Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-22-17 | St Bonaventure -4.5 v. St. Joe's | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on St. Bonaventure. |
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02-22-17 | Manhattan v. Rider -6 | 82-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rider Broncs.
Rider is coming off it's most impressive result of the season, scoring a whopping 103 points in an upset win at Iona. They play their final home game tonight against bottom feeders Manhattan, and I think this looks like a mismatch. The Jaspers are just 3-11 on the road, and their last two road games were both losses by more than 20 points. They shot just 25 percent from the field in a 78-49 loss at Fairfield on February 1st. Manhattan has scored fewer than 70 points per game on just 40 percent shooting on the road, while the Broncs are averaging over 80 points per game at home. Rider has scored more than 85 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting in it's last five games. The home team should win this one in a route. Take RIDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-17 | Colorado State +3 v. New Mexico | 68-56 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams.
The New Mexico Lobos are just 1.5 games out of first place in the Mountain West, but they haven't played particularly well lately. They are 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those losses came at home to San Jose State. The Lobos leading scorer Tim Williams suffered an injury against Nevada at the end of January, and it's no coincidence that they've struggled since. Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-17 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -4.5 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. |
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02-19-17 | Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +2.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
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02-19-17 | Maryland +7 v. Wisconsin | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins.
The Badgers host Maryland Sunday, and the winner of this game will move into a first place tie with Purdue at the top of the BIG10. Wisconsin has only lost one game at home this season, while the Terps have only lost once on the road. The Badgers are coming off back to back losses, and they've failed to cover in four straight. They've been brutal offensively, averaging just 61.8 points on 38.6 percent shooting over their last five games. One reason for their struggles has been an injury to senior guard Bronson Koenig, who didn't play in a 64-58 loss at Michigan Thursday. He was just 1-of-8 from the field, scoring two points in 30 minutes in last Sunday's home loss to Northwestern. Koenig is officially listed as day to day, and might be able to play today. Maryland has won 10 of 13 games in conference play, and their three losses came by an average margin of just three points. They beat the Badgers at Madison last season by a score of 63-60, and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Melo Trimble comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 32 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 74-64 win at Northwestern on Wednesday. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-17 | Oklahoma +12 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. |
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02-18-17 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -4.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ohio State (1st Half). |
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02-18-17 | Illinois v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Iowa (1st Half) |
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02-17-17 | Idaho v. Eastern Washington -5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles.
The Idaho Vandals are coming off a blowout loss (88-65) at North Dakota, falling to 4-8 on the road this season. They face another tough road game tonight, playing at Eastern Washington. They already lost to the Eagles at home earlier this season by a score of 69-62. The Eagles are a dominant team on their home court, with a record of 12-1 this season, and a record of 34-4 over the last three seasons. They score an average of 85.9 points on 49 percent shooting at home, and that's roughly 15 points per game more than the Vandals have averaged on the road. The Eagles won last year's home game against Idaho by a score of 74-60, and they've won their last four home games by an average margin of 12 points. Eastern Washington is coming off it's best defensive showing of the season, holding Northern Colorado to just 44 points on 28.3 percent shooting. I don't expect this game to be close, Eastern Washington should run away with it. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-17 | San Jose State +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-15-17 | La Salle v. St Bonaventure -4.5 | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
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02-14-17 | Tennessee +14 v. Kentucky | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers.
The Wildcats are just 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those was an 82-80 loss at Tennessee. Kentucky is favored to win the rematch at home, and many bettors will be playing the revenge angle here. I think this line is just far too inflated, especially considering how the Wildcats have struggled in recent weeks. They failed to cover in home games against LSU and Georgia, lost at home to Kansas, and got absolutely crushed at Florida. They have won their last three home games versus the Vols, but not one of those wins came by more than 10 points. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been relatively close (10 points or less). Kentucky has struggled defensively over it's last five games, giving up 78.2 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. The Vols have allowed opponents to average 10 points fewer, with a field goal percentage of just 38.4 percent during that same span. Tennessee has been a good bet on the road, covering the spread in eight of their last 11. I'll take the points. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-17 | Nevada +3 v. San Diego State | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. |
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02-11-17 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Oklahoma Sooners have lost six straight, and they are at the bottom of the BIG12 standings with a record of 2-9 within conference. With all the losses piling up, it's easy to forget just how competitive this team has actually been. Their last win came on the road at West Virginia by a score of 89-87. Since then, they've lost by just one point at Texas, and by two points at home versus Oklahoma State. Both of those games were decided by buzzer beaters. A home loss to Iowa State came by a score of 92-87 in double overtime. The Sooners were actually a two point favorite in that game, which means we see a 11.5 point swing in the rematch just three weeks later. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as each of the last five meetings have been decided by five points or less. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and neither team has been favored by more than 7.5 points in each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2013. The Sooners are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, and the line in this revenge game appears to be grossly inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-17 | Fresno State v. Colorado State -3 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colorado State Rams. |
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02-11-17 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary | Top | 79-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe. |
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02-08-17 | Virginia Tech v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes.
The Hurricanes will host Virginia Tech tonight, and both teams are 5-5 in conference play. Virginia Tech actually has a better record at 16-6, but the Hokies have been blown out in three of their last four road games. The only exception during that span was a one-point win at Clemson. Miami has won three of it's last four, and that includes a double-digit home win over the #9 ranked Tar Heels. They have played exceptional defense at home, holding opponents to just 61.9 points per game on 38.1 percent shooting. The Hokies are allowing opponents to average over 85 points on better than 50 percent shooting while losing four of six road games. The Hurricanes are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. I don't think the Hokies have what it takes to hang with the Hurricanes in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-17 | Utah State v. Colorado State -5 | 52-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. |
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02-07-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -5.5 | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Northwestern Wildcats. |
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02-05-17 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off a triple overtime win over Penn State, by a score of 110-102. They had lost back to back road games prior to that, by a combined margin of 43 points. Now they head to Wisconsin, where the Badgers have won 18 straight. Wisconsin has beaten up opponents at home, winning their last four home games by an average margin of more than 15 points. The Hoosiers are in a tough spot, missing a pair of key players (OG Anunoby and James Blackmon). The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Badgers on the other hand have covered the spread in four of their last five as a home favorite. This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions.Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-17 | Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
Oklahoma has had some bad luck this season. The Sooners have lost four straight, and eight of their last 10. Their leading scorer Jordan Woodard has been battling injury and illness during that span, but despite all the adversity, they've still been quite competitive. Three of four losses on their current losing streak came in games decided by five points or less. They have covered the spread in six of their last eight versus BIG12 teams, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Texas Tech hasn't looked that great, failing to cover in six of it's last eight overall. The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Jordan Woodard no longer appears on the Sooners injury report, and if he's healthy the Sooners might just be a threat to win this game outright. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-17 | San Diego State v. Fresno State +1.5 | Top | 70-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
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02-04-17 | San Jose State +11 v. New Mexico | Top | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-04-17 | Minnesota v. Illinois -1 | Top | 68-59 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Illinois. |
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02-04-17 | Xavier v. Creighton -3.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays. |
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02-04-17 | George Washington v. Richmond -5.5 | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders. |
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02-04-17 | Seton Hall v. Georgetown -3.5 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgetown Hoyas.
The Hoyas come into Saturday's home game versus Seton Hall off three straight wins. That includes a home win over Creighton, and an upset win at Butler, handing the Bulldogs their first home loss of the season. Georgetown is playing it's best basketball, scoring 72.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting in it's last five games. The Pirates have lost five of their last six overall, and they have lost six of seven road games this season. In their last game at Xavier, they struggled from the free throw line hitting just 6-of-12. They are shooting just 58 percent from the charity stripe on the road, and that's going to make it tough to steal a game here at Georgetown, when the Hoyas are hitting better than 73 percent at the line at home. The Hoyas have held opponents to an average of 39 percent shooting at home this season. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-17 | Rhode Island v. Davidson -1 | Top | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats. Jesse Schule |
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02-02-17 | James Madison v. Elon -5.5 | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Elon Phoenix.
Elon has won four straight, and sits third in the CAA behind Charleston and UNC Wilmington. They will host bottom feeders James Madison tonight, and the Dukes have lost six of their last seven overall. They are just 2-10 on the road, and they've scored an average of just 64.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting in those games. That's 15 points less than Elon has averaged at home. When looking at these teams overall records, and season averages, it's important to note that Elon played a far tougher non-conference schedule with games against teams like Duke and Georgetown. This is a revenge game for Elon, who lost by just one points at James Madison earlier in the year. Yohanny Delambert scored 15 points, and dominated the boards with 17 rebounds for the Dukes in that game. He's since suffered a season ending injury, and they've really missed him. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | New Mexico v. UNLV +1.5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNLV.
This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year. The Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they should be able to get it done against a shorthanded opponent tonight. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | Baylor +6.5 v. Kansas | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears.
The #2 ranked Baylor Bears will take on the #3 ranked Jayhawks in Kansas tonight, and if anyone is going to end KU's 12 year reign at the top of the BIG12, it will probably be Baylor. This game reminds me a lot of last year's thriller when Oklahoma came to Lawrence, and lost 109-106 after three overtimes. The Sooners were ranked #2 at the time, and Kansas was ranked #1. This appears to be a difficult spot for the home team, coming off an emotional upset win at Kentucky. The Bears have only lost one game all year, and they haven't had any trouble winning on the road. They are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and the road team is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. The Jayhawks have only covered twice in their last eight games as a favorite, and I expect them to struggle with a tough opponent here in such a huge game for both teams. I'll take the points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-17 | Georgia Tech +10 v. Clemson | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech.
Clemson is asked to cover a double digit spread at home versus Georgia Tech tonight, despite a history of close battles with this conference rival. Three of Clemson's last four home games against the Yellow Jackets have been decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been decided by less than five points. The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back home wins over ranked teams (Notre Dame and Florida State). They were blown out in road losses at Virginia and Duke, but they've won two of their last three road games against unranked teams, with the one loss coming by a single point at Virginia Tech. Clemson lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech earlier this season, and the road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series. It sure seems like a tough ask for the Tigers to cover this inflated number. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Wisconsin v. Illinois +6.5 | Top | 57-43 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games. Wisconsin is 3-2 on the road, but it's last road game was just a 78-76 win at Minnesota. They needed overtime to avoid a home upset to Rutgers on Saturday, and I think they might have a tough game on their hands in Illinois. The Fighting Illini have already beaten Michigan, Iowa and Ohio State at home, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Wisconsin has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 in this series, but in their last four games at Illinois they were favored by -3, -4, -1.5 and -1.5. They are asked to cover a far bigger number here, and I'll take the points. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Maryland +2 v. Ohio State | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
The #17 ranked Terrapins come into Columbus as winners of six straight, and they are 7-1 in conference play. They've picked up road wins at Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa and Illinois, but they are an underdog here against the Buckeyes. Ohio State isn't exactly playing great right now, coming off a blowout loss at Iowa. The Hawkeyes won 85-72, despite missing their leading scorer Peter Jok who sat out with a sore back. The Buckeyes are just 3-6 versus BIG10 teams, and that includes home losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Maryland won both meetings last year, winning 66-61 at Columbus in the last meeting. Ohio State has played four ranked teams so far, losing all four of those games. They show now signs of being able to knock off a top 25 team, not even at home. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6.5 | Top | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Butler.
This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs, after getting hammered at Creighton earlier this season by a score of 75-64. The Blue Jays are short-handed this time around, losing guard Maurice Watson Jr for the rest of the season. He led all scorers with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting in the last meeting between these two teams. Without him the Jays have struggled, losing at home to Marquette, and on the road at Georgetown. They beat DePaul at home on Saturday, but playing on the road at Butler is a whole different ball game. The Bulldogs are 11-1 at home, and looking to bounce back after suffering their first home loss to Georgetown on Saturday. The Hoyas were simply shooting out the lights in that game, hitting 63.8 percent from the field, and 50 percent from beyond the arc. The home team has covered in four straight in this series, and Butler is 5-1 ATS in it's last six home games. I'll take the home favorite. Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-17 | Siena v. Quinnipiac +1.5 | Top | 84-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats. |
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01-29-17 | Indiana v. Northwestern -6.5 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northwestern.
The Wildcats are just one game out of first place in the BIG10, and they host the Indiana Hoosiers in a huge game this Sunday. The Hoosiers are reeling, coming off a 30-point loss to Michigan at Ann Arbor. Indiana has lost it's leading scorer James Blackmon after he suffered a leg injury in the loss to Michigan. They were already shorthanded after losing OG Anunoby for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Northwestern is 11-1 at home this season, scoring an average of 79.1 points on 45 percent shooting in those games. That's 10 points more than the Hoosiers are averaging on the road, and they've lost three of their four away games. The Widcats have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 home games, and they are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of more than six points. Take NW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | Top | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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01-28-17 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +6.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
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01-25-17 | Alabama v. Georgia -5.5 | Top | 80-60 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
The Florida State Seminoles are sitting at the top of the ACC standings, and they are a big road favorite at Georgia Tech tonight. The Seminoles have only played two road games this season, winning by two points at Virginia, and getting blown out at North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels. The Seminoles won at Georgia Tech last year, but it was a close game decided by a score of 57-53. In fact three of the last four meetings between the two teams have been decided by six points or less. Not surprisingly, with so many close games in this series, taking the points has paid off in a big way. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-17 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7 | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
The Bonnies will host St. Joe's on Tuesday, and they are coming off back to back wins by combined 39-point margin. St. Bonaventure has been a beast at home over the last decade, but they haven't been as dominant on their own floor so far this season. While they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, their most recent home win came by a whopping 20 points in a 73-53 win over Fordham. The Bonnies have covered the spread in five straight meetings versus St. Joe's, and they won all five of those games by at least eight points. The Red Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to St. Bonnies, and they have averaged just 66 points per game while losing four of seven on the road. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 85 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and they should blow the doors off here in this one. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-17 | Quinnipiac +10 v. Iona | Top | 74-84 | Push | 0 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois -1 | Top | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
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01-21-17 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma | Top | 92-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
At first glance, this looks like a classic let down spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners last game was an upset win at West Virginia, with Jordan Woodard scoring the game winning bucket just before the end of overtime. Woodard leads the Sooners in scoring, and when he was sidelined for four games due to injury, Oklahoma struggled. He played just 24 minutes in a home loss to Kansas, and scored just seven points on 2-of-8 shooting. The Sooners led that game at the half by a score of 36-27, but couldn't hold off the mighty Jayhawks in the second half. Woodard has totaled 47 points in back to back wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. The Sooners host the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Cyclones have lost three of their four road games this season, and are coming off back to back losses to Kansas and TCU. I don't expect Oklahoma to suffer a let down here at home, I think they'll be full of confidence and looking to build on some positive momentum. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -3 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
The Louisville Cardinals scored 92 points in a blowout win over Clemson at home on Thursday, but I think they are primed to suffer a let down on the road at Florida State today. The Cardinal played their last game without starting PG Quentin Snider, who is the team's assist leader. They shot out the lights, hitting 56.3 percent from the field, and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Tigers. They can't count on such a high shooting percentage here in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are 13-0 at home this season, and have scored an average of 91.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting in those games. They've won five of six in conference play, with the only loss coming on the road at North Carolina. Even more impressive is the fact that five of their last eight wins have come against ranked teams. That includes an upset win at #12 ranked Virginia. Louisville has failed to cover in 11 of it's last 15 road games, while FSU is 12-5 ATS in it's last 17 home games. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Wake Forest -1 | Top | 79-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
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01-17-17 | Ohio v. Akron -5 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
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01-16-17 | Marquette v. Butler -7.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
The Bulldogs are 10-0 at home so far, and their last three wins have come against Big East rivals Xavier, Villanova and Providence. The average margin of victory in those games was 10 points. They host the Marquette Golden Eagles tonight, and Marquette has been blown out by 20+ points in each of it's last two road games in this series. The Eagles has lost two of three road games this season, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and the line here looks reasonable. Marquette scores it's fair share of points, averaging 78.7 points per game on the road. That's only a few points less than Butler averages at home (80.1). Butler is far superior defensively though, holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game at home. The Eagles have given up over 80 points per game on the road. Marquette has only covered in one of the last eight meetings in this series, and I don't think they'll hang with the Bulldogs at Butler.
Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 56-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. |
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01-14-17 | Duke v. Louisville -4 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Louisville Cardinals.
Duke is reeling, coming into Louisville off an 88-72 loss at Florida State. Coach K is recovering from back surgery, and assistant coach Jeff Capel has his work cut out for him as the interim bench boss. He's going to be shorthanded here at Louisville, with senior forward Amile Jefferson unavailable for today's game. Jefferson is Duke's leading rebounder, and without him they got killed on the glass in the loss to Florida State. Louisville is one of the more dominant rebounding teams in the country, averaging 39.6 rebounds per game. The Cardinals are 9-1 overall at home this season, and 7-2 ATS. They have won two of their last three home meetings versus Duke, and the Blue Devils have only covered the spread once in their last eight road games. Take LOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-17 | Quinnipiac +8.5 v. Siena | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
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01-11-17 | Butler v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Creighton Blue Jays.
It was just one week ago that Butler knocked off #1 ranked Villanova at home, and since then the Bulldogs won at Georgetown by a score of 85-76 in OT. They are just 2-2 on the road this season, and playing at Creighton will be their toughest road game to date. They lost 72-64 at Creighton last year, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. Creighton is 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming to the #1 Wildcats. Among those eight wins they've beaten Wisconsin and Seton Hall, with both wins coming by a double digit margin. The Blue Jays are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 as a favorite. They have scored an average of 84.8 points per game on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Bulldogs to match that. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-17 | St. Louis v. Duquesne -10.5 | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
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01-10-17 | Duke v. Florida State -1.5 | Top | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles.
Duke gave Coach K a proper send off in his final game before taking time off to have back surgery, beating Georgia Tech by over 50 points. They followed up that impressive performance with a lackluster 93-82 win over Boston College. The Eagles out-scored the Blue Devils 48-40 in the second half of that game, but Duke held on for the double-digit win. Grayson Allen had 12 points and 11 assists, but highlights showed that he might have been guilty of another trip. Whether or not it was intentional, you can bet that Allen isn't going to be getting the benefit of the doubt from officials at this point. Amile Jefferson scored 11 points before leaving in the first half with a foot injury, and the Blue Devils leading rebounder will not be available here tonight. The Seminoles are coming off back to back wins over Top 25 teams, including an upset win at Virginia. Duke has failed to cover the spread in six of it's last seven road games, and is 0-5 ATS in it's last five as an underdog of five points or less. This looks like a tough spot for the banged up Blue Devils. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-17 | Xavier v. Villanova -7.5 | Top | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
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01-09-17 | Quinnipiac +7.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
The Bobcats have lost a lot of games this season, but they rarely get blown out. The've won two of their last three, and the one loss was an 83-77 defeat at Canisius, a game that Quinnipiac led until midway through the second half. The Bobcats are getting a bunch of points on the road at St. Peters tonight, and the Peacocks are just 3-3 at home. They are coming off a 56-54 loss to Sienna on Saturday, and it was the fifth time in seven games that they failed to score 60 points. They lost all five of those games, and I think that a team that is struggling offensively is going to have a hard time covering such a big spread here in tonight's game. The Bobcats have scored an average of 74.8 points on 43 percent shooting over their last five games, while the Peacocks have averaged just 59 points on 37 percent shooting during the same span. The last meeting between the two teams was a 56-55 home win for the Bobcats, and I expect a similar result here in this game. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-17 | Utah v. Arizona State +4.5 | 88-82 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Utah Utes have lost two of three road games so far this season, and their one win came at Hawaii. They are on the road at Arizona State this afternoon, and the Utes are actually asked to cover a four points spread. Arizona State has had a tough schedule, but they've played pretty well at home, winning six of eight. The Sun Devils are averaging a whopping 92.4 points per game on 48.3 percent shooting at home, and they've scored 84.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have shot the ball well from three-point range during that span, hitting 38.2 percent of their attempts. The Utes have really struggled to score on the road, averaging just 63.7 points per game, and they've shot just 24.1 percent from three point range in their three road games. The Sun Devils are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-17 | Manhattan v. Quinnipiac -2 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
I had the Bobcats as a nine point dog in their last game at Canisius, and they covered the spread losing by a score of 83-77. They are back home hosting Manhattan Saturday, and the Jaspers are reeling after losing four straight to start conference play. Manhattan is coming off a blowout home loss to Fairfield, allowing the Stags to score a whopping 97 points on almost 60 percent shooting. The Jaspers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Bobcats played well in their loss to Canisius, leading at halftime and holding that lead until well past the midway point in the second half. If they play with the same passion today, at home against an inferior opponent, they should hang on for a win. Take QUIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-17 | Montana State v. Eastern Washington -5 | 64-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. |
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01-04-17 | Virginia Tech +1 v. NC State | Top | 78-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
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01-04-17 | Georgia Tech +19 v. Duke | Top | 57-110 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Duke and Georgia Tech appear to be teams trending in opposite directions. The Blue Devils were upset by Virginia Tech in their opening game of conference play, while the Yellow Jackets upset the #9 ranked UNC Tar Heels. Duke has not looked sharp in it's last three games, beating Elon and Tennessee Tech by a combined 21 points. They were favored by more than 25 points in each of those games, but were fortunate enough just to get the outright victories. There could be tough times ahead for Duke, with Coach K scheduled to take time off after back surgery following this game, and Grayson Allen suspended indefinitely. This line appears to be extremely inflated, especially when you consider that over the last three years these teams have played three times, with Duke winning two of those three games by just a single digit margin. The Blue Devils have won nine straight in this series, but they are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in any of those previous nine games. The Yellow Jackets have been a solid bet when getting at least 13 points, covering in four straight such situations. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-17 | Siena v. Canisius -2 | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
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12-22-16 | LSU v. Wake Forest -8 | Top | 76-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
8* |
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12-22-16 | William & Mary v. Rhode Island -10 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
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12-22-16 | Canisius +11.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Canisius Golden Griffins. |
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12-22-16 | Central Arkansas v. Arizona State -18 | Top | 62-98 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Sometimes wins and losses don't tell the real story, and I think that's the case with this 6-6 Arizona State team. The Sun Devils have lost to #1 Kentucky, #9 Creighton, #18 Purdue, Davidson, Northern Iowa and New Mexico State. Despite their .500 record, they've scored plenty of points. They are averaging a staggering 93.8 points per game on 48.5 percent shooting at home. They've covered the spread in seven of their last nine home games against teams with a losing record. They host the 1-11 Central Arkansas Bears in a matinee Thursday, and this really looks like it should be a massacre. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non conference games, and they've only covered the spread once in their last seven road games. Three of their last four road losses came by 20+ points. Take ASU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-16 | Georgia State v. Middle Tennessee -12.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders.
Georgia State is 0-4 on the road, and three of those four losses came by double digits (at Old Dominion, at Mississippi State, and at Auburn). The Blue Raiders at 10-2 have more wins than any of those teams, and they have beaten some good teams by a wide margin. They have double digit wins over Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Evansville, Belmont, and Toldeo. They are coming off a 80-77 loss at VCU, covering the spread for the sixth straight game. It's only a matter of time before this team becomes overvalued, but I think we are still getting a reasonable price here on the home favorite, as this game should be a blowout. The Panthers have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 road games, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. Take MTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-16 | Portland State v. San Francisco -8.5 | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Dons.
San Francisco has impressed so far, starting the season 7-1, and winning all five home games. The Dons host Portland State tonight, and they are just a single digit favorite. The Vikings have lost four of five road games, including double-digit losses at Arizona State and Loyola Marymount. Junior forward Braxton Tucker leads the Vikings in scoring averaging 16.8 points per game, but he's missed the last three games with a knee injury. Tucker missed all of last season with a knee injury, and his return to the lineup is questionable. The Vikes are getting killed on the boards, averaging just 27 rebounds per game, and giving up an average of 35.5. Rebounding won't be the only advantage for the Dons here tonight, as they are shooting 51 percent from the field this season, and 40.7 percent from beyond the arc. While San Francisco has the more efficient offense, there is an even bigger separation on defense. The Dons have allowed an average of just 70.4 points per game, while the Vikes are allowing a whopping 85.3 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot better than 50 percent from the field. This looks like a complete mismatch from top to bottom, and I like the Dons to win by double digits. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-16 | St. Joe's +8.5 v. Princeton | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Joe's Hawks.
After suffering four straight losses, the Hawks bounced back with a solid road win at Drexel on Sunday. Their losses came against some very good teams: Villanova, Temple, N.C. State and Ole Miss. They will be getting a generous amount of points here on the road at Princeton Wednesday. The Tigers have an identical 4-4 record, but their wins aren't all that impressive. They just barely beat Liberty by a score of 67-64 in their last game, and they shot a woeful 3-of-12 from the free throw line in that game. The loss of senior forward Hans Brase has really hurt Princeton, he led the team in rebounding and averaged over 11 points per game in each of his last two full seasons. The Tigers have been losing the battle on the boards all year, averaging under 30 rebounds per game so far. These teams played last year in Philly, and the Hawks won 62-50. They out-rebounded Princeton 43-39, and held the Tigers to just 28.8 percent shooting. The Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog, while the Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. I'll take the points here in a game that looks quite winnable for the Hawks. Take JOES. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | NC-Wilmington v. St Bonaventure -4 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure.
The Bonnies come into Saturday's home game against UNC Wilmington as winners of five straight. They are undefeated at home, and they scored a whopping 90 points in a win over Buffalo in their last home game. The Seahawks are in first place in the CAA, and they were the top team in their conference last year. They didn't fare all that well in non conference road games though, dropping four of their first five. The Bonnies are always tough at home, and they were 14-2 on their home floor last season. They shoot the ball particularly well at home, and have a significant edge when it comes to free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage. Over their last five games, the Bonnies have shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc, while the Seahawks have hit just 32.1 percent of their three-point attempts during that span. Given how well the Bonnies have played at home in recent seasons, it seems a little odd that they are asked to cover such a low number here. We can see that they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games, but they won those six games by an average margin of more than six points. I think the bookmakers have perhaps overcompensated based on that trend, giving us great value betting the home team as such a short favorite. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-16 | Mercer v. Clemson -13 | Top | 47-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
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12-07-16 | Harvard v. Boston College | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston College Eagles.
After suffering consecutive double digit losses to Richmond and Kansas State, the Eagles won big at home by a score of 88-70 over Dartmouth. They host another Ivy League team tonight, and While Harvard should prove to be a tougher opponent than Dartmouth, the Crimson are no longer the class of their conference. These teams played last November, and the Eagles won by double digits on their home court. Boston College has won four of it's five home games so far, scoring an average of 79.2 points on 50.2 percent shooting. The Crimson have played just one true road game, losing 70-66 at Massachusetts. They committed 19 turnovers in that game, and shot just 36.8 percent from the field. The Eagles leading scorer Jerome Robinson has been feeling the hot hand, totaling 27 points in each of his last two games. He was 10-of-16 from beyond the arc in those two games. This looks like a tough spot for a struggling Harvard team playing on back to back nights. Take B.C. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-30-16 | St. Mary's -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-27-16 | Nevada -6 v. Iona | 73-75 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. These two teams played just last week in Reno, and Nevada won that game by double digits. Here is what I said before the game: "The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona." I expect a similar result here in the Final of the Great Alaska Shootout. Take Nevada. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
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11-24-16 | Oakland v. Nevada -5 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
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11-21-16 | Coppin State v. Ball State -17.5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time |
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11-20-16 | Iona v. Nevada -10.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. The Iona Gaels lost six players from last year's team that finished with a 22-11 record in second place in the MAAC. They were 0-4 on the road versus non-conference opponents last year, and they lost by 25 points at Valparaiso, and by 20 points at Oregon State. They have started this season in similar fashion, losing 99-78 at Florida State in their opener. It won't get any easier at Nevada, as this Wolfpack team looks like a true contender in the Mountain West. Nevada absolutely crushed Oregon State on Friday, winning by a score of 83-58. The Wolfpack are 2-0 at home so far, with both of those wins coming by double digits. They were 11-3 at home last season, and won the CBI Tournament. Nevada returns four of five starters, including D.J Fenner and Cameron Oliver who each averaged over 13 points per game last year. Oliver scored a team high 24 against Oregon State, and he should be primed for a big night versus Iona. Jesse Schule |
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11-19-16 | St. Mary's +1 v. Dayton | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-16 | Coppin State v. Utah -26 | Top | 51-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Utah. The Utah Utes have played twice this season, winning both games by 40+ points. They are a huge favorite at home tonight against Coppin State, but I don't think 26 points is a big enough number all things considered. The Eagles are playing a rare third game in three nights, and fourth game in five nights. They are coming off back to back 30+ point losses at BYU and Coastal Carolina. Last night in Provo they shot just 25.9 percent from the field, and made just 50% of their free throws. They've given up an average of more than 80 points per game, and this Utah team is as good as anybody they have faced so far. The Utes are well rested, and this looks like it should be a complete mismatch. Utah ranks 3rd nationally averaging 56 rebounds per game, and they have held opponents to an average of 45 points during their 2-0 start. The home team should win this game by 30+ points. Jesse Schule |
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11-15-16 | Wisconsin +1 v. Creighton | 67-79 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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11-14-16 | Princeton v. BYU -4 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars open the season at home versus the Princeton Tigers, and BYU is just a short favorite. Princeton finished second in the Ivy League behind Yale last year, and the Tigers are favored to win the Ivy League this season. Playing on the road against a WCC powerhouse like BYU is a far cry from the competition the Tigers normally face in conference play. Princeton lost two of their first three road games last year, and both those losses came by double digits at Stonybrook and St. Joseph's. They were 0-2 versus Top 25 teams, losing by double digits to Miami and Maryland. BYU returns three starters from last season's team that was 14-2 at home. The Cougars upset Gonzaga, and recorded signature wins over teams like New Mexico, Northern Iowa, St. Mary's and Creighton. Their season ended with a semi-finals loss to Valparaiso in the NIT Tournament, and they look primed to be a contender in the WCC this year. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-16 | Nevada v. St. Mary's -10 | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Indiana v. North Carolina -5.5 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on North Carolina. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-16 | Iowa State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 140 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Virginia Cavs (GOW). Jesse Schule |
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03-24-16 | Duke +3.5 v. Oregon | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. Jesse Schule |
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03-24-16 | Maryland v. Kansas -6.5 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Kansas #Jayhawks. Kansas is cruising into it's Sweet 16 matchup versus Maryland, coming off 16 straight wins, 10 of those in games decided by at least 10 points. The Jayhawks aren't just winning, they are covering the spread as well, going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall. The Terrapins on the other hand have not played their best basketball of late, coming into the tournament as losers of five of eight. Jesse Schule |
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03-21-16 | Eastern Washington v. Nevada -5 | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada was one of the surprise teams this season, finishing near the top of a competitive field in the Mountain West. There is plenty to be upbeat about for the Wolfpack, and they were particularly strong at home winning 12 of 15 games. They host an Eastern Washington team that really fell apart at the end of the year, losing four straight, including a pair of home games that it was favored to win. They were brutal on the road all year, with just 5 wins in 16 games. Those came in a weaker conference in the Big Sky, against teams a lot less competitive than Nevada. More bad news for Eastern Washington, leading scorer Venky Jois battled a knee injury in the win over Pepperdine last week, and he's question for tonight's game. The Wolfpack are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Wisconsin v. Xavier -4 | Top | 66-63 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Xavier Musketeers. Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Connecticut v. Kansas -7.5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Kansas #Jayhawks The Connecticut Huskies have won five straight, but during that span they haven't really played top opponents. They beat Colorado in a close game in the first round of the tournament, but now they have to face the #1 ranked team in the country. Kansas has been crushing opponents, coming off a 105-79 first round win over Austin Peavy. They've won 15 straight, and five of their last six wins have come by at least 10 points. I think it's asking too much for this Huskies team to compete with a powerhouse like Kansas. The Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall, and they've scored an average of 82.2 points on 49.8 percent shooting while winning eight of nine neutral site games this season. Take KAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Butler v. Virginia -7.5 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Virginia (double result) 1st Half + Game. The Cavs are one of the hottest teams in the country, coming off a blowout win over the Hampton Pirates in the first round of the tournament. They finished second in the ACC behind North Carolina with a record of 13-5, and they lost a close game by a score of 61-57 to UNC in the ACC Championship Game. They had won five in a row prior to that, and one of those was a home win over North Carolina by a score of 79-74. Butler held it's own in a pretty good Big East Conference, but when the Bulldogs played the likes of Xavier and Villanova, they failed to compete. They lost all four games against the top two teams in the Big East, and they have lost six straight versus ranked opponents. Virginia is a defensive powerhouse, and opponents have been held to 54.4 points on 39.7 percent shooting over the Cavs last five games. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils. The Yale Bulldogs played about as well as they can possibly play in their opening round win over Baylor, but I think they'll be in way over their heads against Duke on Saturday. We saw Duke handle a bit of adversity overcoming a halftime deficit to beat UNC Wilmington by eight points in their first game, and the Blue Devils are a short favorite here versus Yale. These teams played early in the season, and Duke won that game 80-61. This Blue Devils team has the highest winning percentage in NCAA Tournament history. They have covered the spread in five straight versus the Ivy League, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tourney games. After a slow start against the Seahawks, Marshall Plumlee opted to discard his protective mask, playing with a broken nose fully exposed. He took over down low, scoring 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting. Grayson Allen didn't have a great night shooting, but he scored the majority of his 23 points at the free throw line, going 15-of-17. In the end, Duke just had too much firepower for the Seahawks, and I expect it to be the same story here against Yale. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-16 | VCU -4 v. Oregon State | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 96 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the VCU Rams. |
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5.5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. We've seen Harvard come out of the Ivy League and shake things up when playing teams from the bigger conferences in the NCAA Tournament. I don't expect this Yale team to compete at that level though, not against a high scoring Baylor team that has been battling it out with the Big Boys of the Big12. Keep in mind that three of the nation's Top 10 teams come from this conference (#1 Kansas, #7 Oklahoma and #8 West Virginia). The Bears last game was a 70-66 loss to #1 ranked Kansas in the Big12 tournament. They had previously beat Texas by double-digits, and I think it's not asking to much of Baylor to beat the Ivy League champs just as easily. Yale doesn't match up well against Baylor's size, with senior forward Justin Sears their tallest starter at 6"8. The Bulldogs have held their own, out-rebounding Ivy League teams by a a double digit margin. It's likely to be a different story against a Baylor team that ranks 15th nationally in rebound margin. Baylor went out early last year, but I don't think they'll let this game get away. They should be able to dominate against an overrated Yale team that faced just one ranked team this season, losing to Duke by 19 points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-16 | NC-Wilmington v. Duke -10 | 85-93 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAB play on the Duke Blue Devils. Duke comes into the first round of the NCAA Tournament off a loss to Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament. The Blue Devils will be a double digit favorite over North Carolina Wilmington, but I think the bookmakers are not giving Duke enough credit. While the Seahawks finished first in the CAA, they piled up a lot of wins over weak teams. They didn't face a single ranked opponent, and they failed to cover in four of their last five games. Duke is 5-2-1 ATS in it's last eight non conference games, and the Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games. We can expect Coach K to have his team ready, and we know this team handles these pressure situations well. The Seahawks on the other hand don't have much experience playing on such a big stage, and they might be a little shell shocked. Duke should prove to have too much firepower for the Seahawks to handle. The Blue Devils averaged 81.5 points per game this season, ranking 17th nationally. That's even more impressive when you consider they play the likes of Louisville and Virginia. Take DUKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-16 | New Mexico State v. St. Mary's -11.5 | 56-58 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Mary's Gaels. Jesse Schule |
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03-13-16 | Kentucky -3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kentucky Wildcats. Texas A&M crushed LSU in the SEC Semi Final yesterday, winning by a whopping 33 points. The Tigers set a new mark for futility, as their 38 total points was the fewest scored by a Power 5 team this season. While it was an impressive performance by Texas A&M, beating up on an a vulnerable LSU team is perhaps not the best way to warmup for a clash with the Wildcats. Kentucky started slow this season, but they come into this game playing as well as anyone. The Wildcats have won five of their last six, with those wins come by an average margin of over 17 points. They shot out the lights against Georgia yesterday, battling back after trailing 49-44 at halftime. They shot 50 percent from the field, and 26-of-30 from the free throw line in the win. The Aggies shot just 56.3 percent from the foul line in their win over LSU. This looks like the type of game that could be decided at the free throw line, and that should favor the Wildcats. Kentucky comes in red hot, shooting better than 50 percent from the field over it's last five games, and better than 45 percent from beyond the arc. I think the Aggies are going to struggle as they step up in class after their easy win yesterday. They've failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 coming off a win of more than 20 points. Take UK. GL, Jesse Schule. |