Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-18-18 | Rays v. Angels -139 | 8-3 | Loss | -139 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Angels -139) I'll take my chances here with the Angels taking care of business at home against the Rays on Friday. LA is poised to get back on track here after losing 3 in a row. The offense simply hasn't shown up in the 3-game skid, as LA has managed just 4 runs, scoring just 2 in their last 2. I think they can get something going here against Tampa's Blake Snell, who was just rocked for 5 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in 3 1/3 at Baltimore in his last start. Los Angeles will counter with the underrated Nick Tropeano, who has a strong 3.64 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 5 starts this season. Give me the Angels -139! |
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05-18-18 | Brewers v. Twins -142 | 8-3 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Twins -142) I'll take my chances here with the Twins at home Friday against the Brewers. This one comes down to the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the home team. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who owns a respectable 3.43 ERA and 1.209 WHIP in 8 starts. Milwaukee will counter with Brent Suter, who is a mere 1-3 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 7 starts. The Brewers have dropped 3 of his 4 road starts and he's not trending well with a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the Twins -142! |
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05-18-18 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) I'll take my chances here with the Indians and Astros staying UNDER the mark set here by the books. The starting pitching matchup might not feature the elite names that you would expect to see for a pitcher's duel, but we got two of the best in the game for 2018 with Cleveland's Mike Clevinger and Houston's Charlie Morton. Clevinger is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in 8 starts and has a 0.83 ERA in 3 road outings. Morton is 5-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in 8 starts and owns a 1.96 ERA in 4 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-17-18 | Orioles +155 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Orioles +155) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Orioles as a huge road dog against Boston on Thursday. I just think the price here is too good to pass up. I know the Red Sox are the better team, but the Orioles should have the edge on the mound in this one. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who has a 3.18 ERA in 8 starts overall and a 1.23 ERA over his last 3 and 1.80 ERA in 3 road starts. Boston counters with David Price, who hasn't pitched anywhere close to his contract in 2018. Price is 3-4 with a 4.89 ERA in 8 starts. He's got a 5.93 ERA and 1.683 WHIP at home and a 8.59 ERA and 1.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts. With Gausman on the mound, Baltimore has a more than good shot at winning this game if they can get to Price early. Give me the Orioles +155! |
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05-16-18 | Brewers -110 v. Diamondbacks | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
40* MLB PUBLIC MONEY LINE SLAUGHTER (Brewers -110) I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee in the series finale against the Diamondbacks. Arizona was able to snap a 6-game losing streak with a 2-1 win on Tuesday, but the offense remained in a massive slump, as they only totaled 3 hits. Even with what appears to be a big edge on the mound today with Matt Koch going up against Brandon Woodruff, I simply don't trust this Arizona offense. Oddsmakers appear to feel the same way, as the public is all over the Diamondbacks, yet the Brewers are the road favorites. Give me Milwaukee -110! |
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05-15-18 | Cubs -122 v. Braves | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Cubs -122) I'll take my chances here with the Cubs as a short road favorite against the Braves on Tuesday. Chicago will be motivated here to get the 3-game series in Atlanta started off with a win after losing the make-up game at home against the Braves yesterday. I also think we are seeing the Cubs undervalued with Yu Darvish on the mound. Darvish has not pitched anywhere close to expectations and the home fans were getting very restless with him. I think starting on the road is a big plus for Darvish and I look for him to pitch one of his better games here. I also think we could see Chicago's offense carry the load if things don't go well. Cubs have been swinging a hot bat of late and will be up against Mike Foltynewicz, who has mere 4.22 ERA and 1.453 WHIP at home. Give me Chicago -122! |
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05-14-18 | Rockies v. Padres -103 | 6-4 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT MONEY LINE BAILOUT (Padres -103) I'll take my chances here with the Padres at home against division rival Colorado. San Diego will be coming in with some confidence, as they took the final two games to salvage a split in their 4-game series with the Cardinals. As for Colorado, they have dropped 4 of their last 5 and are simply not swinging the bat well. The Rockets have scored 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 8 games. Hard to see them getting their offense going against one of the more underrated starters in the game in Padres' rookie Joey Lucchesi. In his first 8 big league starts, Lucchesi has posted a 2.98 ERA and 1.205 WHIP. He's also got a 2.67 ERA in 5 starts against division opponents and a 2.39 ERA in 5 home starts. Give me the Padres -103! |
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05-14-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Indians -1.5, -127) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland winning by at least 2 runs in Monday's series opener against the Tigers. The Indians will send out one of their top starters in Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off a complete game in his last start, where he allowed just 2 runs and struck out 14. Carrasco has been sensational on the road, going 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA in 4 starts, but the even bigger thing here is how he's owned Detroit of late. Carrasco is 7-1 over the last 3 seasons against the Tigers, which includes a dominant effort against them back in early April. Carrasco went the distance, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits. Detroit will send out Michael Fiers, who has a mere 4.73 ERA in 6 starts and owns an ugly 5.73 ERA and 1.818 WHIP in 2 home starts. Give me the Indians -1.5 (-127)! |
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05-13-18 | Cardinals v. Padres +119 | 3-5 | Win | 119 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT (Padres +119) I'll take my chances here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog in Sunday's series finale against the Cardinals. I'm think now is the time to sell on St Louis with their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina on the DL. Another big factor here is I think it's a good time to fade Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright. This will be Wainwright's first start since April 17th, as he's been on the DL with an elbow injury. I think the Cardinals are simply getting way too much respect in his first start back. Keep in mind it's not like he was lighting it up before he got hurt, as he had a 3.45 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in 3 starts. He's also coming off a 2017 season in which he posted a 5.11 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 23 starts. San Diego will throw out Clayton Richard, who is trending in the right direction. He allowed just 3 runs in 8 innings at home in his last start against the Nationals. His 3 best starts this season have all come at home and I expect a strong outing here. Give me the Padres +119! |
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05-13-18 | Mariners -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mariners -1.5, -113) I'll take my chances here with the Mariners to win by at least 2 runs in Sunday's showdown at Detroit. These two teams split a double-header on Saturday and the fact that they had to play 2 games should really benefit Seattle. That's because the Tigers are sending out Blaine Harvey to make his first ever big league start. There's a decent chance Harvey struggles to handle the nerves and underperformed. He's also expected to be capped at 65-70 pitches, so even if he does throw well, he likely won't be in long. We could get a big day offensively from Seattle and that should allow them to cruise behind one of the hottest pitchers in the game in James Paxton, who is coming off a no-hitter and has struck out 23 in 16 innings while not allowing a single run in his last 2 starts. Give me the Mariners -1.5 (-113)! |
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05-12-18 | Mariners v. Tigers +106 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Tigers +138) I'll take my chances here with Detroit in Game 2 of their double-header at home against the Mariners on Saturday. The Tigers went just 2-5 on their recent 7-game road trip, but did close out the trip swinging a hot bat. The Tigers scored 17 runs over their 3 games series at Texas and have recorded at least 9 hits in 8 straight games. I look for them to stay hot at the plate against the struggling Felix Hernandez, who despite a winning record at 4-3, owns an ugly 5.28 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in 8 starts. He's also got an ugly 6.86 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 4 road starts. On top of that, Detroit sends out arguably their best starter in Michael Fulmer, who has a 3.51 ERA overall and 2.14 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in 3 home starts. Give me the Tigers +106! |
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05-12-18 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (OVER 8) These two offenses are simply too good to continue to produce at the anemic level they have the past few games. The two teams have combined for a whopping 7 runs in the first 2 games of this series. I think that's all about to change. While the Nationals will send out one of their better starters in Stephen Strasburg, he's been up or down and owns a mere 3.52 ERA in 8 starts. He also gave up 5 runs on 6 hits in 6 1/3 innings at home agains Arizona earlier this season. On the flip side of this, the Nationals could eclipse this total on their own. The Diamondbacks are calling up Troy Scribner to make a start from the minors and he's got a less than impressive 5.68 ERA at Triple-A Reno this year. Take the OVER 8! |
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05-11-18 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT RUN LINE MASSACRE (Dodgers -1.5, +105) I'll take my chances here with the Dodgers winning here by at least 2 runs. I'm not buying that a simple change of scenery is going to help fix Cincinnati's new starter Matt Harvey. You have to think if the Mets had any hope that Harvey was going to return to being an ace they would have kept him around. Harvey posted a 7.87 ERA and 1.750 WHIP over his final 3 starts with New York and his last start came way back on 4/19. I look for the Dodgers to feast on Harvey here and get enough out of starter Kenta Maeda to secure a win by 2 or more. Give me LA -1.5 (+105)! |
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05-11-18 | Brewers v. Rockies -1.5 | 11-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Rockies -1.5, +150) I'll take my chances here with the Rockies on the -1.5 run line. I don't hate Colorado on the money line, I just think there's a great chance if they win that they do so by at least 2 runs. The Rockies haven't quite produced at the level offensively we are use to at home, but it's only a matter of time and tonight is as good as any for the offense to get going. It helps that the Brewers are sending out Brandon Woodruff for a spot start. Woodruff has only made 1 start and only lasted 3 2/3 innings. On the other hand, Colorado will give the ball to Chad Bettis, who is off to a surprising start. Bettis is 4-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 7 starts. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+150)! |
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05-11-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* AL CENTRAL RUN LINE OF THE MONTH (Indians -1.5, -123) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland cashing in on the -1.5 run line. The Indians snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 6-2 win on Wednesday and I look for them to carry over that momentum here with an easy win at home against the Royals. Cleveland will have a massive edge on the mound, which is why I'm not worried about them winning by at least 2 runs. The Indians will send out Trevor Bauer, who has a 2.52 ERA in 7 starts overall with a 1.91 ERA in 4 home starts. KC will counter with Jason Hammel, who has a 4.78 ERA in 7 starts overall, 5.47 ERA in 4 road outings and a 7.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting the Royals have lost all 7 of Hamels starts this season. Give me the Indians -1.5 (-123)! |
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05-10-18 | Twins +135 v. Angels | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Twins +135) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at this price. The Twins are red-hot right now, as they come in having won 5 straight. They are scorching at the plate. Minnesota has scored 5+ runs in 6 straight games and just outscored the Cardinals 13-1 in a 2-game set at St Louis. I look for that offense to keep it going against Angels starter Garrett Richards. It's been an up and down start to the season for Richards, who is 4-1 despite a not so great 3.93 ERA and 1.369 WHIP in 7 starts. Richards has really struggled at home, where he's got a 6.07 ERA and 4.24 WHIP. On the flip side of this, Minnesota's Jose Berrios comes in with a rock-solid 3.12 ERA and 0.885 WHIP in 4 road starts. Give me the Twins +135! |
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05-09-18 | Red Sox +140 v. Yankees | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Red Sox +140) We nearly cashed in a big profit on Boston yesterday as a near 2 to 1 dog. I think the value is with the Red Sox again on Wednesday. The Yankees are simply overpriced right now because of their recent run, which has saw them win 7 straight and 16 of their last 17. The thing is, Boston is every bit as talented and even more important for this contest, is they have the better starter going. Red Sox will send out the red-hot Rick Porcello, who is 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in 7 starts. Porcello has been even better on the road at home, as he's got a 1.85 ERA in 4 road starts. Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who despite a 4-2 record, owns a 4.61 ERA in 7 starts. He's also got a 5.00 ERA in 3 home outings and a 4.04 ERA in 15 career starts against the Red Sox, including an outing earlier this season where he gave up 6 runs in 5 innings. Give me the Red Sox +140! |
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05-09-18 | Mariners +114 v. Blue Jays | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Mariners +114) I'll take my chances here with Seattle carrying over the momentum from last night's no-hitter by starter James Paxton. That continued a dreadful stretch at the plate for the Blue Jays, who have scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games. The Mariners will send out Wade LeBlanc, who tossed 4 shutout innings in his first start of 2018. While LeBlanc might not go deep, Seattle's bullpen will be ready to go after not having to throw the last two days (off day on Monday). Not to mention the Mariners' offense should put up some runs in this one. Toronto is sending out Jaime Garcia, who owns a 6.60 ERA and 1.601 WHIP in 6 starts and it's been even worse of late, as he's got a 9.88 ERA and 1.903 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Mariners +114! |
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05-08-18 | Astros v. A's UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I'll take my chances here with the A's and Astros finishing UNDER the mark set here by the books. For me, it's all about the starting pitching matchup, which features two guys on top of their game early on in 2018. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who is 4-1 with a 3.73 ERA in 7 starts and owns a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Oakland will give the rock to Sean Manaea, who has a 1.63 ERA and 0.664 WHIP in 7 starts overall and a 0.73 ERA and 0.405 WHIP in 3 starts at home. Take the UNDER 8! |
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05-08-18 | Royals v. Orioles -155 | Top | 15-7 | Loss | -155 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Orioles -155) I'll take my chances here with the Orioles at home against the Royals. I think this line really tells you who the books think is going to win this game. Baltimore is more than a -150 favorite, despite coming in having lost 6 straight and the Royals entering having won 6 of their last 9. On top of that, Orioles starter Dylan Bundy has a allowed 15 runs on 18 hits in his last 2 starts. The key here is Bundy is too good to keep pitching like that and even with those two horrible starts, he has a 3.76 ERA in 7 outings this season. He absolutely owned the Orioles in his only 2 starts against them last year, allowing just 2 earned runs on 7 hits with 13 strikeouts in 14 innings. If any starter is going to struggle here, it's likely KC's Danny Duffy, who is 0-4 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 7 starts (all 7 losses by the Royals). Give me the Orioles -155! |
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05-07-18 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mets and Phillies going OVER the mark set here by the books. Both teams should be in store for a big day at the plate. New York is being forced to call up P.J. Conlon to start this game and this isn't one of the prized prospects in the Mets organization. Conlon is just 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA at Triple-A and it's hard seeing him excel in one of the more hitter-friendly parks in his big league debut. Cincinnati will send out Homer Bailey, who is 0-4 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in 7 starts. His last two outings, both at home, he's given up 9 runs on 13 hits (4 HRs) and has just 2 strikeouts in those 10 innings of work. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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05-06-18 | Pirates v. Brewers -120 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -120) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Brewers as a short home favorite against the Pirates on Sunday. Milwaukee has won 4 of 5, while the Pirates have now lost 5 of their last 6. More than anything the starting pitching matchup heavily favors the home team. Pittsburgh will send out Chad Kuhl, who has a 5.01 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in 6 starts and a much worse 7.04 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in 3 road starts. Milwaukee counters with Chase Anderson, who has a strong 3.38 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 7 starts this season and is 6-2 with a 2.86 ERA over 11 career starts against the Pirates. Give me the Brewers -120! |
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05-06-18 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 7) I'll take my chances here with Sunday's MLB action between the Phillies and Nationals staying UNDER the total set by the books. Not a lot of explanation needed for why we can expect a bad offensive day for Philadelphia. The Nationals will be sending out Max Scherzer, who has arguably been the best starter of 2018. Scherzer is 6-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in 7 starts. Most impressive is his 65 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings. Phillies will counter with Jake Arrieta, who is coming off a poor start, but was dominant in his first 3. Arrieta should bounce back with a strong showing and limit Washington to keep us under the mark. Give me the UNDER 7! |
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05-05-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Dodgers -1.5, -115) I'll take my chances here with the Dodgers winning by at least 2 runs in Saturday's showdown with the Padres. LA is playing with some confidence, as they are riding a 3-game winning streak and fresh off last night's no-hitter by committee. Their pitching was the difference on Friday and now it's the offenses turn to carry them to a comfortable win. The Dodgers should be able to do just that, as San Diego sends out Bryan Mitchell, who is 0-3 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.887 WHIP in 6 starts. Give me the Dodgers -1.5 (-115) |
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05-05-18 | Pirates -104 v. Brewers | 3-5 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT (Pirates -104) I'll take my chances here with the Pirates at basically a pick's against the Brewers on Saturday. I just think the price is too good to pass up with the edge Pittsburgh has on the mound. The Pirates will send out one of the more talented young starters in Jameson Taillon. Taillon's numbers aren't great, but he's really only how two bad starts and he was back to his old self in his most recent start, allowing just 3 runs in 6 innings at Washington. Milwaukee will counter with Jhoulys Chacin, who just don't have that great of stuff. He's been off more than he's been on, as he owns a 4.54 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in 7 starts. Give me the Pirates -104! |
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05-04-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Astros -1.5, -114) I'll gladly take my chances with the Astros on the -1.5 run line and feel we are getting an exceptional price on top of it. Houston is one of the best teams in the league, there's no denying that. They just lost 3 straight to close out their 4-game series against the Yankees and are still 20-13 on the season. Great teams respond in a big way after an embarrassing showing and I think we get the best the Astros have to offer in this one. Not only from an effort standpoint, but on the mound as well. Gerrit Cole has been nothing short of sensational to start out the 2018 season. Houston is 5-1 in Cole's 6 starts as he owns a 1.73 ERA and 0.792 WHIP. He's pitched 41 2/3 innings. He's only given up 25 hits and 8 walks, while striking out 61. Arizona is a good team, but are running out of arms and are being forced to send out Kris Medlen, who hasn't started a game in 2 years. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-114)! |
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05-04-18 | Pirates v. Brewers -104 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -104) I'll gladly take my chances here with Milwaukee at this price on their home field. The Brewers got their mojo back with a 3-game sweep of the Reds and will be fired up to play at home for the first time following a lengthy 9-game road trip. Pittsburgh was just swept in a 4-game series at Washington and 10 of their 15 losses this season have come on the road. I believe the Pirates are getting some love here because of how well starter Nick Kingham looked in his first big league start. Kingham allowed just 1 hits over 7 shutout innings against the Cardinals at home. Even with that performance Pittsburgh isn't committed to keeping him in the rotation and I think he's going to have a much tougher time on the road. On the flip side of this the Brewers send out Junior Guerra, who looks a lot like the guy that was the ace of this staff not too long ago. Guerra has a 0.82 ERA and 0.955 WHIP in 4 starts. Give me Milwaukee! |
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05-03-18 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB AFTERNOON TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) I'll take my chances here with the Yankees and Astros going UNDER the mark of 8 set by the books. This entire series has been a pitchers duel. Houston won the series opener 2-1 and New York won both game 2 and game 3 by a final of 4-0. With the Yankees sending out Masahiro Tanaka and the Astros countering with Lance McCullers Jr., my money is on the offenses remaining in a funk. Tanaka has been lights out in his last 2 starts, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits with 14 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings. McCullers has a 0.90 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-03-18 | Braves v. Mets OVER 9 | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9) I'll take my chances here with the Braves/Mets combining for at least 10 runs in Thursday's series finale. Atlanta might eclipse this number on their own. The Braves are averaging 5.6 runs/game in their last 7 (hitting .307 as a team). They are also average 7.0 runs in 9 day games this season. They will be facing Jason Vargas, who was downright awful in his first start of 2018, allowing 9 runs in 3 2/3 innings to the Padres in San Diego. I know the Mets' offense has been slumping, but I think they can get back on track here against Julio Teheran, who as a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 2 road starts. It's also ideal hitting conditions with temps in the low 90's and the wind blowing out to right center at 15+ mph. Give me the OVER 9! |
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05-02-18 | Yankees -122 v. Astros | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT I'll take my chances here with the Yankees as a short road favorite against the defending champs. After losing the opener in 2-1 defeat, New York bounced back and won 4-0 on Tuesday, defeating Justin Verlander. The Yankees are now 10-1 in their last 11 and it's hard to not like their chances here with their ace Luis Severino on the mound. Severino is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in 6 starts. Houston will send out Dallas Keuchel, who gets a ton of respect for what he's accomplished in the past, but he's just 1-4 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 6 starts this season. I look for Keuchel's struggles to continue and for NY to cash in a winning ticket. Give me the Yankees -122! |
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05-02-18 | Padres v. Giants -134 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
50* NL WEST MONEY LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Giants -134) I'll take my chances here with San Francisco cashing in a win at home against the Padres on Wednesday. The Giants have done a nice job starting out 15-15 given the injuries they have had to overcome. I just don't think they are getting near enough respect at home given how bad Padres' starter Clayton Richard has been. Richard is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in 6 starts and the advanced numbers suggest he's been as bad as those numbers would lead you to believe. As for Giants starter Derek Holland, the metrics suggest he's been unlucky to enter this game with a 5.76 ERA. Note he's made 2 starts at home, which has spanned 9 1/3 innings and he's only allowed 6 hits (0 HRs). I'm not saying he shuts out the Padres, but he should be in prime position to get the win with what the offense figures to provide him against Richard. Give me the Giants -134! |
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05-02-18 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD RUN LINE MASSACRE (Red Sox -1.5, -103) I'll take my chances here with Boston winning here by at least 2 runs. The Red Sox have one of the best offenses in baseball and will be going up against the struggling Danny Duffy, who is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in 6 starts (all 6 losses for KC). The other big key here is how poorly Duffy has pitched against the Red Sox in his career. Duffy is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.858 WHIP in 6 career starts against Boston. I know it's also been a tough start here for Red Sox starter Drew Pomeranz, but he's got the talent and should only get better as he's made just 2 starts so far. Either way the offense should carry the load here. Give me the Red Sox -1.5 (-103) |
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05-01-18 | Orioles v. Angels OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9) I'll take my chances here with Tuesday's matchup between the Angels and Orioles reaching at least 10 runs. This is about a favorable a pitching matchup for the offense you are going to find. Baltimore will send out Alex Cobb, who has a 13.11 ERA and 2.828 WHIP in 3 starts. Cobb has allowed at least 5 runs and 10 hits in all 5 outings. The bigger concern is that he's recorded just 4 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings, which tells me he's not right and chances are he's not going to keep struggling. Angles will counter with Nick Tropeano, who has a 4.67 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 3 starts. That's with throwing 6 2/3 shutout innings at KC against the horrible Royals offense. In his last 2 starts he's given up 9 runs on 11 hits and 5 walks in 10 2/3 innings of work. I think both teams have a shot of eclipsing this total on their own. Give me the OVER 9! |
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05-01-18 | White Sox v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -1.5, -110) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cardinals on the -1.5 run line. I think St Louis has an excellent shot of winning this game by a big margin. There will be a big premium on pitching in this game, as the ball figures to carry well at Busch Stadium tonight with temps in the mid 70's and the wind blowing out to left at close to 15 mph. Edge Cardinals, who will send out Michael Wacha, who has a 2.04 ERA in 3 home starts, where he's not allowed a single home run. White Sox counter with James Shields, who has a 5.97 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in 5 starts, which is pretty concerning given he's had the advantage of making 4 of his 5 starts at home. Look for the Cardinals offense to come to life and for St Louis to win this one comfortably. Give me the Cardinals -1.5 (-110)! |
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04-30-18 | Rays -116 v. Tigers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rays -116) I'll take my chances here with Tampa Bay as a short road favorite. The Rays are sitting at 12-14 overall, but come in playing extremely well. Tampa had won 8 straight prior to yesterday's 1-run loss at Boston. While they didn't win the game, the offense continued to stay red-hot at the plate. The Rays finished with 10 hits in the loss and have now recorded 10 or more hits in 8 straight games. To give you an idea of how impressive that is, the Tigers have just 10 games all season with 10 or more hits. Hard to not like the Rays chances of staying hot, as Detroit is sending out struggling veteran Jordan Zimmermann, who has an ugly 7.92 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 5 starts. Not a single one of those starts has been all that great. His best start was back on March 30th, when he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings. It's the only time he's competed 6 innings all season. Rays counter with Jacob Faria, who has a 6.33 ERA overall, but a 3.45 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me Tampa Bay -116! |
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04-30-18 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Cubs -1.5, +106) I'll take my chances here with Chicago winning by at least 2 runs in Monday's series opener against the Rockies. The Cubs starting pitching has finally came alive and they just put up an outstanding showing in their 4-game series against the Brewers at home over the weekend. Chicago swept the series 4-0 and Milwaukee scored a mere 2 runs over those 4 games. The Cubs are riding a huge wave of confidence and now it's ace Jon Lester's turn to get in on the action. Even if Lester doesn't live up to the performance of the last 4 starters, I think Chicago's offense is going to provide plenty of run support. Cubs are averaging 5.9 runs/game against left-handed starters this season (7 games) and will be facing struggling Rockies' south paw Kyle Freeland, who is 1-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 5 starts overall and 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in 3 road outings. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (+106)! |
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04-29-18 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Astros -1.5, -105) I'll take my chances here with Houston on the -1.5 run line at -105 instead of laying the near -220 on the ML. I think there's a really good chance that the Astros win this one by at least 2 runs. Oakland doesn't figure to push many runs across the board. The A's will be facing what has the be one of the early Cy Young favorites in Gerrit Cole, who has a 1.29 ERA and 0.771 WHIP with 49 strikeouts in 35 innings of work. Oakland will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has what looks to be a solid 2.25 ERA, but he's only made 2 starts and wasn't nearly as effective on the road against the Rangers as he was at home against a poor White Sox offense. Look for the Astros' loaded lineup to score early an often. Give me Houston -1.5 (-105)! |
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04-29-18 | Rays v. Red Sox -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Red Sox -1.5, -120) I'll take my chances here with Boston not only snapping the Rays 8-game winning streak, but doing so with a win by at least 2 runs. Tampa Bay had hoped Ryan Yarbough was going to be able to start today, but he ended up coming in in relief yesterday and the Rays are going to have to turn to Matt Andriese, who is being moved from the pen to make his first start of 2018. Note that Andriese made 3 starts against the Red Sox last year and allowed 12 runs on 16 hits and 6 walks in 11 innings of work. Overall he's got a 6.00 ERA and 1.424 WHIP in 7 career starts against Boston (all coming since 2015). Red Sox will counter with the red-hot Rick Porcello, who is 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.827 WHIP in 5 starts. Give me Boston -1.5 (-120)! |
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04-28-18 | Mets v. Padres -127 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE SLAUGHTER (Padres -127) I'll take my chances here with the Padres coming away with a win at home against the Mets on Saturday. San Diego lost the opener on Friday, but a lot of that had to do with they were up against NY's ace in deGrom. This time they will be facing Jason Vargas, who is making his first start of 2018. Vargas had to miss time while his non-throwing hand healed. He's a decent starter when he's going well, but I just don't seem him being in top form in his first outing. On the flip side of this, I really like Padres stater Joey Lucchesi. He's got a 2.70 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 5 starts and has struck out 21 over his last 17 innings of work. Give me San Diego -127! |
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04-28-18 | Tigers v. Orioles -1.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Orioles -1.5, +155) I'll take my chances here with Baltimore building on yesterday's 6-0 win over the Tigers and try to cash in a big profit on the -1.5 run line. Hard to not like the Orioles chances of winning here by at least 2 runs if they are going to come out on top. Detroit's offense has gone cold, as they have scored 3 runs in their last 3 games combined, failing to score at all in each of their last 2. Baltimore has a decent starter going here in Andrew Cashner, who should be able to keep them in check and the Orioles offense should be able to get to Tigers starter Francisco Liriano, who is a mere 3-5 with a 4.10 ERA against Baltimore in his career. That includes a start a couple weeks back where he only lasted 5 innings. Give me the Orioles -1.5 (+155) |
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04-27-18 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances here with the Rays and Red Sox finishing UNDER the mark set by the books. I think we have a real pitchers matchup in this one. Tampa will send out Blake Snell, who is 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.988 HWIP in 5 starts, which includes an outing agains these Red Sox where he allowed just 3 hits over 5 2/3 shutout innings. Boston will counter with Drew Pomeranz, who will be making just his second start of 2018. The first wasn't great, as he lasted just 3 2/3 innings after allowing 3 runs, but he did have 7 strikeouts and we know the talent is there from how well he pitched a year ago. I think he shines here at home against a relatively weak Tampa offense. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-27-18 | Cardinals v. Pirates +120 | 5-6 | Win | 120 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Pirates +120) I'll take my chances here with Pittsburgh as a home dog against the Cardinals in Friday's NL Central matchup. St Louis is getting way too much respect here on the road. I'll be the first to admit that I wasn't giving the pIrates much of a shot of being any good this year, but they have been playing extremely well to start things out, especially at home where they are scoring 5.6 runs/game and own an impressive .280 team average with a .357 team OBP. Look for Pittsburgh to get after Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas, whose benefited from making 2 starts against the Reds. In his two starts against the Reds he allowed 2 runs in 14 innings. In his 2 other starters he allowed 8 runs on 15 hits in 12 innings. Give me the Pirates +120! |
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04-26-18 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Yankees -1.5, -105) I'll take my chances here with the Yankees on the run line against the Twins at home. These two teams are headed in opposite directions right now. Minnesota has lost 6 straight and have to be excited about ending this road trip. Twins haven't played a home game since 4/12. New York on the other hand has won 5 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10. They are scoring runs in bunches and figure to have a great shot at putting up a big number here against Minnesota starter Kyle Gibson. Gibson has a 6.00 ERA and 1.668 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 1-4 with a 9.31 ERA and 1.759 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Yankees. Give me New York -1.5 (-105)! |
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04-25-18 | A's v. Rangers -101 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Rangers -101) I'll take my chances here with the Rangers at basically a pick'em at home against the A's on Wednesday. Oakland is getting all kinds of respect from the books right now, as they have won 4 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. As good as the A's have been during this stretch, I simply don't trust starter Kendall Graveman right now. The lone loss for Oakland during this 8-1 run was a start by Graveman, where he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings at home to the Red Sox. Graveman has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his 5 starts this season and has already surrendered 7 home runs. Give me the Rangers -101! |
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04-25-18 | Rays +102 v. Orioles | 8-4 | Win | 102 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Rays +102) I'll take my chances here with Tampa Bay in Wednesday's contest at Baltimore. This is really a fade of Orioles starter Alex Cobb, who has been awful in his first 2 starts since joining the rotation on 4/14. Cobb has allowed 15 runs on 20 hits with just 4 strikeouts in 7 innings of work. He failed to complete 4 innings in either start and allowed at least 7 runs and 10 hits in each outing. I believe the reason this line is what it is, is because Rays starter Jacob Faria has a 5.82 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in his 4 starts. However, Faria has been really good in 3 of the 4 outings, as his numbers are being skewed by 1 bad outing at Boston, where he gave up 8 runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. In his 2 starts since that bad outing, he's allowed just 2 runs on 7 hits with 13 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings of work. Give me the Rays +102! |
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04-24-18 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 130 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -1.5, +130) I'll gladly take my chances here with Colorado winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Padres on Tuesday. San Diego laid it on the Rockies in the series opener last night, scoring 13 runs on 16 hits in a 8-run blowout win. I look for Colorado to return the favor with a similar style of win tonight. I just think the price is right on the run line given that Padres' starter Eric Lauer is making his major league debut in this contest. There's probably no worse park to make your debut than Coors Field, where the ball flies out of the park. I look for the nerves to lead to a shaky outing and a big offensive night for Colorado. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+130)! |
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04-24-18 | Mets v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals and Mets finishing UNDER the total set here by the books. We have to solid starting pitchers taking the mound in a pitcher's park. New York will give the ball to Zack Wheeler, who allowed just 4 runs on 9 hits in 13 innings over his first 2 starts. St Louis will counter with Luke Weaver, who has pitched much better than his 4.22 ERA would suggest. Most of that damage to Weaver's ERA came in one start at Chicago, where he gave up 6 runs on 9 hits in 4 innings. Prior to that he'd allowed just 4 runs on 12 hits in 17 1/3 innings over 3 starts. Weaver was also fantastic in his lone start at home, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits with 7 K's in 6 1/3 innings against a really good Diamondbacks offense. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-23-18 | Mariners -138 v. White Sox | 4-10 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mariners -138) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Mariners in Monday's series opener against the White Sox. Seattle got their offense going over the weekend in Texas, as they took 2 of 3 against the Rangers, while scoring 19 runs on 38 hits in the series. I look for the offense to stay hot against one of baseball's worst starters early on in 2018. That would be Chicago's Miguel Gonzalez, who is 0-3 with a ridiculously bad 12.41 ERA and 2.433 WHIP in 3 starts. Gonzalez has allowed 18 runs on 24 hits (4 HRs) in just 12 1/3 innings of work. Not only do I see a big day offensively for Seattle, but I look for Mariners' starter Mike Leake to keep the White Sox offense in check. Leake's only real poor outing of the season came against a potent Astros lineup. He will be facing a Chicago offense that scored a whopping 2 runs while getting swept in their 3-game series against the Astros over the weekend. Give me the Mariners -138! |
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04-23-18 | A's -136 v. Rangers | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (A's -136) I'll take my chances here with Oakland in Monday's series opener at Texas. The A's just 2 of 3 against the Red Sox at home and are now 6-1 over their last 7 games. During this stretch Oakland is averaging 6.0 runs/game and are hitting .279 with a .356 OBP. It's not just the offense that has caught fire, the A's re only giving up 3.3 runs/game during this run, as their pitching staff has held opponents to a .202 average with a mere .253 OBP. I expect more of the same with today's starting pitching matchup. The A's will send out Trevor Cahill, who tossed 7 scoreless innings in his 2018 debut last week. Texas on the other hand will send out Matt Moore, who is 0-3 with a 8.76 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in 3 home starts (allowed 13 runs on 19 hits and 7 walks in 12 1/3 innings). Give me the A's -136! |
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04-22-18 | Cubs -127 v. Rockies | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Cubs -127) I'll take my chances here with the Cubs as a small road favorite on Sunday. Chicago and Colorado have split the first two games of the series, but I see a big advantage here on the mound for the Cubs in this one. Chicago will send out Jose Quintana, while the Rockies will give the rock to German Marquez. While neither starter has pitched all that great so far in 2018, we know what kind of talent Quintana is. Look for Quintana to deliver a strong outing in this one, while the Cubs offense provides plenty of run support to secure the win. Give me Chicago -127! |
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04-22-18 | Marlins v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 120 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -1.5, +120) I'll gladly take my chances here with Milwaukee winning by at least 2 runs on Sunday, as they will close out their 4-game set with the Marlins. The Brewers have absolutely dominated the series to this point, taking each of the first 3 games. They have simply had their way with Miami's pitching staff, scoring 26 runs on 31 hits. Hard to not see the offense not putting up a big number here, as the Marlins will send out Caleb Smith, who has a 6.90 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 4 starts. As bad as that is, Smith has been even worse in his 2 road outings, posting a 13.51 ERA and 3.377 WHIP. Milwaukee will counter with the red hot Junior Guerra, who has a 0.82 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his first two starts of 2018. Give me the Brewers -1.5 (+120)! |
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04-21-18 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8 | 1-10 | Loss | -126 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) I'll take my chances here with the Twins and Rays going UNDER the mark set by the books. These two teams combined for 15 runs on Friday, but that was with a couple of struggling starters on the mound in Lance Lynn and Chris Archer. It's a different story in this one. Minnesota will give the ball to Kyle Gibson, who has a 3.68 ERA in 3 starts and the Rays will counter with Blake Snell, who has a 2.95 ERA in 4 starts. UNDER is 4-0-1 in Gibson's last 5 starts on the road and 6-2-1 in the Twins last 9 vs a left-handed starter. UNDER is also 6-2 in the Rays last 8 vs a right handed starter. Give me the UDNER 8! |
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04-21-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
50* NL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cardinals -1.5, -115) I'll take my chances here with St Louis winning by at least 2 runs over the Reds on Saturday. The Cardinals won the series opener on Friday 4-2 and are now 6-1 over their last 7 games. Look for St. Louis to keep rolling, as they have a massive edge on the mound in this one. The Cardinals will send out Carlos Martines against the Reds' Homer Bailey. Martinez has been light's out in his last 3 starts, posting a sensational 0.42 ERA and 0.938 WHIP with 25 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings of work. Cincinnati has lost all 4 of Bailey's starts this season and he's got a 4.07 ERA over this last 3 and is 6-14 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.597 WHIP in 24 career starts against St Louis. Give me the Cardinals -1.5 (-115) |
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04-20-18 | Marlins v. Brewers OVER 9 | 0-8 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9) I'll gladly take my chances with Friday's game between the Brewers and Marlins going over the mark set by the books. Miami isn't a great offensive team, but they should be able to push across a few more runs than normal against the struggling Jhoulys Chacin of the Brewers. Chacin has posted a 5.60 ERA and 1.924 WHIP in 4 starts and is averaging just 4.4 innings/start. If by chance Chacin pitches well, I still think we got a great shot of going over, as I could see Milwaukee eclipsing this total on their own. The Brewers did just that last night, as they put up 12 runs on 13 hits. Hard to not see another big night at the plate given Miami is sending out Trevor Richards, who has a 4.70 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in 3 starts. He also struggles to pitch deep in games (avg. 5.1 innings), which is worth noting given the Marlins bullpen has posted a 9.20 ERA and 1.871 WHIP in 6 road games this season. Give me the OVER! |
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04-20-18 | Mariners v. Rangers -115 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
50* AL WEST GAME OF THE MONTH (Rangers -115) I'll take my chances here with Texas a short home favorite. It hasn't been the start to the season the Rangers were expecting, but they have won 3 of their last 5 and will have the edge on the mound in this one. Seattle will send out Felix Hernandez, who is simply not the same dominant ace of seasons past. Hernandez has a 5.49 ERA in 4 starts and a 10.24 ERA in two road outings. Texas will give the rock to Mike Minor, who has pitched much better than his 4.59 ERA would suggest. Minor has a sensational 0.957 WHIP in 3 starts. He's lived up to his great WHIP at home, where he has a 2.53 ERA in 2 starts. Give me the Rangers -115! |
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04-19-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 125 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
50* NL RUN LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH (Diamondbacks -1.5, +125) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Diamondbacks on the run line Thursday. Arizona suffered a rare home loss in a 4-3 loss to the Giants on Wednesday. It was only the second loss at Chase Field for the Diamondbacks, who are 6-2 at home. I expect them to bounce back in a big way here with one of their best starters on the mound. Arizona will send out Zack Greinke who has a 5.29 ERA in 3 starts, but was sensational in his lone start at home, posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.882 WHIP. That's no shocker, as Greinke went 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA in 18 home starts a year ago. Greinke should get some run support here, as the Giants send out Ty Blach, who is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in 4 starts. Blach made one start against the Diamondbacks last year (at Arizona) and allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings of work. Give me the Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)! |
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04-19-18 | Pirates v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 7.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pirates and Phillies staying UNDER the mark set here by the books. I just don't see either team generating much offense in this one. Pittsburgh will send out Jameson Taillon, who has looked like a legit Cy Young Candidate in his first 3 starts, posting a 0.89 ERA and 0.689 WHIP, which includes a complete game shutout against the Reds back on 4/8. Philadelphia will send out one of their key free agent signings in Jake Arrieta, who after a shaky first start was much better the second time around, allowing just 2 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings at Tampa Bay. Adding to the value here is mother nature figures to help out both starters. Temps will be in the 40's with the wind blowing straight in from left field at close to 20 mph. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-18-18 | Red Sox v. Angels -118 | 9-0 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
40* MLB LATE NIGHT SLAUGHTER (Angels -118) I'll take my chances here with the Angels bouncing back from that ugly loss in yesterday's series opener against the Red Sox. I just feel we are getting some big time value here with LA, who had won 7 straight before last night's defeat. Boston will send out Rick Porcello, who is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 3 starts. As impressive as that is, Porcello is likely to implode at any moment. Keep in mind he was 11-17 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 33 starts last year. The even bigger key here is the struggles Porcello has had against the Angels. HE's 6-7 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.391 WHIP in 16 career starts against LA. I know the Angels offense was non-existent last night, but they are still scoring 6.1 runs/game and should rebound here. Give me Los Angeles -118! |
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04-18-18 | Nationals v. Mets -106 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Mets -106) I'll take my chances here with the Mets as a short home favorite in their season finale against AL East rival Washington. The Nationals pulled off an epic comeback to win the series opener 8-6 on Monday and as expected the Mets struggled to bounce from that crushing defeat and lost Game 2 5-2. Now it's time to get back on track and I like New York's chances of avoiding the sweep. The Mets will send out lefty Steven Matz, who despite not pitching deep in games has yet to allow more than 3 runs in a start. His best outing came at Washington back on 4/7 as he held the Nationals to just 1 unearned run on 3 hits with 8 K's in 5 innings. Matz now owns a 1.85 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 career starts against Washington. A big reason for that is the Nats struggles against left-handed starters. Washington is hitting .239 as a team on the season, but that drops to a mere .190 against left-handed starters. Give me the Mets -106! |
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04-17-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances here with the Giants and Diamondbacks staying well below the mark set here by the books. I just feel there's too much value to pass up with the total sitting at 8 runs given the starting pitching matchup we have here. San Francisco will send out Johnny Cueto, who returns from an ankle injury. It's back to full strength and given it wasn't an arm related issue, I see no reason not to expect him to return to the form that saw him post a 0.69 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in his first 2 starts. On the flip side of this, I don't see the Giants scoring much either. For starters SF doesn't have a great offense and they are going up against Pat Corbin, who is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in 3 starts. What really stands out is the 29 strikeouts he's recorded in 18 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-17-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Game 1 of this NL Central rivalry going UNDER the mark set by the books. It's all about the conditions when it comes to betting the total in Chicago's home games. Today is going to favor the pitchers, as temps will be in the 30's with the wind blowing straight in from center. I also like the pitching matchup. St Louis will send out Adam Wainwright, who is coming off a great start against the Brewers and allowed just 4 runs over 19 2/3 innings in his 3 starts against the Cubs last year. Chicago countess with Tyler Chatwood, who I think is going to have a great season now that he's not pitching half his games at Coors Field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-17-18 | Rangers v. Rays -1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS RUN LINE MASSACRE (Rays -1.5, +135) I cashed in with the Rays on the run line yesterday against the Rangers and will fire right back with Tampa in a similar spot today. Texas is known for having a great offense, but right now it's trending in the wrong direction. The Rangers have scored 4 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 8 games. A stretch in which they have managed 10 or more hits in a single game just once. The Rays have had double-digit hits back-to-back games and 5 of their last 8. I think there's a good chance Tampa's offense keeps it going here against the Rangers Matt Moore, who is 0-3 with a 8.76 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Rays -1.5 (+135)! |
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04-16-18 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL BLOWOUT (OVER 8) I'll take my chances here with the Braves and Phillies combining for more than 8 runs. I know we have a couple of decent starters here in Aaron Nola and Julio Teheran, but these are also two really good offenses. The Phillies are averaging 5.6 runs/game and the Braves are at 5.9 runs/game. Runs have been plentiful in Atlanta's 6 home games, as the average combined score has by 12.5 runs. With close to a 20 mph wind blowing straight out to left field, I think we fly over the mark set by the books. Give me the OVER 8! |
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04-15-18 | A's -112 v. Mariners | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE SLAUGHTER (A's -112) The fact that the A's (5-10) are favored on the road here against the Marines (8-4), who have won 4 straight and have a big name on the mound in Felix Hernandez, won't have the public rushing to back Seattle. Any time a line seems this off, the books are typically on to something and I'm willing to roll the dice here with Oakland. The A's will send out Sean Manaea, who despite a 1-2 record has a 1.74 ERA and 0.774 WHIP in 3 starts. Hernandez pitched great in his first start against the Indians, but has allowed 11 runs on 12 hits (4 HRs) and 6 walks in his last 2 starts. I think Oakland has a bigger edge on the mound than most think here and should win this one rather easily. Give me the A's -112! |
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04-14-18 | Phillies v. Rays -123 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rays -123) I'll take my chances here with the Rays as a short home favorite with their ace Chris Archer on the mound. Archer has already made 3 starts and has yet to have that breakout performance. He has shown some flashes of breaking out, as he's got 16 strikeouts in his last 10 2/3 innings of work. Phillies will counter with Jake Arrieta, who I think is getting a little too much love. Arrieta wasn't horrible in his first start, but he lasted just 4 innings and isn't likely to pitch deep in this one. Give me the Rays -123! |
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04-13-18 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Astros -1.5, -118) I'll gladly take my chances with Houston not only winning here at home against the Rangers, but winning by at least 2 runs. The Astros should come out with a chip on their shoulder after dropping their last 2 games at Minnesota and they have just the guy to get them back on track. Gerrit Cole has looked like a Cy Young candidate in his first 2 starts. Cole has allowed just 1 run on 7 hits with 22 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. One of those starts came against these Rangers, so it would be no surprise to see him dominate again. On the flip side, this is a Houston offense that is one of the toughest in baseball against left-handed starters and I look for them to lay a big number on the board here against Cole Hamels. Give me the Astros -1.5 (-118)! |
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04-13-18 | Rockies v. Nationals OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (OVER 9) I'll take my chances here with Friday's MLB action between the Rockies and Nationals flying OVER the total set here by the books. We have two really good offensive teams, who are capable of eclipsing this mark on their own. I expect both to contribute here, as this isn't a great pitching matchup with the Nationals sending out Tanner Roark against the Rockies Kyle Freeland. Both of these starters served up 2 homers in their last start and both figure to have a hard time keeping it in the park tonight, as the wind will be blowing straight out to center at more than 15 mph. Give me the OVER 9! |
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04-13-18 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Reds | 5-3 | Win | 110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Cardinals -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with St Louis winning this game by at least 2 runs. The Cardinals will send out one of the top young starters in the game in Luke Weaver. He's lived up to the hype early on, as he's got a 1.59 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in his first 2 starts. He faced the Reds twice last year and posted a 1.64 ERA, allowing just 3 runs on 7 hits in 11 innings of work, while strikeout 13. Cincinnati's pitching has been atrocious. Opponents are scoring 6.5 runs/game and the bullpen has a 7.16 ERA on the season. With the Cardinals off a 13-run 12-hit outburst on Thursday, I look for them to stay hot at the plate and cruise to a comfortable win here. Give me St Louis -1.5 (+110). |
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04-12-18 | Rockies v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nationals -1.5, +125) I'll take my chances here with the Nationals on the -1.5 run line. Washington is going to be motivated here to get this series started off on the right track. While they just won 2 of 3 over Atlanta, they dropped the finale and are still just 6-6 on the season. On the flip side of this, I think we could see a flat Rockies team on Thursday. They had to travel to Washington from Colorado following last night's emotional game against the Padres, which saw players ejected. One of which was star 3B Nolan Arenado. He's likely to be suspended for this game and there's still questions to whether Charlie Blackmon can play with his quad. On top of all that, I think the Nationals have a clear-cut edge on the mound with Gio Gonzalez facing off against Chad Bettis. Gonzalez has a 1.59 ERA in his first 2 starts of 2018 and if you remember back to last season, he had a 2.76 ERA in 15 home starts and a 1.62 ERA in the month of April. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+125)! |
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04-11-18 | Blue Jays +104 v. Orioles | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Blue Jays +104) I believe the price is right here to back Toronto. Not only are these two teams headed in different directions to start the season, today's starters mimic the direction their team is headed. Toronto is 8-4 and will send out Marco Estrada, who has a 2.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts, both of which the Blue Jays won. Baltimore is 4-8 and will send out Kevin Gausman, who has a 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in 2 starts. Gausman gets a lot of love for how he finished last year, but given his current form I think he's a solid fade option early and I'll gladly go against him here. Give me the Blue Jays +104! |
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04-11-18 | Mariners -127 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB AFTERNOON KNOCKOUT (Mariners -127) I'll take my chances here with Seattle laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Royals. The Mariners will send out James Paxton, who bounced back from a poor first start and pitched well at Minnesota. I like his chances of taking another big step forward here against Kansas City, as the Royals offense has scored 3 or fewer in all but 2 games. On the flip side of this, I look for Seattle's offense to provide more than enough run support. KC will send out Danny Duffy, who has walked 5 and surrendered 3 home runs in 9 2/3 innings of work so far this season. He's clearly not on his game and with the wind blowing out to left center at close to 20 mph, he likely doesn't last long here. Give me the Mariners -127! |
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04-10-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 130 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Cardinals -1.5, +130) I'll take my chances here with St. Louis winning by at least 2 runs in Tuesday's game against Milwaukee. The Cardinals will send out their ace in Carlos Martinez, who in his last start allowed just 4 hits over 8 1/3 shutout innings against these Brewers. That wasn't a surprise at all, as Martinez owns a 2.35 ERA over 13 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers will send out Brent Suter, who hasn't been very good early on and owns a 7.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Cardinals. Give me St Louis -1.5 (+130)! |
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04-10-18 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 8) I'll take my chances here with this game staying well below the number set by the books. The Mets will send out Jacob deGrom against a bad Miami offense. The key here being that I think the Marlins Caleb Smith can keep New York's offense in check. Smith has a 4.32 ERA and 1.801 WHIP in 2 starts, but has shown some promising signs with 12 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings. He was also much better at home and this is a Met's lineup that struggles against lefties. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-10-18 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 111 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Phillies -1.5, +111) I'll take my chances with the Phillies winning by 2+ runs at home against the Reds. Philadelphia is 3-1 at home in the early going, while Cincinnati has gone just 1-4 on the road. The Phillies come in averaging 5.3 runs game, a full 2-runs better than the 3.3 average for the Reds. Philadelphia will also have a massive edge on the mound in this one with emerging superstar Aaron Nola against over-hill veteran Homer Bailey. Nola has a 2.61 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 2 starts, while Bailey has a 4.22 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in his 2 outings. Give me the Phillies -1.5 (+111)! |
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04-09-18 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE SLAUGHTER (Rockies -1.5, +108) I'll gladly take my chances here with Colorado on the run line. The Rockies should have no problem winning here by at least 2 runs. Colorado will have their ace Jon Gray on the mound, who in his last start allowed just 4 hits over 7 shutout innings against these Padres. Gray now owns a 2.15 ERA and 0.896 WHIP in 11 career starts against San Diego. Padres will send out Clayton Richard, who allowed 5 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in his last start, which was against Colorado. That start came at home. Richard figures to be in some serious trouble here, as he's 1-5 with a 8.82 ERA ain 9 starts at Coors Field. Give me the Rockies -1.5 (+108)! |
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04-09-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -138 | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE MASSACRE (Cardinals -138) I'll take my chances on St Louis here in Monday's series opener against the Brewers. Milwaukee just went 2-5 over a 7-game homestand and the offense has been a big reason for their struggles. The Brewers were just shutout for the 3rd time in 5 games. I just don't see them being able to score enough here to get the win over the Cardinals. St Louis should be able to get their offense going against Brewers starter Jhoulys Chacin, who has posted a 7.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 2 starts. The most recent coming at home against these Cardinals, which St. Louis won 6-0. Give me the Cardinals -138! |
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04-08-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 8.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Cubs/Brewers going UNDER the total set by the books. Both of these NL Central teams have really struggled at the plate in the early going. Chicago is hitting a mere .223 as a team and the Brewers aren't much better with a .245 team average. I don't see either offense getting on track in this one, as we have a great pitching matchup here with the Cubs sending out Jose Quintana against the Brewers Chase Anderson. Quintana has a 0.90 ERA and 0.733 WHIP in 4 career starts against Milwaukee, while Anderson has allowed just 5 runs over 15 innings in his two home starts against the Cubs and has allowed 3 or fewer in 6 of his 7 starts against Chicago. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-07-18 | Diamondbacks +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Diamondbacks +100) I'll gladly take my chances here with Arizona at basically a pick'em on the road against the Cardinals. This comes down to starting pitching, where I think the Diamondbacks have a massive edge. Arizona will send out Zack Greinke, who has absolutely owned the Cardinals in his career. Greinke is 12-4 with a 3.17 ERA in 18 career starts vs St Louis. He's also coming off a sensational first start of 2018, as he allowed just 1 run in 5 2/3 with 9 strikeouts against the Rockies. Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha, who looked awful in his first start. Wacha gave up 4 runs on 5 hits and walked 2 with only 2 strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings. Give me the Diamondbacks +100! |
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04-07-18 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8 | 11-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) I'll take my chances with Saturday's MLB total between the Mariners and Twins finishing well below the mark set by the books. The conditions here are going to heavily favor today's starters, as the temperature is expected to be below freezing for the duration of this one. That's going to make it tough for either team to push across many runs and we do have a couple of starters here coming off strong first starts. Seattle's Mike Leake allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings against the Indians, while Minnesota's Jose Berrios tossed a complete game shutout on the road against the Orioles. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-06-18 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +112 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* MLB PUBLIC MONEY LINE SLAUGHTER (Rangers +112) I'll take my chances here with Texas as a home dog against the Blue Jays. If you look at just the numbers for Rangers starter Matt Moore in his first outing, it doesn't look good. He lasted just 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits. However, that came against the Astros, who might hit lefties better than any team in the league. There were also some encouraging signs from Moore, who didn't walk a batter and had 6 strikeouts. Toronto will counter with Marco Estrada, who I think is a great guy to fade on the road. Estrada had a 5.43 ERA in 19 road starts last year and owns a 4.12 ERA on the road compared to a 3.60 ERA at home over the last 3 seasons. Give me the Rangers +112! |
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04-06-18 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
50* AL EAST RUN LINE OF THE MONTH (Yankees -1.5, +120) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Yankees winning by at least 2 runs at home against the Orioles. Baltimore was able to rally late for a win in the series opener on Thursday behind a strong outing from starter Andrew Cashner. I don't see them getting that same kind of production from today's starter Kevin Gausman, who didn't look good at all in his first outing. Gausman was shelled for 6 runs on 7 hits (3 HRs) in just 4 innings at home against the Twins. It's also worth noting that Gausman made 5 starts against the Yankees last year and posted an awful 9.27 ERA. New York will counter with veteran C.C. Sabathia, who was sharp in his first outing at Toronto, limiting the Blue Jays to just 1 earned run on 5 hits in 5 innings. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (+120)! |
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04-05-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -115) I cashed in on the Cardinals yesterday in an easy 6-0 win at Milwaukee and will gladly back St Louis again on Thursday in what will be their home opener. The atmosphere will be electric at Busch Stadium and I think we get a strong outing here from veteran Adam Wainwright. I don't have near the confidence with Arizona's starter Robbie Ray. Sure Ray pitched well in 2017, but that means nothing now. He certainly wasn't in great form to open the season, as he gave up 7 runs on 7 hits, allowing 3 homers and walking 3. The Cardinals hit lefties well and Ray has a 6.51 ERA and 1.965 WHIP in 3 career starts against St Louis, all 3 ending in wins for the Cardinals. St Louis improves to 4-0 against Ray today. Give me the Cardinals -115! |
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04-05-18 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Yankees -1.5, -117) We cashed in on the Yankees run line yesterday with ease, as New York cruised to a 7-2 win behind a strong outing from ace Severino and homers from their 3 big bombers in Stanton, Judge and Sanchez. I see a very similar recipe for a win taking place today. New York's offense should be able to put up some runs here with the wind blowing out, as they will face off against Andrew Cashner. In his first start, Cashner gave up 5 runs on 6 hits (3 HRs) in 5 innings at home to the Twins. Yankees counter with Tanaka, who pitched like an ace in his first start, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 innings. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-117)! |
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04-04-18 | Cardinals -112 v. Brewers | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cardinals -112) I'll be the first to admit that we caught a big break yesterday with the Brewers scoring 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs to win 5-4. While some might look to jump on Milwaukee after that big win, I think the value has now shifted to St Louis. For me, I trust Cardinals' starter Carlos Martinez a lot more than I do the Brewers Jhoulys Chacin. Neither starter pitched well in their first outing, but Martinez's struggles were more about his lack of command than his stuff. I think Martinez bounces back in a big way here against a Milwaukee team in which he owns a 2.63 ERA in 12 career starts. Give me the Cardinals -112! |
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04-04-18 | Rays v. Yankees -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD RUN LINE KNOCKOUT (Yankees -1.5, -120) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Yankees winning here by 2+ runs. New York took the series opener on Tuesday 11-4 and that was against Tampa Bay's ace Chris Archer. Now they go up against Blake Snell with their ace on the mound in Luis Severino. The key here for me is the wind will be blowing straight out to center at 20+ mph. I simply trust Severino a lot more in these difficult pitching conditions. He's going up against a weak Rays offense, while Snell is facing a potent New York offense that is built on the long-ball. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-120). |
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04-04-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Braves | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB EARLY BIRD RUN LINE MASSACRE (Nationals -1.5, -125) I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington winning by at least 2 runs. The Nationals are without question the better team and will have a clear-cut edge on the mound in this one, as they send out their ace and one of the best starters in the game in Max Scherzer. Scherzer was on top of his game in his first start, giving up just 5 hits with an impressive 10 strikeouts in 6 shutout innings. He will be up against Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz, who allowed 3 runs on 5 hits (2 HRs) in 5 innings of a loss to the Phillies in his first start. This could get ugly in a hurry if Foltynewicz struggles to keep the ball in the park, as he's facing a loaded Nationals lineup with the wind blowing straight out to left field at close to 20 mph. Give me Washington -1.5 (-125)! |
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04-03-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -134 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers -134) My money is on Milwaukee at home against the Cardinals Tuesday. This is an amazing price to get to back the Brewers Chase Anderson at home. He's one of the most underrated starters in the game. Anderson was one of the Top 20 starters in 2017, as he went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 25 starts. He was especially good at home, where he finished 5-1 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 starts. He looked every bit the part of an ace in his first start of 2018, throwing 6 scoreless innings on the road against the Padres. I'll gladly take my chances here with the Brew Crew providing Anderson enough run support to get the win, as they go up against Jack Flaherty of the Cardinals. Flaherty is still a work in progress and is only in the starting rotation because of an injury to veteran Adam Wainwright. Give me the Brewers -134! |
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04-02-18 | Rangers v. A's -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 140 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (A's -1.5, +140) I'll take my chances here with Oakland not just winning the game against the Rangers, but winning by 2+ runs. The A's lost three straight to the Angeles after taking the series opener and I think it has them way undervalued here in the series opener against Texas, especially with the edge the A's have on the mound in this one. Oakland will send out Andrew Triggs, who isn't an elite starter by an means, but is facing a Rangers offense that struggled to get much of anything going in their 4-game series against the Astros. Texas on the other hand will send out veteran Bartolo Colon, who I'm shocked is still in a rotation. Colon was just 7-14 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.587 WHIP in 28 starts last year and I look for Oakland to put up a big number here in a blowout win. Give me the A's -1.5 (+140)! |
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04-02-18 | Indians v. Angels +106 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
40* MLB MONEY LINE KNOCKOUT (Angels +106) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Angels as a home dog against the Indians. Cleveland is a lot of people's pick to win the World Series this year and they likely will end up being one of the better teams in the AL. However, they didn't have a great first series, especially offensively, against the Mariners. On the flip side of this, the Angels were scorching from the plate, putting up 22 runs on 44 hits in 4-games at Oakland, which is one of the more pitcher-friendly parks in the big leagues. I think LA's offense continues to rake in this one and they bring home the win. Give me the Angels +106! |
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04-01-18 | Cardinals v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 107 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) I'll take my chances here with this game going UNDER the mark set by the books. These are two starters that I'm really high on in 2018. St Louis give the rock to Luke Weaver, who is one of the promising young starters in the game. Weaver went 7-2 in 10 starts a season ago and was sensational in spring training, posting a 0.55 ERA in 16 2/3 innings of work. The Mets counter with Steven Matz, who is primed for a big bounce back season after an injury riddled 2017 campaign. He was sharp in spring, posting a 21:9 K to BB ratio over 20 innings and had won 13 games with an ERA around 3.00 over his first two seasons in the big leagues. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-01-18 | Red Sox v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the Rays and Red Sox finishing UNDER the mark set by the books. Boston will send out Hector Velazquez, who was impressive in his brief stint at the big league level last year after coming over from the Mexican league. He pitched in 8 games and made 3 starts, posting a 2.92 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He'll take on a Tampa Bay offense that really hasn't done anything outside of that 6-run 9th inning in the opener. If you take away that big inning, the Rays have scored a mere 2 runs over their other 26 innings they have played. Tampa will counter with Jacob Faria, who is a promising young starter that posted a 3.42 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in 14 starts last year. Boston should be one of the better offensive teams, but have scored just 8 runs in the first 3 games of the series. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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03-31-18 | Twins -114 v. Orioles | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Twins -114) This line has moved quite a bit in favor of Minnesota, but I feel we are still getting a great price here to back the Twins as short road favorites. Minnesota lost the opener in extra innings, but they are still the better team and are in a prime bounce back spot. The Twins will send out Kyle Gibson. While Gibson didn't post the best numbers in 2017, Minnesota has gone 16-5 in his last 21 road starts. I also liked what I saw from Gibson in spring ball, as he showed great command, walking just 1 hitter over 12 2/3 innings of work. Give me the Twins -114! |
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03-30-18 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) It's no secret that San Diego's Petco Park is one of the best pitching stadiums in all of baseball. It certainly held true to that form on Opening Day, as the Brewers and Padres combined for just 3 runs in 12 innings of Milwaukee's 2-1 win. It's going to be a cool night in San Diego tonight, as game-time temps are expected to be in the low 60's. I also think we have an underrated pitching matchup here. Milwaukee's Jhoulys Chacin pitched for the Padres last year and had a 1.79 ERA at Petco. San Diego will counter here with Joey Lucchesi, who most people haven't heard of. Lucchesi is getting the nod because of Lament's unexpected trip to the DL. I think there's a lot of potential with Lucchesi, who posted a 2.20 ERA in 24 appearances (23 starts) last year between single and and double a. He also had a 1.54 ERA in just under 12 innings of work in spring training. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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03-30-18 | Phillies +105 v. Braves | 5-4 | Win | 105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Phillies +105) I'll take my chances here with the Phillies on Friday. Philadelphia let one get away on Opening Day. The Phillies had a 5-0 lead going into the bottom of the 6th and were ahead by 3 before giving up 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th and 3 more in the bottom of the 9th to lose 5-8. I still think Philadelphia is hands down the better team. They got the better lineup, as the Braves really don't have much outside of Freeman. I also give them an edge on the mound in this one, as they will send out Nick Pivetta, who showed a lot of promise in his rookie season. What I really like is how well he pitched against the Braves. He was 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA in 3 starts and 2 of those 3 outings came in Atlanta. Give me the Phillies +105! |
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03-29-18 | White Sox v. Royals -1.5 | 14-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB RUN LINE MASSACRE (Royals -1.5) I'm not expecting a lot from the Royals in 2018, but I do think we are getting a great price here on the run line in their home opener against the White Sox. Chicago is in full on rebuilding mode and while they got some young prospects up with the big leagues, they are still a year or two away from being a contender. They only won 28 games away from home a season ago, while the Royals actually posted a winning record at home. The other big key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I think heavily favors the Royals, who will send out Danny Duffy against the White Sox James Shields. Duffy is rising youngster who posted a respectable 3.81 ERA in 24 starts in 2017. Shields on the other hand is an over the hill veteran who doesn't have much left in the tank. He had a 5.50 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in 10 road starts in 2017 and I don't see 2018 being any better. Give me the Royals -1.5 (+157)! |
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03-29-18 | Phillies v. Braves UNDER 8 | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) I'll gladly take my chances with Thursday's Opening Day action between the Braves and Phillies staying under the mark set by the books. I think we have two very underrated starters on the mound here with Philadelphia's Aaron Nola and Atlanta's Julio Teheran. On top of that, the conditions here are going to heavily favor a low scoring game, as there's expected to be around a 15 mph wind blowing in from right center. UNDER was 15-5-1 in Teheran's last 21 starts in 2017 and a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs the NL East. UNDER is also a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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03-29-18 | Cardinals v. Mets -130 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB OPENING DAY SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mets -130) I'll take my chances here with the Mets at what I feel is too good a price to pass up on with one of the best starters in the game in Noah Syndergaard on the mound. There's concerns with Syndergaard's ability to stay healthy, but when he is, he's one of the elite starters in the game. He definitely looked the part in spring training, posting a 1.35 ERA with 23 strikeouts and 0 walks in 20 innings of work. The Cardinals are a team that gets some love to start each year because of what they have done in the past, but I don't see a whole lot that separates these two teams when healthy. I also have some concerns with St Louis starter Carlos Martinez, who was only able to throw 9 innings in spring ball and posted a 4.82 ERA with 7 walks. Give me the Mets -130! |
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10-18-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (OVER 9.5) Each of the first 3 games have seen 7 or fewer runs scored and last night with the wind blowing out they scored just 7 with total of 8. The wind will be blowing out again, but this time the books have set the total at 9.5 and given what we have seen, I see the public looking to take the UNDER. That has me looking the other way and calling for a high scoring game. Cubs starter Jake Arrieta hasn't pitched well against the Dodgers and LA's starter Alex Wood hasn't made a start since he took the mound on 9/26 in the regular season. I think we finally see Chicago's offense come to life and both teams put some runs on the board early an often with the wind blowing out close to 15 mph to left field. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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10-17-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs -107 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs -107) This is do or die for the Cubs, who are down 2-0 in the series and can't afford to fall behind 3-0 with the starting pitching of the Dodgers. I expect Chicago to be up to the task at home with Kyle Hendricks on the mound. Hendricks has thrived in these spots and owned the Dodgers in both meetings against them in last year's playoffs. The Cubs offense is due for an explosion and I think Darvish for the Dodgers is going to struggle here having had such a long layoff between starts. Last time started was against Arizona back on October 9th. LA is also not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and have lost 10 of their last 11 away games in the NLCS. Give me the Cubs -107! |
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10-09-17 | Nationals v. Cubs +107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cubs +107) *Analysis Coming* |