02-12-12 |
Boston College v. Virginia Tech -12.5 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Virginia Tech -12.5 The Key: The Boston College Eagles are 0-6 in true road games this season and have been outscored in these contests by an average of 14.5 points.
|
02-12-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Boston Celtics +3 |
Top |
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +3 The Key: The Boston Celtics are a strong 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games when valued as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Chicago Bulls, on the other hand, are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when valued as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The value lies with the home dog here.
|
02-12-12 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State +2.5 |
|
46-70 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Wright State +2.5 The Key: The Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games when valued as a favorite. The Wright State Raiders are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games when in the underdog role.
|
02-11-12 |
Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +5 |
Top |
69-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* SEC Game of the Year (ESPN) on Vanderbilt +5 The Key: Riding high off a 20-point blowout win against Florida, the top-ranked Wildcats are primed for a letdown tonight. Vandy is experienced and will be lacking no confidence against a team it defeated by 4 at home and lost to by 2 on the road last season. In fact, each of the last 3 meetings in this series have been decided by 4 points or less.
Vandy has won 8 of its last 9 at home with that lone defeat coming by just 1 point to a very good Mississippi State side. The Commodores are also 11-3 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.0 point. Look for Vandy to pull off the shocker.
|
02-11-12 |
Houston v. Tulsa -13 |
|
48-72 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Tulsa -13 The Key: I won't hesitate to fade the Houston Cougars on the road. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Off a loss at UTEP and having lost by 1-point at Houston back on Jan. 4, the Golden Hurricane won't spare the Cougars.
|
02-11-12 |
Valparaiso v. Youngstown State |
|
53-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Youngstown State pk The Key: This is a letdown spot for Valpo after such a big upset win over Cleveland State. Making this road contest even more difficult will be the absence of Kevin Van Wijk, who ranks 2nd on the team with 14.5 points and 5.2 boards per game. Without his presence in the lineup, I like the Penguins to come out on top.
|
02-11-12 |
San Diego St v. UNLV -9.5 |
|
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* UNLV -9.5 The Key: The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 lined home games. Expect them to avenge an earlier 2-point loss to San Diego State in impressive fashion this afternoon.
|
02-11-12 |
Duquesne v. St Bonaventure -5.5 |
|
48-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* St. Bonaventure -5.5 The Key: The St. Bonaventure Bonnies have won their last 7 at home with each of those wins coming by at least 8 points.
|
02-11-12 |
Tennessee v. Florida -12.5 |
|
75-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Florida -12.5 The Key: The Gators are 15-0 at home while the Volunteers are 0-7 in true road games. Motivated by an embarrassing loss to Kentucky, and out to avenge a loss to Tennessee in the first meeting, expect Florida to have its revenge. The Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
02-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +1.5 |
|
101-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz +1.5 The Key: The Jazz will be the fresher team tonight and that will serve them well. This will be Oklahoma City's 2nd game in as many days, 4th game in 5 days and 7th game in 10 days. The Jazz have had 2 days to rest and prepare for this contest. The Jazz are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
|
02-10-12 |
Indiana Pacers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
92-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers +1.5 The Key: The fact Indiana is coming off a loss is of no concern. The Pacers have 8 losses on the season and have followed up each of the first 7 defeats with wins. Going back to last season, the Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss.
|
02-10-12 |
Dallas Mavericks -129 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks -129 The Key: A 15-point loss to Minnesota last month puts the reigning NBA champs in a great spot. Dallas is 8-0 ATS in road games when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. It's winning by an average of 8.5 points in this situation.
|
02-10-12 |
New Jersey Nets +2.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
Top |
92-109 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nets +2.5 The Key: The Pistons are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Also, often undervalued on the Friday night stage, the Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Bet the Nets.
|
02-09-12 |
San Diego v. Pepperdine -2 |
|
70-57 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Pepperdine -2 The Key: This series has been dominated by the home team, which is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. It is also important to note that the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Waves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Fade San Diego.
|
02-09-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -3.5 |
|
96-89 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Suns -3.5 The Key: The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Rockets. The have won the last 4 at home in this matchup by 6.5 points on average.
|
02-09-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
88-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +3.5 The Key: I'm not sold on Boston, whose best wins are Orlando and Indiana. The Lakers have wins over Denver (when the Nuggets were at full strength), the reigning NBA champion Mavs, and the Clippers. Plus, they played the Bulls to a 1-point game (Boston lost to the Bulls by 9 at home). Off back-to-back defeats, the Lakers will clearly be up for this game. They've won 3 in a row and five of their last six in Boston during the regular season. Take LA.
|
02-09-12 |
Denver v. Florida Atlantic -123 |
|
71-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Florida Atlantic -123 The Key: The Denver Pioneers are 0-8 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pickem the last 3 seasons. Take the Owls.
|
02-09-12 |
Elon v. Chattanooga -5 |
|
75-83 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Chattanooga -5 The Key: The Elon Phoenix are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Mocs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Take Chattanooga.
|
02-08-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
105-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks +1.5 The Key: The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Mavericks are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog and 59-29-1 ATS in their last 89 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-08-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Memphis Grizzlies -8 |
|
80-85 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Grizzlies -8 The Key: The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games, 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite.
|
02-08-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
|
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks -3 The Key: The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Pacers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Also, the favorite is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
|
02-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Cavaliers +7 The Key: The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-08-12 |
Kansas v. Baylor -1.5 |
Top |
68-54 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN2) on Baylor -1.5 The Key: The Jayhawks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less and 0-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. This high total suggests Kansas won't be getting many stops at the defensive end tonight. This is a game Baylor wants badly. It has lost 3 in a row to the Jayhawks and was absolutely embarrassed in the last two. I think it will be very tough for Kansas to put together the type of effort it need to win here, especially after such a deflating loss to Mizzou. Baylor will be the more focused and hungrier team. Bet the Bears.
|
02-07-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Milwaukee Bucks -7 |
Top |
107-105 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Bucks -7 The Key: The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games when matched up against a a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games when up against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Suns are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the points as the rested Bucks handle the Suns at home.
|
02-07-12 |
Providence v. Villanova -7.5 |
|
72-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Villanova -7.5 The Key: Providence has lost its last 5 on the road by an average of 14.2 points. The Friars are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
02-07-12 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Clemson -7.5 |
|
64-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Clemson -7.5 The Key: Maryland is 0-4 in true road games this season, losing these games by an average of 9.0 points. The Terrapins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
|
02-06-12 |
Texas v. Texas A&M +2.5 |
|
70-68 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* ESPN Big Monday CA$H COW on Texas A&M +2.5 The Key: Texas A&M has quietly gone 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games versus conference foes and 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games. The Aggies are also on a 4-0 ATS run versus team that check in with a winning percentage above 60%. Texas is just 1-7 when playing away from home this season and 1-8 ATS in its last 9 matchups at Texas A&M.
|
02-06-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies -1 |
Top |
89-84 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -1 The Key: San Antonio is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last 6 meetings at Memphis. In addition, the Grizzlies are on a 10-2-1 ATS run in the 13 overall meetings in the series. The Spurs snapped a 5-game skid in Memphis a week ago, but the Grizzlies are an impressive 25-10 ATS in their last 35 when out for revenge for a same season loss. Take the Grizzlies.
|
02-06-12 |
Missouri v. Oklahoma +5 |
Top |
71-68 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma +5 The Key: Besides this being a letdown spot for Missouri following Saturday's thrilling win over Kansas, we find that Oklahoma has either won or lost by 4 points or less in each of its last 7 home games against the Tigers. Expect this trend to continue tonight.
|
02-05-12 |
NY Giants v. New England Patriots -2.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
123 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* Super Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots -2.5 The Key: The Patriots lost the regular season meeting by 4 points as the Giants scored a touchdown with 15 seconds remaining. New England, which outgained the Giants 438-361 in that game, was done in by 4 turnovers. Considering the Pats have only committed 2 or more turnovers 5 times all season (the Giants have committed 2 or more 8 times), I like their chances in this revenge spot. The Pats are an impressive 29-10 ATS when out for revenge for a same season loss against an opponent since 1992, and they are 13-3 ATS in this situation since Belichick took over in 2000, winning those games by an average of 9.5 points. Expect the Patriots to have their revenge.
|
02-05-12 |
NY Giants v. New England Patriots OVER 53 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* Super Bowl "Total" Blowout on Giants/Patriots Over 53 The Key: Just 31 total points were scored the last time these two met in the Super Bowl and only 44 total points were tallied in this year's regular-season meeting. Yet, odds makers opened with a line of 55.5 points. This tells me they want the money coming in on the Under. We won't oblige them. New England is 7-0 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Also, the Giants are 9-1 OVER vs. incredible offensive teams scoring 29 or more points/game under coach Coughlin. After going scoreless in the first half in this season's matchup, the Giants and Patriots combined for 44 points in the second half. Don't expect another scoreless half of football. Their second half output tells me they are capable of crushing this number.
|
02-04-12 |
Montana v. Montana State +7 |
|
67-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Montana State +7 The Key: This is a big rivalry game and last year's 21-point home loss to Montana cannot be sitting well with State. The elevated total suggests this game will be played at Montana State's tempo. This is significant because Montana is just 3-11 ATS in a road game when the total is 135 to 139.5 under coach Tinkle. We'll take the points.
|
02-04-12 |
Buffalo v. Toledo +5 |
|
72-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Toledo +5 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 in this series. Plus, the underdog has covered the number in 8 of the last 11 meetings between these two MAC foes.
|
02-04-12 |
Middle Tenn. St. v. Denver -1.5 |
|
60-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Denver -1.5 The Key: The Denver Pioneers have been, and will continue to be, a force to be reckoned with at home, where they are 10-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less (or pickem) over the last 3 seasons.
|
02-04-12 |
Texas A&M v. Kansas State -11 |
|
53-64 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas State -11 The Key: Texas A&M is 0-4 in true road games this season, losing those contests by an average of 12.0 points. Plus, K-State is 7-0 at home in this series since 1998, winning those games by an average score of 77.0 to 61.0.
|
02-04-12 |
Evansville v. Southern Illinois +2 |
Top |
52-53 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year on Southern Illinois +2 The Key: An 18-point loss at Evansville in late December is all the motivation Southern Illinois will need Saturday. Expect a much different result in this meeting as the Salukis are 12-2 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 home games in the series. The Salukis are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and the home team is 15-5-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Home court has been huge in this matchup, and I fully expect this trend to continue.
|
02-04-12 |
Delaware v. James Madison -4 |
|
85-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* James Madison -4 The Key: We were all over Delaware Wednesday and we cashed in our Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year as they upset George Mason. We'll go against the Blue Hens here as they are just 5-16-2 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS win.
|
02-04-12 |
Arkansas v. LSU -4 |
|
65-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* LSU -4 The Key: The LSU Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. The Razorbacks, meanwhile, are a miserable 2-12 ATS in their last 14 lined road games.
|
02-03-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +9 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
94-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Line Mistake Game of the Month on Grizzlies +9 The Key: Odds makers have overinflated this line because the Grizzlies just played last night, but this team has been the best in the NBA in back-to-backs, going 20-4 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. The fact Memphis has lost the first two meetings in the season series also bodes well for us considering it is 18-8 ATS when playing with double revenge since the beginning of last season. As you recall, OKC knocked Memphis out of the playoffs last year. The Grizzlies will be looking to make a major statement here and should be able to keep this one easily within the generous number.
|
02-03-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets -6.5 |
|
81-99 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets -6.5 The Key: I'm fading the Suns on the road against a motivated Rockets squad that will be hungry to end a 2-game skid. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600 and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Rockets are 8-4 ATS at home this season and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
02-03-12 |
Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors -4.5 |
|
89-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors -4.5 The Key: The Raptors fit perfectly into a system that has been money in the bank the last 5 seasons. Playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) that are out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to a foe, and are coming off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll take the Raptors.
|
02-02-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
92-95 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +3.5 The Key: Portland has really struggled outside the Rose Garden to the tune of 3-8 SU and ATS. The Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less.
|
02-02-12 |
Arizona St v. Stanford -14 |
Top |
44-68 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Stanford -14 The Key: Off 3 straight losses (all on the road), the Cardinal will show no mercy back on their home floor this evening. ASU has been a pushover on the road in Pac-12 Conference action, taking 17-point losses to Arizona and UCLA, a 15-point loss to Colorado and a 21-point defeat to Utah. The Sun Devils are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games. I'll lay the points with a hungry Stanford squad that is 11-1 at home on the season.
|
02-02-12 |
Marist +15 v. Manhattan |
|
51-73 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* Marist +15 The Key: The Manhattan Jaspers are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite. Plus, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
02-02-12 |
Nebraska v. Northwestern -6.5 |
|
74-84 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Northwestern -6.5 The Key: The Cornhuskers are a soft 8-19-2 ATS in their last 29 road games when valued as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
02-02-12 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech +5 |
|
75-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Virginia Tech +5 The Key: The Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
02-01-12 |
St. Bonaventure v. St. Louis -10.5 |
|
62-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* St. Louis -10.5 The Key: The Billikens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
|
02-01-12 |
George Mason v. Delaware +5.5 |
Top |
60-65 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year on Delaware +5.5 The Key: The Blue Hens are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The home team is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings and the Patriots are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings at Delaware.
|
02-01-12 |
Indiana v. Michigan -4.5 |
|
56-68 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan -4.5 The Key: The Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Wolverines are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
01-31-12 |
Kansas State +1 v. Iowa State |
|
70-72 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas State +1 The Key: Iowa State has lost 10 of the last 11 in this series, and I expect its struggles to continue against Kansas State in this letdown spot (upset Kansas Saturday). The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-31-12 |
Seton Hall +8.5 v. Marquette |
Top |
59-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Seton Hall +8.5 The Key: The Pirates are an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Golden Eagles are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
01-31-12 |
Wisconsin v. Penn State +8.5 |
|
52-46 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Penn State +8.5 The Key: The Nittany Lions are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
|
01-31-12 |
Michigan State v. Illinois +2 |
|
41-42 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Illinois +2 The Key: The Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less. They are also 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Illinois.
|
01-30-12 |
Missouri v. Texas +2 |
|
67-66 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Texas +2 The Key: The Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog while the Tigers 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
|
01-30-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +6.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves +6.5 The Key: The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.
|
01-30-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +13 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
95-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Letdown Game of the Year on Hornets +13 The Key: The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record. Expect the Heat to endure a letdown here following a big win over the Bulls. Take the Hornets.
|
01-30-12 |
Orlando Magic +7.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Magic +7.5 The Key: The Magic are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
|
01-30-12 |
Pittsburgh v. West Virginia -6 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* West Virginia -6 The Key: The Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss.
|
01-29-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves |
Top |
106-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +1.5 The Key: The Lakers have won 15 in a row against the T-Wolves, and I expect this run to continue Sunday. LA's length has given the Wolves major problems in recent meetings, and I expect it to be the difference again. The Lakers aren't at all happy with the way they've played on the road, and they'll do something about it here against a team they've dominated.
|
01-29-12 |
Utah v. USC -12.5 |
|
45-62 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* USC -12.5 The Key: Utah is 0-10 in all games away from home this season, losing them by an average of 25.0 points.
|
01-28-12 |
Louisville v. Seton Hall -1.5 |
|
60-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Seton Hall -1.5 The Key: The Pirates are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Cardinals are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
|
01-28-12 |
Columbia v. Cornell -3.5 |
|
60-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Cornell -3.5 The Key: Revenge game for Cornell after losing at Columbia last weekend. The Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and the fave has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 in this series.
|
01-28-12 |
San Diego St v. Colorado St +3 |
Top |
60-77 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on Colorado State +3 The Key: Vegas is begging for action on 12th-ranked SDSU, but we won't bite. Colorado State has played the Aztecs to 1 and 2-point games in two of the last three meetings, and I like it to come out on top this time around. CSU is coming off a pair of bad losses on the road but is a different team at home, where it is 9-1 this season with an average winning margin of 7.0 points. Pound the Rams.
|
01-28-12 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M -4.5 |
|
61-76 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Texas A&M -4.5 The Key: Huge letdown spot for Oklahoma State following its upset win over Mizzou. Also, the Cowboys are just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog.
|
01-28-12 |
Wofford v. College of Charleston -4.5 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Charleston -4.5 The Key: Charleston was kicked at Wofford earlier this month but is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 when revenging a road loss of 10 points or more.
|
01-28-12 |
Mississippi State v. Florida -9 |
|
57-69 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Florida -9 The Key: Florida is a perfect 10-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 24.5 points. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series.
|
01-27-12 |
Orlando Magic v. New Orleans Hornets +4 |
Top |
67-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Hornets +4 The Key: It's going to be tough for the Magic to get back up tonight after blowing a 27-point lead in last night's loss to the Celtics. They would rather hide under a rock right now. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Magic are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against the Hornets. Take the points.
|
01-26-12 |
Washington v. Arizona St +7 |
|
60-54 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* Arizona State +7 The Key: The Washington Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. The ASU Sun Devils, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Washington has just 1 win away from home in 6 chances this season and that win came by just 4 points.
|
01-26-12 |
Butler v. Wisc-Milwaukee -3.5 |
|
42-53 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Wisconsin-Milwaukee -3.5 The Key: The Bulldogs are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less and 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. The Panthers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
01-26-12 |
Davidson v. Tenn Chattanooga +8 |
Top |
64-63 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* Southern Conference Game of the Year on Chattanooga +8 The Key: The odds are heavily stacked against Davidson covering this spread. Davidson is 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons, 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons, 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons and 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Mocs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. We'll take the points behind this 33-0 ATS angle.
|
01-25-12 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Warriors -3.5 The Key: The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups against the Trail Blazers and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home matchups against Portland. Also, the Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
|
01-25-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 |
|
91-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Lakers -3.5 The Key: While the Clippers and Lakers both play at the Staples Center, the team considered the home team has had a big advantage in terms of the point spread. Consider that the designated home side is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
01-25-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +6 |
|
122-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +6 The Key: This series has been dominated by the home team. In fact, the home team is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
01-25-12 |
Notre Dame v. Seton Hall -7 |
|
55-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* Seton Hall -7 The Key: The Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games while the Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
|
01-25-12 |
Delaware v. Northeastern -7.5 |
|
61-62 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Northeastern -7.5 The Key: The Blue Hens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
01-25-12 |
Dayton v. St. Joseph's -4.5 |
Top |
63-77 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Joseph's -4.5 The Key: The Hawks are a tremendous 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or fewer.
|
01-25-12 |
Florida State v. Wake Forest +8 |
|
75-52 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Wake Forest +8 The Key: This is the perfect time to fade FSU as it is all puffed up following upset wins over UNC and Duke in 2 of its last 3 games. The Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
01-24-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trail Blazers -5.5 |
|
84-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Trail Blazers -5.5 The Key: Portland is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS at home, where it is winning by an average of 10.3 points. I expect it to bring Memphis' 7-game winning streak to an end here. The Grizzlies are coming off an emotionally and physically exhausting 1-point win over Golden State in which they had to come back from 20 points down late in the second half. Expect them to come out flat and fall this evening.
|
01-24-12 |
Orlando Magic +3 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
102-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Magic +3 The Key: Orlando has won 5 in a row against Indiana in convincing fashion (by an average of 13.6 points). Coming off arguably the worst performance in franchise history Monday, the Magic have all the incentive they need to continue their dominance against the Pacers.
|
01-24-12 |
Tennessee v. Vanderbilt -8.5 |
Top |
47-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Vanderbilt -8.5 The Key: The Volunteers haven't won a true road game this season (0-5). Plus, the Commodores are 4-1 in the SEC with those 4 wins coming by an average of 15.3 points. After enduring their first SEC loss over the weekend, Vandy will be looking to level Tennessee tonight.
|
01-23-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors -1.5 |
Top |
91-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Warriors -1.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
01-23-12 |
Loyola Marymount v. Santa Clara -1 |
|
74-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Santa Clara -1 The Key: The Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
|
01-23-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 |
|
107-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Timberwolves -2.5 The Key: The Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
|
01-23-12 |
Iona v. Siena +10.5 |
|
62-65 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Siena +10.5 The Key: The Iona Gaels are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
01-22-12 |
NY Giants +3 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
98 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants +3 The Key: The 49ers may be 8-1 at home with a win over the Giants this season, but the Packers were 8-0 at home and had a win over the G-men also before losing to them by 17 points last week. New York is an undefeated 6-0 ATS in the postseason when playing away from home with Tom Coughlin at the helm, and I'll ride this trend Sunday.
|
01-22-12 |
Baltimore Ravens +9 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* AFC Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Ravens +9 The Key: These teams have met 4 times since 2007 and 3 of those meetings were decided by 6 points or less. The one that wasn't was a 33-14 Ravens win in New England in the 2010 playoffs. The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home playoff games. I just don't see New England's 31st-ranked defense, which allowed 411.1 yards per game during the regular season, getting enough stops to cover this number. Bet Baltimore.
|
01-21-12 |
Air Force +14 v. San Diego St |
|
44-57 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Bailout on Air Force +14 The Key: Since taking over as Air Force head man, Jeff Reynolds has led the Falcons to a 10-1 ATS record on the road against teams with winning percentages above 80%.
|
01-21-12 |
Middle Tenn. St. v. South Alabama +7.5 |
|
68-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* South Alabama +7.5 The Key: The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.
|
01-21-12 |
Syracuse v. Notre Dame +9 |
|
58-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Notre Dame +9 The Key: I like the Irish catching nearly double digits at home, where it has won 29 of its last 30 games.
|
01-21-12 |
Valparaiso v. Illinois-Chicago +6 |
|
60-55 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* Illinois-Chicago +6 The Key: The Flames are an impressive 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less.
|
01-21-12 |
Florida State v. Duke -10.5 |
Top |
76-73 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Duke -10.5 The Key: FSU rolled UNC at home, but it isn't the same team on the road, especially at Duke where it has lost 10 of the last 11 in the series by an average score of 83 to 66. Florida State is 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by an average of 16.1 points.
|
01-21-12 |
Kansas v. Texas +3.5 |
|
69-66 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Texas +3.5 The Key: It's going to be mighty tough for Kansas to come away with a win at Texas, where the Longhorns are 11-0 this season. Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points.
|
01-21-12 |
Kansas State v. Oklahoma State +3.5 |
|
66-58 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma State +3.5 The Key: I'll gladly take the points here considering Oklahoma State has won 7 in a row at home against the Wildcats.
|
01-20-12 |
Manhattan v. Marist +8 |
|
61-44 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Marist +8 The Key: The home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 in this series, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7.
|
01-20-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
98-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Underdog Game of the Month on Pistons +4 The Key: The Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Also, underdogs (DETROIT) - cold team failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 and tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days - are 42-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound the Pistons.
|
01-20-12 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 |
|
76-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* 76ers -5.5 The Key: The 76ers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Lay the number.
|
01-20-12 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Youngstown State +3 |
|
66-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Youngstown State +3 The Key: Wisconsin-Milwaukee has struggled away from home. It is 4-5 on the road this season and just 1-4 in its last 5 road games. In addition, 2 of its road wins have come by just 2 points. Youngstown State is 5-1 at home. Take the points.
|
01-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Utah Jazz |
|
94-91 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Mavericks +3 The Key: The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog.
|
01-19-12 |
UCLA v. Oregon State -1 |
|
84-87 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Oregon State -1 The Key: The Bruins are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less.
|
01-19-12 |
Stanford v. Washington State +1 |
|
69-81 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Washington State +1 The Key: The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Cardinal are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
|