Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-17 | Indians +152 v. Yankees | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS tonight. A 104 win team getting this kind of number. I know what you are thinking. They are huge dogs because Sevy is tough as nails. Yes he is. But I don't know what kind of playoff makeup this kid has. Tribe has been here before. Nearly won the World Series last year. Maybe should have. Bauer was sharp against NYY. Normally I like to play on pitchers who were shelled their last start against the same team when they play. I just think that no Chapman for the Yanks will hurt. Betances, as much as I like the kid, is a wild card. Indians have the bullpen edge today. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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10-09-17 | Nationals -115 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the NATS here. Have to back Scherzer at this price. Guy is a beast. I know he is making first start since his hammy. But the road splits. 10-2 1.86 ERA 16 starts. .81 WHIP - .156 BA Against. I do like Quintana. Guy had been as steady over the years as you can be. But this year, not so much. And for what it's worth, he has struggled a bit at Wrigley. 1-4 5.01 ERA in 8 starts. 43 hits in 44 innings, but 10 HRs and 19 walks. This Nats team can make you pay. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS |
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10-09-17 | Astros -121 v. Red Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS |
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10-08-17 | Indians -106 v. Yankees | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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10-08-17 | Astros -122 v. Red Sox | 3-10 | Loss | -122 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS |
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10-07-17 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Dodgers | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS |
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10-07-17 | Cubs +120 v. Nationals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS |
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10-06-17 | Cubs +148 v. Nationals | 3-0 | Win | 148 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the CUBS here. We made some nice coin fading the Cubbies early. But they have changed gears as the season progress. The World Series hangover was real. This is a good club. Maddon is a great manager. Clear edge on the bench for us in this series. Hendricks with a .96 ERA his last 3 starts. Solid postseason numbers of 2.38 ERA in 7 starts. A 2.83 ERA on the road this year while 3.20 at home. Strasburg was a beast with a .86 ERA in 10 starts since the all-star break. So this isn't easy money. But at this price, I think we have to take a stab on the dogs here. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS |
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10-06-17 | Red Sox +167 v. Astros | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the SOX here. Easy win last night with the Astros. Guess I should have gone RL. Here and with that Indians win. But, coulda, woulda, shoulda. This is it for Boston. Best chance at a win in this series. Can't come back down 0-2 vs a 100 win team with Rick Porcello on deck to save your season. Pomeranz had a very nice year. Strong road split. 7-3 3.19 ERA 15 starts. I like Keuchel. He has 9.88 ERA in 3 games, 2 starts vs Boston. But let's take that with a grain of salt. For me, this is about the Sox 'circling the wagons' on their season. They were just blasted yesterday. I'll take a shot at this price on the road dog. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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10-05-17 | Yankees v. Indians -130 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS here. Really want to do what we did with Arizona last night and go RL +160. But I am looking for a fast 2-0 start here with early Sox / Stros and this game. So. We all saw NY on Tuesday. This is a play as much on the use of the 'pen as it is on the fact that the Tribe have the best 'pen. Have people forgot that Cleveland is 34-4 their last 38 games. And laying this number? I don't think this is a long layoff from Sunday. They were playing for home field down the stretch. We were on them in the World Series last year and missed by a hair. This is a very good team. I like the Yanks. I am in their back yard. But as I said in earlier write ups. This is their step up year. This is a bonus. This is everyone seeing what they can do. Indians are ready now. They are rested and battle tested. A series sweep would not shock me. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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10-05-17 | Red Sox v. Astros -125 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the ASTROS here. Almost want to go RL for +170 in this spot. Verlander has been aces since coming to town posting a 1.06 ERA in his 5 starts with a .65 WHIP and .149 BA against. But this is about Chris Sale. So he has been a -150 or more favorite in 30 of his 32 starts this year. In those other 2 starts as a PK or small -105 fave, he lost. In fact, Verlander out-dueled him 2-1 in April. But the most telling numbers are this. As dominate as Sale is early, the guy is a beast. A sub 2.70 through July. Then it ticks up to 3.22 in August. September and October produce a 11-16 record and an ERA of 3.78. Give me Houston tonight. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON ASTROS |
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10-03-17 | Twins +243 v. Yankees | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the TWINS here. Well. You know there is not a chance I would be laying 260 or whatever it ends up with the Yanks. I guess a case could be made for either team on the RL. Yanks have the better bullpen which is a clear and decided edge. I know we will hear about the Twins poor postseason record. 2-12 vs NYY in the playoffs dating back to 2003. Bro- that is 14 years ago! That was 2003,2004,2009 and 2010. Let't try to get a grip. The most recent was 7 years ago. Are Tex, Lance Berkman and Marcus Thames going yard for NY? Look. Santana has bad career numbers vs the Yanks (5.66 20 starts). But in his lone outing this year 2 runs, 5+ off 7 hits is fine. Let's not forget he led the league in CGs and tied for the lead in SHOs and if he is on, he will be go the distance. His road splits this year are promising as he went 10-3 2.71 ERA in 17 starts. 1.05 WHIP and .216 BA Against. Anything can happen here. As good as Severino's year has been. 2.98 ERA 230Ks in 193 innings - He has been average at best at home. 8-5 3.71 ERA in 16 start in the Bronx. 1.04 WHIP and .207 BA against. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS |
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09-28-17 | Braves +101 v. Marlins | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BRAVES |
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09-28-17 | Reds +142 v. Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker REDS |
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09-27-17 | Mariners +108 v. A's | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
** Opinion Play ** Have a lot of you guys on seasonal MLB package. But plenty of weekly and monthly package now with NFL and College Football. Not really like much on the bases. I am a big dog guy and as much as I would love to take 5 or 6 big dogs today, that does not help the long term bankroll. We will look to really grind here the last few days of the regular season and choose our spots. MARINERS this afternoon. |
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09-26-17 | Rays +156 v. Yankees | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the RAYS here. Fading the Yanks didn't help the pockets yesterday, though we broke through for a small profit as another nice underdog, the Chicago White Sox came through. Maybe I put a bit too much stock in KC playing for .500 when I should have looked at where is the motivation for a make up game. But if I didn't play KC, I would have probably went under and that was a loser also. So getting back to Tampa. I like Snell. This is a pitching match-up that I think we win. First off. Yanks are pretty much content with being the WC team. 4 back with 6 to play. So Snell has really been on his game since July. In those 13 games, a 3.15 ERA. Lowered his ERA from 5.36 down to 4.01. Has given up more than 3 runs just twice in those games. A 3.80 ERA in July, A 2.87 ERA in August. 2.78 in September and that was giving up 6 in one start. I like Montgomery long term over Jamie Garcia in the Yankees plans. But in this spot, I have to side with Snell who 2.73 career ERA in 7 games vs the Yanks. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS |
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09-25-17 | Angels v. White Sox +142 | 2-4 | Win | 142 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Looks to be all over for the Angels. Dropping 6 of 7 and 7 of 10 all but put the finishing touches on the nail in their coffin. How can you back Nolasco in this spot? 5.03 ERA on the year. 5.38 ERA on the road with hitters raking at .302 clip. Chicago's young team looking to build off a strong September finish. I know that 'Big Game' James (wow, do we remember him getting this nickname!) and his 5.40 ERA doesn't scream back me at home. You know that he is going 6 and giving up 4 runs. But the guy's ERA has been coming down since since the start of August. 9 decent starts for him. Angels just 2-6 last 8 in Chicago. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX |
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09-25-17 | Royals +160 v. Yankees | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the ROYALS here. Well. No playoffs for KC this year. But have to respect the team for not tossing in the towel in July. In this spot, I am playing on the fact I think they want to finish up the season strong and get to .500, they are a veteran bunch - Yanks are locked in to the Wild Card. This is a make up game so not sure if either team is really motivated in this spot. CC has an ERA over a run higher at home 4.55 / 3.18. Junis has pitched well sporting a 2.62 ERA his last 6 starts. He also has a high road 4.50/3.49 home ERA split. But KC appears to back him as he has a 6-2 record away. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS |
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09-22-17 | Giants +195 v. Dodgers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS here. Ok. Huge dog. no way that the Dodgers keep losing right? I mean, SF has played these guys tough this year going 7-9 against them. In Samardzja, we have a guy who will strike out a ton and walk nary a soul. Hill has been up and down at best. Dodgers still trying to find themselves with this slide they have been on. Giants just swept the Rockies who are in desperate Wild Card hunt mode. I am sure they would love nothing better to knock off the divisions first place team. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS |
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09-20-17 | Rockies -120 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the ROCKIES, again. Lost last night here and am back for me. Tough taking these guys as they seem to be slipping out of the wild card hunt trying to catch the Brewers (a winner for us last night) and Arizona who is sitting atop the NL West. But again, this is a decent price for us to lay. You know I don't like numbers up over that 150 range. First off. The Giants got a win. So that takes care of their week. Matt Moore has been brutal. I thought he would do well after his trade to the NL. Against the Rockies, Moore is 1-3 with a 9.64 ERA in six career starts. He is 0-2 with a horrible 13.51 ERA in three starts this year. At least Chatwood has some positives working for us. He has a 1.97 ERA on the road this year and a respectable 1.23 WHIP away from home. He has a .66 ERA since coming back to the rotation. This is it for the Rox. A perfect 7-0 in Chatwood's last 7 starts vs SF. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES |
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09-20-17 | A's v. Tigers +113 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the TIGERS today. Yes. We pulled out a miracle win on the A's last night. And yes, I said how I though that Detroit was done for the year. But I look at Sanchez and his 7+ ERA and I gotta jump on the small home dog. Oakland wrapping up a 9 game road trip. A wild one last night. I know you will here me say . no way so and so sweeps right.. Well, in this scheduling spot, I am taking the home team with a pitcher who is trying to everyone he can still play at a MLB level. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS |
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09-19-17 | Rockies -114 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the ROCKIES. One. Colorado clinging to that 2 game lead over the Brewers for that last Wild Card spot. So every game a must win. And I will take a team battling over a team like San Fran who has been lost all year. Giants nearly 40 games under .500! This is far from vintage Cueto. A 4+ ERA since the start of September and coming off the DL. He can't get out of the 6th. The numbers are just not there this year. I do not expect him to 'flip the switch' tonight and go 8 striking out 9 giving up a run. Marquez could be tiring a bit. Approaching his innings from last year in the minors. I think this is a good park for him to pitch it. The Giants offense is anemic at best, and absolutely dreadful on most occasions. Rockies have some very skilled hitters that should be able to take advantage of a down Cueto year. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES |
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09-19-17 | Twins +145 v. Yankees | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the TWINS, again. Lost a tough one last night but will come back with Minny. Just a nice price on the 2nd Wild Card team. I know they have trouble vs NY. That could be a major understatement. I have been waiting for CC to regress, much like Santana last night to no avail. Berrios has been better at home (2.45 ERA) than on the road (5.14). But we can say the same about CC who has been worse at home (4.71) than on the road (3.18). I'll again take the dog. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS |
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09-19-17 | A's -118 v. Tigers | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking OAKLAND tonight. This Tigers team has officially mailed it in. I think they have a lame duck coach. I think they are clearly in a rebuild without any pieces to contribute right now. I think the A's are a young bunch, but are looking to build for next and it shows as they are 9-3 their last 12. Not a terrible price to lay on the road, so we are in on the small road faves. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's |
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09-19-17 | Brewers -114 v. Pirates | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS, again. Cashed these guys last night and am going back to the well again. As I said yesterday, this Pirates team continues to slide. At this price, we have to take Milwaukee who is just 2 games back for the Wild Card. Also going to be on the under here. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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09-18-17 | Twins +144 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the TWINS here. I have to grab the dogs here. I will be first to say I am still waiting for a Santana regression. But the guy has won 15 games this year and is 9-2 2.74 ERA in 14 road starts including 3 complete games! This Minny team is I think, still a bit under the radar. And they are the #2 Wild Card team! They have pop. 3 guys are going to hit 30 HRs. Another 3 should get to 20. And Garcia is the type of guy who gives up some long balls (17 so far). Minny won 2 of 3 back in July at home. I think we having the pitching edge tonight. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA TWINS |
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09-18-17 | Brewers +105 v. Pirates | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS tonight. Should probably go +145 on the RL for a little extra cash in our pockets. If I like Milwaukee at basically even money, then I think they win by at least 2 runs. Fact is, Pirates are just playing out the string. Eliminated from any playoff thoughts, they have now lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11. Brewers have won 7 of their last 9 and still are fighting for the last WC spot sitting 2.5 games back. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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09-15-17 | Mariners v. Astros -108 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the ASTROS here. Seattle just 3.5 back in the Wild-Card hunt. And I think Paxton is the better pitcher. They come in winners of 3 straight. But Paxton hasn't pitched since early August. Mariners say he will go 50 pitches. I don't like the Seattle bullpen that much. Astros need to start playing better as the playoffs approach. Getting it done at home is a good start. 4* Money Maker |
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09-15-17 | A's v. Phillies -118 | 4-0 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the PHILLIES tonight. Philly playing with some pep in their step reeling off 3 straight sweeping the Marlins. The youngsters getting a chance, and man oh man is Rhys Hoskins enjoying things. 18 HRs in 34 games! I think Philly continues their hot hitting tonight vs the A's. Oakland loses their DH which is nearly an automatic out with this AL pitchers at the dish. Going to also be on the over here. Think we see runs early and we win a wild one. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES |
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09-14-17 | Royals +185 v. Indians | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the ROYALS tonight. Will step in front of a the runaway win train that is the Cleveland Indians. Not that they are due for a loss, just I think Tomlin is their weakest starter. Junis has pitched pretty well lately a 2.48 ERA his last 6 starts which puts him on pair with Tomlin who is at 2.57 ERA his last 7. This is it for KC. 4 back in the wild-card hunt. If they fail to make the playoffs, they could at least look at ending their division rivals monster win streak as something positive. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS |
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09-14-17 | White Sox +114 v. Tigers | 17-7 | Win | 114 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the WHITE SOX this afternoon. Tough backing Shields and his ugly numbers. Just think that the Sox want to get out of last place. They are a young team looking at next year. Tigers in semi rebuild mode since they still have Miggy and CMart. But the dealing of Verlander clearly signals rough times ahead. Chicago has won 4 of 5, while Detroit is 1-6 last 7 at home. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX |
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09-13-17 | White Sox +136 v. Royals | 5-3 | Win | 136 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Just an OPINION here on the White Sox. My MLB has been slipping this month. Not really a shock since I won't lay huge numbers with faves, and pick some bigger dogs. But with NFL and College 5 days a week, we might just really pass on the bases until playoffs. So I like Giolito. The guy has been really dominate in day games. So this is his 5th start. His first one away from home. But. A 2.84 ERA on the year, .91 WHIP, 23Ks in 25 innings. - The day splits are even better though. A .64 ERA, .71 WHIP .128 BA against. Skogland has a 10+ ERA on the year. I will take the shot with the CHICAGO WHITE SOX |
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09-12-17 | Yankees -144 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES here. Lots of huge faves on the board and we will either dog it up, like we did with the Tigers yesterday, or just pass. But this is closer to my limit any time of year on the bases. Gray pitching well of late. Yankees seem to be getting hitting throughout the lineup. Tampa, playing in Citi Field in NY have to have their minds on other things right now. They are playing out the string. 4* Money Maker NY YANKKES |
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09-12-17 | A's +158 v. Red Sox | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking OAKLAND tonight. Will grab Manaea a this price. Guy has been pitching well, 2.55 ERA his last 3 starts. Rodriguez come in with a bloated 6.11 ERA his last 3. A's going nowhere but we have a solid arm on the hill. A's have won 4 of the last 5 in the series. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's |
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09-11-17 | Tigers +325 v. Indians | 0-11 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the TIGERS - More than 3-1 odds. Have to play this just on principal. Small Opinion Play for my seasonal and monthly members. |
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09-08-17 | Brewers v. Cubs -119 | 2-0 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the CUBS here. I had been a believer in Milwaukee most of the year. I just can't see them overtaking Chicago now. They had their chance over the first half of the season while the Cubs struggled. They seem to have hit their groove as we play September baseball. I do like Nelson, which is why this line is where it is. Not a big fan of Lackey. But he has reeled off wins in 9 of his last 10 starts. Again, Lackey 4-4 4.02 ERA in 12 home starts. But, 3-0 2.48 ERA his last 5 at home. Again, coupled with the entire team turning things around. Everything comes together. Cubbies 8-3 last 11 overall. 8-1 last 9 at home. 9-1 in Lackey's last 10 starts. Brewers 2-5 last 7 on the road, 1-4 last 5 overall and 2-7 last 9 games with Nelson on the hill facing Chicago. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO CUBS |
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09-08-17 | Marlins v. Braves -102 | 7-1 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the BRAVES tonight. Would have liked to see RL +170 with Atlanta here. But, I will just try to get in the win column with the ML. Look. I can't see how the Marlins are totally focused here, or this series in general. Miami is about to be pummeled. Families, homes, belongings. Also, can't forget a lot of these guys are from island nations. Marlins dropped 5 of 6 and 10 of 11. At this price, with Foltynewicz 5-0 last 5 starts at home vs Miami, and 6-0 his last 6 against them. Grabbing the home team tonight. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES |
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09-08-17 | Rays v. Red Sox -129 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX. A rough start to the month for me people. Always the truth, win or lose. But even with some losers, I have been tracking teams and I feel really great heading into the first weekend of NFL action. So let's get back to grinding out winners on the bases tonight with Boston. Down a bit on Archer. Left his last start with a forearm problem. Not sure if that is something to play with with a pitcher 200 innings the last 3 years and is fast approaching that total again. Archer with a 4.23 ERA away from the Trop and is a pitiful 2-11 5.08 ERA in 18 starts vs the Red Sox. Pomeranz putting up a nice little year at 14-5 3.36 ERA over 27 starts. The stats play out pretty even as he is 7-2 3.26 ERA in 14 home starts. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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09-06-17 | Cardinals v. Padres +100 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the PADRES tonight. Not much on the board that I have been liking the last week or so in MLB. So I am not going to be forcing plays. But I can jump on the Padres at even money. STL streaking. Winners of 3 straight 7 of 10 and just 3 back in the wild card. I like the way Lamet has been throwing. He has allowed more than 2 runs just once in his last 8 starts! - 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 8 home starts. But the .189 BA Against and 1.03 WHIP really show he has been even better overall. 4* Money Maker SD PADRES |
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09-05-17 | Diamondbacks +113 v. Dodgers | 3-1 | Win | 113 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA here. Normally, not a fan of taking a team off a 13-0 win. Especially over the team with the best record in MLB playing on a epic pace. But how can we get in front of the DBack train that has won 11 straight and 13 of 16. They send their ace Greinke, who sports a 2.30 ERA in Dodger Stadium. LAD has been slumping having dropped 4 straight, and 9 of 10. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS |
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09-05-17 | Angels v. A's +133 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking OAKLAND tonight. Angels have seemed to be playing in some crazy games lately. 11-9 last night. 6-7, 7-4, 9-10, 10-8. That has to put a strain on a bullpen. Even bringing up extra September arms. What sticks out most is that 10-8 game. That was on August 30th, vs this same A's team. And against Kendall Graveman. He gave up 8 that game. Always like to back a guy after a team roughs him up in the previous start. The splits show us that at home, very effective. 2.70 ERA in 7 starts (6.75 ERA 7 road starts). Plus, another thing that I love to fade. A pitcher in his first start off the DL. In this case, Richards has been sidelined for 5 months last pitching in April. When healthy, the Angels were just 3-8 in Richards last 11 starts vs Oakland. I'll grab the dog here. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's |
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09-04-17 | Brewers -121 v. Reds | 4-5 | Loss | -121 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS here. Now, most of the year I am avoiding the low hanging fruit and the line is way too low games. And most of the year I am taking the dog in these spots. But as we hit September, we have teams playing for their playoff lives. Yes, their is added pressure. But they wouldn't be in this spot if they weren't good. Milwaukee is a solid team. They are sending a pretty good starter in Anderson to the hill this afternoon. Since his DL return, he is averaging 5 innings 2 runs, 5Ks and 2 Walks. Not the sexiest of numbers, but Chase has been good all year giving up more than 4 runs just once. Bailey has been up/down all year. A good start, then a brutal one. The fact he is off a game and a half good start (3 innings then 6 innings) makes me believe he is ripe to give up 7 in two innings today. Can't have faith in him at all. Cincy 0-7 in Bailey's last 7 starts at home and 1-4 when facing the Brewers. Milwaukee has won 7 of the last 10 in the series. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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09-02-17 | Reds +135 v. Pirates | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the PIRATES here. First. Let me say that with September baseball, we are going to see some huge lines coming down the pike. The 40 man, teams looking to youth and out of contention. Veteran teams playing out the string. We won't be having days of 5-6 plays on the bases ahead that is for sure. But we can still find some good spots for a big dog, or a RL fave. -- A tough loss last night as the Angels come back to tie it at 9 only for a wild pitch to cost us a chance at a win. I can live with a hit. But a wild pitch. brutal - For Saturday night, we look to the Reds. We have made a decent coin backing Cincy in spots. Either on their totals or side. I like that Mahle is getting his second start vs the same team. He wasn't terrible in his first MLB game. 5 innings 5 Ks, but 4 walks with make life dangerous as he gave up 3 earned. Jitters gone, I expect the walks to be cut in half which helps. Pirates now have lost 14 of 19 and at 9.5 back, essentially out of the wild card hunt. Their ace got hammered last night. This is a spot of team that had playoff hopes just playing out the string. Add in that you have a young team looking to win any game, and head into the off-season on a positive ride, and we have a nice dog to cash tonight. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS |
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09-01-17 | Angels -110 v. Rangers | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the ANGELS. Well look who is right in the wild-card hunt. LAA made a couple late moves and is looking to continue their rise. Let's face it. You see Hamels as a dog at home and you think easy money as he is 24-6 last 30 here. But yet, he is a dog tonight. Rangers with other things on their mind as Texas is under water. 4* Money Maker LAA ANGELS |
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08-31-17 | Red Sox +126 v. Yankees | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX here. I will be the first to say I wasn't expecting much from CC this year. So obviously I am still waiting for some brutal outings from him. But as I said yesterday when we had Cleveland. This NY team looks to be running out of gas. Is this line so people jump on the Sox? CC has a 5.08 ERA at home in 9 starts. (2.81 road 12 starts) Rodriguez hasn't been sharp since his DL return like CC, but is 2-1 1.38 in 4 starts in the Bronx. He has a respectable .212 BA against and 1.07 WHIP in his road games. Yanks have been slipping since before the All-Star break. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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08-30-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -113 | 7-1 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the BLUE JAYS tonight. Almost went RL +150 especially with extra cash in our pockets off of last nights RL win on the Padres. But never know what we will get from the Jays. They never could recover from their bad start. But they have played better lately. Funny that Porcello (22) and Happ (20) were 1&2 in wins in the AL last year. Now I am looking at Porcello to get his league leading loss tonight. Just like Happ over the Sox at this price especially with a hittable Porcello opposite of us. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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08-30-17 | Cardinals v. Brewers +111 | 5-6 | Win | 111 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS here. I like me some Chase Anderson. Had him his time out vs LAD in a tough road loss. But now with b2b 5 inning starts off the DL (1-1 10 innings 10Ks 5BBs), I think we will a couple more innings this afternoon. With a 2.15 ERA at home, coupled with a .97 WHIP and .202 BA Against, I easily take the small home dog in this spot. I normally am a big backer of Carlos Martinez. But this isn't 2015/16. The numbers look almost the same except when we are looking at ERA and W/L. He is already passed his career high in HRs (7 mores) in 30 less innings. He is closing in on career highs in walks and strikeouts. Maybe we are getting some fatigue. Maybe hitters are just hitting in the clutch. Maybe regression is coming and the ERA gets lowers. Well, maybe doesn't cut it for me. CMart has allowed more than 5 runs 6 times. I am going with home team. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS This line is not up yet on this site --- Taking the INDIANS in Game 1. Bauer has had a nice August in 3 of his 5 starts. The Red Sox have his number as they pushed across 7 runs in 12 innings with 14 hits. But in in his 3 other starts, we have seen 20.1 innings of 2 run ball including allowing 1 in 7 to these Yankees. Jamie Garcia has not fared well in the AL since coming to the Twins, then NY. Cleveland 5-2 in Bauer's last 7 starts. And let's not forget. As good as NY has been, this was suppose to be the stepping stone to a big run next year. Indians are looking to get back to the World Series for a 2nd straight time, and this is a great price for a team that is 14-4 their last 18 games. NY is 10-8 over the same span. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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08-28-17 | Indians -101 v. Yankees | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS tonight. Have to grab Kluber at this price. Yes, we have a pair of aces and they both are working on some opposite numbers here. And by opposite I mean their home/away splits. Kluber, a pedestrian 3.51 ERA on the road in 9 starts. Severino a 4.14 ERA in 11 home starts. Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts vs the Yanks. Kluber has been dealing going 9-2 with a 1.87 ERA since June 1st (16 starts). Severino, again, a not too shaby 6-1 last 7 starts with a 2.30 ERA. I just think that Cleveland, 8-2 last 10 on the road, and Kluber, are the better option in this spot. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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08-26-17 | Brewers +162 v. Dodgers | 3-0 | Win | 162 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS, again. Lost last night 3-1, but we are again on Milwaukee. Davies has solid road splits for us. 7-1 in 13 starts with a 2.33 ERA. A .239 BA against and 1.16 WHIP are decent. This is Stripling's first start. In his 37 games so far this season he has gone past 2 innings just twice. Again, as yesterday. Brewers solid value at this price. Milwaukee is 9-3 in Davies last 12 on the road. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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08-25-17 | Brewers +175 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS tonight. Dodgers are a beast for sure. But this is a spot that I look to fade most teams. Coming home off a road trip in their first game back. As I have written before. First games back are tough. You are bombarded by family and friends. You just want to sleep in your own bed. Now. It didn't pay off Monday when we had the Sox over the Indians. But it did in Game 2 as an even bigger dog on Boston cashed for us. That is what we are looking to do in this spot. We are catching a really good number with a decent team. I almost want to pull the trigger on the over again, but I just feel very good about this Brewers pick. Would hate to take any loss with a total when I think Milwaukee is winning this thing. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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08-23-17 | Blue Jays -111 v. Rays | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the JAYS here. Have to grab Stroman at this price. Guy has a 2 ERA his last 10 starts. Though his road ERA is just a pedestrian 3.42 in 12 starts. He has allowed 3 or more runs in just 3 of those starts. 7 runs in Texas jacks the ERA a bit. The kid has been dealing. 2 months ago his ERA was 3.69. It is 2.99 now. That is what happens when you give up 15 runs in 66 innings. Pruit is one of those out of the pen guys now getting starts, 6 previous. His home ERA is over 5 with a BA against of .301 and a 1.47 WHIP. Just looking at his numbers tells me he will give up at least 3 runs today. That might be all Toronto needs behind Stroman. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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08-22-17 | Red Sox +183 v. Indians | 9-1 | Win | 183 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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08-22-17 | Rockies v. Royals -122 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker KC ROYALS |
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08-22-17 | Nationals +166 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 166 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS |
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08-22-17 | Miami Marlins - Game #1 +113 v. Philadelphia Phillies - Game #1 | 12-8 | Win | 113 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MIAMI MARLINS |
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08-21-17 | Brewers -112 v. Giants | 0-2 | Loss | -112 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS here. I guess if we use yesterday's logic on taking the Padres over the Nats, we should be looking to the Giants here. Obviously the better team, on the road, laying almost even money. Though I liked Lamet's numbers much better. Stratton is easily off his best MLB game. This is only his 4th start, 7th game this year. He's tossed over 200 pitches his last 2 outings. Not sure how the young kid will respond. This pitchers are so babied nowadays. Davies has a 2.52 ERA on the road and is 7-0 in his 12 starts. Milwaukee still clinging to some playoff hopes. Brew Crew 16-6 last 22 with Davies on the hill and need another win from him if they want to be involved in October baseball. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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08-21-17 | Red Sox +119 v. Indians | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX. Normally, I am in a fade kind of mood with the Sox and Yanks after they face each other. But they were not the late Sunday night game. And in this spot, we have the Indians coming off a nice winning road trip. In hockey and MLB, I find that backing the road team against the home team is a profitable investment. These guys get back and have a family stuff to attend to. Even if you are single, just getting in your own bed is relaxing. We had the Tribe last Monday in a makeup vs the Sox that cashed and started a nice week for us. Rodriguez has a 4.09 ERA on the road. But his .214 BA Against and 1.07 WHIP tell me he is good a lot of the time, but has a bad inning somewhere. I am obviously looking to curb that tonight. Indians have been an under team most of the year, and again, this is a spot I think they are a bit flat. 4* Money Maker BOSTON REDS SOX |
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08-20-17 | Nationals v. Padres +105 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the PADRES. Team 25 games over .500 a Pk on the road with a guy on the hill who has a .43 ERA and is 3-0 his last 3 starts. Gio is having a super year. I guess we are all waiting on the regression. I know Nats have a bunch of guys out which puts the line into a bit more perspective. Maybe people are catching onto Lamet. The rookie has a 2.57 ERA his last 5 starts. I'll take a shot on the youngster this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SD PADRES |
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08-20-17 | Yankees -104 v. Red Sox | 1-5 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES. Gray has been alright since joining NY. In his road starts, 12Ks in 12 innings. The 7 walks isn't a good sign, and I would be a lot if it was at 2 a game. That being said. He sports a .182 Road BA against which limits the damage of those said walks. I think he is better than Rick Porcello. That shouldn't even have to be mentioned. Their bullpen, even with hiccups from blowing the 6-3 lead Friday, is still a better unit that Boston. Porcello has an ERA over 5 in his 14 home starts with opposing hitters ripping him at a .307 clip. NY has some guys who can make contact. Yanks 4-1 last 5 games facing Porcello. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES |
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08-15-17 | Royals -115 v. A's | 8-10 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the ROYALS here. I had KC in my free pick video yesterday. I will say this is one of those easy, lowing hanging fruit type games for me. The A's are bad. They are looking at the future. But does that future include a 36 year old pitcher? Chris Smith hasn't won a game since 2008! He has a 5 ERA in 3 home starts, 5.29 on the year 6 games, 5 starts. He doesn't strike out many, 19 in 34 innings, but also has 12 walks. Hammel will keep us in the game as he has allowed 3 or less in 11 of his last 12 starts. Royals still alive, hunting for the playoffs and the Central crown. He has 48Ks in 51 road innings. KC has won 3 straight and are in no position to lose to last place teams. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS |
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08-14-17 | Indians -105 v. Red Sox | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the INDIANS here. I like the Bruce trade. I think it will help them out in their playoff push. I think this team is pretty talented. We rode this guy throughout the playoffs last year. For this spot, have to fade the hot Sox though. Extra innings on Sunday night vs hated rivals. Huge series that saw the bullpen get used often. What is there to say about Doug Fister? He pitched an absolute gem by his 2017 standards 2 starts ago at Cleveland. Going into the 8th allowing 5 hits. I can not see that remotely happening tonight. Not for a guy with a 5 ERA on the year. Trevor Bauer has some bad road splits. No doubt about it. But he has pitched well his last 3 outings sporting a 1.23 ERA going at least 7 in each game allowing a run a start. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND INDIANS |
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08-11-17 | Red Sox +123 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the RED SOX tonight. What is up with this line? Am I missing something? Maybe they are pushing us to grab Boston. I can't see how NY should be favored. They have been up and down for sometime now with a 6 game win streak at the end of June. Both starters they acquired, Gray and now Garcia have been hit since joining the Bombers. Sox have reeled of 8 in a row and 10 of 12. Boston is 4-1 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts vs NY. 4* Money Maker BOSTON RED SOX |
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08-11-17 | Mets -108 v. Phillies | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the METS here. NY now 13-4 in Lugo's last 17 starts. They have are 9-0 with him on the hill vs teams with losing records. The 42-70 Phillies fit that bill and they have Pivetta and his 5+ ERA on the hill tonight. The Mets are 33-15 vs Philly since 2015. Granted. NYM had a bit better pitcher and they were a playoff team. This team has sold off pieces. But they still are a better unit than the young Phillies. At this price, we will grab the low hanging fruit and look for Lugo to improve on his poor road splits vs a weak hitting club. 4* Money Maker NY METS |
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08-09-17 | Cubs v. Giants +103 | 1-3 | Win | 103 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS here. I know I always talk about the 'low hanging fruit' and how some games look 'too easy.' Case in point MadBum as a small home dog. Now. Hendricks season numbers aren't awful. And this line is probably based on the fact the Cubs offense is starting to come around a bit more after a long World Series hangover. But after 2 average starts returning from the DL, Bumgarner has been very sharp. 3 runs in 19 innings with 18Ks and 4 walks and 16 hits allowed. 4* Money Maker SF GIANTS |
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08-09-17 | Mariners +100 v. A's | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE here. Normally we are the fade train when we Gallardo's name pop up in a pitching match-up. But I will make an exception this afternoon. I think that Seattle is the better team and they are fighting for a wild card. So even on a get away day, I expect a solid effort. They aren't in position to lose any games. And we have Gallardo's 2017 numbers vs the A's. Not to shabby as he has logged 17 innings 4 earned and 16Ks - 5 walks in 3 games, 2 starts. Then we toss in Jharel Cotton and his 7.56 ERA at home in 8 starts. A 7.90 ERA his last 3 starts giving up 12 earned in 13.2 innings. M's offense should be able to carry the day. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS |
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08-08-17 | Cardinals v. Royals +114 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the ROYALS tonight. It would be easy to fade KC again after winning with STL in a rout last night. And it would be easy to fade Vargas as he has been brutal since his 12-3 2.33 ERA run through June and his 6.98 ERA last 5 starts. He's still has solid home numbers. 7-2 2.71 ERA in 11 starts. He had those back to back games to start July giving up 12 runs that really pumped the ERA. I still have faith. Wacha is having a pretty good season himself for the underachieving Cardinals. But if we are talking Vargas regression, how about Wacha's? A 2.12 ERA last 8 would think it was on the horizon. He couldn't get to the 5th last game. (81 pitches). Maybe a little fatigue is setting in. The road split of 1-3 5.19 ERA in 8 starts helps the home team tonight. He allowed 5 or more runs in half those starts. KC is 23-8 in Vargas' last 31 starts, 20-7 at home. 4* Money Maker KC ROYALS |
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08-08-17 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -123 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the BLUE JAYS here and almost went +150 on the RL. Only thing that stopped me from pulling that trigger is CC's road splits. A 2.29 ERA in 10 starts (6-2). This is his 4th start this year vs the Jays. 11 runs in 15 innings. Obviously getting beat up at home. And I know the Yanks have huge edge in the bullpen. They really need CC for 5 with yesterday's off day. But I can see him digging that 4-0 hole early. Happ has really had a good run since the start of June. He allowed 5 runs that first start. And 7 two starts ago. He had a game with 6 runs, but only 2 earned. So in 8 starts he allowed what he basically gave up in those 2 bad starts. I can get behind a guy like that tonight. He went 6 striking out 6 giving up 1 run vs the Yanks on July 4. Toronto 7-1 in Happ's last 8 starts vs Yanks. Yanks 2-7 in CC's last 9 starts vs Jays. Toronto 10-3 last 13 at home vs NY. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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08-07-17 | Cardinals -120 v. Royals | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the CARDINALS tonight. Could go RL for +130, but we have had some tough late game losses this week so we will just go for the straight play. Royals off a double dip and a lot baseball yesterday. I know this is a night game, but that is a long day at the ballpark. CMart is having a down year in my eyes and the entire STL team has underachieved. I still like him vs Ian Kennedy though. 4* Money Maker STL CARDINALS |
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08-07-17 | Brewers +101 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS here. Man. Santana is off his 5th CG of the year! He leads the league. Please show me the guy who saw that coming. Now. I would think some kind of regression would be coming for him. But it is now August and he shows no signs of slowing down. But we have a couple things working in our favor tonight. He has had trouble at home. 4-5 in 11 starts with a 4.09 ERA. On the road a much better 2.52. Santana has 4 of his worse 5 outings at home. He is going to give up runs tonight. Prior to his last start, he had given up 4 or more runs in 3 of his last 5 starts. And let's not sleep on the Brewers. Suter has put together a nice little season. He has a 2.55 ERA in 35 innings as a starter. Twins on a 2-10 run vs lefties and this is a guy they have limited info on. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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08-06-17 | Phillies +102 v. Rockies | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the PHILLIES here. Actually. We are taking Nola. The sole reason to really ever back Philly. The kid is off an impressive July going 3-1 1.32 ERA in 5 starts with a .94 WHIP and .134 BA against. Unlike Urena for Miami who I mentioned in the other write up, Nola seems to be getting better as the season progresses. Hoffman has doubled his innings from last year and we see the ERA going up monthly. 3.29 May, 4.40 June, 8.00 July and a 5.38 on the year. It is even worse at home as he is 2-2 7.04 ERA in 8 games, 7 starts. .303 BA against 1.72 WHIP. He needed 101 pitches last games. The last time he went over 99 pitches he allowed 9 earned in 3+ at home vs Arizona. Looking for the Phillies to break through. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES |
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08-06-17 | Blue Jays +106 v. Astros | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BLUE JAYS, again! Yes. Another team we cashed with yesterday. Just like Stroman a lot more than Fiers. Houston has been struggling a bit lately, dropping 6 of 8. These guys match-up in Toronto and Stroman got the best of Fiers and the Astros. I look for the same result this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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08-06-17 | Marlins v. Braves -127 | 4-1 | Loss | -127 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the BRAVES, again. We won with these guys yesterday and will go back to the well again this afternoon. Urena is having a nice season. But his ERA has grown every month, up to a 4.78 in July. That is what happens when you can't get out of the 5th inning in 4 of 6 starts. He is a perfect 6-0 on the road in 11 games, 8 starts. So it is tough to go against him. But he is past his innings from last year so maybe there is a bit of a fatigue factor coming into play. This is Sims 2nd career start. Marlins don't have much of a book to go on. The fact this line has moved like it has done, has me liking our chances. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES |
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08-06-17 | Cardinals v. Reds +109 | 13-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the REDS again. Our lone loser yesterday, we will look to Homer Bailey to figure things out and get us the win. Wainwright in his first start off the DL. As you already know, I normally fade on guys in this spot. Reds had 5 of the last 6 in this series coming into yesterday. Bailey in off a good start and hopefully he can build on that vs a weak hitting Cards team. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS |
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08-06-17 | Yankees +108 v. Indians | 8-1 | Win | 108 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES here. A pair of pretty good pitchers take the hill today. But Severino has been super of late. 3-0 with a .47 ERA his last 3. Carrasco at 5.79 his last 3 and couldn't get out of the 2nd inning his last start giving up 5 earned. He's given up 5 runs in 2 of his last 4 starts. For me, this comes down to the bullpen. Yanks clearly with the edge in that department. That could be the difference maker. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES |
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08-05-17 | Cardinals v. Reds -113 | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the REDS here. Nearly went Run Line to take back that +170. This line makes you scratch your head a bit. Lynn is having a solid season, and of course STL will always get public money over a bad Cincy team. Yet here we are with the Reds sitting 20 games under .500 favored. Castillo has been solid in his rookie campaign. 8 starts with a 3.62 ERA 1.19 WHIP and more than a K an inning. STL is 2-6 in Lynn's last 8 road starts and 1-4 his last 5 starts in Cincy. I'll grab the small home fave. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS |
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08-05-17 | Marlins v. Braves -114 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the BRAVES tonight. Will grab Folty at this price. Kid has been solid on the year. 6-1 with a 3.80 ERA since the start of June. If you take out an 8 run 3 inning game and his last 5 runs against the Phills, the guy hasn't given up more than 3 runs in those 9 starts. In fact those 13 runs match almost the 14 runs he allowed in those other starts. I know Straily has made us money this year. But his road ERA of nearly 5 makes me a bit leary of backing him in this spot. Miami 0-4 in his last 4 starts. Braves are 9-1 in Folty's last 10 starts. Atlanta also 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs Marlins. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES |
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08-05-17 | Blue Jays +164 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 164 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the BLUE JAYS. These guys got hammered last night. I will nearly always back a team off of allowing 16 runs. That is flat-out awful. Estrada has looked better his last couple starts. Won't be shocked if he is dealt by the end of August to someone. Perhaps this Astros team? This Jays team has pop and veterans. Can't see them sitting on their heels and packing it in. Not this early. If this was some September game I would understand. Grabbing the dog. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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08-04-17 | Yankees +123 v. Indians | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES today. NY went down with their shiny, new starter last night. But they also picked up a sneaky good veteran in Garcia that isn't as flashy. Yanks stymied last night by Kluber, but Bauer is not like him. I expect Yanks bats to tag him for 5 runs by the 4th and with the bullpen ready, close the door on threat should one arise. Not shocked at all to see 6+ from Garcia tonight. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES |
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08-04-17 | Tigers v. Orioles -125 | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the ORIOLES tonight. Gausman has been absolutely dealing lately. I know that Verlander has turned the corner in his starts also. O's though a much better offense and a superior bullpen. And that bullpen will be the difference maker. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE ORIOLES |
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08-01-17 | Rays -105 v. Astros | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the MARINERS again. Cashed with these guys last night and will come back for more. Rangers have sent up the white flag on the season. Mariners still grinding away. Now just 2.5 behind KC for that last WC spot. Ramirez doesn't have any special numbers for us, He was traded to a team that is looking to contend and made off season moves to win this year. Martinez for Texas, again, nothing special with his numbers. But we have Texas trading away two big cogs in Lucroy and Darvish. They lose late after blowing a 4-0 lead last night. I think the Rangers will be in a funk for a bit. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS |
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08-01-17 | Mariners -104 v. Rangers | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the MARINERS again. Cashed with these guys last night and will come back for more. Rangers have sent up the white flag on the season. Mariners still grinding away. Now just 2.5 behind KC for that last WC spot. Ramirez doesn't have any special numbers for us, He was traded to a team that is looking to contend and made off season moves to win this year. Martinez for Texas, again, nothing special with his numbers. But we have Texas trading away two big cogs in Lucroy and Darvish. They lose late after blowing a 4-0 lead last night. I think the Rangers will be in a funk for a bit. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS |
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07-31-17 | Mariners +113 v. Rangers | 6-4 | Win | 113 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the MARINERS tonight, The thing I look at in this game is simple. Beltre got his 3000th hit yesterday. A huge celebration for the future HOFer and the lone bright spot in this Rangers season. By the time this game starts, we can see Darvish in LA or even NY. Seattle still looking at a wild card spot and have been playing better and getting healthy. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE MARINERS |
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07-31-17 | Tigers +166 v. Yankees | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the TIGERS here . We are off a small winning days as we cashed with the Rays over these We have 2 teams in 2 totally opposite paths. Trade deadline with 1 selling, the other buying, Now. If Fulmer and Upton and Verlander all get dealt before this game goes, well, I am sure it will be off the board or the odds drastically change. But that being said. Let's just concentrate on the nice price we are getting tonight. Fulmer is building off his strong rookie season. He has better numbers on the road (2.91 ERA) than at home. He had a terrible start against KC 2 couple weeks ago. That has been the only real bad hiccup his sophomore season. Again. NYY is playing great. But Fulmer doesn't look like he is hitting a sophomore wall. At least not yet. Yanks counter with Severino who is turning into an ace. Aside from his ERA, his WHIP and BAA are better than his road numbers. Bu\t what I am looking at is his innings. He is about to eclipse his total innings the last 2 years. Maybe we get some regression today, as well as the rest of the season. This is all uncharted MLB territory for the youngster. We have a starter who should battle pitch for pitch for us tonight. Yanks off a tough weekend series with the Rays needing late inning heroics to pull out wins. I'm looking for Detroit to steal one. 4* Money Maker DETROIT TIGERS |
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07-30-17 | Mets +196 v. Mariners | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the METS here. Sometimes teams just win behind guys. And NY is now 13-3 in Lugo's last 16 starts. How can we pass up that kind of value getting these kind of odds? Off a loss with their ace yesterday, (we had the over) we'll grab them as big dogs today. 4* Money Maker NY METS |
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07-30-17 | Rays +149 v. Yankees | 5-3 | Win | 149 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the RAYS today. Lost with these guys the other day, but will grab them at this price. This kid Faria has been very good since coming up. 8 of 9 quality starts. A solid WHIP and BAA along with 50Ks. Yanks have been winning in all ways imaginable. Walk offs. Blow-outs. I just think that the crappy Ray bullpen doesn't hurt us today if they don't get a chance to get off their seats. 4* Money Maker TB RAYS |
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07-28-17 | Rays +166 v. Yankees | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the RAYS, again. Lost a tough one last night as our bullpen cost us a win. But I will look for a bounce back performance tonight. Right off the bat, nothing to like with Pruitt. Guy has terrible numbers. In 1.2 innings of relief work this year vs the Yanks he has given up 8 hits and 5 runs. Maybe we should be looking to the over here. But I just see this as one of those games where NYY gets baffled by some kid they barely know. And, do we really have that much faith in Tanaka to come out and shut down any lineups? He has a 6 ERA his last 3 outings. He has a 5+ ERA on the year. A little better at home 4-4 in 9 starts with a 4.75 ERA. He has a 4.50 ERA in 10 games vs the Rays. Tampa hasn't made the splashy moves that the Yanks have. But they added a bat and an arm to the bullpen. I'll grab the ugly dog tonight. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS |
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07-27-17 | Rays +110 v. Yankees | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the RAYS here. Just trying to figure out this line - Why is it so low? Right off the bat we see CC at 9-3 3.44 ERA. Please, find me the people, besides maybe CC's family who thought this was happening this year. Yanks are 8-2 in his last 10 starts vs Tampa and he has given up 1 run in 10 innings against them this year. We know the Rays are just 13-17 vs lefties and struggle vs southpaws. Tampa is 3-7 in Archer's last 10 starts vs the Yankees. CC does bring out a 5.29 ERA in 6 home starts. Does the power NY bullpen come in the 4th, 5th inning tonight? Rays bullpen a hot mess lately. I guess I am still waiting on CC regression. Maybe sprinkle the under. But for me, when things look to good to be true, they usually are. I'll grab the small dogs. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY RAYS |
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07-26-17 | Brewers +114 v. Nationals | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS again. Cashed last night on these guys, and will look to do the same tonight. Milwaukee has had success vs lefties. Gio has been great. I can't knock a guy who has a 2.83 ERA and a .216 BA against. I just think we are starting to see some regression. He has given up a few runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. And we know the Brewers can have some pop. Gio has given up 15 HRs. Won't be shocked to see at least a pair here. Nelson has is the staff ace, and is having a nice year. 132Ks in 120 innings is good to see. Hope he continues to cut down his walks. This line has come down even though I see a lot of money backing the Nats. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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07-25-17 | Pirates +105 v. Giants | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the PIRATES here. I get it. Tough not to like Bumgarner when he is laying a number like this. But let's be honest people. This isn't the same MadBum we have seen in the past. This recent version is making his 3rd start off the DL. He gave up 7 runs in those 2 games, to the Padres, in 13 innings of work. We can't forget that prior to hitting the DL he was win-less in 4 starts (0-3 3.00 ERA). The strikeouts are there. It wasn't like he is or was walking a ton of guys. It is tough losing games 2-1, 3-1, 2-0. But that is also another problem for the Giants. They can't hit. I mean. Maybe with last nights ejections of a couple coaches it sets a fire. But I can't lay anything right now with the way they are playing. As I said. They have lost Bum's last 6 starts. They are 3-7 last 10, 4-11 last 15. If we take out a 6 game win streak, this team is 10-30 since the start of June. 10-30! That is who they are. Pitt is playing very good ball right now. Winners of 7 of 10, and 13-4 their last 17, they are on the heels of the Brewers and Cubs for the NL Central lead. If I am going down, I would rather go down at even money than kick myself thinking the Giants would cover 1.5 runs. 4* Money Maker PITT PIRATES |
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07-25-17 | A's +104 v. Blue Jays | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking OAKLAND here. I was really hoping to find a feed here that had the A's as a small fave so we can pound that +160 RUN LINE - Sonny Gray is probably making his last start for Oakland. He has been excellent of late going 4-1 1.62 ERA .72 WHIP his last 5 starts. What I really here for us, and why I am looking for the RL is that Valdez pitched for the A's already this year. He pitched 4 games including a start. And he was bad. Just think that Oakland knows what this guy is, and how he go about his pitches. He was claimed off waivers in May, and now we have this marquee match-up of A's ace vs A's castoff! That being said. Both teams in the basement of their divisions. Both teams most likely to be sellers in the upcoming days. I'll take the better pitcher tonight. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's |
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07-25-17 | Brewers +111 v. Nationals | 8-0 | Win | 111 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the BREWERS here. Tough not liking the Nats who are a top team. And I have seen Brewers regression as they are a big surprise team. But how can you lay with Edwin Jackson. Guy is brutal. Nats can score, sure. And I am thinking of the over here also. But Davies has been very respectable on the road this year. A 3.18 ERA in 10 starts with a perfect 5-0 record. He is 12-3 3.78 ERA career on away from Miller Park. It is tough backing a slumping Milwaukee team for sure. One team is on a 3-7 run, the other 8-2. The Brewers did win 4 of 6 last year vs the Nats, including Scherzer twice. So maybe they just have Washington's number. 4* Money Maker MILWAUKEE BREWERS |
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07-24-17 | Rockies +126 v. Cardinals | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Grabbing the ROCKIES tonight. Will take the dog in this spot. Colorado has seemed to be back on the right track after a bit of a slump. They crushed a pretty hot Pirates team scoring 20 runs the last 2 games. A nice 5-1 home stand, winners of 6 of 7 and 7 of 10, they catch a slumping STL team off a Sunday night loss, and losing 2 of the 3 to the big, bad, defending WS Champions Cubs. Cards have now lost 4 of 5 and 6 of 10. They are 3-7 in Leake's last 10 starts. 3-8 in his last 11 home starts. Rockies are 11-5 behind Senzatela this year. The rookie is 10-3 and has kept Colorado is all but 2 of his starts. Those are the only 2 games he has given up more than 4 runs. STL having trouble pushing across runs and sitting 9 games back in the wild-card, this team is heading nowhere fast. 4* Money Maker COLORADO ROCKIES |
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07-23-17 | Nationals +100 v. Diamondbacks | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the NATIONALS today. Nearly pulled the trigger on Ray and the DBacks. But then I looked at these splits. Ray at home. 4-3 4.76 ERA 9 starts .233 BA against 1.45 WHIP. Strasburgh on the road. 7-1 2.45 ERA 9 starts .198 BA against 1.06 WHIP. Numbers here point to Stras and the Nats. Also. And I have pointed this out before with Ray. The walks. I know he K's a lot of guys. But he also walks too many. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON NATIONALS |
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07-23-17 | White Sox +115 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the WHITE SOX. This is an ugly play no doubt about it. Holland has given up 5 or more runs in 6 of his last 8 starts. A 5+ ERA in 18 starts. 6.31 ERA on the road. The numbers are down right bad. But, I will grab him and the Sox. Royals are hot and I guess a safe play would be laying -125 or even RL +155 with KC. So Travis Wood comes out of the bullpen for his 3 start of the year (27 games). In his first 2 home starts, 8.1 innings 15 hits, 8 earned. I'll dog it up. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO WHITE SOX |
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07-23-17 | Marlins v. Reds -125 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the REDS here. Koehler hasn't won a game since April. I know he missed June. But we are still talking 7 starts without a win. Romano for the Reds hasn't been setting the world on fire by any stretch. But I just like the home team more. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI REDS |
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07-23-17 | Rangers +113 v. Rays | 6-5 | Win | 113 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the RANGERS here. Ross has had a several good starts. In those 3 starts he has given up 2-1-1 runs. He had a so so start giving up 4. And 2 bad ones. 8 and 7 earned. I look at his last 8 earned more a blip since in he had giving up 1-4-1. Just looking at his game logs shows us that he will have a 5/6 inning game giving up 1 or 2 runs. Odorizzi is having a decent year for the Rays, but gives up runs. Tampa can score, but the bullpen seems in worse shape than even the Rangers right now. I know it is tough to sweep, and on the road, but Texas has battled back twice so far and know they can get score as the innings pile up. 4* Money Maker TEXAS RANGERS |
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07-22-17 | Blue Jays +124 v. Indians | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the BLUE JAYS tonight. I'll tell ya this. I like the Card, Philly, Oakland, Pitt and the Angels also today. But I just think feel the strongest about Toronto here on Saturday. Stroman with a 2.53 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Indians. He has been pitching well allowing 3 earned or less in 8 of his last 9 starts. He has a 1.43 ERA in 3 July starts. Toronto 10-3 in Stroman's last 13 starts. Tribe counter with Danny Salazar. He has a 4.59 career ERA vs the Jays. I do like this kid. He came on in 2015 with a pretty good year, but has not maintained it. This year he was demoted the bullpen and has been out since June 3rd with a shoulder injury. I don't like guys making their first start off the DL. And with a shoulder injury, he could be limited. Indians also mauled the Jays last night 13-3. I believe there is a certain amount of pride to be had after getting whipped like that. Think we have the edge on the hill, and I will grab the road dogs. 4* Money Maker TORONTO BLUE JAYS |
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07-21-17 | A's +154 v. Mets | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking OAKLAND in this spot. Now. I know we don't have a lot to go with Blackburn. But we are getting a nice return on what I think is a nice little investment. The kid has 3 MLB starts under his belt and has gone 6, 7.2 and 6. Just think is one of those teams that will have problems with a guy they have limited film on. Not to mention an AL team the rarely see. In 2 home starts Matz has a 12.38 ERA in 8 innings of work. 17 hits including 4 HRs allowed. For me though, looking at his last 2 starts, 4.1 innings 5 earned and 1 innings 7 earned, something is wrong. Who knows if he is injured. Or maybe he just isn't feeling the ball right. Whatever it is, the guy is having problems. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's |
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07-20-17 | Yankees -121 v. Mariners | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the YANKEES tonight. Hernandez has had a great career. He has a lot of success vs NY. But this isn't the old King. The new King is a not shell, but is not easily starting to shadow himself. There are a lot of innings on that arm. Servino has a 3.02 ERA in 10 road starts. He has a very strong bullpen behind him. Mariners 2-9 last 11 at home and 4-11 last 15 vs the Yanks. 4* Money Maker NY YANKEES |
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07-20-17 | Braves +192 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 192 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the BRAVES. Dodgers 31-4 their last 35 games. Are you kidding me? That is like you playing MLB The Show on PS4. 10 straight. But ya know what, teams lose. And getting odds like this I am taking the dog. Folty has some decent numbers (2.79 ERA last 3). He won't get shelled here. Braves can hit a little. They are a surprisingly good team this year. Past many expectations. McCarthy is who he is. A .500 record type guy who goes on the DL and pitches half a year. I think we can steal the opener tonight as LA is home after a road trip. Guys get a little comfy in their own beds with the family and just aren't 100% in it. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA BRAVES |