chad Green, who has a 7.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 3 starts. Toronto counters with R.A. Dickey, who has a 4.48 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 24 starts. Dickey has also been torched in his last two outings at Yankees Stadium, giving up 9 runs on 12 hits and 4 walks in 14 1/3 innings. OVER is 4-0 in Green's last 4 starts and 4-1 in Dickey's last 5 starts. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-14-16 | Braves v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals -1.5) Washington is 7-3 over their last 10 games and have gone a dominant 31-15 inside the division this season. I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nationals winning by at least 2 runs. Washington will send out Tanner Roark, who is one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues. Roark owns a 2.92 ERA in 23 starts. He comes in with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a strong 1.89 ERA in 10 starts during day games this season. Atlanta will send out Tyrell Jenkins, who has an impressive 1.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, Jenkins has been very fortunate to have not given up more runs, considering he has 11 walks in 18 innings during those 3 starts. Washington has scored 19 runs on 31 hits in their last 3 games and I look for the offense to put up a big number here. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (-104)! |
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08-13-16 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 9.5) The books have set the total too low for today's showdown between the Royals and Twins. Both of these teams are poised for a big day at the plate given the starting pitching matchup. Kansas City will send out Dillon Gee, who has a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 8 start. Minnesota counters with Tyler Duffey, who has a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts and has an ugly 7.22 ERA in 10 starts at home. OVER is 15-3 in the Twins 18 home games this season when listed as a favorite of -110 or more, 12-2 in their last 14 with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings in the last 3 games and 17-2 in their last 19 after playing 5 or more games at home. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-12-16 | Angels v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-13 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high here for Friday's series matchup between the Indians and Angels. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.05 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Angels and is coming in off a strong outing in his last start. LA counters here with Tyler Skaggs, who has pitched well in his 3 starts since joining the rotation, giving up just 4 runs over 17 2/3 innings of work. UNDER is 11-3 in the Angels last 14 after playing 6 or more straight games on the road and 4-0 in Carrasco's last 4 starts against the AL West. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-11-16 | Angels v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Indians -1.5) I'll gladly back the Indians on the run line at home against the Angels. Cleveland has a huge edge on the mound in this one with Corey Kluber facing off against Jhoulys Chacin. Blubber owns a 2.95 ERA in 9 home starts and is working on a 2.05 ERA over his last 3 starts. Chacin owns a 6.35 ERA in 10 road starts and a 11.11 ERA in his last 3 outings. Kluber allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits in a complete game effort early this season at LA. Look for another dominant start here for the Indians ace on Thursday. Give me Cleveland -1.5 (-108)! |
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08-10-16 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8) The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Cardinals and Reds. This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Cincinnati will send out talented youngster Anthony Desclafani, who is 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Desclafani has owned the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 career starts. St Louis will counter here with Jamie Garcia, who has pitched his best at home this season and is coming off a great start at home against the Braves, allowing just 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 shutout innings. UNDNER is 14-4 Garcia's last 18 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 an 12-2 in his last 14 home starts as a favorite of -150 or more. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-09-16 | Tigers v. Mariners -110 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Mariners -110) Seattle is worth a look here Tuesday as a small home favorite against the Tigers. Seattle has a huge edge on the mound in this one. The Mariners will send out Wade LeBlanc, who is coming off back to back strong starts, both of which came at home. LeBlanc first limited the White Sox to just 3 runs over 7 innings and then held the Red Sox to 3 runs in 6 innings. Detroit counters here with Daniel Norris, who will be making his first start in over a month and just the fourth total this season. Norris hasn't pitched well in his previous 3 outings, posting a 5.25 ERA and 1.583 WHIP. He faced Seattle at home earlier this season and gave up 3 home runs in 5 innings and was not near as sharp in his lone road start this season at Cleveland. Give me the Mariners -110! |
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08-08-16 | Astros -123 v. Twins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB *Vegas Shop Money Top Play* (Astros -123) Houston has been in a bit of a slump here of late, as they have gone just 3-10 in their last 13. To their credit this stretch has come against some quality teams in the Yankees, Tigers, Blue Jays and Rangers. I believe it's created some great value here as Houston is a small road favorite in the series opener against the Twins. Even more so when you factor in that Minnesota is sending out the struggling Tyler Duffey, who has a atrocious 14.91 ERA and 2.795 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Duffey also owns an ugly 7.96 ERA in 9 home starts. Houston counters with Collin McHugh, who is coming off a strong start against the Blue Jays and owns a 3.04 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Twins. Give me the Astros -123! |
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08-07-16 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9.5) The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's series finale between the White Sox and Orioles. Baltimore will send out talented youngster Dylan Bundy, who has been getting better and better with each start. In his last outing, Bundy gave up just 1 hit in 7 innings. Chicago counters with veteran James Shields. He wasn't sharp in his last outing, but has been throwing the ball really well of late. Shields has given up 2 or less earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-06-16 | Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cardinals -1.5) This is a great price to catch St Louis on the run line, given how big of a massive favorite they are on the money line. The Cardinals have an excellent shot here of winning this one in a blowout. St Louis has a massive advantage on the mound with Carlos Martinez going up against Roberto Hernandez. Martinez has a 2.99 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 20 starts and has owned the Braves, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two starts against them. Atlanta is simply going with Hernandez because they don't have anything else to choose from. They originally were going to call up Aaron Blair from Triple-A, but he was scratched with a knee injury. Hernandez wasn't any good last year and this will be his first start at the major league level in 2016. He's also struggled in the minors, posting a 4.60 ERA in 16 starts. Give me the Cardinals -1.5 (-105). |
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08-05-16 | Angels v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 117 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Run Line Game of the Month (Mariners -1.5) Seattle is worth a look here on the run line Friday in the series opener against the Angels. With Tim Lincecum on the mound for LA, I would like the Mariners to win here by at least 2 runs with just about any starter they threw out. I absolutely love it with Felix Hernandez on the mound. Hernandez will be making his 4th start since returning from the DL and has got better with each start. I believe this is the outing that he comes out an absolutely dominates. Lincecum has a awful 8.49 ERA and 2.257 WHIP in 8 starts since being added to the Angels rotation and is trending even worse with a 11.92 ERA and 2.736 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Mariners -1.5 (+117). |
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08-04-16 | Dodgers -131 v. Rockies | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Dodgers -131) Los Angeles is worth a look here on the road against the Rockies. The Dodgers are going to come out motivated here to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two games of the series and I like their chances. Colorado starter Tyler Chatwood has double-digit wins, but has really struggled to pitch well at home, posting a 5.69 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in 10 home starts. Chatwood did allow just 1 run in 7 innings in his last start at New York, but is just 7-15 in his last 22 home starts after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last outing. Dodgers will counter with Kenta Maeda, who is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.006 WHIP in 10 road starts. That includes an outing at Colorado earlier this season, where he allowed just 3 hits with 8 strikeouts over 6 1/3 shutout innings. Maeda was also dominant in a later home start against the Rockies, giving up just 1 run on 5 hits with 9 strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the Dodgers -131! |
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08-03-16 | Cardinals -137 v. Reds | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cardinals -137) St Louis is worth a look here on Wednesday against the Reds. The Cardinals come into this game having lost 3 straight and that has created some value here with them in a game they are desperately going to want to win. St Louis also has a big edge on the mound here. The Cardinals send out Michael Wacha, who hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in 9 straight starts. More importantly, Wacha has owned the Reds in his career with a 1.96 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 10 starts. Cincinnati counters here with Cody Reed. The Reds have lost all 7 of his starts this season and it's not all that surprising given he has a 7.06 ERA and 1.794 WHIP in those 7 starts. Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 20-7 in Wacha's last 27 starts on 5 days of rest. Give me St Louis -137! |
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08-02-16 | A's v. Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB AL West Total of the Month (Under 8) The books have set to the total too high for tonight's matchup between the A's and Angels. The ball doesn't carry near as well at night in LA and we have two red-hot pitchers facing off in this one. Oakland's Sean Manaea has a 1.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while the Angel's Matt Shoemaker has a 2.91 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Shoemaker has also owned the A's in two starts against them this year, giving up just 1 earned run on 7 hits in 12 innings of work. Both of these teams have struggled offensively against right-handed starters. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-01-16 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER) The books have set the mark too high for Monday's showdown between the Padres and Brewers. The starting pitching matchup might not look like much on paper, but you have to keep in mind of where the game is being played. PETCO is one of the strongest pitcher parks int he big leagues and the wind will be blowing in from left. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson is more than capable of throwing a gem against this San Diego team that has been as active as any team during the trade deadline. Padres starter Jared Cosart came over in the Miami deal and this is a great chance for him to prove himself after spending most of the season in Triple A. He's facing a Milwaukee team that I could easily see not showing up for this game. The Brewers just played 10 straight at home, which they capped off with a 3-game sweep of division rival Pittsburgh. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-31-16 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) The books have set the total too high for today's showdown between the Angels and Red Sox. Each of the first two games in this series have gone UNDER the mark set by the books and I expect that trend to continue. Boston will send out knuckleballer Steven Wright, who is 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts. He did have a poor showing last time out, but that's going to happen for a knuckleballer. He's got a 2.13 ERA in 9 road starts and is primed for a bounce back outing. Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who was dominant in his first start of the season, allowing just 3 hits and walking only 1 in 7 shutout innings against the Royals. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-30-16 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB AL Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's total between the Red Sox and Angels. Boston will send out the underrated Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 19 starts, as well as a 2.32 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 9 road starts. After struggling in his first start with the Red Sox, Pomeranz was dominant in his last outing against Detroit. The Angels counter with Hector Santiago, who is on quite a roll at the moment. Santiago has a 2.60 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed a mere 5 runs total in his last 5 outings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-29-16 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have made a huge mistake here and set the total way too high for Friday's series opener between the Pirates and Brewers. We have two young starters on the mound in this one that are more than capable of shutting down the opposition. Milwaukee's Junior Guerra continues to be way undervalued due to pitching on a bad team. Guerra is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 15 starts and has an even better 2.42 ERA in 8 home starts. Pittsburgh counters with Steven Brault, who was sharp in his brief debut at St Louis, allowing just 1 earned run on 4 hits in 4 innings. While he might not go deep in this game, Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.92 ERA in 48 road games and will be rested after having yesterday off. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-28-16 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 7.5) The books have made a mistake here and set the bar too low for today's total between the Phillies and Braves. Both of these teams are coming off a strong showing at the plate yesterday. While Philadelphia only scored 1 run, they put up double-digit hits. Atlanta on the other hand scored 9 runs on 16 hits against the Twins. The key here is the pitching matchup. Neither starter is any good and both come in having struggled of late. Phillies send out Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA in 19 starts and has a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 outings. Braves counter with Matt Wisler, who is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA in 19 starts and has a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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07-27-16 | Rockies v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 9) Two future aces take the mound in Wednesday's contest between the Rockies and Orioles. Colorado will send out Jon Gray, who has been lights out of late, posting a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Baltimore counters with former top 5 pick Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a dominant outing in his home debut, allowing 0 earned runs on 5 hits and no walks in 5 innings of a 5-1 win over the Indians. UNDER is 31-19 in the Rockies last 50 road games and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts. UNDER is also 8-0 in the Orioles last 8 against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in their last 7 home games. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-26-16 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) I think we are getting big time value here on the UNDER at 9 runs in Tuesday's matchup between the Cubs and White Sox. We have two under the radar starters taking the mound in this one. The Cubs' Kyle Hendricks owns a sensational 2.23 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 18 starts and has not given up an earned run in 3 straight outings. White Sox's James Shields is 4-12 with a ugly 4.99 ERA in 20 starts, but has been throwing like an ace of late. Shields has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 outings. UNDER is 20-8 in Hendrick's last 28 starts in night games and 15-3 in the White Sox last 18 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-25-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cubs -1.5) Chicago is worth a look here on the run line in Monday's series opener against the cross-town rival White Sox. The Cubs will have their ace Jake Arrieta on the mound. After a streak of 3 bad starts, Arrieta bounced back with a dominant outing against the Mets in his last outing, giving up just 1 run on 5 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 innings. The White Sox will counter with Miguel Gonzalez, who is no where close to Arrieta and has a 5.86 ERA in 5 home starts. Cubs are 22-3 in Arrieta's last 25 road starts when listed as a favorite of -110 or more over the last 2 seasons and have won these starts by an average of 4 runs/game. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-106)! |
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07-24-16 | Phillies v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) I'll gladly back the UNDER here with the total sitting at 8 runs in Sunday's matchup between the Pirates and Phillies. We have two future aces facing off in this one, as Philadelphia sends out Vincent Velasquez against Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon. Both come into this game in great form. Velasquez has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Taillon has allowed just 1 run in each of his last two starts. UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 following a loss. Give me the UNDER 8! |