Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-10-24 | East Carolina v. Temple UNDER 143 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-09-24 | Indiana v. Rutgers UNDER 140 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson UNDER 140 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-07-24 | Maryland v. Minnesota -125 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MINN. The Maryland Terrapins were just 2-9 on the road last year. One of those wins came at Minnesota though, and they have owned the Gophers. Maryland is 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Minnesota appears to have vastly improved, and they should have no trouble getting up for this game. The Gophers are 10-1 at home so far, and their win over Nebraska looks more impressive by the day. They come off a road win at Ann Arbor, and while Michigan doesn't look great that's still an impressive result for a team that finished last in the BIG10 a year ago. Maryland has lost two of three on the road, and they have scored an average of just 54 points in those games. Their road win at UCLA is looking less impressive by the day. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech -130 | Top | 95-87 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT. The Yellow Jackets might not be the best team in the ACC, but they are one of the best teams when they play on their home court. This is evidenced by wins over Mississippi State and Duke, both ranked in the Top 25. Boston College has road wins over The Citadel and Vanderbilt, but this is a huge step up in class. History favors the home team, as Georgia Tech has won five straight versus the Eagles, covering the spread in all five of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Auburn v. Arkansas +3 | 83-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARK. Auburn comes into Arkansas as a favorite asked to cover points despite losing four of the last five meetings, and having not won at Arkansas in the last three seasons. The Razorbacks are 7-1 at home, including a win over Duke without their leading scorer. Even though they finished in the bottom half of the standings in the SEC last year, their home record of 14-3 was right up there with the top teams. Auburn has lost seven straight road games, and this looks like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-06-24 | West Virginia v. Houston UNDER 135 | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The West Virginia Mountaineers rank 268th nationally in pace of play, averaging 69 possessions per game. Houston ranks 342nd nationally, averaging just 66 possessions per game. The Mountaineers rank 353rd in scoring, averaging 68 points per game, and they face a Houston team that is allowing just 49 points per game. With both these teams playing so slow, it's hard to imagine that the Mountaineers can score 50 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-04-24 | North Texas v. Wichita State UNDER 132.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The North Texas Mean Green are a defensive powerhouse, allowing 58.9 points per game on the season. They rank 354th nationally in pace of play averaging 66 possessions per game. They held St. Johns to 53 points, LSU to 66 points, and the last time they faced Wichita State they won 62-52. The Shockers are averaging over 75 points per game this season, but have failed to score 70 in four straight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-04-24 | Campbell v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 142.5 | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels ranks 344th nationally in scoring, averaging just 68 points per game. They are strong defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 64 points per game. Campbell ranks 350th in pace of play, averaging fewer than 68 possessions per game. The last time these teams played, Campbell won by a score of 64-63 at home. The total in both games last year was listed 10+ points lower than the listed number for tonight's game. Tonight's total is higher than in any of Campbell's last 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA UNDER 139 | 59-53 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The UCLA Bruins have struggled to score this season, ranking 368th in scoring averaging 67 points per game. Putting that in perspective there are only 362 Division 1 teams. UCLA has been pretty solid defensively though, allowing opponents to average just 62 points per game. Gonzaga, Ohio State, Villanova, Oregon, Oregon State and Maryland all failed to score 70 against UCLA. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Arizona, scoring 100 points in the victory. They only score 60 in a loss at San Diego State in their last road game. GL, Jesse Schule. |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Dayton v. Davidson UNDER 137.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and 361 of them play at a faster pace than the Davidson Wildcats, who rank dead last in possessions per game. The Dayton Flyers are only slightly faster, ranking 355th in possessions per game. History tells us that these teams play low scoring games, with both meetings going under last season. The total for this game is seven points higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-24 | New Mexico v. Colorado State -165 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on CSU. The Rams and the Lobos are 12-1, and both teams only loss came against St. Mary's. The Rams lost by three while the Lobos lost to the Gaels by double digits. Colorado State has a far better strength of schedule, with wins over #8 ranked Creighton, Colorado and Washington. The Rams are 6-2 in the last eight meetings versus New Mexico, and they are 5-0 in their last five home games versus the Lobos. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
01-02-24 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 143 | Top | 66-96 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Illinois comes in averaging over 82 points per game, but those numbers came in non-conference play. It's time to buckle up for the BIG10, and their one conference game came against Rutgers, winning by a score of 76-58. Terrance Shannon Jr. scored 23 points in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging almost 22 points per game. Nobody else averages 12 points per game, and Shannon is their best three-point shooter hitting better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The kid is a great player, but he's got himself in some trouble with the law and he will be away from the team for the foreseeable future. The Wildcats lost by a score of 66-62 at Illinois in the most recent meeting between the two teams. The under is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in the last four meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Oakland v. Youngstown State -163 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -163 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on YSU. The Oakland Grizzlies travel to Youngstown coming off three straight losses on the road. They lost both meetings versus the Penguins last year, and they also lost at Youngstown in the 2022 season. The Penguins are 7-0 at home, and they are 2-0 in the Horizon. They crushed the Cleveland State Vikings by 25 points, and the Grizzlies last game was a loss at Cleveland State. This could be a blowout win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-30-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Marshall -155 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MARSH. The Thundering Herd finished 2nd in the Sun Belt last season, tied with the Ragin Cajuns. They were 15-2 at home, and they have a pair of senior starters back from that team. The Ragin Cajuns have lost four of five one the road so far this season, and they were just 7-7 in road games last year. Louisiana-Lafayette are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road, while Marshall has won 12 of their last 16 in the Sun Belt. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Washington State v. Utah -6.5 | Top | 58-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. Both these teams are 9-2, but Utah has more impressive wins. They won at St. Mary's and they beat #14 ranked BYU. The Utes are 6-0 at home, and they won by 14 in the most recent meeting versus WSU last January. Utah is 8-2 straight up, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus the Cougars. This will be the first true road game for Washington State, and they were 4-8 on the road last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Portland State v. Eastern Washington -140 | Top | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. So the 4-7 Eagles are a home favorite here against the 9-3 Vikings. I think this line is a product of these teams overall records, despite the fact that strength of schedule tells us that Eastern Washington is much better than their record would indicate. The Eagles losses came against five teams from the PAC12, and road games versus teams from the BIG12 and SEC. They have won 13 of their last 14 home games, and they have won seven straight head to head versus the Vikings. They are 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Nevada v. Georgia Tech OVER 139.5 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Texas-Arlington v. North Texas UNDER 131.5 | 52-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Maryland v. UCLA UNDER 129.5 | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-21-23 | USC Upstate v. Davidson UNDER 139 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | North Carolina -145 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. I will stop short of calling the Oklahoma Sooners a fraud, but I will caution not to read too much into a perfect 10-0 record. Keep in mind strength of schedule, and while they have beaten four Power Five teams, but Iowa, USC, Providence and Arkansas have all underachieved so far. The Tar Heels come off back to back losses to Kentucky and Connecticut, both of those teams look like legit contenders. I think Oklahoma gets exposed here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State UNDER 138.5 | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Washington -175 v. Seattle University | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The rivalry between these two Pacific Northwest schools has been very one-sided. The Huskies have won 10 straight head to head, covering the spread in four straight. Perhaps it could be considered a let down spot for the Huskies coming off a home win over Gonzaga. The Red Hawks play a couple of PAC12 teams in non-conference play every year. They are 0-9 straight up versus PAC12 teams since 2019. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Seton Hall v. Missouri -125 | 93-87 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIZZ. The Pirates are 6-4 overall, but 0-4 versus teams from teams from Power 5 conferences. They lost at home to Rutgers, at Baylor and at neutral sites versus USC and Iowa. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a 73-64 loss at Kansas, but they had previously won eight of 10. While it's not a home game for Missouri, playing in Kansas City should favor the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Florida Atlantic -9 v. St Bonaventure | 64-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FAU. The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NMSU. The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-13-23 | Boston University v. Dartmouth UNDER 130.5 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech UNDER 142 | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-11-23 | Howard v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Penn. The Quakers are 6-1 at home, and the one loss came in overtime versus Belmont. They host the Howard Bison who are 1-4 on the road. The Bison have lost 14 of their last 15 versus teams from the Ivy League. The Quakers are 12-1 in their last 13 home games, and they have have won five of their last six versus teams from the Mid East. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Drexel v. West Virginia UNDER 129.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 134 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-08-23 | St. Peter's v. Duquesne UNDER 131 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-06-23 | Campbell v. Davidson UNDER 130.5 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-06-23 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-05-23 | North Texas v. Boise State -4.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-03-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Nebraska | 89-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Creighton. |
|||||||
12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Illinois v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4% play on Under. These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Michigan v. Oregon -140 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ducks. I like Oregon to bounce back here at home after losing back to back games. They hung around in a 99-91 loss to Alabama, but that was in Florida. The Ducks are 2-0 at home so far this season, and they were 15-6 at home last year. They are an experienced squad with senior center N'Faly Dante leading the team in scoring, and senior guard Jermaine Couisnard leading the team in assists. They have four seniors in the starting rotation. Michigan was 3-8 on the road last year, and there isn't a ton of buzz surrounding this year's team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +8 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. The Boilermakers won two of three meetings last year, but lost the last meeting at Northwestern by a score of 64-58. These teams have a history of playing close games, as only one of the last five head to head meetings has been decided by more than six points. Purdue comes in ranked #1 in the country, and history tells us that can often be the kiss of death. Purdue has failed to cover in five straight road games, while the Wildcats have covered in seven of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just 3-3, and they will play a ranked team for the first time at home tonight. They are getting eight points, and their three losses this season all came by five points or fewer. Creighton is coming off a 21-point loss to unranked Colorado State at a neutral site. This Creighton team is playing it's first true road game, and the Blue Jays lost their first four road games last season. They didn't win a true road game until mid January, and they were 5-6 overall on the road last season. I'll take the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Duke -5.5 v. Arkansas | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Duke. So Arkansas is coming off back to back losses, to Memphis and North Carolina. Their leading scorer was carted off in the loss to the Tar Heels with a back injury, and he's doubtful to play here. That didn't have much of an effect on the result, as they were losing by double digits in the dying minutes at the time of the injury. Now they host a #7 ranked Duke team that can cause them plenty of problems. Arkansas has failed to cover in six straight, and they have lost eight in a row versus teams ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Notre Dame v. South Carolina -7 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks finished near the bottom of the SEC last year, but they come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame with a 5-0 record. Their leading scorer BJ Mack (F) is a senior transfer from Wofford. Junior guard Meechie Johnsoin is back after averaging 12.7 points last year. He's joined in the backcourt by senior transfer Myles Stute from Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are certainly a lot more experienced than Notre Dame who is lead by a pair of talented freshmen. The Irish are facing an SEC team for the second time this season, and they lost by 24 in a neutral site game against Auburn. The Irish have lost 10 straight road games and 15 of their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Hampton -0.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HAMPTON. The Pirates were just 5-13 in the CAA and 8-24 overall last year. They still posted a winning record at home, and seven of their eight wins were in home games. Their only home game this season was a win over Florida Gulf Coast. They have overhauled their starting lineup to include three seniors, including leading scorer Tedrick Wilcox who came in via transfer. UMBC was just 8-8 in the American East last season, but they lost 10 of their 15 road games. Hampton is 5-1 ATS in their last five home games while UMBC is 1-9 SU in their last 10 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Butler v. Boise State | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. Boise State won 27 games last year, finishing first in the Mountain West and ranked in the Top 25 in the country. They bring back three of their top four scorers from last year's team, and they look like an early favorite to win the conference again. The Broncos are 3-2 with a pair of losses to ACC teams, and they face a tough opponent Sunday in the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 4-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Butler finished ninth in the Big East last year, winning 14 games. Only four of those wins came away from home. All five starters are gone, but it remains to be seen if this team is any better. This will be a good test for both teams but I am going to go with the experience of the Broncos. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-25-23 | East Carolina v. George Mason -6 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play o GMU. George Mason will host the East Carolina Pirates Saturday afternoon, and this will be the first true road game for East Carolina this season. The Pirates were 2-9 on the road last year. George Mason was 14-2 at home last season, and they bring back two senior starters from last year including starting PG Ronald Polite. The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games was over 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Baylor -150 v. Florida | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAY. The Bears come into this Black Friday game against Florida with a 5-0 record, and they are scoring almost 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting. Freshman JaKobe Walker is averaging 19 points per game, leading the bears in scoring. Senior guard RayJ Dennis scored 19.5 points per game in the MAC last year, and he's leading the team in assists. Baylor looks like a contender in the BIG12. The Gators are 4-1, and they are facing a ranked opponent for the first time. Florida finished last season with a losing record, and leading scorer Colin Castleton has moved on to the NBA. Incoming transfers will keep the Gators competitive, but they should be over-matched against a Baylor team with more high end talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-23 | USC v. Oklahoma | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. I bet against Oklahoma yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their win over Iowa: "The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody." The Hawkeyes were 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and shot just 35 percent from the field losing 79-67. The Trojans are coming off a 71-63 win over Seton Hall, and they hit 10-of-23 three-pointers in the win. Here is what I said about USC earlier this season: "the Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience." GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Texas A&M -155 v. Florida Atlantic | 89-96 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TAM. Coming into this season I said I expected FAU to be overvalued. Here is what I said: " GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Oklahoma v. Iowa | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody. Iowa went to Creighton and lost, but played pretty well in a 92-84 loss. Senior forward Ben Krikke has made a huge impact transferring in from Valparaiso. He's leading the Hawkeyes with 20 points per game. Iowa finished Top 5 in the BIG10 last year, and it appears that this program is simply in better shape than Oklahoma at the moment. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Tennessee v. Purdue -150 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. The Boilermakers took down #11 ranked Gonzaga yesterday, and they will face an even tougher Tennessee team tonight. I think they will be up for the task. Senior center Zach Edey scored 25 points in 33 minutes versus Gonzaga, after dropping 28 points on Xavier in the previous game. The Vols don't have anyone who can stop the 7-footer, and he should be primed for another big game. This seems like a short line for a Purdue team that started 22-1 last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Wichita State v. St. Louis +5 | 88-69 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SLU. I bet against the Shockers in their blowout loss to Liberty on Friday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game." I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bilikens have an experienced starting lineup with returning seniors from last year. While leading scorer Sincere Parker may not play, it's not like the Bilikens are thin at guard. They still have Gibson Jimerson who was the top scorer last year and Freshman Djordje Curcic who played for the Serbian National Team. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Howard v. Rutgers UNDER 143 | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Wichita State v. Liberty -160 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Liberty. The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game. Liberty won 27 games last year, finishing second in Conference USA. They bring back all but one starter, as well as a few quality transfers giving them a ton of experience. They did knock Villanova out of the NIT last year, and lost a close game to Wisconsin after that. The Flames should be on another level than Wichita. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. Dayton rallied late to come back after trailing LSU BY 15 points midway through the second half yesterday. This could set them up for a let down here on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-16-23 | St. John's -145 v. North Texas | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. The Red Storm are coming off a bad loss as a favorite versus Michigan, and I had them in that spot. Here is what I said before the game: "St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino." Here they are just a short favorite against a North Texas team that everyone remembers from the NCAA Tournament last year. The Mean Green had three double digit scores on last year's team, and all three of them have either graduated on transferred. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers UNDER 136.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Colgate +5.5 v. Syracuse | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colgate. This is a revenge game for Syracuse, as they lost at home versus Colgate in non-conference play last year. Colgate went on to win the Patriot League and made the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have a new head coach, and they lost their leading scorer Joseph Girard and leading rebounder Jesse Edwards. Colgate is bringing back senior forward Keegan Records, sophomore Braenen Smith at guard, and senior forward Ryan Moffatt. I'll take the points here in what should be a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Florida Gulf Coast +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FGCU. The Eagles have been known to slay a few giants in the past, and they have an experienced lineup of returning starters who are mostly seniors. They already went to Indiana and gave the Hoosiers a run for their money, losing by six in a game that they were within two in the final 35 seconds. Pittsburgh was one of the best teams in the ACC last year, finishing with the same record as Duke. The Panthers lost their top four guards to graduation, and the names they brought in via transfer don't exactly pop off the page. This looks like too big of a number for a team in transition to be asked to cover. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Michigan v. St. John's -130 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJU. Michigan lost leading scorer Hunter Dickenson to Kansas, and they have to replace their top three scorers from a team that finished 8th in the BIG10 last year. You would expect a blue blood like Michigan to make a big splash in the transfer portal, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Olivier Nkamhoua averaged just over 10-point per game with Tennessee last year, and Nimari Burnett was a backup last year at Alabama and the previous year at Texas Tech. It would appear that the Wolverines are asking role players to step up and fill the void in the starting lineup. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Tennessee -130 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TENN. The Vols are coming off a 25 win season, finishing 5th in the SEC and ranked #20 in the country. They bring back three starters, including senior guard Santiago Vescovi who lead the team in scoring last year. The Badgers finished 12th in the BIG10, unranked with a losing record in conference play. Wisconsin struggled in close games last year, and they lost four of their last six in Madison. They may find themselves overmatched here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Dayton v. Northwestern -5 | 66-71 | Push | 0 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. They should have their way with an inferior Dayton team here in Evanston. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-09-23 | Tarleton St v. Florida International -5 | 82-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FIU. The Panthers were a middle of the road team in Conference USA last season, but they were pretty good at home. They won 11 games on their home court (11-7) overall, despite a losing record in conference play. They lost leading scorer Denver Jones in a transfer to Auburn, but bring almost every body else back. Tarleton State was in the middle of the pack in the WAC, but they were just 2-12 on the road last year. Their leading scorer transferred to Arkansas State, and their starting PG graduated. Junior Shamir Bougues also transferred to Vermont. That leaves them replacing their entire backcourt with freshman and role players. I thinking laying five here against a team that lost 86 percent of their road games last year seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are bringing back leading score Tolu Smith for his senior season, and he is joined by seniors Shakeef Moore, Cameron Mathews, Dashawn Davis and DJ Jeffries. That's right, their entire starting five are back, and they are all seniors. That kind of experience should prove to much for an Arizona State team that lost the majority if it's starters, and has brought in new recruits and transfers that might take time to start to gel. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
11-06-23 | USC -2.5 v. Kansas State | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. The Wildcats lost both their top two scorers and their starting PG to the NBA, and they are going to struggle to replace Marquis Nowell. K-State is projected to finish in the bottom half of the BIG12 while USC is expected to contend for a PAC12 Championship. The Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience, and the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is familiar territory, as the venue for the PAC12 Tournament last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs streak of unders ended in a 72-71 win over FAU in the Final Four. Both teams shot out the lights from beyond the arc, with the Owls hitting over 40 percent and San Diego State better than 50 percent. I won't bank on seeing that again in the Final. The under is 17-5 in the Aztecs last 22 overall, and the under is 27-9 in their last 36 neutral site games. UCONN also plays a tough defensive brand of basketball, and the under is 7-2 in the Huskies last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Hurricanes were down by a dozen with just over 10 minutes to go in their Elite-8 win over Texas. They tied the score five minutes later, and never looked back. Miami simply couldn't miss, and Texas just collapsed. I don't see that happening here in the Final Four versus UCONN. Keep in mind that this team started the season 13-0, and that included a win over Alabama. They were ranked #2 in the country. The Huskies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, four time National Champions, and they are in the Final Four for the sixth time. They appear to be destined to go to the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -125 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 136 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SDSU. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -125 | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNT. Florida Atlantic is making noise in the NCAA Tourney, reaching the Final Four as a #9 seed. The C-USA has another team in a major tournament semi-final. The North Texas Mean Green finished second in the C-USA, two games behind the Owls. The difference being the two head to head meetings each decided by just four points. The Mean Green are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games, and they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Badgers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State UNDER 135 | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Scoring is up at the NCAA Tournament over the last week, but the Aztecs don't often find themselves involved in high scoring games. San Diego State has gone under the total in 10 straight overall, and the under is 26-8 in their last 34 neutral site games. These teams played in last year's NCAA Tournament, and Creighton won 72-69 in overtime. The total was set at 120.5 for that game, 15 points lower than today's total. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Some might be shocked to see these teams here in the Elite-8, but I actually have a pending bet on Kansas State at 10-1 to win the East Region. This was one of three longshots I gave out on my NCAA Tournament preview show on Youtube. I am a little concerned that their starting PG rolled his ankle against Michigan State, even though he played a team high 43 minutes. The Owls have been dominant defensively in the tournament, and if Nowell is not 100 percent it will be tough for the Wildcats to run up the score. The under is 20-8-1 in the Owls last 29 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five straight NCAA Tournament games, but two of their three games at this tournament saw less than 144.5 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas UNDER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 132 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut UNDER 140.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. The under cashed at a rate of 27-9 in the first round of the tournament, and heading into Sunday's action the trend was at 33-11. We did see some higher scores and the over cashed in six of eight on Sunday, but those numbers had been bet down quite a bit. This number still seems a little high when you consider that Arkansas has gone under in five straight at the NCAA Tournament, and they trended under at a 58.8 percent clip during the regular season. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six, and they have gone under in five straight off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt -115 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vandy. I picked Vandy at 28-1 to win the N.I.T. before the tournament started, and I bet on them in their opening game against Yale. Here is what I said before they beat the Bulldogs: "The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss." They needed a miracle to get past Michigan, and of course to me that felt like destiny is on their side. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SJST. My CBI Game of the Year was a winner on San Jose State, and they didn't disappoint. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Screaming Eagles: "I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch." This Radford team has taken a major step back since their improbable NCAA Tournament run, and I think they are biting off more than they can chew here. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-19-23 | Creighton v. Baylor UNDER 146.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 8-3 in the Bluejays last 11 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -108 | 42 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Auburn. If Houston was healthy there would be no way I would want Auburn here. Houston is not healthy, so here I am taking an underdog in the NCAA Tourney. The Cougars just barely escaped their first round matchup versus Northern Kentucky, and leading scorer Marcus Sasser left the game after re-aggravating his groin injury. He says he will play today, but he won't be 100 percent. Jamal Shead is the Cougars starting PG, and while he does not appear on the injury report, he claims to have tweaked his knee against NKU. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-18-23 | Arkansas v. Kansas -165 | 72-71 | Loss | -165 | 40 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KAN. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #1 seeds have won all but one of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 22 points per game. History suggests that one of these teams is likely to make the Final Four, and it ain't the Razorbacks. Arkansas has been inconsistent, losing six of nine heading into the tournament, and failing to score 65 points in four of those six losses. Only the best version of the Razorbacks can compete with Kansas, and that version only shows up 1/3 of the time. GL. Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJST. I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -8.5 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. The Wildcats are the #3 seed in the East Region, ahead of Duke, Kentucky and Tennessee. We all know that underdogs shock the world in the first round of the NCAA Tournament year after year, but judging by conversations I hear at the water cooler in the office, I don't think you're average Joe actually knows the historical prevalence of such upsets. The fact is that #3 seeds have won 85% of their first round matchups since 1985. The Wildcats come in as one of the top teams in the best conference in the country. They have wins over Kansas, Baylor, Texas and TCU. Montana State won the BIG SKY, but their non conference schedule included two games against an opponent from a major conference. They lost by 20+ points to both Arizona and Oregon. It's hard for me to justify a single digit point spread in this matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -130 | 66-65 | Loss | -130 | 78 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Memphis. The Tigers upset the #1 ranked Houston Cougars in the AAC Tournament Final, and they are 9-2 straight up in their last 11 overall. Both losses during that span came against the #1 ranked team in the country, and the most recent loss came on a buzzer beater. FAU won a bunch of games in the C-USA, but they haven't played a ranked team all season. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they won six of seven straight up at neutral sites. Unlike the Owls, they have wins versus the likes of Auburn, VCU and Texas A&M. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 81 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAY. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #3 seeds have won 85 percent of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 14 points per game. I expect a major correction on Day 2 of the tournament, and I'll take one of the top teams from the best conference in the country as a double digit favorite in a spot where they should be asked to cover a 15 point spread (IMO). The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-16-23 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -155 | 76-59 | Loss | -155 | 69 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies finished second in the SEC ahead of Tennessee, Kentucky and Auburn. They don't get a ton of respect from bettors or bookmakers, but they just keep winning games. They play solid defense, ranking 3rd in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 66 points per game. Penn State finished the season strong winning eight of nine before falling to Purdue in the BIG10 Tournament Final. Finishing the season strong was the only way the ninth place team in the BIG10 managed to sneak into the tournament. The Aggies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -10.5 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEN. The Vols were 10-3 in their non-conference schedule, with wins over Kansas, Maryland and Texas. They are one of just five teams that beat Alabama this year, and they ranked first in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 58 points per game. Tennessee didn't finish the season strong, and they look vulnerable to an upset at some point in the tournament, but I don't think it's gonna happen against a Sun Belt team in the first round. The Ragin Cajuns played one ranked team this year, losing by 28 to Texas. Asking the Vols to win this game by double digits seems reasonable. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -6 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Wildcats won their PAC12 Semi Final game against Arizona State by 19 points. They then defeated UCLA in the Final to become PAC12 Champions. Their non conference schedule was no cake walk, with games against Tennessee, Indiana, Creighton and San Diego State. That didn't stop them from going 12-0 in non-conference games. Princeton didn't play any ranked teams, in fact they didn't play any teams from a Power Five conference. This should be a mismatch from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-16-23 | West Virginia -130 v. Maryland | 65-67 | Loss | -130 | 59 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WVU. The Mountaineers finished the season strong, winning four of five before falling to Kansas in the BIG12 Tournament. The covered the spread in five of those six games. Maryland comes in as losers of three of four, with the one win coming against last place Minnesota. The Terrapins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 5-11 straight up in neutral and road games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-14-23 | Yale v. Vanderbilt -170 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vandy. The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Memphis. The Cougars have won seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, but they have failed to cover in all but one of those games. These teams played just a week ago, and Memphis lost by two with Houston hitting the winner at the buzzer. Leading scorer Marcus played 37 minutes in that game, but he missed yesterday's game against Cincinnati. He will either miss this game, or he will be limited by a groin injury. With Houston's spot in the tournament secure, I see no reason for them to rush him back. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. I'll take the points, and sprinkle a little on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 145.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aggies have won seven of eight overall, and prior to yesterday's win over Vanderbilt they had played seven straight games with neither team scoring 70 points. One game during that span was a 67-61 home win over Alabama in the final game of the regular season. Three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and Alabama has failed to read the total in nine of their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The Aggies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. This game should look a lot like the last meeting which was played just last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. Texas A&M | 75-87 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VANDY. I had Vandy yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their game against Kentucky: "Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games." Now I also had Texas A&M yesterday, and I do think the Aggies deserve to come into this game as the favorite. I am not about to step in front of the hottest team in the country here, so I'll take Vandy plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-10-23 | Vanderbilt +7 v. Kentucky | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, while the Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The underdog is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-10-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M UNDER 138.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Texas A&M Aggies finished in 2nd place in the SEC, and their success comes in part because of their elite defense. They come in allowing just 62.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have won five of their last six overall, and neither team scored 70 points in ANY of those six games. They held #2 ranked Alabama to 61 points, #11 Tennessee to 63 points, and they held Arkansas to 56 points. The Aggies won their last game 67-61 at home versus Alabama, and the under is 10-4 in the Aggies last 14 games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Villanova +5.5 v. Creighton | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Villanova. These two teams split the season series, but even when Villanova lost at Creighton it was a close game decided by five points. The Wildcats at the end of the season were not the same team as they were at the beginning of the season. Villanova won six of it's last eight games, and the Wildcats covered the spread in four of their last five. History favors Villanova as the underdog is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |