11-18-17 |
Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5 |
Top |
89-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-17-17 |
Tulane v. Colorado State -4 |
|
80-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Tulane Green Wave have won back to back games to start the season, which is a huge accomplishment for a team that won just six games all of last season. They lost seven of their first eight games last season, and five of those seven losses came by double digits. The Colorado State Rams won eight of their first 10 games last year, and finished second in the Mountain West. The Rams should have a huge advantage on the boards in this game, as they have averaged 47.5 rebounds per game so far. Their 6"11 sophomore forward Nico Carvacho pulled in a whopping 20 rebounds in 36 minutes in Tuesday's win over Winthrop. The Green Wave are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and I just can't see a team that lost 20 of it's first 24 games last season turning things around overnight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-16-17 |
Xavier v. Wisconsin -1 |
|
80-70 |
Loss |
-103 |
22 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
I had the Badgers in their last game, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Last year the Badgers finished second in the BIG10 with a record of 27-10. They had another strong run in the NCAA Tournament, losing in the Sweet 16 to Florida (by one point in overtime). They will have to replace four of five starters from last year's team, but only one of those players was really a star. Leading rebounder Ethan Happ is back for his junior year, and he scored 20 points and pulled in 11 rebounds in the Badgers season opener (85-50 win over SCST). Happ averaged 14 points per game last year, while Bronson Koenig led the team with 14.5 points per game. Koenig was a decent role player, but he was a terrible shooter at times. His replacement D'Mitrik Trice may well prove to be a better player. He shot 3-of-6 from beyond the arc, and scored 13 points in the first game of the season. Khalil Iverson, Andy Van Vliet and Brevin Pritzl will all move into the starting lineup, but all of them have experience playing a significant role last season. We can expect Wisconsin to be just as dominant on defense, and on the boards as they have been in recent seasons. The seven footer Van Vliet scored 18 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 22 minutes on Friday." The seven footer Van Vliet is 6-of-10 from beyond the arc in his first two games of the season, looking like the second coming off Frank Kaminsky. The sophomore guard D'Mitrik Trice has shot 5-for-8 from beyond the arc so far, and has scored 27 points on 11-of-16 shooting in two games. I like Wisconsin to move to 3-0 with a home win over #15 ranked Xavier.
Take WISC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-16-17 |
Missouri v. Utah -154 |
|
59-77 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes.
The Missouri Tigers finished dead last in the SEC last year, but they are hoping to show improvements this season. They are already off to a good start, coming into Utah with a 2-0 record. Their double-digit win over Iowa State looked pretty good, until the Cyclones lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. They face a far tougher test tonight on the road in Salt Lake City. The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring. This will be Missouri's first road game of the season, and they were 0-9 on the road last season. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU. With so much experienced talent, I can't see the Utes slipping up at home here.
Take UTAH.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-16-17 |
Appalachian State +10.5 v. Iowa State |
|
98-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Appalachian State Mountaineers. The Mountaineers 2-0 start has come against inferior opponents, but they are bringing back plenty of talent from last year. They lost their first two games of last season to Tennessee and Davidson, but by just a combined 21 points. They will be a double-digit underdog here against Iowa State, a team that has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Junior guard Ronshad Shabazz has scored 49 points and has shot 6-of-11 from beyond the arc in two games this season. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc. The Cyclones haven't given any indication that they should be a favorite in this game, let alone a double-digit favorite. Take APP. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-14-17 |
Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky |
|
65-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Kansas Jayhawks.
Kentucky is coming off consecutive wins in close games against inferior opponents. The UK freshman will be thrown in the fire tonight, playing #4 ranked Kansas in Chicago. The Jayhawks beat Kentucky in Lexington last year by a score of 79-73, and three of their five starters this season played in that game. Coach John Calipari sounds like he might be over the moon if his team could even keep this game as close as it was last year: "This is going to be a really hard game for us to win," Calipari said. "Kansas is flying. They're shooting 25 to 30 threes. They're going to shoot them whether we're zone, man, triangle-and-two, box-and-one. They're taking 25 to 30 threes. "They'll still run some of their weave into pick-and-roll. They do a lot of pick-and-roll to try throw skip passes to shoot. I mean, they're who they always are." Sometimes coaches make statements like this to motivate their team, but I think Calipari is just being honest: "Guard defense is really ... what's the word above bad? Atrocious," Calipari said. "We're just getting beat on the dribble by everybody. "Defense starts on the ball. It always has. And if you can't guard the ball, it's hard to keep you in. Like I had to take Quade out. He gave up like five points in 18 seconds. You can't score enough to stay in the game. "It's going to be a process. We have to be able to stay in front of people. Freshmen get beat that way. That's what freshmen do."
Take KU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-14-17 |
Denver v. Colorado -10 |
|
62-89 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 6* play on the Colorado Buffaloes.
The Buffaloes were 10-3 in non conference play last year, but things went downhill from there. They lost their first seven games against PAC12 teams, finishing 7th in the conference standings. They finished last season strong, winning 9-of-12 prior to a loss to Arizona in the PAC12 Tournament. Despite finishing in the bottom half in the PAC12, they had a strong home record going 13-4, even more impressive when you consider the caliber of competition. They had three wins in eight games against ranked opponents. The Buffaloes might be set to improve this season, with three seniors in the starting lineup. One of those starters is 6"6 guard George King, who led the team in rebounds last season. He played just 19 minutes in the season opener, scoring 12 points on 4-of-7 shooting, and pulling in nine rebounds. Denver opened the season at home with a double-digit loss to UCI, shooting just 33 percent from the field in the defeat. The Pioneers only played one Power Five team last season, losing by 20+ at Texas A&M. These teams don't meet very often, but Colorado has won the last three meetings by double-digits, dating back to 2000. Denver has failed to cover in six of it's last seven overall, and I think this line should be significantly higher.
Take COL
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-14-17 |
Michigan State +3 v. Duke |
Top |
81-88 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-13-17 |
Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5 |
Top |
63-81 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule
|
11-12-17 |
Yale v. Wisconsin -14 |
Top |
61-89 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
Last year the Badgers finished second in the BIG10 with a record of 27-10. They had another strong run in the NCAA Tournament, losing in the Sweet 16 to Florida (by one point in overtime). They will have to replace four of five starters from last year's team, but only one of those players was really a star. Leading rebounder Ethan Happ is back for his junior year, and he scored 20 points and pulled in 11 rebounds in the Badgers season opener (85-50 win over SCST). Happ averaged 14 points per game last year, while Bronson Koenig led the team with 14.5 points per game. Koenig was a decent role player, but he was a terrible shooter at times. His replacement D'Mitrik Trice may well prove to be a better player. He shot 3-of-6 from beyond the arc, and scored 13 points in the first game of the season. Khalil Iverson, Andy Van Vliet and Brevin Pritzl will all move into the starting lineup, but all of them have experience playing a significant role last season. We can expect Wisconsin to be just as dominant on defense, and on the boards as they have been in recent seasons. The seven footer Van Vliet scored 18 points and pulled in eight rebounds in 22 minutes on Friday. The Badgers host the Yale Bulldogs, who are coming off a blowout loss at Creighton. The Badgers won their first six home games last season by an average margin of well over 20 points per game. That includes wins over Syracuse and Oklahoma. Three of their first four home games in conference play were 20+ point wins against Rutgers, Penn State and Ohio State. I think it's asking way too much from the Bulldogs to keep this game close.
Take WIS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
11-10-17 |
Elon +20 v. Duke |
|
68-97 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. So #1 ranked Duke opens the season against Elon, and the Blue Devils are asked to win by 20 points. The bookmakers are well aware that bettors will be eager to back the favorite here, and for that reason this line appears to be grossly inflated. If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup). Duke is loaded will talented freshmen, and only Grayson Allen remains from last year's starting five. The Blue Devils will no doubt be a contender, but it will likely take a few weeks for the freshmen to get settled in. Duke has won 17 straight season openers, but they weren't all blowouts. I'll take the points. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-03-17 |
North Carolina -125 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC. It's hard to argue that the two best teams haven't made it to this year's NCAA Final. The Gonzaga Bulldogs were almost undefeated during the regular season, and were ranked #1 overall for several weeks. The Tar Heels come in as the ACC champs, and the team that lost in the Final to Villanova last year. They watched the Wildcats celebrate after winning with a buzzer beater as time expired, but here they have a chance to exercise those demons. I bet against Gonzaga in the Final Four, and said the following prior to their game against the Gamecocks: " The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that." The Tar Heels had a far more impressive run to the Finals, and their overall resume is far more impressive. There's something to be said for "being here before", and that should prove to be advantage for the Tar Heels. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-01-17 |
South Carolina +7 v. Gonzaga |
|
73-77 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks. I certainly never expected South Carolina to make it to the Final Four, especially after finishing the regular season with six losses in their final nine games. They did go 12-6 in the SEC this year though, and this team has come together at the right time. They have already taken down 2, 3 and 4 seeds (Duke, Baylor, FLA). The Bulldogs are now in uncharted territory, playing in the Final Four for the first time. The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that. The Gamecocks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. They are also 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 non-conference games. Take SOCAR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-30-17 |
Georgia Tech +3.5 v. TCU |
Top |
56-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was one of the top defensive teams in the ACC this year, but during the regular season the offense often failed to click. That hasn't been the case here in the NIT Tournament, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged over 71 points per game on 44.8 percent shooting over their last five. Defense is still their strength though, holding opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 37 percent shooting during that span. They will play TCU in the NIT Final at Madison Square Garden, and they looked pretty comfortable in New York in their 76-61 win over Cal State Bakersfield in the Semi Final. For whatever reason, bettors aren't that fond of Georgia Tech. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, but they are actually getting points here against a mediocre BIG12 team. Georgia Tech has covered the spread in six straight versus teams from the BIG12. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-26-17 |
Kentucky v. North Carolina -140 |
Top |
73-75 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC.
The Tar Heels finished first in the ACC with a record of 14-4 in conference. That's particularly impressive when consider the caliber in the ACC compared to a much weaker SEC. As good as Kentucky looked against UCLA, I don't like the Wildcats chances of shutting down North Carolina. The story in Kentucky's last game was De'Aaron Fox outplaying Lonzo Ball. Unlike UCLA, the Tar Heels don't rely on any one player to carry the load. They have four players averaging over 12 points per game, and they have plenty of depth coming off the bench. The Tar Heels are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 versus the SEC. Kentucky has had trouble with the Tar Heels over the years, going 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Take UNC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-25-17 |
Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 |
|
74-60 |
Loss |
-116 |
20 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks.
The Oregon Ducks barely escaped a scare in a 69-68 win over Michigan in the Sweet 16, and they will need to be much better to avoid a blowout here against Kansas. The Jayhawks come in firing on all cylinders offensively, scoring an average of 96 points in their three tournament games. They blew the doors off in a 98-66 win over Purdue in the Sweet 16, hitting 54.8 percent from the field and 53.6 percent from beyond the arc. The BIG12 champs will be crowd favorites at the Sprint Center in Kansas, making things even tougher for Oregon. Kansas has covered the spread in seven of it's last eight as a favorite in the NCAA Tournament, while the Ducks have struggled when playing the better teams. Oregon is 1-5-1 ATS the spread in it's last seven versus teams with a winning record, and 1-4-1 ATS against teams with a .600 or better record. The Ducks made the Elite 8 last year, but lost 80-68 to a BIG12 opponent (Oklahoma). They have played just one BIG12 team this season, and they got blown out in a 66-49 loss to Baylor. I don't like Oregon's chances of competing with the best of the BIG12.
Take KAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
Wisconsin v. Florida -135 |
Top |
83-84 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators.
The Gators finished second in the SEC with 26 wins. They played 12 games at Neutral sites, winning nine of them. Florida's win over Virginia in the last round was historic, holding the Cavs to a record low 39 points. That's worrisome for a Wisconsin team that has struggled on offense at times this year. The Badgers have averaged just 68.3 points per game at neutral sites this season, and they haven't been great from the free throw line, hitting just 64.3 percent overall. Wisconsin lost six of it's final 10 games prior to the NCAA Tournament, failing to score 60 points in four of those six losses. Wisconsin has shot for an uncharacteristically high percentage in the tournament so far, and this is a team that only averages 44.2 percent at neutral sites. I expect the Badgers shooters to cool off here against a top tier defense like Florida. The Gators should have a huge edge in scoring, rebounding and free throw shooting.
Take FLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-24-17 |
South Carolina v. Baylor -165 |
|
70-50 |
Loss |
-165 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears.
The South Carolina Gamecocks only won three of their last nine games of the regular season, but they have come alive in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament. They might suffer a let down here against Baylor though, following their improbable upset win over Duke. The Bears were at one point ranked #1 overall this season, and they finished second in the BIG12. Baylor won five of eight games versus ranked teams during the regular season, while the Gamecocks were 3-2 in five games against ranked teams. These teams have played three times since 2010, with Baylor winning all three. The Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, while the Gamecocks have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 against teams with a winning record. Baylor out-rebounded the Trojans by a +11 margin in their last game, and have owned the boards over their last five games with a +9 margin.
Take BAY.
GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-23-17 |
Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 |
Top |
68-69 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks.
The Michigan Wolverines are a team that has gotten hot at the right time. After winning six of their final eight regular season games, they won four games in four days, clinching the BIG10 Tournament Final with a 71-56 win over Wisconsin. They shot 56.3 percent from the field in that game, and hit 10-of-23 three-point attempts. They shot the ball just as well in their first round win over Oklahoma State, but won that game by just a single point. The Wolverines hot shooting has masked some of their glaring weaknesses. They were out-rebounded 40-21 versus Oklahoma State, and 37-30 versus Louisville. The Ducks come in averaging 34.8 rebounds per game in their last five. That's more than 10 rebounds more than the Wolverines have averaged during the same span. Oregon has scored over 80 points per game over their last five, and the Ducks have the firepower to match Michigan shot for shot. Oregon didn't have a great game against Rhode Island, but still managed to do enough to win. Michigan has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus teams from the PAC12, and I think the Cinderella run could end here in the Sweet 16.
Take ORE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-21-17 |
Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 |
Top |
74-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back impressive wins in the NIT Tournament. Both of those were home games though, and they have really struggled on the road. Their most recent road game was a blowout loss (90-61) at Syracuse, where the Rebels just beat the Orange by a score of 85-80. The Yellow Jackets come into Mississippi as losers of seven straight road games. While they do play strong defense, they simply can't seem to score enough points on the road. Georgia Tech has averaged just 63.3 points per game on 42.1 percent shooting in road games, which is roughly 17 points fewer than the Rebels average at home. The Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Rebels have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and six of their last seven home games. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
TCU v. Iowa -125 |
|
94-92 |
Loss |
-125 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Iowa.
The Hawkeyes will host TCU in the second round of the NIT Tournament, and the Horned Frogs were terrible on the road this season. TCU was just 3-8 in 11 road games, and failed to cover in five of it's last six. Iowa is a great home team, boasting a home record of 15-4. The Hawkeyes have done well against teams from outside the BIG10, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Iowa averages 86.2 points per game on 47.6 percent shooting at home, and I don't think the Horned Frogs have the scoring prowess to match those kind of numbers. TCU has failed to cover in it's last four games against BIG10 teams, and Iowa is 10-4-1 ATS in it's last 15 home games.
Take IOWA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Michigan v. Louisville -150 |
|
73-69 |
Loss |
-150 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals.
Louisville won their first round matchup versus Jacksonville State by 15 points, despite the fact that the Gamecocks shot 50 percent from the field and went 10-of-19 from beyond the arc. That's encouraging for the Cardinals as they get set to face a red hot Michigan team. The Wolverines put on a three-point shooting clinic in their win over Oklahoma State in the first round. The Cardinals won the battle on the boards by a +13 margin, and committed eight fewer turnovers in their first round win. Louisville is going to need to dominate the boards and make fewer mistakes here if the Wolverines continue to shoot the way they have in recent games. That shouldn't be a problem though, as the averaged 37.3 rebounds per game this season, while the Wolverines averaged just 26.8 RPG. The Cardinals are 7-1-1 in their last nine versus teams from the BIG10.
Take LOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-19-17 |
Belmont v. Georgia Tech -170 |
|
57-71 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Yellow Jackets are 15-4 at home this season, coming off a double digit win over the Indiana Hoosiers in the first round of the NIT Tournament. They have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games, and have held opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 36.5 percent shooting at home. The most impressive thing about those numbers is that they played the likes of North Carolina, Notre Dame, Duke, Virginia and Florida State. Belmont has an impressive resume in it's own right, but the Bruins were not as impressive when playing outside their conference. They lost to Vanderbilt, Florida, Rhode Island and Middle Tennessee State. The Yellow Jackets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, while Belmont have failed to cover in five of it's last seven as an underdog. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Iowa State +1 v. Purdue |
Top |
76-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iowa State Cyclones.
The Cyclones are peaking at the right time, and they come into this second round matchup versus Purdue as winners of 10 of their last 11. They defeated West Virginia in the BIG12 Tournament Final, scoring 80 points on 51.8 percent shooting. Purdue stumbled at the end of the year, losing twice to Michigan. The Wolverines were a hot team hitting their shots, and right now that's exactly how you would have to describe the Cyclones. Iowa State has averaged 83.2 points on 5.14 percent shooting over their last five. They won 15 games in the BIG12, while Purdue won 14 games in a much weaker BIG10. The Cyclones have won seven of eight games at neutral sites this season, and they even pulled off an upset road win at Kansas. I think they'll prove to be too much for a Purdue team that doesn't have enough fire power to keep up.
Take ISU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
St. Mary's v. Arizona -180 |
|
60-69 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats.
There's no doubt about the fact that St. Mary's is a great team. The Gaels won 28 games before the tournament, and 26 of those wins came by double digits. That being said, they play in one of the weakest conferences in the country, and there record versus ranked opponents gives reason for concern. They played Gonzaga three times this season, and had their asses handed to them each time. They've failed to cover in five straight when playing the role of underdog, and they face a red hot Arizona team with history on it's side. The Wildcats have covered in five straight neutral site games, and they are 4-1-1 in their last six non conference games. Arizona has won the last three meetings between these two schools dating back to 2000. The Gaels had a ton of matchup problems in their losses to Gonzaga, and Arizona has the personnel to create the same issues.
Take ARI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-18-17 |
Wisconsin v. Villanova OVER 128 |
Top |
65-62 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WISC@VILL to go OVER the total. The Badgers are known for playing lock down defense, but they've given up over 70 points in each of their last two games. They lost to Michigan in the Final of the BIG10 Tournament, and the Wolverines shot out the lights in that game. They hit 56.3 percent from the field and went 10-of-23 from beyond the arc. It was Wisconsin that put on a three-point shooting clinic in their win over Virginia Tech. They made 13 of 31 attempts, and Bronson Koenig led the way with 28 points, and eight made three-pointers. Villanova has also been doing it's fair share of scoring, averaging 78.8 points on 50.2 percent shooting over it's last five games. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well in their previous games at this venue (KeyBank Center) in Buffalo, and I expect to see a fair bit of scoring in Saturday's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -1 |
Top |
78-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
120 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes.
Miami comes into the tournament as losers of three of it's last four games. During that span the Hurricanes have scored an average of just 58 points, and two of the three losses came against ranked teams. While those numbers are far from impressive, it's important to remember that Miami plays in the toughest conference in the country, and still managed to win 21 games. They beat the likes of Duke, North Carolina and Virginia. Michigan State has also lost three of it's last four, despite all those games coming against unranked teams (Illinois, Maryland and Minnesota). The Spartans have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 non conference games, and seven of their last nine as an underdog. They shot just 38.2 percent from the field and 6-of-30 from beyond the arc in a loss to Minnesota in their last game, and they are likely to struggle against one of the top defensive teams in the ACC.
Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Rhode Island v. Creighton -102 |
Top |
84-72 |
Loss |
-102 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Creighton. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 60 percent of bettors are backing the Rams. Rhode Island comes off eight straight wins, but all against unranked teams from the A-10 Conference. The Blue Jays battle it out with the nation's Big Boys in the BIG East. Two of their last three losses came against defending champions Villanova. They scored an average of 84.3 points on 51.8 percent shooting at neutral sites this season. The Rams success in a lesser conference shouldn't be considered evidence that they can compete with the top teams in the country. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams from the BIG East. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-17 |
Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 70 percent of bettors are backing the Wolverines here in their first round matchup versus Oklahoma State. Michigan won the BIG10 Tournament, and has won seven of it's last eight overall. They might have lost whatever momentum they might of had though, as they played five games in seven days, then had the entire week off. The Cowboys won 20 games in the regular season (the same as Michigan) in a much tougher BIG12 Conference. Most of Michigan's wins came at home, winning just three of 11 on the road. The Cowboys were 7-5 on the road, and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Michigan didn't fare well outside the BIG10, failing to cover in five of it's last seven non-conference games. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-16-17 |
VCU v. St. Mary's -4 |
Top |
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a play on the St. Mary's Gaels. St. Mary's only lost four games this season, and three of those losses came against the #4 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs. Admittedly the West Coast Conference is one of the weaker leagues in the country, but the Gaels had an impressive non-conference schedule. They beat Nevada by 18 points, won at Dayton, and won by 15 points at Stanford. They rank among the nations best defensively, allowing just 56.5 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting. They will face VCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and the Rams didn't look sharp in their most recent games. They needed overtime to beat a pretty mediocre Richmond team, and then got blown out by Rhode Island in the A-10 Final. St. Mary's lost badly to Gonzaga in the WCC Final, but they beat BYU by a whopping 30 points in their previous game. The Gaels won 28 games this year, 26 of those were decided by double digits. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-16-17 |
Princeton v. Notre Dame -6.5 |
Top |
58-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
86 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish. Notre Dame finished the season strong, and pushed Duke to the limit in the ACC Championship Game Saturday. They came into that contest as winners of seven of their previous eight, beating #21 ranked Virginia and winning twice against #16 Florida State during that span. Princeton won plenty of games in the Ivy League, but they don't have any wins against ranked opponents. In fact, they haven't even played a Top 25 team this season. The Tigers non-conference schedule includes double digits losses to BYU, VCU and CAL. They even lost by eight points against A-10 bottom feeders St. Joseph's. Despite playing a far tougher schedule, the Irish scored more points, shot for a higher percentage, and were far better at the free throw line. This looks like quite a mismatch, and I don't think the Irish will have any trouble getting past the Ivy League champs. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-15-17 |
USC v. Providence +1 |
Top |
75-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars.
The USC Trojans lost four of their final six games of the regular season. They just barely beat Washington in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament before losing to UCLA. Providence played it's best basketball down the stretch, closing the season with six straight wins. During that span they beat Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Marquette. These teams last faced each other last March, and Providence won that game 70-69. The Friars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as an underdog, and the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. USC may have won 24 games this year, but many of those wins came in a top heavy PAC12 Conference. Their last five wins have come against the bottom three teams in the conference (they beat WASH and WSU twice). They have failed to cover in four straight non conference games.
Take PROV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-14-17 |
Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 |
Top |
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on GT.
The Yellow Jackets won 15 of 19 home games during the regular season, but they still don't get any respect from the bookmakers. They will be an underdog at home in the first round of the NIT Tournament versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are the sexy pick, despite losing seven of their last 10 overall. Indiana lost eight of 10 road games during the regular season, and the Hoosiers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven versus ACC teams. The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and they have allowed just 61 points on 38.9 percent shooting at neutral sites this season. I'll take the home team plus the points here.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-12-17 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin -1 |
Top |
71-56 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers.
The Badgers went through a rough patch at the end of the regular season, losing five of six games before they beat Minnesota 66-49 in their final home game. They've since turned things around, coming off back to back wins by a combined 38 points over Indiana and Northwestern. Both these teams will be feeling the effects of fatigue, but while Wisconsin is playing it's third game in three days, it will be four straight days for the Wolverines. Michigan also survived a plane crash, which delayed their arrive in the Nation's Capital. The lack of rest is likely to hurt the Wolverines more than the Badgers, who are stronger fundamentally. They average 34.5 rebounds per game, 5.3 more than Michigan. Wisconsin has allowed opponents to average just 58.7 points on 39.9 percent shooting while winning five of six neutral site games this season. Michigan will probably need to shoot for a high percentage to win this game, which is going to be difficult in these conditions. Since 2012, the Badgers have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams.
Take WISC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Duke -3 v. Notre Dame |
Top |
75-69 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is 10* play on Duke.
The Blue Devils faced more than their share of adversity this season, but they are starting to look like a real threat to win it all. They come into the ACC Final off back to back impressive wins against Louisville and North Carolina. The Irish have also been hot, winning eight of their last 10 overall. Their two losses came against Louisville and North Carolina, and seven of their eight wins came against teams that trail them in the standings. They lost at home to Duke by a score of 84-74 in January. Duke shot 50 percent from the field and went 10-of-17 from beyond the arc in yesterday's win over the Tar Heels. Duke has been hitting just shy of 80 percent from the charity stripe over it's last five games, almost 10 percent more than the Irish during the same span. This Blue Devils team appears to have hit it's stride, and that's a scary thought for the Irish.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-11-17 |
Colorado State v. Nevada -4 |
|
71-79 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Nevada.
The Wolfpack were losing by 11 at halftime against Fresno State last night, but they battled back scoring a whopping 62 points in the second half. They've scored over 80 points in six straight games, and they have held opponents to just 67.6 points over their last five. They play a hot Colorado team that has won nine of it's last 10 overall, but that one loss came by double digits at Nevada. The Wolfpack owned the boards in that game, out-rebounding CSU 44-36. As good as Colorado State has played, they couldn't match Nevada's offensive firepower, and I don't think they'll be able to hang with the top team in the Mountain West here on Saturday.
Take NEV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
San Diego State v. Boise State -102 |
Top |
87-68 |
Loss |
-102 |
13 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos.
San Diego State needed overtime to beat bottom feeders UNLV in the first round of the Mountain West Tournament Wednesday, and they are actually a favorite in tonight's game against Boise State. The Broncos finished two games out of first place in the Mountain West this season, while the Aztecs were stuck in the middle of the pack. I bet against San Diego State when they played New Mexico in their final game of the regular season, and here is what I said prior to that game: "the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season." The Aztecs offensive futility was on full display again last night, and I don't think they'll be able to hold off the Broncos here tonight.
Take BSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Texas +11.5 v. West Virginia |
|
53-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns.
Perhaps it shouldn't be so surprising that Texas upset Texas Tech in the first round of the BIG12 Tournament. The Longhorns had lost seven straight games before yesterday, but during that span they played great defense. Only two of those losses came by more than 10 points. West Virginia has won seven of it's last 10 overall, but not all of those wins were blowouts. Recently they won by a single point at TCU, and needed overtime to beat Texas Tech at home. The Mountaineers have only covered the spread once in their last 10 versus Texas, and they've covered in just one of their last five games overall. Texas has allowed opponents to average just 68.5 points on 40.9 percent shooting in neutral site games this season, and with a strong defensive team, I'll take the double digit spread.
Take TEX.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
CS-Northridge v. CS-Fullerton -140 |
Top |
68-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Cal State Fullerton.
The Titans finished the season strong, winning seven of their last eight games. Their final game of the regular season was an 86-78 win at CS Northridge. The Matadors on the other hand lost their final five games of the season, and their last win came against bottom feeders UC Santa Barbara. They haven't had much success against teams with a winning record, failing to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11. The Titans have covered in five straight versus teams with a losing record. The last time these two teams played, the game was not as close as the final score would indicate. The Titans led by nine at halftime, and he lead grew to 15 midway throw the second half. After failing to beat the Titans in their final home game, I don't like the Matadors chances here in a neutral site game.
Take CSF.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
California v. Utah -140 |
|
78-75 |
Loss |
-140 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes.
California comes limping into their second game of the PAC12 Tournament off an unimpressive win over bottom feeder Oregon State. The Bears beat the Beavers by a score of 67-62. They shot below 40 percent from the field in the victory, after failing to score 50 points in back to back blowout losses to Colorado and Utah. They will play the Utes for the second time in seven days, and I think they'll be hard pressed to hang with a Utah team that has won three straight. The Utes have averaged 80 points on 55.2 percent shooting in two neutral site games this season, and that's almost 18 points more than the Bears have averaged in their four neutral site games. California is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Take UTAH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-09-17 |
Davidson -4 v. La Salle |
Top |
82-73 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats come into this A-10 Tournament matchup versus La Salle as winners of three of their last six. Two of those three losses came on the road, and all three of those games were against teams ranked near the top in the A-10 standings. The Explorers have lost five of their last seven overall, and their wins during that span came against bottom feeders Fordham and St. Joe's. All five of those losses came by a double digit margin, and La Salle has failed to cover in four straight as an underdog. Davidson has improved since losing at La Salle in January, while the Explorers have really dropped off after a solid start to the season. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take Davidson as the small favorite. Take DAV. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Oklahoma v. TCU UNDER 141.5 |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on OKLA@TCU to go UNDER the total.
The Sooners defeated TCU in their final home game by a score of 73-68 on Saturday. The two teams will meet for the third time this season in the BIG12 Tournament on Wednesday. Both previous meetings went under the total, and I expect another defensive battle here in Kansas tonight. The Sooners have made adjustments since losing their leading scorer Jordan Woodard to a season ending injury in early February. In the six games he missed, Oklahoma covered the spread in all of those games. They failed to reach the total in five of the six games, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus TCU. The Horned Frogs come in as losers of seven straight, and they've failed to cover in seven of their last eight. TCU has averaged just 68.2 points per game on 45 percent shooting over it's last five, and it's going to be tough to create offense against an Oklahoma team that has held opponents to 69.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting over it's last five games. The under is 20-8 in OKLA last 28 neutral site games.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-08-17 |
Clemson v. Duke UNDER 147.5 |
Top |
72-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on CLEM@DUKE to go UNDER the total. Clemson will play Duke in the second round of the ACC Tournament this afternoon, and these two teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Duke beat the Tigers at home by a score of 64-62 earlier this season, and seven of the last 10 meetings have failed to reach the total. Of the three games that went over, none of those games more than 145 combined points. Clemson played at the Barclay Center yesterday, beating NC State 75-61. Neither team shot the ball particularly well, and of the six ACC teams that played at the Barclay Center yesterday, five of those teams shot below 43 percent. Duke has gone under in five of it's last six games at a neutral site, while Clemson have failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-07-17 |
St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga |
|
56-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Gonzaga has won both regular season meetings versus the Gaels, but since then it's been St. Mary's that's been playing better basketball. The Gaels mopped the floor with BYU last night (81-50). This comes just over a week after the Cougars upset the Bulldogs on their home court. Gonzaga struggled to put away Santa Clara last night, but ended up pulling away late to win by nine (77-68). The Bulldogs have now allowed 60 points or more in seven of their last eight games, while the Gaels have held the opposition under 60 in six straight. While Gonzaga won and covered in both previous meetings, the Bulldogs are asked to cover an even greater number here at this neutral site. The Gaels have better numbers in neutral site games, averaging 73.9 points on 54.9 percent shooting. St. Mary's has been hot from beyond the arc, hitting 47.4 percent from three-point ranger over the last five games. I'll take the points in this marquee matchup. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-05-17 |
Penn State v. Iowa -5.5 |
Top |
79-90 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Iowa is coming off a huge upset win at Wisconsin, and some might say that sets them up for a let down here at home versus Penn State. I expect the Hawkeyes to bring it here in their final home game though, sending off their seniors with a blowout win. The Nittany Lions have lost four straight, and their last two road games were both double digit losses. They've lost three of their last four games at Iowa, and the average margin of victory in those games was far greater than 10 points. The Hawkeyes beat PSU at home last year by a score of 73-49. Iowa averages 85.9 points per game on 47 percent shooting at home, and the Hawkeyes are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Nittany Lions are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Iowa.
Take IOWA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
San Diego State v. New Mexico |
Top |
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Mexico Lobos. It's Senior's Night for New Mexico, and one senior in particular could have a major impact on this game. Forward Tim Williams hasn't played since the end of January, but he's expected to start in the Lobos final home game. Williams is the team's leading rebounder, and he led them in scoring prior to his injury. In his absence Elijah Brown has stepped up, and the junior guard has totaled 47 points in his last two home games. The Lobos host rivals San Diego State, and the Aztecs have really dropped off this year. They are just 3-8 on he road, and two of those wins came against bottom feeders UNLV and Utah State. They are coming off a 51-38 win over Air Force in their final home game, bu they were brutal offensively in that win. They shot just 28.8 percent from the field, and went 4-for-27 from three-point range. The Aztecs have averaged just 60.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting over their last five games. San Diego State has only covered the spread twice in 11 road games this season. The Lobos won 68-62 at San Diego State earlier this year, and they dominated the boards in that game, out-rebounding SDSU 38-27. Take UNM. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
Stanford v. Utah -8.5 |
|
59-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes.
The Utes crushed Cal by a score of 74-44 at home on Thursday, and they wrap up the regular season with a home game against Stanford. Here is what I said prior to Thursday's game: "Utah will wrap up the season with a pair of home games, and they'll need to win both of them to have any shot of playing in the post-season. They lost to Cal at Berkley by just two points earlier this year, and I like their chances of avenging that loss at home tonight. Utah is 12-3 at home, and those three losses were all versus ranked teams. They lost to Oregon, UCLA and Butler all in close games. The losses to the Bruins and Ducks came by a combined seven points. Utah scores an average of 81.9 points per game on 51.6 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for Cal to match that." Stanford is coming off a 91-72 loss at Colorado on Thursday, and they've lost five straight road games. I expect another blowout in Salt Lake City.
Take UTAH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
TCU v. Oklahoma -150 |
Top |
68-73 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Oklahoma.
It's been a difficult season for the Sooners, and they sit tied with Texas at the bottom of the BIG12 standings. They come into their final home game against TCU playing their best basketball of the season though, and I expect them to end the season on a high note on Senior's Night. Oklahoma's leading scorer Jordan Woodard battled injury all year, but since they shut him down they've been a better team. The Sooners have covered the spread in all five games since, and their last home game was an impressive 81-51 win over Kansas State. TCU has lost seven of 10 road games, and the Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They only average 67.8 points per game on the road, and they might struggle to reach that number against a strong Sooners defense. The Sooners jumped all over BIG12 champs Kansas in their last game, leading by double digits halfway through the second half. They should have their way with a mediocre TCU team today.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
California v. Colorado -145 |
|
46-54 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes.
Cal is coming off an ugly 74-34 loss at Utah on Thursday, and they play their final regular season game on the road at Colorado. The Buffaloes are coming off a 91-72 home win over Stanford, and they've won five of their last six home games. They score an average of 78.2 points per game on 46.3 percent shooting at home, while Cal averages just 64.2 points on 41.2 percent shooting on the road. The Bears have lost three straight on the road, and they've only won three road games all year. The Buffaloes are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. They are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus Cal.
Take COL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
St. Joe's v. Duquesne -150 |
|
63-60 |
Loss |
-150 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
The Dukes are tied with St. Joe's for last place in the Atlantic-10 Conference, and they've lost four of their last five games. They have been pretty competitive during that span though, losing their last two games by a combined four points. They will play their final home game tonight against a St. Joe's team that has lost nine straight. The Hawks were throttled by a score of 68-49 in their final home game against Rhode Island. One of the more disturbing stats from that game was that they shot just 9-of-20 (45 percent) from the free throw line. Missing their leading scorer Shavar Newkirk and second leading scorer and starting PG Lamarr Kimble has taken it's toll on the Hawks. Without their two most talented players, they've been getting killed on the boards, and haven't shot the ball well at all. This looks like a tough spot with not much motivation here on the road at the end of the season.
Take DUQ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-04-17 |
Indiana v. Ohio State -145 |
|
96-92 |
Loss |
-145 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.
The Hoosiers are coming off an 86-75 loss at Purdue, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game." The Buckeyes have won back to back games in impressive fashion. They won at home by double digits versus Wisconsin, before winning their last game on the road at Penn State. They play strong defense at home, holding opponents to 64.7 points per game on 39.3 percent shooting. Indiana is just 2-5-2 ATS in it's last nine road games, and has failed to cover in five of it's last six at Ohio State. I like the Buckeyes to win big on Senior's Night.
Take OSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-03-17 |
Toledo v. Eastern Michigan -4 |
|
60-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Eastern Michigan.
It's the Eagles final home game, and senior guard Ray Lee comes into Senior's Night off a 50 point game in a 109-81 win over Central Michigan. He's averaged 30 points per game in his last four, and I expect him to play a huge role in tonight's game. The Eagles host Toledo, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. The one exception was a 79-75 Eagles win over the Rockets at Toledo. The Rockets are brutal on the road, only winning three of 12 games this season. There isn't a lot for Toledo to get excited about here in their final game of the season on the road. I expect a big win for the home team on Senior's night.
Take EMU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-02-17 |
California v. Utah -130 |
|
44-74 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes.
Utah will wrap up the season with a pair of home games, and they'll need to win both of them to have any shot of playing in the post-season. They lost to Cal at Berkley by just two points earlier this year, and I like their chances of avenging that loss at home tonight. Utah is 12-3 at home, and those three losses were all versus ranked teams. They lost to Oregon, UCLA and Butler all in close games. The losses to the Bruins and Ducks came by a combined seven points. Utah scores an average of 81.9 points per game on 51.6 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for Cal to match that. The Bears haven't scored 80 points in any of their games versus PAC12 teams this year. The Utes have won three straight home meetings in this series, and five of the last seven overall. The Bears come in as losers of three of their last four, with the one win against last place Oregon State. The Bears last road game was a loss at Stanford (73-68).
Take UTAH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
03-02-17 |
UC-Santa Barbara v. CS-Fullerton -10 |
|
54-65 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Cal State Fullerton. The UCSB Gauchos are 0-11 on the road this season, and they've lost their last two road games by a combined 39 points. They lost at home to the Titans by a whopping 26 points earlier this season, so it would come as no surprise if they got their butts served to them here at Fullerton on CSF's Senior's Night. Gabe Vincent leads the Gauchos in scoring, and he hasn't played due to a knee injury suffered the last time these two teams met. Fullerton's last two home games were wins over the top two teams in the conference (UCD and UCI). They average 14 points more at home than the Gauchos do on the road, and they give up a couple points less. The Gauchos are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games, and the home team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these teams. Take CSF. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-02-17 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 143.5 |
Top |
59-57 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IOWA@WISC to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers have suffered a late season collapse, losing four of their last five games. Three of those four losses came on the road though, and their last home game was a 71-60 win over Maryland. That game landed right on the total of 131, and they've gone under the total at a rate of 12-4-2 in their last 18 home games. Despite their struggles, the bookmakers have Wisconsin listed as a double digit favorite here at home versus Iowa. I think the only way they can win this game in a blowout is to get back to playing their game, which is slow and ultra defensive. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and significantly higher than in any of the Badgers last 10 games. Scoring has been an issue for Wisconsin, averaging just 67 points per game on 41 percent shooting over their last five. This is all the more reason why they need to go all out defensively, as they can't rely on out-scoring opponents. The under is 11-4 in Hawkeyes last 15 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -135 |
Top |
52-61 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Georgia Tech is coming off back to back losses, but those games were decided by a total of just six points. They are still one of the best home teams in the ACC, with a record of 10-4, and marquee wins over Syracuse, FSU, Notre Dame and North Carolina. They play their final home game against the Pitt Panthers, who are coming off a blowout loss at home in their final home game of the season. Pittsburgh is just 2-6 on the road, and one of those wins was out of conference. The other was an 83-72 win at Boston College, the last place team in the ACC. Georgia Tech is dominant defensively at home, holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game on 36.4 percent shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Indiana v. Purdue UNDER 152 |
Top |
75-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on IND/PUR to go UNDER the total. // */to go UNDER the total. // ]]> The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. The under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last six games as a favorite, and Indiana has gone under in five of their last six versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
Indiana v. Purdue -10.5 |
Top |
75-86 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers. The Boilermakers are hosting BIG10 rivals Indiana Tuesday, with a chance to clinch first place in the conference. The Hoosiers are coming off a one-point home win over Northwestern, but had lost five straight before that. One of those losses was a 69-64 home loss to Purdue. The Boilermakers have a history for punishing Indiana at home, winning by double digits in 2015 and 2014. Purdue has been beating up on the opposition at home this season, with a 14-2 home record. They have held visiting teams to an average of just 61.4 points on 37.7 percent shooting in those games. Indiana has struggled on the road, scoring an average of less than 70 points while losing seven of eight. Indiana only scored 63 points in their final home game against Northwestern, and they were outscored (36-27) in the second half of that game. They ended up winning by one-point with a free throw in the final seconds, and I think that sets them up for a let down here against the mighty Purdue Boilermakers. Take PUR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-28-17 |
St Bonaventure v. Davidson -155 |
Top |
63-68 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats.
The Wildcats are coming off a particularly disturbing loss. They led by 11 with five minutes to play in the second half on Friday versus Dayton. The Flyers battled back to force overtime, and Davidson went on to lose by a score of 89-82. Normally I don't like to bet on teams coming off these type of games, but I'll make an exception here. It's the Wildcats final home game, and they host St. Bonaventure, and I think the Bonnies might be looking ahead to their own final home game against Massachusetts this weekend. At first glance, it looks like the Bonnies aren't bad on the road, with a winning record of 5-4. A closer look reveals that those wins came against Saint Louis, St. Joes, Duquense, UMASS and an out of conference win versus Hofstra. Beating the bottom four teams in the conference doesn't offer any evidence that the Bonnies can upset the Wildcats on Senior's Night. If Davidson plays the way it did against Dayton, this game won't be close. The Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Take DAV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 139 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on WVU@BAY to go UNDER the total.
The Mountaineers will visit Baylor on Monday, and these two teams rank among the nation's best on defense. West Virginia allowed just 60 points in a road win at TCU in it's last game, while the Bears held Oklahoma to just 54 points while winning their last home game. Baylor is holding the opposition to an average of just 58.9 points on 38 percent shooting this season, and that's a big reason why they've failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall. This is the time of year when every basket counts, and teams crank it up on defense. The Mountaineers won their last game at Baylor by a score of 69-58 last March, but I expect a better effort from the home team this time around. The under is 5-0 in Baylor's last five home games, and West Virginia has gone under in two of it's last three road games. The exception being an overtime loss at Kansas.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-27-17 |
North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 132 |
Top |
43-53 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total.
The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
San Diego State v. Colorado State |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Colorado State.
"Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday."
That's what I said about the Rams before they beat the Lobos by double digits at New Mexico Tuesday. They return home tonight to host San Diego State, a team that has struggled on the road. The Aztecs have lost seven of 10 road games, scoring an average of just 64.2 points on 38.8 percent shooting in those games. San Diego State is 2-7-1 ATS in it's last 10 road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 156.5 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on FLA@UK to go UNDER the total.
The Florida Gators have won nine in a row, and they are tied at the top of the SEC standings with Kentucky. They beat the Wildcats 88-66 at home earlier this month, and I expect a competitive game here in the rematch in Kentucky this afternoon. Both these team are capable of playing shut down defense, and both teams have held the opposition to an average of less than 70 points over their last five games. There two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and five straight at Kentucky. In a game of this magnitude, I expect to see hard fought battles for every possession. There won't be many easy buckets to be had here, and I expect to see another relatively low scoring battle. The under is 20-7 in Kentucky's last 27 home games versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-17 |
Dayton -130 v. Davidson |
Top |
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Dayton Flyers. The Davidson Wildcats aren't as competitive this season as they have been in years past. They come into tonight's home game with a losing record in conference play, and they lost their last game by a score of 84-76 at Richmond. They have seven wins versus A-10 teams, and all but one of those came against teams that are below them in the standings. They did beat VCU at home back in January, but the Rams simply couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Dayton comes to town as winners of seven straight, and 10 of their last 11. The Flyers have scored an average of 79.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Davidson has twice as many losses at home as the Flyers do on the road this season, and the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Take DAY. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-23-17 |
Weber State v. Eastern Washington -155 |
|
72-82 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-17 |
Georgia v. Alabama -4.5 |
|
60-55 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Alabama.
The Georgia Bulldogs have lost four of their last six, and both wins during that span came after trailing at the half. Junior forward Yante Maten leads Georgia in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game. He played just two minutes against Kentucky on Saturday, before suffering a season ending knee injury. Alabama has won three of it's last four, and the Crimson Tide can move into a three way tie for third place in the SEC with a win tonight. Bama scored 51 points in the first half at home versus LSU in their last game, and they scored a season high 90 points in that contest. Georgia has been good on the road, and the Bulldogs have had success in previous trips to Tuscaloosa. It's going to be tough for the visitors this time around though, playing their first game without their top scorer. Alabama led 41-27 at the half the last time these two teams met, and they owned the boards, out-rebounding Georgia 40-27.
Take BAMA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-23-17 |
Hofstra v. William & Mary -7 |
Top |
96-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Tribe are coming off a rare road win at Deleware, and they return home to face Hofstra. William and Mary might be the nation's best bet at home, with a perfect 12-0 record this season. They don't just win their home games, for the most part, they blow out their opponents. Their last five home wins have all come by a double digit margin, even against some of the top teams in the CAA. They beat the first place Seahawks by a whopping 18 points at home last month. William and Mary are averaging 91 points on an unbelievable 55.1 percent shooting at home. Hofstra comes in struggling, failing to cover in eight of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at William & Mary.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Utah State v. San Jose State |
Top |
81-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
The Spartans have had a stranglehold on last place in the Mountain West for most of the last decade. That is not the case this seasons. San Jose State comes into tonight's home game as winners of five of their last six overall. They are a solid 9-5 overall at home, and they host a struggling Utah State Aggies team. The Aggies are just 2-7 on the road, and they come in as losers of five straight road games. The Spartans have been rather efficient offensively, scoring 74.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Utah State has scored just 66.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting during that same span. The Spartans have covered in five of their last six, while Utah State is just 1-7 ATS in it's last eight road games.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
UNLV v. Air Force -150 |
|
58-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Air Force Falcons 1st Half.
Both the UNLV Rebels and the Air Force Falcons are bottom feeders of the Mountain West Conference. They will meet tonight at Colorado Springs, and I like Air Force to pick up another home win here. The Falcons have a solid 10-6 home record, and the home team has won six straight meetings between these two teams. The Rebels last two home wins over Air Force have come in close games decided in overtime. The Falcons lost their last game in overtime at San Jose State, but they led that game by a score of 41-28 at halftime. The Rebels are 3-16-2 ATS in their last 21 road games, and they have lost seven straight overall. They've been brutal defensively, allowing opponents to average 81.2 points per game on 50.2 percent shooting over their last five. They trailed by double digits at the half in their lst game, and I expect them to be trailing after 20 minutes here in Colorado Springs.
Take AFA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Texas A&M v. Arkansas -4.5 |
|
77-86 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks 1st Half.
The Razorbacks are surging, coming into tonight's home game against Texas A&M as winners of three straight. They've been scoring at will, averaging over 86 points per game during that span. They already beat the Aggies at College Station earlier this year, and Texas A&M comes in as losers of three of it's last four road games. The lone away win during that span came against bottom feeders LSU. The Aggies will not have starting forward D.J. Hogg, who is out for the remainder of the season with a foot injury. Hogg is a major contributor, averaging 12 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. Prior to the Razorbacks win at Texas A&M this season, the home team had won seven straight in this series. Arkansas is 13-3 at home this year, and the Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Take ARK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
St Bonaventure -4.5 v. St. Joe's |
|
83-77 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 22 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on St. Bonaventure.
St. Joes is just 3-11 in conference play, and the Red Hawks have lost six straight. Their last home game was a double digit loss to bottom feeders UMASS. Their leading scorer and top playmaker Lamarr Kimble is out for the season with a foot injury. He led the team with 15.5 points and 4.5 assists per game. He's missed the last two games, both double digit losses on the road. The Bonnies have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, since beating St. Joe's at home by a score of 67-63. The Bonnies rallied to out-score the Red Hawks 40-21 in the second half of that game. St. Bonaventure has won six straight in this series, with a pair of wins at St. Joes during that span. With a depleted lineup, I can't see the Red Hawks ending that trend here tonight.
Takek SBON.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Manhattan v. Rider -6 |
|
82-93 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Rider Broncs. Rider is coming off it's most impressive result of the season, scoring a whopping 103 points in an upset win at Iona. They play their final home game tonight against bottom feeders Manhattan, and I think this looks like a mismatch. The Jaspers are just 3-11 on the road, and their last two road games were both losses by more than 20 points. They shot just 25 percent from the field in a 78-49 loss at Fairfield on February 1st. Manhattan has scored fewer than 70 points per game on just 40 percent shooting on the road, while the Broncs are averaging over 80 points per game at home. Rider has scored more than 85 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting in it's last five games. The home team should win this one in a route. Take RIDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Xavier v. Seton Hall -165 |
|
64-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Seton Hall 1st Half.
The Xavier Musketeers have lost three straight, and none of those games were close. In fact, losses to Marquette and Villanova each were decided my more than 20 points. They've been without their starting PG Edmond Sumner since January, and leading scorer Trevon Bluiett has missed the last two games with an ankle injury. Bluiett scored 24 points in a 74-72 home win over Seton Hall earlier this season, but Hall led that game at halftime by a score of 32-28. With Xavier reeling, this looks like an excellent opportunity for the Pirates to exact revenge in their home building. Seton Hall is 10-2 at home, and has won three straight home games against Xavier dating back to 2014. The Musketeers have lost seven of 10 road games this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.
Take HALL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
Colorado State +3 v. New Mexico |
|
68-56 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The New Mexico Lobos are just 1.5 games out of first place in the Mountain West, but they haven't played particularly well lately. They are 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those losses came at home to San Jose State. The Lobos leading scorer Tim Williams suffered an injury against Nevada at the end of January, and it's no coincidence that they've struggled since. Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
Indiana v. Iowa -130 |
|
90-96 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes 1st Half. The Indiana Hoosiers come into Iowa as losers of four straight, and six of their last seven. They have lost six of seven road games this season, and have scored an average of just 66.7 points in those games. The Hawkeyes on the other hand are averaging over 85 points per game at home, and they boast a solid home record of 12-4. After beating Ohio State and Nebraska by double digits in it's previous two home games, Iowa was upset by Illinois at home on Saturday. They did take a 29-25 lead to the locker room at halftime in that game. The Hoosiers trailed Minnesota 33-29 at the half in their last game, coming up just short with a rally in the second half. The Hawkeyes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, and they've covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home meetings with Indiana. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
NC State v. Georgia Tech -4.5 |
Top |
71-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack have lost seven of eight on the road, and their last two road games were losses by 20+ points. With nothing left to play for, they aren't likely to pose a threat to a Georgia Tech team that is very strong at home. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. Georgia Tech beat Syracuse on Sunday, and I like them here on Tuesday night against a much weaker opponent. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech -140 |
Top |
70-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies 1st Half.
The Hokies have been playing as well as anybody in the ACC recently. They have been very strong at home, boasting a 13-1 record. Those wins include upsets over Duke and Virginia. The Hokies already beat Clemson on their home floor earlier in the season, and they've won four of their last five home meetings with Clemson. Virginia Tech has scored over 84 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting at home, while the Tigers have averaged just 64.8 points per game on the road. This is the final road game for Clemson, before finishing the season with three straight home games. At this point it's easy to imagine the Tigers getting caught looking ahead to their upcoming home stand. The Hokies led at halftime the last time these two teams played (at Clemson), and they should get off to a good start here at home.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +2.5 |
Top |
65-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Syracuse is coming off back to back losses, but the Orange will come into Georgia Tech as the favorite. It seems strange that the bookmakers are asking bettors to lay points with a Syracuse team that has only won two road games all year. They beat Clemson by just one point, and needed overtime in their win at N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets are a stronger home team than the Tigers or the Wolfpack. They are 13-3 at home this year, with wins over North Carolina, Florida State and Notre Dame. The Orange have failed to cover the spread in each of the last four meetings in this series, and their last win at Georgia Tech came by a score of 46-45. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. The Orange are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, while the Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Maryland +7 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
60-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The Badgers host Maryland Sunday, and the winner of this game will move into a first place tie with Purdue at the top of the BIG10. Wisconsin has only lost one game at home this season, while the Terps have only lost once on the road. The Badgers are coming off back to back losses, and they've failed to cover in four straight. They've been brutal offensively, averaging just 61.8 points on 38.6 percent shooting over their last five games. One reason for their struggles has been an injury to senior guard Bronson Koenig, who didn't play in a 64-58 loss at Michigan Thursday. He was just 1-of-8 from the field, scoring two points in 30 minutes in last Sunday's home loss to Northwestern. Koenig is officially listed as day to day, and might be able to play today. Maryland has won 10 of 13 games in conference play, and their three losses came by an average margin of just three points. They beat the Badgers at Madison last season by a score of 63-60, and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Melo Trimble comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 32 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 74-64 win at Northwestern on Wednesday. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Oklahoma +12 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
92-96 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
Oklahoma finally snapped it's seven game losing streak with a win over Texas at home on Tuesday. It was the Sooners first game since they announced that leading scorer Jordan Woodard would miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Woodard wasn't playing well, failing to score in double figures in three of his last four games. One of those games was a 68-66 home loss to the Cowboys, and Woodard scored just seven points on 3-of-11 shooting. Oklahoma State won that game with a buzzer beater, and here we are just over two weeks later and they are asked to cover a double digit spread in the rematch. While the Sooners will miss Woodard, I believe they will be better off giving his minutes to a healthy role player, rather than a struggling star who's unable to contribute due to injury. That was certainly the case against Texas, as backup center Jamuni McNease scored 14 points and pulled in 14 rebounds in 26 minutes. The Sooners have played close games in each of their last four visits to Stillwater, with only one loss, which came in overtime. The average margin of victory in those four games was just four points. This line appears to be a little inflated.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Nebraska v. Ohio State -4.5 |
|
58-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Ohio State (1st Half).
Nebraska has just two wins in it's last 10 games, and both of those wins came at home. The Cornhuskers are just 2-6 on the road, and in four games at Ohio State dating back to 2012, they have lost all four by double digits. The Buckeyes aren't much of a force offensively, but they do play pretty strong defense. They are particularly stingy at home, where they allow just 64.6 points on 39.1 percent shooting. The Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5, while the Buckeyes are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Nebraska has trailed at the half in four straight road games, including a 65-64 loss at last placed Rutgers.
Take OSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Air Force v. San Jose State -165 |
|
78-83 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on San Jose State (1st Half)
The Spartans had a four game winning streak snapped on the road at Fresno State on Wednesday. They got off to a good start in that game, leading by five points at the half. They are back home Saturday hosting Air Force, and the Falcons have lost eight of their last nine. That streak started with a home loss to the Spartans by a score of 89-85. San Jose State took a lead into the second half of that game, and I like the Spartans to start well here at home in the rematch. Air Force is 0-8 on the road this season, and last year the Falcons lost by a whopping 21 points at San Jose State. The last time the Falcons actually won a game, they had to come back from a 10-point halftime deficit at home versus San Diego State back in January.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Illinois v. Iowa -4.5 |
Top |
70-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Iowa (1st Half)
Illinois has been brutal on the road, losing five of six games, and scoring an average of just 66.5 points on 41.9 percent shooting. They did beat Iowa at home earlier this year, but I expect the Hawkeyes to execute revenge for that loss here on Saturday. Iowa is a much stronger team at home, where they average 80.8 points per game, and shoot over 40 percent from beyond the arc. I don't think Illinois can score enough points to keep those one close. The Illini have averaged just 61.4 points, shooting just 39.8 percent from the field in their last five games overall. Iowa's last two home games were double digit wins over Ohio State and Nebraska, and I think they can handle bottom feeders Illinois with relative ease.
Take Iowa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-17 |
Idaho v. Eastern Washington -5 |
Top |
67-77 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. The Idaho Vandals are coming off a blowout loss (88-65) at North Dakota, falling to 4-8 on the road this season. They face another tough road game tonight, playing at Eastern Washington. They already lost to the Eagles at home earlier this season by a score of 69-62. The Eagles are a dominant team on their home court, with a record of 12-1 this season, and a record of 34-4 over the last three seasons. They score an average of 85.9 points on 49 percent shooting at home, and that's roughly 15 points per game more than the Vandals have averaged on the road. The Eagles won last year's home game against Idaho by a score of 74-60, and they've won their last four home games by an average margin of 12 points. Eastern Washington is coming off it's best defensive showing of the season, holding Northern Colorado to just 44 points on 28.3 percent shooting. I don't expect this game to be close, Eastern Washington should run away with it. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
San Jose State +7.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
59-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
San Jose State has been the worst team in the Mountain West for a long time, but apparently not this season. The Spartans have won four straight, including an upset win over the Lobos in New Mexico. They were an underdog in their last three games, and they are getting a bunch of points on the road at Fresno State tonight. They already beat the Bulldogs at home in January, and they have covered the spread in each of the last three meetings over the last three seasons. The Bulldogs are struggling, they've lost three straight, and they have a few key players sidelined with injuries. The Bulldogs last home game was a 67-70 loss to San Diego State, the same Aztecs team that the Spartans beat in San Jose just over a week ago. Fresno State is 5-11 ATS in it's last 16 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in five straight overall.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
La Salle v. St Bonaventure -4.5 |
Top |
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies.
The La Salle Explorers had been enjoying their best season in the A-10 Conference in years, but have started to struggle in recent weeks. La Salle has lost five of it's last seven, with wins against bottom feeders Fordam and Massachusetts. The Bonnies have long been one of the toughest teams in his conference on their home court, and they've won four of their last five home games. The one loss came in overtime to powerhouse VCU. St. Bonaventure has averaged over 81 points per game at home, shooting 47 percent from the field. The Explorers are 4-5 on the road, and they've lost three of their last four road games by 10 or more points. It's no coincidence that La Salle has struggled over it's last seven games, as they have been without starting guard Pookie Powell for six of those seven contests. Powell averaged 13.4 points per game, logging an average of 31 minutes prior to suffering a knee injury in a loss to VCU in January. The Explorers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog.
Take SBON.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -180 |
|
66-63 |
Loss |
-180 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Hokies are coming off an 80-78 home win over the #12 ranked Virginia Cavaliers. Virginia Tech is not a good road team at the best of times, but after such a huge upset win, this sets up a clear let down spot. Home court has been a huge advantage in this series, with the home team winning seven of the last eight. The one game that the road team prevailed was a 75-62 Pittsburgh win at Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh is coming off back to back wins, including an impressive 85-80 home win over a hot Syracuse team. Prior to that they gave both Duke and North Carolina a tough test, losing close games at Chapel Hill and Cameron Indoor both by single digits. The Hokies have lost their last three road games by an average margin of 16 points, and they have lost five straight at Pittsburgh since 2001, and four of those losses came by 10 or more points. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Iona -110 v. Canisius |
Top |
83-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iona Gaels. Iona has won seven of it's last eight overall, with the only loss during that span coming by just two points versus Siena. Canisius is just 3-3 over it's last six games, suffering home losses to Niagara and Rider during that span. For whatever reason, the Golden Griffins have struggled at home, failing to cover in eight of their last 11 at the Koessler Athletic Center. Iona has no trouble scoring on the road, averaging 81.1 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting. Rebounding has been a huge issue for Canisius, and they were out-rebounded 44-31 by Niagara in their last game. They are averaging fewer than 25 rebounds per game over their last five, and it's tough to win games with those kind of numbers. The Gaels have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and two of those win came on the road. I expect that trend to continue here in Buffalo tonight. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Tennessee +14 v. Kentucky |
Top |
58-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers.
The Wildcats are just 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those was an 82-80 loss at Tennessee. Kentucky is favored to win the rematch at home, and many bettors will be playing the revenge angle here. I think this line is just far too inflated, especially considering how the Wildcats have struggled in recent weeks. They failed to cover in home games against LSU and Georgia, lost at home to Kansas, and got absolutely crushed at Florida. They have won their last three home games versus the Vols, but not one of those wins came by more than 10 points. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been relatively close (10 points or less). Kentucky has struggled defensively over it's last five games, giving up 78.2 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. The Vols have allowed opponents to average 10 points fewer, with a field goal percentage of just 38.4 percent during that same span. Tennessee has been a good bet on the road, covering the spread in eight of their last 11. I'll take the points.
Take TEN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Nevada +3 v. San Diego State |
Top |
56-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack.
The Wolfpack sit a half a game back of Boise State in the Mountain West, and they will play on the road at San Diego State Sunday. The Aztecs have dominated this conference for more than a decade, but they currently sit in the bottom half of the standings with a losing record in conference play. Nevada beat the Aztecs at home by a score of 72-69 earlier this year, ending a seven game losing streak in the series. The Wolfpack haven't had any trouble winning on the road this season, winning five of eight games and averaging a whopping 80.5 points. San Diego State has been beaten at home by Colorado State and New Mexico, two teams that trail Nevada in the standings. Scoring has been an issue for the Aztecs, averaging just 70.4 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Wolfpack are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in four straight games as a favorite.
Take NEVADA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
64-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Oklahoma Sooners have lost six straight, and they are at the bottom of the BIG12 standings with a record of 2-9 within conference. With all the losses piling up, it's easy to forget just how competitive this team has actually been. Their last win came on the road at West Virginia by a score of 89-87. Since then, they've lost by just one point at Texas, and by two points at home versus Oklahoma State. Both of those games were decided by buzzer beaters. A home loss to Iowa State came by a score of 92-87 in double overtime. The Sooners were actually a two point favorite in that game, which means we see a 11.5 point swing in the rematch just three weeks later. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as each of the last five meetings have been decided by five points or less. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and neither team has been favored by more than 7.5 points in each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2013. The Sooners are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, and the line in this revenge game appears to be grossly inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Fresno State v. Colorado State -3 |
Top |
62-78 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Colorado State Rams.
The Rams have really played well in recent weeks, winning five of their last six games. The only loss during that span came in a close game versus Mountain West powerhouse Boise State. They sit just a half a game out of first place in the conference, and they host a struggling Fresno State team this afternoon. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last four, and they are just 4-8 on the road. They have missed a couple of key players, leaving them shorthanded and undersized. Karachi Edo leads the Bulldogs in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and Cullen Russo is second on the team averaging 5.9 RPG. Edo is questionable with an ankle injury, and Russo is suspended indefinitely. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a losing road record, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
College of Charleston v. William & Mary |
Top |
79-89 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Charleston Cougars are one of the top dogs in the CAA, sitting just one game back of UNC Wilmington with a 10-3 record. They are coming off a brutal loss at home to Northeastern, and now they head out on the road to face a William and Mary team that is 11-0 at home this season. The Tribe don't just win at home, they dominate the opposition. Their last home game was a 94-69 win over Northeastern, the same team that upset the Cougars. William and Mary averages a staggering 92.1 points on 55.4 percent shooting at home this season. The Cougars average just 66.5 points per game on the road. The home team has won seven of the last eight in this series, and the one exception was a 63-61 win for William and Mary at Charleston.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
North Carolina v. Duke -135 |
Top |
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
Duke has faced plenty of adversity this year, but has survived and appears to be peaking at the right time. The Blue Devils have won four of their last five, and they are 11-1 at home. They host rivals North Carolina tonight, and this is a revenge spot for Duke. The Tar Heels won 76-72 at Cameron Indoor last March. The Blue Devils had won the previous four meetings, and they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. North Carolina hasn't looked all that sharp on the road this season. They lost their last road game by a whopping 15 points at Miami, and they failed to cover in wins at Boston College and Wake Forest. They have allowed opponents to average 78.7 points per game on the road, while Duke is giving up just 63.2 points per game at home. Coach K is back on the bench after taking time off to have surgery. Things look like they are coming together for Duke, and this is a good spot to back the Blue Devils as a small favorite.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Purdue -125 v. Indiana |
Top |
69-64 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers.
Indiana has lost three of it's last four overall, with the one win coming in triple overtime by a score of 110-102 at home versus Penn State. The Hoosiers have also lost four straight versus Top 25 teams, and they host the #16 ranked Purdue Boilermakers tonight. Purdue has won five of their last six overall, and two of those win came on the road. They beat Michigan State by 11 points in East Lansing, and upset Maryland at College Park on Saturday. The Hoosiers have been banged up, but they hope to get leading scorer James Blackmon back tonight. If in fact he plays, there's no guarantee that he'll be as effective as he was prior to missing the last three games. Even with Blackmon in the lineup, the Hoosiers suffered home losses to Wisconsin, Louisville and Nebraska. Indiana has given up over 80 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.7 percent from the field in their last five games. Purdue has allowed just 67.8 points per game on 39.8 percent shooting during that same span. This is a huge game for Purdue who are just 1.5 games behind first place Wisconsin in the BIG10.
Take PUR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-08-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 |
Top |
68-74 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes will host Virginia Tech tonight, and both teams are 5-5 in conference play. Virginia Tech actually has a better record at 16-6, but the Hokies have been blown out in three of their last four road games. The only exception during that span was a one-point win at Clemson. Miami has won three of it's last four, and that includes a double-digit home win over the #9 ranked Tar Heels. They have played exceptional defense at home, holding opponents to just 61.9 points per game on 38.1 percent shooting. The Hokies are allowing opponents to average over 85 points on better than 50 percent shooting while losing four of six road games. The Hurricanes are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. I don't think the Hokies have what it takes to hang with the Hurricanes in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Butler v. Marquette -125 |
Top |
68-65 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Marquette Golden Eagles.
The Golden Eagles played at Butler in the middle of January, and they opened up a big lead early in that game. The Bulldogs trailed by 16 points at halftime, but went on to score 63 points in the second half, winning 88-80. This sets up a revenge opportunity for Marquette tonight, and the Golden Eagles boast an 11-2 home record and since their loss at Butler they have upset wins over #1 ranked Villanova, and #7 ranked Creighton. Butler is coming off back to back losses to Georgetown and Creighton, and the Bulldogs have lost three of their last four at Marquette. The Golden Eagles average 85.5 points per game on 51 percent shooting at home, and Butler has really struggled to score averaging just 73.4 points on 43.6 percent shooting over it's last five games. The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and I expect that trend to continue here tonight.
Take MARQ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Utah State v. Colorado State -5 |
|
52-69 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams.
Colorado State has won four of it's last five overall, with the only loss during that span coming to Mountain West leaders Boise State. The Rams host the Utah State Aggies, who are sitting just a game out of last place in the conference. Colorado State handled the Aggies easily in Utah, winning by a score of 64-56 in January. The Rams are 10-4 at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games versus a team with a losing record. The Aggies have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog. Colorado State is coming off a convincing 69-49 win on the road at UNLV, holding the Rebels to just 30.5 percent shooting. Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo was unstoppable, scoring 22 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in the victory. He scored 20 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in the win at Utah State in the previous meeting. He should fill the stat sheet again at home tonight.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Texas Tech v. TCU -145 |
Top |
61-62 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TCU.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost five straight road games in conference play, and they failed to cover the spread in four of those five losses. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as an underdog, and they are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. The Horned Frogs are 12-3 at home, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. TCU is coming off back to back impressive wins, blowing out Texas at home on Saturday, after upsetting Kansas State on the road during the week. TCU has average 78.4 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and that's 14 points more than the Red Raiders have averaged on the road. The Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. I'll take the home team here as just a slight favorite.
Take TCU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Illinois v. Northwestern -5.5 |
Top |
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Northwestern Wildcats.
Northwestern had won six straight before losing at Purdue last week. The Wildcats have had a week to recover from that game, while they host an Illinois team that has lost six of it's last seven. Illinois is 0-5 on the road this season, failing to cover in all five of those losses. They've also failed to cover in each of their last six losses overall. Scoring has been a huge issue for Illinois, averaging just 60.4 points on 39.4 percent shooting over their five games. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and have covered the spread in four straight home games versus teams with a losing record. While these teams have a history of playing close games in the past, this looks like a much tougher game for Illinois than previous trips to Evanston.
Take NW.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|