Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-26-19 | Diamondbacks -171 v. Marlins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -171 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ARIZONA This should be a successful series for Arizona, who have yet to face last place Miami this season. The Diamondbacks need wins right now as they look to chase down the Wild Card teams in the National League. They've played better than you think; a +64 run differential actually ranks third best in the whole NL! As for the Marlins, they easily have the worst record (38-62) and run differential (-100) in the Senior Circuit. Making matters even harder for them on Friday is Arizona will have Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke has dominated Miami in 12 career appearances, going 7-0 with a 3.19 ERA. He was 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA in two starts against them last season. The Marlins have scored the fewest runs in the NL this year and Sandy Alcantara is unlikely to outduel Greinke considering his ERA (6.48) and WHIP (1.74) from his last three outings. Arizona took 6 of 7 from Miami last year and a sweep this weekend would not surprise us. At the very least, they're winning this game. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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07-26-19 | Rays -130 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TAMPA BAY Tampa Bay's season took a bit of a dire turn yesterday when it was announced reigning Cy Young Blake Snell has to have elbow surgery, which will keep him on the shelf until September. Whether or not the Rays stay viable in the Wild Card race remains to be seen. But the ill-effects of Snell absence likely won't be felt in this weekend's series up in Toronto where they'll encounter a bad Blue Jays team playing out the string. Tampa Bay swept Toronto back in May and haven't gotten to face them since. The Jays are undeniably in worse shape now than they were two months ago as they just don't score much. Facing a staff that's allowed the fewest # of runs in MLB is a really bad matchup for them, even with the Rays using an opener (Diego Castillo) Friday. The Rays won 9 of the 11 times Castillo opened in 2018 (this is his 1st time doing so in '19).. Toronto is forced to turn to Jacob Waguespack, who has made just two starts so far and he's allowed seven runs in 10 innings. Toronto is 19-32 at home. Tampa Bay is 30-21 on the road. The Jays have dropped 31 of the last 43 games vs. .500 or better foes. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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07-26-19 | Dodgers -154 v. Nationals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the DODGERS You can do a lot worse than backing Hyun-Jin Ryu this year. The National League's starter in the Midsummer Classic (All Star Game) has passed Clayton Kershaw to become the Dodgers ace this year with an 11-2 record in 19 starts and a 1.76 ERA/0.93 WHIP (both are the best in the NL). Washington knows all too well about what kind of pitcher Ryu is. They couldn't get a hit off him for almost eight innings in a 6-0 loss back on May 12. That win improved Ryu's lifetime numbers vs. the Nationals to 1.35 (ERA) and 0.71 (WHIP). Furthermore, the Dodgers have won each of Ryu's last three starts. Washington starter Sanchez has an 8-1 TSR his last nine starts, but the numbers can't match those of Ryu nor can the Nationals match the Dodgers player for player right now. Washington is 2-8 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 while LA is 23-13 after a loss. Play on LOS ANGELES AAA |
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07-25-19 | Indians -138 v. Royals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEVELAND Cleveland has been surging of late, winning 9 of the last 11 games including a 4-0 over Toronto last night. One edge the Indians have over the other Wild Card contenders in the American League is the number of games they'll get to play against the three "bad" teams in the Central Division, those being Kansas City, Chicago and Detroit. The Indians have taken full advantage of those three opponents this season, going a combined 24-13 against them. Starting tonight, the next four games are against the Royals, who they just took two of three from last week. They faced Mike Montgomery in his first start of the year and scored five times off him in only two innings. So all the Cleveland hitters have to be licking their chops here. The Royals have actually played better baseball in the second half as they just took two down in Atlanta. But Montgomery appears to be an albatross and we don't see them figuring out Indians starter Adam Plutko who has a 0.74 WHIP in his previous three starts. KC, who won 2-0 last night, is 4-14 off a shutout win the last three seasons. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-25-19 | Cardinals v. Pirates -111 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PITTSBURGH The Pirates are seeking to avoid a sweep early this afternoon as they've lost the first three games of this series with the Cardinals. Two of the losses were by one run, so it's not like they haven't been competitive. They did lose 14-8 last night with St. Louis hitting five homers. But this one comes down to the home vs. road splits of Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas. On July 15th, we played the Under with Mikolas starting at home against these same Pirates. He threw a complete game shutout and the Cardinals won 7-0. But we went against him on July 20th at Cincinnati as his numbers simply aren't good on the road. Sure enough, the team lost that game, dropping Mikolas to 1-6 in starts made away from home with a 7.04 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. Joe Musgrove opposed Mikolas in that July 15th start and took the loss, but he was much better here at home last week when he threw six strong innings of two-hit ball. The only run he allowed was unearned. We're willing to bank on Mikolas' road struggles continuing and for Pittsburgh to avoid the sweep. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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07-24-19 | Padres v. Mets -149 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -149 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NY METS After a 5-2 win yesterday, the Mets go with Syndergaard today and that should result in another easy victory over the floundering Padres. San Diego has fallen into last place in the National League West by virtue of losing 8 of their last 10 games. While Syndergaard may not be having his best year, he is coming off two straight quality starts where he gave up just three runs total and lasted 14 innings. We don't see Lamet for San Diego being able to match him as he's somewhat struggled in three starts since returning from Tommy John surgery. The Padres have lost all three games. Going back to before the surgery, they have a 1-11 record in Lamet starts including 0-6 on the road. This simply does not look like a viable spot for San Diego to turn things around. Play on NY METS AAA |
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07-24-19 | Reds v. Brewers -141 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE We've misfired with Milwaukee each of the last two days and now the Brewers find themselves simply trying to avoid a sweep at the hands of the last place Reds. Being that this series is being contested at Miller Park, the predicament that the home team finds itself in is one we couldn't have fathomed. Coming into the series, the Reds record on the road was just 19-29. Milwaukee had been 30-21 at home. It seemed as if the Brewers had the starting pitching edge each of the previous two games and again that certainly appears to be the case. The Reds are going with Sims, who has made only one start in 2019 and it was back in May when he allowed four runs in 7 1/3 innings vs. Pittsburgh. The Brewers have Chacin set to take the mound and while he got rocked in his last start, the three before that all saw him give up two runs or less. One of those three was against Cincinnati as he finished with eight strikeouts in six innings and gave up just two runs. The Reds are 13-29 day games. The Brewers are 24-13. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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07-23-19 | Reds v. Brewers -129 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MILWAUKEE We missed on Milwaukee last night, but will come back again with the Tuesday. The Reds won 6-5, thanks to two Eugenio Suarez home runs, the second being a go-ahead shot in the top of the ninth. That blast negated a grand slam in the bottom of the eighth from Milwaukee's Tyler Saladino. Cincy is still only 20-29 on the road though and came into this series having lost 9 of their last 12 games overall. Tonight's starting pitching matchup is heavily slanted in favor of the Brewers, which is the key here. Zach Davies has a 3-0 team start record his last three starts with a 0.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP. The Brewers have actually won all of his last four starts with Davies giving up only two earned runs in 23 1/3 innings. As for Cincy's Tanner Roark, he's got a 7.16 ERA and 1.714 WHIP his last three starts. One of those starts was against Milwaukee and he allowed three home runs. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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07-23-19 | A's v. Astros -144 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on HOUSTON Houston took the first game of this AL West showdown and did so easily, winning 11-1 Monday. The game was never in doubt as first place Astros scored four runs in the 2nd inning and seven more in the 3rd. Not that they needed it, but they also got seven sharp innings from starter Gerrit Cole. We can't say we're surprised by how the Astros handled the A's last night; after all they were huge moneyline favorites. But we are surprised at how cheap they are on the moneyline tonight. Sure, Wade Miley isn't Cole, but he has a 4-0 TSR his last four starts and a 1.96 ERA/0.94 WHIP at home this year. Moreover, the Astros have won seven of the eight times Miley has started at home. By the way, Houston has now won six straight, all of them against division opponents. Oakland figures to cool off after their own six-game win streak got snapped last Thursday. Since then, they've lost three of five. Starter Michael Fiers has a 5.57 ERA on the road. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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07-22-19 | Reds v. Brewers -115 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MILWAUKEE We took the Reds both Saturday and Sunday, getting mixed results. They won for us Saturday, 3-2, but then failed to earn a split with St. Louis by losing 3-1 on Sunday. I's been a tough start to the second half for them as they've now dropped 7 of 10 with four of the losses coming by just one run. They've lost 9 of 12 overall and eventually all the close losses will wear on a team, especially one that is in last place and losing belief that "this could be their year." Milwaukee still has faith in 2019 after capturing five of six, including three of four out in Arizona this past weekend. The Brewers will go with Chase Anderson as the starter Monday and he's pitched better than he's been given credit for with a 0.975 WHIP at home and 0.886 WHIP his last three starts overall. For the Reds, Sonny Gray has pitched shockingly well of late, but we don't expect that to hold up, at least not on the road where he sports a 3-6 team start record. The Reds are just 19-29 on the road, which is a major reason why we've soured on them compared to the previous two days. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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07-21-19 | Nationals v. Braves -150 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ATLANTA The finale of a four-game series between the top two teams in the NL East (set for Sunday night on ESPN) has seen a pitching change on the Washington side with Joe Ross replacing Austin Voth. This may seem inconsequential to some, but Ross has not started a major league game this season. He does have experience in the role (48 career starts) but his history vs. Atlanta isn't good as it's a 7.40 ERA in six games. The Braves, who are looking to earn a split of this series, are going with Kevin Gausman. Gausman hasn't appeared in the bigs since June 10th. He's been sidelined with plantar fasciitis, but looked good in his rehab start down for Triple-A Gwinnett. Atlanta is 19-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and we can't see them losing three of four here to the Nationals. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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07-21-19 | Cardinals v. Reds -102 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CINCINNATI We went with the Reds yesterday citing the fact that Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas just isn't the same pitcher on the road as he is at home. The Reds won 3-2 Saturday and it's a similar situation today with them facing Jack Flaherty. Just like Mikolas, Flaherty's numbers go up dramatically when he isn't starting at Busch Stadium. He has a 5.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in nine road starts this season, six of those ending up as Cardinals losses. St. Louis has lost the last five times Flaherty has started and he's personally winless over his last 10 starts. Anthony DeSclafani has pitched well for the Reds recently, despite having no wins to show for it - at least this month. But he has a 3.32 ERA his last seven starts and six of those he hasn't allowed more than three runs. The Reds easily could have taken the first three games of this series (blew a 7-run lead Friday), but will have to settle for a split instead. Play on CINCINNATI AAA |
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07-20-19 | Cardinals v. Reds -127 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CINCINNATI It was a wild one last night here in Cincinnati with the Cardinals prevailing 12-11, thanks to a 10-run inning. Unfortunately for the Reds, that's now four straight losses and they've lost their fair share of "close ones" this year, which is why they are in last place in the NL Central despite a positive run differential (+28). St. Louis is now very much alive in the playoff hunt after winning six of their last seven, but we see them taking a "step back" tonight. Cardinals pitching isn't the same on the road as it is at home and Miles Mikolas is very representative of that statement. We took the Under with Mikolas (it won), at home, his last time out. He tossed a complete game shutout vs. Pittsburgh, improving his ERA and WHIP to 2.15 and 0.95 at Busch Stadium. But on the road, Mikolas is 1-5 with a 7.68 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Luis Castillo has been excellent for the Reds this year, especially at home with a 1.83 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. He also just struck out 10 in a win at Wrigley Field on Monday. We saw the Cards give up 11 runs yesterday and it's highly unlikely they'll have that one big inning again tonight. That means an "L" in a starting pitching matchup that is NOT in their favor. Play on CINCINNATI AAA |
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07-20-19 | A's v. Twins -137 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -137 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on MINNESOTA The Twins and A's have split the first two games of this series. The Twins were our *10* Game of the Week on Thursday and a three-run walkoff HR provided us with a 6-3 victory. The A's bounced back last night, winning 5-3. While Oakland is hotter at the moment (won 6 of 7), Minnesota still has the better overall record and we'll go back to them tonight. Jose Berrios continues to pitch well for them, although he personally has nothing to show for it over the last month or so. But this will be Berrios' first time pitching at Target Field since a gem he tossed back on 6.17 vs. Boston where he allowed only one run and five hits in eight innings of work. He also finished with 10 strikeouts and no walks that day. Brett Anderson has been feeling it of late for the A's with three straight strong efforts on the mound. But despite a 6-1 TSR in his last seven starts overall, Berrios still has the better numbers. The Twins are 28-10 their L38 games following a loss. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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07-20-19 | Royals v. Indians -153 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -153 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND Not sure why Cleveland has become available at such a cheap price, but we will certainly leap at the opportunity to take them as they look to make it seven straight wins overall. They beat the Royals here at Progressive Field last night, 10-5, and that's after sweeping them out in KC earlier this month. The Indians have really feasted on these lesser teams in the AL Central as they just swept the Tigers (again!) in the series before this. Adam Plutko may not be dominant, but the Indians have won six of his seven starts so far and he goes Saturday against Jacob Junis, who has lost a pair of decisions to Cleveland over the last month. He allowed seven runs the last time he faced them and considering how the Indians offense has looked recently, we expect them to hit Junis hard again tonight. Kansas City is 14-34 on the road this season and just 1-5 after giving up 10 or more runs in the previous game. It's pretty clear to us that the Indians are the better team here. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-19-19 | Blue Jays -154 v. Tigers | Top | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO The Tigers have just been awful of late and there are no signs of them turning things around anytime soon. They were just swept in Cleveland and outscored 29-11 in the four games. Overall, they've won just two times this month and are 3-20 their last 23 games. So Toronto should be happy to be paying a visit to the Motor City this weekend. Incredibly, the Tigers are just 12-32 at home this year and are -2.7 runs/game! The Blue Jays aren't exactly on a hot streak either, but they are substantially better than the Tigers. It helps that they'll be facing Jordan Zimmerman tonight. Zimmerman is still winless for the Tigers (0-6 in 11 starts) with a 7.01 ERA and 1.595 WHIP. He's been even worse lately, giving up seven runs in both July starts. He has a 9.23 ERA his last nine starts and opponents are hitting .363 off him. Marcus Stroman should do well here for the Jays. He has a 2.17 ERA in four previous starts vs. the Tigers and looked good his last time out when he held the Yankees to three runs. He also recent threw six shutout innings at Fenway Park. This should be a walk in the park by comparison. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-18-19 | A's v. Twins -129 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINNESOTA The Twins lost yesterday, which means for the first time this season, they're on a three-game losing streak. Now they start a series with the hottest team in baseball, Oakland. The A's have won their last six games and just took two from Seattle where they scored 19 runs and allowed only four. They're now within 4.5 games of Houston in the AL West. But the 6-game win streak came against Seattle and Chicago, two terrible teams. Minnesota, while on its longest losing streak of the year, still leads the Central with a 58-36 record. They are 25-11 off a loss and 3-1 after giving up 10 or more runs. Kyle Gibson toes the rubber tonight and the Twins are 12-6 in his 18 starts so far. Gibson beat the A's back on July 3rd by allowing only three runs in six innings. He was up against Michael Fiers, same as he is here, and it's notable that Gibson won on the road because Fiers is not as effective pitching on the road. Fiers has 1.85 ERA and 0.92 WHIP at home. On the road, he has a 5.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. This is a great time to buy low on Minnesota while at the same time selling high on Oakland. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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07-17-19 | Rays v. Yankees -149 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the YANKEES The Yankees have really had the Rays number this year and that's why they are the ones out in front in the American League East. Yesterday's 10-5 victory gives the Yanks not only a 10-5 head to head advantage over the Rays in 2019, but also a six-game advantage in the division. New York has the best record in the entire American League right now and has been outstanding here at home where their record is 34-16. That includes a 16-3 mark as a favorite of -125 to -175. Domingo German starts Wednesday. The team has an 11-3 record when he pitches and he has a 2.10 ERA at home. He faced the Rays in Tampa back in May and got the 'W.' He's also 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in his two starts since returning from a hip injury. Tampa's Chirnos got a lot of run support his last time out (Rays beat Baltimore 16-4), but that's unlikely to repeat itself tonight on ESPN. The Rays have lost Chirnos' last four starts vs. teams that have winning records. Play on the YANKEES AAA |
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07-17-19 | Reds v. Cubs -126 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the CUBS The Cubs evened this series up at a game apiece last night, beating the Reds 4-3 in 10 innings. While this is a matchup of the first and last place teams in the NL Central, it's not as if the gap is all that overwhelming. Cincy finds itself only 6.5 games back in this wide open division and actually has the 2nd best run differential of the 5 teams. But there's no disputing the Cubs are still better as they've gone 4-1 since the All Star Break and more often that not handle their business here at Wrigley Field. They are 33-17 at home this season while the Reds are 19-28 on the road. Cincy also struggles in day games (just 13-27). Yu Darvish is starting today for the Cubs and he's never lost to the Reds before. While winless overall since April 27th, that's very misleading as 12 of his last 13 starts have been no-decisions and his WHIP in the last three is 0.96. Sonny Gray goes for the Reds. While he's pitched well his last three starts as well, not sure he should be trusted in this spot. After yesterday's loss, the Reds are now just 17-35 their past 52 games at Wrigley. Play on the CUBS AAA |
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07-17-19 | Mets v. Twins -159 | Top | 14-4 | Loss | -159 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MINNESOTA Last night, the Mets actually beat the Twins 3-2. But we shouldn't have to tell you which team is having the better season. Minnesota leads the AL Central (58-35) while the Mets are floundering over in the NL East (43-51). The Mets have now won three straight, but that streak stops today as yesterday was a real anomaly. Not only is this the Mets first three game win streak in nearly two months, but last night marked just the third time in 32 tries this season that they won when scoring three runs or less. Minnesota has not lost three in a row this entire season, a fate they are facing this afternoon. So they're a good bet to win behind Martin Perez, who will be making his first start since the All Star Break. The Mets Jason Vargas really struggled last Friday, giving up six runs to a Marlins team that has scored the fewest number of runs in the National League. Now he has to face one of baseball's highest scoring offenses. The Twins are 17-4 after scoring 2 runs or less their previous game. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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07-16-19 | Mariners v. A's -165 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OAKLAND Seattle has been in a bad way for some time now and their 2nd half got off to an ugly start with them being swept by the Angels. The first of those three games was a 13-0 loss where they got no hit. They scored just five runs in the next two games and have lost 8 of 9 overall. Oakland is looking like a team that wants the Wild Card as they have won four in a row and just swept the White Sox here at home. The A's took two of three up in Seattle right before the All Star Break and should like their chances here tonight as they are now 29-18 at home while the Mariners are 18-29 on the road. Daniel Mengden won his start in that last Seattle series as the team's record is 5-1 in his six starts. The Mariners go with Marco Gonzales, who has a 5-1 TSR his last 6 starts, but the seven starts before that the TSR was 0-7. The one Seattle win last week over Oakland did come with Gonzales pitching, but this team is just 9-28 its last 37 games on the road. Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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07-16-19 | Braves v. Brewers -164 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE It's been a bad start to the 2nd half for Milwaukee and really their struggles go back even further than that as they've dropped 8 of 10. But they definitely look to have the edge in starting pitching this evening over Atlanta. Brandon Woodruff gets the nod Tuesday and he's got a 14-4 team start record (best on the staff) with a 1.14 WHIP. He's even been a little sharper of late, giving up just one run in each of his last starts while going 13 2/3 innings with 12 strikeouts and 0 walks. That's certainly what you want to see. As for Atlanta's Bryse Wilson, he has a 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in just three starts and Atlanta's lost two of the three with both losses coming on the road. The Braves are 4-0 since the break and 8-1 their last 9 overall, but should hit a wall tonight at Miller Park where the home team has gone 9-1 with Woodruff on the mound on the mound this year. Woodruff has not lost a decision at home, going 8-0 in the 10 starts. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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07-16-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -157 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS The Rangers and Diamondbacks begin a two-game set on Tuesday. While this is an Interleague matchup, it'll actually be the fourth series between the teams in the last two years. All have been two games and the one earlier this year out in Arizona saw the teams split the pair. Texas is having the slightly stronger year overall so far as they are six games above .500 while Arizona is at the break even mark of 47-47. Both started their 2nd half with a win, but come in on two-game losing streaks. The Rangers actually took the first two games from the Astros over the weekend, only to lose the next two. The Diamondbacks lost two of three in St. Louis. Both teams are excited about who they have starting today, but we like Lance Lynn for Texas more as he's gotten it done over a longer stretch, plus he has a solid history when facing Arizona. Alex Young has made only two starts for the Diamondbacks and while the last one was a no-hitter (pulled after six innings), we're not sure any real conclusions can be made. Lynn is 12-4 this year and 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.95 WHIP his last three starts. The Rangers have won the last five times he's started. Arizona is 1-5 its last six road games. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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07-15-19 | Reds v. Cubs -135 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the CUBS The Cubs started the second half hot by sweeping the Pirates. They now lead the NL Central by 2.5 games and will turn to a different divisional foe in Cincinnati. The Reds may be in last place, but actually have the division's 2nd best run differential. Unfortunately for them though, this series is at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are 32-16 at the Friendly Confines and today's starter (Kyle Hendricks) tends to pitch very well here. Hendricks has a 1.65 ERA and 0.88 WHIP at home. He's also got two quality starts under his belt against the Reds this season. The Reds lost two of three out in Coors over the weekend, giving up a lot of runs (19) over the last two games. This should be a very different series in terms of the offense as the Cubs pitching staff is allowing only 3.7 runs/game at home. The Reds typically don't have a strong offense, so while Luis Castillo has pitched well for them, we just don't see Cincy matching up here. The Cubs are 50-17 their last 67 home games against teams with losing road records. They've won 7 of the last 10 times Hendricks has started a series opener. The Reds are just 2-6 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. Play on the CUBS AAA |
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07-15-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -175 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on BOSTON Being that they had to play into the late hours of last night, and lost, a case could be made for this not being a great spot to take the Red Sox. But the bottom line here is they are so superior to Toronto that last night's events hardly matter. It was a very good Dodgers team that beat them Sunday night, 7-4, a game which ended up going 12 innings. The Blue Jays' second half got off to a losing start by them dropping two of three in New York. They've now lost six of nine, all to division rivals, and should be viewed as a non-contender moving forward. Boston did just take two of three up in Toronto right before the All Star Break. They are 35-15 vs. Toronto the past three seasons and 22-9 the past two. Rick Porcello should get back on track here against a Blue Jays lineup which has produced two runs or fewer in five of its last six games. The last time Tyler Thornton started against Boston, he gave up seven runs and 11 hits while lasting only 2 2/3 innings. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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07-14-19 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -105 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOSTON The Dodgers finally were able to win a game at Fenway Park, beating the Red Sox last night 9-2. But even with All Star starter Hyun-Jin Ryu starting tonight's game on ESPN, we don't think they can make it two straight. While Ryu was unquestionably great throughout the first half of the season, perhaps the All Star festivities took their toll on him. Also, it's not like Boston won't have an ace of their own going Sunday night. David Price is undefeated going all the way back to April 27th, a stretch of 11 starts, and has allowed two runs or less in his last four starts. Remember that Price beat Ryu here in Boston in Game 2 of last year's World Series. The Red Sox are 21-6 in Price's last 27 home starts and 7-1 his last eight interleague starts. But here's the real kicker - the Dodgers are just 3-15 in Ryu's last 18 starts away from home against a team with a winning record. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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07-14-19 | Mets -205 v. Marlins | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the METS We had the Mets with Syndergaard last night (a 4-2 win!) and we like them even more today with deGrom pitching. When Robinson Cano hit a go-ahead two-run homer in the top of the eighth Saturday, it had to feel sweet for the Mets, who had lost four in a row to Miami dating back to a sweep in May. But they'd also won the season's first five meetings and the fact remains that the Marlins are the only team below them in the NL East standings. While this is the second straight year that deGrom has a team start record not equal to his own individual prowess, we'll still lean on a reigning Cy Young winner that has posted a 2.96 ERA his last seven trips to the mound. Miami averages only 3.6 runs/game at home and will struggle to put many on the board today. Sandy Alcantara has been pretty inconsistent for the Marlins. He allowed six runs his last start here at home. The Marlins are 5-17 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this year. Play on the METS AAA |
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07-14-19 | Twins v. Indians -132 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEVELAND What a disappointment this series has been for Cleveland. They went into the All Star Break riding a six-game win streak and were just 5.5 games back of the Twins in the AL Central. They're now 7.5 games back after losing the last two days. Friday's game saw the Indians blow a 3-1 lead while another shaky bullpen effort resulted in a 6-2 loss Saturday. Shane Bieber starts Sunday's finale and he can claim an 8-3 record in 18 starts (12-6 TSR) with a 0.99 WHIP. Leading up to the Break, Bieber had really been "lights out" with a string of five straight strong efforts. He has a 1.69 ERA and 0.66 WHIP his last three starts and back on June 4th he beat Minnesota here at Progressive Field, allowing just two runs and five hits. Bieber lasted seven innings that day. For the Twins, All Star Jose Berrios has had Cleveland's number in two starts this year, but we think the third time will be the charm here for the Tribe. Berrios does not have a win in any of his last five starts overall. We remain unconvinced that the Twins offense will be able to match their production from the 1st half of the season down the stretch. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-13-19 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -164 | Top | 11-2 | Loss | -164 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOSTON The Red Sox really seem to have the Dodgers number, don't they? All it took was five games to win the World Series last Fall and last night was another whitewashing with Boston coming out ahead 8-1. The Dodgers have now lost seven straight times at Fenway Park. They've also lost four in a row going back to the first half of the season. You'd have to go back to early April and a six-game slide to find the only worse stretch of baseball LA has played in 2019. Usually, they have the edge in starting pitching, but not here with Ross Stripling facing Chris Sale. Sale hasn't been as good in years past, but this is a pretty amazing price on him, pitching at home no less. Stripling has given up four runs in each of his last two starts and didn't make it out of the fifth either time. He's not made it past the fifth since April 14th vs. Milwaukee. He's only in the rotation because of an injury to Rich Hill. The Red Sox have quietly won five in a row, so this is a bad time for the Dodgers to be returning to Beantown. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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07-13-19 | Twins v. Indians -136 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND Cleveland let a golden opportunity to gain ground on Minnesota slip away last night, blowing a 3-1 lead and losing 5-3. That ended a six-game win streak by the Indians and they're now 6.5 games back of the Twins in the AL Central. We did have the Indians in last night's game, which left a sour taste in our mouths, but they should bounce back today with Trevor Bauer on the hill. Bauer has the fourth most strikeouts (149) in the American League and leads all of baseball with 132 innings pitched. The Indians have won his last six starts. Minnesota starter Odorizzi is heading in the opposite direction with four straight shaky performances. Odorizzi's ERA and WHIP in the last three starts are 8.76 and 1.78. Again, Cleveland had the Twins where they wanted them last night, only for an error to open the door for some two-out scoring. Minnesota definitely overachieved in the 1st half of the season and we see the Indians making this division a tight race in the 2nd half. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-13-19 | Mets -130 v. Marlins | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the METS Since winning each of the first five meetings this year, the Mets have seemingly forgotten how to beat the Marlins. They've now LOST four straight times to the only team in the division that's below them. All four losses have been here in Miami. There was a three-game sweep back in May, then an 8-4 loss last night. Fortunately for the Mets though, they'll send Noah Syndergaard out on Saturday and he should be able to reverse this trend of losing to the Marlins. Syndergaard is 6-1 with a 1.72 ERA vs. Miami in his career, pitching 62 innings. He did take the loss back in May, but allowed only two runs and five hits in seven innings. The problem was the Mets didn't score (lost 3-0) as Miami's Sandy Alcantara tossed a complete game shutout. We strongly doubt that today's starter, Zac Gallen, will deliver a similar performance. This is just the 4th start for Gallen, who has yet to go longer than five innings. The Mets have won Syndergaard's last four starts despite him not really being at his best. Against a team he usually dominates, we should get the best Syndergaard has to offer here. Play on METS AAA |
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07-12-19 | Twins v. Indians -127 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -127 | 22 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on CLEVELAND This is obviously a huge series for the Indians. They trail the Twins by 5.5 games in the AL Central, which really isn't all that bad when you think about it. Minnesota probably could not have played any better than it did in the first half while Cleveland was viewed as largely disappointing. But the Tribe has started to put it together with a six-game win streak and they are 11-3 the last 14 games. Now they definitely took advantage of a weak schedule. But after Cleveland got to host the ASG, look for the home team to give the fans something else to cheer about tonight. Mike Clevinger has pitched pretty well in his five starts. He has a 0.986 WHIP. Remember this is a pitcher that had 200+ strikeouts a year ago. Minnesota's rotation totally overachieved in the first half, including Kyle Gibson who has an 11-6 TSR despite a mediocre 4.13 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. It's highly unlikely that the Twins will continue to average 6.2 runs/game on the road moving forward. Don't count Cleveland out in this division race and we like them tonight. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-07-19 | Padres v. Dodgers -157 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -157 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LOS ANGELES The Dodgers can't lose three in a row to the Padres can they? We're willing to bet that the answer is "no" on Sunday as LA looks to cap an outstanding first half of the season with a big division win. They already lead the NL West by 14.5 games and are poised to run away with things in the second half. All the trends point to a win today, including a 20-10 record when off a loss and 17-5 mark in day games. This is a team that's gone 37-11 at home so far with visiting teams averaging just 3.2 runs/game here. San Diego hasn't scored much in the three games in this series (just 7 runs) and shouldn't today either against Ross Stripling, who has a 2.61 ERA in 13 career appearances vs. SD. As for the Dodgers, who are just the 15th team in MLB history to reach 60 wins by the All Star Break, they should rediscover the offense against Joey Lucchesi. Lucchesi has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-3 with a 7.64 ERA in four starts. He's also still winless on the road in 2019 thanks to a 6.10 ERA. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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07-07-19 | Angels v. Astros -153 | Top | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on HOUSTON Everyone expects the Astros to coast to another AL West pennant as they're set to be much healthier in the second half and that means trouble for the other four teams in the division. The 'Stros have already opened up a 6.5-game advantage over the rest of the field and today will look to make it two straight over the Angels. It was a 4-0 shutout on Saturday, led by Gerrit Cole, who increased his MLB-leading strikeout total to 170. Because it's not Cole or Justin Verlander starting today's game, we're able to get a much cheaper price on Houston and it makes sense to grab it. Jose Urquidy is making his second career start and he should pitch just fine here. Probably a lot better than Angels starter Suarez, who has a 6.13 ERA and 1.50 WHIP his last three starts. Houston is 5-1 off a shutout win this season and continues to dominated the rest of the West, going 25-7 in all division games. They are also 32-14 at home. The Angels are far too mediocre to compete with a team like the Astros. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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07-07-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -160 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TORONTO Baltimore has won three in a row for the first time in three months and today will be going for its very first series sweep of the season. On the flip side, it is Toronto trying to avoid the dubious distinction of being the ones swept by the last place Orioles, at home no less. It's just tough for us to imagine Baltimore winning again as this is a team on pace to set a new record for worst run differential in a single season (currently -160). We concede the Blue Jays have their own set of problems, but they are still the better team here. It'll be a bullpen day for Baltimore, starting with Asher Wojciechowski and including the likes of Gabriel Ynoa and David Hess. The Orioles pitching staff has been atrocious all year and we expect today to be no different. For Toronto, Trent Thornton will get the starting nod and while he's been far from Cy Young, we think he's a much better option that what Baltimore will be sending out there. The Jays are 4-1 in Thornton's last five starts against a team with a losing record. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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07-06-19 | A's -129 v. Mariners | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -129 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OAKLAND Oakland looks to sink Seattle again after beating them 5-2 last night here at T-Mobile Park. After starting the season out red hot (won 13 of first 15 games), the Mariners have been as bad as any team in baseball, losing 52 of their last 77 games. They've dropped seven of eight coming into tonight, including three in a row at home where they're now only 17-28 for the year. Marco Gonzales hardly seems like the right answer to start Saturday as he's got a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in nine previous home starts. The Seattle offense isn't doing much scoring either, averaging only 2.9 runs/game over the last week. The A's turn to Chris Bassitt in this spot, looking to win for a fourth straight time with him on the mound. The last two times Bassitt pitched both came on the road and he was the underdog. The A's ended up winning those games 7-3 and 12-3 and tonight the odds are even more tilted in Bassitt's favor. Incredibly, the Mariners have lost 21 of their last 26 home games to teams that have a winning record (Oakland comes in at 49-40). Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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07-06-19 | Rangers v. Twins -154 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MINNESOTA Minnesota came through for us yesterday and we'll come right back with them again this afternoon. We opened yesterday's writeup by saying the Twins were very much in "good shape" going into the All Star Break as they'll be in first place in the AL Central (no matter what happens the next two days) and that's something no one would have predicted at the start of the season. They've also set a new MLB record for most home runs hit before the All Star Break with 165. Last night saw them set the record by banging out four more HRs and the game was never close as it was 6-0 by the end of the second inning and ended up a 15-6 rout. Saturday's starter for the Rangers is Jesse Chavez and while he's got good numbers, the Twins offensive prowess is likely to overwhelm him this afternoon. Michael Pineda goes for Minnesota as he's given up no more than three runs in eight of his last nine starts. Texas is just 5-16 its last 21 road games against teams that have a win percentage of .600 or better. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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07-05-19 | Rangers v. Twins -166 | Top | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MINNESOTA It was a "bad day at the office" for the Twins on the 4th (of July) as they lost 7-2 to the A's. But your AL Central leaders are still in very good shape heading into the All-Star Break. They are guaranteed to have the division lead, no matter what happens this weekend, and that's something few would have predicted at the start of the season. Back home, we see them bouncing back today against Texas. The Rangers have been the other surprise in the American League, but they're simply not as good as Minnesota is. Prior to winning yesterday, the Rangers had dropped four in a row. A big problem for them today is Adrian Sampson's 0-4 TSR on the road. It comes with an 8.85 ERA and 1.80 WHIP as well. It just so happens that Minnesota is #2 in the league in runs scored. They are also 26-14 at home, including 13-2 when -175 or higher on the moneyline. Twins starter Perez is going to be really motivated here as he faces his former team for the first time. Perez has been much better than expected for his new team and has a 1.08 WHIP here at Target Field. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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07-04-19 | Phillies v. Braves -152 | Top | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ATLANTA The Braves are in control of the NL East right now and will look to make it two of three over the Phillies tonight. They go for the series win with Mike Soroka on the hill and they've won his last six starts. Soroka is 9-1 overall (14 starts) with a 2.13 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. He's given up more than three runs in just one of the 14 starts, that being June 12th vs. the Pirates. The Braves are 11-3 with him on the mound this year. The Phillies have not faced him. They've scored just four runs in two games off Braves pitching so far in the series. We're not sure Philly can count on Zach Eflin to keep them in this one as he has a 5.82 ERA and 1.71 WHIP his past three starts. The Phillies are 3-9 this season as a road underdog of +125 to +175 while Atlanta is 18-8 as a home favorite of -125 to -175. The Braves also average 5.8 runs per game at home, a really strong number. The only team scoring more at home this year is Colorado, who is always #1. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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07-03-19 | Giants v. Padres -133 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SAN DIEGO San Diego hasn't done well in this series, losing the first two games 13-2 and 10-4. We had the Giants in the opener, but expect the Padres to avoid the sweep. Yes, San Francisco has won three straight and outscored its opponents 33-10 in that time. But there's a reason they are still in last place in the NL West. Prior to that, they were looking at a -95 run differential on the year, the worst in the National League. They are 1-4 this season following three consecutive wins. So we expect them to "slip up" tonight as the previous two days are not indicative of the matchup here. The Padres desperately need this game with a series in LA looming on the horizon. It's a battle of rookie right-handers with Anderson and Quantrill starting. The two have similar numbers. We view the difference being San Diego's motivation and the fact San Francisco simply isn't as good as they've looked lately. They come back down to Earth tonight. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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07-03-19 | Indians -154 v. Royals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND The Indians won last night's game 9-5. They're now eight games above .500 and would be a Wild Card team if the regular season ended today. They've won 7 of 10 overall and have the American League's best record since June 1st (18-9 overall). Kansas City is still last in the AL Central at 29-57 and they'll be a team firmly looking at the future after the All-Star Break. Last weekend saw Cleveland turn in some awful performances in Baltimore, so they won't be taking the Royals lightly. Starter Mike Clevinger is 6-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 10 previous appearances vs. KC. So this looks like a good matchup for him after the disastrous outing against the Orioles. Royals starter Duffy has not been successful in the past against Cleveland, going 2-10 with a 5.68 ERA. The Indians have won 8 of their last 10 games vs. lefties. The Royals have lost five of Duffy's last six starts and are just 2-6 their last eight games overall. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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07-02-19 | Twins -114 v. A's | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINNESOTA Oakland comes into this series feeling pretty good about itself. They have won five of six, including the last three of a four-game set with the Angels this past weekend. But Minnesota is invading here and they check off a lot of boxes when you're scanning today's card for a big play. First off, the Twins average 6.3 runs/game on the road. That's tops in all of baseball. They also sport the American League's best run differential at +113. (Yes, better than the Yankees). Jake Odorizzi is starting Tuesday and while he's slowed down a little, there have still been six times this year where he didn't allow any runs and three more where he allowed just one. It just so happens that Odorizzi's 1.29 career ERA in Oakland (three starts) is his lowest at any of the 30 MLB parks. Daniel Mengden may have pitched well from the A's in his return from the minors last week, but we're still not sold. The Twins have won 12 of Odorizzi's last 13 starts. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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06-30-19 | Braves v. Mets -103 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NY METS The Mets are wrapping up a three-game series with the Braves Sunday night. They'll send out Noah Syndergaard in the hopes of ending what is now a seven-game losing streak overall. The Mets have not won since 6.22 when they beat the Cubs as they've lost 6-2 and 5-4 to the Braves the previous two days. But having Syndergaard on the hill makes a large difference. While he didn't pitch well in his last start, he still has a 1.087 WHIP over his last seven. This is his return from the disabled list and it couldn't come at a better time for the Mets. They gave up back to back homers in the eighth yday to lose the game. It was Atlanta's 21st come from behind victory of the season. But we don't see them being able to pull another rabbit out of the hat tonight. Max Fried may have a 5-0 TSR his L5 starts, but his WHIP Is actually up during that time. Play on NY METS AAA |
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06-30-19 | Dodgers -156 v. Rockies | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on LA DODGERS This Dodgers-Rockies has not been short on runs as the two teams have combined for 50 runs in three games. Now yesterday's game was a lot less low scoring than the first two as Colorado won 5-3. But the more curious thing to transpire is that after losing the first seven head to head meetings of the year, the Rockies have now won two straight. We look for LA to reassert its dominance Sunday behind Kenta Maeda, who just held Colorado to two runs over seven innings in his previous start. Maeda is 6-3 with a 2.30 ERA in his career when facing Colorado and has even fared well when pitching here at Coors, going 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in nine games. Chi-Chi Gonzales goes for Colorado and not only did he not work in the last series with the Dodgers, this will be his first ever time starting in the thin air of Denver. The Dodgers last lost three in a row back in mid-April. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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06-29-19 | Diamondbacks -133 v. Giants | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARIZONA After winning Thursday's opener, Arizona fell last night to San Francisco by a score of 6-3. That was just only the third time in 11 matchups this year that the home team emerged victorious in this NL West rivarly. Such results may be irregular across baseball, but not to the Diamondbacks. They are just 17-22 at home and 25-20 on the road. Tonight they have a huge edge in starting pitching with Greinke facing Pomeranz. Greinke has a 3.08 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, the latter being one of the better numbers in the entire league. The WHIP gets even better on the road too as does the ERA. But perhaps the most important thing of all here is Greinke's career-long domination of the Giants as he's 12-3 w/ a 2.34 ERA in 19 career starts against them and has never lost here in San Francisco (5-0 with 1.37 ERA). Before last night, Arizona was unbeaten here in San Fran. Pomeranz is not having a good year as he's 2-8 with a 6.79 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. He's never beaten Arizona, going 0-4 with an 8.53 ERA in 10 starts and the last time he faced them was a disaster as he lasted only 2 2/3 innings before giving up five runs and eight hits in what ended up being an 18-2 loss for the Giants. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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06-29-19 | Twins -150 v. White Sox | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MINNESOTA Minnesota should make short work of the White Sox today in what shapes up to be a complete mismatch. The Twins did lose last night's game 6-4, so they're out for revenge here against a team they'd previously swept at Target Field, back at the end of May. The Twins continue to lead the AL Central by a wide margin and are 13 games in front of the White Sox. A major reason for the Twins' surprising amount of success this season is that they are getting unreal offensive production on the road. They average 6.3 runs/game as the visitors, which is the highest average in all of baseball. The rotation has also been much better than anticipated. Michael Pineda may be off a bit of a rough outing, but that was the first time since April he'd allowed more than three earned runs. Chicago's Ivan Nova has been terrible at home this year, going 0-3 in six starts with an 8.79 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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06-28-19 | Phillies -135 v. Marlins | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHILADELPHIA The Phillies just completed a four-game sweep of the Mets, an extraordinarily fortunate result given that they had to come from behind to win every time. They'll take it though, considering the series before that saw them get swept at home by Miami. They go for revenge Friday against the Marlins, who were just swept by Washington. So the vibe is much different this time around as the NL East rivals get ready to play three game here on South Beach. The Marlins are still a last place team mind you and they've never hit Friday's starter for the Phillies, Vincent Velasquez, well. That includes last weekend's series when they got just one hit off him in five innings. Velasquez has a 2.90 ERA in 12 previous starts vs. the Marlins and the two times he's faced them this year have seen him allow only two runs and three hits in 11 innings. The Phillies obviously didn't win the last one as they were swept in the series, but don't blame Velasquez on that one. He'll again be opposed by Hernandez for Miami, who has yet to record a winning decision in seven career tries as a starter. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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06-28-19 | Indians -170 v. Orioles | Top | 0-13 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND The Indians have quite the favorable schedule between now and the All Star Break. Having just wrapped up a successful 5-1 homestand against the Tigers and Royals, their next six games come against the Orioles and Royals. The Orioles are the worst team in baseball as they have won only 22 games and been outscored by almost 200 runs. Pitching for them tonight will be John Means. While Means has been their top starter, he alone cannot erase just how bad his team is. The price is still relatively high on the Indians tonight, but not as high as it should be considering how they've played of late. Earlier this year, they took three of four from the Orioles, outscoring them 29-13. Though Mike Clevinger's return from the disabled list didn't go all that well last week (gave up 5 runs), he still has a 2.70 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in three starts this year. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-27-19 | Dodgers -196 v. Rockies | Top | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on LA Safe to say, LA has handled its business with Colorado this season. The Dodgers are a perfect 6-0 against the Rockies including a sweep just last week. It would definitely appear as if they're very likely to make it 7-0. The oddsmakers have them as huge favorites at Coors Field Thursday and we are inclined to agree. Not only do you have the head to head domination, but there's a clear edge in the starting pitching matchup that's in the Dodgers favor. Walker Buehler is 8-1 in his 15 starts, possessing great numbers, and they just continue to get better. In six of the last seven starts, Buehler has allowed 2 earned runs or less. His last start was a complete game effort and he didn't allow any runs in the two starts before that. Colorado's Peter Lambert has really struggled since a successful pro debut. He's got an 8.31 ERA and 1.692 WHIP since then, though a large part of that is one bad start. After winning six in a row, the Dodgers just dropped two of three to Arizona. They'll be motivated to take this series opener. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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06-27-19 | Mariners v. Brewers -175 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE Milwaukee lost again last night and must win here today to avoid a sweep. Getting swept by the last place Mariners would definitely be a "bad look" for a team that's already lost 9 of 13. It's not like Seattle came in playing tremendous baseball either. Since starting the season at 13-2, the M's record is 24-45. The Brewers should have their chances this afternoon facing Mike Leake, who just gave up eight runs in his last start. Another edge the home team has is that they are 19-10 in day games. We'll admit that Chase Anderson hasn't exactly pitched great of late for Milwaukee, but he has a 5-0 team start record the last five times he's pitched the third game of a series. Seattle has lost the last seven times Leake has started on five or more days rest. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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06-26-19 | Nationals -144 v. Marlins | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on WASHINGTON Washington beat Miami yesterday 6-1, thanks to a dominant effort from Max Scherzer. They've now won six of eight and we project another strong outing today, this time from Patrick Corbin. The Marlins are the lowest scoring team in the National League right now. Before losing Tuesday, they had won four straight and swept the Phillies over the weekend. But they are still only averaging 3.1 runs/game at home and that simply will not cut it. Miami is 3-14 this year as a home underdog of +125 to +175. Corbin was outstanding in his last start, giving up just one run in seven innings. He also threw a complete game shutout at Miami's expense last month. Zac Gallen is still too unproven to trust in this spot for the Marlins. He was pretty good in his debut last weekend vs. St. Louis, but only lasted five innings. Washington is a team to keep an eye on right now. Play WASHINGTON AAA |
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06-25-19 | A's v. Cardinals -126 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ST. LOUIS After failing to sweep the Angels Sunday night, St. Louis gets a crack at another AL West foe here as Oakland comes to own. It's been awhile since the A's had to play on the road as their last 10 games all were played at home. They went 6-4 on the homestand after splitting four games with Tampa Bay over the weekend. If it seems like a number of Cardinals pitchers have been sharper at home, well, that's because they are. Jack Flaherty has a 2.49 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in his eight Busch Stadium starts. That gives him a big leg up on Bassitt for Oakland. Bassitt had a 5.88 ERA in his five starts previous to the last one. That last start came against Baltimore, so a bit of an asterisk there. Bottom line is Flaherty and St. Louis are better at home than Bassitt and Oakand are out on the road. The A's have lost 4 of Bassitt's last five interleague starts while the Cardinals are 8-2 their last 10 IL games vs. a right-handed starter. Play ST. LOUIS AAA |
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06-25-19 | Mariners v. Brewers -163 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -163 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE Milwaukee had gone cold prior to winning Saturday and Sunday over Cincinnati. Before that, they'd dropped five straight and seven of eight. We look for them to continue the resurgence here vs. Seattle. Despite playing Baltimore and Kansas City, the two worst teams in the AL, the Mariners only went 4-3 on the recently completed homestand. The Brewers Zach Davies hasn't lost at home, going 4-0 in six starts. He'll be opposed by Marco Gonzales, who is unbeaten his last three starts. So something will have to give. Again, the Brewers look to be the correct call. Seattle is 0-4 vs. the National League this season.They continue to give up runs in bunches too. No team has given up more this season. They did win 13-3 Sunday (over Baltimore) but are 3-14 off their last 17 wins. Play on Milwaukee. AAA |
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06-25-19 | Mets v. Phillies -142 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on PHILADELPHIA The Phillies beat the Mets Monday, quite easily in fact, as the final score was 13-7. It was a much needed win as they'd lost each of their previous six games and had been swept here at home by last place Miami over the weekend. The 13 runs they scored yesterday nearly matched the entire offensive output during that six-game slide (scored only 14 runs). We like them to make it two in a row at the Mets' expense this evening. Considering how Mets starter Walker Lockett pitched in his first big league start, it should be another big day at the plate for Philly. Lockett lasted only 2 1/3 innings last week in Chicago and gave up five runs. The Mets have lost six of nine and are a team we've been targeting (as a fade) quite frequently of late. Phillies starter Jake Arrieta should have his way with them as he's off back to back quality starts for the first time this season. The Mets are just 2-7 this year after allowing 10 or more runs in the previous game. Quite frankly, that's a lot times to be allowing 10 or more runs. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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06-24-19 | Rockies -128 v. Giants | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on COLORADO Colorado heads to San Francisco for the opener of a three-game set. Monday's game is on ESPN, a rare chance for these NL West teams to play in front of a national TV audience. We look for the Rockies to make the most of the opportunity as the Giants simply aren't very good. We played against them yesterday, noting many of their deficiencies, and they lost 3-2 in extra innings. They don't score a ton (only two teams have scored fewer runs) and today's starter (Drew Pomeranz) has allowed five or more runs four times in his last seven starts, including the last one when he gave up three home runs to the Dodgers. It's a 10.58 ERA and 2.27 WHIP in those last seven starts overall. The Rockies go with Jon Gray, who allowed just two runs in his most recent start. That was a win over Zack Greinke in Arizona. Certainly then, Gray is capable of pitching his team to a win over Pomeranz and the Giants. Play COLORADO AAA |
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06-24-19 | Braves v. Cubs -120 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 10* play on the CUBS The Cubs are playing with revenge here as the Braves swept them back in early April. That was a long time ago obviously, though the Braves have actually never been hotter than they are right now. Wins Saturday and Sunday brings them to an impressive 16-5 overall in June and they have opened up a pretty big lead (6.5 games) in the National League East. But Chicago is also a division leader (Central) and has a better run differential than Atlanta. They are also the home team for this series, which is a big deal because they've gone 27-14 at Wrigley so far this year, 14-5 as a favorite of -125 to -175. Has Jon Lester pitched all that well recently? Not really, but he is 6-2 lifetime against the Braves with a 2.95 ERA. Julio Teheran had been pitching well for Atlanta recently, but that was before he got beat up by the Mets last week, giving up six runs in four innings. Play CHICAGO AAA |
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06-24-19 | White Sox v. Red Sox -166 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOSTON Though the White Sox will send Lucas Giolito to the mound today, the Red Sox still are the better team and that's ultimately what will matter tonight. Boston won't be lacking for motivation. They lost two of the three games in their last series and that was to a bad Toronto team. Still they are 8-3 the last 11 games overall and 31-20 their last 51 games. It's surprising that Chicago is hovering around .500 (they lost 100 games in 2018), but they haven't been as competitive as you might think. They've lost two straight as well as five of seven and not one time during that stretch have they scored more than five runs in a game. Giolito is off his worst start of the season as he gave up six runs. Boston is going with Rodriguez, who has the best team start record on the staff at 11-4. Play BOSTON AAA |
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06-23-19 | Angels v. Cardinals -130 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ST. LOUIS St. Louis is look to sweep here and we'll gladly take them at what appears to be a severely undervalued price. The Angels just haven't been able to muster much offense in the first two games. They've scored only three runs. Both of yesterday's came on solo home runs. Miles Mikolas is a lot better at home than he is on the road for the Cardinals with a 2.55 ERA and 0.88 WHIP at Busch Stadium. Tyler Skaggs has a 5.27 ERA on the road for the Angels. The Cardinals have been pretty strong at home overall, going 24-15. The Angels have not done well in the spot they are in right now as they've gone 3-13 the last 16 times they dropped the first two games of a series. They've also dropped 39 of their last 53 on the road to teams that have winning records. St. Louis has won 16 of the last 21 Mikolas starts against teams that have losing records. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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06-23-19 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ARIZONA Arizona is facing the prospect of getting swept at home by a division rival for a second straight series. It was Colorado earlier in the week, now San Francisco has come to Chase Field and delivered back to back wins (11-5 Friday and 7-4 Saturday). The Diamondbacks losing streak has now hit six straight overall and they're now just 14-21 at home for the year. There's only a handful of teams with worse home records and all of them are buried at the bottom of the standings. So it doesn't make much sense to see Arizona struggling that much here. We think they bounce back today behind Merrill Kelly, who had really been delivering for them of late (prior to his last outing). Kelly's first three starts in June saw him go a total of 22 1/3 innings and he allowed just two runs on 12 hits. So you can write off Tuesday's subpar effort against Colorado, we think. The Giants are just 12-19 in day games this year while Shaun Anderson is not someone we'd really consider putting our money on right now. The biggest difference maker in the series so far has been recent call-up Alex Dickerson and we don't see that continuing either. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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06-22-19 | White Sox v. Rangers -188 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on TEXAS We may have lost with the Rangers Friday night, but expect them to bounce back in a major way tonight against the White Sox. They (the Rangers) let an early 2-0 lead slip away last night, eventually losing 5-4 in 10 innings. But it shouldn't be any problem putting away their visitors this evening. It starts with the pitching matchup where Lance Lynn takes on Omar Despaigne. Despaigne has been terrible for the White Sox as he's given up 10 runs and 16 hits in his two starts. Lynn has made eight straight quality starts for the Rangers, the latest coming Monday against Cleveland where he had nine strikeouts and allowed only one run in seven innings. Lynn's ERA is 2.92 during the eight straight quality efforts. Texas is 8-2 the last 10 times it has been off a loss. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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06-22-19 | Orioles v. Mariners -175 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SEATTLE Seattle was set to be our 10* MLB Game of the Week LAST night, but a pitching change (by Baltimore) negated that. It's too bad as the Mariners ended up winning a wild one, 10-9, doing almost all of their scoring early. The Orioles are no better today than they were yesterday. In fact, they're obviously now a game worse in the standings. Their win percentage (.276) and run differential (-175) are both baseball's worst, which was also the case in 2018. They've now lost 10 in a row after dropping the first two games of this series. The Orioles actually have a winning record when Andrew Cashner is on the mound. But how long will that last? Saturday's starter doesn't have good numbers (ERA or WHIP) on the season. The Mariners will start Tommy Milone, who has made three decent starts thus far. He's allowed just five runs on 10 hits and has a 2.23 ERA in six previous games vs. Baltimore. The Orioles are just 2-12 their last 14 games in Seattle. Play on SEATTLE AAA |
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06-22-19 | Reds v. Brewers -105 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Milwaukee The Reds have played shockingly well of late. They've won six straight games, the last two of which have come here in Milwaukee. That also has the Brewers on a five-game losing streak and at the rate these teams are going Cincy may very well pass Milwaukee in the NL Central. But we think the Brewers "stop the bleeding" today. Now, only quickly glancing at the numbers, you may not think Jhoulys Chacin is the right starter for the job here. But Chacin has pitched relatively well at Miller Park this year and holds a win over the Reds. Luis Castillo, on the other hand, does have pretty sterling numbers for the Reds. But he has an 0-2 team start record vs. Milwaukee this season and one of those losses happened to be his poorest outing of the year! Even after losing the first two games of this series, the Brewers are still 39-19 their last 58 home games vs. teams with a winning record. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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06-21-19 | White Sox v. Rangers -138 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS Texas is our new 10* for today ("replacing" Seattle) as they host the struggling White Sox in the opener of a three-game set. The Rangers won yesterday, 4-2 over the Indians, as they remain a surprise player in the AL Wild Card race. Chicago should not be considered a postseason player, despite being within reach of .500 (currently two games under) as they've been outscored by 59 runs this season. The White Sox did have Thursday off, but that's not going to matter with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound. Lopez has a poor 6.75 ERA his past three starts and has really struggled for much of 2019. He has won only one of his previous six starts. The Rangers will turn to Ariel Jurado, who is off a rough outing in Cincinnati, but he should bounce back from that tonight. Jurado had made four straight quality starts before going to Cincy and the White Sox aren't exactly a premier offensive team. Texas is, as they average 5.6 runs/game, second most overall. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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06-21-19 | Tigers v. Indians -190 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on CLEVELAND Cleveland just swept the Tigers last weekend and that was in Detroit. Now they welcome this struggling division rival to Progressive Field and it's difficult to imagine this series going much differently. The Tigers are just plain bad. They were idle yesterday so that Miami passed them in runs scored for the season. That means Detroit has scored the fewest runs in all of baseball, leading to them being outscored by 132 runs this year. Cleveland is 5-1 vs. Detroit in 2019 and 31-13 against them since the start of 2017. The Tigers have just one win in the last six games overall. While the Indians did lose yesterday afternoon, that came after back to back 10-run efforts in Texas (won both games). Trevor Bauer is pitching for Cleveland tonight and when he faced Detroit last weekend he went the distance, allowing only four hits. It was his second straight strong start. Matthew Boyd goes for the Tigers. He's won just one of his past seven starts and lasted only 4 innings in his last one. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-21-19 | Mets v. Cubs -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on the CUBS The Cubs were the right call last night, so why not come right back with them again on Friday? They hammered the Mets 7-4 in the series opener, making the most of their seven hits (same number that NY finished with). It was the sixth straight time the Mets lost a series opener and they've now dropped 7 of 10 overall. We have played against them three times in the last four days and won every time. The price is again way too low here on the Cubs, who are 14-3 this season as home favorites of -125 to -175. Meanwhile, the Mets are 1-12 as road underdogs of +125 to +175. Despite not factoring into any decisions, Yu Darvish has pitched a lot better for the Cubs lately with a 0.818 WHIP his last three starts. He had a season-high 10 strikeouts in a very impressive performance last Sunday in which the Cubs beat the Dodgers 2-1. The Cubs are 7-1 vs. the Mets since the start of last season. Mets starter Jason Vargas had to leave his last start due to cramping, which is worrisome. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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06-20-19 | Twins -188 v. Royals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -188 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on MINNESOTA It's a battle of first place and last place in the AL Central and there's no reason to overthink this one. The division leading Twins enter this weekend series at Kauffman Stadium averaging a MLB-high 6.6 runs/game on the road. They'll also be looking to bounce back from their last series, which saw them drop two of three at home to the Red Sox. But right before that, they'd taken two of three at home from these same Royals. Kansas City is not having a good year, which was expected. Only Baltimore has a lower win percentage. The Royals had actually won three in a row before losing last night in Seattle, but this is not a game or series likely to go their way. Tonight they have to face Jake Odorizzi, who has been one of the American League's top pitchers this year. Minnesota has won Odorizzi's last 11 starts with the last one coming against this very opponent. While Odorizzi wasn't at his best against the Royals last Saturday, allowing four runs, he should make them pay here for not taking advantage. In six of his previous eight starts, Odorizzi hadn't allowed a single run. Opposing him for a second time in less than week will be Glenn Sparkman. He allowed all five runs in that 5-4 loss to Odorizzi and the Twins last Saturday, lasting just five innings. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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06-20-19 | Mets v. Cubs -130 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the CUBS The Cubs and Mets start a series on Thursday and we believe the latter's woes are set to continue. Twice in the past three days we played against the Mets. Both times we won (on Atlanta), only laying off the middle game when they had Jacob deGrom pitching. There's no deGrom to help them today, only Walker Lockett, who will be making his first start as a Met. He's a fill-in for Noah Syndergaard, so that's a tremendous break for a Cubs team that hardly needed it. Lockett was winless in three starts last year for the Padres with an ERA of 9.60 in 15 innings. The Mets have lost six of nine overall and their last five series openers. The Cubs are back in a first place tie with the Brewers, so they don't dare blow this opportunity. Tyler Chatwood will be making only his second start of the season tonight for the Cubs, but the first saw him throw six shutout innings back on April 21st against Arizona. He's been working in a long relief role, so it's not like he's unaccustomed to going long. The Cubs have won the last five times Chatwood has started at Wrigley Field. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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06-20-19 | Indians -124 v. Rangers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND It's probably too early to start talking Wild Card, but this shaped up to be a pretty important series for Cleveland as they came in trailing Texas in that race by half a game. The Indians lost Monday's opener, 7-2, but have stormed back to take the last two games while scoring 20 runs in the process. Thus it is now them with a half game lead over the Rangers, although Boston has now passed both. For this afternoon, Cleveland sends out Shane Bieber who has won his last four decisions. He is sixth in the AL in strikeouts and has had 10 or more three times in the past six starts. He had 12 over the weekend in a 4-2 win over Detroit. Mike Minor of Texas has the fifth lowest ERA (2.63) in the American League, but we're not sure if we're buying him to be successful over the long-term. His success this year has been quite surprising and before winning at Cincinnati last weekend, he'd been without a victory since May 20th. His last four wins all have been against teams that were in last place at the time. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-19-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
analysis coming |
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06-19-19 | Mets v. Braves -147 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ATLANTA We smartly laid off the Braves last night as they were up against Jacob deGrom. That particular matchup didn't go well for them as they were beaten 10-2 with the only two runs scored coming in the bottom of the ninth when the game was well out of hand. But Atlanta was a winner for us on Monday and we're back on them again tonight. Despite losing Tuesday, your NL East leaders still have won 10 of their last 12 games. Going into yesterday, they'd scored 90 runs in 11 games. They should rediscover that offense today going against Steven Matz, who is certainly not deGrom. Matz has a 5.79 ERA and 1.53 WHIP away from home this year. Max Fried goes for Atlanta. He'd gotten off to a great start to the year, but has struggled here in June. Look for him to get back on track tonight though as the Braves are a perfect 6-0 following the last six times they were held to two runs or less. The Mets are just 1-4 off their previous five victories. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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06-19-19 | Astros -168 v. Reds | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -168 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on HOUSTON These teams are wrapping up a three-game series Wednesday afternoon. Houston's 1st visit to Great American Ballpark since 2012 has not gone as expected as they've dropped the first two games. But the depth advantage the Astros have in their starting rotation comes full force here as they'll send out Gerrit Cole while the Reds are stuck with Tyler Mahle. Cole has a sub-1.00 WHIP on the year as Houston has won the last four times he's pitched. All four starts saw him go at least six innings and allow two earned runs or fewer. He also has 40 strikeouts in 25 innings. Mahle hasn't made it past the fifth in any of his last four starts and he allowed four runs just his last time out. He's allowed 16 runs total in the four starts. What's most impressive about Houston pitching is that it has held opponents to a .203 batting average on the road. The Astros are 6-1 in Cole's last seven interleague starts and 16-3 his last 19 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds are 1-8 in Mahle's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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06-18-19 | Royals v. Mariners -117 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEATTLE Going with an opener last night, the Mariners lost to the Royals 6-4. Yet even with the opener not working out (Tayler Scott gave up two runs), Seattle was still in position to down KC for a 10th straight time. Tommy Milone came in and gave the home team 6+ solid innings, allowing only one run and three hits. The Mariners were up 4-2 heading into the seventh, but the bullpen let them down by giving up four runs over those final three frames. As much as Seattle has struggled over these last two months, it's never a good idea to back the Royals off a win as they are just 6-16 in this situation. They're also just 10-25 on the road. With both of tonight's starters (Kikuchi for Seattle, Bailey for Kansas City) coming off better than usual outings, we'll side with the better offensive team tonight. Seattle still is averaging over five runs per game, a full run more than Kansas City. Also, look at whom each pitcher faced in their respective last starts. Bailey faced the league's lowest scoring team (Detroit) while Kikuchi faced the highest scoring team (Minnesota). Seattle is 6-0 following their last six losses. Play on SEATTLE AAA |
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06-18-19 | Indians -122 v. Rangers | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CLEVELAND The Indians rolled into Arlington feeling pretty good about themselves. They'd just swept Detroit over the weekend, on the road, and thus had a shot at passing the Rangers in the Wild Card race. Granted Detroit is a bad team, but Cleveland certainly did it's job, outscoring the Tigers 25-6. But Monday was a reality check as Texas beat them 7-2. We look for the Indians to bounce back tonight. We definitely have liked what we've seen from Zach Plesac, who will be getting the start. In four starts, Plesac has given up only eight runs in 24 2/3 innings. He had a little issue with the home run ball in his last start, but we don't see that being a problem here. Texas starter Sampson had an even bigger issue with the home run ball in his last start, giving up FOUR in a 7-6 loss to Boston. He allowed six runs overall as his ERA rose to 5.61 for the year. Note that all seven Rangers runs scored yesterday came with two outs, which could be dubbed as being pretty lucky. No such "luck" Tuesday. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-18-19 | Astros -158 v. Reds | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on HOUSTON Houston took a rare loss on Monday, falling to the Reds by a score of 3-2. We had the Under, so that result was just fine on this end. It was actually the Astros second loss in a row as they were humbled Sunday in Toronto, 12-0. But with Justin Verlander on the bump tonight, it should be a pretty easy return to the winners circle. Verlander continues to pitch extraordinarily well as he has an 11-4 TSR, 2.50 ER and 0.735 WHIP. That WHIP is what really stands out as it's the best in all of baseball by a fairly comfortable margin. Now in his last start he was tagged for three solo home runs and that was the difference in a 6-3 loss to Milwaukee (another NL Central team). But those were the only runs he allowed and he did have 15 strikeouts. This seems to be a really short price on the Astros given Cincinnati has Anthony DeSclafani pitching and he's been subpar to say the least. The Reds are only .500 at home while the Astros are 21-14 on the road. Houston is 25-5 in Verlander's last 30 road starts while Cincy is just 1-6 in DeSclafani's last seven at home. The Reds are also just 5-16 off their previous 21 wins. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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06-17-19 | Mets v. Braves -147 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on ATLANTA Atlanta is really hot right now. They've lost only twice this month and are 9-1 in the last 10 games. As a result, they're out in front of the NL East. It was a 15-1 win on Sunday over the Phillies. Now the Mets come to town and they are not playing well. New York dropped three of four in its last series (vs. St. Louis). While they were able to split a four-game series here at SunTrust Park back in April, this visit just seems like a poor matchup. Mike Soroka had not yet joined the Braves rotation when these teams last met. Now he's a full-fledged member and one of their best starters. Soroka is 7-1 with 1.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. A rare poor outing occurred his last trip to the mound as he gave up five runs vs. Pittsburgh. But the Braves still won 8-7, improving to 8-3 in all Soroka starts. The Mets with Zach Wheeler starting simply aren't built to compete here. Wheeler has a 5.48 ERA on the road. The Mets are just 14-23 on the road. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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06-16-19 | Brewers -141 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE The Brewers have stumbled the last two days, dropping a couple of games to the last place Giants. Milwaukee still remains in a first place tie (with the Cubs) over in the NL Central though and can at least preserve that by avoiding the sweep Sunday. We think they will. Chase Anderson gets the baseball in this important spot and has pitched well before here at Oracle Park. (He's 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts). Anderson allowed just two runs and four hits his last start. The Giants did score 8 runs while banging out 15 hits Saturday, but they are still one of the worse offensive teams in the league. They are 28th (3rd worst) in runs scored and have the NL's lowest batting average. They're on a season-high four game win streak right now, but that pretty much speaks to how bad the team has been most of the way. Jeff Samardzija has a 5.28 ERA his last three starts and is 1-4 his last five starts. Christian Yelich of the Brewers is 6 for 16 all-time against Samardzija. SF is still just 15-39 its last 54 games vs. a team that has a winning record. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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06-15-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers -190 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -190 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on the LA DODGERS The Dodgers were our *10* Game of the Week on Friday and they came through, in come from behind fashion, beating the Cubs 5-3. It was their fifth straight win overall as they made it two straight over the Cubs. Why not come right back with them again tonight. They'll send out Walker Buehler, who - like everyone else in this Dodgers rotation - has been outstanding over the last month or so. Buehler is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last eight starts and has allowed just one run in his last 15 innings pitched. The Cubs seem ill-equipped to deal with him given that they've lost 8 of 10 on the road. The Dodgers have the best home record in all of baseball (27-7) and have won seven in a row here. They are averaging 5.7 runs/game at Chavez Ravine while allowing only 3.4. The former is third best overall, the latter tied for first (home games only). Yu Darvish has been way too inconsistent to bet on as he has bad memories of pitching here in Los Angeles (2017 World Series) and his team start record on the road is just 2-5. The Cubs are 2-9 their last 11 games in this stadium. The Dodgers have won the last seven times Buehler has started on five days rest. Play on LA DODGERS AAA |
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06-14-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers -127 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
THis is a 10* play on the DODGERS This weekend series pits two of the NL's top teams against one another. The Dodgers have the best record in the league (46-23) and drew "first blood" last night with a 7-3 win over the Cubs. Four home runs were the difference for LA as they rallied from an early 3-0 hole. The Cubs seem to have a real issue winning on the road. They've lost 8 of 10 away from Wrigley to fall to 14-19 on the road for the year. They'd lost five straight road games before a 10-1 win over Colorado Wednesday afternoon. Things aren't going to get any easier for them on Friday as they are set to face Rich Hill. Hill hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start all year. The Cubs have hit just .167 against him in two previous matchups. This Dodgers team is now 26-7 at home. On the surface, it looks like Kyle Hendricks might be the right man to try and get the Cubs a win here. He has a 1.99 ERA his previous eight starts, winning six consecutive decisions and is a perfect 3-0 the last three. But the Dodgers have had Hendricks' number at Chavez Ravine where his ERA is 6.52. His shortest start of 2018 came here. Play on LOS ANGELES AAA |
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06-14-19 | Mariners v. A's -178 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -178 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
THis is a 7* play on OAKLAND Seattle has been in rough shape for awhile now as they've dropped 41 of their last 57 games. Look for the misery to continue tonight in Oakland where they'll open up a three-game series. The Mariners allowed 10 runs in yesterday afternoon's loss to the Twins. That increased their league leading total to 443 runs allowed for the year. Only one other team, Baltimore, has given up 400. The M's figure to give up plenty more tonight with Marco Gonzales starting as he brings an 11.30 ERA and 1.74 WHIP from his previous three starts. On the other side, Oakland is in a good spot here. They had Thursday off after beating Tampa Bay on both Tuesday and Wednesday. Don't be scared off by this high price either; the A's are 11-2 the previous two seasons as home favorites of -175 or more (1st time this year). Chris Bassitt gets the start and should lead his team to victory in the opener of this season-long 10-game homestand. The A's are only allowing 3.9 runs/game at home this year. Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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06-13-19 | Pirates v. Braves -142 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ATLANTA The Pirates are in a terrible way right now and last night's loss may have been the breaking point. They lost 8-7 in 11 innings and now have to come right back and play a day game here in Atlanta. Pittsburgh has yet to win in the series, giving up 28 runs in three games. It seems very unlikely that they would prevail today, given the situation and the pitcher they are facing. The Braves Julio Teheran comes in on an 11-inning scoreless streak having previously blanked the Tigers and Marlins. By the way, Atlanta has now won six straight. Pittsburgh has lost six straight and 17 of its last 23. To stop the bleeding, they'll send out Joe Musgrove, who worked 2/3 of an inning earlier in the series before getting ejected. He gets a second crack here, but is it really worth it? Musgrove has a 4.77 ERA. Teheran has a 0.77 ERA his last seven starts and is 4-1 with a 2.38 ERA in his career vs. the Pirates. This seems like an easy one. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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06-12-19 | Brewers v. Astros -124 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOUSTON This is a ridiculously low price on the Astros with Justin Verlander pitching at home. What's not to like here? Houston beat Milwaukee 10-8 yesterday and now gives the ball to Verlander, who has an 11-3 team start record with a 2.40 ERA and 0.747 WHIP. There have been only five times all season that Verlander has allowed more than one run. He's never allowed more than four and only twice given up more than three. Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff has been pretty dominant in his own right, but the lineup he'll face today is a lot stronger than what he's used to seeing in the National League. The Astros have scored more runs than nearly every NL team. Since coming to Houston nearly two years ago, Verlander is 30-11 with a 2.32 ERA in 53 starts. The Brewers have lost 8 of their last 9 interleague road games. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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06-12-19 | Rangers v. Red Sox -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOSTON Needless to say, the Red Sox won't be the most popular ticket in Boston on Thursday. In fact, the start time of this game at Fenway Park was moved up because of the Bruins hosting Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals tonight. While Bostonians obviously care more about winning that game (would be the city's third straight pro sports championship following the Red Sox and Patriots), the reigning World Series Champs need to stop the bleeding here against a Texas team that's beaten them each of the last two days. Rick Porcello is charged with the task and we'll back him, especially at the going price. The Red Sox have actually dropped four in a row overall, but before losing last night, they'd been 13-4 the L3 seasons when off three straight losses. The start time being moved to 4:05 ET is actually a benefit to the home team as they are 73-46 in day games since 2017. Texas goes with Lance Lynn, who has been on a bit of a roll, but the Rangers are still 4-12 the last 16 games vs. the Red Sox and 2-7 their last nine here in Fenway. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland The Indians can claim bragging rights in the state of Ohio if they were to win again today. They won last night, 2-1 in 10 innings, and now go for the sweep of a quick two-game home series. While Cleveland has won 5 of 7, the Reds offense has mysteriously disappeared in a stretch that's seen them drop 7 of 10 and 5 of 6. In the L10 games, Cincy has scored more than four runs just one time. We don't like their chances today against Zach Plesac. In three starts, Plesac has looked good every time out. He's got a 1.86 ERA and 0.88 WHIP and two of the three starts came against the Yankees and Red Sox. So the Reds shouldn't be much of a challenge for him. While you might still consider Plesac somewhat of an unknown, the jury is out on Cincy's Anthony DeSclafani and the verdict is not good. He has a 4.70 ERA on the year and has struggled more even recently during a five-game winless skid. The Indians have beaten the Reds 15 of the last 20 times they've played. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-11-19 | Mariners v. Twins -168 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on MINNESOTA The Twins should roll in Tuesday's opener vs. Seattle. They're back home for the first time this month and facing a Mariners team that has basically gone in the complete opposite direction. While Minnesota is your surprise leader in the AL Central and is tied for the best win percentage in all of baseball (.672), Seattle has been the worst team in either league since it started 13-2. The Mariners have lost 39 of their last 54 games and are pretty much outclassed here in all facets with the exception of home run hitting. But even there, Minnesota happens to be the one team averaging more HR/game. A key factor here is the Twins having Martin Perez starting. Not only does he have a 1.80 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at home this season, but he's 8-5 with a 3.26 ERA lifetime vs. Seattle. The Mariners have elected to go with Mike Leake, who is 1-5 on the road with a 5.57 ERA. Earlier this year, the Twins took three of four from the Mariners and that was out in Seattle and they played without DH Nelson Cruz. They still outscored Seattle 40-18 in the four games. The Mariners have lost all five games this year that have come after an off day. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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06-09-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -155 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHICAGO The Cubbies are going for the sweep tonight and should get it behind Kyle Hendricks, who has pitched very well this season, particularly when at home. Hendricks has a 1.71 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in six starts at Wrigley, not to mention he's got a 3.00 ERA and 0.95 WHIP his last three starts overall. Pitching well at Wrigley Field is nothing new for Hendricks as he's 29-17 here with a 2.64 ERA in 72 starts. The Cardinals have been a favorable opponent for him too. In 15 career starts against them, Hendricks is 6-2 with a 3.05 ERA. Hendricks isn't the only Cub performing well at home though. The team is 23-11 at Wrigley this season, winning five of its last six games here. The Cardinals are 0-5 at Wrigley this season as the home team has won all eight previous games between these two in 2019. Adam Wainwright goes for St. Louis. He pitched very well last weekend (at home) vs. the Cubs, but also threw a season-high 126 pitches and had seven walks. We don't suspect to see him hold the Cubs scoreless tonight. Cubs win, Cubs win. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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06-08-19 | Nationals -157 v. Padres | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on WASHINGTON San Diego has rallied to defeat Washington each of the past two days, winning by identical scores of 5-4. In many ways, these last two games closely mirror the kind of seasons the teams are having. Washington has been really disappointing, never more so than when Max Scherzer takes the mound. Despite putting up his usually strong numbers, Scherzer is somehow left with a 3-10 team start record. That changes for the better tonight. The Padres are an opponent Scherzer has pitched well against in the past (2.37 ERA in 10 starts). Back on April 26th, he held them to two runs and four hits and struck out 10 in seven innings. But like last night, the Nationals bullpen allowed the game to get away. Hopefully that doesn't happen again here because Scherzer should have his team in position to win. The last three starts from Scherzer have seen him allow just two runs and he's lasted 20 innings. San Diego only averages 3.8 runs/game at home, which won't be enough to support Eric Lauer here. Lauer has pitched well for San Diego, but let's not forget Washington had won 9 of 11 coming into this series. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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06-07-19 | Mariners v. Angels -170 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on LOS ANGELES Thursday was the worst kind of loss for Seattle as they had to go 14 innings just to come up a run shy. It's been that kind of season as they are now 13-38 the last 51 games and in last place. The Angels also came up short last night, but at least they get to stay home where they have a winning record. This will be the second weekend in a row that these AL West foes are facing off. Last weekend saw LA win two of three up in Seattle. Both offenses are capable of putting runs on the board, but the Angels have a clear pitching edge heading into Friday's opener. Andrew Heaney started a game in last weekend's series and allowed three runs in six innings. He also struck out 10. The Angels won 6-3. Marco Gonzales also started a game in last weekend's series for Seattle. His experience did not go as well. He gave up 10 runs in what was easily his worst game of the year. That said, he allowed eight runs in the start before that. So things aren't going well right now for Gonzales .. or the Mariners as a whole. That continues tonight. Play on LA ANGELS AAA |
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06-07-19 | Braves -183 v. Marlins | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 6* Play on ATLANTA Braves should roll tonight in Miami. The acquisition of Dallas Keuchel is making some think Atlanta is now the "front runner" in the NL East, but it's another starter in the rotation that grabbed my attention here and that's Mike Soroka, who is off to a blistering start to his rookie campaign. Soroka hasn't lost a decision in eight starts, going 6-0 with some really impressive numbers. He had a 0.79 ERA in May and his last start, which was still a win, was the first time he allowed more than a single earned run all year. Tonight he faces the lowest scoring team in the NL and Miami is starting Jose Urena, who is 2-7 lifetime vs. Atlanta with a 6.07 ERA. The Marlins have gone 7-3 L10, but are facing an opponent they are just 1-5 against this year and 14-30 against since 2017. The Braves swept the series in their first visit to Miami this year. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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06-07-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -126 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on CHICAGO The Cubs enter Friday tied with the Brewers for the division lead in the NL Central. They lost yesterday, 3-1 to Colorado, which ended a three-game win streak. Their next opponent, St. Louis, arrives at Wrigley Field riding its win streak. The Cardinals have won 5 of 6, including a 3-1 decision over Cincinnati at home yesterday afternoon. Key to this series opener is venue. The Cubs have been a strong home team so far, going 21-11 at the Friendly Confines and also allowing just 3.7 runs per game. It just so happens that the Cardinals are not particularly strong on the road (10-15 record) and that's especially the case with tonight's starter Miles Mikolas. Mikolas has pitched very well at Busch Stadium this year (2.84 ERA, 0.87 WHIP), but the road has been a different story (7.66, 1.79). This will be Mikolas second straight time facing the Cubs as he led his team to a 2-1 victory back on May 31st. He'll be opposed by Cole Hamels, whose last start also came in that series and he led the Cubs to a win by going seven innings and allowing only an unearned run and two hits. Hamels has a 4-1 TSR at Wrigley this season. Play on CHICAGO CUBS AAA |
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06-06-19 | Twins v. Indians -108 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEVELAND For the Indians, last night's result was definitely worth the wait. A 9-7 win over the Twins was the culimination of a somewhat tumultuous day that began with originally scheduled starter Carlos Carrasco getting scratched due to an unspecified blood condition. On top of that, it was a rainy day in Cleveland and the game was delayed for 1 hour & 43 minutes in the top of the seventh. At the time, the Indians trailed 6-5. Minnesota would score again after the delay, but Cleveland then answered with three of their own to take the lead for good. It was a game the home team once trailed 5-1. They've now beaten the Twins two straight and had Carrasco not been scratched yesterday, we would also be 2-0 in the series (had Cleveland Tuesday). Don't be worried about the fact Cleveland used seven relievers yesterday because Trevor Bauer goes today and he should give the bullpen a break. Yes, Bauer is 0-4 his last six starts. But there have been some bad breaks, like his defense committing four errors his last time out, leading to four unearned runs. The Twins' Jose Berrios has a 4.00 ERA in eight previous starts vs. Cleveland. He shut them out on Opening Day, but it'll be a much different story here. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-06-19 | Yankees -183 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the YANKEES The Yankees have been ambushed the last two days, losing to the Blue Jays by scores of 4-3 and 11-7. Seven runs scored by Toronto across the seventh and eighth innings last night were the difference as NY has now lost three straight games for the first time since early April. They'd won nine straight series before coming to Toronto and now they're in a position where they're just trying to avoid getting swept. Having a real opportunity to "tee off" against Jays starter Edwin Jackson, we see the Yanks getting the W tonight. Jackson has some really ugly numbers coming into today. It's not that he's 2-7 with a 5.21 ERA in 21 previous starts vs the Yankees, although that certainly isn't good. It's that in four starts this season, Jackson has a 13.23 and 2.20 WHIP. A case can be made that he's the least effective starter in any rotation in baseball right now after getting hammered for 17 runs in his last two starts. Toronto has lost all four games that he has started. The Yankees J.A. Happ has a 5-0 team start record on the road and has looked really good in his last two starts, surrendering just four runs with 15 strikeouts. The Blue Jays are a light-hitting team at home with a .211 batting average. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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06-05-19 | White Sox v. Nationals -174 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
7* Play on WASHINGTON This is a situation where the Nationals should roll. They beat the White Sox on Tuesday, 9-5, which was their third consecutive victory overall. It wasn't necessarily easy as on his way to career win #100, Stephen Strasburg spotted Chicago an early 9-0 lead. But Strasburg was picked up by his offense and the Sox didn't score again after the 2nd inning. Wednesday starter Anibal Sanchez hasn't needed much help from the Nationals hitters of late as he is off what could easily be called his best start of the season so far. Retiring the first 16 batters that he saw, Sanchez allowed only one hit in six innings against his former team (Atlanta). He now has a 2.53 ERA his last five starts overall. Dylan Covey goes here for the visitors. While he too looked good the last time he pitched, before that was a very different story. Covey had gone 0-10 in 14 starts dating back to last season. With last night's loss the White Sox fell to a horrible 6-22 their last 28 games in National League stadiums. Remember there's no DH for them. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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06-04-19 | Phillies v. Padres -158 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -158 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SAN DIEGO We were on Philadelphia last night, which didn't work out. Our read on the series has changed because of the that result, but rather due to tonight's starting pitching matchup, which greatly favors the home team. San Diego will send out its new ace, Chris Paddack, who would be top three in ERA among NL starters were he to qualify. Paddack needs only 3 2/3 more innings to qualify, so he'll be on the leaderboard after today as he should rebound from his worst career start. That start came against the Yankees last Wednesday as he allowed three solo home runs. Despite this, opponents are still only batting .170 off Paddack and he has a 0.82 WHIP with 62 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings. He's averaging nearly 10 K's per nine innings and should regain past form here against a Phillies lineup that has managed to score only eight runs during a five-game losing streak. It was 8-2 San Diego last night and the way Jerad Eickhoff has pitched lately isn't likely to turn the tide for Philly. Eickhoff has allowed four or more runs in his last four starts. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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06-04-19 | Rockies v. Cubs -185 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on the CUBS Colorado comes into Wrigley Field riding an eight-game win streak. Look for that to end Tuesday. They're going against Kyle Hendricks, who has a 1.29 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in five previous starts at Wrigley. The Cubs have won almost two-thirds of their home games so far (19-10) and allow only 3.6 runs per game here. The Rockies hitters are of course being taken out of their element, that element being Coors Field where they are averaging 6.3 runs per game. That number drops down to 4.6 on the road where they are 3-7 this year at +125 or higher. The entirety of this eight-game win streak took place at home. We don't think Jared Hoffman is the answer either as Tuesday's starter has given up 12 runs and 20 hits in 15 innings. He's also allowed three home runs in his last two starts. We're not concerned about the fact the Cubs played yesterday and the Rockies had off as it was an easy 8-1 victory for the home team over the Angels. If anything, that should create some momentum. This is a big revenge game for the Cubs too after losing last year's NL Wild Card Game to the Rockies, 2-1, here in Wrigley. Play on CHICAGO CUBS AAA |
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06-04-19 | Marlins v. Brewers -170 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -170 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE Milwaukee has surpassed Chicago for first place in the NL Central and could not have asked for an easier series to start the new week as they are drawing Miami at home. While the Marlins have played better of late (5-2 last 7 games), they still have the worst record in the National League and are dead last in runs scored, way behind the rest of the pack. Chase Anderson starts tonight for the Brewers and should handle MLB's weakest lineup with relative ease. Anderson has allowed no more than three runs in any of his five starts thus far. He's also worked out of the bullpen, but seems better suited as a starter. Speaking of better suited, Miami pitcher Lopez seems far better suited pitching at home than on the road. At home, we're talking a 1.84 ERA in five starts. On the road, it's an 8.26 ERA in six starts. To be clear, this game is in Milwaukee where the Brewers have gone 8-3. They've also captured 36 of their last 51 series openers, no matter where the game is played. Not surprisingly, the Marlins have won just once in Lopez's six road starts. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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06-04-19 | Giants v. Mets -140 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the METS It's Bumgarner vs. Syndergaard here, still a marquee pitching matchup even though the two have combined to produce an 0-5 TSR since May 19th. Syndergaard has had a few rocky outings this year, but looked better in his start which saw him go six innings and allow only three runs to the Dodgers. The bullpen blew that game in spectacular fashion, which has also happened to Bumgarner in his last two starts. The Mets have been floundering recently, going 1-4 their last five games. That has them three games under .500 for the year, but they are 15-9 at home. Meanwhile, the current state of the Giants is just not good. They do enter this series having won two straight. But that was against Baltimore, the worst team in baseball. Overall, in six games vs. Baltimore and Miami (two worst teams), San Francisco was able to go only 3-3. They have the NL's 2nd worst record and worst run differential. They simply lack the offense necessary to beat Syndergaard on the road. Play on NY METS AAA |
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06-04-19 | Twins v. Indians -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEVELAND The Indians trail the Twins by 11.5 games right now, a stunning deficit that no one would have though possible at the start of the season. Minnesota has been the biggest surprise in baseball so far, racing to the best record in baseball and scoring the most runs. But we think it speaks volumes that Cleveland is still the betting favorite for Tuesday's game - as they should be - at home. Shane Bieber survived a rocky outing last week in Boston as the Indians won 14-9. He'll pitch better here as the team is 5-1 with him on the mound at Progressive Field. Bieber's last two starts here have resulted in a complete game shutout (with 15 strikeouts) and five more innings where he allowed just one run against Tampa Bay (and had 10 more strikeouts). So that's just one run allowed in his last 14 innings pitched here at home with 25 strikeouts. Smeltzer for Minnesota has made just one big league start previous to this and while he didn't give up any runs, he remains an unproven commodity for a team - and pitching staff - that has clearly overachieved to this point. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
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06-03-19 | Phillies -128 v. Padres | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHILADELPHIA The Phillies look to rebound from an ugly weekend sweep (at the hands of the Dodgers) here in San Diego where they'll face a Padres team that has its own set of problems right now. The Padres are now playing sub-.500 ball at home this season after dropping both games over the weekend to Miami. They actually trailed 9-1 entering the ninth inning of yesterday's game. Each clubs will be sending one of its hotter starters to the mound for Monday's opener as Aaron Nola goes for Philly and Eric Lauer goes for SD. Nola is 6-0 in 2019, including 4-0 his last 5 starts. Over his last three starts, Lauer has a 3-0 team start record and a 1.50 ERA. But his season numbers aren't as strong as Nola's are. Also, Nola has a strong track record vs. the Padres while Lauer has never previously faced the Phillies. Nola has faced the Padres five times in his career and produced a 2.65 ERA and 0.912 WHIP. The two times he started here in San Diego both went well. The Phillies have also won the last eight times Nola has started against a team from the National League West. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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06-02-19 | Marlins v. Padres -177 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -177 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 7* Play on SAN DIEGO San Diego should win very easily here. They did lose Saturday's game, 9-3, to fall to .500 at home for the season. But Miami, despite going 10-5 its last 15 games, could only wish it was even sniffing .500. The Marlins are still only 20-36 and have scored the fewest runs in all of baseball. We like Strahm, who starts today for the Padres. After giving up five runs in his first start of the year, he hasn't given up more than three in any of the last nine. His last one, which was against the Yankees, saw him allow all three in just one inning. He has a 2.53 ERA those last nine starts with an opponents batting average of .220. Trevor Richards, the starter today for Miami, is on a somewhat similar trajectory with three consecutive quality starts. But he'd been winless before that with a 4.46 ERA. Not to mention, the Marlins lost his first eight starts this season! They are still 1-9 his last 10 road starts. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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05-28-19 | Rangers v. Mariners -150 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SEATTLE Texas made a pitching change overnight as it will now be Jesse Chavez starting, but that should hardly matter against a Seattle team that beat them, 6-2, last night. May has been a bad month for the Mariners but they have a chance to end it on a positive note facing a team they have some major revenge to exact upon. Before last night's games, Texas had beaten them five straight times. But that's now a thing of the past as Seattle rediscovered an offense that started out the season so hot. The Mariners still average 5.1 runs/game. Something that must be considered is that while Chavez will be "opening" this game for the Rangers, Seattle will still get to face originally scheduled starter Adrian Sampson, who has a 7.66 ERA this year. Sampson should come in quickly (after an inning or two) following Chavez. The Mariners go with Gonzales, who started the year 5-0. Despite a slide, he still has decent numbers and two starts against the Rangers have seen him give up only two runs in 14 innings. Play on SEATTLE AAA |