Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-31-15 | Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Cardinals finally got their offense on track in last night's 9-8 win over the Rockies. St Louis pounded out 14 hits, which is just 1 fewer than they had in the last 3 games combined. I look for the Cardinals to keep the offense rolling and win here by 2 or more runs without much problem. St Louis will be facing Colorado's Kyle Kendrick, who is 4-11 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 20 starts and has a 9.58 ERA and 2.227 WHIP in his last 3 outings. St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who has a 2.86 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 8 home starts. Roll the Cardinals -1.5 (+105)! |
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07-31-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* I don't like big juice on favorites, but I really like the Orioles at home tonight against the Tigers and think there's some great value on the run line with Baltimore at -1.5. The Orioles will send out Wei-Yen Chen, who has a 2.89 ERA in 19 starts. Detroit on the other hand is sending out Buck Farmer, who has been awful in his 4 big league starts (2 this year/2 last year). In those 4 starts, Farmer has allowed no less than 4 earned runs and overall has allowed a ridiculous 23 runs on 28 hits in 16 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore is averaging 4.8 runs/game at home and wouldn't be surprised if they doubled that tonight in what should be a blowout. Roll the Orioles -1.5 (+115) |
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07-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles -145 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* The Orioles are worth a look here as they enter Thursday's showdown with the Tigers riding a 5-game winning streak. Detroit on the other hand has lost 8 of their last 12. Not only is Baltimore playing the better baseball of the two right now, the Orioles have a clear-cut edge on the mound with Miguel Gonzalez going up against Alfredo Simon. Gonzalez allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 2/3 innings in his last start at Tampa and has a 3.47 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 9 home starts. Simon on the other hand has a 5.57 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 10 road starts and a 6.43 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Roll the Orioles -145! |
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07-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has been at his best away from home, as he's got a 2.67 ERA and 1.156 WHIP over 10 road starts. He takes on a St Louis offense that is averaging just 2.6 runs and hitting a mere .206 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Cardinals will send out John Lackey, who has been sensational at home with a 1.97 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 11 starts. I just don't see either offense doing much of anything in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-29-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* With the way the Marlins are struggling offensively and how well Miami starter Tom Koehler has looked both of late and at home, I don't expect to see many runs at all in this one. Koehler has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 1.79 ERA in 7 starts at home, where the UNDER has cashed in 6 of those 7 starts. Washington will send out Doug Fister, who has a 1.14 ERA and 0.760 WHIP over 3 career starts against Miami and the Marlins are scoring just 2.9 runs and hitting .239 as a team over their last 7 games. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-28-15 | San Diego Padres v. New York Mets -132 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* San Diego's James Shields has not been in prime form of late. Shields is just 1-3 in his last 9 starts and during this stretch has posted a horrible 4.56 walks/9 innings. Shields has especially struggled on the road, where he's got a 5.01 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 11 starts. I'll gladly take my chances here and lay a big bet on the Mets at home with Noah Syndergaard opposing Shields. Syndergaard has gone 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in 6 home starts. On top of that, the Mets are a dominant 34-16 at home this season and 16-4 in their last 20 home games off 2 or more wins. Roll the Mets -132! |
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07-28-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Both the Orioles and Braves come into this game struggling at the plate. Baltimore is scoring just 3 runs and hitting .199 as a team over their last 7 games, while Atlanta is managing just 2.6 runs and hitting .234 as a team over their last 7 games. The Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 straight starts and the Orioles counter with Ubaldo Jimenez, who has a 2.06 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in 7 home starts. UNDER is 14-3 in Atlanta's last 17 after scoring 1 run or less and 7-2-1 in Jimenez's last 10 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER! |
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07-27-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe the books have made a big mistake here with setting the total for this game at 7.5. Both the Royals and Indians are struggling offensively right now. KC is averaging just 3.6 runs over their last 7 and Cleveland is putting up just 2.6. The real key here is the starting pitching. Royals' starter Edinson Volquez has a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 and a 3.64 ERA in 9 road starts. Indians starter Cody Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over 5 starts, including a 0.63 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-26-15 | Houston Astros -112 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* Houston is simply not getting enough respect here with their ace Dallas Keuchel on the mound. Keuchel is one of the leading candidates for the AL Cy Young, as he comes in with a 2.12 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 20 starts. The Royals had hoped their starter Yordano Ventura would make the same kind of jump that Keuchel has made, but instead he's been a major disappointment. Ventura is 4-7 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.349 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been especially bad of late with a 8.25 ERA and 1.917 WHIP in his last 3. KC is just 1-5 in his last 6 starts and 0-6 in his last 6 against a team with a winning record. Roll the Astros -112! |
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07-25-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 6.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I cashed in on the White Sox/Indians UNDER 7 on Friday and I'm firing back with the UNDER again on Saturday, even with a lower total set at 6.5. Chicago will send out their ace Chris Sale, who has a 2.82 ERA and 1.120 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Sale also has owned the Indians of late, allowing just 2 runs on 9 hits in his last 17 innings against them. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts. Carrasco has also been strong in recent outings gainst the White Sox, allowing just 4 runs in his last 27 innings against them. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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07-25-15 | Houston Astros v. Kansas City Royals -131 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* The Royals were shutout in Friday's series opening home loss to the Astros and that makes them a prime candidate to bounce back with a win. KC doesn't lose often and rarely string together consecutive losses, especially at home. The last time Kansas City dropped 2 straight at home was way back in the beginning of June. The value here is clearly with the Royals, who will send out the red-hot Danny Duffy, who has a 1.33 ERA and 1.082 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Houston's Scott Feldman on the other hand, has a 4.93 ERA and 1.416 WHIP in 11 starts overall and a 3.58 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in is last 3 starts. Roll the Royals -131! |
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07-24-15 | Cincinnati Reds +102 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has had his fair share of problems when he starts at home, but it's been a different story on the road, where he has a dominant 2.53 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in 9 road starts. Colorado's Eddie Butler hasn't taken well to pitching at Coors Field. He's 1-3 with a 6.41 ERA and 2.085 WHIP over 4 home starts. In his last start at home, he gave up 6 runs on 11 hits and 2 walks in just 5 1/3 innings of work. I look for the Reds offense to provide plenty of run support here for Desclafani and come away with an easy win. Roll the Reds +102! |
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07-24-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* We have two quality starters on the mound in today's AL Central division matchup between the Indians and White Sox and both have received little to no run support this season. Cleveland's Corey Kluber has received just 2.74 runs/game from his offense in 2015 and Chicago's Jose Quintana has received an MLB-low 2.63 runs/game. Kluber has a 2.01 ERA over his last 3 and a 2.74 ERA at home. Quintana was hit hard in his last start, but has a 2.73 ERA in 12 night starts and prior to his last outing had not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 9 straight starts. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-23-15 | Miami Marlins v. San Diego Padres -145 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* The Padres will be extra motivated here after dropping 2 straight to close out their series against the Giants. San Diego will be sending Tyson Ross to the mound, who has posted a 2.23 ERA over his last 6 starts, in which the Padres have gone 5-1. Ross will be opposed by Miami's Tom Koehler, who has an ugly 5.01 ERA and 1.401 WHIP over 10 road starts. The Marlins are a long way from home and will be playing their 7th straight on the road since returning from the All-Star break. I look for Miami to struggle to keep this one close. Roll the Padres -145. |
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07-22-15 | Miami Marlins v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. The Marlins will be sending out their ace in Jose Fernandez, while the Diamondbacks counter with one of the more underrated starters in Robbie Ray. Fernandez has posted a 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP over his first 3 starts and Ray has a 2.29 ERA and 1.073 WHIP over his 9 starts in 2015. UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 and 12-4-1 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series. Roll the UNDER! |
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07-22-15 | Texas Rangers v. Colorado Rockies -137 | 10-8 | Loss | -137 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* Texas will be sending out Martin Perez for just his 2nd start of the season. Perez was fortunate to only allow 3 runs in 5 innings in his first start, as he allowed 9 hits and 2 walks. Clearly he's not as sharp as he would like to be and that's a recipe for disaster in the thin air of Coors Field. I'll gladly take my chances here on the Rockies behind Jorge De La Rosa, who has a 2.17 ERA in his last 5 starts and is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 career starts against the Rangers. De La Rosa is 20-5 in his last 25 day starts and 13-2 in his last 15 home starts in the 2nd half of the season. Roll the Rockies -137! |
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07-21-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates -115 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* This is too good a price to pass up on the Pirates with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. Cole has gone an impressive 6-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 1.129 WHIP over 9 road starts and will clearly give the Pittsburgh the edge on the mound with KC sending out Jason Vargas. The Pirates struggled to get their offense going while getting swept at Milwaukee, but pounded out 17 hits and 10 runs in yesterday's victory. I look for the offense to provide plenty of run-support here in what I see as a easy win for the road team. Roll the Pirates -115! |
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07-21-15 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 7-2 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I have no problem laying a little extra juice here to get the total at 7, as I don't see these two teams getting to that number with today's starting pitching matchup. The Mets send out Jacon deGrom, who has a 2.65 ERA and 0.902 WHIP over 8 road starts and went into the break with a 1.27 ERA and 0.750 WHIP over his last 3. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross, who was sensational in his last two starts, allowing just 3 runs with 19 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings of work. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-20-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the struggles that Dodgers starter Brandon Beachy had in his first start back. Not pitching up to his potential in his first start back wasn't a big surprise given the near 2-year layoff, but I saw enough to believe he's going to bounce back strong. It will help facing an Atlanta offense that is averaging just 2.3 runs and hitting .205 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Braves send out underrated starter Matt Wisler, who has a 2.65 ERA over his last 3 and a dominant 0.68 ERA and 0.900 WHIP over 2 home starts. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-19-15 | San Francisco Giants -124 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* We have seen a number of aces return from the break with electric stuff and I look for that trend to continue here with Madison Bumgarner, who hasn't started since 7/10. Bumgarner has a strong 2.69 ERA and 1.181 WHIP over 20 career starts against the Diamondbacks and is 3-0 with a 1.46 ERA in his last 6 starts in Arizona. The road team has won 10 of the last 12 in the series. Arizona sends out Patrick Corbin, who is still trying to shake the rust off from his return from Tommy John surgery. Roll the Giants -124! |
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07-18-15 | New York Mets v. St. Louis Cardinals -145 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Cardinals have a big time advantage on the mound in this one, as John Lackey has been a completely different pitcher at home than on the road. Lackey has a 1.98 ERA over 9 home starts, compared to a 4.19 ERA over 9 road starts. He figures to get more than enough run support here against aging veteran Bartolo Colon, who has a 4.78 ERA over 8 road starts and was hit hard in his only outing against he Cardinals are 40-15 in their last 55 home games against a team with a winning record and 7-0 in Lackey's last 7 home starts in the same situation. Mets are 6-21 in their last 27 as a road dog and 0-4 in Colon's last 4 starts as a road dog. Roll the Cardinals -145! |
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07-18-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers -133 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* This is a great price to back the Tigers at home with their ace David Price on the mound. Detroit returned from the All-Star break with a 7-3 win in their series opener against the Orioles, dropping Baltimore to a mere 15-26 on the road this season. Price went into the break with a 2.14 ERA and 1.095 WHIP over his last 3 starts and the Tigers have gone a dominant 7-1 in his 8 home starts this season. On the flip side of this, Baltimore's Chris Tillman has a 6.03 ERA and 1.864 WHIP over 7 road starts and figures to be in for a short day of work against Detroit's potent offense that is scoring 4.6 runs and hitting .290 as a team at home this season. Roll the Tigers -133! |
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07-17-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Angels -126 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* This is a great price to back the Angels at home against the Red Sox, as LA has a huge advantage on the mound with C.J. Wilson going up against Wade Miley. Wilson has a 3.83 ERA over 18 starts and went into the break with a 3.37 ERA over his last 3. Miley on the other hand has a 4.80 ERA in 18 starts and a 6.88 ERA over his last 3. Adding value is the fact that Wilson has posted a 2.94 ERA over 11 career starts against the Red Sox. LA is also a perfect 13-0 over the last 2 seasons when Wilson takes the mound at home with a total set at 8 to 8.5 runs. Roll the Angels -126! |
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07-17-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I don't see either of these offenses doing much of anything in this one. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has been lights out of late, as he hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts. Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a disappointing 4.56 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.04 ERA and 0.925 WHIP over 8 home starts. UNDER is 6-1 in Hendrick's last 7 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. UNDER is also 8-2 in Atlanta's last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-12-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* This is a great pitching matchup and I think there's a ton of value here on the UNDER at 7. The Angels' Andrew Heaney has been lights out, posting a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts and I was really impressed with how well he threw last time out at Coors Field. Seattle's Taijuan Walker got off to a bad start, but has been a completely different pitcher of late. Walker hasn't suffered a losing decision since June 3 and had a 1.68 ERA over a 7 start stretch here recently. He's finally pitching up to his potential and I look for these two future aces to dazzle on Sunday. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-11-15 | Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Both of these offenses are struggling to get anything going offensively over the last couple of weeks and I look for that to continue here. Washington's Jordan Zimmermann has been sensational in his last 3 starts, posting a 0.40 ERA and 0.706 WHIP, allowing just 1 earned run in 22 2/3 innings. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez struggled in his first two starts back from the DL, but returned to his early form in his last outing, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. I look for Gonzalez to build off that strong start against the slumping Nationals offense. Love the value here with this total. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-11-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* While the total for this one has been set at just 6.5, I have a hard time seeing these two teams combining for 7 or more runs. These two teams only managed 1 run in yesterday's series opener and the pitching matchup today features both teams' aces and both are throwing the ball extremly well of late. White Sox send out Chris Sale, who has allowed 3 runs in 17 innings over his last 2 starts, while the Cubs give the ball to Jon Lester, who hasn't allowed an earned run in 14 innings over his last 2 starts. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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07-10-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners +102 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Mariners offense has come alive. They racked up 7 runs on a season-high 19 hits in yesterday's 7-2 win in the series opener. If Seattle can somehow sweep the Angels going into the break, they all the sudden have new life in the AL West. Yesterday they roughed up Garrett Richards and I look for them to do the same against Hector Santiago. Even if the offense doesn't put up a big number, they have an excellent shot of winning here behind Mike Montgomery, who has allowed 1 run in his last 3 starts (23 2/3 innings) and comes in with a 1.62 ERA and 0.920 WHIP over 7 starts overall. Roll the Mariners +102! |
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07-10-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins -132 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* This is as much a play on the Twins with Ervin Santana as it is a fade of the Tigers with Justin Verlander. Minnesota will be out for revenge after losing a close game late in yesterday's series opener and given how bad Verlander has looked in his few starts so far in 2015 and how good Santana looked in his first start back from suspension, this game could get out of hand in a hurry. Road dogs that are slugging .460 or better over their last 15 games are just 72-167 (30%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons after 2 straight games where their bullpen didn't allow a run. Roll the Twins -132! |
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07-09-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value we are getting with this total set at 8 runs. Hard to expect the Twins offense to produce much against Detroit's ace David Price, who has gone 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA in his last 6 against Minnesota and 3-0 with a 1.21 ERA in his last 3. The reason we are seeing a high total is due to the fact that the Twins Mike Pelfrey has a 9.94 ERA and 2.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts. However, Pelfrey has been dominant at home, posting a 1.80 ERA in 7 starts. UNDER is 30-14 in Tigers last 44 after a win by 2 runs or less, 6-1 in the Twins last 7 against a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts as a home dog of +110 to +150. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-08-15 | Oakland A's -107 v. New York Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The A's took yesterday's series opener 4-3 and are now 13-4 in their last 17 against the Yankees, including a 4-1 record this season. I look for Oakland to build on that success given the favorable pitching matchup and struggling New York offense. A's will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.61 ERA and 0.851 WHIP over his last 3 starts, against C.C. Sabathia and his 6.50 ERA over his last 3 and 8.49 ERA over 6 home starts. Oakland is 9-2 in Kazmir's last 11 starts during game 2 of a series and 10-1 in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning record. Roll the A's -107! |
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07-07-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* The value here is clearly on the UNDER. Baltimore's Kevin Gusman has impressed in his first two starts of the season after being primarily used out of the bullpen. In his last outing, he allowed just 4 hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings and figures to keep it going against a Twins offense that has scored 2 or less in 4 of their last 6. Minnesota will send out underrated starter Kyle Gibson, who has a 2.92 ERA in 8 home starts and a strong 1.83 ERA over his last 3 outings. He too was dominant in his last start, giving up just 4 hits over 8 scoreless innings. UNDER is 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games 13-3-2 in the Twins last 18 vs a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-07-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Absolutely love the value we are getting here with this total set at 9. Sure we have two strong offensive teams playing in hitter friendly Globe Life Park, but this is simply too many runs to not take the UNDER with today's starting pitching matchup. Rangers' starter Yovani Gallardo has been sensational of late. He hasn't allowed a run in his last 4 starts, where he's given up a total of just 14 hits in 26 1/3 innings of work. 5 of his 6 starts at home have gone UNDER the total as he's posted a 2.23 ERA at Globe Life. Arizona's Robbie Ray has seen the UNDER cash in 3 of his 4 road starts, due in large part to his 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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07-06-15 | Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I think we are getting great value here with the total set at 7 runs, given the starting pitching matchup. Houston's Dallas Keuchel is one of the leading Cy Young candidates for 2015, as he's 10-3 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.957 WHIP over 17 starts. Keuchel has been dealing of late with a 1.96 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off two dominant performances. Carrasco allowed 2 runs on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Tigers on 6/24 and followed that up with a near no hitter, as he didn't allow a hit until 2 outs in the 9th at Tampa Bay. Look for both offenses to struggle to get anything going. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-05-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Pittsburgh Pirates -131 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with the Pirates at home. Pittsburgh won 1-0 yesterday to even up the series and are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. While Cleveland's Danny Salazar has pitched well on the road, he's got a 4.86 ERA over his last 3 starts and will be going up against the Pirates ace Gerrit Cole. Cole owns a 2.29 ERA and 1.153 WHIP over 16 starts in 2015. Pittsburgh has gone an impressive 12-4 in those 16 starts, including a 6-1 record in day games. Roll the Pirates -131! |
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07-04-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Chicago White Sox -111 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* Chicago has won 3 straight and I look for them to carry over that momentum with an easy win here at home on Saturday. The White Sox have a huge edge on the mound with Jeff Samardzija going up against Chris Tillman. Samardzija is 3-1 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.158 WHIP over 6 home starts and has pitched at least 7 innings in each of his last 3 outings. Tilman has a 6.37 ERA and 1.787 WHIP over 6 road starts and a 5.65 ERA over his last 3. Orioles are 20-48 in their last 68 games after going 2 straight games with 5 or less hits. Roll the White Sox -111! |
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07-03-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Detroit Tigers -128 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* Toronto's Drew Hutchison comes into this game with an 8-1 record, but hasn't been nearly that dominant on the mound. Hutchison has a 4.99 ERA and 1.415 WHIP over 16 starts. He's been especially bad on the road, where he has a 8.92 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in 8 starts. Fading a lucky pitcher like Hutchison has been a wise investment, especially when they are listed like a dog here. Road underdogs with a starting pitcher who has won more than 70% of his games against an opponent with a starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 1.300 or better is 39-11 (78%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Roll Detroit -128! |
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07-03-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
50* MLB *INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 7 road starts and the UNDER is 6-0-1. Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton has a 1.98 ERA and 1.061 WHIP over 4 home starts and the UNDER is 3-1. UNDER is 7-1 in the Indians last 8 games as a road dog of +110 to +150 and 20-9-1 in their last 30 interleague road games. UNDER is also 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and a perfect 5-0 in Morton's last 5 interleague starts. |
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07-02-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* While the Rockies are coming off a series at Oakland where they managed to score just 4 runs, I like the value we are getting here with the total for tonight's series opener against the Diamondbacks. Colorado's Chris Rusin has a 5.30 ERA and 1.655 WHIP over 6 starts and an even worse 6.35 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in 4 road starts. Arizona's Jeremy Hellickson hasn't been much better. Hellickson has a 5.38 ERA and 1.422 WHIP in 15 starts and a 5.45 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 7 home starts. OVER is 6-2 in their previous 8 games this season, including a perfect 3-0 in their 3 games at Arizona. OVER is also 89-47 in games with a total of 9 to 9.5 where you have a team (Rockies) that is coming off 5 straight games where they had 10 or less hits in the second half of the season. Roll the OVER 9! |
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07-02-15 | Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 2-0 | Win | 102 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I love the value we are getting here with this total sitting at 8.5 runs. The Rangers' Yovani Gallardo has gone 3 straight starts without allowing a single run, including a near complete game shutout at Toronto in his last start (8 2/3 innings). Going back even further, Gallardo hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 7 straight starts. Baltimore will be sending out Kevin Gausman, who pitched well in his first start of the season on 6/20, holding the Blue Jays to just 2 runs on 4 hits in 5 innings. Gausman will be catching a Rangers offense that was just held to 4 hits in yesterday's 2-4 defeat. UNDER is 14-5 in Gallardo's last 19 starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 and 13-4-2 in the Orioles last 19 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-01-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* This might seem like a fair total for today's pitching matchup between Chris Heston and Dan Haren, but I think the value here is clearly with the OVER. Heston is one of the more overvalued starters due to his no hitter. In reality he's still a rookie and has a 4.43 ERA over 7 road starts. Haren has pitched better than expected in Miami, but is trending in the wrong direction with a 4.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and will be facing a Giants offense that averages an impressive 5.1 runs and is hitting .280 as a team on the road. OVER is 21-7 in San Francisco's 28 road games this season against a right-handed starter and 18-4 in the Marlins last 22 after 4 straight games with 10 or fewer hits. Roll the OVER 7! |
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07-01-15 | Cleveland Indians -126 v. Tampa Bay Rays | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* The Indians have taken the first two games in this series in convincing fashion. They won 7-1 on Monday and 6-2 yesterday. The Rays are in a major funk right now, as they are just 2-7 in their last 9. Cleveland has an excellent shot at another victory tonight. The Indians will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is 5-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.154 WHIP over 7 road starts. Tampa Bay's Alex Colome has an ugly 6.07 ERA and 1.652 WHIP over 6 home starts, which the Rays have gone just 1-5. Cleveland is 5-1 in their last 6 as a road favorite of -110 to -150, while Tampa is 0-5 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter. Roll the Indians -126! |
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06-30-15 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves +110 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* Atlanta was able to snap a 5-game losing streak with a 2-1 in their series finale at Pittsburgh. I look for the Braves to build off that performance and secure a win at home against the Nationals. Atlanta will be sending out Shelby Miller, who enters with a dominant 1.94 ERA and 1.017 WHIP over 15 starts. Miller has been even better at home, where he's got a 1.59 ERA and 1.034 WHIP over 6 starts. Washington's Jordan Zimmerman is not in prime form, as he has a 4.42 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in his last 3. Zimmerman also owns a less than impressive 5.40 ERA and 1.611 on the road. Roll the Braves +110! |
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06-30-15 | San Francisco Giants +105 v. Miami Marlins | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* The Marlins weren't a good team with Stanton in the line and with him sidelined things are only going to get worse. The offense has been awful of late, scoring a total of just 6 runs in their last 5 games and hitting just .216 as a team over their last 7. San Francisco is one of the best road teams in the league at 21-15 and I'll take my chances here given the pitching matchup. Giants' Ryan Vogelsong has a 2.20 ERA over his last 3 starts, and is coming off back-to-back starts where he didn't allow a run. Marlins' Mat Latos has a 5.49 ERA in 12 starts and a ugly 7.60 ERA at home. Roll the Giants +105! |
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06-29-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Oakland A's -160 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* I'm not one that typically likes to lay this much juice, but I feel the opportunity here is too good to pass up. Oakland's Kendall Graveman has posted a 2.31 ERA over his 7 starts since returning to the rotation in late May. Keep in mind that Graveman had a spectacular spring and got off to a horrible start to open the season. Hard to not like his chances of out-performing Colorado's David Hale, who has an ugly 8.04 ERA over his last 3 outings. Hale is also has an awful 10.32 ERA in seven interleague appearances. Rockies are 13-38 in their last 51 interleague road games against a right-handed starter and 5-23 in their last 28 against the AL West. Roll the A's -160! |
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06-29-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. Not the two most recognized starters, but two that are pitching extremely well at the moment. Kansas City's Joe Blanton has allowed a mere 2 runs on 7 hits in his first two starts, spanning 11 innings for a 1.64 ERA and 0.636 WHIP. Houston's Lance McCullers has a 1.17 ERA and 0.913 WHIP over 4 home starts and a 2.33 ERA and 1.036 WHIP overall. UNDER is 8-1-2 in the Royals last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 20-6-1 in their last 27 against a team with a winning record and 20-5-1 in the Astros last 26 against the AL Central. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-28-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Pittsburgh Pirates -126 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -126 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB *NL GAME OF THE MONTH* There's a lot to like with the Pirates at this price on Sunday. Pittsburgh is 24-13 at home and a perfect 10-0 at PNC Park in day games. Atlanta is just 16-25 on the road, have lost 5 straight and are just 9-14 in day games. Both teams will be sending out a lefty starter. Pirates are hitting .276 as a team against southpaw starters, while the Braves are hitting just .220. Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke is in prime form with a 2.5 ERA over last 3 starts. Roll the Pirates -126! |
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06-27-15 | Boston Red Sox +115 v. Tampa Bay Rays | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* I'm backing the Red Sox on the road against the Rays on Saturday. I like the pitching matchup here. Boston's Wade Miley is coming in off two strong starters. He allowed 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings at home against the Braves and followed that up in his most recent start by tossing 6 shutout innings on the road against the Royals. Miley is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 1.105 WHIP over 3 career starts against the Rays and Tampa comes in averaging a mere 2.9 runs/game over their last 7. Boston on the other hand is scoring 6.1 and hitting .311 over their last 7 and the Rays Matt Andriese has a 5.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP over 4 home starts. Roll the Red Sox +115! |
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06-26-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -115 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* Can't ask for a much better price to back the Rays at home against the slumping Red Sox, who just suffered a big loss with Pedroia going to the DL. Boston is just 15-22 on the road and 11-23 vs their division this season. Hard to like their chances with Rick Porcello on the mound, as he's 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.512 WHIP over 7 road starts and has an ugly 8.10 ERA and 1.621 WHIP over his last 3. Tampa's Alex Colome hasn't been great at home, but like his chances of reversing that trend coming off his best performance of the season. Colome allowed 1 hit over 7 scoreless at Cleveland this past Sunday. Roll the Rays -115! |
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06-26-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Indians will be hitting the road for the first time following a 7-game homestand, while the Orioles are returning home from a lengthy 8-game road trip. On top of that, both teams are coming off a big division series. Cleveland just got done playing Detroit and Baltimore just faced off against Boston. I just don't see the focus being there for the every day players, giving a big advantage to the two starters. The Indians send out reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who has allowed 1 run in his last 2 starts (14 2/3 innings) against the Orioles. Orioles send out Wei-Yin Chen, who is pitching lights out with a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 starts. UNDER is 7-2 in Chen's 9 home starts this season and 12-2 in Kluber's last 14 starts when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-25-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 106 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with positive juice on the over in this matchup. These two combined for 10 runs in the series opener on Tuesday and while they only managed 6 runs yesterday, both offenses are poised to put up a solid number. Orioles will be turning to Miguel Gonzalez, who will be making his first start off the DL. Gonzalez also has an ugly 6.04 ERA in 5 road starts. Boston counters with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 7.71 ERA at home. This will also be Rodriguez's 2nd start this month against the Orioles and I think that's a big edge to Baltimore's bats. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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06-25-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Chicago Cubs -117 | 4-0 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Cubs had their 4-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday, but I look for them to bounce back with a win at home in the series finale against the Dodgers. Chicago's Jon Lester hasn't performed up to the standard the Cubs were hoping for, but has looked much better of late. Lester allowed 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings of a 2-1 win at home against the Reds on 6/14 and followed that up by allowing 1 run on 3 hits in 6 1/3 innings at Minnesota on 6/20. I like his chances of keeping it going and securing a 3rd straight win today. Roll the Cubs -117! |
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06-24-15 | San Diego Padres +114 v. San Francisco Giants | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* I'll take my chances with San Diego as an underdog against the Giants. Padres starter Ian Kennedy has had a lot of success against San Francisco. He's 10-4 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.076 WHIP over 22 career starts. The same can't be said for Ryan Vogelsong against San Diego, as he has a 4.69 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Padres. Giants are 0-9 in their last 9 home games off a loss by 2 runs or less and 1-8 in their 9 home games so far in the month of June. Roll the Padres +114! |
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06-24-15 | Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two teams put up a big number in yesterday's series opener (14 runs), but I think it's aided to create some great value on the under tonight. Oakland's Kendall Graveman has been throwing lights out of late with a 1.64 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also has a stellar 1.78 ERA over 6 road starts on the season. Texas' Wany Rodriguez is also throwing the ball extremely well with a 2.37 ERA and 1.211 WHIP over his last 3. Rodriguez has a 5.06 ERA at home, but in his last start at home he held the Twins to 1 run on 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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06-23-15 | Detroit Tigers +102 v. Cleveland Indians | 7-3 | Win | 102 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Tigers are 23-12 in their last 35 division games and are scoring 5.3 runs/game over their last 7, which includes 20 runs on 28 hits in their last two games. Cleveland is a mere 14-22 at home in 2015 and will be going up against Detroit's David Price, who owns a 1.17 ERA and 0.826 WHIP over his last 3 starts and is 4-1 with a 2.24 ERA over 8 road starts. Indians are 3-10 in their last 13 home games against a left-handed starter. Roll the Tigers +102! |
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06-23-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates -137 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB *NL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH* The Pirates are going to be extremely motivated to open up their series at home with a win against the Reds, as they were just swept by the Nationals to close out their road trip. Pittsburgh has won 6 straight at home and catch a big break here with the Reds deciding to give ace Johnny Cueto some extra rest. Cincinnati will instead call up Josh Smith for his MLB debut. Hard to not like the Pirates at this price given the situation, especially considering starter Jeff Locke has a 3.04 ERA in 7 home starts and a 2.95 ERA in his last 3 outings. Roll the Pirates -137! |
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06-22-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays +115 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* Tampa Bay is worth a look here as a home dog against the Blue Jays. Toronto will be sending out Drew Hutchison, who has a 9.47 ERA and 1.887 WHIP over 7 road starts. The Rays swept the Blue Jays at home in the only other series meeting this season and in the process held Toronto's high-powered offense to just 2 runs/game and a mere .173 team average. Tampa Bay lost 0-1 yesterday, but are 12-5 in their last 17 after a combined score of 3 runs or less and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. Roll the Rays +115! |
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06-21-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -107 | Top | 13-9 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY* Toronto is an impressive 23-13 at home and I look for them to bounce back from a loss at home on Saturday with an easy win in the series finale against the Orioles. The Blue Jays will send out Scott Copelan, who has a 2.57 ERA and 1.286 WHIP over 4 appearances (2 starts). In his lone start at home, Copeland allowed just 1 run on 6 hits in 7 innings. I'll take my chances with Toronto, given Baltimore's Chris Tillman has a 5.07 ERA and 1.535 WHIP over 13 starts and a 4.88 ERA and 1.326 WHIP over 17 career starts against Toronto (5-12 team record). Roll the Blue Jays -107! |
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06-20-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Kansas City Royals -120 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* I'm backing the Royals at home as a small favorite tonight. Kansas City had won 4 straight prior to yesterday's 3-7 loss to the Red Sox, where they had to send out Pino for a spot start. I look for KC to bounce back in a big way. In defeat the Royals finished with 10 hits, giving them double-digits hits over their last 5 games. Boston's Rick Porcello has a 5.75 ERA and 1.444 WHIP over 6 road starts while Kansas City's Edinson Volquez has a 2.76 ERA and 1.087 WHIP over 7 home starts. Roll the Royals -120! |
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06-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* There's simply too much value here on the UNDER at 8.5. The Rangers will be sending out Nick Martinez, who has a 1.47 ERA and 1.064 WHIP over 6 road starts and a 1.69 ERA over 5 day starts. Chicago's Carlos Rodon has a 1.50 ERA and 1.278 WHIP over 3 home starts and will be taking on a Texas offense that has managed a whopping 2 runs on 8 hits over their last 2 games. UNDER is 9-1 in Chicago's last 10 home games after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight and 9-0 in their last 9 home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last time out. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-19-15 | New York Mets -135 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* The Mets are going to be focused and motivated off an ugly 2-game sweep at Toronto and I like their chances of getting back in the win column tonight. New York will be sending out talented 2nd-year starter Jacob deGrom, who has a 1.23 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 1.80 ERA over 4 career starts against Atlanta. The Braves will send out Matt Wisler for his first career start. Wisler has a 4.29 ERA in 12 starts in Triple-A and was just rocked for 7 runs in 3 2/3 innings in his last start. Roll the Mets -135! |
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06-19-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Really like the value we are getting here with the UNDER at 7.5. Washington will likely be without Bryce Harper, who left yesterday's game with a hamstring injury. Harper makes the Nationals offense go and I look for them to struggle to get anything going against veteran A.J. Burnett, who is 6-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over 13 starts. Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of their last 11 and Washington's Joe Ross just allowed 2 runs on 7 hits over 8 strong innings in his last start. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-18-15 | Miami Marlins +134 v. New York Yankees | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB *LINE MISTAKE* Sometimes a trip to the DL can do wonders for a pitcher both mentally and physically. That certainly seems to be the case for Miami's Mat Latos, who in his first start off the DL held the Rockies to 1 run on 4 hits with 11 strikeouts. Latos has ace-like stuff when he's on and has a strong 2.42 ERA over 4 road starts this season. I think the price here is well worth the risk to back the Marlins on the road against the Yankees, especially with New York sending out overrated starter C.C. Sabathia, who is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.632 WHIP over 4 home starts. Roll the Marlins +134! |
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06-18-15 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* In their 3 games during this 2 and 2 home/away split the Rockies and Astros have combined to score at least 9 runs and have pounded out 25 over their last 2. With how well the ball flies at Coors Field and the Astros ability to go deep up and down their lineup, I look for the offenses to continue to shine this afternoon. The Rockies will be starting David Hale, who has a 5.21 ERA over his last 3 starts and Houston will be sending out Collin McHugh and his 8.44 ERA and 1.687 WHIP over his last 3 outings. OVER is 8-1 in the Astros last 9 after scoring 8+ runs and 31-16 in the Rockies last 47 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. Roll the OVER! |
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06-17-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Arizona Diamondbacks -102 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with the Diamondbacks at basically a pick'em at home against the Angels. Arizona has won 4 of 5 overall and are 17-5 in their last 22 after playing 3 or more straight games on the road. Angels will be starting lefty Hector Santiago and that sets up a very profitable spot, as the Diamondbacks are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. Arizona's Chase Anderson is much better than his record would indicate. While he's just 2-1 in 12 starts, he has a sensational 2.82 ERA and 1.132 WHIP and just allowed 1 hit over 7 shutout innings in his last start. Roll the Diamondbacks -102! |
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06-17-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 6.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* This defies logic as we have to aces facing off against one another, but you have to keep in mind of the talent these two teams have offensively and the fact that the game is being played in hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Not to mention the wind is expecting to be blowing straight out to left-field. David Price has thrown back-to-back complete games and chances are he won't be as good as he was last two times out. OVER is 7-0 in Reds last 7 with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or better over their last 10 and 13-4 in the Tigers last 17 after playing 17 or more straight games at home. Roll the OVER! |
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06-16-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago Cubs -136 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -136 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* The Cubs and Indians got postponed on Monday, but Chicago is still going to be riding a big wave of momentum after finishing up their series against the Reds on the weekend with back-to-back walk-off wins. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 overall and will be sending out talented starter Jake Arrieta, who has a 2.88 ERA and 1.008 WHIP over 6 home starts. Arrieta will be taking on a Indians team that is averaging just 3.9 on the road and a mere 2.9 over their last 7 overall. Cleveland will also send out Trevor Bauer, who has an ugly 5.19 ERA and 1.499 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Roll the Cubs -136! |
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06-16-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Both offenses should be on full display in this one. Philadelphia's Jerome Williams has an awful 7.18 ERA and 1.851 WHIP over 6 road starts this season, while Baltimore's Chris Tillman has a 5.40 ERA and 1.499 WHIP over 7 home starts. Orioles could surpass this total on their own, as they are averaging 4.8 runs/game at home and 5.6 over their last 7. OVER is 14-3 in Williams' last 17 road starts as an underdog of +150 to +200 and 20-4 in the Phillies last 24 games after the bullpen allowed no runs in 3 straight games. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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06-15-15 | Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres -109 | 9-1 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* This is a great price to back the Padres at home. The A's won yesterday behind their ace Gray, but are just 3-6 in their last 9 overall. San Diego is just 10-30 in their last 40 road games when listed as an underdog and 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games. Padres will be starting Tyson Ross and have gone 8-3 in their last 11 home games with him on the mound, including a 4-1 mark in his last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record. San Diego is also 8-1 as a team following a loss and 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less. Oakland's Jesse Hahn has a 4.40 ERA and 1.326 WHIP over 5 home starts. Roll the Padres -109! |
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06-15-15 | Washington Nationals v. Tampa Bay Rays -107 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* I'm backing the Rays at basically a pick'em at home against the Nationals, who may or may not have the services of Bryce Harper. Harper sat out Sunday's finale against the the Brewers and it wouldn't surprise me if they played it safe and gave him an extra day of rest. Either way I like the Rays. Washington will be starting Gio Gonzalez, who has an ugly 5.27 ERA and 1.537 WHIP over 7 road starts. Tampa Bay is 3-1 in Erasmo Ramirez's 4 home starts and Ramirez comes in with a sensational 1.56 ERA and 0.981 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Roll the Rays -107! |
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06-14-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox -112 | Top | 13-5 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* The Red Sox will be sending out Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-0 with a sensational 0.44 ERA and 0.726 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Toronto is 2-12 this season against an AL starter with an ERA of 4.00 or better and 5-22 in their last 27 against a AL starter with a WHIP of 1.200 or better. Adding to this is the fact that the Blue Jays are 6-20 in their last 26 road games after 4 straight contests where they stranded 7 or less runners. Roll the Red Sox -112! |
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06-13-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox -139 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -139 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* Great price to back the Red Sox at home against the Blue Jays. Boston's Clay Buchholz has really turned his season around. He's got a 2.70 ERA and 1.250 WHIP over his last 3 starts and a 3.38 ERA and 1.246 WHIP over 21 career starts against the Blue Jays. Toronto is 0-5 in R.A Dickey's 5 road starts this season, largely due to the fact that he has a 6.52 ERA and 1.552 WHIP in this 5 starts away from home. Roll the Red Sox -139! |
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06-12-15 | Kansas City Royals v. St. Louis Cardinals -112 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* The Cardinals are showing some exceptional value here as a small home favorite. St Louis is going to be excited to take their home field after a 7-game road trip on the west coast. The key thing here is that they got a day off yesterday to recover from any jet lag. You also have to like the numbers in the starting pitching matchup. St Louis' Jaime Garcia has a 2.67 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his first 4 starts, while Kansas City's Yordano Ventura comes in with a 4.50 ERA and 1.316 WHIP over 6 road starts (2-4 team record). Not to mention St Louis is a dominant 22-7 at home on the season. Roll the Cardinals -112! |
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06-12-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Detroit Tigers -122 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Tigers are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite with their ace David Price on the mound. Price has been dominant of late, posting a 1.90 ERA and 1.056 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He went the distance in his last outing against the White Sox, giving up just 1 run on 5 hits with 11 strikeouts in 9 innings of work. Adding to his recent form is the fact that Price is 7-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 1.209 WHIP over 10 career starts against the Indians. Roll the Tigers -122! |
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06-11-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles -102 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* The Orioles have caught fire, winners of 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. I like their chances of keeping that momentum going here at home against the Red Sox. Baltimore's Chris Tillman hasn't pitched up to his potential in 2015, but he's had a lot of success against Boston, going 8-3 with a 2.63 ERA over 17 career starts. Wade Miley of the Red Sox has a 5.10 ERA and 1.633 WHIP over 6 road starts and a 9.65 ERA and 1.608 WHIP over 2 career starts against Baltimore. Roll the Orioles -102! |
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06-10-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* We are seeing an inflated total here due to the Mariners sending out Taijuan Walker, who has a 5.80 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in 11 starts. Walker is much better than his numbers would suggest and he's showed some real positive signs of late. He's completed 8 innings in each of his last 2 starts, allowing just 3 runs on 7 hits with only 1 walk. That includes a start against the Indians, where he held them to just 2 hits in 8 innings. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.75 ERA over has last 5 starts and just recently held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings or work. I look for both offenses to struggle in this one. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-10-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Pittsburgh Pirates -137 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Pirates are going to be all business when they take the field tonight against the Brewers. Pittsburgh will be looking to avoid getting swept by one of the worst teams so far in 2015. I like their chances of doing just that. Charlie Morton takes the mound for the Pirates and he's 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Kyle Lohse, who has an ugly 10.44 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3, all of which he's allowed 5+ runs. Lohse has allowed at least 4 runs in his last 3 against the Pirates (14 in his last 2 starts at Pittsburgh). Roll the Pirates -137! |
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06-09-15 | San Francisco Giants v. New York Mets -116 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* New York is a dominant 21-8 at home this season and 20-3 at home when listed as a favorite of -110 or higher. I'll gladly take my chances on the Mets at his price. New York will be starting Noah Syndergaard, who has allowed just 1 run on 9 hits in his first two home starts. The Giants' Chris Heston has a 5.79 ERA and 1.357 WHIP over 5 road starts and was just rocked for 5 runs on 7 hits in just 3 2/3 innings of work in his last start. Roll the Mets -116! |
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06-09-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I'm not expecting a lot of offense in this one. Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez has been lights out over his first two big league starts, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 14 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore will send out Miguel Gonzalez, who has been rock-solid when he takes the mound at home. Gonzalez is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 6 home starts. He's also got a strong 3.26 ERA over 8 career starts against the Red Sox. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-08-15 | San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with this total set at 7.5. Atlanta's Shelby Miller has a 1.67 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 4 home starts, 3 of which have finished under the total. The reason we are seeing a total over 7 is the Padres' Ian Kennedy comes in with a 6.60 ERA. The key here is that Kennedy is coming off a strong start, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 innings. UNDER is 8-1 in Miller's 9 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs and 11-4 in Kennedy's last 15 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-07-15 | Tampa Bay Rays -133 v. Seattle Mariners | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* Tampa Bay's Chris Archer is one of the top candidates for the AL Cy Young award and is well worth backing here against the Mariners. Just two starts ago, Archer threw 8 scoreless innings at home against Seattle and has a 2.70 ERA and 0.986 WHIP over 4 career starts vs the Mariners. Archer has been even better on the road, where he's 4-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in 5 starts. I'll gladly take my chances here with Seattle sending out Mike Montgomery for just his 2nd career start. Roll the Rays -133! |
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06-07-15 | Texas Rangers v. Kansas City Royals -117 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* This is a great price to back the Royals at home. Kansas City's going to be desperate to snap a 3-game losing streak and avoid getting swept here by the Rangers. I like their chances given the pitching matchup. Jeremy Guthrie has allowed just 1 earned run in his last two home starts, while Texas' Colby Lewis comes in with a 5.56 ERA over 6 road starts and a 8.81 ERA and 1.591 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Roll the Royals -117! |
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06-06-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I'm backing the under in this matchup, as 8 runs is too much given the starting pitching matchup we have here. LA's Garrett Richards hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts against the Yankees. New York's Adam Warren has a 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over 4 home starts and has seen each of his last 3 starts go under the mark. UNDER is 6-2 in Richards last 8 road starts against a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Warren's last 4 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-06-15 | Texas Rangers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I'm backing the under in today's showdown between the Rangers/Royals. The Rangers Wandy Rodriguez enters with a 2.03 ERA and 0.968 WHIP over 5 road starts. All 5 of those starts have finished under the total. The Royals Yordano Ventura has a 2.14 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts, all of which saw fewer than 8 runs. UNDER is 22-8 in the Royals last 30 home games played on Saturday. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-05-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Minnesota Twins -134 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* I'm backing the Twins at home tonight with a lot of confidence. Minnesota is playing as well as any team in the league right now, while the Brewers continue to struggle to be competitive. Milwaukee has dropped two straight and 9 of their last 11 overall. This is more than a fair price to back the Twins in this spot, especially when you consider the starting pitching matchup. Brewers' Lohse has an ugly 6.50 ERA and 1.380 WHIP over 11 starts and Milwaukee has gone just 1-3 in his 4 road starts. Minnesota's Gibson is one of the more underrated starters. He's got a 1.44 ERA in 5 home starts, which the Twins have gone 4-1. Roll the Twins -134! |
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06-05-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Washington Nationals -121 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB *NATS/CUBS BOOKIE CRUSHER* The Nationals were on the wrong end of a tough 1-run loss at home last night to the Cubs and I look for them to bounce back in a big way tonight. Washington's Tanner Roark has stepped into the rotation for the injured Doug Fister and pitched extremely well. Roark has a 2.45 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over his 2 starts, which includes a 2-1 win over the Cubs. Chicago's Tsuyoshi Wada has pitched well, but he's not been as sharp on the road and I could see him struggling here on the road having just recently faced these Nationals hitters on 5/25. Roll Washington -121! |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Neither of these teams are swinging a hot bat. The Royals have scored just 6 runs in their last 3 games combined and the Indians have managed just 2 a piece in their last two games. On top of that we have two underrated starters on the mound. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 0.99 ERA over 4 road starts (Under is 4-0) and Kansas City's Chris Young has a 0.54 ERA in 3 home starts. Add in two very strong bullpens and I don't expect to see many runs crossing the plate in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-04-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox -143 | 8-4 | Loss | -143 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* I think this is a great spot here to back the Red Sox. Boston will be starting Steven Wright, who in his first 3 starts has compiled a respectable 3.71 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. Wright was especially good in his lone home start, allowing just 2 runs on 4 hits in 6 1/3 innings of work. He'll have the advantage of this being the first time the Twins hitters will have seen him and Minnesota has scored just 5 runs in their last 3 games. Twins had to call up Tom Milone for a spot start. Milone had a 7.20 ERA and 1.933 WHIP over his last 3 big league starts before getting demoted to Triple A and has an ugly 11.85 ERA and 2.048 WHIP over 3 career starts (all losses) against Boston. Roll the Red Sox -143! |
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06-03-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB *AL TOTAL CRUSHER* Love the value we are getting with this total sitting at 7.5. The value comes from having two underrated starters on the mound in Tampa's Nate Karns and LA's Hector Santiago. Karns has a 2.16 ERA over his last 3 starts and has been spectacular on the road, posting a 0.79 ERA and 0.662 WHIP over 4 starts. Santiago has a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 and a 1.49 ERA in 6 home starts. UNDER is 13-4 in the Rays 17 road night games this season, 13-3-1 in their last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less and 27-12-1 in Angels last 40 home games against a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER! |
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06-03-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Philadelphia Phillies -128 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM MONEY LINE SMASH* This is a great price to back the Phillies at home with their ace Cole Hamels on the mound, especially against the struggling Mike Leake of Cincinnati. Hamels has a sensational 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP over 6 home starts and an even better 1.54 ERA and 0.814 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Leake has a 12.86 ERA and 2.500 WHIP over his last 3 starts, allowing at least 5 earned runs in each of those outings. Leake's too good a pitcher to be that bad over that long a stretch, leading me to believe there's some sort of injury related issue to his struggles. Either way this doesn't figure to be the start he gets back on track. He's 1-3 with a 7.41 ERA over 6 career starts against Philadelphia. Roll the Phillies -128! |
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06-02-15 | Tampa Bay Rays -113 v. Los Angeles Angels | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
40* MLB *RAYS/ANGELS BOOKIE CRUSHER* When Tampa Bay's Chris Archer takes the mound on the road, you almost have to back the Rays blindly, especially at this price. Archer has without a doubt been the best starter in baseball away from home going back to last season. He's got a 1.55 ERA over his last 17 road starts. He's 3-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Tampa Bay is 11-2 in his last 13 road starts overall and 4-1 in his last 5 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Adding to this is the fact that Angels' starter C.J. Wilson is just 2-14 in his last 16 starts as an underdog. Roll the Rays -113! |
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06-02-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* MLB *MLB GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two starters faced off last Tuesday in Minnesota and it ended up in a 2-1 pitcher's duel. I'm expecting a similar low-scoring affair tonight. Boston's Clay Buchholz has a sensational 1.99 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.97 ERA in his last 5 outings against the Twins. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has a 2.77 ERA on the season and a 1.93 ERA over 2 career starts against the Red Sox. UNDER is 16-5 in Boston's last 21 home games after 2 straight games without a home run and 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-01-15 | New York Mets v. San Diego Padres -112 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* I'm backing the Padres at home here as a small favorite against the Mets. San Diego's Andrew Cashner has been the unluckiest pitcher in baseball so far in 2015. Cashner is 2-7, despite a 3.00 ERA. He's 0-4 with a 2.42 ERA at home. It's time for the bad luck to come to an end. Mets are just 7-15 on the road and starter Jacob deGrom is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.687 WHIP over 3 road starts. Roll the Padres -112! |
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05-31-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals -105 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* MONEY LINE |
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05-30-15 | New York Yankees +117 v. Oakland A's | Top | 5-3 | Win | 117 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* MONEY LINE |
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05-29-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals -118 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* MONEY LINE |
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05-29-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks +120 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 7-5 | Win | 120 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB BOOKIE CRUSHER MONEY LINE |
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05-28-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL |
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05-27-15 | Washington Nationals -109 v. Chicago Cubs | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* |
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05-27-15 | Miami Marlins v. Pittsburgh Pirates -192 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
40* MLB *BOOKIE CRUSHER* |