Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-18-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Orioles | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Blue Jays -1.5, +100) I'll take my chances with the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line in Friday's road game against the Orioles. Both teams come in struggling. Toronto was just swept at home by the Yankees and have lost 4 in a row. Baltimore enters on a 8-game losing streak. I just trust the Blue Jays more to get a win in this spot. Not only does Toronto have the better starter on the mound with Robbie Ray going up against Bruce Zimmermann, but the Blue Jays have been at least producing offensively. Toronto is scoring 6.0 runs/game in their last 7, where the Orioles are only scoring 3.0 runs/game in their last 7. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)! |
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06-17-21 | Rays v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I absolutely love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's late night action that has the Rays visiting the Mariners. There's a lot to like with both starters going in this one. Tampa Bay's Rich Hill has a strong 3.37 ERA in 13 stats, but has been even better than that of late with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's also worth pointing out that in Hill's last 4 road starts he's given up a whopping 1 run on 9 hits in 22 innings of work. Justin Dunn will counter for Seattle and he's quietly having a strong season. Dunn has a 3.91 ERA in 10 starts. He's also been lights out at home with a 2.95 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 4 home starts. Not only is Dunn throwing well, but TB's hitters may be a bit off here with the travel from Chicago all the way out west to Seattle. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-16-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +147 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Blue Jays +147) I think the price is just too good to pass up with the Blue Jays as a big +147 home dog against the Yankees on Wednesday. I played and won with New York as my free pick on Tuesday, but Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole is a guy that I want to fade right now, as I think he's someone that was using those illegal substances while pitching to the fullest. He did give up just 2 runs in 6 innings in his last start at Minnesota, but was lucky to only give up 2, as he served up two solo home runs. Start before he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings to the Rays. It's not like this Toronto offense is a pushover, Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. As for Toronto starter Ross Stripling, he does have a very unimpressive 5.75 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 9 starts, but he's trending in the right direction with a 3.45 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Blue Jays +147! |
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06-16-21 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Brewers and Reds. These two offenses couldn't get anything going yesterday, as they headed to extra innings without a run on the board. Cincinnati wound up winning 2-1 in 10 innings with the two teams combing for just 6 hits. When you look at the starting pitching matchup for today's game, it's hard to see either offense getting back on track. The Reds' Tyler Mahle has been a beast when he's not having to start at home at hitter friendly Great American Ball Park. Mahle has a 1.44 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 8 road starts. Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who has been great from the get go. Peralta has a 2.32 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts with a 1.45 ERA and 0.563 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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06-15-21 | Reds -105 v. Brewers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Reds -105) I'll take my chances with the Reds as a slim -105 road favorite against the Brewers on Tuesday. We played on Cincinnati as a +133 dog and they won convincingly 10-2. I thought the Reds had a decisive edge on the mound and that was the case. I think it's more of the same in the second game of the series. Reds will send out Luis Castillo, who hasn't pitched close to expectations in 2021. Castillo is 2-9 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.578 WHIP over 13 starts. Thing is, he's on the right track. In fact, he's been great in his last two starts. He gave up just 1 run in 6 innings at St Louis and 3 runs in 5 2/3 innings against these Brewers in his last start. Note that despite giving up 3 runs, he did allow just 1 hit to Milwaukee. Brewers will send out Brett Anderson. He's 2-4 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.589 WHIP. Slightly better overall numbers than Castillo, but not by much. Difference is, he's trending in the wrong direction with a 6.75 ERA and 2.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Reds -105! |
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06-15-21 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's series opener between the Rangers and Astros. I just feel like it's asking a lot for these two teams to put up 9 runs in a game that will feature two of the AL's better starters. Texas will give the rock to Kyle Gibson, who has a sensational 2.14 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 12 starts. He's shown no signs of slowing down. In fact, he's got an even better 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. Houston will counter with Lance McCullers Jr. He's got a similarly strong 2.96 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in 9 starts. He too is trending right with a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. These two also have a great track record against the opponent. Gibson has a 2.49 ERA in 11 career starts against the Astros, having allowed just 5 runs (35 innings) in his last 5 starts vs Houston. McCullers has a mere 3.88 ERA in 11 starts vs Texas, but has allowed just 3 runs in his last 4 outings vs them. He's also now allowed more than 3 ER in 10 of the 11 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-14-21 | Padres v. Rockies +135 | 2-3 | Win | 135 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Rockies +135) I'll take a shot with the Rockies as a +135 home dog against the Padres in Monday's series opener. I just think this is a good spot to fade San Diego, even after a win. The big reason is the travel, as the Padres just finished up a series in New York against the Mets and now are going out west to Colorado, which will be a 3-hour time difference. I also think there is value with the Rockies, who are heading back home after playing the last 2 series on the road. Colorado is just 25-41 overall, but are 20-14 at Coors Field. Their home record is what you would expect to see from a top tier team. You also got to like that the Rockies will be starting Austin Gomber. He's quietly having a really strong season. He's 5-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.12 7 WHIP with a 9+ K/9. Gomber has also been great at home, posting a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 in 4 home starts. Give me the Rockies +135! |
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06-13-21 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) We have cashed the OVER in each of the first two games in this series between the Reds and Rockies. The two combined for 16 runs in the series opener on Friday and for 13 in yesterday's matchup. With another hot day at Great American Ball Park (heat index in the mid-upper 90s), I see no reason why they won't reach double-digits on Sunday. Reds could eclipse this total on their own. Cincinnati has done the heavy lifting in this series, scoring 11 and 10 runs in the first two games. Colorado has allowed 10 or more now in 3 straight and starter Antonio Senzatela comes in with an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.903 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Reds are starting Tony Santillan, who will be making his first ever big league start. While Santillan has pitched well in the minors, chances are he struggles in the tough pitching conditions today. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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06-13-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Tigers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Situational Run Line MASSACRE (White Sox -1.5, -143) I'll roll the dice with the White Sox on the -1.5 (-143) run line in Sunday's road game at Detroit. Chicago's offense was on point Saturdaying, scoring 15 runs in a blowout win over the Tigers. White Sox have now scored 25 runs in their last 3 games and if the offense produces anything close to like they have, they should win here by 2+ runs no problem. That's because Chicago will have one of their top starters going in Carlos Rodon, who has an exceptional 1.96 ERA and 0.888 WHIP in 10 starts this season. White Sox are 7-3 in his 10 starts with all 7 wins coming by at least 2 runs. That includes a start at home against the Tigers this season, where he gave up just 1 run on 2 hits with 12 Ks in 6 innings. Detroit is starting Kyle Funkhouser, who has only been used out of the bullpen and will essentially be serving as an "Opener" in this one. Give me the White Sox -1.5 (-143)! |
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06-12-21 | Cardinals +165 v. Cubs | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Smart Money DOG OF THE WEEK (Cardinals +165) I can't help myself but to take the Cardinals as a massive +165 road dog against the Cubs on Saturday. No way should St Louis be this big of a dog with John Gant on the mound. I know Gant was lit up for 7 runs in 4 innings in his last start, but that was just one bad outing. The guy had a 1.52 ERA in his 10 starts prior. Even after that outing he's got a 2.63 ERA and 1.592 WHIP. Cubs will have Kyle Hendricks on the mound. He's been a little better here of late, but has been a bit fortunate to have not allowed more runs. In his last 3 starts he's given up 9 runs in 19 1/3 innings, despite allowing 6 HR (give up 17 on the year). I just don't trust Hendricks that much anymore. Give me the Cardinals +165! |
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06-12-21 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Saturday SHARP MONEY Top Play (OVER 9) We cashed the OVER 9 in Friday's series opener between these two teams as they combined for 16 in Cincinnati's 11-5 win. That's now two straight games Colorado has given up 11 runs and the 6th time in their last 8 games they have allowed 6 or more runs. I know we got two decent starters going in German Marquez and Wade Miley, but it's going to be absolute brutal pitching conditions today with the heat index pushing 100 degrees and little to no wind (4 mph). Add in how the ball already flies out of Great American Ball Park, and it just doesn't seem like much for these two teams to hit double-digits. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-11-21 | Rockies v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 9) I will take my chances with the OVER 9 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Reds visiting the Rockies. With the way the ball flies out of Great American Ball Park, especially this time of year where it's 80+ degrees with some humidity, 10 runs really isn't a lot to ask for. You also got to like the pitching matchup for runs. Colorado's Kyle Freeland has a 6.23 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in 3 starts, giving up 19 hits and 8 walks in 13 innings of work. Reds' Tyler Mahle has a strong 3.18 ERA in 12 starts overall, but owns a 7.23 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 4 home outings. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-10-21 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10.5) I'll take my chances with the OVER 10.5 in Thursday's game between the Yankees and Twins. These two combined for 12 runs in Game 1 of this series and 15 in Game 2 yesterday. I see no reason not to expect another high scoring affair tonight. Yankees will be starting Michael King, who has given up 8 runs on 9 hits in 7 2/3 innings over 2 starts. I think it's also worth pointing out that King had a 7.75 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 9 appearances (4 starts) last year. Twins will counter with J.A. Happ, who has a 5.61 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 10 starts with a 6.19 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Also doesn't hurt that it's going to be in the mid 90's during this game with little to no wind. The heat could lead to both starters wearing down quick, as well as help the ball carry a little further. Give me the OVER 10.5! |
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06-09-21 | Royals v. Angels OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) I'll take my chances with the OVER 9 in Wednesday's late night action between the Angels/Royals. Both teams could be in store for a big day offensively in this one. KC is sending out Brad Keller, who has a 5.50 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 12 starts. He's also facing a LA lineup that has scored 33 runs in their last 4 games. Angels' will counter with Griffin Canning, who probably should be demoted. Canning has a 5.71 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 9 starts. He's only had one start all season where he's completed 6 innings. He's also got an 8.74 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 9! |
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06-09-21 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Wednesday MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 8.5) I love the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's game between the Twins/Yankees. Minnesota will have Randy Dobak on the mound. After not giving up a run in 6 innings in his first start at Cleveland, Dobak has allowed 9 runs on 17 hits and 3 walks in his last 2 starts. Yankees will have Gerrit Cole on the mound. While Cole is a big nam,e and has been pretty good so far in 2021, he just gave up 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start. I think his struggles could be part of him stopping using whatever illegal substance he was using. He's also facing a hot Twins lineup that has racked up 10+ hits in 4 of their last 5 games. Play the OVER 8.5! |
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06-08-21 | Brewers v. Reds -125 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Reds -125) Both teams come in hot. The Brewers have won 4 in a row and are 9-1 in their last 10. Reds are also riding a 4-game win streak and are 6-1 in their last 7. I just think this is a tough spot for Milwaukee, hitting the road for the first time in more than a week. I also look at who the Brewers are starting here. Adrian Houser is definitely one of the weaker options in the rotation. He's 3-5 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.294 WHIP. He's 0-3 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Reds. Just a few weeks ago (5/21) he gave up 6 runs in 4 innings at Cincinnati. Reds will go with Sonny Gray, who has pitched better than his 1-4 record would suggest. He's got a very modest 3.64 ERA in 9 starts and is trending up with a 3.24 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also got a 2.70 ERA in 10 career starts against the Brewers. Give me the Reds -125! |
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06-08-21 | Braves v. Phillies -152 | 9-5 | Loss | -152 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Situational Money Line MASSACRE (Phillies -152) I'll take a shot with the Phillies as a -152 home favorite against the Braves on Tuesday. Philadelphia has won 3 of their last 4, scoring 5 or more in all 3 wins, including a 17 and 12 spot. Hard to not like that offense against Atlanta's Drew Smyly. He's got a poor 5.98 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in 9 starts with a 7.47 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in his last 3 outings. On the flip side, the Phillies will turn to their ace, Aaron Nola. He's not been elite, but still really good with a 3.84 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 12 starts. Key with Nola, is he's been elite at home. He's got a 2.35 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in 5 home starts. Give me the Phillies -152! |
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06-06-21 | A's v. Rockies +104 | 1-3 | Win | 104 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockies +104) I'll roll the dice with the Rockies at basically a pick'em at home against the A's on Sunday. I think there's value with Colorado right now, especially at home. Rockies are a different team at home with the way they can score runs and the opposing pitchers not really being familiar with the thin air of Coors Field. I like the Rockies offense quite a bit in this matchup. James Kaprielian will start for Oakland. He's been okay. He had one great start at home. In his 3 other starts, all on the road, he has a 4.39 ERA and 1.395 WHIP. This will be his first time starting at Coors Field. Colorado will turn to German Marquez, who has been absolutely lights out of late. In his last 3 starts, Marquez has a 0.90 ERA and 0.750 WHIP, with 2 of the 3 coming at home. Marquez faced Oakland twice last year and was effective in each outing, giving up 1 run in 6 innings and 3 in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the Rockies +104! |
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06-05-21 | A's v. Rockies +116 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockies +116) I got a play pending on the Rockies Friday and will not hesitate to lock in Colorado as a home dog on Saturday. I just think the market on the Rockies right now is really good. It's crazy how much better Colorado has been at home than on the road. The Rockies are 19-12 at home going into Friday's series opener and just 4-22 on the road. Colorado's bats started to heat up on the end of their last road trip at Pittsburgh and were red-hot in their 3-game home series with the Rangers, scoring 20 runs on 37 hits. I could see them having a big day here against Oakland's Cole Irvin. In his last 3 starts, Irvin has a 7.47 ERA and 1.723 WHIP as he's allowed 13 ER on 24 hits and 3 walks with just 6 K's in 15 2/3 innings. This will also be Irving's first ever start at Coors Field, which is easily the toughest place to pitch in the majors. Give me the Rockies +116! |
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06-05-21 | Cubs v. Giants -165 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Money Line MASSACRE (Giants -165) I cashed in on the Giants' 7-2 win over the Cubs in Thursday's series opener. Only reason I didn't take SF again on Friday is because there was some uncertainty around who would start for the Giants and in the end I just don't trust Scott Kazmir enough. Win or lose, I love the Giants as a big favorite on Saturday. I think the Cubs are going to struggle offensively on this west coast road trip that has them headed to San Diego on Monday. They certainly don't figure to do much on Saturday against San Francisco's Kevin Gausman. He's been nearly unittable with a 1.40 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in 11 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts and given up just 4 in his last 8 outings. Only given up more than 1 in one of his 11 starts. Give me the Giants -165! |
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06-04-21 | A's v. Rockies +116 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Friday Night MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockies +116) I played and won with the Rockies in each of their 3-games in their recent sweep of the Rangers. No way I'm jumping off that money train with Colorado as a home dog in Friday's series opener against the A's. I kept saying the Rockies were on the verge of a breakout game offensively and it finally happened last night. Colorado put up 11 runs on 16 hits. No coincidence the Rockies find their stroke at the plate at Coors Field. I like them to stay hot against A's starter Frankie Montas whose only start at Coors came back in 2018. On the flip side, Rockies will give the ball to Jon Gray. It's been an up and down start to the 2021 season for Gray, but he's been rock solid at home. Colorado has won 5 of his 7 home starts, where he has a sensational 2.36 ERA and 0.952 WHIP. Give me the Rockies +116! |
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06-04-21 | Diamondbacks +185 v. Brewers | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Vegas Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK (Diamondbacks +185) You won't find me playing a ton of big favorites or dogs over the -150/+150 mark, but this is one dog I just can't help myself with. Arizona should not be a near 2 to 1 dog in Friday's game. For starters, the Diamondbacks will send out a red-hot starter in Matt Peacock, who has a 2.76 ERA and 0.9800 WHIP in 3 starts. That includes a road start at the Dodgers, where he held LA to just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 1/3 innings. Freddy Peralta comes in at 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in 10 starts. That's impressive, but if you look closely he's had a pretty favorable first 10 starts in terms of offenses he's faced. He's also got a really low .206 BABIP and relatively high 10.8 BB%. Arizona's offense is also swinging a hot back. Dbacks outhit the Brewers 13-7 yesterday and lost 4-7 (left 14 on base). Arizona is averaging 5.3 runs/game with a .281 AVG and .352 OBP in their last 7 games. Give me the Diamondbacks +185! |
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06-03-21 | Cubs v. Giants -123 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Late Night Money Line MASSACRE (Giants -123) I've been on the Cubs a lot of late and they come in having won 9 of their last 10. As hard as it is to go against a team playing as well as Chicago, I can't help myself in this spot. The Cubs had to finish up their 3-game series with the Padres at Wrigley on Wednesday. They then had to fly way out west for a game against the Giants. San Francisco not only didn't have to travel with their last series at home against the Angels, they were off yesterday. I just think it gives the Giants a big edge going into this game. It's also not like SF is playing poorly. They are 6-2 over their last 8. It's also worth noting that Cubs starter Zach Davis has really struggled when he's not pitching at Wrigley Field. Davies has an ugly 6.41 ERA and 2.034 WHIP in 5 road starts. Give me the Giants -123! |
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06-03-21 | Rangers v. Rockies -126 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockies -126) I've won with the Rockies in each of the first two games in this series and will fire back with Colorado on Thursday. I mentioned yesterday this Rockies offense was on the verge of breaking out after leaving 23 guys on base in their last 2 games. They still left 9 on the bases Wednesday, but this time scored 6 runs. I could easily see them going off for a big number today. Mike Foltynewicz will start for the Rangers and he's made 7 career starts against the Rockies and his team has lost all 7. He hasn't started at Coors since giving up 8 runs in 3 1/3 innings back in 2017. As for Colorado, they will give the rock to Austin Gomber, who has posted an impressive 1.88 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. He's also facing a Rangers offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games. Give me the Rockies -126! |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies -108 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockies -108) We cashed in the Rockies with our Free Pick on Tuesday and will go even bigger on Colorado in Game 2 Wednesday. This is just an amazing price to get the Rockies at home, especially against a bad team like the Rangers, who can't get their offense going. Texas has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. They haven't recorded more than 4 hits in each of their last 3 games. Rockies have only scored 7 runs in their last 2 games, but have left a staggering 23 guys on base in those two games. Both games leaving double-digit runners on base. You keep putting guys on base like that, the flood gates are going to open sooner rather than later. I think that could be today with the Rangers sending out Jordan Lyles. He's 2-4 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 11 starts. Give me the Rockies -108! |
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06-01-21 | Angels v. Giants -150 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday MAX UNIT Top Play (Giants -150) I will gladly take the Giants -150 at home against the Angels. San Francisco keeps winning and continues to show value. The Giants are 34-20, have won 4 straight and yet are only laying -150 at home with a pretty sizeable edge on the mound. San Francisco will have Alex Wood on the rubber. Wood has been a huge surprise. He's got a 2.44 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 8 starts. He's got 9+ K/9 and a 50/11 K/BB ratio in 48 innings. Andrew Heaney will start for the Angels. Heaney is 2-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 9 starts. He's trending in the wrong direction with a 7.71 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last two outings, he's given up 8 R on 10 hits and 6 walks in 8 2/3 innings. Giants have also scored at least 5 runs in 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. Angels haven't scored more than 4 runs in each of their last 5. Give me the Giants -150! |
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05-31-21 | Angels v. Giants -144 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Giants -144) This is just too good a price to pass up on San Francisco at home with the edge they have on the mound. Giants are sending out veteran Johnny Cueto, who has a strong 3.11 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 4 home starts. Cueto should be nearing into form with this being his 5th start back after missing almost a month on the IL. As for the Angels, they will let Dylan Bundy try to figure out his problems. Bundy is 0-5 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 9 starts. He's got an atrocious 15.84 ERA and 2.277 WHIP over his last 3 starts. LA has also not been hitting the ball well, as they have scored just 9 total runs in their last 4 games combined. Give me the Giants -144! |
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05-30-21 | Orioles v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money Vegas STEAMROLLER (White Sox -1.5, -120) I will gladly take my chances with the White Sox on the -1.5 run line as they host the Orioles on Sunday. This game has the makings of a blowout with Chicago sending out Lucas Giolito against Baltimore's lefty Keegan Akin. Chicago's offense absolutely owns left-handed starters. They are 12-3 this season against south paw starters, scoring 7.3 runs/game with a .292 BA and .373 OBP. Giolito had all kinds of struggles early in the year, but he seems to have figured it out. In his last two starts Giolito has been dominant, giving up just 3 ER on 8 hits with 16 Ks in 14 innings. I expect more of the same today. Give me the White Sox -1.5 (-120)! |
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05-29-21 | Reds v. Cubs -111 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Money Line MASSACRE (Cubs -111) I will take my chances with the Cubs at basically even money at home against the Reds on Saturday. I've cashed on Chicago each of the last two days and will keep riding this team during their best stretch of baseball this season. Cubs have now won 5 straight and 10 of their last 12 overall. Reds are headed in the exact opposite direction, going just 3-8 over their last 11. You also have to give the edge on the mound to Chicago. Cubs will send out Zach Davies, who has a strong 2.35 ERA over his last 3 starts. He threw 5 scoreless at St Louis in his last outing. This is a plus matchup against this Reds offense. Cincinnati will turn to Luis Castillo, who has been a major disappointment this season. Castillo is 1-7 with a 7.61 ERA and 1.796 WHIP. He's got an even worse 10.53 ERA and 2.195 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I like the Cubs to find away to score enough at home to take this one. Give me Chicago -111! |
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05-28-21 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -109 | 8-6 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Diamondbacks -109) I think we are getting a huge discount Friday night on Arizona at basically a pick'em at home against the Cardinals. I think the value here stems from Diamondbacks starter Madison Bumgarner coming off a bad start. Thing is, that start came at Coors Field, so don't sweat it. Guy was rolling before that outing and I'm confident he will return right back to form. I definitely trust him a lot more than Cardinals' starter Johan Oviedo. I know it's been limited action with just 3 starts and 11 innings pitched, but the guy has a 8.13 ERA and 1.545 WHIP with almost as many walks (7) as he does K's (9). Give me the Diamondbacks -109! |
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05-27-21 | Orioles v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (White Sox -1.5, -111) I can't help myself but to play the White Sox on the -1.5 run line in Thursday's home game against the Orioles. There's a lot to like about this play. For starters, Baltimore is in a major funk right now. Orioles come into this game having lost 9 straight. Baltimore will also be starting lefty Bruce Zimmermann, who is 1-3 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in 7 starts. Orioles have managed to win just once in his 7 starts. Not only that, but Chicago's offense has destroyed lefties this year. White Sox are 10-3 vs left-handed starters, scoring 7.8 runs/game with a .292 BA and .375 OBP. On top of all that, Chicago has Dylan Cease on the mound. White Sox are 4-1 in his 5 home starts this season, where he owns a 2.10 ERA and 1.130 WHIP over 25 2/3 innings. Give me Chicago -1.5 (-111)! |
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05-26-21 | Orioles v. Twins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Twins -1.5, +102) We won and played on the Twins -1.5 run line on Tuesday and will fire right back with Minnesota on the -1.5 run line Wednesday. This is the time to buy the Twins after their awful start to the 2021 season. Minnesota is 5-1 over their last 6 games and have scored 6 or more runs in all 5 wins and won each of those contests by at least 3 runs. The Twins offense should stay hot here against Orioles starter Jorge Lopez, who is 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 9 starts. On the flip side, Baltimore figures to struggle to score against Minnesota starer Michael Pineda, who has a sensational 2.79 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Give me the Twins -1.5 (+102)! |
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05-25-21 | Dodgers v. Astros +109 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Dodgers/Astros Money Line MASSACRE (Astros +109) I will gladly roll the dice with the Astros as a small home dog against the Dodgers. LA is down a lot of big bats right now, potentially playing this one without Mookie Betts. Even if Betts plays, I like the Astros in this one. I look for Zach Greinke to have another great outing, as the Dodgers could be a little slow at the plate going from playing 3 games in SF to Houston. Greinke has 6 quality starts in 10 outings and is coming off two great starts at home against the Rangers and at Oakland. On the flip side, Dodgers will send out Clayton Kershaw. He's 6-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.953 WHIP, but has been a bit inconsistent in 2021. His ERA is just 3.65 on the road. He's only made 1 start outside the state of California and that was at the Cubs back on 5/4. He only pitched 1 inning after giving up 4 runs on 4 hits and 2 walks. Give me the Astros +109! |
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05-25-21 | Reds v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
50* (MLB) National League RUN LINE OF THE MONTH (Nationals -1.5, +118) I love the value here with the Nationals on the -1.5 (+118) run line as they host the Reds on Tuesday. Washington will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound. He's off to a great start to 2021 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.852 WHIP in 9 starts. Scherzer has been even tougher on opponents at home, where he's got a 1.61 ERA and 0.679 WHIP in 4 starts (all 4 wins for Nationals). Scherzer should have his way with a depleted Reds lineup that has struggled to get their offense going on the road. I also like Washington's offense in this one. Nationals couldn't have hit much better in their 3-game home series against the Orioles, scoring 22 runs on 38 hits (at least 11 in each game). They will be up against Reds starter Tyler Mahle, who is coming off a start where he gave up 7 runs in 2 innings. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+118)! |
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05-24-21 | Padres v. Brewers -114 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (Brewers -114) I love the price we are getting with Milwaukee as a mere -114 home favorite against the Padres. Milwaukee will be returning home from a 5-game road trip with some much needed confidence at the plate. Brewers have scored 4 or more runs in 4 straight, including a 9 run outburst in Sunday's finale against the Reds. They figure to stay hot here against San Diego's Blake Snell. It's been a real rough go for Snell on the road this season. He's got a 6.75 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in 4 road starts. Padres have lost all 4. On the flip side, Milwaukee will send out ace Brandon Woodruff, who has a sensational 1.58 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in 9 starts. Woodruff has been even better than that of late, posting a 1.23 ERA and 0.636 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Brewers -114! |
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05-23-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Indians -138) Easy play here on the Indians as a small home favorite. Cleveland will send out Zach Plesac. He's got a 2.93 ERA and 0.687 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. He's also got a 2.74 ERA in his last 3 outings. Twins will counter with J.A. Happ. He's got a 5.35 ERA in 7 starts overall, 7.54 ERA in 3 road outings and 11.68 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the Indians -138! |
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05-22-21 | Tigers +128 v. Royals | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY (Tigers +128) I think we are getting big time value with the Tigers as a +128 road dog against the Royals on Saturday. You could argue Detroit should be favored in this one with Matt Boyd on the mound. Great players on bad teams can get overlooked and Boyd is one of those. He's been one of the best starters early on with 2.45 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in 8 starts. He's already faced the Royals twice this year and has given up a mere 1 ER on 7 hits and 2 walks in 14 innings. Brady Singer will go for KC and he just gave up 4 runs in 3 1/3 innings against these Tigers on 5/11. Singer has a 5.28 ERA in his last 3 starts. Royals have lost all 3. KC is also just 1-3 in his 4 home starts. Give me the Tigers +128! |
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05-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -103 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Afternoon Money Line MASSACRE (Rockies -103) I think we are getting a steal with Colorado at basically a pick'em at home against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. Arizona is going to have Madison Bumgarner on the mound and he's been great of late, but I think he struggles to pitch well, as most do, at Coors Field. In Bumgarner's last 4 starts at Coors Field he's given up 20 runs in 21 innings. I also think we could see Arizona's offense continue to struggle. They could only manage 1 run in the series opener Friday. That's now a staggering 6 straight games where they have scored 2 or fewer runs. Rockies will have Antonio Senzatela on the mound and while he's struggled for most of 2021, he was great in his last start at home against the Reds, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. Give me Colorado -103! |
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05-21-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11 | 1-7 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11) I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 11 in Friday's series opener between NL West rivals Colorado and Arizona. The ball figures to be flying out of Coors Field tonight. Not only will temps by in the high 70s, but the wind will be blowing out to right center at close to 15 mph. We also got a subpar pitching matchup with Arizona sending out Seth Frankoff and the Rockies turning to German Marquez. Not to mention both offenses will be happy to see Coors Field. Dbacks just played a 4-game series at the Dodgers and the Rockies played 3 in a row at San Diego. Both of those parks heavily favor pitching. Play the OVER 11! |
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05-21-21 | White Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 8.5) I like the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Yankees hosting the White Sox. I just don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. The ball doesn't figure to be carrying all that great at Yankee Stadium tonight and we got two quality starters going. Chicago will send out Carlos Rodon, who I think is poised for a big bounce back performance after not having near his best stuff in his last start against the Royals. Rodon gave up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 5 2/3 innings, yet he still comes into this game with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in 6 starts. New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery. While Montgomery has a 4.75 ERA in 8 starts, he has a very strong 1.152 WHIP in those 8 outings. He's also got a strong 3.98 FIP and 3.85 xFIP. His numbers have been more true at home where he has a 3.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 3 starts. Play the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-20-21 | Pirates v. Braves -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Braves -1.5, +110) I will gladly take my chances with the Braves on the -1.5 run line as Atlanta gets ready to open a 3-game home series against the Pirates. Pittsburgh has a nobody on the mound in William Crowe and with the way the Pirates struggle to score, this has blowout written all over it. Braves will send out Drew Smyly. I know he's just 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.355 WHIP, but he's coming in off two great starts. He didn't give up a ER in 6 innings at the Nationals and then came right back and allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings at Milwaukee. Another big plus here is the Pirates are scoring just 2.8 runs/game and hitting .207 as a team this season vs left-handed starters. Give me the Braves -1.5! |
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05-20-21 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I like the UNDER 8 in Thursday's NL East showdown between the Marlins and Phillies. I think this total should be 7.5 if not 7. Miami's Sandy Alcantara had a really bad start last time out, but that was on the road against the Dodgers. In his previous 4 starts he hadn't allowed more than 2 runs, throwing 6 or more innings in 3 of those 4 outings. Alcantara also owns a strong 2.82 ERA in 6 career starts against the Phillies. Vincent Velasquez will get the start for Philadelphia. He's off to a great start to the 2021 season. Velasquez owns a 2.84 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 5 starts with a 1.59 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 outings. I just don't see either offense doing much in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-19-21 | Brewers v. Royals UNDER 7.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) I like the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's Royals/Brewers interleague showdown. KC won the opener 2-0 in an extremely low scoring affair on Tuesday. UNDER is now 6-1 in Royals last 7. Brewers managed just 3 hits in the loss yesterday, second time in their last 3 games they have held to a mere 3 hits. Brewers have also now scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. Milwaukee's struggles on offense are why I'm not worrying too much about the poor numbers for Royals starter Brad Keller. Note that while Keller has a 6.75 ERA in 8 starts, he's coming off two strong outings, as he's allowed just 5 runs with 13 K's in 11 innings over his last 2 starts. Brewers will have Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has been one of the NL's best early on. Burnes has a 1.57 ERA and 0.641 WHIP in 6 starts. Play the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-19-21 | Nationals -146 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Wednesday MAX UNIT Top Play (Nationals -146) I will gladly take my chances here with the Nationals at this price. Cubs have won the first two games of this series, but each of those wins came with Washington starting a lefty. Chicago's offense is just built for lefties. They scoring close to 6 runs/game against southpaw starters, compared to just 3.7 vs righties. Cubs are 11-3 this season vs left-handed starters. Nationals will not only have a righty on the mound, but one of the best in baseball in Max Scherzer, who is off to a spectacular start with a 2.10 ERA and 0.760 WHIP in 8 starts. In his last 3 starts, Scherzer has given up just 2 runs on 9 hits with 30 K's in 21 1/3 innings. Give me the Nationals -146! |
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05-18-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 7.5) I like the UNDER 7.5 in Tuesday's NL Central showdown between the Pirates and Cardinals. Really underrated starting pitching matchup here with St Louis' John Gant facing off against Pittsburgh's J.T. Brubaker. Gant has a 1.84 ERA in 7 starts with the UNDER cashing in 6 of those. Brubaker has a 2.58 ERA in 7 starts with 5 of those staying UNDER the mark. I just don't see these two getting to 8 runs tonight. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-17-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday MAX UNIT Top Play (Yankees -1.5, -160) Easy play here on the Yankees with the -1.5 run line, as New York will take on the Rangers Monday. Yankees have won 6 of 8 and just had a huge offensive series at Baltimore, scoring 19 runs on 30 hits in a 3-game series. NY will take that red-hot offense up against the Rangers Jordan Lyles, who is 1-3 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in 8 starts. Lyles has also been awful at home, posting a 12.27 ERA and 2.636 WHIP in 3 starts. On the flip side, Yankees will have ace Gerrit Cole on the mound, who is 5-1 with a 1.37 ERA and 0.684 WHIP in 8 starts. Cole is also 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 road starts. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-160)! |
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05-16-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Sunday MAX UNIT Top Play (Blue Jays -1.5) I'll take my chances with the Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line as Toronto will have a massive edge on the mound in this one with Robbie Ray going up against the Phillies Chase Anderson. Ray has been a big surprise for Toronto. He's got a 3.37 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 6 starts. This is after he won just 2 games and posted a 6.62 ERA and 1.90 WHIP last year with both the Dbacks and Blue Jays. Ray has a career high 4.3 K/BB going early on in 2021. It's his best mark in this department since he had a 3.1 K/BB back in 2017 with Arizona. That year Ray went 15-5 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Anderson is 2-3 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.387 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also been worse on the road, where he owns a 7.10 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Blue Jays -1.5 (-102)! |
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05-15-21 | Indians -117 v. Mariners | 3-7 | Loss | -117 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Indians -117) I think we are getting a great price with Cleveland as a small road favorite on Saturday against the Mariners. Not only are we laying a short price with the better team, but I give the Indians a decent edge on the mound. Cleveland will send out Triston McKenzie. This is a talented young kid who struggled early on. He didn't struggle in his last start, as he tossed 5 scoreless at the Royals. This is a plus matchup for McKenzie. Seattle is not a good offensive team. Going into Friday's game they had scored 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and totaling just 9 runs total in those 4 games. Seattle will send out Justus Sheffield, who was absolutely rocked in his last start. Sheffield gave up 5 ER on 10 hits (2 HR) in 5 innings. It was the second time in his last 3 outings that he's allowed double-digit hits (gave up 12 to the Astros on 4/26). Give me the Indians -117! |
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05-15-21 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL Central RUN LINE OF THE MONTH (White Sox -1.5) I love the White Sox on the -1.5 run line in Saturday's division matchup with the Royals. You got the early AL Cy Young favorite on the mound for Chicago in Carlos Rodon against the struggling Mike Minor of KC. Rodon is 5-0 with a 0.58 ERA and 0.677 WHIP in 5 starts. He's given up just 2 ER in 31 innings with a crazy 44/9 K/BB ratio. Minor is 2-2 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 7 starts. Trending with a 7.37 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention the White Sox have torched lefty starters this season, scoring 8.7 runs/game with a .308 AVG, .388 OBP and .520 SLG. Give me the White Sox -1.5 (+110)! |
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05-14-21 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I'll take a shot here with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the Braves and Brewers. I know this doesn't look like a top tier pitching matchup, but there's reason to be optimistic that both starters perform well here. Drew Smyly gets the ball for Atlanta. He's got an ugly 6.12 ERA and 1.480 WHIP, but he's coming off by far his best start of the season. Smyly didn't give up a ER in 6 innings at the Nationals. He really took advantage of a bad Washington offense. He gets a similarly poor offense in this one. Milwaukee is bottom 10 in the league in runs scored They are averaging 2.0 runs/game and hitting .180 as a team in their last 7. They also are scoring just 2.8 runs/game this season vs left-handed starters. Brewers will send out Adrian Houser, who has a respectable 3.44 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in 7 starts. He too is off a strong outing, as he allowed just 2 ER on 5 hits with 10 Ks in 6 innings at Miami. That's two straight starts he's went 6 innings and allowed only 2 ER. He also could be catching a huge break here with Ronald Acuna Jr questionable after leaving yesterday's game with an ankle injury. GIve me the UNDER 8! |
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05-14-21 | Mets v. Rays -151 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Friday Night *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Rays -151) I got no problem laying the big juice here with Tampa Bay at home against the Mets. The Rays offense snapped out of a funk in a big way, as they scored 9 runs on 10 hits in a 8-run win over the Yankees. TB had scored a total of 9 runs in their previous 5 games combined. You got to like them to stay hot against Mets starter David Peterson. He's 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.346 WHIP in 6 starts. He's 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA and 1.703 WHIP in 3 road starts. TB will also have their best starter going in Tyler Glasnow, who has a 2.37 ERA and 0.892 WHIP in 8 starts with a 2.18 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in 3 home starts. Give me the Rays -151! |
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05-13-21 | Indians v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Late Night *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 7.5) I love the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's late night action on the west coast that has Indians at the Mariners. Neither of these teams are great offensively. Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and Seattle has scored 4 or fewer in 3 straight. You also got a great starting pitching matchup with Indians' Zach Plesac against Mariners' top prospect Logan Gilbert. Plesac has been outstanding of late with a 1.27 ERA and 0.7500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts. Gilbert is a kid that has elite level stuff and I really like him to pitch well against this Indians lineup. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-12-21 | Blue Jays v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 7.5) I just think there's a ton of value with the OVER at 7.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Braves and Blue Jays. OVER is 12-5 in Atlanta home games this season with an average combined score of 10.7 runs/game. Toronto is averaging 5.9 runs/game over their last 7 and the Braves are scoring 5.1 runs/game at home and 5.6 runs/game in night games this season. Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 3.31 ERA in 6 starts, but a 4.15 ERA on the road and a 5.27 ERA in his last 3 outings. Max Fried has a 8.44 ERA and 2.062 WHIP in 4 starts. I could see both teams going over this number. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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05-12-21 | Royals -144 v. Tigers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Wednesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Royals -144) I will gladly take my chances here with Kansas City on the road against the Tigers. The Royals are primed to put an end to their losing streak. KC will have Danny Duffy on the mound. He's 4-2 with a 1.26 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in 6 starts. He's also 3-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 3 road starts. Detroit will send out Casey Mize, who is 1-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.347 WHIP. Mize also has a 7.27 ERA and 1.961 WHIP in 2 home starts. KC scored 6 runs on 7 hits before chasing Mize out of the game 4 2/3 innings in back on April 23rd. Give me the Royals -144! |
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05-11-21 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) I love the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's NL showdown between Miami and Arizona. Two of the hottest starters in the game will be facing off in this one. Marlins' Pablo Lopez has a 2.04 ERA in 7 starts and a 0.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Diamondbacks' Madison Bumgarner had a bit of a rough start to 2021, but has a 1.00 ERA and 0.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. These two starters squared off against each other in Miami last week (5/6) and the game finished with just 4 runs, as the two starters combined to pitch 11 innings, giving up just 1 ER on 5 hits. UNDER is also a strong 13-3 in Marlins last 16 road games after 2 straight games scoring 2 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-11-21 | A's v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) I really like the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's AL matchup between Boston and Oakland. That's because I love the starting pitching matchup with the Red Sox sending out Nathan Eovaldi and the A's countering with Chris Bassitt. Eovaldi has a not so great 4.39 ERA with a solid 1.205 WHIP in 7 starts, but has really been unlucky with a .342 BABIP. That shows in his amazing 2.05 FIP and strong 3.26 xFIP. Bassitt has a 3.70 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 7 starts with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 outings. I know the wind is going to be blowing out slightly to right, but it's as big a concern with these two guys on the mound. Eovaldi has not allowed a HR this season and Bassitt has allowed just 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-09-21 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 7.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 7.5) I will gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's AL Central showdown between the Royals and White Sox. There just doesn't figure to be a lot of scoring opportunities in this game. Chicago will have ace Lucas Giolito on the mound. He's not been as dominant as expected early on, but has definitely pitched better than his numbers. The only thing that's killing him is the long ball. Something he doesn't figure to have to worry about much today with the wind blowing in from left field at close to 15 mph and temps expected to be in the mid 40's. Those conditions will also make life easier on KC starter Mike Minor. While Minor's numbers are also not great so far, he's owned Chicago with a 3.18 ERA in 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-08-21 | Phillies v. Braves -163 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - NL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (Braves -163) I got no problem laying the -163 on the money line with the Braves on Saturday. Atlanta will have one of the top young starters in the game on the mound in Ian Anderson, who has put together a solid start to 2021 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.212 WHIP. He's got a 2.04 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Phillies will counter with Vincent Velasquez, who has a 3.77 ERA and 1.326 WHIP in 3 starts. Those numbers jump up to a 5.40 ERA and 1.561 WHIP in 2 road starts. Velasquez also owns a poor 5.02 ERA and 1.552 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Braves. Give me Atlanta -163! |
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05-07-21 | Brewers v. Marlins -129 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE (Marlins -129) The Marlins are worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Brewers. Not only is Miami going into this series with confidence after a 3-game sweep of the Dbacks at home in their last series, but they got a top tier starter on the mound in Trevor Rogers. Rogers has a 1.91 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 6 starts. He'll be up against Brewers reliever Brent Suter, who is making his first start of 2021. Milwaukee's going to really need their bullpen to pitch well and I just don't see them being good enough to keep up with Rogers on the other side. Give me the Marlins -129! |
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05-06-21 | Indians v. Royals -125 | 4-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Royals -125) I will gladly take my chances with the Royals as a slim -125 home favorite against the Indians on Thursday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on KC with Danny Duffy on the mound. Duffy has been one of the best starters in all of baseball to start out the 2021 season. He's 4-1 with a 0.60 ERA and 0.967 WHIP in 5 starts. Not the first time he's been undervalued. In fact Royals have been a dog in 3 of his 5 starts and prior to this game no more than a -115 favorite. Adding to all of this, Indians are sending out the struggling Triston MCKenzie, who has an ugly 7.20 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me Royals -125! |
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05-05-21 | Blue Jays +113 v. A's | 9-4 | Win | 113 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Late Night Money Line SLAUGHTER (Blue Jays +113) This is an easy play for me on the Blue Jays as a +113 road dog against the A's. I actually have Toronto favored in this game. Blue Jays will have Robbie Ray on the mound and he's been outstanding in his 4 starts, posting a 2.78 ERA and 1.191 WHIP. What I love is the consistency. Ray has not allowed more than 3 runs in any outing. He's also working deeper in games. After only making it 5 innings in his first 2 starts, he's gone 6 and 6 2/3 in his last two. Chris Bassitt will start for the A's and he's got a respectable 3.93 ERA and 1.282 WHIP in 6 starts. However, Bassitt is 0-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in 3 home starts. He's also got a 4.43 ERA and 1.433 WHIP in 4 night starts. Give me the Blue Jays +113! |
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05-05-21 | Giants v. Rockies -106 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockies -106) I really like the value here with the Rockies as a slim -106 home favorite against the Giants. Colorado pulled off an epic comeback in the second game of Tuesday's double-header. Rockies scored 6 times in the bottom of the 7th, winning the game 8-6 on a 3-run HR by Blackmon. Having lost 5 of their previous 6, Colorado desperately needed that win. They got all the momentum going into today's game and will have a huge edge on the mound with Jon Gray going up against Logan Webb. Gray has a 3.15 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 6 starts, but even more impressively is 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA and 0.986 WHIP in 4 home starts. Webb has a 4.28 ERA and 1.573 WHIP in 5 starts and a 5.87 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in 3 road outings. Give me the Rockies -106! |
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05-04-21 | Blue Jays v. A's -120 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (A's -120) I will roll the dice with the A's as a small -120 home favorite against the Blue Jays. Oakland has won back-to-back games after losing 4 of 5, including a 5-4 win over Toronto in the series opener on Monday. For me this is just too good a price to pass up with what looks like a clear-cut edge on the mound for Oakland. A's are sending out Cole Irvin, who has posted a 3.67 ERA in 5 starts. Blue Jays are counting with Anthony Kay, who gave up 4 ER on 6 hits in 3 1/3 in his only start of 2021. Since 2019, Kay has pitched 38 1/3 innings, making 3 starts. He's got a 5.87 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. No reason to not expect more bad pitching from him in this outing. Give me the A's -120! |
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05-04-21 | White Sox v. Reds OVER 9 | 9-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 9 in Tuesday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Reds. The OVER is a pretty easy play when Cincinnati is at home. OVER is 12-3 in Reds' home games this season with an average combined score of 13.4 runs/game. I know the two starters going, Dylan Cease and Jeff Hoffman have been decent early on, but both of these teams are scoring a lot of runs when these two are on the mound. OVER has cashed in 4 of Cease's 5 starts and is a perfect 5-0 in Hoffman's 5 starts. Neither of these teams have a good bullpen, so if either starter struggles we could see one of these teams eclipse the mark on their own. Give me the OVER 9! |
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05-02-21 | Indians v. White Sox -155 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -155 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL Central Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH (White Sox -155) I really like the White Sox at this price on their home field with ace Lucas Giolito on the mound Sunday. Chicago won 7-3 on Saturday and are now 9-3 over their last 12 games. Giolito didn't have his best stuff last time out against Detroit, but was a couple mistakes (2 HR) from putting together a solid outing, as he only gave up 4 runs in 6 2/3. What I like is he's owned the Indians with a 2.26 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in 8 career starts against Cleveland. That includes a start this season, where he tossed 7 scoreless innings, giving up just 3 hits and strikeout 8. On the flip side of this, Cleveland will send out Zach Plesac. He's 1-3 with a 5.81 ERA in 5 starts and has a 10.79 ERA and 2.249 WHIP in his 2 road starts this season. On top of that, Plesac has really struggled against the White Sox. He's 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA in 7 starts. That includes two starts this season. First time he faced Chicago he was pulled after recording just 2 outs, as he gave up 6 runs. He was able to go 5 innings in the second go against the White Sox, but allowed another 6 runs. Give me the White Sox -155! |
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05-01-21 | Cardinals -137 v. Pirates | Top | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Saturday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Cardinals -137) I love the value here with St Louis as a relatively small road favorite against the Pirates. Cardinals won the series opener 7-3, improving to 6-2 over their last 8 games. Pirates have now lost two straight since winning 3 in a row. No way the Cardinals shouldn't be at least -150 favorite here with this pitching matchup. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty. He's 4-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.953 WHIP in 5 starts (all 5 starts have led to Cardinal wins). He's also gone 6-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Pirates. On top of that, St Louis is now 12-2 in their last 14 road games against the Pirates. Give me the Cardinals -137! |
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04-30-21 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 8 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Under 8) I will take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between AL Central rivals Kansas City and Minnesota. Two really good starters will be on the mound for this one. Kansas City will send out Brady Singer and the Twins counter with Michael Pineda. Singer has a 2.95 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 4 starts. He's really been exceptional since giving up 5 runs in 3 1/3 in his first outing of the season. In his 3 starts since, he's posted a 1.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP with 20 K's in 18 innings of work. Pineda has been equally impressive early on. He's got a 2.42 ERA and 0.896 WHIP in 4 starts. He too has had just one bad outing this year. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-29-21 | A's v. Rays UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) I will take the UNDER 8 in Thursday's early MLB matchup that has the A's and Rays finishing up their 4-game series in Tampa. There's been little to no offense in the first 3 games of this series. In fact, the two teams have combined to score a mere 12 runs in the series. I just don't think the total should be 8 with the way these two are swinging the bat. Big reason why there's value here is the Rays are sending out a relatively unknown starter in Shane McClanahan. His only MLB action came in the playoffs last year. While he didn't pitch great in the postseason, this is not only one of Tampa Bay's best prospects, it's one of the top pitching prospects in the game. He's got big time swing and miss stuff. On the flip side, the A's will be sending out Chris Bassitt, who has a strong 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Bassitt has allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings with 8 K's in each of his last two starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-29-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Yankees -1.5, -119) I will gladly take the Yankees on the -1.5 run line. New York has finally got their offense going and when this team gets hot at the plate they are going to win a lot of games. Yankees have compiled 12 runs on 24 hits in their last two games against the Orioles, outscoring Baltimore 12-1 in the process. I expect another lopsided win on Thursday with the edge New York has on the mound. Yankees will send out Jordan Montgomery. Yes he has a not so great 4.57 ERA, but a very strong 1.015 WHIP and 3.74 xFIP suggest he's been a lot better than that ERA would lead you to believe. Also love seeing that Montgomery owns a 2.51 ERA in 8 career starts against the Orioles. Another factor here is who the O's have on the mound. Baltimore will send out Jorge Lopez, who has been pretty bad in his 4 starts. Lopez owns a 8.15 ERA and 1.415 WHIP. He's also got a 6.62 ERA in 4 career starts against the Yankees. Give me New York -1.5 (-119)! |
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04-28-21 | Angels v. Rangers +115 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Undervalued Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY (Rangers +115) Love the value here with the Rangers as a small home dog against the Angels on Wednesday. I think Texas has the clear edge on the mound here with them sending out Dane Dunning and LA sending out Alex Cobb. Dunning has a 3.06 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in 4 starts. He's also been nearly unhittable at home, posting a 0.82 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in two home starts. Cobb has a 6.28 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Rangers +115! |
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04-28-21 | Cubs v. Braves -127 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Braves -127) I will lay the small juice with the Braves at home against the Cubs. I know both of these starters pitched horribly against the other team when these two met in a 3-game series earlier this month, but for me it comes down to which offense you trust. I don't think there's any debate here. Chicago's offense has been awful from the start. They have a couple good games sprinkled in there, but the majority have been clunkers. They were just shutout for the second time in 3 games yesterday and are just 2-6 on the road this season. Give me the Braves -127! |
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04-27-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Tuesday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (White Sox -1.5, -113) I'll take my chances here with the White Sox -1.5 (-113) on the run line in Tuesday's home game against the Tigers. Chicago will have ace Lucas Giolito on the mound, who I think is poised for a big outing after he got roughed up in his last start against Boston. On the flip side, I think the White Sox will be able to get their offense going against Detroit's Jose Urena. He's been decent in his last two starts, but he still owns a 4.57 ERA and 1.431 WHIP and the Tigers have yet to win with him on the mound. Give me the White Sox -1.5 (-113)! |
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04-27-21 | Nationals -116 v. Blue Jays | 5-9 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE (Nationals -116) I will take my chances with the Nationals at -116 on the road with not just their ace but one of the elite starters in the game in Max Scherzer. It's been an incredible start to the 2021 season for Scherzer. He's got a 1.80 ERA and 0.720 WHIP in 4 starts. Washington is 3-1 in his 4 starts and just 5-10 when any one else takes the mound. Blue Jays will have Trent Thornton on the mound. He served as an opener in his only other start of 2021. He pitched well, but I just think it's asking a lot for a mix of Thornton and relievers to keep pace with Scherzer. Give me the Nationals -116! |
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04-26-21 | Cubs v. Braves -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Situational Run Line MASSACRE (Braves -1.5, +120) I will roll the dice with the Braves on the -1.5 (+120) run line as they host the Cubs on Monday. I just think Atlanta has such a big edge on the mound that if we get the kind of performances we expect from the two starters, the Braves will have no trouble winning by 2+ runs. Atlanta is sending out Charlie Morton, who despite a 3.91 ERA has a very strong 1.174 WHIP. On top of that, the advanced numbers say Morton has been even better, as he comes in with a 3.05 FIP and 3.28 xFIP. He should have no problem keeping this Cubs lineup in check. Chicago will have Zach Davies going, who after a good first start at home against the Pirates has completely fallen apart. In his last 3 starts, Davies has a 12.10 ERA and 2.585 WHIP, as he's allowed 13 runs on 17 hits and 8 walks in just 9 2/3 innings of work. Give me the Braves -1.5 (+120)! |
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04-25-21 | Reds v. Cardinals -121 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cardinals -121) I will gladly back the Cardinals as a mere -121 home favorite against the Reds in Sunday's series finale. This is a rematch from Opening Day with starters Luis Castillo and Jack Flaherty going. Neither pitched great in that game, as St Louis wound up winning 11-6. Even after giving up 6 runs in just 4 1/3 innings/ Flaherty comes into this game with a 3.80 ERA and 1.125 WHIP. Big thing to keep in mind is that game was in Cincinnati. Reds offense has been night and day when it comes to home/away. Just look at the fact that they are averaging 6.1 runs/game on the season and yet just 3.1 runs/game on the road. Since that start Flaherty has allowed just 3 ER on 10 hits in 17 innings of work. Castillo has really only had one good start out of four and that was against the Pirates. Give me the Cardinals -121! |
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04-25-21 | Royals -126 v. Tigers | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
50* (MLB) AL Central Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH (Royals -126) I absolutely love the Royals here as a mere -126 road favorite against the Tigers on Sunday. I know it's hard to believe that this is the year Danny Duffy finally puts it all together, but I'm buying until he lays a dud. Duffy has a 0.50 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 3 starts. He's got 19 Ks in 18 innings and has went at least 6 in all 3 starts. The last two coming against the Angels and Rays. Have to like Duffy's chances of staying hot against this Tigers offense. Detroit only managed 1 run yesterday and have scored 2 or fewer now in 7 of their last 8 games. Royals offense was also silenced with just 2 runs, but the Tigers did have their best on the mound in Boyd. It will be Michael Fulmer in this one. He's got a 5.00 ERA in 2 starts and in his two starts last year against the Royals he gave up 8 runs on 12 hits (4 HRs) in just 5 innings of work. Give me the Royals -126! |
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04-24-21 | Marlins v. Giants -143 | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Late Night BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Giants -143) I will gladly take my chances here with San Francisco as a -143 home favorite against the Marlins. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with the Giants with Kevin Gausman on the mound. Gausman has a 2.45 ERA and 0.974 WHIP in 4 starts. That's with him giving up 5 runs against the Reds in one of those outings. In the other 3 starts, he's allowed 2 runs on 12 hits in 19 2/3 innings. I fully expect him to dominate this Marlins lineup. It all comes down to the Giants offense being able to put up some runs and I think they will do just that. San Francisco has scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 and have won 5 of their last 6 games. Marlins on the other hand have lost 4 of 5 and scored 3 or fewer in 4 of those 5 games. Give me the Giants -143! |
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04-24-21 | Phillies v. Rockies +160 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY (Rockies +160) This is just too good a price to pass up on Colorado as a +160 home dog against the Phillies. Rockies are red-hot with 3 straight wins. They are now 7-3 at home against teams not named the Dodgers. Philadelphia is getting love here because they are sending out ace Aaron Nola after he just threw a complete game shutout in his last start. What's getting overlooked here is the Coors Field effect. It's really tough to pitch well in this park. Nola was not great in his only road start this season, giving up 3 runs on 7 hits in just 5 innings of a loss at the Mets. I also think the price here is too high when you look at how well Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela has been when he's not facing the Dodgers. Two of his 4 starts have come against LA. He's given up 11 runs on 14 hits in 6 innings of work against the Dodgers. He's allowed a mere 1 run on 9 hits in 14 innings in his two other starts against the Dbacks and Mets. Give me the Rockies +160! |
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04-23-21 | Phillies v. Rockies -109 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Rockies -109) I like the value we are getting here with Colorado at basically even money at home against the Phillies. Rockies are just 6-12, but are 6-6 at home compared to 0-6 on the road. Not to mention, 3 of their 6 home losses came against the Dodger.s I just think they should be a much bigger favorite at home, especially with a guy like German Marquez on the mound and the Phillies being just 1-5 away from home this season. Marquez has a solid 3.57 ERA in 4 starts and has actually pitched better at home with a 3.18 ERA in 3 starts at Coors Field. He was outstanding in his last start at home against the Mets, giving up just 2 runs on 2 hits in 7 innings of a 7-2 win. Vincent Velasquez will get the start after coming out of the bullpen 3 times. He doesn't figure to last long and Phillies' relievers own a 5.28 ERA on the road this season. Give me the Rockies -109! |
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04-22-21 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -101 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) I love the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Astros and Angels. I just don't see either offense going off with the two starters that will be taking the mound in this one. Los Angeles is sending out Alex Cobb, while Houston counters with Cristian Javier. Cobb comes in with a not so great 4.63 ERA in 2 starts, but the advanced stats say that's a big fluke, as he owns a 2.04 FIP and exceptional 1.67 xFIP. His 17 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings really speaks to how well he's thrown the ball. Javier hasn't had as many swing and misses, but does have a very respectable 11 K's in 8 2/3 innings. Javier owns a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. With a 1.57 FIP, there's every reason to believe he's been as good as the numbers are showing. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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04-22-21 | Mets v. Cubs +120 | 3-4 | Win | 120 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cubs +120) I want to lock in the Cubs at +120 in Thursday's game against the Mets. I just don't think Chicago should be a dog in this one. Trevor Williams will take the mound for the Cubs and I believe he has a very misleading 5.02 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in 3 starts. The advanced stats definitely back that up, as he owns a 3.14 FIP and 4.11 xFIP. Williams is also 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two home starts with the Cubs. Not to mention the Mets aren't clicking offensively to start out the season. I definitely trust Williams more here than New York's starter Joey Lucchesi. He didn't make his first start until last week and only lasted 3 innings after giving up 3 runs on 4 hits. I think there's a good chance he struggles again, but he also doesn't figure to go deep in this game either way and the Mets bullpen comes in with a 4.91 ERA on the road this season. Give me the Cubs +120! |
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04-21-21 | Braves v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 8.5) I will take a shot with the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's interleague showdown between the Braves and Yankees. The two starters going, Ian Anderson and Corey Kluber are both well respected starters, but both are struggling. Anderson has a 4.70 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 3 starts. Kluber is even worse with a 6.10 ERA and 2.227 WHIP in 3 starts. While the two two teams did manage to combine to score 4 runs in Tuesday's series opener, I think we could see a big number on the board for both teams today. That's because there will be a 17+ mph jet stream blowing streak out to right field. Should be multiple HRs hit in this game. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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04-21-21 | Cardinals v. Nationals -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Vegas Run Line MASSACRE (Nationals -1.5, +127) I will gladly take my chances with the Nationals on the -1.5 run line in Wednesday's home matchup with the Cardinals. I give Washington a massive edge on the mound here with them sending out ace Max Scherzer against the struggling Carlos Martinez of the Cardinals. Scherzer had an uncharacteristic first start, giving up 4 runs all on sole homers in 6 innings at home against the Braves. Since that outing he's allowed 1 runs on 5 hits (0 HRs) in his last 2 outings. He's got a 24-3 K/BB ratio to start the year. Martinez is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in his 3 starts. He gave up 4 runs in 5 innings at the Reds, 3 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings at home against the Brewers and finally 6 runs in 5 innings at Philly. St Louis has lost all 3 of those starts by at least 4 runs, getting outscored 30-8 in the process. Martinez has made 2 career starts against the Nationals, both have come with Washington starting Scherzer and the Nationals have won those two by a combined score of 13-3. Give me the Nationals -1.5 (+127)! |
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04-20-21 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 8 | 14-7 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) We cashed the UNDER 7.5 in Game 1 of this series on Monday and I see more of the same value with the UNDER 8 in Game 2. I know the numbers aren't great for today's two starters Rich Hill and Brad Keller, but it's just a matter of time before Hill gets on track and Keller is coming off a great start at home against the Angels, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. The even bigger factor here is the weather. While we won't have 15 mph winds blowing straight in from left like we did yesterday, it won't be blowing out tonight and the temps are expected to start in the high 40s and end in the low 40s. It's just far from ideal conditions for scoring runs. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-20-21 | Giants v. Phillies -148 | 10-7 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Phillies -148) We played and won with the Giants in Monday's series opener and now we fire back in Game 2 with the Phillies. Big reason I played SF yesterday was starter Kevin Gausman. This time it's Philadelphia who has the edge on the mound with Zach Wheeler going up against Logan Webb. Wheeler has had to grind it out in his last two starts on the road, but I think that has him a bit undervalued here at home. He went 7 scoreless in his only home start of 2021 and struckout 10 in the process. He should have no problem keeping this Giants offense in check. As for Webb, he's got a 5.23 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in his first 2 starts. He's also faced the Rockies at home and the Mariners on the road. I could see him really struggling here to keep pace with Wheeler. Give me the Phillies -148! |
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04-19-21 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) I will roll the dice with the UNDER 7.5 in Monday's game between the Rays and Royals. Tampa Bay will send out Josh Fleming for his second start and he was impressive in his first outing, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings. Keep in mind Fleming pitched extremely well for the Rays in limited action last year. Danny Duffy will take the mound for the Royals and he's been outstanding to start 2021. Duffy has allowed just 1 run in 12 innings over his first 2 starts. Duffy has also owned Tampa Bay, posting a 2.68 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Rays. Lastly, the conditions aren't expected to be ideal for scoring. Temp's are expected to be in the low 50s high 40s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-18-21 | Rays v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
50* (MLB) AL East PLAY OF THE MONTH (Yankees -1.5, -108) I will gladly take the Yankees on the -1.5 run line at home against the Rays on Sunday. If we get the kind of performance expected out of New York's ace Gerrit Cole, the Yankees should have no problem winning here by 2+ runs. Cole has been in midseason form to start the season, as he comes in with a 1.47 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in his first 3 starts, which has seen him rack up 29 K's in just 18 1/3 innings of work. Would have loved it if the Rays would have stuck with their original starter of Ryan Yarbrough, but I still see New York's bats coming to life against Andrew Kittredge, who has only been used as a reliever so far this season. He doesn't figure to last long in this one and the Rays bullpen comes in with a 5.79 ERA on the season with an even worse mark of 7.45 on the road. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-108)! |
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04-17-21 | Indians v. Reds -136 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Vegas Money Line MASSACRE (Reds -136) We cashed the Reds -113 easy in Friday's 10-3 home win over the Indians. Cincinnati is now 6-1 at home this season and I see no reason not to fire right back with the Reds on Saturday with ace Sonny Gray set to take the mound for the first time in 2021. Gray has made multiple simulated starts, so I'm not expecting him to struggle and I don't think he's going to be limited all that much in terms of a pitch count. I also think Gray will get a decent amount of run support here. Reds are averaging 9.5 runs/game at home and hitting .316 as a team at Great American Ball Park. There's a lot of upside with Indians youngster Triston McKenzie, but he's still got a ways to go. He's made one start and one relief appearance in 2021 and has a mere 4.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Control has been a real problem with 6 walks in 7 1/3 innings. Give me the Reds -136! |
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04-17-21 | White Sox v. Red Sox -112 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Saturday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Red Sox -112) I love the value here with the Red Sox as a small home favorite against the White Sox. Boston has been one of the early surprises. After losing their first 3 games of the season, the Red Sox have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games. Chicago on the other hand just can't seem to find their groove. White Sox are 6-7 and have won back-to-back games just once all season. I also think there's a decent edge on the mound for Boston. The Red Sox will send out Nick Pivetta, who has a 3.27 ERA in 2 starts. He was really good in his lone home start, throwing 5 shutout innings against the Rays. Chicago will counter with Dylan Cease, who has yet to complete 5 innings and has given up 9 hits and 6 walks in 9 1/3 innings. Another factor here is the two bullpens. Boston's relievers have been great with a 3.35 ERA in 51 innings. Chicago's relievers have a 4.20 ERA in 40 2/3 innings, with a much worse 5.33 ERA in 25 1/3 innings on the road. Give me the Red Sox -112! |
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04-16-21 | Orioles v. Rangers -119 | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Sharp Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Rangers -119) I will gladly take my chances here with the Rangers as a slim -119 home favorite against the Orioles. Lot to like here with Texas, who comes in having won 3 straight, scoring 19 runs on 33 hits in the process. Rangers offense should have no problem staying hot against Orioles starter Jorge Lopez, who has allowed 11 runs on 11 hits and 4 walks in just 8 2/3 innings over his first two starts. On the flip side, Mike Foltynewicz will start for Texas and is off an outing where he gave up just 1 run on 2 hits in 7 innings. Give me the Rangers -119! |
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04-16-21 | Indians v. Reds -113 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) Vegas Money Line MASSACRE (Reds -113) I like the value here with Cincinnati as a slim -113 home favorite against the Indians. The Reds just finished up a 6-game road trip by losing 4 of their last 5, but now they return home where they are 5-1 this season and outscoring opponents on average by 5.2 runs/game. Indians just don't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace and AL road teams that are priced from +125 to -125 who are scoring 3.9 or fewer runs/game and have scored 4 or fewer in 3 straight are just 10-36 (22%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Reds -113! |
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04-15-21 | Tigers v. A's -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 125 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Situational Run Line MASSACRE (A's -1.5, +125) I will take my chances here with the A's on the -1.5 run line as they get ready to host the Tigers Thursday night. I think it's a good spot to fade Detroit after they just swept the Astros in a 3-game road series. I got a lot more faith in Oakland staying hot, as they have won 4 straight, scoring 6 or more runs in each of those victories. I also see a big edge on the mound with the A's sending out Sean Manaea against the Tigers Tarik Skubal. Manaea is coming off a great start at Houston, where he gave up just 1 run in 6 innings. He's also got a 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 3 starts against the Tigers. Skubal has given up 8 runs on 9 hits (3 HRs) and 5 walks in 9 1/3 innings over his first two starts. The big concern there is both of those outings came against an awful Indians offense. Give me the A's -1.5 (+125)! |
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04-15-21 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-6 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* (MLB) Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) I love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's matchup between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. I know Arizona's Merrill Kelly has a 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his first 2 starts, but his two starts have come on the road against the Padres and Rockies. It should be much easier here against a sub-par Nationals offense that has already been shutout 3 times in the early going. Same can be said for Washington starter Pat Corbin, who had a rough first start at the Dodgers. He really just had one bad inning, giving up 5 of his 6 runs in the 2nd inning. He should be much better and the Dbacks are only scoring 3.6 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on the road this season. The last big factor here is the weather. Temps are expected to only be in the mid 50s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-14-21 | Rangers v. Rays -177 | 5-1 | Loss | -177 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Rays -177) I will roll the dice here with the Rays as a big home favorite against the Rangers on Thursday. Texas got the best of Tampa Bay in yesterday's 8-3 win, but that feels more like an outlier than anything for this Rangers offense. Texas had scored just 4 runs total in their previous 4 games, getting shutout 3 times in that stretch. I know Josh Fleming is getting thrown into the rotation for a start, but there's every reason to believe Fleming will pitch well. The youngster made 5 starts and 2 relief appearances last year for the Rays and posted a sensational 2.78 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and posted a 25/7 K/BB ratio. Give me Tampa Bay -177! |
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04-14-21 | Phillies -113 v. Mets | 1-5 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER (Phillies -113) I will take a shot here with the Phillies as a small road favorite against the Mets. I just feel the starting pitching matchup heavily favors Philadelphia in this one. The Phillies will have Zack Wheeler on the mound, who has a strong 2.31 ERA and 1.028 WHIP in his first two starts. The Mets will counter with David Peterson, who has to be dreading another start against the Phillies. Peterson's only start of 2021 came against Philly and he was torched for 6 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in just 4 innings of a 8-2 loss. He also struggled against the Phillies in a start against them last year, giving up 5 runs in 2 innings. Give me the Phillies -113! |
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04-13-21 | Tigers v. Astros -1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Astros -1.5, +111) We played and lost with the Astros on the -1.5 run line Monday, but that won't deter us from taking another shot with Houston on the -1.5 run line Tuesday. Yesterday's outcome was simply a result of Astros starter Zack Greinke not having his best stuff. That will happen over the course of a season, but the important thing to keep in mind is that this is not a good Tigers offense. Prior to scoring 6 runs in Monday's win, Detroit had scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games with each of the last 3 resulting in losses by 2 or more runs. Play the Astros -1.5 (+111)! |
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04-12-21 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - Monday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) I love the UNDER 8.5 in Monday's AL Central clash between the Indians and White Sox. Cleveland is the definition of an UNDER team. They struggle to score runs, but don't necessarily need to with their rotation and bullpen. UNDER has cashed in 6 of their 8 games this season. Triston McKenzie will be taking the mound for Cleveland and while he is making his first start, he pitched 3 2/3 innings out of the pen and was really good. He only gave up 1 run on 2 hits. In his brief career start last year, McKenzie has a 3.16 ERA and 0.97 WHIP with opponents hitting just .180 against him. White Sox will counter with Carlos Rodon, who tossed 5 scoreless innings with 9 K's in his first start at Seattle. Rodon has kind of had his way with Cleveland, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 15 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-11-21 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) Colorado's offense has really struggled in their first two games away from Coors Field, as they have managed just 4 runs in their two games at San Francisco. I don't see them getting the offense going against Giants starter Anthony Desclafani, who was sharp in his first start at San Diego, limiting the Padres to just 1 run in 5 innings. Rockies will counter with German Marquez. He's got a 3.60 ERA in two starts, both at home against the Dodgers and Dbacks. He should have no problem shutting down one of baseball's worst offenses. In his two starts against the Giants last year, he allowed just 3 run with 12/2 K/BB ratio in 13 1/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-10-21 | Phillies v. Braves -130 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
50* (MLB) - NL East PLAY OF THE MONTH (Braves -130) I love the value here with Atlanta as a mere -130 home favorite against the Phillies on Saturday. The Braves have won 3 straight after losing their first 4 games to start the season. They swept their double-header with the Nationals on Thursday and cruised to a 8-1 win in Friday's series opener against the Phillies. I also love Atlanta starter Ian Anderson, who I think doesn't get the respect he deserves. Anderson has a sensational 1.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his first 7 big league starts. He was really good in his first outing against Philadelphia, giving up just 2 run on 4 hits with 7 Ks in 5 innings of a tough 1-2 loss. The same opposing pitcher will be going here, as Zach Eflin takes the mound for the Phillies. While he too was really good in that first start, I don't have the same confidence with him as I do Anderson. Give me the Braves -130! |
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04-10-21 | Cubs -148 v. Pirates | 2-8 | Loss | -148 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cubs -148) I will take my chances with the Cubs as a decently priced road favorite against the Pirates on Saturday. While both of these teams have struggled offensively in the early going, Chicago has still managed to post a winning record at 4-3. Pittsburgh on the other hand is just 1-6. While the Cubs offense only scored 4 runs in Thursday's 4-2 win over the Pirates in the series opener, they did rack up a season-high 11 hits in the process. First time this season they put up double-digit hits in a game. I think there's a good chance we see that offense spark carry over to this game. Pittsburgh will send out Mitch Keller, who in his first start, against these same Cubs, lasted just 3 innings after giving up 3 runs. His command was awful, walking 4 guys in 3 innings. Cubs will counter with Zach Davies, who really pitched well in his start against Pittsburgh, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. Davies hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in each of his last 10 starts against the Pirates. Keller on the other hand has a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Cubs. Give me Chicago -148! |