Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-14-19 | Penn State v. Georgetown OVER 148.5 | 81-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PSU@GTWN to go Over the total. Georgetown is 2-0, and they come into tonight's home games Penn State averaging 85 points per game on 48.8 percent shooting. The Nittany Lions have scored their fair share as well, averaging 87.5 points on 48 percent shooting. Both teams are hitting better than 37 percent from beyond the arc, and that should lead to a high scorer here tonight. The Hoyas have seen the total at 150 or higher in each of their last nine games, and the over is 20-6 in the Hoyas last 26 games following an ATS loss. Their last game was an 88-79 win over Central Arkansas as a 22-point favorite. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders. They host the Eastern Washington Eagles tonight, and the Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Eagles are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. This Saint Louis team is excellent defensively, and a home game against a team from an inferior conference should be an easy double digit win. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-19 | Memphis v. Oregon OVER 145 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORE@MEM to go Over the total. The Ducks are coming off a 106-75 win over Boise State, and they shot 70% from the field in that victory. The Tigers are coming off a pair of wins, scoring 90+ points in both games. The Ducks have scored an average of 88.5 points per game in their last five overall, while the Tigers have scored an average of 94.5 points per game during that span. I expect both these teams to score their fair share in a neutral site game this early in the season. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 117.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TTU@UVA to go Over the total. Both the Cavs and the Red Raiders are capable of completely shutting down their opponent, and each team has been involved in more than it's fair share of low scoring games. The bookmakers have taken this into account by posting a total well below what we normally see in an NCAA Tournmanet game. Both these teams come in averaging over 65 points per game in the tournament, and I expect both these teams to get their points tonight. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of either team's previous games at this tournament. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-19 | Auburn +6 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 87 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Auburn. In recent memory, this Virginia team has been a juggernaut in the regular season, but they always disappoint in the NCAA Tournament. Things got really bad when they were bounced in the first round last year losing to UMBC. Then in their first game of this Tournament, they got blown out in the first half by Gardner Webb. They have avoided disaster with wins by the closest of margins against Oregon and Purdue, and really needed a miracle to get past the Boilermakers. Auburn's journey to the Final Four has been far more impressive, beating Kansas, Kentucky and North Carolina in their last three games. I'll take the Tigers plus the points against a fragile looking favorite. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-19 | Texas Southern v. Green Bay -5 | 86-87 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wisconsin-GB. The Phoenix come into Tuesday night's home game against Texas Southern as winners of three straight, and they were up big at the half in each and every one of those games. They are an excellent home team (14-3 home record), and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Texas Southern relies on a high scoring offense to win games, as they have allowed over 86 points per game in their last five overall. That style tends to play better at home, and while the Tigers have had some success on the road, for the most part it was versus inferior opponents. I expect the Phoenix to open up a big lead early, winning big at home. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky OVER 140.5 | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on AUB@UK to go Over the total. The Auburn Tigers averaged over 80 points per game during the regular season, but here in the tournament those numbers are up. It's not as though they have had any easy games, playing New Mexico State, Kansas and North Carolina. They rely heavily on the three-point shot, and they are coming off a 97 point performance against the Tar Heels. They shot 17-of-37 (45%) from beyond the arc in the victory. Kentucky is perhaps better defensively than their previous three opponents, but the Tigers did score 80 points in a home loss to the Wildscats earlier this season. The total of 140 appears to be a little too low. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -180 | 75-69 | Loss | -180 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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03-29-19 | Houston v. Kentucky -135 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Houston has impressed in the tournament so far, but they lost to Cincinnati in the American Conference Tournament Final. They didn't play a team ranked as high as Kentucky all season long, and I like the #7 ranked Wildcats to advance to the Elite Eight. Kentucky has covered the spread in six straight non conference games, while Houston is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 versus SEC teams. Kentucky is 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games. I'll take the more battle tested Kentucky Wildcats. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | 63-80 | Loss | -107 | 76 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LSU Tigers. LSU comes into this Sweet Sixteen matchup versus Michigan State as an underdog. The SEC champs have been giant killers this season, beating Kentucky, Tennessee and Auburn. They jumped all over Yale in their first game at the tournament, leading 45-29 at the half. They faced a BIG10 team in their next game, and they had a 38-29 lead over Maryland at halftime in their last game at the tourney. The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games, and they appear to be on upset alert here against LSU. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan -129 | 63-44 | Loss | -129 | 79 h 4 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-28-19 | Purdue v. Tennessee -115 | Top | 99-94 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. I bet on Tennessee in their last game at the tournament, and here is what I said before the game: "The Vols got off to a good start in their first round win over Colgate, leading by a dozen at halftime. Tennessee came into the NCAA Tournament as winners of five of seven. Two of those five wins came against #4 ranked Kentucky." They jumped all over the Hawkeyes, building a 21 point lead at halftime. They let Iowa come back in that game and force overtime, before going on to win 83-77. If the Vols have had trouble finishing games, they certainly haven't had a lot of trouble starting them. The Vols have a big edge when it comes to free throws and three point shooting, and I expect them to take it to Purdue early. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-19 | Cal-Irvine v. Oregon OVER 123.5 | 54-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCI@ORE to go Over the total. The Ducks are coming off a 72-54 win over Wisconsin in the first round, shooting 54.9 percent from the field and 7-of-15 (46.7%) from beyond the arc. They will look to keep it rolling against UC Irvine, and they have a history of beating up on the Anteaters. The Ducks have won all five meetings dating back to 2006, covering the spread in in four of those five games. The most recent meeting was a 78-63 Oregon win back in 2015. The Anteaters love the three ball, and they nailed nine of 23 attempts in their win over Kansas State. The over is 5-1 in Anteaters last SIX overall, and they have gone over in four of their last five versus teams from the PAC12. The Ducks have gone over in eight of their last 10 versus teams from the Big West. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State v. Houston -5.5 | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Houston Cougars. I bet against the Buckeyes in their first round matchup versus Iowa State, and here is what I said before that game: "They will play a Buckeyes team that lost four of their last five games. Ohio State has a history of struggling against teams from the BIG12, failing to cover in seven straight against BIG12 teams. They have only covered the spread in one of their last eight NCAA Tournament games. The Cyclones are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. An OSU team that averaged less than 64 points per game in it's last five, and lost seven of it's last 10 overall, isn't likely to advance past the first round." OSU got the upset, but they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. The Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non conference games. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-24-19 | Iowa v. Tennessee -7.5 | 77-83 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols got off to a good start in their first round win over Colgate, leading by a dozen at halftime. Tennessee came into the NCAA Tournament as winners of five of seven. Two of those five wins came against #4 ranked Kentucky. Iowa trailed by five points at halftime in their first round game against Cincinnati, but rallied to win by a score of 79-77. The Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six against teams with a winning record. They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in five straight when coming off a win. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-19 | Baylor +14 v. Gonzaga | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. Baylor will be a double digit underdog in their second round matchup versus Gonzaga, despite the fact that 11 of their 13 losses this season have come by fewer than 10 points. Gonzaga has won three straight head to head meetings versus Baylor since 2006, but they failed to cover in two of those games. All three of those contests were decided by fewer than 10 points. The Bulldogs have a history of coming into the tournament as an overvalued favorite, and that is evidenced by the fact that they are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. Baylor is 6-0 ATS in their last six versus the WCC. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-19 | Maryland v. LSU -160 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. The Tigers opened the tournament with a 79-74 win over Yale. They failed to cover as a six point favorite in that game, but they did open up a 16 point lead at halftime. I expect this talented LSU team to jump out to another fast start against a Maryland team that struggled on offense early on in their win over Belmont. The Bruins took a 40-34 lead into halftime, but Maryland just barely escaped with a 79-77 win. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight NCAA Tournament games. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Ohio State v. Iowa State -5 | 62-59 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones are playing their best basketball at the right time, coming into the tournament off a double digit win over Kansas in the BIG12 Tournament Final. They will play a Buckeyes team that lost four of their last five games. Ohio State has a history of struggling against teams from the BIG12, failing to cover in seven straight against BIG12 teams. They have only covered the spread in one of their last eight NCAA Tournament games. The Cyclones are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. An OSU team that averaged less than 64 points per game in it's last five, and lost seven of it's last 10 overall, isn't likely to advance past the first round. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Memphis v. Creighton -182 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Creighton Blue Jays. Memphis is a great team at home, but not so much on the road. They lost seven of 10 away from home this season, and they could be up against in Nebraska tonight. Memphis has failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 versus teams from the Big East. The Blue Jays have covered the spread in four straight home games, and six of their last seven overall. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non conference games. I'll take the home favorite. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Washington v. Utah State UNDER 135.5 | 78-61 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@USU to go Under the total. The Washington Huskies are coming off a 68-48 loss to Oregon in the PAC12 Final. They will play Utah State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and Utah State comes in as winners of 10 straight. The Aggies can play defense, and they proved that by beating San Diego State 64-57 in the Mountain West Final. The under is 5-1 in Huskies last six non-conference games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at neutral sites. The Aggies have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven games at the NCAA Tournament. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-19 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -130 | 72-54 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. As much success as Oregon has had in the PAC12, I think they are a poor man's version of Wisconsin. They have been dominant on defense, holding opponents to just 55 points per game over their last five overall. The Badgers have played far superior opponents in the BIG10, and they held opponents to just 57.1 points per game at neutral sites this season. Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS in their last eight versus PAC12 teams, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six at the NCAA Tournament. Wisconsin can lean on 6"10 senior Ethan Happ, who posted three triple doubles during the season. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-19 | Belmont v. Maryland UNDER 147.5 | 77-79 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BEL@MD to go Under the total. |
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03-21-19 | Yale v. LSU -6.5 | 74-79 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LSU Tigers. I'm not too high on Yale coming out of the Ivy League. They did win the league and they won the conference tournament, but they cruised through a pretty soft schedule. They only faced one ranked team during the season, and they lost by 33 points to Duke. LSU was able to navigate a difficult schedule in the SEC, and weather the storm of a scandal involving former coach Will Wade. They managed to hold on and finish at the top of one of the toughest conference in the country. While they did lose a coach, there is no doubt that they come into this game with superior talent on the floor. LSU lost a close game to Florida in the SEC tourney, but the Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's UNDER 153.5 | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SJU@ASU to go Under the total. The St. John's Red Storm come into their First Four matchup versus Arizona State as losers of four of their last five. They scored just 54 points in a loss to Marquette in the Big East Tournament. Arizona State won six of seven prior to an overtime loss to Oregon in the PAC12 Tournament. The Sun Devils have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six non conference games. St. John's has failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. I expect both these teams to step it up on defense in a do or die game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-19 | Auburn v. Tennessee -200 | 84-64 | Loss | -200 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. |
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03-16-19 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 121 | Top | 68-48 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORE@WAS to go Over the total. |
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03-15-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee UNDER 147 | 76-83 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@TENN to go Under the total. History tells us we should expect scoring to be hard to come by when these two SEC rivals meet in Nashville in the conference tournament tonight. Not only have these two teams failed to reach the total in four straight head to head meetings, Mississippi State has failed to score 60 points in each of the last three meetings. The Bulldogs have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and the under is 6-1 in their last seven neutral site games. Tennessee is coming off a loss to Auburn in it's final game of the season, and the Vols have gone under in five straight games following a loss. Of the four games played at Bridgestone Arena yesterday, three of those games saw fewer than 140 combined points. It's not uncommon to see low scores at venues that don't normally host basketball games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida UNDER 134.5 | 77-71 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SMU@USF to go Under the total. The South Florida Bulls will play their final home game against a struggling SMU Mustangs team. History favors the Mustangs, who have been one of the top teams in the conference over the years. That hasn't been the case this year though, and I think the bookmakers have given SMU too much love here. The Mustangs come in as losers of nine of their last 10 overall, including a home loss to South Florida. They are 2-7 on the road, and they have lost five straight away games. They have averaged just 61.6 points in their last five games, and South Florida plays strong defense at home. The Mustangs have failed to cover in four of their last five at USF, and six of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone under the total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -2 | 77-71 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USF. The South Florida Bulls will play their final home game against a struggling SMU Mustangs team. History favors the Mustangs, who have been one of the top teams in the conference over the years. That hasn't been the case this year though, and I think the bookmakers have given SMU too much love here. The Mustangs come in as losers of nine of their last 10 overall, including a home loss to South Florida. They are 2-7 on the road, and they have lost five straight away games. They have averaged just 61.6 points in their last five games, and South Florida plays strong defense at home. The Mustangs have failed to cover in four of their last five at USF, and six of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone under the total. Take USF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-19 | Duke v. North Carolina -3.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. It was just a few weeks ago that North Carolina went into Cameron Indoor Stadium and laid a whupping on Duke. Now the Blue Devils look to return the favor, and some might think this looks like a natural revenge spot. I might like Duke's chances of an upset here, if they had Zion Williamson back, or if Trey Jones wasn't hurt, or if they didn't just come oh so close to losing to one of the worst teams in the conference a few days ago. Duke is a mess, and expecting them to pull it all together to beat the Tar Heels at Chapel Hill just doesn't seem at all realistic. North Carolina lead by double digits at the half in the last meeting. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-19 | Temple v. Connecticut UNDER 145 | 78-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TEM@UCONN to go Under the total. The Huskies come into their final home game off a solid win over South Florida. That snapped a six game losing skid, but Connecticut had been quite competitive during that losing streak. They lost by two at Wichita State, lost by four at home versus Cincinnati, and both of those games were low scoring defensive battles. We should expect another low scoring battle here tonight, especially given that UCONN has gone under in nine of it's last 10 overall. They have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 11 home games, and four of Temple's last five at UCONN have gone under the total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-19 | Marquette -140 v. Seton Hall | 64-73 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Marquette Golden Eagles. Marquette can move into a first place tie with Villanova in the BIG EAST with a win at Seton Hall tonight. History suggests that they have a good chance to do just that. The Golden Eagles have won four of the last five head to head meetings, and their last game at Seton Hall was an 88-85 win last year. The Pirates are far from invincible at home, in fact they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine home games. Seton Hall is coming off an overtime loss at Georgetown, and the Pirates are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. This is a "must win" for Marquett, and I fully expect Markus Howard to take care of business tonight. Take MARQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee UNDER 145.5 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@TENN to go Under the total. The Vols might need to win out if they want to win the SEC. They are currently tied with LSU, and just a game ahead of the Kentucky Wildcats. They host the Mississippi State Bulldogs tonight, looking to extend their perfect 17-0 home record. Tennessee has allowed just over 61 points per game at home, and they held Kentucky to just 52 points on Saturday. The Vols are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 versus Mississippi State, and four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under the total. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-19 | Kentucky -5 v. Ole Miss | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. This is a big game for Kentucky, coming off a 19-point loss at Tennessee over the weekend. They are still in the mix at the top of the SEC, but a loss tonight at Mississippi and they can kiss their title hopes good bye. If history is any indication, they should be in good shape. They are 9-0 straight up in the last nine meetings, and they covered the spread in six of those games. They have been great on the road this season, winning seven of nine games. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Florida State -175 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the FSU Seminoles. Florida State comes into tonight's home game versus Virginia Tech as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. The home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the Seminoles are 5-0 at home in those games. FSU has a home record of 14-1 this season, averaging 79.5 points in those games. The Hokies are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Florida State. The last two times the Hokies played at Tallahassee, the spread was double the points that it is tonight. This looks like a short line. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-19 | Arizona State v. Oregon State -160 | 74-71 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. The Beavers are coming off a two point home loss to Arizona, falling to 10-4 at home this season. The Sun Devils are coming off a 28 point loss at Oregon, falling to 4-5 on the road this season. Home court advantage appears to be extremely significant here, given that the home team has won eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Oregon State is 9-1 ATS in it's last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Sun Devils are 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 road games. I'll take the home team as a small favorite here. Take ORST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-19 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech UNDER 135 | Top | 78-81 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC@GT to go Under the total. The Yellow Jackets have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they have scored just 60 points per game over their last five. They host Boston College, who has lost six of their last nine, averaging 68 points in their last five games. It seems like asking a lot for either of these teams to score 70 points today. Boston College has failed to reach the total in five of it's last seven overall, while Georgia Tech has gone under in seven of it's last 10 when coming off a loss. The Yellow Jackets have a long history of playing low scoring games at home, the under is 50-23-1 in Yellow Jackets last 74 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Boise State v. UNLV -2 | Top | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. The Boise State Broncos have been a powerhouse in the Mountain West for years, but they have really fallen off this year. They come into UNLV with a losing record in the conference, and a road record of 3-8. They already lost by a score of 83-72 at home versus the Rebels earlier this year, and I don't like their chances of avenging that loss here in Las Vegas. The Broncos have lost six of their last seven games, and the lone win during that span came against the bottom feeders San Jose State. The Rebels lost their last home game by a single point against one of the top teams in the conference (San Diego State), and prior to that they beat Air Force by a score of 77-72. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -2.5 | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols lost big at Kentucky last month, but they have a chance to execute revenge here at home today. Reid Travis scored 11 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 33 minutes in that game, and the senior forward has been a key player for Kentucky this season. Travis will not play today as he nurses a knee injury. Tennessee is 16-0 at home this season, scoring an average of 82.2 points on 50.9 percent shooting in those games. The Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Tennessee, and the under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings. Take TENN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-19 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. Ohio State is coming off a huge home win over Iowa, but they could be in big trouble here at Purdue Saturday. Not only have they lost their last two road games by a combined 28 points, they lose their center and leading scorer Kaleb Wessen to suspension. The 6"9 sophomore has been suspended for unspecified violations of school policy. He had 18 points and 11 rebounds in the win over Iowa. Purdue is 14-0 at home, and has scored almost 80 points per game in those contests. Their last three home wins came by at least a dozen points. The Boilermakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, while Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-19 | Maryland v. Penn State OVER 135.5 | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-26-19 | New Mexico v. San Jose State UNDER 154.5 | 82-89 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNM@SJS to go Under the total. The San Jose State Spartans are the bottom of the barrel in the Mountain West, coming into tonight's home game versus New Mexico with an 0-14 conference record. They are just 3-10 at home this season, scoring and average of just 63.8 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in San Jose. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings, and the under is 7-1 in the Lobos last eight versus teams with a losing straight up record. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | San Diego State +9 v. Utah State | 54-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Diego State Aztecs. San Diego State got off to a slow start, but the Aztecs come into tonight's game at Utah State as winners of five straight and eight of nine. During that span they beat 1st place Nevada and 2nd place Utah State at home. Now the bookamkers are asking Utah State to win by double digits at home? The Aggies have lost 10 straight to the Aztecs dating back to 2014. San Diego State is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 road games versus teams with a winning record. I'll take the points. Take SDSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | Wisconsin -128 v. Indiana | 73-75 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. The Indiana Hoosiers have been dealt a cold hard dose of reality in conference play. They come into tonight's game versus Wisconsin as losers of nine of their last 10 overall. They are coming off a particularly tough loss at Iowa, falling 76-70 at Iowa. The Badgers have won five straight versus the Hoosiers, and the Badgers are 5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Wisconsin doesn't mind playing away from home, with a road record of 7-4. The Badgers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | Temple v. Memphis -180 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Tigers. The Tigers are 13-2 at home this season, and they have averaged a whopping 88 points in those games. The Owls are 2-2 in their last four road games, with losses at Tulsa and at Houston. They trailed by eight at halftime in Tulsa, and they were losing 35-29 at halftime in Houston. Memphis scored 47 points and led by nine at halftime in their last home game, a 102-76 win over Tulane. They out-scored Wichita State 52-45 in the second half of their last game, winning by a score of 88-85. I like Memphis as a home favorite coming off a huge come from behind win. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-19 | Iowa v. Ohio State UNDER 142 | 70-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IOWA@OSU to go Under the total. Iowa scored just 63 points in regulation in a 76-70 home win over Indiana in their last game. They might not need to score all that many points tonight, playing an Ohio State Buckeyes squad that has averaged just 56 points over their last five games. The Buckeyes can play some defense though, holding opponents to just 59.6 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 6-2-1 in Buckeyes last 9 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Ohio St. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -4 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. Michigan is 16-0 at home this year, and the Wolverines have won three straight meetings versus Michigan State. The Spartans last game at Ann Arbor was an 86-57 loss in 2017. The Wolverines are really shutting down opposing teams on their home court, allowing just 55.6 points per game at home. The Spartans are banged up, with two of their top three scorers sidelined by injury. The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think the Wolverines coud be a far bigger favorite here in this game. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-19 | Oregon v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCLA. The Ducks are coming off another double digit loss at USC, and I bet against them in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "It's been a lost season for the Ducks, who were expecting to challenge for another PAC12 Title. They lost their leading scorer Bol Bol after just nine games, and Louis King and Kenny Wooten have been banged up. The Ducks lost 72-57 at Oregon State in their last game, and they shot just 53.3 percent from the free throw line in that game. They have averaged just 59.9 points per game on the road, losing five of eight games. The Ducks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games." The Bruins have won three of the last four head to head meetings, including an overtime win at Oregon earlier this season. UCLA averages a staggering 81.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting at home. I can't see Oregon finding enough offense to hang with the Bruins. Take UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-19 | Davidson v. Rhode Island UNDER 132 | 75-66 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-21-19 | Connecticut v. SMU UNDER 146 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN@SMU to go Under the total. Both the Huskies and the Mustangs have underacheived this season, and neither team is lighting it up on offense. Injuries have plagued both teams, leaving them lacking depth in scoring. Connecticut is averaging just 68 points per game in their last five overall, and during that span they failed to reach the total in four of five. Even the one game that went over still saw fewer than 145 points. The Mustangs can still play pretty good defense at home, holding opponents to just 65 points per game. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings, and I am going to fade the inflated number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-19 | Oregon v. USC -2.5 | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-20-19 | Butler v. Marquette OVER 145 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats. After blowing out St. John's in the first half (37-26), Villanova let the game slip away in the second half, losing 71-65 at MSG on Sunday. They will play at Georgetown tonight, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back with a convincing victory. The Wildcats have won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2015. They are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, including a pair of double digit wins at Georgetown. The are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games, while the Hoyas are 15-39-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. Georgetown is just 5-11-1 ATS in it's last 17 versus the BIG EAST. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-19 | North Carolina v. Duke UNDER 166.5 | Top | 88-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on under 166.5. The Blue Devils have won nine straight since losing in overtime to Syracuse. They failed to reach the total in six of those nine games, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those contests. Everyone expects fireworks every time Duke and North Carolina play each other, but these teams played three times last year and went under in all three games. Duke is allowing just 62.7 points per game at home, and 66.8 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 20-8-1 in the Blue Devils last 29 home games, and 15-5-2 in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The under is 5-1 in the Tar Heels last six road games, and 3-0-1 in their last four at Duke. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-19 | Villanova -5.5 v. Georgetown | 73-85 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats. After blowing out St. John's in the first half (37-26), Villanova let the game slip away in the second half, losing 71-65 at MSG on Sunday. They will play at Georgetown tonight, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back with a convincing victory. The Wildcats have won nine straight meetings in this series dating back to 2015. They are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, including a pair of double digit wins at Georgetown. The are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games, while the Hoyas are 15-39-1 ATS in their last 55 home games. Georgetown is just 5-11-1 ATS in it's last 17 versus the BIG EAST. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-19 | Dayton v. Davidson -3 | 74-73 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats are tied with VCU for first place in the Atlantic-10, and they host fourth place Dayton tonight. The Flyers are coming off a home loss to VCU, and they are 4-3 on the road this season. Davidson is undefeated (12-0) at home, and has covered the spread in seven of their last 10 at home. The Flyers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games, and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a winning straight up record. The Flyers have failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State -7 v. West Virginia | 65-51 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-17-19 | Villanova -3.5 v. St. John's | 65-71 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Villanova Wildcats. Villanova is still the cream of the crop in the Big East. They come into Sunday's game versus St. Johns as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. The one loss came by a single point on the road at Marquette. St. John's on the other hand has lost two of it's last three home games, beating Butler in overtime but losing to Providence and Georgetown. Today's game will be played at MSG in New York, and the Wildcats are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 neutral site games, while the Red Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. St. John's has just one win in their last 10 versus Villanova, I see no reason to expect them to avoid losing 10 of their last 11 in this series. Take VILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-19 | Seton Hall v. Creighton UNDER 148.5 | 81-75 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HALL@CRE to go Under the total. The Pirates beat Creighton by a score of 63-58 at home earlier this season, and I expect another low scoring game here at Creighton. Neither of these teams have been lighting it up offensively this season, each averaging well under 70 points per game over their last five games. Neither team is allowing 70 points per game over their last five either. The under is 6-0 in the Bluejays last six overall, and 5-2 in their last seven home games. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last four road games, and 4-1 in their last five overall. The total for Sunday's game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-19 | Wichita State +12 v. Cincinnati | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wichita State. The Shockers lost at home by double digits versus Cincinnati earlier this season, so it seems reasonable asking the Bearcats to cover a 12 point spread at home here on Sunday. The Shockers though come in as winners of four straight, while Cincinnati is coming off a loss at Houston. Only once in their last five games have the Bearcats won by double digits, and that was a home game against Tulsa. Wichita State is actually averaging more points than Cincinnati over each team's last five games, and allowing less than three points more than the Bearcats during that span. I'll take the points here. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-19 | Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 132.5 | 57-72 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORE@ORST to go Over the total. The Ducks have won four of five heading into tonight's game at Oregon State, and they scored an average of 69.8 points in those games. They lost 77-72 at home to the Beavers earlier this season, going well over the total. The Beavers have gone over in six of their last seven overall, and the they have not played well defensively during that span. Over their last five games, they have allowed an average of 75.8 points. The Beavers average 78.1 points per game at home, while they allow opponents to average over 70 points. The total for tonight's game appears to be a little low. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-19 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 147 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH@WSU to go Over the total. Washington State is just 3-8 in the PAC12, ahead of only California. The Cougars do score a lot of points at home though, averaging 84.4 points while winning eight of 11 games. They lost 85-67 at Washington earlier this season, but tonight's game could be a lot closer than that. The over is 13-4 in Cougars last 17 home games, and the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in their previous four home games versus the Huskies. Washington State's last home game was a 93-84 loss to USC. The Huskies gave up 75 points in a loss at Arizona State in their last road game, and I expect the Cougars to get their points at home tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-16-19 | West Virginia v. Kansas OVER 144.5 | 53-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU@KU to go Over the total. Injuries have plagued Kansas this season, but West Virginia has even bigger problems. Most recently the Mountaineers dismissed senior forward Esa Ahmad and junior guard Wesley Harris for unspecified violations. Harris is considered to be the team's best defender. The Jayhawks have won six straight home games against West Virginia since 2015, and they scored an average of 79 points in those games. Six of the last eight head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 34-16-2 in the Jayhawks last 52 home games. I don't think we'll see a lot of defense here in today's game. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-19 | Monmouth +8 v. Rider | 72-81 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Monmouth Hawks. The Hawks come into tonight's game at Rider as winners of four straight, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. Monmouth has won seven of it's last 10 against Rider, including a 75-71 win earlier this season. All three of Rider's wins against Monmouth came by a fewer than eight points. Home court might help, but the Broncs have failed to cover in each of their last seven home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I'll take the points. Take MONM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-19 | Arizona State v. Colorado OVER 146 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ARZT@COL to go Over the total. The Buffaloes have won 8-of-10 at home, and they scored an average of 83.3 points in those games. They have a history of playing high scoring games at home versus Arizona State. They beat the Sun Devils 97-85 at home last season, and they have gone over in each of their last four home games versus Arizona State. The Sun Devils have averaged over 78 points per game over their last five overall. The total for tonight's game is lower than the number in each of the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-19 | Clemson v. Miami-FL +2 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Miami is coming off an 88-85 overtime loss at North Carolina, easily covering a 16 point spread. Prior to that they beat Notre Dame by double digits at home. They will be an underdog tonight at home versus Clemson, and the Tigers have lost four of their last five road games. Their one road win during that span came at Georgia Tech. Miami looks good getting points here when you consider the home team has won six straight in this series, and the home team has covered the spread in five straight. Clemson looks great coming in as winners of four straight, but that run came largely against bottom feeders of the ACC. Prior to a win at Georgia Tech, they had lost four straight on the road at NC State, FSU, Syracuse and Duke. Take MIAMI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-19 | Air Force v. UNLV -8.5 | 72-77 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNLV. The Rebels have lost four of their last five overall, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight versus conference rivals Air Force. So the obvious play is Air Force plus the points ... right? As my man Lee Corso would say: "Not So Fast My Friend". Look at who the Rebels have played, and you can see they have faced Nevada, Utah State, Boise State, Fresno State and San Diego State. It's no suprise that they would struggle against the upper echelon of the Mountain West. Air Force is still one of the weaker teams in the conference, and the Falcons have just one win in eight road games this season. The Falcons have averaged less than 60 points per game on the road, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall. While Air Force has had success covering the spread in previous meetings, I believe this line has come down enough to back the home favorite. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-19 | Kansas v. TCU UNDER 148 | 82-77 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -4.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars. The Cincinnati Bearcats come into Houston as winners of eight straight, but I think they might be biting off more than they can chew against the 1st place Cougars. Houston is 16-0 at home, and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Houston has been the better team all season long, and superior talent should be the difference here on their home court. Free throw shooting could be key, as the Cougars have hit better than 75 percent of their free throws over their last five games, while Cincinnati has hit just over 62 percent during that span. The Cougars are the better team offensively, and their defense at home has been impressive allowing just 59.9 points per game. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-19 | Texas v. West Virginia +4 | 75-53 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. It's been tough sledding in the BIG12 for West Virginia, but they come into tonight's home game against Texas as winners of two of their last three home games. One of those wins came against BIG12 powerhouse Kansas. Home court has been a big deal in previous meetings between these teams, as the home team has won five straight. The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings, and the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. West Virginia has scored 79.5 points per game at home, and they look good getting a handful of points against a Texas team that doesn't score a lot on the road. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-19 | Duke +2.5 v. Virginia | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. A lot of people will be backing Virginia here at home, especially given that they lost by just two points at Duke a few weeks ago. The thing is, you have to remember that the Cavs were catching Duke in a particularly vulnerable spot, without their starting PG. Tre Jones is back playing at full strength, and Duke is coming off four straight double digit wins. The last meeting between these two teams wasn't as close as the final score would indicate, as the Cavs made it close with a few late buckets. Duke has won four of the last five head to head meetings, two of those wins coming at Virginia. The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and the underdog is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. I'll take the points. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-19 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas UNDER 142.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKST@KU to go Under the total. The Kansas Jayhawks have owned the BIG12 for as long as I can remember, but their reign appears to be coming to an end. Already suffering several key injuries, they come into today's game against Oklahoma State without senior guard LaGerald Vick. Oklahoma State has lost four straight on the road, and three of those four games failed to reach the total. The Cowboys have scored just 63.8 points per game over their last five, but they have played well defensively. The under is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 9-4-1 in the Cowboys last 14 versus the Big 12. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-19 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 134.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-06-19 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -2 | 51-49 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-02-19 | TCU v. Baylor -3.5 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. I had Baylor as an underdog in their last game, and they won outright by a whopping 30 points at Oklahoma. Here is what I said before the game: "The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears." They are hosting a TCU team tonight that has lost four of five road games so far. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover in seven of their last nine versus Baylor, and the Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 versus teams with a losing road record. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-19 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island UNDER 133 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SLU@URI to go Under the total. |
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01-30-19 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +2 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-29-19 | Kansas v. Texas OVER 139 | 63-73 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KU@TEX to go Over the total. The Jayhawks barely beat Texas at home earlier this month, winning by a score of 80-78. Kansas won both meetings last season, and both of those games saw at least 150 combined points. The total for tonight's game in Texas seems a little low when you consider that the Longhorns have gone over in five of their last seven home games. Texas has gone over the total in four of their last five games overall, and during that span they have averaged 71.2 points on 44 percent shooting. Kansas has won 10 straight meetings versus Texas dating back to 2014, and they have averaged almost 80 points in those games. I like their chances of scoring their share here in Texas tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-19 | Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma | 77-47 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of four straight, and two of those wins came on the road at Oklahoma State and West Virginia. They are a significant underdog here against the Sooners, despite the fact that they have won three of the last four meetings outright, and covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Oklahoma has won just three of it's last six games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home meetings versus Baylor. The Sooners beat Baylor 98-96 at home last year, and prior to that they were just 2-2 straight up in their previous four home games against the Bears. Take BAYLOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-19 | Michigan State v. Purdue +1.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Purdue. The Michigan State Spartans bring a 9-0 record into Sunday's game at Purdue, where the Boilermakers own a 9-0 home record. Something has to give here, and I like the home dog to avenge a 77-59 loss at East Lansing earlier this season. The home team is 6-1 straight up over the last seven head to head meetings, and the Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Carsen Edwards really struggled in the loss at Michigan State, scoring 11 points on 3-of-16 shooting. He followed up that poor performance by score 36 points on 10-of-26 shooting in a win over Wisconsin. He's scored 20 ore more points in three of Purdue's last four games, and the Boilermakers have won four straight since the loss to the Spartans. I'll take the points with the home team here. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-19 | Kansas v. Kentucky OVER 144 | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KU@UK to go Over the total. I bet on the over in the Jayhawks win over Iowa State on Monday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The #7 ranked Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a 65-64 loss on the road at West Virginia, but I expect a much higher score here in Ksnsas tonight. The Jayhawks are 10-0 at home, and they have averaged 81.2 points on 49.5 points in those games. Their most recent home game was an 80-78 win over Texas." The Over is 12-3-1 in the Jayhawks last 16 non-conference games, and 20-9-2 in their last 31 overall. I like both teams to pile on the points here in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-19 | VCU v. Duquesne +3.5 | Top | 80-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The VCU Rams have won six straight meetings versus the Dukes dating back to 2013, but they come into today's game trailing Duquesne in the A-10 standings. The Dukes are 5-1 on conference play, and their last win came at home against first place Saint Louis. The home team has covered in four straight meetings between these teams, and I like Duquesne to get off to a good start as a home dog here today. The Dukes have averaged 78.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting in their last five games, more than 11 points more than the Rams have averaged during that span. Of course the Rams are better defensively, but they were able to overcome stifling defense in their last game against the Bilikens. I'll take the points here. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +2 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-24-19 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington | 88-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Wilmington. There was a time when these were two of the top teams in the CAA, but William and Mary and UNC Wilmington are both struggling so far this season. The Tribe are coming off three straight home losses, including a 76-71 loss to bottom feeders Elon in their last game. The Seahawks are coming off back to back road losses, but they won their last home game by a score of 97-83 over Drexel. The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. There is no doubt that UNC Wilmington has the better shooters, and given home court advantage I think they should be the favorite to get a "W" tonight. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-19 | St. Louis v. Duquesne UNDER 135 | 73-77 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SLU@DUQ to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens are still undefeated in the A-10, with a 5-0 record heading into tonight's game at Duquesne. They don't score a lot of points, averaging just 67.2 points per game on 41.6 percent shooting. They are brutal at the free throw line, hitting just 57 percent in their last five games. What makes them so successful is their lock down defense, holding the opposition to less than 60 points per game. They have gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 22-10-1 in their last 33 road games. These two teams have gone over in each of the last five head to head meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-19 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky OVER 144 | 55-76 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@UK to go Over the total. The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off an 82-80 win at Auburn, and they have won seven of their last eight overall. They host Mississippi State Tuesday, and the Bulldogs have won back to back games against Florida and Vanderbilt. Both these teams have been on a tear offensively of late, and one significant stat is that they have both hit over 75 percent of their free throws over their last five games. That could make a huge difference when it comes to the total, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone over the number. Kentucky has gone over in 10 of it's last 13 SEC games, and Mississippi State has gone over in six straight at Kentucky. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-19 | Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 145.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU@KU to go Over the total. The #7 ranked Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a 65-64 loss on the road at West Virginia, but I expect a much higher score here in Ksnsas tonight. The Jayhawks are 10-0 at home, and they have averaged 81.2 points on 49.5 points in those games. Their most recent home game was an 80-78 win over Texas. They have gone over in four of their last five home games versus the Cyclones, and the most recent home game against Iowa State was an 83-78 win last January. The over is 16-6-2 in the Jayhawks last 24 home games, and 17-4 in their last 21 home games against the Cyclones. The total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the majority of those previous encounters. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-19 | Virginia v. Duke OVER 138.5 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UVA@DUKE to go Over the total. The Virginia Cavs might be catching Duke at a good time, with the Blue Devils coming off a 95-91 home loss to Syracuse. Remember the Cavs beat Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium last January by a score of 65-63. Virginia comes in averaging 78.4 points on 50.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Blue Devils have allowed opponents to average over 72 points in their last five games. There are plenty of shooters on both these teams, and both teams hit for a high percentage from the free throw line. Virginia has been on fire from beyond the arc, hitting 45.9 percent over their last five games. I expect both teams to score over 70 points here tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin OVER 126 | 54-64 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MICH@WIS to go Over the total. The Wolverines bring a perfect 17-0 record into Wisconsin, and the Badgers have lost four of their last five. Michigan won 83-72 at Wisconsin in the last meeting between these teams, and I think the total for this game is far too low. The Badgers have averaged over 80 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home, and while their defense has been solid they face a Michigan team that has scored 75 points per game in their last five overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Wisconsin. The over is 8-3-2 in the Wolverines last 13 versus the Big Ten. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-19 | Ohio v. Toledo -8.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toledo Rockets. The Ohio Bobcats have struggled since the start of conference play, losing three of four games. They are on the road at Toledo tonight, and they have been nothing short of brutal on the road. The Bobcats are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. They have really been hurt by poor free throw shooting, hitting just 52.3 percent from the line in their last five overall. The Rockets are hitting 71.9 percent over their last five games, and they are hitting over 80 percent from the line at home this season. The Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and they are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 versus Toledo. I like the Rockets to win by double digits. Take TOL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-19 | Houston v. SMU OVER 136 | 69-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@SMU to go Over the total. The SMU Mustangs have gone under in five straight games, but Houston has gone over in four of their last five. Both teams have been shooting the ball well of late. Houston has scored 78.4 points on 43.7 percent shooting, while the Mustangs have averaged 75.6 points on 42.5 percent shooting over their last five games. Both teams are shooting out the lights at the free throw line, hitting 79.4 percent and 72.9 percent respectively over their last five games. The Cougars have gone over in three of their last four visits to Dallas. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-19 | Rutgers v. Purdue OVER 140 | 54-89 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5. The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-19 | TCU v. Oklahoma UNDER 148.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-12-19 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia UNDER 145 | Top | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKST@WVU to go Under the total. The Cowboys have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight games. I bet the under in their last game, a 61-58 win over Texas. Here is what I said prior to tipoff: "an Oklahoma State team tonight that really struggles to do anything on offense, and I like Texas to remain undefeated in the BIG12. The Cowboys have lost both their games against BIG12 teams, and that includes a home loss to Iowa State. If there is one thing the Cowboys do well, it's strong play on defense. They have held opponents to 63.7 points per game in Stillwater." I will go against another high total here as they play at West Virginia. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-19 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 137 | 84-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PUR@WIS to go Under the total. The last time Wisconsin played Purdue neither team scored 60 points. They lost by a score of 57-53 in Madison. The Boilermakers come into tonight's game at Wisconsin with an 0-4 road record, and they have scored just 64 points per game in those losses. Wisconsin is 6-1 at home, and has allowed just 61 points per game in those wins. Wisconsin has failed to reach the total in six of it's last 10 games versus BIG10 teams, while Purdue has gone under in four of their last five road games. Six of the last seven head to head meetings have gone under. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | SMU v. Connecticut UNDER 146.5 | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SMU@UCONN to go Under the total. The Mustangs bring a 10-4 overall record, and a 2-0 road record into Connecticut Thursday. These two teams have a history of playing close games, and SMU has won and covered in four of the last five meetings. Three of those games went over the total, but only one of those games saw more than 140 points. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous meetings. The Huskies have held opponents to 66.6 points per game over their last five overall, and the Mustangs have been even stingier during that span. This total appears to be grossly inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-19 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | 72-43 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCG. Remember when Wofford upset the Tar Heels last season? Bettors certainly remember, and they love backing a memorable underdog. I think Wofford is a little overrated here, coming into this game at UNCG as a road favorite. The Spartans are 14-2 overall and 7-0 at home. They have held opponents to under 60 points on less than 40 percent shooting in their home games so far. The home team has covered in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Terriers might be fan favorites, but they have lost five straight meetings versus UNCG. I'll take the home dog. Take UNCG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-19 | Massachusetts v. St. Louis UNDER 138 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MASS@SLU to go Under the total. The Saint Louis Bilikens have been a defensive juggernaut this season, and they have been particularly stingy at home. They are allowing just 58.7 points on 37.8 percent shooting while winning all nine of their home games so far. They host an inferior opponent tonight, and the Minutemen scored just 47 points in a loss to the Bilikens in the last head to head meeting. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of the last four head to head meetings. The Bilikens have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 14 home games, and I see no reason why that trend won't hold true here in what appears to be a complete mismatch. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech UNDER 132 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKLA@TTU to go Under the total. I bet against Oklahoma in their loss to Kansas, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "Oklahoma is 11-0 versus unranked teams, but in their one game versus a Top 25 team, they were crushed by a score of 78-58 in a loss to Wisconsin. Kansas isn't just a Top 25 team, the Jayhawks are ranked in the Top 5. They are still unbeaten at home, and they beat Oklahoma by 30 points at home last year. The Sooners have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus the BIG12, and they are likely coming into this game a little overrated after covering in nine of their last 10 versus non-conference opposition. While the Sooners have been impresssive, they haven't proven a lot based on a lack of quality wins." They ended up getting a back door cover in that game, after trailing by 15 at halftime. I don't like their chances against a Texas Tech team that has allowed just 48.1 points per game while winning all nine of their home games. I like Texas Tech to shut down Oklahoma's offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. I bet against Oklahoma in their loss to Kansas, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "Oklahoma is 11-0 versus unranked teams, but in their one game versus a Top 25 team, they were crushed by a score of 78-58 in a loss to Wisconsin. Kansas isn't just a Top 25 team, the Jayhawks are ranked in the Top 5. They are still unbeaten at home, and they beat Oklahoma by 30 points at home last year. The Sooners have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 versus the BIG12, and they are likely coming into this game a little overrated after covering in nine of their last 10 versus non-conference opposition. While the Sooners have been impresssive, they haven't proven a lot based on a lack of quality wins." They ended up getting a back door cover in that game, after trailing by 15 at halftime. I don't like their chances against a Texas Tech team that has allowed just 48.1 points per game while winning all nine of their home games. I like Texas Tech to shut down Oklahoma's offense. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-19 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina UNDER 149 | 82-87 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISST@SOCAR to go Under the total. It's been a tough start for the South Carolina Gamecocks, who come into tonight's home game versus Mississippi State with a losing record. They simply can't seem to score, averaging just 66.6 points on 40.5 percent shooting over their last five games. They might not fancy their chances of scoring tonight against a Bulldogs team that won it's only road game by a score of 65-58 at Dayton. Previous meetings between these two teams have gone over more often than not, but the total was listed under 140 in each of the last four meetings. With a total more than 10 points higher than it was the last four times these teams met, I'll roll the dice with a play on the under. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |