Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland UNDER 149.5 | 110-87 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, but things have changed. I think the bookmakers are mistaken here with an opening total just under 150 points. Neither of these two teams has averaged 70 points in their last five games overall, and both teams have held opponents to an average of less than 70 points per game during that span. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 road games, and the under is 14-5 in the Terrapins last 19 home games. Bet this one early because I expect money to come in on the under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +5.5 | 97-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Utah State v. Wyoming -118 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are half a game back of first place Boise State in the Mountain West, and they are 10-0 at home. Tonight they host Utah State, who they have already beaten once this season in Logan. The Aggies have a losing record on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games following a three game home stand. The Cowboys last home game was a win over Boise State, and prior to that they beat Colorado State. Wyoming should be a far bigger favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-22 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State OVER 138.5 | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Badgers were fortunate to have avoided an upset at home against Penn State, shooting just 37.5 percent from the field, 6-of-21 from beyond the arc and 3-of-6 from the charity stripe. They will have to be much better here on the road at East Lansing, and we should expect both teams to score their share of points. The over is 6-1 in the Badgers last seven games as an underdog, and they have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall. The over is 5-2-1 in the Spartans last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +13.5 | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State UNDER 143.5 | 91-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-22 | Houston v. Cincinnati +6.5 | 80-58 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The over is 20-8 in the Badgers last 28 overall, and they have gone over in five of their last six home games. This number should be a lot higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Auburn v. Georgia OVER 152 | 74-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. There were 100 points scored in the first half of Georgia's last game, a home loss to Arkansas. They host #1 ranked Auburn Saturday, and another shootout should be expected. The Tigers took a 52-27 lead to the locker room at halftime in a home win over Georgia earlier this season, but we should expect more scoring from the Bulldogs here at home. The over is 7-2 in the Tigers last nine overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Bulldogs last 13 overall. Georgia has gone over in seven of their last 10 as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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02-02-22 | Wisconsin v. Illinois OVER 139.5 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. I started betting the over in Wisconsin games late last year, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Michigan State: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers come into Illinois averaging 74.8 points over their last five games, and Illinois averages 81.6 points per game at home. The over is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 home games, and the over is 7-3 in the Badgers last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-22 | Arkansas v. Georgia OVER 152.5 | 99-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Razorbacks come into Georgia as a double digit favorite, and I am expecting this game to be a shootout. Arkansas has won six straight, and they have won four of their last five head to head meetings versus Georgia. These teams played last January, and the Razorbacks won by a score of 99-69. The Bulldogs won by a score of 99-89 at home versus Arkansas in 2020. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total, and the over is 20-6 in the Razorbacks last 26 road games, and the over is 9-4 in the Razorbacks last 13 games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Nevada v. UNLV -145 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Nevada Wolfpack tonight, and history tells us that Nevada has had a big edge in recent head to head meetings. The Wolfpack have won eight straight in this series, and they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. This year's aquad isn't as talented as the Nevada team we've seen over the last few years, and they come in with a record of 1-4 on the road. The Wolf Pack are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. The Rebels are 10-3 at home, and they have only allowed 61.9 points per game at home. The Wolfpack have give up and average of 80.4 points per game on the road. This looks like a great spot to back the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Kansas v. Iowa State UNDER 138.5 | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jayhawks just barely beat the Cyclones 62-61 at home a few weeks ago, and they are coming off a blowout home loss to Kentucky on Saturday. It won't get any easier on the road at Iowa State Tuesday. The Cyclones are holding opponents to just 56.4 points per game on their home court. Kansas has failed to cover in four straight overall. Ochai Agbaji leads the Jayhawks in scoring averaging over 20 points per game, but he shot just 4-of-14 from the field and scored just 13 points in the loss to Kentucky. We saw these teams play a defensive battle in Lawrence, and I expect to see another close, low scoring game in Ames. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-22 | Michigan State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Spartans are just a half game out of first place in the conference, and they will be a favorite on the road at Maryland Tuesday. The Terps are just a game above .500 at home, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. One of the reasons they have struggled at home is a lack of scoring. They scored just 55 points in a home loss to Indiana on Saturday. These two teams have gone under in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Spartans have held the opposition to 63.2 points per game on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-22 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington -125 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are back on top in the CAA, and they are coming off an impressive home win over Hofstra. They are now 8-0 in the conference and 8-1 at home. The history favors the home team in this series, with the hosts winning outright in seven of the last eight meetings. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have covered in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Miami-OH v. Eastern Michigan OVER 141 | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Eastern Michigan Eagles will be a home dog against Miami-Oh, and we should expect plenty of scoring in this matchup. The Eagles have scored an average of 78 points per game at home, and the Red Hawks have allowed opponents to score 80+ in each of their last three games. The over is 23-11 in the Eagles last 34 overall, and the over is 15-6 in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. The last time the Eagles hosted the Red Hawks they lost by a score of 85.63. Neither of these teams are known for their defense, so expect another shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MD. Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-22 | UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 141 | 88-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-26-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -175 | 84-81 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on OKST. The Cyclones started the season with 12 straight victories, but have since lost five of their last seven overall. They are 0-3 in BIG12 road games, and they have had trouble scoring. Iowa State scored just 44 points on 30.9 percent shooting in a home loss to TCU in their last game, and they went 3-of-26 from beyond the arc in that game. The Cowboys have won two of three home games in the BIG12, and the one loss came to first place Kansas. The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3 | 68-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sparty. Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-22 | Arizona State v. USC OVER 134 | 56-78 | Push | 0 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I recently bet over on the Trojans game at Colorado. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478)." They have been far better at home, scoring an average of 81.1 points per game. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-22 | Michigan v. Indiana -165 | 80-62 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indiana. The Wolverines are just 8-7 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. They play on the road at Indiana Sunday, and the Hoosiers are 12-0 at home. Indiana has held opponents to just over 57 points per game at home, and they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Michigan's last two road games were losses at Rutgers and Illinois by a combined 23 points. They have lost four of five road games this season, with the only win coming at Nebraska (0-8). This woild be a tough game for Michigan at the best of times, and these are NOT the best of times. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-22 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -109 | 76-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wake Forest. The Tar Heels are coming off an ugly 85-57 loss at Miami, and they may have lost their leading scorer to an injury in that game. To be fair, the injury happened late when the Tar Heels already trailed by as many as 33 points. Wake Forest is 10-1 at home, and they have held opponents to just 65.2 points in those games. They have also scored over 80 points per game at home. The Tar Heels are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 road games versus a team with a winning home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last two games, including 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before that game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." The Badgers beat Northwestern 82-76, and they have gone over in seven straight. The over is 18-6 in the Badgers last 24 overall. The bookmakers have yet to make the necessary adjustments for Wisconsin's current style of play. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-22 | USC v. Colorado OVER 137 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Trojans have lost two of their last three overall, taking a big slide in the AP Top 25. They come into Colorado off a 79-69 loss to Oregon, allowing 70+ points in three straight games. The total here looks quite low, and these teams combined to score over 140 points in both meetings last season. Colorado won at home by a score of 80-62, and the Buffaloes have averaged over 80 points per game home in PAC12 games so far this season. The Trojans rank 2nd in the PAC12 in scoring averaging 75.4 points per game, and they have the 2nd best FG percentage (.478). Both teams should score their share of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern OVER 138 | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. I bet the over in Wisconsin's last game, a 78-68 win over Ohio State. Here is what I said before the game: "I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games." Northwestern has scored an average of 75 points per game over their last five overall, and during that span they have allowed opponents to average almost 80 points per game. The Badgers have gone over in six straight overall, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have made the necessary adjustments. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-22 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 138 | Top | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Sun Devils host Utah Monday, and historically these teams have been involved in high scoring games. They have gone over in five straight head to head meetings, but a dark cloud hangs over both these teams at the moment. Arizona State has struggled without Marcus Bagley, ranking 391st nationally scoring just 62.6 points per game. They come into tonight's game averaging just 59.4 points per game in their last five overall. Utah hasn't been much better, averaging 67 points per game in their last five overall. The Sun Devils have gone under in five straight overall, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games. They shot just 33 percent from the field in a home loss to Colorado in their last game, and they rank last in the PAC12 with a FG percentage of .385 on the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Wake Forest v. Virginia UNDER 129 | 63-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on under. The Cavs have won nine straight head to head meetings against Wake Forest, and the Demon Deacons scored an average of 55 points in those games. The last two meetings went over the total, but the number in those games was far lower than the total we see here today. The under is 4-1 in the Demon Deacons last five overall, and the under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 games following a straight up win. The Cavs have played three home games in conference play, and all three of those games fell well short of 129 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 139 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. I would normally expect a Wisconsin home game to be a low scoring defensive battle, but this isn't yo daddy's batch of Badgers. Johnny Davis is lighting up the BIG10, averaging over 22 points per game. The Badgers have scored an average of more than 78 points over their last five games, and the Buckeyes have averaged exactly the same amount of points over that span. The over is 16-5 in the Buckeyes last 21 road games, and the Badgers have gone over in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV UNDER 151.5 | 56-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rebels host the last place New Mexico Lobos, who are coming off back to back losses to Utah State and Nevada. The Lobos have lost six straight head to head meetings versus UNLV, and they have failed to cover in seven of the last eight meetings. Four of the last five head to head meetings went under the total. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points higher than it was in both meetings in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan -120 | 78-72 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Eastern Michigan. The Eastern Michigan Eagles are just 6-6, and three of those wins came against Illinois State, Western Illinois and Fliorida International. What is the significance of three non-conference games when they are playing at home against a team from the Mac? Well all three of those teams are common opponents with Ball State, and the Cardinals went 0-3 versus those teams. The Cardinals are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Texas -155 v. Oklahoma State | 51-64 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Longhorns are 12-2 overall, and they rank 1st in the nation allowing just 52.3 points per game. They will be a favorite on the road here in Stillwater, facing a Cowboys team that has lost four of their last five overall. They are just 4-4 at home, and they have only scored an average of 68.8 points in their last five games. Texas has held it's last five opponents to an average of just 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest -175 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wake Forest. Wake Forest is off to a strong start, with a 12-3 overall record and coming off a home win over Florida State. The Deacons are 9-0 at home, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams, and the Favorite has covered in five of the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-22 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 147 | 78-87 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers are coming off an upset win at Purdue, holding the Boilermakers under 70 points on their home court. Wisconsin has allowed just 63.3 points per game while winning six of seven at home. They host the Iowa Hawkeyes who have only averaged 66 points per game on the road. The Hawkeyes last road game was a 73-53 loss at Iowa State. The under is 9-1 in the Hawkeyes last 10 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -160 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones won 12 straight before suffering their first loss of the season at the hands of #1 ranked Baylor. It was a close game, with the Bears winning 77-72. Iowa State looks to get back on track with a home game against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four coming off a win. The Cyclones have been a defensive powerhouse, only allowing 57.7 points per game this season. They have held opponents to just 56 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-21 | Utah v. Oregon State UNDER 140.5 | 76-88 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-10 overall, and 0-2 in the Pac12. They have really struggled on offense, scoring just 67 points per game. They have been pretty average on defense, allowing 72 points per game, very close to the national average. Utah comes in with an 8-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in the Pac12. The under is 2-2 in the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in those previous four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee UNDER 149.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Wildcats are still undefeated coming into Knoxville with an 11-0 record. Playing on the road at Tennessee will be the toughest test they've faced so far, as the Vols have allowed just 54 points per game at home. The Vols are 6-0 at home, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. This will be the second time Arizona will play a ranked team, and their win over Michigan saw a combined 142 points, well under the listed total here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-21 | Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 137.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Villanova Wilcats have lost back to back games, scoring an average of just 47.5 points. They shot just 22 percent from the field against Baylor, and just 33 percent from the field against Creighton. They are 3-0 at home and they have allowed fewer than 50 points per game in those wins. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and they have gone under in three of their last four versus Xavier. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Arizona State v. Creighton -6.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Creighton. Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +4.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-01-21 | Washington State v. Arizona State +1.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. |
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11-25-21 | Alabama v. Iona OVER 147.5 | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Two 4-0 teams will meet on Thanksgiving Day in California when the Crimson Tide take on the Iona Gaels. Both these teams come in scoring plenty of points, Alabama averaging over 89 points per game while the Gaels are averaging over 74 points per game. The Crimson Tide can play defense if they need to, but they are also content to run and gun if it suits them. That was the case when they beat South Dakota State 104-88 in their second game of the season. This game has the potential to be a similar style, with another high score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-21 | Ohio State v. Seton Hall +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Toledo v. Oakland UNDER 147 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oakland Grizzlies will be a small favorite at home versus Toledo tonight, and the total for this matchup appears a little inflated. The Grizzlies have held their first two opponents to 56 points or fewer, going 1-1 versus West Virginia and Oklahoma State. The Grizzlies scored just 53 points in a loss to Toledo in 2020, and 63 points against the Rockets in a loss in 2019. Tonight's total is much higher than it was in those two games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | BYU v. Oregon OVER 141.5 | 81-49 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Ducks scored 80+ points in both their first two games, and they shot 51.6 percent from the field in an 86-63 win over SMU in their last game. They hit 9-of-20 (45%) from beyond the arc in that game. Oregon has been playing a ton of high scoring games, with some pretty heavy over trends. The over is 8-0 in the Ducks last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. They have also gone over in 10 of their last 11 neutral site games. The over is 10-2 in the Ducks last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Georgia v. Cincinnati UNDER 138.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Bearcats gave up just 43 points in their season opener against Evansville, and they are a big favorite Saturday in a home game against Georgia. The Bulldogs scored just 58 points in a win over FIU in their first game of the season. Georgia shot just 35 percent from the field, going 3-of-15 (20%) from beyond the arc despite facing an inferior opponent. A road game against a notorious defensive powerhouse like Cincinnati spells trouble for the Bulldogs. Expect a low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +16 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Duke | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UK. Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -13.5 | 90-93 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Gonzaga. The UCLA Bruins played well enough to win in the Elite 8 versus Michigan, but keep in mind they scored just 51 points and Michigan was playing without their best player. Gonzaga on the other hand scored 85 points in a blowout win over USC. The Trojans were far better than UCLA in the PAC12 this season, beating them in both meetings by a combined 19 points. I'll have to make this analysis brief, because we want to get this bet in quick before the line inevitably gets bet up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -113 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 135.5. The Baylor Bears will face the Houston Cougars in the Final Four, and I expect this to be a battle. Both these teams are capable of playing lock down defense, and I expect every possession to be played with the same intensity that is normally reserved for the final minute of a tight game. The Cougars have held the opposition to an average of just 55 points in their last five overall. The under is 23-9 in the Cougars last 32 games as an underdog, and the under is 4-1 in Cougars last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-21 | UCLA +7 v. Michigan | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC -140 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 117 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the USC. The Trojans won 15 games in the Pac12 during the regular season, one more than the Ducks. The two teams played each other twice, and the Trojans won the most recent meeting by a whopping 14 points. The previous meeting was decided in overtime, with the Ducks winning at home in January. The Trojans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have covered in six straight NCAA Tournament games. USC is stronger defensively, which might just be the difference here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +3 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -118 | 87 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU. The Wolverines have cruised into the Sweet 16 with back to back wins over Texas Southern and LSU. They will be a favorite against Florida State, but I think the Seminoles have looked like the better team lately. BIG10 teams have disappointed so far, and Michigan is the last of nine teams in the tournament. Michigan will be shorthanded after Isaiah Livers suffered a stress fracture that has him listed as "out indefinitely". The Seminoles are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog, and they appear to be peaking at the right time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 109 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are the biggest favorite in any of the Sweet 16 games, but I am not sure the bookmakers can set a line high enough. Gonzaga is undefeated (28-0), and the majority of those wins came by double digits. They beat Oklahoma by 16 points in their last game, and the Sooners actually played a helluva game. Even shooting 50% from the field and scoring 71 points wasn't enough to keep that game close. The Bluejays are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games, and they have failed to cover in six straight as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts +11.5 v. Arkansas | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 90 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oral Roberts. After betting on Oral Roberts in their upset win over Florida, I have to like them as a double digit dog verus Arkansas in the Sweet 16. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Gators: "Oral Roberts was more impressive in their first round upset over Ohio State. Max Abmas scored 29 points on 10-of-24 shooting. He leads the nation in scoring averaging 24.2 points per game. The Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog." They played at Arkansas during the regular season, and that was quite a competitive game. The Golden Eagles have covered in five straight games played at a neutral site. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Ohio +5.5 v. Creighton | 58-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. I had Ohio in their first round upset win over Virginia, and I like them again here against a Creighton team that just barely avoided a first round upset. The Blue Jays defeated UCSB by a score of 63-62, hitting a pair of free throws in the dying seconds. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Bluejays are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-21 | Abilene Christian v. UCLA -4.5 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins are coming off consecutive impressive wins over Michigan State and BYU, and they will face Abilene Christian in the second round. The Wildcats are coming off a 53-52 upset win over Texas, and I expect them to suffer a let down here in their next game. They beat Texas with a pair of free throws with two seconds on the clock, but I doubt they will be as fortunate here against UCLA. The public will be quick to back the underdogs after so many early upsets in this year's tournaments, but the favorite appears to be the play here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Oklahoma State | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. I had the Beavers in the first round versus Tennessee, and this is what I said before that game: "The Beavers finished the season hot, winning the Pac12 Tournament and they won six of their last seven overall. The Beavers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall." They didn't just beat the Vols, they spanked them by double digits. Oregon State was 10-of-21 from beyond the arc, and shot 48.2 percent from the field. Who in their right mind would bet against The Beavers as a 6.5 point dog in this spot? GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-21 | Ohio +8 v. Virginia | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 126 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio. The thing about the Virginia Cavaliers is that they can beat anybody on any given day, as evidenced by finishing first in the ACC. They can also lose to anybody on any given day, as evidenced by their loss to San Francisco in non conference play. The Cavs were on the wrong end of one of the biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history just a few years ago. Ohio is a good team out of the competitive MAC Conference, and they should have good chance to pull off a first round upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Rutgers v. Clemson +1 | 60-56 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers were undefeated in non-conference play, and two of those wins came against Big10 teams (Purdue and Maryland). They are the underdog in the first round versus Rutgers, and the Scarlet Knights pick up most of their wins at home. The Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Clemson has covered in six of their last seven neutral site games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games as an underdog. There is a lot of talk of all the Big10 teams in the Tournament, but they are already 0-1 after the Spartans lost to UCLA last night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Georgia Tech +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 60-71 | Loss | -108 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GT. The Loyola Chicago Ramblers have been lights out all year long. They won 18 of their last 19 games overall, and there is no doubt in my mind that they can play with anybody. That being said, I am not convinced that they are better than a Georgia Tech team that won the ACC Tournament, and finished with eight straight wins. The Yellow Jackets finished two games out of first place in the ACC standings, and they won some big games against the best teams in the country. The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Utah State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 68 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Utah State Aggies had won six straight heading into the Mountain West Tournament Final, but they really struggled offensively in a loss to San Diego State. It won't get any easier against one of the top defensive teams from the BIG12 Conference. Texas Tech has allowed opponents to average just 63 points per game this season, and the Aggies only scored an average of 64 points in their last five games overall. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. The Aggies defense looks great on paper, but they gave up 80+ points in losses to VCU, Boise State and Colorado State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-21 | Virginia Tech +100 v. Florida | 70-75 | Loss | -100 | 67 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hokies. Florida won just once in their final four games of the season, and that win came against last place Vanderbilt. The Gators have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. The Hokies finished in the Top 3 in the ACC despite playing four fewer games than first place Virginia. They beat the Cavs by a score of 65-51 at the end of January. Florida struggled to score down the stretch, and I am not sure the Gators have the shooters to match serves with a talented VT team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-21 | UCLA v. Michigan State -125 | 86-80 | Loss | -125 | 94 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Spartans may have won fewer games than the UCLA Bruins, but they survived the gauntlet of the Big10. Their quality wins came against the likes of Michigan, Illinois, Duke and Ohio State. The Bruins lost their last four games, and they blew a 16 point lead in a loss to Oregon State in the Pac12 Tournament. The Bruins are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bruins are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-21 | Toledo -134 v. Richmond | 66-76 | Loss | -134 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toledo. The Rockets finished the season strong, winning five of their final seven games. The same can't be said of Richmond, who lost their final three games. The Spiders top two players are each listed as questionable for tonight's game. The Rockets are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Spiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Toledo has averaged 86 points over their last five games, 14 points more than Richmond has scored during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Houston | 54-91 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. We've seen a lot of shockers in the conference tournaments so far. Georgetown winning the Big East, Oregon State winning the Pac12, and Ohio State knocking Michigan out of the Big Ten tournament. So it seems a little surprising to see Cincinnati getting a double digit spread in the final of the American Athletic Conference. It's the largest spread we've seen in any of their previous 10 meetings versus Houston. This comes after they knocked off the first place Wichita State Shockers on Saturday. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | Oregon State +9 v. Colorado | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oregon State. The Colorado Buffaloes are better team on paper, but at this time of the year you can't underestimate the power of momentum. The Beavers are on a roll, coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon. They have already proved they can compete with Colorado, losing at home to the Buffaloes by just four points earlier this season. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Oregon State v. UCLA -5 | 83-79 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA. The Bruins have lost three straight, and we are often hesitant to back teams that appear to be slumping at this time of year. Those losses came to USC, Oregon and Colorado. The Beavers aren't exactly the same quality of opposition. UCLA has won four of their last five against Oregon State, and seven of the last 10 meetings. Oregon State just lost by 13 at Oregon, and another double digit loss could be in the cards here against UCLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Syracuse v. Virginia UNDER 133 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. We would expect both these teams to be prepared to grind out a gutty defensive game here in the ACC Tournament. The total for this game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Virginia is 5-1 straight up in their last six versus Syracuse, and the Orange averaged just 50 points per game in those losses. Both these teams played a few high scoring games down the stretch, but when they get together we expect the defense to shine. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Michigan State +1 v. Maryland | 57-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU. The Spartans have won five of their last seven, and both losses during that span came on the road. There is no doubt they have been the hotter team here as they get set to face Maryland in the conference tournament. Maryland is coming off back to back losses to Penn State and Northwestern. The Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, and they have struggled offensively during that span. The timing is right to back Sparty as the underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-21 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -136 | 51-46 | Loss | -136 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Minnesota Golden Gophers simply collapsed down the stretch, losing seven straight games. One of those losses came at home against Northwestern by a score of 67-59. The Wildcats have also had a disappointing season, but they head into the conference tournament riding a three game winning streak. Poor defense has been a problem for Minnesota all season, and they have allowed an average of 80 points over their last five games. Northwestern has played solid defense during that span, holding opponents to just 66.6 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-21 | Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh -3 | 79-73 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Pitt. The Miami Hurricanes are thin in the backcourt with a pair of starting guards sidelined by injury. The Canes faced Pittsburgh twice in 2020, losing both those games. The Hurricanes are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games, and the Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Pittsburgh has lost six of it's last seven games overall, but what is significant about that run is that five of those six losses came in games decided by single digits. Two losses to NC State came by a combined four points, and losses to Virginia and Florida State each came by seven points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-21 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga OVER 142 | 55-78 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. St. Mary's in one of the top defensive teams in the country, but the Gaels have had little success slowing down the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Bulldogs rank 2nd nationally in scoring, averaging over 92 points per game. They dropped 87 on the Gaels in the most recent head to head meeting, and the over is 10-1 in the Bulldogs last 11 neutral site games. Gonzaga is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and they averaged 84 points in those games. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor UNDER 139 | 73-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Baylor Bears beat Texas Tech 68-60 on the road earlier this season, and we should expect another defensive battle here in Sunday's game. The total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of the previous nine head to head meetings. The under is 20-8 in the Red Raiders last 28 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite, and I think they will have their hands full here against Texas Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-21 | Virginia v. Louisville +2 | 68-58 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Louisville. Virginia has lost three of their last four overall, and back to back games on the road. The Cavs have struggled to score, averaging just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall. This is reminiscent of the Cavs team that was bounced from the NCAA Tournament by UMBC in one of the biggest upsets in history. Louisville has won nine of 10 home games, and they beat the Cavs at home last season by a score of 80-73. The Cardinals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the Cavs have failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-21 | Colorado State v. Nevada UNDER 145 | 82-85 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. There are four teams at the top of the Mountain West standings with 14 wins, one of those teams is the Colorado State Rams. The Rams will play at Nevada Friday, and we might expect both these teams to play tough defense. The Rams have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine coming off an ATS loss. The Wolfpack won by a score of 67-61 in their last home game against the Rams. I expect to see another low scoring game here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-21 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -4 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dayton. |
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03-03-21 | UCLA v. Oregon -4 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Ducks. First place UCLA is just a half game up on Oregon in the PAC12, and they play at Eugene as a four point underdog tonight. The Ducks are tough at home, with a 10-2 home record. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Ducks are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 home games. Oregon shot 12-of-22 from beyond the arc in an 80-69 home win over Arizona in their last game. They beat the Bruins by 21 points in Eugene last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Indiana v. Michigan State -2.5 | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Spartans last two home games were wins over ranked teams, beating Illinois and Ohio State. They are coming off a road loss at Maryland, but back in East Lansing they should be able to handle Indiana. The Hoosiers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 3-5 on the road. The Indiana offense has struggled, averaging just 66.4 points per game in their last five overall. Indiana has lost four of their last five overall, including a home loss to the Spartans. Aaron Henry scored 27 points on 9-of-17 shooting in that game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-21 | Texas v. Iowa State +12 | 81-67 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ISU. The Cyclones have lost 14 straight overall, but their last three losses came in games decided by 10 points or less. They already lost at Texas earlier this year, but they easily covered the spread losing by six as a 12 point underdog. The Longhorns are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and the home team has won outright in seven straight head to head meetings. Expecting Texas to win by double digits on the road here seems to be a bit of a tough ask. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -2 | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 22 point road loss at Michigan, and they have lost three of their last five road games. Losses came at Indiana, Illinois and Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The Buckeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Marquette v. Connecticut UNDER 135.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 136.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | VCU v. Davidson UNDER 132 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Northwestern v. Minnesota -5 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. Two struggling teams meet in the BIG10 tonight, but the Gophers appear to be a well deserved home favorite. Here is what I said prior to their last home win: "The Gophers have been world beaters at home, with wins over Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and Iowa. Overall they have won 12 of their 13 home games this season. The home team has won five of the last six head to head meetings, and the Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Minnesota scores an average of over 81 points per game at home, while conceding just 68 points per game." The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they are just 1-8 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Clemson -3.5 v. Wake Forest | 60-39 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Tigers aren't ranked in the Top 25, but they sure have proved that they can play with the top teams in the country. They've beaten Alabama, Florida State, Louisville and North Carolina (all ranked). They come into today's game as winners of four of five, while Wake Forest is a bottom feeder with just a 3-11 conference record. The Deacons have lost back to back home games by a combined margin of more than 40 points. Clemson has won outright in seven of the last eight meetings, winning three of their last four at Wake Forest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech -125 | 69-53 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hokies. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have played some good games this season, mostly at home. They are just 2-5 on the road, and they have lost four straight at Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 9-1 overall at home this season. The Yellow Jackets won at home versus the Hokies last February, but had lost six straight to the Hokies prior to that. The Hokies last home game was a double digit win over Virginia. GL, Jesse Schule |