Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-16-17 | Coyotes v. Canadiens -181 | 5-4 | Loss | -181 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Montreal Canadiens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Arizona is just 1-5 (-4 units) against teams with losing records this year and 2-10 (-8.4 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest, while Montreal is 13-10 (+2.4 units) in its last 23 after playing three consecutive home games. The bottom line: The Coyotes’ miserable season continues. They’ve lost five straight and their tough road trip continues after this with stops in Ottawa and Toronto, followed by home games against San Jose and LA. There is obviously a very real chance that Arizona will lose all of these upcoming games and with that sad fact on its mind tonight, we’re expecting a letdown here as well. Montreal won’t be “looking past” anyone this season after its disastrous start to the campaign as it looks to bounce back off a tough 2-1 OT loss to Columbus. All signs point to a blowout, lay the price with confidence, play on the CANADIENS. AAA Sports |
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11-15-17 | Rangers v. Blackhawks -133 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Chicago Blackhawks. New York is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, as it comes in having won six straight. It’s last three wins have all come at home and now the Rangers head out on a tough Western road swing. Chicago will be super motivated here. It’s lost three of its last four, including a 7-5 setback against the Devils at home in its most recent action, a contest in which it had an early 2-0 lead. With a couple nights off before a big Eastern road swing (starting against the defending champs on Saturday night), we expect the home side to leave everything on the ice tonight. Note that New York is just 4-11 (-10 units) in its last 15 when playing with three or more days rest, while Chicago is 18-13 (+1.2 units) in its last 31 when playing on two days rest. Letdown for New York here, play on the BLACKHAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-14-17 | Coyotes v. Jets -198 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
This is 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Winnipeg Jets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is already just 2-9 (-7.4 units) this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest (Coyotes have lost four straight, including 4-1 to the Jets most recently), while Winnipeg is already 5-3 (+1.9 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: This is a bit of a strange “home and home” set, with two days off between games. Clearly that benefits the home side as well in this scenario. We expect the JETS to lay the hammer down in the opener of this home stand, to not look past the lowly Coyotes and to fully take advantage of this golden opportunity for another solid victory. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-10-17 | Islanders v. Stars -125 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Stars. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that New York is just 30-36 (-10.1 units) in its last 66 after playing a non-conference game, while Dallas is 37-17 (+22 units) in its last 54 after a loss by two goals or more (including 3-1/+2 units this year.) The bottom line: The Stars enter off a 4-1 home loss to Winnipeg and will be looking to take advantage here of this final home game before a tough three game road trip. This is the opener of a daunting back-to-back for the Isles, who are in St. Louis tomorrow night. This line could/should easily be a lot larger, play on the STARS. AAA Sports |
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11-09-17 | Red Wings v. Flames -165 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Calgary Flames. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Detroit is still just 11-15 (-3.8 units) in its last 26 after playing three consecutive road games, while Calgary is 33-28 (+10.4 units) in its last 61 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game (including 3-1, +2 units this year.) The bottom line: A great situational/spot bet in our opinion. Detroit has played six of its last seven games on the road and enters it final game of the trip having won two straight, most recently a 3-2 win at Vancouver. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a letdown for the visitors today. Calgary had its three game win streak snapped in a loss to Vancouver last time out, but enjoys a couple nights off before a game at home against St. Louis on Monday. All signs point to a comfortable home victory, play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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11-08-17 | Bruins v. Rangers -136 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the New York Rangers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Boston is just 24-30 (-18.3 units) in its last 54 after a win by two goals or more (including 0-2, -3.5 units this season), while New York is 53-32 (+6.1 units) in its last 85 against clubs with losing records and interestingly, 23-9 (+8.2 units) in its last 32 “November” games. The bottom line: Two teams which are hungry for a win and which have looked better of late. Tukka Rask and Henrik Lundqvist are pretty evenly matched here, but the numbers/trends clearly point to the RANGERS as the savvy move in our professional opinion. AAA Sports |
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11-07-17 | Coyotes v. Penguins -235 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Arizona is just 10-20 (-2.1 units) in its last 30 when playing on back-to-back days, while Pittsburgh is already 4-0 (+4 units) this year when playing with two days rest. The bottom line: The Coyotes held a two-goal lead against the Capitals early in the nation’s capital yesterday, but they’d go on to lose with just seconds remaining in OT. After that crushing defeat, we expect Arizona to throw in the white flag early tonight. Play on the PENGUINS. AAA Sports |
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11-06-17 | Coyotes v. Capitals -194 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Arizona is just 22-50 (-18.6 units) in its last 52 after a non-conference game (including 2-6, -3.4 units this year), while Washington is 65-30 (+12.1 units) in its last 95 against clubs with losing records. The bottom line: The Yotes come in off just their second win of the season in a 2-1 shootout victory over the Hurricanes. With a game in Pittsburgh tomorrow night, followed by another tough one in St. Louis on Thursday, we think that the visitors have a letdown here. Washington has now won three of its last four, but clearly won’t be taking anything for granted here after its shaky start to the season. No letdown here, all signs point to a comfortable victory. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-17 | Devils v. Flames -167 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. New Jersey started the year 9-2, but it comes in off a 6-3 road loss at Edmonton. No. 1 goaltender Corey Schneider is not expected in net for the visitors, with backup Keith Kinkaid likely. Regardless, we love the Flames in this one. Calgary started the year slowly but has gotten outstanding goaltending from Mike Smith of late as it comes in off a 2-1 OT win over the Penguins. Smith stopped 43 of 44 shots. Note though that New Jersey is just 20-42 in its last 62 games played on one days rest, while Calgary is 10-1 in its last 11 when playing on two days rest. Too many factors working against New Jersey, the savvy move is on the FLAMES. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-04-17 | Golden Knights v. Senators -190 | 5-4 | Loss | -190 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Ottawa Senators. The Knights were great at home to open the season and while they’ve put up a bit of a fight on the road, they come to Canada’s capital having lost three straight away from friendly confines. Ottawa broke a two game slide with a 3-1 home win over Detroit, but with five whole days off before a home and home set with Colorado starting on the 10th, we’re expecting the Sens to leave everything on the ice tonight. Note that Vegas is already just 2-4 (-2 units) in non-conference games this year, while Ottawa is 34-27 (+9.2 units) in its last 61 non-conference contests (3-2 this season.) The SENATORS hold the advantage at net and on offense and won’t be caught “looking past” this opportunity. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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11-03-17 | Devils v. Oilers -158 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New Jersey is interestingly just 5-21 (-15.8 units) in its last 26 “Friday night” games (including only 1-2 this year) and only 4-8 (-3.9 units) in its last 12 after a three game unbeaten streak (including 0-2 this season), while Edmonton is 5-2 (+2.7 units) in its last seven after back-to-back losses in which its scored two goals or less in each game. The bottom line: The Oilers are so far the lowest scoring team in the league. Last year Edmonton was one of the highest. The Devils have gotten unreal goaltending from Cory Schneider (who just blanked his former team in Vancouver on Wednesday), but with another tough one in Calgary on Sunday, we think that New Jersey finally stumbles here against this desperate Oilers side. Play on EDMONTON. AAA Sports |
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11-02-17 | Flyers v. Blues -180 | 2-0 | Loss | -180 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the St. Louis Blues. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Philadelphia is a horrible 15-20 (-4.6 units) in its last 35 when playing on back-to-back days, while St. Louis is 41-29 (+2.9 units) in its last 70 after scoring foru goals or more in its previous contest, including 5-1 (+3.7 units) this season alone. The bottom line: The Flyers looked poor in last night’s loss in Chicago. The Blues come in on top form and goaltender Jake Allen leads the league in most categories. This line could/should easily be a lot larger in our opinion, indeed swinging the value to ST. LOUIS. AAA Sports |
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11-01-17 | Penguins v. Oilers -111 | 3-2 | Loss | -111 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Pittsburgh is already just 3-4 (-2 units) in non-conference games already this year, while despite a sluggish start this season, the Oilers remain a profitable 8-3 (+3.4 units) in their last 11 after allowing four goals or more in their previous contest. The bottom line: From a scheduling stand point, this one definitely favors the Oilers as well, who come in having had three whole nights off. The Pens on the other hand are playing the third game in a seven-game road trip and can’t help themselves getting caught “looking ahead” to their game in Calgary tomorrow night. All in all, great value on the desperate OILERS. AAA Sports |
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10-31-17 | Golden Knights v. Rangers -181 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Rangers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense: Vegas was 7-1 heading into its game against the Islanders last night, but predictably lost 6-3 in its first true Eastern road swing (we had the Isles in that one.) The Rangers can clearly ill afford to “look past” this golden opportunity, as they’ve been struggling so far this year and have lost three of their last four. The Blue Shirts though have had two nights off to prepare and have another two nights off after this to recoup, having no reason to look past their lowly opponent today either. It’s a great set of “situational” circumstances working in favor of NEW YORK this evening. AAA Sports |
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10-30-17 | Golden Knights v. Islanders -167 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the New York Islanders. The 8-1 Vegas Golden Knights are ready for a big letdown here in our opinion as they hit the road to take on the 6-5 New York Islanders. Vegas enters off a 7-0 home win over the Avs, while the Isles smashed the Predators 6-2 in Nashville in their latest affair. Vegas ranks third on offense with 3.78 GPG, while ranked 2nd in goals allowed with 2.11. Are these numbers sustainable? We don’t think so. Knights’ goaltender Oscar Dansk had 32 saves in the win over Colorado. The Islanders average 3.45 GPG, while allowing 3.09. Goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 4-2 with a 2.61 GAA, including 2-0 with a 3.00 GAA at home. New York will be looking to get the early jump on the still untested Golden Knights, who we foresee stumbling to open this road trip. Play on the ISLANDERS. AAA Sports |
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10-27-17 | Avalanche +111 v. Golden Knights | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BEATDOWN on the Colorado Avalanche. At 7-1 to open the year, clearly the Vegas Golden Knights are the biggest surprise in the NHL in the early going. Are the Golden Knights a playoff team right out of the gates? Clearly we’ll just have to wait and see, however, there’s no doubt that regression at some point will happen and we’re thinking it’s going to be sooner than later. Colorado enters off a 5-3 home win over Dallas, while Vegas beat Chicago 4-2 most recently. The Avs were the worst team in the league last year, but come in averaging 3.11 GGP, while allowing just 2.67. Semyon Varlamov is 2-2 with a 2.01 GAA on the road thus far. The Knights have averaged 3.38 GPG and allowed only 2.38. Marc-Andre Fleury is 3-1 with a 2.48 GAA, but he’s out with a concussion. Oscar Dansk is 2-0 with a 2.43 GAA in the early going. But there’s no question that this sets up as a letdown/lookahead spot for Vegas, which has two nights off after this before an extended/lengthy Eastern Conference road swing, a trip which will prove if the team is “for real” or not. Colorado on the other hand has had two nights off. We’re impressed with the Knights, but think the value is on the underdog in this particular matchup. Play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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10-26-17 | Capitals -148 v. Canucks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -148 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on the Washington Capitals. Vancouver returns home off a much better than expected lengthy road trip, while Washington has had considerable time off after last falling to Florida. With the high-powered Capitals looking to kick off their Western road swing on the “right foot,” the Canucks are the perfect opponent to beat up on. Vancouver won four of five on its opening season road trip, most recently beating Minnesota 1-0. Jake Viranen got the loan goal in that one. Vancouver though was outshot 29-25 in that one. Goaltender Anders Nilsson made 29 saves and has looked good in the early going. Note that that Nilsson is 0-3-1 against the Capitals with a 3.64 GAA, while Jacob Markstrom is 0-5-0 with a 3.51 GAA against Washington. The Capitals will be eager to start their new big win streak as they come into this one with a pedestrian 4-4-1 record. Alex Ovechkin has ten goals and 11 points overall for the Capitals this season, while goaltender Braden Holtby is 4-2-0 on the year with 2.31 GAA (note that Holtby is 3-1 with a 1.76 GAA lifetime against the Canucks.) The Capitals are 6-1 in their last seven following a home loss of three goals or more, while Vancouver is a horrible 6-21 in its last 27 home games against a club which has a winning road record. It’s a classic “trap” game for the young and over-achieving Canucks, who return home in a major letdown spot. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for Washington as it puts its full focus onto the ice tonight. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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10-24-17 | Panthers v. Canadiens -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Montreal Canadiens. The Habs have been horrible this year, returning home having lost seven straight. So has Carey Price forgotten how to play hockey? Are the Canadiens really as bad as their record would indicate after the first month? Clearly the answer is “no.” Montreal may not be as good as it was last year, but it’s not as bad as what it’s shown to this point. Price has the pedigree and track record to bounce back strong. Florida snapped a three-game slide with a 4-1 win at Washington, but with an extended five-game home stand up next, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that more favorable part of their schedule. All things considered, we feel this is a great price on the desperate CANADIENS. AAA Sports |
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10-12-17 | Sabres v. Sharks -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the San Jose Sharks. Both teams are 0-2. Clearly each is going to be hungry to get off the schneid, but the Sharks are a tough home team. This is the start of a tough four-game Western road swing for the lowly Sabres and we think the team gets caught looking ahead to its upcoming daunting schedule, with games at LA, Anaheim and Vegas up next. The Sharks on the other hand enjoy a night off before another “must win” game against the Islanders at home on Saturday night. Note that Buffalo is 14-18 (-1.6 units) in its last 32 when playing on two days rest, while San Jose is 30-20 (+5.4 units) in its last 50 after allowing four goals or more. Lay the price with confidence, play on the SHARKS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-17 | Flames v. Kings -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Kings. Calgary returns home for a game against Ottawa on Friday, while LA enjoys two whole nights off before a visting from lowly Buffalo on Thursday. From a scheduling stand point, this one favors the Kings. LA comes in off back-to-back victories and is always tough at home, while the Flames’ achilles heel has always been their play on the road. Note as well that Calgary is just 26-36 (-10.3 units) in its last 62 following a divisional contest, while LA is 41-20 (+9.4 units) following a divisional contest. This line could easily be a lot higher, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-17 | Islanders v. Ducks -137 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Anaheim Ducks. With two whole nights off this one before continuing their tough Western road swing at San Jose and LA before then returning to the East Coast for one at the Rangers, we think the Isles get caught “looking ahead” to their upcoming gruelling schedule. After back-to-back losses though, Anaheim will be eager to take advantage of familiar surroudings. Note that New York is just 25-31 (-10 units) following a non-conference game, while Anaheim 20-13 (+3.9 units) in its last 33 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. All things considered, a fair price. Play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-17 | Bruins v. Avalanche +117 | 3-6 | Win | 117 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Avalanche. Colorado just hammered the Bruins 4-0 in Boston and we think the surging Avs will keep the momentum rolling here. Colorado was atrocious on both sides of the puck last season, but goaltender Semyon Varlamov played through injury and he sure looks a lot better in the early going. Note that Boston is just 19-21 (-7.8 units) in its last 40 following a loss by two goals or more in its previous game, while the Avs are already 2-1 (+2.4 units) in non-conference games this eason. Great value, play on COLORADO. AAA Sports |
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10-11-17 | Devils v. Maple Leafs -185 | 6-3 | Loss | -185 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Maple Leafs. With a game at home against Washington on Friday night, the Devils may be caught looking ahead here. The Leafs on the other hand have two whole nights off before a game at Montreal and at Washington respectively, two tough ones which make this game that much more important. Note that New Jersey is just 11-20 (-9.5 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Toronto is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in its last four after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. Lay the price with confidence, play on the LEAFS. AAA Sports |
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10-11-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -128 | 3-2 | Loss | -128 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Capitals. With another tough one at Tampa Bay tomorrow night, we think the defending Champs get caught “looking ahead.” The Caps have a night off before a two-game road trip, putting any added emphasis onto tonight’s contest. Note that the Penguins are interestingly just 19-21 (-6.8 units) in their last four against teams with a winning record in the first half of the season, while Washington is 29-10 (+12.5 units) in its last 39 in the same position. Play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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10-10-17 | Flyers v. Predators -146 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators. The Predators will be eager to break into the win column after an 0-2 start, most recently getting blanked 4-0 in Pittsburgh. Philadelphia on the other hands looks set for a letdown here after its 3-2 OT win in Anaheim on Saturday. Note that Philadelphia is just 8-22 in its last 30 on the road and only 4-12 in its last 16 following a victory, while Nashville is 19-7 in its last 26 at home. Are the Flyers are good as their early record would indicate? Are the Predators as poor as their’s shows? Of course not to both. Look for the Predators to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to find a way to finally get off the schneid. Play on NASHVILLE. AAA Sports |
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10-09-17 | Devils v. Sabres -121 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -121 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Buffalo Sabres (3:00 EST). We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that New Jersey is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four after holding its previous opponent to one goal or less in its previous contest (beat the Av’s 4-1 on Opening Night), while the Sabres are 4-2 (+1.7 units) in itheir last six after two or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: The Devils come off a satisfying home win, but get caugth looking past Buffalo here to their game at Toronto and against Washignton on the the horizon. The SABRES on the other hand have three days off before embarking on a long Western Conference road trip. We like the “hungrier” team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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10-07-17 | Kings v. Sharks -122 | 4-1 | Loss | -122 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose Sharks. We had a play on the Kings in their 2-0 home win over the Flyers on Thursday night (was our 10* GAME OF THE WEEK.) That was a great “spot” bet as the Flyers had played the night before. Here’s another great situational play in our opinion, as the hungry Sharks will be eager to notch their first win of the season after falling 5-3 to Philadelphia on Wednesday. Note that LA is a horrible 6-10 (-7.8 units) in its last 16 after shutting out its opponent in its previous game, while San Jose is 28-13 (+13 units) in its last 41 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. All things considered, a great price, play on the SHARKS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-17 | Oilers v. Canucks +160 | 2-3 | Win | 160 | 29 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vancouver Canucks. This is a great situational play in our opinion. For the last 20 years it’s been the Canucks which for the most part who have dominated the Western Conference, with the Oilers as the “cellar dwellers,” but times have changed. Vancouer is in rebuilding mode for the next few years, but we still think it offers great value in an upset role tonight. This is a big time revenge game for the Canucks, who went 0-0-1-4 in the series last year. Note that Edmonton is in fact just 5-7 (-2.5 units) in its last 12 after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. Despite this being just the second game of the year, we think that the Oilers come in a bit complacent and get caught off guard. Play on the CANUCKS. AAA Sports |
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10-07-17 | Rangers +127 v. Maple Leafs | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New York Rangers. New York will be the more desperate team tonight after losing its opener at home to Colorado. Rangers are at home tomorrow night to Montreal, so the team will be looking to start off this two day stretch on the “right foot.” Note that New York is 31-20 (+7.6 units) in its last 51 after allowing four goals or more and 27-15 (+11.2 units) in its last 42 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Toronto is 26-34 (-7.7 units) after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. Looks like a good spot to pull the trigger on the hungry dog, Play on the RANGERS. AAA Sports |
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10-05-17 | Flyers v. Kings -169 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that the Flyers are just 1-4 (-2.7 units) in their last five after scoring five goals or more in the first game of a back-to-back scenario. The bottom line: Philadelphia comes in off a highly satisfying 5-3 road win in San Jose last night and looks primed for a big letdown here. The Kings got off to a slow start last year, so will be looking to get off on the “right foot” this season. All things considered, this line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion. Value swings to the home side, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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10-04-17 | Flyers v. Sharks -151 | 5-3 | Loss | -151 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose Sharks. These teams split a pair of games last year. The Sharks lost in the first round of the playoffs last year to the Oilers, while the Flyers missed the playoffs. Philadelphia: The Flyers signed Brian Elliot to start in net, he posted a 2.55 GAA last year with the Flames. Philadelphia was ranked 21st on defense in conceding 2.8 GPG last season, while ranked 21st on offense in scoring just 2.6. San Jose. The Sharks averaged 2.7 GPG, ranked 19th overall. The defense was ranked fifth, conceding just 2.4 GPG. Defensemen Brett Burns won the Norris tripy for top defensemen. Goaltender Martin Jones had a 2.40 GAAA and .912 save percentage. The bottom line: Note that Flyers are just 6-21 in their last 27 road games, while the Sharks are 7-1 in their last eight against the Metropolitan. SAN JOSE was 26-11-4 at home last year, while Philadelphia won only 14 road games overall. All signs point to a blowout on Opening night, lay the price. AAA Sports |
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10-04-17 | Flames v. Oilers -148 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 37 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Edmonton Oilers. Calgary lost in four games in the first round to Anaheim in the playoffs last year, while Edmonton lost in seven games to the Ducks in the second. These teams played four times last year and the Oilers came out on top in all four. The Flames: Calgary averaged just 2.71 GPG last year, ranked 17th, while conceding 2.67, which was ranked 14th. Goaltender Mike Smith was 19-35 with a 2.92 GAA last season, but is expected to post better numbers for his new team with maybe the best defensive unit in the league in front of him. The Oilers: Edmonton averages 2.96 GPG last season, while ranked eighth in goals allowed in conceding 2.52. Cam Talbot gets the nod between the pipes, he was 42-30 with a 2.39 GAA last year, including 23-15 with a 2.32 GAA at home. Connor McDavid had 30 goals last year and led the league with 100 total points. The bottom line: We like Talbot over Smith. Simple as that. Lay the price, play on the OILERS. AAA Sports |
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10-04-17 | Blues v. Penguins -185 | 5-4 | Loss | -185 | 35 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Pittsburgh sets out to win three straight Stanley Cups and we’re expecting it to take care of business against this visiting Blues side. St. Louis: The Blues were 12th in the league in scoring last year at 2.84 GPG, while at the defensive end of the ice they ranked 13th in goals allowed, giving up 2.63 GPG. St. Louis struggled with offensive consistency last season and things aren’t going to be easy in this pressure packed opening night against the defending champs. Goaltender Jake Allen was 14-13 with a 2.42 GAA on the road. Note that he’s 1-2 with a 2.98 GAA lifetime against the Pens. Pittsburgh: The Pens were No. 1 in the league in scoring with 3.39 GPG and ranked 17th in goals allowed with 2.79. No. 1 goalie Matt Murray missed most of the season though, so we’re expecting Pittsburgh to be much better on the defensive end of the ice overall this year. The defending champs are stacked from top to bottom and will now be looking to carve out a little history. The bottom line: The Pens have the edge on offense and the big home ice advantage. All signs point to a rout, lay the price with confidence. Play on the PENGUINS. AAA Sports |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators -128 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Nashville Predators. We played on Pittsburgh in Game’s 1 and 2 and then took the Predators in Game 3. If you didn’t get a chance to read the analysis on our Game 3 pick, we feel that its worth a quick look now as for the most part, the logic behind that selection also directly pertains to this one: We’ve taken Pittsburgh over the first two games of this series and feel a bit fortunate for the Game 1 victory obviously after the Pens managed just 15 shots on net in the 5-3 win. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne had the best GAA in the playoffs before heading to the Finals, but he’s stumbled to this point. We think the all-star netminder will finally return to form in front of the home town crowd tonight though. It’s do or die for the home side and we think it answers the challenge. The home side: It’s still “do-or-die” for the home side tonight as well, as a 3-1 hole with the series heading back to Pittsburgh would almost assuredly be too much for the Predators to climb out of. Nashville looked like an entirely different team at home and so too did Rinne. All signs point to a blowout, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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06-03-17 | Penguins v. Predators -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 57 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is just 2-4 (-2.3 units) this year after playing three consecutive home games, while Nashville is 6-4 (+2 units) in its last ten when trailing in a playoff series and 13-7 (+5 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. The bottom line: We’ve taken Pittsburgh over the first two games of this series and feel a bit fortunate for the Game 1 victory obviously after the Pens managed just 15 shots on net in the 5-3 win. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne had the best GAA in the playoffs before heading to the Finals, but he’s stumbled to this point. We think the all-star netminder will finally return to form in front of the home town crowd tonight though. It’s do or die for the home side and we think it answers the challenge. Play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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05-31-17 | Predators v. Penguins -140 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We had a play on the Penguins in Game 1 and we think that Pittsburgh will find a way to get the job done in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read the analysis from that selection, we feel its worth a look here right now as for the most part, the logic behind that pick also applies to this one: Nashville owns the No. 1 defense in the playoffs and the Pens sport the No. 1 offense. They say “defense wins champions,” but we’ve always thought that that addage has pertained more to the gridrion than to either the hardwood or on the ice. We think rest leads to rust for the visitors and expect the defending champs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on PITTSBURGH. The bottom line: The Pens managed only 12 shots on net and still won 5-3. Clearly that was a fluke and another effort like that would result in a loss, but we expect the defending champs to come out with a lot better performance in Game 2. And for the Predators, they saw their massive effort wasted behind a tragic game from their star goaltender Pekka Rinne. Rinne can’t possibly play any worse, but we feel that Nashville’s psyche has taken a major hit and we think the Predators stumble again this evening. Lay the price, play on the PENGUINS. AAA Sports |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins -163 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Nashville is just 3-6 (-3.9 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Pittsburgh is 6-2 (+3.2 units) in the same position. The bottom line: Nashville owns the No. 1 defense in the playoffs and the Pens sport the No. 1 offense. They say “defense wins champions,” but we’ve always thought that that addage has pertained more to the gridrion than to either the hardwood or on the ice. We think rest leads to rust for the visitors and expect the defending champs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-21-17 | Senators v. Penguins -185 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Penguins. No need to overanalyze this one. Ottawa had its chance in Game 4 and blew it, as a 3-1 series lead would likely have been too much for the Pens to overcome. Pittsburgh inserted fresh goaltender Matt Murray into the mix and he made an immediate impact. We expect him to also play a significant role tonight. PITTSBURGH on the other hand now has full control of this series and we expect its incredible offensive explosiveness to be just too much for Ottawa to handle in Game 5. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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05-19-17 | Penguins -110 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is already 14-6 (+7 units) this year following a loss by two goals or more and 5-2 (+3.8 units) in its last seven when trailing in a playoff series, while Ottawa is just 1-3 (-2 units) in its last four following a win by two goals or more. The bottom line: Pittsburgh’s offense has been a no-show over the first three games, managing just a single goal in each. However, we’re expecting that to change this evening. Look for the defending champs to make some line-up changes as to shake things up. The PENGUINS responded with a big effort after losing Game 1 of this series and that’s exactly what we expect to happen here in Game 4 as well. AAA Sports |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Nashville Predators. We had a play on the Predators in Game 3. Here is an excerpt from the analysis on that selection: The Ducks were a decent road team, but the Predators have been dominant at home. Nashville is ranked as the No. 1 defensive team in the playoffs by conceding just 1.76 GPG. Look for Pekka Rinne to outduel John Gibson between the pipes tonight and lay the price with confidence. Anaheim has historically performed well when down in a playoff series over the last few years, but we think that this Nashville team is something special as it continues to get little respect from the oddsmakers. The PREDATORS will be one game away from the Stanley Cup Finals after they win tonight! AAA Sports |
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05-17-17 | Penguins -123 v. Senators | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Pittsburgh is 5-2 (+2.6 units) in its last seven when tied in a playoff series, while Ottawa is just 3-8 (-6 units) after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: Pittsburgh has had trouble scoring in this series so far, but we expect that trend to end tonight. Sidney Crosby is 100% again and the Pens have had a lot of success on the road already in the playoffs. We think the defending champs are being severely undervalued in this spot. Play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-16-17 | Ducks v. Predators -143 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Anaheim is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after a win by two goals or more, while Nashville is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three after a loss by two goals or more. The bottom line: The Ducks were a decent road team, but the Predators have been dominant at home. Nashville is ranked as the No. 1 defensive team in the playoffs by conceding just 1.76 GPG. Look for Pekka Rinne to outduel John Gibson between the pipes tonight and lay the price with confidence. Play on NASHVILLE. AAA Sports |
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05-15-17 | Senators v. Penguins -190 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Ottawa is already just 5-8 (-3.6 units) this year after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Pittsburgh is 9-4 (+4.8 units) in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We had a play on the Senators on the PUCK-LINE in Game 1 and Ottawa would of course go on to win the game outright in the OT period. We would have won the play whether the Sens won or lost as we had the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. But we now firmly believe the value has swung the other way in this series. The Penguins can ill afford to head back to Canada’s capital in a 2-0 hole, so we’re expecting the league’s No. 1 offense to come out firing on all cylinders tonight. Lay the price with confidence, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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05-14-17 | Predators v. Ducks -114 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Anaheim Ducks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Nashville is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) in its last three after holding its opponent to two goals or less in its previous contest, while Anaheim is 26-16 (+6.7 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: So far the Predators have looked pretty awesome in the postseason. We just think this sets up as a bit of a natural letdown spot for Nashville, which has already accomplished the split. For the Ducks, it’s do or die basically. All things considered, we feel we’re getting a great price here, play on ANAHEIM. AAA Sports |
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05-10-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -120 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Anaheim Ducks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Edmonton is just 4-8 (-6.2 units) this season when playing with two days off, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in its last four in the same position. The bottom line: This has been a back-and-forth series. It’s been difficult for many of the pros to get a complete “feel” on this one. As good as the Oilers looked in Game 6 though, we feel that the Ducks are being extremely undervalued in this spot. We think ANAHEIM finally gets off the schneid, advances past the second round and uses its veteran leadership to its advantage. AAA Sports |
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05-06-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -169 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 7* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Capitals. No need to overthink this one. Pittsburgh has a 3-1 stranglehold on this series and is coming off a big 6-2 win in Game 4, rallying for the victory despite captain Sidney Crosby being sidelined. Crosby could be back for this one, but we don’t think it’s going to matter. The Capitals have gotten a ton of pucks on net, but so far backup Marc-Andre Fleury has gotten the better of Washington netminder Braden Holtby. But with their backs against the wall, we’re expecting the Capitals to put together their best effort of the series to this point. Pittsburgh is going to be happy going home with a 3-2 lead, but all signs point to a blowout for WASHINGTON in Game 5. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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05-05-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Anaheim Ducks. So far home ice advantage hasn’t meant anything in this series, as Edmonton jumped out to the early 2-0 lead in Anaheim, before the Ducks returned the favor North of the border in Game’s 3 and 4. Anaheim’s veteran leadership, combined with goaltender John Gibson’s dominating play has completely shifted the momentum in this series. The Oilers’ offense is stalling and now their defense is starting to struggle as well. And in our opinion, that doesn’t bode well with the series once again shifting back to Anaheim. Note that Edmonton is just 8-9 (-2.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 16-12 (+2.6 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. All things considered, we feel this is a great price, play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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04-30-17 | Blues v. Predators -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Nashville Predators. Nashville and Pittsburgh have looked the best so far in their respective conferences during the playoffs. The Predators got what they wanted in St. Louis, securing a split, but also almost taking the 2-0 lead back home. It wasn’t to be though, as the team would go on to lose in OT in Game 2. It was Nashville’s first loss in the postseason, after sweeping the high-powered Chicago Blackhawks in four straight games. Now that the series has shifted back to Nashville, we expect this deep and disciplined team to continue to dominate. For arguments sake, lets call the goaltenders a wash, as Jake Allen and Pekka Rinne have both been outstanding to this point. St. Louis though has struggled mightily in this spot for bettors, going just 4-12 the last 16 as the road team in this series. And note, Nashville is 19-7 in its last 26 home games against a team with a winning road record. We think St. Louis is outmatched here. A great price all things considered, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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04-29-17 | Penguins v. Capitals -141 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -141 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. We had a play on the UNDER in Game 1. The Pens had to hold on for dear life in that one and managed the 3-2 victory in the end. This is essentially do-or-die for the Capitals though and we find it almost impossible that the team wastes this opportunity. Note that Washignton is 22-11 (+6.6 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of great line value. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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04-28-17 | Oilers v. Ducks -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on the Anaheim Ducks. Edmonton scored the minor upset in Game 1 and we think it’s going to come into this one very content with the split. Conversely, after sweeping the Flames the Ducks were the ones that came out flat to open this series. But with that one out of the way, we look for normally sure-footed Anaheim to regroup and get the job done in its own barn. Besides, note that Edmonton is a poor 6-9 (-5.2 units) already this year after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Anaheim is 15-3 (+12.6 units) this season after allowing four goals or more. Lay the price with confidence, play on the DUCKS. AAA Sports |
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04-28-17 | Predators +105 v. Blues | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators. The Predators continue to get no respect. After steamrolling the Blackhawks in four games, they came out and beat the Blues 4-3 in OT in Game 1 of the Western Conference semi-finals. St. Louis needed five games to get past the Wild and didn’t look nearly as impressive in doing so. Nashville has been getting fantastic goaltending, but for agruments sake, lets call the netminders equal in this matchup. “Momentum” is a very real, tangible factor in the playoffs and it’s often one which we believe the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. And that’s definitely the case here in our opinion. Also note that Nashville is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while St. Louis is just 1-2 (-1.2 units) after giving up four goals or more. Play on NASHVILLE. AAA Sports |
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04-22-17 | Oilers v. Sharks -138 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -138 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
**NOTE: WRONG PLAY CHOSEN. This is a play on the UNDER. Sorry for any confusion. Correct analysis posted below: This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Edmonton Oilers and the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Edmonton has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 20 this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while San Jose has seen the total go UNDER in eight of 13 this season after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: It’s do-or-die for the Sharks, as the Oilers can wrap up the series with another victory. We’re expecting the defensive minded home side to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. The trends and the overall situation lend themselves to a lower-scoring UNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-21-17 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -202 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Capitals. This was supposed to be a “cake-walk” for the Capitals, but the Leafs have given the President’s Cup Trophy winners everything they can handle. For the most part, these teams are complete equals. Braden Holtby and Frederik Andersen are a wash. The offenses and defenses are a wash. It’s been extremely competitive. The Leafs were a respectable 20-14-5 on the road (for Toronto, that’s huge when looking back over the last decade). Washington though was downright dominant at home this year, going 33-7-2. Also note that the Leafs are just 9-10 (-1.5 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while the Capitals are 27-10 (+10.8 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in their previous outing. We look for the deeper and more talented home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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04-19-17 | Capitals -138 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Washington Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is 21-10 (+7 units) this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Toronto is just 17-19 (-3.8 units) after scoring four goals or more. The bottom line: Toronto has the firepower to match pace with Washington, but its defense was ranked in the lower half, while Washington finished No. 3 overall in that department. We’re expecting a return to the norm tonight and look for the Presidents Cup Trophy winners to lead from start to finish. Lay the price with confidence, play on the CAPITALS. AAA Sports |
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04-17-17 | Ducks v. Flames -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Calgary Flames (10:05 EST). We stated from the start that home ice would be crucial in this series and so far it has, with Anaheim somehow managing to win both Games 1 and 2 in its own barn. Now it’s time for the Flames to reciprocate. The home team is 52-17 the last 69 in this series. We’ll call the goaltenders a wash, but note that Anaheim is just 2-3 (-2.4 units) in its last five after a three-game unbeaten streak, while Calgary is 25-16 (+10.5 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Lay the price, play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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04-14-17 | Sharks v. Oilers -146 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers. If you’re betting on hockey right now, then you know the story lines of these two teams. The Oilers are back in the playoffs for the first time in over a decade thanks in part to the league leading scorer Connor McDavid and company. The Sharks stumbled down the stretch, but early dominance and veteran leadership saw the team not only make it back into the playoffs, but also saw it take Game 1 of this best of seven series. Edmonton had a 2-0 lead after 20 minutes, but fell apart down the stretch. We’re not expecting that to happen again. Edmonton took three of four in this season series, so its confidence won’t be shaken. This is the biggest game of the year for the OILERS, who obviously can ill afford to go back to San Jose down 0-2. All things considered, we feel this is a great price. AAA Sports |
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04-12-17 | Blues v. Wild -143 | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 56 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 7* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Wild. These teams are very evenly matched. We think that home ice advantage will be crucial in the opener and throughout this series though. The Wild took two of three from the Blues at home this year and won four straight to the end the season. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk finished 40-19-5 with a 2.25 GAA. Minnesota averages 3.2 GPG, ranked second overall. The Blues’ Jake Allen was consistently inconsistent this year and finished 33-30-5 with a 2.42 ERA. St. Louis averaged 2.8 GPG, ranked 12th. The bottom line: Note that St. Louis is just 14-15 (-4.1 units) this year against the division, while Minnesota is 6-1 (+5.4 units) this season when playing with three or more days rest. Lay the price, play on the WILD AAA Sports |
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04-04-17 | Jets v. Blues -165 | 5-2 | Loss | -165 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Blues. Despite four straight victories, Winnipeg has no shot at the postseason. The Blues play with revenge here after falling 3-0 to the Jets on March 3rd. Only six points seperates the No. 4 spot in the West from the No. 8. St. Louis is currently in sixth, but still has a shot at finishing as high as fifth. Clearly this one means a lot more to St. Louis, but note that it’s also 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held off the scoresheet. Lay the price with confidence, play on the BLUES. AAA Sports |
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04-04-17 | Islanders v. Predators -180 | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Nashville Predators. The Islanders now have no hopes at reaching the postseason, sitting five games back of the No. 8 spot with three games to go and the Lightning sitting above them. With that crushing knowledge weighing on it, we’re expecting New York to simply go through the motions today. Conversely, the Predators are No. 8 right now, but still have a shot at reaching as high as seventh in the log-jammed cellar of the Western Conference. This is a great situational play and we feel this line could in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, play on the PREDATORS. AAA sports |
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04-04-17 | Lightning v. Bruins -169 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Boston Bruins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Lightning are just 1-2 (-1 unit) in their last three after scoring six or more goals in their previous contest, while the Bruins are 2-1 (+1 unit) in their last three in trying to revenge a loss to an opponent in which they gave up six or more goals. The bottom line: Tampa is in a dog fight with Ottawa for the final spot in the East, but it’s now run out of time. Boston is currently in fourth, but Toronto sits directly behind it, making this a very important game so as to retain that position and home ice in the first round of the playoffs. This is also a revenge game after Boston fell to Tampa 6-3 last month. Lay the price with confidence, play on the BRUINS. AAA Sports |
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04-02-17 | Sharks -185 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
This is 7* play on the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that San Jose is 9-4 (+3.8 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Vancouver is just 9-16 (-1.1 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. The bottom line: Vancouver ranks among the very worst on both the offensive and defensive ends. The Sharks are still in a dog fight for fourth spot in the West, which would ensure them home ice advantage in the first round. San Jose though will be hungry here, it’s lost eight of its last ten including two straight. Important game for the SHARKS, lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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04-02-17 | Stars v. Lightning -205 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tampa Bay Lightning. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Dallas is just 11-19 (-8.6 units) this year in non-conference games, while Tampa Bay is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three against clubs with losing records. The bottom line: Dallas will not be playing in the postseason as it looks to go through the motions and close a disappointing season. Tampa will most likely miss the playoffs as well, but it still does have a mathematical shot at the postseason, needing to sweep out and get a lot of help. Lay the price with confidence as the “hungrier” side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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04-02-17 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -182 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Carolina is jsut 10-17 (-8.6 units) this year against the division and only 17-20 (-1.2 units) against teams with winning records, while Pittsburgh is 23-12 (+4.1 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest and 30-15 (+4.4 units) against teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Pens just broke a four-game losing streak with a tough 4-3 road win over the Rangers and with just a couple of games left to go in the season, we’re expecting the defending champs to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the price with confidence, play on PITTSBURGH. AAA Sports |
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04-01-17 | Maple Leafs -136 v. Red Wings | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Maple Leafs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Toronto is 16-11 (+3.5 units) against the divisoin this year and 23-16 (+3.4 units) against clubs with losing records, while Detroit is 19-25 (-1.3 units) in revenging a loss against an opponent and a brutal 10-21 (-10.9 units) after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: Detroit’s been eliminated from playoff contention and it’s the first time since 1991 that the club will miss the postseason. The Wings are also dog tired, they pushed hard for a playoff spot, but fell short a few days ago, note that their 5-3 loss in Tampa on Thursday was their fourth game in five days and fifth in seven. The Leafs come in with a ton of momentum, they’re heading to the playoffs and most recently won their fifth game in six outings against the Predators at home on Thursday. Toronto has the league’s second best power play, hitting at 23.9 percent. All things considered, we think we’re getting a very fair price in this matchup, play on surging TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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03-30-17 | Red Wings v. Lightning -201 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Tampa Bay Lightning. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Detroit is just 19-24 (-1.3 units) this year in revenging a loss against an opponent, while Tampa is 9-3 (+4 units) when playing with two days rest. The bottom line: Sometimes using “common sense” is the best approach to handicapping a contest and that’s the case here. Tampa sits one game back of eighth spot in the East and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victoy against a Red Wings team that’s been officially eliminated from playoff contention, the first time it’ll miss the postseason in over 20 years. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction, play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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03-28-17 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes -201 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Carolina Hurricanes. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on common sense and strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Detroit is just just 7-11 (-2.1 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Carolina is 23-19 (+3.4 units) in revenging a loss against an opponent this season. The bottom line: We had a play on the Hurricanes last night and they’d lose 4-3 in OT to the Wings. Because of a “make up” game between these teams, this happens to be Detroit’s third game in three nights. Detroit comes in having played four straight OT contests as well, going 3-1 in that stretch. Suffice it to say, we’re fully expecting the Wings to come out “gassed” here and look for HURRICANES to win decisively. Lay the price. AAA Sports |
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03-27-17 | Red Wings v. Hurricanes -185 | 4-3 | Loss | -185 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Carolina Hurricanes. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Detroit is just 1-2 (-1 unit) in its last three when playing on back-to-back days, while Carolina is 23-18 (+5.1 units) this season in trying ot revenge a loss against an opponent and 6-3 (+1.5 units) after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: This is the second game of a three game in three night scenario for the Wings. Last night they won in OT in Minneosta. It was Detroit’s third straight OT game, an exhausting stretch which has seen them go 2-1. And with another game tomorrow night in Carolina, we definitely feel that tonight’s contest sets up as a classic letdown/lookahead spot. Carolina comes in with a ton of momentum itself having now won three straight, most recently a 3-1 victory over New Jersey on Saturday. We look for CAROLINA to take full advantage of this spot and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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03-25-17 | Senators v. Canadiens -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Montreal Canadiens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Ottawa is just 12-14 (-1.6 units) against divisional opponents, while Montreal is 14-9 (+1.7 units) in the same position (also 13-8, +4.2 units after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest). The bottom line: Divisional games are always the most important and they almost always mean more to the home side. We expect Ottawa to come in flat here and look for the CANADIENS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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03-25-17 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -199 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Philadelphia is just 8-14 (-6.7 units) this year against division opponents and only 6-8 (-1.9 units) following a win by two goals or more, while Columbus is 8-2 (+6.6 units) this season after scoring one goal or less in its prevoius contest and is 17-8 (+8 units) against the division. The bottom line: Off a loss, we’re expecting the BLUE JACKETS to take advantage of his favorable matchup and to come in focused on the task at hand. Lay the price with confidence here as well. AAA Sports |
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03-25-17 | Canucks v. Wild -247 | 4-2 | Loss | -247 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Wild. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Vancouver is just 8-14 (-1.8 units) this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest and only 9-21 (-4 units) against teams with a winning record, while Minnesota is 6-3 (+1.5 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: The Canucks are playing their backup goaltender tonight, which clearly doesn’t bode well for struggling Vancouver. The WILD are in the thick of the playoff race and can ill afford to “look past” their lowly opponent. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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03-23-17 | Flyers v. Wild -196 | 3-1 | Loss | -196 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Minnesota Wild. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Philadelphia is just 9-17 (-9.1 units) this year following a non-conference game and only 13-14 (-1.6 units) in all non-conference contests, while Minnesota is 16-11 (+1.6 units) in non-conference games and 20-14 (+2.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Minnesota can ill afford to rest on its heels after a win over the Sharks on Tuesday as the Wild had dropped five straight previous to that. The Flyers are spiraling down the proverbial crapper as the season comes down the home stretch, having now lost five of their last seven, including their most recent in Winnipeg earlier in the week. The Flyers are horrible on the road this year, they’ve lost four straight away from friendly confines and are just 4-15-3 overall. And that doesn’t bode well in going up against a Wild team which has not given up a power-play goal in 11 straight home contests (note that Philadelphia has yielded at least one power play goal in eight of its last nine overall). We’re banking on MINNESOTA to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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03-21-17 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -230 | 2-1 | Loss | -230 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Montreal Canadiens. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Detroit is just 8-14 (-5 units) this year following a divisional contest and only 11-12 (-1.1 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest, while Montreal is 14-8 (+2.8 units) against the divisoin and 20-12 (+3.6 units) against clubs with losing records. The bottom line: Detroit comes in off a deflating 2-1 home loss to lowly Buffalo just last night, all but erasing any hopes it has in making the postseason. Montreal comes in with a ton of momentum after beating Ottawa twice. Note that this is in fact the final of a fourth set of back-to-back games for now “gassed” Red Wings. Detroit hasn’t won in Montreal in over three years and the CANADIENS can once again smell the blood in the water, lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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03-20-17 | Kings v. Oilers -128 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that LA is just 5-8 (-4.1 units) this year when playing on back-to-back days and only 9-12 (-9.2 units) against the division, while Edmonton is 14-6 (+5.8 units) this season after a win by two goals or more and 13-7 (+3.8 units) against the division. The bottom line: The Kings were just hammered in Calgary 5-2 last night and face a stiff test again here against the surging Oilers not 24 hours later. All things considered, we feel we’re getting a fantastic price on the home side. Lay the price, play on the OILERS. AAA Sports |
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03-17-17 | Sabres v. Ducks -208 | 2-1 | Loss | -208 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Anaheim Ducks (10:05 EST). We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Buffalo is just 5-9 (-2.8 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days and only 6-10 (-1.9 units) in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 4-1 (+2.7 units) in its last five against teams with losing records. The bottom line: Buffalo lost 2-0 in LA just last night and comes in gassed, the second to last game in a longer road trip. Previous to last night’s setback the Sabres had dropped nine of 11. Anaheim is clearly now trending in the opposite direction as it sets its sights at another playoff run, winning four of its last five, most recently a hard-fought 2-1 victory over the Blues. Buffalo averages 2.53 GPG and allows 2.87. Sabres’ goalie Anders Nilsson will get the call in the back-to-back scenario, he’s 2-11 with a 3.26 GAA on the road and 1-1 with a 3.96 GAA lifetime against Anaheim. The Ducks average 2.58 GPG and allow 2.49. Jonathan Bernier is 8-2 with a 2.00 GAA at home. Buffalo has allowed 21 goals over its last five games, which doesn’t bode well against this surging Ducks side. Lay the price with confidence, play on ANAHEIM. AAA Sports |
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03-13-17 | Bruins -180 v. Canucks | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Boston Bruins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 22-14 (+2.1 units) this season against teams with losing records, while Vancouver is just 2-10 (-8.1 units) this year after playing three consecutive home games and only 8-18 (-3.4 units) against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is 32-16-4 with a 2.23 GAA. Boston averges 2.76 GPG and allows 2.56 (also has the second best penalty kill at 86 percent rate). Vancouver averages 2.24 GPG and allows 2.84. Goaltender Ryan Miller is 17-20-6 with a 2.67 GAA. We expect Rask to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. All things considered, this line could easily be a lot higher. Lay it with confidence, play on the BRUINS. AAA Sports |
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03-11-17 | Flyers v. Bruins -205 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Boston Bruins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Philadelphia is just 9-12 (-4.5 units) this year after allowing four goals or more and 0-5 (-5.6 units) after playing three consecutive road games, while Boston is 3-1 (+2 units) in its last four when playing with two days rest. The bottom line: Boston is 18-14 at home, while the Flyers are just 12-17-3 on the road. Philadelphia has been getting inconsistent offensive production and goaltending, while Boston has played a lot better on both ends of the ice since a coaching change last month. We have no issues at all in laying this price, play on the BRUINS. AAA Sports |
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03-09-17 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -162 | 1-0 | Loss | -162 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Blackhawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Anaheim is in fact just 1-3 (-2.1 units) in its last four after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Chicago is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three after scoring five goals or more in its last contest. The bottom line: We think the Ducks are primed for a letdown here. Anaheim is just 13-14-6 on the road this year, while Chicago is 22-8-3 at home. The Ducks are coming off a hugely satisfying 4-3 OT win at home over Nashville, a game which they had no right in winning, but still somehow managed the miracle victory. Also note that Anaheim has been trading wins and losses over its last eight games. This line could easily be a lot higher, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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03-07-17 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs -175 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Maple Leafs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on stong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Detroit is just 6-11 (-4.1 units) this year when playing with two days rest and only 8-18 (-9.9 units) after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto is 5-3 (+2.7 units) after three or more consecutive losses and 11-8 (+3 units) after allowing four goals or more. The bottom line: The Wings come in with zero momentum, off consecutive defeats in Calgary and Edmonton. Goaltender Petr Mraze is 15-17-7 with a 2.97 GAA. Detroit averages just 2.40 GPG and allows 2.97. Toronto will be desperate here after getting its ass handed to it on its most recent road trip, losing to the Sharks, Kings and Ducks and five straight overall. The Leafs still average 3.02 GPG and allow 2.89. We’re banking on the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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03-05-17 | Blues -167 v. Avalanche | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the St. Louis Blues. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that St. Louis is 7-5 (+2.3 units) in its last 12 after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Colorado is just 13-24 (-5.7 units) in revenging a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We’re giving the Blues’ Jake Allen the big nod in the net in this matchup. The Avs have been the league doormat and ST. LOUIS is out to atone for some recent shoddy play. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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03-04-17 | Red Wings v. Oilers -206 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Edmonton Oilers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Detroit is just 11-17 (-2.2 units) this season against clubs with winning records and only 10-11 (-1.3 units) in non-conference games, while Edmonton is rolling, having gone 15-11 (+4.4 units) in the second half and 3-2 (+1.2 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest. The bottom line: Edmonton is one of the highest scoring teams in the league, while Detroit ranks in the bottom third. We think the visitors are getting much too much respect in this one. Play on EDMONTON. AAA Sports |
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03-04-17 | Stars v. Panthers -143 | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Panthers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Dallas is just 4-13 (-10.4 units) this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous game and only 5-8 (-4 units) after playing three consecutive home games (also only 5-10, -5.1 units in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent), while Florida is 9-4 (+3.8 units) after scoring one goal or less in its previous game. The bottom line: Dallas has struggled on both ends of the ice, which doesn’t bode well against this focused Florida team which is looking to string wins together in front of the home town crowd. In our opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on FLORIDA. AAA Sports |
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03-04-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers -124 | 4-1 | Loss | -124 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New York Rangers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Montreal is just 13-16 (-5.5 units) against teams with winning records and only 10-12 (-4.9 units) after a non-conference game, while New York is 9-2 (+7.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 16-12 (+3.1 units) against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: Montreal has struggled on the road this year, so too has goaltender Carey Price. We think the revenge minded home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on NEW YORK AAA Sports |
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03-03-17 | Lightning v. Penguins -173 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Peguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Tampa Bay is just 3-5 (-3.6 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games and just 15-16 (-2.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Pittsburgh is 15-3 (+10.8 units) after allowing four gaols or more and 23-12 (+2.4 units) against teams with losing records. The bottom line: With a more “winnable” game tomorrow night in Buffalo, we think the Lightning get caught “looking ahead.” And when taking into account the above trends, all signs do indeed point to the PENGUINS as the savvy call in this one. AAA Sports |
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03-02-17 | Canucks v. Sharks -250 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the San Jose Sharks. Vancouver comes to town off a 3-2 OT loss to Detroit on Tuesday, while San Jose beat the Leafs 3-1 in its latest action. The Canucks have struggled in this matchup already this year, losing two games by an identical 4-1 score. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similar result here as well. Vancouver has struggled with offensive consistency all year, averaging just 2.3 GPG. The Canucks have been poor defensively as well, allowing 2.66 GPG, ranked 20th. Goaltender Ryan Miller owns a 2.66 GAA and .915 save percentage. San Jose averages 2.8 GPG and allows 2.3, ranked second in the NHL. Martin Jones is expected in net, he’s 30-15-6 with a 2.28 GAA. Note that the Canucks have struggled in this spot all year, just 1-6 in their last seven against the Western conference, while San Jose is 9-2 in its last 11 in the same position. The Canucks have in fact allowed three or more goals in seven of their last ten games. That doesn’t bode well facing this surging Sharks’ offense. Lay the price with confidence, play on SAN JOSE. AAA Sports |
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02-28-17 | Kings v. Flames -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Calgary Flames. REASONING: We’re having a hard time figuring out what the heck the oddsmakers are thinking with this one? The Kings are coming off a tough 5-4 road loss in Minnesota just last night and now transition North of the border to take on the red hot Flames and in our professional opinion, Calgary isn’t getting nearly enough respect in this spot. The Flames have won four in a row, riding the hot play of goaltender Brian Elliot, who is 7-2-1 in his last ten appearances with a 2.50 GAA. Note that LA is just 5-7 (-1.1 units) this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Calgary is 20-11 (+10.3 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. This is the very definition of “great line value,” play on the FLAMES. AAA Sports |
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02-26-17 | Senators v. Panthers -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Florida Panthers. We had a big play on the Panthers in their loss to the Flames on Friday night and obviously we’re still a little shocked by the overall effort that Florida gave in that one. Calgary was coming off a hard-fought 3-2 win in Tampa just the night before, but the Panthers were unable to take advantage and fell 4-2. Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against though as Ottawa comes to town with zero momentum after a 3-0 loss at Carolina. And if recent history is any indication, then clearly the Panthers have to be loving their chances today for a bounce back as they’ve already taken two of three in the season series. Note that Ottawa ist just 9-10 (-1.3 units) against the division this year, while Florida is 11-4 (+6.5 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previos contest. We like the hungry home side to find a way to get the job done here, play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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02-25-17 | Sharks -159 v. Canucks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the San Jose Sharks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends: As note that San Jose is 6-2 (+3.8 units) this year after scoring one goal or less, while Vancouver is just 7-14 (-1.6 units) this year against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Vancouver ranks near the bottom of the league in both offense and defense. We’re expecting the Sharks to make the most of this opportunity as the numbers do indeed point to SAN JOSE as the savvy move in this particular matchup. AAA Sports |
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02-24-17 | Flames v. Panthers -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Florida Panthers 7:35 EST. REASONING: We’re primarily a “situationally” based handicapping service. We are constantly on the look out for great “situations” to exploit and there’s no doubt that this one fits the bill. So much so in fact that it’s been elevated to our absolute strongest non-conference side of the season. First off, the Flames played just last night in Tampa Bay and managed to hold on for the tough 3-2 victory. You could almost see Calgary expending all of its energy in that one, knowing that it would have a difficult task in the second game of the back to back scenario. So here comes Florida, it enters off a frustrating 4-3 home loss to Edmonton. Clearly the Panthers will be eager to get back on track after that setback, but they also do in fact play with revenge after falling 5-2 in the first matchup with the Flames earlier in the season. Note that Calgary is just 3-7 (-3.2 units) this season when playing on back-to-back days and only 3-5 (-3.1 units) after playing three consecutive road games, while Florida is 13-6 (+7.5 units) this year after allowing four goals or more. Florida has won eight of its last ten and all signs point to another big victory tonight. Lay the price, play on the PANTHERS. AAA Sports |
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02-21-17 | Kings -178 v. Avalanche | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 7* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Kings. REASONING: No need to overanalyze this one too much as we look for the Kings to risk life and limb today in trying to break a three-game slide. The Avs are the league “doormat” and have dropped six of seven, including a deflating OT loss to Tampa at home this past Sunday (we had the Bolts in that one fortunately). The Kings have looked good despite the mini losing streak, as they actually outshot the Coyotes 44 to 22, while in their last outing they outshot the Panthers 35 to 25. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Kings have to be loving their chances for a turnaround today, because when these team’s met on February 6th, goaltender Peter Budaj delivered the shutout in the 5-0 rout: “We’re still fully confident we can turn it on now and get back into that playoff spot we want to be in,” LA defenseman Drew Doughty commented. “The longer we wait, the harder it’s going to be.” Colorado was boosted with the return of top defenseman Erik Johnson to practice this week, only to then once again be letdown when fellow d-man Nikita Zadorov suffered a season ending ankle injury in practice on Monday. Note that LA is 4-1 in its last five after allowing two goals or fewer, while Colorado is just 18-37 in its last 55 at home. In the 5-0 loss to LA earlier in the month, Colorado was outshot 40-22 and failed to capitalize on four extra man chances. And now with Zadorov on the IL, things won’t get any easier tonight. We’re laying the price with confidence, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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02-19-17 | Lightning -155 v. Avalanche | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 7* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Tampa Bay Lightning. REASONING: The Lightning will be in a foul mood tonight as they look to get back into the winners circle after falling 4-3 in Dallas last night. And that’s bad news for the lowly Avs in our opinion and great news for us! Note that Tampa also plays with revenge after an inexplicable 4-0 setback to the Avs back on November 20th. The Avs on the other hand are primed for a major letdown here after breaking a six-game slide with a 2-1 OT win over the Hurricanes in their last outing. Lay the price with confidence, play on TAMPA BAY. AAA Sports |
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02-18-17 | Sharks -178 v. Coyotes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the San Jose Sharks. REASONING: The Coyotes are poised for an immediate letdown here after notching a win in Anaheim. The Sharks on the other hand come in desperate after posting just one win in their past six games. Most recently San Jose fell 6-5 in OT to the Panthers on Wednesday. Sharks’ goaltender Martin Jones is 28-15-5 with a 2.35 GAA this year. He’s been dominant against the Coyotes, going 5-2-2 with a 1.44 GAA lifetime. And that doesn’t bode well for a Coyotes team which averages just 2.34 GPG and allows 3.14. Note that San Jose is 8-4 (+1.4 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 6-3 (+2.6 units) after allowing four goals or more, while Arizona is just 2-4 (-1.8 units) after a victory by two gaols or more this season. This is a big time revenge game for the Sharks, as Arizona is somehow already 3-0-1 in the season series this year. Lay the price with confidence, play on SAN JOSE. AAA Sports |
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02-16-17 | Avalanche v. Sabres -170 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL BEATDOWN on the Buffalo Sabres. REASONING: The Avs come in off a disheartening 3-2 loss in New Jersey, while the Sabres return home after a confidence building 3-2 road in Ottawa. Colorado has now lost four in a row. The Avs are the worst offensive team in the league at just 2.02 GPG, while at the defensive end they come in ranked 30th in allowing 3.39. The Sabres are ranked 24th in scoring at 2.46 GPG and 14th overall defensively in allowing 2.74. Note though that Colorado is just 5-23 in its last 28 when playing on one days rest, while Buffalo sees itself 4-1 at home in the last five in this series. All signs point to a relatively simple victory. Lay the price with confidence on the SABRES. AAA Sports |
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02-14-17 | Avalanche v. Devils -190 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 6* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the New Jersey Devils. REASONING: These are two teams desperate for victories, but the Devils are vastly superior in every respect and play with the home ice advantage tonight. In our opinion, this one is a no-brainer as we believe the home side should in fact be a much larger fav in this spot. The Avs are coming off a third straight loss and eighth in their last ten with a 5-1 road setback to the Isles on Sunday. The Devils most recently had their two game win streak snapped with a 4-1 loss to the Sharks at home on Sunday. Colorado ranks last in goals allowed with an average of 3.4 per night and the Devils will be looking to take advantage and avoid falling to .500 with a win tonight. Note that the Avs are just 5-22 in their last 27 when playing on one days rest, while the Devils are 4-1 in their last five following a home loss of three or more goals. Lay the price with confidence, play on NEW JERSEY. AAA Sports |
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02-12-17 | Stars v. Predators -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Nashville Predators (6:05 EST). REASONING: No need to overthink this one as we expect the Stars to come into this one with “heavy legs” after their satisfying 5-2 win at home over the Hurricanes just last night. Nashville on the other hand comes in ultra focused and hungry as it’s lost two straight. It also plays with revenge here after falling 5-2 to Dallas back on December 8th. Note that Dallas is a deplorable 1-10 (-10.6 units) this after a win by two goals or more, while Nashville is 9-5 (+2.2 units) after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. Lay the price, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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02-11-17 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -198 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Columbus Blue Jackets. REASONING: The Red Wings enter off a 6-3 loss in Washington. Goaltender Petr Mrazek is now 12-13-6 with a 3.14 GAA. He’s struggled against Columbus throughout his career, going 1-2-1 with a 2.98 GAA. Despite the recent uptick in play, Detroit still averages just 2.43 GPG, while conceding 2.98. Note that the Wings power play is dead last in the league with just an 11.8 percent success rate. The Blue Jackets are out to atone for a 3-0 setback to Vancouver at home. Columbus has in fact been sliding for a bit though, going just 3-4-0 in its last seven home contests. Time to get back on track and sending goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky between the pipes will give the team confidence, he’s 29-11-3 on the season with a 2.20 GAA. He’s owned the Wings throughout his career as well, going 8-4-1 with a 1.99 GAA. The Blue Jackets average 3.23 GPG and allow 2.74. We like Bobrovsky to outduel his counterpart with ease, play on COLUMBUS. AAA Sports |
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02-09-17 | Penguins -201 v. Avalanche | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Pittsburgh Penguins. REASONING: No need to overthink this one in our opinion. The Avs have won two straight and we think they’ll have a predictable letdown here against the defending champs. Conversely, the Pens will be looking to get back on track after their three game win streak was snapped in a shootout loss to Calgary on Tuesday. Note as well that Pittsburgh actually plays with revenge today as well after falling 4-3 in OT to the Avs back on October 17th. Clearly there’s no way that Pittsburgh wants to drop two to the worst team in the NHL this year. Note that Pittsburgh is 35-17 in its last 52 against teams with losing records, while Colorado is just 7-24 in its last 31 at home. The Avs are over-achieving right now and we look for the PENGUINS to put them back into place. Lay the price. AAA Sports |
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02-07-17 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -195 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Washington Capitals. REASONING: We’ve always been a fan of the phrase: “sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason.” No need to overanlyze this one in our opinion, as we’re expecting the red hot Capitals to come in focused on the task at hand and take advantage of this favorable matchup. Carolina is poised for a letdown here after a 5-4 road win over the Isles. In fact, after three straight wins, no one would fault the Hurricanes if they simply went through the motions tonight. Washington continues to roll along, it’s coming off a 5-0 home win over LA. Note that Carolina averages 2.67 GPG, while allowing 2.78. The Capitals average 3.28 GPG and allow 2.08, No. 1 in the league. Note that the Hurricanes are just 30-61 in their last 91 against teams with a winning record, while the Capitals are 23-9 in their last 32 in the third game of a 3-in-4 scenario. WASHINGTON has been on a tear of late, averaging a whopping 4.42 GPG over its last 19. Lay the price with confidence. AAA Sports |
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02-05-17 | Flames v. Rangers -156 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Rangers. REASONING: The Flames struggle on both the offensive and defensive ends, allowing 2.80 GPG, while averging just 2.61. Calgary has gotten inconsistent goaltending as Brian Elliot is 11-13 with a 2.80 GAA on the year, including 6-8 with a 3.02 GAA on the road, while vs the Rangers in his career he has gone 2-7 with a 2.84 GAA. If it is Chad johnson that gets the call then he is 16-13 with a 2.50 GAA on the year, while vs the Rangers in his career he has gone 1-1 with a 3.18 GAA. The Rangers average 3.35 GPG and allow 2.65. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist has returned to form of late and New York has allowed just 13 total goals over its last six games. Lundqvist is the difference maker today, lay the price with confidence. Play on the RANGERS. AAA Sports |
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02-04-17 | Red Wings v. Predators -201 | 1-0 | Loss | -201 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Nashville Predators. REASONING: Detroit comes in off a highly satisfying 5-4 win at home over the Islanders just last night and we think it’ll have a predictable letdown here against the heavily favored (rightfully so) Predators. Backup goaltender Jared Careau is expected in net tonight for the Wings and he’s 5-2-3 with a 3.01 GAA. Despite last night’s high-scoring victory, the Wings still enter as one of the worst offensive clubs in the league in averaging just 2.40 GPG. Detroit has been equally inept on the defensive end, allowing 2.96. The Predators enter off a 2-0 win over the Oilers. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is now 20-13-6 with a 2.34 GAA on the year. So far Nashville averages 2.75 GPG, while allowing 2.57. We think Rinne is worth the price of admission in this matchup, play on the PREDATORS. AAA Sports |
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02-03-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Penguins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense: As note that Columbus hammered the Penguins 7-1 before the All Star break, so clearly the Pens will be out to avenge that pathetic effort. Also note that Columbus is just 32-39 (-3.2 units) following a divisional contest, while Pittsburgh is already 11-5 (+4 units) this season in revenging a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: In our professional opinion, this is indeed the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Pittsburgh. AAA Sports |