Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-24-19 | BYU -2 v. Hawaii | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
7* BYU/Hawaii Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on BYU -2 The Key: BYU played a tougher schedule than Hawaii and I trust them more to win this game from what I’ve seen from both teams. BYU went 2-2 against Top 30 teams with wins over USC and Boise State, while Hawaii went 0-3 against Top 30 teams. BYU also beat Tennessee on the road and thumped Utah State 42-14 on the road. That’s a Utah State team that is probably just as good as Hawaii in the Mountain West. Hawaii is 1-9 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 years. Nick Rolovich is 0-7 ATS off a conference road loss as the coach of Hawaii. Take BYU. |
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12-23-19 | Rockets v. Kings +6.5 | 113-104 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +6 The Key: The Kings beat the Rockets 119-118 on the road on December 9th. Now they get them in Sacramento 2 weeks later. They are in need of a win after dropping 3 straight on the road, and I look for the Kings to be hungry tonight as a result. The Rockets are fat and happy off 3 straight wins and nearing Christmas. They won’t be playing with the same sense of urgency as the Kings will be tonight. The Kings are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a dog and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take Sacramento. |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
7* Packers/Vikings NFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -4.5 The Key: The numbers show the Vikings are the better team than the Packers despite having the worse record. Well, the Vikings can pull even with the Packers for 1st place in the NFC North with a win. They would still need some help next week, but first things first, and I think they handle their business at home tonight. The Packers are 21st in offense while the Vikings are 10th in offense. The Packers are 22nd in defense and the Vikings are 14th in defense. The Vikings have outscored the opposition by 119 points this year, while the Packers have only outscored their opponents by 47 points. Minnesota is 36-15-1 ATS in its last 52 home games and 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games as a home favorite of 7 or less. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take Minnesota. |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Nuggets/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Denver +3.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets have won 5 straight and want to avenge an earlier 96-105 home loss to the Lakers on December 3rd. They shot 40.7% in that game and 20.7% from 3-point range. They won’t shoot that poorly again. And they won’t have to deal with Lebron James this time around as he is sitting with a back injury. The Lakers are in an awful situation returning home following a 5-game road trip and playing 12 of their last 15 on the road. It’s a tired team that will be dealing with a lot of distractions at home, especially since it’s nearly Christmas. Take Denver. |
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12-22-19 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chargers | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
7* AFC West Game of the Year on Oakland Raiders +7.5 The Key: The Chargers can’t be trusted to lay 7.5 points to the Raiders. The Chargers aren’t a team that wins or loses many blowouts. Though they did get worked 10-39 by the Vikings last week. The Raiders had a bad loss to the Jaguars that they deserved to win. But that has gotten us some extra value on them this week. The Chargers have zero home-field advantage and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Raiders have more fans attend this game. The Chargers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Los Angeles is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite. The Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Los Angeles. The underdog is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Take Oakland. |
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12-22-19 | Davidson v. Loyola-Chicago -2 | 59-56 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Loyola-Chicago -2 The Key: Davidson has been a huge disappointment as they are just 5-5 this year despite returning all 5 starters. They have been upset by Wake Forest and Charlotte and they have double-digit losses to Auburn, Marquette and Temple. All 5 of their losses have been by double-digits. Loyola-Chicago is 5-1 at home this year and outscoring opponents by 20 PPG. Davidson is 0-6 ATS in road games off 2 straight ATS wins over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 non-conference road games. Take Loyola-Chicago. |
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12-22-19 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Falcons | 12-24 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 The Key: The Falcons are off a massive upset win as 10-point dogs at San Francisco. This is an obvious letdown spot for them now as they return home to host the Jaguars. The Falcons have been awful at home this season. They are just 2-5 at home this year. The Jaguars showed some fight in coming back from a 16-3 deficit to beat the Raiders last week. They clearly have not quit. And now that the hated Tom Coughlin was just fired, players can breathe a sigh of relief. I look for a great effort from them today. Jacksonville gets back leading receiver DJ Chark from injury this week to help out the offense. Atlanta has lost 7 straight and 12 of its last 13 to AFC opponents. The Falcons are 0-14 ATS in their last 14 against AFC foes. Take Jacksonville. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts OVER 46.5 | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Panthers/Colts OVER 46.5 The Key: Two teams who have been eliminated from the playoffs square off today in Indianapolis. I don’t think the defenses of either of these teams will be too interested. And the injuries to both defenses favors the OVER. The Colts are missing potential 3 starters in the secondary. The Panthers are missing a handful of guys along their front 7. The Panthers have allowed 29 or more points in 5 straight games. Carolina will let rookie Will Grier throw the ball as much as possible in this game to see what he can do, which also favors the OVER. Carolina is 10-2 OVER in games played on turf over the last 3 years and 36-14-1 in the last 51 games on turf. The OVER is 21-8 in Panthers last 29 games as a road dog. Take the OVER. |
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12-21-19 | UAB v. Appalachian State -17 | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
6* UAB/Appalachian State Bowl *BAILOUT* on Appalachian State -17 The Key: Appalachian State went 12-1 this season and lost their head coach for a 2nd straight year. Last year they went on to beat Middle Tennessee 45-13 after losing head coach Scott Satterfield to Louisville. And now they will crush this UAB team. UAB was blasted 6-49 by FAU in the C-USA title game. They were also blasted by Tennessee and Southern Miss earlier this year. Their only wins came against bad teams as they played the 138th-ranked schedule in the country. App State is outscoring opponents by 19.2 PPG on the year, so they have no problem winning by margin. Sun Belt teams are 11-3 ATS in the New Orleans Bowl since 2005. Take Appalachian State. |
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12-21-19 | Creighton v. Arizona State -3 | 67-60 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -3 The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a stunning 56-96 loss to St. Mary’s. That game was an aberration as only 3 players scored, and one bench player scored 43 of their 56 points. It’s safe to say the Sun Devils will come back hungry for a win today against Creighton. The Blue Jays are 9-2, but their 2 losses both came on the road where they are losing by 20.5 PPG on the season. Arizona State is 5-1 at home and winning by 18.1 PPG. The Sun Devils are 11-2 ATS when playing against a team that wins more than 80% of their games over the last 3 years. Take Arizona State. |
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12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
7* Rams/49ers NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco -6.5 The Key: The Rams lost all hope of making the playoffs last week with their 44-21 loss to the Cowboys. Now they’ll be officially eliminated after getting blasted by the 49ers for a 2nd time this year. The 49ers won 20-7 on the road and held the Rams to just 165 total yards. Now they’ll win by more than a touchdown at home today. The 49ers will be hungry after their upset loss to the Falcons last week, which was predictable given the spot off 3 straight huge games and with the Rams and Seahawks on deck. Now the 49ers can’t afford a loss if they want to get the #1 seed in the NFC. Take San Francisco. |
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12-21-19 | Kings -1 v. Grizzlies | 115-119 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -1 The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are running on fumes right now. They’ll be playing for a 2nd consecutive day, their 3rd game in 4 days, and their 6th game in 9 days. The Grizzlies are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day. The Kings will only be playing their 2nd game in 4 days and they are a young, deep team that won’t be phased by this situation. The Kings are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when coming off 2 or more consecutive road losses. Take Sacramento. |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 37 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Patriots AFC East *Total* Annihilator on OVER 37 The Key: This is a sneaky good OVER bet with a very low total of 37 points. It’s sneaky because you wouldn’t think it, but both Buffalo and New England have been pushing the pace offensively. The Patriots are 1st in the NFL since Week 10 in amount of seconds between snaps, playing faster than anyone. They will use some no-huddle here to try and negate Buffalo’s pass rush. Buffalo is 7th in the NFL in offensive pace since Week 10, which coincided with OC Dabol moving to the booth to call plays. My math model shows 42 points in this game, giving us 5 points of value on the OVER. Take the OVER. |
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12-20-19 | Magic v. Blazers -3.5 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -3.5 The Key: The Orlando Magic are a tired team. They just played the toughest situation in the NBA with a back-to-back at Utah and Denver on Tuesday and Wednesday. And now they’ll be playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight. The Blazers should take advantage and run them out of the gym. Portland will be playing just its 3rd game in 8 days and will be the fresher team. The Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Portland. |
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12-20-19 | Kent State +7 v. Utah State | Top | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
7* Kent State/Utah State ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on Kent State +7 The Key: Teams that had 3 or fewer wins the previous season and made a bowl game have gone 16-2 ATS in their bowl games over the last 3 years. Kent State is a qualifier. The Golden Flashes overcame the odds and pulled out 3 straight upsets to close the season to get to 6-6. They obviously want to be here. I don’t think the same can be said for Utah State, which won 11 games last year and dropped to 7 wins this year. 6-6 teams in general have gone 60% ATS since 2000 in bowls and 6-6 teams off a win as an underdog have gone 70% ATS since 2000. Take Kent State. |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 236 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Rockets/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 236 The Key: This will be the 3rd meeting already between the Rockets and Clippers this year, so they are familiar with one another. The first meeting saw Houston win 102-93 for 195 combined points. The 2nd meeting saw the Clippers win 122-119 for 241 combined points. But that game was on pace to go well UNDDER the total before a huge 77-point 4th quarter. That total was set at 227, and now this total is set at 236, a 9-point adjustment. I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the UNDER here. The Rockets are 14-4 UNDER in road games with a total of 230 or higher over the last 2 years. The Rockets are 27-12 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 years. The Rockets are 22-6 UNDER when playing against a team that wins more than 70% of their games over the last 3 years. The UNDER is 9-4 in Clippers last 13 games as a home favorite. Take the UNDER. |
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12-19-19 | Lakers v. Bucks -4 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
7* Lakers/Bucks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -4 The Key: The Bucks are 24-4 and 13-2 at home this year. The Lakers will be without Kyle Kuzma and could be without Anthony Davis tonight. It’s a tough situation for the Lakers, who have will be playing their 5th straight road game and their 12th road games in their last 15 games overall. It is starting to wear on them as they barely escaped with a win at Atlanta before losing at Indiana in their last 2 games coming in. The Bucks are 18-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 years. The Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Bucks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games off a loss. The Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home meetings with the Lakers and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall. Take Milwaukee. |
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12-18-19 | Magic v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Denver Nuggets -9.5 The Key: The situation could not possibly be worse for the Orlando Magic tonight. They’ll be playing in altitude for the second straight night after losing 102-109 in Utah last night. Now they’ll have nothing left in the tank for the Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver comes in on 2 days’ rest and having won three straight home games to improve to 11-3 at home this year. They had the best home record in the NBA last year. The Magic are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 trips to Denver. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record. Take Denver. |
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12-18-19 | East Tennessee State +10 v. LSU | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on East Tennessee State +10 The Key: East Tennessee State is one of the better teams in the country that not too many bettors know about. They are 9-2 this year with their only losses coming on the road to Kansas by 12 and North Dakota State by 10. They returned all 5 starters this year and will take LSU to the wire tonight. LSU has losses to Utah State and VCU this year and will be tested by ETSU. The Buccaneers are 10-1 ATS off a home win scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 years. Take East Tennessee State. |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz -6.5 | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -6.5 The Key: The Utah Jazz are back to full strength finally with Mike Conley returning tonight. The Jazz have had the last 3 days off and will be fresh tonight. They should put away the Orlando Magic with relative ease. The Magic have lost 3 of their last 4 all by 9 points or more. Take Utah. |
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12-17-19 | Florida -4.5 v. Providence | Top | 83-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
7* Florida/Providence ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida -4.5 The Key: The Florida Gators have won 4 of their last 5 with their only setback coming at Butler. The Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. The Providence Friars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall with a ton of ugly performances. The Friars already have 5 upset losses this year. They have played an easy schedule as they have been favored in every single game and have come up way short of expectations. And this number is too short tonight against the best team they’ve played yet in the Gators. Take Florida. |
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12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
7* Colts/Saints NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis +10 The Key: The Indianapolis Colts don’t get blown out often. They are still alive for the playoffs and will give the Saints all they can handle. The Colts are 6-7 but only have one loss by more than 7 points this year, which was their 14-point loss to the Titans a few weeks back in a game they dominated up until having a blocked FG returned for a TD. The Saints already have the NFC South title locked up and won’t be all that hungry here to finish the season. Bets against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who have won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that win 75% or more of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 34-12 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Indianapolis. |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10 v. Rockets | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio Spurs +10 The Key: The Spurs just beat the Rockets at home on December 3rd. The Spurs have won 3 of their last 4 coming in. The Spurs have only lost once by more than 7 points to the Rockets in their last 6 meetings. This number is just way too high tonight. This is a rested Spurs team that will be playing just their 4th game in the last 13 days. The Rockets are really battling injuries right now and just lost outright at home to the Pistons as 7.5-point favorites and the Kings as 12-point favorites in their last 2 home games. The Spurs will hang around for 4 quarters as well. Take San Antonio. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers -115 | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Steelers AFC *BAILOUT* on Pittsburgh PK The Key: This play falls into an angle that I’m going to back this week in 3 games I like anyway. When the line is between the 3’s, we’ll back a team off a SU & ATS win against a team off a SU & ATS loss. This system has gone 22-4 ATS over the last 2 years. Take Pittsburgh. |
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12-15-19 | Lakers v. Hawks +12 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +12 The Key: The Lakers will be playing without Kyle Kuzma tonight. Lebron James is questionable. The Lakers are primed for a letdown off their big win in Miami on Friday. It will be their 6th road game in the last 13 days as they have been on the road a lot. The Hawks will relish this chance to face the Lakers and will be the more hungry team. The Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Atlanta. |
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12-15-19 | Rams +1 v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Cowboys NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +1 The Key: This play falls into an angle that I’m going to back this week in 3 games I like anyway. When the line is between the 3’s, we’ll back a team off a SU & ATS win against a team off a SU & ATS loss. This system has gone 22-4 ATS over the last 2 years. Take Los Angeles. |
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12-15-19 | Purdue v. Nebraska +13 | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +13 The Key: Nebraska is improving and just went on the road and gave Indiana all they wanted as 17-point dogs. They took the Hoosiers to overtime. The Huskers will be laying at home now for the first time since November 22nd. They have a big home court advantage and will give Purdue a run for its money today. The Boilermakers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now off 2 straight wins over Virginia and Northwestern. Purdue is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games off a conference win. Nebraska is 9-1 ATS off a combined score of 165 points or more over the last 3 years. Take Nebraska. |
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12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
7* AFC South Game of the Year on Tennessee Titans -3 The Key: This play falls into an angle that I’m going to back this week in 3 games I like anyway. When the line is between the 3’s, we’ll back a team off a SU & ATS win against a team off a SU & ATS loss. This system has gone 22-4 ATS over the last 2 years. Take Tennessee. |
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12-14-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Denver Nuggets -6.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets have the Oklahoma City Thunder’s number. They have won 8 of the last 9 meetings while going a perfect 9-0 against the spread. Last year, the Nuggets won all 4 meetings by 7 points or more. Take Denver. |
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12-14-19 | Utah State v. BYU | 64-68 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Utah State PK The Key: The Utah State Aggies are loaded this season and among the best teams in the nation. They are 10-1 with their lone loss coming by 8 on the road to St. Mary’s, which is also among the better teams in the land. They beat LSU and will take down BYU on a neutral tonight in Salt Lake City. The Cougars already have 4 losses on the season. The Aggies want revenge after losing 7 straight in this series to BYU. This is their year to get it as they finally have the team to beat the Cougars. BYU is 5-23 ATS in its last 28 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games against a good offensive teams that scores 77 or more points per game. Take Utah State. |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | 102-110 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +7.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors just played in their biggest game of the season. Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers returned to Toronto for the first time and promptly crushed the Raptors by 20 points. The Raptors won’t be nearly as hungry for the Nets tonight. Plus this is a Raptors team that is 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They have been playing without Fred VanVleet, and clearly he means a lot more to them than he gets credit for. The Raptors are fade material until VanVleet returns. The Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Nets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on 2 days rest. Take Brooklyn. |
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12-13-19 | Pelicans +8 v. 76ers | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +8 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and it will also be their 5th game in 7 days. They won’t have much in the tank for the Pelicans tonight. I like the price we are getting with the Pelicans because they have lost 10 straight, so oddsmakers are forced to set this number higher than it should be. Take New Orleans. |
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12-12-19 | Cavs v. Spurs -11.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -11.5 The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are champing at the bit to play some competitive basketball. They have been off since December 6th, getting 5 days off. They beat the Rockets and Kings in their final 2 games before this break, so they are starting to play some good basketball. And they should run the Cleveland Cavaliers out of the gym tonight. The Cavaliers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night and their 5th game in 7 days. It’s about as tough a situation as there is in the NBA. The Cavs are just 1-14 SU & 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall while consistently losing by double-digits. The Cavs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 3 or more days of rest. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take San Antonio. |
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12-12-19 | Jets +17 v. Ravens | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
7* Jets/Ravens AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +17 The Key: The New York Jets have won 4 of their last 5 games and should not be catching 17 points against the Baltimore Ravens. This is a good matchup for the Jets, who lead the NFL in giving up just 3.0 YPC and only 78.8 RYPG. The Ravens lead the league in rushing, so it is strength against strength. And the Jets get a hobbled Lamar Jackson who is nursing a quad injury, so the Ravens won’t be as potent as they have been in the past. The 49ers held them to 20 points and the Bills held them to 24 points while both teams held them to near season lows in yardage. The Jets will have success defensively against them, and Sam Darnold is playing some of the best football of his career during this 4-1 stretch. Take New York. |
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12-11-19 | Hornets +10 v. Nets | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +10 The Key: The Charlotte Hornets have already lost to the Brooklyn Nets by 10 and by 7 in 2 earlier meetings this season. Now these teams will be matching up for the 3rd time in 3 weeks. I can’t see the Hornets going down without a fight. They are playing for a 2nd straight day but are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on no rest. Take Charlotte. |
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12-11-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 210 | 117-122 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Celtics/Pacers UNDER 210 The Key: The Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics are familiar with one another because they played in the playoffs last year. The Celtics swept the Pacers in 4 games. I think that familiarity will lead to a lower scoring game tonight. The Celtics are 3rd in defensive efficiency this year while the Pacers are 8th. Both teams prefer to play at a slower pace as the Pacers are 22nd in pace while the Celtics are 23rd. The UNDER is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 22-7 in Pacers last 29 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER. |
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12-11-19 | Yale -4 v. Massachusetts | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Yale -4 The Key: Yale has been one of the most underrated teams in the country this year. They are 9-1 ATS in their 10 lined games and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. They hung tough in all 3 of their road losses to San Francisco by 5, Oklahoma State by 7 and Penn State by 2. UMass comes in 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Four of the 5 losses came by double-digits. It’s a rebuilding year for the Minutemen. The Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Yale is 42-9 ATS in its last 51 games as a road favorite. Take Yale. |
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12-10-19 | Northern Iowa +9 v. Colorado | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Northern Iowa +9 The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are probably the best team in the MVC this year. They made the MVC title game last year and are off to an 8-1 start this year. They have covered the spread in 6 of their 7 line games this season. Their only loss came by 5 points to West Virginia on the road in a game they led almost the entire way. They will go on the road here and stay within 9 points of Colorado as well. The Buffaloes are coming off a 14-point loss at Kansas on Saturday and only have 2 days to get ready for the Panthers. Northern Iowa has had 7 days to get ready for Colorado. The Buffaloes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take Northern Iowa. |
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12-10-19 | Hawks +9 v. Heat | 121-135 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +9 The Key: The Miami Heat will be without their top 2 point guards in Justice Winslow and Goran Dragic tonight. That’s going to force Jimmy Butler to play out of position and likely run the point tonight. The Hawks are completely healthy now outside the suspension to John Collins. They have been impressive of late by beating the Warriors by 25 at home and the Hornets by 15 on the road in 2 of their last 3 games. The Heat are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and struggled to put away both Washington and Chicago at home in their last 2 games coming in. The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games off a win. The Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Miami. Take Atlanta. |
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12-09-19 | Wolves v. Suns -3.5 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns -3.5 The Key: The Phoenix Suns are in the preferred spot tonight. They had yesterday off after a tough 6-point loss at Houston as 11.5-point dogs. And now they are back home after a four-game road trip. They need a win and should get it against a tired Minnesota Timberwolves team that is coming off a 125-142 shootout road loss to the Lakers last night. The Suns will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and for the 3rd time in 4 days. It’s also their 4th straight road game. The Timberwolves are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Phoenix is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 against a team with a losing record. Take Phoenix. |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
7* Giants/Eagles NFC East *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 45.5 The Key: Weather is expected to be a factor in Philadelphia tonight in this NFC East rivalry game with the New York Giants. There is a good chance for rain and winds will be around 13 miles per hour. The Giants will be more restricted offensively with Eli Manning returning to the lineup in place of Daniel Jones. This Giants defense is playing better of late in giving up just 294 yards to the Jets, 335 yards to the Bears and 322 yards to the Packers in their last 3 games overall. The Eagles still have an elite defense that has yielded 17 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5 games overall. They yield just 18 PPG at home this year and score only 21.3 PPG. The Giants managed just 19.2 PPG on the season. Philadelphia is 16-4 UNDER in its last 20 games after scoring and allowing 30 points or more last game. The UNDER is 8-1 in Eagles last 9 games after allowing 6.5 YPP or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 home games against poor defensive teams that allow 350 YPG or more. The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Ravens/Bills AFC *CA$H COW* on Buffalo +6.5 The Key: The Bills have the rest advantage in this one after playing last Thursday while the Ravens just finished a physical game with the 49ers on Sunday. This line indicates the Bills would be 12.5-point dogs in Baltimore, which is absurd. The Bills have the #3 defense in the NFL and will be able to slow down the Ravens. I love the price we are getting with the Bills at home today because the Ravens have won 8 straight coming in. Bets against road favorites off 8 or more straight wins in December games are 23-4 ATS since 983. Take Buffalo. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers +2.5 v. Saints | Top | 48-46 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
7* 49ers/Saints NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +2.5 The Key: The 49ers are the better team in this matchup with the Saints and the numbers show it. Wrong team favored here. The 49ers are outgaining opponents by 127 YPG, while the Saints are only outgaining opponents by 38 YPG. The 49ers rank 1st in the NFL in total defense and 1st in the NFL against the pass. They have a dominant defensive line that will give the Saints’ banged-up offensive line troubles. The Saints are without 2 starters on the O-Line and could be without a 3rd. That’s not what you want when you’re up against the best defensive line in the NFL. The 49ers are 5-1 on the road this year with their only loss coming at Baltimore by 3 points. That effort showed they could play with anyone. I like that the 49ers stayed in Florida after the Ravens game so they won’t have all that travel in between games. When teams meet at a location to get ready for a game the next week, they usually come out and play well. The Saints are 0-6 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 years. Bets on road dogs off a close road loss by 3 points or less in the final 4 weeks of the regular season are 23-5 ATS since 1983. Take San Francisco. |
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12-08-19 | Lions +13 v. Vikings | 7-20 | Push | 0 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Lions/Vikings NFC North *CA$H COW* on Detroit +13 The Key: The Lions have the rest advantage after playing last Thursday while the Vikings played in Seattle on Monday. Despite being 3-8-1 this season, the Lions have held a lead in all 12 games at one point or another. And all 8 of their losses have come by 12 points or less, including 7 by 8 points or fewer. They will not be losing a game by 13-plus points for the first time all season Sunday. I was impressed with David Blough and this extra practice time will get him ready for the Vikings. Minnesota is still going to be without Adam Thielen, plus the other 2 top weapons on this team in Dalvin Cook and Stefon Diggs are banged up. Bets on road teams who have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 4 games in December games are 42-16 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Detroit. |
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12-07-19 | Hawaii +14 v. Boise State | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Hawaii/Boise State MWC *CA$H COW* on Hawaii +14 The Key: This is a rematch from an earlier meeting this season. Hawaii lost 37-59 at Boise State. But that game was much closer than the final score as Hawaii was only outgained by 80 yards. The Warriors gave the game away by losing the turnover battle 4-1 and losing three fumbles. That’s very unlikely to happen again. The Warriors have been lacking respect most the season and can cap off a 10-win season here with a victory. They will give Boise State everything they can handle. And fortunately for Hawaii, the weather is expected to be perfect in Boise with temps close to 50 and no precipitation. Bets on dogs of 10.5 to 21 points who are revenging a loss with 4-plus more total starters and an experienced QB returning against a team with a new QB are 41-13 ATS since 1992. Take Hawaii. |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Memphis | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
7* Cincinnati/Memphis AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Cincinnati +9.5 The Key: The Cincinnati Bearcats and Memphis Tigers are in rare air here. It’s only the 4th time in the playoff era that teams square off in the final week of the regular season and again in the conference championship game. The underdogs in this situation have gone 3-0 ATS in the previous 3 tries. And I expect that trend to continue here as Cincinnati keeps it close and covers this 9.5-point spread. Cincinnati only lost 24-34 in their first meeting at Memphis last week. But that game was closer than the final score as the Bearcats lost the turnover battle 3-1. And now after playing a backup QB last week, the Bearcats get their starter back this week in Desmond Ridder. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 December games. Take Cincinnati. |
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12-07-19 | Nebraska +12 v. Creighton | 76-95 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Nebraska/Creighton NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +12 The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers started slow but are improving rapidly under first-year head coach Fred Hoiberg. They should be able to hang with their rivals in Creighton, who have not been impressive this year. They lost to Michigan by 10 and San Diego State by 31. They caught Texas Tech without their best player in an OT win. They failed to cover at home against Cal Poly in a 16-point win as 24.5-point favorites, failed to cover at home against North Florida in a 9-point win as 17-point favorites, and also failed to cover at home against Oral Roberts in a 12-point win as 13.5-point favorites. Nebraska is better than Cal Poly, North Florida and Oral Roberts. Creighton is 6-18 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 years. The Bluejays are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a win. Take Nebraska. |
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12-07-19 | Pelicans +9 v. Mavs | 84-130 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +9 The Key: The situation is a good one for the New Orleans Pelicans. They are 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS with 2 home losses to the Mavericks this year. Well, the Pelicans are now getting 9 points on the road in the 3rd matchup and I like them to stay within the number. New Orleans is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games after losing a home game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pelicans win this game outright. Take New Orleans. |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 58 | 38-45 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on LA-Lafayette/App State UNDER 58 The Key: Lafayette and Appalachian State are in rare air here. They will meet for the 4th time in 2 seasons after meeting in the regular season and the conference title game last year. They also met in the regular season and will meet in the conference title game this year. They have combined for just 44, 49 and 24 points in the previous 3 meetings, including that 24-point effort in their first meeting this year. That’s an average of only 39 combined points per game. I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the UNDER in this 4th matchup because of the familiarity of these two teams. Lafayette is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games against teams that put up 31 or more points per game. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks UNDER 233 | 91-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Clippers/Bucks NBA *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 233 The Key: When two elite teams like the Clippers and Bucks get together I usually like taking the UNDER. Both teams are almost up for these games emotionally, which means their effort will be there on the defensive end. And these are two of the better teams in the NBA in defensive efficiency due to their great length. Nothing will come easy for either of these teams tonight. Bets on the UNDER when the total is 220 or more after a blowout win by 15 points or more against an opponent that’s off a blowout win by 20 points or more are 43-13 since 1996. The Clippers are 18-5 UNDER in road games against a team with a winning record over the last 2 years. The Clippers are 16-5 UNDER when revenging a road loss over the last 2 years. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
7* Oregon/Utah NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Oregon +7 The Key: This number has been adjusted too much in Utah’s favor based on the fact that they need to win to get into the four-team playoff. They haven’t been in very many of these National TV games this season, and it’s a lot of pressure on them. There is zero pressure on Oregon because they will likely be going to the Rose Bowl win or lose. I’ll side with the loose, free-rolling Ducks in this game tonight catching a touchdown. Oregon is 44-14 ATS in its lsat 58 games after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game. This is an elite Oregon defense and the best defense that Utah has faced yet. It’s going to be an ugly, low-scoring game with some bad weather, which favors the underdog. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off an ATS loss. Take Oregon. |
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12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -6.5 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan -6.5 The Key: This is an awful spot for the Hawkeyes. They are coming off a huge win at Syracuse on Tuesday and now have to travel to Michigan. Prior to that game at Syracuse, they were in Las Vegas for a tournament facing Texas Tech and San Diego State. They are in a bad travel spot, and they won’t have much left in the tank here for Michigan. The Wolverines got humbled finally with their loss at Louisville on Tuesday. They’ll return home hungry for a win. Remember, this team beat Iowa State, UNC and Gonzaga in the Bahamas and is legitimately one of the best teams in the country. Michigan is 12-1 ATS off a loss over the last 3 years. The Wolverines are 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 years. Take Michigan. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
7* Cowboys/Bears NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -3 The Key: The Dallas Cowboys are 1st in the NFL in offense and 8th in defense. They sit at 6-6, but they are a sleeping giant because of their record. They are way better than they’ve shown record-wise, and I think that comes to fruition tonight as the Cowboys blast the Bears. This is a Bears team that has struggled to put away the Giants and the Lions the last two weeks. And now they’ll meet their match in the Cowboys here tonight. The Bears are 29th in offense and 7th in defense. Their offense just cannot be trusted. Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games overall. The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding 350-plus yard in their previous game. Take Dallas. |
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12-05-19 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 234.5 | 139-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Suns/Pelicans OVER 234.5 The Key: Two terrible defensive teams square off tonight when the Phoenix Suns visit the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are yielding 118.8 PPG this season and play at one of the fastest paces in the NBA. The Suns are yielding 121.6 PPG in their last 5 games and just allowed 128 points to a bad Orlando offense last night. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with combined scores of 245, 259, 254 and 246 points. The OVER is 6-0 in Suns last 6 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The OVER is 11-1 in Pelicans last 12 Thursday games. Take the OVER. |
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12-04-19 | Kings v. Blazers -4 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
7* Kings/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on Portland -4 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers have won 3 of their last 4 coming in with their only loss coming on the road against the Clippers. I know they played the Clippers last night, but they had 3 days off prior to that game, so they won’t be as tired as normal on a back-to-back. The Kings have lost 3 of their last 4 and are finally coming back down to reality after an ATS tear. They are without Fox and Bagley and could be without Bogdanovic tonight, 3 of their best players. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road dog of 0.5 to 4.5. The Blazers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with the Kings. Take Portland. |
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12-04-19 | Texas State +13 v. Houston | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Texas State +13 The Key: The Houston Cougars lost almost everyone from last year’s team and aren’t very good this season. They lost at home to BYU as 11.5-point favorites, failed to cover in a 12-point loss at Oregon, and needed a big finish to beat Rice as 13-point favorites. Texas State is good enough to hang with this down Houston team. Texas State is 6-2 this season with its only 2 losses coming on the road at Air Force by 7 and Baylor by 9. They also upset UNLV on the road and can hang within this spread tonight. Texas State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against a team that allows 42% or less shooting. Take Texas State. |
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12-04-19 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 225 | 127-103 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bucks/Pistons UNDER 225 The Key: The Pistons are tired right now playing for a second consecutive day and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Pistons are 15-3 UNDER in their last 18 games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. These teams just played on November 23rd with the Bucks winning 104-90 for 194 points. This 225-point total is too high and these teams won’t come close to touching it. Take the UNDER. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets -2 | 105-96 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
6* Lakers/Nuggets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Denver -2 The Key: The home team is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with the Lakers and winning by nearly 20 PPG on average. Take Denver. |
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12-03-19 | Oral Roberts +15 v. Creighton | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oral Roberts +15 The Key: Oral Roberts has already gone on the road and played some very good teams tough. They lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, by 7 at Tulsa, by 13 at Iowa and by 9 at Wichita State. They haven’t lost a game by more than 13 points this season and they won’t start tonight. Creighton was beating by 31 by San Diego State before coming back and beating Texas Tech the next day. The Red Raiders aren’t nearly as good as they were last year because they were beaten by Iowa the previous day. Oral Roberts has had a week off and will be prepared for Creighton. The Bluejays will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days. It’s a letdown spot after their tournament in Vegas over Thanksgiving. Creighton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a win. Take Oral Roberts. |
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12-03-19 | Mavs v. Pelicans OVER 232 | Top | 118-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
7* Mavs/Pelicans TNT *Total* Annihilator on OVER 232 The Key: These teams combined for 239 points in their first meeting this season and it will be more of the season tonight. The Mavericks rank 1st in the NBA in offensive efficiency at 116.0 points per 100 possessions. The Pelicans play at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA and are 26th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. These teams have combined for at least 238 points in 4 of their last 5 meetings. The OVER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Take the OVER. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
7* Vikings/Seahawks NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota +3 The Key: The Minnesota Vikings are the better team in this matchup with the Seahawks and should not be underdogs. The Vikings have won 6 of their last 7 and 6 of their 8 wins this year have come by at least 10 points, so they haven’t been getting lucky in close games like the Seahawks. The Seahawks are 9-2 this year but 8 of those wins have come by one score. They are 8-1 in one-score games this year, which is hard to keep up. Mike Zimmer has 2 weeks to get ready for Russell Wilson as the Vikings are coming off their bye week. Wilson has only averaged 161 passing yards per game in his 3 lifetime starts against Zimmer’s Vikings. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Their 3 home wins this year have come by 1, 1 and 6 points with that 6-point win coming in overtime over the Bucs. Take Minnesota. |
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12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets OVER 223.5 | 109-104 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Suns/Hornets OVER 223.5 The Key: When the Phoenix Suns and Charlotte Hornets get together it usually leads to a high-scoring game. And with the way the Hornets are playing this season with a ton of 3-pointers and little defense, it should be more of the same. The Suns are giving up over 119 PPG in their last 5 and have not been playing very good defense as well. The Hornets are 28th in defensive efficiency this year. The OVER is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings with 225-plus combined points in 5 straight matchups. Take the OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 46 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* Pats/Texans AFC *BAILOUT* on OVER 46 The Key: The Patriots will finally get their offense going this week after three straight weeks against good defenses in the Ravens, Eagles and Cowboys. Not to mention the Eagles and Cowboys games were played in terrible weather. It will be perfect conditions in Houston tonight for a high-scoring affair. The Patriots have a good chance of getting both Sanu and Dorsett back at receiver after both players missed last week. And the Texans have one fo the best offenses in the NFL when Will Fuller is healthy, which he is. They basically have two #1 WR’s who are tough to tame. Houston is 18-6 OVER in its last 24 games off 3 consecutive under. The Texans are 30-15 OVER in their last 45 games as a home dog of 7 points or less. The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Take the OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Celtics -7 v. Knicks | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -7 The Key: The Boston Celtics will be hungry for a win Sunday off an upset loss at Brooklyn. Now they take on one of the worst teams in the NBA in the New York Knicks, who are 4-15 on the season. The Celtics have won 7 of their last 8 meetings with the Knicks with 5 of those wins coming by 9 points or more. The Knicks are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 home games, and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 trips to New York. Take Boston. |
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12-01-19 | Packers v. Giants +7 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Giants NFC *CA$H COW* on New York +7 The Key: Daniel Jones is proving to the Giants that their move to get him in the 1st round was warranted. He has played well and has kept the Giants competitive in most games. Jones should dice up a Packers defense that just gave up 37 points to the 49ers last week. The Packers have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. They are 28th in total defense in allowing 380.5 YPG with only the Lions, Dolphins, Cardinals and Bengals being worse. It’s hard to ask them to go on the road and win by more than 7 points with such a bad defense. The Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams that commit one or fewer turnovers per game in the 2nd half of the season. The Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Take New York. |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
6* 49ers/Ravens Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +6 The Key: If there’s one team that can tame the Ravens, it’s certainly the San Francisco 49ers. That’s because they have the top-ranked defense in the NFL. The 49ers only allow 248 YPG on the year. Their offense is clicking after scoring 37 points on the Packers last week and getting both Emanuel Sanders and George Kittle back from injury recently. The Ravens are working on a short week after beating the Rams on Monday Night Football. The 49ers will have the edge in rest and preparation as a result. Baltimore is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 home games off a Monday Night game. The Ravens are only 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games overall. Take San Francisco. |
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11-30-19 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +2.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on San Jose State +2.5 The Key: Fresno State won the Mountain West last year but lost almost everyone from that team and have had a disappointing 4-7 season. Now they won’t be going to a bowl and look like they may have quit because they aren’t playing for anything. They have lost 3 straight coming in. Their only 4 wins this year came against Sacramento State by 14, New Mexico State by 13, UNLV and Hawaii by 3. They have beaten some bad teams outside of Hawaii. San Jose State is one of the most improved teams in the country. They have 5 losses by 10 points or less including losses to bowl teams in Nevada by 3, SDSU by 10, Boise by 10 and Hawaii by 2. They have proven they can play with almost anyone in the conference. They will want to go out a winner on Senior Night here and cap off a nice season. San Jose State is 8-1 ATS against good offensive teams averaging 5.9 YPP or more over the last 2 years. Fresno is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games off a home loss. Take San Jose State. |
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11-30-19 | Southern Miss v. Florida Atlantic -9 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
7* NCAA Football Game of the Year on Florida Atlantic -9 The Key: The FAU Owls would clinch Conference USA’s East division with a win Saturday over Southern Miss. They will be hungry and will show up on Senior Day. I question Southern Miss’ motivation after losing 10-28 at home to Western Kentucky last week. Losing that game meant they don’t control their own destiny now. They lost to LA Tech and LA Tech hosts UTSA as a 20.5-point favorite this week. There’s almost zero chance for the Golden Eagles to win the West Division now. I think they suffer a hangover from that loss. Plus, the Golden Eagles lost QB Jack Abraham to a leg injury in that game against Western Kentucky and he’s highly questionable to return this week. He means everything to their team. FAU is 9-1 ATS against teams that complete 62% or more of their passes over the last 3 years. Take Florida Atlantic. |
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11-30-19 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Kentucky -9 | 26-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky -9 The Key: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers should be more than 9-point home favorites over the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders today. WKU is coming off two straight impressive upsets with a 28-10 win at Southern Miss and a 45-19 win at Arkansas. They are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in conference play this year with their only losses coming to FAU by 11 and Marshall by 3, two of the best teams in the conference. Middle Tennessee is 0-5 on the road this season and losing by 19.2 PPG. The Blue Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. The Hilltoppers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. The Hilltoppers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Take Western Kentucky. |
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11-29-19 | VCU +3 v. Purdue | 56-59 | Push | 0 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* VCU/Purdue NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VCU +3 The Key: VCU is 6-0 and returned 4 starters from last year’s team that won the Atlantic 10. They should be favored over Purdue today. This is a Purdue team that lost their stud Edwards from last year that carried them through the NCAA Tournament. And they just aren’t as good as that Elite 8 team. They lost at home to Texas by 4 and also lost at Marquette by 10 already this year. Purdue is 0-6 ATS in road games after committing 8 turnovers or less last game over the last 2 years. Take VCU. |
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11-29-19 | Pelicans v. Thunder -4 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -4 The Key: The Thunder have been through a tough stretch in losing 4 of their last 5 games and 4 of those 5 on the road. They lost to the Lakers twice by 5 and 3 points. They lost to the Clippers by 2. And they were blown out on the road by Portland while winning at Golden State. Now they are back home here laying a short price against a Pelicans team that is coming off a tough 4-point home loss to the Lakers. That was a game they wanted badly, and I think that loss will beat them twice as they won’t show up tonight against the Thunder. The Pelicans are 2-7 SU & 3-6 ATS on the road this year and giving up 123.1 PPG. The Thunder are 5-4 SU & 6-3 ATS at home. The Pelicans will be without Favors and Ball due to injury. The Pelicans are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 Friday games. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Oklahoma City. |
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11-29-19 | 76ers v. Knicks +7 | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on New York Knicks +7 The Key: The Knicks want revenge from a. 104-109 road loss at Philadelphia as 12.5-point dogs on November 20th. The Knicks now get the 76ers at home just 9 days later. And it’s a depleted 76ers team that will be without Al Horford, Josh Richardson and Kyle O’Quinn tonight. Philadelphia is 8-19 ATS in division road games over the last 3 years. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS loss. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Take New York. |
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11-29-19 | Arkansas State v. South Alabama +11 | Top | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
7* Sun Belt Game of the Year on South Alabama +11 The Key: Arkansas State has been eliminated from Sun Belt title contention. And they have won a lot of close games here of late that has them getting too much respect from the books. Their last 3 wins have come by 1, 5 and 7 points. And I think this game against South Alabama goes down to the wire. South Alabama only lost by 10 at home to LA-Lafayette 2 weeks ago, which is the best team in the Sun Belt alongside Appalachian State. They only lost by 2 to Texas State and by 13 to Georgia State in their last 2 road games. They are back home here where they have been very competitive with a 3-point loss to Georgia Southern as 10-point dogs as well. South Alabama upset Arkansas State 24-19 as 13-point home dogs 2 years ago. The Jaguars will look at this game as their Super Bowl on Senior Day. The Jaguars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning record. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Take South Alabama. |
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11-28-19 | Saints v. Falcons +7 | Top | 26-18 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* Saints/Falcons NFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7 The Key: The Atlanta Falcons will show up today against the New Orleans Saints. They hate the Saints more than any other team in the NFL. And they just beat New Orleans a few weeks back 26-9 on the road as 14-point dogs. Now the Falcons are at home catching 7 points. The Falcons are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home meetings with the Saints with a spread of +7. They haven’t lost by more than 6 points to the Saints at home since 2007. Take Atlanta. |
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11-28-19 | Bills +7 v. Cowboys | 26-15 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Cowboys Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Buffalo +7 The Key: The Buffalo Bills are 8-3 this season and have just one loss by more than 6 points. That means they’d be 10-1 ATS in all games with a line of +7 for them. I believe the Bills are one of the best teams in the NFL, but they don’t get the credit that other teams do. The Cowboys are in a tough spot after a physical, rainy game against the Patriots on Sunday in a late-afternoon game. Now they have to come back and play on a short week after facing the defending champion Patriots. I usually like fading teams after playing the Patriots because it’s always a letdown spot. And that’s the case here. The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Take Buffalo. |
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11-27-19 | Bulls -2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 90-104 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
7* Bulls/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Chicago -2.5 The Key: The Bulls will be hungry for a win tonight after losing badly to the Blazers last game. They have the perfect opponent to get on track tonight. The Warriors are 3-15 this season and just can’t overcome all the massive injuries they’ve accumulated. The Warriors are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. The Warriors are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Chicago. |
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11-27-19 | South Carolina v. Northern Iowa +1 | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
6* South Carolina/Northern Iowa NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa +1 The Key: South Carolina is a train wreck this season after losing Silva and Gravett from last year’s team. The Gamecocks lost by 8 at home to Boston U as 15.5-point favorites. They lost by 23 to Wichita State as 4-point dogs. And now they are taking on a 6-1 Northern Iowa team that may be the best in the MVC this year. The Panthers led by 15 over WVU yesterday but couldn’t hold on and lost 55-60 as 6-point dogs. They will hold on to their lead against this putrid South Carolina team today. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against SEC teams. Take Northern Iowa. |
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11-27-19 | Ole Miss +2.5 v. Penn State | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Ole Miss/Penn State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss +2.5 The Key: The Ole Miss Rebels won 20 games last year and made the NCAA Tournament in Kermit Davis’ first season with the team. He won SEC Coach of the Year and now had 3 starters back from that team and a lot of talent. The Rebels are 4-1 this year with their only loss coming at Memphis 86-87 as 4.5-point dogs. Penn State is 5-0, but it has come against an easy schedule. They were fortunate to win 58-56 as 15-point home favorites over Yale last time out by closing that game on a 12-0 run. Ole Miss is the better of these teams and should not be dogs. The Rebels are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games overall. The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Big Ten teams. The Nittany Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 against SEC teams. Ole Miss is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days. Take Ole Miss. |
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11-26-19 | Wizards +10.5 v. Nuggets | 104-117 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +10.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards are 10-4 ATS in all games this year and 5-1 ATS int heir last 6 games overall. Their last 3 losses have all come by 7 points or fewer. They should be able to stay within single-digits of the Denver Nuggets on the road tonight. The Nuggets are 12-3 but only 3 of those 12 wins came by more than 10 points. Each of the last 6 meetings in this series were decided by 10 points or fewer. The road team is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards have won each of their last 3 trips to Denver outright. Take Washington. |
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11-26-19 | Richmond +9.5 v. Auburn | 65-79 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Richmond +9.5 The Key: The Richmond Spiders improved to 5-0 for the first time since 1985-86 with their 62-52 upset win over Wisconsin yesterday. And now they have their sights set on taking down #18 Auburn tonight. Richmond returned all 5 starters this year and four of them were double-digit scorers. They added in Wagner transfer Blake Francis, who leads the team in scoring this year with 18.6 PPG. Nick Sherod (18.2 PPG), Jacob Gilyard (17.6 PPG), Grant Golden (11.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG) and Nathan Cayo (9.4 PPG) are all returning starters as well. This team is loaded and should continue to be a good money maker all year. Take Richmond. |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -8.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* Western Michigan/NIU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Michigan -8.5 The Key: I like the situation for Western Michigan tonight. The Broncos need a win to clinch a trip to the MAC title game. They are coming off a bye week, so they’ve had 2 full weeks to get ready for Northern Illinois. And they’re facing an NIU team that just suffered their 7th loss last Thursday in a 17-45 setback to Eastern Michigan at home. They won’t be going to a bowl game now, and they won’t be very hungry tonight because of it. NIU is 0-6 ATS in home games against good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 3 years. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record. Take Western Michigan. |
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11-25-19 | Thunder -6 v. Warriors | 100-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Thunder/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Oklahoma City -6 The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off 3 straight tough losses by 2 points to the Clippers, by 5 points to the Lakers and by 3 points to the Lakers. Those are arguably the 2 best teams in the NBA, and they showed they could go toe-to-toe with them. Now the Thunder have their get right game tonight against the Warriors, who are probably the worst team in the NBA. The Warriors are 3-14 this season and losing by 10.6 PPG. The Thunder are on 2 days rest and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on 2 days rest. The Warriors are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 home games and 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Oklahoma City. |
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11-25-19 | New Mexico +8.5 v. Auburn | 59-84 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
6* New Mexico/Auburn NCAAB *CA$H COW* on New Mexico +8.5 The Key: Auburn lost a ton of talent from last year’s Final Four team. They have managed to go 5-0 this year, but it has come against a soft schedule, and they only beat South Alabama by 1 in their lone road game. This will be their toughest game yet. They’re up against a New Mexico team that returns a ton of talent and also recruited some great talent in the offseason. The Lobos are 5-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road by 3 points to UTEP. They beat New Mexico State on the road, and NMSU is great every year. Take New Mexico. |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams OVER 47 | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Rams NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47 The Key: I like the OVER quite a bit tonight. The Ravens are scoring 34.1 PPG this season and can take care of most of this OVER on their own. The Rams get both Robert Woods and Brandon Cooks back at receiver this week after both missed last week. The Rams are scary offensively when they have Woods, Cooks, Kupp and Gurley all healthy at the same time. Bets on the OVER on road teams with a total of 42.5 to 49 who are good teams that outscore opponents by 4 PPG or more when allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 72-31 over the last 10 years. Take the OVER. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 35-22 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Bucs/Falcons NFC South *CA$H COW* on Atlanta -3.5 The Key: No team has been more impressive than the Falcons in the 2nd half of the season this year. They came out of their bye and promptly upset the Saints 26-9 as 14-point road dogs. They proved it was no fluke by following it up with a 29-3 win at Carolina as 4.5-point dogs. And now they are home only laying 3.5 points against a bad Tampa Bay team that can’t seem to get out of their own way. The Bucs are 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jameis Winston cannot be trusted to not turn the ball over. The Bucs have committed 19 turnovers in their last 5 games overall, which is absolutely atrocious. Winston will likely continue giving the ball to the Falcons today, an improved Atlanta defense that has allowed just 12 points total the last 2 weeks combined. Take Atlanta. |
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11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals +6.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Steelers/Bengals AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +6.5 The Key: The Steelers are a mash unit offensively right now. I just don’t see them being able to score many points against the Bengals today considering they are without starting C Maurkice Pouncey, RB James Conner and WR JuJu Smith-Schuster. Those are arguably their 3 best players on offense. The Bengals showed some fight last week in Oakland and only lost by 7. They will certainly show some fight against a division rival in the Steelers this week, and there’s no doubt they want to end this losing streak against them. The Steelers only managed 7 points against the Browns last week and committed 4 turnovers. They’ll continue to struggle to move the football and score points this week. Take Cincinnati. |
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11-24-19 | Dolphins v. Browns -10.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
7* AFC Game of the Month on Cleveland Browns -10.5 The Key: The Browns played the toughest schedule in the entire NFL in the first half of the season. Now the schedule has eased up, and the Browns have taken advantage. After beating a good Bills team 19-16 at home, the Browns crushed the Steelers 21-7 last Thursday. Now the Browns have had extra time to get ready for the Dolphins and are primed for one of their best games of the season. The Dolphins have injuries all over their defense, especially in the secondary. The Browns should take advantage and have one of their best offensive outputs of the year. Cleveland has Kareem Hunt playing now and forming a dynamic 1-2 punch with Nick Chubb. The Dolphins gave up 37 points to a bad Bills offense last week. The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after having won 2 of their last 3 games coming in. Miami is 1-8 ATS in road games off one or more consecutive ATS losses over the last 3 years. Take Cleveland. |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | 86-113 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat +4 The Key: The Miami Heat raced out to a 67-43 halftime lead over the Bulls yesterday. This allowed their starters to get some rest on the second half and for the Heat to be more fresh than Philadelphia. The 76ers also played yesterday, but they were in a dog fight with the Spurs in a game that was within single-digits most the way. They had to extend their starters’ minutes, and wound up winning by 11 by pulling away late. The Heat are the deeper, fresher team and are the right side today. The Heat are one of the best teams in the NBA at 11-3 SU & 10-2-2 ATS on the year. Take Miami. |
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11-23-19 | UCLA +14 v. USC | Top | 35-52 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on UCLA +14 The Key: UCLA is playing well in the 2nd half of the season once again this year. The Bruins have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with 3 double-digit wins over Stanford, ASU and Colorado. They did lose badly to Utah on the road last week, but that was due to committing 5 turnovers and not cashing in any red zone trips, and they had a bunch of them. They will be able to move the ball much more effectively and score points on this soft USC defense. UCLA has played USC tough the last 2 years, upsetting the Trojans as 3-point home dogs last year and only losing by 5 as nearly identical 14.5-point dogs in 2017. USC is 2-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 years. Take UCLA. |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M +13 v. Georgia | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Texas A&M/Georgia SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M +13 The Key: Georgia feels like it cleared its final hurdle last week with a huge 21-14 win at Auburn that clinched the SEC East. And now I think they won’t be giving Texas A&M the attention they deserve this week. Texas A&M is more than capable of coming into Georgia and giving the Bulldogs a game. The Aggies are the fresher team after having a bye 2 weeks ago. They have been blowing out teams in the 2nd half of the season with a 19-point win over Mississippi State, a 31-point win over UTSA and a 24-point win over South Carolina in their last 3 games coming in. Georgia is coming off that physical game at Auburn and there’s no question the Aggies will be the fresher team. Jimbo Fisher is 6-0 ATS after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards as the coach of Texas A&M. Fisher is 10-2 ATS against good defensive teams that allow 285 yards per game or fewer in all games as a coach. Georgia is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 home games off 3 or more consecutive ATS wins. Take Texas A&M. |
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11-23-19 | Florida International -9.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 63-66 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida International -9.5 The Key: FIU has a common opponent with UNC-Wilmington. That common opponent is Cleveland State. FIU beat Cleveland State 107-61 on the road, while UNC-Wilmington just lost to Cleveland State 46-47 yesterday. That’s a Cleveland State team that replaced all 5 starters and is very bad. FIU handled Cleveland State like they should, and they’ll handle this UNC-Wilmington team as well. Take Florida International. |
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11-23-19 | BYU v. UMass +40.5 | 56-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on UMass +40.5 The Key: BYU clinched a bowl last week with a 42-10 win over Idaho State as 33.5-point favorites. They had a chance to punch it in from the 1-yard line and took a knee. And I think they will show similar mercy to 1-10 UMass this week. This is the final game of the season for UMass, so we should be getting their best effort. They actually played Northwestern a lot tougher than the 6-45 final showed last week. They were only outgained by 100 yards by the Wildcats and managed 310 total yards. Look for BYU to run, run and run some more in the 2nd half to try and get this game over with. It will favor UMass staying within the number. Take UMass. |
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11-22-19 | Lakers v. Thunder UNDER 211 | 130-127 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Friday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Lakers/Thunder UNDER 211 The Key: This is my favorite spot to bet an UNDER in the NBA. The Lakers and Thunder are playing a home-and-home situation. They just played in Los Angeles on Tuesday with the Lakers winning 112-107 for 219 combined points. The 2nd meeting in these home-and-home situations is almost always more low scoring than the first because teams are familiar with each other and it favors the defenses. The Lakers are 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this year while the Thunder are 12th. The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take the UNDER. |
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11-22-19 | Evansville -6 v. East Carolina | 68-85 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Evansville -6 The Key: Evansville proved it would be a contender in the MVC this year by going into Kentucky and winning outright as a 24.5-point favorite. No surprise they followed it up with an upset home loss to SMU as 2.5-point favorites in a 2-point loss in a clear letdown spot. The Purple Aces will be refocused for this tournament in the Bahamas. Now they take on a 1-3 ECU team that has a 20-point loss to Liberty at home, a 6-point loss at App State and a 5-point loss at Navy. Their only win came against Virginia Military at home by 12. The Pirates are overmatched here. Evansville is 8-1 ATS in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 years. ECU is 0-6 ATS in road games off 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 years. ECU is 1-9 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 years. ECU is 0-7 ATS in road games against teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last 3 years. Take Evansville. |
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11-22-19 | North Texas v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Rhode Island -6 The Key: Rhode Island returned all 5 starters this year and is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Rams are 3-1 this year with their only loss coming at No. 6 Maryland. They beat Alabama 93-79 at home and will handle North Texas. UNT is 2-3 this year with its only wins against Oklahoma Christian and UNC A&T. They lost at home to Eastern Michigan outright as 9-point favorites, were blown out by 23 at Arkansas, and also lost at VCU. UNT is 0-8 ATS against teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game over the last 2 years. UNT is 6-15 ATS against a team with a winning record over the last 2 years. UNT is 1-9 ATS off an ATS win over the last 2 years. Take Rhode Island. |
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11-21-19 | New Mexico +4 v. New Mexico State | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on New Mexico +4 The Key: Last year was a rebuilding year for head coach Paul Weir and New Mexico. This year he has NBA talent on the roster and the Lobos will be a force in the Mountain West. New Mexico State had a great season last year, but it’s more of a rebuilding season for them now. They have losses to UTEP by 15 and Arizona by 30 already. New Mexico is 4-1 with its only loss coming to UTEP by 3, which gives them a common opponent with New Mexico State. The Lobos only lost by 3 on the road to UTEP, while the Aggies lost by 15 to them on the road. I strongly believe the wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take New Mexico. |
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11-21-19 | Colts +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
7* Colts/Texans AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Indianapolis +3.5 The Key: The Colts will win the battle in the trenches on both sides of the football. That’s why I trust them more than the Texans. They have by far the better defense, and by far the better offensive line. The Colts rushed for 264 yards in their 33-13 win over the Jaguars last week. The Texans gave up 263 rushing yards in their 7-41 loss to the Ravens and managed just 232 total yards on offense. Deshaun Watson was sacked 7 times as his offensive line continues to struggle. And not having JJ Watt makes Houston’s defense one of the worst in the NFL. The Colts are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against winning teams, while the Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against winning teams. The Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Houston. Take Indianapolis. |
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11-21-19 | Blazers v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | 129-137 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Blazers/Bucks UNDER 227.5 The Key: The Blazers and Bucks will both be playing their 3rd game in 4 days today. Neither team will be looking to push the tempo simply because they’ll both be too tired to do so. And with the Blazers not having Damian Lillard, they’re going to have to slow it down and try and make this an ugly, grind it out game if they want any chance to compete with the Bucks. Seven of the last 10 meetings in this series have gone UNDER the total. Take the UNDER. |
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11-20-19 | Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 222 | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Week on Jazz/Timberwolves UNDER 222 The Key: This is one of my favorite situations to bet an UNDER. The Jazz and Timberwolves are playing a home-and-home here after the Minnesota beat Utah 112-102 on the road Monday night. That game saw 214 combined points, and now the total is 222 in the rematch in Minnesota. I think it’s too high, and now that these teams are familiar with one another, points will be hard to come by tonight. Utah is 25-8 UNDER off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more and 20-5 UNDER off a double-digit loss as a home favorite of 6 points or more. The UNDER is 13-3 in Jazz last 16 games overall, 6-1 in Jazz last 7 road games, and 8-0 in Jazz last 8 games playing on one days rest. Take the UNDER. |
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11-20-19 | Toledo v. Buffalo OVER 54 | 30-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
6* Toledo/Buffalo MAC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 54 The Key: The OVER is 4-0 in Toledo’s last 4 games with combined scores of 66, 71, 68 and 59 points. I think this total of 54 has been set too low. The OVER is 3-0 in Buffalo’s last 3 games with combined scores of 63, 57 and 57 points. Buffalo is 8-1 OVER as a home favorite over the last 3 years. The OVER is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 road games. The OVER is 7-0-1 in Bulls last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Take the OVER. |