Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-19-20 | St. Peter's +1 v. Monmouth | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on St. Peter's +1 The Key: I love the situation for St. Peter's today. They are coming off a 76-78 loss to Monmouth yesterday in a game that was lined at a pick 'em. Now they are 1-point dogs to Monmouth in the rematch. St. Peter's will be the hungrier team here today and will avenge that defeat with an outright win. And I don't even think it will be close. St. Peter's could easily be 6-1 this year as their 2 losses have come to St. John's and Monmouth by a combined 3 points. St. Peter's is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a road loss. The Peacocks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as road underdogs. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 matchups. Take St. Peter's. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Ole Miss -2.5 v. LSU | 48-53 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Ole Miss/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss -2.5 The Key: LSU is coming off a shocking 37-34 win over Florida as more than 3-touchdown underdog. The Gators were clearly looking ahead to their SEC Championship Game against Alabama this week. And that win has LSU getting too much respect from the books this week. Ole Miss is in the better situation. The Rebels haven't played in 3 weeks and will be fresh. They have won 3 in a row coming in and also gave Alabama their stiffest test of the season to flash their potential. LSU just beat Florida and won't care nearly as much about beating Ole Miss this week because of it. The situation favors the Rebels. The Tigers are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games off an upset win as a road dog. Take Ole Miss. |
|||||||
12-19-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +6 | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Oklahoma/Iowa State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +6 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones have saved their best football for last. They are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while outscoring their last 5 opponents by a total of 121 points and by an average of 24.2 PPG. That's why they are getting so much hype in the college football playoff rankings, and deservedly so. But now they are getting disrespected once again as 6-point dogs to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship Game. They upset Oklahoma as 7.5-point home dogs, 37-30 in their first matchup this year. The Cyclones are now 5-0 ATS in their last 5 matchups with Oklahoma with an average cover of 16 PPG. They haven't lost any of the last 5 matchups by more than 10 points, so Matt Campbell clearly has this Oklahoma team figured out. And it's a Sooners team coming off one of their worst performances of the season. They managed just 269 total yards in a 27-14 win over Baylor as a 23-point favorite. They were actually outgained by the awful Bears in that contest. Iowa State is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 11-1 ATS under Campbell against good passing teams that average 8.5 or more yards per attempt. The Sooners are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as favorites. Take Iowa State. |
|||||||
12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | Top | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Rutgers +7 The Key: Nebraska is just 2-5 and should not be favored this heavily over Rutgers in the season finale for both teams. The Huskers are coming off an upset loss to Minnesota as 8-point favorites. Rutgers has the momentum, coming off an upset win over Maryland last time out. They also upset Purdue two games ago as a double-digit dog. They have been competitive in most their games this year, too. The Scarlet Knights now have a chance to win four Big Ten games for the first time since joining the conference in 2014. "This Nebraska game is everything," head coach Greg Schiano said. "We're shooting for something that has not been done at Rutgers. ANd, to do it in a situation where you play nine straight. And, to do it in a situation where you didn't have a non-conference to work out any of the kings. I think everybody in our program has a chance to do something special." It's clear that the Scarlet Knights want this game more than Nebraska does. Bets against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who have lost 3 of their last 4 games, in conference games are 70-38 ATS over the last 5 years. The Huskers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as dogs. Take Rutgers. |
|||||||
12-18-20 | St. Peter's -1 v. Monmouth | 76-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on St. Peter's -1 The Key: St. Peter's is a good team. They are 4-2 this year with one of their losses coming by a single point to St. John's as an 11-point dog. Their only blowout loss came to a very good Maryland team on the road. They have 3 wins by double-digits. The key here is that they are sharp right now having played 6 games. The same cannot be said for Monmouth, which finally got to play its first game of the season on Tuesday, December 15th. They lost that game 88-96 to Hofstra as a 1.5-point dog. I'll gladly side with the sharper St. Peter's team, which went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Monmouth last year, outscoring them by a total of 15 points in their 2 wins. The Peacocks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. St. Peter's is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games. Take St. Peter's. |
|||||||
12-18-20 | North Dakota +7.5 v. Southern Illinois | 50-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on North Dakota +7.5 The Key: I like the situation for North Dakota tonight. This is a crazy college basketball season, and as a result there are a lot of back-to-backs. North Dakota just lost to Southern Illinois last night. Now they will be the more hungry team here than the Salukis. And they are exactly the same 7.5-point dogs that they were last night. North Dakota has 3 losses by single-digits this year, including a 9-point loss at Minnesota. They have been competitive in every game outside of that game against Southern Illinois last night, and they will look to make amends here. The Fighting Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS loss. North Dakota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games after playing 4 consecutive games as a dog. Take North Dakota. |
|||||||
12-17-20 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Wyoming -10.5 | 78-82 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wyoming -10.5 The Key: Jeff Linder won 21-plus games in his final 3 seasons at Northern Colorado before getting hired by Wyoming in the offseason. Now he's already doing big things for the Cowboys, leading them to a 5-1 start this year with their only loss coming by 2 points. That includes an upset win at Oregon State as a 9-point dog. And 3 of their 5 wins have come by double-digits. Now they should crush a Nebraska-Omaha team in a terrible spot. Omaha just had to play at Colorado last night and lost 49-91. Now they will have to make the bus trip to Wyoming and play the 2nd of a back-to-back. Omaha is 2-6 this season with its 2 wins coming by a combined 3 points over Middle Tennessee (60-59) and SIU-Edwardsville (65-63). 5 of their 6 losses have come by 12 points or more. Omaha is getting outscored by 18.8 PPG on the season. Wyoming is outscoring opponents by 12.5 PPG on the year, so this is the perfect storm given the awful situation for Omaha. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mavericks are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 against a team with a winning record. The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Wyoming. |
|||||||
12-17-20 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Raiders AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3.5 The Key: The Los Angeles Chargers are the better team than the Las Vegas Raiders despite what their records say. The Chargers are 4-9 this season but outgaining their opponents by nearly 50 YPG, while the Raiders are 7-6 despite getting outgained by nearly 15 YPG. The Raiders have a soft defense that allows 30.1 PPG on the season and 37.5 PPG over their last 4 contests. And that defense isn't getting any better with all of their injuries right now, most notably to DE Ferrell and S Abram, who are among at least 4 starters that are out for this game. The Chargers want to end the Raiders' playoff hopes here. That would be sweet revenge for a 26-31 loss to the Raiders in their 1st matchup this year in which the Chargers had their game-winning TD overturned on replay on the final play of the game. The Chargers outgained the Raiders by 120 yards in that contest and had a 26-16 edge in first downs. Bets against favorites like the Raiders after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 52-19 ATS over the last 5 years. The Raiders committed 3 turnovers in their 27-44 loss to the Colts on Sunday and now have 10 turnovers in their last 3 games. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
12-16-20 | Northeastern v. Syracuse -17.5 | Top | 56-62 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
7* Northeastern/Syracuse NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -17.5 The Key: Syracuse is 4-1 this year with 3 wins by 30 or more points. Their only loss came to Rutgers, which just beat Maryland by 14 on the road and is one of the better teams in the country. They rebounded with one of the best performances of any team this season with a 101-63 win over Boston College. And now they should make easy work of Northeastern. The Huskies brought back just 2 players who averaged more than 3.5 PPG last season. They are inexperienced and have just 2 games under their belts, a home-and-home with UMass. Syracuse is 7-0 all-time against Northeastern, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups with a 72-49 win in their most recent showdown in 2018. The Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win. The Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win. Take Syracuse. |
|||||||
12-15-20 | Furman +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Furman +6.5 The Key: Furman is 5-1 this year and outscoring opponents by 24.1 PPG. They have picked up right where they left off. They won 23 games in Bob Richey’s first season, then proceeded to tie a school record with 25 wins each fo the last 2 seasons. They returned 4 starters and 3 double-digit scorers from last year’s team that went 25-7. And their only loss this season came on the road to a solid Cincinnati team by a final of 73-78. Alabama is just 3-2 with an 18-point loss to Stanford and an 8-point loss to Stanford. I think the Crimson Tide are getting too much respect from the books here against a Furman team that is very capable of winning this one outright. Plus the Crimson Tide are coming off that huge rivalry game against Clemson and have an even bigger game on deck this weekend against No. 6 Houston. This is a sandwich spot for the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 home games. Furman is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 road games. The Paladins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games off a home win where they scored 85 or more points. Take Furman. |
|||||||
12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | Top | 47-42 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Browns MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +3 The Key: The Cleveland Browns are out to prove that they can beat the Baltimore Ravens. They want revenge from that 6-38 loss in Week 1 in which things spiraled out of control after a botched fake punt early and 3 turnovers. The Browns have been a completely different team since. They have gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall and now find themselves just one game out of 1st place in the AFC North. They are the much fresher, healthier team right now than the Ravens as well. Baltimore will be playing its 3rd game in 12 days due to COVID complications. They had just 5 days to get ready for the Browns after playing the Cowboys on Tuesday. Cleveland has had 7 days to get ready for Baltimore. The Browns are 5-1 SU at home this year. Baker Mayfield is playing his best football and hasn't thrown an interception since October 25, a span of almost 6 games. He has 11 TD and zero interceptions since his last pick. And with Nick Chubb back healthy, the Browns have been monsters on the ground. They have rushed for 100-plus yards in 5 straight games and an average of 173.3 RYPG in their last 4. The Ravens have given up 111 or more rushing yards in 4 of their last 5. The Browns have been good against the run all season, yielding only 104 RYPG. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | St. John's +100 v. Georgetown | 94-97 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
6* St. John's/Georgetown Big East *CA$H COW* on St. John's ML +100 The Key: St. John's has 4 starters back for head coach Mike Anderson this year. The Red Storm are 5-2 this year with their only losses both coming on the road to BYU and Seton Hall by single-digits. This is a very sneaky team in the Big East. Georgetown is one of the worst teams in the conference. They are 2-3 this year and only brought back one starter and lost all of their best players from last year. Their 2 wins have come against Maryland-Baltimore County and Coppin State. They lost to Navy, WVU and Villanova. And they are coming off a loss to 13-point loss to Villanova on Friday in which they blew a double-digit lead and were outscored 43-17 in the 2nd half. I doubt they'll be mentally recovered 2 days later here. And the Hoyas are a thin team so playing 2 games in 3 days is a tough situation for them. The depth of St. John's is a huge advantage, and they will run Georgetown to death tonight. The Red Storm average 80.3 PPG on 46.7% shooting as they have been one of the best offensive teams in the country. The Hoyas are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 2 straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds. Take St. John's. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. 49ers | Top | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
7* NFC Game of the Year on Washington +3 The Key: Washington has won 3 straight including upset road wins over the Cowboys and 49ers to get into a tie with the Giants for 1st place in the NFC East. But they lost both matchups with the Giants so they are essentially a game behind. They need wins like blood here down the stretch. The 49ers just lost to the Bills last week to essentially eliminate them from the playoffs. They are now 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. I don't like their mindset right now, and there's no way they should be favored over Washington this week. Washington has one of the best defenses in the NFL in yielding only 310.9 YPG. And Alex Smith has provided some stability to their offense. He led them back from a 14-0 deficit against the Steelers last week to pull the 23-17 upset. Washington hasn't lost any of its last 7 games by more than 3 points, making for a 7-0 angle back them here. The 49ers are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games as favorites. Take Washington. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Ohio v. Marshall -3 | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Marshall -3 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. They are off to a good start this year at 3-0 with a 14-point win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite, a 16-point win at Wright State as a 1-point favorite and a 12-point win at Charleston as a 7-point favorite. Ohio is 4-1 and off to a good start as well, but lost to the only good team they faced in Illinois. Their 4 wins came against Chicago State. North Carolina A&T, Cleveland State and Purdue NW. Ohio is 3-19 ATS in its last 22 road games off 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. Marshall is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off a win by 10 points or more. The situation favors the Thundering Herd as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 10 days. Ohio will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days. The Thundering Herd are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Take Marshall. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Broncos v. Panthers -3.5 | 32-27 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Broncos/Panthers Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3.5 The Key: The situation favors the Carolina Panthers today. They return from their bye week to face a banged up Broncos team that will be playing for a 9th consecutive week after having an early bye in Week 5. The Broncos are coming off a tough 16-22 loss to the Chiefs in a game that the Chiefs were flat. They were more dominant than the score showed as they had 447 total yards against the Broncos. The Panthers are getting healthier coming off their bye and will have several players available that were in COVID protocol. The Broncos are getting outscored by 7.9 PPG on the season. Take Carolina. |
|||||||
12-13-20 | Chiefs v. Dolphins +7 | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Chiefs/Dolphins AFC *CA$H COW* on Miami +7 The Key: The Miami Dolphins have gone 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Their defense is one of the best in the league and has what it takes to slow down Patrick Mahomes. They face a Chiefs team that is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall with 4 straight wins by 6 points or fewer. The Chiefs shouldn't be laying 7 points on the road here to Miami. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS at home this year. The Chiefs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after gaining an average of 450 YPG or more in their last 3 games coming in. Take Miami. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Virginia +3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Virginia/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Virginia +3.5 The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers are clearly trying to make the most of this season. They have won 4 straight and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. A win here Saturday over rival Virginia Tech would assure that they finish the season with a winning record. They have wins over UNC, Louisville and Boston College during this stretch and only a 5-point loss at Miami. Virginia Tech sits at 4-6 and is going the other direction. The Hokies are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They are coming off two straight blowout losses to Pitt by 33 and Clemson by 35. They haven’t shown much fight in either game and I don’t see them showing up today, either. The Hokies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games against at team that wins 51% to 60% of their games. The Cavaliers are 11-1-2 ATS int heir last 14 games after scoring more than 40 points in their last game. Take Virginia. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | USC v. UCLA +3.5 | Top | 43-38 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
7* USC/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA +3.5 The Key: The UCLA Bruins are very close to being 5-0 this year. They lost by 6 to Colorado and by 3 to Oregon, both on the road. And they have wins over Cal by 24, Arizona by 17 and Arizona State by 7. They are battle tested and ready to beat a team like USC. The Trojans are 4-0 but could easily be 2-2. They only beat Arizona State by 1 and Arizona by 4, the same two teams that UCLA beat by a combined 24 points. The Bruins actually have the better stats too as they are outgaining teams by 0.8 yards per play while USC is outgaining teams by 0.5 yards per play. The Trojans have also benefitted from being +6 in turnovers and forcing a whopping 12 of them in four games. The Trojans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites. USC is 16-35-2 ATS in its last 53 road games overall. The Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . The home team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 matchups. Take UCLA. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Houston v. Memphis +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
6* Houston/Memphis AAC *CA$H COW* on Memphis +5.5 The Key: The Houston Cougars have not played a game in a month and will be rusty here. They should not be 5.5-point road favorites over the Memphis Tigers. It has been a down season for Memphis, but they are still 6-3 this year and want to finish the season strong. Houston is 3-3 with losses to the three best teams they’ve faced all by 17 points or more. Their 3 wins have come against USF, Navy and Tulane. Memphis is 4-0 SU in its last 4 matchups with Houston and hasn’t lost to the Cougars by more than 4 points in any of the last 6 matchups. The Tigers are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games against good offensive teams that score 31 PPG or more. Dana Holgorsen is 6-18 ATS as a head coach coming off a bye week. The Cougars are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by more than 20 points. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home dogs. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Dayton v. Mississippi State +4 | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Dayton/Mississippi State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +4 The Key: The Mississippi State Bulldogs have bounced back from losses to Clemson and Liberty to open the season by going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with wins by 17, 6 and 23 points. The Bulldogs are now 4-point dogs to a rebuilding Dayton team that is 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS. The Flyers lost Obi Toppin to the NBA and have not been impressive at all. They were upset by SMU and only beat Eastern Illinois by 3 as 14-point favorites and Northern Kentucky by 6 as 11.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off 2 consecutive home wins. Mississippi State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games against good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better. Take Mississippi State. |
|||||||
12-12-20 | Cincinnati v. Tennessee -6.5 | 56-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Tennessee NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -6.5 The Key: The Tennessee Vols are one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and ranked 12th. They just haven’t had a chance to show it, and I think they are being undervalued because of only playing one game. That one game was impressive with a 56-47 win over a very good Colorado team. And now they take on Cincinnati, which only beat Lipscomb by 12, Furman by 5 and lost to Xavier by 8. I think we can expect a 7-plus point victory from the Vols today in this matchup. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. This will be their first road game this year. The Bearcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as road dogs. Cincinnati is 6-23 ATS in its last 29 games off a win. Take Tennessee. |
|||||||
12-11-20 | Nevada +1.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
7* Nevada/SJSU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Nevada +1.5 The Key: Nevada has been the best team in the Mountain West this year in my opinion. I’ve cashed on them several times already, and I’ll take them again tonight as they should not be dogs to San Jose State. The Wolf Pack are outgaining their opponents by 81.0 YPG this year while San Jose State is outgaining opponents by 72.0 YPG. And I like the situation for Nevada better here. The Wolf Pack get to stay in Nevada as this game will be played at Sam Boyd Stadium. The Spartans had to fly back from Hawaii over the weekend and now have to travel to Nevada too on this short week. The Wolf Pack will be the fresher, more prepared team for this one. Nevada is 10-1 SU in the last 11 matchups. The Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs. Take Nevada. |
|||||||
12-11-20 | Iowa State v. Iowa -12.5 | 77-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Iowa NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa -12.5 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes brought back all 5 starters this year and have arguably the best player in the country in Luka Garza, who is averaging 29.5 PPG and 10.8 RPG this year. He is surrounded by shooters in Wieskamp (13.8 PPG, 57.9% 3-pointers), Fredrick (11.0 PPG, 58.8%) and Bohannon (8.8 PPG, 33.3%) to make Iowa one of the most dangerous teams in the country offensively. That was on display in their 93-80 win over UNC in which they made 17 3-pointers. Garza even had an off game with 6-of-20 from the floor and they still dominated. Now they face an Iowa State team that is rebuilding after losing Tyrese Haliburton to the NBA. The Cyclones struggled against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and actually trailed them at halftime. Then they got upset by South Dakota State. They won’t be able to hang with the Hawkeyes in this rivalry game. And Iowa has beaten Iowa State by exactly 14 points each of the last 2 years. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games off 2 consecutive non-conference games. The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS off 2 straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 years. The Cyclones are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs. Take Iowa. |
|||||||
12-11-20 | Nebraska v. Creighton OVER 152 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Nebraska/Creighton NCAAB *CA$H COW* on OVER 152 The Key: Two teams built for offense and little defense square off tonight in this rivalry between Nebraska and Creighton. Defense has been optional in the last 2 matchups in this series. Nebraska won 94-75 in 2018 for 169 combined points and Creighton won 95-76 in 2019 for 171 combined points. Nebraska is 14-4 OVER in its last 18 road games off a loss. The OVER is 21-9 on Huskers last 30 games off a loss. The OVER is 7-3-1 in Bluejays last 11 games as a favorite. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Patriots/Rams NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 44.5 The Key: Both the Patriots and Rams have very good defenses. The Rams give up 20.3 PPG and 291.6 YPG this year. The Patriots allow 21.3 PPG and 344.6 YPG. Points will be hard to come by, just as they were in the Super Bowl a few years back when the Patriots won a defensive struggle 13-3 over the Rams. Bill Belichick knows how to slow down Goff and this Rams offense, and Los Angeles will have no problem stopping the Patriots. Cam Newton has thrown for a total of just 153 yards in his last 2 games in wins over the Chargers and Cardinals. The Patriots only had 179 yards against the Cardinals and 291 against the Chargers. Their offense is really struggling right now. Both teams have been heavy running teams, which will keep the clock moving. The Patriots have had 30 or more rush attempts in 5 of their last 6 games overall. The Rams have had 28 or more rush attempts in 5 of their last 6 games. The Rams are 7-0 UNDER as a favorite this year. The Patriots are 7–0 UNDER in their last 7 games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 5-0 in Rams last 5 home games. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-10-20 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +7 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* Pittsburgh/Georgia Tech ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgia Tech +7 The Key: Pitt just hasn’t been able to get margin on Georgia Tech in recent matchups. Their largest win in the last 7 matchups came by 10 points last year against a very bad Georgia Tech team that was in the first season under Geoff Collins trying to switch from the triple-option to a pro style offense. The previous largest win for Pitt was by 5 points in those 7 matchups. The Yellow Jackets have improved tremendously this year even though they are just 3-6 on the season. They have been competitive in a lot more games and have now outgained their last two opponents in Duke by 141 yards and NC State by 15 yards coming into this game. They face a Pitt team still reeling from a 17-52 loss to Clemson. And they will give the Panthers a run for their money tonight. The Panthers just had DE Rashad Weaver and his 7.5 sacks opt out for the rest of the year, which will make life easier on this Georgia Tech offense. Take Georgia Tech. |
|||||||
12-09-20 | Stephen F Austin +23.5 v. Baylor | Top | 52-83 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Stephen F. Austin +23.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for Baylor. They are disappointed they didn’t get to play Gonzaga over the weekend due to COVID. And they will have a hard time getting up emotionally to play Stephen F. Austin tonight. Especially since they have their Big 12 opener on deck this weekend against Texans. But the Lumberjacks aren’t a team to be taken lightly. They went 28-3 last year and won 27 or more games for the 6th time in 8 seasons. They returned 3 of their top 4 scorers from that 28-win team, too. And they are primed to give No. 2 Baylor a run for its money tonight. The Lumberjacks have handled their business at 3-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Stephen F. Austin is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more. The Lumberjacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take Stephen F. Austin. |
|||||||
12-09-20 | Marshall -5.5 v. College of Charleston | 84-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Marshall -5.5 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. They are off to a good start this year at 2-0 with a 14-point win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite and a 16-point win at Wright State as a 1-point favorite. And now they should crush Charleston, which lost by 24 to Furman and by 19 to North Carolina en route to a 1-2 start with their only win coming against lowly Limestone College. Charleston lost its leading scorer from last year, and Zep Jasper and Brevin Galloway are the only 2 players returning who averaged more than 4 PPG last year. They have just one starter back and are going through some growing pains early on. Marshall is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 non-conference road games. The Thundering Herd are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a win by 10 points or more. Charleston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall, and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a dog. Take Marshall. |
|||||||
12-09-20 | Furman +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 73-78 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Furman +3.5 The Key: Furman is 4-0 this year and winning by 31.3 PPG. They have picked up right where they left off. They won 23 games in Bob Richey’s first season, then proceeded to tie a school record with 25 wins each fo the last 2 seasons. They returned 4 starters and 3 double-digit scorers from last year’s team that went 25-7. Cincinnati is off to a shaky start with a 67-55 win over Lipscomb as a 13.5-point favorite and a 69-77 loss to Xavier as a 3.5-point favorite. It’s always tough to get up for your next game after playing your biggest rival like Cincinnati just did. That may be even more true here in this sandwich spot with a game against ranked Tennessee on deck Saturday. The is a game the Paladins can win outright. Furman is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games. The Bearcats are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games with a total of 140 to 149.5. Take Furman. |
|||||||
12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens OVER 45 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
7* Cowboys/Ravens NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45 The Key: The Baltimore Ravens just played in a slug fest with the Steelers in a 14-19 loss. But they were missing QB Lamar Jackson and several other key players on offense. Jackson and company return this week, and I think we see this Baltimore offense get back to being elite against a soft Cowboys defense. The Cowboys allow 32.6 PPG and 382 YPG this year. Baltimore is also missing several key players on defense still, and the Cowboys should be able to get their offense going with all the weapons they have for Andy Dalton. They scored 31 points against the Vikings 2 weeks ago before being shut down by a very good Washington defense last time out. The Ravens have allowed 23 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games overall, including 28 or more 3 times. Dallas is 8-1 OVER in its last 9 games off an upset loss as a favorite. Bets on the OVER on any team with a total of 42.5 to 49 points off a loss against a division opponent against a team that’s off a road loss to a division opponent are 35-10 over the last 10 seasons. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
12-08-20 | Boston College +7 v. Minnesota | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston College +7 The Key: The Boston College Eagles played 3 competitive games against Villanova, Rhode Island and Seton Hall that were all decided by single-digits to start the season. Then they lost by 20 to Florida. They have faced one of the toughest schedules in all of college basketball thus far, and there will be value with them moving forward because of it. The same cannot be said for Minnesota, which has faced one of the easiest schedules. They played Loyola-Marymount twice, North Dakota and Wisconsin-Green Bay. And they only beat Loyola by 15 and 3 points and North Dakota by 9. They aren’t as good as their 4-0 record suggests, and they will get exposed tonight by Boston College. The Eagles have 5 players scoring in double figures this year with a very balanced attack and a veteran bunch. Take Boston College. |
|||||||
12-08-20 | Purdue -2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Miami ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on Purdue -2 The Key: The Miami Hurricanes have some key injuries that could hold them back here against Purdue. All-ACC Preseason selection Chris Dykes suffered an ankle injury in Friday’s win over Stetson. He finished with a game-high 20 points and 5 assists, and he is the catalyst of this team at the point guard position. He didn’t practice on Monday and is questionable to play. The Hurricanes were already without guard Earl Timberlake (ankle) for three to five weeks, and then forward Matt Cross left the Stetson game with four minutes to go with a foot injury. Purdue shoots 43.6% from 3-point range this season and will present a tough challenge for Miami’s thin backcourt. The Boilermakers have great balance with 6 players averaging in double figures scoring. Miami is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games against teams that score 77 PPG or more. Jim Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of the Hurricanes. Take Purdue. |
|||||||
12-07-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Steelers | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
7* Washington/Pittsburgh MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7 The Key: Washington is fresh and ready to go after crushing Dallas 41-16 on Thanksgiving Day last Thursday. They are poised to make a run at the NFC East title. They have gone 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games while not losing once by more than 3 points. Their defense is absolutely balling, and Alex Smith is making the offense efficient without making many mistakes. That defense and not turning the ball over gives Washington a chance to beat anyone, even the unbeaten 11-0 Pittsburgh Steelers. This may be the worst situation for any team in the NFL. The Steelers are on only 4 days’ rest after being forced to play the Ravens on Wednesday. They have to face a Washington team on extra rest, and the injuries and COVID problems are mounting up for Pittsburgh. They lost LB Bud Dupree against the Ravens and fellow LB Devin Bush was already out. It’s unknown if DE Tuitt, C Pouncey or RB Conner will be back in time for Monday due to COVID. And it’s a letdown spot off the big win over the Ravens and with another huge game against the Bills on deck next week. This just feels like the game the Steelers lose. But either way getting 7 points with Washington is too much here. Take Washington. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers -1.5 | 45-0 | Loss | -103 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Patriots/Chargers AFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -1.5 The Key: The Patriots may have the coaching advantage here with Belichick over Lynn, and it’s not really even close. But that is being factored into this spread too much. The fact of the matter is the Chargers are the better team everywhere and not even Lynn can mess this one up. The Patriots never should have beaten the Cardinals last week as they were held to 179 total yards including 69 passing yards. Cam Newton is broken and banged up right now and is questionable to start Sunday. The Chargers have an elite offense behind Justin Herbert who has led their offense to 25.2 PPG and 397.8 YPG. And their defense is only allowing 342.9 YPG, so they are outgaining their opponents by roughly 55 YPG this year. They are much better than their 3-8 record would indicate and that record will have the Chargers showing a lot of value down the stretch here. The Patriots are getting outgained by 5 YPG on the season and are about where they should be at 5-6. Lynn is coaching for his job here, and a win over Belichick and the Patriots would got a long way. The Patriots are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win. New England is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games off a SU win. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
7* NFC West Game of the Year on Arizona Cardinals +3 The Key: The Arizona Cardinals have now failed to cover the spread in each of their last 4 games. This line has moved too much because of it, and now the price is right to back the Cardinals. The Cardinals were favored in this game before the games were played last week. But now they are 3-point home dogs. And the only thing that happened was the Rams getting upset as nearly 7-point favorites by the 49ers and the Cardinals getting upset as 1-point favorites against the Patriots. But the Cardinals should have beaten the Patriots as they lost 17-20 despite holding New England to 179 yards and outgaining them by 119 yards. The Rams were outgained by 37 yards by the 49ers and turned the ball over 4 times. They deserved to lose. Arizona needs this game more as it is one game behind the Rams in the standings. And I think we get one of the best efforts of the season from the Cardinals here. They have played 5 home games this year and haven’t lost once by more than 3 points. Bets on underdogs or PK who are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite that win 51%-60% of their games in the 2nd half of the season are 30-8 ATS since 1983. Take Arizona. |
|||||||
12-06-20 | Giants v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Giants/Seahawks UNDER 47.5 The Key: I like that the Seahawks have gotten back to running the football more in recent weeks. They have taken the pressure off their defense, and it has helped that they got their best RB back in Chris Carson. They have ran the ball 30-plus times in each of their last two games. The UNDER is 3-0 in Seattle’s last 3 games with combined scores of 39 points against the Rams, 49 against the Cardinals and 40 against the Eagles. Their defense is really stepping up in allowing just 317.7 yards per game in their last three games against three pretty good offenses. Now they face a terrible offense in the Giants who will be without starting QB Daniel Jones. They now have to turn to backup Colt McCoy, who is no more than a game manager and will help us get this UNDER. And this is a Giants defense that has been playing great for weeks, allowing 25 or fewer points in six straight games and an average of only 20.0 points per game. They held the Bengals to 155 total yards last week. The UNDER is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games off an ATS loss. The UNDER is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 against a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | San Jose State -1.5 v. Hawaii | 35-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 41 m | Show | |
6* SJSU/Hawaii Mountain West *CA$H COW* on San Jose State -1.5 The Key: Brent Brennan deserves some love for what he is doing with this San Jose State program. He is in his 4th season here. After going 5-7 last year with 3 losses by 3 points or less, the Spartans came out motivated in 2020 to do big things and make a bowl. They have opened 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS this season. They beat two very good teams by double-digits with their 17-6 win over Air Force and their 28-17 road win at San Jose State. Their defense is balling, yielding just 15.3 PPG and 349.3 YPG this year. Hawaii is just a mediocre team in the Mountain West after losing head coach Nick Rolovich to Washington State. Their defense is not good, yielding 29.7 PPG this year. And that is going to be the difference in this game is SJSU will get key stops while Hawaii will not. The Spartans have had the last 2 weeks off and will be ready to go Saturday night. The Warriors are coming off 3 straight huge games against SDSU, Boise and Nevada the last 3 weeks and will be playing for a 7th consecutive week. I have to think they are starting to get tired after that gauntlet. The Spartans want revenge from 4 straight losses in this series, including losses by 2 and 3 points the last 2 years. They lost in OT 2 years ago and by just 2 points last year. The Spartans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as road favorites. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Hawaii. Take San Jose State. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | Iowa v. Illinois +13.5 | Top | 35-21 | Loss | -101 | 42 h 16 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Illinois +13.5 The Key: Illinois QB Brandon Peters played against Nebraska in their last game for the first time since the opener because of COVID-19 issues. He threw for 205 yards and a touchdown to improve to 7-5 in his career in games he’s able to complete. The Fighting Illini tried four others at QB in his absence and it did not go well. Peters makers all the difference for this team. He led the Illini to a 41-23 win at Nebraska two weeks ago with 490 yards of total offense. And now the Fighting Illini have had 2 weeks to get ready to face rival Iowa. The Hawkeyes are starting to get too much respect from the books now as they have won 4 straight since an 0-2 start. They barely held on to beat that same Nebraska team 26-20 as 12-point home favorites last week. And now they are in their largest favorite role of the season here as 13.5-point favorites over Illinois. It’s too much for an Iowa team that isn’t getting very good play at all from first-time starter Spencer Petras. Iowa only beat Illinois 19-10 as 15-point home favorites last year. The Illini rushed for 192 yards in that game, and they are 2nd in the Big Ten with 222.4 RYPG this season. Illinois is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 conference games. The Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. Take Illinois. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | West Virginia v. Iowa State UNDER 49.5 | 6-42 | Win | 100 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
6* West Virginia/Iowa State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on UNDER 49.5 The Key: The two best defensive teams in the Big 12 square off Saturday when Iowa State hosts West Virginia. The Mountaineers give up just 17.8 points and 274.0 yards per game this season and have what it takes to slow down the Cyclones. Iowa State yields just 23.0 PPG and 346.6 YPG this year and has played a gauntlet of a schedule, making their numbers even more impressive. WVU has yet to face Oklahoma. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Iowa State has limited WVU to fewer than 200 yards of total offense in the past two meetings in this series. And I think this WVU defense is the best unit that the Cyclones have probably ever faced as they allow just 112 RYPG and 162 PYPG. Iowa State is 6-0 UNDER in its last 6 games off 3 straight wins. The Cyclones are 6-0 UNDER in their last 6 games after committing zero turnovers in their previous game. The UNDER is 8-0 in Mountaineers last 8 games as underdogs. The UNDER is 5-1 in Mountaineers last 6 road games. The UNDER is 21-6-1 in Cyclones last 28 against. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 21-4-2 in Cyclones last 27 games off a win. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
12-05-20 | SMU +110 v. Dayton | 66-64 | Win | 110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on SMU ML +110 The Key: The Dayton Flyers lost Obi Toppin to the NBA and are clearly rebuilding this year. That showed in their opener as they only beat Eastern Illinois 66-63 as a 14-point favorite. And now they have to take a big step up in competition here against an SMU team that is loaded under head coach Tim Jankovich. They have beaten Sam Houston State, Texas A&M Corpus Christi and Houston Baptist by an average of 31.3 PPG this year. The Mustangs were 19-11 last year and poised to make the NCAA Tournament. They want to be the team to end Dayton’s 21-game winning streak. Dayton also lost guard Trey Landers and his 10.5 PPG, 6.9 RPG and 2.4 APG from last year as Landers went on to play professionally in Germany. The Mustangs brought back 4 of their top 5 scorers from last year and added in TCU transfer Kendrick Davis who averaged 6.7 APG last year, Oklahoma State big man Yor Anei and Cal transfer Darius McNeill, who averaged 11.2 PPG last year. Davis is already making a huge impact with 21.3 PPG and 9.7 APG. Take SMU. |
|||||||
12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Appalachian State | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
7* Louisiana/Appalachian State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Louisiana +3 The Key: Louisiana is revenge-minded Friday night. The Rajin’ Cajuns have lost each of their last 7 matchups with Appalachian State, including 4 losses over the last 2 seasons while ending with losses in the Sun Belt Title game. Louisiana played well enough to win in the rematch last year as they had 513 yards compared to 416 for App State, but lost 38-45. But now App State has already been eliminated from Sun Belt title contention with their earlier loss to Coastal Carolina, so they won’t be as hungry here as they’d normally be. I was impressed with Louisiana hanging 70 points on rival Louisiana-Monroe last week, clearly not looking ahead to this game. And they had the previous week off due to Covid-19 concerns. So they are still going to be very fresh here. App State will be playing for a 7th consecutive week here. Louisiana is 5-0 SU on the road this year with an outright upset of Iowa State, which is ranked 9th in the playoff rankings. The Rajin’ Cajuns are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games against excellent rushing teams that average 230 or more RYPG. The Mountaineers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Take Louisiana. |
|||||||
12-04-20 | Detroit +26.5 v. Michigan State | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit +26.5 The Key: Mike Davis is a great recruiter and is doing his best to turn around this Detroit program right away. And he has the benefit of returning Antoine Davis, whose 24.3 PPG last year were the fifth-most in D-1. He also averaged 4.5 APG and made 90.1% of his free throws. The Titans bring in transfers Noah Waterman of Niagara and Taurean Thompson of Seton Hall and Syracuse to help in the post. Marquell Fraser is a transfer from Idaho and Bul Kuol is a transfer from Cal Baptist that give the Titans versatility on the win. Chris Brandon is back after leading the Titans with 8.1 RPG last year. The 6-7 Kuol was a 47.5% 3-point shooter last year and the 6-11 Waterman was a 42.9% 3-point shooter, so the Titans finally have size and outside shooters to compliment Davis. This is a huge letdown spot for Michigan State after upsetting Duke 75-69 on Tuesday. The Spartans won’t be nearly as hungry to face Detroit tonight, and that’s a big reason why I think the Titans hang around for 40 minutes and cover this lofty number. The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a dog. The Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take Detroit. |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Marshall -1 v. Wright State | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Marshall -1 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd had 10 players average at least 10 minutes per game last season. They had zero seniors on the roster last year. Nine of those are back as are 5 returning starters, so this team should be one of the most improved in the nation. The guard guy of Taeyion Kinsey and Jarrod West combined for 30.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.3 APG and 3.1 SPG last year. Marshall went 7-2 ATS in its final 9 games last year while scoring at least 80 points in each of its final four games in head coach Dan D’Antoni’s up-tempo system. And the Thundering Herd got a game under their belts with a 70-56 win over Arkansas State as a 14-point favorite. That’s more than Wright State can say as they will be playing their first game of the season tonight. I think Marshall will be the sharper team as a result and I love their experience early in the season. The Raiders have to replace 2 double-digit scorers from last year. The Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games. Take Marshall. |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +105 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on USC ML +105 The Key: The USC Trojans are off to a 3-0 start this year and will challenge for a Pac-12 title with all the talent they have. Few teams have put together a more impressive win than the Trojans had last time out, beating BYU 79-53 as 3.5-point dogs. They are lighting it up offensively this year in averaging 83.3 PPG on 53.3% shooting as a team. Freshman Evan Mobley was the third-rated player in this year’s freshmen class and it is showing. He is averaging 16.3 PPG and 9.0 RPG in 3 games. HIs brother Isaiah Mobley had a double-double against BYU. Rice Transfer Drew Peterson had a game-high 19 points, and SEMS transfer Tahj Eeddy added 16 points. It’s clear that head coach Andy Enfield struck gold with this recruiting class already. UConn is 2-0 this season but against a soft schedule with wins over Central Connecticut State and Hartford. They only beat Hartford 69-57 as 22.5-point favorites and only covered by a single point against CCSU. USC is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games off a win by 10 points or more. The Trojans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs. Take USC on the Money Line. |
|||||||
12-03-20 | Louisiana Tech +100 v. North Texas | Top | 42-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
7* LA Tech/North Texas C-USA *HEAVY HITTER* on LA Tech ML +100 The Key: LA Tech went through a gauntlet of a schedule before having the last month off due to Covid-19 problems. They lost to Marshall by 18, UTSA by 1 and upset UAB by 3 as 12.5-point dogs. They were improving with each game. And now they will be ready to play a game for the first time in a month here. That’s the only reason they aren’t favored is because they have been off for so long. But North Texas has no business being favored in this game. They are coming off a 17-49 loos to UTSA in which they gave up 624 total yards to the Roadrunners. And their defense has been atrocious all season. The Mean Green give up 41.0 PPG, 535 YPG and 7.0 YPP. It’s hard to trust a team that cannot stop the run, and the Mean Green yield 244 RYPG and 5.8 YPC. LA Tech is 6-0 ATS against good passing teams that average 250 PYPG or more over the last 3 years. North Texas is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 years. The Mean Green are 0-8 ATS against teams that allow 250 PYPG or more over the last 3 years. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups at North Texas. Take Louisiana Tech. |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis -20 | 54-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Memphis -20 The Key: The Memphis Tigers were expected to be one of the best teams in the country this year with 4 starters back and one of the top recruiting classes under Penny Hardaway. But after a 1-2 start with losses to WKU and VCU, I think we are getting Memphis cheap here tonight. They also crushed St. Mary’s 73-56 and both WKU and VCU are two of the better mid-major teams in the land. Now they take a big step down in class here against Arkansas State, which is 0-2 with losses to Marshall by 14 as a 14-point dog and Morehead State by 8 as a favorite. Now this is a big step up in class for the Red Wolves. After playing 3 games in 3 days, now the Tigers have had 4 days off to practice and improve and should put their best foot forward tonight. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Hardaway is 11-2 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of Memphis. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Montana State +5.5 v. Pacific | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Montana State +5.5 The Key: The Montana State Bobcats returned their entire front court this season with Jurbrile Belo and Devin Kirby combining for 12.1 RPG last year. They have Amin Adamu back after 11.7 PPG and 5.2 RPG last year. And they brought in UMKC transfer Xavier Bishop to run the show after averaging 15.4 PPG and shooting 35.3% from 3-point range in 2018-19. Bishop got off to a huge start with 22 points and 5 assists in an impressive 91-78 upset victory over UNLV as 12-point dogs. Belo had 14 points and 8 rebounds and Adamu added in 14 points in the win, so the key players are playing big roles already. Pacific barely got past awful UC-Riverside 66-60 and then lost 58-70 as 5.5-point dogs at Nevada. The Bobcats have a real shot to win this game outright over Pacific tonight. Montana State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games after playing a road game. Take Montana State. |
|||||||
12-02-20 | Ravens v. Steelers -10 | Top | 14-19 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Steelers AFC North *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -10 The Key: The Baltimore Ravens are missing too many key pieces to even be competitive today against the Pittsburgh Steelers. They are without the likes of Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, Pernell McPhee, Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, Brandon Williams, Nike Boyle, Ronnie Stanley and Calais Campbell. And they are without several others that aren’t big names like those. They are having to pull up several players from the practices squad just to be able to play in this game. And they have really pissed off their rivals here in the Steelers, who won’t have any problem pouring it on the Ravens. They will be trying to sweep the season series for just the 2nd time in 12 years here in 2020 and will relish the opportunity. And the Steelers have beaten the Bengals and Jaguars by a combined 50 points the last 2 weeks so they have shown the ability to run it up. The Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against AFC opponents. Pittsburgh is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Take Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
12-01-20 | UNLV v. Alabama -10 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -10 The Key: Head coach Nate Oats brings back 4 of his top 6 scorers from last year led by John Petty Jr. and Jaden Shackelford, who combined for 30 PPG and 11 RPG last year. After crushing Jacksonville State 81-57 as 20.5-point favorites, the Crimson Tide fell apart against Stanford yesterday with a 64-82 loss. They shot terrible at 35.8% from the field and gave up 51.7%. But their defense has been good at forcing turnovers as they have forced 42 in the first 2 games. And they will be looking to bounce back in a big way today against a UNLV team that is terrible. UNLV lost 78-91 as a 12.5-point favorite to Montana State in their opener and were routed 51-78 as a 13-point dog to North Carolina yesterday. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. They have committed 35 turnovers in 2 games, so they are sure to not handle the pressure of Alabama very well. Once UNC turned up the pressure yesterday they crumbled. The Rebels are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Crimson Tide are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home loss. Take Alabama. |
|||||||
11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles OVER 49 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -102 | 57 h 34 m | Show |
7* Seahawks/Eagles NFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 49 The Key: It’s going to be over 60 degrees with minimal winds in Philadelphia Monday. This total is too low for a Seattle team that has one of the best offenses in the NFL but also one of the worst defenses. The Seahawks score 31.8 PPG on offense but give up 28.7 PPG and 435 YPG on defense. They have the single worst defense in the NFL from a yardage standpoint. And the Eagles have gotten a lot healthier offensively in recent weeks with several key playmakers returning for Carson Wentz. He should have one of his best games of the season against this Seattle defense to keep pace with Russell Wilson and company. And the Seahawks get back RB Chris Carson this week, adding to their dynamic offense. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-30-20 | North Carolina -12 v. UNLV | 78-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* UNC/UNLV NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina -12 The Key: Big red flag on UNLV losing outright 78-91 as 12.5-point favorites over Montana State in their opener. They gave up 55.6% shooting in the loss. They lost basically everyone other than Bryce Hamilton from last season. And he even had 27 points and they still lost by 13. North Carolina won 79-60 over College of Charleston in the opener to cover as 17.5-point favorites. They have some stud freshmen guards in Love and Davis, who combined for 28 points in the win. And Roy Williams believes this Tar Heels team will be a much better shooting team than last year, although it didn’t show in the opener as they won by 19 despite shooting just 39.4% from the field and 4 for 18 (22.2%) from 3-point range. UNLV lost by 13 despite shooting 11 for 25 (44%) from 3-point range. Bets on neutral court teams who covered as a double-digit favorite and had a losing record last season are 29-9 ATS over the last 5 years. Take North Carolina. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Titans +3 v. Colts | Top | 45-26 | Win | 102 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
7* AFC South Game of the Year on Tennessee Titans +3 The Key: The Tennessee Titans are looking to avenge their 17-34 loss to the Colts just a two weeks ago. They led that game 17-13 before a shanked punt and a blocked punt return TD directly led to 14 points for the Colts on special teams mistakes. That was really a 3-point game that turned into a 17-point loss and looks worse than it was. But the Titans rebounded with a dominant 30-24 win in Baltimore last week in which they gained 423 yards and held the Ravens to just 306 yards. Derrick Henry became the league’s first 1,000-yard rusher last week, and his job just got a lot easier here with the Colts missing arguably their most important player on defense in DeForest Buckner due to Covid-19. In fact several players are out for the Colts due to Covid-19, including starting RB Jonathan Taylor. The Titans are getting healthy at the right time and will be in much better shape to beat the Colts than they were 2 weeks ago. Philip Rivers is nursing a toe injury, and he’ll be without starting C Ryan Kelly. NFL teams that won last week after trailing by 11-plus at halftime are 26-38-1 SU & 19-45-1 ATS in their last 65 tries. The Colts came back from 14 down to beat the Packers last week and will be fatigued. They also benefited from 4 turnovers by the Packers, which is uncharacteristic for Aaron Rodgers and company. The Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Tennessee. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots OVER 49 | 17-20 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Cardinals/Patriots Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on OVER 49 The Key: It’s going to be good weather in New England for this time of year. It is expected to be 50 degree temps and little to no wind. The Cardinals have scored 30 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games overall. But they’ve also allowed 28 or more points in each of their last 4 contests. The Patriots have yielded 24 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games overall. But their offense has been much better as of late with 20 or more points in 4 straight. Cam Newton threw for 349 yards on the Texans last week and should be able to keep pace with Kyler Murray in a shootout. The OVER is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 November games. The OVER is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as a home underdog. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Chargers v. Bills OVER 52.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Chargers/Bills AFC *CA$H COW* on OVER 52.5 The Key: The OVER is 7-0 in Chargers last 7 games overall with at least 57 combined points scored in 6 of those and an average of 60.5 PPG. Their defense has yielded 28 or more points in all 7 games. And the Bills will hang a big number on them here after averaging 37 PPG in their last 2 contests. Both teams are pass-happy which will lead to more clock stoppages as the Chargers are 2nd in the NFL in passing offense while the Bills are 3rd. And the weather will be good for an OVER with nearly 50 degree temps in Buffalo and little wind today. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-29-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 v. Iowa State | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Arkansas-Pine Bluff +33.5 The Key: I like that Arkansas-Pine Bluff already has 2 games under its belt while Iowa State will be playing its 1st game of the season here. Pine Bluff lost by 42 to Marquette but by just 34 to 7th-ranked Wisconsin last time. And now they are getting 33.5 points from an Iowa State team that went 12-20 last season and returns only 2 starters and one double-digit scorer in Rasir Bolton. The Cyclones lost their best player in Tyrese Haliburton, who was a lottery pick of the Sacramento Kings. They were that bad with him, and they are going to be even worse without him. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Nevada -7 v. Hawaii | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Nevada/Hawaii Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -7 The Key: I’ve backed Nevada 4 times already this season and am 4-0 with them. They delivered against San Diego State last week, and they’ll deliver again this week against Hawaii. They’ll be hungry to avenge a fluky 54-3 upset loss to Hawaii last year. And these teams have already played the same 3 teams this year that shows Nevada is by far the superior team. Nevada is 3-0 against Wyoming, New Mexico and San Diego State and has outscored them by a total of 15 points. Hawaii is 1-2 against those same 3 teams and has been outscored by 42 points total. Hawaii hasn’t had much of a home-field advantage at all in going 11-27-1 ATS in its last 39 home games. Take Nevada. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -14 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
6* LSU/Texas A&M SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M -14 The Key: The Texas A&M Aggies have a legit shot to make the 4-team playoff if they win out. They are 5-1 this year with their only loss on the road to Alabama. They have a win over Florida, a fellow playoff contender. And they are going to need some style points the rest the way. That’s why I’m not worried about laying 14 points here with the Aggies Saturday against LSU. The Aggies have had the last 2 weeks off so they’ll be fresh and ready. LSU played last week and was fortunate to beat Arkansas 27-24. They ran 91 plays for only 419 yards against Arkansas, an average of just 4.6 YPP. Arkansas ran just 53 plays for 443 yards against LSU, an average of 8.4 YPP. The Tigers are now giving up 472.7 YPG and 7.3 YPP defensively this year. Texas A&M only allows 338.2 YPG and 5.6 YPP defensively. That’s where the difference lies between these two teams. Plus Texas A&M has the better offense at 6.7 YPP compared to 5.9 YPP for LSU. And Texas A&M has played the tougher schedule. The Aggies are 7-0 ATS after outrushing their last opponents by 150 or more yards over the last 3 years. Take Texas A&M. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Louisville v. Boston College OVER 54.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Louisville/Boston College OVER 54.5 The Key: This total is too low Saturday for 2 good passing offenses like Louisville and Boston College. Boston College has a great freshman QB in Jurkovec who is completing 60% for 2,355 yards with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions this year. The Eagles are averaging 262 PYPG. Cunningham is completing 64% for 2,126 yards with 16 TD and 11 INT this year. The Cardinals average 243 PYPG and 8.4 YPA. But they also have a great rushing attack to compliment it with 194 RPYG and 5.2 YPA. Both defenses are sub par as Louisville yields 26.4 PPG and BC gives up 26.9 PPG. Last year these teams played in an absolute shootout with Louisville winning 41-39 for 80 combined points. And that has been the norm in this series. Each of the last 4 matchups have seen 58 or more combined points and 6 of the last 7 have seen 57 or more. The OVER is 9-1 in Eagles last 10 games as a home favorite. The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games off a home win. The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games off an ATS win. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +28.5 | Top | 70-20 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 43 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Louisiana-Monroe +28.5 The Key: Louisiana-Lafayette had 33 players on coronavirus protocol last week and had their game cancelled. Head coach Billy Napier came down with it as well and hasn’t been able to be at practice all week. This team should not be laying 28.5 points in a rivalry game against Louisiana-Monroe. They haven’t won a single game by more than 28 points this year, and Monroe has only 2 losses by more than 25 points this year. 6 of the last 7 matchups were decided by a single score, including only a 31-30 win by Louisiana last year as a 20.5-point favorite. And Louisiana has their huge game with Appalachian State on deck next week so this just screams flat spot for them this week. The dog is 16-3-1 ATS in the last 20 matchups. Take Louisiana-Monroe. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | LSU v. St. Louis -2.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Saint Louis -2.5 The Key: The Saint Louis Billikens returned all 5 starters this year and each of their top 8 scorers from a team that won 23 games last year. Senior Jordan Goodwin averaged 15.4 PPG and 10.4 RPG as a junior last season. Javonte Perkins averaged 15 PPG. And the Billikens got off to a great start this year with an 89-52 win over SIU-Edwardsville as 24.5-point favorites. That gives them a common opponent with rebuilding LSU. LSU only beat SIU-Edwardsville 94-81 as a 30-point favorite. So Saint Louis beat the same team by 37 points that LSU only beat by 13. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win. The Billikens are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games. Take Saint Louis. |
|||||||
11-28-20 | Maryland +12 v. Indiana | 11-27 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +12 The Key: The Maryland Terrapins bounced back from their ugly loss to Northwestern with two shocking upsets of Minnesota as a 17.5-point underdog and Penn State as a 27.5-point underdog. Tualia Tagovailoa, the brother of Miami Dolphins QB Too Tagovailoa, has lived up to the hype the past 2 games. He has thrown for a combined 676 yards with 6 touchdowns and only 1 interception in those 2 victories. And this offense should do what it wants against an Indiana defense that gave up 42 points and 607 yards to Ohio State last week. That makes this a letdown spot for the Hoosiers after playing Ohio State and with Wisconsin on deck next week. The Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS this season and oddsmakers are giving them too much respect this week now as a double-digit favorite over a live underdog like Maryland. Each of the last 4 matchups between these teams were decided by 6 points or fewer and I could easily see that happening for a 5th straight year here. Take Maryland. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Oregon v. Oregon State +14 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 74 h 13 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Oregon State +14 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are a team on the rise in the Pac-12. They went 5-7 last year but had 3 losses by 3 points or fewer. And this year they brought back 14 starters. They are just 1-2, but the losses came by 10 points to Washington State and only by 6 to Washington. They beat Cal last week and believe they are good enough to beat Oregon. I like the price here on Oregon State catching 14 points considering they only lost by 14 to a much better Oregon team last year. This Oregon team is 3-0 but not as good as last year. They barely got by UCLA 38-35 last week as 18.5-point favorites and were outgained by the Bruins in the win. The Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs. The Beavers are 7-0 in their last 7 home games following a home game. Take Oregon State. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | South Dakota State -1.5 v. St. Mary's | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/St. Mary’s NCAAB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota State -1.5 The Key: South Dakota State went 22-10 last year and now returns all 5 starters. They return Conference Player of the Year Douglas Wilson, who averages 18.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG last year. He and fellow big man Matt Dentlinger combined to shoot 62.8% from the field. Dentlinger averaged 12.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG. Sophomores Alex Arians and David Wingett combined for 17.4 PPG and 11.3 RPG last year while both shooting at least 35% from 3-point range. Noah Freidel averaged 12.2 PPG and shot 39.5% from 3 and 85.2% from he line. And they have good depth with Baylor Sheierman (6.0 PPG) and Tray Buchanan (6.3 PPG). They gave WVU a game in their opener in a 71-79 loss as 11.5-point dogs. And they came back and crushed Utah State 83-59 as 2.5-point dogs. Now they’re basically a pick ‘em here against a Saint Mary’s team that had to reload in the offseason. St. Mary’s lost 56-73 to Memphis in their opener and that’s a Memphis team that went on to lose to Western Kentucky yesterday. Then they were fortunate to win in comeback fashion 66-64 over Northern Iowa yesterday. South Dakota State is the better team here and should be a bigger favorite. The Jackrabbits are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Gaels are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 neutral site games as a dog. Take South Dakota State. |
|||||||
11-27-20 | Seton Hall v. Louisville -5 | 70-71 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Seton Hall/Louisville NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Louisville -5 The Key: Louisville won 24 games with only 7 losses last year under Chris Mack and he has a lot of talent back this year. Sophomore PG David Johnson and sophomore forward Samuell Williamson are studs. The Cardinals crushed Evansville 79-44 as 21-point favorites in their opener. They had 3 players in double-figures led by 18 from Carlik Jones and 17 from Williamson. Johnson dished out 5 assists and they finished with 19 assists as a team. Seton Hall lost Big East Player of the Year Myles Powell and Big East Defensive Player of the Year Romaro Gill from last year’s team. They also lost leading assist many Quincy McKnight, who averaged 11.9 PPG and 5.4 APG last year. This is a rebuilding year for the Pirates and it will show here in their opener against Louisville. Mack is 12-3 ATS off a win by 30 points or more as a head coach. Mack is 29-13 ATS in home games after allowing 60 points or fewer as a head coach. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Louisville. |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 52 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Dallas NFC East *CA$H COW* on Washington +3 The Key: The wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Washington Football Team is clearly better than Dallas and proved it a few weeks back in a 25-3 victory over the Cowboys, who started Andy Dalton in that game. They outgained the Cowboys by 255 yards and held them to just 142 yards in the win. Washington has now outgained 5 straight opponents by an average of 110 YPG. They have an elite defense and that is going to be the difference in this game. Alex Smith can manage the offense and has shown he can move the ball down the field when he needs to as he has thrown for nearly 900 yards in the past 3 games. The Cowboys go from being 14-point dogs to the Steelers to 7-point dogs to the Vikings to now 3-point favorites this week. I cashed in the Cowboys as my NFC Game of the Year last week over Minnesota, but this is too big of an adjustment, and now it’s time to go against them this week. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites. Take Washington. |
|||||||
11-26-20 | Gonzaga v. Kansas +4 | 102-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Gonzaga/Kansas NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Kansas +4 The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks were well on their way to the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament last year with a 28-3 record. They have 3 starters back from that team in senior guard Marcus Garrett and juniors David McCormack and guard Ochai Agbaji. The backcourt newcomers include junior college transfer Tyon Grant-Foster and blue-chip prospect Bryce Thompson, whose father played for Bill Self at Tulsa. Gonzaga returns just 2 starters and I don’t believe the Zags should be favored here. The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. Take Kansas. |
|||||||
11-25-20 | West Virginia v. South Dakota State +10.5 | Top | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Dog of the Week on South Dakota State +10.5 The Key: South Dakota State went 22-10 last year and now returns all 5 starters. They return Conference Player of the Year Douglas Wilson, who averages 18.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG last year. He and fellow big man Matt Dentlinger combined to shoot 62.8% from the field. Dentlinger averaged 12.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG. Sophomores Alex Arians and David Wingett combined for 17.4 PPG and 11.3 RPG last year while both shooting at least 35% from 3-point range. Noah Freidel averaged 12.2 PPG and shot 39.5% from 3 and 85.2% from he line. And they have good depth with Baylor Sheierman (6.0 PPG) and Tray Buchanan (6.3 PPG). The Jackrabbits are live underdogs tonight, and are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a dog. Take South Dakota State. |
|||||||
11-25-20 | Lamar v. Houston -22 | 45-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Houston -22 The Key: The Houston Cougars finished 24-8 last year a season after making it to the 2nd weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Head coach Kelvin Sampson has really found a home here in Houston. The Cougars have won 20-plus games in each of the past 5 seasons and have been ranked for 30 weeks the past 3 seasons with 3 Top 25 finishes. The Cougars have 4 returning starters and 7 lettermen back so this is a deep, experienced roster. Take Houston. |
|||||||
11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 147 h 58 m | Show |
7* Rams/Bucs MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47 The Key: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are rolling offensively this season. They are scoring 29.6 PPG on the year and coming off a 46-point, 544-yard effort against the Panthers last week in which they did not have to punt once. The Rams will offer more resistance defensively than the Panthers did, but the Bucs are going to get their points. And Jared Goff and company are going to have to try and keep up. The Rams have actually been their best offensively on the road this year. They are scoring 26.4 PPG and averaging 427.6 YPG on the highway. Bets on the OVER on any team where the total is 42.5 to 49 a good passing team (6.7-7.3 YPA) against a good passing defense (5.3-5.9 YPA) after 8 or more games after gaining 8 or more YPA last game are 29-7 since 1983. The OVER is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games as underdogs. The OVER is 6-1 in Bucs last 7 games as home favorites. It’s expected to be 72 degrees with less than 10 MPH winds Monday night in Tampa Bay. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Vikings | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 119 h 8 m | Show |
7* NFC Game of the Year on Dallas Cowboys +7.5 The Key: The Cowboys have been much more competitive in their last 2 games against the Eagles and Steelers. And now they have a bye week to get ready for the Minnesota Vikings. They still have a shot to win the NFC East because the division has been so poor, so look for them to be revived off their bye week. The Vikings are on a short week after playing the Bears Monday night. So the situation really favors the Cowboys, and I like the price with them catching more than a touchdown. There’s a good chance Andy Dalton returns at quarterback and either way they’ll be fine as Garrett Gilbert played well against the Steelers. Bets against home favorites after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning percentage between 40% and 49% on the season are 24-5 ATS since 1983. Take Dallas. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Packers +3 v. Colts | 31-34 | Push | 0 | 119 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Colts Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Green Bay +3 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Packers as road underdogs to the Indianapolis Colts. They are coming off a shaky performance against the Jaguars that looked closer than it really was. The Packers only won 24-20 despite outgaining the Jaguars by 135 yards. The Colts are also coming off a misleading 34-17 win over the Titans last week in which they trailed at halftime, but they got a shanked punt and a blocked punt return TD that set up 2 quick scores in the 2nd half. I’ll take Aaron Rodgers over Philip Rivers all day. And Rodgers gets one of his top weapons back this week in Alan Lazard from an abdominal injury. Bets against home favorites after allowing 5.5 or fewer passing yards per attempt last game against an opponent that has gained 7 or more passing yards per attempt in 3 straight games are 27-7 ATS over the last 10 years. The Packers are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games off an ATS loss. Take Green Bay. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Dolphins -3 v. Broncos | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 119 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Dolphins/Broncos AFC *CA$H COW* on Miami -3 The Key: The Miami Dolphins are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. This team just keeps flying under the radar and hasn’t missed a beat with Tua at quarterback. They’ve beaten 2 of the better teams in the NFL in the Cardinals and Rams with Tua while also making easy work of the Chargers last week. And now they face a struggling Denver Broncos team that has trailed by 21 or more points in 4 straight games coming in. The Broncos have issues at quarterback and on defense. Drew Lock has been a bust and a turnover machine, and their defense has yielded 36 PPG in their last 4 contests. The Broncos have yielded 26 or more points in 7 of their last 8 games overall. Bets on any team like Miami that committed 1 or fewer turnovers last game against a team that had a turnover margin of -3 or worse last game are 72-37 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Miami. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Jets v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 79 h 28 m | Show | |
6* AFC *Total* Annihilator on Jets/Chargers OVER 46.5 The Key: The Chargers are an OVER bettors’ dream. They are 6-0 OVER in their last 6 games overall and all 6 games have seen 50 or more combined points and an average of 60.3 PPG. This 46.5-point total is just too low here. The Jets scored 27 points against the Patriots and now have a bye week to game plan for the Chargers. The Chargers have allowed 29 or more points in each of their last 6 contests. Bets on the OVER on any team that has lost 3 of their last 4 games, in a game involving 2 terrible teams that win 25% or less of their games on the season are 53-23 over the last 10 years. The Jets are 12-4 OVER in in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. The OVER is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 games against a poor pass defense that allows a completion percentage of 61% or worse. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-22-20 | Bengals v. Washington Football Team OVER 46.5 | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 23 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *Total* Annihilator on Bengals/Washington OVER 46.5 The Key: Sunday’s forecast looks ripe for scoring in Washington with nearly 60 degree temps and almost zero wind. Washington has gotten its offense going behind Alex Smith, who has had 2 straight 300-yard games and a total of 715 passing yards in his last 2 contests. And the Bengals don’t offer much resistance defensively as they give up 27.8 PPG this year. The Bengals have scored 30 or more points in 4 of their last 8 games and Joe Burrow is having a great rookie season. The OVER is 7-1 in Bengals last 8 games off a loss. Bets on the OVER on any team that has lost 3 of their last 4 games, in a game involving 2 terrible teams that win 25% or less of their games on the season are 53-23 over the last 10 years. Take the OVER. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Liberty +5.5 v. NC State | 14-15 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Liberty/NC State Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Liberty +5.5 The Key: The Liberty Flames are a legit 7-0 team and Hugh Freeze might be the single most underrated head coach in the country. Freeze is now 60-35 ATS as a head coach taking back to his time at Ole Miss after opening up 6-1 ATS this season. The Flames are outgaining opponents by nearly 200 YPG this year and just upset Virginia Tech in ACC play a few weeks back. And now they step down in competition here against NC State and one again find themselves as dogs when they should be favorites. Liberty QB Malik Willis is one of the best QB’s in the country. He is completing 67.8% with 15 TD’s and only 1 INT along with 700 rushing yards, 9 TD and 7.1 YPR on the ground. He leads a balanced offensive attack that averages 255 RYPG and 255 PYPG. That’s bad news for an NC State defense that yields 33.9 PPG, 456.5 YPG and 178 RYPG. Dave Doeren is 0-8 ATS against good rushing teams that average 230 or more RYPG as the coach of NC State. The Wolfpack are 0-8 ATS against good passing teams that average 8 YPA or more over the last 2 years. NC State is 0-6 ATS off a conference home win over the last 3 years. Take Liberty. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +105 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 105 | 44 h 6 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Upset Game of the Year on Nevada ML +105 The Key: I’ve backed Nevada 3 times already this season and am 3-0 with them. Fortunately I stayed off them last time out when they didn’t cover against New Mexico. But I’m back on them again this week at a great price when they should not be home underdogs to San Diego State. The Wolf Pack are 4-0 this season and about to improve to 5-0 here against a SDSU team that has a bad loss to San Jose State already, and 3 easy wins over terrible teams in UNL, Utah Stat and Hawaii. This is an experience Nevada team that returned 17 starters this year and Jay Norvell has coached them up well. The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home underdogs. They have won their last 2 meetings with San Diego State outright as underdogs and will do it for a 3rd straight year here. Take Nevada. |
|||||||
11-21-20 | Rice +2 v. North Texas | 17-27 | Loss | -112 | 43 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Rice +2 The Key: Both Rice and North Texas have had COVID problems this year which has seen Rice play just 2 games and North Texas play just 3 games. But we’ve seen enough of a sample size to know that Rice is the better team. And that was evident with their common opponent in Southern Miss. Rice crushed Southern Miss 30-6 on the road while North Texas lost to that same team 31-41 at home. Not to mention North Texas also lost 21-49 at home to a bad Charlotte team. It’s an experienced Rice team that returned 17 starters this year. And it’s one that should not be a dog to a North Texas team that they also upset last year 20-14 at home. They had 19 first downs compared to just 10 first downs for North Texas in that game. Rice is a running team that will be able to run the ball at will against a North Texas defense that is yielding 243 RYPG and 5.6 YPC. And North Texas hasn’t played a game since October 17th so it will have been off for more than a month coming into this game. That can’t be a good thing. North Texas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games off a win. Rice is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 road games. Take Rice. |
|||||||
11-20-20 | UMass +33.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UMass +33.5 The Key: Florida Atlantic can’t be laying 33.5 points to anyone with their putrid offense. The Owls are scoring just 20.4 PPG and averaging 323 YPG this year. UMass is not good, but this will be their easiest opponent they have faced this year after road losses to Georgia Southern and Marshall. And they’ve had 2 weeks to get ready for Florida Atlantic while the Owls played FIU last week. It’s an experienced UMass team that returned 14 starters this year while FAU only returned 9 starters and has a new head coach in Willie Taggart, who has been a disaster as a coach in recent years. The Owls are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 against a team with a losing record. The Owls are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Take UMass. |
|||||||
11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 4 m | Show |
7* Cardinals/Seahawks NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle -3 The Key: The Seahawks will be extra hungry tonight after losing 3 of their last 4 following that 5-0 start. One of those losses was to the Cardinals in overtime back on October 25th. And all 3 losses were on the road. The Seahawks are back home now where they are 4-0 this year. And with the division title possibly on the line here, I think we get the best version of the Seahawks and Russell Wilson. The Cardinals have allowed 30 or more points in 3 straight games and a lot of that has to do with losing their best defender in DE Chandler Jones to injury. Seattle is 32-15-4 ATS in its last 51 games off an ATS loss. Pete Carroll has gone 12-2 ATS after 2 or more straight losses as the coach of the Seahawks. Bets against dogs or PK who went over the total by 28 or more points in their last 3 games, in division games are 35-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Seattle. |
|||||||
11-19-20 | Tulane v. Tulsa -5.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa -5.5 The Key: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are a legit contender to win the American Athletic Conference this season. They are 4-1 with their only loss coming in non-conference play in a game effort at Oklahoma State in a 7-16 loss as 23.5-point dogs. Then they upset UCF as 20.5-point dogs to prove they are contenders before crushing South Florida 42-13 on the road. They did barely squeak by ECU in a bad spot, but now they came back from their bye week and beat SMU 28-24 last week. And that bye week is key as the Golden Hurricane will now be playing just their 2nd game in 3 weeks so they should be the fresher team. The Tulane Green Wave will be playing 7 straight weeks here and are on a short week to boot. Tulsa outgained SMU and UCF by nearly 100 yards combined while Tulane was outgained by over 500 yards by SMU and UFC combined. The Golden Hurricane are clearly the better team here and it will show on the scoreboard Thursday night. Take Tulsa. |
|||||||
11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 19 m | Show |
7* WMU/CMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan -1.5 The Key: Central Michigan made the MAC Championship Game in Jim McElwain’s first season on the job last year. He is doing big things here for the Chippewas already. They are off to a 2-0 start this season with a 30-27 win over Ohio as 2.5-point home dogs and a 40-10 blowout of Northern Illinois as 6-point road favorites. The defense has been very good in allowing just 294.5 YPG and they are outgaining those two opponents by 135.5 YPG. Western Michigan was fortunate to beat Toledo last week after trailing by 10 with just under 3 minutes left and getting 2 TD’s in the final minutes after an onside kick to win 41-38. Even after 2 TD drives late they were still outgained by 64 yards by Toledo for the game. Last year Central Michigan outgained Western Michigan on the road but lost 15-31 in a misleading final after committing 3 turnovers. The Chippewas get revenge at home this time around. The Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as underdog. Western Michigan is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off an ATS win. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Central Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games. The Chippewas are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 matchups. Take Central Michigan. |
|||||||
11-17-20 | Akron +26 v. Kent State | Top | 35-69 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* Akron/Kent State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Akron +26 The Key: The Akron Zips really impressed me last week in their 10-24 loss at Ohio as 27-point dogs. This was a 7-point game late and they were in it for 4 quarters. They gained 435 yards on offense and only gave up 307 yards on defense and probably deserved to win outright. Now they are catching 26 points from Kent State tonight. Kent State only beat Eastern Michigan by 4 and then crushed the worst team in the MAC in Bowling Green by 38 last week. That win over Bowling Green has the Golden Flashes getting too much respect from oddsmakers in this matchup. Kent State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite. The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Take Akron. |
|||||||
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 46 m | Show |
7* Vikings/Bears MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +3 The Key: The Chicago Bears are hungry for a win coming off 3 straight losses. Those 3 losses were to 3 of the best teams in the NFL in the Saints, Rams and Titans. Now they take a step down in competition here against the 3-5 Minnesota Vikings. This is a very bad Vikings defense that yields 29.3 PPG and 413 YPG. And while the Minnesota offense has put up good numbers this year, it has come against awful defenses outside the Colts, who they only managed 11 points against. And the Bears are the Vikings’ kryptonite. Chicago only gives up 21.1 PPG and 335 YPG this year. The Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the Vikings while yielding only 16.3 PPG in those 6 contests. They have won the last 4 outright. Take Chicago. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Ravens/Patriots AFC *BAILOUT* on Baltimore -7 The Key: The Baltimore Ravens are 6-2 this season with their 2 losses coming to arguably the 2 best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Chiefs. Their 6 wins have come by 17.2 PPG this year so they are blowing out the teams they are supposed to. And they should blow out the awful Patriots tonight. New England has lost 4 of its last 5 with its only win coming on a last-second field goal over the Jets on Monday night. Now the Patriots are on a short week with less time to prepare to try and stop Lamar Jackson and company. That’s a huge disadvantage. The Ravens should be able to run wild on this soft Patriots defense and name their score. The Patriots are really lacking weapons on offense this season, and Cam Newton has been terrible. New England QB’s have just 3 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this year which is awful in today’s NFL. The Ravens are 9-1 ATS in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 years. The Patriots are 0-6 ATS against good rushing teams that average 130 or more RYPG over the last 2 years. Take Baltimore. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-32 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Bills/Cardinals Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Arizona -2.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Cardinals this week. They were a little fat and happy coming into their bye week off their big win over the Seahawks the week prior. And they laid an egg in an upset loss to the underrated Miami Dolphins last week. They will be back focused this week. Now they catch a fat and happy Bills team coming off an upset win of their own over the Seahawks. That came after beating their biggest rivals in the Patriots the week prior. They have a bye on deck next week and I think they could be looking ahead to it and not giving the Cardinals the proper attention they deserve. This is a Cardinals offense that has put up 30-plus points in 4 straight and one that can out-duel Josh Allen and company. The Cardinals also have the better defense as they yield only 22.5 PPG this year while Buffalo gives up 25.9 PPG. The Cardinals are scoring 29.3 PPG while the Bills are scoring 26.9 PPG. The numbers indicate the Cardinals should be more than 2.5-point home favorites, and the situation dictates it as well. Arizona is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games against poor pass defenses that allow 7 or more YPA. The Cardinals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games with a total of 49.5 or higher. Take Arizona. |
|||||||
11-15-20 | Eagles -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -113 | 37 h 31 m | Show |
7* NFC East Game of the Year on Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles are off their bye week and getting healthy to make a run in the 2nd half of the season. They now have 4 playmakers back that they didn’t have before in RB Sanders, WR Jeffery, TE Goedert and WR Raegor. They also have their 2 best offensive linemen back and healthy now in Johnson and Peters. They didn’t have any of these guys when they played the Giants the first time. They still managed to beat the Giants and put up 422 yards on them while limiting the Giants to just 305 yards. That’s nothing new in this series as the Eagles are 8-0 SU in their last 8 matchups with the Giants. The Giants only have 2 wins all season, and they both came against Washington by a combined 4 points. And they only beat Washington by 3 last week despite being +5 in turnovers. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as home dogs of 7 points or less. Take Philadelphia. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | SMU v. Tulsa -2.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 77 h 42 m | Show | |
6* SMU/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa -2.5 The Key: The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are a legit contender to win the American Athletic Conference this season. They are 3-1 with their only loss coming in non-conference play in a game effort at Oklahoma State in a 7-16 loss as 23.5-point dogs. Then they upset UCF as 20.5-point dogs to prove they are contenders before crushing South Florida 42-13 on the road. They did barely squeak by ECU last time out, but now they’ve had 2 weeks to get ready for SMU coming off a bye week. SMU has to be a tired team right now as they have played 8 games compared to just 4 for Tulsa. And now the Mustangs will be playing for an 8th consecutive week. After getting blown out 13-42 by Cincinnati, they were able to get by 2 bad teams in Temple and Navy the last 2 weeks. But now this is a big step up in class and likely the 2nd-best team they’ve played all season here in Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane want revenge rom a 37-43 (OT) loss to SMU last year as 12-point dogs. They blew a 30-9 lead in the 4th quarter and have not forgotten. It’s revenge time here Saturday. The Mustangs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Golden Hurricane are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games off an ATS loss. The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Take Tulsa. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue +3.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -113 | 75 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Northwestern/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +3.5 The Key: Northwestern is starting to get too much love after starting the season 3-0. Their last 2 wins were fortunate as they were outgained by 20 yards by Iowa in their 21-20 win and outgained by 125 yards by Nebraska in their 21-13 win. Now they will be playing for a 4th straight week here. Purdue is rested and ready off a bye week and off 2 straight wins over Iowa and Illinois. The Boilermakers should not be catching 3.5 points at home here in what I have as a pretty evenly matched game, so the price is right to back the home team. Purdue is 10-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 years. The Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home dogs. The Wildcats are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games as favorites. Take Purdue. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -1.5 | 23-24 | Loss | -107 | 74 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Baylor/Texas Tech Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech -1.5 The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are hungry for a win after 2 straight losses to Oklahoma and TCU after beating a very good West Virginia team at home. They also took Texas to overtime at home earlier this year after blowing a 15-point lead. This team has a nice home-field advantage and always has. Baylor is coming off 4 straight losses after blowing a 21-7 lead to Iowa State last week. The Bears are an inexperienced team that returned only 9 starters this year and lost a few more due to injury. Now the Bears will be on the road for the 4th time in 5 games. And the Bears have had zero success in Lubbock over the years. Texas Tech is a perfect 9-0 SU in its last 9 home matchups with Baylor. And we’re getting the Red Raiders at a great price here as only 1.5-point favorites in a game they basically just have to win to cover. Take Texas Tech. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | South Alabama +16 v. UL-Lafayette | 10-38 | Loss | -113 | 72 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Saturday Sun Belt *Annihilator* on South Alabama +16 The Key: Louisiana is 6-1 SU this season but just 2-5 ATS. They haven’t been able to put teams away as each of their last 5 wins have come by 10 points or fewer against the likes of Georgia State, Georgia Southern, UAB, Texas State and Arkansas State. If those teams can play with them, South Alabama certainly can as well. The Jaguars only lost by 17 to the best team in the Sun Belt last week in Coastal Carolina. And this has been a very closely-contested series over the years. Each of the last 6 matchups have been decided by 10 points or fewer. South Alabama only lost by 10 as 28-point dogs last year and by 10 as 19.5-point dogs the year prior. And this is an experienced Jaguars team that returned 15 starters this year and has the confidence that they can hang with Louisiana. The Jaguars are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games. The Rajin’ Cajuns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take South Alabama. |
|||||||
11-14-20 | TCU v. West Virginia -3 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 45 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on West Virginia -3 The Key: West Virginia is one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are just 4-3 this season but could easily be 7-0. Their stats are that of a 6-1 team or better. They are outgaining teams by 179 YPG this season and 1.2 YPP. They had a win taken away from them last week by the refs at Texas as they refused to call a pass interference in the end zone on 4th down when they were going in for the game winning score. Look for the Mountaineers to come back with a chip on their shoulder this week and make easy work of TCU. The Horned Frogs rely heavily on their rushing game to move the football. West Virginia only gives up 109 RYPG and 3.3 YPR this year. They’ll stop the run with their elite defense and score enough points on this TCU defense to win this game with room to spare. The Mountaineers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off a game where they forced no turnovers. The Mountaineers are 4-0 at home this year and winning by 25.0 PPG. Take West Virginia. |
|||||||
11-13-20 | East Carolina +28 v. Cincinnati | Top | 17-55 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 12 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on East Carolina +28 The Key: East Carolina is better than its 1-5 record would suggest. They had a win against Tulsa stolen from them by the refs. And they haven’t lost by more than 23 points this year. That 23-point loss came to UCF, a team that just runs at a frantic pace and puts up a lot of points on everyone. Last year ECU only lost 43-46 at home to Cincinnati as a 24.5-point underdog. The Pirates put up over 600 yards of offense in that defeat thanks to 535 passing yards and 5 total touchdowns from QB Holton Ahlers, who is back leading this ECU offense this season and having another great year. Cincinnati has covered 3 in a row in wins over SMU, Houston and Memphis and now the price is too steep on them, especially since they are ranked in the Top 10 right now and getting 4-team playoff hype. And they play UCF next week so could easily be looking ahead to that game and buying into the hype. This game will be a lot closer than the oddsmakers expect. Plus the Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as road dogs. Take East Carolina. |
|||||||
11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans +1 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* Colts/Titans AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee +1 The Key: The Tennessee Titans have picked up right where they left off last season. They have gone 6-2 after making it all the way to the AFC Championship last year. And for some reason this team just keeps flying under the radar. Ryan Tannehill has played like an MVP since taking over at starting QB, and AJ Brown is one of the best receivers in the NFL. Derrick Henry gets better as the season goes on and will be a big factor for them in the 2nd half of the season here. The Colts have played the 32nd-ranked schedule in the NFL. Their two toughest games they lost to the Ravens 10-24 at home and the Browns 23-32 on the road. They also lost to the Jaguars in the opener. I know the Colts have a great defense, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired as Philip Rivers just isn’t playing well at all. Rivers has 10 touchdowns against 7 interceptions on the season. Tannehill has 19 touchdowns and only 3 picks this year. Henry has 843 yards and 8 touchdowns in 8 games and is on pace to lead the NFL in rushing. The Titans are 4-1 at home this year with their only loss to the Steelers, who are 8-0 this year. Take Tennessee. |
|||||||
11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2.5 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show |
7* Toledo/Western Michigan MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Michigan -2.5 The Key: The Western Michigan Broncos got in 8 spring practices and started off the season like gangbusters with their 58-13 throttling of Akron last week. They outgained the Zips by 4.3 YPP in that game. Toledo also had a nice win last week in a 38-3 victory over Bowling Green. But head coach Jason Candle is struggling the last 2 seasons at Toledo with a combined 13-12 record. The Rockets are on the decline and the Broncos have a great chance to beat them after losing the last 2 meetings. Western Michigan went 6-0 at home last year, while Toledo is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games. I like that combination here and the price with the Broncos as only 2.5-point home favorites. Take Western Michigan. |
|||||||
11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -9.5 | Top | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
7* Miami/Buffalo MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Buffalo -9.5 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are loaded with 15 returning starters and the most talent in the MAC this season. They are the favorites to win the conference. They have everyone back on offense except for a couple offensive linemen from a unit that average 31.5 PPG last year. That have 7 starters back on D from a unit that only gave up 21.3 PPG. And they had 9 spring practices to boot. Buffalo outgained Northern Illinois by 2.0 YPP in the opener and won 49-30 after leading 49-16. Miami was outgained by 1.1 YPP by Ball State in the opener and was lucky to win 38-31. Miami was also lucky to beat Buffalo last year despite getting outgained by 133 yards because they won the turnover battle 4-0. They won’t be so fortunate in 2020 as Buffalo makes a statement here and avenges that defeat. The Redhawks could be without starting QB Gabbert and they will be without their top 2 rushers from last year in Bester and Shelton. The Bulls have won 7 of their last 8 games all by 19 points or more and are 7-1 ATS over that span. Take Buffalo. |
|||||||
11-09-20 | Patriots -7 v. Jets | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 82 h 40 m | Show |
7* Patriots/Jets MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on New England -7 The Key: The New York Jets are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS this season. They are losing by 18 PPG and all 8 losses have come by 8 points or more. The Patriots still have hope to get back in this division race even after their loss to Buffalo last week. It’s not like the Bills are playing great right now, and the Patriots had their chance to beat them, only losing by a field goal after Cam Newton fumbled. The Patriots should get back on the winning track here against the Jets, who they have owned through the years. That should continue in 2020 with the Jets being easily the worst team in the NFL right now. Take New England. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 46 m | Show |
7* Saints/Bucs NFC South Game of the Year on Tampa Bay -4.5 The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and have outscored those 7 teams by 13.3 PPG. They have been a completely different team since losing to the Saints in the opener, and now they are out to prove it and grab a stranglehold on this division as they get revenge at home. The Bucs have scored at least 25 points in all 6 of their wins this year with an explosive offense. They give up only 20.6 PPG and less than 300 YPG on the season with one of the top defenses in the NFL. The Saints have won 4 straight games by 6 points or less and have been very fortunate. They have a leaky defense that allows 28.1 PPG this year. And Drew Brees isn’t what he used to be and is dealing with a shoulder injury right now. The Saints are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games off 2 consecutive wins by 3 points or fewer. Take Tampa Bay. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Cardinals | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 54 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Dolphins/Cardinals Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami +4.5 The Key: The Arizona Cardinals had everything going their way going into their bye week with 3 straight victories. So the bye week only could have hurt them from a mental perspective because it halts their momentum. And their huge win over the Seahawks going into the bye probably has their heads a little bigger than they should be right now. Miami is the type of team that nothing comes easy against. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and have upset wins over the 49ers and Rams recently, 2 teams in the toughest division in the NFL. They also played the Seahawks very tough, and now they get their shot at these Cardinals. The Dolphins have the way better defense here giving up just 18.6 PPG this season. They have also put up 26.9 PPG on offense and should unleash Tua this week at quarterback. He didn’t have to do much last week because they jumped out to a 28-7 lead over the Rams. The Dolphins are 7-0 ATS in Weeks 5 thru 9 over the last 2 years. Take Miami. |
|||||||
11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers +101 | 31-26 | Loss | -100 | 54 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Raiders/Chargers AFC West *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles PK The Key: The Chargers might be the best 2-5 team I’ve ever seen, but they are now 0-3 in games in which they’ve had a 17-point lead or greater in 2020. They blew another 21-point lead to the Broncos last week as things just spiraled against them. But this is a young, resilient team that will try to bounce back this week and beat the Raiders. The Chargers outgain their opponents by 53.1 YPG on the season, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. The Raiders only outgain their opponents by 1.0 YPG on the season. The Chargers are the better team, and we’re getting them at home as a pick ‘em. This is a great value because the better public doesn’t want anything to do with them with their 2-5 record and all these blown leads. That’s why you have to dig deeper into the numbers in the NFL and realize the Chargers are much closer to a 5-2 team than a 2-5 one. Bets against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6 points or less last game against an opponent that is off a loss by 3 points or less are 34-8 ATS since 1983. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -105 | 85 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Washington State/Oregon State Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Oregon State -1.5 The Key: Oregon State is a program on the rise. After going just 2-10 in Jonathan Smith’s first year in 2018, the Beavers went 5-7 last year. They won 4 Pac-12 games and had 3 losses by 3 points or less. That’s how close they were to being an 8-4 team. One of those close losses came to Washington State by a final of 53-54 that cost them a trip to a bowl game. It’s now revenge time for the Beavers. Smith is in his 3rd season with the program with 14 returning starters and his best team yet. Washington State lost Mike Leach to Mississippi State and is in rebuilding mode. They lose QB Anthony Gordon who had 5,579 yards and 48 TD last year. They also lose their top 3 receivers, who combined for nearly 3,000 receiving yards and 26 TD. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Take Oregon State. |